Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It's Wednesday, tump day time for
total basis and some day baseball. I love the midday
weekdays because we get baseball pretty much all day. I'm
here with Tokyo Brandon, Brian Leonard. The grind continues. We're
about twenty days into August, and uh, you know, I
I love every second of it, though, Like I don't
mind how long the MLB season is. I was talking
to a couple of friends of mine that are in
the space and they were like, are you getting like
are you getting burnt out? And I'm just like, no, Brian,
Brian Leonard, I'm not at all I want. You could
play this twelve months out of the year, and I
be in for all twelve months. So we're back for
another day and we're gonna let's go right back to
what I feel like has kind of been our feature
series so far for the beginning of part of the week.
Brewers Cubs. How about those Cubbies? They sweep the double
header yesterday. I had Game one, right, I gotta be honest,
that was wasn't really expecting them to come out and
sweep it, but they did, and that's huge for the Cups.
And now they have to turn around and play game
four of what's going to be a five game series.
So Miserski, Rea, how are you seeing this one? And
what do you expect out of Miseroski from a length perspective.
Tonight we had.
Speaker 2: Somebody in the chat one of the two chats, I
think it might have been the YouTube chat, and he
was talking about with football going on right now, do
we think we get a better advantage in baseball? Yeah,
we do because they don't bring as much money in
for baseball as you do for football. They'll get more
money on in a preseason football game than they will
on half the card in Major League Baseball. And I
think you know we've won. I've won ten of the
last eleven days. My big play yesterday was the A's
and we all liked it on the show. I believe,
and they win that game going away as a nice
hunderdog price. Yes, this is the best time of year
to bet on baseball where other people are worried about
other games, especially in football, and college football starts this week.
So yeah, we've gotten some really good numbers and I
think we could take advantage of that. We're going in
this Milwaukee series, Jacob Miserowski comes back. If you remember
his last start before the injury, he was playing the
Cubs and he was it went pretty well, give up
two in the rounds, I believe in four innings they
took a shot back to the elbow and he missed
his last start. So he came out. He came back
from the aisle against Cincinnati and got bombed right right
out of the the gate right there. So I think
a lot of the shine is off Miserawski a little
bit coming into this. He comes in with a three
point eight ninety ra spected are is still very good
at two point sixty five one point one three whip.
Those concerns we had coming into the season about his
walk right are back eleven point five on the walk grate,
but his strikeout rate thirty six, So he's still at
twenty four point five, which is elite level when it
comes to strikeout minus walk grade. And you have to
think he's looking forward to this start, obviously, because he
got hurt last time he played the Cubs, but he
got behind to Cincinnati. So the motivation is there for
the young guy, and he's looked pretty good and he's
been motivated this year. Colin Ray going for the Cubs.
We've talked about him all year long. He's an ending'siter.
He's got a seven seatings, seven seasons, four point four
to five ERA, one point two eight whip. Nothing is
going to make it to the Hall of Fame. He
probably won't even be remembered much after he leaves the Cubs.
But still he's very good at walking. People's in the
seventy ninth percentule and his extensions in the seventy first
Percentel is a six foot five, so that makes it
tough to hit him. Plus he's got seven different pitches,
and we always liked that kind of thing. So when
you're got a veteran like he is, he's thirty five
years old. If something's not working for him, he can
always go somewhere else. From a bullpen standpoint, the Brewers
are in much better shape in the bullpen because they
did lose the double heady yesterday and Aaron Ashby threw
fifty pitches. They're in a situation where their top four
out of five guys and the bullpen are all available here,
whereas the Cubs everybody other than Ben Brown pitched yesterday
and Ben Brown pitched, I believe through fifty four pitches
three days ago, so he's not going to pitch either,
So you've got a more of a tired I mean
they're not completely out of it. I mean a lot
of the Cubs guys they only threw ten to fifteen
pitches yesterday. They'll be able to bounce back, but still
because they were used in the double headery yesterday, I
think we have a nice pitching advantage for Milwaukee here.
I prefer the Brewers. And this from the line is
like minus won twelve currently Milwaukee. Yeah, let's go with Yeah,
maybe minus won twelve a total of seven to the under.
I think Milwaukee evens up the series here after an
embarrassing day yesterday, and we get to the fifth game
of the series where they're fighting it out for the
series win. Obviously, the games are much more important in
Chicago because they're still very much behind. They're fighting for
that wildcard spot. But I think it's a good spot
overall for Milwaukee to make a nice little comeback here.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Brian's hot right now. I went four to O
and MLB the day before yesterday. I went six and
O in MLB yesterday, so it's going well, nice day,
and I did have the Minnesota Twins team total under
I had the Yankees, I had well whatever. Oh, the
Blue Jays was my five dollars play on the money line.
That was an easy win. Everyone was worried about them
missing Vlad, but I mean, let's face it, Lad's replacements
probably better than anyone in the Pittsburgh lineup, so it
didn't really matter, which is what I figured so onto
this game. I'm gonna go with the Brewers here because
it's a perfect spot for them. They lost to yesterday,
they come back with the better pitcher, they have the
better bullpen and the better hitting. And if you look
at the pitchers numbers against the batters they're facing today,
Mizrowski great numbers against these batters. He's got a one
seventy six average against in a four to forty oh PS.
Granted the sample size only seventeen, but that means he's
got probably what one or two starts against him, and
he's held them down very well. RAA against the Brewers
not so good twenty at bats against, four to fifty
average against in a nine to seventy six OPS, anything
over seven p fifty in my opinion is not good,
So that's two hundred points over being not good. Brewers
is just a better team right now. Cubs are not
hitting well. I don't look at yesterday on purpose. I
do kind of like for a spot situation, But just
because a team scored a lot of runs yesterday, that
doesn't mean all of a sudden they're a juggernaut. Brewers
overall better team here, so better pitcher as well. I
would take the bruis. One alarming stat though, is Missowski
on the road has a seven plus the are that's
a little worrying, So that'll make me knock it down
to a small percent.
Speaker 1: So I do think I like the Brewers as well,
But I guess the only thing I do think it's
worth pointing out that they are they have the luxury
of making some business decisions over the next six weeks
or so, Like, for example, miss Rowski's not throwing more
than seventy pitches here like that would be crazy, and
I don't think you'll see him. I don't think you're
going to see him throw more than eighty the rest
of the season. I actually think I think you're probably
looking at seventy five is probably the target for him.
