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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in everyone. It is twoes a Thursday.

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It is Thursday. It's time for Total Basis two man Show.

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Today Tokyo. Brandon told us, I think he's at a

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Japanese hot springs right now. Brian Leonard, that actually sounds

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pretty cool. I think i'd be down to check that out.

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Speaker 2: Don't know anything about it, but if he's doing it,

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I'm sure it's a lot of fun.

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Speaker 1: So TV's out with the in laws this week, so

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he'll be I do believe he'll be back tomorrow. I

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think he was trying to get back today, but he was.

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He said the traffic was brutal in Japan, which yesterday

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on the show, I envisioned him like driving out to

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like central Japan and like the countryside. But he's like, no,

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He's like, this is like the most populated country there is.

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He's like, it's it's not that And so the traffic

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was pretty rough. But that's all right. You got myself,

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You've got Brian Leonard. It's your one stop shop for

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Major League Baseball free picks and advice. Here on the

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way to talk to YouTube channel and Brian. Since it's

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only two of us and there's only seven games. I

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think we can get to all seven games today. I

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think we'll make sure we don't go off on too

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many tangents. I think within the hour we can do

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a deep dive on all seven games. So I am

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just gonna get right into it. Let's start off from

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the top. We've got a couple of day games today,

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and let's go to Baltimore Mariners Orioles. I got this one.

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I didn't play this yesterday, Brian, but I did get

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this one right. I felt like it was not the

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best spot for the Mariners. I felt like they were

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a little bit inflated with Gilbert on the mound. The

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Orioles tend to hit right handed pitching, and they tend

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to hit better at home, and they ended up finding

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a way to win that game, almost find a way

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to choke it away, but in the end found a

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way to win. They're up against another right handed pitcher

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and Logan Evans today, but to me, not as good

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as a setup for them. So how are you seeing

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this one, Mariner's Orioles. It's the first day game on

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the board today.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. As you can tell by my background, I'm visiting

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out of town today, so I'm using my laptop, and

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I haven't used my laptop in a long time because

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I don't travel much because I don't have any need to.

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But a lot of the things that I have at

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home I don't have now. So we're going to find

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that I'm going to be very slow on moving things around.

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Number one because of the situation where I'm on the laptop.

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Other two is I don't have the same internet speed

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and other things that I have at home. So I

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want everybody to bear with me here. And we're looking

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at the live odds here for the baseball and we'll

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check that out. We're looking at what came what do

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you want to talk about? The lizardo?

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Speaker 1: So so just well to keep it just very easier

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for you too, We're just going to go write in order.

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So we'll start at the top and go right down

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the list, So Mariners Orioles, we'll start with first game

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on the board.

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Speaker 2: So you're looking you're looking at time wise as opposed

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to to the sprint or the money.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, sorry, Yeah, that's my bad. I'm gonna

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go in time order.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Okay, we got Evans going against Sigano, and let's

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check that out here where you got the current lines

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basically looking at Evans about a one twenty five favorite

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total of ten, slightly to the under two guys that

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for the most part, I've been looking to fade, although

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memory serves me correctly, the last time they each pitched,

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they did pretty well. Uh, you're gonna find that you're

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gonna have games. We saw. We saw it this week.

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Courchet got hit. A lot of guys that were good

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get hit Williams. You know, I had Miami yesterday and

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I loved the Miami situation. Williams threw one hundred and

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twenty six pitches the game before, had a chance for

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the no hitter, and you know, you and I we

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ended up both on I didn't know, but we ended

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up both with big plays on Miami yesterday because we've

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seen that situation before, and when somebody is that close

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to a no hitter and they throw that many more

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pitches than they normally do, chances are they're not going

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to have it next time out. And that's what we

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saw out of Williams yesterday. Logan Evans, we're looking at

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his numbers on the season four point three six CR

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one point three nine WET. He does pitch in Seattle,

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which should help his numbers. It's a good pitcher's park.

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But when you took a look at his stack cast page,

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there is nothing red on it. And red is good.

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It's it's it's something we always look for. He had

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his expected batting average six percentile, barrel rate, eighth extension.

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He's six foot four and his extension is in the

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six percentile. Is he just releasing the ball straight up?

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He's not, you know, pushing it towards the towards the mound.

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I think in the offseason they're going to have to

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take a look at that because that's his biggest advantage.

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If you are six' four or, higher your extension should

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be great because you should finish closer to the. Mound

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and why it's so important is the closer to the

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mound that you let go of that ball is the

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faster it gets on the. Batters and right now he's four.

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Seemer he only throws at eleven percent of the, time

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which is, good but it's only ninety two point eight

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miles per, hour which is two point one miles per

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hour works than the league. Average and he's only twenty,

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four so he's not a guy that's going to dazzle

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you with his, stuff AND i think he can be hit.

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Here LIKE i, SAID i believe he came off a

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nice start last time. Out but he's not a Guy

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i'm looking to Back. Sigano he's been up and down all.

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Season we, heard you, Know brandon's not here, today but

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he talked about this earlier in the. Season he's a

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journeyman at thirty five years. Old so he came over

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here late four point two. Four he or a one

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point three to one whip and they said he said

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when he started off strong that once they got some

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film on him and once the teams have played him

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once that it would. Change and it. Has you, know last,

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TIME i think was last time he pitched. Well but

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he's very good in his walk grat eighty third, percentile

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but that's really the only thing he does. Well hard

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hit wait sixty, three better th league. Gaverage but he's

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got EXPECTED era in the fifth, percentile expected batting average,

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THIRD wif, six strikeout rate five and on ninth in.

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Barrel so When i'm looking at these two, Pitchers i'm, thinking,

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WELL i think the hitters can have some success. Here

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we're looking at ten on the total that's a little

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bit higher than what The Baltimore turtles, Are so it

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has moved a little bit because of. That but IF

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i was to play this, GAME i would play it.

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Over but luckily we don't have to play. Anything so

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at this Point i'm sitting it. Out but my first

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thought process is to play the.

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Speaker 1: Over, YEAH i don't disagree with. THAT i don't care

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for either of these. Pitchers i've been vocal about that

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on this, show looking for spots to play Against evans

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and looking for spots to play Against. Sudano now, Today,

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Brian i'm almost willing to look at THE i do

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see edges here for The, Mariners and What i'm gonna

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do is just look at the starting, pitching which you've

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just sort of broken, down and, say you know, WHAT

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i hope THAT i think they can equal out, Right

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LIKE i JUST i Think evans And sugano here can

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be a. WASH i think when you look at the

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numbers and you look at some of the stack, castuff

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some of the underlying, METRICS i think they're kind of

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a wash at this. Point And i'll go even one

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step further to, say like one against the others, lineup

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make it kind of even to, me BECAUSE i still

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Think seattle has a better lineup AND i still Think

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seattle is Something Something i'll go back to that you

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sort of put me onto earlier this season That i've

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absolutely made money off of and didn't really think of

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until you brought it, up was that this team has

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just built to be better on the. Road the way

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that they've constructed their ball club is more favorable when

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they're not in their home, park or when they're not

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in you, know their home, park or maybe a couple of.

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Others it's there are much more. Favorable like they rely

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on the home run ball to generate, offense and so

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when you're you, know you'd rather have a team like

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The mariners At Camden yards than AT T Mobile. Park

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the ball it's just a more hitter friendly. Park the

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ball gets out, easier so The mariners are that's a

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plus for. Me for. Them where they have the huge

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edge in this, Game, brian is the. Bullpen that's WHERE

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i think they win this, game because right, now The orioles, bullpen,

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well right, now if you're just looking at full season,

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numbers they're bottom five in the. League this is not

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a good. Bullpen and then you talk about like some

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of those numbers still have they still have some of

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their other relievers baked in who are no longer with the.

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Team like this bullpen got worse since the trade. Deadline

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they traded off a couple of key. Pieces The mariners

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right now are finally into the top ten In Major

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League baseball and most bullpen. Metrics, now this isn't an,

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elite Elite seattle bullpen in my, opinion like it was

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maybe the last couple of, years but they're getting. There

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they're moving in the right direction right. Now if you

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look at just Bullpen era very surface statistic three point

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six y three for the, season that's eighth In Major League,

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baseball and a lot of the underlying metrics are top.

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Ten SO i like The mariners here BECAUSE i think

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there's a massive bullpen. EDGE i don't think either of these,

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starts like let's just, say like the first five or

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six innings can can level, out And i'm not even

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saying that's the. Case like The mariners could Bomb sugano

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AND i wouldn't be surprised in the least pit BUT

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i also understand that The orioles could do that same

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kind of damage Against. Evans maybe it's a first five

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over Because i'd rather have THE i think you're probably

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gonna get the runs off the. Starters if The mariners

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can take a lead into the later, INNINGS i think

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they're gonna lock it. Down and if they're behind in

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the later, INNINGS i think they're gonna find a way

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to score, it kind of like they did yesterday and

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The orioles were fortunate enough to walk that game. Off

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SO i do like The mariners. Here in spite of

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logan and SO i haven't liked this, YEAR i still

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Think i'm pretty comfortable with The mariners play in this.

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Speaker 2: Game you touched on AND i BELIEVE i spoke about

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this in the first week we had the, show so

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a lot of people have joined since since that. POINT

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i broke down how The Seattle pitchers last year had

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done at home as oppost of the, road and really

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it was anywhere from a half a run better to

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one and a half runs better on their E ra

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when they pitch at. Home because this is not a

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very good hitters. Ballpark there's some spots where the sun

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comes in and it's there's a you, know they were

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talking about the batters In. Seattle so when you're Playing

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seattle at, HOME i like to fade the other team's.

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Batters When seattle goes on the, road Because seattle plays

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half their games at, HOME i like to play on

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The seattle batters because they're in more of a neutral

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hitting situation like. That So seattle at home fade you

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play the team total under on the road team for

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the most, part and With seattle's on the, road he

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plays The seattle team to over and. Over and if

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you've done that this, season you've probably performed very.

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Speaker 1: Well, yeah for. Sure and One i'll take it one step, Further,

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brian this is and this is something that's gone back

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a couple of years. Now the. Books for whatever, reason the,

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books BECAUSE i don't think there's like serious correlation to,

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record the books love to force you to pay a

225
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premium to back The mariners at. HOME i don't know

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if it's because they typically play in like almost like

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a standalone spot out on The West, coast or they're

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always one of the last games off the, board but man,

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like they are always inflated at, home and The, mariners

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even this, year having the season that they're, having do

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not get the same love on the. Road they just.

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Don't so it works out for betters here because we

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would rather back them on the road based on the

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way their team is, constructed and the books just don't

235
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attach that same sort of price tag to The mariners

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when they're playing on the road as they do at.

237
00:12:03,720 --> 00:12:06,840
HOME i hadn't quite figured out, why but there's like

238
00:12:06,879 --> 00:12:09,960
THIS i think feel like subliminally people are, like Oh, mariners,

239
00:12:10,240 --> 00:12:13,879
home good, atmosphere like home field, advantage but they're actually

240
00:12:14,159 --> 00:12:16,080
a better road team in my, Opinion so that that's

241
00:12:16,120 --> 00:12:17,120
something that really interests.

242
00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:20,600
Speaker 2: Me, yeah they, Are and it reminds me a little.

243
00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:22,279
Bit it's not the same as it is in college.

244
00:12:22,279 --> 00:12:25,159
Football but as the day goes, on you, know the

245
00:12:25,159 --> 00:12:27,799
pro betters are not going to play a game just

246
00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:29,519
because it's the last game and they want to get

247
00:12:29,519 --> 00:12:31,919
their money back for the. Day BUT i would you

248
00:12:32,080 --> 00:12:34,759
probably get a one percent differential where you, know we

249
00:12:34,840 --> 00:12:36,600
get to the last game of the day and people

250
00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:39,279
want to play, it and of course they're going to

251
00:12:39,320 --> 00:12:41,159
play the, favorite and usually once See al's at, home

252
00:12:41,159 --> 00:12:43,200
they're the, favorite so it might it might go up

253
00:12:43,200 --> 00:12:45,159
a little. Bit but it reminds me a little bit

254
00:12:45,200 --> 00:12:47,799
in college football when you got that bailout game In

255
00:12:47,799 --> 00:12:51,080
hawaii on A. Saturday if you ever want to, Play

256
00:12:51,279 --> 00:12:53,360
If hawy's got a good football team and they're going

257
00:12:53,440 --> 00:12:55,519
to be favorite in a, game you bet it early

258
00:12:55,559 --> 00:12:57,799
in the week and you see that line move and

259
00:12:57,840 --> 00:13:00,840
you can always buy it. BACK i know it's a baseball,

260
00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:02,720
show but you can always buy it back right before

261
00:13:02,799 --> 00:13:05,759
game time on A hawaii, game and you, know you

262
00:13:05,799 --> 00:13:08,440
may lay fourteen and you may catch seventeen coming back

263
00:13:08,919 --> 00:13:11,720
because people it's the last day game of the. Day

264
00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:13,840
they've been watching football all day and they will bet that.

