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Speaker 1: It was good. Everybody, welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

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If you are new, we always start the show by

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being transparent, and yesterday was a two and three day

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for myself. It was no bueno. Man, Lakers was a

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bad call. Other than that, I mean the Bulls, but

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business they have losing to the Pistons and that autumn

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players you got to google like, it's just so annoying.

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Got plus two and a half, everybody gets ruled out,

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goes to minus two and a half, not even close,

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but two and three day overall, have to do better today.

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You know, it's good to be back with you. How

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you doing. How's everything for you?

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Speaker 2: Everything's good, Ski. It's a definite rough patch in the

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NBA for me right now. Thank goodness, there's college basketball

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and the NFL and in game. I think the best

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place for the NBA right now is in game, Ski,

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rather than pregame. But we did go winless last night.

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Had the Lakers, as we talked about on the show,

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had the Bulls team total over one sixteen and a half,

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they did not get there against the lineup that you mentioned.

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And last but not least late last night, and I

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probably bet too soon. I had Hawks Kings over two

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thirty three and a half, which later went down to

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two thirty one and a half, and don't you know,

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it landed two thirty three. So sometimes you're around this

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business that as long as I've been, they just go

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that way sometimes. So we're trying to fight our way

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out of it where NBA is concerned.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that was that was the one game I actually

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had right I put I was opposite. I had a

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Kings team total under and the first quarter I was

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and I was pacing and pissed off. But by halftime

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a third quarter, it looked a little bit better for me.

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So let's see. We have three games today, you know

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in the association, see if we can find some money there.

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We have a Thursday night football game. We will start

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with Raptors and Cavaliers. Opened up minus five and a

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half looks like minus seven and a half. Total open

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two thirty five and a half, looks like two thirty

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eight and a half. As far as who's available right

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now or who's out, Alonzo Garland strews Entyson out for

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the Cavs now for the Raptors, MAMU CNB are both

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questionable and then a Baggie is out. This is man,

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count it out. It is a back to back for

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the Cavaliers, third and four, fifth and seven, fifth game

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and seven nights for the Cavaliers. I've been playing every day,

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damn near. The Raptors believe it's their second game in

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five days something like that. So Raptors definitely the more

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rested team here. That Cavs offense has looked elite lately,

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number one offensive rated team, and the Raptors, I mean

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they've been good too, their top ten offense and defensive

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rated team. The defense has been especially impressive. Now will

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they be able to hold down this juggernaut Cavaliers offense.

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You know, it's possible Cavaliers missing some guard play there

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without both Garland and las O Ball may hurt the

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offense a little bit. I know you still have Donovan Mitchell,

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but yeah, I like what I've seen from the Raptors

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on the defensive end. I like that the Raptors have

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the rest advantage here. I mean, the Raptors did already

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beat the Cavs once. I don't feel like the Caves

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really put their best effort into that game. I want

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to say, even some people sat but it's hard for me,

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like the market is pushing this up towards the caves

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and it's fifth and seven nights. I can't agree. I

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would be preferring the Raptors side if I'm playing aside

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at least, how do you feel about that? Or are

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you looking at the total?

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Speaker 2: Well, fifth and seven nights as a team, but not

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fifth and seven nights for Donovan Mitchell didn't play last night,

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so it'll be you know, he's had too a couple

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of days rest here. I guess they did the right

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thing with his back to back. They sat him and

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MOBILEI bring them both back here tonight. Send take a

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couple of guys who started, or excuse me, take a

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couple other guys out. I do agree Ski that the

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point guard situation just gets hurt here when you don't

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have Garland or Alonso. Again, Donovan Mitchell is a ball

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dominant guard anyway, so I guess you can consider him

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to be your point guard here. But I too like

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the Raptors a little bit in this game. And I

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tell you what, I'm getting to the point where whatever

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looks logical becomes But I'll say this, the people who

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bet NBA boy, they love their stars in or out

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of the lineup, because it's the only reason really why

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this game went from two thirty five and a half

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all the way to two thirty eight, and it was

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two thirty nine and a half early, and it's come

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back since. I think some cooler heads prevailed with the

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big jump on the announcement or on the knowing that

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Mitchell was going to play here. Seven and a half

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seems like a lot to me. Toronto will come to play,

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There's no doubt about it. I don't know that the Cavs,

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you know, again, winning by margin, do you care all

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that much? I'm not sure. I'm actually not sure that

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Donovan Mitchell will have his best game here. Like I say,

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he's on the sidelines at Louisville, Kentucky the other night.

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He had bigger things to tend to than be with

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the team or play for them last night. So I'm

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leaning Toronto here. I think the line move is a

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little bit excessive, and I don't like the fact that

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you have two point guards sitting on the bench here tonight,

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probably two of your better playmakers. So I think when

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I had it all up, I think I lean Toronto.

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Speaker 1: All right. So we're in agreement that we will prefer

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the road dog in this one. As far as the

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total is concerned, the lack of point guard play makes

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me think that it hurts the Calves offense. If you

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told me that you know, you get either Lonso or

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Garland and you know to help when Donovan Mitchell especially

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is off the floor, I would feel better about this

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over you know, so being here without both of those guys.

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This Raptors defense has just been been playing too good

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lately to expect the Calves to just run it up,

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especially on a fifth and seven nights. So I think

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that the Raptors can hold the Caves down. I mean,

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your team total is one twenty three and a half Calves,

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I mean, yeah, have been getting there coming off of

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but one thirty one thirty eight, twenty eight thirty two

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they've been scoring. I don't know. This one's wrecking my brain.

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Maybe we look at the Raptor side and expect them

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to be able to score. I mean, Cavs defense last

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five games ranked sixteenth and fifth game is seven nights.

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I mean, I don't think you get the best effort defensively.

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Raptors have been the top ten offensive ready team in

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that span, Raptors team total is one fifteen and a half.

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I'm just gonna glance here. The Cavaliers gave that up

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and four of their last five games as well, So

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as much as they're scoring, they're giving it up. The

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only team that did not hit the world fifteen and

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a half was the Wizards, who landed on one fourteen.

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So how do you feel about any of that stuff

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that I'm saying there?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you could isolate Raptors team total here

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for sure. Cleveland's down in a lot of defensive category

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skiing like you mentioned, you know, I think it kind

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of is like the Nuggets in some regards when we say,

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or at least I say a lot that the Nuggets

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know they can probably outscore you, so defense isn't always

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required for forty eight minutes. Nuggets just go out and

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score one hundred and twenty five, hundred and thirty, one

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hundred and thirty five and they beat you and wind

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up covering some numbers. That's kind of like what the

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Calves do here this season as well. So not there.

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I guess they're not as worried about what the opponents

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are getting because they know they're gonna get theirs and

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one more time, I would say that, you know, just

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looking through the entire rotation for the Calves tonight, Donovan

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Mitchell's gonna have to do an awful lot from a

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point guard in scoring perspective for this team. And Sam

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Merrill can't play point. They really don't have another legit

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point on the floor here tonight. Craig Port probably get

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some minutes. So I don't know, I think you could

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isolate Raptors team total and you get your guy RJ.

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Barrett to come through with twenty five for you.

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Speaker 1: All right, So uh I guess yeah right, we're thinking

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they can score. I still think that the Cavs, you know,

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Calves offense is going to suffer too. I did make

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some like we're talking about, or at least earlier, we're

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talking about things that not making sense in the NBA.

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The one thing that's continued to make some sense is

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these team totals. For me, Raptors. I cash with them

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the other day who they played? They played the Nets.

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Remember I had the Nets team total under. I know

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it's the Nets, but I just a team total under

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looks good. Raptors feels good. I think I just need

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a little more time, all right, Hawks and Jazz, let's

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get to this one. I have the opener as minus

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one for Atlanta. Now see as high as two and

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a half. Mostly two's though out there total not a

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whole lot of movement injury report. Porzingis is questionable, deris

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it is doubtful, Trey Young is out, and it's still early.

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Atlanta is on the back to back here. We could

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see some other guys rolled out for Utah. Kyle Anderson

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is out, Hendrix is out, Kniang is out. Another one here,

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I believe for the Hawks, yes, like I said, second

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of back to back, third and four, fifth and seven,

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they've been playing every day. The Jazz, they did get

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a little bit of rest before this game. It is

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still a third and four nights, but they are the

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rested team. At least they didn't have to play yesterday.

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The Jazz. Well, first of all, the Hawks, they're another

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team that's been playing some of that good defense I

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mentioned that. I mean, that's the one I cash yesterday, right,

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the Kings team total under Will that defense be the

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same on a back to back here on the fifth

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and seven nights, That's a that's a tough question, especially

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here in elevation, right, the Jazz they've been good at

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home from the mistaken and they they've scored, like their

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home games have been extremely high scoring. So the combination

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of those things makes me hesitant on trusting the Hawks defense.

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I think if I'm playing this one, I mean, the

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spot says Jazz, Jazz have been good at home, that's

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been their role. I guess it's either Jazz or Over

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just banking on that that Hawks defense suffering here, you know,

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in this situation, the Spot, So how do you feel

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about that, you know, Jazz or Over.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's hard to add or argue anything that you

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just said. Ski. Atlanta's on this four game road trip

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already two and oh, chance to go three and oh,

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and then I think they close with Phoenix, So you know,

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obviously they're looking at going undefeated here. But I think

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the most key key angle you had there was, you know,

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back to backs going into Utah. What's the fourth quarter

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going to look like for the Hawks? It may be

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okay for a half, but Utah sitting at home off

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of a one point fifty two they got down twenty

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to seventy. Other night, I think it was to Indiana.

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I had Indiana. I thought, well, this one may go

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my way, and the next thing, you know, I mean,

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Utah goes for one hundred and forty five points and

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the other side scores I don't know, one hundred and

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two hundred and three. They win by like thirty five

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points the rest of the way. Definitely capable. Moving Ace

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Bailey into the starting lineup probably a smart move here

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this evening. They had gone dry where scoring was concerned

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on that road trip. But like you say, they got home,

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took care of business the other night. I don't know.

