WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.080 --> 00:00:03.879 This is Dan Caplis, and welcome to today's online podcast edition 2 00:00:03.960 --> 00:00:05.879 of The Dan Caplis Show. Please be sure to give 3 00:00:05.960 --> 00:00:08.240 us a five star rating if you'd be so kind, 4 00:00:08.320 --> 00:00:11.599 and to subscribe, download, and listen to the show every 5 00:00:11.679 --> 00:00:14.800 single day on your favorite podcast platform. 6 00:00:15.519 --> 00:00:17.760 The worm is turning. Worm has turned. 7 00:00:17.760 --> 00:00:19.800 It is a little slow, you know, just kind of 8 00:00:19.839 --> 00:00:23.199 stretching right now, a little bit of a quarter turn there, 9 00:00:23.239 --> 00:00:25.079 but you can see the old worm turning. 10 00:00:25.760 --> 00:00:27.839 It's I think it's about to get a lot more fun. 11 00:00:27.920 --> 00:00:30.480 Four oh six. You're on the Dan Caplis sholl welcome. 12 00:00:30.519 --> 00:00:32.520 Make five to five four zero five eight two five 13 00:00:32.600 --> 00:00:35.840 five the number text d A N five seven seven 14 00:00:35.960 --> 00:00:38.840 three nine. And yeah, of course, you know we're going 15 00:00:38.920 --> 00:00:41.000 to talk about all different sorts of things today, but 16 00:00:41.119 --> 00:00:44.560 come on, I mean, this is obviously the most wild 17 00:00:44.799 --> 00:00:48.960 and crazy presidential race of our lifetime. The stakes could 18 00:00:48.960 --> 00:00:52.119 not be higher, and so yes, each and every day 19 00:00:52.159 --> 00:00:55.240 we're going to lead with that unless like Martians Land 20 00:00:55.359 --> 00:00:59.920 or something like that. Maybe the Broncos win the Super. 21 00:00:59.759 --> 00:01:01.960 Bowl or whatever, but that would happen after election day. 22 00:01:02.000 --> 00:01:04.680 Glad you are here, so much to talk about, and 23 00:01:04.799 --> 00:01:08.280 as always, so much reason for optimism and hope, and 24 00:01:08.599 --> 00:01:11.400 as you know, we back it up because I've got 25 00:01:11.439 --> 00:01:13.400 a slogan here, it's an original one too, back it 26 00:01:13.480 --> 00:01:15.239 up or pack it up, and we back it up 27 00:01:15.319 --> 00:01:18.959 every day with concrete stuff, you know, all the reason 28 00:01:19.040 --> 00:01:20.519 to remain optimistic. 29 00:01:20.840 --> 00:01:22.480 It'll be very interesting to me. 30 00:01:22.640 --> 00:01:24.040 And I don't know if you're the same, but I'm 31 00:01:24.120 --> 00:01:26.040 kind of a geek when it comes to these polls. 32 00:01:26.480 --> 00:01:28.079 You know, I think we're in a bit of a 33 00:01:28.159 --> 00:01:32.439 post polling world now, but it's still kind of fun 34 00:01:32.480 --> 00:01:33.040 to follow. 35 00:01:33.079 --> 00:01:33.840 What else are you going to do? 36 00:01:33.879 --> 00:01:35.599 It's still kind of fun to follow, and then you 37 00:01:35.640 --> 00:01:39.280 can spot some general trends, but then you get into 38 00:01:39.480 --> 00:01:42.439 the cross tabs and all that wonky stuff. But there's 39 00:01:42.439 --> 00:01:44.560 some stuff that stands out that I want to bounce 40 00:01:44.680 --> 00:01:48.719 off of you that I think are positive indicators. And 41 00:01:48.760 --> 00:01:54.040 then also this fascinating question of is Kamala Harris going 42 00:01:54.079 --> 00:01:57.280 to get the normal three to five point bounce you 43 00:01:57.359 --> 00:02:00.959 see coming out of a convention, And you know, obviously 44 00:02:01.040 --> 00:02:03.400 I hope she doesn't, and I'm thinking she may not 45 00:02:03.719 --> 00:02:07.359 here because they've already had this sugar high, right, They've 46 00:02:07.400 --> 00:02:10.080 already had this you know, they've opened their bottle of 47 00:02:10.199 --> 00:02:12.680 Champaigne and all the foam has come spilling out. But 48 00:02:12.879 --> 00:02:15.400 then wait a second, how much is left behind? So 49 00:02:16.400 --> 00:02:18.800 there's a chance they don't get as big a convention 50 00:02:18.919 --> 00:02:22.400 balance because of what David Axelrod himself, Obama's dude, right, 