265
00:13:13,879 --> 00:13:17,120
Game and people have a tendency to bet the home

266
00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:19,960
teams and bet the. Favorites so it's you, know we've

267
00:13:20,000 --> 00:13:23,120
got a baseball show, here but something for the upcoming football,

268
00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:25,320
season in which college football is less than two weeks.

269
00:13:25,360 --> 00:13:31,200
Speaker 1: Away our Guy Drew martin calls that the degenerate. Specials

270
00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:35,360
he loves, that saying he that is the degenerate special right,

271
00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:39,039
there that last game on the, Board and, YEAH i fully.

272
00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:41,679
AGREE i think The mariners fall into it a lot

273
00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:44,000
of times since they're almost always the last one to,

274
00:13:44,039 --> 00:13:46,320
start and they get a little bit inflated at home

275
00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:48,840
because of. It you know what else is sort of

276
00:13:48,879 --> 00:13:52,440
degenerate special, Territory, brian is when they're STANDALONE mlb games

277
00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:57,720
in an afternoon THAT i feel like always has market

278
00:13:57,720 --> 00:14:01,600
implications that we don't see in other. Games and it's

279
00:14:01,639 --> 00:14:04,679
almost always The cubs because they always have like the

280
00:14:04,720 --> 00:14:08,159
standalone game on A. Friday The cubs play a standalone game,

281
00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:11,320
today but it's on the road up In. Toronto big.

282
00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:14,559
Series here to two teams THAT i fully, expected you,

283
00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:16,120
know be in the playoffs and be in the, mix

284
00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:18,600
though The cubs have sort of relinquished that lead in

285
00:14:18,639 --> 00:14:22,240
THE Nl. Central But Cubs Blue. Jays, today we Got Matt,

286
00:14:22,279 --> 00:14:24,240
boyd we Got Max. Schurzer this is gonna be a

287
00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:26,120
fun one to. Watch are you seeing any way to

288
00:14:26,120 --> 00:14:26,840
bet this? Game?

289
00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:30,080
Speaker 2: YEAH i would take a look at the line on this.

290
00:14:30,120 --> 00:14:35,480
One and we've Got boyd on the road and a

291
00:14:35,600 --> 00:14:38,960
lefty Against shurez are at, home and it's basically a

292
00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:42,159
pick them most most places Have boyd as a slight,

293
00:14:42,279 --> 00:14:45,480
favorite but you you're looking at basically a pick them either.

294
00:14:45,519 --> 00:14:50,320
Way both these, pitchers Especially, shurezer has got a lot

295
00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:53,360
of red on his sac cast page and he's he's

296
00:14:53,399 --> 00:14:56,039
pitched pretty well this. YEAR i mean the. Guy the

297
00:14:56,039 --> 00:14:58,320
guy's an older, guy but he's pitched very. Well. Boyd

298
00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:00,879
i've LIKED i liked him when even signed him last.

299
00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:03,559
Year he performed very. Well last. Year he had a

300
00:15:03,600 --> 00:15:06,360
two point seven to TWO era one point one to three.

301
00:15:06,440 --> 00:15:09,720
Whip he only threw thirty nine, innings but those innings

302
00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:12,720
were quality. Innings he's had problems with injuries over the,

303
00:15:12,759 --> 00:15:15,240
years and this year he was one of the first

304
00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:18,200
GUYS i wanted to back this year because not only

305
00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:20,679
did he pitched very well last year in a limited

306
00:15:20,919 --> 00:15:24,279
amount of, Time he's going To, chicago who had has

307
00:15:24,320 --> 00:15:27,840
a far better offense than The Cleveland guardians. Do so

308
00:15:27,879 --> 00:15:29,399
he comes in with a two point four to FIVE

309
00:15:29,440 --> 00:15:35,000
era one point five. Whip AND i mentioned maybe two

310
00:15:35,080 --> 00:15:37,679
or three weeks ago THAT i was a little bit

311
00:15:37,759 --> 00:15:42,600
concerned because the last two years combined he threw one

312
00:15:42,639 --> 00:15:44,399
hundred and ten. Innings, well he's already up to one

313
00:15:44,480 --> 00:15:48,159
hundred and thirty five point two right now IF i remember.

314
00:15:48,159 --> 00:15:50,600
Correctly it was his last start he got hit a little,

315
00:15:50,639 --> 00:15:56,720
bit so there will be some, REGRESSION i believe On Matthew.

316
00:15:56,759 --> 00:16:00,720
Boyd if your body's just not used to throwing those

317
00:16:00,799 --> 00:16:02,879
kind of innings and you've had surgery and you come,

318
00:16:02,879 --> 00:16:05,639
back it's gonna. Take you, know there's a lot of

319
00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:08,600
quality baseball players out there in the last few years

320
00:16:08,879 --> 00:16:12,240
that have talked about. That SO i Like Matthew, boyd

321
00:16:12,519 --> 00:16:14,879
BUT i think the time of getting value on him

322
00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:19,600
may have. Ended his walk rate is really, strong ninety

323
00:16:19,600 --> 00:16:23,840
first percentile hardheat rates seventy fifth ex of velocity seventy,

324
00:16:23,879 --> 00:16:27,840
second chase sixty. Nine he doesn't have that major wifth

325
00:16:28,679 --> 00:16:32,159
percentage's in the thirty first percent tile in that fastball velocity.

326
00:16:32,279 --> 00:16:36,399
Thirtieth he does throw his four seamer forty six percent

327
00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:39,039
of the, time and he's basically league average for a

328
00:16:39,159 --> 00:16:42,799
left hander at ninety three point three just slightly over you,

329
00:16:42,799 --> 00:16:46,440
know two percent or zero point two percent better than

330
00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:48,639
a league. Average but he rose to change twenty three,

331
00:16:48,679 --> 00:16:53,240
percent slider sixteen, percent curve twelve. Percent there's a sinker

332
00:16:53,320 --> 00:16:57,480
wants to all at four. Percent so unlike some guys

333
00:16:57,759 --> 00:16:59,639
that are out there that only have three or four,

334
00:16:59,639 --> 00:17:02,960
pitches he's got four solid pitches and he also have

335
00:17:03,039 --> 00:17:06,440
a sinker once in a. While and, uh he's playing

336
00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:10,319
a team In toronto that played in them obviously plays

337
00:17:10,319 --> 00:17:13,200
in The American. LEAGUE i don't remember off hand if

338
00:17:13,200 --> 00:17:16,799
he Faced cleveland last, year or excuse, me he was On,

339
00:17:16,839 --> 00:17:19,599
cleveland if he Faced toronto last. Year, well this is

340
00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:22,640
a guy that they don't see very. Often he may

341
00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:25,319
have a little bit of success, here sure's. There everybody

342
00:17:25,319 --> 00:17:27,640
see he's been around. Forever he's forty one years. Old

343
00:17:28,119 --> 00:17:34,440
he's in his eighteenth nineteenth eighteenth, season and he's been

344
00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:38,599
pretty good. Consistently if he could just stay, healthy you,

345
00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:42,920
know his his future looks bright when it comes to

346
00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:45,359
The hall Of. Fame he's still got two hundred and

347
00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:49,319
eighteen wins one or one hundred and fourteen. Losses he's

348
00:17:49,640 --> 00:17:51,920
he's got like a sixty five percent win percentage In

349
00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:54,119
Major League. BASEBALL i think he's on his way to

350
00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:55,640
The hall Of. Fame three point one eight RA a

351
00:17:56,359 --> 00:17:59,279
one point h eight in his career this, Year i've

352
00:17:59,279 --> 00:18:02,160
been four point two ONE. Era but he was hurt

353
00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:04,359
earlier and pitched a little bit. Hurt he's one of

354
00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:05,839
those bulldogs that don't want to come out of, it

355
00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:08,799
doesn't want to come out of the game regardless for.

356
00:18:08,839 --> 00:18:12,359
Anything and there's been many of those situations in the.

357
00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:15,359
Past where he's had problems being. Pulled he he's a

358
00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:18,920
guy everybody wants on the. Team but if if he's

359
00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:21,680
not pitching, well that is a concern for the manager

360
00:18:21,759 --> 00:18:23,880
because you don't want to upset. Him but still you've

361
00:18:23,880 --> 00:18:26,359
got to win the. Games that's a manager's. Job so

362
00:18:26,519 --> 00:18:29,160
he's done very well and he comes in here with

363
00:18:29,960 --> 00:18:33,880
some really nice red on his stackcast page eighty seventh

364
00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:39,440
percent AVERAGE exi, velocity eighty six, percent walk great eighty

365
00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:42,559
fifth hard, hit and his strikeout seventy six. Percent Hel

366
00:18:44,839 --> 00:18:48,480
his fastball's gone down a little. Bit he's about one

367
00:18:48,599 --> 00:18:54,000
point two mon hour or slower slower than league average

368
00:18:54,000 --> 00:18:55,720
at this. Point, hey at forty one years, old we

369
00:18:55,759 --> 00:18:57,680
all get older and you're going to see. That but

370
00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:02,200
he throws his slider twenty five, percent change up, thirteen curve,

371
00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:04,119
thirteen and he throws the cutter once in a, while

372
00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:07,279
so he has other pitches that he can throw if

373
00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:10,319
his fastball is getting. Hit you always like. That you'd

374
00:19:10,319 --> 00:19:12,880
hate to have a guy that throws the, fastball you,

375
00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:16,279
know the majority of the time and it's not a good.

376
00:19:16,319 --> 00:19:20,000
Fastball but his ground ball percentage in the first percent.

377
00:19:20,039 --> 00:19:27,279
Out Now torond's pretty good hitting hitting environment more centralized

378
00:19:27,279 --> 00:19:29,880
in the. Middle but when you've got the hitters The

379
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:31,920
toronto has and the way that they've been hitting this,

380
00:19:32,039 --> 00:19:35,960
year that's. Good and if they're hitting that, well chances

381
00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:38,400
are the opposition is hitting that. Well so it's a

382
00:19:38,400 --> 00:19:41,000
good hitters part this. Year so it's groundball rated in

383
00:19:41,039 --> 00:19:43,559
the first. Percent out could come back and haunt him.

384
00:19:43,559 --> 00:19:46,440
Here he could give up some home runs to a

385
00:19:46,559 --> 00:19:51,319
very good Hitting chicago, Team so that is always a.

386
00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:53,519
Concern and AS i, mentioned the line is basically a

387
00:19:53,559 --> 00:19:56,680
pick them. HERE i like both the. Pitchers i'm looking

388
00:19:56,720 --> 00:19:59,319
to Fade boid a little bit. More if you're looking

389
00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:03,079
at you, know the last fourteen, days last thirty, Days

390
00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:05,279
toronto is really not the hell out of the. Ball

391
00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:08,240
SO i kind of lean With toronto. HERE i think

392
00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:11,480
the line's pretty. Cheap the Way chicago's played in the last,

393
00:20:11,519 --> 00:20:14,400
month the Way toronto's played in the last, MONTH i

394
00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:17,680
kind of Like toronto. Here It's alumnue car, today so

395
00:20:18,279 --> 00:20:20,039
there's gonna be less games to stand. Out but IF

396
00:20:20,039 --> 00:20:21,960
i had to play, THIS i would Play toronto assures.

397
00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:27,759
Speaker 1: It, YEAH i really struggled to find any sort of

398
00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:30,240
edge in this. Game So I'LL i want to get

399
00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:32,079
to all seven. Games So i'm just gonna throw two

400
00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:34,759
sort of tidbits out and then we'll move on BECAUSE

401
00:20:34,759 --> 00:20:37,440
i really have no pick. Here But howvey cash and

402
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:39,759
the chat says took a Little cubs not a fan

403
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:43,720
Of boyd on The. Road, yeah like HIS i, mean

404
00:20:43,799 --> 00:20:46,680
if you look at his road, numbers they're, Solid like

405
00:20:46,799 --> 00:20:48,640
if you were to just take it out of context

406
00:20:48,759 --> 00:20:51,160
texts and, say, hey this Is boyd on the. Road

407
00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:54,440
that being, said if you're looking at the splits like

408
00:20:54,599 --> 00:20:56,759
they are worse than his numbers at. Home he's been

409
00:20:56,799 --> 00:21:00,920
borderlined unhittable At. Wrigley on the, road his batting average

410
00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:04,400
against the sixty point tire and you know HIS era

411
00:21:04,720 --> 00:21:07,079
is three point one five as opposed to one point

412
00:21:07,079 --> 00:21:09,960
seventy five at. Home so, again his numbers are still

413
00:21:10,079 --> 00:21:12,480
very solid on the road if you're just looking at, like,

414
00:21:12,839 --> 00:21:16,240
okay these are his, numbers e er around three and

415
00:21:16,319 --> 00:21:18,440
like put but they are worse than his numbers at.

416
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,599
Home so it's a good. Point only other THING i

417
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:22,240
want to point out, HERE i do believe we'll see

418
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:25,960
the major league debut Of Owen casey. Today, finally he's

419
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:29,119
a guy that he's a guy, that like most other

420
00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:32,000
organizations would have already sort of pushed up to the.

