Speaker 1: Ole Miss versus Georgia, Tennessee versus Alabama, LSU versus Vanderbilt,
Texas Tech versus Arizona State, and USC versus Notre Dame.
We've got you covered with free plays and opinions on
all of this week's big college football games.
Speaker 2: Welcome to the Blitz.
Speaker 1: If you're watching us live here on the wage talk
To YouTube channel, feel free to ask us about any
other game as well. All you gotta do is comment
down below. We only ask that you smash that like
button and click subscribe. Joining me Ralph Michaels And look
who's back, Ross, Benjamin Ross.
Speaker 2: We missed you.
Speaker 1: The people missed you. They were asking great to have
you back on the show. So I'm gonna start with you.
With all that Ole Miss and Georgia mentioned it at
the top of the show. We have an unbeaten tam
all Miss getting more than a touchdown on the road.
Georgia hasn't been the same as they've been in past years.
They kind of I say, this is someone who had
Auburn last week. I think I thought Georgia cheated to
beat All last week.
Speaker 2: I thought that had some.
Speaker 1: Help from the referees. But what do you think here,
George is usually a force at home. Is this line
about right?
Speaker 2: Too low? Too high? What do you think?
Speaker 1: Well?
Speaker 3: First of all, thank you for the kind words, Brian.
I missed you guys, and I missed the viewers out
there as well, and I appreciate all your well wishes
that you sent the customer service. In terms of this matchup,
you're looking at a team in Georgia with a one
loss team as better than around or better than a
touchdown favorite against ole Miss.
Speaker 4: I am not.
Speaker 3: Look, I'm not as much as Georgia, Brian. You make
a great point. Is not that Georgia we've seen in
years past nowhere near at dominant? I just don't trust
Lane Kiffen and ole Miss on the road in a
game against a quality opponent, and the odds makers, if
you look at this, you have a one loss team again,
is a favorite of minus seven or better against a
ranked number five team in the country. That in itself
speaks volumes to me. I'm not gonna have a play
on this game. I don't have a strong opinion here,
but I would have a lean here. Lay the points
with Georgia over ole Miss, who was extremely lucky to
get by Washington State last week is at.
Speaker 4: Thirty two and a half point favorite. They won the
game by three.
Speaker 1: Yeah, kind of they were sleepwalking in Oxford. Ralph Ross
brings up a good point there, ole Miss possibly. I
know we've on the pass debated whether or not there's
such a thing as a look ahead factor, but ole
Miss was definitely playing with their food. It seemed like,
at least if you're living Oxford or a fan of
the Rebels, you hope they're playing with their food because
I don't know how else to explain that one. Last week,
what do you think about this game here? It certainly
is oddsmakers are certainly making a statement by having.
Speaker 2: The Bulldogs this large of a favorite.
Speaker 5: Well, let me ask you this.
Speaker 6: I don't know what the look aheadline was, but after
they beat LSU and had a four eighty to two
fifty four yard edge, I bet this would have been
closer to a field goal than it was a touchdown.
So let's remember. You want to talk, We'll give Marco
a shout out. You want to talk about the classic
Sandwich game in the SEC. This year, your home against LSU,
you go to Georgia before and then you host Washington
State in the middle. So I understand that loss, and
I'm okay with I call it a loss. I mean
it wasn't a loss as one of the biggest ATS losses.
My power ratings still say Georgia. I still think the
Georgia Bulldogs, you know, have an offense this year that
surprised me. In their last three games, they played Tulane, LSU,
in Washington State. They had a season high against Tulane.
They had a season high against LSU. They were number
two against Washington State. But I just there's one reason.
There's not many times that there's only one reason why
won't bet a game, but it's this. When Georgia is
a favorite with a total over fifty, that means they're
playing an offense at semi decent. They have failed to
cover eleven straight the last two years, and going back
three years, they're two sixteen and one. And remember only
two scenarios Georgia as a favorite with a total over
fifty oh and eleven ats two sixteen and one against
the spread. That keeps me off Georgia even though they
were my opinion, my lean going into this week.
Speaker 1: You see the odds right there on your screen. Guys, Uh. Look,
anyone who knows me knows my natural default is towards
the underdog more often than not. I have got the
squarest take on this game and another one of the
SEC big SEC matchups that we will be touching on later.
Speaker 2: I think a Georgia Alabama moneyline.
Speaker 1: Parlay might honestly be the way to come, because let's
not forget George's got revenge against Oleness. They walked the
Rebels last year in Oxford games in Athens. Georgia had
won thirty straight at home before the lost Alabama a
couple of weeks ago. I know it's really really square,
soouting taking two just you know, parlaying two favorites of
seven and a half or more together, I don't know.
I don't think the home teams are losing in these
big SEC matchups.
Speaker 2: Guys, keep those comments coming.
Speaker 1: I see there's some people here about commenting with some
of the early games here on Saturday. We've got a
question about Arizona and Houston virtually a pickup.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: I'm a little surprised the way this line is moving.
I kind of liked my initial thought Ross was towards Houston. Actually,
this game Arizona off a crushing loss last Saturday night
at home to BYU.
Speaker 2: They were up ten in the fourth quarter, they blow
that lead.
Speaker 1: There was a fumble right before BYU scored the game
tying touchdown. We had some cowardice in the first overtime
with field goals being kicked and then BYU takes it
in double ot. So this Houston team, I feel good
about that over six and a half win back for sure.
Speaker 2: I don't know. I thought they were the right side here,
but the market says otherwise.
Speaker 4: Me or rough.
Speaker 3: Okay, sorry about that, guys, all right, So yeah.
Speaker 4: I know you've been high.
Speaker 3: You were high on Houston, and now I know because
you're holding a ticket of over six and a half.
But you know you made some good points in terms
of Houston and how improved there. Arizona definitely coming off
a tough loss at home the BYU, and how did
they recover from that loss. That's yet to be seen.
I know the betting patterns that I look at in
terms of money and volume of tickets leads me to
think that the.
Speaker 4: Sharps are on Arizona here.
Speaker 3: However, I am not going to I'm not going to
dabble in this game. This is one I think that
I will defer to Ralph in you Brian, and I
really think there's better value on the board elsewhere than
to tangle with this tough matchup in what's virtually an
even game.
Speaker 1: One other thing I should add Ralph is early start
time for Arizona. You know, obviously a noon easter kick
from a team coming out West.
Speaker 2: I don't know if that matters to you and your
handicap how you look at this.
Speaker 6: It's so much different moving one time zone. I mean,
Houston Arizona is a short flight. It's not like you know,
Oregon having to travel the Rutgers, where we have a
legitimate thing.
Speaker 5: So I am not too concerned about that.