If you look at his most recent starts, it's like,
I don't think he's exceeded eighty pitches since the All
Star break, and that's by design, it's not just because
you know, he got sort of roughed up by the
Red So you know, best case scenario, which I still
think is worth Like, I'm still fine with this because
of the bullpen situation. So because the Brewers have a
pretty fresh bullpen. I mean, you get three four good
innings out of miss Roski. Let's say he gives you
four good innings. In some cases that's that's maybe not
enough to justify the price tag, but in this case,
knowing that you really have options after him, I could
get down with the Brewers here for that reason. So
I think Visaski will be better than he was in
his previous start because it's like his stuff is so good,
he's not going to get blown up very often. So like,
let's say he gives you four solid innings, Brewers should
be fine with the bullpen arms that they have. So yeah,
I have a pretty strong lean toward the Brewers as well.
But just understand because someone was in the comments like,
you're crazy to suggest that the Brewers are going to
be a five hundred team the rest of the way. Well,
it's like they've done, they've already done what they needed
to do. Right They're thirty game thirty some odd games
over five hundred. They have like an eight game lead,
seven eight game lead in the division. They have the
best record in the National League right now by like
seven games. So don't be surprised that this is a
five hundred team the rest of the way because they
don't need like and it's not because they're not still
an elite team. It's that they're not going to need
to sort of like max out on resources like some
of these other teams need to do, because right now,
the Brewers' main goal is get to the playoffs healthy.
Let's make sure we've got Mesarowski, you know, going to
the playoffs where he can go a full start. So
I do think that it's like it's not the worst
spot for the Brewers, but like, just this isn't going
to be the juggernaut over the next six weeks that
you saw over the previous six weeks because they just
don't need to be. And I think you'll see that
them manage according to that. So I do lean here
toward the Brewers, but that's probably why this is priced
where it is because minus one ten on the Brewers
seems like a gift here. But I think you have
to take some of those other things into consideration. All right,
let's go to a couple new people. First of all,
DN new member, thank you, We get the alert. We
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we very much appreciate it. And yeah, all the comments
on the show are awesome as well, and the one
I just want to point one thing out before we
go to the next game. I don't think we're at
the point where the books really haven't banded MLB yet.
I still think the line are pretty sharp right now,
but like, give it a week, like let let college
football start this weekend. I think you're gonna see some
some very soft lines in Major League Baseball and I
don't and where I think they really struggle is they
don't keep up with the roster moves. Like that's where
they get burnt, is they can't keep up with all
the roster moves. Rosters start to expand guys get called up,
and it's just not baked into the line. So yeah,
that's a that's a great point by whoever made that comment,
And I'm glad Brian remember to bring it up. All right,
Sonny says, are the Yankees bats awake or what? Well?
TV loved the Yankees yesterday? They got it done. I was,
I gotta be honest, I was all ready to play them.
I got a little scared with the line move in
that game. The race took some serious money yesterday to
sort of drive that down. I think it went off
like minus one twenty or something of that nature. But
the Yankees was clearly the right side. So Brian Lennard
will go to you, are the Yankees bats a week?
And can they do it against Drew Rasmussen here, who
looks like the race might have a little bit of
a pitching engine this one.
Speaker 2: The Yankees are now third in baseball the last two
weeks with the one thirty seven WRC plus tells you
how quick it could turn around. Because the hottest team
in baseball hitting wise in the last two weeks New
York Mets with a one forty six. They were dead
last just a few days ago, so they've they've really
picked it up, and which is one of the reasons
why I use the uh the recency a little bit.
I started the year looking at season to date and
then doing month to date, and I agree with with Brandon.
He uses the shorter timeframe so you could put a
little bit more in perspective that teams get hot, teams
get cold, and you got to take advantage of it
when they're in that situation. But we're looking at for
the Yankees here, we've got Slitler against rash rash Mussen
comes in is the slag favorite, about a one twenty favorite.
He's more proven and he's been as I mentioned in
the past, anytime he's healthy. He's one of the best
pitchers in baseball. Not flashy, but you get good value
in him and the Yankee starter going today and the
totally that is eight and a half. But yeah, the
Yankees are hitting much better now than they were before.
If you take a look at Schlittler in six starts,
so far this year three point nine four ERA, four
point five six expected, one point five to two whip.
That's our major concern here is fastball ve lost. He's excellent.
He's in the ninety fifth percentile in that regard. His
average fastball is four seemer ninety eight miles an hour.
That's three miles an hour better than the average right
hander in Major League Baseball. He does throw five pitches,
but by far his four seemer he uses the most
fifty seven percent. It hasn't really hurt him thus far
because he does have that extreme fastball miles per hour.
But if that continues, he's going to have to develop
some other pitches to help him out. And he's going
up against here against a pretty good Tampa Bay team
that's got some depth, although I will say they've had
some injuries lately. Obviously, their first baseman DH was hurt earlier,
Yandy Diaz was hurt yesterday. They had another guy get
hit yesterday. So it'll be interesting to see what Tampa
Bay throws out as a lineup today. And we just
talked about the Brewers. The Brewers shortstop not a major
offensive player, but he's been hitting better lately. He may
be out, and he's an excellent defender, so that's a
concern there for the Brewers. But Raspus has been very
good and I usually like to play him. The problem
is I don't want to lay the one twenty here.
I think Tampa Bay's got an advantage in their starting
pitching here, but because of some of the injuries and
some of the guys who may not play today, the
Yankees definitely have the advantage in hitting since they've been
able to put basically their DH out in the outfield.
That gives them another great bat. The veteran Stanton usually
just dhs, but they've been putting in the outfield. He's
not pretty, but he's been getting it done out there.
And they've been letting obviously their best player DH, so
that helps them a little bit here. The Yankees offense
has been really good lately, and this is probably about
as deep as they've been in quite some time. So
we've got Tampa Bay pitching against the Yankees hitting. I
think the lines about where it should be smallby passing, Yeah.
Speaker 3: I pretty much agree with that. And by the way, guys,
I have my MLB plays up already today on a
ten and er run in MLB six oh yesterday, four
of the day before. I'm sure these guys are going
to have something up to I have a free play
in MLB up as well. Go to waja talk dot
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a single game video out Regarding this one, Yeah, I
loved the Yankees yesterday. But the reason I loved the
Yankees yesterday because their bats were hot, and because I
liked Rodon's history against Tampa. He didn't pitch that well actually,
but they still pulled it out. He was okay, not
great today though. Also yesterday, bas his numbers against the Yankees,
I kind of had a feeling they were going to
tag him, and they did, so Rodon didn't have to
be so sharp. Today is kind of a different story
because I do not like Schlitler at all. I do
like saying his name, but I'm not gonna take a
Schlitler today because I just don't think I don't like
his numbers. I mean, the sample size is small, but
Tampa Bay has has beat him up pretty good. Rasmussen.
Take a look at his numbers against the Yankees, a
one sixty one average against in a four to h
three OPS and that's with fifty six at bats against.
So he definitely has the potential to hold this line
up down. But the Yankees are hot and Tampa can't
hit for Jack right now, So that all leads me
to believe this game is going to be an under.
