Speaker 1: NHL Best Bets for Wednesday, January twenty first, Welcome to
Puck Time on wager Talk TV.
Speaker 2: Andrew Carmine, Press and Buster.
Speaker 1: It's a loaded show here today, looking forward to breaking
down a handful of games. We've got sides, totals, props,
same game parlays, Plays of the day, and a lot
of great promotional stuff as well as a lot of us.
Speaker 2: Are running extremely hot.
Speaker 1: And I will just throw out there, guys, we went
two and oh yesterday, so tonight we are now going
for seven in a row on the ice in the NHL.
Nice little six and h run for us. You know
yesterday the fact that you know we were able to
select that first period over both teams coming off shutouts,
Winnipeg and Saint Louis. We get that done, and then
Dallas takes it, takes it to Boston and they get
the job done, putting up I think six goals.
Speaker 2: So happy to have a two and oh night.
Speaker 1: Shout out to all of you guys that got the
five dollars Tuesday play.
Speaker 2: But that's in the past.
Speaker 1: We move on to today and Carl, you're doing well,
not just in hockey, but on the pitch as well.
Speaker 2: Man good morning to you.
Speaker 3: And no morning well two and two day. Yesterday in
Champions League, one of them got mushed right away, a
red card at the beginning of the game, first ten minutes.
It pretty much kills your team. It's like NHL. Imagine
playing five on four for the full sixty minutes and
you're the team with four, You're gonna get beaten up.
But with that said, the totals came in. Have another
one going today in Champions League. I'm going out to
watch some Champions League with a friend of mine who's
Portuguese and he's a Benfica fan, and they play Juventus,
and you guys know, I'm a Juventus fan. And then
yesterday NHL man boom boom, boom out of the gate
Ottawa and Columbus three goals in the first ten minutes
of that game, and then they went to sleep in
That game finished four to one. It was a score
to second period. Andrew I knew I was dead and
mushed on that one. But at least some of the
show plays won small consolation. The New Jersey Devil's get
the upset win in Edmonton. The game goes under the
total and the pod play with the Tampa Bay Lightning
minus one and a half get there. So at least
those of you that at least take some of those
plays had a good day. We'll have another pod play
at the end of the show. Action pack. Today, Andrew
Lawrence is gonna come in. He's going to do Washington
and Vancouver. I gave him a different game today because
it's just like a merry go round of listening to him,
to him talk about the Toronto maple leafs. You and
I are going to break down the leafs a little
later Pittsburgh and Calgary. Don Buster comes in from his
avocado job in Mexico and Mexico to talk about that one,
and then we're going to finish it off with the
Islanders in Kraken or somewhere in between. We're going to
fit in the Islanders and the Seattle Cracking same game,
Parlay pod. Let's get going pres three days in a row. Man,
it is it is like it's like having an itch
you can't get rid of. Man, it is a rash.
Speaker 4: I'm a rash, Okay, So I'm going to talk about
the leafs anyway, even though you're not letting me, because
I like the over in that game, and I'm going
to tell you why in a second, But firstly, shout
out to all the people who bought my play yesterday.
I begged, I pleaded, I insisted, I implored. Winnipeg Jets
baby Boom cashed it. Oh yeah, Carve, I cannot believe
my record in big NHL money line bets. I'm so excited. Anyway,
what game do you want me to break down? I
will do it right now, right here.
Speaker 3: Well, you're doing Washington Vancouver. You know who I assigned
to you as the host of the show. I assigned
you a game, and I expect you to have some
details on the game and some stats on the game.
Speaker 4: So before we get into that, I really like the
over in the leaf Detroit game. I've been playing the
under a lot in the past. I have moved to
the over and it has been winning. And the bottom
line here is a Detroit is scoring. They put up
eight in their last two and the Leafs can't seem
to keep the puck out of their damn netcard. I mean,
it's ridiculous. They've allowed six goals six goals three times
in their last four games. I mean, why are we
overthinking this? They can't seem to play defense, and even
without Kneelander, they're putting up goals three four five in
their last three. Take the over in that game. Now
we move to Vancouver, and I really like the under here, guys.
You know, and I'll tell you flat out, if Washington
did not come into this game losing three straight, I
would be all over Vancouver in regulation. Now, I understand
Vancouver has lost like I think, six hundred and twelve
games in a row, but their metrics are suggesting that
they are going to win a game. They played well
against the New York Islanders and they were finally able
to get some goals. They put up three against the Islanders,
lost by one. The Vancouver Canucks are about to win
a hockey game.
Speaker 5: I would put.
Speaker 4: A small wager on the Canucks to night in regulation,
which is a round plus two hundred. As far as
the actual bet that I like the most, it's the
under in this game. And I'll get to break this down.
We had three goals, as I said, by Vancouver last game,
excellent stuff. Before that, it was zero goals, one goal,
one goal, three zero one. So I mean this team
is regularly scoring one or less goals. And the Washington.
The Washington Capitals, They've only scored two goals in each
of their last three games. They have not scored more
than three goals in five games, so I know they're
allowing goals.
Speaker 3: They led in.
Speaker 4: Five to five and five last three, but Vancouver can't score.
So we have a Washington team that is struggling to
keep the puck out of the net, but Vancouver is
struggling to put the puck in the net.
Speaker 5: We have a Vancouver team.
Speaker 4: That is struggling to keep the puck out of the net,
but Washington is struggling to put it in the net.
Six and a half. I think this game is gonna
go way under that.
Speaker 2: I really like the underhair, guys, I like it a lot.
Speaker 3: Okay, I'm gonna bum pull one of yours. All I
heard was blah blah blah blah blah. But or run
out of the eyes here, I think. I think Vancouver,
there's just too much going wrong with this team right
now to want to put any money on him, including regulation.
But you are in a great role, so who knows,
Maybe Vancouver picks up some of that some of that
positivity you have and turns it into a win. I
just think. I just think Washington's a better team than Vancouver.
Vancouver is struggling right now. They're hangs with their goaltending,
they're trading away players that they're They're a team that
looks like they want to be a number one draft
pick and get McKenna on that team. You still have
to win the draft lottery. But with that said, I
get where you're coming from.