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I'll say again, I like the Hawks defensive backcourt without

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Trey Young because Alexander Walker and we know Dyce and

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Daniels is really good at defending. But I do wonder

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for Atlanta what the fourth quarter is going to look like.

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I think if you want to play the Hawks, you

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probably go early and get away late. And if you

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like the Jazz, maybe full game is for you. As

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far as side is concerned. Can't make a real call

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on the total here because if Atlanta does fade a

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little bit fourth quartered, and I don't know that, it

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makes two thirty three and the Hawks scored or excuse me,

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the Hawks shot like fifty five percent last night in

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that game against Sacramento, who really doesn't care about defense.

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Utah is not good at defense, but I think they

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care a little more than Sacramento. And you know, watching

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Doug Christy after that game last night, Sacramento is just

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an absolute mess. Utah at least has guys out there

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trying to play each and every night. So for me,

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probably be Atlanta early if you're gonna play, and I

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00:13:46,399 --> 00:13:47,519
would lay off the total.

238
00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:51,639
Speaker 1: You know, I'm looking at the home road splits for

239
00:13:51,679 --> 00:13:55,399
both of these teams. The Jazz are five and oh

240
00:13:55,480 --> 00:14:01,360
ahs at home so far this season. The Hawks are

241
00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:05,120
one and six, so they've only gone over their team

242
00:14:05,159 --> 00:14:08,279
total once on the road so far this season. I

243
00:14:08,279 --> 00:14:14,320
think that's pretty interesing, right, Yeah, yeah, yeah, that's the

244
00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:17,080
only time versus a Kings team that was on the

245
00:14:17,159 --> 00:14:20,320
back to back and tired and already doesn't play good defense.

246
00:14:22,879 --> 00:14:27,679
Now the Jazz, I mean, they've gone over versus for

247
00:14:27,960 --> 00:14:31,360
their five home games as well. Man at home, the

248
00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:34,080
Jazz are averaging one hundred and thirty three point two

249
00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:37,559
points per game. That is crazy, also allowing one to

250
00:14:37,600 --> 00:14:40,240
twenty five point two. You put them together, that means

251
00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:45,399
their home games two was that two point fifty eight. Jesus,

252
00:14:50,559 --> 00:14:52,960
it's jazz. It Jazz are nothing for me in this game.

253
00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:55,399
I would continue to ride with the home team faith

254
00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:59,720
to spot for Atlanta. Yeah, Jazz are nothing for me.

255
00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:02,720
Any last thoughts before we keep going here.

256
00:15:04,679 --> 00:15:10,879
Speaker 2: Hawk's first half has an away favorite. They're four and

257
00:15:10,919 --> 00:15:15,000
oh straight up? And what do they ask to lay

258
00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:17,039
here in the first half, Because that's a straight up

259
00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:21,080
record four and as an away favorite, they are favorite

260
00:15:21,080 --> 00:15:23,039
for the keep. It's only asked to win the first

261
00:15:23,039 --> 00:15:25,440
half by one. In someplace you can still get a

262
00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:29,600
half a point, so yeah, you might be able. I

263
00:15:29,639 --> 00:15:32,600
know they I won't bet it, but I know that

264
00:15:32,639 --> 00:15:35,879
they allow those first half second half bets. Bet one

265
00:15:35,919 --> 00:15:38,320
side for the first half, other side for the second half.

266
00:15:38,360 --> 00:15:41,360
Parlam together. It looks to me like a Hawk's first

267
00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:43,240
half game of Utah full game.

268
00:15:45,720 --> 00:15:48,120
Speaker 1: All right, we'll keep going to the last one on

269
00:15:48,159 --> 00:15:54,559
the NBA slates. That looks like Pacers and Sons opened

270
00:15:54,639 --> 00:15:57,639
up minus four for Phoenix. Looks like four and a

271
00:15:57,639 --> 00:16:00,279
half to open two thirty four and a half. Half

272
00:16:00,840 --> 00:16:03,399
came down a little bit as long as two thirty

273
00:16:03,399 --> 00:16:05,559
two and a half. Take a look at some of

274
00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:10,879
these injuries for the Pacers. Obie Topping, Ben Mather and

275
00:16:10,960 --> 00:16:15,600
Cam Jones, Jackson and Furfy all out for Phoenix, No

276
00:16:15,759 --> 00:16:21,240
Jalen Green, Mark Williams questionable for them. It says very likely.

277
00:16:22,559 --> 00:16:25,919
How does say questionable and very likely? Which one is it?

278
00:16:26,879 --> 00:16:29,039
Mark Williams is on the injury part, I'll say that

279
00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:37,879
the Pacers have not been good. They have not been

280
00:16:37,879 --> 00:16:41,559
good at all, both teams fourth game and six nights.

281
00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:44,200
The Pacers do have the rest advantage, though Suns did

282
00:16:44,279 --> 00:16:48,639
play last night. Man, the Pacers looked pretty pathetic in

283
00:16:48,679 --> 00:16:51,080
that loss to the Jazz, even though they got what

284
00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:53,240
TJ back, I know he didn't play the second half.

285
00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:59,600
And the Suns, I mean they've been playing good. The

286
00:16:59,639 --> 00:17:02,679
Sun four win ATS four and went straight up and

287
00:17:02,759 --> 00:17:06,599
ats their last five. Meanwhile, I don't know how many

288
00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:08,319
the Pacers I've lost in the row, but it's at

289
00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:13,319
least at least their last five games. Now, getting nim hard,

290
00:17:13,440 --> 00:17:15,720
getting TJ back, I want to think that they can

291
00:17:15,759 --> 00:17:18,079
start to play a little bit better. I know you

292
00:17:18,079 --> 00:17:20,359
still need guys like Topping, the Mather, et cetera. But

293
00:17:21,319 --> 00:17:24,519
it makes me think that Pacers. I mean, we saw

294
00:17:24,559 --> 00:17:26,519
them playing with some more pace in that last game.

295
00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:28,759
Maybe some of it was, you know, some of that

296
00:17:28,839 --> 00:17:31,400
jazz at home as well, But I do think the

297
00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:36,319
pace starts to increase for this team. I think Overs

298
00:17:36,359 --> 00:17:39,680
will start to hit. Will it be tonight? That is

299
00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:42,920
the question. I can only look towards this one over

300
00:17:43,440 --> 00:17:46,039
for that reason that I'm saying, and as far as

301
00:17:46,079 --> 00:17:50,240
the side on this one just has a funny feeling

302
00:17:50,279 --> 00:17:53,240
to me. Honestly, the Sons have been playing so well,

303
00:17:53,680 --> 00:17:56,759
the Pacers have been asked and the lion is sitting

304
00:17:56,799 --> 00:18:00,799
here at four four and a half. Sons the top

305
00:18:01,240 --> 00:18:05,000
ten offensive rated, defensive rated, rebounding team last five games.

306
00:18:05,519 --> 00:18:09,039
It looks extremely easy to go take the Suns. And

307
00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:14,079
I do not want what's easy, because we already talked

308
00:18:14,079 --> 00:18:18,400
about it. You know, it's it's not making sense. So

309
00:18:20,880 --> 00:18:24,279
I'll lean towards the Pacers in this game. Pacers are over,

310
00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:26,519
are you you? And this one?

311
00:18:27,319 --> 00:18:29,480
Speaker 2: And I think I would combine it ski and try

312
00:18:29,519 --> 00:18:31,920
the Pacers team total over for a couple. I mean,

313
00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:36,799
this scheduling spot for Phoenix is rough right back to

314
00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:41,079
back three and four. I think every game we've talked

315
00:18:41,079 --> 00:18:43,680
about has had a bad scheduling spot for one team

316
00:18:43,839 --> 00:18:48,559
or another. I had Mark Williams listed as being rested tonight.

317
00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:50,359
I don't know if that's still the case.

318
00:18:51,039 --> 00:18:55,079
Speaker 1: If it is, that's what you have, let's check. Let

319
00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:57,559
me just check another source, see if I had anything

320
00:18:57,599 --> 00:19:07,359
extra come up right now, I don't say anything, you know.

321
00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:10,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, so we're gonna have to wait on that. That's

322
00:19:10,279 --> 00:19:14,960
good rim protection for Phoenix that may or may not

323
00:19:15,039 --> 00:19:18,880
be eliminated from the lineup here tonight. Grayson Allen's been

324
00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:21,799
going crazy for Phoenix last couple of games. I know

325
00:19:21,839 --> 00:19:24,359
he had forty two a couple of nights ago. I

326
00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:28,759
think he came back with another twenty something. He's like

327
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,319
in the mid sixties his last couple of games. So

328
00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:39,640
that's helped Phoenix. But in reference to I think I

329
00:19:39,640 --> 00:19:41,799
forget which team it was now that we covered where

330
00:19:41,839 --> 00:19:46,400
you said maybe the defense in this spot, I guess

331
00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:49,799
it was Cleveland. Maybe the defense in this spot suffers

332
00:19:49,839 --> 00:19:52,559
a little bit. I think it might suffer a little

333
00:19:52,599 --> 00:19:55,079
bit for Phoenix. And I think I want so badly

334
00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:57,480
to jump in with Indiana that I jumped in right

335
00:19:57,519 --> 00:19:58,640
away with McConnell.

336
00:19:59,519 --> 00:20:03,640
Speaker 1: The somebody's saying he's out. I'm sorry to interrupt somebody here.

337
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:12,160
I don't help, but but but it's just U. I

338
00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:16,039
mean NBA and Phoenix Sun's news and analytics. This person

339
00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:20,200
is listed a US our guide. J Money follows him too.

