Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is Tuesday time for Total
Bases Tokyo. Brandon not feeling well this morning, so we
hope he feels better. I thought he was gonna feel great.
I'm pretty sure he's five percenter won last night, but
he doesn't feel well today, so hopefully we have we
have him back tomorrow. But you've got myself and you've
got Brian Leonard on a strong Internet connection today, so
we're here for the next hour. And Brian, I have
a question for Nate the Great on Twitter, so I
want to get right into it. He says, give me
the lowdown. I'm Cam Schlitler, and I guess we can
do that by talking Yankees Blue Jays, which that's good
enough for a feature game. That's a pretty big series
in the Al East. So I'll go to you first,
Yanks Blue Jays. What are you seeing here?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not gonna say his name very often because
I'm not gonna screw it up and say something I
probably shouldn't, But yeah, I almost there. Slitter is one
of those guys that has always had good stuff, but
he's never performed quite as well as they expected. He's
twenty four years old and this is uh. He's a
number ten prospect for the Yankee system. Yankee system doesn't
seem to have many good pitching prospects. The ones that
they have brought up have been middling. They are going
to get one of their guys back that had surgery.
He should be coming back pretty soon. He's I can't
think of his name, but he'll he'll will be back.
So they are starting to get some guys back, but
they had another injury, and so there they're starting staff
right now is struggling. Glitter comes in with five point
zero six a ra A three point eighty four excuse me,
two point eight four expected, one point one three whip.
His numbers are he hasn't He's only thrown five and
a third inning, so his numbers are not really solidified yet.
But a strikeout right is great. Fastball velocity is great.
But he's a guy that's a fly ball pitcher, and
that's always a concern. He's going up against excuse me,
he's going up against Max Scherzer here. Surezer comes in
with a four point seven o ERA four point four
to one expected ERA. Both of those are very high
for him. He's at the end of his career here
the last few years. He's in twenty twenty two, he
had a two point twenty ninety ra went up to
three point seven to seven, three point ninety five, and
now four point seven zero. It would not surprise me
if this is his last year in the majors. But
he's a bulldog. He wants to play. You know, look
how long Verline's going, and he's really hit a wall
this year, so maybe he'll be back. Somebody's going to
take a chance on him. There's a lot of teams
out there that really need pitching, but this Toronto teams
playing very well. Yank, he's struggling right now. In fact,
I looked at the WRC plus on the season or
on the last thirty days. Now the Yankees are ranked
seventh and Toronto's ranked fifth. So we got two teams
that are hitting pretty well against two pitchers that I
have a little bit of concern with. Here. The total
in this game is nine and Toronto's about a one
twenty five favorite something in that range. Don't want to
go against Blue Jays since they're playing so well, but
maybe we can get one of the team totals to
go over something to take a look at that way,
but as of right now, it doesn't look like a
game I'm gonna be involved in.
Speaker 1: Well, Brian, yesterday on the show, I was I had
two totals, and I said, you know, I'm not a
big totals handicapper, but I love both of these and
one of them will get there. And I was right
about that. The Giants and the Braves went over. But
the other one I had that I was very confident
in was Yankees Blue Jays, and the runs just never
came ended up being before one final. That being said,
I wouldn't be surprised if there is some runs in
this game. Tonight I will I will talk about slit
Alert Man that this name shouldn't be this hard to pronounce,
but anyway, I'll talk about him. So, first off, I
have a soft spot for these guys from the Northeast.
Like my fiance's family's been housing summer league college ball
kids for years, so every summer throughout like either we
didn't have people at our house this year, but they
they've got three college kids in their in their house
this year, and last year we had like five or
six across like all the family members and stuff like that,
and The reason I bring it up is like a
lot of them are. You know, there's some D one guys,
mostly like D two and D three, but they're always
from a college like Northeastern, you know, like a like
a Northeastern college a lot of times. And so Cam
Schlitzler again probably said it wrong. Northeastern uh graduate pitches
his way up. Always have a soft spot for guys
like this. That being said out of nowhere this year,
as you said that he was, he was not on
my radar to be in the big leagues. This year.