Speaker 6: You know, last year in the Big Twelve, they started
having some early games, so I think they're a customed
You know, my numbers clearly have Arizona. I make them
a three point favorite. You look at the schedule, they
played a tougher schedule, only ten spots better eighty seven
to ninety seven. So neither team has played a very
difficult schedule.
Speaker 5: But when you look at.
Speaker 6: Yards per game diff and points per game diff, Arizona
and twenty eight respectively, Houston forty eight and forty five.
Also pace is Houston accustomed to playing fast teams?
Speaker 5: Not really.
Speaker 6: Their defense was only on the field fifty one plays
against Oklahoma State. They were on the field ninety plays
against Texas Tech the week prior what happened. They gave
up five hundred and fifty two yards in that Arizona
currently number twenty four, running seventy one point five plays
per game. And then as far as explosive plays go,
you have Arizona that's also much better in sacks than
Houston is. And in defensive explosive plays those are plays
over ten or twenty yards. Arizona number thirteen and eighteen
on defense, So all of that is Arizona. I liked Arizona.
They were in my mix to be a play. But
the reason I did not back them is just this.
This is only their second road game now fitty fifty
played last year, but this year on the road one
game at Iowa State. They lose that game thirty nine
to fourteen. Last year on the road, they were outgained
by one hundred and ten yards per game, and the
defense and the offense averaged forty yards per game less
on the road. The defense averaged fifty yards more, allowing
fifty yards more on the road. So this being their
second home game keeps me off it, but clearly a
lean on Arizona.
Speaker 1: Okay, so there you go, these guys agreeing with the
market there how it's moving towards Arizona. Arizona's taking money.
Actually now several weeks in row. If you go back
to that loss they had against Iowa State a few
weeks ago, the public was the sharp money was all over.
My should say that line came way down. We have
another a similar line move here in Missouri Auburn. This
is very, very similar to the line move we just
talked about with Arizona Houston Auburn. Again, I mentioned at
the outset I thought I thought they were playing eleven
on fourteen last week Ross against Georgia.
Speaker 2: I really did.
Speaker 1: I didn't think it was fair, but they get the
law again. They're three and SEC play now is Auburn.
They opened though, despite that owen three record in SEC play,
they opened as the favorite against number sixteen Missouri, who
is of course off its first loss of the season.
That being a game where they're off by at home
against Alabama.
Speaker 2: Heavily hype game. I don't agree.
Speaker 1: I talked about this game on the mid week edition
of the Power Five. I don't agree with this line move,
believe it or not. I know there's an argument that
Auburn could be ready to throw in the towel on
Hugh Freeze. It's not going well down there. But this
is Missouri's first true road game, so I don't know.
I actually lean Auburn in this game, especially now as
a dog.
Speaker 3: Well, you got two very good defenses. But I'm gonna
explain to you why I disagree with you. I think
Missouri is a player. Auburn has lost three in a row,
all against SEC opponents. As you alluded to, they scored
seven seventeen points or fewer in each of those three games.
Matter of fact, during this three game losing streak, averaging
just twelve point three points per game and two hundred
and forty seven yards per game. That's their enigma, you know.
And I don't know if they're going to be playing
a very good defensive team as well in Missouri, and
I'll get to that in a second. But despite their
good defensive numbers, they have been exposed on a couple occasions. Defensively,
they allowed four hundred and eighty three yards to Baylor
in their season opener and four hundred and fourteen.
Speaker 4: Yards to Texas A and M.
Speaker 3: Now, I know they held Georgia to twenty, but I
would argue the point that I think Missouri's offense is
much better than Georgia's offense at this juncture. The Missouri
Tigers also, like I said, very good defensively. Three hundred
and twenty five yards or few are allowed in all
six games this year, including last week, and had three
point home loss to Alabama. Their offense, on the other hand,
the Tigers are averaging just a ten under forty two
points per game, five hundred and eleven yards per contest
in six point seven yards per play. So, and I
got a betting angle for you here rough. It's a
money line betting angle. Anytime you have a college football
away team like Missouri with a win percentage of eight
thirty three or better and they've won sixteen or more
of their last twenty two games versus an opponent coming
off three straight losses in which they allowed or they
scored seventeen or fewer on each occasion, seventy nine and
nine straight up since nineteen eighty three. That's ninety percent.
And if those away teams won sixteen or more of
their last twenty two games, like I alluded to, they
improved the fifty two and three in Missouri by the way,
eighteen or four. Last twenty two, Missouri uh minus one
twenty on the money line over Auburn. Awful cheap money
line price considering the points spread is at two. So
I'm gonna go with that. You could find that minus
one twenty at FanDuel right now.
Speaker 2: Go Ralph.
Speaker 1: That's quite the trend that Ross cited there. Do you
have anything that you'd want to add in this game?
We're gonna be staying in.
Speaker 5: The ends Ross the pen. I will say this.
Speaker 6: You know, Ross gave big numbers for Missouri and big
numbers for Auburn. But just like last week, last week
was the biggest ever discrepancy I saw in Week six.
As far as strength of schedule, Let's remember that Auburn's
played the number four schedule. Missouri's played the number one
hundred and three schedule. That's embarrassing for an SEC team.
So yes, that's your job is to quantify Missouri's number
seven and yards per game diff Auburn's number seventy one.
But again, you got to look at the strength of schedule.
When you're looking at those numbers, especially this far, you
want to talk about a a coach that's saying thank
you GM for sister for scheduling me, the sister of
the poor Nobody's Since nineteen ninety, guys, only seven teams
have started their first six games at home and played
their first road game in week seven.
Speaker 5: Guess what.
Speaker 6: They're zero to seven against the spread, losing by fifteen
point eight points per game, failing to cover by fifteen
point eight points per game.
Speaker 5: So take that what you with.
Speaker 6: It's a small sample size, you can't base anything on it,
but it just shows you how few teams have done
exactly what Missouri's doing. Play the first six games at
home and now take your road trip. Now, Missouri, this
is where I think we get some value. I like
the under You look at Missouri's offensive numbers. Yes they
are strong. They're number seven in yards per game, they're
number ten in points per game, but their strength of
schedule number one oh three, and they're number five in
plays per game, number seventy six. They will not run
the same pace in Auburn on the road with crowd
noise as they do at home.
Speaker 5: I think that's a definite angle.
Speaker 1: And I do like the under here, all right, the
under there you go. So we've got some discrepancy on
the side at least, but Ralph likes that. Or Ralph,
I'm gonna come right back to you, because there's some
astounding trends with this LSU Vanderbilt game I've seen. So
I see somebody asking about this game. This is in
our rundown LSU and Vanderbilt. So let's go to what
someone wants to know about it. Guys, this is the
first time fifty two games that Vanderbilt is favored over.
Speaker 2: And it is the first time Ross.
