Speaker 1: NHL picks in the in the world of betting.
Speaker 2: Here, guys, I'll tell you what.
Speaker 1: Right now, we have got some of the best games
you're gonna get in the NHL all season long. And
when you look at the board for today and handicapping
spots and situational spots, this is pretty much as good
as it gets. You guys know him on a great
run right now. I'm keeping the volume low, but I
was telling Brian and Carmine before the show started, it's
hard to keep the volume low with this slate.
Speaker 2: Today.
Speaker 1: I like the slate. I've got some picks for you
guys on these games. We've got sides, totals, props, and
all kinds of good stuff for you here on the show.
It is Thursday, April second, No April fools today. Hopefully
we can make some money for you guys. And man
oh man, those Vancouver Canucks. I got to quote Brian
for a second. The wise guys will take the dog
and everyone's gonna lose money on the favorite. And you
know how many people in the world had the Dodgers
and the Avalanche yesterday and they woke up feeling pretty
tough this morning. So a great, great great slate here today, guys,
as mentioned, if you are a sports better or an
NHL better. I won't speak for these two guys until
I talked to them, but I think it's a pretty
darn good slate. Carm good to see him, then, hope
you're feeling well rested from your lowered management. They're gonna
have to start calling you. Kawhi Leonard Man, Kawhi Bianco here.
Speaker 3: I had, yeah, I had. I had to take the
day off. I had a thread came out of my shirt,
so I pulled the Lebron James and decided not to play. Yeah,
I was in No, I wasn't actually in morning, but
the fact that Italy once again did not qualify for
the World Cup andrew all my friends are. I'm gonna
enjoy the World Cup regardless. I'm going to games, and
there were games that didn't involve Italy. I only had
tickets for one possible Italy game. They didn't make it.
They'll try again in twenty thirty and we'll see what
happens there. I joked around it maybe they need to
host the World Cup because the host gets in automatically.
But with that said, yes, a moment of quiet for Italy.
It happens man eight to six the Vancouver Canucks yesterday
over over the Colorado Avalanche. I think you guys talked
about it. I think Brian said on yesterday's show. When
you expect the things to go a certain way, sometimes
they go.
Speaker 4: To the other.
Speaker 3: It's kind of like the George costanzev everything you do
is wrong, the opposite must be right. Andrew, you and
I are going to talk Columbus and Carolina. This is
the second of two games between these two over the
last week, five to two on Tuesday, Carolina winning in Columbus.
We'll see if Columbus can return the favor. We're also
going to talk to the Detroit Red Wings and the
Philadelphia Flyers, two teams on eighty six points, currently in
ninth and eleventh, separated by obviously regulation wins and games
games played, but they're both on seventy four. We'll discuss
that one. Brian Leonard is gonna talk Vegas and Calgary
can the Flames due to Vegas, what Vancouver did to
Colorado yesterday and shot the world, we'll find out from Brian.
We're gonna close it off with another playoff matchup in
the Western Conference Nashville currently in tenth on seventy seven points,
one point back of the eight plates La Kings, who
were fresh off of victory last night, second of a
back to back. We're gonna discuss that. We're gonna have
a pod play way to you see the graphic on
this one. After the Ottawa Senators were diced up and
shot like a it was target practice. Man, they were
Swiss cheese. So thanks Ottawa. I really appreciate that. But
that said, Andrew, uh, ten and oh for you, man,
where are you? Don't go into hiding. You're ten and oh.
Speaker 2: I'm back and I'm not trying to go away anywhere.
Speaker 3: Oh, ten and O, man, that is absolutely and I
got to commend you because anyone who's on a great
run always says, looks at a game, there only three games,
but I do kind of like one of them. You
passed on a three game card and I passed as
well too. But ten and O you passed on a
three game card, and tonight's number eleven eleven and O.
I can feel it, man, I can feel the eleven
and oh coming with that's.
Speaker 1: Got to give you thanks, karm I gotta give you
a thanks and I always respect it because sometimes you
don't want to talk to people during the game, or
sometimes you're worried about that one game you're on. But
I for me as long as it's all positive vibes.
I love the text. I love when we can and
you're cheering me on and we're in a text together
and the other day with Carolina and we're going to
talk about them. In one second, it was like, okay,
is that goal going to be allowed? Is that goal
going to be allowed? And you texted me, You're like,
that's a good goal. That's a good goal. And then
we needed to get one more. And I'll tell you
when I get these team total bets for the client's purposes,
I like it when it gets over four goals because
it looks better on me than if they just barely
get there. So you know, looking at the four goals
is good, but five goals or six goals even better. So, hey,
I appreciate you cheering me on. It makes it a
hell of a lot more fun. Let's ark that game here, man,
we have the rematch.
Speaker 3: Let's get going on this one. So we're Carolina Andrew
in this one minus one eighty five plus one fifty
one on the Columbus Blue Jackets, and if I recall,
I could be wrong on this one, but when they
played in Columbus, Carolina was still the favorite about a
buck thirty five. I think they were in that game.
So you're paying fifty cents more for them with the
venue switch at home a team that is battling right
now Andrew for the number one seed in the Eastern Conference.
They're on one hundred points, tied with the Buffalo Sabers,
but do have the advantage I believe on games played
and that one. And then right behind them the Tampa
Bay Lightning, who are off the lost to your Montreal
Canadians and your hot goalies, so they're not taking any
nights off. You wouldn't think they're taking any nights off. Columbus. Unfortunately,
four straight losses for them, Andrew, they said eighth on
seventy five games and five two losers. They got the
Red Wings right behind them with a game in hand,
Philadelphia with a game in hand, a loss here, and
they are where they are. They're tied in the standings
by having played a game more and we're in the
stretch run. How are you breaking this one down?
