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Speaker 1: Ole Miss versus Georgia, Tennessee versus Alabama, LSU versus Vanderbilt,

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Texas Tech versus Arizona State, and USC versus Notre Dame.

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We've got you covered with free plays and opinions on

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all of this week's big college football games.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Blitz.

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Speaker 1: If you're watching us live here on the wage talk

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To YouTube channel, feel free to ask us about any

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other game as well. All you gotta do is comment

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down below. We only ask that you smash that like

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button and click subscribe. Joining me Ralph Michaels And look

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who's back, Ross, Benjamin Ross.

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Speaker 2: We missed you.

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Speaker 1: The people missed you. They were asking great to have

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you back on the show. So I'm gonna start with you.

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With all that Ole Miss and Georgia mentioned it at

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the top of the show. We have an unbeaten tam

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all Miss getting more than a touchdown on the road.

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Georgia hasn't been the same as they've been in past years.

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They kind of I say, this is someone who had

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Auburn last week. I think I thought Georgia cheated to

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beat All last week.

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Speaker 2: I thought that had some.

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Speaker 1: Help from the referees. But what do you think here,

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George is usually a force at home. Is this line

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about right?

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Speaker 2: Too low? Too high? What do you think?

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Speaker 1: Well?

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Speaker 3: First of all, thank you for the kind words, Brian.

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I missed you guys, and I missed the viewers out

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there as well, and I appreciate all your well wishes

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that you sent the customer service. In terms of this matchup,

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you're looking at a team in Georgia with a one

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loss team as better than around or better than a

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touchdown favorite against ole Miss.

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Speaker 4: I am not.

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Speaker 3: Look, I'm not as much as Georgia, Brian. You make

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a great point. Is not that Georgia we've seen in

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years past nowhere near at dominant? I just don't trust

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Lane Kiffen and ole Miss on the road in a

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game against a quality opponent, and the odds makers, if

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you look at this, you have a one loss team again,

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is a favorite of minus seven or better against a

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ranked number five team in the country. That in itself

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speaks volumes to me. I'm not gonna have a play

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on this game. I don't have a strong opinion here,

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but I would have a lean here. Lay the points

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with Georgia over ole Miss, who was extremely lucky to

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get by Washington State last week is at.

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Speaker 4: Thirty two and a half point favorite. They won the

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game by three.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, kind of they were sleepwalking in Oxford. Ralph Ross

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brings up a good point there, ole Miss possibly. I

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know we've on the pass debated whether or not there's

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such a thing as a look ahead factor, but ole

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Miss was definitely playing with their food. It seemed like,

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at least if you're living Oxford or a fan of

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the Rebels, you hope they're playing with their food because

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I don't know how else to explain that one. Last week,

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what do you think about this game here? It certainly

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is oddsmakers are certainly making a statement by having.

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Speaker 2: The Bulldogs this large of a favorite.

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Speaker 5: Well, let me ask you this.

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Speaker 6: I don't know what the look aheadline was, but after

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they beat LSU and had a four eighty to two

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fifty four yard edge, I bet this would have been

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closer to a field goal than it was a touchdown.

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So let's remember. You want to talk, We'll give Marco

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a shout out. You want to talk about the classic

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Sandwich game in the SEC. This year, your home against LSU,

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you go to Georgia before and then you host Washington

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State in the middle. So I understand that loss, and

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I'm okay with I call it a loss. I mean

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it wasn't a loss as one of the biggest ATS losses.

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My power ratings still say Georgia. I still think the

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Georgia Bulldogs, you know, have an offense this year that

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surprised me. In their last three games, they played Tulane, LSU,

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in Washington State. They had a season high against Tulane.

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They had a season high against LSU. They were number

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two against Washington State. But I just there's one reason.

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There's not many times that there's only one reason why

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won't bet a game, but it's this. When Georgia is

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a favorite with a total over fifty, that means they're

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playing an offense at semi decent. They have failed to

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cover eleven straight the last two years, and going back

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three years, they're two sixteen and one. And remember only

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two scenarios Georgia as a favorite with a total over

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fifty oh and eleven ats two sixteen and one against

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the spread. That keeps me off Georgia even though they

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were my opinion, my lean going into this week.

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Speaker 1: You see the odds right there on your screen. Guys, Uh. Look,

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anyone who knows me knows my natural default is towards

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the underdog more often than not. I have got the

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squarest take on this game and another one of the

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SEC big SEC matchups that we will be touching on later.

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Speaker 2: I think a Georgia Alabama moneyline.

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Speaker 1: Parlay might honestly be the way to come, because let's

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not forget George's got revenge against Oleness. They walked the

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Rebels last year in Oxford games in Athens. Georgia had

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won thirty straight at home before the lost Alabama a

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couple of weeks ago. I know it's really really square,

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soouting taking two just you know, parlaying two favorites of

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seven and a half or more together, I don't know.

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I don't think the home teams are losing in these

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big SEC matchups.

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Speaker 2: Guys, keep those comments coming.

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Speaker 1: I see there's some people here about commenting with some

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of the early games here on Saturday. We've got a

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question about Arizona and Houston virtually a pickup.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: I'm a little surprised the way this line is moving.

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I kind of liked my initial thought Ross was towards Houston. Actually,

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this game Arizona off a crushing loss last Saturday night

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at home to BYU.

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Speaker 2: They were up ten in the fourth quarter, they blow

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that lead.

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Speaker 1: There was a fumble right before BYU scored the game

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tying touchdown. We had some cowardice in the first overtime

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with field goals being kicked and then BYU takes it

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in double ot. So this Houston team, I feel good

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about that over six and a half win back for sure.

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Speaker 2: I don't know. I thought they were the right side here,

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but the market says otherwise.

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Speaker 4: Me or rough.

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Speaker 3: Okay, sorry about that, guys, all right, So yeah.

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Speaker 4: I know you've been high.

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Speaker 3: You were high on Houston, and now I know because

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you're holding a ticket of over six and a half.

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But you know you made some good points in terms

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of Houston and how improved there. Arizona definitely coming off

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a tough loss at home the BYU, and how did

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they recover from that loss. That's yet to be seen.

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I know the betting patterns that I look at in

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terms of money and volume of tickets leads me to

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think that the.

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Speaker 4: Sharps are on Arizona here.

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Speaker 3: However, I am not going to I'm not going to

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dabble in this game. This is one I think that

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I will defer to Ralph in you Brian, and I

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really think there's better value on the board elsewhere than

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to tangle with this tough matchup in what's virtually an

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even game.

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Speaker 1: One other thing I should add Ralph is early start

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time for Arizona. You know, obviously a noon easter kick

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from a team coming out West.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if that matters to you and your

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handicap how you look at this.

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Speaker 6: It's so much different moving one time zone. I mean,

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Houston Arizona is a short flight. It's not like you know,

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Oregon having to travel the Rutgers, where we have a

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legitimate thing.

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Speaker 5: So I am not too concerned about that.

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Speaker 6: You know, last year in the Big Twelve, they started

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having some early games, so I think they're a customed

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You know, my numbers clearly have Arizona. I make them

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a three point favorite. You look at the schedule, they

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played a tougher schedule, only ten spots better eighty seven

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to ninety seven. So neither team has played a very

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difficult schedule.

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Speaker 5: But when you look at.

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Speaker 6: Yards per game diff and points per game diff, Arizona

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and twenty eight respectively, Houston forty eight and forty five.

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Also pace is Houston accustomed to playing fast teams?

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Speaker 5: Not really.

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Speaker 6: Their defense was only on the field fifty one plays

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against Oklahoma State. They were on the field ninety plays

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against Texas Tech the week prior what happened. They gave

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up five hundred and fifty two yards in that Arizona

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currently number twenty four, running seventy one point five plays

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per game. And then as far as explosive plays go,

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you have Arizona that's also much better in sacks than

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Houston is. And in defensive explosive plays those are plays

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over ten or twenty yards. Arizona number thirteen and eighteen

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on defense, So all of that is Arizona. I liked Arizona.

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They were in my mix to be a play. But

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the reason I did not back them is just this.

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This is only their second road game now fitty fifty

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played last year, but this year on the road one

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game at Iowa State. They lose that game thirty nine

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to fourteen. Last year on the road, they were outgained

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by one hundred and ten yards per game, and the

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defense and the offense averaged forty yards per game less

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on the road. The defense averaged fifty yards more, allowing

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fifty yards more on the road. So this being their

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second home game keeps me off it, but clearly a

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lean on Arizona.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so there you go, these guys agreeing with the

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market there how it's moving towards Arizona. Arizona's taking money.

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Actually now several weeks in row. If you go back

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to that loss they had against Iowa State a few

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weeks ago, the public was the sharp money was all over.

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My should say that line came way down. We have

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another a similar line move here in Missouri Auburn. This

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is very, very similar to the line move we just

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talked about with Arizona Houston Auburn. Again, I mentioned at

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the outset I thought I thought they were playing eleven

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on fourteen last week Ross against Georgia.

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Speaker 2: I really did.

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Speaker 1: I didn't think it was fair, but they get the

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law again. They're three and SEC play now is Auburn.

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They opened though, despite that owen three record in SEC play,

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they opened as the favorite against number sixteen Missouri, who

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is of course off its first loss of the season.

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That being a game where they're off by at home

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against Alabama.

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Speaker 2: Heavily hype game. I don't agree.

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Speaker 1: I talked about this game on the mid week edition

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of the Power Five. I don't agree with this line move,

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believe it or not. I know there's an argument that

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Auburn could be ready to throw in the towel on

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Hugh Freeze. It's not going well down there. But this

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is Missouri's first true road game, so I don't know.

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I actually lean Auburn in this game, especially now as

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a dog.

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Speaker 3: Well, you got two very good defenses. But I'm gonna

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explain to you why I disagree with you. I think

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Missouri is a player. Auburn has lost three in a row,

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all against SEC opponents. As you alluded to, they scored

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seven seventeen points or fewer in each of those three games.

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Matter of fact, during this three game losing streak, averaging

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just twelve point three points per game and two hundred

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and forty seven yards per game. That's their enigma, you know.

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And I don't know if they're going to be playing

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a very good defensive team as well in Missouri, and

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I'll get to that in a second. But despite their

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good defensive numbers, they have been exposed on a couple occasions. Defensively,

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they allowed four hundred and eighty three yards to Baylor

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in their season opener and four hundred and fourteen.

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Speaker 4: Yards to Texas A and M.

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Speaker 3: Now, I know they held Georgia to twenty, but I

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would argue the point that I think Missouri's offense is

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much better than Georgia's offense at this juncture. The Missouri

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Tigers also, like I said, very good defensively. Three hundred

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and twenty five yards or few are allowed in all

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six games this year, including last week, and had three

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point home loss to Alabama. Their offense, on the other hand,

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the Tigers are averaging just a ten under forty two

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points per game, five hundred and eleven yards per contest

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in six point seven yards per play. So, and I

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got a betting angle for you here rough. It's a

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money line betting angle. Anytime you have a college football

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away team like Missouri with a win percentage of eight

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thirty three or better and they've won sixteen or more

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of their last twenty two games versus an opponent coming

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off three straight losses in which they allowed or they

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scored seventeen or fewer on each occasion, seventy nine and

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nine straight up since nineteen eighty three. That's ninety percent.

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And if those away teams won sixteen or more of

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their last twenty two games, like I alluded to, they

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improved the fifty two and three in Missouri by the way,

250
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eighteen or four. Last twenty two, Missouri uh minus one

251
00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:07,720
twenty on the money line over Auburn. Awful cheap money

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line price considering the points spread is at two. So

253
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I'm gonna go with that. You could find that minus

254
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one twenty at FanDuel right now.

255
00:13:17,320 --> 00:13:17,840
Speaker 2: Go Ralph.

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Speaker 1: That's quite the trend that Ross cited there. Do you

257
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have anything that you'd want to add in this game?

258
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We're gonna be staying in.

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Speaker 5: The ends Ross the pen. I will say this.

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Speaker 6: You know, Ross gave big numbers for Missouri and big

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numbers for Auburn. But just like last week, last week

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was the biggest ever discrepancy I saw in Week six.

263
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As far as strength of schedule, Let's remember that Auburn's

264
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played the number four schedule. Missouri's played the number one

265
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hundred and three schedule. That's embarrassing for an SEC team.

266
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So yes, that's your job is to quantify Missouri's number

267
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seven and yards per game diff Auburn's number seventy one.

268
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But again, you got to look at the strength of schedule.

