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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in and it's time for full court press.

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It is Thursday, that means the mid majors are out

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in full force. We're a couple of minutes late this morning,

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so very quick recap. Two and two for me yesterday

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was sitting two and one after the early games. Had

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New Mexico last night and they did not show up

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in the second half. But Arkansas Pine Bluff got it

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done for me with an outright win. So I'm dressed

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accordingly today. This was a gift from the athletic department.

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They were awesome to me down there.

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Speaker 2: Rob.

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Speaker 1: I felt like I had to bust out the Golden

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Lions zip up today. So two and two for me yesterday, Rob,

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how'd you do?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? It wasn't brilliant yesterday, Adam.

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Speaker 3: It started out with a really tough loss with Detroit

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Teetotal over seventy four and a half.

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Speaker 2: And I feel like I'm repeating some.

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Speaker 3: Of the stuff that you went through in November and December,

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where you had Troy seventy four points thirty seconds left.

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The other side, You're going to the free throw line,

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two shots with your point guard, any front rims both

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of them, and you're like what are we doing here?

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Speaker 2: You lose by half a point? Was not great.

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Speaker 3: And then of course Washington State, which we left here

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as a play the team total over was my featured

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play of the day and Oregon State comes up with

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fifty one second half. I would have thought it'd be

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the other way around, but it wasn't. So was a

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poor one in three College Basketball Day. NBA bailed me

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out with the Denver Nuggets, so we didn't lose quite

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that much, but college Hoop was a tough day, one

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of the few tough days we had all season.

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Speaker 1: Well, listen, it's a long season. You know. Our goal

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is to just try to get as much good info

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out on a daily basis. So let's bounce back today. Rob,

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I was, you know, kicking around feature games with you,

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and I said, you know, I really, I know. There's

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a Power Conference game tonight, but it's a twenty five

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point spread. There's only so much we can talk about

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in that one. So I chose I want to head

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to the American Athletic Conference because this conference is If

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you haven't been following American Athletic Conference basketball, this is

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as intriguing of a league as there is in the country.

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In terms of like how close these teams are, how

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close every single game is. Tulsa and Fau was scenes

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at the end of that game, Rob, I don't know

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if you saw the end or if you had FAU

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plus two and a half, you might want to play

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the lottery this morning. A crazy end to that game

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and for that one to stay within two and a half.

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But they're all great games. They're all like, there's so

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many of these teams are so close. The reason I

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bring that up to lead into our feature game here, Rob,

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is the team that everyone thought was gonna run away

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with this league, the Memphis Tigers, are not really even

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in that top group right now. They're sitting down there

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five and four, and they're playing a team that I

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think a lot of others may have thought was another

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team that would be in the mix at the top.

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I know, if you go back to the beginning of

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the season, I personally like South Florida. They're in second

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place right now. But like the two teams that I

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think were on most people's you know, radar as the

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best teams in this league, UAB and Memphis, I would

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go as far as to say both have kind of

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struggled this season and now they're sitting there five and

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four National TV, ESPN two tonight, really big game for

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the loser of this game is in trouble in this league.

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In my opinion, I think the winner gets themselves back

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into the mix. So Rob Bino, UAB Memphis tonight. This

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one is down in. This one is down in Birmingham, Alabama,

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which means UAB hits the road, but it also means

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Pennies on the road is a slight dog. So how

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are you seeing this one? UAB Memphis.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's the first thing that hits you when you're

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handicapping Memphis is their more comfortable position is.

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Speaker 2: As a.

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Speaker 3: You add to that and the fact that they're the

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best defense in the AAC defensive efficiency wise, so that's helpful.

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UAB has just been a complete bus so far this season.

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But you look at the last two games they played

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and think, well, they beat North Texas, which is a

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really good defense, slow down type team. Maybe there's something

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going on with the Indie Kennedy squad.

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Speaker 2: I'm not so sure.

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Speaker 3: I have a lot more faith in the ceiling of

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Memphis at this point in time of the season than

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I do in that of UAB, and that comes off

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the heels of a loss to Ron Hunter's two lane team,

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which isn't really that good, But I.

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Speaker 2: Think that helps here.

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Speaker 3: Again, we're playing situations and spots a lot of times

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at this time of year, and I think Memphis off

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the loss, probably brings a little bit more energy here tonight.

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Memphis as a road dog, probably brings a little more

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energy tonight. And then personnel wise, I just think they're

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better than what UAB is.

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Speaker 2: You ain't be.

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Speaker 3: Generally speaking under Andy Kennedy, fast paced, high scoring. It's

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not vintage UAB in either of those categories so far

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this season. So to me, I think the total and

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again I've said this before about Memphis games, so hard

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for me to figure totals with this team. They've been

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a little bit higher lately as far as final score

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results go, and maybe that's a sign of something, but

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I think they clamp down here defensively. So for me,

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not a game I played, I do like the Memphis side.

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I could get there still Adam plus two because I

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just just because I think they're the better team in

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this instance, and there is a lot to play for

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it this time in February and not that UAB doesn't

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have a lot to play for themselves, but I just

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don't know that they'll be able to dent the Memphis defense.

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Past editions of UAB, I wouldn't worry about it. I'd

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probably be on over in this game. Don't know that

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I can get myself to believe that there's definitely gonna

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be one hundred and fifty four points in this one.

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So for me, probably Memphis plus the points very very slightly.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Rob. We always talk about on this show, how

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we do this show in a time slot where a

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lot of these numbers are moving, like in real time,

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And I would say with this one just moved to

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So this particular game has had some market activity here

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over the last I would say ten minutes or so,

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pretty much right since we logged on the show, Like

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as it stands in real time right now, with that

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hitting two and a half, I think you can beat Memphis.

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I think it's going to get that back. So it

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looks like UAB was a point point and a half

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favorite here. It had got up to it was one

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and a half that had got up to two. Now

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the two and a half's are coming. And as I

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watch our odds Logic screen, which again I guess, good

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time to promot Odds Logic. I really think it's the best.

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I've gotten so used to it at this point point.

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It's just so easy to use to organize, and it's

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and it's cheaper than a lot of the other, like

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you know, kind of comparable things out there. I think

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the best bang for your buck is odd Logic. I

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make I get zero dollars to say that. By the way,

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I might have to strike up a deal there, Rob

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because I'm over here promoting it. But I know a

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lot of the wager Talk folks use it and sort

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of swear by it. It really is really good. Point is,

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I'm watching the screen right now. I'm watching every sharp

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book get hit at two and a half. The second

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it gets to two and a half, that to me

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in my head was like, all right, that's my that's

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my sort of buy sort of price with Memphis. Now,

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I haven't done it yet, but I totally understand like

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wanting to take that key number in a game that

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really is you know, I would say it's a pretty

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even match up all things considered. I personally like the

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spot for Memphis. You know, we talked about these teams

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getting into February and having almost like the come to

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Jesus moment right where it's like, hey, your season isn't

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going the way you thought. It's you know, you've had

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some bad results from Memphis. It's losing three of the

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last four. You're not going to be the team that

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runs away with this league now. But there's still a

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lot of season to play, right, You're still very much

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in the mix at five and four, just two games

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off of the lead in this in this league, and

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and you know, Memphis is going to have to start

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being realistic about things. They're they're probably not an out.

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They're not an at large team. I know they wanted

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to set their season up to be an at large team,

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but they're just not that. So there's still a lot

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of season left. They'll obviously have their shot in the

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American Tournament. But I think this is a good sort

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of rallying point for Penny, who tends to do well

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in the you know, in this spot as an underdog,

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which's now an underdog. And when you look at these

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two teams, I don't see like so many redeeming qualities

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here from ua B to say, oh well, UAB is

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like like a better team, and they'd be going in

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a you know, I look and say, okay, well, I'm

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getting I still think Memphis might be the better of

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these two particular teams, and now you're gonna give them

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to me in a spot where I think maybe favors

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Memphis off of a bad loss and plus two and

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a half, that's pretty good. That's good enough, Rob, I

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think I have to take Memphis there in that In

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that scenario.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think when you look at the game, none

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of those you know, none of the units that are

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going to be on the floor of Memphis offense, Memphis defense,

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UA B offense, UAB defense, Three of the four are

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mediocre at best. The one that stands out is the

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Memphis defensive end, which has still been really really good

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in this league, good enough to be the best defensive

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efficiency team in the league.

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Speaker 2: So I would bank on.

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Speaker 3: The road defense and Penny motivationally to get this to

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like I say, Andy Kennedy's team in recent years, I

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probably would have been all over and the money is

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all I'm over in this game. Generally speaking, I would

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be there too, but I'm just not sure Jacob.

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Speaker 1: I'll go to Jacob's question or kind of comic because

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he makes a good point. He says, Memphis is one

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and six on the road this season. Yeah, that's listen,

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that people are going to see that. That's certainly, that's

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certainly a concern. I think when you when you talk

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about Memphis, I guess my sort of counter there is,

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you know, I've been to I've been to a lot

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of these venues in the American at this point, and

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none none of them have had just like what I

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consider to be like a like an insane home atmosphere

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where I would like bump considerably for home court. I

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think the one that I haven't been to yet that

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is probably the one that everyone thinks is like the

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more hype sort of home spots would be Wichita and

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South Florida. And of course one of those home one

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of those away losses for Memphis was Wichita. Tulsa was

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a good atmosphere over the weekend. But again I don't

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I've been to Tulsa. I've been to Temple, I've been

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to Fau, I've been in North Texas. I think there's

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another one on this list. I didn't go into any

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of those buildings Florida Atlantic, even Florida Atlantic, Like you know,

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they they struggled to get twenty eight hundred at the Lye.

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And it's not like I don't think the students are

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as invested as they were maybe after they had like

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one or went to the final four. So I'm just

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not I'm not giving like the huge bump for home

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court here. And I've heard from you people that UAB

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doesn't have this great home court either, So I think

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I gravitate more toward Penny as a dog than Memphis

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being one and six on the on the road. If

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you're if you're truly looking for like like a trend,

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I'd prefer the Pennies really good as an underdog trend

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over the Memphis is one and six on the road,

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because I think some of that small sample size.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, And you could counter that really easy at them

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by saying uab's zero to four at home last four

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games in the American East. They lost at home by

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thirteen to USF, by twenty two to Telsa, by five

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to Florida Atlantic, and by five to Wichita. They haven't

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beaten anybody their last four home games. Those are all

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outright losses. So what's an oh and four team doing

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being favored against a team of you know, I guess

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in my in my mind, I think that Memphis is

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slightly stronger, but book maker power rating numbers probably relative

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strength here they're getting that bump for home court.

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 3: One in six one way, oh and four the other way.

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You know, pick whichever hand yournade you on a stand

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in front of it.

