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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is Tuesday time for Total

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Bases Tokyo. Brandon not feeling well this morning, so we

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hope he feels better. I thought he was gonna feel great.

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I'm pretty sure he's five percenter won last night, but

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he doesn't feel well today, so hopefully we have we

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have him back tomorrow. But you've got myself and you've

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got Brian Leonard on a strong Internet connection today, so

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we're here for the next hour. And Brian, I have

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a question for Nate the Great on Twitter, so I

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want to get right into it. He says, give me

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the lowdown. I'm Cam Schlitler, and I guess we can

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do that by talking Yankees Blue Jays, which that's good

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enough for a feature game. That's a pretty big series

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in the Al East. So I'll go to you first,

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Yanks Blue Jays. What are you seeing here?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not gonna say his name very often because

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I'm not gonna screw it up and say something I

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probably shouldn't, But yeah, I almost there. Slitter is one

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of those guys that has always had good stuff, but

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he's never performed quite as well as they expected. He's

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twenty four years old and this is uh. He's a

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number ten prospect for the Yankee system. Yankee system doesn't

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seem to have many good pitching prospects. The ones that

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they have brought up have been middling. They are going

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to get one of their guys back that had surgery.

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He should be coming back pretty soon. He's I can't

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think of his name, but he'll he'll will be back.

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So they are starting to get some guys back, but

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they had another injury, and so there they're starting staff

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right now is struggling. Glitter comes in with five point

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zero six a ra A three point eighty four excuse me,

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two point eight four expected, one point one three whip.

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His numbers are he hasn't He's only thrown five and

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a third inning, so his numbers are not really solidified yet.

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But a strikeout right is great. Fastball velocity is great.

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But he's a guy that's a fly ball pitcher, and

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that's always a concern. He's going up against excuse me,

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he's going up against Max Scherzer here. Surezer comes in

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with a four point seven o ERA four point four

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to one expected ERA. Both of those are very high

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for him. He's at the end of his career here

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the last few years. He's in twenty twenty two, he

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had a two point twenty ninety ra went up to

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three point seven to seven, three point ninety five, and

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now four point seven zero. It would not surprise me

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if this is his last year in the majors. But

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he's a bulldog. He wants to play. You know, look

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how long Verline's going, and he's really hit a wall

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this year, so maybe he'll be back. Somebody's going to

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take a chance on him. There's a lot of teams

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out there that really need pitching, but this Toronto teams

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playing very well. Yank, he's struggling right now. In fact,

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I looked at the WRC plus on the season or

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on the last thirty days. Now the Yankees are ranked

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seventh and Toronto's ranked fifth. So we got two teams

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that are hitting pretty well against two pitchers that I

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have a little bit of concern with. Here. The total

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in this game is nine and Toronto's about a one

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twenty five favorite something in that range. Don't want to

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go against Blue Jays since they're playing so well, but

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maybe we can get one of the team totals to

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go over something to take a look at that way,

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but as of right now, it doesn't look like a

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game I'm gonna be involved in.

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Speaker 1: Well, Brian, yesterday on the show, I was I had

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two totals, and I said, you know, I'm not a

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big totals handicapper, but I love both of these and

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one of them will get there. And I was right

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about that. The Giants and the Braves went over. But

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the other one I had that I was very confident

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in was Yankees Blue Jays, and the runs just never

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came ended up being before one final. That being said,

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I wouldn't be surprised if there is some runs in

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this game. Tonight I will I will talk about slit

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Alert Man that this name shouldn't be this hard to pronounce,

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but anyway, I'll talk about him. So, first off, I

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have a soft spot for these guys from the Northeast.

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Like my fiance's family's been housing summer league college ball

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kids for years, so every summer throughout like either we

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didn't have people at our house this year, but they

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they've got three college kids in their in their house

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this year, and last year we had like five or

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six across like all the family members and stuff like that,

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and The reason I bring it up is like a

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lot of them are. You know, there's some D one guys,

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mostly like D two and D three, but they're always

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from a college like Northeastern, you know, like a like

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a Northeastern college a lot of times. And so Cam

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Schlitzler again probably said it wrong. Northeastern uh graduate pitches

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his way up. Always have a soft spot for guys

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like this. That being said out of nowhere this year,

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as you said that he was, he was not on

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my radar to be in the big leagues. This year.

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I kind of saw him starting to do some stuff

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at double A and I said, Okay, he's going to

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be interesting when he gets up to triple A. And

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he got to triple A and he was as good

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as you could possibly be through five starts. Now I

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have a very challenging I find it very challenging to

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handicap guys that the pitchers that don't spend a considerable

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amount of time at triple A. Like I think I

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have a great beat on a guy Like yesterday we

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talked about Mike McGreevy. I felt felt like I had

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him peg because I've seen so much of him last

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year this year at Triple A. But then like there's

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another guy we'll probably talk about in a little bit,

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Chase Burns, where they just don't they come up two

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three starts at Triple A and now they're in the

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big leagues. I find that extremely challenging because I think

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I don't think there's a huge difference Double A to

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Triple A for hitters, like you see, like we knew

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Kaglio should have been in the majors, Nick Kurtz, like

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they didn't need a ton of time at Triple A

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where you were like, you know what, you're probably a

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big leader. But pitchers, it's a little bit different because

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you go from facing the guys you faced all the

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way up to facing like legitimate professional hitters that have

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been around the game for ten fifteen years. So I

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have a really tough time with guys like this because

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I want to like the Yankees here, I do. I

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see the upside. I've seen, you know, Schlitler throw the

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ball extremely well now from Triple A and into the

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This would be his second start at the big league level.

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First one came against the Mariners. Seven five and a third,

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three runs, seven strikeouts. That was great. That was great,

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but the problem is you just don't know. Let's go

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back to chase birds, right, Even Missraski, who had a

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considerable amount of time, well more triple a time than

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the others second third start, got into trouble. So I

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really do think there's value with the Yankees at plus money,

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and I'm tempted, man, but like to go against the

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Blue Jays and then have him not have his best start.

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It is like concerning to me, it's probably it's it's

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probably why I'll pass this one. But he has impressed

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the hell out of me, and his his start against

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the Mariners was very impressive. I wouldn't want to really

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go against him here. So I think Yankees are over

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or pass is where I'll leave this one. All right,

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It's two dollars five dollars Tuesday. I almost slipped, and

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I don't. People will be disappointed that that doesn't occur anymore.

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But listen, it's five dollars Tuesday at wager Talk, everyone

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is going to have a five dollars play up. I

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guarantee you, even with Tokyo Brandon feeling under the weather,

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he'll have that play posted so you don't have to

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worry about that. He is not going to miss a

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chance to get a five dollars play out there, So

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heading over to the site check that out as always

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like and subscribe. And this is the part of the

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show where I vent and complain about what happened yesterday.

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For me, that was the A's and Frank Simmons says

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A's team total under my worst night My nightmare played

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out yesterday, Brian, because I come on the show and

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I talk about the A's and the Marlins being like teams,

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like all or nothing type teams where it's like when

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they're sort of rolling and they're playing well, they're doing

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everything right, and they're just like everything's you know, coming

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up for them, and and they're they're really rolling. And

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then there's the flip side of being a very young

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team where things are just not very good. And I

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was unfortunately on both of them yesterday and caught the

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young Marlins and the young A's. The young Marlins couldn't

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get a hit off of Randy Vasquez, something that should

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be be studied at the end of the season, and

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then the A's just not a very good effort. So

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let's go back A's Rangers as a much bigger underdog today,

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Frank says, team total under I don't know, what do

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you think about this one A's Rangers.

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Speaker 2: Well, I had four one and a half percent yesterday.

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Since my internet went out, I couldn't write up any

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of my analysis because I couldn't get on there and

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get the stats. So I said, you know, I just

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put out some small plays and one of them was

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the A's over one and a half I believe it

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was over one and a half in the first five,

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and they got one. Didn't get there for me. They

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did struggle a little bit. So yeah, that's just the

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way it is with young teams. You see that all

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the time. When they look at the White Sox yesterday,

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I mean they just they had a great game. And

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the White Sox actually over the last month they're hitting

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about league average when you take a look at the stats.

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Speaker 1: But who would have guessed that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, we originally said Miami were like that Miami team.

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Miami in the last month is I think twelve in

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WRC plus, So they're hitting well. Ages didn't hit well yesterday,

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and that was the one that I used on my

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parlay on the show. Did not think they were going

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to be shut out I believe when you take a

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look at the hits they were, they were the better team.

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It's just the opposite. The other team had the bigger

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hits than they did. That's what happens. The San Diego pitcher, really,

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I believe he had eight base runners in four point

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two innings, so he didn't pitch well. There's just the

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spacing and the luck factor cost him that. But that's

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that's just the way it is in baseball. I mean,

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you you watched that Cleveland game yesterday and they've got

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the Baltimore pitchers on the on the ropes all game long.

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Finally it broke through late The Baltimore pitchers were basically loaded,

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nobody out and they were getting out of it. So

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it happens. That's the way it is. You've got to

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time it up right. JT Gin going today for the A's.

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He's recently come back to the majors after some injury problems.

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Four point nine one ERA, three point sixty four expected

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one point three zero whip A very good strike pitcher.

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Strikeout percent eighty six k percent excuse me, eighty six percent,

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ground ball rate eighty five percent. Doesn't give up a

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lot of fly balls, he's okay, but his hard hit

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rate is only in the fourth centile, so when he

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is getting hit, he's getting hit pretty hard. Jacob de

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Graham going for Texas. I don't know if anybody out

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there has heard of him, but he's pretty good Texas Rangers.

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After winning two total games the last two years, he's

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already got nine wins this year. He's nine to two,

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two point three to two ERA one point or no, no,

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excuse me, my mistake, two point nine to nine expected,

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zero point nine to one whip. He's good at everything.

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His ground ball percentage is actually only in the fifty

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fourth percentile, so he does get up for some fly balls.

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But this stadium is probably you know, usually it's the

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Mets Stadium is the best pitcher friendly park in baseball.

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This one in Texas has been this year. A lot

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of it has to do with Texas's pitchers, but if

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you take a look at what the other teams have

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done here too, they have performed very well, which is

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why a lot of people think that the Texas offense

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has not done well. When you're playing half your games,

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it's sort of like Seattle at home. It's not a

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good hitter's ballpark, so the home team also struggles in

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that regard. Total line in this game right now is

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to Ground's about a two thirty five. You can get

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it down to two nineteen right now, but about two

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thirty five Favorite with a total of seven and a half.

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If I had more faith in the A's bullpen, I

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would play this under. I do like in a little bit,

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but I am concerned from him. It would be only

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Texas for me and I'm not going to lay that number.

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So maybe maybe A's team total under something like that.

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But it's a tough handicap when you've got a really

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good pitchers park and you've got a guy like the

240
00:12:48,519 --> 00:12:51,039
Graham who's going to go you know, he may go

241
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seven innings, and that really cuts down on the as

242
00:12:54,159 --> 00:12:55,159
chance to score in this one.

243
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Speaker 1: Yeah, David Witt says, everyone had me so convinced I'm

244
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A's yesterday, David. I gotta be honest that it shouldn't matter.

245
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But the it just seems like every time you get

246
00:13:09,360 --> 00:13:11,919
a good price on a dog and then the market

247
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like rides it to a point there a favorite and

248
00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:18,600
then it feels like it's like kind of trendy. It happens.

249
00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:20,559
I don't know how to explain it. I don't know

250
00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:23,320
why that's the case, but I kind of when that

251
00:13:23,360 --> 00:13:25,720
first pitch was being thrown, I'm like, is everyone really

252
00:13:25,759 --> 00:13:27,440
on the A's here? I thought I was gonna be

253
00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:29,960
like I thought I was like, had a nice number,

254
00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:32,080
was being a little crafty, hey, like this is a

255
00:13:32,080 --> 00:13:34,120
good spot to get the A's as a dog when

256
00:13:34,159 --> 00:13:36,120
they really should be a favorite. And I kind of

257
00:13:36,279 --> 00:13:38,840
agree with David. I was like, man, how did when

258
00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:41,720
did this become like a trendy pick? And that's what happened,

259
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And again that's it is what it is. I feel like,

260
00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:47,919
all that's anecdotal, but I, you know, resonate with that

261
00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:51,840
comment a little bit as far as this game is concerned, Man,

262
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I am I am so tempted to just come back

263
00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:56,919
and take A's plus one and a half here. I'm

264
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gonna talk out why I either might do that or

265
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might not. So first, the Rangers totally shook their roster

266
00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:08,559
up yesterday. They they basically said so last week at

267
00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:11,080
Triple A they had all of a sudden, all these

268
00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:14,960
guys popped up, Josh Young, Roddy Tules, They moved some

269
00:14:15,000 --> 00:14:18,039
stuff around, started they played the round Rock played great

270
00:14:18,120 --> 00:14:21,080
last week. They actually swept your Aviators, Brian, which is

271
00:14:21,440 --> 00:14:24,000
a feat at this point. It's a very good minor

272
00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:27,120
league team. Three game sweep out of the break, and

273
00:14:27,600 --> 00:14:30,240
the round Rock called Cody Freeman up, who got his

274
00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:32,159
first big league hit last night. He's gonna be a

275
00:14:32,159 --> 00:14:34,279
really good player. He's he's had a great season at

276
00:14:34,279 --> 00:14:36,960
Triple A. I saw Jung back in there. I saw

277
00:14:37,240 --> 00:14:41,320
Teles in the lineup, and that makes me like, maybe

278
00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:43,960
like punt the Brakes a little bit. Michael Hellman was back.