340
00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:25,240
He says that he's out tonight. Do the right knee

341
00:20:25,279 --> 00:20:29,799
injury management, so take that forward his worth. I haven't

342
00:20:29,799 --> 00:20:31,519
seen it on the official whatever, but.

343
00:20:33,400 --> 00:20:36,279
Speaker 2: Maybe a little load management injury management for Mark. But

344
00:20:36,279 --> 00:20:40,599
it wouldn't surprise us right if he is. But I

345
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:42,680
think what I'm trying to get to here is that

346
00:20:42,759 --> 00:20:45,440
with those two and we know how TJ plays, it's

347
00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:47,839
his second game back. Now, maybe I jumped the gun

348
00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:51,279
too quick, but when McConnell's on the floor, the energy

349
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:55,920
level goes up. We know Nemhart's more than capable. It's

350
00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:59,119
his fourth game back. Now, I think over one fourteen

351
00:21:00,319 --> 00:21:04,759
for the Pacers and not an unreasonable play here. You

352
00:21:04,799 --> 00:21:07,599
know the way their record sits Ski, they have to

353
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:11,440
try and get themselves a couple of wins, and they're

354
00:21:11,559 --> 00:21:16,200
still obviously shorthanded. But I think with those two guys

355
00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:18,920
back at least points and you had mentioned already that

356
00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:21,359
you saw a little pace come back against Utah the

357
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:24,319
other night. It wasn't good on the defensive end. But

358
00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:26,960
if we bet their team total over, we don't care

359
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:28,000
about the defense.

360
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:31,440
Speaker 1: End, right Yeah, if Mark Williams is out, I can

361
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:33,519
see the Pacers, you know, with that new pay, with

362
00:21:33,559 --> 00:21:35,880
that pace back, you know, having some point guard play,

363
00:21:36,759 --> 00:21:39,759
getting up and over a lot of ways to think

364
00:21:39,799 --> 00:21:42,799
about this movie. You know. I think I will continue

365
00:21:42,839 --> 00:21:45,079
to catch these games and probably get to the window

366
00:21:45,079 --> 00:21:47,519
a little bit later. But we broke them down for you.

367
00:21:47,839 --> 00:21:51,599
And let's talk a little bit. Talk a little bit

368
00:21:51,599 --> 00:21:56,480
of Thursday night football open ten and a half for

369
00:21:56,559 --> 00:22:00,000
New England. Now see thirteen pretty much as a content.

370
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:05,839
This number total open forty four and a half looks

371
00:22:05,839 --> 00:22:09,480
like forty three right now. One couple shops holding forty

372
00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:12,640
three and a half, but we'll call forty forty three

373
00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:18,880
to consensus. I mean, this one looks pretty easy to me.

374
00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:24,400
You know, the Jets have just been asked. I mean,

375
00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:29,519
maybe I'm simplifying too much, but it's extremely hard. If

376
00:22:29,519 --> 00:22:31,400
you tell me Justin Field is still a quarterback and

377
00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:33,960
he don't even want to throw the ball, it's hard

378
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:36,440
for me to think that they're gonna do anything in

379
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:37,799
this game. It's hard for me to think that it's

380
00:22:37,799 --> 00:22:40,599
gonna go over because I would expect that the Jets

381
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,400
have to contribute to, you know, to get to forty three.

382
00:22:46,799 --> 00:22:53,759
Patriots pass defense is not good, well he throw Patriots

383
00:22:53,799 --> 00:22:56,240
red zone defense even it is not great. But can

384
00:22:56,319 --> 00:22:58,920
we trust fields down there? If you told me who's

385
00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:02,880
the backup? The backup is right, he told me Tyrod

386
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:06,839
was out there instead of Fields, I'll be been over

387
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:11,319
in this game. Immediately. I trust the Patriots to score

388
00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:14,240
on his Jets defense. How much can the Jets score

389
00:23:14,319 --> 00:23:19,519
and keep up? Is my problem? So maybe if I

390
00:23:19,519 --> 00:23:23,279
think like that, I just isolate and go Patriots team total.

391
00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:28,000
It does look like Patriots team total best nuver you

392
00:23:28,039 --> 00:23:30,640
can get right now. Best number you can get right

393
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:32,880
now is twenty seven and a half. If you like

394
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:37,880
the over, talk to me. You know, how are you

395
00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:39,799
doing Jets and Patriots?

396
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,640
Speaker 2: Well, I'll say this, the Jets do want to run.

397
00:23:43,319 --> 00:23:47,240
Breise Hall is like their only offensive weapon, and there's

398
00:23:47,319 --> 00:23:49,720
not many in the league. I don't know where they've ranked,

399
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:52,440
but it's top five. There's not many better at stopping

400
00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:55,359
the run than New England. So if they immediately shut

401
00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:57,119
down the run, Like you say, you're stuck with a

402
00:23:57,200 --> 00:24:00,880
quarterback who through for fifty four yards last week. Where

403
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:04,079
are you going against this team. I know it's a

404
00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:07,359
short work week, but it's a New England home game.

405
00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:11,440
I've already played this one. Ski. I played New England.

406
00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:17,960
First half. They're minus seven. I just felt like thirteen threes.

407
00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:22,559
Anything above said, it just seems again. I don't want

408
00:24:22,599 --> 00:24:25,680
to make anything in sports betting sound easy, but to me,

409
00:24:26,519 --> 00:24:29,079
when you start putting pieces together here, Drake May has

410
00:24:29,119 --> 00:24:32,039
been really good. The Jets don't have Sauce Gardner anymore,

411
00:24:32,079 --> 00:24:36,480
their defensive secondary lax at this point in time. New

412
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:39,599
England let loose travy On Henderson last week. He had

413
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:42,599
two touchdown runs of over sixty yards or something. They

414
00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:44,799
just have so many weapons at this point in time,

415
00:24:44,960 --> 00:24:48,279
and defensively they're able to shut down, and I mean

416
00:24:48,319 --> 00:24:50,799
really shut down what the Jets want to do. So

417
00:24:51,519 --> 00:24:55,119
home game, prime time. New England's kind of been out

418
00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:58,240
of the spotlight of these national TV games for a while.

419
00:24:58,599 --> 00:25:03,079
I trust vable here to do the right things. So

420
00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:07,440
for me, it was Patriots first half minus seven. But

421
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:10,559
there are other ways, and you found a twenty seven

422
00:25:10,599 --> 00:25:15,039
and a half. I would say at that price you

423
00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:17,000
probably can get in with New England. I saw a

424
00:25:17,039 --> 00:25:20,240
lot of twenty eights that were kind of juiced, and

425
00:25:20,279 --> 00:25:22,920
I thought, well, what if they just let up second

426
00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:25,319
half and maybe four days short work week, Maybe don't

427
00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:28,119
score as much, but I could see playing over twenty

428
00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:30,039
seven and a half. Like I say, first half minus

429
00:25:30,079 --> 00:25:31,680
seven I thought was the best way to go here.

430
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:36,000
Speaker 1: So they know, thinking get in and get out on

431
00:25:36,039 --> 00:25:45,119
this one. Yeah, twenty twenty seven and a half does

432
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:48,039
seem pretty appealing. Just trying to glance on one more

433
00:25:48,079 --> 00:25:53,640
thing here, See how many the Patriots are scoring this

434
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:56,160
season at least twenty six point five points per game.

435
00:25:56,839 --> 00:26:01,359
Jets are allowing about twenty six point seven. You know,

436
00:26:02,039 --> 00:26:05,039
the question is do it Do I trust the Patriots

437
00:26:05,079 --> 00:26:08,759
to score more? Do I trust the Jets to struggle

438
00:26:08,799 --> 00:26:13,759
to score? Men? You mentioned the Patriots rush defense, right,

439
00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:16,680
so if the Jets aren't passing the ball, I'm just running,

440
00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:20,839
we don't expect them to have too much success.

441
00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 2: Well, and I'll add to your point real quick. I'll

442
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:27,640
add to your point real quick. If the Jets get behind,

443
00:26:28,759 --> 00:26:30,799
they have to pass, right. What if they get behind

444
00:26:30,839 --> 00:26:34,279
like fourteen oh ten oh fourteen oh. Running the ball's

445
00:26:34,359 --> 00:26:36,920
not gonna gets you anywhere, So they just dig themselves

446
00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:38,920
a bigger hole by having as well. And I think

447
00:26:39,279 --> 00:26:41,359
to add to its scheme now that I'm remembering from

448
00:26:41,359 --> 00:26:44,160
my notes this morning, I think Garrett Wilson is hurt

449
00:26:44,599 --> 00:26:48,240
again for the Jets. Takes away their top receiving option

450
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:51,440
on that team, makes the passing game even worse without

451
00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:56,000
Garrett Wilson. So, yeah, I didn't mean to butt in

452
00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:57,960
like that, but you struck a chord with me when

453
00:26:57,960 --> 00:26:59,880
you said that's why I wanted to get it in there.

454
00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:04,200
Speaker 1: Maybe it's I mean, if you put them together, Patriots

455
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,319
team total over and Justine total indred, we just take

456
00:27:06,319 --> 00:27:11,079
the Patriots tonight, and I can't argue it too much.

457
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:16,119
Just clansing here, it's hard to argue to Patriots. I'm

458
00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:21,400
also looking at pretty much Thursday Night home Thursday night

459
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:26,680
double digit home favorites. They are seventeen six and one

460
00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:32,640
ATS average line is minus thirteen. They're sixteen and eight

461
00:27:32,759 --> 00:27:38,279
to the under. But the average for that home team

462
00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:43,000
is twenty nine points per game. The average for the

463
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:48,400
road team is eleven. So it's saying pretty much how

464
00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:50,119
we're thinking here is how the game is gonna go.

465
00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:57,160
It's just which way do I want to go? Maybe

466
00:27:57,200 --> 00:27:59,799
I'm overthinking it. Maybe it's just Patriots on the spread here.