421
00:21:32,039 --> 00:21:35,200
Bigs but you, know there's there's a it's The. Cubs

422
00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:37,599
there's a lot of good outfielders on the roster and

423
00:21:37,599 --> 00:21:41,000
and you, know he's a guy, that, like he's been

424
00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:43,680
super consistent his whole time at TRIPA, a but he

425
00:21:43,799 --> 00:21:46,759
never had that like week or two weeks where he

426
00:21:46,839 --> 00:21:49,720
hits five home runs in seven, games and it's, like you,

427
00:21:49,759 --> 00:21:51,920
know he almost is just like then you have you

428
00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:54,759
have fans that think they're gms and they're like call him,

429
00:21:54,839 --> 00:21:57,319
up call them, up, Right, like he's just been super,

430
00:21:57,359 --> 00:22:01,279
consistent pulled up his numbers this. Year again you don't

431
00:22:01,319 --> 00:22:03,559
hear about him very, often but he just like he

432
00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:07,640
really doesn't have many lulls nine to fifty five ops

433
00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:10,599
and the minors this. Year that's, awesome having a great.

434
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:12,799
Season and he's a guy THAT i thought would have

435
00:22:12,839 --> 00:22:15,200
made it up last year at some, point but again

436
00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:17,720
it's The. Cubs he just. HADN'T i think it was

437
00:22:17,759 --> 00:22:21,039
A maya that went down last night with an. Injury

438
00:22:21,279 --> 00:22:23,559
so he's gonna get called. Up and he is From,

439
00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:26,680
ontario so you can rest assured he will be in

440
00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:29,480
the lineup in the series, finale probably a bunch of

441
00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:32,599
friends and family and. Attendance he's having a he he,

442
00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:36,400
Is brian a boost to The cubs, lineup Like casey

443
00:22:36,519 --> 00:22:39,200
Over amaya right, now that's a that's a plus in my.

444
00:22:39,279 --> 00:22:42,519
Opinion so glad to see him finally get called. Up and,

445
00:22:43,279 --> 00:22:47,480
AGAIN i actually view that as a bump up for

446
00:22:47,599 --> 00:22:50,400
The cubs. Lineup so take that for what you want

447
00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:53,200
to take it. For, again no play here for, me

448
00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:56,359
but those are THAT'S i think a big. Takeaway cubs

449
00:22:56,359 --> 00:23:00,920
getting one of their their top slugging prospects up and

450
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:04,680
making his major league debut this. Afternoon, yeah all, RIGHT.

451
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:06,400
Speaker 2: I just want to touch on that a little. Bit

452
00:23:07,759 --> 00:23:11,480
i'll be. Brief he he a lot of teams wanted

453
00:23:11,559 --> 00:23:15,160
him during the trade deadline and The cubs refuse to

454
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:18,960
put him in any. Package. Uh he's got tremendous, power but,

455
00:23:19,279 --> 00:23:21,759
yeah a lot of swinging mess and that is my

456
00:23:21,839 --> 00:23:25,359
concern with him because the pitching and you, know in

457
00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:27,519
the minors is not that great and it's a big

458
00:23:27,599 --> 00:23:30,319
step from going you, know double A a to the.

459
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:34,000
Majors he's going to be a guy who's going to

460
00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:37,000
swing and MISS i WOULD i would say his first time,

461
00:23:37,079 --> 00:23:39,000
off he's probably going to be in a forty percent strikeout,

462
00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:43,119
Range so there is going to be a lot if

463
00:23:43,319 --> 00:23:45,599
he hits. It it's it's good to be hit, hard

464
00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:48,279
and it's gonna be hit. Far but it's going to

465
00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:51,319
take him a while to get that timing, down and

466
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:53,880
so just don't jump on him just because he's up.

467
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:57,319
There he eventually he'll be he'll be a solid player for.

468
00:23:57,359 --> 00:24:01,240
Them but like we've, seen out of, nine at least

469
00:24:01,279 --> 00:24:03,599
eighty percent of the players that have come up this

470
00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:06,720
year In Major League baseball their first trip, up unless

471
00:24:06,759 --> 00:24:10,880
you're the second basement for The Minnesota twins or you,

472
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:14,240
know with the guy From. Miami but there's a lot

473
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:16,160
of guys that have struggled and they got to go

474
00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:18,319
back down and then they come back up, again and

475
00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:21,680
every time they come back up, again they get. Better

476
00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:24,200
and that's the way it should, be and that's when

477
00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:26,839
they start playing every day In Major League. Baseball SO

478
00:24:27,279 --> 00:24:29,920
i like the future his. FUTURE i like The cub's

479
00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:33,079
future because of, Him BUT i don't think that's really

480
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:37,200
much of an. Advantage for probably the first week or

481
00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:37,960
so In Major League.

482
00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:42,680
Speaker 1: Baseball, yeah that guy From miami Is Jacob, marcy and

483
00:24:42,759 --> 00:24:45,240
if you watch this, show we talked about him well

484
00:24:45,279 --> 00:24:47,440
before he came. UP i THINK i pointed out his

485
00:24:47,519 --> 00:24:50,720
call up being a big, deal and he has had

486
00:24:50,839 --> 00:24:53,880
as good of a start to AN mlb career as

487
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:57,720
just about anyone. Ever NOW i don't know how sustainable

488
00:24:57,759 --> 00:24:59,279
it is for, him even as good as a player

489
00:24:59,319 --> 00:25:02,480
as he. Is that was something to watch last. Night

490
00:25:02,839 --> 00:25:04,880
all his friends and family there at the. Game that

491
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:08,440
was pretty. COOL i believe he's from, Dearborn, Michigan, brian

492
00:25:08,519 --> 00:25:12,559
so it's His they interviewed his mom on The marlins

493
00:25:12,599 --> 00:25:15,319
broadcast last night and they, said, like this was the

494
00:25:15,319 --> 00:25:18,839
closest big league. Park i'm. Sure i'm sure it's, like you, Know,

495
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:21,240
detroit but maybe they don't play At detroit this, year

496
00:25:21,279 --> 00:25:22,640
SO i think she was saying like this was the

497
00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:25,799
closest big league. Park he had a serious fan section,

498
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:28,799
there probably like one hundred friends and, family and he

499
00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:31,400
strolls up and just goes like five for five or.

500
00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:32,480
Something that was awesome for.

501
00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:34,119
Speaker 2: RUNS i believe.

502
00:25:35,720 --> 00:25:38,440
Speaker 1: We didn't talk, yesterday you were, traveling yet we both

503
00:25:38,559 --> 00:25:40,759
ended up on The marlins both for a lot of

504
00:25:40,799 --> 00:25:43,680
the similar. Reasons Double Jacks wilde, says great five star

505
00:25:43,759 --> 00:25:46,319
pick last. Night, YES i Had marlins for a five

506
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:49,160
percenter an offset a bad call in The, giants but

507
00:25:49,519 --> 00:25:52,319
we'll take. It not going to. Complain let's go to

508
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:55,680
that series again. Today Your Cleveland guardians have been playing

509
00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:58,920
some good. Ball i'll give him a. Pass last night

510
00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:01,599
that was always going to be a spot For Gavin.

511
00:26:01,599 --> 00:26:04,759
Williams one of my takeaways, Though, brian was the ball

512
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:08,039
flying out of that field last. Night it looked LIKE

513
00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:10,480
i THOUGHT i was Watching corse field for a. Second Xavier,

514
00:26:10,599 --> 00:26:14,160
Edwards Xavier edwards of all people put when twenty rows? Up,

515
00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:18,240
like was the ball jumping there last? Night does that happen?

516
00:26:18,319 --> 00:26:20,559
Sometimes it? Seems.

517
00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:24,759
Speaker 2: Yeah if if in hot weather In, cleveland and and believe,

518
00:26:24,799 --> 00:26:28,480
Me i've been. Here i'm not used to the. Humidity

519
00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:30,279
but it's gonna be rough.

520
00:26:30,319 --> 00:26:31,880
Speaker 1: Today you're getting the same weather as.

521
00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:31,960
Speaker 2: Me.

522
00:26:32,039 --> 00:26:34,119
Speaker 1: Today it's gonna be rough. TODAY i got them lull my.

523
00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:35,400
Lawn i'm not looking forward to.

524
00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:37,160
Speaker 2: It, Yeah and we've got a total of seven and

525
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:41,599
a half in this one With cabrera And. Biby bibby's

526
00:26:41,599 --> 00:26:45,839
favorite about you, know one thirty favorite or. Whatever, YEAH

527
00:26:46,039 --> 00:26:50,720
i NORMALLY i would be On cabrera. Here i've been

528
00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:55,680
looking to Fade tyler to The. Bibby. Uh But cabrera

529
00:26:55,799 --> 00:26:58,119
is playing, great and we've been on, him and we

530
00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:00,720
were one of the first to talk about his control

531
00:27:00,799 --> 00:27:03,440
issues that have been, there and they're not there this.

532
00:27:03,559 --> 00:27:06,920
Year the last two, years his whip was in twenty

533
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:09,359
twenty three one point four to, four last year one

534
00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:12,240
point three, seven this year one point one. Three and

535
00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:17,920
we've always seen that he's got great, stuff but if

536
00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:22,079
you walk, people you're just really hurting. Yourself this year it's.

537
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:25,000
Different it's different three point eight e or a one

538
00:27:25,079 --> 00:27:30,279
point one to three whip in the. Red on his stacks,

539
00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:36,319
page fastball velocity eighty six, percentile and his ground ball

540
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:39,920
rates seventy eighth, percentile chase, rate whiff, rate and straight

541
00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:43,640
and straight rate all about seventy four seventy fifth. Percentile.

542
00:27:44,559 --> 00:27:47,880
Uh and WHAT i really like about him is he's

543
00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:50,720
got that four seamer at ninety six point eight percent

544
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:53,839
miles per, hour which is about two miles an hour

545
00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:56,799
better in base better Than Major league. Baseball but that's

546
00:27:56,920 --> 00:28:00,880
only his fifth pitch that he. Throwed so as good

547
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,400
as his fourth steamer, is he only tells it thirteen

548
00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:06,559
percent of the. Time he's got a, change a, curve a,

549
00:28:06,599 --> 00:28:10,799
sinker and a, slider all between thirteen percent and twenty four.

550
00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:14,759
Percent that is really tough because if you take a

551
00:28:14,799 --> 00:28:18,079
look at some of his average miles an, hour his

552
00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:21,640
four seamer is at ninety six point, eight slider eighty

553
00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:26,200
eight point, five sinker ninety six point, six curve eighty

554
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:30,079
three point, seven change ninety three point. Nine so it's

555
00:28:30,559 --> 00:28:34,799
close enough where if you see if you think it's a,

556
00:28:34,839 --> 00:28:38,240
fastball it could be any one of these five and

557
00:28:38,279 --> 00:28:41,279
it's in the same general. Arrange the curve is obviously

558
00:28:41,319 --> 00:28:43,359
a little bit often eighty three point, seven but the.

559
00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:46,200
Slide if you can get four pitches and the slider

560
00:28:46,279 --> 00:28:48,680
is eighty eight point, five your fastball is ninety six point.

561
00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:51,839
Eight that batter has got to make a decision is

562
00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:55,440
this a breaking ball or is this a? Fastball and

563
00:28:55,519 --> 00:28:58,799
that is what makes him so good as of, late

564
00:28:59,119 --> 00:29:03,839
just pitching rifically three point ZERO era one point one three.

565
00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:08,720
Whip the only PROBLEM i have is NORMALLY i don't

566
00:29:08,759 --> 00:29:12,480
Like tobacco team that just went like crazy on, somebody

567
00:29:12,559 --> 00:29:18,119
especially if they're comparable. Teams and even THOUGH i don't

568
00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:23,119
Like Tyler biby or Tenor, biby it's something that probably

569
00:29:23,319 --> 00:29:26,200
is enough to keep me out of the. Game bybby

570
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:30,000
comes in four point six OH era one point two

571
00:29:30,079 --> 00:29:32,880
seven with both career. Highs is only his third season

572
00:29:33,559 --> 00:29:37,599
In Major League. Baseball he struggles with the chase rate fourteenth.

573
00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:42,000
Percentile nothing's really. Outstanding his walk grade sixty ninth. Percentile

574
00:29:42,559 --> 00:29:44,960
but he does throw six pitches anywhere from a five

575
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,839
percent on the curve twenty seven percent on the four,

576
00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:53,359
team very similar in a slower percentage than what the

577
00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:58,359
opposition starter has. Today he's just been very inconsistent this.

578
00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:01,960
Year at the strikeout rate right now is in the

579
00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:05,000
forty fifth. Percentile he just hasn't had it this. Year

580
00:30:06,559 --> 00:30:09,480
they're gonna, obviously he was very successful in the first two.

581
00:30:09,559 --> 00:30:11,680
YEARS i think in the off season they'll work with.