269
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When you're looking at those numbers, especially this far, you

270
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want to talk about a a coach that's saying thank

271
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you GM for sister for scheduling me, the sister of

272
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the poor Nobody's Since nineteen ninety, guys, only seven teams

273
00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:13,600
have started their first six games at home and played

274
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their first road game in week seven.

275
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Speaker 5: Guess what.

276
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Speaker 6: They're zero to seven against the spread, losing by fifteen

277
00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:24,279
point eight points per game, failing to cover by fifteen

278
00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:25,399
point eight points per game.

279
00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:26,679
Speaker 5: So take that what you with.

280
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Speaker 6: It's a small sample size, you can't base anything on it,

281
00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:31,480
but it just shows you how few teams have done

282
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exactly what Missouri's doing. Play the first six games at

283
00:14:34,240 --> 00:14:36,960
home and now take your road trip. Now, Missouri, this

284
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is where I think we get some value. I like

285
00:14:39,600 --> 00:14:42,759
the under You look at Missouri's offensive numbers. Yes they

286
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are strong. They're number seven in yards per game, they're

287
00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:49,159
number ten in points per game, but their strength of

288
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schedule number one oh three, and they're number five in

289
00:14:52,759 --> 00:14:56,279
plays per game, number seventy six. They will not run

290
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the same pace in Auburn on the road with crowd

291
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noise as they do at home.

292
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Speaker 5: I think that's a definite angle.

293
00:15:03,120 --> 00:15:05,399
Speaker 1: And I do like the under here, all right, the

294
00:15:05,519 --> 00:15:07,879
under there you go. So we've got some discrepancy on

295
00:15:07,919 --> 00:15:09,919
the side at least, but Ralph likes that. Or Ralph,

296
00:15:09,919 --> 00:15:12,559
I'm gonna come right back to you, because there's some

297
00:15:12,639 --> 00:15:16,240
astounding trends with this LSU Vanderbilt game I've seen. So

298
00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:18,600
I see somebody asking about this game. This is in

299
00:15:18,639 --> 00:15:21,679
our rundown LSU and Vanderbilt. So let's go to what

300
00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:24,000
someone wants to know about it. Guys, this is the

301
00:15:24,039 --> 00:15:30,480
first time fifty two games that Vanderbilt is favored over.

302
00:15:30,799 --> 00:15:33,440
Speaker 2: And it is the first time Ross.

303
00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:36,320
Speaker 1: I believe you went back to nineteen eighty three just

304
00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:38,279
a few moments ago with your trend. Well, I'm going

305
00:15:38,360 --> 00:15:40,559
to take you back to the nineteen forties before all

306
00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:43,120
of us were betting on games. Okay, that was the

307
00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:47,559
last time anyone can find record of Vanderbilt being favored

308
00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:54,480
over LSU. That's pretty crazy, so I know. So there

309
00:15:54,519 --> 00:15:59,279
you go there, LSU Vandy in the favorite role. It's

310
00:15:59,320 --> 00:16:03,519
pretty crazy to see them in that role here against LSU.

311
00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:06,679
So Ralph, what do you think here? It's certainly uncharted

312
00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:08,440
territory for the commodoes.

313
00:16:08,840 --> 00:16:12,000
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm looking I only go back to nineteen ninety seven. Brian,

314
00:16:12,039 --> 00:16:14,919
what year do you say they were favored? The nineteen

315
00:16:15,200 --> 00:16:19,279
forties was the last time. Oh, I apologize, not against LSU.

316
00:16:19,639 --> 00:16:24,320
Vanderbilt has not been favored against a ranked opponent since

317
00:16:24,360 --> 00:16:29,080
October eleventh, nineteen forty seven.

318
00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:32,799
Speaker 5: Ross, did you watch that game? Were you of Vanderbilt? Vanderbilt?

319
00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:36,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, I missed it because I had to go to church.

320
00:16:36,759 --> 00:16:40,360
Speaker 6: I got you, okay, But you know, I'm looking back

321
00:16:40,399 --> 00:16:43,559
since two thousand and four, since they'd beat sec FOS.

322
00:16:44,159 --> 00:16:49,080
The lowest spread was a was ten points at home.

323
00:16:49,639 --> 00:16:52,960
But remember last year this team, Vanderbilt was only an

324
00:16:53,000 --> 00:16:55,559
eight and a half point underdog at LSU.

325
00:16:55,879 --> 00:16:59,039
Speaker 5: So they started getting their respect last season, and now

326
00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:01,399
we have it. I you know, this is a game

327
00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:02,879
that I don't know.

328
00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:08,680
Speaker 6: I like Vanderbilt, I love the story, but playing with

329
00:17:08,759 --> 00:17:11,400
this type of pressure as the season mounts, to me,

330
00:17:11,559 --> 00:17:14,279
you need to have some experience to do that. And

331
00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:17,480
LSU's defense, you know, when you're holding teams to three

332
00:17:17,480 --> 00:17:21,319
point two yards per carry, you know that's exactly what

333
00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:24,759
you need to stop a Vanderbilt offense where your leading

334
00:17:24,839 --> 00:17:27,480
rusher is Diego Pavia. You know, he leads with three

335
00:17:27,519 --> 00:17:30,359
hundred and fifty two yards on sixty attempts. So I

336
00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:33,400
think the Auburn run game is going to cause them problems.

337
00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:37,200
Last year against Alabi. Last week against the Alabama he

338
00:17:37,279 --> 00:17:38,880
broke a couple of big ones off, so they had

339
00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:41,279
seven point one yards per carry. I don't think they

340
00:17:41,319 --> 00:17:43,799
do that against the LSU's defense. I lean the Tigers.

341
00:17:44,799 --> 00:17:49,440
Speaker 1: Okay, we had a comment here somebody RJ. Ross said

342
00:17:49,599 --> 00:17:53,480
take Vandy in the first half because LSU starts slow,

343
00:17:53,519 --> 00:17:57,119
but after half of them interesting point there, because Vandy

344
00:17:57,200 --> 00:17:59,680
is off the by here, which is always so you

345
00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:01,519
think are ready to go and not let LSU was

346
00:18:01,559 --> 00:18:04,279
that tested against South Carolina last week, but still at

347
00:18:04,279 --> 00:18:07,400
home off the by. Kind of an interesting angle, I

348
00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:08,079
guess for Vandy.

349
00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:09,519
Speaker 4: Yeah.

350
00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:13,279
Speaker 3: You know again, I've always professed if you think like

351
00:18:13,319 --> 00:18:18,039
an odds maker, more times than not, you're gonna come

352
00:18:18,079 --> 00:18:21,359
out on the right side, not always, but more times

353
00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:21,640
than not.

354
00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:26,039
Speaker 4: And this is a textbook example of such. LSU is

355
00:18:26,079 --> 00:18:27,920
one of the last ten meetings.

356
00:18:27,559 --> 00:18:31,599
Speaker 3: Between these schools on the Gridiron Vandy's last time they

357
00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:35,759
beat LSU way back in nineteen ninety. Last year, they

358
00:18:35,799 --> 00:18:38,640
played in Baton Rouge and Vandy gave them all they

359
00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:39,559
can handle.

360
00:18:39,279 --> 00:18:43,039
Speaker 4: In a twenty four to seventeen loss. LSU five and

361
00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:46,000
one to start the season. They're only lost twenty four

362
00:18:46,039 --> 00:18:51,720
to nineteen at o Miss, LSU winning with defense. They've

363
00:18:51,759 --> 00:18:55,200
allowed ten points or fewer and five of their six

364
00:18:55,279 --> 00:18:58,240
games all resulting in wins. However, if you look at

365
00:18:58,279 --> 00:19:03,319
their offense, Ralph and Brian leaves a lot to be desired.

366
00:19:04,079 --> 00:19:08,440
Speaker 3: With nuss Meyer at quarterback the senior signal caller, A

367
00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:12,000
lot of people thought LSU would be a very explosive

368
00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:13,000
offensive team.

369
00:19:13,039 --> 00:19:15,160
Speaker 4: That's not been the case now.

370
00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:17,880
Speaker 3: The lc U defense, I don't think a lot of

371
00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:21,599
people predicted they would be this good, but they are now.

372
00:19:21,799 --> 00:19:26,279
LSU their offense in three road games this year eighteen

373
00:19:26,319 --> 00:19:29,400
points per game, in three hundred and five yards per

374
00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:33,799
contest and scoring one point per twenty five point three

375
00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:37,480
yards gained in Ralph. You know that's an atrocious number.

376
00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:41,720
Here's another thing to consider. Since twenty twenty three, all

377
00:19:41,799 --> 00:19:45,759
under current head coach Brian Kelly, the LSU Tigers are

378
00:19:45,839 --> 00:19:50,480
one in seven straight up in ATS as when their

379
00:19:50,519 --> 00:19:54,440
points spread is between plus three and minus three. Conversely,

380
00:19:55,079 --> 00:19:58,640
the Vanderbilt Commodores have gone seven and zero straight up

381
00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:01,480
in ATS in their last se and when their points

382
00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:05,160
spread again is between plus three and minus three, and

383
00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:08,279
that includes two and zero this year, with a thirty

384
00:20:08,279 --> 00:20:11,480
one to seven win at South Carolina and a forty

385
00:20:11,519 --> 00:20:16,279
four to twenty blowout at Virginia Tech. In that exact situation,

386
00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:19,359
they're coming off their first loss in the year, meaning

387
00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:25,599
Vanderbilt to Alabama, and they Brian brought it up, they're

388
00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:29,039
playing off of bye week, so not only coming off

389
00:20:29,039 --> 00:20:32,279
a loss, not only coming off a week of rest,

390
00:20:33,319 --> 00:20:36,359
but they're playing a team they're gonna have big time

391
00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:40,000
revenge on. And I don't know if any Vanderbilt team

392
00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:44,960
has been equipped to knock off LSU, then this one

393
00:20:45,079 --> 00:20:48,720
right here, and again, you look at the points spread

394
00:20:48,759 --> 00:20:52,640
in this game, you would think that LSU, on paper,

395
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:54,960
is a better team. And this kills me, Ralph, because

396
00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:57,880
I got a ticket on LSU to win the National

397
00:20:57,960 --> 00:21:01,319
Championship at plus fourteen hundred and also to win the SEC.

398
00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:05,640
But it's a perfect example why I hate futures, because

399
00:21:05,759 --> 00:21:08,519
if you marry your team, you marry yourself to one

400
00:21:08,599 --> 00:21:11,960
team just because you made a future's bet and fail

401
00:21:12,039 --> 00:21:13,839
to realize the current situation.

402
00:21:15,519 --> 00:21:16,799
Speaker 4: It's not a good thing to do.

403
00:21:17,039 --> 00:21:20,079
Speaker 3: And I am going to disregard what I have and

404
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:23,079
ignore what I just said, and I'm going to take

405
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:26,160
Vanderbilt here, and I'm actually gonna go on the money

406
00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:31,240
line here at minus one thirty four against LSU. And

407
00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:33,359
I don't have a problem with laying a two and

408
00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:36,279
a half, but it's just a personal preference for me.

409
00:21:36,559 --> 00:21:38,559
When I get a favorite of two and a half

410
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:40,640
or less that I like, if I can get a

411
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:44,720
money line of minus forty, minus one forty or fewer,

412
00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:48,599
I will opt for the money line each and every time.

413
00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:53,319
So Vanderbilt minus one thirty four for me, Ralph against LSU.

414
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:59,200
Speaker 6: You know, Brian, one of your one of the viewers

415
00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:02,400
said what first for first quarter for Vanderbilt, first.

416
00:22:02,079 --> 00:22:03,039
Speaker 2: Half for Vanage?

417
00:22:03,039 --> 00:22:04,960
Speaker 5: Okay, So I do want to mention this.

418
00:22:06,319 --> 00:22:09,559
Speaker 6: The gold Sheet logs are absolutely amazing with the first

419
00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:12,160
quarter first half logs. And I'm gonna give you guys

420
00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:14,279
a code if you want to try this week's gold Chat.

421
00:22:14,559 --> 00:22:17,200
You can get it for nine dollars. It's normally nineteen

422
00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:21,079
dollars for football, but use code GS ten that will

423
00:22:21,079 --> 00:22:23,960
say you ten dollars off this week's gold cheat nine

424
00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:26,240
dollars will get you right up in every college football

425
00:22:26,279 --> 00:22:27,839
game and every NFL game.

426
00:22:28,039 --> 00:22:30,200
Speaker 5: But take a look at these logs. You'll see the

427
00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:33,160
first column to the left is full game. You'll see

428
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:36,400
that LSU is three and three ATS. You'll see that

429
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:39,960
Vanderbilt is four and two ATS. But look at that

430
00:22:40,039 --> 00:22:40,759
first quarter.

