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Speaker 1: What's going on? Thank you so much for listening to

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your support. All right so over at RedState dot com.

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Our pal Stacy Matthews aka Sister Toldja writing a couple

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of pieces here that we're going to talk with her

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about in a moment. With early voting already underway, with

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less than a month left before California voters take to

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the polls on election day, proponents and opponents of the

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controversial Proposition fifty redistricting proposal continue to make their pitches

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to voters, with Governor Gavin Newsom using the usual scare

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tactics and his critics surging voters to pump the brakes

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on his jerry mandering scheme. We have her now, okay, Stacey,

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welcome to the program. Hello Stacey, how.

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Speaker 2: Are you hey, Pete, how's it going?

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Speaker 1: All right? All right? So all right, let's talk about

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the redistricting case here in California, and I actually have

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I've got some stuff here as well, because a lot

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is being made about the comparison to Texas and that

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California is only doing this because Texas is doing this.

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But there's some backstory on the Texas front. So give

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us the update, like on where California is and then

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the general landscape as I guess, the redistricting wars are

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starting to heat up.

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Speaker 2: Well Texas, I mean, they didn't really initiate, like you said,

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there's a backstory there. But in response to Texas, you know,

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announcing in I think it was in early July that

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they were going to proceed with doing a mid decade

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redistricting for their state, Gavin Newsom, you know, pushed back

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and eventually it led to the passage of fifty legislation,

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which is going to be taken to the voters for

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their decision, and that's going to be in less than

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a month. Election day there is I think it's November

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the fourth, and there's already early voting going on for

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Prop fifty and Gavin Newsom is basically saying he's doing

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this as a temporary solution for California to the wart

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the GOP trying to expand their majority with mid decade redistricting. Again,

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like you said, there's some backstory that I'm sure that

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we'll get to. But in response to Gavin Newsom doing that,

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which is basically it's going to revolve around I think

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five seats or so that potentially could go back to Democrats.

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Other states have gotten into the mixed red states and

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blue states. You've had Missouri, You've had Indiana at New

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York talking about it. In North Carolina has now entered

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the chat. Phil Berger and Destin Hall noted a couple

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of days ago they're entering the chat now and they

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are going to be redrawing maps that will presumably be

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voted on as early as next week that potentially could

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net the GOP another seat next year, which would be

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the seat currently held most likely be the seat being

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held by Don Davis and District one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and I covered this, I guess on Monday when

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the announcement was made. We went like way in depth

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on sort of the politics of it, and you know

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the potential downside that Republicans could have if they mess

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up on the lines basically and make District three two

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competitive and you get a lot of Democrat turnout, you

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could actually lose both of those seats. The Texas backstory

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I found pretty interesting a constitutional an election law attorney

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with Dylon Law Group Harmeie Dylon's law group guy by

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the name of Mark Muser, and he pointed out that

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Texas was actually forced to read district because the Biden

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DOJ sued Galveston County and lost, which then changed the law,

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thus making four Texas congressional districts unconstitutional. And he goes

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over the entire timeline here. But the bottom line is

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that the reason why you hear Gavin Newsom or the

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reason why Gavin Newsom is wrong and he's talking about

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jerrymandering all this, but he is, he is wrong. Texas

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didn't didn't ought to do this on their own. The

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reason they had to redraw the congressional districts is because

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they got sued by Biden's DOJ who lost. And like

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that's it's a very I'm going to go into it

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after we let you go, But like there's a whole

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backstory here. So now we got these redistricting wars heating up,

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and now we've got the Supreme Court they heard oral

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arguments today. Democrats are very upset about what might happen

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if this this decision goes the way that conservatives wanted

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to go. It could end up swinging another dozen districts

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as well based on voter rights at rules. So, and

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I'm gonna circle back to all of that too. Another

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election that matters up in Virginia, and this people usually

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point to Virginia as sort of the as a bell

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weather for where like the the midterms might go because it's,

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you know, an off year election. They are in early

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voting as well for governor, attorney general, lieutenant governor. We

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covered I guess it was last week. The text mess Yeah,

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the text messages by Jay Jones, this guy running for

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attorney general where he fantasized about, you know, murdering a

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Republican Speaker of the House and his two kids, murdering

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his two kids in front of his family so they

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would see that children die in order to get them

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to change their positions on on policy and nobody. Democrats

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don't seem to be distancing themselves from him. They're not

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saying he should drop out, and I suspect that's because

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we are in early voting. They can't replace him on

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the ballot, so they're just going to have to ride

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or die with this guy. Maybe not the best phrase

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to use there, but what do we see now? How

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is this impacting voter perception of Jay Jones and the

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other candidates that are running, including the good natorial race.

