Speaker 1: Marco to Angel, I know you're not a huge boxing
fan here, but you do like to wager, and I
don't know what you got out of showtime Sean Pea's
a breakdown there, but made a great case for a
live underdog in Terrence Crawford.
Speaker 2: Might have to take a look at that. You know,
definitely like plus money, that's for sure, all.
Speaker 1: Right, Speaking of plus money, what kind of plus money
are we looking at here for the college football Week
number one?
Speaker 3: Here? Now that we know there were games last.
Speaker 1: Week, and I know you dabbled in a little bit,
but again, this is a little bit different.
Speaker 3: I don't know if you feel this way.
Speaker 4: I think you do.
Speaker 1: But with nil and with the changing rosters and everything
else that's going on here, it just seems like we
do not have a good handle and handicap on what
we're gonna see in Week one. Like you said, you
don't have exhibition games like you do in the NFL,
even though we you know this is not much to that,
but you know what I'm saying, and you really can't
take much from teams from last season. Now some are gonna,
you know, maybe return maybe fifty sixty percent of their
their roster others are going to be less than twenty
or thirty. I mean, it's just a crapshoot. It's really
really hard to handicap. So I don't know if you
feel that way and what your approach is in week
one in this nil era.
Speaker 2: Well, definitely in week one for me, TC is I'm
gonna tread, you know, cautiously. I'm not gonna have a
ton of plays. We'll pick our spot plays. What you've
got to look at is what I generally look at
for any new college football season. You want to try
to take a team that has the most continuity from
the previous year heading into week one, because you expect
those type of teams to hit.
Speaker 4: The ground running. You know.
Speaker 2: For example, let's let's talk about the Ohio State, you know,
Texas game. That's the biggest game, you know, on the
card this weekend. When if we had one versus three
in the first week in a non conference you know,
Matt like this. So when you look at that, the
breakdown for me is, I look at Texas.
Speaker 4: Both teams are starting new quarterbacks. But Arch Manning, he's.
Speaker 2: Had some experience, he had a couple starts, he's got
in into games. We know the pedigree with him. But
then you look at the rest of the Texas roster
and they got all majority of their pieces back from
last year, so you would expect them to hit the
ground running a little better than Ohio State. Where Ohio
State they had like seven I think they had seventeen
players that were significant players gone. Fifteen of them actually
got invited to the NFL Combine this year. So when
you have to have a rollover like that, you're starting
a new quarterback. And one thing that I'm curious to see,
not that I was the biggest.
Speaker 4: Fan of his, there's gonna be.
Speaker 2: Ryan Day doesn't have his mentor slash offensive coordinator by
a side this year. There's gonna be growing pains there
as well. So when you look at that, that's why
I like the Texas side, and is when we talk
with John Murray, he said, they're getting a lot of
sharp money on Texas. Now, could they come back later
and take Ohio State if this line crosses and then
you get Ohio State at plus money and there they
got a free middle you know, working there. That's a possibility,
But I think Texas is better suited to start this game.
One we might have a totally different period opinion of
Ohio State. After we watch a couple of games and say, hey,
like the big programs do they don't rebuild, they just reload.
Speaker 1: Arch Manning obviously, is a story of this game. And
you know, even though we have not really got to
see too much of him in backup roles or just
you know, filler situations or in specialty packages, and you
go back and you look the last time that we
saw arch Manning, you know, you know, you know, getting
getting sacked, giving.
Speaker 3: Up a fumble, and you know a lot of.
Speaker 1: People well, okay, but then now he's had an entire
off season, has had a full you know, spring and
training camp and that sort of thing. Uh, you've had
a lot of guys that he faced going on to
the NFL. So you figure, okay, the natural progression that
we normally see in college is you have that you know,
one year under your belt, year and a half, you know,
whatever it has been with him, you know, some sporadic play,
but now this is finally his team and.
Speaker 3: We're really gonna go get a good look.
Speaker 1: We think that if anybody is capable of handling this
type of you know game, going against a defending champion
on their home field.
Speaker 3: It is arch Manning.
Speaker 1: My concern though, you know, with Texas is has always
been maybe on the defensive side of the ball as
well too, But Ohio State does is starting, you know,
a freshman quarterback.
Speaker 3: So I think there's a big unknown there.
Speaker 1: And I think we are seeing this money move nearly now,
you know, close to two three points in a swing
towards Texas just because of the quarterback situation. But I
think that there is maybe some vulnerabilities on the offensive
line of both teams and even the defensive line. I
just think it's a it's a it's a big unknown.