51 00:02:22.520 --> 00:02:28.400 David Axelrod has already labeled irrational exuberance. So I think 52 00:02:28.400 --> 00:02:31.599 we're heading toward that day, as I've been predicting, when 53 00:02:31.840 --> 00:02:36.800 she peaks this irrational exuberance. You know this bubble, it's 54 00:02:36.840 --> 00:02:40.840 really a Kamala bubble, right, it bursts and then all 55 00:02:40.879 --> 00:02:43.319 of a sudden she starts coming down, and there's always 56 00:02:43.319 --> 00:02:44.919 a little bit back and forth, up and down. But 57 00:02:45.199 --> 00:02:49.360 it's what I've labeled, you know, the gravity effect or 58 00:02:49.479 --> 00:02:52.560 kind of gravity politics we're in right now, where in 59 00:02:52.639 --> 00:02:55.520 this strange scenario we found ourselves in where you have 60 00:02:56.120 --> 00:03:00.840 the democratically elected dem nominee who is then behind closed 61 00:03:00.840 --> 00:03:05.199 doors deposed. They're simply a coup, and then the cabal 62 00:03:05.479 --> 00:03:08.520 installs somebody as the new nominee who hasn't won a 63 00:03:08.560 --> 00:03:12.240 single vote or a single primary, and at that point 64 00:03:12.240 --> 00:03:14.639 a single vote in a single primary, and so at 65 00:03:14.680 --> 00:03:17.479 that point then you have this bubble created butt. Here's 66 00:03:17.479 --> 00:03:21.560 the question for you. Once that bursts and she starts 67 00:03:21.599 --> 00:03:24.800 moving backwards, where's the backstop? 68 00:03:25.360 --> 00:03:27.520 You know, what stops that fall. 69 00:03:28.000 --> 00:03:30.120 I'm not saying that she's going to fall backwards to 70 00:03:30.240 --> 00:03:32.280 zero or anything like that, but I think it's going 71 00:03:32.360 --> 00:03:35.319 to get really fun, because it's going to get really 72 00:03:35.360 --> 00:03:38.800 scary for the left because they're on this high right now, right. 73 00:03:39.080 --> 00:03:41.479 I mean, it was a near death experience. They were done. 74 00:03:41.560 --> 00:03:44.520 Trump won, he did in fact, when he beat Biden, 75 00:03:45.400 --> 00:03:47.319 he beat Biden and knocked him out of the race. 76 00:03:48.080 --> 00:03:51.159 So they were on death doorstep. And now they have 77 00:03:51.280 --> 00:03:55.520 life again, and now they're living this lie with Kamala, right, 78 00:03:56.080 --> 00:03:58.879 and so they're all on this big high. But they 79 00:03:58.960 --> 00:04:01.439 know there's no substance behind it, which is why they 80 00:04:01.439 --> 00:04:04.800 won't allow her to do interviews. They won't allow her 81 00:04:04.879 --> 00:04:07.240 to do interviews. Think about that. Think about what an 82 00:04:07.280 --> 00:04:11.759 admission that is that they have an incapable candidate. And 83 00:04:11.840 --> 00:04:14.840 so they're going to get really scared once it starts 84 00:04:14.879 --> 00:04:15.520 backing up. 85 00:04:15.599 --> 00:04:16.800 Has that backup started. 86 00:04:16.839 --> 00:04:19.199 I'm not here today to tell you the backup started, 87 00:04:19.519 --> 00:04:23.079 but I'm here to share some other really good hard 88 00:04:23.160 --> 00:04:25.959 data type news as well as some good common sense 89 00:04:26.000 --> 00:04:28.040 and very fun sound eight five to five for zero 90 00:04:28.120 --> 00:04:31.240 five eight two five five the number and again not 91 00:04:31.360 --> 00:04:36.519 to be a buzzkill, but as always we are brutally honest, 92 00:04:37.079 --> 00:04:40.120 and the truth is, there are still some dangers lurking 93 00:04:40.160 --> 00:04:43.040 out there. The most immediate one is that they'll dump 94 00:04:43.560 --> 00:04:45.800 tampon Tim, which could happen next. 95 00:04:45.680 --> 00:04:46.560 Week at the convention. 