Speaker 1: I believe you went back to nineteen eighty three just
a few moments ago with your trend. Well, I'm going
to take you back to the nineteen forties before all
of us were betting on games. Okay, that was the
last time anyone can find record of Vanderbilt being favored
over LSU. That's pretty crazy, so I know. So there
you go there, LSU Vandy in the favorite role. It's
pretty crazy to see them in that role here against LSU.
So Ralph, what do you think here? It's certainly uncharted
territory for the commodoes.
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm looking I only go back to nineteen ninety seven. Brian,
what year do you say they were favored? The nineteen
forties was the last time. Oh, I apologize, not against LSU.
Vanderbilt has not been favored against a ranked opponent since
October eleventh, nineteen forty seven.
Speaker 5: Ross, did you watch that game? Were you of Vanderbilt? Vanderbilt?
Speaker 4: Yeah, I missed it because I had to go to church.
Speaker 6: I got you, okay, But you know, I'm looking back
since two thousand and four, since they'd beat sec FOS.
The lowest spread was a was ten points at home.
But remember last year this team, Vanderbilt was only an
eight and a half point underdog at LSU.
Speaker 5: So they started getting their respect last season, and now
we have it. I you know, this is a game
that I don't know.
Speaker 6: I like Vanderbilt, I love the story, but playing with
this type of pressure as the season mounts, to me,
you need to have some experience to do that. And
LSU's defense, you know, when you're holding teams to three
point two yards per carry, you know that's exactly what
you need to stop a Vanderbilt offense where your leading
rusher is Diego Pavia. You know, he leads with three
hundred and fifty two yards on sixty attempts. So I
think the Auburn run game is going to cause them problems.
Last year against Alabi. Last week against the Alabama he
broke a couple of big ones off, so they had
seven point one yards per carry. I don't think they
do that against the LSU's defense. I lean the Tigers.
Speaker 1: Okay, we had a comment here somebody RJ. Ross said
take Vandy in the first half because LSU starts slow,
but after half of them interesting point there, because Vandy
is off the by here, which is always so you
think are ready to go and not let LSU was
that tested against South Carolina last week, but still at
home off the by. Kind of an interesting angle, I
guess for Vandy.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 3: You know again, I've always professed if you think like
an odds maker, more times than not, you're gonna come
out on the right side, not always, but more times
than not.
Speaker 4: And this is a textbook example of such. LSU is
one of the last ten meetings.
Speaker 3: Between these schools on the Gridiron Vandy's last time they
beat LSU way back in nineteen ninety. Last year, they
played in Baton Rouge and Vandy gave them all they
can handle.
Speaker 4: In a twenty four to seventeen loss. LSU five and
one to start the season. They're only lost twenty four
to nineteen at o Miss, LSU winning with defense. They've
allowed ten points or fewer and five of their six
games all resulting in wins. However, if you look at
their offense, Ralph and Brian leaves a lot to be desired.
Speaker 3: With nuss Meyer at quarterback the senior signal caller, A
lot of people thought LSU would be a very explosive
offensive team.
Speaker 4: That's not been the case now.
Speaker 3: The lc U defense, I don't think a lot of
people predicted they would be this good, but they are now.
LSU their offense in three road games this year eighteen
points per game, in three hundred and five yards per
contest and scoring one point per twenty five point three
yards gained in Ralph. You know that's an atrocious number.
Here's another thing to consider. Since twenty twenty three, all
under current head coach Brian Kelly, the LSU Tigers are
one in seven straight up in ATS as when their
points spread is between plus three and minus three. Conversely,
the Vanderbilt Commodores have gone seven and zero straight up
in ATS in their last se and when their points
spread again is between plus three and minus three, and
that includes two and zero this year, with a thirty
one to seven win at South Carolina and a forty
four to twenty blowout at Virginia Tech. In that exact situation,
they're coming off their first loss in the year, meaning
Vanderbilt to Alabama, and they Brian brought it up, they're
playing off of bye week, so not only coming off
a loss, not only coming off a week of rest,
but they're playing a team they're gonna have big time
revenge on. And I don't know if any Vanderbilt team
has been equipped to knock off LSU, then this one
right here, and again, you look at the points spread
in this game, you would think that LSU, on paper,
is a better team. And this kills me, Ralph, because
I got a ticket on LSU to win the National
Championship at plus fourteen hundred and also to win the SEC.
But it's a perfect example why I hate futures, because
if you marry your team, you marry yourself to one
team just because you made a future's bet and fail
to realize the current situation.
Speaker 4: It's not a good thing to do.
Speaker 3: And I am going to disregard what I have and
ignore what I just said, and I'm going to take
Vanderbilt here, and I'm actually gonna go on the money
line here at minus one thirty four against LSU. And
I don't have a problem with laying a two and
a half, but it's just a personal preference for me.
When I get a favorite of two and a half
or less that I like, if I can get a
money line of minus forty, minus one forty or fewer,
I will opt for the money line each and every time.
So Vanderbilt minus one thirty four for me, Ralph against LSU.
Speaker 6: You know, Brian, one of your one of the viewers
said what first for first quarter for Vanderbilt, first.
Speaker 2: Half for Vanage?
Speaker 5: Okay, So I do want to mention this.
Speaker 6: The gold Sheet logs are absolutely amazing with the first
quarter first half logs. And I'm gonna give you guys
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Speaker 5: But take a look at these logs. You'll see the
first column to the left is full game. You'll see
that LSU is three and three ATS. You'll see that
Vanderbilt is four and two ATS. But look at that
first quarter.
Speaker 6: First quarter this year, LSU is one in five against
the spread and Vanderbilt is four and two. First half,
LSU is one four and one, Vanderbilt is four and two.
So Vandy has gotten off the quick starts. LSU gotten
off the very poor starts. But that's something to look
if you are an LSU fit, and I don't want
to tell you to not bet the game, but if
you still like LSU and they get down early, the
data tells us they will come back in the second
half or the last three quarters of the game.
Speaker 2: There you go, RJ some data to back up your
line of thinking. There.
Speaker 1: I also wanted to comment on what Ross was talking
about taking the money line over the points, but remember, guys,
the new college football overtime rules. When these beats struck
over two in double overtime, I know you were threading
quite a small needle here, but hey, if the game
that matters, you know, you don't want to be laying
a minus two and a half ticket and this game
goes in double overtime, then you're just like then you're
then then you're screwed. So the money line does have
its advantages. I would concur with Ross there. Let's hit
some more comments here. Most needles they are yes, thank you, Dan,
thank you, Okay, wonderful head of hair today.
Speaker 2: You got going, by the way.
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about Clemson and thank you absolutely absolutely.
Clemson at SMU is down to minus four and a half.
I've got no man's land too far, it will look
it's hard for me to comment on this game because
right before we went live, Look, the news are starting
to trickle out cade Clubnik.
Speaker 2: We do not know his status.