279
00:14:44,080 --> 00:14:46,360
Helman had a big, a big hit to bust that

280
00:14:46,399 --> 00:14:49,960
game open. None of these guys are like Gy, you know,

281
00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:53,919
any individual that's gonna like change a team. But I

282
00:14:53,960 --> 00:14:56,120
talked go out of the break. We talked about the

283
00:14:56,159 --> 00:14:58,440
culture in that locker room. Maybe they just needed to

284
00:14:58,480 --> 00:15:00,919
shake up a little bit, some differ guy, some different

285
00:15:00,919 --> 00:15:03,320
blood in there. I love Cody Freeman. He's been awesome

286
00:15:03,759 --> 00:15:06,000
and he was all fired up to get that big

287
00:15:06,080 --> 00:15:11,039
double to give the Rangers the lead. So that makes

288
00:15:11,039 --> 00:15:13,000
me not want to bet against the Rangers a little bit.

289
00:15:13,039 --> 00:15:15,519
Maybe they're gonna find the right mix, and then of

290
00:15:15,519 --> 00:15:17,480
course you have to fade. Jacob de Grom Do you

291
00:15:17,519 --> 00:15:21,639
want to fade Jacob deGrom Like, yeah, that's a that's

292
00:15:21,679 --> 00:15:24,200
a tough pill to swallow right there. Now, I'm with you.

293
00:15:24,320 --> 00:15:26,720
J T. Gin He's got some swing and miss I

294
00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:29,240
could see him being half decent here and you would

295
00:15:29,240 --> 00:15:31,120
get the run with the A's on the road. So

296
00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:34,600
it's like, I do think there's some line value with

297
00:15:34,639 --> 00:15:37,480
the A's there as a as an underdog. I also

298
00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:40,480
really like that price on plus one and a half

299
00:15:40,519 --> 00:15:42,080
and the fact that you're getting the road team plus

300
00:15:42,159 --> 00:15:44,759
one and a half. My only concern in what may

301
00:15:44,879 --> 00:15:47,519
keep me off is I wonder if we're hitting the

302
00:15:47,559 --> 00:15:50,960
stretch where the A's become the young A's. That struggle

303
00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:53,399
go back to go back to mid May. Team was

304
00:15:53,399 --> 00:15:56,000
playing great. What did they lose twenty two of twenty

305
00:15:56,039 --> 00:15:59,279
three something crazy like that. They didn't look good against

306
00:15:59,320 --> 00:16:01,440
the Guardians weekend. They had the one win, but I

307
00:16:01,480 --> 00:16:03,559
didn't I didn't feel like they played great ball against

308
00:16:03,559 --> 00:16:06,240
the Guardians and that carried over to last night. Just

309
00:16:07,120 --> 00:16:09,120
Lawrence Butler not being able to get a bunt down,

310
00:16:09,200 --> 00:16:11,679
like just just things that it's like, okay, here we go.

311
00:16:11,919 --> 00:16:15,559
Are we gonna lose eight of nine? So I like

312
00:16:15,639 --> 00:16:17,639
the a's, but I think those are things that are

313
00:16:17,679 --> 00:16:21,480
creeping into my thought process in terms of maybe passing

314
00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:25,840
on them. All right, let's do the other one. The

315
00:16:25,879 --> 00:16:29,759
other one I lost with yesterday was the Marlins, and

316
00:16:30,080 --> 00:16:32,320
we already sort of teased it, so Colin Gregory says,

317
00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:35,919
Marlins money line. Yeah, Colin, I'm gonna be tempted to

318
00:16:35,919 --> 00:16:39,200
come back with them as well. But again Ryan mentioned it.

319
00:16:39,559 --> 00:16:44,200
Randy Vasquez Houdini Act number seventeen of the season. Eight

320
00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:48,159
guys on base giving up absolute missiles at times, and

321
00:16:48,200 --> 00:16:50,279
they either go right at you know, right at guys,

322
00:16:50,279 --> 00:16:52,559
and then the one he really gives up that that

323
00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:56,360
ends up in another planet. To Kyle Stowers, no one

324
00:16:56,399 --> 00:16:59,759
on base. So he survives four and a third, gives

325
00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:02,519
up one run, gives up like seven hits and a

326
00:17:02,519 --> 00:17:05,200
bunch of hard contact, and somehow only gives up one run,

327
00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:07,559
and then sure enough the Marlins find a way to

328
00:17:07,599 --> 00:17:11,599
lose two to one. Today. It's another guy that I

329
00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:15,559
am very okay with opposing for the Padres. Stephen Colek

330
00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:19,200
triple a guy to me for the most part, and

331
00:17:19,319 --> 00:17:22,319
Edward Cabrera, a guy with upside very similar to Yuri Perez,

332
00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:25,559
so Brian, it's the same game as yesterday, and we're

333
00:17:25,559 --> 00:17:28,000
getting a better price on the Marlins today. How do

334
00:17:28,079 --> 00:17:29,200
we not play the Marlins here?

335
00:17:30,400 --> 00:17:34,799
Speaker 2: Well, I don't keep I don't have Cabrera in the

336
00:17:34,839 --> 00:17:40,799
same level as yesterday's talent wise, Yeah, but he hasn't

337
00:17:40,799 --> 00:17:42,720
been able to put it together because he has walked

338
00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:46,079
so many people. And my main concerned hero was his

339
00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:49,079
last start ended early. They thought he was hurt, and

340
00:17:49,079 --> 00:17:51,119
then all of a sudden, everybody's you know, he's been

341
00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:53,160
on the trade block, and they've said that they were

342
00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:55,599
lucky to trade him and they could get a pretty

343
00:17:55,640 --> 00:18:00,359
good for a good program that develops picture like a

344
00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:04,880
Milwaukee at Cleveland, Pittsburgh, that kind of thing. They could

345
00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:07,799
get pretty good players back for him. But he did

346
00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:10,319
leave the start early and they were worried that he

347
00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:14,559
was hurt. But he's coming back. Makes me wonder with

348
00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:18,839
the trade deadline coming up, if normally they wouldn't have

349
00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:21,160
brought him back this early. But they need to get

350
00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:22,960
him out there and show that he's healthy so they

351
00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:25,440
can get a good deal for him. That is my

352
00:18:25,519 --> 00:18:29,160
concern right now. Miami's about a one ten, one twelve

353
00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:33,240
favorite total on this is eight Colek as you mentioned,

354
00:18:33,319 --> 00:18:36,440
four point two four ERA, four point four to four expected,

355
00:18:36,960 --> 00:18:41,279
one point twenty nine whip in two seasons got a

356
00:18:41,279 --> 00:18:43,640
six to four record, which is nice, but at four

357
00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:46,519
point sixty three ERA, which tells you that they just

358
00:18:46,559 --> 00:18:48,680
seem to hit him a hit for him when he

359
00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:52,440
pitches hard. Hit rate in the fifth percentile, exit velocity

360
00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:56,200
fifth percentile, with rate eight or ninth and struk got

361
00:18:56,279 --> 00:18:59,279
rate sixteenth, So those aren't things you really want to

362
00:18:59,319 --> 00:19:03,960
play on. His barrel rate is in the eightieth percentile,

363
00:19:04,039 --> 00:19:08,519
but yet he's still getting hit hard. Once that barrel

364
00:19:08,599 --> 00:19:11,200
rate comes back and normalizes a little bit, I can

365
00:19:11,279 --> 00:19:14,240
see him getting bombed. He is a good ground ball

366
00:19:14,240 --> 00:19:17,359
pitcher eighty second percentile in ground ball rate, so he's

367
00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:20,039
probably not going to get beat by the long ball,

368
00:19:20,279 --> 00:19:22,279
but you know, a lot of the doubles something like

369
00:19:22,319 --> 00:19:23,960
that is a concern when you've got to call it

370
00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:28,480
on the mound. Cabrera for Miami now in his fifth season.

371
00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:31,759
He's three and four in the season three point sixty

372
00:19:31,799 --> 00:19:35,160
four ERA, three point eighty seven expected. His whip is

373
00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:38,160
won twenty six. His career whip is one thirty three,

374
00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:41,200
So he's a little bit better in that regard hard

375
00:19:41,279 --> 00:19:44,559
hit rate only in the sixteenth percentile averag Jacks Velasle's

376
00:19:44,599 --> 00:19:49,000
thirty second. But he's a big fastball pitcher eighty fifth percentile.

377
00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:52,640
I like what he's done this year if he is

378
00:19:52,680 --> 00:19:55,759
fully healthy. If he is healthy, I think there's value

379
00:19:55,799 --> 00:19:58,240
on it. If you take a look at the WRC

380
00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:01,799
plus over the last month. Talked about Miami. They're twelve

381
00:20:01,920 --> 00:20:06,720
in baseball with one hundred and four. San Diego is

382
00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:10,039
twenty second at ninety two. So you've got over the

383
00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:13,039
last month, you've got the better pitcher, you've got the

384
00:20:13,079 --> 00:20:17,440
better hitters, and you're getting in it basically a pickup

385
00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:21,119
situation lean Miami. It's just probably one of those games

386
00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:24,079
I talked about playing games live. If I could see

387
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,680
him in the early part of this game and he

388
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:29,640
looks like he's sharp, maybe I'll come in on Miami

389
00:20:29,759 --> 00:20:31,880
and play that the rest of the way out. If

390
00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:34,200
he looks like he's struggling and he's still maybe hurt

391
00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:37,039
a little bit, I can go the other way. This

392
00:20:37,079 --> 00:20:39,799
is one I'd rather not play pre game, but I'd

393
00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:40,799
rather play in game.

394
00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:45,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, I gotta be honest. I'm watching the game last night,

395
00:20:45,759 --> 00:20:50,240
and right about the fourth fifth inning, when when I'm realizing, okay,

396
00:20:50,319 --> 00:20:53,480
that Vasciz might actually get through four or five and

397
00:20:53,559 --> 00:20:56,319
lead his team with the lead, I'm like, am I

398
00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:59,720
betting against an elite Padres team? Because remember, going into

399
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:02,640
the seat an early end of the season, like myself included,

400
00:21:02,839 --> 00:21:05,119
a lot of people thought that this was a legitimate

401
00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:08,519
World Series contender, might win the NL West, and and

402
00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:11,240
you know, they they struggled a little bit, and I

403
00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:14,160
feel like the we've all gotten away from that, maybe

404
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:15,960
even the odds makers have gotten away from that a

405
00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:19,359
little bit as well. But like to me, and I'm like,

406
00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:22,799
just your your typical pessimist, right, Like I just I

407
00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:25,720
always assume the worst is going to happen. As soon

408
00:21:25,759 --> 00:21:29,400
as Morjan got out of you know, came in and

409
00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:32,000
got out of the inning and whatnot, I'm like, oh,

410
00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:34,680
they're not giving up a run, like you know, it's

411
00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:37,839
just gonna be it's just gonna be morejon A Strata

412
00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:39,880
Suarez and they're just gonna come in and hammer it down.

413
00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:42,839
And that's exactly what they did. And so I look

414
00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:45,319
at this and I'm like, how do I want to

415
00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:47,960
fade what really is like, I still think maybe an

416
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:50,839
elite Padres team because that's what I'd be doing here now.

417
00:21:51,519 --> 00:21:54,839
Cabrera is a guy. He always gets me. He's someone

418
00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:58,960
I've probably been unnecessarily high on for the past few years.