Speaker 4: I like carm I believe the Washington is a better
team than Vancouver too. I believe that everything is going
wrong in Vancouver as well. I believe thereafter McKenna also,
But I also know teams don't lose twenty games in
a row. And I watched the New York Islanders game
and I saw them cheer when they scored, and I
saw the excitement in Elius Patterson when he.
Speaker 5: Scored that goal.
Speaker 4: So there's passion there, there's e motion there. They are trying.
They are going to win hockey games. So I agree
with everything you said, but this team is still going
to win some games a lot along the way. Washington
is no excellent team themselves. But when all said and done,
I don't give a shit who wins that game. I
just wanted to go under.
Speaker 1: Well, here's what I wonder is how crazy are the
price is going to get eventually going against Vancouver, I.
Speaker 2: Mean season?
Speaker 1: And I respect that because you know what if if
they're going to snap out of this rutt, it's probably
not going to be with them scoring six goals. We're
probably going to be with a good defensive effort. But
just from an outside perspective, you know, obviously the name
of the game, we always say, is to get a
price that's no longer going to be there, whether it
comes to futures are betting against certain teams?
Speaker 2: Do you guys think up or down? Units wise?
Speaker 1: You could make money fading this Canucks team the rest
of the season, or the prices will eventually get too crazy.
Speaker 2: It'll be in La.
Speaker 1: Dodger territory where you know, anytime you want to fade them,
you know it's going to be minus four hundred or
three hundred.
Speaker 3: I will I will go as far as this Andrew
starting from today, okay, I will create an Excel sheet database,
whatever you call it, and mark down the price of
every team that plays Vancouver in regulation not full game
line in regulation, because this is a team that if
you're gonna lose. They're gonna lose in sixty minutes. They're
gonna lose in sixty minutes. It's a better price, and
let's see what happens, Prez. At the end. It's a
little different because I'm throwing the loop of regulation in there, Prez.
But if on average a team is minus one fifty,
minus one sixty against the Vancouver Canucks in regulation long term,
do you think that they lose that? Do you think
you make money betting against the Canucks.
Speaker 4: I'm not playing your regulation game.
Speaker 2: I believe that if you.
Speaker 4: Bet the other team on the money line over an
entire game, including overtime, I believe that if you bet
against the Canucks on the money line from now till
the end of the year, you will lose money. And
my reasoning for that, Andrew, is not about how bad
they are. It's not about what the juice will be.
It's about the fact that we missed twelve losses in
a row or ten losses in a row. So because
we've already missed what will likely be their biggest slump
of the entire year, I'm not I think it would
be a losing bet.
Speaker 3: No, I don't well, I don't agree with you. I
don't agree with your press.
Speaker 2: That's okay.
Speaker 3: Car You go to the train station, you go to
you go to the airport, you miss your flight, you
miss your train. What do you do? You wait for
the next one. And that's what it is with the
Vancouver Canucks.
Speaker 4: You're going neither you or I are going to make
these bets. So I'm totally being wrong.
Speaker 2: I guess.
Speaker 1: I guess my whole point was was and I get
what you're saying with that press. My whole point was
more so that if if these two teams played again
on March thirty five, first, what what are the numb
what's the number?
Speaker 2: And is it much worse than that?
Speaker 4: Because I think Washington could be worse. So okay, I don't.
Speaker 1: Know, Okay, that was just my point maybe anyways, Like
like if you look at baseball, another money line sport, right,
sometimes like there's like the obviously it's you can make
money with underdogs, but I also think that there's a
lot of like trying to reinvent the wheel when it
comes to handicapping that sport, Like if you find hot
like all of us were cheering on the Blue Jays
as a handicapper at wager Talk.
Speaker 2: I had a pretty decent MLB year.
Speaker 1: I wasn't happy about not releasing the Blue Jays enough, right,
And you look at it, you look at it, you
look at it, you're thinking, okay, and then you look
at certain teams that weren't good last year.
Speaker 2: You could have faded them more.
Speaker 1: But anyway, I just think that some of these teams
that are going to start to tank, it would be
time to fade them.
Speaker 2: But anyway, Press.
Speaker 3: Andrew, that's it. Let's let's see what he's got to promote.
I'm not going to argue with pres anymore.
Speaker 5: Man.
Speaker 3: The last time the Least want a cup, rainbows were
black and white. So with that said, time you got
the promotion.
Speaker 4: Last time the Buffalo Sabers won a cup, it was
a cup of water. Okay, The Leafs are the second
most winningest franchise in NHL history. What does he have
going tonight? Well, guys, again, I want to thank you
for buying my play yesterday. I came on you and
I really laid it on Thick. I came on to
wager talk today as well. I laid it on Thick.
I begged you and I pleaded with you to buy
my play. And I told you guys that not all
plays are created equal. And here we go again. I
have a five percent NHL money line bet tonight. I
want to give you perspective. I have not lost one
of these plays in two years, two full NHL seasons,
and I am perfect on these plays. I'm on an
eighteen and five run on these plays. I am forty
one and sixteen over one hundred units since the twenty
twenty season. These are all facts, like I'm not coming
on here and making this shit up.
Speaker 5: This is facts.
Speaker 4: Seven and oh, run twelve, eighteen and five run forty
one and sixteen, run twenty two and eight in the
last five years. I really appreciate you guys grabbing that
play last night. It's let's do it again. Let's roll
it back. We won last night easily. We're gonna win tonight.
Let's do it again.
Speaker 5: Guys.
Speaker 4: Thank you for having me on. All of you people
who watch the show, make sure to like, subscribe and comment.
Those comments are hugely important. I see that you have
Don Pablo coming on next with his Mexican blanket behind him.
Send him my love, Take care of yourself, everybody, all right,
See you later.
Speaker 3: Good best of luck with your play, Pres, Andrew.
Speaker 5: Andrew where.
Speaker 4: I was going to add the guy to the damn
sneak on later?
Speaker 5: Everyone?
Speaker 2: Good luck. Man.
Speaker 3: I gotta catch yo, dude, I gotta catch my breath.