582
00:30:11,759 --> 00:30:14,640
Him he'll probably be back where he. Was but he's

583
00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:17,319
somebody that you, KNOW i watch every game for the

584
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:20,599
for the of this, team AND i just have not

585
00:30:20,759 --> 00:30:23,519
seen the Same tan Or baby as the. Past so

586
00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:26,720
if you, Look miami's going to be the better team

587
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:32,920
you're the better, starter but as many as much as

588
00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:35,480
they dominated that game, YESTERDAY i don't usually like to

589
00:30:35,519 --> 00:30:38,480
back that team again when they're playing a team of equal.

590
00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:42,400
Strength And cleveland And, miami you are both both good.

591
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:44,920
TEAMS i don't think either one is a playoff, team

592
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:47,480
but they're both on the. Fringes so that's going to

593
00:30:47,519 --> 00:30:49,920
be enough to lead me. Out. Now you mentioned the

594
00:30:50,039 --> 00:30:52,640
seven and a half OR i mentioned the seven and

595
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:55,319
a half on the, total and you mentioned that the

596
00:30:55,440 --> 00:30:59,640
weather is very. SIMILAR i don't have my weather app

597
00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:06,000
on this on this my computer, here so maybe the

598
00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:09,359
wind is blowing. In that seems to me that that

599
00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:10,200
would be the. Case.

600
00:31:10,839 --> 00:31:11,119
Speaker 1: Uh.

601
00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:14,680
Speaker 2: Probably you, know we're looking at a game in which

602
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:17,920
it's going to be a getaway, day and if you

603
00:31:18,039 --> 00:31:23,279
follow getaway Days thursday And, sunday you're probably better off betting.

604
00:31:23,359 --> 00:31:25,599
Under So i'm gonna lay off of that. One BUT

605
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:30,079
i Think cabrera will shut Down, cleveland and because it's

606
00:31:30,079 --> 00:31:33,799
a a getaway, game maybe maybe Play cleveland first five

607
00:31:33,839 --> 00:31:36,920
team total or under excuse, me team total under something

608
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:37,160
to that.

609
00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:41,680
Speaker 1: Effect, YEAH i, MEAN i don't. Know, like so it

610
00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:43,640
looks like the wind is like nine miles an. HOUR

611
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:45,359
i don't know if that's significant or. NOT i don't

612
00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:48,359
know where it's. BLOWING i just and, again like you,

613
00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:50,559
know it could Have it could have also just Been

614
00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:54,799
Gavin williams serving up just because here's the. Thing it's

615
00:31:54,839 --> 00:31:56,839
not like it's not like The guardian's hit, many but

616
00:31:56,880 --> 00:31:59,480
they're really the only ball that THE i mean that

617
00:31:59,559 --> 00:32:03,799
the three run homer for The guardians yesterday was just

618
00:32:03,839 --> 00:32:07,400
a total mistake By ramirez And perez just being like

619
00:32:07,599 --> 00:32:10,480
kind of, inexperienced like throwing us like he was sitting

620
00:32:10,559 --> 00:32:13,279
on a slider in that, spot and it was so

621
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:16,480
it was so painfully obvious That Augustin ramirez didn't want

622
00:32:16,519 --> 00:32:20,200
to call a fastball that like basically any slider in the.

623
00:32:20,279 --> 00:32:23,119
Zone arius was he was just sitting on. It like

624
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:26,480
the broadcast even was like young catcher right, there gotta you,

625
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:28,759
know he's gonna have to learn they can't call that

626
00:32:28,799 --> 00:32:31,599
pitch in that. Spot and that was On Augustin, ramirez

627
00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:34,400
who's still pretty inexperienced at catching at the big league.

628
00:32:34,440 --> 00:32:37,480
Level so it might have just been The marlins just

629
00:32:37,519 --> 00:32:39,200
doing what they do when they get, hot and that

630
00:32:39,319 --> 00:32:42,559
hitting balls hard, everywhere like you, know it JUST i

631
00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:45,119
just Like Xavier edwards just doesn't really hit balls like.

632
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:47,799
That so when that one landed twenty rows up on the,

633
00:32:47,799 --> 00:32:49,759
first like first pitch of the, GAME i was, like

634
00:32:49,799 --> 00:32:52,200
oh my. God and then of Course marcy put one.

635
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:55,640
Out but, yeah Ed Edward, cabrera it has to Be

636
00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:58,160
marlins or pass for. ME i got my money with

637
00:32:58,200 --> 00:32:59,839
The marlins last night as a. DOG i don't know

638
00:32:59,839 --> 00:33:02,079
If i'm gonna feel the need to poke the bear

639
00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:04,799
again with them on the. Road But, Brian i've talked about.

640
00:33:04,839 --> 00:33:07,920
THIS i like playing this team off of. WINS i

641
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:10,519
like playing The marlins when they get a win and

642
00:33:10,559 --> 00:33:12,799
have something good, happen because they're one of those young

643
00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:16,319
teams that really seems to be. Streaky they seem to

644
00:33:16,319 --> 00:33:19,359
play with. Emotion when things are going, good things tend

645
00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:22,160
to go, good and then when something bad, happens it

646
00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:25,279
usually goes the other. Way so the fact that they

647
00:33:25,279 --> 00:33:27,160
get a win now they've Got Edward cabrera on the,

648
00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:31,079
mound who you know as the upside with, him is

649
00:33:31,119 --> 00:33:35,960
still just. TREMENDOUS i, mean If Edward cabrera puts it all,

650
00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:38,359
together AND i don't think he's that far, Off, BRIAN

651
00:33:38,519 --> 00:33:40,359
i don't think he's that far off and putting it all,

652
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:44,319
together he's an. Ace he Is sandy Al contra two

653
00:33:44,319 --> 00:33:47,720
point zero for this. Organization like he like that's his,

654
00:33:47,839 --> 00:33:53,200
upside is like, ace frontline. Starter so not SOMEONE i

655
00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:55,519
want to go, against especially not SOMEONE i want to

656
00:33:55,559 --> 00:33:57,960
go against and lay a price, Again so it's got

657
00:33:58,000 --> 00:34:00,519
to be The marlins or pass for.

658
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:03,599
Speaker 2: Me. HERE i wanted to point out he was also

659
00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:07,920
supposedly on the trade block and did not did not

660
00:34:07,960 --> 00:34:10,599
get the offers for. Him you had mentioned the other

661
00:34:10,679 --> 00:34:15,559
pitchers For cleveland, yesterday they used four other, relievers gave

662
00:34:15,679 --> 00:34:20,119
up nine earned, runs with those four relievers going six.

663
00:34:20,199 --> 00:34:22,800
Innings SO i don't think it was Just. WILLIAMS i

664
00:34:22,800 --> 00:34:25,880
think it was a combination Of williams in the, weather

665
00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:30,079
the weather being very good for hitters, yesterday so they

666
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:34,079
hit all the relievers stept For Austin, hedges who came

667
00:34:34,079 --> 00:34:36,519
into the ninth. Ending don't mop it. Up the catcher

668
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:39,079
was the only guy to shut down The miami outfits,

669
00:34:39,119 --> 00:34:40,920
yesterday AND i believe he left the bases.

670
00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:47,199
Speaker 1: Loaded all, right let's move. Along. SOMEONE i was trying

671
00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:49,719
to scan through and find the. COMMENT i can't find.

672
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:54,679
It but that's. Okay someone wanted to know how The, nationals,

673
00:34:55,199 --> 00:34:57,280
WELL i guess they were, saying how did The nationals

674
00:34:57,280 --> 00:34:59,599
sort of choke that game? Away but they ended up

675
00:34:59,599 --> 00:35:03,559
getting it in the, End nationals ended up giving Away.

676
00:35:03,599 --> 00:35:05,559
BRIAN i believe it was a, well it was a

677
00:35:05,599 --> 00:35:08,199
five nothing to lead in the first. Inning then they

678
00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:11,639
choked multiple leads away and then they came out and

679
00:35:11,679 --> 00:35:13,440
got a run in the ninth and one eight to

680
00:35:13,559 --> 00:35:16,760
seven on the road In Kansas. City today they're back,

681
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:19,800
home quick, turnaround back. HOME i got The phillies wrong.

682
00:35:19,920 --> 00:35:22,360
YESTERDAY i kind of, knew like SO i used The

683
00:35:22,360 --> 00:35:25,679
phillies as my parlay leg early in the. Day number

684
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:28,280
moved against, me AND i was just, like, okay like

685
00:35:28,360 --> 00:35:30,320
this is you, know is this is this how it's

686
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:32,320
going to. GO i still like the, handicapped like the

687
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:35,800
setup for The. Phillies but they got blasted By. CINCINNATI

688
00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:38,159
i don't think the rain delayed did them any favors.

689
00:35:38,199 --> 00:35:41,199
Yesterday now they turn around and they've got to go TO.

690
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:44,880
Dc nationals coming back. Home Brad lord's a guy THAT

691
00:35:44,920 --> 00:35:47,000
i always think it's a little, undervalued and he's on

692
00:35:47,039 --> 00:35:50,119
the mound Against Jesus. Lozardo So Phillies nats in The nation's.

693
00:35:50,119 --> 00:35:51,079
Capital how you see in this?

694
00:35:51,119 --> 00:35:54,360
Speaker 2: One, yeah it's too Bad brand is not. Here this

695
00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:58,000
would be his ultimate religious, Game jesus Against lord.

696
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:01,119
Speaker 1: CALLED i didn't think of.

697
00:36:01,159 --> 00:36:06,320
Speaker 2: It we've Got philadelphia with A lozardo roughly what a

698
00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:09,719
one ninety. Favorite we'll call it one ninety. Favorite and

699
00:36:09,760 --> 00:36:11,400
the total on this is eight and a half to the.

700
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:17,000
Over but if The washington's got a few starters THAT

701
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:22,119
i somewhat. Like but they've got by far the worst

702
00:36:22,159 --> 00:36:26,400
bullpen In Major League, baseball so it doesn't really surprise

703
00:36:26,480 --> 00:36:29,000
me to See washington take an early lead in a

704
00:36:29,039 --> 00:36:33,000
game and then lose. It but the five nothing was

705
00:36:33,079 --> 00:36:35,599
a little bit frightening if you're A phillies, fan and

706
00:36:35,639 --> 00:36:39,760
obviously that that's what ended up costing. Him Jeu's lozardo

707
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:44,039
here on the season four point two OE a one

708
00:36:44,039 --> 00:36:48,760
point three to five went very. Inconsistent, unfortunately his extensions

709
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:50,880
only in the six percent of that's really the only

710
00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:53,519
thing he struggles. With but there's nothing you can do about.

711
00:36:53,519 --> 00:36:55,800
That he's only six foot so even if he does

712
00:36:56,199 --> 00:36:58,960
they do work with, him that's still a small or

713
00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:03,119
a shorter pitcher In Major League. Baseball but he's got

714
00:37:03,119 --> 00:37:06,599
some really nice, numbers going from seventy six percent tele

715
00:37:06,679 --> 00:37:11,239
to the eighty second percentile at fastball, velocity chaser eight f,

716
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:15,559
rate strikeout, percentage and barrel. Percentage and if the things

717
00:37:15,599 --> 00:37:17,920
that he's not really that great, on he's about league.

718
00:37:17,960 --> 00:37:21,840
Average so he's a guy they can has the ability

719
00:37:21,880 --> 00:37:25,920
to go out and perform very, well but his inconsistency

720
00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:28,760
has been the. Problem throws his four singer thirty five

721
00:37:28,760 --> 00:37:30,559
percent of the. Time but he does have a great

722
00:37:30,599 --> 00:37:33,519
four singer ninety six point four miles an, hour three

723
00:37:33,559 --> 00:37:37,079
point three miles an hour better than a normal left

724
00:37:37,079 --> 00:37:42,320
handed pitcher In Major league. Baseball bred right, Now, Washington

725
00:37:43,079 --> 00:37:46,559
you're just they really only have like one or two

726
00:37:46,639 --> 00:37:49,239
guys that they can really, trust and one of them

727
00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:51,840
is is a guy who's been very consistent as a

728
00:37:51,920 --> 00:37:54,639
light But Brad lord on the season three point two

729
00:37:54,679 --> 00:37:56,639
eighty or eight one point two to one whip which

730
00:37:56,679 --> 00:38:01,159
looks really. Good, also his hes got an extension. Problem

731
00:38:01,199 --> 00:38:03,559
he's six foot three and he's only in the third,

732
00:38:03,599 --> 00:38:06,679
percentile and extension they need TO i think they really

733
00:38:06,679 --> 00:38:08,760
need to. Work if you're a guy six three sixty.

734
00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:11,280
Four you've got to at least be in the fiftieth.

735
00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:14,360
Percentile so he gives the opposition more of a chance to,

736
00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:17,719
say m round ball rate ninety fifth, percentile which is

737
00:38:17,840 --> 00:38:20,239
very good because this is a pretty good hitters part

738
00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:25,159
barrel right ninety second, percentile average exivosity eighty, Second so

739
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:29,599
those look look pretty. Good but his extension that's the

740
00:38:29,679 --> 00:38:32,119
really bad. Thing But Chase raight only twenty five percent.