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Speaker 2: Shortly after the texting scandal with j Jones broke, his

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own campaign released internal polling that's about three or four

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days after the texting scandal work, and it showed him

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only ahead by Jason Mayara of Jason Maris like one point,

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which is a statistical tie. And as we all know,

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internal polling typically tries to make the candidate that the

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poll is being conducted on behalf of looks better than

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they actually are, So he was probably already behind by

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that point. But a release by Trafalgar earlier this week

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actually Saturday, showed that not only had had the script

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flipped and my rs is now ahead of Jones in

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that race but I think six points, but also it's

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also changed the trajectory presumably in the governor's race, in

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the lieutenant governor's race, because when some fears the lieutenant

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governor who has taken on Abigail Spandrover, the Democrat nominee,

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she is now in a statistical pie with Abigail Spanberger,

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and that this this scandal is having a it's not

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a down ballot effect, it's actually an up ballot effect

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because my rs is the attorney general and you know,

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this is impacting the lieutenant governor's race and the gubernatorial race.

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And this this kind of reminds me a little bit

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of what happened with Terry mccauliff in twenty twenty one,

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where he seemed to kind of be coasting on to

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another time as governor there, but then he you know,

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made that epic some would calling a mistake, I would say,

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say in the quiet part out loud about saying what

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he thought about how parents shouldn't be advising teachers on

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what they should teach children. And so, you know, after

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that happened, his campaign just absolutely imploded. He didn't do

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himself any favors by how he responded to it, and

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the rest is history. It helped all the other candidates

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as well, in addition to Glenn Youngkin. So I'm seeing

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that kind of play out here, because if the poll

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that I'm referring to there was a there was a

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poll by this same polling group for Fogger about a

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week before the scandal broke, and it showed, you know,

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that Jones was kind of in a comfortable lead, and

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Spamberger and the lieutenant governor candidate apologized for not remember

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the person's name. They the Democrat candidates were ahead, uh,

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outside of the statistical margin this margin of error, and

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now and now they're both everything is either tied or

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in my rs case, he's actually ahead. And we've got

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what three weeks to go before they vote there, and

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again early voting is already taking place there as well.

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So I do believe we've had a shift here. And

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we have also had a gubernatorial debate, the only one

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that they had this election cycle, and Spamberger had an

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awful debate when some sears she really hammered her on

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the issue of boys and girls locker rooms and also

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the j Jones issue in the as she put out,

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and this is not hyperbole, they were brutal against Spamberger.

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I mean, they really made her look like she was

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cold and indifferent to somebody on her ticket talking about

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murdering another GEO, former GOP colleague. So it just this

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has just totally changed the dynamic. It's just almost like

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all three candidates are in a free fall because Spamberger

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won't respond like she should to the Jones scandal. And

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that's having a having a down ballot and an up ballot.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a blast Yeah, it's a blast zone around

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Jay Jones and everybody is getting hit. All of his

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fellow Democrats are getting hit by that. And uh yeah,

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and and as you mentioned that debate performance, she was awful.

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I'm sure she was coached and told like, don't look

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at Winsome Sears, don't look at her, don't respond to

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her whatever. But the way it came across was just cold,

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icy and uh, sort of like looking down on her,

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like you, I don't even need to respond to you,

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like I'm on such a higher level. Just really arrogant

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and condescending kind of vibe going on. And it was

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just and just socially awkward, just staring straight ahead at

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the moderators rather than answer the questions that were being

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thrown at her by Sears. She just seemed detached and weird. Ye,

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So yeah, I mean couldn't happen to a better candidate

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that you know, candidate's matty.

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Speaker 2: Let me let me let me add something real quick.

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You talked about the backstory to what was going on

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in Texas. There's actually a backstory to the backstory, and

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you're probably aware of it. But the twenty twenty census,

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I believe the DOJ. I forget who it was that

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discovered that actually there was some undercounting done in some

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of the red states and there was overcounting done in

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some of the Blue states. So and even though Blue

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states lost some congressional seats after the twenty twenty census,

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they actually should have lost more and Republicans should Red

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states should have gained more.

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Speaker 1: Correct So, yeah, I think it was like it was

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like over a dozen states that had problems with the counts,

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and when you broke them down, it was like half

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were overcounted, half were undercounted. And in those cohorts, like

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five of the six undercounts were Republican states and five

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of the six overcounts were Democrat states.