But I don't want to bet an under in this ballpark,
and I don't want to bet an under with a
team that's as hot as the Yankees. So I will
pass on this game. But if I were to bet it,
I would do an under.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm kind of in the same boat. Schlitzler's got
a ton of upside he'd throw. You know, he's throwing
ninety eight like that's yeah. He from a upside standpoint,
He's a guy that like is probably not that far
off from like really figuring it out potentially being pretty good.
He's got you know, he throws four or five pitches
ninety eight mile an hour fastball. He's shown the ability
to command those pitches at the minor league level, you know,
now can can he do it in the big leagues?
And he's shown flashes of doing it, like last time
out against the Twins, he was very solid five innings,
one run on two hits, six strikeouts. You know, he
really hasn't been blown up at the big leagues. He's
he's kind of steadily given up, right, He's given up
something at each start. I guess that's my concern here
because we know the you know, Rasmussen at his best
can be like seven scoreless, right like if you get
Rasmussen's you know, good effort, like like you know, the
last and he's and he's shown it of late, one
earned run against the A's last time out, six shutout
innings against the Mariners. So that's I guess my concern
is just you know, I like I would love to
find a spot to sort of play the rate, Like
I really like Rasmussen a lot of red on the
on the stat cast page. You know, he he is
a guy that I've been OK backing, and I think
I even had him for a I believe a big
bet recently that cash. But I'm just too I'm too
concerned with like this. Like Togyo Brandon made a great point,
this Ray's lineup doesn't hit, and at least they don't
hit consistently, And there's just too much upside with Schlittler
where if he's got it working, I could see him
sort of shutting the Rays down. So yeah, maybe the under,
but then again, you're in a ballpark that's not exactly
under friendly, so so so a tough one.
Speaker 2: Let me.
Speaker 3: If you're done, can I just add my two cents?
Let me give you my rankings for these bullpens in
current form, the Rays number three and Yankees number seven,
So that kind of bolsters an under as well that
Adam seems to agree with.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just like how both guys are throwing the ball,
and I think I think there's upside to Schlittler that's
not fully priced into the market because he's given up
a little bit here or there. But again, I just
don't know how how much the books and the odds
makers have watched him pitch prior to him getting the
big leagues. He's got far more upside than a lot
of other guys that are that are like being called up.
So I think that that's just like, you know, a
point that needs to be made. All right, Antonio, H
he's headed to the Royals game tonight. That's awesome. First
of all, I wish I was headed to the Royals
game tonight, and he wants some action on this game.
And there's other people talking about Rangers Royals in the chat,
So let's get this conversation going. I want to point
out before I go to Brian, I'll point out we
don't really have a starter for the Rangers yet, but
I'm pretty confident it's gonna be Kumar Rockers. So this
would have been, I believe been de grom start or
a spot in the rotation. They are going to skip him,
so I know we're gonna get Noah Cameron for the Royals,
and I think, like, let's put it this way. If
it's not Rocker, I don't know who it's gonna be
for the Rangers, but I can tell you right now,
if it's not him, and you were to bet the Royals,
now you've probably got yourself a good number. So Rocker's
the only one that makes actual sense in my opinion,
And I guess let's give Antonio eight some action for
the game. Can he can he bet the home team here.
Speaker 2: I think there's value without knowing who the starter is,
because right now you can get Kansas City at home
upwards of plus one oh nine. You get a good
number with Cameron on the mound. And I like Cameron.
He's a lefty going against this Texas team who is
fading fast, and obviously de gram is There were somewhat
concerned about de Gram with all the engines is pitched
and he hasn't been quite as good as of late.
So who is Texas gonna throw out there on the
mound who's better than Camera? I don't think they can.
So if you do like Kansas City, I think it's
a good time to bet it now because once they
decide to use let's say they use Kumar Rocker. He's
got a decent future, but he has he's been very
inconsistent and I would rather have Cameron be totally honest
with you. And I also want Kansas City because they're
playing at home and they're playing better ball. So yeah,
I'm interested in Kansas City here, and I think if
we can get him before they announced, we're getting even
a better number. Cameron on the season two point four
to seventy RA three point three nine. Obviously he's been
a little bit beneficial and there'll be some negative CORRELATIONIA
coming up. But he's got a one point oh sixty IRA.
If you take a look at his stack cast page.
The worst thing he does is his fastball veloss. He's
only in the twentieth percentile. He's a lefty that flows
ninety two point three miles per hour, which is less
than a mile per hour, less than a league average
for a lefty. And he does throw five pitches sixteen
percent or more, even a seat four seam route although
it is number his number one pitch is only twenty
seven percent of the time. So I really like Noah Cameron.
I like the situation here, and without knowing who the
starter is, I can't get into that. Yeah, to me,
this is going to be a game that's going to
make my card somehow today and it probably is going
to be as soon as the show is over, because
I want to get that number before it gets away.
And camera should be am am I wrong here that
he should be about a one thirty favorite here if
he goes against us somebody like that. So yeah, there's
plenty of value here on Kansas City.
Speaker 3: Right now, guys, go to our pages at waygertalk dot com.
We always have free plays up. Take the ten seconds
to go there and check out what we have offered today.
I have mine up already today. I'm sure these guys
do or will very shortly. I have no idea why
the Royals are an underdog here. Makes no sense to me.
I saw them at plus one ten before the show started.
That makes absolutely no sense to me. The Rangers can't
hit right now, and the bullpen is playing with garbage.
The fact that they didn't have a starter announced means
to me that they're gonna be there could There's a
potential for a lot of bullpen usage here, and their
bullpen is not performing well. I have him ranked twenty
one in current form out of thirty teams. Royals, on
the other hand, look at their hitting number seven in
MLB in current form and their bullpen's ranked nine. I
got Noah Cameron ranked number nine a on a curve
of thirty. He's not number nine out of two hundred pittuers,
but he's in the top one third of pictures according
to my numbers. No sample size against these batters, which
tends to favor the picture if the batters have never
seen him and he's got good home good home stats.
So I don't know why the Rangers are favored, makes
absolutely no sense. This is gonna be my parlay, leg
I'm gonna take the Royals on the money line here
currently one between one ten and minus one ten, So
I guess plus Andrew would be a fair number.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's what I'm kind of looking at
right now. I just checked out, like DraftKings, some of
the sites that do have so not every site has
this this line up yet, probably for that reason. Oh really, yeah,
Like it looks like, yeah, it looks like the places
that do are are still hanging like even money. Is
that true? Brian is about even even on me? Right now?
Speaker 2: I'm seeing ESPN bet at minus one fifteen FANDOL minus
one sixteen Caesar's and minus ten mm, so.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I see. I mean, listen, here here's the deal
if you I think, if you like the Royals and
you there are still some like minus one oh fives.