Speaker 1: I don't like betting on games where I don't know
the status and the starting quarterback called me old fashion.
It's just it's tough to do, I'll say. And here's
the other part of the equation. I don't like this
SMU team, they covered for the first time ross last
week all year. They were one of the last teams
to get a Penn State the that disaster. Penn State
is the only team now left in the country that
has not covered a single point spread this year. So
I don't like the SMU side, and I don't want
to bet Clemson not knowing the status of Clubnik. Other
than that, I'm sure it's a fine game to bet,
So I'm that's a stay away game for me. I
don't know if anyone, either of you guys have anything
to add about that.
Speaker 2: Acc Bass.
Speaker 5: I liked Clemson Clubnick. I thought he was going to play.
Speaker 6: He was on my list and he still is on
my list if I found out he practiced. So that's
all I You know, I talk a lot about averages
and teams do because with strength of schedule it doesn't
really matter.
Speaker 5: But you look at you look at teams.
Speaker 6: SMU is number eighty five on offense compared to what
their other opponents gave up, and they're one hundred on defense.
Clemson is forty seven and thirty one. Those are massive edges.
And while we can't get too excited because Clemson is
off back to back huge wins, winning seventy nine to
twenty combined. Remember that is at North Carolina and at
Boston College, two of the weakest teams in the ACC
this year. But I still do like them. You know,
you look at you look at SMU. They went on
the road to TCU, got out game by one hundred
and thirty three yards. They won at Missouri State, but
that was Missouri State's you know, welcome to the FBS
type game. So not concerned about that like Clemson. But Brian,
you said you don't like betting on teams that you
don't know the quarterback. That's just being smart. There's nothing
I mean that is nobody. None of us are ever
going to bet a game where we know the status
of a quarterback. You know, maybe if it's for the
opposition and we don't care which quarterback plays, but you're
certainly not going to back a team without knowing that.
Especially with the difference between Klubniak and the zine, I
think is the guy behind him, you know, so Fasina goes,
You've got no experience at all.
Speaker 5: So I like it if club Nick is playing and healthy.
Speaker 6: So if he practices today and we get a report
tonight that he was fine and he's good tomorrow morning.
Speaker 5: I still might be on Clemson.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll say it could be like bottom of the
market time on clubs, and obviously everyone knows, you know,
what a just disappointing start they got off to the season.
Speaker 2: But I think there's room to improve different.
Speaker 1: I think, you know, if you really wanted to famous club,
that time may have passed.
Speaker 4: Guys, we're going to.
Speaker 1: Talk about some of the biggest games here still to
come Tennessee, Alabama, Texas here from the state USC Order Dame.
Speaker 2: But we are going to talk.
Speaker 1: Now take a little bit of time to tell you
what we've got going on on our respective ages over
at wager.
Speaker 2: Talk dot com.
Speaker 1: I can let you guys know I have now won
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Speaker 2: What do you got going?
Speaker 4: Yeah?
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Speaker 5: What are you waiting for?
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Speaker 1: All right, there you go it is. I would concur Ralph.
It's available for you as well. What do you got
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Speaker 4: Here?
Speaker 5: Now?
Speaker 6: Listening to these records, we sound like we know what
we're talking about. Nice nice job, guys. You know I
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ten to one ninety one percent. I will have an
NFL five five percent this week, my NFL five percent
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Speaker 5: Now.
Speaker 1: All right, Jay Buff, Jacob Marion, we see all your
comments in the chat. We will get to them. But
we have to get to our run to lots of
comments today, love to see that. Don't forget, by the way,
while you're commenting, smash that like button and don't forget
hit subscribe as well. We appreciate your support here on
the way you're talking YouTube, Chanel. Let's get to the
one of the big ones, though, guys, Alabama hosting Tennessee.
My Alabama, what a schedule they have been facing ross
every week. It feels like they're dealing with the ranked team.
I mentioned earlier in the show that I think George
is not losing Ole Miss.
Speaker 2: I don't think Alabama's losing to Tennessee. It's kind of square.
Speaker 1: One of our commenters said, you know, Ole Miss kind
of feels like a square dog actually, so that they
didn't think the idea of a moneyline parlay here with
Alabama and Georgia just seemed all that square. Well, what
do you think here, Alabama? It's very similar to Georgia
at home playing with revenge. They lost to Tennessee. They've
got revenge here in Tusco. So they played so many
tough games in a row of Obama. Can they at
least get the.
Speaker 2: Straight up way? And they cover against the volunteers down
in Tea Top.
Speaker 4: I think they covered this game, and I think they do.
Speaker 3: They win this game by fourteen points to seventeen points,
somewhere in that area. You know, Ralph talks about strength
to schedule, and Brian, you brought it up as Alabama
seems like they're playing a ranked team every week. And
since that opening loss at South Florida, it doesn't look
as bad now as it did then or the Alabama
who's the opening Florida great, I'm sorry. Since then, they've
been vastly improved and the quarterback play has been outstanding.
Tennessee has been a disappointment to me when it comes
to defense. They were brought a ton of players back
from a defense to perform very well last year, guys,
but they're not playing like that defense this year and
that shapes up as problematic on the road against an
Alabama team that's really firing on all cylinders offensively and
defensively as well. Alabama showed your class last week going
on the road against Missouri and winning that game twenty
seven to twenty four. So this is a team that's
battle tested, and I think this game is certainly is
not one. They're going to take lightly against the opposition
they're facing, and like Brian said, with a revenge factor.
I like Alabama here, lady eight and a half over Tennessee.
Speaker 2: Ralph, Tennessee was a little fortunate.
Speaker 1: I thought last week only beat Arkansas by three and
that was what they plus three turnover margin as well.
That was, of course the Hog's first game under Bobby Petrino.
He is non controversial, Bobby Patrino. But what do we
think here? You want to make it three straight? You're
three for three, I should say with Alabama.
Speaker 6: Oh the done deal guy. You know I'm in the
Mark Lawrence Wiseguy contest. And I used Alabama as my
single play. You send in a play every week, a
double in a single. So on Tuesday it was one
of my top plays. It's still one of my top plays.
It's not officially on my card yet, but I have
Alabama as my number two Power rated team in the country.
When you look at the averages, their offense is playing
to the number nine team in the country, averaging more
than their opponents allow. Their defense is number five. When
we look at Tennessee, Tennessee is number twenty on offense
and ross you are right. They're number seventy five on defense,
and that means they're giving up They're giving up almost
what opponent's average, despite being a big favorite in those games.
So you know, Alabama the number two schedule, Tennessee the
forty six schedule. And even though Alabama has played forty
spots better than Tennessee, they are rated higher in yards
per game diff Tennessee with the number forty six schedules
plus one hundred thirty four yards per game. Alabama with
the number two schedule is plus one hundred and thirty
eight yards per game, basically even, but again a forty
four spot difference in the strength of schedule. And how
about this. You want to talk about one defense being
fresh and one defense perhaps getting worn out. Tennessee's defense
has been on the field for seventy seven point two
plays per game. That is number one hundred and thirty five.