431
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:44,960
Speaker 6: First quarter this year, LSU is one in five against

432
00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:48,519
the spread and Vanderbilt is four and two. First half,

433
00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:52,440
LSU is one four and one, Vanderbilt is four and two.

434
00:22:52,759 --> 00:22:55,920
So Vandy has gotten off the quick starts. LSU gotten

435
00:22:55,920 --> 00:22:58,720
off the very poor starts. But that's something to look

436
00:22:58,759 --> 00:23:00,559
if you are an LSU fit, and I don't want

437
00:23:00,599 --> 00:23:02,640
to tell you to not bet the game, but if

438
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:05,319
you still like LSU and they get down early, the

439
00:23:05,400 --> 00:23:07,960
data tells us they will come back in the second

440
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:09,559
half or the last three quarters of the game.

441
00:23:10,319 --> 00:23:12,839
Speaker 2: There you go, RJ some data to back up your

442
00:23:13,039 --> 00:23:14,799
line of thinking. There.

443
00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:17,599
Speaker 1: I also wanted to comment on what Ross was talking

444
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:20,880
about taking the money line over the points, but remember, guys,

445
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:23,720
the new college football overtime rules. When these beats struck

446
00:23:23,759 --> 00:23:27,599
over two in double overtime, I know you were threading

447
00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:32,160
quite a small needle here, but hey, if the game

448
00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:34,319
that matters, you know, you don't want to be laying

449
00:23:34,319 --> 00:23:35,920
a minus two and a half ticket and this game

450
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:38,480
goes in double overtime, then you're just like then you're

451
00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,759
then then you're screwed. So the money line does have

452
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:46,240
its advantages. I would concur with Ross there. Let's hit

453
00:23:46,279 --> 00:23:50,799
some more comments here. Most needles they are yes, thank you, Dan,

454
00:23:51,079 --> 00:23:53,839
thank you, Okay, wonderful head of hair today.

455
00:23:53,839 --> 00:23:54,839
Speaker 2: You got going, by the way.

456
00:23:55,000 --> 00:24:01,440
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about Clemson and thank you absolutely absolutely.

457
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:04,160
Clemson at SMU is down to minus four and a half.

458
00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:06,279
I've got no man's land too far, it will look

459
00:24:06,599 --> 00:24:08,759
it's hard for me to comment on this game because

460
00:24:09,039 --> 00:24:11,759
right before we went live, Look, the news are starting

461
00:24:11,759 --> 00:24:13,559
to trickle out cade Clubnik.

462
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:15,039
Speaker 2: We do not know his status.

463
00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:16,759
Speaker 1: I don't like betting on games where I don't know

464
00:24:16,799 --> 00:24:18,799
the status and the starting quarterback called me old fashion.

465
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:21,319
It's just it's tough to do, I'll say. And here's

466
00:24:21,319 --> 00:24:23,079
the other part of the equation. I don't like this

467
00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:26,319
SMU team, they covered for the first time ross last

468
00:24:26,319 --> 00:24:28,119
week all year. They were one of the last teams

469
00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:33,200
to get a Penn State the that disaster. Penn State

470
00:24:33,279 --> 00:24:35,079
is the only team now left in the country that

471
00:24:35,079 --> 00:24:37,319
has not covered a single point spread this year. So

472
00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:39,440
I don't like the SMU side, and I don't want

473
00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:42,640
to bet Clemson not knowing the status of Clubnik. Other

474
00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:44,759
than that, I'm sure it's a fine game to bet,

475
00:24:44,799 --> 00:24:46,240
So I'm that's a stay away game for me. I

476
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:48,240
don't know if anyone, either of you guys have anything

477
00:24:48,279 --> 00:24:48,960
to add about that.

478
00:24:49,039 --> 00:24:50,160
Speaker 2: Acc Bass.

479
00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:53,400
Speaker 5: I liked Clemson Clubnick. I thought he was going to play.

480
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:55,160
Speaker 6: He was on my list and he still is on

481
00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:57,319
my list if I found out he practiced. So that's

482
00:24:57,359 --> 00:24:59,759
all I You know, I talk a lot about averages

483
00:24:59,799 --> 00:25:02,039
and teams do because with strength of schedule it doesn't

484
00:25:02,039 --> 00:25:02,559
really matter.

485
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:04,720
Speaker 5: But you look at you look at teams.

486
00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:08,759
Speaker 6: SMU is number eighty five on offense compared to what

487
00:25:08,799 --> 00:25:12,720
their other opponents gave up, and they're one hundred on defense.

488
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:16,000
Clemson is forty seven and thirty one. Those are massive edges.

489
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:20,240
And while we can't get too excited because Clemson is

490
00:25:20,279 --> 00:25:22,799
off back to back huge wins, winning seventy nine to

491
00:25:22,839 --> 00:25:26,440
twenty combined. Remember that is at North Carolina and at

492
00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:29,160
Boston College, two of the weakest teams in the ACC

493
00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:32,079
this year. But I still do like them. You know,

494
00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:34,640
you look at you look at SMU. They went on

495
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:37,759
the road to TCU, got out game by one hundred

496
00:25:37,759 --> 00:25:39,799
and thirty three yards. They won at Missouri State, but

497
00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:42,599
that was Missouri State's you know, welcome to the FBS

498
00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:47,119
type game. So not concerned about that like Clemson. But Brian,

499
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:50,960
you said you don't like betting on teams that you

500
00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:54,240
don't know the quarterback. That's just being smart. There's nothing

501
00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:56,480
I mean that is nobody. None of us are ever

502
00:25:56,519 --> 00:25:58,440
going to bet a game where we know the status

503
00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:00,279
of a quarterback. You know, maybe if it's for the

504
00:26:00,319 --> 00:26:02,880
opposition and we don't care which quarterback plays, but you're

505
00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:04,680
certainly not going to back a team without knowing that.

506
00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:08,799
Especially with the difference between Klubniak and the zine, I

507
00:26:08,839 --> 00:26:12,000
think is the guy behind him, you know, so Fasina goes,

508
00:26:12,200 --> 00:26:13,960
You've got no experience at all.

509
00:26:14,079 --> 00:26:16,920
Speaker 5: So I like it if club Nick is playing and healthy.

510
00:26:17,000 --> 00:26:19,039
Speaker 6: So if he practices today and we get a report

511
00:26:19,079 --> 00:26:23,119
tonight that he was fine and he's good tomorrow morning.

512
00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:24,480
Speaker 5: I still might be on Clemson.

513
00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:26,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll say it could be like bottom of the

514
00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:29,240
market time on clubs, and obviously everyone knows, you know,

515
00:26:29,279 --> 00:26:31,720
what a just disappointing start they got off to the season.

516
00:26:31,759 --> 00:26:33,640
Speaker 2: But I think there's room to improve different.

517
00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:37,720
Speaker 1: I think, you know, if you really wanted to famous club,

518
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:39,319
that time may have passed.

519
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:39,880
Speaker 4: Guys, we're going to.

520
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:42,160
Speaker 1: Talk about some of the biggest games here still to

521
00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:47,200
come Tennessee, Alabama, Texas here from the state USC Order Dame.

522
00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:48,400
Speaker 2: But we are going to talk.

523
00:26:48,480 --> 00:26:50,119
Speaker 1: Now take a little bit of time to tell you

524
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:52,759
what we've got going on on our respective ages over

525
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:54,000
at wager.

526
00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:55,359
Speaker 2: Talk dot com.

527
00:26:55,759 --> 00:26:57,519
Speaker 1: I can let you guys know I have now won

528
00:26:57,640 --> 00:27:00,720
eight of the last nine days overall, a sixty seven

529
00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:03,680
percent all sports run. It does not get much easier

530
00:27:03,759 --> 00:27:05,720
than the play we had last night in Major League

531
00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:13,680
Baseball the over seven in Toronto Seattle week now there

532
00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:15,640
watching this live, No, I do have a four percent

533
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best bet in MLB tonight that you're gonna want to

534
00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:24,920
get only nine and at recent one week in the

535
00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:28,279
NFL last week as well, I have a four percent

536
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best bet on my page, plus an additional play and

537
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:33,599
get for just twenty nine dollars. But of course, uh

538
00:27:34,079 --> 00:27:37,200
ross that Weekend Warrior Pass we've been talking about each week.

539
00:27:37,279 --> 00:27:38,039
Speaker 2: It's such a way to go.

540
00:27:38,039 --> 00:27:40,599
Speaker 1: So you can get all my Saturday college football, Sunday

541
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:42,559
NFL and I'm gonna have a big one I think

542
00:27:42,599 --> 00:27:44,240
on Monday night. So you get all that for forty

543
00:27:44,319 --> 00:27:47,680
nine dollars WT dot buzz slash b p ross.

544
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Speaker 2: What do you got going?

545
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:49,359
Speaker 4: Yeah?

546
00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:53,160
Speaker 3: At forty nine dollars, Weekend Warrior Pass is not only

547
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:56,240
a good deal, it's an absolute steal. And if you

548
00:27:56,319 --> 00:27:59,319
think about this, folks, you're getting all my college football

549
00:27:59,359 --> 00:28:03,319
picks on Saturday, NFL, Sunday and Monday. And don't forget

550
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:07,319
there's two Monday night games in the NFL. So why

551
00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:11,240
should you entertain buying that for me? Well, I'm glad

552
00:28:11,279 --> 00:28:14,599
you asked, folks, because I'll tell you why. I'm started

553
00:28:14,599 --> 00:28:18,079
the college football season nineteen and ten, picking up right

554
00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:20,720
where I left off a season ago, when I finished

555
00:28:21,079 --> 00:28:24,839
number one and units earned, and also number one and

556
00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:28,440
win percent. Since it started a twenty twenty three season,

557
00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:33,599
I am number one in units earned in college football

558
00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:38,480
and I'm on a current college football winning runs of

559
00:28:38,759 --> 00:28:42,440
seventy nine and forty five, which is sixty four percent

560
00:28:43,079 --> 00:28:47,079
and one forty five and ninety five sixty percent and

561
00:28:47,279 --> 00:28:50,559
up one hundred and twelve units in college football since

562
00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:54,920
September ninth of twenty twenty three, NFL eight and four

563
00:28:55,039 --> 00:28:59,799
since Week three College football and NFL combined twenty five

564
00:28:59,839 --> 00:29:04,960
and thirteen sixty six percent since September eleventh, Folks, doesn't

565
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:07,759
get much better than that. And you can get everything

566
00:29:07,799 --> 00:29:11,079
I put out in those two sports, college football, in

567
00:29:11,119 --> 00:29:14,920
the NFL on Saturday, Sunday and Monday, including five percent

568
00:29:15,039 --> 00:29:17,480
best bets forty nine bucks.

569
00:29:17,519 --> 00:29:18,559
Speaker 5: What are you waiting for?

570
00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:20,799
Speaker 4: It's an absolute steal.

571
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:24,359
Speaker 1: All right, there you go it is. I would concur Ralph.

572
00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:26,720
It's available for you as well. What do you got

573
00:29:26,759 --> 00:29:27,799
at going on this weekend?

574
00:29:27,799 --> 00:29:28,000
Speaker 4: Here?

575
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:29,160
Speaker 5: Now?

576
00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:31,480
Speaker 6: Listening to these records, we sound like we know what

577
00:29:31,519 --> 00:29:35,519
we're talking about. Nice nice job, guys. You know I

578
00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:37,799
keep having to say that I'm number two in college

579
00:29:37,799 --> 00:29:40,319
football since the last of since the start of last year,

580
00:29:40,359 --> 00:29:43,279
because damn ross, Benjamin is ahead of me, so I'll

581
00:29:43,359 --> 00:29:46,240
keep trying to chase him. Overall run forty three and

582
00:29:46,319 --> 00:29:50,240
twenty five sixty three percent college football thirty one and

583
00:29:50,359 --> 00:29:55,000
fifteen sixty seven percent college football sides four percent higher

584
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:59,240
ten to one ninety one percent. I will have an

585
00:29:59,359 --> 00:30:02,680
NFL five five percent this week, my NFL five percent

586
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:06,799
seven to one eighty eight percent Number one at wait.

587
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:08,440
Speaker 5: To Talk the last calendar.

588
00:30:08,039 --> 00:30:12,200
Speaker 6: Year in football five percents going eighteen and five seventy

589
00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:16,359
eight percent, and my NFL teasers rated four percent higher

590
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seventeen and three eighty five percent. Weekend Warrior, get you

591
00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:26,319
all of Saturday's college football, all of Sunday's NFL, including

592
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my thirty five dollars five percent play, and if I

593
00:30:29,359 --> 00:30:31,039
have a Monday night play, you'll get it as well.