I kind of saw him starting to do some stuff
at double A and I said, Okay, he's going to
be interesting when he gets up to triple A. And
he got to triple A and he was as good
as you could possibly be through five starts. Now I
have a very challenging I find it very challenging to
handicap guys that the pitchers that don't spend a considerable
amount of time at triple A. Like I think I
have a great beat on a guy Like yesterday we
talked about Mike McGreevy. I felt felt like I had
him peg because I've seen so much of him last
year this year at Triple A. But then like there's
another guy we'll probably talk about in a little bit,
Chase Burns, where they just don't they come up two
three starts at Triple A and now they're in the
big leagues. I find that extremely challenging because I think
I don't think there's a huge difference Double A to
Triple A for hitters, like you see, like we knew
Kaglio should have been in the majors, Nick Kurtz, like
they didn't need a ton of time at Triple A
where you were like, you know what, you're probably a
big leader. But pitchers, it's a little bit different because
you go from facing the guys you faced all the
way up to facing like legitimate professional hitters that have
been around the game for ten fifteen years. So I
have a really tough time with guys like this because
I want to like the Yankees here, I do. I
see the upside. I've seen, you know, Schlitler throw the
ball extremely well now from Triple A and into the
This would be his second start at the big league level.
First one came against the Mariners. Seven five and a third,
three runs, seven strikeouts. That was great. That was great,
but the problem is you just don't know. Let's go
back to chase birds, right, Even Missraski, who had a
considerable amount of time, well more triple a time than
the others second third start, got into trouble. So I
really do think there's value with the Yankees at plus money,
and I'm tempted, man, but like to go against the
Blue Jays and then have him not have his best start.
It is like concerning to me, it's probably it's it's
probably why I'll pass this one. But he has impressed
the hell out of me, and his his start against
the Mariners was very impressive. I wouldn't want to really
go against him here. So I think Yankees are over
or pass is where I'll leave this one. All right,
It's two dollars five dollars Tuesday. I almost slipped, and
I don't. People will be disappointed that that doesn't occur anymore.
But listen, it's five dollars Tuesday at wager Talk, everyone
is going to have a five dollars play up. I
guarantee you, even with Tokyo Brandon feeling under the weather,
he'll have that play posted so you don't have to
worry about that. He is not going to miss a
chance to get a five dollars play out there, So
heading over to the site check that out as always
like and subscribe. And this is the part of the
show where I vent and complain about what happened yesterday.
For me, that was the A's and Frank Simmons says
A's team total under my worst night My nightmare played
out yesterday, Brian, because I come on the show and
I talk about the A's and the Marlins being like teams,
like all or nothing type teams where it's like when
they're sort of rolling and they're playing well, they're doing
everything right, and they're just like everything's you know, coming
up for them, and and they're they're really rolling. And
then there's the flip side of being a very young
team where things are just not very good. And I
was unfortunately on both of them yesterday and caught the
young Marlins and the young A's. The young Marlins couldn't
get a hit off of Randy Vasquez, something that should
be be studied at the end of the season, and
then the A's just not a very good effort. So
let's go back A's Rangers as a much bigger underdog today,
Frank says, team total under I don't know, what do
you think about this one A's Rangers.
Speaker 2: Well, I had four one and a half percent yesterday.
Since my internet went out, I couldn't write up any
of my analysis because I couldn't get on there and
get the stats. So I said, you know, I just
put out some small plays and one of them was
the A's over one and a half I believe it
was over one and a half in the first five,
and they got one. Didn't get there for me. They
did struggle a little bit. So yeah, that's just the
way it is with young teams. You see that all
the time. When they look at the White Sox yesterday,
I mean they just they had a great game. And
the White Sox actually over the last month they're hitting
about league average when you take a look at the stats.
Speaker 1: But who would have guessed that.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, we originally said Miami were like that Miami team.
Miami in the last month is I think twelve in
WRC plus, So they're hitting well. Ages didn't hit well yesterday,
and that was the one that I used on my
parlay on the show. Did not think they were going
to be shut out I believe when you take a
look at the hits they were, they were the better team.
It's just the opposite. The other team had the bigger
hits than they did. That's what happens. The San Diego pitcher, really,
I believe he had eight base runners in four point
two innings, so he didn't pitch well. There's just the
spacing and the luck factor cost him that. But that's
that's just the way it is in baseball. I mean,
you you watched that Cleveland game yesterday and they've got
the Baltimore pitchers on the on the ropes all game long.
Finally it broke through late The Baltimore pitchers were basically loaded,
nobody out and they were getting out of it. So
it happens. That's the way it is. You've got to
time it up right. JT Gin going today for the A's.
He's recently come back to the majors after some injury problems.
Four point nine one ERA, three point sixty four expected
one point three zero whip A very good strike pitcher.