741
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:37,360
Percentile he's got only four, pitches four seemer fifty four,

742
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:40,559
percent but it's basically league. Average then he's got his

743
00:38:40,599 --> 00:38:43,000
slider a sicker and his change goes anywhere from eleven

744
00:38:43,039 --> 00:38:46,119
to eighteen percentile of the ten percent of the time

745
00:38:46,159 --> 00:38:49,760
when he. Pitches this is a, guy you, know a

746
00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:52,800
lot of people don't know about. Him he's, not at

747
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:58,760
least to my, knowledge one of their really outstanding prout young.

748
00:38:58,800 --> 00:39:01,440
Guys so you may get a little bit of value

749
00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:05,320
here On, washington especially going against The philadelphia team at this.

750
00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:08,320
Point you, KNOW i follow a lot of beat writers

751
00:39:08,360 --> 00:39:11,280
and you, know national writers and, stuff and they're thinking

752
00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:15,960
That philadelphia is maybe the favorite right now to win

753
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:20,159
The World. Series could be they've got, great great starting.

754
00:39:20,159 --> 00:39:23,880
Pitching they've really helped out their bullpen over the trade

755
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:26,400
deadline and the. Hitters this has always been a pretty

756
00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:29,840
good hitting ball. Club you go one through nine on

757
00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:33,159
this team In, philadelphia it's hard to find any other

758
00:39:33,199 --> 00:39:35,280
team that can stack up to them in that. Regard

759
00:39:35,360 --> 00:39:40,119
SO i somewhat lean with the under or excuse, me

760
00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:44,880
lean with the underdog. HERE i Think washington is a

761
00:39:44,920 --> 00:39:47,280
little bit better than what they haven't been playing, Well

762
00:39:47,280 --> 00:39:49,880
i'll tell you that right. Now but from a talent,

763
00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:54,280
standpoint getting you, know to Make philadelphia and one two

764
00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:56,400
dollars favorite, Here i'm not going to lay. IT i

765
00:39:56,400 --> 00:39:58,840
don't know If i'll get there with the. Dog they're

766
00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:02,960
very expensive And lord's been a pretty good pitcher for.

767
00:40:03,000 --> 00:40:05,599
Them so BUT i don't like the. Bullpen IF i

768
00:40:05,639 --> 00:40:08,000
was to play, it i'd play For washington in the first,

769
00:40:08,039 --> 00:40:12,840
five but they won't be on my card. Today.

770
00:40:12,920 --> 00:40:15,000
Speaker 1: Yeah so a couple of things, Here Like i've been

771
00:40:15,039 --> 00:40:19,840
noticing watching The knats, recently they're getting back to they

772
00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:21,840
can't hit left handed. Pitching they're getting back to not

773
00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:24,320
being able to hit left handed. Pitching, NOW i Like Brad.

774
00:40:24,400 --> 00:40:26,480
Lord that's the. Thing, Like i'm not going to take

775
00:40:26,480 --> 00:40:28,840
The phillies at this price Because i'm high on On

776
00:40:29,039 --> 00:40:30,880
i'm higher On Brad lord than the MARKET i have.

777
00:40:31,039 --> 00:40:32,800
Been and he's not SOMEONE i really want to bet.

778
00:40:32,800 --> 00:40:35,400
AGAINST i could see he's he's kind of he'll. Battle

779
00:40:35,400 --> 00:40:38,119
he'll probably keep them if he pitches, well he's going

780
00:40:38,159 --> 00:40:40,559
to keep them in the. Game my issue is The

781
00:40:40,679 --> 00:40:44,119
nats just they just are back to not being able

782
00:40:44,119 --> 00:40:48,639
to hit. LEFTIES i, Mean brian They Paul deyong is

783
00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:51,960
batting third for them when they play left handed. Pitching

784
00:40:52,039 --> 00:40:56,039
that's that's how bad this lineup is against. Lefties and

785
00:40:56,079 --> 00:40:58,440
all those guys THAT i, said, okay well they're they're

786
00:40:58,480 --> 00:41:01,440
making some moves to be a little bit more. Balanced

787
00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:04,480
none of them have panned. Out Brady house currently has

788
00:41:04,519 --> 00:41:09,039
AN ops of five. Ninety you, Know Jacob young is

789
00:41:09,079 --> 00:41:12,199
still getting playing time and he'll be in the lineup

790
00:41:12,199 --> 00:41:16,559
against left handed. Pitching HIS ops is five fifty. Five Dylan,

791
00:41:16,639 --> 00:41:19,079
cruz who was one guy that would would help them

792
00:41:19,079 --> 00:41:21,440
out a little bit against, lefties he's back down at

793
00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:23,360
TRIPLE a because he's got to figure some stuff. Out

794
00:41:23,480 --> 00:41:27,199
so this lineup is ugly against left handed. Pitching because

795
00:41:27,199 --> 00:41:30,159
all the guys that you expect to. Produce Colin gregory,

796
00:41:30,239 --> 00:41:33,000
says DID i Hear cruise is back? Today? MAYBE i

797
00:41:33,079 --> 00:41:36,239
Mean i've been watching him play all. WEEK i bet

798
00:41:36,280 --> 00:41:41,519
both of Those Syracuse rochester. Games, LIKE i, mean maybe

799
00:41:41,920 --> 00:41:43,719
he if he's, back he'll be in the. Lineup how

800
00:41:43,719 --> 00:41:46,280
big of a boost is. THAT i don't. Know he

801
00:41:46,320 --> 00:41:48,239
hasn't done anything in the big league. Level, really he

802
00:41:48,280 --> 00:41:51,039
struggled big. Time so, yeah maybe you get him, back

803
00:41:51,079 --> 00:41:53,360
maybe you throw him out. There but, STILL i mean

804
00:41:54,800 --> 00:41:57,880
then you, know it's just has not. Been it just

805
00:41:57,920 --> 00:42:00,719
has not been a good lineup against left handed pitch at.

806
00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:03,000
All because the guys that you rely on in this,

807
00:42:03,079 --> 00:42:08,039
lineup The, Abrams, Woods, Low, uh you, Know, garcia like,

808
00:42:08,039 --> 00:42:11,760
like they're they're all better against left ear better against

809
00:42:11,800 --> 00:42:14,239
right handed. Pitching so even though lozarda can be a

810
00:42:14,280 --> 00:42:17,360
little bit, INCONSISTENT i don't want to poke that bear

811
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:19,119
because we know what He we know if he's, on

812
00:42:19,639 --> 00:42:22,079
he can be really, tough Right, like If lozardo's, on

813
00:42:22,239 --> 00:42:25,519
he can be, tough and this is not a great

814
00:42:25,679 --> 00:42:28,639
like if he's, On let's Say lozardo comes out and

815
00:42:28,679 --> 00:42:31,800
he's he's got similar stuff to he did last time

816
00:42:32,079 --> 00:42:34,320
or similar stuff to what he did two starts or

817
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:37,360
three starts to go against The White. Sox nats aren't touching.

818
00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:40,000
Anything they'll get shut out. Here so maybe you've got

819
00:42:40,039 --> 00:42:42,800
a team total under on The. Nats because The phillies

820
00:42:42,840 --> 00:42:46,639
have all their good bullpen arms as. WELL i can't

821
00:42:46,639 --> 00:42:49,360
see them putting up a big number Against. Lizardo and

822
00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:51,920
then if it is a close game and you have

823
00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:54,519
to Face duran and some of the top bullpen, ARMS

824
00:42:54,679 --> 00:42:57,159
i don't think you're getting much output from The nats,

825
00:42:57,159 --> 00:42:58,679
here so that that'll be HOW i look in this.

826
00:42:58,719 --> 00:43:02,440
One nats total, under whatever it, IS i don't have

827
00:43:02,480 --> 00:43:03,880
it in front of, me but whatever it is is.

828
00:43:03,920 --> 00:43:08,519
Fun all, Right let's continue, Along. Brian we'll lock in the.

829
00:43:08,519 --> 00:43:10,320
Part someone's, like where's the, Parlay, well we'll do it

830
00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:12,559
at the end of the. Show we're gonna do all the,

831
00:43:12,599 --> 00:43:14,239
games so we might as well just lock in the

832
00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:16,599
parlay at the end of the. Show let's move on

833
00:43:16,760 --> 00:43:21,679
To Queen's, Braves mets the uh you know The mets

834
00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:25,119
had their Don't we don't have time to go out

835
00:43:25,119 --> 00:43:27,800
in a. TANGENT i don't know That Pete alonzo deserved

836
00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:30,760
a parade for becoming the all time home run leader

837
00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:34,480
In mets. History like that's. Nice it's, like maybe you

838
00:43:34,519 --> 00:43:36,280
bring it up on the, broadcast give him like a

839
00:43:36,320 --> 00:43:38,360
little let them wave to the. Crowd they're acting like

840
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:40,920
He's Hank, Aaron, bryan they're acting like He's Hank, aaron

841
00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:43,440
like he just broke some big, record and they were

842
00:43:43,480 --> 00:43:45,480
More it looks like they were more concerned with that

843
00:43:45,559 --> 00:43:47,960
because they got blasted yesterday by The braves eleven to.

844
00:43:48,039 --> 00:43:51,039
Six now they come back. TODAY i was talking To

845
00:43:51,039 --> 00:43:54,119
Tokyo brandon yesterday and sort of, Saying, BRIAN i don't,

846
00:43:54,159 --> 00:43:56,280
know MAYBE i was a little wrong on This mets.

847
00:43:56,280 --> 00:43:58,400
TEAM i had the ranked one in The National league

848
00:43:58,400 --> 00:44:01,559
at one point this, year AND i don't have them there.

849
00:44:01,599 --> 00:44:04,320
Anymore not saying that they're not still a very good,

850
00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:06,760
team but it's becoming more and more apparent on a

851
00:44:06,800 --> 00:44:09,519
daily basis that The phillies are likely winning this. Division

852
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:13,480
braves Met Sanga. ELDER i don't Like Bryce. ELDER i

853
00:44:13,480 --> 00:44:16,320
won't be betting, him but do you have any interest

854
00:44:16,360 --> 00:44:16,760
in The mets?

855
00:44:16,800 --> 00:44:20,360
Speaker 2: Here, yeah two teams, struggling although The Braves bats have

856
00:44:20,440 --> 00:44:26,760
come alive as of. LATE i understand Why atlanta's playing.

857
00:44:26,760 --> 00:44:30,440
Poorly there's really no reason why The mets should be

858
00:44:30,480 --> 00:44:32,960
playing this poorly with the talent they have on this.

859
00:44:33,039 --> 00:44:36,119
Team they went out and strengthened what was already a

860
00:44:36,159 --> 00:44:38,679
pretty good. Bullpen now they've got one of the, best

861
00:44:38,719 --> 00:44:42,239
if not the best bullpens In Major League. Baseball sanga

862
00:44:42,360 --> 00:44:44,679
started the YEAR i come. Off it came off an.

863
00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:48,159
Injury he started the year very, well but he's regressed

864
00:44:48,159 --> 00:44:52,639
as of. Late SO i don't want to Back New.

865
00:44:52,719 --> 00:44:57,239
York there they're in they're basically about one ninety favorite.

866
00:44:57,239 --> 00:45:00,280
Here total is nine. UNDER i don't want to back

867
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:03,480
The mets because of. That senga struggle a little bit right,

868
00:45:03,519 --> 00:45:07,360
now not playing. Well nine to the under is the.

869
00:45:07,400 --> 00:45:13,400
Total AND i think you mentioned it With Atlanta Elder.

870
00:45:13,920 --> 00:45:16,800
Elders he could very well be the worst pitcher In

871
00:45:16,840 --> 00:45:19,719
Major League. Baseball we've talked about it in the. Past

872
00:45:19,719 --> 00:45:25,880
i'll just give you there's four numbers that make pitching

873
00:45:25,960 --> 00:45:32,679
value for stat caast pitching run value first, percentile fastball

874
00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:37,960
run value second, percentile off speed run value first. Percentile

875
00:45:38,679 --> 00:45:41,440
his best is his breaking run value at forty fourth.

876
00:45:41,519 --> 00:45:46,599
Percentile he only throws four pitches and none of them

877
00:45:46,679 --> 00:45:49,719
are really fast as four savers at ninety two point,

878
00:45:49,719 --> 00:45:54,519
two and he just doesn't have. It AND i don't you,

879
00:45:54,519 --> 00:45:57,440
know it tells you how deep and how many injuries

880
00:45:57,480 --> 00:46:00,800
have happened To atlanta this. Year today have to continuously

881
00:46:00,840 --> 00:46:04,679
throwing him out. There he's not a good, pitcher and

882
00:46:04,960 --> 00:46:07,039
they're going to give up some runs to This mets.

883
00:46:07,039 --> 00:46:10,280
OFFENSE i don't care how bad this metroplane right, now

884
00:46:10,320 --> 00:46:12,760
they should be able to hit. Him But sango's very.

885
00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:17,559
Similar it was great. Earlier BUT i do have some.