594
00:30:31,960 --> 00:30:36,960
Get Ross, Brian Me or any Wager Talk handicapper on

595
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the Weekend Warrior. Just forty nine dollars, and remember this

596
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is the week to try out the gold Sheet newsletter,

597
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598
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on every game. Normally nineteen dollars a week, save ten dollars,

599
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pay only nine dollars with the code GS ten available.

600
00:30:57,000 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 5: Now.

601
00:30:58,119 --> 00:31:03,759
Speaker 1: All right, Jay Buff, Jacob Marion, we see all your

602
00:31:03,799 --> 00:31:05,400
comments in the chat. We will get to them. But

603
00:31:05,480 --> 00:31:06,920
we have to get to our run to lots of

604
00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:09,799
comments today, love to see that. Don't forget, by the way,

605
00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:13,240
while you're commenting, smash that like button and don't forget

606
00:31:13,359 --> 00:31:16,680
hit subscribe as well. We appreciate your support here on

607
00:31:16,759 --> 00:31:18,400
the way you're talking YouTube, Chanel. Let's get to the

608
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:21,480
one of the big ones, though, guys, Alabama hosting Tennessee.

609
00:31:21,559 --> 00:31:25,440
My Alabama, what a schedule they have been facing ross

610
00:31:25,880 --> 00:31:28,680
every week. It feels like they're dealing with the ranked team.

611
00:31:28,839 --> 00:31:32,880
I mentioned earlier in the show that I think George

612
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:33,960
is not losing Ole Miss.

613
00:31:34,039 --> 00:31:37,559
Speaker 2: I don't think Alabama's losing to Tennessee. It's kind of square.

614
00:31:37,599 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 1: One of our commenters said, you know, Ole Miss kind

615
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:42,359
of feels like a square dog actually, so that they

616
00:31:42,400 --> 00:31:44,519
didn't think the idea of a moneyline parlay here with

617
00:31:44,599 --> 00:31:46,519
Alabama and Georgia just seemed all that square. Well, what

618
00:31:46,519 --> 00:31:49,720
do you think here, Alabama? It's very similar to Georgia

619
00:31:50,039 --> 00:31:53,240
at home playing with revenge. They lost to Tennessee. They've

620
00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:56,160
got revenge here in Tusco. So they played so many

621
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,839
tough games in a row of Obama. Can they at

622
00:31:58,880 --> 00:31:59,359
least get the.

623
00:31:59,279 --> 00:32:03,000
Speaker 2: Straight up way? And they cover against the volunteers down

624
00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:03,440
in Tea Top.

625
00:32:04,559 --> 00:32:07,079
Speaker 4: I think they covered this game, and I think they do.

626
00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:11,519
Speaker 3: They win this game by fourteen points to seventeen points,

627
00:32:11,519 --> 00:32:14,640
somewhere in that area. You know, Ralph talks about strength

628
00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:17,359
to schedule, and Brian, you brought it up as Alabama

629
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:19,799
seems like they're playing a ranked team every week. And

630
00:32:19,839 --> 00:32:24,440
since that opening loss at South Florida, it doesn't look

631
00:32:25,279 --> 00:32:29,759
as bad now as it did then or the Alabama

632
00:32:29,799 --> 00:32:34,119
who's the opening Florida great, I'm sorry. Since then, they've

633
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:39,319
been vastly improved and the quarterback play has been outstanding.

634
00:32:40,839 --> 00:32:45,240
Tennessee has been a disappointment to me when it comes

635
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:48,440
to defense. They were brought a ton of players back

636
00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:51,640
from a defense to perform very well last year, guys,

637
00:32:52,119 --> 00:32:56,039
but they're not playing like that defense this year and

638
00:32:56,079 --> 00:32:59,079
that shapes up as problematic on the road against an

639
00:32:59,119 --> 00:33:04,240
Alabama team that's really firing on all cylinders offensively and

640
00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:08,960
defensively as well. Alabama showed your class last week going

641
00:33:09,079 --> 00:33:13,240
on the road against Missouri and winning that game twenty

642
00:33:13,319 --> 00:33:17,000
seven to twenty four. So this is a team that's

643
00:33:17,079 --> 00:33:22,519
battle tested, and I think this game is certainly is

644
00:33:22,559 --> 00:33:26,200
not one. They're going to take lightly against the opposition

645
00:33:26,279 --> 00:33:29,720
they're facing, and like Brian said, with a revenge factor.

646
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:33,599
I like Alabama here, lady eight and a half over Tennessee.

647
00:33:35,119 --> 00:33:36,720
Speaker 2: Ralph, Tennessee was a little fortunate.

648
00:33:36,759 --> 00:33:40,079
Speaker 1: I thought last week only beat Arkansas by three and

649
00:33:40,119 --> 00:33:43,000
that was what they plus three turnover margin as well.

650
00:33:43,039 --> 00:33:46,839
That was, of course the Hog's first game under Bobby Petrino.

651
00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:52,359
He is non controversial, Bobby Patrino. But what do we

652
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:55,480
think here? You want to make it three straight? You're

653
00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:58,759
three for three, I should say with Alabama.

654
00:33:58,359 --> 00:34:01,640
Speaker 6: Oh the done deal guy. You know I'm in the

655
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:04,519
Mark Lawrence Wiseguy contest. And I used Alabama as my

656
00:34:04,559 --> 00:34:06,240
single play. You send in a play every week, a

657
00:34:06,319 --> 00:34:08,360
double in a single. So on Tuesday it was one

658
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:10,519
of my top plays. It's still one of my top plays.

659
00:34:10,679 --> 00:34:12,960
It's not officially on my card yet, but I have

660
00:34:13,039 --> 00:34:16,000
Alabama as my number two Power rated team in the country.

661
00:34:16,360 --> 00:34:19,000
When you look at the averages, their offense is playing

662
00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:22,079
to the number nine team in the country, averaging more

663
00:34:22,119 --> 00:34:25,920
than their opponents allow. Their defense is number five. When

664
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:29,679
we look at Tennessee, Tennessee is number twenty on offense

665
00:34:29,719 --> 00:34:32,800
and ross you are right. They're number seventy five on defense,

666
00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:39,519
and that means they're giving up They're giving up almost

667
00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:43,199
what opponent's average, despite being a big favorite in those games.

668
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:46,519
So you know, Alabama the number two schedule, Tennessee the

669
00:34:46,559 --> 00:34:51,440
forty six schedule. And even though Alabama has played forty

670
00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:55,800
spots better than Tennessee, they are rated higher in yards

671
00:34:55,800 --> 00:34:59,000
per game diff Tennessee with the number forty six schedules

672
00:34:59,000 --> 00:35:02,079
plus one hundred thirty four yards per game. Alabama with

673
00:35:02,079 --> 00:35:04,760
the number two schedule is plus one hundred and thirty

674
00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:07,360
eight yards per game, basically even, but again a forty

675
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:10,039
four spot difference in the strength of schedule. And how

676
00:35:10,079 --> 00:35:13,920
about this. You want to talk about one defense being

677
00:35:14,000 --> 00:35:18,960
fresh and one defense perhaps getting worn out. Tennessee's defense

678
00:35:19,039 --> 00:35:21,719
has been on the field for seventy seven point two

679
00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:25,239
plays per game. That is number one hundred and thirty five.

680
00:35:25,599 --> 00:35:29,400
Only one team has seen their defense play more plays.

681
00:35:30,039 --> 00:35:34,280
Alabama's defense has been on the field fifty four point

682
00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:37,360
three plays per game. That's number three. So think about that.

683
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:41,840
That is twenty three plays per game more. And we're

684
00:35:41,880 --> 00:35:44,840
six games into the season. The Tennessee defense has played

685
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:47,960
over one hundred snaps more than the Crimson Tide.

686
00:35:48,960 --> 00:35:52,199
Speaker 1: All right, sounds like we're all saying roll damn tied

687
00:35:52,480 --> 00:35:55,360
in this one. Jacob Hefterer had a question. She has

688
00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:59,639
a system play, Jacob says. He says, Virginia minus seventeen

689
00:35:59,639 --> 00:36:01,880
and a half is a system play for me. Wazoo

690
00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:04,079
has covered the last two games they played, both on

691
00:36:04,119 --> 00:36:06,519
the road, and now this is a third game.

692
00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:07,679
Speaker 2: In a row for Wazoo.

693
00:36:07,679 --> 00:36:11,199
Speaker 1: Of course, Wazoo Conference lists still this year, so they

694
00:36:11,519 --> 00:36:14,440
kind of take what they can get. Jacob likes to

695
00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:17,480
wants to lay the wood with Virginia. I agree with

696
00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:17,880
what you're saying.

697
00:36:18,239 --> 00:36:18,800
Speaker 2: Here's my problem.

698
00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:21,320
Speaker 1: I think Virginia's very overrated. I think they've been very

699
00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:23,239
I have a good friend, Derek Kidd, if he's watching,

700
00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:26,559
who is a big Virginia fan. Hurts me to say this,

701
00:36:26,639 --> 00:36:28,679
but I think Virginia is a tad bit overrated. I

702
00:36:28,719 --> 00:36:31,920
don't know, so I'm gonna stay away from that game. Obviously,

703
00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:34,480
Wazoo left it all on the field ross last week

704
00:36:34,559 --> 00:36:38,719
in that near upset of Ole Miss, so I don't

705
00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:40,039
want to back down, but I don't want to lay

706
00:36:40,039 --> 00:36:42,320
seventeen and a half with this Virginia team, which in

707
00:36:42,360 --> 00:36:45,400
my opinion, has really overachieved in twenty twenty five.

708
00:36:46,079 --> 00:36:49,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, that might be the case, but if Virginia had

709
00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:53,400
any chance of taking this game lightly, it was all

710
00:36:53,440 --> 00:36:57,760
diminished after watching the tape of Washington State last week

711
00:36:58,079 --> 00:37:01,559
in their near upset of Miss is a thirty two and.

712
00:37:01,559 --> 00:37:02,440
Speaker 4: A half point dog.

713
00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:05,840
Speaker 3: You're right, Brian, I think there's a lot better In

714
00:37:05,880 --> 00:37:08,800
my opinion, you're right, Brian, I think there's much better

715
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:11,599
value on the board than to mess with this game.

716
00:37:12,199 --> 00:37:15,880
Speaker 4: But I do agree with the viewer that if you

717
00:37:16,000 --> 00:37:19,199
put that proverbial gun to my head, I would lean

718
00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:25,000
toward Virginia here only because you'd be hard pressed to

719
00:37:25,039 --> 00:37:28,079
think that Virginia is not going to be ready to

720
00:37:28,119 --> 00:37:31,840
play this week. And you know, coming off that emotional

721
00:37:31,960 --> 00:37:36,280
loss last week, that near miss is a huge underdog. Yeah,

722
00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:39,440
it could work from a confidence standpoint in Washington State

723
00:37:39,519 --> 00:37:41,760
says well, I could play with anybody, but it also

724
00:37:41,880 --> 00:37:45,119
can go the other way, Ralph, where it's an emotional

725
00:37:45,199 --> 00:37:47,800
letdown as well. So I'm going to stay away from

726
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:48,880
this contest.

727
00:37:50,119 --> 00:37:52,400
Speaker 2: Ralph, did you have anything on that one? If not,

728
00:37:52,519 --> 00:37:54,400
we can talk. We've got some other God, we have

729
00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:55,800
a lot of comments coming. I'd love to see that.

730
00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:58,679
Speaker 6: Yeah, I do like Virginia. I always with their win.

731
00:37:58,760 --> 00:38:00,519
You know, Yes, they were all game one hundred and

732
00:38:00,519 --> 00:38:02,719
forty six yards. Last week, they were plus two turnovers

733
00:38:02,760 --> 00:38:04,679
and they still win that game thirty to twenty seven.

734
00:38:05,199 --> 00:38:07,519
In their four previous games, they rushed for at least

735
00:38:07,559 --> 00:38:10,760
two hundred and ten yards per game and rushed for

736
00:38:11,119 --> 00:38:14,679
about five point eight yards per carry. Last week, Louisville

737
00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:17,119
did slow down their run game eighty eight yards only

738
00:38:17,119 --> 00:38:18,519
two point eight yards per carry.

739
00:38:18,840 --> 00:38:21,480
Speaker 5: But you look at Washington State.