And but if you're gonna play this game, I think
the public is seen. Well, I got arch Manning against
you know, a red shirt freshman quarterback.
Speaker 2: There is, but let's not forget too and you know,
I like to look at you know, angles and situations
and stuff.
Speaker 4: This is a revenge game.
Speaker 3: And this is the rematch of the semi final.
Speaker 2: You're correct, okay, And if you go back to that
game and you didn't watch it and all you saw
was the final score, and say, okay, Ohio State beat
them twenty eighth to fourteen last year.
Speaker 4: If you remember.
Speaker 2: For me, sadly, I remember all too well because I
had Texas and a teaser. It was twenty one to
fourteen late and Texas was driving for the tying touchdown
and we had, you know, they turn over and taking
it to the house the other way. It wasn't a
fourteen point game last year. So from that, from what
you saw with your eyes last year, that was an
even toss up game. It could have been twenty one
to twenty one very easily. And then we look at
the two rosters right now, which roster is more intact
from last is Texas?
Speaker 3: No?
Speaker 1: I agree with you, I agree, I agree, And again
I think that's part of the reasoning as well too,
why this line is moving in favor of Texas. All right,
let's just focus in some of the other big games. Obviously,
the Clemson LSU is a monster game as well too.
Speaker 3: Clemson has been one of those teams that.
Speaker 1: We always talk about at this time of year and
then it just doesn't materialize and it's like, okay, it's
the ACC and that sort of thing, and Dabos teams
have not been the same, and he has been very
reluctant to use the nil and use the transfer portal
and all that sort of thing. But now here we
go again. You know, club Nick is back as their quarterback.
Not really crazy about him, but he is coming back
for his third year here. And LSU's got nes Meyer,
who we've seen good and we've seen bad.
Speaker 3: Just it's a hard game to handicap.
Speaker 2: I like the dog, and I know most people are
on the other side. They like Clemson. There has been
so much hype with Clemson the way they finished the
season last year. Remember they got off to a slow start,
and you know that was a conference last year. We
said it all year long. That was probably the worst
acc top to bottom that we had last year. And
you know, they're ranked very high either they're the number
four team in the country. I think that's a little
bit too high on them. I'm not sold on them
yet but LSU. I think one of the other reasons
that Clemson is getting so much of the money right
now is LSU has notoriously started the season poorly. I
think they've lost like five straight openers.
Speaker 4: They always seem to schedule.
Speaker 2: A tough opponent. Okay, now, Brian Kelly, this is year three.
We always say that when a coach takes over. The
biggest jump you're gonna see in a in a team
is from year two to year three. Year one to
me is always you know, it's almost a throwaway because
you're taking over somebody else's like Bill Parcells used to say,
but you know they're groceries. Okay, now it's not as
much now because of you know, the turnover we have
with the transfer portal. But you still have a lot
of players on that roster that were recruited by the
other coach and that might not beating, that might not
suit your system the way you want it. Year two,
you get more, you get more of your players incorporated
in there. It's a second year of running your program.
You see it a bit of improvement. Year three, that
entire rocks from head to toe is everybody that he
wanted for their system. This is a make or break season.
I think for Brian Kelly, there's a lot of heat.
You know, he came in there with fanfare and expectations. LSU,
I think is a legitimate contender in the SEC this
year and into the playoff pitcher. This is gonna be
a big.
Speaker 4: Game for them. They'll jump into the you know, the rankings.
They're nine. They'll jump with a win here on the road.
Speaker 3: Their defense was scary ugly.
Speaker 1: When I say scary ugly, not in a good way,
but just you know, giving up tons of yards, tons
of points last year. That team has got to be
better on that side of the ball. Don't know if
that's going to be the case. But again, Clemson doesn't
just doesn't scare me. They're not a high octainmed team,
at least they haven't been the last couple of seasons.
So I like where you're going with LSU, you know,
as a dog there. Then let's talk about Notre Dame Miami.
That's gonna be the feature game on Sunday Night. That's
going to be outstanding as well too. Miami's a three
and a half point, you know, home favorite in this game.
People got to remember, you know that Notre Dame was
legit last year and there are a lot of people
that were fighting at they remember the opening week when
they lost, you know to Northern Illinois, and then they thought, okay,
Notre Dame is a benefactor of the schedule and that
sort of thing. But we saw Notre Dame really be
consistent in the final six seven, eight games of that
season last year, and they made it to the championship.