96 00:04:46.759 --> 00:04:49.519 So let's hope they do not do that, because if 97 00:04:49.560 --> 00:04:54.279 they replace him with Shapiro, you know that changes that 98 00:04:54.519 --> 00:04:58.279 changes the layout pretty dramatically. So let's hope they don't 99 00:04:58.279 --> 00:05:01.079 replace him. And also the very distincti usibility that once 100 00:05:01.160 --> 00:05:05.120 that downturn starts for Harris at the same cabal that 101 00:05:05.240 --> 00:05:07.680 forced Biden out of the nomination, will force him out 102 00:05:07.720 --> 00:05:11.000 of office and have her installed as president again without 103 00:05:11.000 --> 00:05:14.480 winning a single primary, single state, a single vote before 104 00:05:15.079 --> 00:05:18.360 election day to try to boost her again. So let's 105 00:05:18.399 --> 00:05:21.639 start with some of the good concrete stuff. I'm loving 106 00:05:21.720 --> 00:05:25.680 this sound. I'm loving this sound off CNN is Harry 107 00:05:26.199 --> 00:05:30.639 Enton digs into some of their polling, and it's consistent 108 00:05:30.680 --> 00:05:33.120 with just everything we've been talking about here. 109 00:05:34.680 --> 00:05:37.879 She's refused now over three weeks to do any interviews, 110 00:05:37.920 --> 00:05:39.560 even on CNN orm it. 111 00:05:41.319 --> 00:05:47.120 Well, let's see, yeah, I double clicked like I meant it. 112 00:05:47.720 --> 00:05:50.000 I know for folks not in this business, that may 113 00:05:50.079 --> 00:05:51.040 sound really weird. 114 00:05:51.680 --> 00:05:53.360 We've kind of been here before. 115 00:05:53.720 --> 00:05:57.120 So August thirteenth, how far were the polls off in Michigan. 116 00:05:56.759 --> 00:05:58.199 Pennsylvania, in Wisconsin. 117 00:05:58.480 --> 00:06:01.360 And this is in twenty sixteen and twenty Trump was 118 00:06:01.560 --> 00:06:04.759 estimated both times around and by significant margins. 119 00:06:04.879 --> 00:06:05.480 Take a look here. 120 00:06:05.480 --> 00:06:08.639 In twenty sixteen, the average poll in those states dimensioned 121 00:06:08.639 --> 00:06:12.199 those Great Lake battleground states, Trump was underestimated by nine 122 00:06:12.399 --> 00:06:15.240 points on average at this point in twenty sixteen. How 123 00:06:15.240 --> 00:06:17.040 about twenty twenty, it wasn't a one off. Look at 124 00:06:17.079 --> 00:06:18.839 this he was underestimated by. 125 00:06:18.639 --> 00:06:19.800 Five points on average. 126 00:06:19.839 --> 00:06:22.680 And of course, Kamala Harris's advantage in those New York 127 00:06:22.720 --> 00:06:25.279 Times Santa College poles were four points in each of 128 00:06:25.319 --> 00:06:29.360 these key battleground states Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. The bottom line 129 00:06:29.439 --> 00:06:31.800 is this, if you have any idea, if you're a 130 00:06:31.839 --> 00:06:34.040 Kamala Harris fan and you want to rip open the 131 00:06:34.160 --> 00:06:37.160 champagne bottle pop that quirk, do not do it. 132 00:06:37.199 --> 00:06:39.079 Donald Trump is very much in this race. 133 00:06:39.120 --> 00:06:42.560 If we have a polling shift like we've seen in 134 00:06:42.639 --> 00:06:45.240 prior years. From now until the final result, donald Trump 135 00:06:45.279 --> 00:06:45.920 would actually win. 136 00:06:45.920 --> 00:06:47.720 I'm not saying that's going to happen, but I. 137 00:06:47.680 --> 00:06:50.360 Am saying that he is very much in this ballgame 138 00:06:50.360 --> 00:06:52.120 based upon where he is right now, and compare that 139 00:06:52.160 --> 00:06:53.600 to where he was in prior years. 140 00:06:53.720 --> 00:06:57.079 That's on CNN, Harry Entton, That's exactly what I've been saying. 141 00:06:57.360 --> 00:07:00.319 Right when the New York Times Siena polling came out, 142 00:07:00.360 --> 00:07:03.040 I said, this is good news for us, This is 143 00:07:03.120 --> 00:07:06.040 good news for us because after three straight weeks of 144 00:07:06.120 --> 00:07:11.199 beatification of Kamala Harris, I guess what, Trump's still winning. 