Speaker 1: What's up, y'all. Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we do always start the show
by being transparent. Yesterday ended up being a good day
for myself. I went four and one did have a
five percent winner on the Lakers, so really good day.
Other winners were under and nets under to thirteen and
a half. Man looked like an easy winner in the
first half, made me sweat all the way to the
final second and won by the hook, but I'll take
the win. Pelican's money line that was a nice one.
Blazers and Pacers over that was also pretty nice. Jazz
Timberwood's under was the one loser never really had a chance,
So four and one day I will take it.
Speaker 2: Veno. Good to be back with you.
Speaker 1: Hopefully things are just as good on your end as well.
Speaker 3: Yesterday was good, but it was only college basketball, so
I'm disappointed to say that number forty five couldn't help
contribute to our package winnings last night, so I owe
you a little bit there, thanks for carrying us. It
was all college last night too, and when d SMU
Miamio total over got there with room to spare in
the end, New Mexico at the n SAM Houston. That
game over got to one ninety. That was probably one
of the easiest wins I've had in a while, and
the loser was Kent State team total. Unexpectedly, Kent did
not show up last night. So two and one was
a good profitable day and that's what we're looking for.
But we'll add some NBA to it today because I've
already played two games and we can get to it. Now.
Speaker 1: Let's get to it. We'll start at the top. Pistons
and Wizards opened up fifteen and a half for Detroit,
down as little as thirteen and a half, totaling up
from two eight and a half. There's two thirty one
and a half. Cad has been rolled out as the
steward has been rolled out for the Wizards. Cool Ebally
is out, Davis, George d Low, Young black out. I
really don't have a whole lot of interest betting this
game with everybody out here. Honestly, this is an easy pass.
You know, anything you want to do here.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's an easy pass too. It's an
absolute shame what's going on with Kate Cunningham right now.
Hopefully he's going to be okay. At least for a
playoff time. But my problem was Ski, I don't know
how the team reacts to this collapse along is no joke.
You know, they could come out with their heads half
in it and half with their minds on him, or
they could come out and you know, play fired up
because he's not in the lineup. But I'm not gonna
guess with other stuff on the board, So Washington's been
in this situation catching a ton of points like this,
an awful lot in fact against Detroit. Seems like they're
always playing Detroit. I don't know, maybe I'm wrong. It
just seems like I stare at the board and see
this matchup every other day, but no real interest in
betting that game.
Speaker 1: All right, we can move it on over to the
next game, and uh so that's gonna look like Orlando
and Charlotte opened up three and a half, I'm sorry,
opened up at six point favorites for Charlotte down.
Speaker 2: To five or five and a half.
Speaker 1: Total has come down as well, from two twenty seven
to two twenty five.
Speaker 2: Anthony black, Window, Carter.
Speaker 1: Junior, Isaac, and Franz Bagner out for Orlando. Charlotte once
again pretty healthy and they did not have to travel.
They're staying right at home for the Magic. This is
there what they're a game in four nights here, fourth
and six. It's a chance for them to maybe punch back.
I mean, they did beat the Hornets the first month
of the season, but since then, the Hornets blew them
out the next two meetings.
Speaker 2: So I guess I should take a peek at the standings.
Speaker 1: But curious here, you know, do you think the Magic
can stay competitive?
Speaker 3: Well, I'll go ahead and just repeat what we've been
saying here on the show for the last couple of days,
that battle between Orlando and Miami to get into the
playoff and avoid the play in. They both play again tonight,
so it's meaningful for both of these teams. Orlando's been
playing pretty good as of late. I mean, they had
a seven straight wind streak broken the last couple but
not because they didn't play Oklahoma City tough the other night.