Only one team has seen their defense play more plays.
Alabama's defense has been on the field fifty four point
three plays per game. That's number three. So think about that.
That is twenty three plays per game more. And we're
six games into the season. The Tennessee defense has played
over one hundred snaps more than the Crimson Tide.
Speaker 1: All right, sounds like we're all saying roll damn tied
in this one. Jacob Hefterer had a question. She has
a system play, Jacob says. He says, Virginia minus seventeen
and a half is a system play for me. Wazoo
has covered the last two games they played, both on
the road, and now this is a third game.
Speaker 2: In a row for Wazoo.
Speaker 1: Of course, Wazoo Conference lists still this year, so they
kind of take what they can get. Jacob likes to
wants to lay the wood with Virginia. I agree with
what you're saying.
Speaker 2: Here's my problem.
Speaker 1: I think Virginia's very overrated. I think they've been very
I have a good friend, Derek Kidd, if he's watching,
who is a big Virginia fan. Hurts me to say this,
but I think Virginia is a tad bit overrated. I
don't know, so I'm gonna stay away from that game. Obviously,
Wazoo left it all on the field ross last week
in that near upset of Ole Miss, so I don't
want to back down, but I don't want to lay
seventeen and a half with this Virginia team, which in
my opinion, has really overachieved in twenty twenty five.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that might be the case, but if Virginia had
any chance of taking this game lightly, it was all
diminished after watching the tape of Washington State last week
in their near upset of Miss is a thirty two and.
Speaker 4: A half point dog.
Speaker 3: You're right, Brian, I think there's a lot better In
my opinion, you're right, Brian, I think there's much better
value on the board than to mess with this game.
Speaker 4: But I do agree with the viewer that if you
put that proverbial gun to my head, I would lean
toward Virginia here only because you'd be hard pressed to
think that Virginia is not going to be ready to
play this week. And you know, coming off that emotional
loss last week, that near miss is a huge underdog. Yeah,
it could work from a confidence standpoint in Washington State
says well, I could play with anybody, but it also
can go the other way, Ralph, where it's an emotional
letdown as well. So I'm going to stay away from
this contest.
Speaker 2: Ralph, did you have anything on that one? If not,
we can talk. We've got some other God, we have
a lot of comments coming. I'd love to see that.
Speaker 6: Yeah, I do like Virginia. I always with their win.
You know, Yes, they were all game one hundred and
forty six yards. Last week, they were plus two turnovers
and they still win that game thirty to twenty seven.
In their four previous games, they rushed for at least
two hundred and ten yards per game and rushed for
about five point eight yards per carry. Last week, Louisville
did slow down their run game eighty eight yards only
two point eight yards per carry.
Speaker 5: But you look at Washington State.
Speaker 6: You know, on the season they're allowing one hundred and
fifty six yards per game, but that includes an FSCs team,
so those numbers are even worse. But it's more the
scheduling spot. Washington State hosted San Diego State. They get
a win, they go down to Denton, Texas, play at
North Texas, come home for the Apple Bowl, travel to
Colorado State in altitude, come back home, travel to the
Deep South to Mississippi, play well, come back home. Now
traveled to East coast for Virginia. Maybe they stayed there.
Some NFL teams don't travel back and forth. I did
not read that because this game was not in my mix.
But I had a couple of checks next to Virginia
in my sheet.
Speaker 2: Y all right, there you go.
Speaker 1: Adam also wants so can anyone talk me off yukon
beating BC?
Speaker 5: Outright?
Speaker 1: BC is going in the wrong direction. I will say
they've the rest of they've played a tougher schedule, but
other than that, I don't know. Let's say it's tough
to back a team like BC. Obviously that's lost five
in a row.
Speaker 2: Jay, let's talk about Friday games.
Speaker 1: There's a big Friday slate here, Jay, buff You've waited
long enough, friend of mine, He says, no shirt comments
this week.
Speaker 2: You can go back and watch the last week's show
if you like that. I liked my shirt last week.
I don't care what anybody says.
Speaker 1: But he wants to know, is there any opinion on
Utah State tomorrow night?
Speaker 2: Really like him?
Speaker 1: Am I crazy also says, welcome back, Ross, here's the
Utah State.
Speaker 2: Last week was the first week they did not cover.
Speaker 1: They went out to the island of Hawaii and came
back with an l. Santo's a state for those that
follow them out and west, you already know this sane
States has been a very disappointing team. That is who
is plate Utah State tomorrow night. So I'm not gonna
talk to you how to Utah State, I guess, but
I don't know. Returning returning to the mainland, as they say,
ross that can travel maybe a factor, maybe not.
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 3: Yeah, again, this is a game that I'm going to
stay away from.
Speaker 4: And you're right, Brian.
Speaker 3: San Jose State has been an extreme disappointment after coming
off the momentum of the success.
Speaker 4: They had last year.
Speaker 3: In Utah State coming off of loss might be a
dangerous team at home in this spot. So wya would
hesitate with Utah State is exactly what Brian just said,
coming off a game at Hawaii, coming back to their
mainland and then having one less stay arrest and they're
used to. So I'm gonna stay away. This is a
very difficult game for me to handicap, and I just
think there's much better value even on Friday's card than
this game itself.
Speaker 1: A lot of questions coming in about the Mountain West
Ralph as well on not just San Jose State Utah State.
Speaker 2: But if you look.
Speaker 1: Towards Saturday, there's an interesting game with UNLV and Boise State,
the undefeated UNLV running Rebels. I believe Ross, you and
a this line makes no sense segment on Wager talked
today earlier in the week with Andy laying because the
Rebels unbeat but they're double digit dogs on the blue turf.
Speaker 2: So I know you've talked about that one.
Speaker 4: Ross.
Speaker 1: People are checking out, Ralph. What do you think people?
My thoughts on UNLV are well documented. This team is
just unbelievable. They are living the charmed life. They were
down for what fourteen air Force last week. They come
back and win. More on air Force later in this
program in my best bet. By the way, I stay
tuned for our best bets at the end of the show. So, uh,
you know, if you wanted to add anything that Utah
State San Jose State.
Speaker 2: Discussion, Ralph, you could other than that, Let's go to
UNLV Boise.
Speaker 7: Ralph, your MIC's turned off, buddy, still nothing. You've never
sounded better, to be fair, Ralph, Yeah, we go.
Speaker 6: And I have guests staying here, so I keep having
to try. And so if you hear noise in the background,
blame my friends from Cleveland. That's that's them. So always
blame people from Cleveland.