145 00:07:11.920 --> 00:07:15.519 And he hasn't even started to fight. He literally until 146 00:07:15.680 --> 00:07:18.319 he got back on X yesterday or Sunday, and he 147 00:07:18.360 --> 00:07:20.439 did this thing with Mosk and they launched some swing 148 00:07:20.480 --> 00:07:24.759 state ads. He had not even started the campaign against 149 00:07:24.839 --> 00:07:28.839 Kamala Harris and he's still winning. Now, Ryan, I'm here 150 00:07:28.879 --> 00:07:32.199 to tell you. I'm here to tell you if I 151 00:07:32.240 --> 00:07:34.439 think we'll be sitting here making the case not too 152 00:07:34.519 --> 00:07:38.959 long from now, right making the case that it was 153 00:07:39.120 --> 00:07:43.279 better for Trump that Biden left the race and that 154 00:07:43.399 --> 00:07:46.000 Harris took over. And I think we'll be making the 155 00:07:46.040 --> 00:07:49.800 case for a number of different reasons, but Wanavoy, which is, 156 00:07:50.560 --> 00:07:52.839 remember what we were talking about on the show, Caller 157 00:07:52.920 --> 00:07:56.360 after caller, Texter, after Texter to Dan five seven, seven 158 00:07:56.439 --> 00:08:00.439 thirty nine. What were they talking about before Trump, Kao 159 00:08:00.759 --> 00:08:03.839 Biden and the cabal took them out. They were talking 160 00:08:03.879 --> 00:08:10.800 about complacency, over confidence, and overconfidence cannot only kill the cat, 161 00:08:10.879 --> 00:08:14.160 it can kill a campaign, especially when you're talking about 162 00:08:14.439 --> 00:08:18.759 President Trump, who engenders all of this intense loyalty and 163 00:08:18.839 --> 00:08:22.040 massive turnout. And if we roll into an election day 164 00:08:22.399 --> 00:08:25.759 thinking we've got it won against a almost non existent 165 00:08:25.839 --> 00:08:29.800 Joe Biden, that over confidence may come back to really 166 00:08:29.839 --> 00:08:32.039 bite us because listen, it is built in. You just 167 00:08:32.039 --> 00:08:34.679 look at the numerals. It is built in. You have 168 00:08:34.720 --> 00:08:38.840 a very large number of Americans who just aren't buying Trump. 169 00:08:39.240 --> 00:08:41.480 I'd love to see a second term, obviously, but we 170 00:08:41.519 --> 00:08:43.679 got to be clear eyed. You have got a set 171 00:08:43.799 --> 00:08:46.879 number of Americans. It does not matter what the alternative is, 172 00:08:47.320 --> 00:08:50.440 they are voting against Trump. So there's a scenario where 173 00:08:50.480 --> 00:08:53.120 we could have been rolling into election day thinking this 174 00:08:53.159 --> 00:08:57.039 thing was all sewn up against Biden and a lot 175 00:08:57.039 --> 00:08:58.879 of people not turning out because they think it's a 176 00:08:58.960 --> 00:09:03.080 done deal, and Trump relies on this over exuberant turnout, 177 00:09:03.639 --> 00:09:05.360 and then all of a sudden you get bit because 178 00:09:05.360 --> 00:09:08.080 you got these people voting against Trump, and you got 179 00:09:08.080 --> 00:09:10.559 these people saying, Okay, I know Biden may not make 180 00:09:10.600 --> 00:09:13.519 it till tomorrow, but then Harris can take over. And 181 00:09:13.559 --> 00:09:15.320 I don't know that much about her, but she's got 182 00:09:15.360 --> 00:09:16.159 to be better than Trump. 183 00:09:16.559 --> 00:09:17.440 But now at. 184 00:09:17.399 --> 00:09:20.360 Least they have these three months to see Harris in 185 00:09:20.480 --> 00:09:22.720 action or choosing not to be seen. 186 00:09:23.399 --> 00:09:25.080 So I think I. 187 00:09:24.960 --> 00:09:27.240 Think an argument is to be made that this is 188 00:09:27.279 --> 00:09:30.799 a better scenario for ultimate victory eight five five for 189 00:09:30.960 --> 00:09:33.240 zero five eight two five five the number dan five 190 00:09:33.360 --> 00:09:34.279 seven seven three nine. 191 00:09:34.519 --> 00:09:39.159 Obviously it's you know, a lot of thrills. 192 00:09:38.759 --> 00:09:41.480 In the meantime because she's had this big run up 193 00:09:41.480 --> 00:09:44.240 in the polls and she has all of this protection 194 00:09:44.360 --> 00:09:46.879 from the media. But when we come back, I want 195 00:09:46.919 --> 00:09:49.080 to give you some hard data that you probably have 196 00:09:49.120 --> 00:09:51.639 not seen or heard before, and it's going to put 197 00:09:51.639 --> 00:09:53.320 if you want, like me, if you want Trump to 198 00:09:53.360 --> 00:09:55.480 have a second term, and you want these other GOP 199 00:09:55.639 --> 00:09:58.320 candidates to do well, it will put a smile on 200 00:09:58.360 --> 00:09:58.759 your face. 201 00:09:58.759 --> 00:10:00.240 Here on the Dan Kaplis Show. 202 00:10:01.879 --> 00:10:04.320 And now back to the Dan Kapla Show podcast. 