Speaker 1: Carl Old Andrew used to always say, if you have
one game go over in a home and home, the
next game will go under. If the first game goes under,
the next game will go over. But I gotta tell you,
when I look at these two teams and the total
is shaded to the under, as we can see with
the graphic here, I see no reason why this game
can't go over once again. And if it doesn't go over,
it means that Columbus just didn't score. Because when you
look at the last five to ten games, the offensive metrics,
Carolina are an advanced metrics dream.
Speaker 2: This team is.
Speaker 1: Number one in Coursey four percentage expected goals, percentage, high
danger chances. They do everything that advanced analytical people would love.
And right now the Columbus Blue Jackets have seen their
scoring production slow down just a little bit, but I
do think they're capable, and especially in this bounce back mode,
I don't really see the scoring slowing down. And if
you ask anybody, the biggest worry for the Carolina Hurricanes
going into the postseason, and it feels like it's been
the same worry as every season, is their goaltending karm.
You know, Brandon Bussy was unbelievable earlier.
Speaker 2: In the year. Then that kind of went away.
Speaker 1: Frederick Anderson, You and I both know what Frederick Anderson.
He is the Forrest Gump box of chocolates. You don't
know what you're gonna get with that guy every single night.
I have a tough time not seeing goals in this game,
but I think this could be a first period over game.
Columbus did not look like themselves, They did not create chances,
and quite frankly, I don't think they have it in
them to beat the Hurricanes in a low scoring game.
So this is gonna be another game that's gonna be
absolute fire until the last buzzer. From where I'm sitting,
I see action and I see goals in this one.
Let's not forget my Montreal Canadians shut down the Hurricanes
twice and especially last Sunday when the analytics favored Carolina
in a very big way. Montreal's goaltender did really, really well.
You talked about it on the show when I talked
with you on Tuesday about how both goalies are playing
well for the Habs. If a team is playing well
but they got goal lead a lot of times, they
bounce back the next couple of games and they put
some goals up on the board. What do you think, Carl,
I'm looking for another exciting game between these two teams.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Andrew, it hasn't been. It hasn't been a good
run for obviously for this Columbus team. They lose to
Montreal Canadians two to one, like they've all been close games.
They lose to Montreal two to one. They lose to the
San Jose Sharks at home three to two. They lose
in OT to the Bruins, in which they blew a
three nothing lead. The Bruins scored three and the third,
including one with like eleven seconds left, and then win
it in OT and then they lose that game five
to two. It should be Jack Greeves and goal, and
you know that game against the Canes, the fifth goal
is an empty netter. So he allowed four goals. And
that's the first time and I think seven or eight
starts that he has allowed more than three goals. I
think it is one of those ones where Rick Bonus
has to get this team to play better defensively and say,
and you look at it, those games are like two
to one games three two games, so it is not
as if they're being outscored by bigger margins and they're
losing games like five to four. This is why absinte
of your opinion on the you know, putting inside your
opinion on the first period, I think that the game
goes under the total. I like the under six and
a half here. I think if for Columbus to win,
they can't play a game in which they play an
open ice game against the Canes on home ice. For
the Canes, the Canes are a very good team. They're
gonna have to go in there. Jet's gonna have to
tra and steal them a game. This almost comes down to,
and I hate to say it, it almost comes down
to a must win, because Brian Lander will tell you
when he gets on a must win does not mean
they will win. I think they're gonna put in a
good effort tonight in this game, Andrew. I don't think
they get blown out five to two like they did.
This one does seem like one of those four to
two the empty netit goals and maybe they end up
on the wrong end of that result. So I'll have
to look at what the four to two is paying
either way. Four to Columbus or four to Carolina. I'm
gonna guess it's probably about twenty five to one odds.
And even though most of Italians are morning I can
still throw a slice of pizza on it.
Speaker 2: What do you think always good for a laugh? Carme, Look,
it's it's interesting.
Speaker 1: I just think that obviously I had the team total
for Carolina the last game, and I was hoping for
some goals near the end, and we got there. Rick
Bonus wants Columbus to play defensively. It's just when I
look at Montreal Montreal, when I look at Carolina's offense
and how they're playing right now, you take away those
games against Montreal running into goalies that we're playing well.
I think this team is actually playing good hockey. And
we're going to talk to Brian Leonard in a few
minutes and Brian will talk about that as well. And
you know it's not just about like, oh, well, a
team's playing well but they didn't get the results.
Speaker 2: But it's kind of why.
Speaker 1: I've cared more about goalies lately than I ever have,
because sometimes you can say this goalie played well, but
doesn't mean the team around them. But we've done it
before on Puck Time. We have done it before where
we have a first period over and a full game
under opinion on the show, and you can still make
money with that.
Speaker 2: So I'm up for it, Karma, if you're up for it.
Speaker 3: Yeah, you know what I mean. I put out a
pod play on the first period over and the Islanders
and Penn's game, and they scored no goals, they hit
the goal post a couple of times across bar, and
then they scored like one hundred goals in the second
period on Tuesday nights. So those things are gonna or
a Monday whenever it was, those things are going to happen.
But we've seen it plenty of times. Goals scored in
the first period and then the game sort of settles
in and teams play a little different sort of lock
it down. This game has different meanings of both teams.
The Canes are in the playoffs, they know it, but
they also want that home ice right through to the
conference finals. So with the Sabers sort of hot on
their heels, but a tough one for them tonight in
Ottawa and Tampa Bay with at home off a loss
against Pittsburgh, you got to figure one of those two
teams has a good chance of winning and getting to
like one hundred points or maybe one hundred and two points.