Speaker 2: I'll tell you that.
Speaker 6: Those those people that live in Cleveland now are just
freaking troublemakers. Yes, I think UNLV is a very fake team.
Their offense is exciting, but their defense is not going
to stop anyone. If you allow six hundred and three
yards to air Force and you win the game.
Speaker 5: I had air.
Speaker 6: Force last week plus the six and a half, and
all I'm saying is, please don't go to overtime.
Speaker 5: Please don't go to overtime, you.
Speaker 6: Know, because UNLV couldn't be stopped in and UNLV could
snot stop anyone. Obviously, you have to look at the
over in that kind of case. But you know, I
think I think the Boise team is worthy. I think
they are going to shut down the UNLZ offense. And
while I said their offense is good, and they scored
thirty against UCLA and they scored thirty one against Wyoming,
both of those games they were plus two turnovers. They
only had three hundred and fifty one yards against UCLA
and they only had two hundred and fifty five yards
at Wyoming. So I cannot trust him to go on
the road in this situation.
Speaker 5: I like Boising.
Speaker 1: Okay, I would concurt The only way I could play
this game is Boise State UNLD.
Speaker 2: They can't keep to.
Speaker 1: They cannot keep getting away with it. All right, we
have a rundown to get back to you guys. Keep
those comments coming in though. We will try to go
speed round, perhaps at the end before our best bets.
But talk about games where there's question marks at quarterback ross.
We talked about the Clemson situation earlier. Texas Tech and
Arizona State big one.
Speaker 2: In the Big twelve. Texas Tech kind of looks to
be head and shoulders above the rest of this conference.
But Morton is he one hundred percent? We don't know.
Speaker 1: And then meanwhile Arizona State, it looks like they're getting
healthier at that position. I threw again. They're talking about
the money line parlay option. I threw Utah, who played
Arizona State last week in a money line parlay, And
I did need to throw a bit of moneylight parlay
because Utah really laid it to Arizona State. It didn't
matter what number you got there. Utah covered all of them.
But Levitt could be back for the Sun Devils. This
is a team that obviously was in the College Football
Playoff last year, get more than a touchdown at home
against the team that everyone thinks is going to win
the Big Twelve this year, Texas Tech at Arizona State.
I'm starting to see support for the Sun Devils. And
if you look at our odd screen right there in
front of you, you could see the support as this one.
Speaker 2: This numbers trickled down to even seven at some shops.
What do you think?
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, if you watch some of my previews
before the seasons started, I absolutely loved Arizona State at
the odds they were getting to win the Big Twelve
and even as a long shot national championship contender, with
the opportunity to fade if they just even got into
the player or excuse me to hedge, even if they
got into the playoffs. But you know, Sam Levitt goes down.
And without Sam Levitt, we saw what happened last week.
He's the All conference quarterback as a freshman. Last year
he won the Big Twelve and they got to the
College Football Playoff and gave Texas all they can handle. Now,
I wouldn't want to be certain he's going to be playing.
And then also with Morton not finishing the game last week.
That's never a good sign when a player never does
not finish the game.
Speaker 4: But you never know. And with the uncertainty at quarterback,
and we talked about the Clemson game earlier with club Nick,
I don't mess with games where I don't know the
status of not only one quarterback, but both quarterbacks. In
this situation, this.
Speaker 3: Is almost a game you might want to wait till
Saturday morning and get some clarification who's playing. But right now,
when you look at the line move of Texas Tech
opening at ten down to seven and a half and seven, Brian,
that leads me to believe they like the chances of Levitt.
Speaker 4: Playing how a lot better than they like the chances
of Morton playing.
Speaker 1: Yes, Ralph, I won't ask you to play doctor only
Odds Baker here, what do you think of this line
move here? With the quarterback uncertainty in Texas Tech Arizona State.
Speaker 2: Mike Button, I'll get you, Ralph.
Speaker 6: Let's let's see maybe maybe if I can one more
time I screw up, then I get just get kicked
off the show where I get put in the bed
detention corner.
Speaker 5: If we've kept Brian this long.
Speaker 4: You're safe.
Speaker 1: You're safe, Ralph All, the voice of God has appeared
on the screen.
Speaker 3: Man. Those people in Ohio must be hou raizers rough
for you to turn anyway.
Speaker 6: You know, Brian, I like the Arizona state in the situation.
And it goes back to the same thing that we
talked about.
Speaker 5: Missouri.
Speaker 6: Texas's numbers are impressive as any we've seen. After seven games.
Their yard per game diff is plus three hundred and
one yards. That's three hundred yards more than their defense.
Not the offense is averaging their yards per play diff
three point four yards per play edge, their points per
game diff Plus thirty five point three points per game.
But they've played the number one hundred and fourteen schedule.
I will say this, you know, at least they've been
tested on the road, you know, handling Utah like they did.
To me. That was probably the most impressive game I
saw this year was Texas tech man handle Utah. So
I do give them some credence that they can get
there play well on the road. Then they all up
with Houston where they again they manned handled Houston on
the road in back to back weeks.
Speaker 5: But in this situation, I like Arizona State.
Speaker 6: I like Arizona State's defense, and you know, if if
we know levit's healthy and you know, and the problem
is this, the Morton injury has been factored in yet,
so now if he comes back to play, it's going
to go back up. So I wouldn't bet it now
because there's no advantage to betting it now. If you
think you want to bet Texas Tech, I would bet
that now. If you think you want Arizona State, I
would clearly wait until the QB situation straightens up and.
Speaker 5: Then the line stabilizes.
Speaker 1: Okay, that is Texas Tech Arizona State. One more game
in the rundown. To get to you guys, I know
multiple people have asked about Washington and Michigan. We will
get to that game, but we're going to talk about
USC and Order Dame first.
Speaker 2: These are two teams.
Speaker 1: Boston I think are both better than their respective rankings.
What do you do in a matchup like that when
you've got two teams that you think are better than
their perspective ratings.
Speaker 3: Well, I could tell you what my initial thought was
on the game, and I can't comment on what you
just said because it depends on a situation at hand
and also the points spread. So having said this, when
I looked at this total, guys, when it first came
out on Sunday, I said to myself, you know, this
looks like a deadlock over to me. Both teams have
been terrific offensively, USC, especially in Notre Dame. The improvement
of CJ. Carr as the season has progressed is eye
opening all of a sudden. Notre Dame is a dangerous
team through the air. We all knew that they could
run the ball effectively, but now they could throw the
ball just as effectively, which makes them very dangerous offensively.
And I think Notre Dame's defense, although they've looked very
good over the last two weeks, when they step up
and class this season, it looks they were a little
bit vulnerable, and USC's defense is definitely vulnerable.
Speaker 4: USC has just been outscoring people.