203 00:10:05.080 --> 00:10:07.279 Did you see the clip of her talking about how 204 00:10:07.320 --> 00:10:08.879 how dare we wish merry Christmas? 205 00:10:08.919 --> 00:10:10.480 The people? No? 206 00:10:10.759 --> 00:10:12.840 How dare we speak merry Christmas? 207 00:10:13.320 --> 00:10:17.480 How dare we merry Christmas? Everyone? 208 00:10:19.840 --> 00:10:20.039 Man? 209 00:10:20.080 --> 00:10:23.360 I'm telling you, you know this whole phony joy thing 210 00:10:23.399 --> 00:10:25.759 in the campaign, which is really kind of brilliant on 211 00:10:25.799 --> 00:10:30.240 their part of just trying to take her weirdness and say, 212 00:10:30.279 --> 00:10:33.799 oh no, that's really joy. But nothing says joy like that, right, 213 00:10:33.960 --> 00:10:35.919 like bitterly and you see the look in her face 214 00:10:35.960 --> 00:10:37.559 and this better be this, says I go to the 215 00:10:37.559 --> 00:10:40.279 phone lines eight five five for zero five eight two 216 00:10:40.360 --> 00:10:42.960 five five. This better run on a loop in every 217 00:10:43.039 --> 00:10:48.120 swing state, down down the stretch, non stop, this very bitter, 218 00:10:48.559 --> 00:10:52.080 angry screaming how dare you say merry Christmas? 219 00:10:52.159 --> 00:10:55.519 How dare you? I mean, yeah, nothing says joy like that? Right? 220 00:10:55.639 --> 00:10:58.559 Sarah and castle Rock, you're on the Dan Kapla Show. 221 00:10:58.600 --> 00:11:02.480 Welcome, Thank you Dan for taking my call. I have 222 00:11:03.360 --> 00:11:05.840 thy three points I wanted to share with you. So 223 00:11:05.919 --> 00:11:11.879 the first point is the fundamental of disagreement between Republicans 224 00:11:11.960 --> 00:11:16.360 and Democrats. They're favoring democrats. I'm an independent who links 225 00:11:16.399 --> 00:11:21.200 Republican and I voted Trump twenty twenty, and I can 226 00:11:21.240 --> 00:11:24.679 tell you on the issue of healthcare, put youp stuck 227 00:11:24.720 --> 00:11:28.759 onto COVID and that's not going to work. On the 228 00:11:28.840 --> 00:11:32.720 issue of a portion, they have not yet truly articulated 229 00:11:32.759 --> 00:11:36.000 something people can trust. I know we've shifted a little bit, 230 00:11:36.320 --> 00:11:39.960 but people do not trust about what the new position 231 00:11:40.320 --> 00:11:45.039 being taken, especially with Jdvans. The third issue is student 232 00:11:45.159 --> 00:11:49.360 that really is for teachers. And on the issue of poles, 233 00:11:49.679 --> 00:11:53.720 let's just pause the poll. What Republicans are missing is 234 00:11:53.759 --> 00:11:56.559 what they missed when he can look awards elected in Colorado. 235 00:11:56.840 --> 00:11:59.360 To give you an analogy, there was a toll of 236 00:11:59.440 --> 00:12:02.679 to ten sen of Republicans that crossed over to make 237 00:12:02.919 --> 00:12:06.679 he can look a governor. And what Republicans are missing 238 00:12:06.720 --> 00:12:10.600 while they're attacking Harris is that there is a whole 239 00:12:10.720 --> 00:12:15.440 part of Republicans that will not cross over for very 240 00:12:15.519 --> 00:12:19.600 clear issues that they're not addressing. And I think it's 241 00:12:19.679 --> 00:12:24.720 not it's a disservice to conservatives to pretend that's not happening. 