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, hey, and with how with how good the the

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just that every game in this conference seems to be

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you might be good with getting two and a half points, right,

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you might end up in the in the one possession

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of the game that comes down to the final possession

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that neither team can close out. Andy, maybe you get it.

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Either way, it'll be a good one. That's That's a

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nine pm tonight ESPN two. Certainly one that a lot

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of people will have on their TVs. And good luck

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if you did get involved with that one. I have

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not done so yet. All right, Rob, we're gonna go

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to Garth. Garth is donated. We appreciate you. We appreciate

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all of you in the chat, even if you know

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the donations, the likes, the subscribe, the retweets, just simply

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showing up and watching the show every day is greatly appreciated,

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and but we will do Guarth's game. This is another

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power conference game. This is a power conference game. I

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don't know that we've had the argument of like, is

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the American a mid major league at this point. I

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lean toward it sort of being that. But we know

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the Big twelve is not, and we do have some

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Big twelve actions. So Garth says, and I'll let you

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kick this someone off, Rob, because I'm going to try

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to pull off the incredible feat of betting while we're

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on the show. Very very difficult to do all of

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a sudden, but I'm gonna let you kick this one off.

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It's Cincinnati West Virginia. What Garth says is revenge spot

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for since he at home, he knows both teams typically

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played to the under. He thinks that total is too low,

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so you're our totals guy. Anyway, talk to me about

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West Virginia Cincinnati for Garth.

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Speaker 3: First point he makes, I just want to go off topic,

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hairbit and say to everybody that revenge games, this is

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the time of year where we see second time around.

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I went through ad him this morning and counted there

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are eight legitimate revenge games today inside of conference, a

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lot of it mid major because their tournaments come earlier,

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they're into the second time around quicker.

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Speaker 2: But like Garth says, this is one.

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Speaker 3: It was a sixty two to sixty West Virginia win

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the first time around against Cincinnati West Virginia at home.

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Now since he gets a chance to get their revenge,

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I would be in agreement that the total here is

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really low.

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Speaker 2: I mean, we started the.

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Speaker 3: Year by talking about Ross Hodge and coming from North Texas,

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and that's the way West Virginia is going to style.

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West Virginia is gonna do adapt here under his leadership,

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and it's pretty much come true. They are a good

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defensive team. Of course, you're in the Big twelve. We're

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being good only puts you middle of the pack. Cincinnati's

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rated even a little higher under West Millard defensively, but

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00:14:45,919 --> 00:14:49,159
I do think there's some redeeming offensive qualities for both,

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00:14:49,279 --> 00:14:53,440
although if you just go through the analytics, they're two

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of the three worst efficient offensive teams inside this league.

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West Virginia spent a lot of time this year talking

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about really good freshmen. West Virginia obviously one of those

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teams with one. For me, just on sheer numbers, Garth,

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I would probably lean toward over. This thing's come way

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down at this point, thirty two down to twenty eight,

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twenty eight and a half. You're looking for sixty five

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00:15:23,159 --> 00:15:25,519
sixty four. You got sixty two to sixty.

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Speaker 2: The first time.

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00:15:25,840 --> 00:15:27,600
Speaker 3: And there's some game film, and let me just say

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real quick that in that game, Adam, the shooting was horrendous.

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On the Cincinnati side, they were the road team, only

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00:15:35,639 --> 00:15:37,960
scored nine points in the first ten minutes. But when

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00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:40,799
thirty seven percent from the floorid thirty four percent from three.

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Not a lot of free surprisingly in this game, not

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a lot of free throws. You would think a Cincinnati

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00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:48,840
West Virginia game would have a lot of trips to

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the free throw line. Cincinnati only got there nine times,

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made four. The other side, West Virginia got there thirteen times,

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only made seven, barely fifty percent on one side, less

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than fifty percent on the other side. You make a

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00:16:02,639 --> 00:16:05,840
couple of those free throws in that first meeting, and

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you are over this particular total.

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Speaker 2: So I could see some things changing here.

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00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:14,679
Speaker 3: They don't have to change in a huge manner in

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order to get to one twenty nine in this case,

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so I'd be with Garth.

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Speaker 2: It's not something where I'd say we've got a.

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Speaker 3: Ton of wiggle room just because of styles of teams.

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But Wes Miller's team has shown the ability to score

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at times. West Virginia has shown the ability to score

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at times. And like I said, when you have second

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time around game film, coaches always like to try and

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fix what went wrong the first time. On the Cincinnati end,

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it was the offense. And Cincinnati gets the home floor

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00:16:44,919 --> 00:16:48,360
this time. So for me, I'd probably think their offense

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00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:51,679
has been put output increases and therefore it gets up

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and over.

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Speaker 1: You know, this is this is one where my I

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guess my initial reaction is where the market is sort

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of leaning to here. It was like, why is Cincinnati

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favored by six? You know, like what is you know,

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I know they had, I know they've had you know,

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had a big win over Iowa State, which to me

348
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was was such a a that that was more there

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was a bad spot for Iowa State. If you go

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back to the Iowa State game, I believe they had

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just lost their first game, which was a which was

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a trip to Kansas. So they went to Kansas. They

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got blown out, and then they had to follow it

354
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up and play another road game a couple of days

355
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later at Cincinnati. So as Kelly Stewart loves to stay,

356
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I think the I think Iowa State lost that Kansas

357
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game twice, right like, and it was to Cincinnati's benefit

358
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getting that that win in that spot, because you know,

359
00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:49,960
if I remember correctly, and that was that was on

360
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a Saturday when I was trying to watch you know,

361
00:17:52,240 --> 00:17:55,720
seven other games. That was a very lethargic effort from

362
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Iowa State. So I guess credit listen, credit to Cincinnati

363
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for getting the big home win, but I think that

364
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had more to do with Iowa State just being in

365
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a really tough spot, huge winning streak. Than they lose

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to Kansas, then they have to turn around and play

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another road game. Since that win, they've you know, Cincinnati

368
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has lost three or four not competitive with Arizona whatsoever.

369
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Lose to Arizona State, which is not a good not

370
00:18:18,759 --> 00:18:21,240
a good team. No one's no one's faulting you for

371
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losing to Houston, but still not competitive in that game either.

372
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So now so now be like all of a sudden,

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Cincinnati is laying six points laying three possessions against a

374
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West Virginia team that you know, beat them the first time,

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right sixty two to sixty final in Morgantown back in

376
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back on January sixth. I mean just I didn't have

377
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a tremendous opinion on this game from a from a

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handicapping standpoint. But Garth, if you like the under, and

379
00:18:51,640 --> 00:18:54,599
the under is that is that number one twenty seven

380
00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:57,000
and a half, you almost kind of have to like

381
00:18:57,039 --> 00:18:59,119
the plus six or at least think that there's the

382
00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:02,200
per point that you robbed Veno on plus six. It

383
00:19:02,319 --> 00:19:05,640
is definitely there, so I lean the dog. Again. I

384
00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:08,960
haven't had a great beat on either of these two

385
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teams this year, so I don't know if this will

386
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,920
make my card today, but that number seemed awfully high

387
00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:14,559
at minus six.

388
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd have to agree.

389
00:19:17,319 --> 00:19:19,480
Speaker 3: I mean, granted, it's revenge, but it was a two

390
00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:20,640
point game the first time around.

391
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Speaker 2: These two teams.

392
00:19:22,039 --> 00:19:27,680
Speaker 3: Are basically equal after you know, the eye test will

393
00:19:27,720 --> 00:19:30,279
tell you that they're about equal in what they do

394
00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:33,920
well what they don't do well, and it should it

395
00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,960
could be another two point game the other way. Back

396
00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:41,400
to his point guard's point about total, I do think

397
00:19:41,440 --> 00:19:43,279
probably it's a it's a shade too low.

398
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Speaker 2: Got to rename that game to Bob Huggins Bowls, shouldn't they?

399
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Speaker 3: I mean seriously, whenever I think of SINCEI in West Virginia,

400
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that's the first person that comes to mind for me.

401
00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:56,519
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, no, absolutely, Bob Huggins, great coach. Yeah, it

402
00:19:56,880 --> 00:20:00,559
was really you have to, I guess for me. For

403
00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:02,559
my I was I was old enough to you know,

404
00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:05,519
I was old enough to remember those good Cincy Bob

405
00:20:05,599 --> 00:20:08,200
Huggins teams. That was. Those were some good teams. I

406
00:20:08,279 --> 00:20:10,680
want to say, did did they not get to number one?

407
00:20:10,839 --> 00:20:12,640
They were number one with Keny Martin at one point,

408
00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:13,119
were they not?

409
00:20:13,519 --> 00:20:15,279
Speaker 2: Yes, there they were?

410
00:20:16,559 --> 00:20:18,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, that was it. That was a that was a

411
00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:22,119
great run those Cincy teams late nineties, right late that

412
00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:24,240
was probably late nineties, early two thousand.

413
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Speaker 3: Yeah, because Kenyon Martin winds up in the NBA Championship

414
00:20:28,599 --> 00:20:30,519
with the nets in like oh one.

415
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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, that was that was uh. And I remember

416
00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:37,559
as a kid right around a kid at that time,

417
00:20:37,599 --> 00:20:39,759
I wanted it was like obviously hard to get, but

418
00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:44,039
I always wanted Cincinnati gear that that logo for for

419
00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:47,200
a you know, probably like what twelve thirteen year old

420
00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:50,640
Adam Trigger thought that those Sincy jerseys in that logo

421
00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:52,920
was as good as it gets. All right, let's uh,

422
00:20:53,000 --> 00:20:58,160
let's continue on. Let's go to Paul. Paul says, first

423
00:20:58,200 --> 00:20:59,519
thing I want to say is thank you for the

424
00:20:59,559 --> 00:21:02,799
Missouri Alabama game breakdown. Huge help. That was. I think

425
00:21:02,839 --> 00:21:05,680
we're a week ago or two at this point. I

426
00:21:05,799 --> 00:21:08,799
remember commenting because I think, I think when you donate

427
00:21:08,839 --> 00:21:11,640
in the ten dollars range, Rob Bino, which is extremely

428
00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:15,359
generous and we very very much appreciate, it's a different color.

429
00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:18,480
So I remember commenting on the Missouri colors on the

430
00:21:19,279 --> 00:21:22,119
on the text, and we've got them again here. You

431
00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:24,880
could say they're also Arkansas Pine Bluff colors. Who knows

432
00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:28,680
how to won with them last night as well? And

433
00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:34,200
he says, but he says he likes the over in Jacksonville, Queens.

434
00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:36,680
So it looks like it looks like we're going to

435
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:41,559
the Atlantic Sun here, Rob Brito, Jacksonville, Queens. This this

436
00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:44,200
is a this is about as this is about as

437
00:21:45,279 --> 00:21:47,920
you know, off the reservation as you can get even

438
00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:50,720
on mid major Thursday right here, because this is isn't

439
00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:52,839
even the biggest game in the a Sun. But that's

440
00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:55,160
what we're here to do, talk about the games that

441
00:21:55,279 --> 00:21:57,319
you guys want to talk about, and of course if

442
00:21:57,319 --> 00:21:59,599
someone donates to the show, we're going to get the game.

