1 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:23,800 Speaker 1: And here we are. Look at that. Welcome to the 2 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:28,760 Big Podcast. It's Friday, yep, it is today is the 3 00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:32,479 tenth day of April, year of Our Lord, twenty twenty six. 4 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:36,280 My name is Tom Sullivan. And well we've got an 5 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:41,159 awful busy Friday. We've got the people from the Moon. 6 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:44,119 Well they're from Earth, but they went out by the moon. 7 00:00:44,320 --> 00:00:49,399 They're going to be landing off the coast of San Diego. Well, 8 00:00:49,439 --> 00:00:52,640 it depends where you are this afternoon or this evening. 9 00:00:52,679 --> 00:00:58,439 It's at five seven pm Pacific time, eight oh seven 10 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:02,520 Eastern time. So that's going on. That's all positive stories, 11 00:01:02,799 --> 00:01:08,239 the war and the big ceasefire. The Vice President and 12 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:12,879 his team are on their way as we speak to Islamabad. 13 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:18,239 We've got various opinions on it, but I'm very cynical 14 00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:25,439 about this whole thing. Oil and gas prices, well, the 15 00:01:25,599 --> 00:01:28,239 predictions are going to go higher if this thing, if 16 00:01:28,239 --> 00:01:31,439 they don't work out a deal. There really isn't a 17 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:36,599 ceasefire deal. But we'll get into all of that. People 18 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:40,359 in this country used to feel very good about Israel. 19 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:46,079 Those numbers have changed dramatically, especially with young people and 20 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:51,439 Milania her surprise yesterday coming out and talking about Jeffrey Epstein. 21 00:01:51,799 --> 00:01:53,959 A lot of reaction to that coming in. So let's 22 00:01:53,959 --> 00:01:58,519 get started. Let's start with the positive. The Moon exploration. 23 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:01,799 We haven't done it a long time, so it is exciting. 24 00:02:03,239 --> 00:02:05,239 They're going to be, like I said, eight oh I 25 00:02:05,239 --> 00:02:08,080 think eight four eight oh seven Eastern times, so five 26 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:11,919 oh four, five oh seven Pacific time, off the coast 27 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:15,039 to San Diego, and the Navy is there and they're 28 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:17,120 ready to go, and they they're going to pick them 29 00:02:17,159 --> 00:02:20,439 out of the water with some helicopters and bring them 30 00:02:20,439 --> 00:02:23,439 over to a ship and then from there they bring 31 00:02:23,479 --> 00:02:27,879 them into North Island Naval Air Station in San Diego, 32 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:29,759 and from there they put them on a jet and 33 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:34,120 fly them to Houston Space Center, the Johnson Space Center 34 00:02:34,159 --> 00:02:36,280 in Houston. So they've got still a lot of travel 35 00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:41,360 ahead of them when they land. Miles O'Brien, who is 36 00:02:41,599 --> 00:02:45,400 a big aviation guy who's talking about what they're going through, 37 00:02:45,599 --> 00:02:46,400 s we speak. 38 00:02:46,759 --> 00:02:50,159 Speaker 2: Well, they're busy stowing everything that they had out for 39 00:02:50,199 --> 00:02:51,879 this amazing mission around the Moon. 40 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:54,080 Speaker 3: Is kind of like wrapping up a camping trip. 41 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 2: And in tight quarters, I might add four people in 42 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:01,400 basically the size of two minivans kind of always bumping 43 00:03:01,439 --> 00:03:03,360 into each other no matter what they tried to do. 44 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:06,560 But all the cameras, all the gear, all the checklists, 45 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:09,719 all the things that were associated with the space flight 46 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:11,719 now need to be stowed. And then they have to 47 00:03:11,759 --> 00:03:15,039 bring out their pressure suits and wiggle their way into 48 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:19,319 them to get ready for the re entry. So it's 49 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:23,439 a busy time for the crew and a lot of joy, 50 00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:26,199 as they called it, moonjoy will not be replaced with 51 00:03:26,599 --> 00:03:28,560 focus on the task at hand. 52 00:03:30,319 --> 00:03:33,639 Speaker 1: We're so used to watching crews in the Space Shuttle 53 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:37,400 that had room to go around and do the various chores, 54 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:40,759 and this one, like you said, basically poor people into 55 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:44,840 small minivans. It did look a little tight. So I'm 56 00:03:44,879 --> 00:03:49,560 sure they're anxious to get back and land. The director 57 00:03:50,120 --> 00:03:54,000 of the space flight says, everything has to go right. 58 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 4: It's thirteen minutes of things that have to go right, 59 00:03:57,080 --> 00:04:00,240 is the way I think about it. You know, whole 60 00:04:00,319 --> 00:04:02,520 checklist in my head that we you know, were going 61 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:05,439 through of all the things that have to happen. You know, 62 00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:08,960 the forward bay cover has to come off, the drogs 63 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:11,039 have to come out, the she mainshoots have to deploy, 64 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:14,080 the reefing systems have to cut and we have to 65 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:19,000 get touchdown angle alignment correct and then hit the water correctly. 