Chance for them. The scheduling's kind of weird, right, two
road games, come home to play one home against Oklahoma City,
then go back to the road to play Charlotte. Not
that this is an extended road, extensive road trip. They're
going to turn around and come right back home for
a couple but they've been playing well overall and they
need it. Their team total has gone over six seven
and one last eight full game total over five and
one last six. Orlando continues that to play that way,
Charlotte can as well. The one thing I don't like
about Orlando here in this instant ski is when you
have Wendell Carter Junior and Jonathan Isaac both out at
the same time, the rim protection for the depth there
really becomes slight. Kawlkbrenner is capable at times, but I'm
not sure that there's enough rim defense here against Charlotte,
so it kind of keeps me off the game. But
I really would like to play Orlando. I think desperation
or the sense of urgency, so to speak, sits in
their side tonight. As I mentioned before, Charlotte is not
really in any danger whatsoever of either well, certainly there
are no danger of falling, but they're not really that
close to pulling ahead of Philadelphia two games behind, although
I guess you could say Philly's all banged up and
made Charlotte could so a little bit of motivation there.
I do like the way Orlando's playing, so it kept
me off the game because I don't I don't like
having both of those centers possibly not playing here.
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is uh, I don't know. I don't think
I'm too interested here. You know, it's a lot of games.
I mean college is much more interesting. We all know that.
But to be a fee here we can find let's
see Calves and Bulls. Eleven and a half point opener
down to ten and a half sought open, two thirty
nine hasn't moved.
Speaker 2: I mean, these Bulls have been bad.
Speaker 1: Sexton is probable, Smith questionable, I v A Corros Sigmon's out,
Donovan Mitchell is questionable, Jared Allen, porter, and Proctor out
for this Cavs team. Looking at the Magic, I'm sorry
looking at the Bulls. Pretty sure they played last night.
I'm just trying to find it here. Yeah, I'm pretty
I remember seeing them getting blown off the earth. That
was last night, right, Yeah, Verse Toronto, I believe so
second of it. Back to back for them against the
rest of the Cavaliers. A little shorthanded, but Calves should be
able to name their number. Probably Calves team total. I'd
probably be my recommendation. I just I don't like anything
about the Bulls. You know which you got.
Speaker 3: It's kind of like what I said yesterday about this team.
They're just hard. They don't want to play any defense whatsoever.
And yesterday they turned it over like crazy, twenty six
points for Toronto off of Chicago turnovers, even with Giddy
in the lineup. Didn't shoot it well from three, But
they just continue to give up points. I mean, it's
to recommend the Cleveland team total sounds pretty nice to me.
I mean, Cleveland's still gonna score even if mitchell doesn't
go in this particular game. Give up fifty seven percent
from the field last night, the Bulls did. It's the
second time in the last four game games where they've
given up fifty five percent or better. One nineteen or
more points allowed in one, two, three, four, five of
their last six. It's just not a team that's playing
with any interest on the defensive end. SKI so hard
to back them. I don't think they're good enough offensively
to keep pace. Again, didn't play lousy lowsy matchup here,
But I do think if I was going to play,
I could probably get to the Cleveland team total here.
Just a bit out of my range here at one
twenty four and a half one twenty five and a half.
Speaker 1: All right, Sun Spurs opened up minus nine, looks like
ten ten and a half. Total went up from two
twenty five and a half. As I as two twenty eight.
Sons will be without Mark Williams, Dylon Brooks, O'Neill and
Grayson Allen are both questionable. I don't see anybody on
the injury report for the Spurs here tonight. It is
the third game and four nights for both teams, fourth
and six for the Spurs.
Speaker 2: This Sun's team, though, this is the.
Speaker 1: Final, the sixth and final game of their road trip here,
so they've lost their last three. I mean it's a
chance for them to try to go fifty to fifty
on the road trip or do they just want to
get back home here? Rao got a glance really quick
at the standings and the Sun's right there in, you know,
in the seventh spot in a play in. I mean,
off three straight L's versus Spurs team, off three straight duves,
they're getting ten points. I think you get a good
effort from the Suns here.
Speaker 2: What do you think is that enoughs?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I know you said this like last week,
no interest in betting against the Spurs. Kind of feel
the same way right now. How how could you? I
mean to me, they're still in hot pursuit of Oklahoma City,
I mean San Antonio. I haven't seen any quote skiing,
you know, I like to read all these coaches quotes
and stuff from post games and whatnot. I haven't seen
or read anybody directly referred to. Yeah, we're trying to
chase down the number one seed, but the way they're
playing seems they probably don't have to say it to me.