443
00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:03,599
So Queen's University, they'll rob, has been awesome. They've been

444
00:22:03,599 --> 00:22:05,920
the best team in this league this year. And I'll

445
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:08,240
actually comment on that in a different game in a

446
00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:12,319
little bit. But Queen's University has been awesome. They play Jacksonville.

447
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:15,440
Paul wants to know about the total. So what do

448
00:22:15,480 --> 00:22:18,119
you got for me on the total in Jacksonville Queens?

449
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:22,119
Speaker 3: Well, I'd say real quick, anytime Queens appears on the board,

450
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:25,000
the over is the first place that I look in

451
00:22:25,039 --> 00:22:27,680
this instance, when I went back and looked at the

452
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:30,759
original meeting or the first meeting against Jacksonville, it only

453
00:22:30,839 --> 00:22:34,680
hit won twenty eight, simply because Jacksonville can't score. It's

454
00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:38,480
the worst offensive team in the conference. Queens did their

455
00:22:38,519 --> 00:22:41,279
part score. So actually, for Queens, that's not doing their part.

456
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:45,279
Scoring seventy seven against Jacksonville. You want them to be

457
00:22:46,039 --> 00:22:49,319
somewhere in the eighties to get it over. But Jacksonville,

458
00:22:50,319 --> 00:22:53,680
listen for what it's worth, they stink on offense. They're

459
00:22:53,799 --> 00:22:56,880
really good inside league on defense. So it's a team

460
00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:59,480
that wants to go slow, wants to try and have

461
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:05,319
court you to death when you're just a simple fundamental thing.

462
00:23:05,599 --> 00:23:11,880
When you're not as good athletically each and every year,

463
00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:14,480
sometimes what coaches try to do is, you know, slowing

464
00:23:14,519 --> 00:23:15,720
the game down works as.

465
00:23:15,599 --> 00:23:16,599
Speaker 2: A form of defense.

466
00:23:17,519 --> 00:23:19,279
Speaker 3: If you're not good enough to guard man to man,

467
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:21,680
you have to be in zone all the time, et cetera,

468
00:23:21,759 --> 00:23:25,240
et cetera, and you can't score with the other team,

469
00:23:25,279 --> 00:23:27,480
then you slow the game down and try.

470
00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:29,319
Speaker 2: To limit the possessions, et cetera, et cetera. That's what

471
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:31,480
they did to Queens in that game.

472
00:23:31,759 --> 00:23:34,319
Speaker 3: Queens shot it really well. I mean almost one point

473
00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:37,000
two points per possession is a good number. But if

474
00:23:37,039 --> 00:23:40,319
they repeat that here, you've got to get something out

475
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:43,440
of Jacksonville to get this total over. And I think

476
00:23:43,440 --> 00:23:47,079
it's why the money has pushed this one down. There's

477
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:51,279
a lot of instances where I will play overs with

478
00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:56,240
really really good offensive teams against really really good defensive teams.

479
00:23:57,319 --> 00:23:59,559
But when the other side of the floor says the

480
00:23:59,599 --> 00:24:03,000
other stinks it's hard, Queens is just not going to

481
00:24:03,039 --> 00:24:05,319
give them up like water to Jacksonville. They didn't the

482
00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:09,359
first time Jacksonville four nineteen from three. As I look

483
00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:12,160
at the earlier box way back on January eight, a

484
00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:15,079
month ago, I don't know. It's a tough one for me, Paul.

485
00:24:15,319 --> 00:24:17,799
I see where you're going with it, because it's relatively

486
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:21,519
low for a Queen's game. When you can get something

487
00:24:21,559 --> 00:24:23,960
in the mid one forties or the upper end of

488
00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:26,000
the one forties, I think this one's one forty six.

489
00:24:26,839 --> 00:24:29,400
You want to react to that, But I just don't

490
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:31,240
know what we're gonna get out of Jacksonville here. It's

491
00:24:31,279 --> 00:24:34,519
almost like if you don't get I'll say this, if

492
00:24:34,519 --> 00:24:37,440
you don't get eighty five out of Queens this time,

493
00:24:38,319 --> 00:24:41,720
then you probably have no chance because Jacksonville on the

494
00:24:41,759 --> 00:24:44,160
road isn't gonna come with a lot of support. So

495
00:24:44,519 --> 00:24:47,480
it's got to be a Queen's blowout somewhere to the

496
00:24:47,519 --> 00:24:50,000
tune of ninety to sixty one. If you see that

497
00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:53,039
in your you know, crystal ball, then that's that's the

498
00:24:53,039 --> 00:24:56,200
way to go. I definitely get what he's saying, Adam.

499
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:57,880
I just don't know that I could bring myself to

500
00:24:57,920 --> 00:24:58,200
do it.

501
00:25:00,799 --> 00:25:04,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I misspoke a little bit about Queens they were,

502
00:25:04,599 --> 00:25:06,960
they were it seemed like they were running away with

503
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:09,279
this league at one point, and then they've lost. They've

504
00:25:09,319 --> 00:25:13,359
lost three straight. So from a from a standpoint of

505
00:25:13,559 --> 00:25:17,000
like getting right here, Rob Vino, it certainly feels like

506
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,240
this could be the spot where Queens, you know, really

507
00:25:20,319 --> 00:25:22,640
lays into someone. Of course, they lose on the road

508
00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:25,400
as a favorite last time to Bellerman. Uh, they lose

509
00:25:25,440 --> 00:25:29,720
a home game to Central Arkansas. I had to double

510
00:25:29,799 --> 00:25:33,240
check that score, one hundred to ninety against Central Arkansas.

511
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:36,079
They so they've lost a few games in a row. Now,

512
00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:38,920
as as a as a favorite, I believe, I believe

513
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:42,640
three in a row. The first meeting, they crushed Jacksonville

514
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:45,000
on the road seventy seven to fifty one. So yeah,

515
00:25:45,079 --> 00:25:48,160
I'm I'm again. This was not one that I put

516
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:52,079
a ton of of thought into yet, just because I

517
00:25:52,079 --> 00:25:53,839
don't feel like I have as good of a beat

518
00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:56,640
on these two teams, haven't. I don't think I've bet

519
00:25:56,799 --> 00:25:59,839
Actually that's actually not true. I've I've faded. I've successfully

520
00:26:00,039 --> 00:26:03,200
baited Jacksonville at points this year. So that's what I

521
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:04,799
would do here. I think if I was gonna play

522
00:26:04,799 --> 00:26:07,759
this one, it would have to just be Queen's lay

523
00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:10,839
it and hope that this looks like the first meeting,

524
00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:13,599
because if it looks anything like the first meeting, Rob,

525
00:26:13,799 --> 00:26:17,200
You're gonna cash easily with queens. That was a blowout.

526
00:26:18,240 --> 00:26:23,039
All right, We are off and running today. Sean, our guy,

527
00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:26,759
Sean Higgs is in the chat. Someone's like, this card sucks.

528
00:26:26,799 --> 00:26:29,079
He's like sucks. He's like, I got ten games. I

529
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:31,519
already moved in five others. I'm about to fire on. Yeah,

530
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,240
that's my biggest problem on a Thursday card like this,

531
00:26:34,599 --> 00:26:36,559
when all the mid majors are playing and these are

532
00:26:36,599 --> 00:26:38,720
all the teams that I feel like I have better,

533
00:26:38,759 --> 00:26:42,200
you know, better insight on than the market. I am

534
00:26:42,319 --> 00:26:44,759
in that boat a lot of times where I'm sitting

535
00:26:44,799 --> 00:26:48,240
there with like fifteen games and I'm like, what do

536
00:26:48,279 --> 00:26:50,960
I do? Right? Do I fire all fifteen? Probably? Not?

537
00:26:51,599 --> 00:26:51,680
Speaker 2: So?

538
00:26:51,839 --> 00:26:54,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, pairing down on Thursday for me is tough to Sean,

539
00:26:54,920 --> 00:26:59,000
I agree with that. I'll and I'll give out. I'll

540
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:00,880
give out at least a clock. I'll give out one

541
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:03,720
client play on the show. I even again, it's I

542
00:27:03,759 --> 00:27:06,279
said this yesterday and this is I'll use this time

543
00:27:06,279 --> 00:27:09,279
to promo our package. Rob and I have the Double

544
00:27:09,279 --> 00:27:11,920
the Firepower CBB package. It's all of my plays, it's

545
00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:14,519
all of Rob's plays. I don't mind giving one out

546
00:27:14,559 --> 00:27:16,359
on the show because, like pretty much, we're at the

547
00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:19,279
point where almost every day, with the exception of maybe

548
00:27:19,279 --> 00:27:21,839
a Monday or a Friday, I'm gonna have like four,

549
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:26,079
like four plays maybe five that are all client plays.

550
00:27:26,079 --> 00:27:27,880
So we'll make sure you get one on the show.

551
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:31,440
But bang for your buckwise, Rob Bino, that's a I

552
00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:33,720
can't I think that's as good as it's ever been

553
00:27:34,319 --> 00:27:38,119
for my plays during a basketball season. I don't know

554
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:39,880
that we've ever had a package as good as that

555
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:43,960
one from a value standpoint. So that that's my promo.

556
00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:46,880
Check check it out. I don't think you'll be disappointed

557
00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:50,519
with the amount of info and different angles you're getting

558
00:27:50,519 --> 00:27:55,559
on that package. All right, Rob, we've got to do

559
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:58,200
this one. I almost I almost was gonna make this

560
00:27:58,279 --> 00:28:01,359
the feature game because I think that this is possibly

561
00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:02,920
the game of the night. And then I said, ah,

562
00:28:02,920 --> 00:28:04,519
we gotta do something a little bit bigger. Got to

563
00:28:04,559 --> 00:28:07,519
go to national TV. No, I'm not talking Sianna Iona

564
00:28:07,559 --> 00:28:09,240
though that is a big deal to folks in the

565
00:28:09,279 --> 00:28:13,720
Capitol region. But I am talking about William and Mary.

566
00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:19,119
You and c Wilmington, Rob, I also and Clement. The

567
00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:22,920
chat says, can we get thoughts on Wilmington and William

568
00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:25,359
and Mary? And we've actually had a lot of thoughts

569
00:28:25,359 --> 00:28:27,559
on these two teams this year. So what I wanted

570
00:28:27,599 --> 00:28:30,359
to point out Rob, I'm watching games the last you

571
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:33,880
Know over the weekend, and I wrote, I jotted down,

572
00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:36,599
make sure to bring this up when next time these

573
00:28:36,599 --> 00:28:40,440
guys play. You and I have talked about William and Mary.