Even I did see DraftKings, just moved it to a favorite. Uh.
They were like plus one oh two before I got
in the show. It's it's I think it's minus one
five five.
Speaker 3: Now and it's one on one is what Russell's saying.
Speaker 1: Okay, minus one on one. Yeah, Like the point is
there's a there's almost no way, like you're not locking
in a good number by taking the Royals right now,
and it's it's it goes back to what everyone's saying.
But uh, Kumar, Rocker, I feel like has been sent
down three times this year already, and last time in
the last time out down at Triple A got bobbed.
Granted it was in Albuquerque, but still like that doesn't
it shouldn't really matter. That's not the Albuquerque doesn't have
a great, great lineup right now. So it's like, yeah,
it was altitude, but he still can't be getting blown
up by by that team. So I don't see how
there's any way it's not him because and if it's not,
then maybe if it's let's put it this way, if
it's not Rocker and it's a like somehow a collection
of Rangers depth arms, then the Royals should probably be
like minus one forty. So you're you're I think you're
onto that's that's gonna be a good bet. I would
you know, I.
Speaker 3: Would take it even if de Gram was starting. I
would take the Royals today.
Speaker 1: Well yeah, I mean it would obviously be a much
different it would be a much different price. But yeah,
I think there's you know, shout out to to you, Brian.
At the trade deadline, you were the one person I
don't think I heard many people sort of pumping up
the Royals, and Brian came on this show and said,
I think the Royals had a great deadline. I was
even like, yeah, they're kind of I don't see them
getting into the mix, but they're right in the mix.
Five straight wins, and that's the other thing they don't.
They can't afford to, like not keep stacking wins. So
it's like they're not in a scenario where, you know,
they didn't have a bunch of bullpen usage yesterday. I
think Lugo pitched in Ato like the seventh inning, So
they're okay, They're set up okay there. And I mean
this is a team that has won five straight games.
They're now two and a half games back of the
Mariners for that last spot. So the Royals have a
lot to play for. And I'll keep going back to
that Rangers, who we retired earlier this year was at
Kevin Pilar and he was just he kind of talked
about how there's like no camaraderie in that clubhouse and
just kind of everyone doing their own thing. Yeah, I'm
kind of out on the Rangers. I was wrong them.
I thought that they would sort of figure it out
at some point. They never really have, and now they
just they look like they're a team that's just going
to continue to play their way out. So I can't
put you guys off of Royals bet here in Antonio.
I hope you have fun at the game, and it's
always fun to cash with the home team. As someone
that goes to like a million college basketball games. Then
we'll bet against the team, which I've done quite frequently
over the years. Let me tell you something, it's much
more fun when it sets up for you to back
the home team. So bet the Royals tonight, Antonio. I
think it'll it should be a good time. That's the play,
and that's Tokyo Brandon's play for the parlance. So we'll
throw it in their minus one ten just to be fair.
But yeah, I think Travis said he just put in
his bet his second case ticket and MGM didn't move
the line. So it looks like some of these books
are probably going to be asleep at the wheel because
I fired up a local offshort quick and it was
still even money. So you know, again, just see if
you can take it manage of that, all right, Brian,
I'm going to propose a game because we're talking al
playoff race, and I want to bring up your Cleveland
Guardians who have who have called up a guy that
I feel like I've been watching at Triple A for
a long time, even though he hasn't really been there
for a long time, but he's just been very, very consistent,
and that would be Parker Messick, who looks like he
will make his major league debut in the Desert today
against the Diamondbacks and what is now a massive game
for the Guardians because the Mariners continue to lose and
it's really helped teams like the Guardians and the Royal
sort of stay within that three game sort of, you know,
two to three games out of that final wild card spot.
Parker Messik debut, Guardians looking for a series win against
the Dbacks. How are you seeing this one?
Speaker 2: Yeah, Parker Messik, I haven't had a chance to watch
him as yet, but he comes in. This is the
minor league numbers five and six this year three point
four to seven e ra A one point two two.
We have more than a strikeout an inning. It plays
for the Columbus Clippers, which is the Triple A team,
and last year he played for the Lake County Captains,
which is single A plus A eight plus whatever. And
then Akron the rubber Ducks, which to me have the
one of the worst, one of the worst nicknames in
Major League Baseball I understand, or in minor league baseball,
I understand it. The Akron the rubber Capitol. I went
to college there. Who's going to be intimidated by rubber Duck?
But he moved two levels last year, so he's moving
on up. He's one of the guys. He's only six foot.
He's a bigger guy, two hundred twenty five pounds, muscular guy,
but he's only six foot age twenty four. They're gonna
see what they've got out of him. It doesn't hurt
him here. I don't think pitching in Arizona. Arizona's team
overall has been a little bit disappointing, But if you
watch that game, yesterday. The base running all in this
Arizona team is tremendous. I believe this is a third
year in a row they've got the best base running
team in baseball. And obviously Corbyn Carroll is terrific. At
two triples yesterday, He's set the record I believe for
Arizona on triples in the season. These guys know this
ballpark and they know where to hit it, put it
right in those corners. And I still think the Cleveland
outpuilders are still chasing after those balls, taking these weird
bounces off the fence and where it goes. But I
don't want Fat Fox struggled. He's still not putting it
all together. It'll be an interesting game. Nine could nine
looks a little a little cheap if you're looking for
a total in this game. I think both teams can
have some success here. Now. Normally I like to play
on teams bringing up a lefty that the opposition doesn't
know about. But I could somewhat concern that this maybe
just be a spot start here for a mess. But
those kind of guys, if they have success, they tend
to play at three or four games in a row.
We've seen a lot of that. That's where Cameron. We
just talked about Cameron for Kansas City. That was one
of the guys that has done that and he's had
a lot of success. So I think the Bats will
have a little bit of advantage here, but don't know
enough about messics to get involved, so I will pass.
Speaker 3: Yeah, there's a couple X factors here that are going
to keep me off of playing this. But I'll tell
you which way I would go if I were to
bet it, and I'll be very brief messic. You know,
when guys get called up, they could go either way.
They could go six shutout innings or they could just
get bombed for eight runs and two innings. So I
don't know which way it's going to go, so I'm
not gonna mess with that side of it. However, we
do know what Brendan Fodd is. He's a pretty good
home pitcher and he's got decent numbers against these Guardians.
Batters and the Guardians, I have them ring twenty six
and hitting current form right now, which is pretty low,
and I got the Diamondbacks hire. If anything, I would
take the Diamondbacks is because they have a so hard
to call Brandon fought a reliable starter, but compared to
a guy who just got called up, I guess he's
more relibed. Too many X factors for me, so I'm
not gonna bet it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, just two things real quick. Everyone on Arizona's team
is fast as hell. So that's also why they're really
good base running team. They are so fast every player
just like a track star. And the other thing is Brian. Yeah.