Their actions prove to me every night that they're trying
to get past Okay see here. And I believe, if
I'm right, they probably own the head to head season
series because I know they were beating Oklahoma City at
will early on. Okay See did come back and get
one against them, so if they were to land in
a tie, it would go to San Antono. I think
every night they come to play, and like I say,
their parts are so interchangeable. Phoenix, it's been a long
road trip. I'm glad you said that because I would
have said it if you didn't. And I just don't
know if they can keep up here san Antonio just
scores and scores and scores. And as much as we
talk about Wemby as a defensive presence, san Antonio offensively
they like get to one twenty without even trying half
the time. It's so funny to watch them play. They
don't look like they're piling on points in bunches, but
what yet when you look up, they're piling up points
in bunches. So I don't know, I could probably get
to some form of San Antonio team total over because
I do think Phoenix will be a little bit fatigued,
and maybe the Spurs, I don't know, tends a lot,
tends a lot, but I was gonna say beyond Booker
in Green just don't like Phoenix's ability to score with
who they'll have on the floor tonight. So you know,
it points all Spurs to me. Did I did not play.
Speaker 2: I'm just trying to see here. Is it.
Speaker 1: Is there any kind of look ahead here for the Spurs?
Maybe Spurs? No, they play the Pacers next. No, no
reason to really fade the Spur but unless you think
they're complacent, but there is a reason to back the Suns. Oh,
I think I'll think about this one a little bit more.
They've played three times this season, granted with different players.
Sons have won two of them. Those two ends were
very early in the season November. Last time they played,
Sons lost one to ninety four. I do think the
sun's on the right side, but I think about it
a little bit longer. Clippers and Pelicans, this one is
on the move, opened up as a pick them. We
now see New Orleans minus two and a half total
open two thirty six, and that has come down seen
it as low as two twenty eight and a half.
Injury report, Let's just refresh because I know I saw
some stuff pop up. We have Garland Mathern both out,
Kawhis questionable, sorry but to him is probable. De Jonta
Murray is out for the Pelicans team. They're missing some
pace with Garland missing some points as well. With Garland
mathering could be missing Kawhi too. I mean, stay one
hundred yesterday. Why doesn't this one stand here again?
Speaker 2: How you feeling it?
Speaker 1: You know?
Speaker 3: Yeah? Dejante Murray played a really good game. Just say
that point in New Orleans. Honestly, when you watch them
nowadays the past, I don't know, a month maybe extended
out even further. But I guess my point is going
to be that healthy, they look pretty good and they
don't necessarily get priced as pretty good. Here. I really
wanted to come back with the Clippers team total because
they lose last night with only one hundred and nine points.
But there's just no way I'm getting there without Garland,
without Kawhi. We already knew we would and have Benedict
Mathern here Ben Matherens. So it's just too much to
take away from the Clippers for me to come back
and think that they're going to exceed their team totally.
If I think that way, the other choices would be
either New Orleans or an under. You mentioned the under.
You know, back to back wins by New Orleans here,
it's very possible. They're up to a two and a
half point favorite now, though in some locales is this number.
Like you say, when the injuries come out, they do
hit these games pretty hard Spurs. I guess, excuse me, Clippers,
I'm just trying to see how you know they're pretty safe.
I mean, they're in the eighth slot, but they could
fall to ten. I mean, they really can't play around
the only one game ahead of Golden State. One game
separates eighth and tent and home games in the play
and are pretty valuable. So I don't know. It just
seems like the Clippers, if they're going to hold everybody out,
don't seem very interested in winning this game.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can agree with that.
Speaker 3: I I.
Speaker 1: Don't really trust too much. Besides probably less points here.
Speaker 2: Lakers and Heat. We just saw those Lakers yesterday. This
one opens.
Speaker 1: Heat minus two is up to five and a half
or six total right around the opener though.
Speaker 2: As far as.
Speaker 1: Injuries for the Lakers, Luca reeves, Lebron all questionable, back
to Kaliba is out for the Heat. I mean, Hokas
is questionable, and Wiggins is out right now. So the Lakers,
like I said, are playing on the back to back
for the Heat. It's chance for them to get some revenge.
Last time they played, they lost by They lost one
thirty to one twenty.
Speaker 2: That was back in November.