419
00:21:59,319 --> 00:22:02,440
Has a great fastball but doesn't always command it particularly well.

420
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:05,960
And if if he had fastball command, he'd be really

421
00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:08,599
good because he's got the other stuff to play off

422
00:22:08,599 --> 00:22:12,839
of it. You know, does do the Are the Padres

423
00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:14,759
just are they able to to sort of get something

424
00:22:14,799 --> 00:22:17,160
off of that? And then if the Marlins are they

425
00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:18,640
in the are they in the mode where there's not

426
00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:21,640
they're just not capitalizing because I can guarantee you Kolach

427
00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:25,160
will give them chances. But if the Marlins can't cash in,

428
00:22:25,559 --> 00:22:27,359
then you're talking, Okay, who do you want at the

429
00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:30,720
end of this game, Padre's bullpen or the Marlins bullpen

430
00:22:30,799 --> 00:22:33,839
And the Marlins bullpen's been solid, but still you're hot.

431
00:22:33,839 --> 00:22:37,000
There's the Marlins have a great collection of relievers. The

432
00:22:37,039 --> 00:22:39,559
Padres have high leverage arms that every other team in

433
00:22:39,559 --> 00:22:42,319
the league would want to have. If you you could

434
00:22:42,319 --> 00:22:44,480
gout pull the other twenty nine teams in the league,

435
00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:46,720
if you would offer them the three guys or three

436
00:22:46,839 --> 00:22:48,799
or four guys at the at the front of the

437
00:22:48,839 --> 00:22:51,880
Padres bullpen. Basically every team in the league would take

438
00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:55,160
that group of pitchers. So that's where I look at this.

439
00:22:55,279 --> 00:22:57,960
It's it's super tempting to come back with the Marlins.

440
00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:02,000
It's you know, I almost feel like I am somewhat

441
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:03,599
inclined to do it based on the fact that I

442
00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:06,799
played them yesterday. But that is the concern for me.

443
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:09,759
Is am I poking the bear with this Padres team?

444
00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:12,559
Where are you out in the Padres right now in

445
00:23:12,599 --> 00:23:14,920
the Holbrian Leonard? You seeing them similar?

446
00:23:15,519 --> 00:23:16,680
Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah, very much.

447
00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:16,759
Speaker 1: So.

448
00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:21,119
Speaker 2: I will say the Padres bullpen came into yesterday very

449
00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:25,440
arrested for the best. Four guys all pitched nobody more

450
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:29,599
than nineteen pitches, so they should be available. And Miami's

451
00:23:29,599 --> 00:23:34,000
bullpen is fully available here. So yeah, we'll see how

452
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:37,079
it goes. And but it should be an interesting game.

453
00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:39,920
And obviously the line being near Peckham says.

454
00:23:39,759 --> 00:23:42,920
Speaker 1: That, you know, I don't hate the idea of running

455
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:45,880
your play back from yesterday and going Marlins first five.

456
00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:48,079
I actually think that might be the way to play it,

457
00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:50,519
because I do I do still think Cabrera is a

458
00:23:51,279 --> 00:23:54,200
pretty decent edge over Colic.

459
00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:56,640
Speaker 2: And you're getting that at one twenty right now. If

460
00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:58,559
that's what you are interested.

461
00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:01,519
Speaker 1: In, Yeah, that could be. That could be the play,

462
00:24:01,559 --> 00:24:06,359
all right, justin we got to bring it up. The

463
00:24:06,519 --> 00:24:10,960
Brewers are the hottest team in baseball since Tokyo Brandon talked. Yeah, basically,

464
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:14,000
Tokyo Brandon dug their grave on this show. Put the

465
00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:18,759
Brewers in their grave, and they've been basically like prime

466
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:22,440
Undertaker ever since. Just winning Hell in the Cell matches

467
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:25,079
doesn't matter. They've won every game. They've literally how many

468
00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:26,839
is this in a row? Brian ten?

469
00:24:27,559 --> 00:24:28,279
Speaker 2: Ten or eleven?

470
00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:35,359
Speaker 1: Just incredible stuff the Brewers are. It has been fun

471
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:38,000
to watch. I gotta be honest, I did not think

472
00:24:38,039 --> 00:24:41,640
there was any way that the Brewers could continue this

473
00:24:41,799 --> 00:24:44,559
out of the break. Normally, when you go into the

474
00:24:44,599 --> 00:24:47,680
All Star break hotter than the sun. Go ask the

475
00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:51,000
Red Sox about this, it's very difficult to come out

476
00:24:51,039 --> 00:24:54,079
of the break and and sort of maintain that that run.

477
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:56,079
It's not to say you're gonna play terribly, but it's

478
00:24:56,079 --> 00:24:59,920
hard to like maintain that streak out of the breakw

479
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:02,559
have not only done it, they're doing it on the

480
00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:07,079
road against really good competition. That is like the craziest

481
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:09,319
thing to me. They're doing it on the road in

482
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:13,039
la in Seattle, and now they bring it into tonight

483
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:16,440
where they're up against Logan Gilbert. But they've got a

484
00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:20,240
stud picture of their own on the mount. So I mean, listen,

485
00:25:20,279 --> 00:25:22,319
I said I would find a spot to fade the

486
00:25:22,319 --> 00:25:25,599
Brewers in this series, but I don't know. I'm starting

487
00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:27,359
to I'm starting to question if I want to do

488
00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:29,319
that or not. How are you gonna play Mariners Brewers?

489
00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:34,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, the teams that they're beating and the

490
00:25:34,559 --> 00:25:37,279
pictures that they are beating has been more impressive than

491
00:25:37,319 --> 00:25:40,680
the win streak, if you ask me. But that's why

492
00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:43,160
I like the Brewers. They find a way. It's not

493
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:46,000
like the Yankees, or you hit three home runs in

494
00:25:46,039 --> 00:25:48,799
the game, the Yankees win. Yankees don't hit home runs,

495
00:25:48,839 --> 00:25:51,599
the Yankees lose. The Brewers can beat you in any way.

496
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:53,319
They're not big. You look take a look at the

497
00:25:53,319 --> 00:25:55,000
home runs on the season. They're not one of the

498
00:25:55,039 --> 00:25:58,240
better teams in home runs. Once in a while they

499
00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:00,519
get you know, they got some guys that have the ability,

500
00:26:00,559 --> 00:26:03,920
but they're guys that get on base, and they are

501
00:26:04,079 --> 00:26:07,759
threats to run. Just About everybody on this team has

502
00:26:07,799 --> 00:26:10,160
the ability to steal bases, and I love that. It's

503
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:13,680
the way the Saint Louis Cardinals and the Royals did

504
00:26:13,880 --> 00:26:16,359
you know decades ago, That's what a lot of teams

505
00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:18,720
do nowadays. Tampa Bay, one of the teams we really like,

506
00:26:18,839 --> 00:26:21,559
does that. Those are the teams that got to be

507
00:26:21,559 --> 00:26:24,359
able to compete. If you are in Milwaukee and Seattle,

508
00:26:24,839 --> 00:26:27,519
you cannot compete money wise with the teams in New

509
00:26:27,599 --> 00:26:29,599
York and the teams in California and that kind of

510
00:26:29,599 --> 00:26:33,400
thing Chicago. So that's how you have to build your team.

511
00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:36,559
And hats off to the Brewers. They've done it better

512
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:39,279
than anybody this year and I'm really rooting for them.

513
00:26:40,599 --> 00:26:43,759
Not a thing against Tokyo Brandon, but I did not

514
00:26:43,799 --> 00:26:45,799
agree with his statement. I think he did it just

515
00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:48,880
to get a rile out of everybody. But still, you

516
00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:50,400
put that on the record and.

517
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,160
Speaker 3: Somebody's going to come back and make fun of and

518
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:56,359
that's what we've done with Brandon every time he does that.

519
00:26:56,519 --> 00:26:59,240
So it's something we can all joke about, but hey,

520
00:26:59,559 --> 00:27:04,319
it's worth to fade it. But Misrowski against Gilbert here.

521
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:06,960
Gilbert's about a one twenty favorite total is seven to

522
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:10,720
the under twenty five, so they don't expect many runs

523
00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:15,079
in this game. Yesterday, I was looking at that game

524
00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:17,839
as we were going along, and the game was, I believe,

525
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:21,720
scoreless in the sixth the team total or the total

526
00:27:21,759 --> 00:27:24,759
in the game, depending on your sportsbook. At that time,

527
00:27:24,799 --> 00:27:27,559
there was three innings left, was either two and a

528
00:27:27,599 --> 00:27:31,839
half or three, and I seriously thought about playing the

529
00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:34,440
over because if you got a total of two and

530
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:37,160
a half or three, it could be scoreless going into

531
00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:41,400
the tenth inning, and based on the ghost Runner, you

532
00:27:41,400 --> 00:27:44,000
could easily get two and a half three runs. I

533
00:27:44,039 --> 00:27:45,839
didn't do it, and of course the next inning they

534
00:27:45,839 --> 00:27:48,559
come out and it started heading for Milwaukee.

535
00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:53,519
Speaker 2: But it's something that I noticed yesterday. Misrowski four and one,

536
00:27:53,799 --> 00:27:55,480
two point eight oney or a two point six to

537
00:27:55,559 --> 00:27:59,400
one expected zero point nine zero whip. Once again, he's

538
00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:02,039
only thrown twenty five innings, so got to take everything

539
00:28:02,079 --> 00:28:05,079
with a grain of salt. But ninety ninth percentile and

540
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:09,039
extension ninety ninth percentile and fastball velocity. The guy is

541
00:28:09,079 --> 00:28:12,920
six foot seven, he's got one of the best extensions

542
00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:15,160
in Major League Baseball, and he throw out one hundred

543
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:19,200
and three miles an hour unless he's tipping his pitches,

544
00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:21,839
which may have been the occurrence in the game that

545
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:26,759
he did not pitch well. He's been awfully impressive Seattle

546
00:28:26,799 --> 00:28:30,279
Logan Gilbert coming back from injury. He's you know, he's

547
00:28:30,519 --> 00:28:33,160
got a career in five seasons, three point five to

548
00:28:33,279 --> 00:28:36,799
nine ERA. He's just a terrific young pitcher. One point

549
00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:39,759
zho six whip this year he's even slightly better than

550
00:28:39,799 --> 00:28:43,759
that is expected. The ra's three point oh two. But

551
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:45,799
he is going to hit a little bit. His average

552
00:28:45,839 --> 00:28:49,559
exon velost season the twentieth percentile barrel rate, twenty first

553
00:28:49,599 --> 00:28:53,000
hard hit thirty seven. Now, most of that came earlier

554
00:28:53,079 --> 00:28:56,240
when he was fighting his way back, so I expect

555
00:28:56,559 --> 00:29:00,839
more of the same here from his The good Logan Gilbert.

556
00:29:01,039 --> 00:29:05,039
He's also in the ninety ninth extension ninety seventh in

557
00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:08,799
strike percentage. He's six foot six thrown it that way,

558
00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:11,640
so you've got two guys on the mound, a ball

559
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:16,599
gets on you really fast, and you've got you've got

560
00:29:16,599 --> 00:29:20,200
the situation where the line right now is seven to

561
00:29:20,279 --> 00:29:23,000
the under. But I'm seeing the DraftKings and Pando have

562
00:29:23,119 --> 00:29:25,039
it at six and a half now a little bit

563
00:29:25,079 --> 00:29:27,759
to the over. But if you like the under in

564
00:29:27,799 --> 00:29:29,960
this game, I would recommend you play it right now

565
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:33,559
and get that key number of seven and what could

566
00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:36,920
very well be three to two game going into the

567
00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:39,960
late innings, and you want to make sure that you've

568
00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:42,039
got that odd number up there. You'd hate to have

569
00:29:42,119 --> 00:29:44,599
a three to three up with a total of six

570
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:47,640
and a half, and that's an automatic loser. I like

571
00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:48,640
the under in this one.

572
00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 1: So slick Vick in the chat says why feed And

573
00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:55,680
I think I think it was an answer to his

574
00:29:55,880 --> 00:29:59,920
previous message where he said Brewers And if that's the

575
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,720
in case, I agree, Like what like why why do

576
00:30:03,799 --> 00:30:06,279
it right now? Like why play against Miserski? It almost

577
00:30:06,319 --> 00:30:09,400
feels it, Brian, It feels a lot like why play

578
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:12,920
against Skeens early in his career? Like, I don't think

579
00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:15,480
that's that big of a stretch to make that comparison.