467
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:01,960
I don't like the thought of get in the ass

468
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:04,359
end of the line though. You know, you did have

469
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:08,160
a ten and a half. Now it's thirteen. I mean,

470
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:13,079
I don't know how key eleven and twelve are, but

471
00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:18,519
I do think thirteen is tough anything before we move

472
00:28:18,559 --> 00:28:20,960
it on over Rob, you know. And by the way, Brian,

473
00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:24,519
the weather is just thirty degrees, just little cold, no wind,

474
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:26,359
no snow, no nothing.

475
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:30,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's nothing that these two teams coming from

476
00:28:30,039 --> 00:28:32,599
the Northeast don't play in any way, so they'll be

477
00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:36,079
well equipped from that angle. As far as the keys

478
00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:39,960
on eleven and twelve, I mean, eleven certainly has way

479
00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:42,839
more options. Twenty four, thirteen, twenty one, ten, twenty seven

480
00:28:42,839 --> 00:28:45,319
to sixteen, bunch of stuff. Twelve is just pretty much

481
00:28:45,319 --> 00:28:48,880
a dead number until teams start going for two point conversions.

482
00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:50,839
Then all of a sudden you can throw your key

483
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:51,880
numbers in the garbage.

484
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:52,119
Speaker 1: Right.

485
00:28:53,359 --> 00:28:55,240
Speaker 2: But yeah, I don't have anything to add Ski. I

486
00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:58,079
think we're both on the same wavelength here. It depends.

487
00:28:59,319 --> 00:29:01,759
In my case, I was just a little bit afraid

488
00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:03,839
that it might be twenty seven to seven late and

489
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:06,440
the Jets stick a meaningless touchdown, and I don't cover,

490
00:29:06,519 --> 00:29:09,519
I only push. I'd almost rather get to the Patriots

491
00:29:09,559 --> 00:29:12,200
early rather than count on them to go all out

492
00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:15,960
for four quarters. But I can't argue anybody off of

493
00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:19,240
that either, because this could be a total destruction. It

494
00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:22,319
could be like thirty one nothing.

495
00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:25,519
Speaker 1: Well, you know what you're actually probably are on or

496
00:29:25,559 --> 00:29:28,599
something with that first half. Patriots are eight and two

497
00:29:28,799 --> 00:29:31,640
HS in the first half. Jets are two six and

498
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:36,319
one first half open minus six. Now you gotta get

499
00:29:36,799 --> 00:29:39,640
I mean, you can get a seven. I mean, it's

500
00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:42,519
the same, I guess, but if it's six, you push.

501
00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:45,640
I mean, maybe it is a reason. I mean the Jets,

502
00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:48,480
I'm looking at them. They're two six and one ATS

503
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:51,519
in the first half. They're five and four ATS on

504
00:29:51,559 --> 00:29:56,799
the full game. So either other teams, I mean, they

505
00:29:56,880 --> 00:29:59,559
probably get ahead and then just don't care anymore. I

506
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:02,359
think that that's how I make sense of that. And

507
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:04,400
the Jets as a road dog in the first half

508
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:11,799
zero and three in division this division game, right it is, Yeah,

509
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:14,039
in division. They're oh and two in the first half,

510
00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:17,720
Patriots two and oh yeah. I mean that first half

511
00:30:17,799 --> 00:30:20,319
is making some sense, Rober, you know, get in and

512
00:30:20,359 --> 00:30:24,119
get out with those Patriots is looking appealing. All right,

513
00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:30,640
all right, let's move it on over. I don't want

514
00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:32,559
to get too deep into everything for a week eleven

515
00:30:32,559 --> 00:30:35,119
because I don't even feel that strong about all this stuff,

516
00:30:35,119 --> 00:30:37,920
you know. But you know, there's a couple of things

517
00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:41,039
that we can talk about every single week, you know, sure,

518
00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:48,799
first NFL Week eleven, we'll do how we are, how

519
00:30:48,799 --> 00:30:51,359
we usually do. I gotta talk about your team, gotta

520
00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:55,519
talk about my team, So I guess I guess we

521
00:30:55,559 --> 00:30:58,640
could talk about my team first. It opened up Chargers

522
00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:03,319
minus one and looks like three total forty three and

523
00:31:03,319 --> 00:31:09,079
a half opener looks like forty four. The Chargers offensive

524
00:31:09,119 --> 00:31:14,559
line is not great. It's no secret, right, but it

525
00:31:14,599 --> 00:31:18,000
seems like almost they figured out a way to you know,

526
00:31:18,279 --> 00:31:20,400
be a like deal with it, like they're still able

527
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:24,200
to have some success. The run game still looks good. No,

528
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:27,359
they're missing all these offensive line guys missing. The Omarrio

529
00:31:27,359 --> 00:31:29,839
and Hampton run game still looks good, So I think

530
00:31:29,839 --> 00:31:33,799
they figure some stuff out. They may be plugging and

531
00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:36,960
plug some stuff in or everyone to call it the

532
00:31:37,039 --> 00:31:40,720
run game looks good for them. I would ask how

533
00:31:40,759 --> 00:31:44,240
good Jacksonville's defensive line is, like I usually do, and

534
00:31:44,359 --> 00:31:46,920
just off my thought. I don't think that their team.

535
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:50,920
I'm scared of putting too much pressure, so it makes

536
00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:53,680
me think that this is a winnable game for the Chargers.

537
00:31:55,640 --> 00:32:00,400
I don't trust Jacksonville's defense. I think that Chargers defense

538
00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:03,200
is a hell of a lot better. I don't know.

539
00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:05,559
It seems it does seem really easy to take the Chargers.

540
00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:09,160
I don't like that, but I don't know. I guess

541
00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:11,400
it's one way ticket for me here. Am I cutting up,

542
00:32:11,440 --> 00:32:13,279
you know with my team? Or can you talk me

543
00:32:13,319 --> 00:32:14,680
off of the Chargers?

544
00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:18,039
Speaker 2: Well, I'd like to know, and I'll probably wait on

545
00:32:18,079 --> 00:32:20,359
this because I would like to know that Lad McConkie

546
00:32:20,440 --> 00:32:22,519
and Quentin Johnston are both going to be okay. They

547
00:32:22,559 --> 00:32:27,319
both have question marks next to their name. Practice today,

548
00:32:27,359 --> 00:32:29,359
I don't know, but I know that I saw this

549
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:34,279
morning that McConkie didn't practice yesterday and Johnston was limited. Hey,

550
00:32:34,279 --> 00:32:37,279
it could be precautionary, but Konki had a little bit

551
00:32:37,319 --> 00:32:41,519
of an ankle problem during the game last week when

552
00:32:41,559 --> 00:32:44,640
the Chargers, like you say, found a way against the

553
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:47,440
Steelers to get it done. Even with remember last week

554
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:50,440
when we talked about that game and the missing tackles

555
00:32:50,920 --> 00:32:54,440
and brought up TJ. Watt, But it really wasn't that

556
00:32:54,519 --> 00:32:57,960
big of a I mean, Vidal ran like crazy against

557
00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:01,240
that team last week. So even at the Jim Harbaugh

558
00:33:01,559 --> 00:33:03,720
to find a way to get the running game going,

559
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:07,440
and you can probably do the same here. I don't

560
00:33:07,480 --> 00:33:09,559
have a lot of good things to say about Jacksonville

561
00:33:09,640 --> 00:33:12,920
right now, to tell you the truth, but it's at

562
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:14,960
that time of year where you got to fight for

563
00:33:15,039 --> 00:33:19,960
playoffs spots and five and four. Jacksonville's gotta find you know,

564
00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:22,559
you can't just be blowing home games. It's a little

565
00:33:22,559 --> 00:33:24,640
bit of a consideration too. Like I say, I would

566
00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:28,640
like Chargers more if I knew Lad McConkie and Quentin

567
00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:30,200
Johnston were both going to be in the game, and

568
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:34,079
we might not find that out until Friday Saturday, be all.

569
00:33:34,119 --> 00:33:39,200
Speaker 1: Right, and I mean just quickly to your team open

570
00:33:39,319 --> 00:33:41,920
plus two and a half now plus four at home

571
00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:46,279
for the Denver Broncos. I mean, I'll be the first

572
00:33:46,279 --> 00:33:49,519
one to tell you that I'm not a Boonex guy.

573
00:33:49,839 --> 00:33:54,119
I don't. I think he's overrated, and I think it's

574
00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:57,960
shown by how you perform versus the bad teams versus

575
00:33:58,039 --> 00:34:01,880
the good teams. The City is a good team. Kansas

576
00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:06,319
City's offense also has been looking unstoppable for the most part.

577
00:34:08,519 --> 00:34:12,639
Broncos defense without certain gonna take a step back. I

578
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:18,199
see my whole slicing them up. It's Kansas City or nothing.

579
00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:20,400
It's actually I mean, I'm gonna be on Kansas City.

580
00:34:20,440 --> 00:34:22,760
I like Kansas City. He an't talking me off. Is

581
00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:25,039
there any reason to take Denver in this one, Robin?

582
00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:29,639
Speaker 2: I just want permission to use your phrase built to ask,

583
00:34:30,159 --> 00:34:35,480
because I'm pretty sure that's what's gonna happen here. The

584
00:34:35,559 --> 00:34:40,039
Broncos are very fraudulently living at eight and two on

585
00:34:40,119 --> 00:34:42,840
top of that division. This is divisional. This means everything

586
00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:46,400
case is five and four, and if the playoffs started today,

587
00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:48,280
they'd be the seventh seed. They got some ground to

588
00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:51,599
make up, and it starts by going into this place

589
00:34:52,159 --> 00:34:55,199
and showing Denver you know who the best team in

590
00:34:55,199 --> 00:34:58,960
that division is, and it's not the Broncos. Again, I've

591
00:34:59,000 --> 00:35:02,079
said it enough. I get very angry just because as

592
00:35:02,079 --> 00:35:05,239
a Broncos fan, he's had three years. Sean Payton has

593
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:08,000
to upgrade that offense and it's the third year and

594
00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:09,800
they're no better than they were the day he took

595
00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:14,400
over the job. Same guys, same nonsense, same lousey offense

596
00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:18,679
against good defensive teams. Spagnola, for what it's worth, will

597
00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:22,199
probably show Bo Nicks, and they played him twice last year,

598
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:24,400
so it might not be anything that he hasn't seen,

599
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:29,400
but he'll cause him difficulties. And case with all that weaponry,

600
00:35:30,079 --> 00:35:33,519
is just different. I can't see Denver keeping pace at all.