740
00:38:21,960 --> 00:38:24,400
Speaker 6: You know, on the season they're allowing one hundred and

741
00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:28,679
fifty six yards per game, but that includes an FSCs team,

742
00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:31,079
so those numbers are even worse. But it's more the

743
00:38:31,119 --> 00:38:36,480
scheduling spot. Washington State hosted San Diego State. They get

744
00:38:36,519 --> 00:38:39,159
a win, they go down to Denton, Texas, play at

745
00:38:39,199 --> 00:38:42,400
North Texas, come home for the Apple Bowl, travel to

746
00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:46,000
Colorado State in altitude, come back home, travel to the

747
00:38:46,039 --> 00:38:49,280
Deep South to Mississippi, play well, come back home. Now

748
00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:52,400
traveled to East coast for Virginia. Maybe they stayed there.

749
00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:54,960
Some NFL teams don't travel back and forth. I did

750
00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:56,880
not read that because this game was not in my mix.

751
00:38:57,199 --> 00:38:59,079
But I had a couple of checks next to Virginia

752
00:38:59,119 --> 00:38:59,960
in my sheet.

753
00:39:00,039 --> 00:39:02,079
Speaker 2: Y all right, there you go.

754
00:39:02,639 --> 00:39:05,480
Speaker 1: Adam also wants so can anyone talk me off yukon

755
00:39:05,639 --> 00:39:06,239
beating BC?

756
00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:06,920
Speaker 5: Outright?

757
00:39:07,639 --> 00:39:10,159
Speaker 1: BC is going in the wrong direction. I will say

758
00:39:10,199 --> 00:39:13,960
they've the rest of they've played a tougher schedule, but

759
00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:15,800
other than that, I don't know. Let's say it's tough

760
00:39:15,800 --> 00:39:18,880
to back a team like BC. Obviously that's lost five

761
00:39:19,199 --> 00:39:20,000
in a row.

762
00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:22,960
Speaker 2: Jay, let's talk about Friday games.

763
00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:25,639
Speaker 1: There's a big Friday slate here, Jay, buff You've waited

764
00:39:25,679 --> 00:39:28,239
long enough, friend of mine, He says, no shirt comments

765
00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:28,639
this week.

766
00:39:28,639 --> 00:39:30,280
Speaker 2: You can go back and watch the last week's show

767
00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:32,199
if you like that. I liked my shirt last week.

768
00:39:32,199 --> 00:39:33,280
I don't care what anybody says.

769
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:36,159
Speaker 1: But he wants to know, is there any opinion on

770
00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:38,719
Utah State tomorrow night?

771
00:39:38,960 --> 00:39:39,679
Speaker 2: Really like him?

772
00:39:39,719 --> 00:39:45,719
Speaker 1: Am I crazy also says, welcome back, Ross, here's the

773
00:39:45,760 --> 00:39:46,239
Utah State.

774
00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:48,039
Speaker 2: Last week was the first week they did not cover.

775
00:39:48,280 --> 00:39:50,960
Speaker 1: They went out to the island of Hawaii and came

776
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:55,079
back with an l. Santo's a state for those that

777
00:39:55,079 --> 00:39:57,039
follow them out and west, you already know this sane

778
00:39:57,159 --> 00:39:59,719
States has been a very disappointing team. That is who

779
00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:04,440
is plate Utah State tomorrow night. So I'm not gonna

780
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:06,559
talk to you how to Utah State, I guess, but

781
00:40:07,239 --> 00:40:11,039
I don't know. Returning returning to the mainland, as they say,

782
00:40:11,519 --> 00:40:14,840
ross that can travel maybe a factor, maybe not.

783
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:15,320
Speaker 2: I don't know.

784
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:19,519
Speaker 3: Yeah, again, this is a game that I'm going to

785
00:40:19,599 --> 00:40:20,559
stay away from.

786
00:40:21,039 --> 00:40:22,159
Speaker 4: And you're right, Brian.

787
00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:26,719
Speaker 3: San Jose State has been an extreme disappointment after coming

788
00:40:26,719 --> 00:40:29,000
off the momentum of the success.

789
00:40:28,559 --> 00:40:29,719
Speaker 4: They had last year.

790
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:34,159
Speaker 3: In Utah State coming off of loss might be a

791
00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:39,119
dangerous team at home in this spot. So wya would

792
00:40:39,119 --> 00:40:42,400
hesitate with Utah State is exactly what Brian just said,

793
00:40:42,679 --> 00:40:46,079
coming off a game at Hawaii, coming back to their

794
00:40:46,079 --> 00:40:48,920
mainland and then having one less stay arrest and they're

795
00:40:49,039 --> 00:40:53,039
used to. So I'm gonna stay away. This is a

796
00:40:53,159 --> 00:40:56,239
very difficult game for me to handicap, and I just

797
00:40:56,280 --> 00:41:00,400
think there's much better value even on Friday's card than

798
00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:01,400
this game itself.

799
00:41:02,559 --> 00:41:04,800
Speaker 1: A lot of questions coming in about the Mountain West

800
00:41:05,079 --> 00:41:07,920
Ralph as well on not just San Jose State Utah State.

801
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:08,679
Speaker 2: But if you look.

802
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:13,320
Speaker 1: Towards Saturday, there's an interesting game with UNLV and Boise State,

803
00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:16,760
the undefeated UNLV running Rebels. I believe Ross, you and

804
00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:20,400
a this line makes no sense segment on Wager talked

805
00:41:20,440 --> 00:41:22,840
today earlier in the week with Andy laying because the

806
00:41:22,840 --> 00:41:25,920
Rebels unbeat but they're double digit dogs on the blue turf.

807
00:41:25,960 --> 00:41:27,440
Speaker 2: So I know you've talked about that one.

808
00:41:27,599 --> 00:41:27,800
Speaker 4: Ross.

809
00:41:27,800 --> 00:41:30,199
Speaker 1: People are checking out, Ralph. What do you think people?

810
00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:34,320
My thoughts on UNLV are well documented. This team is

811
00:41:34,480 --> 00:41:38,480
just unbelievable. They are living the charmed life. They were

812
00:41:38,480 --> 00:41:41,119
down for what fourteen air Force last week. They come

813
00:41:41,159 --> 00:41:43,079
back and win. More on air Force later in this

814
00:41:43,119 --> 00:41:44,760
program in my best bet. By the way, I stay

815
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:47,519
tuned for our best bets at the end of the show. So, uh,

816
00:41:47,760 --> 00:41:49,519
you know, if you wanted to add anything that Utah

817
00:41:49,519 --> 00:41:50,679
State San Jose State.

818
00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:52,559
Speaker 2: Discussion, Ralph, you could other than that, Let's go to

819
00:41:52,639 --> 00:41:53,599
UNLV Boise.

820
00:42:01,079 --> 00:42:09,519
Speaker 7: Ralph, your MIC's turned off, buddy, still nothing. You've never

821
00:42:09,559 --> 00:42:17,760
sounded better, to be fair, Ralph, Yeah, we go.

822
00:42:19,440 --> 00:42:22,079
Speaker 6: And I have guests staying here, so I keep having

823
00:42:22,119 --> 00:42:24,360
to try. And so if you hear noise in the background,

824
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:28,199
blame my friends from Cleveland. That's that's them. So always

825
00:42:28,199 --> 00:42:29,400
blame people from Cleveland.

826
00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:30,119
Speaker 2: I'll tell you that.

827
00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:34,079
Speaker 6: Those those people that live in Cleveland now are just

828
00:42:34,159 --> 00:42:40,079
freaking troublemakers. Yes, I think UNLV is a very fake team.

829
00:42:40,119 --> 00:42:42,480
Their offense is exciting, but their defense is not going

830
00:42:42,519 --> 00:42:45,320
to stop anyone. If you allow six hundred and three

831
00:42:45,400 --> 00:42:47,599
yards to air Force and you win the game.

832
00:42:48,000 --> 00:42:48,760
Speaker 5: I had air.

833
00:42:48,599 --> 00:42:50,840
Speaker 6: Force last week plus the six and a half, and

834
00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:53,880
all I'm saying is, please don't go to overtime.

835
00:42:53,960 --> 00:42:55,840
Speaker 5: Please don't go to overtime, you.

836
00:42:55,800 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 6: Know, because UNLV couldn't be stopped in and UNLV could

837
00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:01,760
snot stop anyone. Obviously, you have to look at the

838
00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:04,159
over in that kind of case. But you know, I

839
00:43:04,199 --> 00:43:08,800
think I think the Boise team is worthy. I think

840
00:43:09,400 --> 00:43:12,960
they are going to shut down the UNLZ offense. And

841
00:43:13,039 --> 00:43:16,159
while I said their offense is good, and they scored

842
00:43:16,199 --> 00:43:19,400
thirty against UCLA and they scored thirty one against Wyoming,

843
00:43:19,960 --> 00:43:22,440
both of those games they were plus two turnovers. They

844
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:24,760
only had three hundred and fifty one yards against UCLA

845
00:43:25,039 --> 00:43:27,519
and they only had two hundred and fifty five yards

846
00:43:27,559 --> 00:43:30,360
at Wyoming. So I cannot trust him to go on

847
00:43:30,400 --> 00:43:32,159
the road in this situation.

848
00:43:32,400 --> 00:43:33,760
Speaker 5: I like Boising.

849
00:43:34,119 --> 00:43:36,159
Speaker 1: Okay, I would concurt The only way I could play

850
00:43:36,159 --> 00:43:37,519
this game is Boise State UNLD.

851
00:43:37,920 --> 00:43:38,599
Speaker 2: They can't keep to.

852
00:43:38,679 --> 00:43:41,119
Speaker 1: They cannot keep getting away with it. All right, we

853
00:43:41,159 --> 00:43:42,719
have a rundown to get back to you guys. Keep

854
00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,559
those comments coming in though. We will try to go

855
00:43:45,679 --> 00:43:48,320
speed round, perhaps at the end before our best bets.

856
00:43:48,320 --> 00:43:52,519
But talk about games where there's question marks at quarterback ross.

857
00:43:52,559 --> 00:43:56,039
We talked about the Clemson situation earlier. Texas Tech and

858
00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:58,480
Arizona State big one.

859
00:43:58,440 --> 00:44:02,599
Speaker 2: In the Big twelve. Texas Tech kind of looks to

860
00:44:02,599 --> 00:44:04,559
be head and shoulders above the rest of this conference.

861
00:44:04,599 --> 00:44:07,320
But Morton is he one hundred percent? We don't know.

862
00:44:07,639 --> 00:44:10,280
Speaker 1: And then meanwhile Arizona State, it looks like they're getting

863
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:14,239
healthier at that position. I threw again. They're talking about

864
00:44:14,239 --> 00:44:17,880
the money line parlay option. I threw Utah, who played

865
00:44:17,880 --> 00:44:20,639
Arizona State last week in a money line parlay, And

866
00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:22,440
I did need to throw a bit of moneylight parlay

867
00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:25,400
because Utah really laid it to Arizona State. It didn't

868
00:44:25,440 --> 00:44:28,519
matter what number you got there. Utah covered all of them.

869
00:44:28,760 --> 00:44:30,840
But Levitt could be back for the Sun Devils. This

870
00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:32,599
is a team that obviously was in the College Football

871
00:44:32,599 --> 00:44:35,280
Playoff last year, get more than a touchdown at home

872
00:44:35,320 --> 00:44:37,840
against the team that everyone thinks is going to win

873
00:44:38,719 --> 00:44:41,400
the Big Twelve this year, Texas Tech at Arizona State.

874
00:44:41,559 --> 00:44:44,800
I'm starting to see support for the Sun Devils. And

875
00:44:44,840 --> 00:44:46,440
if you look at our odd screen right there in

876
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:50,199
front of you, you could see the support as this one.

877
00:44:50,280 --> 00:44:53,599
Speaker 2: This numbers trickled down to even seven at some shops.

878
00:44:53,639 --> 00:44:54,159
What do you think?

879
00:44:55,760 --> 00:44:59,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, if you watch some of my previews

880
00:44:59,079 --> 00:45:04,039
before the seasons started, I absolutely loved Arizona State at

881
00:45:04,039 --> 00:45:06,480
the odds they were getting to win the Big Twelve

882
00:45:06,679 --> 00:45:10,679
and even as a long shot national championship contender, with

883
00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:13,840
the opportunity to fade if they just even got into

884
00:45:13,840 --> 00:45:16,880
the player or excuse me to hedge, even if they

885
00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:20,320
got into the playoffs. But you know, Sam Levitt goes down.