So the Canes aren't taking any nights off. It's just
a matter of as you said, Andrew, sometimes the goaltenders
shock you, like they did yesterday with the Wedgewood and
Blackwood or whatever.
Speaker 2: It is just yeah, and I'll be either one. I
gave it during that game on the show, so you're
not going to win.
Speaker 3: The ball three seventy three was the XG created by
Vancouver in scoring seven goals on three point seventy three
of x G and then the eighth was into the
empty net for the hat trick. So with that said,
will we see a hat trick tonight in this game? Andrew?
It is as even as you can get price wise
without it being minus one ten both ways the Philadelphia
Flyers minus one fifteen at home, minus one oh five
for the Red Wings, and the total sits here at
five and a half shaded to the over twenty four cents. Andrew.
I keep saying it all the time, this feels like
a big game for the Red Wings. They really need
to win it. And then you come in and tell
me why they're not going to win, so do it.
Speaker 2: Well.
Speaker 1: It's so funny because the other yesterday on the show
with Brian, I said to him that I pretty much
bashed on Detroit all season long, and then towards the
end of the season, I finally just gave them some credit.
I said, you know what, maybe this team can do it.
And you'll remember, KRM. I did try and give them
credit because one of the main reasons was that I
didn't think that Ottawa was going to be able to
continue doing what they're doing. So I was like, Okay,
if the Red Wings can play okay hockey, they'll make
the playoffs. Well, carm this is what I brought up
yesterday to Brian, and I know you'll find this interesting.
This is the record for Detroit in the month of
March for the last handful of years, twenty twenty three,
twenty twenty four, twenty twenty five, and twenty twenty six.
It's like, you can't win your season, you can't make
the playoffs in you know, in March, but you certainly
can miss the playoffs in March. And I think that's
what we're seeing here with this Red Wings team. Look
at this record, this team is allergic to winning. When
the weather starts to get a little bit nicer outside here,
this is Philadelphia or pass for me, and I do
have a small lean towards the over because the only
thing is, if Dan Vladar is going for Philadelphia, he's
not been very good. I'll tell you something. It's it's
kind of been an absolute flip of a switch for
Philadelphia right now. Usually they get good goaltending and they've
got bad offense. Right now they're having good offense and
not so great goaltending. Looking at my analytics here, Philadelphia
has been one of the better teams as far as
their offensive numbers are concerned. But looking at the goals
against per game, dan Vladar three points sixty seven minus
one point six to one goals saved above expected per game.
Second worst goaltender out of the entire slate here for
today right now, Philadelphia goals expected goals against is pretty good,
but their goaltender has not been great. But goals four
three point five to two per game, you're gonna get
a desperate Detroit team.
Speaker 2: I get it.
Speaker 1: But Philadelphia is playing the better hockey. It's Philadelphia a
path for me at this point.
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, listen, I get it, Andrew, and Philadelphia sort
of has to leapfrog some teams, but you do that
by winning games. They both have eight games left. The
problem is the Flyers have twenty three regulation wins, so
they're going to have to finish at least a point
ahead of Detroit. If Detroit has that eight moves into
eighth spot. They're gonna have to because Detroit has twenty
eight regulation wins. Detroit's got eight games left, Andrew, So
let's just have a look at these eight games. I'm
gonna name the eight games for you. Four home, four weight,
So they're gonna play the Flyers twice. So they play
the Flyers tonight, and then they play the Flyers next
week on Thursday, I believe of next week at home
at Little Caesars. So they play the Flyers tonight, then
they're in New York to play the Rangers. They're back
home to play Minnesota and Columbus and Philadelphia and New
Jersey four games at home. That closes their home schedule
for this season, and then they head down to the
Sunshine State where they're going to play the Tampa Bay Lightning.
Who that game is going to be meaningful in some way.
That game is meaningful for Tampa Bay in the grand
scheme of things, whether it's the number one seed for
the Atlantic or number one seed overall in the Eastern Conference.
And then they get the Florida Panthers in the final game,
and Florida might be vacationing at that point in the
season for eight games Andrew six and two gets him
into the playoffs. Five and three puts them on the
cusp of making the playoffs. Four and four. I'm not
sure what do you think.
Speaker 1: With how good everybody else is playing around them? That's
the biggest question. Karm is like, who's going to fall off?
Every team is winning right now besides Detroit if you
think about it, I get it.
Speaker 3: In the eighth place, eighth place in the seventh and
eighth place in the Eastern Conference have basically been like airbnbs.
There's been someone occupying the space on different days of
the week. It is just with the way the schedule
is the you know, I was looking at the last
you know week of the NHL season or last two weeks,
and it ends on the sixteenth as the final day.
Next Friday, there are no games on the Friday but
every single day after that there are at least six games.
Most nights have ten games, and six big games on
the final day of the NHL season, which could determine
three or four playoff spots. It's this is I keep
saying it. I sound like a broken record. It is
an NHL season like no other. We don't know who's in,
we don't know who's out. Every day we want to
have a miss, make or miss segment, and we can't
take all these scenes to make it and all these
things to miss it. But yeah, that said, everything tells
me to bet the Philadelphia Flyers tonight. I'm gonna pull
at George Costanza. If everything you do is wrong, then
the opposite must be right. And I am going to
take the Detroit Red Wings tonight. And that's not because
I'm trying to get on anyone's good side in Wings
Nation or in Detroit at our home office and stuff.
But it is just one of those ones where it
looks like a great spot for Philadelphia because Detroit's defense
has not been good of late, and yet the line
is only minus one fifteen. It's just too fit for me.