I don't know, man, I feel like I just watched
like a sham Wow or slap Chop Inflement at two
o'clock in the morning. I'm gonna order a sham Wow
and a slap Chop. You pay additional you only pay
additional shipping for the second one.
Speaker 2: But would you rather be karm are you?
Speaker 1: Are you Bobrovski or are you nidlkovich Uh in the Goldenbroski?
Speaker 3: Because I will go over to PRES's place and beat
him up. So that's how it is. I'm Bobrovski, man,
I'm the Silent Assassin, is what I am? Andrew Andrew.
Before we bring don Buster on, I need to like
really collect my thoughts. So why don't we talk about
the New York Islanders in the Seattle Kraken in the
this one, Andrew, I'm going to be the contrarian here
and then I'm going to throw it to you and
you give me your thoughts on this one. The total
right now is at five and a half in this game,
and it's juice to the over. I want to be
the contrarian and say that a lot of people love
taking those five and a halfs and taking overs. I
want to take the under in this game, and it's
mainly because I think the only way Seattle can get
back into the win column or be in the game
right now is to play better defensively. They're goaltending that
was there in late December and early January just isn't
there right now. This team looked flat and losing to
six three or six to two. It was in their
first game back after a five game road trip to
the Pittsburgh Penguins. And now they got the Islanders coming
in and Sorocan is playing absolutely phenomenal. But you look
at these numbers. Islanders a profitable fourteen nine and two
to the under on the road, the Kraken sixteen to
seven and oh to the under at home. Numbers are
in my favor. If I want to play contrarian and
say that this stays under five and a half as
opposed to where the books are trying to get you
to go with the five and a half pushing the
over at twenty or twenty five cent juice or big
So I'm I'm the contrarian. I'm going under in this game.
What are your thoughts?
Speaker 1: I don't blame you for that under karma. It kind
of labels as a low event hockey game. Just looking
at some of the websites that I've been using lately,
I mean, everything kind of tells us its going to
be kind of that grinded out game where not many
chances are created. But there's one thing that kind of
I found here when looking at the analytics that stood
out to me immediately. Here you've got Seattle right now
collapsing as far as their possession numbers are concerned, allowing
over thirty shots a game, and these high danger chances
are so strong for them right now. Meanwhile, Sorocan's playing well.
As you mentioned, I feel like this is a spot
for Sorokan, I mean, and the Islanders. Look, there's only
so much that we can do to make a case
for a team that is losing. And I've said it
to you before that I want to, you know, keep
it simple, stupid more. Look at the teams that are
playing well, Look at the teams that I can trust
a bit better. Well, this is a team that I
can trust a bit more right now in comparison to
the Seattle Kracking. You know, when it comes down to it,
this Seattle Cracking team is losing to all types of teams.
They're giving up goals to the Penguins, giving up goals
to the Mammoth, to the Bruins, to you know, the Devils.
They're just not looking good against anybody. And I think
that when it comes to this Islanders team, despite the
road trip here, I just feel like they have much
more to offer and they might overwhelm the Kraken with
a little bit of their speed.
Speaker 2: And you know, I do think.
Speaker 1: A little bit that maybe, you know, the the under
correlates with a Kraken victory. But I also believe that
with Soroken the way he's playing right now, the Islanders
have no problem playing in a low scoring game either.
Speaker 2: So when it comes down.
Speaker 1: To it, this is one of the Yesterday I backed
Dallas and they had a couple in a row. They
hadn't looked great over our last couple of games, but
they're a different style of team that I'm willing to
back even when they're struggling. This is a Seattle team
that I don't necessarily want to try and pick out
the game when they're going to get back on track.
And I'm sure you get me with that car, Like
this is an opportunity here for us to take a
look at a team that is bleeding shots, bleeding chances
against they're giving up way too much in their own zone.
And you know, I've been talking a lot on different
shows about how this is the time of year across
every single sports league where depth matters the most. And
when I look at this Seattle crack and roster, there's
only a handful of players that really contribute to the scoreboard.
And you know, we're talking like mid to late January
right now.
Speaker 2: It's not like it's the start of the year.
Speaker 1: Everyone's freshly motivated and you know, you're getting that first
road trip out of the way or all these different stuff.
Like you're in the time of year right now where
you got to pick up wins.
Speaker 2: But it's not fun. You know, depending on where you live.
Speaker 1: It gets darker, it's it's cold. You know, it's not
really a fun time. And I just feel like right now,
for the Seattle team, they're struggling as a team, and
I want to go against them. I have them circled
as a fade team, and I think we're getting a
reasonable price here. What is What are your thoughts on
the price here in this one? Is it a bit
weird to you? Like to me, this is a spot
where I just immediately wanted to go against this kracking team.
Speaker 3: It's not you know. I mean like I told you
guys yesterday in the Edmonton in Edmonton in New Jersey
game that you know, my initial thought was I like
the under, and then I thought it was a fishy line.
The Oilers off back to back shut out wins in
which they outscored the opposition eleven nothing, and you got
the Devil's coming in who haven't had the greatest of seasons. Uh.
And I should know that because I've bet on them
a couple of times when they've had some real stinkers,
and the price should it did not make sense for me.
I'm like, you know, sometimes when the price doesn't make sense,
I just stay off the game. It's your gut instinct
telling you that there's something wrong with this number and
maybe you should be betting the other side. And more
I looked into it. I thought they have a shot,
they have a shot of winning this game. They're a
live dog, and they did. But you look at this
one and it's price probably where it should be, you know.
You look at the Islanders flat game with big save
Dave in there playing against his old team, the Calgary Flames.
But the game before that, Sorocan was phenomenal in Edmonton,
shutting out the Oilers. Won nothing in that game, and
Mick David's twenty game point streak snapped as well too.
Go to Vancouver, he has another solid game. And now
they're in Seattle and it's not a back to back,
and they don't play for I think another two or
three days this team, and they're they're traveling back to
the East Coast. I think their next game is against
the Buffalo Sabers, and I think in Buffalo. So it's
a perfect spot to end the trip with Sorocan and
then he gets a couple of days off and and
you decide whether which game to stardom when you played
two games in three nights. So it's a good spot there.