574
00:28:40,519 --> 00:28:42,200
It feels like every time they play a game, they

575
00:28:42,240 --> 00:28:45,319
come up on our show. You've had success with William

576
00:28:45,319 --> 00:28:49,240
and Mary. From a totals perspective. Something I said was

577
00:28:50,079 --> 00:28:53,559
we got to revisit this team in February because Brian

578
00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:56,279
Earl's teams in the past, the teams he had up

579
00:28:56,319 --> 00:28:59,599
here in Central New York at Cornell when they weren't

580
00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:02,440
his suonoper experienced teams that were very, very used to

581
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,119
playing his system. They would they would run out of

582
00:29:05,119 --> 00:29:08,400
gas a little bit. In February. He plays such a

583
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:12,279
grueling system, so much press, so much up and down

584
00:29:12,319 --> 00:29:15,720
on offense that there are Cornell guys that were on

585
00:29:15,799 --> 00:29:18,519
record saying like we just straight up ran out of gas.

586
00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:22,039
We were not ready for like, we were not conditioned

587
00:29:22,079 --> 00:29:25,079
properly to play the way he wanted to play. Now

588
00:29:25,079 --> 00:29:26,920
he's at William and Mary, so you would think year

589
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:29,160
two that might not be as big of an issue.

590
00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:31,359
But his roster is a lot different than it was

591
00:29:31,440 --> 00:29:33,480
last year. Just going off of memory, I think I

592
00:29:33,519 --> 00:29:36,480
think he inherited some upperclassmen last year that are no

593
00:29:36,559 --> 00:29:39,880
longer there. So I had mentioned to you, Rob, I said,

594
00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:42,640
we got to talk about this. Come back early February,

595
00:29:42,759 --> 00:29:46,079
and over the weekend William and Mary looked as gassed

596
00:29:46,119 --> 00:29:49,359
as I've seen them all season. I mean, Campbell lay

597
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:52,440
up lines for Campbell over the weekend, right to the rim,

598
00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:56,640
no resistance whatsoever. Campbell dropped one oh four in a

599
00:29:56,720 --> 00:30:00,160
one oh four to ninety six final down in I

600
00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:03,319
believe Buois Creek, North Carolina. Oh I'm sorry, No, that's

601
00:30:03,319 --> 00:30:05,240
even worse, Rob. That was at well, that was a

602
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:08,200
home game for the Tribe. Steve Merrill leaving in disgust

603
00:30:08,599 --> 00:30:11,079
at the effort for that game. One oh four to

604
00:30:11,160 --> 00:30:14,240
ninety six. Now it's a road game for the Tribe.

605
00:30:14,319 --> 00:30:17,799
They're headed to Trash coliseumjun in Wilmington. They say, this

606
00:30:17,839 --> 00:30:21,079
is the best mid major environment in college basketball. I

607
00:30:21,119 --> 00:30:23,480
already saw the white T shirts on the chairs. It's

608
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:27,119
a white out at Wilmington tonight. Rob, you're the William

609
00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:28,839
and Marry guy this year for this show. What are

610
00:30:28,839 --> 00:30:29,759
you doing with this one?

611
00:30:31,079 --> 00:30:32,000
Speaker 2: Well, I'll say this.

612
00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:35,799
Speaker 3: I did watch that Campbell William and Mary game the

613
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:39,519
other day, and DJ Smith for Campbell could do no wrong.

614
00:30:40,039 --> 00:30:42,680
I mean the first twelve minutes of that game, I

615
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:45,359
think he had like twenty three points already. Everything he

616
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:49,200
shot went in. Like you mentioned, the defensive resistance was

617
00:30:49,319 --> 00:30:52,759
zero to the rim, to the rim, three pointer, three pointer.

618
00:30:54,519 --> 00:30:57,480
William and Mary given credit. They made an incredible run

619
00:30:58,039 --> 00:31:01,839
at Campbell in the second half. If you were in

620
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:05,119
game betting in that one and played William and Mary

621
00:31:05,160 --> 00:31:08,519
when they got behind thirty to eight, you know you

622
00:31:08,599 --> 00:31:10,559
made a little bit of cash because they came back

623
00:31:10,559 --> 00:31:11,200
pretty strong.

624
00:31:11,279 --> 00:31:13,480
Speaker 2: Campbell did out last in one oh four ninety six.

625
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:15,799
Speaker 3: Only bring that up because that's kind of the way

626
00:31:15,799 --> 00:31:17,519
the first game went with these two teams. Just the

627
00:31:17,599 --> 00:31:20,799
revenge setting for Wilmington and they get to try and

628
00:31:21,359 --> 00:31:24,720
exact that revenge at home on their home floor. Like

629
00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:27,160
you say, in a very good atmosphere, but William and

630
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:29,519
Mary was out to the thirty to eight lead to

631
00:31:29,559 --> 00:31:30,359
start that game.

632
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:32,480
Speaker 2: First ten minutes boom thirty eight.

633
00:31:32,519 --> 00:31:35,119
Speaker 3: William and Mary last thirty minutes of that one sixty

634
00:31:35,200 --> 00:31:36,400
two to forty seven.

635
00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:37,839
Speaker 2: N see Wilmington.

636
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:40,759
Speaker 3: Do you believe the first ten minutes or do you

637
00:31:40,799 --> 00:31:43,599
believe the last thirty in that game where Wilmington was

638
00:31:43,599 --> 00:31:47,359
fifteen points better, I'm inclined to believe the back half

639
00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:50,559
of the game is what I believe.

640
00:31:51,039 --> 00:31:53,160
Speaker 2: I think will Wilmington.

641
00:31:52,759 --> 00:31:57,920
Speaker 3: Is superior all around. I think that maybe they got

642
00:31:58,000 --> 00:32:01,599
hit with that initial punch. Thinking back to that game

643
00:32:02,680 --> 00:32:04,599
where William and Mary, like you say, they're always coming

644
00:32:04,599 --> 00:32:07,079
at you with that press. Wilmington didn't handle things really

645
00:32:07,079 --> 00:32:09,480
well first ten minutes, but once I got settled in,

646
00:32:09,519 --> 00:32:12,000
it was a different story. At home here in a

647
00:32:12,039 --> 00:32:15,519
revenge spot. Got to believe that they're the right side

648
00:32:15,559 --> 00:32:18,200
in this game. Honestly, Now, William and Marry can score

649
00:32:18,279 --> 00:32:20,640
with the best of them, I know, but Wilmington's been

650
00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:23,720
a really good defense for the most part this season.

651
00:32:23,839 --> 00:32:27,279
So after seeing it once Adam and seeing it on

652
00:32:27,359 --> 00:32:30,240
the road, I just believe William and Mary makes all

653
00:32:30,279 --> 00:32:33,440
the proper adjustments, which it looks like they made over

654
00:32:33,480 --> 00:32:36,039
the course of the last thirty minutes of the first

655
00:32:36,079 --> 00:32:38,759
game already, so they know what to do. And that

656
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:41,359
was a fifteen point difference, and I get a little

657
00:32:41,400 --> 00:32:44,039
bit of that can kind of be swept away because

658
00:32:44,079 --> 00:32:46,799
it's chase mode, and sometimes when you're in chase mode

659
00:32:46,839 --> 00:32:49,039
you do close a gap just because you're trading threes

660
00:32:49,079 --> 00:32:49,839
for twos, et cetera.

661
00:32:50,160 --> 00:32:50,839
Speaker 2: Wasn't really the.

662
00:32:50,839 --> 00:32:54,319
Speaker 3: Case in that game. They were just better the last

663
00:32:54,359 --> 00:32:57,960
thirty minutes. So I would look towards NC Wilmington here. Again,

664
00:32:59,039 --> 00:33:01,200
they've been the best team all season long. The one

665
00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:03,200
thing about them is, and I think you mentioned this

666
00:33:03,279 --> 00:33:05,839
last time we talked about Wilmington, they haven't really won

667
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:09,799
by huge margin inside the league, and that's what you

668
00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:12,079
run into here when you're a favorite, can you create

669
00:33:12,119 --> 00:33:15,319
some separation. But I just think that the enormity I

670
00:33:15,319 --> 00:33:16,720
shouldn't say, Normandy.

671
00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 4: It's not like it's a super Bowl, but the substantial,

672
00:33:19,799 --> 00:33:24,759
significant significance of this game probably brings William and Mary's

673
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:27,799
excuse me, North Carolina Wilmington's best effort, and they cover

674
00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:28,559
the number.

675
00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:32,119
Speaker 1: I want to I want to bring up a comment

676
00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:34,039
because I want to just I think this is a

677
00:33:34,079 --> 00:33:36,680
good point here, he said. So Ocho says, Adam, you

678
00:33:36,720 --> 00:33:39,759
said that about New Mexico yesterday. Yeah, I did. I

679
00:33:40,039 --> 00:33:42,200
mentioned that New Mexico has a great home atmosphere, and

680
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:45,279
it's worth it's always for me, worth a couple of points.

681
00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:48,319
I want to make something very very clear. I've never

682
00:33:48,519 --> 00:33:52,240
once made a bet with the rational this has a

683
00:33:52,279 --> 00:33:56,000
really good home atmosphere. It's just always just going to

684
00:33:56,000 --> 00:33:59,079
be one component. Never once if I bet said, oh

685
00:33:59,119 --> 00:34:02,400
they have a great home APPA or that's a beat. Yesterday, yeah,

686
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:05,920
I pointed out that New Mexico, you know has you

687
00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:08,880
know has has been someone I'd be looking to play

688
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:11,519
on at home. This is very interesting that he brings

689
00:34:11,559 --> 00:34:13,559
that game up, though, because it's almost the same. It's

690
00:34:13,599 --> 00:34:16,440
almost the same thing as New Mexico was in where

691
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:19,639
they were undefeated at home. But they haven't been good

692
00:34:19,679 --> 00:34:22,119
at home against the spread. Wilmington's the same way. They

693
00:34:22,119 --> 00:34:24,440
haven't lost a home game yet this year, or maybe

694
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:27,079
they lost. I'm sorry they did lose a home game.

695
00:34:27,119 --> 00:34:28,880
It was a bad loss too, I remember it. It

696
00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:32,039
was it was Howard they lost to at home, I believe,

697
00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:35,360
and maybe maybe another. But the point is Wilmington over

698
00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:36,960
the last couple of years, if you were to put

699
00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:39,239
their home just straight up home record out there over

700
00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:41,280
the last couple of years, it's going to look very,

701
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:44,719
very impressive. They rarely lose at home, but this year

702
00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:46,880
they're not very good against the spread at home. So

703
00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:50,119
you know, my buddy Aaron kid, who's very sharp, I

704
00:34:50,159 --> 00:34:52,199
always trust what he says. He kind of texted me

705
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:55,320
last time. He goes, Man, Wilmington should really win this game.