So they the Akron rubber Ducks have like they tried
to make that aggressive duck tire logo. But the best
part is when they wear the alternate jerseys and it's
literally the yellow rubber duck that you would see in
like like the shower, you know, it's like the rubber ducky,
it's like a yellow It's like the one you'd see
that someone would leave on your jeep. Like it's that
rubber duck, which I always find very very funny. Back
to this game. Yeah, Parker good, great point about Parker Messick.
He was he kind of shot up through the organization
last year Lake County Akron. I think you would in
Columbus by the end of the year this year. Has
been at Columbus all year and he's been very consistent,
and I've actually watched him a ton, So I'm going
to talk about Parker Messick for a minute. I was
watching a Columbus broadcast back in July and they kind
of talked about, you know, they kind of talked about,
you know, giving him a day a start off here
and there, because I think they the expectation was that
they would get him up at some point this year.
So he got bombed at the end of June, which
is fine. It was like his only bad start of
the year. In July. He only started twice, and then
he pitched in the Futures Game, which is the day
before the All Star Game. Two very good starts. They
skipped him at the end of July since giving him
that extra rest, which was basically skip a start, let
him pitch in the Futures Game, which was like a
one inning outing. I think he started the Futures Game actually,
so maybe he pitched two and then skipping him after
his start in July. These are his numbers at Triple
A in August. He has a two fifteen batting average
against and a zero point nine to eight whip in
his two starts in July, which are kind of on
the end of that where he got the extra rest,
won sixty three batting average against zero point seven to
three whip, and he's averaging over a strikeout per inning.
So not only is I mean, not only has he
even super consistent all year, his full season numbers are
very solid. Like you look at his full season numbers
ERA in the mid threes, one hundred nineteen strikeouts to
ninety eight point two winnings and a one to two whip.
That's very respectable. The fact that they kind of let
him exhale a little bit, they let him go to
the futures game do his thing, gave him a start off,
and I almost feel like it's like sort of given
him a second win. And now he's looked great. And
now none of the Remember Guardians International League Diamondbacks PCL,
no one on this Diamondbacks team will have seen him
at all. It's not like they've run into him at
the minor league level. So you got a left that
they haven't seen, one that's throwing the ball extremely well.
Brandon fot sucks. I'm sorry. I'm just gonna say it this, like,
I don't know how this guy hasn't gotten his shit
kicked in at the big league level. Yet it makes
absolutely no sense. Like the fact that he is still
like been somewhat respectable is crazy to me. When you
look at like the I mean, he's got it expected
ERI close to six for whatever reason, guys are swinging
and missing at pitches. It makes no sense. He doesn't
walk anyone, that's fine, but I mean the rate at
which he gets barreled up, he should be getting bombed,
especially in this ballpark. Someone make that make sense. One
of the best hitters parks in the league. This guy
is all like he is out over the plate constantly.
He should be getting lit up. So I'm gonna throw
Guardians in the parlay right here. I this might end
up making the client card. I'll have to I'll have
to see. I'll have to think about it for the
next twenty thirty minutes while we're finishing the show. But parlay,
it's it's good enough. So what do we got for Guardians?
And they still like even money plus one oh five
something like that.
Speaker 2: You can get them at plus one oh three right now.
Speaker 1: Yeah, And that means they've taken a little bit of money,
because I think they were like plus one ten plus
one fifteen.
Speaker 2: Earlier at one they were plus one fifteen. I will
point out that MESSX are number twelve prospect and this
this year's team for Cleveland. They're known to develop pitchers
very well, but most of our best are most of
the Guardians better players are from a hitting standpoint. In fact,
they went a lot of hitting in the draft. They're
starting to get away from the pitching. So being a
twelve ranked player is not normally anything special. But they
don't have many pitchers in that so he's one of
the better ones that they have available.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I I don't know, like I don't
follow minor leagues all the way down to like rookie
ball stuff, but like for for for pitchers that are
either at Double A or Triple A, like he's easily
the top one right now, Like in my for for
anyone like he is their best pitching prospect in that
organization as far as as far as I know, And
I think I like when teams do this. I think
a team like the Guardians, that's kind of in the race.
You bring a guy like this up, he can give
you a jolt. Look at what we'll go. What McLean
did for the Mets this weekend. So yeah, I I
and and bet bats and barrels said, oh, bets and
barrel I bets and barbells. I totally read that wrong.
That's that's a great name. Uh, he says. Fot was
getting touched up a lot at the beginning of the season.
He's managed slightly better lately, but he's still hot garbage.
I couldn't have put it better myself. That's well said. So,
uh yeah, we'll throw the Guardians in, uh in the parlay,
and uh, I'm rooting for Brian Leonard. I want his
team to to play their way into this uh playoff picture,
so he's got something to root for in September, which
the Mariners are certainly doing their part to make that possible.
I've got burnt on them the last couple days, and
they're letting everyone back in at this point. So uh,
let's move on, let's uh, let's continue, let's grab well,
let's talk about that game because it's a day game. Unfortunately,
the Phillies killed our parlay yesterday, and you know what's
what's tough about that because I ended up my client
play yesterday ended up being Mariners plus one and a half.
It dipped all the way to minus one twenty and
I couldn't help myself as soon as as soon as
Mariners plus one and a half got to minus one twenty,
I had to jump in and Brian Leonard we had
everything we could have wanted. We had. Yeah, So so
if you missed the show yesterday, Brian's parlay leg was
Phillies under four and a half for the game team total.
We got to the bottom of the eighth inning, they
were at four runs. The Mariners had all their good
bullpen pen arms and they were rested and Matt Brash
puts a guy on and then gives up a five
hundred footer to JT. Real Muno no doubt or and uh.
That was super disappointing because I felt like I put
myself in a great position to win. We had, we
had everything we wanted, and the Mariners got it shoved
in their face by a Phillies team that just looks
somewhat unstoppable. Right now, I know people are expecting me
to be like, oh, like I would just run it
back with the Mariners. I hate I hate this spot
for the Mariners. I don't like the spot at all
because they had the spot. They had the setup last
night that they could have like that was the setup
you want four for a game. They survived Christopher Sanchez,
they had the bullpen ready to go, and they lost.
That's gonna be tough to come back from. I don't
think I could take the Mariners here. But what about Jesus,
do you want to go the other way with the Phillies.
Speaker 2: Billy had a four to one lead in the seventh,
and if they don't, if they don't give up those
three runs in the I believe it was the eighth,
then I think they just cruised through because they don't
They're not going to bat in the ninth, So you
got to go through the seventh and eighth inning. By
that time, they had a sizeable lead, and I thought
we were feeling pretty good. But that one wants to
give up those three runs and then the offense has
to come back, and I knew we were screwed at
that point. But you got Castillo against the Zardo Zardo,
the lefty Philadelphia right here. I a one fifty favorite,
a little bit higher in some of the more public
bet MGM type of Caesar's type of places. You're looking
at eight and a half to the over nine to
the under. So yes, Steve Hesik was a eight point
seventy five Luis Castillo three point four eighty ra A
four point one five expected one point two two whip.