But Andrew, and this is a question for you guys
in the Life chat as well too, because I'm curious
about this. What your thoughts are on this is who
do you blame on the Seattle crack? And when you
look at in late December early January, as I mentioned before,
they were playing well there, they were winning games. Goobauer
had four straight games where he allowed only one goal. Uh,
and I picked up the win. And then he seems
to his goals against average, his saved percentage, goals against
average has gone up, his save percentage has gone down.
He hasn't looked good.
Speaker 4: Uh.
Speaker 3: They mix and match their goal or they split starts
with their goalies, and Joey the court hasn't been Joey
the court either like the who he was sawd it
early in the year. So do you blame the goaltending
or do you blame the defense? It's it's an age
old question that we always applied to the Edmonton O.
The is in the playoffs, do you blame the goaltending
or do you play blame the way the defense is playing?
Who do you guys blame in this In the case
of the Seattle Kraken and this recent streak of bad games.
Speaker 2: Well, I think it comes down to everybody, not just
the defense. Or the goalies.
Speaker 1: The forwards have to do a better job backchecking, maybe
the systems that they do. But at the end of
the day, one stat you've heard me talk about a
lot recently on puck time is possession, and they don't
hold onto the ball or the puck. And you know,
in different sports people talk about possession and how it
might not matter. Karm, I'm sure you've seen a million
soccer games that one team loses but they had seventy percent.
Possession doesn't always mean you're gonna win, but you can't
create chances if you don't have possession. And this team
I think just lacks the overall puck moving ability on
the blue line. But the sad part is, I get
what you're saying about Grubauer. The sad part is though
even in the patches that he has had good games,
they haven't shown up offensively for him. It's like it's
like if he gives up, if he gives up two goals,
they're gonna only score one, you know, if he gives
up four.
Speaker 2: So it's tough.
Speaker 1: It's tough, But I think the lack of depth is
the really big difference when it comes to this team.
They just don't have enough contributors. I'm looking at a
last couple of games here for this team. The last
win they had was against the Rangers for two. The
last win before that was against the Bruins seven to four.
Then it was four to three against the Canucks for one.
I mean this team pretty much for the most part,
they have to score three, four to five goals. I mean,
on average, they're not able to win three two games
to one games.
Speaker 2: They seemingly have to.
Speaker 1: Score four or five in order to win, and it's
just not been able to happen.
Speaker 3: And Andrew, you know, this is I put a comment
on the board because it is one in which I
do actually kind of believe in. Is the fact that
they had that great run Seattle and they knock off
Colorado in the first round of the playoffs, and then
after that they haven't really done anything. So you know,
it is one of those ones where you got to
build a team like the Veiggas Golden Knights built a
team and then just kept adding pieces to it. And
that's what comes with having good management as well too.
I think management is important. Okay, we got to bring
in Don Buster, but I want to answer a question
because someone asked me, it's like a soccer question on
hockey show, but PSG the same thing. Some goals just allowed.
For PSG, they played absolutely phenomenal. Andel you talked about
seventy percent possession. I think they were right there and
then allowed a late goal in the game and lose
that game, a game that shit, they likely should have won,
turned into a loss. And those are the ones that
are frustrating to watch. You're like, this team is all
over them, So what happened is in the final third
you don't score. It's kind of like an NFL team
that is in the red zone five times and comes
away with one field goal and four turnovers. It is
probably the frustrating thing to watch. With that said, let's
bring in Sir Avocado himself, Don Julio with the ah
oh god, that background Andrew that background is killing me. Buster.
Speaker 1: Hey, as it once was, it's not as bad as
it once was this one. Although I did like your
your your actual background of your house. It looked like
a real nice background.
Speaker 2: Buster. But it's good to see you, man. How are you?
How about those habs?
Speaker 5: Yeah that was good. I just had to change. Yeah
you got all of that. Yeah, I had to change
that up, man, Andrew, because I had promised you had
some little comments. I promised the return of the Mexican blankets,
so I want to make sure that that happened.
Speaker 3: But I tell you, wow, you're a little choppy there.
Speaker 5: That was something else, But yeah, I just want to
see them. Am I little chopping?
Speaker 3: I'm sorry your wi fi?
Speaker 5: It's very good. So not sure. Maybe it's when we
have maybe if when we have three guys on there
or something. I'm not sure. No Hexico, oh.
Speaker 3: Great, of the three guys, Andrew jes to leave me
up on the screen. I get that. Buster. We'll have
more to talk about. But you're gonna break down Pittsburgh
and Calgary. Uh minus won twenty on the Pens pretty
much even money minus one on one on Calgary. Total
sits here at six. How are you breaking this one down?
Speaker 5: Okay, Carmine, hopefully it won't be too choppy here.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 5: Pittsburgh plays their second road game of this four game
road trip, and they've played I guess okay, but they're
still two and four in their last six. How are
they do? Tend to play a lot of close games?
And I actually believe this is gonna be a close
game as well. Calgary have been playing a little bit better.
They've gotten three and three in their last six, and
they lost that last game to New Jersey in overtime.
But I like them to bounce back here at home.
Speaker 3: Now.
Speaker 5: This Pittsburgh club is actually a one twenty favorite, and truthfully,
I thought Calgary should be favorite here. So you know,
I always like when I believe there's the wrong team
favor here, and I think that's what we have here.
We have taught a bunch of times this year about
how terrible Calgary is on the road, and they are,
They're just they haven't been good on the road, but
they do play much better at home. Calgary are only
six points out of a playoff spot, and so you
know they're gonna be a little bit desperate for a win. Now.