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Speaker 2: That's why people when they hear about you know, North

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Carolina jumping into this battle and some other restates, don't

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look at it as cheating because basically they're doing what

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should have been They're doing the correction now that probably

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should have been done three or four years ago when

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this problem with the census was discovered. So I don't

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view this as cheating. I view it as something that

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should have been corrected a long time ago. So that's

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another thing that people need to keep in mind when

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they hear about these red states that are kind of

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jumping into the phrase that, well, you know, blue state's

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had it common.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, hey, I appreciate the time as always, Stacy Matthews,

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you can reader work at RedState dot com. Thanks Stacy,

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We'll talk to you next month. Thank you, all right,

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take care at Stacy Matthews writes under the nom dipnume

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sister told you at RedState dot com. Here's a great idea.

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the Dylan Law Group. He also ran for US Senate

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in California in twenty twenty two, and he took to

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the Twitter machine formerly known as x and he said

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he's tired of hearing that California is redistricting to combat

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President Trump and Texas redistricting efforts. He goes through a

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timeline here he says Texas was forced to redistrict because

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the Biden DOJ sued Galveston County and lost. When Texas

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drew its congressional districts back in twenty twenty one, they

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created four congressional districts where they combined two minority communities

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to create a minority majority district. Okay. Then in twenty

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twenty two, the Biden DOJ sued Galveston County commissioners because

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Galveston did not draw a coalition minority district for the

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black and Latino populations. On October thirteenth, twenty twenty three,

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a federal judge agreed with Biden's DOJ and found that

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Galveston was required to draw a commissioner seat by combining

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two minority communities. The next month, a three judge panel

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of the Fifth Circuit Federal Court found that combining two

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minority groups to create a minority majority district was unconstitutional,

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and thus asked for an n Bank panel to review

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the issue to overturn prior precedents. August twenty four, the

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n Bank panel of the Fifth Circuit concluded that the

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coalition claims do not comport with Section two statutory language

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or with Supreme Court cases. The Fifth Circuit ruled coalition

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minority districts are unconstitutional, which, by the way, this is

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what's being argued at the US Supreme Court in this case,

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but in a Louisiana case, it's the same issue at

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the US Supreme Court.

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Speaker 2: Today.

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Speaker 1: July this year, Trump's DOJ sent the letter to Texas

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highlighting the Fifth Circuit order, pointing out that there are

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four coalition minority congressional districts that are now deemed unconstitutional

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and Texas needs to fix the problem. Texas made a

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prudent choice to redraw the congressional districts so as to

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save their taxpayers the expense of litigating the losing case

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in trying to defend minority coalition districts. Texas did not

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have to redraw four minority or they did not have

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to redraw four minority coalition districts because of Trump. Texas

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had to redraw the lines because Biden sued Galveston and

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the law was clarified that these minority districts, these coalition

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minority districts, were uncomm constitutional. That's what prompted this. Since

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Texas law requires the legislature to draw the congressional districts,

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the legislature followed the law California. Bit of a different story.

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So when I was a kid, my grandpa died with Alzheimer's,

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and before he died, my mom and my dad took

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care of him as he got worse. Forty years ago,

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there were no treatments and not much support for caregivers

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and family. But things are different today because of the

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00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:33,119
work of so many people, including the Alzheimer's Association of

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00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:36,759
Western Carolina. It's a great organization with awesome people with

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huge hearts. I've been a supporter for twenty five years.

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00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:43,000
This cause means a lot to me. I participate in

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00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:45,920
the annual Walk to End Alzheimer's and I'm leading a

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00:17:46,039 --> 00:17:49,119
Charlotte team again this year, and it's called once Again

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00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:51,599
Pete's Pack. You can sign up and you can join

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00:17:51,640 --> 00:17:54,480
the team and walk with us. It's on October eighteenth,

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00:17:54,480 --> 00:17:58,920
that truest field sign up at alz dot org slash walk,

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00:17:59,079 --> 00:18:01,000
and then you could search for or my team name,

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00:18:01,119 --> 00:18:04,519
Pete's Pack. There's also a link at thepetepod dot com.

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00:18:04,559 --> 00:18:07,279
There's also a link in the description of this podcast. Also,

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I'll be am seeing the Gastonia Walk on October eleventh,

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00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:12,839
and so you can make a team and join that

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00:18:12,839 --> 00:18:15,160
one too, or make a donation and help me hit

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00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:17,440
my goal of five thousand dollars. If you do, I

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00:18:17,559 --> 00:18:19,920
really appreciate it. There are a bunch of other walks

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00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:22,640
all over the Carolinas. You can go to alz dot

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00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,720
org slash walk for all the dates and locations. We're

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00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:28,599
closer than ever to stopping Alzheimer's. Can you help us

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00:18:28,599 --> 00:18:30,960
get there? Will you walk with me? For a different future,

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00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:34,799
for families, for more time for treatments. This is why

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we walk.