242 00:12:25.519 --> 00:12:28.639 Democrats did that with Biden when he was clearly not 243 00:12:28.799 --> 00:12:31.480 able to even articulate an issue, and they kept trying 244 00:12:31.519 --> 00:12:35.039 to push him. I think Republicans have to deal with 245 00:12:35.159 --> 00:12:38.720 a few facts while women in Sababia will not vote 246 00:12:38.759 --> 00:12:40.720 for them. I can call this race now, and I 247 00:12:40.759 --> 00:12:43.399 can call you back after the race. Club be Caapter 248 00:12:43.559 --> 00:12:46.080 forty eight. You will not get more than that. The 249 00:12:46.120 --> 00:12:47.399 battle States will hold. 250 00:12:47.879 --> 00:12:48.799 They will hold. 251 00:12:48.600 --> 00:12:53.000 Because of that middle that we're ignoring. That's addressing the 252 00:12:53.039 --> 00:12:56.480 real issues. We cannot tell people that healthcare is not 253 00:12:56.519 --> 00:12:59.840 all right post COVID, that that's not even going to work. 254 00:13:00.399 --> 00:13:03.519 We also can't tell women, okay, now, we'll trust Trump 255 00:13:03.720 --> 00:13:05.320 after all the things we said. 256 00:13:05.200 --> 00:13:07.440 Sir, Let's let me ask you what's the fix? What's 257 00:13:07.480 --> 00:13:10.480 the fix? And abortion in your view? Excepting your view. 258 00:13:10.440 --> 00:13:13.120 I think we need a clear First of all, Trump, 259 00:13:13.240 --> 00:13:16.120 which is impossible for him, has to apologize, and so 260 00:13:16.240 --> 00:13:19.879 does Jdvan Trump talked about punishing women. He just needs 261 00:13:19.919 --> 00:13:22.159 to say, you know what, I misspoke. That was the 262 00:13:22.159 --> 00:13:24.279 wrong thing to say. Women should not be punished for 263 00:13:24.320 --> 00:13:27.559 making that decisions. Jay did need to apologize for the 264 00:13:27.559 --> 00:13:30.399 whole cat lady thing. And I'm not sure you understand 265 00:13:30.519 --> 00:13:34.200 of men understrand, especially in Republicans off and I've been 266 00:13:34.240 --> 00:13:36.320 there a long time I've been there since you were 267 00:13:36.360 --> 00:13:39.120 running at a Senate Dan, so I'm not coming from 268 00:13:39.120 --> 00:13:40.720 an advers serial point of view. 269 00:13:40.799 --> 00:13:41.240 You never did. 270 00:13:41.480 --> 00:13:46.200 But women are very upset at the jdvent's issues. And 271 00:13:46.440 --> 00:13:49.519 when he was asked directly, do you want to take 272 00:13:49.559 --> 00:13:51.559 that back? And the different ways to take it back, 273 00:13:51.799 --> 00:13:54.559 you can say, you know what I realized when I 274 00:13:54.600 --> 00:13:56.879 was talking of the cast, I said something. Let me 275 00:13:56.879 --> 00:13:59.320 correct the record, and then you go on record to say, 276 00:13:59.399 --> 00:14:01.879 of course, and can make a choice, and a medical 277 00:14:02.000 --> 00:14:05.480 choice we prefer to be they Trump to speak to 278 00:14:05.600 --> 00:14:06.519 women like people. 279 00:14:06.720 --> 00:14:09.120 Well, but Sarah, I've got to say, and the only 280 00:14:09.120 --> 00:14:11.039 reason I interrupt is we're coming up on a break 281 00:14:11.039 --> 00:14:13.320 and I do have to say something so you can 282 00:14:13.360 --> 00:14:16.519 address it. First of all, there's no set of circumstances 283 00:14:16.600 --> 00:14:19.279 other than complete surrender on the issues that matter most 284 00:14:19.360 --> 00:14:20.879 under which you would vote for Trump. 285 00:14:20.960 --> 00:14:21.159 Right. 286 00:14:23.120 --> 00:14:24.559 Oh, no, I voted for Trump. 287 00:14:25.840 --> 00:14:29.080 And you're going to vote for him again. That's right news. Okay, 288 00:14:29.120 --> 00:14:32.519 so you're going to vote for him? Are you voting 289 00:14:32.519 --> 00:14:33.360 for him this time? 290 00:14:35.840 --> 00:14:37.720 There's something I would like an apologize. 291 00:14:37.720 --> 00:14:41.440 Okay, Okay, So Sarah, please, this goes back to my point. 292 00:14:42.000 --> 00:14:44.919 There's no realistic set of circumstances under which you're going 293 00:14:44.960 --> 00:14:47.399 to support this Trump this time, which is fine, we 294 00:14:47.440 --> 00:14:49.679 disagree on that. That's okay. I just want to get to 295 00:14:49.720 --> 00:14:53.759 the rest of the analysis understanding where you sit here. Listen, 296 00:14:53.840 --> 00:14:56.159 at the end of the day, I believe Trump's going 297 00:14:56.240 --> 00:14:58.559 to win, and I think you'll probably win by a 298 00:14:58.600 --> 00:15:02.080 decent margin on issues you have not talked about that 299 00:15:02.200 --> 00:15:05.960 voters will then enough voters, not all, will prioritize, because 300 00:15:05.960 --> 00:15:09.200 you're certainly right about some voters. And he's going to 301 00:15:09.240 --> 00:15:13.879 win on a combination of immigration, economy, and safety, safety 302 00:15:13.919 --> 00:15:18.120 equally in both crime and you know, wars around the world. 