Pittsburgh they're in that same spot. They're desperate for a
win as well, but they actually sit in eighth spot,
which I was shocked. They're in a playoff spot right now,
but they're only six points ahead of the team that's
in fifteenth in the East. So we all talked about
how this Eastern Conference is going to be just great
right down to the very end and looking forward to that,
I'm not sure if Pittsburgh is going to be one
of those teams at the very end there. Tonight's game
should be close. It's a tough car tonight. There's only
five games, but it should be a close one. But
what I do like for there's a lot of people
that like to bet those draws. If this is a draw,
I do like our chances with Calgary here as Pittsburgh
has gone three and eleven in either overtime or shootouts
this season. So but also one thing that has kept
Pittsburgh alive and the reason why they are an eighth
their special teams have been very good. They have the
third best power play. I think they have something like
the sixth or seventh best penalty kill. But tonight they
play a Calgary club that has a top five penalty kill,
and I think that really helps here. Bottom line, we
get Calgary at home off of a loss. And also
one other thing I'd like to add, Pittsburgh is playing
Oh who do they play tomorrow night? That would be Edmonton,
So I have to believe that game might be a
little bit more important than this one for them. With
a look ahead to play McDavid. That'll be a big game.
Everybody wants to see Crosby McDavid for sure, so there
might be a little bit of look ahead there. And
Calgary did beat Pittsburgh a couple of weeks ago to one.
We'll look for them to win their second game in
a row here now, of course, I will break down
the total and again hopefully I'm not coming out too
choppy at all, as you're saying before it sits. Last
night it was six and a half under thirty at
DKNFD and VANDUEL and I was thinking, geez, I should
just jump on that. But I know those totals kind
of like the Islanders Vancouver the other night. It was
there at six and a half under, but they're there
for like maybe a half hour hour, so it's it
doesn't really help our clients, you know. I like to
look out a line when it comes over, I think
will at least stay for a while, at least stayed
to the afternoon. Anyways, But anyways, that was dropped down
and now it sits at six under twenty or or
you can see a bunch of five and a half's
over thirty. So I'll break down a little bit of
the total. Pittsburgh are five and five their last ten,
but last three games have gone over, so there's something there.
Calgary are also five and five in their last ten.
I do kind of lean a little bit if you
get us six, I do lean a little under six.
As I said, they did play two to one earlier
this season, like two weeks ago, and between the clubs
they're six and four to the under in their last ten.
The total won't make my card, but we already have
a small play on the Calgary Flames at a very
decent price for a home team.
Speaker 3: All right, don buster a nice breakdown, my friend. I
don't blame you. I think the Calgary unlike Vancouver. I
think Calgary isn't going to make the playoffs either. But
I think there's there are players on Calgary who want
out at some point and that aren't going to resign,
so they're probably playing for trades right now. These are
guys who are going to put in some effort, and
that's what you want, guys who are putting in effort.
So other teams are looking at him saying, hey, this
is a guy we want to pick up for our
playoff push, especially teams in the East where it's pretty
much a coin flip on those top eight spots every night.
It's like shuffling a deck of cards to see who's
in those bottom four spots of the NHL playoffs and
or anything to add.
Speaker 1: Well, yeah, I was going to pretty much say the
similar thing to what you said there, Karen, was you know, Buster,
these are two teams that I think people are a
little bit curious about which way they're going to go
towards the deadline. I was listening to Jeff Merrick from
Daily Faceoff now formerly with Sports and that he was
talking yesterday that people might be surprised that the Penguins
could be buyers at the trade deadline, which is crazy
because people thought, you know, there's definitely a good chance
they're gonna be sellers. You know, they got to build around.
But let's be real here. Crosby said he doesn't want
to leave. He we all know he has three cups there.
So I think that Dubas is going to do what
he can to build something without you know, getting rid
of too much. At the same time, but I was
gonna just ask you, not as much about your play today,
but just overall with these two teams, in the future
where you kind of see them going and Karm kind
of touched on it, some of these guys maybe are
playing for jobs right now.
Speaker 5: Well, yeah, you guys talked about it perfectly exactly the
way I think too, because because of Crosby and who knows,
do you think this might be his last year? You
never know, right, there's always that talk about him maybe
going to Toronto or something like that, something crazy like that,
but who knows if that or going even too our halves,
which would be kind of nice for one last year.
But in saying that, yeah, I can see that I
exactly have with Pittsburgh because, like I say, now, as
we all know, once it settles in and special teams
are huge, and Pittsburgh has done a great job special
teams wise. Now the rest of the you know, I
don't know, they don't have the depth. So, like you say, Andrew,
maybe they do get some depth. Again, it's hard hard
to find those players because everybody else is going to
be looking for those same players. Bottom line, right as
far as Calgary, it'll depend on how they do until
the Olympic break. If they keep shitting the bread, especially
at home, then I see them being big time sellers
and guys will be want to be on the move
for sure.
Speaker 3: Buster. Always a pleasure to have you on. Man, what
do you got to promote Over at wager talk.
Speaker 5: Yeah, okay com. We have that great seven day all
access for sixty nine dollars that includes all five percent plays,
and we do have about three games that we're looking
at this week. Again, look on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday.
I've had them circle. Doesn't mean that they're going to
be five percent plays by any means, but have to
believe maybe one might make it semi parameters. I'm already
three five percent NHL winners this month, already also on
an eight to no NHL five percent run. I want
to go back sixteen to two and two last twenty.
So we picked these games, we just don't pick them willing.
We have to meet all parameters. And actually a game
last night almost made it there and I'm glad, but
but there's a couple of things that went against it.
So we don't play it like that. That's just that's
just the way it goes. Uh. So you want to
go over and grab that at wagertalk dot com. It's
a great it's a great deal, and it's there for
all cappers, not just just myself. Of course. It's there
seven day all access pass for sixty nine dollars, and
like I said, with college basketball and NFL come up
this weekend, it'd be a good time to grab that package.
And oh, by the way, I would just like to
wish the press best of luck of that five percent play.
It sounds like he's having a great run. And I
know when he gets hot, he's really hot, so you
might might want to go out there and I grab
that five percent of press today, And like always, I'm
sorry for the choppiness today, but like I said, I've
been running this Wi Fi now for a long time
and we've had maybe two three good years of it.
So anyways, hopefully everybody got what I was saying and
it wasn't too bad and we got thanks again for
having us.
Speaker 2: I always get to see it.