Strikeout percent eighty six k percent excuse me, eighty six percent,
ground ball rate eighty five percent. Doesn't give up a
lot of fly balls, he's okay, but his hard hit
rate is only in the fourth centile, so when he
is getting hit, he's getting hit pretty hard. Jacob de
Graham going for Texas. I don't know if anybody out
there has heard of him, but he's pretty good Texas Rangers.
After winning two total games the last two years, he's
already got nine wins this year. He's nine to two,
two point three to two ERA one point or no, no,
excuse me, my mistake, two point nine to nine expected,
zero point nine to one whip. He's good at everything.
His ground ball percentage is actually only in the fifty
fourth percentile, so he does get up for some fly balls.
But this stadium is probably you know, usually it's the
Mets Stadium is the best pitcher friendly park in baseball.
This one in Texas has been this year. A lot
of it has to do with Texas's pitchers, but if
you take a look at what the other teams have
done here too, they have performed very well, which is
why a lot of people think that the Texas offense
has not done well. When you're playing half your games,
it's sort of like Seattle at home. It's not a
good hitter's ballpark, so the home team also struggles in
that regard. Total line in this game right now is
to Ground's about a two thirty five. You can get
it down to two nineteen right now, but about two
thirty five Favorite with a total of seven and a half.
If I had more faith in the A's bullpen, I
would play this under. I do like in a little bit,
but I am concerned from him. It would be only
Texas for me and I'm not going to lay that number.
So maybe maybe A's team total under something like that.
But it's a tough handicap when you've got a really
good pitchers park and you've got a guy like the
Graham who's going to go you know, he may go
seven innings, and that really cuts down on the as
chance to score in this one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, David Witt says, everyone had me so convinced I'm
A's yesterday, David. I gotta be honest that it shouldn't matter.
But the it just seems like every time you get
a good price on a dog and then the market
like rides it to a point there a favorite and
then it feels like it's like kind of trendy. It happens.
I don't know how to explain it. I don't know
why that's the case, but I kind of when that
first pitch was being thrown, I'm like, is everyone really
on the A's here? I thought I was gonna be
like I thought I was like, had a nice number,
was being a little crafty, hey, like this is a
good spot to get the A's as a dog when
they really should be a favorite. And I kind of
agree with David. I was like, man, how did when
did this become like a trendy pick? And that's what happened,
And again that's it is what it is. I feel like,
all that's anecdotal, but I, you know, resonate with that
comment a little bit as far as this game is concerned, Man,
I am I am so tempted to just come back
and take A's plus one and a half here. I'm
gonna talk out why I either might do that or
might not. So first, the Rangers totally shook their roster
up yesterday. They they basically said so last week at
Triple A they had all of a sudden, all these
guys popped up, Josh Young, Roddy Tules, They moved some
stuff around, started they played the round Rock played great
last week. They actually swept your Aviators, Brian, which is
a feat at this point. It's a very good minor
league team. Three game sweep out of the break, and
the round Rock called Cody Freeman up, who got his
first big league hit last night. He's gonna be a
really good player. He's he's had a great season at
Triple A. I saw Jung back in there. I saw
Teles in the lineup, and that makes me like, maybe
like punt the Brakes a little bit. Michael Hellman was back.
Helman had a big, a big hit to bust that
game open. None of these guys are like Gy, you know,
any individual that's gonna like change a team. But I
talked go out of the break. We talked about the
culture in that locker room. Maybe they just needed to
shake up a little bit, some differ guy, some different
blood in there. I love Cody Freeman. He's been awesome
and he was all fired up to get that big
double to give the Rangers the lead. So that makes
me not want to bet against the Rangers a little bit.
Maybe they're gonna find the right mix, and then of
course you have to fade. Jacob de Grom Do you
want to fade Jacob deGrom Like, yeah, that's a that's
a tough pill to swallow right there. Now, I'm with you.
J T. Gin He's got some swing and miss I
could see him being half decent here and you would
get the run with the A's on the road. So
it's like, I do think there's some line value with
the A's there as a as an underdog. I also
really like that price on plus one and a half
and the fact that you're getting the road team plus
one and a half. My only concern in what may
keep me off is I wonder if we're hitting the
stretch where the A's become the young A's. That struggle
go back to go back to mid May. Team was
playing great. What did they lose twenty two of twenty
three something crazy like that. They didn't look good against
the Guardians weekend. They had the one win, but I
didn't I didn't feel like they played great ball against
the Guardians and that carried over to last night. Just
Lawrence Butler not being able to get a bunt down,
like just just things that it's like, okay, here we go.