Speaker 1: They do have the rest advantage in this one second
of the back to back for the Lakers, third and fourth,
fourth and six. With everybody questionable, I feel like the
Lakers just won a big game and a big you know,
little end season series. As far as the standings are concerned,
why would they just coming and now want to you know,
they won that game yesterday just to give the next
game away. I just don't feel like that's I just
don't think that's right. They could be all right out
that Heat could win, you know, but I think the Lakers,
like at least two or three are going to play,
and I think that that can be enough to beat
this Heat team.
Speaker 2: What do you think?
Speaker 3: You know, Yeah, that Total is not holding it two
forty and a half because money anticipates nobody playing for
the Lakers. Otherwise it wouldn't be close. That I get.
And obviously this is one that I played. I played
the Miami team total over one twenty two and a half.
Always makes me happy when I see Norman Powell available,
which he is in this game, probably the most important
guy when I played totals. But I know Miami's going
to play pace, and I do think that the Lakers
had a tough game last night, so maybe if it
shows up for them, it wouldn't show up on the
offensive end, it would show up on the defensive end. However,
all that said, they shot sixty percent from the field,
last night. It was crazy how well the Lakers shot
in that game. We talked about that game against Houston yesterday,
pointing out how good LA has been playing as of late.
They're playing really good, And there was a point in
the second half there, maybe late third, early fourth, where
Houston really pushed back and looked like they were going
to be able to control the game in LA just
pushed them out of the way and wound up winning.
Luca forty Lebron thirty. I think Lebron was almost flawless
from the field twelve to thirteen as I'm looking here,
so I don't know that you can repeat that shooting
performance overall as a team. All that said, if their
guys go, they still have scores. The one thing I
think is constant here is it's going to be played fast.
Miami needs to win games because, as I mentioned with Orlando,
those two are six and seven. Either you're gonna be
in the playoffs, so you're gonna have to go through
the play in I don't think Miami wants that, so
I don't trust them enough to win the game. So
I couldn't bet side, especially at that price, but I
do think they'll score one hundred and twenty three points.
I got in up one twenty two and a half. Ski.
It looks to me as I'm talking here, I'm looking
at the current team total, which is now bumped up
to one twenty three and a half for Miami. So
if you bet it, you need to get to one
hundred and twenty four. I'm not sure that that's not
doable here tonight. Like I said, I bet it over
one twenty two and a half.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I do you know?
Speaker 1: I forgot that the heat they are are back to
back losses and they just lost by thirty should you know,
be a reason for them to want to get some
effort after getting embarrassed like that. So I'm gonna pump
the brakes on that that Lakers talk that I started with.
I can understand why you want to heat team. Total
Lakers defense in a row not the greatest, and on
the back to back probably don't get the best effort.
So I can definitely understand that. Let's keep going down
the list. Bucks and Jazz.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know why I want to hurry up
and get to this game. You know what I mean?
You do have the Jazz on the back to back, Ah,
This is disgusting.
Speaker 1: There's so many good college games in NBA while we
got to talk about this, What do you want with
this one?
Speaker 2: You know, Milwaukee and Utah.
Speaker 3: It was disgusting enough for me to wake up this
morning and run to my apps and play this game
over the other day, I had made the point that
I'm just basically mechanically playing Indiana. It worked again last night,
right Indiana Portland team total got over, game got over, clinging,
got over. The whole world got over last night where
Indiana is involved. And I just feel the same way
about Milwaukee at this point in time. Janna is protesting
to play. Doesn't play here tonight. I don't think shouldn't
matter Utah's defense. Whatever seven or eight Milwaukee rolls out
there and the rotation should score theirs. And same goes
for Utah. They're down like their too best, right, but
still Utah plenty enough to score against the Milwaukee defense
that just shows little interest in stopping opponents whatsoever. Utah
games at home generally high scoring. I said to myself,
you know, before I saw openers last night, if this
game comes anywhere less than two thirty four, I'm going
to be on the over and it opened up two
twenty eight, so I got there a little bit later
to twenty nine, but it's still sitting at two twenty
nine and a half. I like it over. I just
think this is one of those role out the balls,
see who scores the most, and it's kind of the
way both teams are playing right now.
Speaker 2: All right, I can understand that. Absolutely.