886
00:45:20,639 --> 00:45:24,559
And without Sam Levitt, we saw what happened last week.

887
00:45:25,119 --> 00:45:29,599
He's the All conference quarterback as a freshman. Last year

888
00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:33,000
he won the Big Twelve and they got to the

889
00:45:33,239 --> 00:45:37,239
College Football Playoff and gave Texas all they can handle. Now,

890
00:45:37,599 --> 00:45:40,159
I wouldn't want to be certain he's going to be playing.

891
00:45:40,800 --> 00:45:45,280
And then also with Morton not finishing the game last week.

892
00:45:45,400 --> 00:45:49,360
That's never a good sign when a player never does

893
00:45:49,440 --> 00:45:50,480
not finish the game.

894
00:45:51,480 --> 00:45:55,440
Speaker 4: But you never know. And with the uncertainty at quarterback,

895
00:45:55,480 --> 00:45:58,559
and we talked about the Clemson game earlier with club Nick,

896
00:45:59,280 --> 00:46:02,840
I don't mess with games where I don't know the

897
00:46:02,880 --> 00:46:06,679
status of not only one quarterback, but both quarterbacks. In

898
00:46:06,719 --> 00:46:08,280
this situation, this.

899
00:46:08,199 --> 00:46:10,599
Speaker 3: Is almost a game you might want to wait till

900
00:46:10,679 --> 00:46:15,599
Saturday morning and get some clarification who's playing. But right now,

901
00:46:15,719 --> 00:46:19,320
when you look at the line move of Texas Tech

902
00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:22,280
opening at ten down to seven and a half and seven, Brian,

903
00:46:22,679 --> 00:46:26,400
that leads me to believe they like the chances of Levitt.

904
00:46:26,039 --> 00:46:28,320
Speaker 4: Playing how a lot better than they like the chances

905
00:46:28,360 --> 00:46:29,159
of Morton playing.

906
00:46:30,039 --> 00:46:32,840
Speaker 1: Yes, Ralph, I won't ask you to play doctor only

907
00:46:32,920 --> 00:46:35,280
Odds Baker here, what do you think of this line

908
00:46:35,320 --> 00:46:39,599
move here? With the quarterback uncertainty in Texas Tech Arizona State.

909
00:46:44,119 --> 00:46:46,039
Speaker 2: Mike Button, I'll get you, Ralph.

910
00:46:47,159 --> 00:46:51,239
Speaker 6: Let's let's see maybe maybe if I can one more

911
00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:52,920
time I screw up, then I get just get kicked

912
00:46:52,960 --> 00:46:54,639
off the show where I get put in the bed

913
00:46:54,800 --> 00:46:55,719
detention corner.

914
00:46:56,400 --> 00:46:57,960
Speaker 5: If we've kept Brian this long.

915
00:46:58,039 --> 00:46:58,559
Speaker 4: You're safe.

916
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:03,599
Speaker 1: You're safe, Ralph All, the voice of God has appeared

917
00:47:03,639 --> 00:47:04,239
on the screen.

918
00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:07,480
Speaker 3: Man. Those people in Ohio must be hou raizers rough

919
00:47:07,960 --> 00:47:10,239
for you to turn anyway.

920
00:47:10,559 --> 00:47:13,559
Speaker 6: You know, Brian, I like the Arizona state in the situation.

921
00:47:13,960 --> 00:47:16,159
And it goes back to the same thing that we

922
00:47:16,199 --> 00:47:16,639
talked about.

923
00:47:16,679 --> 00:47:17,159
Speaker 5: Missouri.

924
00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:21,880
Speaker 6: Texas's numbers are impressive as any we've seen. After seven games.

925
00:47:22,199 --> 00:47:25,039
Their yard per game diff is plus three hundred and

926
00:47:25,079 --> 00:47:27,559
one yards. That's three hundred yards more than their defense.

927
00:47:27,639 --> 00:47:30,400
Not the offense is averaging their yards per play diff

928
00:47:30,719 --> 00:47:34,840
three point four yards per play edge, their points per

929
00:47:34,880 --> 00:47:39,400
game diff Plus thirty five point three points per game.

930
00:47:39,880 --> 00:47:43,320
But they've played the number one hundred and fourteen schedule.

931
00:47:43,760 --> 00:47:46,840
I will say this, you know, at least they've been

932
00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:50,280
tested on the road, you know, handling Utah like they did.

933
00:47:50,440 --> 00:47:52,440
To me. That was probably the most impressive game I

934
00:47:52,480 --> 00:47:55,840
saw this year was Texas tech man handle Utah. So

935
00:47:55,880 --> 00:47:58,000
I do give them some credence that they can get

936
00:47:58,039 --> 00:48:00,480
there play well on the road. Then they all up

937
00:48:00,519 --> 00:48:03,719
with Houston where they again they manned handled Houston on

938
00:48:03,760 --> 00:48:05,400
the road in back to back weeks.

939
00:48:05,840 --> 00:48:08,400
Speaker 5: But in this situation, I like Arizona State.

940
00:48:08,480 --> 00:48:12,960
Speaker 6: I like Arizona State's defense, and you know, if if

941
00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:18,320
we know levit's healthy and you know, and the problem

942
00:48:18,400 --> 00:48:21,840
is this, the Morton injury has been factored in yet,

943
00:48:21,880 --> 00:48:24,320
so now if he comes back to play, it's going

944
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:26,639
to go back up. So I wouldn't bet it now

945
00:48:26,719 --> 00:48:29,280
because there's no advantage to betting it now. If you

946
00:48:29,400 --> 00:48:32,079
think you want to bet Texas Tech, I would bet

947
00:48:32,119 --> 00:48:34,719
that now. If you think you want Arizona State, I

948
00:48:34,719 --> 00:48:37,559
would clearly wait until the QB situation straightens up and.

949
00:48:37,480 --> 00:48:38,639
Speaker 5: Then the line stabilizes.

950
00:48:39,480 --> 00:48:42,559
Speaker 1: Okay, that is Texas Tech Arizona State. One more game

951
00:48:42,599 --> 00:48:43,920
in the rundown. To get to you guys, I know

952
00:48:44,039 --> 00:48:47,440
multiple people have asked about Washington and Michigan. We will

953
00:48:47,480 --> 00:48:49,079
get to that game, but we're going to talk about

954
00:48:49,239 --> 00:48:51,400
USC and Order Dame first.

955
00:48:51,400 --> 00:48:52,760
Speaker 2: These are two teams.

956
00:48:52,840 --> 00:48:56,039
Speaker 1: Boston I think are both better than their respective rankings.

957
00:48:56,039 --> 00:48:58,480
What do you do in a matchup like that when

958
00:48:58,480 --> 00:49:01,079
you've got two teams that you think are better than

959
00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:03,159
their perspective ratings.

960
00:49:04,679 --> 00:49:08,239
Speaker 3: Well, I could tell you what my initial thought was

961
00:49:08,280 --> 00:49:11,199
on the game, and I can't comment on what you

962
00:49:11,239 --> 00:49:14,480
just said because it depends on a situation at hand

963
00:49:14,880 --> 00:49:17,840
and also the points spread. So having said this, when

964
00:49:17,880 --> 00:49:21,400
I looked at this total, guys, when it first came

965
00:49:21,440 --> 00:49:26,280
out on Sunday, I said to myself, you know, this

966
00:49:26,360 --> 00:49:30,480
looks like a deadlock over to me. Both teams have

967
00:49:30,559 --> 00:49:36,280
been terrific offensively, USC, especially in Notre Dame. The improvement

968
00:49:36,320 --> 00:49:40,119
of CJ. Carr as the season has progressed is eye

969
00:49:40,119 --> 00:49:44,119
opening all of a sudden. Notre Dame is a dangerous

970
00:49:44,159 --> 00:49:47,320
team through the air. We all knew that they could

971
00:49:47,400 --> 00:49:50,199
run the ball effectively, but now they could throw the

972
00:49:50,239 --> 00:49:54,440
ball just as effectively, which makes them very dangerous offensively.

973
00:49:54,480 --> 00:49:59,119
And I think Notre Dame's defense, although they've looked very

974
00:49:59,119 --> 00:50:03,000
good over the last two weeks, when they step up

975
00:50:03,079 --> 00:50:06,559
and class this season, it looks they were a little

976
00:50:06,559 --> 00:50:10,639
bit vulnerable, and USC's defense is definitely vulnerable.

977
00:50:10,760 --> 00:50:12,840
Speaker 4: USC has just been outscoring people.

978
00:50:13,519 --> 00:50:17,320
Speaker 8: And the reason why I stood away from the over,

979
00:50:18,119 --> 00:50:21,960
and I'm very skeptical of using it at this point,

980
00:50:22,440 --> 00:50:25,800
is because the weather conditions the forecast is calling for

981
00:50:26,000 --> 00:50:30,159
rain throughout the game, and when I use it over,

982
00:50:31,079 --> 00:50:31,519
I like.

983
00:50:31,480 --> 00:50:34,599
Speaker 3: To have ideal situations when it comes to weather, you know,

984
00:50:35,239 --> 00:50:38,079
So I mean my initial thought was to go over

985
00:50:38,119 --> 00:50:42,000
to total and if any kind of weather improvement happens

986
00:50:42,039 --> 00:50:45,000
between now and Saturday, it still might be the way

987
00:50:45,039 --> 00:50:48,760
to go. But in terms of a side here, you

988
00:50:48,800 --> 00:50:51,199
know what, there should be a hell of an entertaining

989
00:50:51,239 --> 00:50:53,360
game to watch and I'm going to stay away from

990
00:50:53,360 --> 00:50:55,639
the side Ralph.

991
00:50:55,679 --> 00:50:59,079
Speaker 1: We talked about time zones, fly across multiple time zones earlier.

992
00:50:59,159 --> 00:51:03,000
USC has sruggled doing that in recent years, especially this

993
00:51:03,039 --> 00:51:05,360
is obviously not a Big ten game, but you.

994
00:51:05,360 --> 00:51:06,559
Speaker 2: Know they've had to do it more and more now

995
00:51:06,559 --> 00:51:07,760
that they've joined the Big ten.

996
00:51:08,280 --> 00:51:10,719
Speaker 1: USC also has some a cluster of injuries at the

997
00:51:10,800 --> 00:51:12,280
running backs, although that did.

998
00:51:12,119 --> 00:51:13,400
Speaker 2: Not matter last week a Fish.

999
00:51:13,840 --> 00:51:15,239
Speaker 1: They could have put any one of the three of

1000
00:51:15,320 --> 00:51:18,119
us in the backfield against Fischigan teams last week and

1001
00:51:18,239 --> 00:51:20,599
we would have broke one loose a big run because

1002
00:51:20,599 --> 00:51:23,599
they were just running all over at Wolverine's defense. What

1003
00:51:23,599 --> 00:51:27,000
do you think here? USC cluster of injuries was kind

1004
00:51:27,000 --> 00:51:28,239
of like the over a little bit.

1005
00:51:28,840 --> 00:51:30,679
Speaker 2: Uh. They struggle.

1006
00:51:30,800 --> 00:51:33,119
Speaker 1: They struggle in the central news and times go do

1007
00:51:33,199 --> 00:51:36,239
the Cojons and PJ Carr I cross it on.

1008
00:51:36,480 --> 00:51:37,760
Speaker 2: I've been playing a lot better.

1009
00:51:39,239 --> 00:51:41,000
Speaker 5: Yeah, shout out to both quarterbacks.

1010
00:51:41,079 --> 00:51:44,519
Speaker 6: I mean car on the season now sixteen hundred yards

1011
00:51:44,679 --> 00:51:47,840
at ten point three ypa at thirteen to three ratio.

1012
00:51:48,280 --> 00:51:53,280
But my AVA seventy two percent completion better to my

1013
00:51:53,360 --> 00:51:57,599
AVA ten point eight ypa better to my AVA tdda

1014
00:51:57,679 --> 00:51:59,400
interception radio thirteen.

1015
00:51:59,079 --> 00:52:00,719
Speaker 5: To two to my EVA.

1016
00:52:01,159 --> 00:52:04,239
Speaker 6: But the defense a whole different story. Notre Dame has

1017
00:52:04,280 --> 00:52:08,000
held each of the last three opponents to a season low. Well,

1018
00:52:09,039 --> 00:52:11,119
USC season low is four hundred and sixty yards, so

1019
00:52:11,159 --> 00:52:13,039
if they hold the USC to under four sixty to

1020
00:52:13,079 --> 00:52:16,000
have a fourth straight season low, I just you know,

1021
00:52:16,039 --> 00:52:17,760
when I broke down a game, I threw this one

1022
00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:20,440
out pretty early. Yes, an entertaining game. I don't mind

1023
00:52:20,480 --> 00:52:23,280
watching it, but the line is where it should be.