His extension first percentile part hit rate eighth percentile bearl
rdy eighteenth. Yet since he pitched in a really good
home pitching part, he hasn't gotten hurt too bad in
that regard. Still throws as four seamer a lot, basically
at league average forty seven percent of the time. He's
been sort of like the Toronto pitcher in that we
keep waiting for the shoot to drop the other way,
and they're they're both hanging on there. Lozardo four point
two one ERA, three point five six expected. So he's
had some blow ups this year, no doubt about it.
But when he's on, he's been excellent. He's also his
weakness is the extension. He's only six ft six percent
excuse me, six percentile extension, but he's averaging really nice
strikeout numbers one hundred and fifty eight strikeouts, one hundred
and thirty nine innings. His whip is higher. This Year's
lifetime in seven seasons is one point two seven. It's
never been that great. This year's one point three four.
Like I said, when he's been good, he's been really good.
When he's been bad, he struggled a little bit here.
I like the Philly side a little bit. I think
I agree. Yesterday was the day that I think Seattle
was a good bet if you were looking to play that. Luckily,
I didn't play him on the side. But I like
Philadelphia here, and as you mentioned, they're playing a really
good ball. I would think as the day goes on,
this line goes higher. It opened one thirty five and
now I'm standing uppar to one fifty five of some places.
So if you like Philadelphia, you get them early, because
I think that line will continue to go up.
Speaker 3: I like I kind of like the over team total
over for either one of these teams. The weird thing
is Phillies team total team total is four and a half,
Seattle's is three and a half, but the game total
is nine, so something doesn't add up. But I like
both of these teams to go over. Actually, and you
know Lozardo Castillo both solid pictures, but against the batters
they're facing today, they both have ops's over nine hundred
and let's see Lozardo five plus the Ara at home,
Castillo four plus Era on the road. I think both
of these pictures are going to get hit a little
bit today. Which one's gonna get hit more? I have
Phillies hitting a little better. I would like to take
the Phillies team total over if it was three and
a half, but it's four and a half and nine
for a game total to me seems too high, so
I guess I guess if I were to play it,
I would take Seattle's team total over. One other note
to mention is Louis Castillo is one of the least
walking pictures, so he's the opposite of a chronic walker.
He is a non chronic walker, and Philly doesn't really
walk that much, only two point two times per game.
So if you can get Castills under walks one and
a half, I think that would be a decent play
as well.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Philly has has shown no interest in trying to
work counts in this series.
Speaker 3: They have been none.
Speaker 1: I mean they have been on every offering like the Swingers.
They were swinging at everything that Glogi Gilbert was throwing
up there on Monday and then yesterday, Yeah, like they
that's a team right now that is just locked in.
Everyone in that line. It is locked in great at that.
I mean it's like Shore, We're so relentless and every
every at that like you just can't get him out.
You know. I still again, I still I would make
that bet on the Mariners plus one and a half
at the price I got it at minus one twenty
ten times out of ten the result didn't work out
for me. I would make that that. I have no
problem with the bet I made yesterday. I'd make it again.
I gotta be honest. I woke up this morning and
I was like, are the books gonna like tempt me
to take the Mariners again on the plus one and
a half. I could not believe where that line opened.
Brian was right, you could have got Philly. Like I
had to like refresh my screen. I had to check
like three other books quickly when there was a Philly
minus one thirty five, because I was like, no, no
way that they could be like that competitively priced after
a blowout win in the first game of the series
and then winning yesterday, But sure enough it was. So
it doesn't surprise me in the least bit that Philly's
taken some money. You know, are gonna keep taking money,
by the way, if you if you like Philly, and
it's like minus one forty eight right now, I think
this is gonna end up going off like minus one
seventy because the Phillies have taken money every game of
this series, and it's now been right the first two games.
So you should see the Phillies take money throughout the day.
So the more you wait, if you're gonna bet the Phillies,
it has to be now. The thing is, I don't
think it's gonna be like yesterday where the Mariners are
gonna get into range to play, and I don't really
want any piece of Castillo. I saw some upside with
Bryce Miller yesterday. Castillo doesn't really offer that same upside.
He's been around forever, the Phillies have seen him, but
there's a there's a much bigger book on him. At
this point, I would be you know, I'm not saying
the Mariners can't generate a little offense, but I would.
This just doesn't feel like the spot to go to
to go to war with Castillo, so pass. But I
can't really talk you off Phillies if that's how you
want to play it. Go ahead, Brian, Yeah, I.
Speaker 2: Just want to go to my game for my parlats use. Yeah,
you're getting them out already, and we're getting a little
bit shorter on time. This is what I would call
I've been doing this for forty five years. I grew
up going to high school with Phil Steele, who runs
North Coast Sports puts off the Power Sweet newsletters. So
I've always been into sports gaming, even when i was
a teenager. So I've been releasing plays for about forty
five years. This is a game that I've seen happen
so many times over the years, and I've learned to
spot it. And that's going to be the Chicago White
Sox at the Atlanta Braves. First off, we've got This
is the third and final game of the series. Both
teams will be off tomorrow, so this is a getaway
game for both these teams, and they're getting away and
they get to relax and take a day off. That
means a lot this time of year. So not only that,
but the last two days there's been twenty one and
twenty three runs scored in these games. So the offenses
is Marco would say, would be fat and sassy, whereas
the pitching staffs are really in a situation where they've
been used up a little bit and we need some
length out of the starters. The great news is Martine
Perez is on the mound for the White Sox. He
going in the season. I followed the White Sox a
lot in the preseason. He was the team leader in
the dugout from the pitchers. He's a veteran, he's been
around a long time. He took over those responsibilities for
the White Sox in the preseason and obviously he's had
injuries and this is his first game back now coming
back here. I think that's going to be an advantage
for a White Sox team that we got some good
value out of the second half of the season early on,
but the pitching has really struggled as of late. I
think that's going to be a big help to them.
He'll go out there and he'll give them as much
as he can. He'll throw eighty eighty pitches if he
can and shortened the game. Hirstin and Walsh Waldrip he's
We've heard about him for a while. He's a guy
that's really Atlanta. He's the future of Atlanta's pitchers a
lot because all the other ones are hurt. But I
watched that game against Cleveland the other day and he
was amazing. He had those Cleveland bats flailing, a team
that usually walks pretty well. They didn't have a clue
against him. And I from what I had heard in
the in the from the announcers, that's been the way
he has been. So the way the Chicago bats or
coming off of a couple of really good days. Now
they're going to face him. That's not something they're looking
forward to. I like this game to go under. Now
the total is nine, it's going to be minus one
ten on the under, and you wonder why this line
is so low after they've scored twenty one to twenty
three runs the last two days. That's the experience playing here.