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Speaker 2: So.

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Speaker 1: The US Supreme Court today heard oral arguments in a

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case called Louisiana versus Calais No Relation, a case that

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could effectively eliminate Section two of the Voting Rights Act,

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the nation's central safeguard against racially discriminatory redistricting. This is

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a piece atl dot com that is a leftist rag

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written by Max Fluggrath flugraph flo Grath. I don't know

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how he pronounces it. Here's the argument as I understood

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it after listening to the oral arguments this morning before

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the show, Democrats went to the US Supreme Court to

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argue that their voters are racist. That was their case. Okay,

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I mean it was an interesting strategy. We'll see how

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it works for them, because the argument is that they

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need to be able to pack black voters into one

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district or multiple districts in order to ensure that they

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win election to the House of Representatives, and that this

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is allowable under the Section two of the Voting Rights Act. Now,

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if you kind of think through how this actually works, right,

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Democrat primaries are the first hurdle that a black candidate

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would need to clear in order to make it to

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a general election. Right, So by drawing a district that is,

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you know, fifty percent plus one black, the idea is

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that a black candidate would be ensured or has at

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least a much greater opportunity to win that race over

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a white candidate. But again, this is in a Democrat primary, right, Like,

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that's the idea. You have to be able to clear

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the Democrat primary, and so embedded in this argument is

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that if you don't pack black voters into a single district,

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then you will not be able to elect a black

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candidate through the primary because if you're just drawing the

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districts for partisan gain, which, as you know, the North

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Carolina saga with all of our redistricting going all the

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way to the US Supreme Court multiple times. They were

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cited as well with the Rucho case that's named after

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Bob Rucho, former state lawmaker. So they said that the

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US Constitution is silent on using partisan affiliation or trying

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to you know, draw districts for partisan benefit. And so

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if states want to prohibit that, the states can do so,

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but there's no prohibition from the from the Feds. So

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if you're sitting down to draw a district and you're

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a Republican map maker, right, just again, think this through.

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How would this how this works? If you are the

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Republican legislature and you want to draw maps that were

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down to your benefit, you don't need to look at race,

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You're just looking at partisan affiliation, and then you go

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about drawing districts to make it more likely that more

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Republicans will win more seats, and so you're just looking

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at party affiliation. But Democrats say, no, you got to

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look at race otherwise a black candidate will never win. Well,

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wait a minute. If I draw in North Carolina, for example,

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I've got fourteen districts. If I were to draw like

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we currently have a map that has ten safe Republican

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seats and four safe Democrat seats, then a black Democrat

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could win in a black Democrat or a black Democrat

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could win in a Democrat district. Right in the general election,

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you put a Democrat black or white, you put them

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up against a Republican in a Democrat heavy district, that

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that Democrat's going to win that seat. Right, So this

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isn't about the general election. This is about the primaries.

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And what they're arguing is that Democrat white voters won't

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vote for a black Democrat. That's their argument. I mean,

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they don't make that argument explicitly, but that's their argument.

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You can draw for partisanship. And one of the arguments

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from the State of Louisiana was that there's no logical

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endpoint to racial discrimination under Section two. And so the

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louis State of Louisiana, and we saw this with the

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North Carolina cases as well, is that the courts just

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tell you what you can't do, and the states are

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asking for clarity, like, we will draw the maps. However

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the law requires us to draw the maps. We will

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follow the law. But you can't keep telling us, Oh,

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you can't draw a map like that. Okay, Well, what

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should I use? We can't tell you, what's a better map?

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What are the criteria I can use? Can't say? And

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then you get sued, and then you go through this

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long court process and you get even more confounded by

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even less clarity. By the way, they were referring to

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majority minority districts as opportunity districts. Okay, So the argument

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was that you can't use race when you're drawing these

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districts except to correct for racial discrimination. That was essentially

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what the liberal justices were saying. That's what Section two

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is about. Like, we're not saying you should discriminate, We're

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saying because one of the one of the judges kept

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asking that question. I think it was I think it

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was a leido, can you use discrimination? Can you discriminate

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when drawing a remedy to discrimination? And the lawyer for

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the naacp who praised the deceased cop killer the other day.