580
00:30:15,799 --> 00:30:18,079
I know Paul Skeens, we you know when he was

581
00:30:18,079 --> 00:30:20,759
coming up. It's like everyone knew who he was before

582
00:30:20,759 --> 00:30:25,319
he even got to the majors generational talent. But like,

583
00:30:25,480 --> 00:30:27,720
is Misrowski that far off? I mean, the guy throws

584
00:30:27,759 --> 00:30:30,839
one hundred and three like he's throwing one hundred and

585
00:30:30,839 --> 00:30:34,039
three out there. It's been really impressive to watch him

586
00:30:34,039 --> 00:30:36,440
pitch really aside from like one start. So it's like,

587
00:30:37,039 --> 00:30:39,440
that's kind of where I'm at here. Even though I

588
00:30:39,519 --> 00:30:41,279
do think this run will end at some point for

589
00:30:41,319 --> 00:30:43,559
the Brewers, and I do think the Mariners are a

590
00:30:43,720 --> 00:30:46,039
very good team and one that I've been looking to back,

591
00:30:46,359 --> 00:30:49,160
I'm almost coming into this game saying, why do it?

592
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:51,400
Why not? Why do you not just go bet one

593
00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:55,000
of the other fourteen games, because even if you do

594
00:30:55,079 --> 00:30:57,480
have it, can can find an edge. Okay, Logan Gilbert,

595
00:30:57,680 --> 00:31:00,759
you're obviously basing your edge on low Logan Gilbert by

596
00:31:00,759 --> 00:31:03,519
looking at his entire career and what he's been And

597
00:31:03,559 --> 00:31:05,240
you could even look back to the start before the

598
00:31:05,279 --> 00:31:07,799
All Star break and say, yeah, that look like that

599
00:31:07,839 --> 00:31:10,680
looked like full strength Logan Gilbert against Detroit five and

600
00:31:10,680 --> 00:31:13,519
a third shutout, innings, nine strikeouts. But the reality is

601
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:16,160
he was hurt and since he's come off the eye out,

602
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:18,920
he's he's gotten you know, he's given up some contact,

603
00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:21,920
he's given up some hits. So the other thing you

604
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:25,160
have to ask yourself is like the are the Mariners

605
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:28,759
just gonna take Misserowski deep like two, three, four times?

606
00:31:28,799 --> 00:31:31,160
Probably not. I don't think they're just gonna be like

607
00:31:31,359 --> 00:31:34,279
hitting him out of the ballpark. That's a big part

608
00:31:34,319 --> 00:31:37,880
of the Mariners offense. So do you trust this Mariner's

609
00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:42,359
team to string hits together against miss Rawski. I don't know.

610
00:31:42,519 --> 00:31:45,200
Maybe not. I don't know if I do. So that's

611
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:49,680
where it's like I see merit in both sides. I

612
00:31:49,720 --> 00:31:52,240
think I would probably say under seven or pass. I

613
00:31:52,839 --> 00:31:55,720
trust the two pictures, and I just don't know if

614
00:31:55,759 --> 00:31:58,839
I trust the opposing offense enough to like light up

615
00:31:58,880 --> 00:32:02,240
the other picture where I would say, oh, like you're

616
00:32:02,319 --> 00:32:05,319
the over is gonna get there feels like a four.

617
00:32:05,319 --> 00:32:07,039
It feels like a three two, four to three type

618
00:32:07,079 --> 00:32:10,000
game to me four two two, you know, three to one,

619
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:13,599
something like that. So I think I'd rather go under

620
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:15,960
if I had to play that one for sure. All Right,

621
00:32:17,119 --> 00:32:19,559
going to the chat we have, this is a good

622
00:32:19,559 --> 00:32:22,480
but let's this is a good question from Ethan. We'll

623
00:32:22,519 --> 00:32:25,960
answer this. This is just a good betting question. He says,

624
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:28,599
I really struggle betting MLB out of the break. Anyone

625
00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:31,599
have anything they look for? Any angles are strategies that

626
00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:34,960
consistently work for them. I'll just really quickly say, I

627
00:32:35,279 --> 00:32:37,720
approach it similar to I approach the start of the season.

628
00:32:37,839 --> 00:32:40,240
I almost look at it as a reset and we've

629
00:32:40,319 --> 00:32:42,880
kind of like got to get going again and have

630
00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:46,039
to establish some form and stuff like that. I'm I'm

631
00:32:46,359 --> 00:32:49,759
I'm cautious typically coming out of the break, similar as

632
00:32:49,799 --> 00:32:52,920
I would be going into the season. What about you, Brian, I.

633
00:32:52,839 --> 00:32:55,960
Speaker 2: Think it's very similar. You're a college basketball expert in

634
00:32:56,039 --> 00:33:00,160
addition to Major League Baseball. You know, in college basketball,

635
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:04,200
you have your preseason games, which are basically your non

636
00:33:04,240 --> 00:33:08,319
conference games. Let's go non conference games. The coaches are

637
00:33:08,319 --> 00:33:11,559
trying to get everything together because they're worried about conference play.

638
00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:14,799
Once you get into conference play, boom, teams turn on

639
00:33:14,839 --> 00:33:17,400
the switch totally different. You have to throw away a

640
00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:19,759
little bit of what you got earlier, and then once

641
00:33:19,799 --> 00:33:22,759
you get to the conference tournament and the Big Dance

642
00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:25,720
and whatever tournament you're in, you have to make the adjustments.

643
00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:29,920
That's the way it is in Major League Baseball. A

644
00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:34,319
lot of times a team will have started the season poorly,

645
00:33:34,440 --> 00:33:37,920
like for example, the Baltimore Oriols. This is not still

646
00:33:37,920 --> 00:33:40,440
not a team I'm looking to back. That defense is horrendous.

647
00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:42,839
If you watch that game yesterday, Oh my god, this

648
00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:45,599
a terrible anytime there was a decision to be made,

649
00:33:45,599 --> 00:33:48,480
they threw to the wrong base, they would overrun the ball.

650
00:33:48,839 --> 00:33:52,599
Just bad coaching, bad bad team right now in Baltimore.

651
00:33:53,039 --> 00:33:55,880
I don't expect the Baltimore team who started the year

652
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:59,160
with a lot of expectations and struggled to turn it

653
00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:01,799
around the second half. O there's other teams that could

654
00:34:01,799 --> 00:34:04,480
do that, Other teams that entered the break and have

655
00:34:04,559 --> 00:34:06,960
not played well that have the talent can do it,

656
00:34:07,759 --> 00:34:11,440
especially now that other than the American League Central where

657
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:13,360
you got detrite with you know, a ten game leader

658
00:34:13,400 --> 00:34:16,400
or eleven game leader or whatever. Any other team could

659
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:20,440
be back back into the in contention within a week

660
00:34:20,519 --> 00:34:23,960
or two. We've seen it about Toronto. Toronto overtakes the

661
00:34:24,039 --> 00:34:27,800
Yankees and you know the Yankees, You're you're falling behind here.

662
00:34:27,920 --> 00:34:31,199
So yes, there's ways to play it, but you've got

663
00:34:31,199 --> 00:34:35,679
to take it every team and individual, as opposed to

664
00:34:36,039 --> 00:34:39,440
just blindly playing it. I talked about the Braves earlier

665
00:34:40,119 --> 00:34:42,800
going into the break, when they were struggling with all

666
00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:45,119
the injuries they've had with all all the guys on

667
00:34:45,159 --> 00:34:48,800
the starting rotation that were injured. These were teams. This

668
00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:51,360
was a team coming into the season. They thought they

669
00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:53,639
were coming back this last year. A con is out,

670
00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:56,840
they're going to be back this year, and they've had

671
00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:59,880
some ups and downs. Still mixed the team that has

672
00:35:00,079 --> 00:35:03,440
ton of talent, But it's something that you have to

673
00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:05,760
take a look at each and every each and every

674
00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:07,719
team on an individual basis.

675
00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:10,760
Speaker 1: How willing are you to throw out the first weekend

676
00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:12,840
the first weekend back? Say all right, like some of

677
00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:16,320
like a team like the Cardinals per se just very lethargic.

678
00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:19,639
Never you know, like like, are you willing to basically

679
00:35:19,639 --> 00:35:21,599
give a team a pass on the first weekend back?

680
00:35:21,880 --> 00:35:24,119
Or is that are you looking at the first weekend

681
00:35:24,159 --> 00:35:25,679
saying maybe this is what we're going to get out

682
00:35:25,679 --> 00:35:26,960
of the team for the next week or two.

683
00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:29,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Cardinals have been a team that's been very

684
00:35:29,760 --> 00:35:34,079
streaky all season long. Start of the year, poorly started

685
00:35:34,119 --> 00:35:36,000
talking about selling then all of a sudden they start

686
00:35:36,039 --> 00:35:42,280
playing well. I think by this time we know exactly

687
00:35:42,320 --> 00:35:45,199
what the Cardinals are. They're probably a five hundred ball club.

688
00:35:46,639 --> 00:35:48,280
I think I would expect that the rest of the

689
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:50,519
way out. I don't think that's a team that's going

690
00:35:50,599 --> 00:35:52,800
to differ very much from what they played so far.

691
00:35:54,599 --> 00:35:57,519
Speaker 1: A great question, Ethan, that's we could probably sit here

692
00:35:57,559 --> 00:35:59,880
and sort of, you know, talk about that for an.

693
00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:02,360
That's a that's a really good question. There's probably no

694
00:36:02,519 --> 00:36:05,840
great answer, but different perspectives are always going to help

695
00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:08,559
you know when you when you're talking about how to

696
00:36:08,599 --> 00:36:11,880
approach the slate. So great question. Andy laying in the

697
00:36:11,920 --> 00:36:15,639
chat Happy Tuesday fellas great show. As always, we appreciate you, Andy.

698
00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:19,159
Andy does a great show every single day noon Eastern

699
00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:23,239
on this same platform, the wager Talk YouTube channel, wager

700
00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:26,280
Talk Today. So heading over there, make sure you're watching that.

701
00:36:26,639 --> 00:36:28,559
It's five dollars Tuesday, so we're all going to have

702
00:36:28,599 --> 00:36:31,199
a five dollars play up at some point in time.

703
00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:35,199
But yeah, with football season around the corner, wager Talk

704
00:36:35,239 --> 00:36:37,039
Today should be a must watch for you if you're

705
00:36:37,039 --> 00:36:39,679
not watching it already. So head over there, check that out.

706
00:36:39,760 --> 00:36:42,280
Appreciate Andy tuning in. We have job. Oh, we have

707
00:36:42,320 --> 00:36:45,840
Johnny Detroit in the chat today. He says, my poor tigers,

708
00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:49,639
My poor tigers. Rather get the bad run out now,

709
00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:52,719
first later in the season, let's talk about Johnny Detroit's

710
00:36:52,719 --> 00:36:57,400
Tigers and listen, how how spoiled are you guys up

711
00:36:57,440 --> 00:37:00,440
in Detroit right now that like you're got to have

712
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:02,360
a bad run at some point. I mean, the team

713
00:37:03,079 --> 00:37:06,639
was out of control good for like three you know,

714
00:37:06,719 --> 00:37:09,639
for three months, and now they're finally kind of having

715
00:37:09,639 --> 00:37:11,760
a run where it's like they're not playing their best ball.

716
00:37:12,519 --> 00:37:14,920
It was always gonna happen. I gotta be honest, Brian,

717
00:37:15,039 --> 00:37:18,519
I'm I'm buying the Tigers so much more than I

718
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:21,960
was at the beginning of the season, especially in where

719
00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:24,920
they're at in the context of the American League. I

720
00:37:25,000 --> 00:37:27,119
only see like one or two teams in the AL

721
00:37:27,199 --> 00:37:29,840
that I truly think is a better baseball team than

722
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:32,920
the Tigers. So let's talk about that. They run into schemes.

723
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:35,119
Yesterday we talked about it on the show, maybe not

724
00:37:35,199 --> 00:37:37,440
being the best spot for the Tigers. Do you think

725
00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:39,280
it's a good spot for them to bounce back today?

726
00:37:40,760 --> 00:37:42,559
Speaker 2: I am on the Tigers much more than it was

727
00:37:42,599 --> 00:37:45,199
before the season, but they're not playing them all right now.

728
00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:48,000
And I talked about that the other day before I

729
00:37:48,079 --> 00:37:52,000
was yesterday before I was cut off with the bad Internet.