1024
00:52:24,079 --> 00:52:26,920
I just think I would if I had to flip

1025
00:52:26,920 --> 00:52:28,760
a coin and give you a lean, I would lean

1026
00:52:28,920 --> 00:52:32,360
USC because the back door is wide open. This offense

1027
00:52:32,440 --> 00:52:35,280
has averaged two hundred and two yards per game, more

1028
00:52:35,320 --> 00:52:38,719
than their opponents to LLAO, Notre Dame's allowing three hundred

1029
00:52:38,760 --> 00:52:40,599
and forty six yards, so if they get anywhere near

1030
00:52:40,639 --> 00:52:43,679
that five hundred mark, they're going to cover. So lean

1031
00:52:43,920 --> 00:52:45,599
USC for the back door for me.

1032
00:52:46,320 --> 00:52:49,840
Speaker 1: All right, USC, Their offense number one in yards per

1033
00:52:49,880 --> 00:52:55,480
play in the country. All right, best bets coming up, Ross,

1034
00:52:55,599 --> 00:52:57,880
Ralph and I will all share the play that we

1035
00:52:57,880 --> 00:52:59,960
would like to share with you. But before we do that,

1036
00:53:00,039 --> 00:53:02,159
we are going to just hit Washington Michigan real quick

1037
00:53:02,159 --> 00:53:04,920
because we have the commentators are demanding. We talked about this,

1038
00:53:06,079 --> 00:53:13,000
who likes the Huskies getting sticks? And then Sean similarly thinks, uh,

1039
00:53:13,239 --> 00:53:16,360
Michigan might not be as good and it's more the

1040
00:53:16,480 --> 00:53:17,559
name that's giving the credit.

1041
00:53:17,679 --> 00:53:18,039
Speaker 2: Very interesting.

1042
00:53:18,320 --> 00:53:20,360
Speaker 1: The Wolverines loss dropped all the way out of the

1043
00:53:20,440 --> 00:53:23,199
top twenty five with that afore mentioned lost USC.

1044
00:53:23,360 --> 00:53:25,039
Speaker 2: I did not think they look at USC was my

1045
00:53:25,119 --> 00:53:27,800
top all that? Well, what happened?

1046
00:53:27,920 --> 00:53:30,159
Speaker 1: I was my four persest thanks for ever who jumped

1047
00:53:30,159 --> 00:53:33,840
on as part of five pound Tuesday with that. So, yeah,

1048
00:53:34,000 --> 00:53:37,880
you know it's a new we talk about again, the

1049
00:53:37,920 --> 00:53:41,400
time zone difference. It's the new Eastern kick for Washington.

1050
00:53:41,440 --> 00:53:45,320
People think, okay, advantage Michigan. But I'm with our powers

1051
00:53:45,400 --> 00:53:48,840
parent think Michigan is good. Is it was originally fawn?

1052
00:53:50,559 --> 00:53:53,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this game has all the makings of

1053
00:53:53,320 --> 00:53:57,280
a snoozefest myself. I mean, yeah, Michigan gave up a

1054
00:53:57,320 --> 00:54:00,559
lot of yards and was torched by USC. But Washington

1055
00:54:00,679 --> 00:54:07,079
does not present the same difficulties offensively that the Michigan

1056
00:54:07,519 --> 00:54:11,360
defense will have to face, especially at home. And the

1057
00:54:11,440 --> 00:54:15,880
total right now, I'm seeing fifty and a half for fifty. Obviously,

1058
00:54:15,920 --> 00:54:18,199
if you like the under, you go fifty and a half.

1059
00:54:18,280 --> 00:54:21,679
I think this is a low scoring game. I think

1060
00:54:21,719 --> 00:54:25,280
it's a boring game. I think you'll see a few

1061
00:54:26,480 --> 00:54:31,199
sustained drives that end up being settled for field ball attempts.

1062
00:54:31,519 --> 00:54:32,840
Speaker 4: So I'd like the under here.

1063
00:54:32,920 --> 00:54:36,280
Speaker 3: I'm going to go Washington and Michigan under the total

1064
00:54:36,320 --> 00:54:37,199
of fifteen and a half.

1065
00:54:38,079 --> 00:54:42,920
Speaker 2: Okay, there you go and under in Washington Michigan. It

1066
00:54:43,000 --> 00:54:43,920
is now time.

1067
00:54:47,480 --> 00:54:52,559
Speaker 1: We go Wealth Ross and myself, Ralph. I'll let you

1068
00:54:52,599 --> 00:54:55,880
go first on this one, and you also get another

1069
00:54:55,920 --> 00:54:58,280
opportunity to tell the people what you've gotten going.

1070
00:54:58,000 --> 00:54:59,719
Speaker 2: On your page or at wager talk dot com.

1071
00:55:00,199 --> 00:55:02,239
Speaker 6: Well again, the Weekend Warrior, the only way to go.

1072
00:55:02,280 --> 00:55:05,079
I do have a five percent for Sunday in the NFL.

1073
00:55:05,119 --> 00:55:07,840
That's thirty five dollars, so over fourteen dollars more all

1074
00:55:07,880 --> 00:55:10,719
of my college football and Sunday's NFL.

1075
00:55:11,199 --> 00:55:12,559
Speaker 5: And remember, try.

1076
00:55:12,280 --> 00:55:15,679
Speaker 6: The goal if you never tried it, it's nine dollars. Guys,

1077
00:55:15,760 --> 00:55:19,079
you will be thankful that you did. The code GS

1078
00:55:19,360 --> 00:55:22,360
ten will save you ten dollars off the nineteen dollars

1079
00:55:22,480 --> 00:55:26,199
cost to pages nine dollars. I am going to go

1080
00:55:26,320 --> 00:55:30,920
to the Battle of Georgia, guys, and uh that is

1081
00:55:30,960 --> 00:55:33,639
the battle that everyone talks about in the Peach State.

1082
00:55:33,679 --> 00:55:36,599
That would be Georgia State and Georgia Southern. I look

1083
00:55:36,599 --> 00:55:42,679
at the teams and statistically the underdog is the better team.

1084
00:55:43,320 --> 00:55:43,559
Speaker 4: You know.

1085
00:55:43,840 --> 00:55:47,599
Speaker 6: You look at offense and defense. Georgia Southern on offense

1086
00:55:47,719 --> 00:55:51,119
ninety nine compared to the averages defense one thirty one

1087
00:55:51,519 --> 00:55:54,360
Georgia State ninety two and one oh seven. So not

1088
00:55:54,559 --> 00:55:58,119
huge differences, but differences. The problem is the offense. The

1089
00:55:58,199 --> 00:56:01,800
offense averaging only seventeen first downs per game, ninety yards

1090
00:56:01,840 --> 00:56:04,719
rushing three point five yards per carry. But this is

1091
00:56:04,760 --> 00:56:09,039
a Georgia Southern Eagles rush defense allowing two hundred and

1092
00:56:09,039 --> 00:56:13,440
fifty yards and six point zero yards per carry. The

1093
00:56:13,480 --> 00:56:16,880
two games Georgia State has top one hundred yards and

1094
00:56:16,920 --> 00:56:19,280
two games. One was against Mississippi, which was sort of

1095
00:56:19,320 --> 00:56:21,639
a shock in Week one. Their other was the win

1096
00:56:21,679 --> 00:56:24,599
against Murray State. Yes it was an FCSFO, but they

1097
00:56:24,639 --> 00:56:27,000
will get the run game going. I give them a

1098
00:56:27,000 --> 00:56:29,159
slight edge on defense, even though they gave up four

1099
00:56:29,280 --> 00:56:32,079
hundred and thirty five yards to app State last week

1100
00:56:32,880 --> 00:56:35,719
and a lot of yards passing. Georgia Southern does not

1101
00:56:35,800 --> 00:56:38,639
have that pass attack. They rushed the ball thirty one times,

1102
00:56:38,840 --> 00:56:41,559
they run the ball. They they pass and run just

1103
00:56:41,599 --> 00:56:46,400
about even. But both numbers are poor. Passing completion under

1104
00:56:46,440 --> 00:56:49,039
fifty nine percent, three point nine yards per carry.

1105
00:56:49,679 --> 00:56:51,159
Speaker 5: I have this game closer to a pick.

1106
00:56:51,320 --> 00:56:55,840
Speaker 2: Give me the upset, Ralph calling for the upset.

1107
00:56:56,000 --> 00:57:00,800
Speaker 1: There, Ross, it is now time to share your bet

1108
00:57:00,920 --> 00:57:02,639
and talk about one more time.

1109
00:57:02,639 --> 00:57:06,159
Speaker 2: Remind the folks what you got going on over, Ralph.

1110
00:57:06,199 --> 00:57:10,360
Speaker 3: I love you, man, because everybody in the state of

1111
00:57:10,480 --> 00:57:14,559
Georgia is talking about Georgia State Georgia Southern right with

1112
00:57:14,559 --> 00:57:17,760
with Georgia hosting number.

1113
00:57:17,440 --> 00:57:20,760
Speaker 4: Five and undefeated Ole Miss this week. So Ruff's got

1114
00:57:20,760 --> 00:57:21,320
a great one.

1115
00:57:21,920 --> 00:57:26,159
Speaker 3: Other league that you got a great way of taking

1116
00:57:26,199 --> 00:57:28,719
a pig and dressing them up in a tuxedo, which

1117
00:57:28,760 --> 00:57:29,280
you just did.

1118
00:57:29,480 --> 00:57:35,280
Speaker 6: So hey, you know what, the tickets cash the same, right, yeah,

1119
00:57:35,559 --> 00:57:36,079
right man?

1120
00:57:36,360 --> 00:57:39,679
Speaker 3: Yes, the money is green, just like it isn't the

1121
00:57:39,760 --> 00:57:44,679
big games Old Dominion had James Madison, you know it's

1122
00:57:44,800 --> 00:57:48,559
Old Dominion. Uh. The game Indiana all they can handle

1123
00:57:48,599 --> 00:57:51,760
in the twenty seven to fourteen loss, uh in their

1124
00:57:51,840 --> 00:57:52,960
season opener.

1125
00:57:52,639 --> 00:57:54,599
Speaker 4: But if you look at the statistics, they.

1126
00:57:54,480 --> 00:57:56,960
Speaker 3: Were really dominated in that game. And that game wasn't

1127
00:57:57,000 --> 00:57:59,679
as close as the final score would indicate, but still

1128
00:58:00,079 --> 00:58:02,800
gave the number three Hoosiers all they can handle. However,

1129
00:58:03,599 --> 00:58:06,800
they're coming off a terrible performance last week of forty

1130
00:58:06,840 --> 00:58:11,760
eight to twenty four loss at Marshall, who if you

1131
00:58:11,840 --> 00:58:15,320
remember Marshall luster head coach and twenty players went with

1132
00:58:15,400 --> 00:58:19,920
him to his new stop. And this is a Marshall

1133
00:58:19,960 --> 00:58:21,880
team that was a fourteen and a half point home

1134
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:25,159
underdog and they win forty eight twenty four and really

1135
00:58:25,199 --> 00:58:28,119
concerning Old Dominion five turnovers.

1136
00:58:27,599 --> 00:58:28,159
Speaker 4: In that game.

1137
00:58:28,639 --> 00:58:32,159
Speaker 3: And I'd say really concerning because over their last three games,

1138
00:58:32,360 --> 00:58:36,599
the Monarchs have turned the ball over ten times. And

1139
00:58:36,679 --> 00:58:40,000
in a virtual even game like this one, is that's

1140
00:58:40,039 --> 00:58:43,639
something I have to consider. I mean, it's one thing, Okay,

1141
00:58:43,679 --> 00:58:46,639
maybe you got caught looking ahead. It's one thing you

1142
00:58:46,679 --> 00:58:50,199
were in a flat spot. But when you're making mistakes,

1143
00:58:50,519 --> 00:58:55,199
as I just alluded to consistently, it becomes concerning to me.

1144
00:58:55,280 --> 00:58:58,320
Speaker 4: Well. On the other hand, James Madison four game win streak.

1145
00:58:58,960 --> 00:59:02,199
All four games they allowed fourteen points or fewer.

1146
00:59:02,320 --> 00:59:06,599
Speaker 3: Excellent defense. They're five and one this year. They're only

1147
00:59:06,679 --> 00:59:09,840
lost twenty eight to fourteen at Louisville. In that game,

1148
00:59:10,480 --> 00:59:13,360
they held a what was thought to be a high

1149
00:59:13,400 --> 00:59:17,639
powered Louisville offense to just two hundred and sixty four yards.