66 00:04:19,319 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 1: It's actually pretty amazing that the director of this flight 67 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:24,920 said that thirteen minutes what could go wrong? If that's 68 00:04:24,959 --> 00:04:28,040 all it is. From the time that they're out in space, 69 00:04:29,439 --> 00:04:32,680 thirteen minutes later they're in the years to atmosphere and 70 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:36,160 parachutes are coming out. There's a lot and during that 71 00:04:36,319 --> 00:04:40,399 time they have their heat shield and the heat shield 72 00:04:40,480 --> 00:04:44,079 on Artemus one, this is Artemis two. Artemis one was 73 00:04:44,199 --> 00:04:49,199 without any humans on board, and the heat shield on 74 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:52,759 the bottom of the space capsule actually had some flaws 75 00:04:52,879 --> 00:04:57,399 and five thousand degrees some of the heat got into 76 00:04:57,480 --> 00:05:01,800 and underneath some of the space shield, so they redid it, 77 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:05,000 and I think Miles O'Brian talks about it in this clip. 78 00:05:05,319 --> 00:05:08,639 Speaker 3: What could go wrong with this? It's a scary time. 79 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:12,800 Speaker 2: There are so many things have to go right at 80 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:16,519 the right time, in the right sequence that it might 81 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:18,839 be best not to think too much about it. But yes, 82 00:05:19,160 --> 00:05:22,319 from that moment when it first the capsule first enters 83 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:26,519 the atmosphere right around four hundred thousand feet of altitude 84 00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:31,000 and begins to heat up, and goes to a scenario 85 00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:34,519 where right past the peak, heating kind of skips off 86 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:37,279 the surface of the atmosphere, if you will, or the 87 00:05:37,399 --> 00:05:40,079 edge of the atmosphere to bleed off a little bit 88 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:43,759 of speed, like skipping a stone. That is going to 89 00:05:43,759 --> 00:05:46,360 be a very nail budding time. There'll be a period 90 00:05:46,399 --> 00:05:50,519 of time from about seven fifty three Eastern time all 91 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:53,560 the way to the splash dount at eight oh two 92 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:59,199 or just before it, where the air molecules outside the 93 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:02,040 capsule will be so hot they will split apart, creating 94 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:04,680 what we call plasma, and this will make it impossible 95 00:06:04,680 --> 00:06:06,519 to communicate with the cruise. So there's going to be 96 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:10,120 this long six minute moment where no one's going to 97 00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:12,079 know what's going on out there, and I think all 98 00:06:12,079 --> 00:06:13,439 of us will be holding our breath. 99 00:06:14,160 --> 00:06:17,360 Speaker 1: They go from four hundred thousand feet down to about 100 00:06:17,399 --> 00:06:20,240 thirty eight thousand feet in something like eight minutes. I mean, 101 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:22,879 you talk about dropping like a rock. And the other 102 00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:25,000 part about this is, yeah, they do skip off of 103 00:06:25,040 --> 00:06:27,560 the Earth's atmosphere a little bit to slow things down, 104 00:06:27,839 --> 00:06:32,360 but if they don't have the right projectory, you will 105 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:36,600 skip off the Earth's atmosphere and keep going off into space, 106 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:41,079 and they have lost all of their fine tuning engines, 107 00:06:41,120 --> 00:06:44,800 their little devices that can fine tune the direction of 108 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:48,199 the spaceship. That's all been ejected at this point. So 109 00:06:48,680 --> 00:06:51,240 if they skip off and they're there at the wrong angle, 110 00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:54,279 they skip off and just keep going right off into space. 111 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:57,319 That's always been a problem. Nobody's ever done it. But 112 00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:00,519 you don't want this to be the first one. About 113 00:07:00,519 --> 00:07:03,399 that heat shield on the bottom of the space capsule. 114 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:06,000 Back to Miles talking about it. 115 00:07:07,439 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 2: Well, I don't think you have to be a rocket 116 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:11,439 scientist to look at that and that hole there that 117 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:15,000 you're looking at right there to determine that's not the 118 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:17,759 way it should look. The heat shield is what we 119 00:07:17,839 --> 00:07:22,279 call it's a blative. It's designed to burn away, but 120 00:07:22,439 --> 00:07:25,639 in a very even way. This is how Apollo capsules 121 00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:29,120 return from space. It's kind of unlike the Shuttle, which 122 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:31,720 had those fragile tiles designed to be reused. This is 123 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:34,439 kind of a one use heat shield, and you want 124 00:07:34,439 --> 00:07:36,639 it to burn evenly. But as you can see in this, 125 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:40,800 some gases kind of got underneath it and inside it, 126 00:07:41,199 --> 00:07:45,240 and so it burned unevenly, causing these hotspots. If you 127 00:07:45,279 --> 00:07:48,079 will and so it did not perform to spec. They 128 00:07:48,199 --> 00:07:52,240 changed the way they applied this so called avcoat material, 129 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:56,560 and they're slightly changed the flight pass. So let's you know, 130 00:07:56,800 --> 00:08:00,319 the only way to test it, however, is about twelve 131 00:08:00,399 --> 00:08:01,759 hours with people on board. 132 00:08:01,839 --> 00:08:03,720 Speaker 3: So let's just hope they got it right. 133 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:06,839 Speaker 1: I hope they got it right. But I mean you 134 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:09,120 find out that, Okay, the crew that got the thing 135 00:08:09,199 --> 00:08:12,839 wrong last time, they say they've changed it, oh boy. 136 00:08:13,519 --> 00:08:16,399 And they've changed the flight path a little bit, oh boy. 137 00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:19,199 So it is an ale bider when they come back in. 138 00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:22,000 But it happens very very quickly. They're going to start 139 00:08:22,279 --> 00:08:26,120 Nasty TV is going to start coverage around six thirty Eastern, 140 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:30,279 three thirty Pacific, and so about an hour and a 141 00:08:30,319 --> 00:08:33,399 half beforehand. And there's a whole bunch of mumbo jumbo 142 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:36,480 during that period of time. But the real action takes 143 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:39,679 place in about the last twenty minutes or so of 144 00:08:39,720 --> 00:08:44,440 them coming back into Earth's atmosphere and making sure everything 145 00:08:44,799 --> 00:08:49,600 worked correctly. So godspeed for the astronauts coming back to 146 00:08:49,759 --> 00:08:57,480 Earth tonight to the war. Let's go there. Cease fire, really, 147 00:08:59,159 --> 00:09:02,639 everybody's protect there's a cease fire. I'm looking at going. 148 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:08,120 Israel still firing rockets, Iran is still firing rockets. Iran 149 00:09:08,240 --> 00:09:11,960 still has the port of the Strate of Hormuz is 150 00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:15,919 still not open. There's a couple of ships getting through, 151 00:09:15,960 --> 00:09:19,000 but they're having to pay tolls and it's international waterway. 