601
00:35:33,639 --> 00:35:36,280
Ski I think can make a good point about Patrick's

602
00:35:36,360 --> 00:35:40,599
or Tan on the corner without him. Kansas City's got

603
00:35:40,599 --> 00:35:43,800
so much speed out there, three guys that can get deep.

604
00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:47,559
So for me, it's gonna be I mean, it's already

605
00:35:47,559 --> 00:35:50,039
been bet by me personally. It'll be on my client

606
00:35:50,079 --> 00:35:53,360
card as well. I think Casey can win this game

607
00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:56,559
by a touchdown, and we'll ask basically, you can still

608
00:35:56,559 --> 00:35:58,599
get three and a half's out there, guys, there's plenty

609
00:35:58,599 --> 00:36:00,880
of them, so you're only asked to win this thing

610
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:03,039
by four points.

611
00:36:03,440 --> 00:36:07,559
Speaker 1: All right, We're in agreement on this one. Mark reminds

612
00:36:07,639 --> 00:36:10,039
us that Andy Reid is off of buy. We all

613
00:36:10,119 --> 00:36:15,280
know how he performs in that situation. There's another game

614
00:36:15,320 --> 00:36:18,679
that I bet already and lines are moving, so I'll

615
00:36:18,679 --> 00:36:26,960
mention it. It's Spaltimore in Cleveland, and I mean in

616
00:36:27,039 --> 00:36:29,320
open minus eight looks like seven and a half total

617
00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:32,039
open forty one and a half, and it looks like

618
00:36:32,039 --> 00:36:34,480
it's down as low as thirty eight and a half.

619
00:36:38,360 --> 00:36:40,760
I'll tell you I got in on under in this game. Rob.

620
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:42,960
You know I did get the forty one and a half.

621
00:36:43,559 --> 00:36:45,280
Not only did I take that, I also took the

622
00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:48,599
first half under at twenty and a half. I believe

623
00:36:48,639 --> 00:36:54,599
it was. So my thought process here is one. I

624
00:36:54,639 --> 00:36:57,280
believe it's a weather game. Like I believe it's gonna

625
00:36:57,280 --> 00:36:59,280
be some high wins or stuff like that. Let me

626
00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:05,199
just double check. Can I get that? I think right

627
00:37:05,239 --> 00:37:10,199
now says should be sustained wins around twenty miles per hour,

628
00:37:10,639 --> 00:37:13,920
gust up to thirty miles per hour, and it might

629
00:37:15,079 --> 00:37:18,400
it might only be for like the first half. It

630
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:20,519
said it could taper off towards the end of the game.

631
00:37:21,079 --> 00:37:24,719
So that's what we're expecting weather wise. Now, outside of weather,

632
00:37:26,280 --> 00:37:28,920
this is a Browns team that going back to last season,

633
00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:33,800
defense is terrible on the road, pretty good at home.

634
00:37:34,039 --> 00:37:37,039
Right now they're at home here in the division game,

635
00:37:38,280 --> 00:37:42,480
I would expect that defense to play pretty good. As

636
00:37:42,519 --> 00:37:45,679
far as the Ravens. To start the year, their defense

637
00:37:45,800 --> 00:37:51,039
was ass completely ass Then close to when they got

638
00:37:51,079 --> 00:37:53,880
to their bye week. Maybe it was after the bye

639
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:56,920
week somewhere around there, I forget when it was. They

640
00:37:56,960 --> 00:38:00,159
started to play better. They started to get healthier, they

641
00:38:00,159 --> 00:38:02,320
got guys back, you know, and that's going to help

642
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:05,360
help out. I love a lot, So I think the

643
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:08,320
first half of the season the Ravens defense was terrible.

644
00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:12,039
I think right now they have a I mean I

645
00:38:12,039 --> 00:38:14,239
haven't looked at numbers. I don't have the numbers. I've

646
00:38:14,239 --> 00:38:15,679
looked at numbers, but I don't have it in front

647
00:38:15,679 --> 00:38:18,719
of me. They're either top five or top ten defense

648
00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:23,199
if you're looking at recent performance. That's what I care about.

649
00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:26,000
This is a healthy Baltimore defense right now. So you're

650
00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:28,559
giving me two defenses that I can trust in a

651
00:38:28,559 --> 00:38:31,079
win game. That is why I ran to the window

652
00:38:31,280 --> 00:38:33,280
and bet the opener on both the first half in

653
00:38:33,320 --> 00:38:35,280
full game. What do you think about that?

654
00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:38,679
Speaker 2: You know, well, I know you probably don't want Dylan

655
00:38:38,719 --> 00:38:42,079
Gabriel as you're throwing quarterback into win. That's for sure

656
00:38:42,119 --> 00:38:44,239
of all the quarterbacks. And I think we spoke on

657
00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:47,159
this last week where a win game was concerned. I generally,

658
00:38:47,559 --> 00:38:49,519
if it's twenty miles an hour, it doesn't bother me

659
00:38:49,559 --> 00:38:51,679
too much because most of these NFL arms can cut

660
00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:55,199
right through twenty to twenty five mile hour wins. But

661
00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:58,079
Dylan Gabriel doesn't have one of those NFL arms, you

662
00:38:58,119 --> 00:39:00,800
know what I mean. He's more about placement, act you recie, etc.

663
00:39:01,119 --> 00:39:04,840
Et cetera, and the win can affect him. The good

664
00:39:04,840 --> 00:39:07,679
thing about Baltimore's ski is that, you know what, despite

665
00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:11,000
all their troubles, they never lost an AFC North game.

666
00:39:11,039 --> 00:39:14,039
They're still undefeated. They're only one to zero. They haven't

667
00:39:14,039 --> 00:39:16,440
played a bunch of them. But now that they've gotten

668
00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:18,960
a little bit healthier and they start to play their

669
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:21,280
divisional opponents, sitting here at four and five, I just

670
00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:24,880
talked about our desperate case. Is Baltimore's more desperate. They

671
00:39:24,920 --> 00:39:27,280
started their playoff season a couple of weeks ago. They've

672
00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:31,519
been good and in windy conditions. The one thing we

673
00:39:31,599 --> 00:39:34,920
know about Baltimore is they have Derek Henry and the

674
00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:37,960
other side doesn't, so you can run the football, and

675
00:39:38,039 --> 00:39:40,559
Cleveland's really good at stopping the runs. So it may

676
00:39:40,559 --> 00:39:43,079
not be every down Henry rips them, but at least

677
00:39:43,079 --> 00:39:46,760
they have the edge there. I think Baltimore's probably a

678
00:39:46,840 --> 00:39:49,960
good play in that game. I think they'll score en up.

679
00:39:50,000 --> 00:39:53,440
Their defense could create something against Gabriel that helps them out.

680
00:39:53,679 --> 00:39:56,239
I'm not going to argue against the under because it

681
00:39:56,280 --> 00:40:00,320
makes perfect sense, but I think, you know, at this

682
00:40:00,360 --> 00:40:03,679
point in time, you can probably play the Ravens as

683
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:07,079
they try to just keep stacking wins and getting back

684
00:40:07,119 --> 00:40:10,880
into this race. Cleveland Miles Garrett is popping off again.

685
00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:12,679
He wants to get out of there. He just signed

686
00:40:12,719 --> 00:40:16,039
a huge contract. The team stinks. I don't I mean,

687
00:40:16,159 --> 00:40:18,519
I don't know. Cleveland just really has nothing going for

688
00:40:18,559 --> 00:40:20,719
them at this point in time to actually make a

689
00:40:20,760 --> 00:40:25,000
case for them from a side perspective. But you were

690
00:40:25,039 --> 00:40:27,199
talking about total, and I can understand why it was

691
00:40:27,239 --> 00:40:29,320
bet down and I can understand the reason for the play.

692
00:40:29,599 --> 00:40:33,119
Trying to think in my head mathematically, you know, you

693
00:40:33,199 --> 00:40:35,559
come out of there with something like twenty three to ten,

694
00:40:35,639 --> 00:40:38,440
which sounds reasonable. It's a Baltimore win and cover and

695
00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:39,480
it's an under as well.

696
00:40:42,079 --> 00:40:45,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, that one I liked quite a bit. I can't lie.

697
00:40:46,119 --> 00:40:48,960
I'm looking here really quick, you know that AFC North.

698
00:40:49,159 --> 00:40:55,280
I'm just trying to see. The Steelers are on top right, yeah? Stillers, Oh,

699
00:40:55,920 --> 00:40:59,559
I mean there's some teams catching up over there. So

700
00:41:00,559 --> 00:41:04,360
Steelers and Bengals is a big game. Bengals are three

701
00:41:04,440 --> 00:41:07,239
and six, playoff whole kind of dwindling away. Is it

702
00:41:07,280 --> 00:41:13,360
already gone? Uh? Maybe? I feel like Joe Flacco also

703
00:41:13,480 --> 00:41:17,239
was on the injury report, Like I have him on

704
00:41:17,559 --> 00:41:20,760
my fantasy team, so I know he was something was

705
00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:23,199
up with him. Where his question mark if he's gonna play,

706
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:26,039
He probably will play because it's important of the game too.