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But that's a difference. But she was arguing like she

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didn't want to say discrimination. But that is what we're

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talking about. That if Louisiana has this history of discriminatory behavior,

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which it does, then you will never be able to

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get out from underneath that history. So therefore we have

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00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:19,519
to use discrimination now, which is Ibra mex Kendy's argument,

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00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:24,079
critical race theory, anti racism stuff, which is the solution

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00:25:24,240 --> 00:25:30,240
to past discrimination, is current discrimination, that's their argument. You know,

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00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:32,839
stories are powerful. They help us make sense of things,

403
00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:36,319
to understand experiences. Stories connect us to the people of

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00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:39,680
our past while transcending generations. They help us process the

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00:26:31,759 --> 00:26:36,640
dot com. So this is Eric Daugherty over on Twitter

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00:26:37,039 --> 00:26:40,160
commenting on the oral arguments, and I heard this as well,

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00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:45,680
Clarence Thomas making the point that in Louisiana, the quote

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00:26:45,759 --> 00:26:49,599
unquote black district that was drawn, the second district that

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00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:54,440
was drawn to ensure a black candidate would win, that

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00:26:54,519 --> 00:26:58,119
it would not exist unless Louisiana was forced by the

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00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:02,599
courts to consider race. And that's the problem is that

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00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:08,319
you're using race to draw the lines. And they're like, well,

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00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:12,359
and the liberals were like, well, that's just the remedy. Yeah,

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00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:17,400
but it doesn't speak to the candidacy of the individuals

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00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:22,160
running for the offices. And again, the only way that

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00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:27,000
you would believe that a black Democrat cannot possibly win

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00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:32,359
in a Democrat majority district is to believe that white

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Democrats won't vote for a black Democrat. That's what you're

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telling us. That's the argument. And by the way, just

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00:27:44,759 --> 00:27:48,440
not for nothing. I would point out Mark Robinson won

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the lieutenant governor nomination. He won the lieutenant governor race,

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00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:56,160
he won the governor nomination. He did not win the

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00:27:56,680 --> 00:28:01,599
governor's race. But Mark Robinson, black Republican win. Some seers

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00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:07,119
in Virginia, black Republican right, Black Republicans win, They win

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00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:09,720
their primaries, you know, not, I mean, not all of them,

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00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:14,640
but they do tend to do well. So this seems

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00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:18,880
to be Democrat on Democrat action going on here. Now

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00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:24,279
back to Max Flugraf at Slate again left this publication.

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00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:30,599
Louisiana versus Calais. This case began with a simple act

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00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:33,680
of compliance. After a federal court found the state's congressional

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map violated the Voting Rights Act by weakening black voters power.

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00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:43,640
Louisiana Republican lawmakers were ordered to draw a second majority

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black district. Okay, because they've got six districts and black

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residents make up a third of Louisiana's population, air go,

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there should be two blacks in Congress. That's the argument.

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But the district, they only had one black majority district

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air go Blacks can only win one seat, that's the thinking.

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That's the explanation. So lawmakers followed through on the court's

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order to do a new map, and then they got

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sued again, this time by a group of white voters

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who claimed that preventing proven discrimination was in was itself

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racial discrimination, because it is. That's exactly what occurred. He

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goes on to then say this is how democracy is erode.

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So you get the gist of his piece here. And

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what they're really really worried about is if you eliminate

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00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:48,119
Section two of the Voting Rights Act, it could actually

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00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:53,279
redound to Republicans benefits all across the country, to the

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tune of somewhere in the neighborhood of maybe two dozen

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additional congressional seats, maybe more like up the twenty seven

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00:30:03,039 --> 00:30:09,000
seats could swing to Republicans. And that's on top of

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the ones that the states are looking to redistrict right now,

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So you would you could see a massive shift. This

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is what has the Republicans or Democrats rather freaking out.

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So mister Flugrath offers the path forward he says, it's narrow,

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but it exists and demands urgency. Democrats must act decisively

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on two fronts. First, redraw maps aggressively wherever possible. So

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what is he saying we have to jerrymander? People get

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to more jerrymandering. The houses at state focus relentlessly on

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00:30:46,039 --> 00:30:50,559
retaking Congress. The Senate's steeper climb, but every seat matters.

475
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:55,480
The stakes are this high. That's what I mean. They're

476
00:30:55,519 --> 00:30:59,400
not opposed to gerrymandering, they're just opposed to Republicans doing it.

477
00:31:00,279 --> 00:31:02,559
All right, that'll do it for this episode. Thank you

478
00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:04,640
so much for listening. I could not do the show

479
00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:07,160
without your support and the support of the businesses that

480
00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:10,319
advertise on the podcast, so if you'd like, please support

481
00:31:10,359 --> 00:31:12,039
them too and tell them you heard it here. You

482
00:31:12,039 --> 00:31:14,680
can also become a patron at my Patreon page or

483
00:31:14,759 --> 00:31:18,359
go to thepetecleanershow dot com. Again, thank you so much

484
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:24,839
for listening, and don't break anything while I'm gone.