886
00:46:17,599 --> 00:46:21,440
Concerns if you take a look at his his stackass

887
00:46:21,480 --> 00:46:25,840
page not really excellent in. Anything he's from sixty ninth

888
00:46:25,880 --> 00:46:29,519
percentile to the seventieth percent of hele his fifth, percentage

889
00:46:29,519 --> 00:46:33,760
ground ball, rate average backson, velocity and expected batting. Average

890
00:46:34,119 --> 00:46:36,320
none of that really adds up to a two point

891
00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:39,800
three to ZERO. Era so we've got a guy here

892
00:46:40,000 --> 00:46:44,199
In New York i'm looking is obviously going to have

893
00:46:44,239 --> 00:46:47,719
some negative regression going against An atlanta team who's got

894
00:46:47,960 --> 00:46:55,920
probably the worst starting the worst pitcher in baseball. GOING

895
00:46:56,559 --> 00:47:00,280
i kind of like the over in this. Game you're

896
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:02,800
only looking. At you, know there's a couple eight and

897
00:47:02,840 --> 00:47:08,239
a half over twenty twenty five and some nines under.

898
00:47:08,320 --> 00:47:10,920
Twenty if you can get an eight and a half

899
00:47:11,000 --> 00:47:14,320
here in lay, twenty you, know minus thirty or. LESS

900
00:47:15,159 --> 00:47:18,480
i think that's the way to play. This but once,

901
00:47:18,480 --> 00:47:21,960
again it, is you, know a getaway, day and they

902
00:47:21,960 --> 00:47:25,639
do tend to play under so that is a concern.

903
00:47:25,719 --> 00:47:29,159
Here SO i lean that, way But i'm probably not

904
00:47:29,199 --> 00:47:29,559
going to get.

905
00:47:29,599 --> 00:47:34,000
Speaker 1: There, YEAH i, MEAN i know the number is what it.

906
00:47:34,079 --> 00:47:36,679
IS i see a considerable edge on The mets. HERE

907
00:47:37,519 --> 00:47:39,480
i KNOW i keep, saying LIKE i keep coming back

908
00:47:39,519 --> 00:47:43,360
to this team and THEY i still think it's there.

909
00:47:43,480 --> 00:47:46,320
SOMEWHERE i still think The mets are going to emerge

910
00:47:46,360 --> 00:47:49,800
as like this threat Come. SEPTEMBER i don't know if

911
00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:52,079
it's BECAUSE i Know i'm gonna get to See Jonah

912
00:47:52,119 --> 00:47:54,199
toong in a week or two here In. Syracuse very

913
00:47:54,199 --> 00:47:57,440
excited about. That doubt HE'LL i, mean you, KNOW i

914
00:47:57,480 --> 00:47:59,800
wouldn't be surprised if he's a Guy brian that this

915
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:01,840
has nothing to do with this handicap or Where Steve

916
00:48:01,880 --> 00:48:04,840
cohen just as like, fit let's bring him up In.

917
00:48:04,880 --> 00:48:08,079
September you, know like there's always one where they didn't

918
00:48:08,079 --> 00:48:10,599
plan on. Him this, year but like he's just doing

919
00:48:10,719 --> 00:48:12,840
he's just so good in the minors and like things

920
00:48:12,880 --> 00:48:15,679
aren't clicking that like he ends up on a postseason.

921
00:48:15,800 --> 00:48:17,840
ROSTER i think that could Be Jonah, tong by the,

922
00:48:17,840 --> 00:48:20,320
way so jot that. Down he'll make A Syracuse met's

923
00:48:20,320 --> 00:48:22,719
debut this. WEEK i may take a ride To rochester

924
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:27,920
to see that. Game but, What, SORRY i got off the. Topic,

925
00:48:27,960 --> 00:48:30,320
Oh Bryce. Elder so this would be a great Spot

926
00:48:30,360 --> 00:48:33,199
brian to call Up Didier fuentez to make his major league.

927
00:48:33,239 --> 00:48:35,280
Debut but you know why that's not gonna, happen because

928
00:48:35,280 --> 00:48:38,280
The braves already destroyed. Him he's, back he's actually throwing

929
00:48:38,280 --> 00:48:40,440
the ball well At TRIPLE. A but The braves straight

930
00:48:40,639 --> 00:48:44,079
ruined this kid earlier this year for no, reason for

931
00:48:44,199 --> 00:48:46,840
absolutely no. Reason so now we're still stuck With Bryce

932
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:49,320
elder at the big league. Level that whole front office

933
00:48:49,320 --> 00:48:52,920
should be escorted. Out fill your, box take your, stuff

934
00:48:53,159 --> 00:48:55,280
and we'll see you. Later they, needed they, Needed that's

935
00:48:55,280 --> 00:48:57,320
who they need To The braves need to get rid

936
00:48:57,360 --> 00:48:59,519
of all the people making. Decisions they don't need to

937
00:48:59,519 --> 00:49:02,760
get rid Of akuna all sin like they have good,

938
00:49:02,800 --> 00:49:06,920
players it's just been terrible decision after terrible decision pretty

939
00:49:07,000 --> 00:49:10,079
much since they won The World, series and now they're

940
00:49:10,159 --> 00:49:13,039
left With Bryce elder every fifth, day AND i think

941
00:49:13,079 --> 00:49:15,199
you're gonna get what you deserve to get If Bryce

942
00:49:15,239 --> 00:49:17,760
elder's still in your starring. Rotation AND i think that's a.

943
00:49:17,800 --> 00:49:21,559
Loss so The, mets, again you don't really need me

944
00:49:21,599 --> 00:49:24,760
to like go that far into. It they're a far better,

945
00:49:24,800 --> 00:49:28,119
team that's. Obvious AND i Think, senga even with his,

946
00:49:28,159 --> 00:49:31,079
struggles gives you considerable edge over The. Braves and then

947
00:49:31,079 --> 00:49:35,280
The mets still have an elite bullpen that you didn't

948
00:49:35,360 --> 00:49:38,840
use anyone, yesterday so they should theoretically have the good

949
00:49:38,960 --> 00:49:41,480
arms stacked. Up it should give them a big. ADVANTAGE

950
00:49:41,679 --> 00:49:44,679
i really will be surprised if The mets lose this,

951
00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:47,519
game but The mets have surprised, me but with how

952
00:49:47,559 --> 00:49:49,880
bad they've been of. Late that being, said this just

953
00:49:49,880 --> 00:49:53,480
feels like a spot they can't mess. Up queue up

954
00:49:53,519 --> 00:49:56,559
The braves seven to four. Win but this really does

955
00:49:56,599 --> 00:49:59,000
feel like a spot that The mets can't mess. Up

956
00:50:00,320 --> 00:50:03,199
and Unfortunately i'm on record saying that, now so we'll.

957
00:50:03,239 --> 00:50:05,400
See that might be the Parlay. Lego we've got two

958
00:50:05,880 --> 00:50:08,239
games to talk about we'll go quick on these last

959
00:50:08,239 --> 00:50:10,039
two and then we'll get. There but we're gonna finish the.

960
00:50:10,079 --> 00:50:12,079
Show we got about ten minutes. Left it's okay if

961
00:50:12,079 --> 00:50:13,880
we run a minute or two. OVER i want to

962
00:50:13,880 --> 00:50:15,480
get to the last two. Games then we'll lock.

963
00:50:15,519 --> 00:50:15,679
Speaker 2: In.

964
00:50:16,760 --> 00:50:20,079
Speaker 1: Tigers they're hitting the road. Tonight someone in the chat,

965
00:50:20,159 --> 00:50:22,639
said nice call in The twins, Yesterday, Adam, yeah that

966
00:50:22,840 --> 00:50:25,000
was one of the free plays that did get. There

967
00:50:25,199 --> 00:50:27,280
should have put that in the, parlay wouldn't have ruined.

968
00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:31,480
It But Joe ryan pitches. Well twins salvage the, finale

969
00:50:31,800 --> 00:50:34,039
and their reward for that is to head home and

970
00:50:34,079 --> 00:50:37,320
Get Tariq. Schooble It's bailey over on the mound for The,

971
00:50:37,360 --> 00:50:40,320
twins who have played better. Ball it was for the

972
00:50:40,360 --> 00:50:42,280
most part the last couple of. Weeks do they have

973
00:50:42,320 --> 00:50:43,880
a chance here Against? Schooble what do you?

974
00:50:43,880 --> 00:50:46,599
Speaker 2: Think, Yeah scooble going on the. Road about a two

975
00:50:46,679 --> 00:50:50,800
dollars favorite here against over total seven and a half

976
00:50:50,840 --> 00:50:56,239
to the, under about one. Twenty when you take a

977
00:50:56,239 --> 00:50:59,920
look At, detroit, Obviously schooble's the, ace and he's got great.

978
00:51:00,079 --> 00:51:02,480
Numbers a lot of red on the. Stack, gass page

979
00:51:02,800 --> 00:51:05,480
eleven and three record after an eighteen to four record last.

980
00:51:05,519 --> 00:51:07,920
Year they have a lot of success when he's on

981
00:51:07,920 --> 00:51:12,480
on the, mound and his stack gass page is basically

982
00:51:14,599 --> 00:51:17,639
you can't get much. Better is pitching run value one hundred,

983
00:51:17,679 --> 00:51:21,199
percentile all speed run value one hundred, percentile fastball run

984
00:51:21,280 --> 00:51:25,960
value ninety. Seventh the guy's. Great his ground ball rate

985
00:51:26,320 --> 00:51:29,719
it's actually less than a little bit the league, average

986
00:51:31,400 --> 00:51:34,800
and depending on where they play That minnesota is not

987
00:51:34,840 --> 00:51:38,679
really that great of a home rent hitting. Ballpark but

988
00:51:39,559 --> 00:51:42,599
he's a guy you've got to have a really good

989
00:51:42,679 --> 00:51:47,519
reason to play against. Him and While ice find value

990
00:51:47,639 --> 00:51:51,960
here On, MINNESOTA i won't get. There minnesota is playing

991
00:51:51,960 --> 00:51:53,800
a lot better THAN i thought they. Would we talked about.

992
00:51:53,840 --> 00:51:56,880
THAT i faded them the first four or five games

993
00:51:57,079 --> 00:52:00,519
after the trade deadline and had some. Success but since

994
00:52:00,599 --> 00:52:02,559
then they've got all these young kids up there and

995
00:52:02,599 --> 00:52:07,239
they're gaining some. Confidence bailey over a guy that is so.

996
00:52:07,440 --> 00:52:11,360
Inconsistent last year he won twelve games with a three

997
00:52:11,400 --> 00:52:13,800
point nine eighty or. A the year before three point

998
00:52:13,800 --> 00:52:16,760
four to three era looked really, good excellent whips at

999
00:52:16,760 --> 00:52:19,679
one point zero zero and one point zero. Seven not

1000
00:52:19,760 --> 00:52:22,199
so much this. Year it's come back to home a little.

1001
00:52:22,199 --> 00:52:25,079
Bit five point one sixth cra one point three eight

1002
00:52:25,079 --> 00:52:28,360
whip excellent extension six foot nine will do that to.

1003
00:52:28,400 --> 00:52:32,599
You ninety eight percentile walk, right ninety, second chase rate ninety.

1004
00:52:32,599 --> 00:52:38,360
Three those are very. Good fastball velocity seventh percentile barrel, rate,

1005
00:52:38,400 --> 00:52:43,599
twelfth round ball rate. Fifth, Obviously detroit's got the much better.

1006
00:52:43,679 --> 00:52:46,519
Pitcher do you want to lay two dollars on the

1007
00:52:46,599 --> 00:52:50,039
road with The detroit? Team who's really gonna have to

1008
00:52:50,079 --> 00:52:52,679
fight off some of these teams in this. Division cleveland's playing,

1009
00:52:52,679 --> 00:52:55,800
Well Kansas city's playing. Better i'm not going to do.

1010
00:52:55,840 --> 00:52:58,119
It i'm going to pass on this. One but this

1011
00:52:58,239 --> 00:53:01,039
last game we've got coming up will be my part

1012
00:53:01,039 --> 00:53:02,440
of the, parlay and we'll get to that in just a.

1013
00:53:02,480 --> 00:53:07,840
Speaker 1: Minute, so you, know it's. TOUGH i like to try

1014
00:53:07,880 --> 00:53:11,239
to put myself in the mind of the manager and

1015
00:53:11,840 --> 00:53:15,559
what they're going to, do but like, unfortunately right now

1016
00:53:15,840 --> 00:53:19,320
it's the front office is managing This twins. Team because

1017
00:53:19,800 --> 00:53:22,079
if it was about trying to, compete even with the

1018
00:53:22,199 --> 00:53:25,400
roster that that you have right, now Like Mick abel

1019
00:53:25,440 --> 00:53:28,519
wouldn't be down At TRIPLE. A Todj bradley wouldn't be

1020
00:53:28,599 --> 00:53:31,199
these would be the guys starting major league games for The.