Speaker 3: You are on fuego, as they say, down where you are, man,
keep it going, keep it pumping out. We're gonna have
you on a couple of times next week for these shows,
so I appreciate you coming on man, taking your time,
especially because you got that great weather out there. Man,
I would be out on the beach right now if
I were you. So with that said, get out.
Speaker 2: Of here and see a buster.
Speaker 3: Take care, guys, Andrew. So, okay, he must have heard,
he must have heard don Buster wishing him luck, because
look who came back. The press is back, and I
think with his play today you get a sham wow.
So with that said, Andrew, let's go back to the
full screen.
Speaker 2: There.
Speaker 3: I got to poke a little fun at my friend,
the Pres. But with have you not seen those Vince Prophet?
I think the guy's name was an wore or whatever.
And then he did the slap slap shop. Yeah, the
slap slaptop. You're gonna know that. I actually, uh when
when Pres got his uh, when he bought his house,
he wanted a house warming gift, and I got him
a slap chop, I did. I got him a slap chop.
And I got Viv a huge bottle of gray Goose
because I figure she's going to need it in order
to uh lit with him through a thing. But with
with that said, Andrew, let's talk about the Toronto maple
leafs and the Detroit red wings. The leafs minus one
eighteen Detroit minus one or two total sits here at six, Uh,
how you how are you playing this one?
Speaker 2: Well?
Speaker 1: You know, carlike I just got to say this, and
and you know, there's a there's the eye test, and
then there's the analytics. And you and I both watch
a ton of hockey every night, like it's probably not
an it's probably not healthy how much I'm watching that.
That's why I had to go on Amazon last week
and have a brand new shipment of these blue lights
because my eyes are actually fine, but I'm gonna fry
my eyes if I keep watching so much TV at night.
But the eye test will tell you, hey, look this
Red Wings team, they can't stop winning. They just keep
on looking so good. And then all the analytics right
now will tell you that Detroit's regression has to come.
And I know, the chat box, the comments section, a
lot of people have told me, hey, hey, you're just
a hater of Detroit. You don't like Detroit. It's nothing
against them, it's just a lot of the stuff that
I've seen right now is suggesting some you know, regression
from them. Right now, Detroit's offense is kind of at
this point slowed down. They're not creating that many chances
and what they do have right now is a strong
shooting percentage. And so when I look at this game,
and I'm not trying to disagree with pres, but I
actually like the under in this one. You know, if
you can get a six and a half at a
decent price, I like the undering. Don't get me wrong, Matthews,
he's fine in his touch, But we've got two goaltenders
that are more than capable, but two teams that are
relying on high shooting percentage in order to create their chances.
So I do lean towards the over because as much
as the offense has been there for the Leafs in
some of their recent games, I look at that game
they had against Minnesota, and wouldn't you agree with me
that after that game against Minnesota where it looked like
they were going for a skate on the rite canal,
they're gonna want to bounce back defensively. I feel like
with this Leafs team, when they have a bad outing,
when they get sort of embarrassed at home, the way
they want to respond is on the defensive side of things.
So it's one of those things for me where there
could be an opportunity to take player shots on goal over,
goalie saves over. You know, I know there aren't a
ton of shots from everybody, but the star players for
both these teams are shooting. But I am waiting karm
for the time to fade this Red Wings team. And
a lot of it is because the analytics tell me
that their numbers don't really equate to how they're playing
and they're starting to fall off a cliff. Now, the
eye test will tell you this Detroit team can't stop
playing well. So what side are you on? Are you
on the eye test or are you on the analytics?
Speaker 3: I am on the goaltending matchup for tonight, okay, and
listen because because the goaltenders are are confirmed for this one,
it's Joseph Wall for the Leafs, and and he is
a good goal. He stole arts is now is not
back with the team, but he's gone down to I
think the Toronto Marleys for a conditioning, a couple of
conditioning starts to get him to see if he's back
and playing. But dude, Judd, John Gibson's having a good
year for the Detroit Red Wings and look at his
last last eight games. I think you can look at
his last eight games if I'm correct. He's won. He's
won his last six. He's six to oh his last
six starts. He's seven and one last eight starts. And
the one game in which he lost was a four
to one loss to Pittsburgh where he allowed two goals
on twenty nine shots, a nine to thirty one save percentage.
They got a couple empty net goals in that game,
the Pittsburgh Penguins. Gibson's playing well. When you have a
goalie who's playing extremely well in front of your team,
the team plays that much better because they have confidence
in the goalie. The defense can pinch a little more,
take a shot because you got someone between the pipes
who's playing well. Man, I'm hoping Toronto steams a little
bit here where I can get some plus money on
the Red Wings right now. Like I'm seeing, like a
couple of books have Toronto minus one twenty. This line's
all over the place. A circa has my hat like
one thirteen, a lower number. But I like the Red
Wings in this in this spot mainly because of the goaltending.
So if it comes down to that, listen Detroit scot
guys who can score. I think the last time the
Red Wings were in town. I went to watch that
game with Prez and Johnny Detroit right and his lovely
wife and we went to that game as well too,
and the Leafs eked out a third period winning that one.
I think it was like three to two, what have
you an empty net? Or maybe three to one. But
with that said, the Wings are playing good hockey, Andrew,
And for a guy like you who's a Montreal Canadians fan, okay,
who you're seeing your team and they're showing up each
and every night, and that is why they're in the
top half of the standings. That's what the Detroit Red
Wings are doing. So the Leafs aren't aren't there yet.
They're on home ice advantage Toronto. They probably have the
best player on the ice, which is Austin Matthews again
edge Toronto. But it is not one player who wins
you a game. It is a core of players. And
if Detroit rolls out three lines and can stop that
number one line of Toronto, because Matthews is starting to
score some goals and get points, if they can slow
them down, the ed Wings can win this game.
Speaker 1: And I can't disagree with that because you're right and
I have to admit something, because we have to admit
when we're wrong, and we're gonna power our bell ourselves
in the back sometimes too with being right. John Gibson
has been good. You know, you talk about the goalie matchup. Look,
I thought it was a little bit too late, Like
I felt like I felt like Anaheim should have made
that trade a year or two ago. I felt like
a team should have gone after and you were even
talking about it as well for a while, the fact
that they needed to go and get a goalie this
Detroit team, but somebody had to go get Gibson because
he was kind of fizzling out of Anaheim and this
just turned out to be a really good pickup by them.