They could end up scoring a lot of runs again.
But I like the under nine here teams with the
super guys on the mound, and with the day off tomorrow,
I think this is a get up there, swinging the
first pitch kind of game and get this over with.
The other team is going to the playoffs. This is
a game I really like. And by the way, I
do have a five percent up today. We've won ten
is it ten in the last eleven days now starting
to run into each other, but we've been very good
eighty percent on our four percent in the higher plays
in the month of August. I love this play. It's
not this one, it's something else, but I love this play.
It's a five percent, and you can pick that up
right now.
Speaker 3: Grab Brian's five percent. Eighty percent is unreal. I mean,
anyone who does capping for a living knows that if
you're if you're fifty seven percent or higher, that's unreal.
So eighty percent is just unheard of. That's great. I'm
on a ten and oer run in MLB, and I
have my MLB play up today. Adam, if he doesn't already,
will have a play up, and we all put free
plays out too. In fact, we just talked requires us
to put a free play out when we have a
five percent, So I guarantee you Brian has a free
play up. So go to our pages today and take
a look at what we have to offer regarding this game. Uh,
Atlanta man, since they basically had no chance to make
the playoffs, they went really cold, but now they're on fire.
You know this is Baseball is just such a marathon.
Teams go up, they go down, they go up, they
go down. Atlanta's bats are on fire right now, but
like Brian said, it's a getaway day. Could be an under.
But I like Atlanta's team total over actually because Martin
Perez is a thirty four year old guy who just
doesn't have his stuff anymore. Not a good pitcher. I
didn't even like him when he was good. His numbers
look okay, a three oh nine ERA and a one
two nine whip, so that's not bad. But against these
Atlanta batters got a three twenty two average against in
a nine to thirty four OPS, which is almost two
hundred points over what I consider acceptable. Not a very
good picture. I don't like him, and I think Atlanta
will hit him. However, there is this weird thing in
baseball where when teams explode for runs, it seems like
the next day they don't. They've ran out of runs
or something, So that could be the case here. If
I were to bet it, I'd take Atlanta's team total
bit given the explosion these two teams have had, I
would be wary of betting it.
Speaker 1: You know, it's hard to I guess you know what
you're gonna get from Pereeds. I mean, he is a veteran.
He always says, let's put it this way. Anytime I
bet against Martin Perez, he's so young, Okay, so if
I bet against him, he's gonna go six scoreless. But
you know, he made a couple of rehabs starts. Nothing
special was okay against the Tigers last week. So I
believe that was his first outing of the season, or
I'm sorry, his first outing since April. First back off
the IL, three and a third, one run, three hits
for strikeouts. That's not bad. Uh. But I'm with Brian
on the under because Hurston Waldram very might be like
he might be an ace like he's so let me
just talk about him for a second. He's a college guy,
so he he came, he went to Florida and he
was the first round draft pick for the Braves in
twenty twenty three. And the Braves, the Braves, for whatever reason,
have done this a lot lately. Go look at like
Didier Frentez, a J. Smith Shaw or they really like
to like you know, rush their guys up and they
almost always have to like backtrack a little bit. So uh,
if you look at him twenty twenty three, he actually
made it to Triple A first start. Last year, he
was he started back in I think it was like
a or yeah, like low A at some point made
it all the way to the big leagues in twenty
twenty four. I watched a lot of them at Triple
A last year. That was probably jumping the gun a
little bit. But if you remember back to last year,
the Braves were pretty desperate at times for starting pitching.
Like Smith got hurt, there was another one that got hurt.
Like they were kind of you know, it was more
of a need based thing, uh. For For for Waldrup,
it's completely clicked for him the second half of the season.
He struggled at Triple A the first half of the
year and really the second half it is it is
just I mean, he's twenty three, right, He's he's he's
a twenty three year old kid, and yeah, I think
he just turned he's just turned twenty three. UH in
July at Triple A zero point seventy eight e ra
a a one oh nine whip a one seventy six
batting average against UH about a strikeout per inning. Since
he's been called up, which was August second, so he recalled.
It wasn't his first. You know, he was called up
last year for the Braves. UH one oh two e
ra a strikeout par inning one fifty batting average against
zero point seventy nine whip. Would would not at all
surprise me if if he's so of wipes them out today.
He remember, he's a first rounder, so they're they're telling
you that they they saw that kind of upside in
him when they drafted him. You don't get drafted in
the first round unless you're unless you show that ace
type upside. And as of like July first, it's just
clicked for him. He's he's figured out how to command
his pitches and he has been awesome. So yeah, I
can't argue with backing law drip in any capacity. And
of course, if you like the under and you can
get a respectable outing from Perez, then I don't like.
I don't mind that at all. So Brian Leonard, I'm
with you. I think I think under makes a lot
of sense here. What is that uh minus one ten
on the under nine.
Speaker 2: One on the nine. I do want to point out
ESPN Bets got the the under nine and a half
minus one thirty. Don't play that. The going from nine
to nine and a half is not worth twenty cents.
So even though it's you look like you're getting up
an extra half. If you've watched Steve Marri I'll talk
about it in the past, he really lets you know
that the odd numbers are much more important than the
even numbers in baseball when you're laying laying numbers on totals. So, yeah,
you're already getting the nine. So it could be four
to four in the ninth inning and before running the
bottom of the ninth and you got you still get
a push out of that. It's not it's not worth
it to pay that extra twenty cents.
Speaker 1: All right, we have the parlay locked in. I will
I will recap it at the end of the show.
Let's let's get one more quick one in because I
feel like this is not going to take us that
long to talk about this game. But we've been right
about this game both days so far. Let's talk Dodgers Rockies.
So we were right about the Rockies on Monday with
that plus three. Last night, Brian, we pointed out that
team total being seven and a half. I think they
had seven in like the first two or three innings
of that game, and pretty much any Dodgers bet got there.
I just want to make Yeah, it was an eleven
four final, but even of those runs were scored in
the first three innings, so team total ended up getting
there easily. Eleven runs for the Dodgers on eighteen hits.
Dodgers Rockies again from Korsfield today, it's gonna be Otani
to start things off for the Dodgers and Tanner Gordon,
who is another one in the line. Basically the Rockies
hole rotation right now as an eight era and they're
guys that aren't even good at Triple A and they're
getting they're really just getting service time up there. It's
truly incredible to see what they run out there on
the daily basis. Today it's Tanner Gordon. So any value
or have we sucked the value out of this series
at this point?