Speaker 2: I get it.
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what though, I bet you, the average
fan doesn't realize how good Philadelphia is playing, so it
could be a fishy line in favor of Philadelphia. But
they probably are also expecting money to come in on
Detroit because people don't really think Philadelphia is that good,
even though they're playing very well right now.
Speaker 2: Look, Carl, I think no matter who wins this game.
Speaker 1: I think the over five and a half is the
play and I just don't see Detroit playing a low
scoring game right now. Philadelphia is playing their best offensive
hockey of the season. I never would have thought that
I'd say this, but again, the trouble for them has
been their defense and goaltending, but their strength has been
their offense. Philadelphia used to be the team I would
watch if I wanted to go to sleep. Not anymore.
This team Brian talked about yesterday will get his thoughts.
I mean, this team actually has some pop to them.
A little bit here, But these games are awesome regards
list because even if it's not the teams in the
same division, when it's teams going head to head and
both of them have something to fight for, it's super exciting.
Speaker 3: Yeah. No, listen, Andrew, I loved watching the Flyers. I
would use my press pass to get in when Sabers
and Flyers played in the playoffs, and I went to
the morning skate and I'm just sitting there eating a
bag of potato chips and watching these teams to skate around,
getting ready for that playoff game that night. And then
I just went on go to the bar with a
couple other guys, and then would come back and enjoy
the free food in the media room that they would
give you while watching my favorite Sabers play the broad
Street Bullies, and they had guys like Kenny Linsman, the
rat who got under your skin. I love these guys.
I grew up in a different age of NHL hockey,
and I still love I love that stuff. But with
that said, this guy grew up in the same Let's
bring him in. Let's ad him. He grew up in
the same era of NHL hockey. He remembers the Broad
Street Bullies, he remembers the French connection in Buffalo. Jilbert Perrout,
I don't remember anything. I'm an old man, all right.
Grandpa Simpson has entered the chat. There you go, my.
Speaker 5: Hat, get my hat on it. I remember back on
the way back for a Nickel. Okay, Brian, how are things?
First of all, before we get to your game, everything's
going well.
Speaker 4: It's not so well out here in the Vegas Valley
as everybody I talked to is freaking out about this
hockey team. They're not going to make the playoffs.
Speaker 3: It's over.
Speaker 4: What the hell's going They still have like an eighty
seven percent chance to make the playoffs. They've five of
their last seven games were against teams that are not
the playoff contention. Yes, Vegas will make the playoff. Do
they deserve it? Who knows at this point. But they're
lucky enough to be in a conference that only has
three good teams.
Speaker 1: Did you see la Brian? I saw a tweet today
somebody was talking about them. How many points they have
right now? They've got like twenty less points than some
teams in the Eastern Conference and they might make the
playoffs like they they I mean, I know I keep
talking about it, and you've talked about it. How you
know this year besides the top heavy teams, the East
is just better than the West. But it's hilarious to
see some of these teams that might squeak on in.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 4: I don't want to talk about LA they cost me
a sweep in the NHL Yesterday's I'll lose that game
in overtime with the underdog. But yeah, it's uh, we'll
see what the playoffs, what brings the playoffs. I think
we may be able to find some value in that regard.
But the problem is in the playoffs, the Western team
plays the Western teams, the Eastern teams plays the Eastern team.
So I want the Western teams when they play the
Eastern teams and you get good value. But unfortunately we're
going to get that pro while.
Speaker 3: Bry, I love the fact that you chose this game
because you know, I talked about the Vegas Golden Knights
and the fact that they had to play Vancouver twice.
They had to play the Edmonton Oders in Calgary in
between the two Vancouver games. Vancouver looked pretty good in
the first game, or Vegas looked the same as they
had before with the with Tortorella, who still doesn't know
all the players' names. I love this press conference after
the game. It was yeah, I relied on my staff.
I don't know the nicknames for these guys. We'll get
it going at some point. Imagine being on the bench Andrew,
and it's like, Okay, Marner, Hey there's Maurner. Okay, get
in there, Mitchie. But with that said, I hate to
use the word must win, but you know, Veiggas Golden
Knights are seventh on eighty two points, having played seventy
five games, so only seven left for them. Calgary, the
long state's been done, seventy points, seventy four games, fourteenth,
third worst team in the Western Conference. How are you
playing this game?
Speaker 4: I am looking at it a little bit differently Vegas
in that game the other day, I guess Vancouver they
win by two, but they had to score an open
that goal. At the end, Vegas is not a good
five on five team. For five on five I think
Calgary is just as good as Vegas is. The deal
that Vegas has in this game is much better power play,
much better defending on the power play. If Calgary could
go through this game without putting Vegas in an advantage,
Calgary cou win this game. Even though they've only won
ten ten regulation, ten wins on the road all season long.
This Calgary Flames, I'm not giving up on them. If
you take a look at the situation right here, last
time they were out. They went to Colorado, got crushed
nine to two. They gave up nine runs on the road.
I would expect the defense to play a lot better here.
We've also have we just had a recent trade between
key defensive players Rasmus Anderson coming over to Vegas and
white Cloud going over to Calgary. White Cloud's returning home
and with a lot of clubs they have that, you know,
the big tribute before the game starts, and white Cloud,
as I've mentioned before, huge fans favorite, all the players
on the team loved him. I expect because of that,
the Calgary's defense is coming to play a little bit tonight.