730
00:37:52,039 --> 00:37:56,039
But it's a team that I think was filling pretty

731
00:37:56,039 --> 00:37:59,760
fat and sassy, and now they're stillver Last month, there's

732
00:37:59,760 --> 00:38:02,760
still eleventh in WRC plus at one oh six. Well,

733
00:38:02,760 --> 00:38:06,760
Pittsburgh second to last at seventy nine. But the offense

734
00:38:07,199 --> 00:38:11,119
just isn't what it was earlier. They were hitting over

735
00:38:11,159 --> 00:38:16,480
their heads everything. The guys you know McKinstry, guys like that,

736
00:38:16,679 --> 00:38:20,719
who were basically fill ins, just like guys that play

737
00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:24,320
many positions, good players, but they weren't guys that you

738
00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:26,400
could put in the lineup every day and expect a

739
00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:29,760
lot out of. They slumped a little bit, and you

740
00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:31,760
can see that coming. I mean, they don't have so

741
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:34,639
many great players in the lineup where you could expect

742
00:38:34,639 --> 00:38:39,400
that to go on all day. Casey Myiz is a

743
00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:42,559
guy that we had said earlier in the season we

744
00:38:42,559 --> 00:38:45,880
were looking to fade as the year went on. His

745
00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:48,679
career record is eighteen to twenty two with a four

746
00:38:48,719 --> 00:38:53,440
pointa ERA last year four point four nine ERA. I

747
00:38:53,719 --> 00:38:57,000
didn't pitch for the Tigers the year before, and then

748
00:38:57,239 --> 00:38:59,239
in twenty two when he got his start, he only

749
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:03,400
pitched two games five point four. That was small sample sized,

750
00:39:03,440 --> 00:39:07,159
so he comes in three point one five ERA expected

751
00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:10,840
three point twenty nine one point two two whip, great

752
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:14,719
extension eighty six percentile great walk grate eighty second percentile

753
00:39:15,519 --> 00:39:20,360
six three. Twenty eight years old. He was been He's

754
00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:22,760
been one of their guys they've been counting on for years.

755
00:39:22,800 --> 00:39:25,400
He's already twenty eight years old. Normally by twenty seven

756
00:39:25,480 --> 00:39:27,960
you peek, especially as a hitter. He's a twenty eight

757
00:39:28,039 --> 00:39:29,920
right now, and he still has a losing record in

758
00:39:29,960 --> 00:39:34,840
his career. Injuries have been a problem for him throughout

759
00:39:34,880 --> 00:39:37,920
his career. That is a concern. I like the guy,

760
00:39:38,239 --> 00:39:42,360
but still until he does it more often, I'm not

761
00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:46,960
a huge believer. Mitch Keller having a really good season

762
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:49,920
by his standards, despite having a three to ten record,

763
00:39:50,840 --> 00:39:54,679
He along with the schemes, will both beat crying together

764
00:39:54,760 --> 00:39:57,400
based on that. But at three point four eight ERA

765
00:39:57,760 --> 00:40:00,440
three point eight two expected, one point one four whip,

766
00:40:00,440 --> 00:40:02,679
his whip is much better now than it's been in

767
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:05,239
his career. He's got a one point three seven whip

768
00:40:05,559 --> 00:40:09,119
four point four to three e ERRA walk rate has

769
00:40:09,119 --> 00:40:11,559
been great this year, which helps his whip eighty eight

770
00:40:11,599 --> 00:40:15,960
percentile four. It's gonna be five point five percent walk

771
00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:21,400
rate every year. If you look at since twenty twenty,

772
00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:24,079
the granted it's the small stemple size, he only threw

773
00:40:25,119 --> 00:40:28,119
fifty two bad of balls three hundred and eighty five pitches,

774
00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:31,280
but his walkway was over twenty the next year, over ten,

775
00:40:31,920 --> 00:40:35,719
over eight, over six, over six, now it's over five.

776
00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:39,039
He's getting better as his career goes on, and that's

777
00:40:39,079 --> 00:40:41,559
something you'd like to see. Problem is, he's not a

778
00:40:41,639 --> 00:40:44,719
great strikeout pitcher twenty fifth percent of strike right right,

779
00:40:45,519 --> 00:40:49,239
ten percentile and whiff right. Keller's on the trading block

780
00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:51,599
right now, and there are teams out there looking for him.

781
00:40:51,639 --> 00:40:55,400
I actually heard the Yankees were interested in him. Don't

782
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:59,960
know if going from PNC Park to the New yank

783
00:41:00,159 --> 00:41:03,679
Stadium will be a positive for Keller, but at least

784
00:41:04,039 --> 00:41:06,119
when he gives up his four runs a game, four

785
00:41:06,159 --> 00:41:09,000
or five runs a game, they can outscore the opposition.

786
00:41:09,199 --> 00:41:12,760
So we'll see how it goes. Kurt Line on this

787
00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:17,000
is mis about one twenty three to one twenty five

788
00:41:17,159 --> 00:41:20,360
with a total of eight. I would like to play

789
00:41:20,360 --> 00:41:23,880
Pittsburgh here because the Tigers are not playing well. I

790
00:41:24,000 --> 00:41:26,960
just think Keller is a little bit old. Skis right,

791
00:41:27,000 --> 00:41:31,159
now pitching better than what he's normally done, and he's

792
00:41:31,199 --> 00:41:33,880
got the pressure on every time out there now, so

793
00:41:33,920 --> 00:41:36,000
we can get the hell out of Pittsburgh. I love Pittsburgh,

794
00:41:36,239 --> 00:41:38,559
and I love the fans there. I loved the favorite ballpark.

795
00:41:39,079 --> 00:41:41,000
But if you've got a chance to pitch for a

796
00:41:41,039 --> 00:41:44,360
contender as opposed to pitching in Pittsburgh, he needs to

797
00:41:44,400 --> 00:41:46,119
have a good start a lot of times. That puts

798
00:41:46,119 --> 00:41:47,199
a lot of pressure on the starter.

799
00:41:49,119 --> 00:41:54,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I I of course, another another vent complaint from

800
00:41:54,840 --> 00:41:58,280
yesterday that the one other one I left off was

801
00:41:58,320 --> 00:42:01,480
the Pirates. I felt like it was a little bit

802
00:42:01,480 --> 00:42:03,360
more expensive than I wanted to pay for that team.

803
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:06,360
But sure enough, Schemes did exactly what I expected him

804
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:09,719
to shut down the Tigers and the Pirates won that game.

805
00:42:09,719 --> 00:42:12,920
I think Andrew was in the chat yesterday saying the

806
00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:15,679
under was a good bet, and that was and we

807
00:42:15,719 --> 00:42:17,639
talked about it, and I think that was right where

808
00:42:17,639 --> 00:42:19,519
you cut off. Maybe you were even talking about the

809
00:42:19,559 --> 00:42:23,760
under when you got cut off yesterday and it hit easily.

810
00:42:24,039 --> 00:42:26,920
He says, Tigers Pirates under looks good again today. I

811
00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:29,599
can't really disagree with that. Pirates are as bad as

812
00:42:29,639 --> 00:42:31,159
it gets when it comes to like, if you're just

813
00:42:31,199 --> 00:42:34,280
looking at a team's offense over the course of the season,

814
00:42:34,960 --> 00:42:37,239
I don't think there's been a worse offensive team than

815
00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:40,519
the Pirates. They made their offense worse in the short

816
00:42:40,599 --> 00:42:44,239
term for whatever reason. I actually loved the trade of

817
00:42:44,280 --> 00:42:47,079
Adam Fraser for Camdevany. I think you got cut off

818
00:42:47,079 --> 00:42:49,760
before I brought this up yesterday, But the Pirates made

819
00:42:49,760 --> 00:42:52,280
a trade. I think they moved Fraser to the Royals

820
00:42:52,360 --> 00:42:55,239
and got that Candevany, which is a very good trade

821
00:42:55,239 --> 00:42:59,599
for the Pirates. The problem is they put candevanyan triple A,

822
00:43:00,480 --> 00:43:03,639
not really just and then they called up I think Pagero,

823
00:43:03,679 --> 00:43:06,119
who's been off at Triple A for like two years.

824
00:43:06,159 --> 00:43:09,320
So someone's gonna have to explain that to me. I

825
00:43:09,360 --> 00:43:10,159
don't understand it.

826
00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:15,119
Speaker 2: I I came over from a different ball club. Every

827
00:43:15,159 --> 00:43:19,280
team wants to mold their pictures to a certain area.

828
00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:23,280
Speaker 1: No, No, Devaney's shortstop, That's what I'm saying. Why would

829
00:43:23,360 --> 00:43:28,679
Yeahvany's he's had a great season at all. Sorry, so

830
00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:32,360
they go they get what should be their starting shortstop.

831
00:43:32,400 --> 00:43:34,519
In my opinion, he's had a really good season in Omaha.

832
00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:37,360
He's he's just he earned a call up by at

833
00:43:37,360 --> 00:43:39,519
one point from the Royals, So if you're gonna make

834
00:43:39,559 --> 00:43:41,840
that trade in your twenty games back, why are you

835
00:43:41,920 --> 00:43:44,400
not just putting him at shortstop? Instead? They called up

836
00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:46,559
like Livier Pagero, who we already know is not a

837
00:43:46,599 --> 00:43:49,480
good MLB player, and they left Aveny at triple A.

838
00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:51,920
So I just I feel like they made their lineup

839
00:43:51,920 --> 00:43:54,519
worse than the short term because Fraser was probably more

840
00:43:54,599 --> 00:43:58,360
productive than the guy they called up. So anyway, neither

841
00:43:58,400 --> 00:44:01,280
here nor there. But I certainly agree with with Andrew

842
00:44:01,800 --> 00:44:06,000
Pirates offense is a mess. But the Tigers right now, Brian,

843
00:44:06,079 --> 00:44:07,880
how much do you think it was? Like the Tigers

844
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:09,599
went into the break and then they look at that

845
00:44:09,719 --> 00:44:12,480
al central standings and they see the double digit lead.

846
00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:14,360
Do you think that has something to do with it

847
00:44:14,360 --> 00:44:16,440
where there's really no one on their heels right now?

848
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:19,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it does, and especially going into the

849
00:44:19,880 --> 00:44:22,039
All Star break because they had a lot of All stars.

850
00:44:22,920 --> 00:44:25,960
Uh we made fun of Javier Bayas being a starting,

851
00:44:26,000 --> 00:44:29,440
all starting player in the All Star Game, but yeah,

852
00:44:29,559 --> 00:44:32,480
that's that's just they. This is a team that doesn't

853
00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:35,280
get that a lot of All stars normally. I mean

854
00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:36,880
the Tigers. Was the last time they had more than

855
00:44:36,880 --> 00:44:39,760
two or three All Stars? Uh? And also you know

856
00:44:39,800 --> 00:44:42,800
with with the pitt with the Pittsburgh situation, they're not

857
00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:45,519
trying to win. I mean they're they're they're going out

858
00:44:45,559 --> 00:44:47,039
and if they got a chance to win, yes, But

859
00:44:47,159 --> 00:44:51,000
is management they know this guy's going to be better

860
00:44:51,000 --> 00:44:54,920
in the long run than a retread. Is what basically

861
00:44:54,920 --> 00:44:57,320
what I thought the trade was. I thought, I thought

862
00:44:57,320 --> 00:44:59,320
when they made that trade, they're just getting rid of

863
00:44:59,360 --> 00:45:01,440
one other guy that doesn't have a future in the

864
00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:03,679
tape and they've got to start looking at that. You

865
00:45:03,719 --> 00:45:05,360
got to start playing some young guys.

866
00:45:07,599 --> 00:45:10,360
Speaker 1: So Sean, I actually didn't realize he was here. I

867
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:12,760
I he must have heard us. He must he must have,

868
00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:16,159
like somehow heard Tigers get brought up. He's here, which

869
00:45:16,360 --> 00:45:18,400
I'm glad he's here. We love all you guys here

870
00:45:18,440 --> 00:45:21,280
every day. He's just beware of the under Detroit's gonna

871
00:45:21,320 --> 00:45:24,599
pop eventually. I definitely agree with that, And that's kind

872
00:45:24,639 --> 00:45:27,239
of like that's how I'm looking to play the Tigers, Like,

873
00:45:27,840 --> 00:45:30,599
I don't know how long this little sort of funk

874
00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:33,559
is going to continue, but when they show that that

875
00:45:33,599 --> 00:45:35,519
when they break out of it a little bit. You

876
00:45:35,519 --> 00:45:37,639
can rest assured they're probably gonna win a bunch of games,

877
00:45:37,639 --> 00:45:39,800
because I still go back to, like, looking at the

878
00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:43,599
American League, they're still like the best two there's if

879
00:45:43,639 --> 00:45:45,960
you were to take the best three teams in the AL,

880
00:45:46,400 --> 00:45:48,679
I think the Tigers have to be if you're if

881
00:45:48,679 --> 00:45:51,840
you're talking about the full season to this point, judging

882
00:45:51,880 --> 00:45:53,800
them on the full body of work, they have to

883
00:45:53,840 --> 00:45:55,880
be one of the three best teams in the American League.