Speaker 2: Well, first of all, if you've looked the games in
his carilla, Otani has pitched, he hasn't hit quite so well,
So keep out of mind if you're looking to play
Otani props. He is much better when he doesn't have
to pitch obviously makes a lot of sense. Pitching is
your main responsibility, Tannor Gordon. He's in the ninety fourth
percent walk great, there you go is in two years
he's got a four point four walk rate. That's the
only thing he's even close to be good at. Spected
the ra third percent. I expect the batting average first,
with rate first, drike out percent third. In his career,
he comes in with an eight point three ERA one
point seventy six whip going against these Dodgers. If the
Dodgers want to want to hit them, they can hit them.
And that is my concern here in that regard. But
do I want to lay three dollars in some places
even higher three twenty on Otani? Probably not. I think
it's one of those games that the Dodgers get enough
runs and they let Otani go, you know, four. There's
been talking about five innings. We'll see if that goes.
If against these batters he could go five innings. But
the rest of the bullpen that gets some of the
guys in the in the branch guys, your sixth seventh,
fIF sixth seventh, and eighth inning guys. I would see
those going. I don't see a situation where you know
this game is going to be that close, maybe play
the Dodgers minus one and a half because you get
in the full nine innings out of them. But yeah,
they should be able to hit Gordon. It all depends
on how it is. And we've talked about the Dodgers
all season long. There's certain games they get up for,
certain games they don't, so it makes it tough to
bet them. You know, a big number like we're going
to have today, so slightainly with the Dodgers, maybe it
might US one and a half. That's about it for me.
Speaker 1: Nner.
Speaker 3: Gordon has allowed twenty six earned runs in his last
four starts, and if you think that's because of the
air in Colorado, two of those starts were on the road.
Granted they were against really good hitting teams like the
Diamondbacks and the Blue Jays, but the Dodgers are pretty
good hitting team as well. I think I like how
Otani has been pitching. You know, you can't bet minus
three hundred. We can't as professional kappers advise you to
do that. But if you have a book where they
allow you to al numbers, you know, in the first
five innings, Dodgers minus one is only minus one sixty.
I think that's huge value Dodgers minus one in the
first five innings if they if they're leading by one
after five innings, it's a push. There's zero risk to
take that. Uh and if they're leading by two Tanner
Gordon I have him ranked thirty out of thirty on
a curve of thirty. He's the worst pitcher in MLB
according to my numbers, he's the worst, and Otani has been.
He had a rough outing last time, but I think
Otani they're gonna let him go five innings, and he's
a pretty good pitcher. If you watch his pitches. He's
got a lot of movement on his on his fastballs,
and his bat does tend to slip a little when
he's pitching, but that's understandable. I mean, you're doing double duty.
I mean, it's so taxing on on on your body.
But I think Dodgers minus one in the first five
is well, nothing's easy money. But I think I think
I'm surprised it's only minus one sixties, So that would
be how I would go on that.
Speaker 1: I'm not a big props guy, but I do think
there might be a way to UH to play some
Dodgers props here. So the way that the like market,
I feel like you know you're not it's hard to
find value Dodgers props over in a game like this
there most of them are going to be juiced up.
But I do think that the guys that tend to
get more sort of juiced when you when you're talking
about Dodgers props are going to be oh Tani and
Brian just gave you a good reason why to avoid him.
He's pitching today, Freddy Breman because he's he's arguably the
best player on the team, or you know, he's hitting third,
and because they're left hand hitters against a right handed pitcher.
But Tanner Gordon splits are actually reverse like at least
this season, and the sample is roughly the same. UH.
Left and right. Right handed hitters against Tanner Gordon this
year are hitting four twenty three with a one with
an over one thousand ops. So maybe maybe maybe you
you can find a decent way to bet like a
Will Smith prop if he's in the lineup, or like
a Taoskar prop, or maybe like go down the list
a little bit with a right handed batter that's not
as in demand from a prop standpoint, because the runs
are probably gonna come. You're probably still gonna get your
five at bats, like whether they're batt in fifth or
six in the lineup. So I would say, find a
right handed hitter that maybe has good splits against right
handed pitching, that isn't one of the top guys in
this Dodgers order, and maybe play some props with them,
because they got to give you prop value somewhere. If
they're gonna, you know, if if if the value, if
they're gonna make Otani and Freeman this they're somewhere down,
then you're gonna have a guy that has a little
bit of value. So like bets A Marble says, maybe
Andy Pa has total basis, Yeah, something like that. But
he is getting lit up by right handed hitters, and
I don't think that's gonna be like totally known because
most people think, oh, right handed pitcher, he's terrible. Let's
put the lefties in. But righty's have tagged Tanner Gordon
this year, So just something to think about. All right,
we have reached the end of the show. We have
the three teamer plus six forty seven today. That's exciting.
Let's see if we can get one of these bigger ones.
Pretty much everything minus one ten are better. We've got Tokyo,
Brandon Royal's minus one ten. I'm gonna go with the
Guardians plus one oh three, and then we've got Brian Leonard.
He's gonna go white Sox Braves under nine comes out.
Iran it quickly plus six forty seven. So we cashed
the parlay on Monday. We were an inning away from
getting it yesterday, so we didn't get it yesterday, but
hopefully we can come back and cash here TV. Do
you want to direct the Do you want to do
one more quick promo before we get out of here?
Speaker 3: Yeah, Brian's got a five percenter. I have an MLB out, Adam.
Do you have anything out yet?
Speaker 1: No, but I'll put something out at some point this listen.
I think I'm still one. Over the last thirty days,
I've been really hot, but I lost my five percenter
on Monday. I split yesterday in a game that I
went one and won. I felt like I should have
went to and oh. So I think the best I
think your best move is to ride Brian on on
that streak with his big play so yeah, I mean,
I'll have something up, but if you're going to buy something,
I think you should buy his five percenter.
Speaker 3: So yeah, and guarantee Brian has a free play up,
and I guarantee you I have a free play up,
and I guarantee you Adam will have a free play up.
And a lot of people complain that we don't give
out picks on this show, but you know what this
show is about giving knowledge, And if you can't make
picks out of the information we've given you, then I
don't think I can help you. So go to our
pages at wager Talk take the ten seconds to see
what we're offering.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we also just gave three picks that are minus
one ten or better. So I don't know what people
are talking about. And I'm gonna recap one more time.
It is. It is our three teamer for today, TB
Royals minus one ten. We also have someone boots on
the ground there from the chat, so he's gonna get
that home for us, uh, Guardians for me plus one
oh five plus one O three plus one oh five
and then White Sox Braves under nine. So that's the
three team of Royals, Guardians, White Sox prays under nine
all full game, let's uh, let's cash a three teamer.
Hope everyone has a great day and we'll be back
in the morning. More total bases nine am tomorrow morning.
See you guys then