And you take a look at the schedule. They played
Vegas here, then they gotta go on the road and
play Anaheim, go on the road and play Dallas, go
on the road to play the Colorado Rivalanche. All three
of those teams are better in Vegas is right now,
and so I'm looking to find a way to play
the Calgary front claims looking at Vegas their situation. They
are just coming off that win over Vancouver. Up next
is the Edmonton Oilers. That's the big rivalry for Vegas
in this division. Ed Mitchonanol over them, skid ray past
them the last time they played. They've got a definite
disadvantage when they played the Edmonton Oilers because they're a
much faster team. Vegas is an old team. Vegas does
not have the ability to go out there and outskate
the opposition when you I believe they're the second oldest
team in the NHL and the In regards to the
coaching change, I think it was probably the right thing
to do. They weren't going anywhere. The players are come
out and said they were stuck, and you know, they
just didn't have the the the ability to just get
turned it back on again. Hopefully they do with the
new coach, but it didn't show in the first game back.
Speaker 1: No.
Speaker 4: Granted, he's had a couple of days off to be
able to do that, but he gave him yesterday off,
so they've only really had one practice and the only
thing he has done is switched up the lines that
they're that they're playing in. So I'm not really confident.
Speaker 3: With Vegas right now.
Speaker 4: And there's no way in hell I'm laying this number
with Vegas, especially a team who consistently is outscored in
the first period. If you want to play Vegas on
the game on the game line, wait till they fall
behind in the first period. Then you don't have the
way this released. This is such a big favorite. I
just don't have a lot of confidence in Vegas right now,
and a lot of people talking about them not making
their playoffs. Think I still got an eighty seven percent
chance to make the playoffs. They could possibly lose every
game from here on out and still make the playoffs.
They are not going to have home advantage. They are
not going to be one of the better teams. They're
a veteran team that figures if they can make the playoffs.
It's a brand new ball game. Maybe it is, but
I just don't expect Vegas to just get on a
really hot streak here in the season. All the things
that Dave Cocain has said in the past about when
there's a coaching change, you want to ride that team.
I love the thought process, but I'm closer to this
team than any other team that I follow. I just
don't see it here with Vegas. I think they basically
just play off the system the rest of the season.
The wins aren't as important as what the public would
think that they would be I'm looking to play Calgary.
I don't want Calgary, a team that's only won ten
games on the road all season. I want Calgary plus
the one and a half you're laying, like one twenty.
The total in this game is six because of the
defenses in this game, after giving up nine in the
last game, coming in with the two two big defensive
players in this game, with the way I believe the
game is going to be played, I think it's going
to be a low scoring game. I either played the
under or I take Calgary plus the one and a
half in minus one twenty. Neither one will make my
card today, As was much in many times, this is
a great card out there right now. I've got four
players right now. I just didn't find out how to
grade them. But if I'm involved in this game, it's
either going to be the under or Calgary plus one
and a half at the short number of one twenty.
Speaker 3: I like it. Brian. It's a great breakdown, you know,
and you talked about Vegas schedule. I think if they
lose out their last seven games, I say they won't
make the playoffs. But then the teams behind them are
either failing to pick up points or beating themselves up.
So we have, you know, I mean like we have
the issue of you look at here's the games for Vegas, Brian,
and you tell me that the game tonight against the
Calgary Flames. Then they are in Edmonton, they are in Vancouver,
and then this stretch in which they play the Seattle
Kraken in Seattle, in Colorado, the Winnipeg Jets, who are
still vying for a playoff spot, and then they finished
with the Seattle Cracking so they played the Cracking twice.
Kracking have lost six or seven. They're not doing themselves
any favors, but the Seattle Crackingers still right there. As
far as standings go. The Krackinger are sitting on seventy
five points, seven back of Vegas. So those they would
have to sweep Vegas in those games, seven games. If
they go to and five, they make the playoffs. Is
that what you're thinking?
Speaker 4: I think they. I think if they lose at Seattle,
if they'll win that last game at home, then in
the Vancouver game, again is much closer than what the
final score was going to Vancouver. Obviously, the problem you
were going to run into is if Seattle's out by
then the game won't mean as much for Seattle, but
to be honest with you, that's going to have an
effect on the line. I would much rather play a
Seattle of Vancouver, a winnipe or whatever when they're out
of the playoffs as opposed to being in the playoff race,
because these are teams that are not not very good,
and I don't want a bad team and a must
win situation. Uh So we saw that yesterday with Vancouver
going into Colorado, and I spoke about that on the
show yesterday. Colorado's basically locked up what they're what they've
got going in. They got an eight point they had
any point lead over Dallas. There really was no reason
for them to come out and play anything but upon
hockey game in Vancouver took advantage of that. And you know,
if you played Vancouver over minus the one and a half,
I believe they played seven to one in that game.
So these things happen at the end of a hockey season.
Teams are just they've got the plans made for either
the offseason or they just they don't want to get hurt,
and they got the playoff situation, so you got to
keep You've got to keep an eye on things like
that in the last couple of weeks of the season,
which you probably didn't have to worry about earlier in
the year.
Speaker 1: Well, and Ralph has given us the charts before. And
I always think back to the Maple Leafs against the
Arizona Coyotes. If you played the Coyotes and the money
line when they were plus three hundred or plus you know,
two hundred whatever, it was just faving the big favorites
in the NHL because of the variants, as you mentioned, Brian,
because you don't have to win every bet. You have
to win a low percentage of these bets to actually
make money in the long term. The only thing is
you have to commit to playing those quite a bit.
But to your point, it seemed like that game meant
a hell of a lot more to Vancouver than it
really did to Colorado. They're practicing bad habits, is what
they're doing right now, just now, looking great, Brian, I
want to give you a chance to promote anything you want,
but this great, special, great looking graphic here one ninety
nine full Stanley Cup playoffs, which I'll remind you guys,
it's not short. It's pretty long. Playoffs could be some
deep series as well, plus the remainder of the regular season.