303 00:15:18.159 --> 00:15:19.279 He's the peace candidates. 304 00:15:19.360 --> 00:15:24.919 So that support, I believe, is going to swamp the 305 00:15:24.960 --> 00:15:26.600 issues you just articulated. 306 00:15:26.840 --> 00:15:28.159 We'll find out on election day. 307 00:15:28.240 --> 00:15:30.639 Right, Yes, I'll call you back. 308 00:15:30.840 --> 00:15:33.320 Okay, you're a great caller. 309 00:15:34.360 --> 00:15:36.080 I will call you back and remind you. 310 00:15:36.159 --> 00:15:37.759 Yeah. Oh, I'll remember a good day. 311 00:15:37.840 --> 00:15:40.399 Thank you, Sarah, A great caller. Appreciate that, because that's 312 00:15:40.399 --> 00:15:41.279 what it all comes down to. 313 00:15:41.360 --> 00:15:41.519 Right. 314 00:15:41.879 --> 00:15:45.679 If abortion is somebody's top priority, if their absolute top 315 00:15:45.720 --> 00:15:49.440 priority is the ability to take the innocent human life 316 00:15:49.480 --> 00:15:53.080 of girls prior to their birth, then they're going to 317 00:15:53.200 --> 00:15:56.759 vote for Kamala Harris, who celebrates it. She's joyful. Nothing 318 00:15:56.759 --> 00:16:00.399 makes Kamala Harris more joyful than the ability to take 319 00:16:00.600 --> 00:16:03.440 the innocent human life of a young girl right up 320 00:16:03.440 --> 00:16:05.799 to the moment of her birth, you know, and that. 321 00:16:05.720 --> 00:16:06.480 Makes her giddy. 322 00:16:07.120 --> 00:16:10.000 And so if that's somebody's top priority, they are voting 323 00:16:10.039 --> 00:16:13.399 for Kamala Harris, You're never going to change that. My 324 00:16:13.519 --> 00:16:19.279 belief is that immigration, the open border, the economy, safety 325 00:16:19.320 --> 00:16:22.000 here at home, with crime and overseas, with the world 326 00:16:22.000 --> 00:16:24.960 on fire under Biden Harris, those issues are going to 327 00:16:25.039 --> 00:16:25.840 swamp the others. 328 00:16:26.120 --> 00:16:26.279 Now. 329 00:16:26.360 --> 00:16:28.919 Dan going to Sarah's point, which she may have broken 330 00:16:28.960 --> 00:16:31.759 some news here, but as far as I can remember, 331 00:16:32.279 --> 00:16:34.399 you ran for senate. She said that you ran for 332 00:16:34.480 --> 00:16:35.279 cent Did that happen? 333 00:16:36.519 --> 00:16:39.720 You know, I'm not remembering that. Life's been busy. Maybe 334 00:16:39.759 --> 00:16:41.039 I was dead and I'm just forgetting. 335 00:16:41.240 --> 00:16:42.360 I just don't recall that. 336 00:16:43.399 --> 00:16:45.840 Sarah's great, and she got a couple other details wrong, 337 00:16:45.840 --> 00:16:47.240 but God love her enthusiasm. 338 00:16:47.320 --> 00:16:47.519 You know. 339 00:16:48.480 --> 00:16:51.960 Donald Trump is not out there saying women should be punished. 340 00:16:52.159 --> 00:16:58.559 Every intelligent, serious pro life advocate makes the point that 341 00:16:58.639 --> 00:17:03.240 it's not about punishing women women are victims in this 342 00:17:03.480 --> 00:17:06.359 in their own way. In all of this, you know, 343 00:17:06.400 --> 00:17:08.799 you've got the taking of the innocent human life. And 344 00:17:08.839 --> 00:17:11.279 then in so many cases, not all, of course, in 345 00:17:11.319 --> 00:17:15.799 so many cases, the woman's being pressured, she's being intimidated. 