884
00:45:56,239 --> 00:45:58,000
And so I'm with Sean. I do think they're gonna

885
00:45:58,000 --> 00:46:00,800
play like that again at some point, but right now,

886
00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:02,639
I need to see something first. I'm not going to

887
00:46:02,679 --> 00:46:05,519
bet on them until I see some signs of life.

888
00:46:05,679 --> 00:46:07,719
And we didn't see any signs of life yesterday, so

889
00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:09,320
well ahead.

890
00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:13,599
Speaker 2: The problem with that is that's the due system. Yeah

891
00:46:13,639 --> 00:46:18,719
and there. Everybody has played the dou system in their lives.

892
00:46:19,559 --> 00:46:24,280
Nobody's ever won playing the due system. Milwaukee has played

893
00:46:24,320 --> 00:46:26,960
the last ten games. Oh, that's they're not that good.

894
00:46:27,039 --> 00:46:30,599
That's that's ad system. You can't do that. I understand

895
00:46:30,599 --> 00:46:39,679
what he's saying. Okaybody, uh, but yeah, it's they're a

896
00:46:39,760 --> 00:46:43,320
very good team. There's something right now, and if I

897
00:46:43,360 --> 00:46:46,559
saw something showing that they're coming out of it. I

898
00:46:46,599 --> 00:46:50,840
would eventually they're gonna win more games than to lose.

899
00:46:50,920 --> 00:46:53,079
But yeah, to pick your spot, it's a it's a

900
00:46:53,079 --> 00:46:53,760
tough thing to do.

901
00:46:55,400 --> 00:46:58,719
Speaker 1: So our pal Dave Cochine used to use the term

902
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:02,119
by sign with a team like with this, and I

903
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:06,079
think that that's very much. You know, I still sort

904
00:47:06,119 --> 00:47:08,199
of reference that term a lot. That's that's where I

905
00:47:08,239 --> 00:47:10,760
got that from. And he, you know, he'd say, like, Okay,

906
00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:12,599
I'm looking for a buy sign to jump in with

907
00:47:12,639 --> 00:47:14,920
the Tigers. So that's kind of how I'm approaching the Tigers.

908
00:47:14,960 --> 00:47:18,320
I'm not gonna bet them here, but if they show

909
00:47:18,360 --> 00:47:20,039
a sign of like even if it's at a loss,

910
00:47:20,079 --> 00:47:21,719
like even if they go out and lose a game

911
00:47:22,159 --> 00:47:25,559
seven to six, but suddenly they think the bats wake up,

912
00:47:26,039 --> 00:47:29,960
I will definitely be looking at like trying to jump

913
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:32,400
in with them. But yeah, I'm not on I don't

914
00:47:32,480 --> 00:47:36,559
like the do the do theory either, because like, right,

915
00:47:36,599 --> 00:47:39,159
like it's gonna happen at some point, but what's why,

916
00:47:39,159 --> 00:47:41,840
why why here? Right? What have they done over the

917
00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:44,719
last few days that makes you think it's gonna be here?

918
00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:47,239
I think that that's you know the point we're both

919
00:47:47,239 --> 00:47:50,679
trying to make. And so for that reason, I think

920
00:47:50,719 --> 00:47:52,840
I still have to like the under because I still

921
00:47:52,960 --> 00:47:55,119
until I see the Bats, I'm gonna expect that they

922
00:47:55,119 --> 00:47:57,480
don't show up. And we know the Pirates can't hit.

923
00:47:57,599 --> 00:48:00,400
They've proven that over one hundred games. So why you know,

924
00:48:00,440 --> 00:48:04,159
why not underwent two? You know, pretty respectable uh pitchers

925
00:48:04,159 --> 00:48:06,360
on the mount and Seohn said, Pirates under team total

926
00:48:06,400 --> 00:48:09,159
four and a half? That's is that really what it is?

927
00:48:09,159 --> 00:48:11,000
Is that really what the Pirates team total is in

928
00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:13,400
this game? That's very high. That's the case.

929
00:48:15,239 --> 00:48:18,800
Speaker 2: No, No, because Detroit's favored in the game. The line's eight,

930
00:48:19,480 --> 00:48:21,039
so Detroit would be the team with the four and

931
00:48:21,039 --> 00:48:21,320
a half.

932
00:48:21,400 --> 00:48:24,039
Speaker 1: If they did do that, you could have I mean

933
00:48:24,079 --> 00:48:26,960
as Tokyo Brandon. So sometimes there there's alts and they're juice.

934
00:48:27,039 --> 00:48:29,840
But again, like that's I mean, it's probably going to

935
00:48:29,880 --> 00:48:32,039
stay under that if you get a respectable line on that.

936
00:48:32,119 --> 00:48:35,960
I don't. I don't really disagree at all. But that's

937
00:48:36,000 --> 00:48:39,840
an interesting conversation, and you know, we we I feel

938
00:48:39,880 --> 00:48:42,760
like the Tigers combo always gives us a nice spike

939
00:48:42,840 --> 00:48:45,199
on the show, so wanted to ride that one out

940
00:48:45,199 --> 00:48:47,440
as long as as long as possible hit the side

941
00:48:47,440 --> 00:48:51,360
in total, and we'll move on. So let's go to

942
00:48:51,440 --> 00:48:56,079
a different here we go. I've listen, I've I've sort

943
00:48:56,079 --> 00:48:58,920
of like talked about all of the negatives for me

944
00:48:59,079 --> 00:49:02,239
yesterday going oh and getting some stuff wrong and leaving

945
00:49:02,239 --> 00:49:04,880
some stuff off. So now I'm gonna I'm gonna pat

946
00:49:04,960 --> 00:49:07,280
myself on the back for the White Sox. When they

947
00:49:07,280 --> 00:49:09,840
were thirty and sixty, I was on this show Brian Leonard,

948
00:49:09,880 --> 00:49:12,920
and I said, do not be surprised if this team

949
00:49:13,119 --> 00:49:15,360
plays a lot closer to five hundred ball from this

950
00:49:15,400 --> 00:49:18,679
point forward. Venable's doing some different things with the man

951
00:49:18,960 --> 00:49:21,960
with how he's managing the team. They're playing all the

952
00:49:22,000 --> 00:49:24,199
young guys, they're getting everyone in. I think there's some

953
00:49:24,280 --> 00:49:27,760
really good chemistry and camaraderie with this team, and they

954
00:49:27,760 --> 00:49:30,400
have been very good. I don't have their win loss

955
00:49:30,440 --> 00:49:32,039
record since then, but it's got to be close to

956
00:49:32,079 --> 00:49:36,239
five hundred and they're playing very good ball. Big Slip says,

957
00:49:36,239 --> 00:49:39,719
how about them White Sox. Let's go fellas. Appreciate you

958
00:49:40,079 --> 00:49:43,480
tuning in, Appreciate you commenting, give us those likes and

959
00:49:43,519 --> 00:49:46,880
subscribes on the wager Talk YouTube channel, because I don't

960
00:49:46,880 --> 00:49:49,000
know another show that was hyping up the White Sox

961
00:49:49,039 --> 00:49:51,800
like we were in this show the last couple months.

962
00:49:52,199 --> 00:49:54,000
And if you've been sort of betting on it, you,

963
00:49:54,440 --> 00:49:57,119
without a doubt, have made money, no question, There's no

964
00:49:57,239 --> 00:49:59,559
way if you've been sort of following along and betting

965
00:49:59,559 --> 00:50:02,199
the White Soxe that you have not been profitable. There's

966
00:50:02,239 --> 00:50:06,039
just no way. So, Brian Leonard, do they continue this

967
00:50:06,159 --> 00:50:08,360
run here in Tampa tonight?

968
00:50:09,679 --> 00:50:12,000
Speaker 2: White Talks have been impressing me on a four game

969
00:50:12,000 --> 00:50:14,840
win streak. Now, the run differential on the season is

970
00:50:14,920 --> 00:50:18,760
down seventy three, as opposed to the Orioles down one

971
00:50:18,800 --> 00:50:22,800
oh four, the Athletics down one forty one, and everybody's

972
00:50:22,840 --> 00:50:25,920
favorite whipping boy, the Colorado Rockies down two hundred and

973
00:50:26,000 --> 00:50:33,400
fifty seven. Chicago is not played exceptionally well on the road.

974
00:50:33,400 --> 00:50:36,840
They got a fifteen and thirty six record, but as

975
00:50:36,880 --> 00:50:39,840
you pointed out really early in the season, that plus

976
00:50:39,880 --> 00:50:42,880
one and a half on Chicago on the road is

977
00:50:43,480 --> 00:50:45,920
a lot easier to hit than a team that's, you know,

978
00:50:46,559 --> 00:50:48,840
only winning less than thirty percent of the road games.

979
00:50:50,159 --> 00:50:55,159
The line on this one here is Martin going for

980
00:50:55,400 --> 00:50:58,039
Chicago ras Musta going for Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay is

981
00:50:58,039 --> 00:51:02,000
about a two fifteen eight and a half to the

982
00:51:02,119 --> 00:51:07,639
under or eight towards the over a little bit. Ras

983
00:51:07,760 --> 00:51:11,119
Mussen is a guy who just a week or so ago,

984
00:51:11,760 --> 00:51:14,800
they talked about, because of his injury history, that they

985
00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:17,840
were going to take him out of the starting rotation

986
00:51:17,920 --> 00:51:22,239
and let him pitch in the bullpen. Then a couple

987
00:51:22,360 --> 00:51:26,079
things happened and they decided they will let him start,

988
00:51:27,159 --> 00:51:30,199
but they're going to put his limit in like five innings.

989
00:51:30,559 --> 00:51:33,280
So from a fantasy standpoint, you're not going to get

990
00:51:33,320 --> 00:51:36,480
as many wins with ras Mussin out there, but from

991
00:51:36,519 --> 00:51:38,519
a betting standpoint, you should be able to get five

992
00:51:38,559 --> 00:51:41,800
good innings out of him, and I think they may

993
00:51:41,840 --> 00:51:43,800
have some success in that now from a two to

994
00:51:43,800 --> 00:51:47,519
one favorite, don't know. Martin's going for the for the

995
00:51:47,559 --> 00:51:51,719
White Sox here, not a not one of the better pitchers,

996
00:51:51,719 --> 00:51:54,559
but they played with a lot of heart. Like I said,

997
00:51:54,599 --> 00:51:57,000
they won four straight games. They're in just about every

998
00:51:57,000 --> 00:52:00,519
game they play now. I prefer ras Mussen, obvious is

999
00:52:00,519 --> 00:52:02,960
the shorter, but I'm not gonna lay that big number

1000
00:52:03,000 --> 00:52:03,800
here with Tampa Bay.

1001
00:52:06,119 --> 00:52:08,679
Speaker 1: Yeah, if anything, I mean for me it would be

1002
00:52:08,679 --> 00:52:11,079
White Sox plus one and a half or pass. I

1003
00:52:11,119 --> 00:52:13,960
don't I don't know if this is the best spot

1004
00:52:14,000 --> 00:52:16,880
to do it. The one guy, like the one guy

1005
00:52:16,920 --> 00:52:19,199
I'm just not as high on as some others from

1006
00:52:19,239 --> 00:52:22,159
from like the White Sox rotation standpoint is Davis Martin.