1021
00:53:31,239 --> 00:53:33,719
Twins it makes no sense other than the fact that,

1022
00:53:33,800 --> 00:53:36,239
like like it just makes no. Sense why are you

1023
00:53:36,320 --> 00:53:40,639
Putting why are you having Like Travis adams And Thomas

1024
00:53:40,719 --> 00:53:44,599
hatch split a bullpen game when you could Have Mick

1025
00:53:44,639 --> 00:53:48,320
abel starting OR. Todj, Bradley, like these are guys that

1026
00:53:48,360 --> 00:53:50,679
should be in the majors starting right. Now so it's

1027
00:53:50,719 --> 00:53:55,079
it's very difficult to like try to put myself in

1028
00:53:55,119 --> 00:53:56,719
the shoes of the. Manager what are they gonna? Do

1029
00:53:56,760 --> 00:53:59,840
because if The twins were really trying to be competitive

1030
00:53:59,880 --> 00:54:03,480
and trying to, win they would Have Pearson owl Behind

1031
00:54:03,519 --> 00:54:05,679
bailey over. HERE i thought they were gonna Use ol.

1032
00:54:05,960 --> 00:54:08,960
Yesterday maybe they didn't really need him yesterday because Like

1033
00:54:09,159 --> 00:54:11,679
Joe ryan pitched deep into the game and then they

1034
00:54:11,679 --> 00:54:15,000
had a. Lead so like, YESTERDAY i thought for Sure

1035
00:54:15,079 --> 00:54:17,000
ol was gonna come in and finish finish that. Game

1036
00:54:17,039 --> 00:54:18,920
it was kind of his turn to. Pitch but you know,

1037
00:54:18,960 --> 00:54:21,239
What Joe ryan threw into the seventh. Inning maybe they were, like,

1038
00:54:21,280 --> 00:54:24,079
okay we can go Like thunderbirk in a, matchup and

1039
00:54:24,119 --> 00:54:26,760
then we'll Have topa who's kind of like our leverage

1040
00:54:26,800 --> 00:54:29,800
guy close it out at this. Point SO i think

1041
00:54:29,880 --> 00:54:33,719
that Leaves pierson ol to Follow bailey ob, today and

1042
00:54:33,760 --> 00:54:37,519
that's actually somewhat. Appealing. BRIAN i you, Know Bailey, Ober

1043
00:54:37,760 --> 00:54:40,480
we've given him a lot of you, know flack on this,

1044
00:54:40,559 --> 00:54:43,320
show if you. Will but his numbers are better at, Home,

1045
00:54:43,800 --> 00:54:46,159
like there's no question he's thrown the ball better at.

1046
00:54:46,159 --> 00:54:48,800
Home and when he gets sort of like in a

1047
00:54:48,800 --> 00:54:50,760
little bit of a, groove he can be pretty. Good

1048
00:54:51,639 --> 00:54:55,840
and This tiger, listen The tigers have not hit since

1049
00:54:55,880 --> 00:54:59,039
The All star. Break this team has not consistently hit

1050
00:54:59,079 --> 00:55:02,360
in a long. Time and even yesterday it took a

1051
00:55:02,519 --> 00:55:04,960
one nothing win WHERE i think they got five one

1052
00:55:05,039 --> 00:55:07,840
run on five, hits they managed to win that. GAME

1053
00:55:08,760 --> 00:55:11,280
i want no part of The, tigers even Within schooble

1054
00:55:11,320 --> 00:55:13,039
on the mound right. NOW i want no part of

1055
00:55:13,079 --> 00:55:15,719
them as a two dollars. Favorite didn't The twins just

1056
00:55:15,800 --> 00:55:18,199
generate some offense Off schooble like a week. AGO i

1057
00:55:18,239 --> 00:55:21,440
think he's facing them again in quick. SUCCESSION i would

1058
00:55:21,519 --> 00:55:23,400
run it back with The. Twins twins plus one and

1059
00:55:23,400 --> 00:55:25,840
a half is like even. MONEY i think you're gonna

1060
00:55:25,840 --> 00:55:28,599
Get pierson ol After bailey Over pierson owls like the

1061
00:55:28,599 --> 00:55:32,360
most exciting young arm they currently have on the big league.

1062
00:55:32,440 --> 00:55:34,880
Roster don't ask me why the other ones are still

1063
00:55:34,920 --> 00:55:37,760
In Saint, paul but they. Are SO i think you

1064
00:55:37,840 --> 00:55:40,320
Get bailey over To pierson oll. Here that's enough for

1065
00:55:40,400 --> 00:55:42,599
me to, say you know, what the plus one and

1066
00:55:42,599 --> 00:55:45,159
a half give me the run cushion in a. Game

1067
00:55:45,199 --> 00:55:48,039
maybe The twins steal late because even If schooble's, pitching,

1068
00:55:48,079 --> 00:55:50,239
WELL i just don't know that the offense is there

1069
00:55:50,320 --> 00:55:53,079
yet for The. Tigers they just keep not. Hitting SO

1070
00:55:53,199 --> 00:55:55,239
i like The twins on the run line. Here all, Right,

1071
00:55:55,280 --> 00:55:57,519
brian what's your parlay? Leg one more? Game and you

1072
00:55:57,559 --> 00:55:58,920
said it's the parlay? Leg what is?

1073
00:55:58,960 --> 00:56:04,159
Speaker 2: It? Yeah arizona Against colorado. Here rodriguez a lefty on

1074
00:56:04,199 --> 00:56:08,960
the mountain for The, diamondbacks And colorado's going With, blaylock

1075
00:56:09,079 --> 00:56:13,000
who has been forced to take some starts because of

1076
00:56:13,039 --> 00:56:17,559
their struggles all season long and starting. Pitching arizona has

1077
00:56:17,599 --> 00:56:21,760
about a one seventy favorite. Here total is, high and

1078
00:56:21,800 --> 00:56:26,360
it's high for a. Reason twelve to the over minus.

1079
00:56:26,400 --> 00:56:29,719
Fifteen AND i recently, said And i've said it a

1080
00:56:29,719 --> 00:56:34,159
few times on this that getaway games are DAYS i

1081
00:56:34,320 --> 00:56:37,079
like to like to play the. Unders, well this is

1082
00:56:37,119 --> 00:56:41,920
not a getaway. Game arizona just played In, texas the

1083
00:56:41,960 --> 00:56:46,079
best pitching park In Major League baseball this, year but

1084
00:56:46,159 --> 00:56:48,960
they managed five runs a. Game they scored fifteen runs

1085
00:56:49,000 --> 00:56:53,639
Against texas In. Texas that's pretty. Good and they go

1086
00:56:53,679 --> 00:56:56,519
from the worst or the best pitching park In Major

1087
00:56:56,599 --> 00:56:59,960
League baseball to the worst pitching park In Major Lee,

1088
00:57:00,119 --> 00:57:03,920
baseball and That's. Colorado it doesn't help The colorado's pitcher.

1089
00:57:04,039 --> 00:57:07,280
Stink but you also have to worry about the altitude.

1090
00:57:07,320 --> 00:57:11,119
There so you Got rodriguez coming in, here And i'm

1091
00:57:11,280 --> 00:57:13,480
not much of a fan of. His he's he's dealt

1092
00:57:13,519 --> 00:57:15,440
with injuries the last couple of. Years you, Know i've

1093
00:57:15,480 --> 00:57:18,039
got to take that with a grand. Salt BUT i

1094
00:57:18,119 --> 00:57:24,159
just talked about schoobles pitching run. Values this is just

1095
00:57:24,199 --> 00:57:28,760
the Opposite edward Or. Rodriguez first percentile in pitching run,

1096
00:57:28,880 --> 00:57:34,239
value fourth percentile in breaking run, value one first, percentile

1097
00:57:34,280 --> 00:57:36,719
and allspreed run. Value he's in the thirteenth in the

1098
00:57:36,719 --> 00:57:40,400
fastball run. Value he's a guy that throws the for

1099
00:57:40,599 --> 00:57:45,039
seemer forty pc of the. Time and yet he throws

1100
00:57:45,079 --> 00:57:47,840
it one mile an hour less than an average left

1101
00:57:47,840 --> 00:57:51,840
handed starter In Major League. Baseball he's going to get

1102
00:57:51,880 --> 00:57:55,559
Hit colorado can hit it. HOME i don't want to

1103
00:57:55,559 --> 00:57:57,840
play On colorado when they go on the, road BUT

1104
00:57:58,239 --> 00:58:03,440
i like the situation For colorado today here and we're

1105
00:58:03,440 --> 00:58:05,480
getting to go against the. PITCHER i think they're gonna

1106
00:58:05,480 --> 00:58:09,960
have some value On Brady blaylock Or bradley Blayloc excuse,

1107
00:58:10,039 --> 00:58:13,159
me too many bees there on my tongue at early

1108
00:58:13,199 --> 00:58:15,440
in the. Morning but he has got a lot of

1109
00:58:15,480 --> 00:58:20,360
blue on his statas. Page his pitcherre on value seventh,

1110
00:58:20,400 --> 00:58:24,920
percentile fastball, sixth breaking ball, nineteenth and all speed. Thirtieth

1111
00:58:25,199 --> 00:58:28,440
he comes. In keep in mind last year he started

1112
00:58:28,519 --> 00:58:32,599
six out of seven games For colorado five point eight

1113
00:58:32,679 --> 00:58:37,400
SEVEN era one point seven nine. Whip that was thirty

1114
00:58:37,440 --> 00:58:40,159
innings this year and forty three innings seven point eight

1115
00:58:40,320 --> 00:58:44,639
NINE era one point seven to one. Whip he's first

1116
00:58:44,639 --> 00:58:47,920
percentile In Major League baseball and expected batting average fifth,

1117
00:58:47,960 --> 00:58:53,000
percentage strikeout, percentage and he throws his four seam fastball

1118
00:58:53,119 --> 00:58:57,119
forty six percent of the. Time once, Again arizona's going

1119
00:58:57,119 --> 00:59:01,280
from the worst hitting ballpark to the best hitting, ballpark

1120
00:59:02,119 --> 00:59:06,239
And i'm gonna play this over twelve minus one fifteen

1121
00:59:06,920 --> 00:59:08,119
is my best bet on the show.

1122
00:59:08,159 --> 00:59:12,199
Speaker 1: Today can't can't argue with. THAT i kind OF i

1123
00:59:12,480 --> 00:59:15,000
think there's some value on The rockies here. Too wouldn't

1124
00:59:15,000 --> 00:59:17,280
be surprised if The, rockies you, know won this. Game

1125
00:59:17,320 --> 00:59:19,760
they've played a little bit better this week they're at.

1126
00:59:19,800 --> 00:59:23,320
HOME i think the pit you, know AS. Edwarda, rodriguez

1127
00:59:23,320 --> 00:59:26,440
has been so bad that the pitching is. COMPARABLE i,

1128
00:59:26,480 --> 00:59:28,840
think you, Know rockies on the run line catching. IT

1129
00:59:28,960 --> 00:59:30,760
i know IT'S i know the run line doesn't have

1130
00:59:30,800 --> 00:59:32,800
as much value because it's the home team and you've

1131
00:59:32,800 --> 00:59:35,559
got a big, Total but The rockies are very good

1132
00:59:35,599 --> 00:59:38,760
at finding ways to lose. Games so like catching a

1133
00:59:38,840 --> 00:59:41,719
run and a half here at even money also seems

1134
00:59:41,760 --> 00:59:45,599
like a good bet to. Me let, ME i do

1135
00:59:45,639 --> 00:59:48,440
you have a just any odd? Screed what's your what's

1136
00:59:48,519 --> 00:59:50,119
your big on that over?

1137
00:59:50,199 --> 00:59:53,840
Speaker 2: Twelve over twelve is minus one. Fifteen if you did

1138
00:59:53,880 --> 00:59:58,599
want to play plus the one and a, half you

1139
00:59:58,639 --> 01:00:01,119
can Get colorado plus one and a, half a basically

1140
01:00:01,159 --> 01:00:01,920
plus one. Hundred.

1141
01:00:03,360 --> 01:00:06,079
Speaker 1: YEAH i, mean, listen Like i've talked about The rockies

1142
01:00:06,079 --> 01:00:08,880
and the plus one and a half vane a lot this,

1143
01:00:09,000 --> 01:00:11,800
week haven't bet. It i'm not sure That i'm just

1144
01:00:11,920 --> 01:00:14,519
like even Betting rockies games at this. Point but there

1145
01:00:14,559 --> 01:00:17,079
was a couple times earlier in this week where that

1146
01:00:17,119 --> 01:00:20,239
plus one and a half cashed against The. Cardinals actually

1147
01:00:20,440 --> 01:00:22,840
did that cash every game of that series against The,

1148
01:00:22,880 --> 01:00:25,320
cardinals it might. HAVE i think it, might or at

1149
01:00:25,400 --> 01:00:28,719
least two of the. Three they they played a pretty

1150
01:00:28,719 --> 01:00:31,599
good series against A cardinals team that just could not.