707
00:41:26,159 --> 00:41:31,320
But I can't help but think since he's just about done,

708
00:41:33,719 --> 00:41:37,639
since he's just about done, Pittsburgh they can still I mean,

709
00:41:37,639 --> 00:41:40,320
they hold their own destiny right, They're on top of

710
00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:42,960
the division. They are gonna have to face the Ravens.

711
00:41:43,239 --> 00:41:45,679
They can make a wild card. This is a really

712
00:41:45,719 --> 00:41:49,119
really important game. Yes, maybe for both teams, but I

713
00:41:49,119 --> 00:41:53,800
feel more so for the Steelers, and I think the

714
00:41:53,800 --> 00:41:57,320
Steelers are better. I think it's interesting that the Steelers

715
00:41:57,360 --> 00:42:03,320
just got blown out by I mean, I'm thinking correctly,

716
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:04,400
they got blown out right.

717
00:42:05,519 --> 00:42:06,480
Speaker 2: Or by the charger.

718
00:42:06,800 --> 00:42:09,719
Speaker 1: The chargers pay the chargers. Oh that was sweet. I

719
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:13,519
had the charges now one. So yeah, they struggled. They

720
00:42:13,519 --> 00:42:15,960
look bad, they look terrible. Now they're five and a

721
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:19,760
half here. I don't know. That's just kind of screaming

722
00:42:19,800 --> 00:42:23,119
to me. We know how bad Cincinnati's defense is. You

723
00:42:23,239 --> 00:42:25,480
and me can go and Brown does some guys and

724
00:42:25,519 --> 00:42:30,039
go score on them. Stealers, team total over or Stellers

725
00:42:32,119 --> 00:42:33,760
look like the ways to play this game for me,

726
00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:36,320
at least as of right down. What are you thinking?

727
00:42:37,760 --> 00:42:39,840
Speaker 2: Well, I meant to mention this when we just talked

728
00:42:39,840 --> 00:42:42,719
about Baltimore in their quest to get to the division lead.

729
00:42:42,760 --> 00:42:46,440
Here a game behind the Steelers, They're gonna be fairly

730
00:42:46,480 --> 00:42:49,800
happy here because Joe Burrow's back at practice, and if

731
00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:55,320
Joe plays here, then you know they could. They're two

732
00:42:55,400 --> 00:42:57,480
and oh inside believe it or not, Ski, they're two

733
00:42:57,480 --> 00:42:59,920
and oh in the AFC. Nor both of these teams

734
00:43:00,440 --> 00:43:02,360
since he in Baltimore that have had a ton of

735
00:43:02,360 --> 00:43:06,320
trouble still, at least where divisional tie breakers are concerned,

736
00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:09,599
are in really good shape and Pittsburgh didn't run away

737
00:43:09,599 --> 00:43:14,079
with the division. Can you trust Cincinnati's defense against anybody?

738
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:18,920
Absolutely not. Can you trust if Joe Burrow is able

739
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:22,400
to go, can you trust him against the Pittsburgh defense? Probably,

740
00:43:23,079 --> 00:43:26,519
which would lead you to an over the weather condition's

741
00:43:26,599 --> 00:43:28,519
real quick here. I'm going to get the update in

742
00:43:28,599 --> 00:43:32,239
Pittsburgh just to make sure it's not as bad and

743
00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:35,440
it's not anywhere near as bad as this going to

744
00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:39,719
be in Cleveland. So you got decent weather in Pittsburgh.

745
00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:43,440
These two teams. I could see fifty points being scored

746
00:43:43,480 --> 00:43:45,400
in this game. I think the totals forty eight and

747
00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:49,079
a half forty nine. But I have to make sure

748
00:43:49,920 --> 00:43:52,920
Burrow's okay after he practices this week. But he's there.

749
00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:56,119
He's out there in pads and throwing it around. And

750
00:43:56,199 --> 00:44:00,480
I think Cincinnati, to your point when you said are

751
00:44:00,519 --> 00:44:03,800
they done, they're desperate, et cetera, et cetera, they probably

752
00:44:03,800 --> 00:44:05,679
feel the same way. And if there's any way shape

753
00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:07,079
or for him, they can get him on the field.

754
00:44:07,199 --> 00:44:08,760
I don't think they have him back in practice for

755
00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:11,079
no reason, let's put it that way. I think they

756
00:44:11,079 --> 00:44:13,519
see the schedule coming up. I think they see, hey, listen,

757
00:44:13,599 --> 00:44:16,280
really two games behind these guys. Let's throw Burrow out

758
00:44:16,280 --> 00:44:18,840
there and see if we can win one by outscoring them.

759
00:44:18,880 --> 00:44:20,960
So if I play that game, and I might, it'll

760
00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:21,639
be on the over.

761
00:44:24,039 --> 00:44:27,360
Speaker 1: That makes sense. I mean we just saw Chargers a

762
00:44:27,360 --> 00:44:34,239
lot of the Stellers, right yeah, I mean over over

763
00:44:34,360 --> 00:44:36,280
does make some sense. I would just worry. I mean,

764
00:44:36,559 --> 00:44:38,639
Joe Burrow hasn't played in so long. Is he gonna

765
00:44:38,679 --> 00:44:42,840
come back out and just look like amazing right away?

766
00:44:43,079 --> 00:44:46,039
That would give me some hesitation. So Stealers are over.

767
00:44:46,159 --> 00:44:47,679
I guess kind of how we're feeling about that one

768
00:44:47,719 --> 00:44:51,679
right now. You know, I didn't really look at this

769
00:44:51,719 --> 00:44:54,679
game before right now, honestly, but Tampa Bay and Buffalo.

770
00:44:56,119 --> 00:44:58,480
Tampa Bay just what I think off the top of

771
00:44:58,480 --> 00:45:04,599
my head, they very unimpressive. Like I know, you're minus

772
00:45:04,679 --> 00:45:08,400
Mike Evans, and but I haven't liked anything that I've

773
00:45:08,400 --> 00:45:11,960
been seeing from Tampa Bay lately. Again off the top

774
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:14,920
of my head, not looking at anything in front of me. Buffalo,

775
00:45:16,039 --> 00:45:17,599
I feel like this is the team that really needs

776
00:45:17,599 --> 00:45:21,199
to win. Let me actually pull this up here, let

777
00:45:21,199 --> 00:45:25,119
me get to the NFL, and this my bad, you guys.

778
00:45:26,119 --> 00:45:30,559
So the Bills they are both teams are coming off losses,

779
00:45:30,599 --> 00:45:32,880
but let me just see the Bills here. Was it

780
00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:35,480
back to back losses for the Bills. No, they beat

781
00:45:35,519 --> 00:45:38,480
the Chiefs and beat the Panthers, so they're two and

782
00:45:38,519 --> 00:45:44,280
two of their last four games there, And uh, I mean,

783
00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:46,519
I think the Bills are the better team. I trust

784
00:45:46,599 --> 00:45:48,760
Josh Allen more than I trust Baker and whatever he

785
00:45:48,800 --> 00:45:52,519
has over there with him. I guess I'm just trying

786
00:45:52,559 --> 00:45:56,599
to find reasons to to back the Bills other than

787
00:45:58,679 --> 00:46:02,400
just just how I feel about fighting the Buccaneers. Do

788
00:46:02,440 --> 00:46:03,480
you have any thoughts here on.

789
00:46:03,440 --> 00:46:08,320
Speaker 2: This game, both of these defenses that have gone south? Ski,

790
00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:11,920
I mean, Devon a Chan was running like it was

791
00:46:12,039 --> 00:46:14,519
nothing against the Bills, and we talked about the Bills

792
00:46:14,599 --> 00:46:17,480
run defense right now. The Dad Oliver's going for the year.

793
00:46:18,199 --> 00:46:24,360
They had almost two hundred yards rushing last week, and

794
00:46:24,400 --> 00:46:27,840
then Tampa last week at home to your point against

795
00:46:27,840 --> 00:46:32,880
New England got shredded. They to Mayfield's credit, they almost

796
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:36,119
came back at the end in that game, but they

797
00:46:36,159 --> 00:46:39,000
still lost. They weren't the better team. They gave up.

798
00:46:40,519 --> 00:46:42,480
I'm trying to remember. I think it was over four

799
00:46:42,519 --> 00:46:45,280
hundred yards worth of offense in that game. We know

800
00:46:45,360 --> 00:46:48,840
Buffalo can move the football. We know James Cook that

801
00:46:48,920 --> 00:46:51,639
one thing Buffalo can do really, really well is run

802
00:46:51,679 --> 00:46:56,840
the football. Tampa Bay supposedly good run defense, Like I say,

803
00:46:56,920 --> 00:46:59,880
Travion Henderson broke off a couple sixty yard touchdown runs.

804
00:47:00,159 --> 00:47:02,880
We can against them, So how good is this run defense?

805
00:47:02,920 --> 00:47:07,719
Maybe that's more myth than reality right now. I think

806
00:47:07,760 --> 00:47:10,599
that probably you know, we got to check into Buffalo

807
00:47:10,639 --> 00:47:14,119
weather because this totals come down forty nine and a

808
00:47:14,159 --> 00:47:16,639
half to forty seven and a half. To me, the

809
00:47:16,679 --> 00:47:18,920
best thing about these two teams right now is both

810
00:47:18,920 --> 00:47:22,920
of their offenses. It's a non conference game, so there's

811
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:27,039
no real tie breaking implications here. I think you'll see

812
00:47:27,039 --> 00:47:31,000
a wide open contest. And I'm just trying to look

813
00:47:31,039 --> 00:47:34,920
here really fast for the Buffalo weather so we can

814
00:47:35,440 --> 00:47:39,320
get it for the chat here so we know what

815
00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:40,480
we're talking about.

816
00:47:40,960 --> 00:47:45,559
Speaker 1: Sunday looks like fifteen to twenty miles hour sustained gusting

817
00:47:45,599 --> 00:47:48,119
over thirty miles per hour. So that's not good if

818
00:47:48,159 --> 00:47:50,639
you like the people in the chat who are thinking

819
00:47:50,679 --> 00:47:54,480
over and I think what it would, Oh, go ahead,

820
00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:58,159
maybe rain and snow as well.