So the FA you guys grab this the quicker, you're
going to get more and more plays from Brian. And
it sounds like, Brian, you got a pretty good card
going tonight. Tell us what you have on tap.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it looks like I'm going to have four plays.
I haven't put them up yet. I did the Baseball
Show earlier, so I've been pretty busy. But I like
this card a lot better than just about any card
we've seen in a while. And when you talk about
the playoffs, and I mentioned this yesterday, even in the
NBA playoffs, to me, if you're paying attention to what's
going on, the best time to play the NBA or
hockey is in the playoffs because these these sports you
find out in once you get to the playoffs, the NBA guys,
everybody's playing, you know who's going to play. You're looking
at hockey and you're at that point where hockey is
a game very much like baseball. And you mentioned the
Dodgers game yesterday. Who would have wanted to go against
the Dodgers yesterday? You find that a lot And so
in the hockey playoffs. If you watch the games, like
we both we all know, we all like to watch hockey,
the hockey playoffs, you can find things you go, well,
you look at the expected goals, you look at the
expected chances and all that other stuff. That team didn't win,
but they were the better team on the ice. And
as opposed to the regular season where that happens and
you've got to wait maybe a month to these teams
play each other again, they're playing against the very next game.
So that is something I love to play in hockey.
The team that should have won the game, that did
not win the game, and they're playing them again the
very next day. The team that wins is thinking, hey,
we've got the victory. We don't have to change anything.
And that's the kind of team we want to go against.
Speaker 3: Love it, Brian absolutely great. So guys, take advantage of
that promo. For Brian, I'm not going to use the
words that I don't normally say. He will rate his
plays right after this show, and then you can find
him on his page. And if you just want to
jump on that deal, you can grab that deal and
you get all of Today's and everything right through to
the Stanley Cup Final Game seven, where the Sabers beat
the Colorado Avalanche. So with that said, but that sounds
it's it's it's it could happen. Sabers can make it
to the Stanley Cup.
Speaker 4: And do you really think they will? They've got no
playoff experience and that's you know, in the NBA, in
the NHL, having no playoff experience definitely hurts.
Speaker 3: But they bribe just before, just before I let you go, Andrews.
Andrew's very quiet as a Montreal fan. You know what
he's been doing. Like all the Montreal fans, they're like
the guy who hides in the bushes and waits for
the opportunity to pounds. And that's what he's doing right now.
He's ten and zero. The Montreal Canadians are playing phenomenal
hockey with two very good goalies, rookie goalies, and they're
looking at the number two seed in the Atlantic, and
they're looking at the number one seed uh in the
in the Atlantic and thinking, hey, we're gonna leave frog
over these two teams and take over that number one
seed and have whole ice up until the conference finals.
So look at him, Look how quiet he is.
Speaker 1: I never would have got it, but the first place
position is still up for grabs. Detroit had it for
a while, they might miss the playoffs then, but Tampa
Bay had it for a while, then Buffalo had it
for a while, then Tampa Bay again, and then montrealogists
cannot stop losing.
Speaker 2: And I know we don't have them set to talk.
Speaker 1: About here today, guys, but I'll throw this out there
as a Canadians fan, if I take my hat off
and put my handicappers hat on, I don't think it's
a great spot for them.
Speaker 2: It's not. It's not a good spot.
Speaker 1: But if they can win tonight, this team will have
rattled off seventh straight. Carm I tweeted out the other day,
how about those Canadians dot dot dot, And that's all
I've got. That's all a little bit, a little bit
of how about those habs because and I'll say one thing,
and Brian, before it gets you out of here, you
said this two years ago, unpucked time, which I can't
argue with, which is there's value on fading the home
team and the playoffs because there's more added value or
price on them. And I get it with the with
the with the home ice advantage with the last change,
with all that stuff, But I'll tell you one thing. Anybody,
and I honestly think even most Maple LEAFUE fans will
agree at this point, the Bell Center is the best
arena in the league. And if you give them home
ice advantage, I'm telling you that makes the world of
a difference. Because they went down two against the Capitols
last year in the first round, they came home and
they won. They scored like five or six goals in
Game three. I'm telling you, if this team can secure
home ice, it makes me more comfortable. Playing Tampa or
Buffalo is scary as hell, but if they can secure
home ice, it does help me feel a bit better.
Speaker 2: Brian.
Speaker 1: And there's only some teams that I care about home
ice for, and CAROLINEA is one of them. They always
have home ice. But there's some teams that I just
couldn't care less about it.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's funny you mentioned that your team is in
the playoff. Chase Carmines team isn't a playoff chain. This
is the first time since I've been on the show
knock on Wood. Our favorite teams may all be in
the playoffs this year.
Speaker 3: Yes, Yeah, and the guy who's not on the show.
His team's not in the playoffs. See there's a correlation
here where on the show your team is going to
make the playoffs. That's it. It's all I gotta say, Brian,
Thanks man, I appreciate you. You're gonna be doing double
duty starting next Thursday. You'll do Thursday of next week
and then all four days Monday to Thursday the following
week to end the NHL season. You and Andrew, and
we'll toss in good old Don Julio Busters for some
guest appearance as well too. Before he heads north of
the border. He really wants to see us. He's gonna
have to bring some of those Mexican pesos in some
tequila if he wants to hang out with us.
Speaker 4: All I got to say is, Andrew, I can't wait
till I get to the point that pres and Carminor
in where you just take vacations any time you want
and somebody fills in for you.
Speaker 2: Yes, what a life?