Speaker 8: And the reason why I stood away from the over,
and I'm very skeptical of using it at this point,
is because the weather conditions the forecast is calling for
rain throughout the game, and when I use it over,
I like.
Speaker 3: To have ideal situations when it comes to weather, you know,
So I mean my initial thought was to go over
to total and if any kind of weather improvement happens
between now and Saturday, it still might be the way
to go. But in terms of a side here, you
know what, there should be a hell of an entertaining
game to watch and I'm going to stay away from
the side Ralph.
Speaker 1: We talked about time zones, fly across multiple time zones earlier.
USC has sruggled doing that in recent years, especially this
is obviously not a Big ten game, but you.
Speaker 2: Know they've had to do it more and more now
that they've joined the Big ten.
Speaker 1: USC also has some a cluster of injuries at the
running backs, although that did.
Speaker 2: Not matter last week a Fish.
Speaker 1: They could have put any one of the three of
us in the backfield against Fischigan teams last week and
we would have broke one loose a big run because
they were just running all over at Wolverine's defense. What
do you think here? USC cluster of injuries was kind
of like the over a little bit.
Speaker 2: Uh. They struggle.
Speaker 1: They struggle in the central news and times go do
the Cojons and PJ Carr I cross it on.
Speaker 2: I've been playing a lot better.
Speaker 5: Yeah, shout out to both quarterbacks.
Speaker 6: I mean car on the season now sixteen hundred yards
at ten point three ypa at thirteen to three ratio.
But my AVA seventy two percent completion better to my
AVA ten point eight ypa better to my AVA tdda
interception radio thirteen.
Speaker 5: To two to my EVA.
Speaker 6: But the defense a whole different story. Notre Dame has
held each of the last three opponents to a season low. Well,
USC season low is four hundred and sixty yards, so
if they hold the USC to under four sixty to
have a fourth straight season low, I just you know,
when I broke down a game, I threw this one
out pretty early. Yes, an entertaining game. I don't mind
watching it, but the line is where it should be.
I just think I would if I had to flip
a coin and give you a lean, I would lean
USC because the back door is wide open. This offense
has averaged two hundred and two yards per game, more
than their opponents to LLAO, Notre Dame's allowing three hundred
and forty six yards, so if they get anywhere near
that five hundred mark, they're going to cover. So lean
USC for the back door for me.
Speaker 1: All right, USC, Their offense number one in yards per
play in the country. All right, best bets coming up, Ross,
Ralph and I will all share the play that we
would like to share with you. But before we do that,
we are going to just hit Washington Michigan real quick
because we have the commentators are demanding. We talked about this,
who likes the Huskies getting sticks? And then Sean similarly thinks, uh,
Michigan might not be as good and it's more the
name that's giving the credit.
Speaker 2: Very interesting.
Speaker 1: The Wolverines loss dropped all the way out of the
top twenty five with that afore mentioned lost USC.
Speaker 2: I did not think they look at USC was my
top all that? Well, what happened?
Speaker 1: I was my four persest thanks for ever who jumped
on as part of five pound Tuesday with that. So, yeah,
you know it's a new we talk about again, the
time zone difference. It's the new Eastern kick for Washington.
People think, okay, advantage Michigan. But I'm with our powers
parent think Michigan is good. Is it was originally fawn?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this game has all the makings of
a snoozefest myself. I mean, yeah, Michigan gave up a
lot of yards and was torched by USC. But Washington
does not present the same difficulties offensively that the Michigan
defense will have to face, especially at home. And the
total right now, I'm seeing fifty and a half for fifty. Obviously,
if you like the under, you go fifty and a half.
I think this is a low scoring game. I think
it's a boring game. I think you'll see a few
sustained drives that end up being settled for field ball attempts.
Speaker 4: So I'd like the under here.
Speaker 3: I'm going to go Washington and Michigan under the total
of fifteen and a half.
Speaker 2: Okay, there you go and under in Washington Michigan. It
is now time.
Speaker 1: We go Wealth Ross and myself, Ralph. I'll let you
go first on this one, and you also get another
opportunity to tell the people what you've gotten going.
Speaker 2: On your page or at wager talk dot com.
Speaker 6: Well again, the Weekend Warrior, the only way to go.
I do have a five percent for Sunday in the NFL.
That's thirty five dollars, so over fourteen dollars more all
of my college football and Sunday's NFL.
Speaker 5: And remember, try.
Speaker 6: The goal if you never tried it, it's nine dollars. Guys,
you will be thankful that you did. The code GS
ten will save you ten dollars off the nineteen dollars
cost to pages nine dollars. I am going to go
to the Battle of Georgia, guys, and uh that is
the battle that everyone talks about in the Peach State.
That would be Georgia State and Georgia Southern. I look
at the teams and statistically the underdog is the better team.
Speaker 4: You know.
Speaker 6: You look at offense and defense. Georgia Southern on offense
ninety nine compared to the averages defense one thirty one
Georgia State ninety two and one oh seven. So not
huge differences, but differences. The problem is the offense. The
offense averaging only seventeen first downs per game, ninety yards
rushing three point five yards per carry. But this is
a Georgia Southern Eagles rush defense allowing two hundred and
fifty yards and six point zero yards per carry. The
two games Georgia State has top one hundred yards and
two games. One was against Mississippi, which was sort of
a shock in Week one. Their other was the win
against Murray State. Yes it was an FCSFO, but they
will get the run game going. I give them a
slight edge on defense, even though they gave up four
hundred and thirty five yards to app State last week
and a lot of yards passing. Georgia Southern does not
have that pass attack. They rushed the ball thirty one times,
they run the ball. They they pass and run just
about even. But both numbers are poor. Passing completion under
fifty nine percent, three point nine yards per carry.
Speaker 5: I have this game closer to a pick.
Speaker 2: Give me the upset, Ralph calling for the upset.
Speaker 1: There, Ross, it is now time to share your bet
and talk about one more time.
Speaker 2: Remind the folks what you got going on over, Ralph.
Speaker 3: I love you, man, because everybody in the state of
Georgia is talking about Georgia State Georgia Southern right with
with Georgia hosting number.
Speaker 4: Five and undefeated Ole Miss this week. So Ruff's got
a great one.
Speaker 3: Other league that you got a great way of taking
a pig and dressing them up in a tuxedo, which
you just did.
Speaker 6: So hey, you know what, the tickets cash the same, right, yeah,
right man?
Speaker 3: Yes, the money is green, just like it isn't the
big games Old Dominion had James Madison, you know it's
Old Dominion. Uh. The game Indiana all they can handle
in the twenty seven to fourteen loss, uh in their
season opener.
Speaker 4: But if you look at the statistics, they.