Their roster is pretty much intact, all right. You didn't
have a lot of people leaving Notre Dame. A lot
of them didn't leave early for the pros. Yet you
had to feel okay. But you talk about rosters intact,
pretty much the Irish, you know, are intact. And this
is a team that has National Championship game experience here
against the Miami team that has always hyped but never dilivers.
Speaker 4: No, and Notre Dame is the three point road favorite
in this one.
Speaker 3: I'm sorry, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeh three point. You're right right.
Speaker 2: There's two things here that I got to look at,
and that's what lines me up on Notre Dame. We're
gonna see different quarter you know, you've got a new
quarterback at Miami, and this is a guy that last year,
you know, we talked about him over and over again,
you know which you know, Beck are we gonna see?
Speaker 1: Uh?
Speaker 4: You know, and gets the transfer there. I not sold
on him.
Speaker 2: But where I think the biggest difference in this game
is in the coaching. You give me Marcus Freeman versus
Mario crystal Ball. I'm going Marcus Freeman, no question, okay.
And I we've seen Notre Dame last year. Remember I
think they opened the season, wasn't it at Texas A
and M. And you know that was I was Okay,
a lot of people love, you know, loved the Texas
A and M side. Notre Dame handles those big game situations,
and I think with the extra time to prepare for
a game one, you know, what are you doing. You know, springball,
You're getting your team, You're getting your roster together. Now
when you're beginning for the season, you've got, you know,
several weeks to focus on that first game. The better coaches,
that's where you see the bigger difference come into play.
And that's what we've seen with Marcus Freeman. Remember a
couple of years ago, they had to They gave him
no shot going into Ohio State. They did everything but
win that game. Yes, correct, Okay, So yeah, opening week,
you give me. You know, I got to break in
a new quarterback at Miami. You know, but he's got
expect you know, he's got experience obviously.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm still going Marcus Freeman.
Speaker 3: I'm with him all right.
Speaker 1: Next Thursday is the NFL opener quick take on the
Eagles and the Cowboys, and again no Michael Parsons for
the Cowboys.
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a situation with I don't know what's
going to go on with Dallas. You know, this is
a team that I thought, you know, if they stayed healthy,
that they could they could surprise expectations a little bit
because they have a loaded offense. But the defense was
was bad last year, even with one of the best
defensive players in the league.
Speaker 4: What's that defense going to be now?
Speaker 2: And more importantly, what's the sentiment in Dallas. That's something
that we don't know. Sometimes you say, you know, it's
better if you've got a cancer in the clubhouse, you know,
to remove it. Was he really a cancer in the
clubhouse or did he just want to get paid? And Jerry,
you know, it was a battle of egos between the two.
We don't know how what the true feelings are inside
dout locker room.
Speaker 1: I think here's exactly what I think it is. My
viewpoint is it wasn't He wasn't a cancer in the
locker room. You're right, He's just a guy that wanted
to get paid and his teammates wanted him there Okay,
he was pretty well liked. Now, Jerry didn't care much
and Mike McCarthy didn't, you know, when he was the
coach there, didn't care much for his antics and that
sort of thing. But for the most part, you've heard
his teammates speak on his behalf. They wanted Parsons there.
So this was all about power. It's all about you know,
talked about this for weeks and weeks and weeks.
Speaker 3: It was a power move by Jerry Jones.
Speaker 1: And I don't blame Jerry Jones because he didn't want
that circus and he wants to be right. And we're
not going to know until the end of the season
if it was the right move for Jerry or not.
But I get it because he wanted to save his
team some money because he's right. He can't pay Dak
Prescott when he paid him, pay CD Lamb when he
paid him, and now pay Michael Parsons.
Speaker 3: You don't have enough money to go around. We know
with the salar cap you don't have that.
Speaker 1: So for the future, this is why he did this,
all right, the Packers.
Speaker 3: They had the money to spend.
Speaker 1: Parsons got his deal, so he's going to be extremely happy,
But we don't know how it's going to work out.
Who's going to be the genius. It could work out
great for both teams. It could work out horrible for
both teams as well too.
Speaker 2: If they make some good draft choices with what they got. Yes, yep,
but you know, I think they paid the wrong of
the three guys she said, the money that they know,
I think they put it in the wrong direction.
Speaker 3: I'll be one of those guys. Call it square if
you want.
Speaker 1: I'll be on Philly on the money line parlay.
Speaker 3: That's right, exactly