Speaker 4: What alive?
Speaker 3: It's listen it is. I look at it this way.
When you're married, there's U and you. You take trips
to go to baseball games, soccer games or whatever. There's
one time a year where for your wife's mental health,
you let her pick the trip and she chose Turks
and Caicos. And that's where we're going for seven days.
I have a friend who lives there. He's gonna take
me golfing, and he says to me, and I'm going
to let you go quickly. But get this is what
he said to me. Goes, I'm a member at a club.
He goes, it's like two hundred and fifty dollars US
for around the golf. He goes, it's a one sixty
if I bring you because I'm a member, I'm like
one sixty perfect. It's like a dollars shot the way
I play golf. So that's pretty much it. That's right.
Speaker 2: I feel the same way.
Speaker 1: Look, I'm going away, and the funny thing is for us,
there's no in my opinion, the money to be made
in the NHL is in the first round. I'm actually
going away this year and during the second round.
Speaker 2: Uh. But the best part is with the job that
we all have.
Speaker 1: I'm going away with my in laws and I just
get to say, oh no, I'm working.
Speaker 2: I'm working. I'm just watching hockey.
Speaker 1: And they're like, don't bother Andrew right now, he's working,
and they're like, I'm not even actually going over numbers
or doing my right ups. It's gonna be a what
is it, carm five hour time difference four hours, So
I'm gonna be just watching the Habs play at like
midnight local time, and don't worry about Andrew. He's just working,
you know, Okay, sure, yeah, just watching some games. So Brian,
good luck with baseball this weekend, big card today in
the NHL.
Speaker 2: We'll talk to you next time. Brother.
Speaker 1: Everybody car a lot of fun so far today on
the show Man and say it's a massive, massive slate.
A lot of great comments here from all of you guys, Rich, Lorenzo,
TJ as always, Titan CT as always, you know, Steve
and all of you guys in here. So if you're new,
hit the like button for us. It really does help
out the show. I never wanted to be one of
those YouTube guys that's saying, smash that like button, do
all this and that, but I promise you guys, it
reflects well on Carmine and I. If you guys can
get the likes up preferably, we need at least two
hundred likes. I think that's easy to ask from you guys,
so hopefully we can get that out of you.
Speaker 3: No need to smash it, just lightly top it. It
works the same way. It's all good. We don't need
you to the keys on your on your laptop flying
up in the air and stuff like that. Andrew Ellie
Kings second of it. Back to back here for them
after a big win last night. I just won twenty.
You got the Nashville Predators plus one zh five. This
is where we stand right now. The Kings are in
a playoff spot on seventy eight points with having played
seventy four games, same amount of games for Nashville seventy four,
so they got eight left. They're a point back of
the Kings but in tenth place. So it's one of
those ones where a three point game kind of helps
out both these teams. Probably if Nashville picks up the win,
move to seventy nine points, move a little bit closer,
they'd be tied with the Kings but behind them on
regulation wins. I believe would you take a draw in
this game? How would you play this one?
Speaker 1: I like where your eyes are with that, I get it.
Everything matters like I said, like, yeah, they're right there,
They're right there. Well, like I said to Brian, it's
kind of an embarrassing when you look at it here,
guys that this team barely has that many points on
the season, but just the way the divisions work way
everything is lining up in the West, they might be
a playoff team, which is just absolutely wild to look at.
When I go through my numbers here and I take
a look at this LA Kings team. They may have
fallen just a little bit when it comes to their
defensive ability, you know, just relying on a handful of
players to hopefully step up and create some plays. But
I'm not overly impressed with their offensive ability or excuse me,
their defensive ability.
Speaker 2: And when you look.
Speaker 1: At every point mattering karm it kind of does correlay
with unders. But when I look at the expected goals
four against or shots on goal against for this team,
I mean Nashville is what one, two, three, four five,
they're like bottom seven or eight, Like they're giving up
all kinds of chances. LA themselves is giving up chances.
Their offense has had to show up as well. And
the game that they're coming off of, when I look
at the shot counts in that game. It's not exactly
indicative to how the game overly played out.
Speaker 2: I think that you look at one game to the next.
Speaker 1: If I always said this this season, second half of
back to back does not always mean over. We're coming
off at two to one game. I think this game
could go over the total. Nashville has found their offense
a little bit. There's been some guys contributing for that
lineup for that team. Yes, we saw a draw yesterday.
We very well could see a draw here again today.
But Karm, doesn't it seem a bit light that we're
getting a five and a half on a second half
of a back to back here.
Speaker 2: That's very intriguing to me.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's a difficult one sometimes, Andrew, because you know,
I'll look at like short runs for teams, because sometimes
you can get on team on you know that has
sort of good numbers as far as like totals do
with the home and away splits. But this is this
is one where we have like conflicting numbers. Like even
though Nashville can't scoring is scores goals their last ten
games on the road, they're two seven and one to
the over seven games have gone under the total with
a push and then the La Kings, a team who
doesn't score a lot of goals, are six three and
one at home their last ten to the over. So
it is one of those audities you would think those
numbers would be reversed. It would be the La Kings
with a negative ROI betting their overs and a positive
ROI on Nashville. But it is the complete reversal here.
But I still do see this as a game in
which I think we're going to see some goals. I'm
not saying this is going to be a five to
four game, but four to two gets us over the
finish line as well too. Three to two with an
empty netter as well too. You never want to wait
for the empty edit, but sometimes you need it. So
you know, with that said, that could very well happen tonight.
I'm not sure other Kings are going to perform on
the second of a back to back. You have a
arrested Bread's team who have some speed, who have some
some bigger bodies on their team, and if they try
and turn this into a bit more of a physical game,
they might very well wear down this Elie Kings team.