346 00:17:16.359 --> 00:17:18.160 We saw it Ryan, right, I mean, who was it. 347 00:17:18.200 --> 00:17:21.359 Buddha Jetge came out and admitted it. You' not paraphrase 348 00:17:21.400 --> 00:17:23.319 and he said, guys, hey, come on, you got to 349 00:17:23.319 --> 00:17:26.640 support abortion because you're more free when there's abortion. And 350 00:17:27.079 --> 00:17:29.920 then of course it's women who, after others have often 351 00:17:29.960 --> 00:17:33.319 pressured or not always, but often have pressured into an abortion, 352 00:17:33.400 --> 00:17:36.359 it's the woman who's left with the aftermath of that. 353 00:17:36.920 --> 00:17:40.559 So the pro life movement has always been a pro woman, 354 00:17:40.799 --> 00:17:44.279 starting with the fact that half of the people killed 355 00:17:44.319 --> 00:17:48.400 before birth our girls, half are females. And then the 356 00:17:48.480 --> 00:17:50.680 other part is women are then left to deal with 357 00:17:50.720 --> 00:17:54.079 the aftermath of an abortion, while the guy who used them, 358 00:17:54.240 --> 00:17:56.759 or the others who pressured into it, or the abortion 359 00:17:56.880 --> 00:18:00.640 industry including plant, PARENTOD and others which profits so richly 360 00:18:00.680 --> 00:18:03.839 off this taking of innocent human life, go on about 361 00:18:03.839 --> 00:18:07.720 their way. So you will not find a more pro 362 00:18:07.920 --> 00:18:12.519 woman movement in America than the pro life movement. And 363 00:18:12.680 --> 00:18:15.079 so at the end of the day, though, you know, 364 00:18:15.119 --> 00:18:18.000 it's maths, right, and I just think more people who 365 00:18:18.039 --> 00:18:20.119 are actually going to vote are going to be moted 366 00:18:20.359 --> 00:18:24.839 by immigration, the economy, safety and more that falls into 367 00:18:24.880 --> 00:18:25.839 Trump's category. 368 00:18:25.920 --> 00:18:27.200 You're on the Dan Kapla. 369 00:18:27.000 --> 00:18:32.039 Show, you're listening to the Dan Kaplis Show podcast. 370 00:18:33.039 --> 00:18:34.400 I know Putin well. 371 00:18:34.240 --> 00:18:35.559 I got along with him very well. 372 00:18:35.920 --> 00:18:38.720 He respected me, and it's just one of those things. 373 00:18:38.759 --> 00:18:42.519 And he would we would talk a lot about Ukraine. 374 00:18:42.559 --> 00:18:44.079 It was the apple of his eye. 375 00:18:44.119 --> 00:18:45.200 And I said, don't do it. 376 00:18:45.640 --> 00:18:47.640 You can't do it, Vladimir, you do it. 377 00:18:47.640 --> 00:18:50.720 It's going to be a bad day. You cannot do it. 378 00:18:51.279 --> 00:18:53.759 And I told them things that what I do. 379 00:18:54.599 --> 00:18:57.759 And he said no way, and I said, way. 380 00:18:58.279 --> 00:18:59.920 I see, you got to elect this. 381 00:19:00.400 --> 00:19:02.599 They talk about this phony joy, right, They try to 382 00:19:02.599 --> 00:19:05.599 take her weirdness and say, oh no, that's just joy. 383 00:19:05.799 --> 00:19:08.680 They talk about this phony joy from a person who 384 00:19:08.720 --> 00:19:12.839 bitterly curses or bitterly decries Saint Mary Christmas. 385 00:19:13.359 --> 00:19:14.839 Trump brings a lot of joy. 386 00:19:14.880 --> 00:19:18.759 He he's funny, and the truth is, and you see 387 00:19:18.799 --> 00:19:21.359 the left freaking out about that, you know, calling it 388 00:19:21.880 --> 00:19:26.640 valley girl diplomacy. Well, guess what it worked. It worked 389 00:19:26.920 --> 00:19:30.559 Putin who is Satan on Earth? Putin took part of 390 00:19:30.640 --> 00:19:36.079 Ukraine under Obama, took none of Ukraine under Trump, and 391 00:19:36.119 --> 00:19:39.200 then took a bunch of Ukraine under Biden. 392 00:19:39.640 --> 00:19:40.960 You think that's a coincidence. 393 00:19:42.000 --> 00:19:45.480 No, And the guy, he's just he gets it down 394 00:19:45.599 --> 00:19:47.960 and he's funny. Eight five five for zero five eight 395 00:19:48.000 --> 00:19:51.000 two five five the number. So, of course, what we're 396 00:19:51.000 --> 00:19:52.720 talking about lots of different things. I want to get 397 00:19:52.759 --> 00:19:55.279 to a poll that's just come out in Colorado getting 398 00:19:55.319 --> 00:19:57.559 a lot of media attention, and I'm not going to 399 00:19:57.640 --> 00:19:59.000 do that right now, but put this in the back 400 00:19:59.039 --> 00:19:59.920 of your fertile mind. 401 00:20:00.519 --> 00:20:03.839