706
00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:57,559
Good revenge spot would love to find a way to

707
00:34:57,559 --> 00:35:00,320
play their money line. Yeah, like I I kind of

708
00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:02,519
think the same. I'm with you in that regard Rob

709
00:35:02,519 --> 00:35:04,480
where I think I think it is a nice sort

710
00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:07,199
of bounce back spot or really more of a revenge

711
00:35:07,199 --> 00:35:10,360
spot for Wilmington. I think I like the over better

712
00:35:10,400 --> 00:35:13,079
here because I think there's gonna be big time paths

713
00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:16,199
to both teams scoring. So I'll bring I'll go to

714
00:35:16,239 --> 00:35:18,800
buy you here, he says. How does this game not

715
00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:21,840
hit one sixty? Yeah, how does it not hit one sixty?

716
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:25,280
If Wilmington's even a little bit tired defensively? Wilmington or

717
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:28,000
I'm sorry William and Mary, which they certainly looked over

718
00:35:28,039 --> 00:35:31,079
the weekend, Wilmington's gonna be able to score. That being said,

719
00:35:31,119 --> 00:35:35,000
you talked about the first meeting, what does Wilmington do

720
00:35:35,199 --> 00:35:38,760
so drastically that William and Mary isn't scoring in this game?

721
00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:40,159
I think was kind of the you know, one of

722
00:35:40,199 --> 00:35:42,599
the points you were making. So I'll take a rare

723
00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:45,000
This is a rare. I always like when this happens, Rob,

724
00:35:45,039 --> 00:35:48,320
because of course you always are mostly totals, pretty much

725
00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:51,239
exclusively sides. You come here and you like Wilmington, and

726
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:54,239
I'm like, I kind of love the over so little

727
00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:56,239
reverse for us, but I think there's points in this one.

728
00:35:56,400 --> 00:35:58,239
I'm with you by you. How does it not hit

729
00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:05,440
one sixty? And Shane says Wilmington money line? Yeah, maybe

730
00:36:05,480 --> 00:36:08,360
we can. Maybe maybe we can find something to pair

731
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:11,599
that Wilmington money line with because I would kind of

732
00:36:11,639 --> 00:36:15,599
be uh, I would kind of be inclined to think

733
00:36:15,599 --> 00:36:17,920
they win this game. I don't know. I just I

734
00:36:18,519 --> 00:36:20,639
thought they'd be the best team in this league this year, Rob,

735
00:36:20,679 --> 00:36:22,960
And you know, maybe it's because c J. Luster never

736
00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:27,360
stepped on the court that that I didn't appropriately downgrade them,

737
00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:29,920
But like, I don't know, I still think they're probably

738
00:36:30,400 --> 00:36:33,000
watching enough Towson and some of these other quote unquote

739
00:36:33,199 --> 00:36:35,639
top CAA teams. I still I still think Wilmington is

740
00:36:35,679 --> 00:36:41,679
the is the class of this league. All right, I

741
00:36:41,760 --> 00:36:45,679
am uh, I've got two plays locked in right now,

742
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:50,119
I'm thinking of I'm kind of scrolling through the chat.

743
00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:52,199
I am gonna I am gonna ask you if you

744
00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:54,000
do you want to do a two teamer or a

745
00:36:54,039 --> 00:36:56,000
three teamer today? Rob, should we switch it up and

746
00:36:56,000 --> 00:36:59,199
go three teamer? Because if we if we did, we

747
00:36:59,199 --> 00:37:01,320
could use Wilming money line is one of the three.

748
00:37:01,599 --> 00:37:03,159
If we you know what I'm saying.

749
00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:05,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, you just pulled the words right out of

750
00:37:05,639 --> 00:37:07,159
my mouth and said, if we're gonna go three, let's

751
00:37:07,159 --> 00:37:08,559
put Wilmington money line in it.

752
00:37:08,880 --> 00:37:10,440
Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm all for that.

753
00:37:10,519 --> 00:37:12,400
Speaker 3: If we want to go three, let's use that as

754
00:37:12,440 --> 00:37:15,559
the you know, as the third man piece, so to speak.

755
00:37:15,599 --> 00:37:17,960
And then when we get to ours, we'll just add

756
00:37:18,000 --> 00:37:20,239
those two that I think Wilmington's the right side of

757
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:20,639
that game.

758
00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:23,559
Speaker 1: So what what are you seeing for a market money

759
00:37:23,639 --> 00:37:26,320
line price? And I we will find another money line

760
00:37:26,360 --> 00:37:28,559
leg for you to to to team with as well,

761
00:37:28,800 --> 00:37:31,920
but we're gonna put Wilmington money line as the as

762
00:37:31,960 --> 00:37:33,960
the third layer, as the yeah, we'll call it the

763
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:36,519
first leg of our three team or today, what do

764
00:37:36,559 --> 00:37:37,320
you see for a price?

765
00:37:37,519 --> 00:37:40,400
Speaker 3: I think I think what's fair because as we know,

766
00:37:41,119 --> 00:37:44,440
the amount of the size of the big between books

767
00:37:44,519 --> 00:37:47,280
is incredible. Some treat you fairly, some don't. But I

768
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:50,039
think the fair price here is minus two twenty. You

769
00:37:50,079 --> 00:37:53,880
see as low as two ten, and believe it or not, Adam,

770
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:56,840
you see as high as two forty five shot there,

771
00:37:57,199 --> 00:38:00,280
but two twenty seems to be like the common read

772
00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:02,719
in between most of these places.

773
00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:08,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, and again, like I'm still gonna go off of

774
00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:12,400
my hunch that William and Mary playing there playing the

775
00:38:12,400 --> 00:38:16,280
the Brian Earl style might be a little bit sluggish.

776
00:38:16,679 --> 00:38:18,440
Coming in the month of February. They're gonna need to

777
00:38:18,480 --> 00:38:21,199
hit that stretch in their schedule. I haven't looked at it,

778
00:38:21,239 --> 00:38:23,840
but where they get like the full week off or

779
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:25,760
they just get to run someone out to the point

780
00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:29,000
where they can like rest everyone. I'm kind of willing

781
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:32,800
after watching that Campbell game, I'd be really surprised if

782
00:38:32,880 --> 00:38:36,119
if they roll into Trash Coliseum and win in this spot.

783
00:38:36,159 --> 00:38:39,239
So yeah, I like that quite a bit, all right,

784
00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:43,239
let's let's go back. I'm gonna scan the chat real

785
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:46,440
quick and either grab a game or decide if I

786
00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:48,559
want to give my parlay leg out. I'll do it

787
00:38:48,559 --> 00:38:52,800
within the next ten seconds, I think. I mean, you

788
00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:54,679
know what, I think, I'm gonna give out my parlay leg.

789
00:38:54,760 --> 00:38:57,559
That's that's what I've that's what I've decided to do

790
00:38:57,679 --> 00:38:59,440
right here. So let me just head to the Uh.

791
00:38:59,760 --> 00:39:02,760
I've I've got two plays locked in, and so the

792
00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:05,559
first thing I want to just really quickly do is

793
00:39:05,679 --> 00:39:09,599
check the odd screen because just to for for for clients,

794
00:39:09,639 --> 00:39:12,039
I'm always gonna give the one that's moved a little

795
00:39:12,039 --> 00:39:15,519
bit more on the show. Uh well, that's that's actually

796
00:39:15,599 --> 00:39:18,519
for myself too, since like we do sell plays here.

797
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:22,119
So that's another quick promo for wager talk dot com

798
00:39:22,119 --> 00:39:24,000
where you can get all of our plays. We already

799
00:39:24,000 --> 00:39:27,760
promoted our package. I'll go ahead and give this one out.

800
00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:32,239
We talked some Atlantic Sun basketball are already on the show,

801
00:39:32,280 --> 00:39:36,519
and I'm gonna go back to the a Sun Garth

802
00:39:36,760 --> 00:39:38,760
Garth that he had another super chat. Garth put that

803
00:39:38,800 --> 00:39:41,320
in again because for some reason it didn't get starred.

804
00:39:42,079 --> 00:39:46,199
If someone's messing with my starred super Chat flag that

805
00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:48,119
I put on here. I might have to have a

806
00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:50,880
chat with the golf guys or whoever uses this show.

807
00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:53,519
I said, star the super Chat and it didn't come

808
00:39:53,599 --> 00:39:56,280
up start, so Garth put that back in. We may

809
00:39:56,320 --> 00:39:58,280
have to may have to have a chat about that

810
00:39:58,360 --> 00:40:01,000
off off camera here, Rob, I'll I'm gonna give my playout.

811
00:40:01,039 --> 00:40:03,960
Then we'll go to Garth whatever he's looking at. I

812
00:40:04,079 --> 00:40:07,840
played Eastern Kentucky on the money Line minus one fifteen.

813
00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:11,760
We brought the conference up and I said, I said, oh, Queens,

814
00:40:12,119 --> 00:40:14,079
they were kind of running away with the league, which

815
00:40:14,159 --> 00:40:16,360
was which was true up until about two weeks ago.

816
00:40:17,320 --> 00:40:21,320
Now it's now it is Austin p That looks like

817
00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:24,159
they're kind of running away with the league. But I'm

818
00:40:24,159 --> 00:40:27,920
gonna make listen, we we hit. I got you, Garth,

819
00:40:27,960 --> 00:40:31,840
we'll go to that one next. I started myself. We hit.

820
00:40:32,360 --> 00:40:36,519
We hit a play on Monday with Boston University. I

821
00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:39,000
gave it out as my leg at a parlay and

822
00:40:39,079 --> 00:40:41,119
I said, Rob, you know, this is a team that

823
00:40:41,159 --> 00:40:43,440
I thought was gonna win this league, this this being

824
00:40:43,440 --> 00:40:45,559
the Patriot League. I'm gonna tie this in in just

825
00:40:45,599 --> 00:40:47,159
a second. I said this is a team that I

826
00:40:47,199 --> 00:40:49,960
thought was gonna win this league. I can't believe they're

827
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:53,920
sitting down there essentially in last place, and it just

828
00:40:53,960 --> 00:40:56,639
felt like the right time to sort of buy in

829
00:40:57,199 --> 00:41:00,199
with that team, you know, thinking like it can't be

830
00:41:00,239 --> 00:41:04,719
this bad. Andy, I'm just kidding. He's like, hey, we

831
00:41:05,239 --> 00:41:09,400
watched watch those accusations right there on the on toward

832
00:41:09,480 --> 00:41:12,440
the golf Guys, I'm just kidding. But anyway, we talked

833
00:41:12,480 --> 00:41:14,960
about Boston University on Monday being in this spot where

834
00:41:14,960 --> 00:41:17,559
it might be time to buy low on the Terriers.