821
00:48:01,159 --> 00:48:04,679
Speaker 2: The temperatures are cool to twenty nine twenty seven. That's

822
00:48:04,760 --> 00:48:08,079
not good for Tampa Bay to come from Florida into

823
00:48:08,119 --> 00:48:11,440
that kind of weather. And it is good for Buffalo

824
00:48:11,480 --> 00:48:13,719
because if it means you have to run the football,

825
00:48:13,760 --> 00:48:17,800
their offensive line and James Cook and Josh Allen are

826
00:48:17,840 --> 00:48:21,000
the better running game by far. So this could lead

827
00:48:21,039 --> 00:48:23,079
to more of a play on Buffalo, which I think

828
00:48:23,159 --> 00:48:25,440
is where you started this whole thing. They're laying five

829
00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:29,119
and a half. Yeah, five and a half the best

830
00:48:29,159 --> 00:48:32,039
number you can get here, So we'll look further into it.

831
00:48:32,079 --> 00:48:36,119
But the way we're talking about it right now would

832
00:48:36,199 --> 00:48:39,079
lead towards the Buffalo Bills. But even though their defense,

833
00:48:39,199 --> 00:48:42,159
just man, that run defense is scary bad right now.

834
00:48:42,760 --> 00:48:47,199
Speaker 1: It is Buccaneers. Bucky Irving's been hurt for so long.

835
00:48:47,599 --> 00:48:50,679
I think he might be back though, but again, who

836
00:48:50,679 --> 00:48:53,000
knows if he is back or how they're looking this

837
00:48:53,079 --> 00:48:55,679
first game back. I can't help but point this out

838
00:48:55,679 --> 00:48:59,760
to Ravino. I mean, if that run game is not

839
00:48:59,800 --> 00:49:05,519
worth for the Buccaneers. They played the Patriots last week, right,

840
00:49:06,519 --> 00:49:09,440
you had so many chances to go down and score, Like,

841
00:49:09,480 --> 00:49:13,119
how many chances did they go down and just turn

842
00:49:13,159 --> 00:49:15,960
over on downs? You know? What I'm saying, like, that's

843
00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:20,239
against a poor Patriots pass defense. Bill's pass defense is

844
00:49:20,239 --> 00:49:23,599
better than that. I see Tampa Bay maybe struggling a

845
00:49:23,639 --> 00:49:28,079
little bit more than people think here. I'm starting to

846
00:49:28,119 --> 00:49:34,039
feel like even more so than Bill's maybe even just

847
00:49:34,800 --> 00:49:39,119
the under and or Tampa Bay team total under or

848
00:49:39,159 --> 00:49:42,719
the under in the game. Maybe Tampa Bay team total under.

849
00:49:42,920 --> 00:49:45,000
If you can't score on that Patriots pass defense, how

850
00:49:45,039 --> 00:49:47,679
you gonna score here against Buffalo? Don't know if you

851
00:49:47,719 --> 00:49:49,679
have Bucky back, if he does, it's his first game,

852
00:49:49,719 --> 00:49:53,719
how's it gonna look. I know Bill's rush defense is

853
00:49:53,760 --> 00:49:56,199
not great, but even if they're running the ball, it's

854
00:49:56,199 --> 00:50:00,719
gonna tick tick tick tick tick tick Tampa Bay team

855
00:50:00,800 --> 00:50:05,239
total under or under along with the the wins right

856
00:50:05,280 --> 00:50:14,639
in this game. I don't know that's calling my name, Robie. No, yeah,

857
00:50:14,880 --> 00:50:17,880
I'm opening my wallet. I'm looking here. I mean, we're

858
00:50:17,880 --> 00:50:20,360
gonna be off here soon. Let me just it did

859
00:50:20,480 --> 00:50:22,440
up in forty nine and a half and came down there.

860
00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:27,000
Let me forty seven, Hey man, I might I might

861
00:50:27,039 --> 00:50:28,679
have found something there with that. Let me go ahead

862
00:50:28,679 --> 00:50:32,119
and write this down before I forget that. They put

863
00:50:32,159 --> 00:50:38,360
that big arrow down, all right, there's only one other

864
00:50:38,400 --> 00:50:40,440
game I think that we have. Oh, actually, it's just

865
00:50:40,480 --> 00:50:43,760
a lot of good games this week. I feel like

866
00:50:44,440 --> 00:50:46,559
we should at least mention even if we don't have

867
00:50:46,599 --> 00:50:51,079
too much saying, uh my bad not sand Fran. Hell no,

868
00:50:52,760 --> 00:50:54,559
that was not the good game. I was talking about

869
00:50:54,599 --> 00:51:00,599
Seattle and the Rams. Three point favorite forty seven and

870
00:51:00,599 --> 00:51:07,960
a half opener looks like forty eight and a half now, man,

871
00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:12,639
Seattle's look damn good. Darnold looks good. It feels like

872
00:51:12,639 --> 00:51:15,079
they're able to score on anybody. I do like this

873
00:51:15,199 --> 00:51:19,079
Rams defense. The Rams have looked good too. You know,

874
00:51:20,320 --> 00:51:23,000
I can't help but think. And I'm a group these together,

875
00:51:23,039 --> 00:51:24,480
and I'll ask you can pick which one you want

876
00:51:24,480 --> 00:51:26,679
to talk about if not both this game right here,

877
00:51:27,639 --> 00:51:32,119
Detroit and Philadelphia. I mean, they're both two really huge games,

878
00:51:33,039 --> 00:51:35,920
like playoff type games. And it's just reminded me like

879
00:51:36,840 --> 00:51:40,840
we just saw the Eagles and the Packers, right, how

880
00:51:40,920 --> 00:51:44,960
low scoring defensive game that was. I feel like both

881
00:51:44,960 --> 00:51:49,360
of these games can be like that as well. I'm

882
00:51:49,400 --> 00:51:52,559
thinking about under in both. Do you have any feeling

883
00:51:52,639 --> 00:51:53,039
on either?

884
00:51:55,400 --> 00:51:59,360
Speaker 2: Well, I think we're Eagles Lions is concerned Ski The

885
00:51:59,400 --> 00:52:02,280
problem for the Eagles is going to be. These offensive

886
00:52:02,280 --> 00:52:06,159
linemens just keep getting hurt. I mean, we equate Philadelphia

887
00:52:06,199 --> 00:52:09,760
with that offensive line in Saquon, and things aren't the

888
00:52:09,800 --> 00:52:12,559
same because that offensive line they got banged up again

889
00:52:12,639 --> 00:52:14,559
the other night in that ten to seven win against

890
00:52:14,599 --> 00:52:17,079
Green Bay. You saw Eagles lineman going off the field,

891
00:52:17,559 --> 00:52:21,800
Landon Dickerson, Cam Jurgens didn't even play backups. Tyler Stein's

892
00:52:21,840 --> 00:52:24,599
not even a starter. He's hurt. So they're going way

893
00:52:24,639 --> 00:52:27,599
into the depth chart. Lane Johnson's hurt. Everybody's got a

894
00:52:27,679 --> 00:52:30,280
question mark next to their name. They're not the same

895
00:52:31,039 --> 00:52:34,480
without that offensive line, nor is Detroit. Right when Detroit

896
00:52:34,599 --> 00:52:39,679
is good, their defensive line is good, and yeah, when

897
00:52:39,719 --> 00:52:43,719
they got stung by injuries last year and the protection

898
00:52:43,920 --> 00:52:48,039
wasn't there for Jared Goff, then it makes a different

899
00:52:48,239 --> 00:52:51,199
It makes them a different team. They've got injuries as well.

900
00:52:51,239 --> 00:52:55,320
I'm looking at the questionables this week, Decker, Glasgow, Penney Sewell,

901
00:52:55,400 --> 00:52:58,519
so that's both your tackles and your center. That's not good.

902
00:52:59,480 --> 00:53:02,599
It's hard to make judgment from a side perspective on

903
00:53:02,679 --> 00:53:05,559
that game until we know who's going to be across

904
00:53:05,559 --> 00:53:08,920
those offensive lines. But to your point about under it

905
00:53:09,000 --> 00:53:11,880
seems like the defensive lines could be the two best

906
00:53:11,960 --> 00:53:14,320
units on the field because Aiden Hutchinson and those guys

907
00:53:14,360 --> 00:53:17,400
will get after it. And on the other side, they

908
00:53:17,519 --> 00:53:20,320
just got Jalen Phillips the Eagles did from Miami and

909
00:53:20,320 --> 00:53:22,960
that pass rush looked great against Jordan Love the other night,

910
00:53:23,079 --> 00:53:27,440
so it could be just a defensive battle in that game.

911
00:53:27,519 --> 00:53:30,320
Total probably pretty high, right I'm not staring at it

912
00:53:30,400 --> 00:53:34,559
right now. It looks like seven seems a little high.

913
00:53:34,559 --> 00:53:36,760
If we don't have these offensive lineman, ski, that's six

914
00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:38,599
of the best in the business. They might not play

915
00:53:38,920 --> 00:53:40,039
or we'll play bag up.

916
00:53:41,840 --> 00:53:43,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, that's making a lot of sense to me.

917
00:53:45,960 --> 00:53:49,159
I didn't check if this was a weather game or anything.

918
00:53:49,239 --> 00:53:51,800
I mean, Billy, you never know, you could have some weather.

919
00:53:51,880 --> 00:53:54,079
Let me just glance. I don't see them on the

920
00:53:54,079 --> 00:53:57,960
list here, so not really any weather stuff. But lack

921
00:53:58,000 --> 00:54:02,760
of offensive line should hit under both offenses. That definitely. You know,

922
00:54:03,039 --> 00:54:05,800
we like to go to logic score around here. One

923
00:54:05,800 --> 00:54:08,440
plus one that equals two for me, right there, So

924
00:54:10,280 --> 00:54:11,719
put that up the short list as well.