Speaker 1: Kings and seventy six ers, Yeah, you know, looking like
a pass today, it's looking like.
Speaker 2: Not a whole lot of good stuff going on. I'm okay.
Speaker 1: I don't want to lite anybody's time, So if you
have anything on sixers and Kings, you'd love to hear it.
Speaker 3: I'll just steal your line from the game before that.
We just talked about why am I rushing to play
this game? I'm not, although I am sporting number forty
five in a Philly jersey, so I should have something
good to say. But the line is switched here to
a two and a half point favorite. Honestly, ski, I didn't.
I'm just really quick gonna look at the injury board
to see why Philadelphia would go to a two point
favorite here. But I show most of Sacramento's guys in
which means maybe somebody for Philly is gonna play here. No,
there's no difference here. Philly's been horrible on this road
trip Sacramento. As soon as you want to trust them,
you find out why you don't the other night. So
I got nothing on that game.
Speaker 1: If that's the NBA slate for today, man, today's slate
was not not great. All right, let's get to these
promos and best bets to get out of here. So
reminder to everybody, we still do have the buy three
gear three free comes out to six days for just
sixty nine dollars. You would like to do longer term,
you can do the one year all access pass for
just under four dollars a day. And if you know
you want to continue to rock with Rob and myself,
double the NBA Court Vision three days for fifty nine dollars.
We get both Rob and my NBA plays for three days,
and we've been we've been hot, we've been doing good.
So definitely good ways to get involved. You know you're
going to pass it to you, ask you if there's
anything else you would like to promote, and.
Speaker 2: If you have a best bet for the show, we
love to hear it. If you don't. It's okay.
Speaker 3: I just go off topic really quick here. For those
that are like Ski and I interested in this college
basketball tournament, college basketball package is still up and available
right through the National Championship Game. Just go to either
one of our homepages at waygertalk dot com. You'll find
a pretty good package deal to take you all the
way through the National Championship Game. I believe it started
at one forty nine a week ago. I believe that
number has come down because there's been some games played already,
but still huge weekend in college basketball I have I
think I'm trying to count in my head. I do
have five four plays available for this evening, including my
first four percent of the year. So that's college hoop
Tonight's Ski. I'm just gonna go back to something we
talked about earlier. I like the Miami team total over
I'm gonna use what's fair at this time. Like I said,
I got one twenty two and a half. But what's
fair right now is to say one twenty three and
a half. Of you guys can dig up a one
twenty two and a half by all means, shop as
best as you can if you want to play it
down alternate line kind of play it down. If your
places one twenty three and a half, play it down
to one twenty two and a half, be my guest.
But that's where I'm at here. I explained why. I
just think Miami needs the game, and I feel like
la second of back to back here. If they don't
bring one end to the floor to the game, it
would be the defensive and in Norman Powell, of course,
i'd like so Miami team total over one twenty three
and a half.
Speaker 1: The good stuff from Rob you know, for myself, man,
I haven't played in an NBA game yet so far today,
taking my time a little bit today. Uh maybe I'll
just maybe I'll do like this just a reminder for
everybody here.
Speaker 2: No, I guess not. I guess we don't have that well.
You know, all I'll say is if.
Speaker 1: If I was going to be making a bed here
with I don't like to do it because I don't
like to feel like, you know, people are gonna run
with it and go my bad. People are gonna run
with it and go bet it. But I don't want
to feel pressure to have to go, you know, put
the bet in. But I really do like that Sons
plus ten have I just need to, you know, verify.
I think about it a little bit longer. But lost
three games in a row versus Spurs who've won three
games in a row. Sons trying to avoid the play
in right there in that seventh spot. I think that's
a you know, a situation where they should at least
give effort, regardless of them continuing to be on the road.
So Sons would probably be my dog of the day.
But again I haven't played it yet, so youno, appreciate
you taking time to cat these games. I will see
you out here in Vegas in a little bit, so
we'll get to hang out and have some of those
good tequila pineapples and watch some of these games.
Speaker 2: So looking forward to that chat. We appreciate you.
Speaker 1: Good people, good cappers, and everybody's trying to help each
other get to the window. So best of luck everybody
on all your action. We'll catch you guys again later