1151
01:00:31,719 --> 01:00:35,079
Hit earlier this, week but you, know The, rockies like,

1152
01:00:35,079 --> 01:00:38,119
again they're they're hanging. Around back to back. Wins, Yes

1153
01:00:38,480 --> 01:00:40,280
rockies plus one and a half cash in all three

1154
01:00:40,280 --> 01:00:44,840
games In Saint. Louis i'm not, saying, Like, listen The

1155
01:00:44,920 --> 01:00:46,599
rockies had a stretch a couple of weeks ago where

1156
01:00:46,599 --> 01:00:48,519
they played some good. Ball they're coming in off back

1157
01:00:48,559 --> 01:00:51,400
to back. Wins they're coming. Home This arizona team right

1158
01:00:51,440 --> 01:00:54,599
now is just not like they know they're sort of

1159
01:00:54,599 --> 01:00:56,559
out of the playoff. Mix even though they kind of

1160
01:00:56,639 --> 01:00:58,760
keep winning a game here and, there they're never going

1161
01:00:58,840 --> 01:01:00,920
to get to the playoffs with. That and now you've

1162
01:01:00,960 --> 01:01:03,920
got and. Water rodriguez has been. Awful he's in Altitude

1163
01:01:04,039 --> 01:01:07,119
diamondbacks bullpen's used up from The rangers. Series they're at

1164
01:01:07,119 --> 01:01:10,199
the Altitude rockies said have been, hitting especially when they

1165
01:01:10,239 --> 01:01:13,840
play at, home And blaylock is a you, know just

1166
01:01:14,000 --> 01:01:16,559
he's just gonna get. Mauled he's not a big league.

1167
01:01:16,599 --> 01:01:19,199
Pitcher SO i, like you're Over AND i still, like

1168
01:01:19,239 --> 01:01:21,960
even Though blaylock is a little bit terrifying to, BACK

1169
01:01:22,239 --> 01:01:24,039
i still feel like The rockies end up on the

1170
01:01:24,079 --> 01:01:25,960
right side of this. Game that's what this is what

1171
01:01:26,000 --> 01:01:29,159
my gut. Says SO i would Throw rockies run in

1172
01:01:29,199 --> 01:01:31,119
a half out if you want the. Side But, BRIAN

1173
01:01:31,159 --> 01:01:32,920
i like your total better than my side. Play So

1174
01:01:32,960 --> 01:01:35,960
i'm glad that that's in the. Parlay AND i got

1175
01:01:36,000 --> 01:01:41,239
some pushback for The. Mets almost makes me like it

1176
01:01:41,280 --> 01:01:44,400
a little bit. More, BRIAN i don't, know are people are, like, what, like,

1177
01:01:44,519 --> 01:01:46,519
LISTEN i get it they haven't played well right, now

1178
01:01:46,519 --> 01:01:50,880
but are we just really gonna just like write This

1179
01:01:51,000 --> 01:01:53,679
mets team off in the middle Of august with all

1180
01:01:53,679 --> 01:01:55,719
the pitching and all the all the all the bullpen

1181
01:01:55,840 --> 01:01:58,559
arms and all the talent on that, Team what what

1182
01:01:58,880 --> 01:02:00,719
do we have For mets money? Line right? NOW i

1183
01:02:00,760 --> 01:02:03,760
know IT'S i know it's, inflated but this is such

1184
01:02:03,800 --> 01:02:07,679
a good spot for. Them it it's it's why are

1185
01:02:07,760 --> 01:02:10,239
we giving The braves any? Credit The braves are, Awful

1186
01:02:10,960 --> 01:02:15,079
they've they've quit the. Like the thing, is like The

1187
01:02:15,119 --> 01:02:17,000
braves they have a win here and, there and they're

1188
01:02:17,039 --> 01:02:18,559
hitting the ball a little. Bit but, like if you

1189
01:02:18,599 --> 01:02:20,719
want to talk about a team that's probably gonna roll

1190
01:02:20,760 --> 01:02:23,039
over in the past in the last five or six,

1191
01:02:23,119 --> 01:02:26,239
weeks it's gonna be A braves team that is mostly.

1192
01:02:26,320 --> 01:02:28,840
Veterans it's gonna you, know it's dawned on them that

1193
01:02:28,840 --> 01:02:32,679
they're not gonna go to the playoffs this. Year, Listen

1194
01:02:33,000 --> 01:02:36,119
i'm gonna be really shocked if The mets dropped this

1195
01:02:36,239 --> 01:02:38,079
series to The. Braves, so of, course The mets won

1196
01:02:38,119 --> 01:02:40,719
thirteen to five at home On, tuesday they lose the

1197
01:02:40,760 --> 01:02:43,599
game last. Night this is just a series they have to.

1198
01:02:43,639 --> 01:02:46,280
Have they've got all their bullpen. ARMS i still Think

1199
01:02:46,320 --> 01:02:48,280
sega is gonna be better than he's been to this

1200
01:02:48,360 --> 01:02:50,760
point in the. Season So i'm gonna Go mets money.

1201
01:02:50,760 --> 01:02:52,239
Line what's my what's what's the price?

1202
01:02:52,320 --> 01:02:55,440
Speaker 2: Here, yeah roughly it's about a one anywhere from one

1203
01:02:55,480 --> 01:02:59,800
eighty five to one ninety. Five we'll call it pay.

1204
01:02:59,840 --> 01:03:02,039
IT i would have played The mets hit The mets

1205
01:03:02,079 --> 01:03:05,559
hitting to have. Success maybe a team total over if

1206
01:03:05,920 --> 01:03:09,800
you're not A mets fan in this, game but, yeah

1207
01:03:09,920 --> 01:03:13,760
It's atlanta With elder on the, mound not good and

1208
01:03:13,800 --> 01:03:16,360
the bullpens pitched a little bit better than you expect.

1209
01:03:16,480 --> 01:03:19,920
Lately but, yeah we're looking at The, mets AND i

1210
01:03:19,960 --> 01:03:23,800
hate to play do. SYSTEMS i actually played The mets

1211
01:03:23,920 --> 01:03:28,039
once this, week and of course they. Lost BUT i

1212
01:03:28,079 --> 01:03:30,559
won't get there with, you But i'll be wishing you very,

1213
01:03:30,599 --> 01:03:32,239
well and it makes a lot of sense to play,

1214
01:03:32,280 --> 01:03:35,920
them BUT i just, MYSELF i can't lay, it But

1215
01:03:36,239 --> 01:03:38,039
i'm gonna wish you the, best and for all of

1216
01:03:38,440 --> 01:03:39,920
everybody on the, show let's catch this.

1217
01:03:39,960 --> 01:03:45,320
Speaker 1: Partlay, Yep Bob Colin gregory Says mets first five team. Total, yeah,

1218
01:03:45,440 --> 01:03:49,159
LISTEN i don't dislike any of Those mets over, options

1219
01:03:49,320 --> 01:03:51,440
BUT i do think like a significant part of my

1220
01:03:51,480 --> 01:03:54,920
handicap on this one is the fact THAT i really feel,

1221
01:03:54,960 --> 01:03:57,079
like if this is a close game, Late i'm getting

1222
01:03:57,239 --> 01:04:01,280
every top reliever no, tomorrow BECAUSE i do feel, like,

1223
01:04:01,360 --> 01:04:03,960
listen it's not even really the do theory for, Me,

1224
01:04:03,960 --> 01:04:06,239
brian because they just won On. TUESDAY i really feel

1225
01:04:06,239 --> 01:04:09,000
like going into the, series The mets probably went in

1226
01:04:09,039 --> 01:04:11,480
with the, mentality we have to have this. Series after

1227
01:04:11,840 --> 01:04:14,840
choking that, series choking that finale away against The brewers

1228
01:04:14,840 --> 01:04:18,280
and getting, swept it was we have to take this

1229
01:04:18,320 --> 01:04:20,679
series at. Home and so of course yesterday gets out of.

1230
01:04:20,679 --> 01:04:23,079
Hand it's eleven to. Five now you've Got, sega that's

1231
01:04:23,119 --> 01:04:26,239
an edge and starting. Pitching now you've got das every

1232
01:04:26,239 --> 01:04:28,840
bullpen arm you could could want is gonna be ready to.

1233
01:04:28,880 --> 01:04:30,760
GO i just think The mets are gonna get a

1234
01:04:30,800 --> 01:04:32,239
lead at some point and they're not gonna give it.

1235
01:04:32,280 --> 01:04:34,960
Back So i'll put The mets in the. Parlay it's

1236
01:04:35,000 --> 01:04:37,119
not a very juicy parlay, today but you know, what

1237
01:04:37,320 --> 01:04:39,599
we need to win. One so we're gonna try to

1238
01:04:39,639 --> 01:04:42,719
just stack and Here i'm gonna Go mets money line

1239
01:04:43,039 --> 01:04:46,519
minus one Ninety Brian leonard's going d backs rockies over the.

1240
01:04:46,519 --> 01:04:50,320
Total that's over twelve little two teamer For thursday plus

1241
01:04:50,320 --> 01:04:52,840
one eighty. Five but it's. ONE i like a. LOT

1242
01:04:52,880 --> 01:04:54,800
i think we're GONNA i think we're gonna get, there and,

1243
01:04:54,880 --> 01:04:57,760
HEY i got we're gonna show up at nine am tomorrow, morning,

1244
01:04:57,880 --> 01:05:01,199
regardless so you can, either you, know come back and

1245
01:05:01,440 --> 01:05:04,000
tell me how WRONG i was about The. Mets BUT

1246
01:05:04,079 --> 01:05:05,639
i don't think that's gonna be the. CASE i think

1247
01:05:05,639 --> 01:05:09,400
they're gonna win tonight and so hopefully we cash our.

1248
01:05:09,440 --> 01:05:13,519
Parlay right, THERE i probably should have See Tokyo bran

1249
01:05:13,679 --> 01:05:16,239
is not, here AND i forget to promote during the.

1250
01:05:16,320 --> 01:05:19,639
SHOW i will, say but the, Chat travis in the

1251
01:05:19,719 --> 01:05:22,760
chat has done a good job promoting for, me SO

1252
01:05:23,000 --> 01:05:24,960
i haven't even had to do. It he's pointed out

1253
01:05:25,039 --> 01:05:27,960
my run a couple of. Times i'm coming into. TODAY

1254
01:05:28,440 --> 01:05:30,639
i think that's what it. IS i think it's eighteen and. Two,

1255
01:05:30,719 --> 01:05:33,239
actually if you go back the day, before we'll call

1256
01:05:33,360 --> 01:05:35,280
eleven in one is WHAT i posted on the site

1257
01:05:35,280 --> 01:05:37,400
because that was, LIKE i don't like to say a

1258
01:05:37,519 --> 01:05:40,039
run happened like in the middle of a. DAY i

1259
01:05:40,079 --> 01:05:42,440
think if you're gonna quote a, run it's gotta be

1260
01:05:42,519 --> 01:05:45,239
like starting a clean, day because it's like if you

1261
01:05:45,360 --> 01:05:47,440
go if you lose the first three in a certain,

1262
01:05:47,519 --> 01:05:49,480
day but then you win the last, two like you

1263
01:05:49,559 --> 01:05:51,599
can't just start with the last two, that you know

1264
01:05:51,679 --> 01:05:53,440
What i'm. Saying it's like it's got to start with

1265
01:05:53,480 --> 01:05:56,519
a clean, day so eleven to one is. Accurate that

1266
01:05:56,559 --> 01:06:00,039
goes back to like Last, SATURDAY i, think AND i

1267
01:06:00,280 --> 01:06:02,960
one four percent In Major League. Baseball that goes. Today

1268
01:06:03,000 --> 01:06:06,239
that is up currently on my. Page do you have

1269
01:06:06,280 --> 01:06:08,000
anything to promote, Today, Brian.

1270
01:06:08,559 --> 01:06:11,320
Speaker 2: I'm still working on the. PLAYS i have had five

1271
01:06:11,360 --> 01:06:14,239
straight winning, days a couple of four percent winners the

1272
01:06:14,280 --> 01:06:16,800
last couple of. Days, yeah on a nice little. Run

1273
01:06:19,480 --> 01:06:22,880
chances are you may have already gotten what may be

1274
01:06:23,039 --> 01:06:25,360
my best, play and that's the over in The colorado.

1275
01:06:25,440 --> 01:06:29,440
Game so nothing to promote is of. Yet But i'm

1276
01:06:29,480 --> 01:06:32,880
going to continue to look at the lineups and we'll

1277
01:06:32,880 --> 01:06:34,239
see what you get as the day goes.

1278
01:06:34,239 --> 01:06:39,400
Speaker 1: On all, right, guys, everyone have a great. Day once

1279
01:06:39,440 --> 01:06:42,079
again the parlay two. Teamer i've got The mets money.

1280
01:06:42,079 --> 01:06:45,519
Line brian's got D, Backs rockies over the. Total appreciate

1281
01:06:45,519 --> 01:06:47,480
you spending Your thursday morning with, us and we'll be

1282
01:06:47,559 --> 01:06:51,800
back to close out the week in a proper, fashion

1283
01:06:51,840 --> 01:06:55,280
the three of us tomorrow to finish it off nine Am,

1284
01:06:55,320 --> 01:06:57,760
eastern as we are every weekday right here in the

1285
01:06:57,760 --> 01:06:59,559
way you talking YouTube. Channel have a great day. Everyone

1286
01:06:59,559 --> 01:07:00,440
we'll see you guy simorrow