835
00:41:17,719 --> 00:41:21,199
We do that they go out get the win relatively

836
00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:24,559
easily against Holy Cross. I feel like Eastern Kentucky is

837
00:41:24,679 --> 00:41:28,039
in almost the same spot here if I go back now.

838
00:41:28,559 --> 00:41:30,639
Admittedly I don't bet a ton of Atlantic Sun. I

839
00:41:30,880 --> 00:41:32,559
kind of just dabble here and there when I get

840
00:41:32,559 --> 00:41:35,039
a good angle or have a team that I like.

841
00:41:35,239 --> 00:41:37,079
I don't really bet this league a ton, But I

842
00:41:37,119 --> 00:41:40,559
do remember, very vividly believe we took them on the

843
00:41:40,599 --> 00:41:43,559
show against Western Kentucky earlier this year. We were involved

844
00:41:43,599 --> 00:41:46,719
in that game, and I remember talking multiple times in

845
00:41:46,760 --> 00:41:50,119
November December that I thought Eastern Kentucky was easily the

846
00:41:50,159 --> 00:41:52,639
best team in this league was easily going to win

847
00:41:52,639 --> 00:41:55,440
this league, would definitely be at the top, and Rob boy,

848
00:41:55,519 --> 00:41:59,079
has that not been the case at all? They are

849
00:41:59,440 --> 00:42:03,880
seven in sixteen. Eastern Kentucky comes in having lost four straight.

850
00:42:04,400 --> 00:42:07,199
They're now three and seven. The only team that they're

851
00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:10,559
ahead of in conference play is Northern Alabama, who's two

852
00:42:10,559 --> 00:42:13,679
and eight and essentially lost everyone from from last year.

853
00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:17,400
So that to me is very very surprising. I kind

854
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:21,199
of look and I say, well, you know, they they

855
00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:24,559
don't have the excuses that BU does. Really, who's who's

856
00:42:24,599 --> 00:42:28,440
totally decimated by injury? You know that. I think Bu's

857
00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:30,480
got a little bit excuse. I don't think Eastern Kentucky

858
00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:33,280
has that excuse. I think their problem is they don't

859
00:42:33,280 --> 00:42:34,800
play a ton of defense and they lose a lot

860
00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:39,840
of close games. But here this just seems manageable for them. Historically,

861
00:42:39,920 --> 00:42:42,639
they've they've done well against Florida Golf Coast. I believe

862
00:42:42,679 --> 00:42:45,920
they've you know, recently, they've they've won all maybe four

863
00:42:46,239 --> 00:42:49,079
meetings the last two years. You know, they're at home

864
00:42:49,119 --> 00:42:51,159
in a price range where I feel like I should

865
00:42:51,199 --> 00:42:53,039
be laying like five five and a half points. I

866
00:42:53,039 --> 00:42:56,159
only have to play them that pick. We You and

867
00:42:56,199 --> 00:42:59,679
I hit back to back winners fading Florida Golf Coast

868
00:43:00,039 --> 00:43:02,880
about two weeks ago. I had Austin p and then

869
00:43:02,920 --> 00:43:04,599
you came back the next day in a day that

870
00:43:04,679 --> 00:43:07,559
got a game that got altered by weather, and you

871
00:43:07,639 --> 00:43:10,800
played lipscumb and both of them were blowout wins. I

872
00:43:10,840 --> 00:43:14,719
know Kashesney or whatever his name is for Florida Golf

873
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:18,280
Coast is back, which which certainly helps them. I mean

874
00:43:18,559 --> 00:43:21,440
their dead, their doa without him. We found that out.

875
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:23,880
But I don't think he I mean the last he's

876
00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:25,960
played what I think he came back over the weekend,

877
00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:29,360
played twenty five minutes, nine points. Like he's certainly gonna

878
00:43:29,360 --> 00:43:31,719
give Florida Golf Coast a chance in this game. But

879
00:43:31,760 --> 00:43:33,840
they still have to go on the road and beat

880
00:43:33,840 --> 00:43:37,000
a desperate team that's lost for straight and has to

881
00:43:37,079 --> 00:43:40,039
want this one. So Rob, I played Eastern Kentucky on

882
00:43:40,079 --> 00:43:42,800
the money line. I laid minus one eighteen. I think

883
00:43:42,800 --> 00:43:46,000
it's still minus one fifteen. Minus won twenty most places,

884
00:43:46,000 --> 00:43:49,360
So I'm gonna call it minus one twenty for the parlay.

885
00:43:49,880 --> 00:43:52,320
I like the I like Eastern Kentucky in this one.

886
00:43:52,320 --> 00:43:53,039
What do you think.

887
00:43:54,800 --> 00:43:58,719
Speaker 2: I like it's the FG.

888
00:44:00,079 --> 00:44:04,159
Speaker 3: See you side hasn't been and it is true the

889
00:44:04,159 --> 00:44:06,280
big guy was out for a while and I'm thinking

890
00:44:06,360 --> 00:44:08,280
back to those that game now that you mentioned it,

891
00:44:08,320 --> 00:44:10,719
the Lipscomb it was a day game, I think right

892
00:44:10,719 --> 00:44:11,880
there was bad weather and I had to.

893
00:44:11,840 --> 00:44:14,519
Speaker 1: Play back day game moved up a full day for weather.

894
00:44:14,719 --> 00:44:17,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, it was. It was a miserable situation.

895
00:44:17,079 --> 00:44:18,960
Speaker 3: And plus I had watched them the night before Golf

896
00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:21,239
Coast and their offensive rhythm was just way off, and

897
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:22,880
it was way off the next day as well.

898
00:44:25,000 --> 00:44:26,960
Speaker 2: Second game under his belt.

899
00:44:27,440 --> 00:44:29,400
Speaker 3: Maybe maybe not, I'm not sure, but I think the

900
00:44:29,400 --> 00:44:31,400
Eastern Kentucky side is the right side here.

901
00:44:32,280 --> 00:44:34,800
Speaker 2: The team that I would equate to.

902
00:44:36,800 --> 00:44:38,880
Speaker 3: When I go through these schedules and and just look

903
00:44:38,920 --> 00:44:41,159
at is Austin P because they've been so good and

904
00:44:41,199 --> 00:44:44,320
against Austin P for the Golf Coast was lousy.

905
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:47,559
Speaker 2: So I'm with you there. I don't have much on

906
00:44:47,639 --> 00:44:48,239
that total.

907
00:44:48,400 --> 00:44:51,239
Speaker 3: I'm trying to just do some quick numbers in my

908
00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:53,360
head where total is concerned, to see if I can

909
00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:55,880
help the chat anywhere that's concerned.

910
00:44:55,920 --> 00:44:58,159
Speaker 2: But I don't know.

911
00:44:58,280 --> 00:45:00,000
Speaker 3: That number seems to be in a really good spot,

912
00:45:00,159 --> 00:45:02,559
so I would stick by what you're going with here,

913
00:45:02,679 --> 00:45:06,880
e K. You bet now up to minus one, pretty

914
00:45:06,880 --> 00:45:11,199
solid choice and we're at ten forty seven. So why

915
00:45:11,199 --> 00:45:14,519
don't I go ahead again? Like you were saying, Adam

916
00:45:14,559 --> 00:45:16,280
five six plays maybe probably?

917
00:45:16,440 --> 00:45:19,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, paring down. I know Higgs was insane. He's got fifteen.

918
00:45:20,199 --> 00:45:22,199
I could say the same.

919
00:45:22,320 --> 00:45:24,159
Speaker 3: I mean, there's about ten or eleven things that I

920
00:45:24,239 --> 00:45:26,960
like here, But for purposes of the show, it's gonna

921
00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:28,320
go to the Big West. We've talked a lot of

922
00:45:28,320 --> 00:45:32,360
Big West basketball this year. Big West has made personally

923
00:45:32,360 --> 00:45:34,320
made me a lot of money, whether it be Northridge

924
00:45:34,440 --> 00:45:37,280
or cal Poly or these offensive minded teams that just

925
00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:41,199
continue to go over numbers, and those are the ones

926
00:45:41,199 --> 00:45:45,039
that we've talked about the most. But I'm getting to

927
00:45:45,039 --> 00:45:46,960
the point now where I think Santa Barbara might be

928
00:45:47,000 --> 00:45:49,440
the best team in this league. Since Merril Little came

929
00:45:49,480 --> 00:45:54,159
back six games back, they've won all six. This is

930
00:45:54,360 --> 00:45:57,719
a somewhat of a semi revenge spot, I'll call it,

931
00:45:57,800 --> 00:46:02,800
because they lost in his first game back to UC

932
00:46:03,039 --> 00:46:06,559
Davis by seven. Now they have to go try and

933
00:46:06,639 --> 00:46:09,760
exact revenge on the road. I usually prefer it when

934
00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:12,280
it's at home, but I think they could even get

935
00:46:12,320 --> 00:46:14,840
it on the road. I think the bigger picture here

936
00:46:14,920 --> 00:46:17,840
for me is this team total of Santa Barbara, which

937
00:46:17,880 --> 00:46:21,760
now is a really good offensive team with little in

938
00:46:21,800 --> 00:46:24,760
the mix, looking at seventy four and a half, maybe

939
00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:26,639
seventy five and a half in this game. They got

940
00:46:26,639 --> 00:46:30,679
to eighty six first time around in regulation against UC Davis,

941
00:46:30,679 --> 00:46:31,880
but they gave up ninety three.

942
00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:34,000
Speaker 2: That was the problem.

943
00:46:34,400 --> 00:46:37,119
Speaker 3: Eighty six Now on the road. Do I think that

944
00:46:37,199 --> 00:46:40,800
they're ten points worse, eleven points worse in this game. No,

945
00:46:41,639 --> 00:46:44,679
They're a better team now, and I think that getting

946
00:46:44,679 --> 00:46:47,559
to seventy five here is not going to be an

947
00:46:47,599 --> 00:46:49,760
issue against UC Davis, which has been a middle of

948
00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:53,760
the road defense all season long. They're definitely not a

949
00:46:53,760 --> 00:46:58,320
team that's adverse to giving up high seventies. So for me, Adam,

950
00:46:58,480 --> 00:47:01,559
I'm just gonna play the team and I'm not going

951
00:47:01,639 --> 00:47:03,760
to argue anybody off of side here. This thing has

952
00:47:03,800 --> 00:47:05,599
been bet up from two to three and a half,

953
00:47:06,559 --> 00:47:09,079
and I believe in the line movement here. I think

954
00:47:09,079 --> 00:47:12,679
that's the right way. But I'm so much more comfortable

955
00:47:12,719 --> 00:47:15,559
in these situations just counting on one side to do

956
00:47:15,639 --> 00:47:18,800
their part of the equation. As far as scoring points

957
00:47:18,840 --> 00:47:21,159
is concerned. That that's the way I'll go here. I

958
00:47:21,239 --> 00:47:23,000
leave it open to the chat. You know, you guys

959
00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:25,480
make your own bets all the time, so you know,

960
00:47:25,519 --> 00:47:28,000
take what I'm saying and choose what you like. But

961
00:47:28,039 --> 00:47:30,320
I do think the better one for me, the better

962
00:47:30,400 --> 00:47:33,480
angle for me is you see Santa Barbara to score

963
00:47:33,679 --> 00:47:35,559
over seventy four and a half just seems like a

964
00:47:35,559 --> 00:47:38,719
low number, Like I can picture them final score here

965
00:47:38,760 --> 00:47:40,559
being in that seventy seven to seventy eight range. So

966
00:47:40,559 --> 00:47:42,440
that's going to be my bet for the parlay, my

967
00:47:42,519 --> 00:47:45,639
leg of the parlay. You see Santa Barbara team total

968
00:47:45,719 --> 00:47:46,880
over seventy four and a half.