So saying they're a live dog at only plus one
oh five doesn't seem right. But they seem like the
side I want to take tonight in this game.
Speaker 2: I don't blame you whatsoever. I do not blame you whatsoever.
Speaker 1: And Brian talked about sometimes we have teams that step
up late in the season even if they might not
make the playoffs. Don't you get that feeling with the
Nashville Predators, with with the veteran players.
Speaker 2: They have the older guys on that team, karm.
Speaker 1: They're playing with pride, they're playing with some self respect
here where we're going to try and go out on
a good note at least this season.
Speaker 2: That's kind of the vibe I'm getting right now with Nashville.
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, Listen, they had the opportunity at the trade
deadline to get rid of some guys. You know, they
did move some, but guys like Stamkostas stayed and you
know the team is still they're performing there there, they're
points from a playoff spot. Win tonight in regulation and
you leap frog over the LA Kings. So they're there,
you know what I mean, all you can ask for
is to have a chance. It's kind of like the
dumb and dumber. So you're saying, we got a chance.
So and that's what they're saying. Speaking of chances, chances
are you're gonna give us a winner with some player props.
So what do you got for us?
Speaker 1: Yeah, before we get to the player props segment, I
got to shout out Pocket Surprise here because I hope
the Bruins are being covered today. Put Time is not
good about showing the Bruins love. Come on, guys, I
did tune in ten minutes late and I did give
out the Jason Robertson power play point against the Bruins
the last time that they played. Today they're playing against
the Florida Panthers, and look, we got to just say this.
The Florida Panthers karm are doing what the Maple Leafs
should be doing. They have shut down every single player.
Mar Shawn and all those guys have been completely shut down.
So I'll tell you what right now, Pocket Surprise, there's
no defense right now for Florida. Every game is going over.
I would probably look for a high scoring game. This
Bruins team is scoring maybe a team total. But we're
not trying to show no love.
Speaker 2: To them. I won't speak for Carmine. For me.
Speaker 1: I'm having a tough time handicapping Bruins games, which is
why I'm not talking about them very much.
Speaker 2: But let you go ahead, carm go ahead.
Speaker 3: I will go out on a limb and say that
the Boston Bruins will be on my six and sixty
for Saturday, which you guys will get on tomorrow's show.
So last Saturday six and sixty was the first losing
sixty sixty in like almost six weeks. I believe it
went like two and four after like a five and one,
five and one and four and two and five and
one run so some great runs. Last week was garbage.
We'll get it back. I am guaranteed six and oh
if you hit that like button, if you don't hit
the like button, five and one, if you hit the
if you don't comment and four and two, you guys
determine how the six and sixty is gonna do by
that like button and stuff. Andrew singing, All.
Speaker 1: Right, we gotta wrap it up here, guys, real quick.
This is the play of the day. Here with player props,
we hit the power play point as I just mentioned
with Jason robertson plus one fifty.
Speaker 2: I believe it was or plus one forty.
Speaker 1: Today, we got a great one for you, Matt Boldy
from the Minnesota Wild, to record a power play point.
Forget about laying that insanely expensive number on him to
record a regular point when you can get the power
play point.
Speaker 2: We have a top five power.
Speaker 1: Play in the league against a bottom five penalty kill
in the league. This is just a fantastic matchup here.
You've got Minnesota, You've got Vancouver. Vancouver look coming off
that high against Colorado. I do not think they're gonna
be able to get it done today. But that line
is so pricey on the game, you gotta go the
player prop route. Put it this way, Quinn Hughes to
get a power play point, guys, is only plus one ten.
This is the play to look at, Matt Boldy plus
one point fifty power play point. I'll just mention once again, guys,
that fantastic deal one ninety nine Stanley Cup playoffs, rest
of the regular season ten to zero. Number eleven goes tonight.
For me, I think I have one baseball play. It's
a small three games slate. One baseball play for today.
One NHL play for today. Let's keep it going over
to Carmine for what he has and guys, best of
luck today. It's gonna be a great, great day in
the NHL.
Speaker 3: Yep, Andrew International breaks over, so I'm gonna have some
huge cards of soccer on Saturday and Sunday, both in
Europe and here in North America. With the MLS three
plays up for me in the NHL tonight. You can
get those over at wt dot Buzz Backslash CB or
take advantage of that deal and you get every play
from now through the end of the NHL season and
then the Cup to Cup special which is good until
Friday at midnight, I believe. And that's all the NHL
through the Stanley Cup and all World Cup plays as
well too. Now my pod play, I had to come
up with a new graphic on this one, Andrew, so
because after what the Ottawa Senators did to me in
the last one, I feel like I'm sinking the pod play.
We need a winner there. It is thank you to
my good friends at chat GPT for that one there.
The pod play is going to be the Tampa Bay
Lightning in regulation tonight. They're coming off a loss to
the Montreal Canadians at home Tampa. Their last fourteen games.
You look at in March and they have gone eight
and six across those fourteen games, five and one in
the next game after a loss. Those five wins all
in regulation. I am taking them to win in regulation
here plus one ten the Tampa Bay Lightning to get
the win against the Pittsburgh Penguins. That is your pod play.
All right there, you see the deal, guys. We appreciate
you guys all tuning in. We're gonna see you again
on Friday. We'll discuss a couple of games. We'll have
like saying gay parlay the six and sixty segment and
we hope to see you guys there. And I'll have
some news on the Splash Sports Survivor NHL contest that
we are putting together for myself, Andrew Quitnis and Brian Leonard.
This is part time. We will see you on Friday.