1007
00:52:22,559 --> 00:52:25,400
I know he's been good. I mean, you know, last

1008
00:52:25,400 --> 00:52:28,920
few starts now he missed. I don't believe he's pitched

1009
00:52:28,920 --> 00:52:31,719
at the big league level in a while, right since

1010
00:52:31,760 --> 00:52:35,119
like since like late since like mid June. So that's

1011
00:52:35,159 --> 00:52:37,000
a little bit, a little bit of a concern. I

1012
00:52:37,000 --> 00:52:39,800
think that's where where this handicap will die out for me,

1013
00:52:39,960 --> 00:52:42,639
is is I like the White Sox, it would only

1014
00:52:42,719 --> 00:52:45,000
be White Sox. I still see, I still see value

1015
00:52:45,000 --> 00:52:48,280
in them because they're just an undervalued commodity and they

1016
00:52:48,280 --> 00:52:50,559
will be for the rest of the year. The problem is,

1017
00:52:50,559 --> 00:52:53,440
do I want Davis Martin? Is Davis Martin the guy

1018
00:52:53,599 --> 00:52:56,239
that I want on the road, And and that's where

1019
00:52:56,239 --> 00:53:00,559
I'm just like, eh, maybe not. So I'm just gonna

1020
00:53:00,599 --> 00:53:02,679
keep it quick there because I'm not gonna make a

1021
00:53:02,679 --> 00:53:05,159
case for the rais. I'm not gonna I'm not gonna

1022
00:53:05,199 --> 00:53:07,719
lay a number to go against this White Sox team

1023
00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:11,280
right now. But I just don't know if this is

1024
00:53:11,320 --> 00:53:14,119
the exact setup where I want the White Sox. If

1025
00:53:14,159 --> 00:53:16,320
I did, however, it would be White Sox one and

1026
00:53:16,360 --> 00:53:19,760
a half. So But again, will I be continuing to

1027
00:53:19,800 --> 00:53:21,840
look for, you know, ways to play the White Sox

1028
00:53:21,880 --> 00:53:24,519
on a day to day basis. Absolutely, they're still way

1029
00:53:24,599 --> 00:53:26,440
undervalued and they're playing great ball.

1030
00:53:26,840 --> 00:53:30,639
Speaker 2: Go ahead, let me we haven't given out any plays yet,

1031
00:53:30,719 --> 00:53:34,000
and yeah, go ahead. Brand is not here today, There'll

1032
00:53:34,039 --> 00:53:36,519
only be a two team parlay. We're struggling with the

1033
00:53:36,519 --> 00:53:39,320
threes lately, so let's see if I can get something here.

1034
00:53:39,320 --> 00:53:41,079
I'm gonna go back to a couple of teams I

1035
00:53:41,079 --> 00:53:45,559
talked about earlier, Baltimore and Cleveland. I mentioned Baltimore. Uh,

1036
00:53:45,599 --> 00:53:47,719
this is a team coming into the season, had really

1037
00:53:47,760 --> 00:53:50,960
high expectations, as did Cleveland, by the way, Uh not.

1038
00:53:51,639 --> 00:53:54,079
The people on the inside did not think Cleveland is

1039
00:53:54,079 --> 00:53:56,599
going to be as good. But from a fan standpoint,

1040
00:53:56,760 --> 00:53:59,199
you know, they don't pay as much attention and they've

1041
00:53:59,199 --> 00:54:01,599
been disappointed the way Cleveland's played this year. I can

1042
00:54:01,719 --> 00:54:06,000
understand that. But Young is going for Baltimore, Cantillo going

1043
00:54:06,039 --> 00:54:09,159
for Cleveland. He's a lefty. Katil right now is about

1044
00:54:09,159 --> 00:54:13,039
a one forty favorite total of eight. I want to

1045
00:54:13,079 --> 00:54:17,119
fade Brandon Young, and many reasons to do that. He's

1046
00:54:17,119 --> 00:54:20,280
only four on the season, seven point five to ERA

1047
00:54:20,800 --> 00:54:25,000
four point sixty five expected much better unexpected. But I've

1048
00:54:25,039 --> 00:54:29,679
watched him pitch and his control is not good. He's

1049
00:54:29,719 --> 00:54:33,920
got a one point seven eight whip. His barrel rate

1050
00:54:33,960 --> 00:54:36,239
is It's obviously he's only pitch twenty six innings, so

1051
00:54:36,320 --> 00:54:38,920
we're not getting a lot of really solid numbers here.

1052
00:54:39,400 --> 00:54:41,920
But he's not even good fastball pitchers and thirty seven

1053
00:54:42,039 --> 00:54:43,960
percentile that so he's not going to blow you away

1054
00:54:43,960 --> 00:54:47,360
with that. He does I it's close to one strikeout

1055
00:54:47,400 --> 00:54:50,840
per inning, but his walk grade nine point one percent.

1056
00:54:51,039 --> 00:54:53,199
His strikeout minus walker eight, even though he's a pretty

1057
00:54:53,199 --> 00:54:57,960
good strikeout pitcher, is eleven point six pretty low. League

1058
00:54:57,960 --> 00:55:02,119
average is slightly less than sixteen. And they did use

1059
00:55:02,480 --> 00:55:07,239
a good amount of a bullpen pitching last night Baltimore.

1060
00:55:07,320 --> 00:55:15,000
Let's check this bullpen for Baltimore here. Last night they

1061
00:55:15,119 --> 00:55:19,519
used three of the guys on their lesser Corbram Martin,

1062
00:55:19,880 --> 00:55:24,199
Grant Wolfram, and Colin Selby, so they didn't have to

1063
00:55:24,320 --> 00:55:29,360
use about Tista Domingez, Sodo or Kittridge or Cano. The

1064
00:55:29,400 --> 00:55:32,960
bullpen overall. Dominiez is actually pitching very well right now.

1065
00:55:33,079 --> 00:55:35,440
He's the guy comes in usually the seventh or eighth inning.

1066
00:55:35,840 --> 00:55:39,239
He's been their best pitcher lately. But if you take

1067
00:55:39,280 --> 00:55:41,719
a look at what the bullpen has done overall in

1068
00:55:41,760 --> 00:55:45,760
the last fourteen days, Greg Soto's the only one that's

1069
00:55:45,800 --> 00:55:49,119
listed in the top one hundred in Major League Baseball

1070
00:55:49,440 --> 00:55:52,800
in relief pitching. So they have not been going very

1071
00:55:52,800 --> 00:55:55,519
well Cleveland at this point. You know, if you watch

1072
00:55:55,559 --> 00:56:00,280
that game, everything that happened with Cleveland, the team is

1073
00:56:00,320 --> 00:56:04,119
still young enough where they're getting so excited about things happening,

1074
00:56:04,800 --> 00:56:07,119
and it was a lot of fun to watch, and

1075
00:56:07,159 --> 00:56:09,320
it was a close game for a while in that game,

1076
00:56:09,400 --> 00:56:12,159
So you got a lot of that out there. And

1077
00:56:12,280 --> 00:56:15,599
I think this is a really good home stand for

1078
00:56:15,679 --> 00:56:19,360
Cleveland to turn it around. They played better coming out

1079
00:56:19,360 --> 00:56:22,440
of the break, and Cantio is a guy that I

1080
00:56:22,599 --> 00:56:30,000
like when it comes to the Cleveland. Cleveland starters yesterday.

1081
00:56:30,280 --> 00:56:34,599
So far on the season for Cantio, he's got a

1082
00:56:34,679 --> 00:56:37,760
four point one seven ERA, three point ninety five expected,

1083
00:56:37,760 --> 00:56:41,079
one point four to four whip. That's his weakness. He

1084
00:56:41,199 --> 00:56:45,079
walks eleven game this year, last year nine or eleven

1085
00:56:45,239 --> 00:56:49,280
percent last year nine point two percent. His strikeout March

1086
00:56:49,320 --> 00:56:53,480
walk is only eighteen point three, which is good, it's

1087
00:56:53,599 --> 00:56:56,559
very good, but that walk rate is a concern. Part

1088
00:56:56,599 --> 00:56:59,599
hit rate fifth percentile chase for eight second so he

1089
00:56:59,679 --> 00:57:03,360
can hit extensions in the ninety eighth percent Alley six

1090
00:57:03,360 --> 00:57:07,360
foot four. I like the Cleveland team total in this

1091
00:57:07,480 --> 00:57:10,880
game over Baltimore. Let's take a look at that one

1092
00:57:11,000 --> 00:57:13,960
team total. Cleveland is four and a half to the

1093
00:57:14,000 --> 00:57:17,480
over or to the under excuse me, of one thirty five.

1094
00:57:17,599 --> 00:57:20,639
So you can get Cleveland at plus money to score

1095
00:57:20,719 --> 00:57:23,760
five runs against Baltimore. I think it happens here. This

1096
00:57:23,800 --> 00:57:27,559
is a pretty good hitting ball club ballpark now the

1097
00:57:27,559 --> 00:57:29,360
way they could figure it a little bit later in

1098
00:57:29,440 --> 00:57:33,519
the right center field, especially with the right hander going,

1099
00:57:33,559 --> 00:57:36,320
they'll have a lot of lefties and that fills right

1100
00:57:36,360 --> 00:57:40,039
into the power ally in Cleveland. I'm going to play

1101
00:57:40,039 --> 00:57:45,360
that over Cleveland over team total of four and a

1102
00:57:45,480 --> 00:57:48,960
half and that should be about plus one oh five

1103
00:57:49,079 --> 00:57:49,280
or so.

1104
00:57:52,039 --> 00:57:55,400
Speaker 1: And that's your parlay league, right, that's my parlay leg perfect.

1105
00:57:55,559 --> 00:57:59,119
So I'm very much in agreement. If you did not

1106
00:57:59,519 --> 00:58:01,760
use that, I would have used Guardian's money line as

1107
00:58:01,800 --> 00:58:04,920
the parlay leg. So I'm gonna pick a different leg

1108
00:58:04,920 --> 00:58:07,920
in a second. But if you can't parlay the team total,

1109
00:58:08,079 --> 00:58:11,920
I am. I am pretty good with you just parlaying

1110
00:58:11,960 --> 00:58:14,599
Guardians to win the game, because I do think if

1111
00:58:14,599 --> 00:58:17,320
the Guardians get that those five runs, I think there's

1112
00:58:17,400 --> 00:58:20,000
probably a pretty good chance that they win. Reason. I

1113
00:58:20,119 --> 00:58:21,880
like the Guardians a lot to win this game, and

1114
00:58:21,960 --> 00:58:24,360
I just this got kind of hit overnight. This was

1115
00:58:24,840 --> 00:58:27,440
like minus you know, one twenty eight, minus one thirty

1116
00:58:27,480 --> 00:58:30,039
and quickly jumped up to like minus won forty five.

1117
00:58:30,480 --> 00:58:32,679
I'll be That's what I'll be looking for today. Brian

1118
00:58:32,760 --> 00:58:36,079
is hope hopefully we have some Orioles buy back, because

1119
00:58:36,079 --> 00:58:37,840
if this kind of comes back in a range for me,

1120
00:58:38,320 --> 00:58:40,440
I'll probably be on the Guardians here. Now I've been

1121
00:58:40,480 --> 00:58:43,760
anti Guardians, but one thing I know about this Orioles team,

1122
00:58:44,360 --> 00:58:46,079
they don't hit as well on the road, and they

1123
00:58:46,079 --> 00:58:48,639
don't hit left handed pitching. And up, what do we

1124
00:58:48,679 --> 00:58:51,119
have here? We have the Oils on the road against

1125
00:58:51,159 --> 00:58:55,199
Joey Cantillo, a lefty. Trevor brings up a great point

1126
00:58:55,199 --> 00:58:57,199
in the chat. He's in young struggles to get left

1127
00:58:57,199 --> 00:59:00,000
handed batters out. That's correct, and he's right. The Guardians

1128
00:59:00,119 --> 00:59:02,159
have quite a few left handed hitters in the lineup,

1129
00:59:02,239 --> 00:59:06,159
so that lends itself to you know, your handicap of

1130
00:59:06,199 --> 00:59:10,920
Guardians runs, and I just don't think the Orioles are

1131
00:59:10,960 --> 00:59:13,679
going to score at the rate the Guardians should score

1132
00:59:13,760 --> 00:59:16,639
here off of Cantillo, who's a Leftian has also been

1133
00:59:16,639 --> 00:59:19,719
pretty good. So I'm very much with you on that

1134
00:59:19,840 --> 00:59:22,679
over and I haven't bet it yet and I'm probably

1135
00:59:22,679 --> 00:59:24,280
just gonna kind of keep an eye on it throughout

1136
00:59:24,280 --> 00:59:26,440
the day. I don't know if I can get there

1137
00:59:26,480 --> 00:59:28,400
with like a minus one forty five or minus one

1138
00:59:28,440 --> 00:59:32,079
forty price tag, because I still don't love this Guardian's team,

1139
00:59:32,119 --> 00:59:35,880
but from a matchup standpoint, the Guardians matchup very well

1140
00:59:35,880 --> 00:59:37,159
in this game with the Orioles today.