So great call by you, great call by habs Relic
in the live chat. And I think that Gibson's been
the big difference because in games that they haven't gotten
their scoring, Gibson has showed up for them. So it's
gonna be really good. But to that point, that's kind
of why I like the under right, Like I think
that the leaves bounce back here, so we'll see what happens.
Speaker 3: Yeah, sixteen and two, Andrew, you know, I talked about
the Buffalo Sabers, and they won yesterday in Nashville. And
I think the Sabers are something like fifteen three and
one or sixteen three and one. Now, the last twenty games,
sixteen and two, those are the last eighteen starts by
John Gibson in goal. He is sixteen and two. He
loses a game essentially two to one to Pittsburgh because
a couple empty netters in that game. And he loses
a game five to two in which I think he
only allowed three goals in that game, and that was
to the Carolina Hurricanes, who again got a bunch of
some empty nettors. When a goalie wins sixteen of eighteen games,
you have to mention them. Because we talk about guys
like Soroken, We talk about guys like Schusterkin, we talk
about Barbrovsky, we talk about Vasilevsky and all the you know, Thompson.
We talk about all these goalies. You're having fantastic seasons
or have had fantastic seasons. This year, last year, Hellabuck.
Sixteen and two is last eighteen starts for John Gibson
in goal. So it's just it's so tough to go
against that. I get it. He can't score goals for you,
but he can stop him, and he's been able to
do it. Hopefully I didn't put the kaibosh on him
and much in class.
Speaker 2: See class, guys.
Speaker 1: If you're enjoying the videos as always, we are here
live eleven a m. Eastern on X on YouTube on
multiple streaming platforms. Of course, you can follow Carmine on
X at Carmen and Bianco wt myself at McGinnis picks.
We're talking hockey every single day, and you guys can
make sure you check us out at wager talk dot com.
And to all of you guys that are so loyal
to tune in every single day, we appreciate you. We
love following the chat, We love your opinions. We always
want everyone's voices to be heard. So, guys, if you
can do us the favorite. We did not reach the
goal yesterday. We did not reach the goal. Let's try
and get to two hundred and seventy likes. We can
get to it, guys, two hundred and seventy likes. If
you guys are making money, If you guys have passed
on some play of the days, some props, some side,
some totals, some best Bets two hundred and seventy five likes.
Speaker 2: Hopefully you guys can get us there with that for today.
Speaker 3: Andrew, So before we get to your saying game partly,
and then I'm gonna do the pod afterwards, brofessor Bruska.
If I pronounced that right, listen, I'm I'm bummed about
that that play last night on the Autawa Columbus over again.
Three goals in the first ten minutes and then they
just kind of died a slow death after that one.
But I'm only gonna have one play up in the NHL,
and it is the pod play today, so it is
a client play. It's already loaded. It's gonna be the
pod play today as well too. So I won't have
an NHL package up for sale because I'm not going
to sell a play that I'm giving an as the
pod play. So that gives you even more incentive because
Andrew is on an insane role, Guys seven seven and
Oh Run or six and run seven and Oh Run
pick up his play tonight. I have none. You're gonna
get mine for free in a few minutes. Andrew, give
us the same game partly.
Speaker 1: I appreciate it, karm Yeah, going for seven and oh
tonight going for seven and out tonight. Just one play
on the board for me tonight, so hopefully we can
make it a good one. And I already kind of
peeked ahead at tomorrow's slate. Actually it's a pretty good
one tomorrow as well, so I appreciate it. And guys,
you guys can get that one play at wager talk,
or you can hop on for one month of all
access NHL plays and get a great deal and hopefully
we can keep making some money, all right, carm Here
a couple updates on guys that are doing right well
right now in the NHL. To brink It has a
goal in four of his last five games. You can
get him at plus one sixty. He's playing against the
Toronto Maple Leafs. Austin Matthews has a goal in four
of his last five games. You can get him at
plus one ten. Brock Nelson from the Colorado Avalanche has
a goal in seven of his last ten games. You
can get that at plus one sixty five. Now going
towards head to head stuff here, James van Riemsdyke in
three of his last four head to head versus Toronto.
He's got a goal plus three forty for James Van Riemsdyke.
Not too bad. How about Nazim Kadri. Nazim Kadri has
a goal in two of his last three games against
the Pittsburgh Penguins. Plus two to twenty five is the
deal on that one. A pretty good price for Nazim Kadri.
And here's a pretty good one as well. JJ Peterka
has a point in three straight games against the Philadelphia Flyers.
Shop round, Try and get the best price you can,
but you should be able to get minus one twenty
one twenty five in a pretty good matchup where they
are decent favorites. So that's a couple guys that are
playing pretty well right now. Some streaks you guys can follow,
and some guys maybe you can keep an eye on
for goal scoring props or for some DFS stuff.
Speaker 2: Here.
Speaker 1: All right, we got the graphic for you guys. A
little bit small here, but it'll do the job. Caren,
We've got two sets of same game parlays.
Speaker 2: Once again.
Speaker 1: We're gonna run it back with the macar Assist and
Nature's Assist because that did cash for us the last
time we gave this out mcar assists Natus assist that
equals plus one sixteen to brink It three plus shots
on goal Matthews four plus shots on goal. That takes
us to plus one seventy two. The volume in which
both these guys are shooting right now is extremely high.
Matthews getting his swagger back a little bit here to
bring get playing very well and as mentioned to brink At,
plays well overall against the Toronto Maple Leafs. You put
all of these together, you get to plus four eighty seven.
Speaker 2: So not a bad.
Speaker 1: Little same gamer there, not a bad two sets of
prop picks and kind of a nice little graphic there, Karen,
not not a bad one. So hopefully we can catch
some tickets and again, guys four percent best bet going
for seven straight NHL winners tonight at wagertalk dot com.