152 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:24,679 Brock Revide, who reports for Axios, has this latest. 153 00:09:25,639 --> 00:09:30,799 Speaker 5: Well, I think that until now pretty partially and this 154 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:34,919 will be I think the big challenge in this round 155 00:09:34,919 --> 00:09:40,080 of negotiations in Pakistan, because the ceasefire is I mean 156 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:43,320 to say that it's fragile is the understatement of the century. 157 00:09:43,799 --> 00:09:46,200 And to say that there are still gaps between the 158 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:50,159 parties on you know, on the understandings of you know, 159 00:09:50,200 --> 00:09:52,720 what was exactly agreed on and what is going to 160 00:09:52,720 --> 00:09:55,960 be discussed. The gaps are pretty big and there's still 161 00:09:56,000 --> 00:10:01,120 a lot of confusion. But but taking all that into consideration, 162 00:10:01,879 --> 00:10:05,519 this is still and I think this is important because 163 00:10:05,519 --> 00:10:09,000 this is still the most high level meeting between Iran 164 00:10:09,279 --> 00:10:12,960 and the United States of America since the Islamic Revolution 165 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:16,960 in nineteen seventy nine. I'm not saying that we're on 166 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:20,080 a cusp of a peace deal, not at all, but 167 00:10:20,159 --> 00:10:22,559 I'm just saying that this is a very important moment 168 00:10:22,639 --> 00:10:24,559 in history. I don't know what's going to come out 169 00:10:24,600 --> 00:10:29,600 of this meeting. Obviously, this is jd Vance's big moment. 170 00:10:30,200 --> 00:10:33,440 He's going to the super Bowl tomorrow, and you know, 171 00:10:33,639 --> 00:10:35,320 let's see how he does. 172 00:10:36,159 --> 00:10:39,159 Speaker 1: It is JD Vance's big moment. It is odd that 173 00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:42,200 you start off with your first meeting with the highest 174 00:10:42,279 --> 00:10:46,600 level officials from both countries. Usually the lower level people 175 00:10:46,639 --> 00:10:48,919 worked out all the details. They argue back and forth, 176 00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:51,799 and then they bring in the top dogs to sign 177 00:10:51,879 --> 00:10:54,399 off on things. But if they come out of that 178 00:10:54,720 --> 00:10:58,879 deal tomorrow with an agreement, I will be shocked. I 179 00:10:59,000 --> 00:11:03,960 mean major league shocked. If they do, I think it 180 00:11:03,960 --> 00:11:07,559 will be because they're going to try and cram something 181 00:11:07,639 --> 00:11:09,799 that they will call them agreement just so that they 182 00:11:09,879 --> 00:11:12,399 have an excuse, an off ramp if you will to 183 00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:15,399 get out of this war. Other than that, I mean, 184 00:11:15,440 --> 00:11:20,519 I just stand by for more of what we had before. 185 00:11:21,399 --> 00:11:24,279 And the question then will be will President Trump go 186 00:11:24,399 --> 00:11:27,360 right back to war immediately if we don't have an 187 00:11:27,360 --> 00:11:29,240 agreement or is he going to give it the two 188 00:11:29,279 --> 00:11:31,559 weeks that he said he would give it, Because those 189 00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:36,279 deadlines don't seem to mean too much to anybody, So. 190 00:11:37,039 --> 00:11:39,759 Speaker 5: It seems to me that at least at the moment, 191 00:11:40,120 --> 00:11:42,080 you know, at the moment, we're on day three of 192 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:46,159 the ceasefire. At the moment, both sides still want the ceasefire. 193 00:11:46,279 --> 00:11:49,440 They don't want to resume the war. It doesn't mean that, 194 00:11:49,960 --> 00:11:53,720 you know, twelve days from now, they might you know, 195 00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:56,679 want to resume the war, or you know, they'll be 196 00:11:56,879 --> 00:11:59,799 compelled to. But I think there's also the scenario that 197 00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:03,559 cease fire will be extended because you cannot get a 198 00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:08,399 real deal on almost anything in two weeks, especially not 199 00:12:08,519 --> 00:12:12,039 with Iran. So I think that the issue is whether 200 00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:14,440 in those two weeks the parties will be able to 201 00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:17,840 a resolve the issue of her moves that I think 202 00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:21,440 is crucial. If her moves is not open, the ships 203 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:24,360 are not moving, then there's not going to be a ceasefire. 204 00:12:24,399 --> 00:12:26,679 It's pretty clear President Trump will not be able to 205 00:12:27,039 --> 00:12:29,600 you know, allow this thing to continue, and we saw 206 00:12:29,639 --> 00:12:33,960 his post. But if they managed to start get ships 207 00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:36,519 moving in her moves, and if they can get and 208 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:40,799 you know, sort of an agreement on what's the first 209 00:12:41,039 --> 00:12:45,559 item to agree on? Okay, not like all the comprehensive deal, 210 00:12:45,759 --> 00:12:48,440 what's the first item to agree on? And if they 211 00:12:48,480 --> 00:12:51,559 managed to move in that direction, then you know, maybe 212 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:55,159 those talks have a chance. I still I'm very skeptical. 213 00:12:56,000 --> 00:13:01,360 I think also I'm not sure how good of an 214 00:13:01,399 --> 00:13:04,879 idea it was to start the talks from the level 215 00:13:04,879 --> 00:13:09,080 of the Vice president. Usually you need some preparation on 216 00:13:09,159 --> 00:13:12,080 lower levels. I think one of the problems is that 217 00:13:12,120 --> 00:13:15,960 there's a big, big trust issues between the Iranians and 218 00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:19,679 President Trump's envoys, Steve Whitkoff and Jared Kushner. So I 219 00:13:19,679 --> 00:13:22,240 think this is part of the It's not the only reason, 220 00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:24,519 but it's part of the reason that the Vice president 221 00:13:24,519 --> 00:13:28,919 needed to step in. But it will be I think 222 00:13:28,919 --> 00:13:31,559 the crucial thing here is to see whether this is 223 00:13:31,679 --> 00:13:35,440 just a ceremonial photo op or the parties managed to 224 00:13:35,480 --> 00:13:37,840 at least get an agreement on an agenda of how 225 00:13:37,879 --> 00:13:38,600 to move forward. 226 00:13:38,879 --> 00:13:42,480 Speaker 1: I'm putting my money on a ceremonial photo op. I 227 00:13:42,519 --> 00:13:44,919 don't think there will be an agreement coming out of this. 228 00:13:45,399 --> 00:13:48,360 The only way that this will the cease fire will 229 00:13:48,399 --> 00:13:52,600 continue is if they open up the strait of Hormers. 