1141
00:59:37,239 --> 00:59:39,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's why I decided to go with the team totally,

1142
00:59:39,559 --> 00:59:44,119
because you're saving about forty cents in price. I am

1143
00:59:44,280 --> 00:59:46,639
very price sensitive. I know Brandon has talked in the

1144
00:59:46,679 --> 00:59:49,639
past that he is not. I'm very price sensitive, and

1145
00:59:49,639 --> 00:59:51,320
I think you really have to be if you plan

1146
00:59:51,400 --> 00:59:54,280
on winning in the long run. If you miss a number,

1147
00:59:54,639 --> 00:59:57,719
sometimes you have to pass, or you can play it live,

1148
00:59:58,280 --> 01:00:02,039
but you don't want to. Let's say you're ranking Cleveland

1149
01:00:02,400 --> 01:00:06,320
as a one fifty favorite here and you could have

1150
01:00:06,360 --> 01:00:07,920
gotten them at one thirty, and now you got to

1151
01:00:07,960 --> 01:00:11,000
pay one forty one forty five. That value cuts into

1152
01:00:11,000 --> 01:00:14,960
your profit. And it's one thing I disagree with with Brandon,

1153
01:00:15,000 --> 01:00:17,239
but he's got the way he does things and he's

1154
01:00:17,239 --> 01:00:20,280
had great success doing it. I've had the same kind

1155
01:00:20,280 --> 01:00:23,079
of success doing it my way, and you know I am.

1156
01:00:23,159 --> 01:00:25,400
I'm open to anybody that could change my mind. But

1157
01:00:25,519 --> 01:00:30,960
still to save forty cents by looking for Cleveland to

1158
01:00:31,039 --> 01:00:34,360
score five runs. I don't think Cleveland is going to

1159
01:00:34,400 --> 01:00:38,280
win this game scoring three or less, so it's worth

1160
01:00:38,280 --> 01:00:39,119
the forty cents for me.

1161
01:00:40,760 --> 01:00:42,840
Speaker 1: All right, I've got my parlay leg. It's a game

1162
01:00:42,880 --> 01:00:44,760
that we already talked about and I have to pull

1163
01:00:44,800 --> 01:00:49,960
this comment up because this this I still have nightmares

1164
01:00:49,960 --> 01:00:55,280
about this game. Justin Coland reminded us that Kolak started

1165
01:00:55,280 --> 01:00:58,760
that game where we had the Marlins to close out

1166
01:00:58,800 --> 01:01:00,639
like a nice three team. I think it was like

1167
01:01:00,679 --> 01:01:02,599
a plus six or a sex six or seven to

1168
01:01:02,639 --> 01:01:06,360
one three teamer and Colic gave up six runs in

1169
01:01:06,400 --> 01:01:08,880
like the first ending of that game, and the Marlins

1170
01:01:08,920 --> 01:01:10,760
failed to cover the one and a half. I believe

1171
01:01:10,760 --> 01:01:13,559
they ended up losing eight to six after having a

1172
01:01:13,639 --> 01:01:17,199
six to nothing lead and absolutely destroying Stephen Kulich. So

1173
01:01:17,960 --> 01:01:21,039
I have to run it back with the Marlins here,

1174
01:01:22,119 --> 01:01:25,840
probably gonna make my client card as well. I know, listen,

1175
01:01:25,920 --> 01:01:28,719
you could go first five. I'm gonna go full game

1176
01:01:28,800 --> 01:01:31,840
because I do think I do think you've given the

1177
01:01:32,119 --> 01:01:35,239
given the shot at the same relievers again today that

1178
01:01:35,280 --> 01:01:37,679
the Marlins might be able to like break through late

1179
01:01:37,760 --> 01:01:40,599
as well. You know, they've just they just saw every

1180
01:01:40,599 --> 01:01:43,960
good bullpen arm, every top bullpen arm the Padres have,

1181
01:01:44,599 --> 01:01:46,639
and I do like like if they were to come

1182
01:01:46,679 --> 01:01:50,440
back with a uh Swarz gave up a couple of

1183
01:01:50,480 --> 01:01:51,960
hard hit balls. Now he got out of the inning

1184
01:01:52,039 --> 01:01:54,280
at the end. That's the other thing that the Marlins

1185
01:01:54,320 --> 01:01:56,679
generated some chances yesterday. I think they grounded into like

1186
01:01:56,719 --> 01:01:59,679
four double plays on balls that were hit pretty hard.

1187
01:02:00,119 --> 01:02:01,960
So I'm going to give the Marlins the full nine

1188
01:02:01,960 --> 01:02:04,559
innings and we're going to go Marlin's money line for

1189
01:02:04,639 --> 01:02:06,760
my parlay league. So what do we have there like

1190
01:02:06,800 --> 01:02:08,880
minus one fifteen, minus one twenty, something like that.

1191
01:02:08,920 --> 01:02:12,239
Speaker 2: One twenty. You can get better, but there's a few

1192
01:02:12,280 --> 01:02:14,840
out there. I see one sixteen in one place, but

1193
01:02:15,000 --> 01:02:17,880
one twenty would be about the number we're looking at.

1194
01:02:17,960 --> 01:02:21,400
And before we end the show, I do have my

1195
01:02:22,760 --> 01:02:25,360
four percent play up for five dollars up on the site.

1196
01:02:25,480 --> 01:02:28,199
We don't sell enough on the show.

1197
01:02:28,599 --> 01:02:32,800
Speaker 1: And it's definitely without TV here. TV does all the promotions.

1198
01:02:32,920 --> 01:02:34,920
Speaker 2: That's right, You've got it at the promos that we are,

1199
01:02:35,320 --> 01:02:38,159
and make sure to like it subscribe. We're getting less

1200
01:02:38,280 --> 01:02:43,360
I've noticed we're getting less people in the playback talking

1201
01:02:43,360 --> 01:02:45,880
about and asking questions and that kind of thing, and

1202
01:02:45,920 --> 01:02:47,840
that's something we really enjoy getting in there and talk

1203
01:02:47,840 --> 01:02:49,840
to him about. So get in there if you ever

1204
01:02:49,840 --> 01:02:53,840
have any questions about any games or just basic handicapping,

1205
01:02:53,920 --> 01:02:55,920
or if you want to look. The other day, there

1206
01:02:55,960 --> 01:02:58,280
was a guy that went in. I apologize for not

1207
01:02:58,400 --> 01:03:02,440
remembering his name, but he gave his analysis on one

1208
01:03:02,480 --> 01:03:06,239
of the games and it was excellent analysis. And we

1209
01:03:06,280 --> 01:03:08,320
can learn from you guys, because a lot of you

1210
01:03:08,320 --> 01:03:10,840
guys that's you know, a lot of you are in

1211
01:03:10,880 --> 01:03:13,159
Detroit or if you're in other places and that's your team.

1212
01:03:13,559 --> 01:03:16,039
We've got to follow thirty teams. We're not as well

1213
01:03:16,079 --> 01:03:18,159
known up to date on some of these teams. So

1214
01:03:18,519 --> 01:03:21,079
get in there and we'll have a nice discussion. We

1215
01:03:21,119 --> 01:03:25,000
don't have a discord at the moment for anybody to

1216
01:03:25,039 --> 01:03:26,719
go answer. So this is the best way to do it.

1217
01:03:27,159 --> 01:03:30,000
And I myself like that because I'm trying to learn

1218
01:03:30,039 --> 01:03:32,320
from you as well as you're trying to learn from us,

1219
01:03:32,679 --> 01:03:34,880
and that way we can all win, and that's our goal.

1220
01:03:36,800 --> 01:03:39,599
Speaker 1: Absolutely. Yeah. We try to get in answer all the comments,

1221
01:03:39,599 --> 01:03:42,320
and we appreciate when you come by drop a comment

1222
01:03:42,360 --> 01:03:44,920
on the YouTube channel. It does it helps a ton

1223
01:03:45,320 --> 01:03:48,360
help sort of bump ups in the algorithm, and the

1224
01:03:49,000 --> 01:03:52,199
more views we're getting, the you know, the more chance

1225
01:03:52,239 --> 01:03:53,760
that we'll be able to do this show not just

1226
01:03:53,800 --> 01:03:57,599
this year, but next year and going forward. So yeah,

1227
01:03:57,719 --> 01:04:02,280
appreciate you guys tuning in every day and we'll you know,

1228
01:04:02,320 --> 01:04:04,400
we'll we'll end it there. So we've got a two

1229
01:04:04,480 --> 01:04:07,519
team parlay today. Desperately need to hit one of these.

1230
01:04:07,519 --> 01:04:10,039
We're still the plus on the year though, but we're

1231
01:04:10,079 --> 01:04:12,599
getting dangerously close to even, so we really need to

1232
01:04:12,639 --> 01:04:15,400
hit one. We are gonna go with Marlins on the

1233
01:04:15,400 --> 01:04:19,239
money line and then Guardian's team total over four and

1234
01:04:19,239 --> 01:04:21,760
a half and that parlay comes out to plus two

1235
01:04:21,800 --> 01:04:24,400
seventy five. If your book does not allow you to

1236
01:04:24,440 --> 01:04:27,639
parlay team totals, I think we're both okay with just

1237
01:04:27,760 --> 01:04:32,320
Guardian's money line in there for the parlay, so that

1238
01:04:32,320 --> 01:04:34,760
that'll do it probably a two. It looks like a

1239
01:04:34,760 --> 01:04:37,480
two man show again. Tomorrow, I am taking my nine

1240
01:04:37,519 --> 01:04:41,719
year old nephew to Erie, Pennsylvania to see a bunch

1241
01:04:41,760 --> 01:04:44,360
of good prospects in the Tigers organization. They got they're

1242
01:04:44,400 --> 01:04:51,039
all there, Max Clark McGonagall, bro the catcher, and then

1243
01:04:51,239 --> 01:04:54,599
they're playing Somerset. To George Lombard from the Yankees organization,

1244
01:04:56,159 --> 01:04:58,519
he just wants to go see a baseball game. But

1245
01:04:58,719 --> 01:05:01,199
it was my idea to drive three and a half

1246
01:05:01,239 --> 01:05:04,199
hours to see that baseball game because I want to see,

1247
01:05:04,519 --> 01:05:06,320
like guys that I'm probably gonna be in the big

1248
01:05:06,400 --> 01:05:08,920
leagues in a year or so. So look, we won't

1249
01:05:08,960 --> 01:05:11,280
be here tomorrow. I won't be here tomorrow, so it

1250
01:05:11,280 --> 01:05:12,199
looks like it'll.

1251
01:05:12,000 --> 01:05:14,760
Speaker 2: Be let's let's see what happens with Brandon. If I

1252
01:05:14,800 --> 01:05:17,000
know ahead of time, brand is not going to be here.

1253
01:05:17,039 --> 01:05:20,039
I'll try to bring somebody else in. Yeah, and we'll

1254
01:05:20,079 --> 01:05:21,679
see how it goes. The problem is they're going to

1255
01:05:21,760 --> 01:05:24,800
have to know how to use the system because I

1256
01:05:24,840 --> 01:05:25,840
don't have that ability.

1257
01:05:26,760 --> 01:05:30,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, hopefully TV made it sound like he's probably fine,

1258
01:05:30,800 --> 01:05:33,920
Like he's just you know, so we'll see. But yeah,

1259
01:05:33,960 --> 01:05:37,639
we'll figure that out today. We will do our best

1260
01:05:37,679 --> 01:05:41,360
to bring you a show tomorrow as always nine am.

1261
01:05:41,440 --> 01:05:44,239
If I have to throw the phone on the dashboard

1262
01:05:44,239 --> 01:05:47,079
on the throughway, I'll do it so.

1263
01:05:47,000 --> 01:05:49,320
Speaker 2: We don't do that. We want you to be following.

1264
01:05:49,840 --> 01:05:53,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, anyway, we'll figure something out. But you know,

1265
01:05:53,920 --> 01:05:56,400
expect to see at nine am tomorrow as usual as

1266
01:05:56,400 --> 01:05:58,760
we are every day a week, Monday through Friday. Like

1267
01:05:58,800 --> 01:06:02,360
and subscribe five dollars Tuesday. Go check out wager Talk

1268
01:06:02,400 --> 01:06:04,760
Today on the wager Talk YouTube channel at noon Eastern.

1269
01:06:04,800 --> 01:06:07,800
Andy has put together a great show and as you're

1270
01:06:07,800 --> 01:06:10,199
getting closer to football season, that's gonna be a must watch.

1271
01:06:10,599 --> 01:06:12,199
We'll see you guys tomorrow. Good luck tonight,