969
00:47:48,400 --> 00:47:54,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, I had, so this one was definitely on This

970
00:47:54,079 --> 00:47:56,199
is on my Sean Higgs list, which is the longer

971
00:47:56,280 --> 00:47:58,639
list with like fifteen games on it that I'm trying

972
00:47:58,679 --> 00:48:01,679
to pair it down right now, kicking myself because I

973
00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:04,639
was really close to playing Santa Barbara minus two. I

974
00:48:04,639 --> 00:48:07,239
guess what. The only thing that you know, just to

975
00:48:07,280 --> 00:48:09,320
finish the breakdown of the game, what talked me off

976
00:48:09,360 --> 00:48:11,119
of the side a little bit is I've also been

977
00:48:11,239 --> 00:48:14,920
very pro uc Davis this year, and I believe Jim

978
00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:17,079
less is a pretty good track record against the Santa

979
00:48:17,119 --> 00:48:19,400
Barbara team. That being said, Rob, I thought about you

980
00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:21,519
when I was looking at this game, where it's like

981
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:24,760
you weren't wrong, you were just early. Okay. I remember

982
00:48:24,800 --> 00:48:27,800
you talking talking about Santa Barbara almost the first show

983
00:48:27,800 --> 00:48:30,880
we did, and just just how good this team was

984
00:48:30,880 --> 00:48:33,280
going to be this year. They had their struggles in

985
00:48:33,599 --> 00:48:37,000
non conference play. You could argue they struggled a little

986
00:48:37,000 --> 00:48:39,920
bit playing up in non conference play against better competition.

987
00:48:40,199 --> 00:48:44,119
Then of course the mirror a little injury was definitely

988
00:48:44,159 --> 00:48:47,480
significant for them. They didn't play as good without him.

989
00:48:47,679 --> 00:48:50,639
Since Big West play has started, and like recently they

990
00:48:50,639 --> 00:48:53,679
have been, they looked like everything you said they were

991
00:48:53,679 --> 00:48:57,079
gonna be coming into this season, and it's hard to

992
00:48:57,079 --> 00:48:59,719
believe that if they win this game, which I think

993
00:48:59,760 --> 00:49:02,119
they that they're not doing it by more than three.

994
00:49:02,519 --> 00:49:04,840
And this seems to have settled in at three. So

995
00:49:05,199 --> 00:49:08,400
while I would have loved the two or the money line,

996
00:49:08,400 --> 00:49:10,480
I could have gotten when that was at two. Although

997
00:49:10,519 --> 00:49:13,039
I do think that's another reason I didn't fire, is

998
00:49:13,039 --> 00:49:15,719
that the money line was already pretty juiced even when

999
00:49:15,719 --> 00:49:18,119
it opened to They already had a pretty significantly juiced

1000
00:49:18,119 --> 00:49:20,159
money line, So I think that might have been a

1001
00:49:20,199 --> 00:49:22,920
juice to two that it opened at. But I could

1002
00:49:22,920 --> 00:49:25,039
not talk anyone off the Santa Barbara side either, And

1003
00:49:25,079 --> 00:49:27,119
I think you were totally right about them being the

1004
00:49:27,199 --> 00:49:30,440
class of this league, which is notable, Rob, because a

1005
00:49:30,480 --> 00:49:32,639
lot of other there was people saying Hawaii, there's people

1006
00:49:32,679 --> 00:49:36,480
saying you see Irvine, you see San Diego. All were

1007
00:49:36,480 --> 00:49:39,360
getting it getting love in that in that regard, and

1008
00:49:39,440 --> 00:49:41,559
I remember you saying, no, Santa Barbara's by far the

1009
00:49:41,559 --> 00:49:43,519
most talented. They're gonna be the best team in this league.

1010
00:49:43,599 --> 00:49:45,840
And I've come around to that. I'm agreeing with you.

1011
00:49:45,960 --> 00:49:48,679
So I hope you're and I hope you're right about

1012
00:49:48,719 --> 00:49:51,159
them scoring points tonight because we need to hit one

1013
00:49:51,159 --> 00:49:53,400
of these parlays and I think a three team I'm

1014
00:49:53,400 --> 00:49:58,000
gonna calculate the odds would get us back in the plus.

1015
00:49:58,039 --> 00:50:01,280
So yeah, I'm with you on the Santa Barbaracall right there, Rob,

1016
00:50:01,440 --> 00:50:01,920
I want to.

1017
00:50:01,840 --> 00:50:03,719
Speaker 2: Go taking back at him real quick.

1018
00:50:03,800 --> 00:50:06,960
Speaker 3: Let's credit I forget the name of your Big West

1019
00:50:07,000 --> 00:50:11,239
play with us. Yeah, Jordan Barbara as well that we

1020
00:50:11,320 --> 00:50:13,360
had him on, he was talking them up pretty well,

1021
00:50:13,440 --> 00:50:15,840
So we want to credit Jordan a little bit too.

1022
00:50:16,599 --> 00:50:20,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, Jordan Jordan is He's on Twitter all the time.

1023
00:50:20,480 --> 00:50:23,679
He's He's Jordan Alexander on Twitter, and he is. He

1024
00:50:23,800 --> 00:50:26,480
is well versed in Big West basketball. He lives out there,

1025
00:50:27,079 --> 00:50:29,719
follows those teams. He was all over UC San Diego

1026
00:50:29,880 --> 00:50:32,760
last year. I know he really liked Hawaii coming into

1027
00:50:32,760 --> 00:50:36,440
this year, and that's really sort of come true as well.

1028
00:50:36,440 --> 00:50:39,000
They've been right in the mix as well in this league. So,

1029
00:50:39,199 --> 00:50:43,280
uh yeah, shout out Jordan's He's very knowledgeable all things

1030
00:50:43,320 --> 00:50:46,960
college hoops, but Big West is definitely in his his wheelhouse.

1031
00:50:47,599 --> 00:50:49,239
I'm gonna go to guards game, but first I want

1032
00:50:49,239 --> 00:50:50,760
to say. Kevin says, how do you donate to the show?

1033
00:50:50,800 --> 00:50:53,599
I believe through YouTube. So I believe if you if

1034
00:50:53,599 --> 00:50:56,320
you watch the show on the YouTube channel, you have

1035
00:50:56,400 --> 00:51:00,239
the ability to uh subscribe, which is I think like

1036
00:51:01,039 --> 00:51:04,360
it puts you in this quote unquote superchat. I think again,

1037
00:51:04,360 --> 00:51:06,400
I wish I knew how any of this worked, but

1038
00:51:06,440 --> 00:51:08,760
I do think it gives you an opportunity to attach

1039
00:51:09,760 --> 00:51:13,079
a donation to the show that I believe we donate

1040
00:51:13,199 --> 00:51:16,119
to charity, per Johnny, so it goes to a good place.

1041
00:51:16,920 --> 00:51:19,599
I don't remember what one it went to. But like

1042
00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:21,920
I think, every month they take the YouTube donations and

1043
00:51:21,920 --> 00:51:26,199
make a donation on the company's behalf to a charity,

1044
00:51:26,400 --> 00:51:29,920
So that's where those donations go. But it also it

1045
00:51:30,000 --> 00:51:33,599
helps the show massive, so we very much appreciate it

1046
00:51:33,639 --> 00:51:35,920
and it makes sure that I see your comment. And

1047
00:51:36,000 --> 00:51:38,320
since we only get to six seven games on the show,

1048
00:51:38,840 --> 00:51:41,159
I'm obviously going to pick the comments that have the

1049
00:51:41,159 --> 00:51:44,199
donation attached first and then we'll hit the other comments

1050
00:51:44,199 --> 00:51:46,599
in the chat. Garth, I'll go back to him because

1051
00:51:46,639 --> 00:51:48,800
he's not the only one that was asking about this game.

1052
00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:53,880
Let's get some SoCon into the mix for Thursday, he says,

1053
00:51:53,920 --> 00:51:56,800
Mercer chat Nuga he likes Mercer minus four and a

1054
00:51:56,840 --> 00:52:00,000
half Rob. I. Coming into the year, I thought Mercer

1055
00:52:00,159 --> 00:52:02,800
was the dark horse in this league, but I think

1056
00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:05,119
the secret has been out for a while now that

1057
00:52:05,199 --> 00:52:08,599
this team is pretty good. Chat Uga was the team

1058
00:52:08,599 --> 00:52:10,559
that I think a lot of people thought would be

1059
00:52:10,599 --> 00:52:14,280
in position to win this league this year, but they

1060
00:52:14,360 --> 00:52:16,079
kind of had some injuries right off the bat and

1061
00:52:16,119 --> 00:52:20,199
they certainly haven't been that So Mercer chat Nuga, you

1062
00:52:20,239 --> 00:52:23,159
got Mercer four and a half point road favorite. While

1063
00:52:23,159 --> 00:52:26,199
I'm sort of making my calculations to figure out exactly

1064
00:52:26,199 --> 00:52:28,159
what I have the number at here. Talk to me

1065
00:52:28,199 --> 00:52:29,840
about this one side or total.

1066
00:52:30,639 --> 00:52:35,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, Mercer has been a covering machine inside this league,

1067
00:52:35,239 --> 00:52:38,639
and man, they've scored points. And you know, you guys

1068
00:52:38,639 --> 00:52:41,360
have watched the show long enough now since early November

1069
00:52:41,400 --> 00:52:45,599
to know that I like offensive minded teams that are

1070
00:52:45,639 --> 00:52:49,920
really really consistent. Because in the Totals Avenue, the Totals

1071
00:52:49,960 --> 00:52:53,119
lane that I'm in, I'm basically scratching off each and

1072
00:52:53,159 --> 00:52:54,880
every morning games that I think are going to go

1073
00:52:55,000 --> 00:52:56,800
under and just looking for those where I find an

1074
00:52:56,880 --> 00:53:01,119
edge to the over. But Mercers certainly has been an

1075
00:53:01,159 --> 00:53:05,280
absolute offensive machine. The team total is eight and two

1076
00:53:05,639 --> 00:53:08,039
to the over as well during this eight and two

1077
00:53:08,199 --> 00:53:15,039
game ATS covering streak. I can't disagree, Garth, I mean personally.