230 00:13:53,120 --> 00:13:56,200 Short of that, the deals off, and I think they 231 00:13:56,240 --> 00:13:59,879 will go back to kinetic military action. And speaking of 232 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:04,759 military how about General Jack Keane. You know, he told 233 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:08,759 us yesterday and the day before. He was very diplomatic, 234 00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:12,559 but he is really unhappy about this cease fire. He says, 235 00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:16,600 we were basically going down our punch list militarily. We 236 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:20,120 still had another two weeks to go. We were doing 237 00:14:20,360 --> 00:14:23,159 we were getting everything checked off, and all of a sudden, 238 00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:26,559 we have to stop. He's not happy about it, but 239 00:14:26,919 --> 00:14:32,320 he knows that as the four star general, you have 240 00:14:32,399 --> 00:14:34,240 to kind of swallow sometimes. 241 00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:36,720 Speaker 6: Well, the president has information that none of us have, 242 00:14:37,279 --> 00:14:40,679 so there's something that is telling him. This looks better 243 00:14:40,720 --> 00:14:44,360 than any of the other negotiations that he's been involved in. 244 00:14:44,399 --> 00:14:48,360 And tell me what the Iranians did with the Obama administration, 245 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:51,879 So that's got to be a fact. But no, I'm 246 00:14:51,919 --> 00:14:55,600 not optimistic about it, because this is what the Iranians do. 247 00:14:55,799 --> 00:15:02,519 I mean, they are masters at obfuscation and delaying negotiations. 248 00:15:03,519 --> 00:15:06,879 What's on the table is everything that they value, everything 249 00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:10,759 from the from the nuclear to the ballistic missiles, to 250 00:15:10,840 --> 00:15:14,559 their drones to support for proxies. Everything they stand for 251 00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:19,039 they would have to voluntarily give up. It's hard to 252 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:21,600 get your head around the fact that they would actually 253 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:23,879 do that. What they would likely do is make concessions 254 00:15:23,879 --> 00:15:27,200 on a number of points that will incentivize us. Oh, 255 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:29,720 this is different. They're willing to make a deal here, 256 00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:33,759 drag this thing out for a number of weeks. And 257 00:15:33,919 --> 00:15:36,600 would why do they want to drag it out? Well, 258 00:15:36,639 --> 00:15:40,840 because they don't want us to go back and reattack. 259 00:15:41,399 --> 00:15:45,799 And the longer there is lower oil prices, the lower 260 00:15:45,840 --> 00:15:50,919 there's less economic pain, the longer there's less political pressure. 261 00:15:51,360 --> 00:15:54,159 It makes it that much tougher in their minds for 262 00:15:54,200 --> 00:15:58,639 the administration to go back and finish the job militarily. 263 00:15:59,080 --> 00:16:02,440 That I believe is is really their strategy. And they're 264 00:16:02,519 --> 00:16:05,200 very clever at doing this. They're actually better at this 265 00:16:05,240 --> 00:16:09,480 than they are at fighting. And the history speaks for itself. 266 00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:12,559 And the other thing is, whatever the deal is, let's 267 00:16:12,559 --> 00:16:15,240 say we actually get to something and they're signing papers. 268 00:16:15,600 --> 00:16:17,639 Speaker 3: Can we really trust these guys go forward? 269 00:16:18,919 --> 00:16:21,960 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know how much clearer General team 270 00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:26,120 can make it. He doesn't believe anything the Iranians say 271 00:16:26,679 --> 00:16:29,919 or sign or do. They've done that a million times 272 00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:32,840 in the past, and they ignore any and all agreements 273 00:16:32,879 --> 00:16:36,200 they've ever had with anybody. Back to the General, we got. 274 00:16:36,080 --> 00:16:39,519 Speaker 6: To be prepared, and I know our forces can open 275 00:16:39,720 --> 00:16:42,480 up that straight and protect the ships going through it. 276 00:16:43,039 --> 00:16:46,240 People are handringing about a drone here and a missile there, 277 00:16:46,279 --> 00:16:48,120 and it's not going to take anything to stop it. 278 00:16:48,559 --> 00:16:51,600 They don't understand the plan all right, and the details 279 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:55,200 of the plan. The United States military can secure it. 280 00:16:55,279 --> 00:17:01,039 Define space that's moving through the straits, put it absolute 281 00:17:01,159 --> 00:17:04,519 air cap and and air bubble around all of that, 282 00:17:05,079 --> 00:17:07,759 and make certain that anything that tries to penetrate it 283 00:17:07,839 --> 00:17:11,319 is going to be defeated. My god, We've been protecting 284 00:17:11,319 --> 00:17:13,680 our own ships against the running has been firing on 285 00:17:13,759 --> 00:17:16,839 them for weeks. We can certainly do this. It's considered 286 00:17:16,839 --> 00:17:19,079 to be more limited than that. Admittedly, they have a 287 00:17:19,079 --> 00:17:21,519 whole shoreline fire from. But you think we're actually gonna 288 00:17:21,599 --> 00:17:25,759 let anybody come close to that shoreline. We'll have a patchually, 289 00:17:25,799 --> 00:17:29,079 helicopters up, surveillance up. We know how to do that. 290 00:17:29,240 --> 00:17:31,319 It's not that big of a deal. So you're just 291 00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:34,279 saying it's not challenging. I'm not saying it's not. There 292 00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:37,160 isn't some risk associated with his risk associated with every 293 00:17:37,519 --> 00:17:40,519 military operation. But it's quite it's quite doable. 294 00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:42,720 Speaker 1: I must admit, I've been thinking, well, how do you 295 00:17:42,799 --> 00:17:45,880 protect ships escorting ships and all that. What the General 296 00:17:45,960 --> 00:17:48,720 explain makes sense to me. They will put a bubble 297 00:17:48,799 --> 00:17:52,119 around ships going through. It's going to be very busy. 298 00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:54,000 It's going to take a lot of personnel. It's going 299 00:17:54,079 --> 00:17:56,960 to take a lot of money. But John m kean 300 00:17:57,079 --> 00:17:59,119 is sloughing it off and going is no big deal. 301 00:18:00,079 --> 00:18:02,640 Can do that. It's a piece of cake. So that's 302 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:06,079 the answer. If Iran doesn't want to open the straight, 303 00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:10,440 then we have to open it. Michael Allen, former National 304 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:12,559 Security advisor, also weighs. 