925
00:54:13,440 --> 00:54:16,000
Speaker 2: The NBA never heard of logic school. That's why we're.

926
00:54:15,840 --> 00:54:17,800
Speaker 1: Having Oh no, I don't believe in that shit. They

927
00:54:17,800 --> 00:54:21,239
don't believe in that shit right now? Uh uh this

928
00:54:21,360 --> 00:54:24,559
this new age, Yeah, throw that ship right out the window.

929
00:54:25,440 --> 00:54:29,920
But uh oh yeah, I think we're good.

930
00:54:29,800 --> 00:54:31,480
Speaker 2: At the other game. Real quick, I'll just say two

931
00:54:31,559 --> 00:54:34,239
quick words that the Seattle defense is probably the most

932
00:54:34,280 --> 00:54:37,119
underrated unit in the league right now. That defense has

933
00:54:37,159 --> 00:54:40,880
been Mike McDonald right. He was the defensive coordinator for

934
00:54:40,920 --> 00:54:43,159
the Ravens. Took him a little bit to get a

935
00:54:43,239 --> 00:54:46,800
Ravens type defense, but his his quote before the season

936
00:54:46,840 --> 00:54:49,360
started Ski is we're gonna make us that nobody can

937
00:54:49,440 --> 00:54:52,639
run on us. And really people haven't run on them,

938
00:54:53,119 --> 00:54:56,119
but the Rams through the air. Matthew Stafford's having such

939
00:54:56,119 --> 00:54:58,760
a great year right now. And when you have Nakua

940
00:54:59,480 --> 00:55:03,199
and the Ante Adams running around out there, that's tough.

941
00:55:03,280 --> 00:55:06,400
And to your point, I mean, they added Rashid Shaheed

942
00:55:07,199 --> 00:55:11,280
to that receiving crew last week in the trade deadline

943
00:55:11,280 --> 00:55:16,119
with JSN, who I think JSN became the fastest since

944
00:55:16,159 --> 00:55:20,480
Calvin Johnson to a thousand yards in the season and

945
00:55:20,519 --> 00:55:23,559
they run the ball too, So it looks like these

946
00:55:23,599 --> 00:55:26,239
offenses can do whatever they want. Despite the fact that

947
00:55:26,280 --> 00:55:28,440
the defenses are so good. That's a tough handycap. But

948
00:55:28,480 --> 00:55:31,960
Seattle is four and oh on the road, So if

949
00:55:31,960 --> 00:55:34,159
you can take an undefeated road team and grab some

950
00:55:34,280 --> 00:55:37,519
points inside the division, that might be a good way

951
00:55:37,519 --> 00:55:38,039
to go here.

952
00:55:39,599 --> 00:55:41,440
Speaker 1: All right, there we go. We'll wrap it up on

953
00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:45,599
that note. We talked about almost almost all the games,

954
00:55:45,599 --> 00:55:47,480
a good amount of games that we'll see on Sunday.

955
00:55:47,880 --> 00:55:53,039
Talked about Thursday Night football. We talked about NBAS three

956
00:55:53,079 --> 00:55:57,079
games for today. Now we'll do a little bit of

957
00:55:57,119 --> 00:55:59,199
this this promo stuff. I'll put the same stuff up.

958
00:56:00,480 --> 00:56:03,800
If you want to be involved with every football play

959
00:56:03,960 --> 00:56:07,000
made Saturday, Sunday and Monday, you can get them from

960
00:56:07,159 --> 00:56:10,760
either of us for only forty nine dollars. And uh yeah,

961
00:56:10,840 --> 00:56:14,079
Veno has been pulling an NFL. I know that for sure,

962
00:56:14,480 --> 00:56:17,639
and I'm gonna be you know. I didn't talk about props,

963
00:56:17,719 --> 00:56:20,360
but I will have props. My props are ten and

964
00:56:20,440 --> 00:56:23,320
three so far this season. I will have that going

965
00:56:23,559 --> 00:56:29,119
this weekend. We have bad We have the basketball version,

966
00:56:29,320 --> 00:56:33,599
bull Court, All Access College Basketball, and NBA. If you

967
00:56:33,639 --> 00:56:35,400
want to rock for a few days, you can get

968
00:56:35,440 --> 00:56:36,960
it for only thirty nine dollars. If you want to

969
00:56:37,000 --> 00:56:39,159
go a little bit longer, get ten days of picks

970
00:56:39,199 --> 00:56:41,639
for less than ten dollars per day. If you want

971
00:56:41,679 --> 00:56:44,760
to go longer than that year past, you can take

972
00:56:44,880 --> 00:56:47,480
five hundred dollars off comes out to one twenty five

973
00:56:47,519 --> 00:56:50,239
a month. And if you go get Rob Vino you

974
00:56:50,280 --> 00:56:53,000
will receive a twenty five percent bonus coupon. He can

975
00:56:53,039 --> 00:56:55,039
come and check Ski out as well. So a lot

976
00:56:55,039 --> 00:56:57,119
of different ways to get involved if you would like to.

977
00:56:57,679 --> 00:57:01,119
Now you know, on that note, we will move to

978
00:57:01,280 --> 00:57:06,599
best bets, and you know it's tough pickings today, so

979
00:57:06,960 --> 00:57:09,079
if you don't have one, it's all good, but if

980
00:57:09,079 --> 00:57:10,559
you do, we would love to hear it.

981
00:57:12,880 --> 00:57:15,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, if if the chat doesn't mind. I know we

982
00:57:15,480 --> 00:57:17,880
generally go to the NBA here, but I'm going to

983
00:57:17,920 --> 00:57:20,239
avoid the NBA for best bet here and just go

984
00:57:20,280 --> 00:57:22,199
to the football game that we talked about. I think

985
00:57:22,239 --> 00:57:24,599
New England first half is a solid play bet at

986
00:57:24,599 --> 00:57:29,719
myself gave it out the clients earlier this afternoon. So

987
00:57:29,880 --> 00:57:34,519
New England minus seven first half for the best bet.

988
00:57:34,559 --> 00:57:37,239
I'll just say really quick to Ski because I don't

989
00:57:37,239 --> 00:57:40,440
ever I should probably promote this a little more because

990
00:57:40,480 --> 00:57:42,880
he's a friend of ours and I love doing the

991
00:57:42,920 --> 00:57:44,440
show with him this afternoon.

992
00:57:44,559 --> 00:57:46,960
Speaker 1: Always for me, I don't have a whole lot of

993
00:57:46,960 --> 00:57:48,280
friends though, I'm just kidding.

994
00:57:48,800 --> 00:57:53,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, you like this guy though, four ten, four fifteen

995
00:57:53,880 --> 00:57:57,480
Eastern time. Every single week I do college football every

996
00:57:57,519 --> 00:58:02,159
game on the board with Drew Martin. It's live on Twitter. Yeah, Drew.

997
00:58:02,239 --> 00:58:08,119
Drew's our guy, right, We like Drew. And it's live

998
00:58:08,199 --> 00:58:10,760
on Twitter and it's a bit put into podcast forms.

999
00:58:10,800 --> 00:58:13,239
She can catch it afterwards. But I have about a

1000
00:58:13,320 --> 00:58:18,119
seventeen eighteen game, you know, span every single week, bottom

1001
00:58:18,159 --> 00:58:20,159
of the bottom of the card. So if you're interested

1002
00:58:20,199 --> 00:58:23,920
in college football, tune into Drew and myself this afternoon

1003
00:58:23,920 --> 00:58:25,840
about four to ten Eastern time. We'll give you some

1004
00:58:25,880 --> 00:58:27,559
insight into college football as well.

1005
00:58:28,599 --> 00:58:31,639
Speaker 1: All right, great stuff. Yeah, I'm not gonna lie to

1006
00:58:31,639 --> 00:58:35,000
you guys. You heard me today. I didn't feel confident

1007
00:58:35,079 --> 00:58:37,039
enough to get to the window early. I have a

1008
00:58:37,079 --> 00:58:39,599
lot of I mean, I'm looking at all of Honestly,

1009
00:58:40,239 --> 00:58:42,840
I'm looking at all the dogs today in the NBA.

1010
00:58:43,159 --> 00:58:46,000
Doesn't mean I'm gonna bet every single dog, no, but

1011
00:58:46,039 --> 00:58:49,039
I'm trying to find as many reasons as I can

1012
00:58:49,400 --> 00:58:52,280
to pick the one I am going to back so

1013
00:58:52,320 --> 00:58:55,199
I'm looking at that, looking at different ways to back

1014
00:58:55,239 --> 00:59:00,239
the Patriots. You guys hurt the show. You know, feel

1015
00:59:00,239 --> 00:59:02,280
different ways about games. We don't have a bet bet

1016
00:59:02,280 --> 00:59:04,960
today for the show, so tomorrow we will have a

1017
00:59:05,000 --> 00:59:07,480
full lowed slate of NBA. It'll probably be a lot

1018
00:59:07,519 --> 00:59:10,519
easier to pick these best bets, so maybe if we

1019
00:59:10,559 --> 00:59:12,960
have a couple we'll throw, we'll throw them out there tomorrow.

1020
00:59:13,440 --> 00:59:16,079
You know, appreciate you taking the time to come cat

1021
00:59:16,159 --> 00:59:20,159
these games with me. I always enjoy our process. Everybody

1022
00:59:20,199 --> 00:59:22,920
in the chat. We appreciate you guys tapping in as well.

1023
00:59:23,639 --> 00:59:25,440
If you can hit the like button, it helps us

1024
00:59:25,440 --> 00:59:28,519
out and we will be back again tomorrow. Best of

1025
00:59:28,599 --> 00:59:29,760
luck on all your action tonight.