1078
00:53:15,079 --> 00:53:18,079
And here's another thing where I kick myself for not

1079
00:53:18,239 --> 00:53:24,239
being or maybe for pairing down on client lists folks

1080
00:53:24,280 --> 00:53:28,840
who subscribe pairing down and Mercer Totals always seem to

1081
00:53:28,960 --> 00:53:32,079
just hit that final chopping block right, don't add it

1082
00:53:32,119 --> 00:53:34,480
to the client card. And I kick myself because they've

1083
00:53:34,519 --> 00:53:36,760
just been going over over and over. I could see

1084
00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:40,280
it happening again tonight. This is the first meeting with

1085
00:53:40,400 --> 00:53:44,480
Chattanooga though, which is somewhat for me. It's almost like

1086
00:53:44,519 --> 00:53:47,960
a CounterPunch type thing. They're gonna play Chattanooga really quick

1087
00:53:47,960 --> 00:53:50,840
within the next two weeks, and maybe the second time

1088
00:53:50,920 --> 00:53:53,519
around you react to what you saw the first time around.

1089
00:53:53,519 --> 00:53:55,920
But if you're asking for a first time reaction here

1090
00:53:56,320 --> 00:53:58,840
on this game, I can't bet against Mercer the way

1091
00:53:58,840 --> 00:54:01,559
they've been covering numbers, and I do think that as

1092
00:54:01,599 --> 00:54:04,760
good as Chattanooga maybe defensively, that Mercer's gonna get theirs.

1093
00:54:04,920 --> 00:54:07,239
It's kind of, i'll correlated to what I was saying

1094
00:54:07,320 --> 00:54:11,239
in the NFL games where the like the Rams Seahawks game.

1095
00:54:11,320 --> 00:54:13,840
Let me just use that one as a non different sport,

1096
00:54:13,960 --> 00:54:19,559
direct correlation type comparison. Here, the Seattle defense gets a

1097
00:54:19,679 --> 00:54:21,800
huge amount of attention and a lot of people going

1098
00:54:21,800 --> 00:54:24,079
into that championship game thought, you know, the Seattle defense

1099
00:54:24,159 --> 00:54:26,679
Rams are gonna have trouble. But the Rams with Stafford

1100
00:54:26,760 --> 00:54:29,880
get theirs against anybody. It doesn't matter who you are defensively,

1101
00:54:30,000 --> 00:54:32,440
And I feel that way about Mercer right now, like

1102
00:54:32,559 --> 00:54:33,800
Mercer's gonna get.

1103
00:54:33,639 --> 00:54:35,280
Speaker 2: Theirs against anybody.

1104
00:54:35,360 --> 00:54:38,880
Speaker 3: So I may get I mean you somewhat open the

1105
00:54:38,880 --> 00:54:41,880
box to my client list for today. But I may

1106
00:54:41,920 --> 00:54:45,559
get to this mercer team total over today. Hopefully I'm

1107
00:54:45,599 --> 00:54:49,000
not too late to jump on the wagon, but I

1108
00:54:49,039 --> 00:54:51,360
think it's a good spot against it with a number

1109
00:54:51,440 --> 00:54:55,400
that's somewhat suppressed because of the defense that they're playing.

1110
00:54:55,559 --> 00:54:57,320
Not gonna argue off a mercer I would add to

1111
00:54:57,400 --> 00:54:58,960
a team total mercer over.

1112
00:55:00,760 --> 00:55:03,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean right, I'm pretty much right on the

1113
00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:06,079
number at four at four and a half. Four and

1114
00:55:06,079 --> 00:55:08,039
a half is basically what I make this game. But

1115
00:55:08,559 --> 00:55:10,280
there are some things that could push me into the

1116
00:55:10,320 --> 00:55:13,039
mercer into the mercer side. The first thing, I'd love

1117
00:55:13,039 --> 00:55:16,320
to know why Jordan Friesan only played seventeen minutes last game.

1118
00:55:16,880 --> 00:55:20,719
He is the leading scorer for this Chattanooga team, and

1119
00:55:20,800 --> 00:55:23,719
that's something I'll have to look at through throughout the day,

1120
00:55:24,320 --> 00:55:27,119
because you know, seventeen points doesn't look like he was

1121
00:55:27,119 --> 00:55:29,679
in foul trouble. That was a close game. If they

1122
00:55:29,719 --> 00:55:32,320
were to be missing him, that would be very, very concerning.

1123
00:55:32,840 --> 00:55:34,960
So that's something I'll have to look at. The Other

1124
00:55:35,000 --> 00:55:36,639
thing I'll point out is this is a team. You know,

1125
00:55:36,719 --> 00:55:39,920
Colin moholland was supposed to be the sort of like

1126
00:55:39,960 --> 00:55:43,159
the focal point at one point coming into the season,

1127
00:55:43,840 --> 00:55:46,840
big six to eleven center. He kind of got himself hurt.

1128
00:55:46,840 --> 00:55:49,159
Like he's been back, but he's really been a non factor.

1129
00:55:49,320 --> 00:55:52,480
He's been back for almost a month now. So sometimes

1130
00:55:52,480 --> 00:55:54,920
this happens rob where you have a team that gets

1131
00:55:54,920 --> 00:55:57,679
their quote unquote star back but they're still kind of

1132
00:55:57,679 --> 00:56:02,000
playing through injury and they never really like reach star status,

1133
00:56:02,280 --> 00:56:05,159
but they got the bump for them coming back. I

1134
00:56:05,159 --> 00:56:07,039
think maybe you saw you've seen that a little bit

1135
00:56:07,039 --> 00:56:11,159
with Chattanooga because you know, he yeah, he's okay, like

1136
00:56:11,239 --> 00:56:13,519
seven seven point you know, seven point three points per game,

1137
00:56:13,519 --> 00:56:16,000
two point eight boards, but he's really only out there

1138
00:56:16,039 --> 00:56:18,719
fourteen to fifteen minutes a game and he's not having

1139
00:56:18,800 --> 00:56:21,119
like the impact on the scoring that I think they

1140
00:56:21,159 --> 00:56:23,760
they would have expected him to have this year. So again,

1141
00:56:23,840 --> 00:56:25,920
Chattanooga just not the team that I think many thought

1142
00:56:25,920 --> 00:56:28,719
they would be coming into the season. I had shied

1143
00:56:28,760 --> 00:56:31,519
away from betting Chattanooga games for a while because I

1144
00:56:31,519 --> 00:56:34,360
felt like my number was too pro Chattanooga. It was

1145
00:56:34,400 --> 00:56:37,679
it was pushing me toward the Chatanooga NUGA side pretty

1146
00:56:37,760 --> 00:56:42,039
much every game. But here I I think it again,

1147
00:56:42,079 --> 00:56:43,960
I think that number is about right. But if Freesan

1148
00:56:44,079 --> 00:56:45,760
was out for some reason, I would I would be

1149
00:56:46,400 --> 00:56:49,639
kind of inclined to just fire on Mercer and I

1150
00:56:49,679 --> 00:56:51,679
think you'd I think it'd actually probably move. I think

1151
00:56:51,679 --> 00:56:54,079
you would see this come go more like six and

1152
00:56:54,119 --> 00:56:56,480
a half or six if he if he was out.

1153
00:56:56,559 --> 00:56:59,559
So that's that's something that I will look at in

1154
00:56:59,599 --> 00:57:01,079
regard to that game.

1155
00:57:01,199 --> 00:57:01,920
Speaker 2: Real quick at it.

1156
00:57:01,960 --> 00:57:05,199
Speaker 3: Without the rick confirmation I have here that Jordan Freestein

1157
00:57:05,280 --> 00:57:12,679
expect to play for UTC tonight against Mrsmen, Yeah, maybe.

1158
00:57:11,960 --> 00:57:14,039
Speaker 1: I would be real well, that's the thing I would be.

1159
00:57:14,159 --> 00:57:16,519
I think you'd already have seen some market movement if

1160
00:57:16,679 --> 00:57:18,760
there was any inkling that he would be out. I

1161
00:57:18,880 --> 00:57:21,079
just on a quick glance found it odd he only

1162
00:57:21,119 --> 00:57:24,480
played seventeen yits and that that's you know that Again,

1163
00:57:24,519 --> 00:57:27,440
It's just something I'll look at as the day goes on.

1164
00:57:27,639 --> 00:57:29,239
That's what I'll be looking at. That's why I've been

1165
00:57:29,280 --> 00:57:30,760
doing the rest of the day. Rob I've got two

1166
00:57:30,800 --> 00:57:34,079
plays locked in. I would be shocked if I don't

1167
00:57:34,159 --> 00:57:38,039
end up with two more, three more. One of them

1168
00:57:38,280 --> 00:57:41,119
is Eastern Kentucky money Line, and that is in the parlay.

1169
00:57:41,679 --> 00:57:43,880
Robino's leg of the parlay is going to be U

1170
00:57:43,960 --> 00:57:49,199
see Santa Barbara over four over seventy four and a half.

1171
00:57:49,199 --> 00:57:52,199
And I'm looking down because I'm trying to calculate this

1172
00:57:52,719 --> 00:57:56,920
with the correct juice as we're up against it here.

1173
00:57:56,960 --> 00:57:59,639
But I got it plus okay, so plus four ten,

1174
00:58:00,159 --> 00:58:03,760
so the parlay plus four to ten. As my light

1175
00:58:03,920 --> 00:58:06,119
dies right at the gun here now I'm over here

1176
00:58:06,119 --> 00:58:08,039
in the dark. Really got to do a better job

1177
00:58:08,039 --> 00:58:11,360
of charging these over here by the campfire. Now Rob

1178
00:58:11,360 --> 00:58:13,440
with the flashlight up in front of my face, we've

1179
00:58:13,480 --> 00:58:17,159
got Wilmington money line minus two to twenty Eastern Kentucky

1180
00:58:17,239 --> 00:58:19,519
money line four percent plate for me, that's minus one

1181
00:58:19,639 --> 00:58:21,960
twenty and then Rob Bino is going with U see

1182
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:25,000
Santa Barbara over seventy four and a half plus four

1183
00:58:25,119 --> 00:58:27,239
ten on the odds. We'll see you guys in the morning.

1184
00:58:27,239 --> 00:58:29,519
Good luck today everyone. We'll see you for more. Full

1185
00:58:29,519 --> 00:58:31,239
Court Press Friday, ten am Eastern