305 00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:15,319 Speaker 7: In, well, the stakes have definitely gotten ire for Vice 306 00:18:15,319 --> 00:18:18,839 President Vance. I'm certain that the President has given him 307 00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:23,079 the charge to threaten the resumption of military force, and 308 00:18:23,319 --> 00:18:27,279 less Iran agrees to the loose at the very least 309 00:18:27,279 --> 00:18:30,279 the loose terms we had worked out earlier in the week. 310 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:33,319 We have to be clear with the irandiance that they 311 00:18:33,359 --> 00:18:36,319 do not have a veto over who gets through the 312 00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:38,920 Straits of Hormuz, and that it ought to be re 313 00:18:39,079 --> 00:18:45,160 established as a free and open international waters passageway. Anything 314 00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:49,680 short of that gives them control over energy and by extension, 315 00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:52,960 sort of a veto, sort of a control over the 316 00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:53,799 world economy. 317 00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:55,240 Speaker 1: That's unacceptable. 318 00:18:55,319 --> 00:18:57,079 Speaker 7: We've got to get it back on track. And I 319 00:18:57,079 --> 00:19:01,119 can't think of anything that they'd be interested in unless 320 00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:04,160 it's the renewed prospect of military force, which they should 321 00:19:04,279 --> 00:19:07,160 want to avoid. So I really don't think they're going 322 00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:09,759 to give it up at the negotiating table. They may 323 00:19:09,799 --> 00:19:12,519 come out of this weekend with some language that we'll 324 00:19:12,559 --> 00:19:16,119 try to finesse. Maybe we'll get the Chinese and others 325 00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:18,920 to try and weigh in with the Iranians, but I 326 00:19:19,039 --> 00:19:21,400 think we're honestly, I think we're going to have to 327 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,759 go back to a situation where the United States is 328 00:19:24,799 --> 00:19:29,319 degrading Iran's coastal defenses near the Strait of Ormuz. We've 329 00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:33,400 been busily degrading other things across the country the last 330 00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:38,640 five weeks. But that will enable, we think the Sentcom 331 00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:42,240 commander to say to the Commander in chief, we've now 332 00:19:42,279 --> 00:19:45,400 reduced the threat enough to where we can do a 333 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:49,920 freedom of navigation operation, established that it's back open, and 334 00:19:50,039 --> 00:19:54,240 hopefully hopefully be able to do an escort mission to 335 00:19:54,319 --> 00:19:55,759 start bringing tankers through. 336 00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:59,480 Speaker 1: So I've learned a long time ago it's business one 337 00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:02,960 oh one never negotiate from a position of weakness, you 338 00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:07,119 always want you negotiate, you negotiate from a position of strength. 339 00:20:07,559 --> 00:20:10,759 The President put out on True Social earlier today, something 340 00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:15,200 to the effect of, I'm just paraphrasing that Iran doesn't 341 00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:19,160 realize that they don't have any cards to play. The 342 00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:23,400 problem is Iran thinks it does. It thinks it's got 343 00:20:23,519 --> 00:20:26,960 the card called straight of horror moves, and they're going 344 00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:29,319 to try and play that. But again, to go back 345 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:33,519 to what General Keene said, why not just say fine, 346 00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:36,400 you think that's your card, No, that's our card. We're 347 00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:39,240 going to open this strate of horror moves, stand back 348 00:20:39,519 --> 00:20:43,119 and don't interfere. I think we can do it. The 349 00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:45,559 question is is that's what is that what's going to 350 00:20:45,599 --> 00:20:49,039 come out of this weekend? And the other part of it, 351 00:20:49,079 --> 00:20:54,119 politically is about a JD. E. Vance. They put him in. 352 00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:58,079 The President has put him in a high stake situation. 353 00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:01,480 And if it doesn't work and it fails, does he 354 00:21:01,559 --> 00:21:05,079 get blame? And then does Mark or Rubio come settling 355 00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:08,920 along looking all the much better? In any case, back 356 00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:10,000 to Michael Allen. 357 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:13,079 Speaker 7: Let's see what happens this weekend. We've got a very 358 00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:16,960 I'm sure we have a very effective message, and so 359 00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:19,279 the Vance has got a lot of pressure on him. 360 00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:22,079 Speaker 1: Here and finally let's find out what John Bolton has 361 00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:25,319 to say. John Bolton, you know, is this conquer the 362 00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:27,759 picnic as far as the Trump administration is concerned. He 363 00:21:27,799 --> 00:21:31,000 was the National security advisor for Donald Trump in one 364 00:21:31,039 --> 00:21:33,599 point oh, but then they had a fallout. But he 365 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:37,279 still has a lot of experience and he's extremely smart 366 00:21:37,279 --> 00:21:40,079 guy about international affairs. Here's Bolden. 367 00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:42,200 Speaker 8: I mean, I think this is going to turn out 368 00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:45,559 to be a mistake the president. So obviously once away 369 00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:49,480 out of this current situation that I think a Ron 370 00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:53,720 senses weakness and it's it's going to push and push 371 00:21:53,799 --> 00:21:57,279 until it sees how far it can get. And particularly 372 00:21:57,319 --> 00:22:01,519 before they face to face talks in Islamabad scheduled for 373 00:22:01,599 --> 00:22:04,200 this Saturday, They're going to see what they can get 374 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:07,519 by forcing Trump to make concessions without them having to 375 00:22:07,559 --> 00:22:08,359 bargain for them. 376 00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:11,119 Speaker 1: That's the risk for Jedi Vance if Iran gets the 377 00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:14,440 upper hand and is able to get the United States 378 00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:19,119 and jady Vans to agree to something, and the Trump 379 00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:23,119 administration backs off and says, okay, whatever you want, Iran. 380 00:22:23,599 --> 00:22:27,119 That's how Jada vance is going to look bad if 381 00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:27,720 he fails. 