And of course we always talk about it, Doug carm
If you want to jump on guys for longer, you
can get a seven day, thirty day, or jump on
for the full season. It's not been the start of
the season that I'd like, but it's a long, long
season and we're starting to see things well right now.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that looks like the old school hockey cards. When
those guys are doing the they were opening the packs
of cards and stuff like you like a little piece
of gum sticking to that attachment. I like it, man,
I like it. It's actually easy to read. It's a
good graphic. So as you can tell, Andrew and I
create our own little graphics, as you can tell by
this next one that is coming up, which is the
pod play. Andrew, all right, so I told you this
is a client play for me. It is up there.
It is the New York Islanders minus one fifteen. We
get a bank roll pod play winner yesterday with Tampa
Bay minus one and a half. We're going to go
for another one here. This is straight moneyline play minus
one fifteen. And this is one in which, as you know,
as I mentioned to you guys, this is a goaltending one.
And the Islanders are just playing well right now, and
they're in they're they're sitting fifth or sixth in the
playoffs spot right now. Eli Serrokan played absolutely phenomenal in
that game in Edmonton, followed up with another win in Vancouver,
and they don't play again until Saturday when they're home
against the Buffalo Sabers. So I expect them to be
in goal tonight. The wheels have fallen off the Seattle
Krakeen at the moment right now, whether it's Joey Decord,
whether it's Grubauer. Grubauer four straight games at the end
of December early January where he allowed a single goal
since then, a higher goals against average, a higher are
a much lower save percentage. And you look at Joey Decord,
who's split starts with him. He's allowed three plus goals
in his last five starts. This is one in which
the goalies in the defense aren't playing well for the
Seattle Kraken. And if the Islanders can get in there
and score three, maybe four, that's going to be enough
to get this win. So the New York Islanders are
your pod play today.
Speaker 2: All right, the New York Islanders.
Speaker 1: And and yes, how the Isles are on a long
extended road trip that probably is the reason why the
price is what it is. But both myself and KRM say,
you know what, forget about that road trip will take
this Islanders team, and sometimes KARM it doesn't matter. But
the road trip is just a better matchup, and that's
how I feel about it as well.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and that's the thing is, you know, they beat
Vancouver on what I think that was on Sunday night
or was it Monday? The camera I can't remember when
they beat him. But the trip from Vancouver to Seattle
is an easy one, so it is not one in
which I'm worried about travel. It's not a back to
back either for them. And from a perspective of taking
a game off, I don't see see them taking a
game off unless Schattle is just a better team tonight
and beats them on the ice over sixty minutes. Because
the Isles, much like every team in the Eastern Conference,
cannot take a night off. They that those spots, those
playoff spots, Andrew, there is no way of figuring out
who's going to make the playoffs in the Eastern Conference
until probably the last what two three weeks of the season,
and even then there's gonna be a race for spot
number seven, spot number eight. So give kudos to a
team like the Isles who have played like sort of
that next man up mentality, you know, missing guys like
you know they're missing like Horvath, and missing guys like
Paul Mary. You mean, even guys who are you know,
good face off guys and the defensive zone. Those those
are pieces of the puzzle that when they're fully healthy,
this team could could make a run. So all you
need is a good goalie as well too, and they
have it in Eli Sarrokan. So I tooted this guy's
horn or two to my horn. You like sark all
of last season saying he's a good goalie. He has
shown up this season for them. I like the way
they're playing right now, so we'll.
Speaker 1: See you gotta thank Karmif if Russia was in the Olympics,
they would have the opportunity to have Bobrovski, Sorokan, and
Vassilevsky as their three goalies. One of those goalies wouldn't
even be able to be on the bench for a game.
That's how good their goaltending would be. So as much
as they would lack center depth, you know, they've got
some great goalies. And I think Sorokan, it's nice for
Sarrokan because through many years where that he was the
goalie for a team that didn't have much offensive talent,
and now they're starting to score some goals, and I
think then you start to realize how good he is
because you know, he was kind of getting the Kerry
Price treatment, like unless the team, you know, only gave
up you know, he only gave up one or two
goals were they weren't able to win games so they
didn't have the offense. But now the offense has gotten
a lot better for this Islanders team.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it definitely has. It's been a good season for them.
A friend of mine is the season ticket holder, lives
in New York and has been going to Islander games.
Has some really nice seats. I'll go and visit them
one day. Uh maybe, uh maybe next week. The Sabers
are in New York on Saturday. Nah, I gotta watch
football on Saturday, or get ready to watch football on Saturday,
or for Saturday.
Speaker 2: Forgot about your circuit four goalies.
Speaker 3: I absolutely hate politics and we never bring them into
the show and stuff. From a purely sporting opinion, I
want to see the best teams with the best players
facing off against each other, and that's it. Let's forget
about all the other stuff. It does not belong on
this show. I want to see the best players from
the best teams playing on the same ice surface in
a competition, and that's just.
Speaker 1: The rumor has it they're going to start with the
U eighteen level, so it's going to start low and
they're going to build it back up I think the
under eighteens, under twenty ones, and then it will start
to build back up. So hopefully that's the case moving forward.
Speaker 3: To Okay, So anyways, I'm out of here, Andrew. Of course,
I'm not going to just leave you by yourself, but
I'm going to watch the game today. I'll be cheering
for Ventus. They're a small money favorite. I'm not betting
the game because this team just seems like it's like
Father's Day with them. They love ties. They just have
so many ties this team, and they play Benfica, my
buddy's favorite team. So we're getting together to watch that game.
But I have a couple of Champions League plays up,
including a total The totals were absolute money yesterday. Hopefully
same thing today. NHL. You guys got the only play
is the pod play today, so no other NHL package up.
I will work on tomorrow's plays a little later today, Andrew,
they got to buy your play today if they can.
Let us know what's going on at wager talking close
up the show.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't wait for a big night here tonight, guys.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yesterday we cashed the four percent five dollars play
first period over Jets and Blues. We also cash Dallas
on the money line, So six and zero run number
seven goes tonight. One and done one play only for
tonight in the NHL. Don't miss it wager talk dot com.
Thanks for watching, guys. We'll see you tomorrow, same time,
same place, right here on puck time.