1150
00:59:18,760 --> 00:59:22,079
JM Us defense is no joke. They're allowing thirteen point

1151
00:59:22,159 --> 00:59:26,079
seven points per game and just under two hundred and

1152
00:59:26,119 --> 00:59:30,079
thirty yards per contest. Here you go, Ralph, get the penout.

1153
00:59:30,559 --> 00:59:33,199
This is a betting angle, not a trend. A betting

1154
00:59:33,239 --> 00:59:36,480
angle which involves all teams in college football, not just

1155
00:59:36,519 --> 00:59:40,639
a specific team. College football home teams like James Madison

1156
00:59:41,039 --> 00:59:43,920
that allowed seventeen points or fewer in each of the

1157
00:59:44,079 --> 00:59:48,599
last four games, and they're facing an opponent that has

1158
00:59:48,719 --> 00:59:52,119
a less than seven to fifty win percentage, and they're

1159
00:59:52,119 --> 00:59:54,400
coming off a loss by seventeen.

1160
00:59:53,840 --> 00:59:58,280
Speaker 4: Points or more like Old Dominion did thirty four and

1161
00:59:58,400 --> 00:59:59,440
one straight up.

1162
00:59:59,400 --> 01:00:06,159
Speaker 3: Ralfy, and that's since twenty fifteen. Give me JM you

1163
01:00:07,199 --> 01:00:09,519
minus won ten on the money line.

1164
01:00:10,239 --> 01:00:13,000
Speaker 4: Now you're you might see a one twenty and one twenty.

1165
01:00:12,679 --> 01:00:15,760
Speaker 3: Five out there and it's okay, uh but JM, you

1166
01:00:16,079 --> 01:00:19,119
on the money line at home to turn in a

1167
01:00:19,280 --> 01:00:23,480
terrific defensive performance against a team that can move the

1168
01:00:23,519 --> 01:00:26,000
ball and old Dominu but a team that's making too

1169
01:00:26,079 --> 01:00:28,679
many mistakes for me to side with him.

1170
01:00:28,719 --> 01:00:30,280
Speaker 4: So there you have it, guys.

1171
01:00:31,119 --> 01:00:34,519
Speaker 6: Ryan Loss is back and he likes the Dukes. Yes,

1172
01:00:35,159 --> 01:00:38,639
Ross is back that I have to give him some crap. Okay,

1173
01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:43,199
after he picks on my Georgia versus Georgia game, I think.

1174
01:00:43,719 --> 01:00:48,079
Speaker 3: As well, yeahbody in the Standard Virginia's talking about this

1175
01:00:48,159 --> 01:00:48,599
one too.

1176
01:00:48,880 --> 01:00:52,239
Speaker 6: Well. Well, granted, yours is a meaningful sun Belt game,

1177
01:00:52,320 --> 01:00:53,440
So I mean it really is.

1178
01:00:53,519 --> 01:00:54,960
Speaker 5: So I just had to.

1179
01:00:54,880 --> 01:00:57,679
Speaker 6: Give you a little shout out because it's still the

1180
01:00:57,719 --> 01:01:00,920
fun Belt, right, Brian, you got to a Mac game, right?

1181
01:01:01,199 --> 01:01:03,599
Speaker 1: Well, no, I'm saying my game is not exactly the

1182
01:01:03,880 --> 01:01:05,000
national TV special.

1183
01:01:05,000 --> 01:01:05,760
Speaker 2: We'll get to it a minute.

1184
01:01:05,760 --> 01:01:07,239
Speaker 1: I do want to just go speed round on some

1185
01:01:07,239 --> 01:01:10,360
of the comments we didn't get to indianniverse. Michigan State

1186
01:01:10,480 --> 01:01:12,480
is a letdown spot for Indiana. Yes it is, but

1187
01:01:12,480 --> 01:01:16,800
there's one problem. Michigan State stinks all to high Heaven.

1188
01:01:16,840 --> 01:01:19,079
They are horrible. I can't and there's an injury a quarterback.

1189
01:01:19,159 --> 01:01:22,239
I can't back them. Tulane over twenty three and a

1190
01:01:22,280 --> 01:01:25,280
half team total. They are playing Army. I watched all

1191
01:01:25,320 --> 01:01:27,199
of the too late East Carolina game last week. Tou

1192
01:01:27,239 --> 01:01:29,159
Lane should have scored way more. They have terrible red

1193
01:01:29,239 --> 01:01:31,719
zone and efficiency. I won't talk you off at RJ

1194
01:01:32,199 --> 01:01:35,800
who wins the Tulsa game. Speaking of Ocho, Baby wants

1195
01:01:35,800 --> 01:01:39,159
to know about bet Tulsa is facing East Carolina tonight Thursday.

1196
01:01:39,320 --> 01:01:41,360
I will tell you this. I think East Carolina's gonna win.

1197
01:01:41,400 --> 01:01:43,440
Their a three score favorite. But if you want to

1198
01:01:43,440 --> 01:01:45,760
know about the points spread. Joe Ranieri on the best

1199
01:01:45,760 --> 01:01:48,119
betting show ever this morning, which I said with he

1200
01:01:48,320 --> 01:01:51,920
liked Tulsa and the points, and then TJC sixty five says,

1201
01:01:52,000 --> 01:01:54,639
row the boat. Since this is not a kayaking podcast,

1202
01:01:54,679 --> 01:01:57,719
it's college football, I assume you're talking about Minnesota. I

1203
01:01:57,760 --> 01:02:00,440
do think Minnesota plus the points would be the play there.

1204
01:02:00,480 --> 01:02:04,079
Although Nebraska is going to win that game. Minnesota was

1205
01:02:04,519 --> 01:02:07,719
one of the most fortunate winners last Saturday when they

1206
01:02:07,760 --> 01:02:11,360
got the pick six against Purdue. All right, for my

1207
01:02:11,440 --> 01:02:13,519
show best beat guys. Let's close it out and this

1208
01:02:13,760 --> 01:02:17,079
is a VP ugly. Let's just look at all the

1209
01:02:17,079 --> 01:02:19,840
facts and go the other way. Special Air Force is

1210
01:02:19,920 --> 01:02:23,880
hosting Yoming Air Force. Their offense is incredible, it's one

1211
01:02:23,920 --> 01:02:27,119
of the best of the country. Their defense is hidious,

1212
01:02:27,159 --> 01:02:29,760
it is the worst in the country. The total is

1213
01:02:29,880 --> 01:02:33,400
fifty eight and a half as air Force is playing Wyoming.

1214
01:02:33,719 --> 01:02:35,400
So I guess what I'm gonna tell you to do. Everybody,

1215
01:02:35,400 --> 01:02:37,679
We're gonna go to under fifty eight and a half.

1216
01:02:37,719 --> 01:02:41,039
We're gonna call for that first Air Force under. Why

1217
01:02:41,079 --> 01:02:44,360
would I do that? Ross, Well, I'm gonna tell you

1218
01:02:44,360 --> 01:02:47,559
why When Air Force played Wyoming last week or last year.

1219
01:02:47,800 --> 01:02:50,400
When the these teams met last year, the total was

1220
01:02:50,480 --> 01:02:51,199
thirty three.

1221
01:02:52,320 --> 01:02:53,519
Speaker 2: Now it's fifty eight and a half.

1222
01:02:53,559 --> 01:02:55,760
Speaker 1: I get that it's a different Air Force team, but

1223
01:02:55,840 --> 01:02:58,239
that's quite a year to year difference in total. And

1224
01:02:58,320 --> 01:03:02,119
guess what Force yet for their first under to hit,

1225
01:03:02,199 --> 01:03:05,639
you gotta have the right dance partner Wyoming's. Wyoming has

1226
01:03:05,639 --> 01:03:08,159
not had a total close north of fifty all year.

1227
01:03:08,760 --> 01:03:11,719
Last week they were in a high scoring game thirty

1228
01:03:11,719 --> 01:03:13,719
five to twenty eight with San Jose State, but guess what.

1229
01:03:14,079 --> 01:03:17,119
Speaker 2: Wyoming got two non offensive touchdowns in that game. This

1230
01:03:17,679 --> 01:03:18,079
is the.

1231
01:03:18,119 --> 01:03:22,760
Speaker 1: Ultimate hold your nose and go contrarian under air Force

1232
01:03:22,840 --> 01:03:27,679
Wyoming under fifty eight and a half is my best

1233
01:03:27,840 --> 01:03:31,960
bet here on the blitz, Dan, let's see those plays

1234
01:03:32,039 --> 01:03:34,679
right there to remind the people. Ross he likes the

1235
01:03:34,760 --> 01:03:37,920
dukes of James Madison on the money line, Ralph, he

1236
01:03:38,000 --> 01:03:40,920
was also in the sun Belt Georgia state plus six

1237
01:03:40,960 --> 01:03:43,360
and a half and then I apparently have lost my

1238
01:03:43,440 --> 01:03:45,960
mind by taking Wyoming air Force under.

1239
01:03:46,159 --> 01:03:49,519
Speaker 2: Fifty eight and a half. What a fun watch that'll

1240
01:03:49,559 --> 01:03:50,119
be with that?

1241
01:03:50,199 --> 01:03:52,400
Speaker 1: Why that Air Force defense was so bad last week

1242
01:03:52,400 --> 01:03:54,800
against UNLV, but they're not playing UNLV this week.

1243
01:03:54,880 --> 01:03:56,719
Speaker 2: Ross, they're playing.

1244
01:03:56,079 --> 01:03:58,960
Speaker 3: Quarterbacks pretty good, I'm Brian, since they made the change

1245
01:03:59,159 --> 01:04:03,079
that kids, Yes, taking take a look at him in

1246
01:04:03,159 --> 01:04:05,679
this contest. This kid has really made a big difference

1247
01:04:05,679 --> 01:04:06,719
for the Air Force office.

1248
01:04:06,760 --> 01:04:11,280
Speaker 6: Yes, yeah, scrambling last week and running and his receivers

1249
01:04:11,280 --> 01:04:13,320
are starting to learn that they have to scramble with them,

1250
01:04:13,320 --> 01:04:15,960
and it really is some synergy on that offense. And

1251
01:04:16,280 --> 01:04:20,440
just FYI, you know air Force last year through for

1252
01:04:20,599 --> 01:04:22,920
one thousand and seventy seven yards on the season.

1253
01:04:24,199 --> 01:04:25,840
Speaker 5: So far they have twelve eighty six.

1254
01:04:27,039 --> 01:04:30,440
Speaker 2: We're going to way last year forty.

1255
01:04:30,760 --> 01:04:33,559
Speaker 6: Last year they completed forty five percent on the season.

1256
01:04:33,880 --> 01:04:37,679
This year they're completing sixty one. So uh, Liam Zarka

1257
01:04:37,960 --> 01:04:41,840
is the real deal over there in uh college not college.

1258
01:04:41,519 --> 01:04:45,079
Speaker 2: Uh Colorado, Colorado Springs.

1259
01:04:45,079 --> 01:04:46,079
Speaker 5: Thank you appreciate it.

1260
01:04:46,119 --> 01:04:49,039
Speaker 4: Well, they tell you state of Georgia, but it's Colorado.

1261
01:04:49,480 --> 01:04:52,199
Speaker 2: Yeah there you go. Okay, everybody's talking.

1262
01:04:51,920 --> 01:04:53,760
Speaker 4: About this scheme in Colorado, by the way.

1263
01:04:53,760 --> 01:04:55,800
Speaker 1: Roun they are, and Wyoming. I'll tell you what I've

1264
01:04:55,800 --> 01:04:57,519
been before. It's a beautiful state.

1265
01:04:57,559 --> 01:04:58,000
Speaker 2: All right.

1266
01:04:58,760 --> 01:05:02,840
Speaker 1: That is it for this edition of the Blitz. Hopefully

1267
01:05:02,840 --> 01:05:05,760
you enjoyed it. If you did, again, smash that like

1268
01:05:05,800 --> 01:05:08,920
button show your support. We will be back live one

1269
01:05:08,960 --> 01:05:12,119
pm Easter next Thursday, as we are live of course

1270
01:05:12,199 --> 01:05:14,320
each and every Thursday. Ross. It was so great to

1271
01:05:14,320 --> 01:05:19,199
see you here again, Ralph, as always great guys.

1272
01:05:19,280 --> 01:05:22,519
Speaker 2: Until next time, let's cash some tickets.