Speaker 3: Were really dominated in that game. And that game wasn't
as close as the final score would indicate, but still
gave the number three Hoosiers all they can handle. However,
they're coming off a terrible performance last week of forty
eight to twenty four loss at Marshall, who if you
remember Marshall luster head coach and twenty players went with
him to his new stop. And this is a Marshall
team that was a fourteen and a half point home
underdog and they win forty eight twenty four and really
concerning Old Dominion five turnovers.
Speaker 4: In that game.
Speaker 3: And I'd say really concerning because over their last three games,
the Monarchs have turned the ball over ten times. And
in a virtual even game like this one, is that's
something I have to consider. I mean, it's one thing, Okay,
maybe you got caught looking ahead. It's one thing you
were in a flat spot. But when you're making mistakes,
as I just alluded to consistently, it becomes concerning to me.
Speaker 4: Well. On the other hand, James Madison four game win streak.
All four games they allowed fourteen points or fewer.
Speaker 3: Excellent defense. They're five and one this year. They're only
lost twenty eight to fourteen at Louisville. In that game,
they held a what was thought to be a high
powered Louisville offense to just two hundred and sixty four yards.
JM Us defense is no joke. They're allowing thirteen point
seven points per game and just under two hundred and
thirty yards per contest. Here you go, Ralph, get the penout.
This is a betting angle, not a trend. A betting
angle which involves all teams in college football, not just
a specific team. College football home teams like James Madison
that allowed seventeen points or fewer in each of the
last four games, and they're facing an opponent that has
a less than seven to fifty win percentage, and they're
coming off a loss by seventeen.
Speaker 4: Points or more like Old Dominion did thirty four and
one straight up.
Speaker 3: Ralfy, and that's since twenty fifteen. Give me JM you
minus won ten on the money line.
Speaker 4: Now you're you might see a one twenty and one twenty.
Speaker 3: Five out there and it's okay, uh but JM, you
on the money line at home to turn in a
terrific defensive performance against a team that can move the
ball and old Dominu but a team that's making too
many mistakes for me to side with him.
Speaker 4: So there you have it, guys.
Speaker 6: Ryan Loss is back and he likes the Dukes. Yes,
Ross is back that I have to give him some crap. Okay,
after he picks on my Georgia versus Georgia game, I think.
Speaker 3: As well, yeahbody in the Standard Virginia's talking about this
one too.
Speaker 6: Well. Well, granted, yours is a meaningful sun Belt game,
So I mean it really is.
Speaker 5: So I just had to.
Speaker 6: Give you a little shout out because it's still the
fun Belt, right, Brian, you got to a Mac game, right?
Speaker 1: Well, no, I'm saying my game is not exactly the
national TV special.
Speaker 2: We'll get to it a minute.
Speaker 1: I do want to just go speed round on some
of the comments we didn't get to indianniverse. Michigan State
is a letdown spot for Indiana. Yes it is, but
there's one problem. Michigan State stinks all to high Heaven.
They are horrible. I can't and there's an injury a quarterback.
I can't back them. Tulane over twenty three and a
half team total. They are playing Army. I watched all
of the too late East Carolina game last week. Tou
Lane should have scored way more. They have terrible red
zone and efficiency. I won't talk you off at RJ
who wins the Tulsa game. Speaking of Ocho, Baby wants
to know about bet Tulsa is facing East Carolina tonight Thursday.
I will tell you this. I think East Carolina's gonna win.
Their a three score favorite. But if you want to
know about the points spread. Joe Ranieri on the best
betting show ever this morning, which I said with he
liked Tulsa and the points, and then TJC sixty five says,
row the boat. Since this is not a kayaking podcast,
it's college football, I assume you're talking about Minnesota. I
do think Minnesota plus the points would be the play there.
Although Nebraska is going to win that game. Minnesota was
one of the most fortunate winners last Saturday when they
got the pick six against Purdue. All right, for my
show best beat guys. Let's close it out and this
is a VP ugly. Let's just look at all the
facts and go the other way. Special Air Force is
hosting Yoming Air Force. Their offense is incredible, it's one
of the best of the country. Their defense is hidious,
it is the worst in the country. The total is
fifty eight and a half as air Force is playing Wyoming.
So I guess what I'm gonna tell you to do. Everybody,
We're gonna go to under fifty eight and a half.
We're gonna call for that first Air Force under. Why
would I do that? Ross, Well, I'm gonna tell you
why When Air Force played Wyoming last week or last year.
When the these teams met last year, the total was
thirty three.
Speaker 2: Now it's fifty eight and a half.
Speaker 1: I get that it's a different Air Force team, but
that's quite a year to year difference in total. And
guess what Force yet for their first under to hit,
you gotta have the right dance partner Wyoming's. Wyoming has
not had a total close north of fifty all year.
Last week they were in a high scoring game thirty
five to twenty eight with San Jose State, but guess what.
Speaker 2: Wyoming got two non offensive touchdowns in that game. This
is the.
Speaker 1: Ultimate hold your nose and go contrarian under air Force
Wyoming under fifty eight and a half is my best
bet here on the blitz, Dan, let's see those plays
right there to remind the people. Ross he likes the
dukes of James Madison on the money line, Ralph, he
was also in the sun Belt Georgia state plus six
and a half and then I apparently have lost my
mind by taking Wyoming air Force under.
Speaker 2: Fifty eight and a half. What a fun watch that'll
be with that?
Speaker 1: Why that Air Force defense was so bad last week
against UNLV, but they're not playing UNLV this week.
Speaker 2: Ross, they're playing.
Speaker 3: Quarterbacks pretty good, I'm Brian, since they made the change
that kids, Yes, taking take a look at him in
this contest. This kid has really made a big difference
for the Air Force office.
Speaker 6: Yes, yeah, scrambling last week and running and his receivers
are starting to learn that they have to scramble with them,
and it really is some synergy on that offense. And
just FYI, you know air Force last year through for
one thousand and seventy seven yards on the season.
Speaker 5: So far they have twelve eighty six.
Speaker 2: We're going to way last year forty.
Speaker 6: Last year they completed forty five percent on the season.
This year they're completing sixty one. So uh, Liam Zarka
is the real deal over there in uh college not college.
Speaker 2: Uh Colorado, Colorado Springs.
Speaker 5: Thank you appreciate it.
Speaker 4: Well, they tell you state of Georgia, but it's Colorado.
Speaker 2: Yeah there you go. Okay, everybody's talking.
Speaker 4: About this scheme in Colorado, by the way.
Speaker 1: Roun they are, and Wyoming. I'll tell you what I've
been before. It's a beautiful state.
Speaker 2: All right.
Speaker 1: That is it for this edition of the Blitz. Hopefully
you enjoyed it. If you did, again, smash that like
button show your support. We will be back live one
pm Easter next Thursday, as we are live of course
each and every Thursday. Ross. It was so great to
see you here again, Ralph, as always great guys.
Speaker 2: Until next time, let's cash some tickets.