382 00:22:28,279 --> 00:22:31,400 Speaker 8: Well, I think that's what Taco means. Trump always chickens out. 383 00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:35,000 They watch what he does, and he thinks he's bargaining, 384 00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:38,079 and they think he's just blustering. So they wait for 385 00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:41,240 him to bluster away and then see if they can 386 00:22:41,279 --> 00:22:44,200 move him down into some other position without having to 387 00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:47,359 give anything up. By the way, that clip from Franklin Roosevelt, 388 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:51,720 just so everybody understands it, historically was a prayer. It 389 00:22:51,799 --> 00:22:54,839 begins Almighty Father and goes on from there. 390 00:22:55,440 --> 00:23:00,279 Speaker 1: He is referring to comparing the president's threats against Iran 391 00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:06,079 versus other US presidents in the time of war, and 392 00:23:06,519 --> 00:23:11,240 Fdr on D Day started with a prayer to our 393 00:23:11,279 --> 00:23:14,359 heavenly Father to watch over the troops. That was the 394 00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:16,400 way that he approached it. But I mean, at this 395 00:23:16,559 --> 00:23:22,240 point our military has been very, very successful. They still 396 00:23:22,279 --> 00:23:26,920 have more work to do. But does Iran. They have 397 00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:31,279 to look around and they can't possibly think that they're 398 00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:34,559 able to fight back against the United States. 399 00:23:35,039 --> 00:23:35,880 Speaker 3: No, I don't think so. 400 00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:38,880 Speaker 8: I think on balance, the damage that we've done to 401 00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:44,000 their capabilities is very significant. The potential to stray, to 402 00:23:44,079 --> 00:23:46,400 take control of the straight of Hormuz has been around 403 00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:50,680 for a long long time, and we for decades discounted 404 00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:53,200 the possibility it would happen. Obviously, we're not going to 405 00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:56,359 do that again in the future. But I think it's 406 00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:59,640 really critical to understand that what Iran has been doing 407 00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:02,000 here has been visible for a long time. They've been 408 00:24:02,039 --> 00:24:05,720 fortifying islands in the Gulf and in the Strait right 409 00:24:05,759 --> 00:24:08,079 in front of us, and we haven't done anything about it. 410 00:24:08,519 --> 00:24:11,519 So I think we have to understand that as bad 411 00:24:11,559 --> 00:24:14,680 as this seems now, it will be infinitely worse if 412 00:24:14,759 --> 00:24:17,160 they get nuclear weapons. I don't think they're going to 413 00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:21,119 negotiate giving up control of the Strait. I think the 414 00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:23,039 way to do it is to take it from them, 415 00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,559 and obviously the presidents that's about the farthest thing from 416 00:24:26,599 --> 00:24:27,640 his mind at this point. 417 00:24:28,039 --> 00:24:31,319 Speaker 1: Again, this is the danger is is that we want 418 00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:35,960 to get out of this conflict so bad that we 419 00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:39,480 just agree to anything and everything that the Iranians say, 420 00:24:39,839 --> 00:24:42,640 and we okay, okay, okay, We'll sign that just to 421 00:24:42,759 --> 00:24:47,200 get off this war path. And I hope that's not 422 00:24:47,319 --> 00:24:50,400 the case, because there's a lot of pressure on President 423 00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:53,880 Trump and the White House on JD event to end 424 00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:58,720 this war and declare victory and stop the straight of 425 00:24:58,799 --> 00:25:03,440 permeuse her move from being blockaded, get the world's economy 426 00:25:03,519 --> 00:25:07,720 back in shape. I mean, it's six months until election day, 427 00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:10,480 and the president's watching that calendar very closely. I just 428 00:25:10,559 --> 00:25:15,240 hope he's not that eager to solve his political pressure 429 00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:19,119 with signing any deal that the Iranians put on the table. 430 00:25:20,039 --> 00:25:23,359 Speaker 8: Look, our military has known of this contingency for decades, 431 00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:25,599 and I don't know what the latest plans say, but 432 00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:29,759 I'm sure they've thought about it. Is my understanding, they 433 00:25:29,759 --> 00:25:32,240 were doing many of the things one would need to do, 434 00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:36,519 going after the manufacturing of mines, going after the manufacturing 435 00:25:36,559 --> 00:25:39,720 of drones, going after the mind laying ships, going after 436 00:25:39,759 --> 00:25:42,519 the fast boats. They may not be in a position 437 00:25:42,599 --> 00:25:44,480 to do it yet, but I think they should be. 438 00:25:44,559 --> 00:25:47,200 They should have continued to work on it. Obviously they're 439 00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:51,240 not during a cease fire. Ceasefire gives a breathing room 440 00:25:51,279 --> 00:25:53,400 for the Iranians. It doesn't help us. 441 00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:57,680 Speaker 1: Bolton is a hawk. He wants to continue the war. 442 00:25:57,799 --> 00:26:01,039 So does a General Jack Keane to continue the war. 443 00:26:01,519 --> 00:26:04,519 But I have to maybe I should look in the mirror. 444 00:26:04,559 --> 00:26:07,000 Maybe I'm a Hawk too, because I think that's the answer, 445 00:26:07,519 --> 00:26:11,079 is to militarily take control of the Strait of Hormuz 446 00:26:11,759 --> 00:26:15,960 and open that back up again and stop Iran in 447 00:26:16,039 --> 00:26:18,559 their tracks. They're still going to I know they still 448 00:26:18,599 --> 00:26:21,720 have a lot of missiles and they have a lot 449 00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:25,119 of drones ready to go, but we have to be 450 00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:28,759 willing to fight that back. We cannot afford to give 451 00:26:28,799 --> 00:26:32,119 in to Iran at this point, all this work and 452 00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:34,960 all this treasure that we have put in. It's time 453 00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:39,880 to go ahead and just continue the military effort and 454 00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:46,599 call it a victory. Meantime, oil and gas prices, well 455 00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:52,079 prices surprise, the triple A average gas price went down 456 00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:57,279 a penny since yesterday. It's now only four dollars and 457 00:26:57,319 --> 00:27:00,519 fifteen cents for a gallon of gas. The average for 458 00:27:00,559 --> 00:27:05,440 the cheap stuff nationwide it was for sixteen yesterday. Diesel, however, 459 00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:10,680 continues to go higher. Sorry, truckers and farmers. Diesel average 460 00:27:10,799 --> 00:27:17,279 across the country is now five dollars and sixty eight cents. 461 00:27:17,799 --> 00:27:21,200 That is only thirteen cents away from the all time 462 00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:25,920 highest ever price for a gallon of diesel fuel. As 463 00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:30,119 far as oil price is by the barrel, seems to 464 00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:33,640 have studied out recently right now, so I'm watching the 465 00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:37,880 trading going on on the commodities markets. Oils down almost 466 00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:41,640 two dollars to ninety just under ninety six dollars for 467 00:27:41,839 --> 00:27:44,880 a barrel of oil, so it's staying in that range 468 00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:46,880 as opposed to some of the predictions where it was 469 00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:49,720 going to go to one thirty or one fifty. It's 470 00:27:49,759 --> 00:27:54,440 at ninety ninety six dollars roughly for a barrel of oil. 471 00:27:55,440 --> 00:28:00,599 Tom Closa is the manager of Oil and Energy for 472 00:28:00,759 --> 00:28:04,359 Gulf Oil, Big oil guy. Let's see what he says. 473 00:28:04,759 --> 00:28:07,119 Speaker 9: I think we're going to see, you know, the market 474 00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:09,440 is going to be doing the cha cha as posted 475 00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:13,240 to the tango with these big dips in increases. We're 476 00:28:13,279 --> 00:28:16,880 seeing gas prices received ever so slightly today there's a 477 00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:21,519 definite rocket and feather to it, and you may see, 478 00:28:21,799 --> 00:28:24,680 you know, prices come off of it. It's actually very 479 00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:28,599 typical this decade to peak in mid April. But it 480 00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:31,200 all depends on the street. You know, if they don't 481 00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:34,799 get straight open. You're trading crude oil for one hundred 482 00:28:34,799 --> 00:28:39,039 and twenty five or one hundred and fifty dollars and gasoline, diesel, 483 00:28:39,119 --> 00:28:42,559 jet fuel, will continue to be incredibly expensive. 484 00:28:43,039 --> 00:28:45,559 Speaker 1: Yeah, so another voice calling for you've got to open 485 00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:49,000 the straight of horror moves. That's that's critical coming out 486 00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:52,799 of the talks tomorrow. As far as the economy, we're 487 00:28:52,799 --> 00:28:55,880 talking about oil and gas, but we also got some 488 00:28:56,000 --> 00:29:00,839 stats out about the economy. The consumer Price Index inflation 489 00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:06,000 at your pocket level and mind, inflation was the largest 490 00:29:06,119 --> 00:29:10,079 increase since June of twenty twenty two. That was back 491 00:29:10,079 --> 00:29:13,680 when the Biden inflation was taking off, up nine tenths 492 00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:16,759 of a percent in the month of March. Year over 493 00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:22,240 year inflation three point three percent. Now this is March, 494 00:29:22,319 --> 00:29:25,240 so it's taking into account the gas price is going up. 495 00:29:25,519 --> 00:29:28,200 The rest of it as the higher gas prices filter 496 00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:33,680 through to other products and services, will show up in April, May, June, July. 497 00:29:34,359 --> 00:29:39,160 But right now I'm surprised that it's only three point 498 00:29:39,240 --> 00:29:44,519 three percent, but inflation definitely went higher. Anybody surprised about that. 499 00:29:45,279 --> 00:29:48,400 So inflation for March was cripple what it was for February, 500 00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:52,079 and it's the highest that we've seen in four years. 501 00:29:52,119 --> 00:29:54,839 You've got to go back to the Joe Biden inflation 502 00:29:55,079 --> 00:29:57,839 ramp up, and we're not anywhere near the nine percent. 503 00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:01,519 Inflation three point three is higher than it should be, 504 00:30:01,839 --> 00:30:06,039 but I understand gasoline led the way. Of all the 505 00:30:06,079 --> 00:30:10,720 various product lines there, fuel was gasoline led the way 506 00:30:10,759 --> 00:30:16,119 twenty one percent increase in the month of March. Consumer 507 00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:20,599 sentiment hit a record low in the month of March. 508 00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:23,960 Consumer Center. This is the University of Michigan version of it. 509 00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:27,279 There's two major consumer sentiment indexes, one of them is 510 00:30:27,359 --> 00:30:32,319 University of Michigan, and they said that the drop coincided 511 00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:37,079 with the sharp spike in inflation expectations. The people that 512 00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:40,559 responded to the survey said that they see prices continuing 513 00:30:40,599 --> 00:30:44,519 to go up four point eight percent in the next year. 514 00:30:46,039 --> 00:30:49,200 That way over where we are right now. The index 515 00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:53,039 dropped over ten percent, so huge it usually barely moves. 516 00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:58,200 So the consumer sentiment index fell out of the of 517 00:30:58,319 --> 00:31:00,680 the of the numbers that they normally show down ten 518 00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:04,240 point seven percent to the lowest that we've ever seen 519 00:31:05,039 --> 00:31:09,279 on the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. And from 520 00:31:09,319 --> 00:31:12,960 a different survey, it's Frank Luntz, who's the big polster 521 00:31:13,079 --> 00:31:18,160 out there, taking a sentiment on how people feel about Israel, 522 00:31:19,079 --> 00:31:23,039 and it's not good. It's been coming down. The older 523 00:31:23,079 --> 00:31:27,720 you are, the more pro Israel you are. More Republicans 524 00:31:27,799 --> 00:31:33,519 are more favorable of Israel than Democrats. But even among Republicans, 525 00:31:33,920 --> 00:31:39,200 the young, anybody that is under age fifty, I believe, 526 00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:43,559 he says, Yeah, twenty four percent of the people fifty 527 00:31:43,599 --> 00:31:48,319 and up have an unfavorable view of Israel. So that's 528 00:31:48,359 --> 00:31:50,359 a bigger number than it used to be, but still 529 00:31:50,759 --> 00:31:55,000 twenty four percent. For people eighteen to forty nine, fifty 530 00:31:55,279 --> 00:32:01,359 seven percent have an unfavorable view of Israel. Here's Frank Lunch. 531 00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:04,880 Speaker 3: Well, for most people, the economy's number one issues. 532 00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:07,920 Speaker 10: And I want to apologize viewers for the sound of 533 00:32:07,920 --> 00:32:10,480 my voice, but I thought this is too important to 534 00:32:10,519 --> 00:32:11,079 pass up. 535 00:32:11,839 --> 00:32:14,119 Speaker 3: The fact is I knew you'd fight through. 536 00:32:17,599 --> 00:32:21,680 Speaker 10: Yeah, so I'm not giving up the portability, gas prices, 537 00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:27,240 energy prices, food prices, housing, healthcare. All of these are 538 00:32:27,319 --> 00:32:31,599 key issues, and they're all voter issues. Now, make the mistake. 539 00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:35,160 This is still April. There's more than six months betwe 540 00:32:35,279 --> 00:32:39,079 now an election day. But there is no issue that 541 00:32:39,119 --> 00:32:42,519 will be more important to Republicans' efforts to keep the 542 00:32:42,559 --> 00:32:45,920 House in the Senate than the economy in general and 543 00:32:46,000 --> 00:32:49,920 affordability in particular. And this is not good news for 544 00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:53,640 the president at this moment, and the fact that the 545 00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:57,160 president doesn't have a united front of this moment among 546 00:32:57,200 --> 00:33:00,240 people who backed him in twenty twenty four is of 547 00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:05,319 obvious concern. But the critical nature for me has opposed 548 00:33:05,319 --> 00:33:09,680 her are the independents. These are individuals whit will vote 549 00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:13,680 in twenty twenty six, are not aligned by political party, 550 00:33:14,319 --> 00:33:19,079 are not particularly ideological, and are not particularly political, and 551 00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:23,440 their opinions matter most because they're the deciding vote and 552 00:33:23,519 --> 00:33:27,839 the two dozen seats that determine who controls the Congress, 553 00:33:28,279 --> 00:33:31,680 and right now, their hostility to the war, at least 554 00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:34,880 at this moment, is going to be a problem for 555 00:33:34,920 --> 00:33:38,799 the Republicans. But again, it's only the middle of April 556 00:33:39,240 --> 00:33:42,200 and so much can change between now and then. It's 557 00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:47,559 still a warning sign. They're relics clashing everywhere. But that 558 00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:51,319 just tells me that the White House and Congress needs 559 00:33:51,319 --> 00:33:55,200 to do a better job of explaining why, how and 560 00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:56,400 what happens at the end. 561 00:33:56,880 --> 00:34:00,920 Speaker 1: So people are not happy with the war, I understand that, 562 00:34:01,599 --> 00:34:04,519 But again to that point about the younger people are 563 00:34:04,559 --> 00:34:06,039 not happy with Israel. 564 00:34:06,279 --> 00:34:10,480 Speaker 10: Here's frank, never happened in modern history or in at 565 00:34:10,599 --> 00:34:14,719 least over the last twenty five years. Israel has always 566 00:34:14,719 --> 00:34:19,119 been seen favorably by most Republicans. It's been seen unfavorably 567 00:34:19,159 --> 00:34:24,480 by some Democrats, but the partisanship is less important right now, 568 00:34:25,039 --> 00:34:29,280 and the age break is so significant. Younger voters have 569 00:34:29,360 --> 00:34:33,840 turned against Israel and supportive of the Palestinians in numbers 570 00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:38,159 that I've never seen since the New millennium. And for 571 00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:41,760 these Radians, they have to be concerned that they're messaging 572 00:34:42,400 --> 00:34:46,880 and their procedures and their policies and how they prosecuted 573 00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:50,239 this war is causing the American people to turn against 574 00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:53,840 them in numbers that they never imagined before. And let 575 00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:58,800 me say this, foreign policy normally doesn't matter in off 576 00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:03,599 your elections, but this year, in terms of where the 577 00:35:03,639 --> 00:35:08,119 heat is, where voters are most patsionate the fact that 578 00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:13,119 Israel has seen this decline in his public support. I 579 00:35:13,159 --> 00:35:14,719 believe that Israel is going to be one of the 580 00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:18,400 issues that's going to matter in this upcoming election, and 581 00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:21,280 that the people over in Tel Aviv ought to be 582 00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:26,239 paying attention to this because in the end, funding allies 583 00:35:27,159 --> 00:35:30,480 support really does matter to the country and to the 584 00:35:30,519 --> 00:35:33,880 people that country, and they better be paying attention to 585 00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:37,519 it because this is significant and this is serious. 586 00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:42,159 Speaker 1: Issue, really is Benjamin at Yahoo also is serious about 587 00:35:42,320 --> 00:35:45,360 the attacks that have been on Israel ever since he 588 00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:49,559 was a very young man. He doesn't he doesn't reread lightly. 589 00:35:49,679 --> 00:35:52,920 He goes after the enemies with everything he has. And 590 00:35:53,079 --> 00:35:55,599 that is where people are going. They don't like to 591 00:35:55,639 --> 00:35:59,159 see that, and he's going, but I've got to I 592 00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:02,519 got to make it. Re'll survive. And that's what that's 593 00:36:02,559 --> 00:36:07,440 his whole standpoint, always has been. So that's where we 594 00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:09,880 stand today. Let's take a look at this at the markets, 595 00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:14,000 because it was a mixed market today. The Dow Jones 596 00:36:14,039 --> 00:36:18,880 Industrials down two hundred and sixty nine to forty seven, 597 00:36:19,519 --> 00:36:22,239 nine to sixteen, started lower and just kept drifting lower 598 00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:25,599 throughout the session. S and B five hundred, not much 599 00:36:25,639 --> 00:36:27,760 of a move, but it was also. It was higher 600 00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:31,760 in the morning, fell in the afternoon, finished down seven points. 601 00:36:32,199 --> 00:36:37,000 Nasdak did the opposite. It stayed above where we started 602 00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:40,159 this morning, lost some of its game, but still finished 603 00:36:40,159 --> 00:36:43,679 with an eighty point gain for the Nasdaq. Gold it 604 00:36:44,239 --> 00:36:48,679 fell forty four dollars down to forty seven to seventy three, 605 00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:53,760 and Oil two dollars right now, down two dollars tonight 606 00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:56,559 just under ninety six dollars, ninety five dollars and some 607 00:36:56,719 --> 00:37:00,719 change for a barrel of oil. So that's it today. 608 00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:04,760 Thank you for coming by. We will be back on Monday, 609 00:37:04,920 --> 00:37:06,239 and I hope to see you then