Are we gonna lose eight of nine? So I like
the a's, but I think those are things that are
creeping into my thought process in terms of maybe passing
on them. All right, let's do the other one. The
other one I lost with yesterday was the Marlins, and
we already sort of teased it, so Colin Gregory says,
Marlins money line. Yeah, Colin, I'm gonna be tempted to
come back with them as well. But again Ryan mentioned it.
Randy Vasquez Houdini Act number seventeen of the season. Eight
guys on base giving up absolute missiles at times, and
they either go right at you know, right at guys,
and then the one he really gives up that that
ends up in another planet. To Kyle Stowers, no one
on base. So he survives four and a third, gives
up one run, gives up like seven hits and a
bunch of hard contact, and somehow only gives up one run,
and then sure enough the Marlins find a way to
lose two to one. Today. It's another guy that I
am very okay with opposing for the Padres. Stephen Colek
triple a guy to me for the most part, and
Edward Cabrera, a guy with upside very similar to Yuri Perez,
so Brian, it's the same game as yesterday, and we're
getting a better price on the Marlins today. How do
we not play the Marlins here?
Speaker 2: Well, I don't keep I don't have Cabrera in the
same level as yesterday's talent wise, Yeah, but he hasn't
been able to put it together because he has walked
so many people. And my main concerned hero was his
last start ended early. They thought he was hurt, and
then all of a sudden, everybody's you know, he's been
on the trade block, and they've said that they were
lucky to trade him and they could get a pretty
good for a good program that develops picture like a
Milwaukee at Cleveland, Pittsburgh, that kind of thing. They could
get pretty good players back for him. But he did
leave the start early and they were worried that he
was hurt. But he's coming back. Makes me wonder with
the trade deadline coming up, if normally they wouldn't have
brought him back this early. But they need to get
him out there and show that he's healthy so they
can get a good deal for him. That is my
concern right now. Miami's about a one ten, one twelve
favorite total on this is eight Colek as you mentioned,
four point two four ERA, four point four to four expected,
one point twenty nine whip in two seasons got a
six to four record, which is nice, but at four
point sixty three ERA, which tells you that they just
seem to hit him a hit for him when he
pitches hard. Hit rate in the fifth percentile, exit velocity
fifth percentile, with rate eight or ninth and struk got
rate sixteenth, So those aren't things you really want to
play on. His barrel rate is in the eightieth percentile,
but yet he's still getting hit hard. Once that barrel
rate comes back and normalizes a little bit, I can
see him getting bombed. He is a good ground ball
pitcher eighty second percentile in ground ball rate, so he's
probably not going to get beat by the long ball,
but you know, a lot of the doubles something like
that is a concern when you've got to call it
on the mound. Cabrera for Miami now in his fifth season.
He's three and four in the season three point sixty
four ERA, three point eighty seven expected. His whip is
won twenty six. His career whip is one thirty three,
So he's a little bit better in that regard hard
hit rate only in the sixteenth percentile averag Jacks Velasle's
thirty second. But he's a big fastball pitcher eighty fifth percentile.
I like what he's done this year if he is
fully healthy. If he is healthy, I think there's value
on it. If you take a look at the WRC
plus over the last month. Talked about Miami. They're twelve
in baseball with one hundred and four. San Diego is
twenty second at ninety two. So you've got over the
last month, you've got the better pitcher, you've got the
better hitters, and you're getting in it basically a pickup
situation lean Miami. It's just probably one of those games
I talked about playing games live. If I could see
him in the early part of this game and he
looks like he's sharp, maybe I'll come in on Miami
and play that the rest of the way out. If
he looks like he's struggling and he's still maybe hurt
a little bit, I can go the other way. This
is one I'd rather not play pre game, but I'd
rather play in game.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I gotta be honest. I'm watching the game last night,
and right about the fourth fifth inning, when when I'm realizing, okay,
that Vasciz might actually get through four or five and
lead his team with the lead, I'm like, am I
betting against an elite Padres team? Because remember, going into
the seat an early end of the season, like myself included,
a lot of people thought that this was a legitimate
World Series contender, might win the NL West, and and
you know, they they struggled a little bit, and I
feel like the we've all gotten away from that, maybe
even the odds makers have gotten away from that a
little bit as well. But like to me, and I'm like,
just your your typical pessimist, right, Like I just I
always assume the worst is going to happen. As soon
as Morjan got out of you know, came in and
got out of the inning and whatnot, I'm like, oh,
they're not giving up a run, like you know, it's
just gonna be it's just gonna be morejon A Strata
Suarez and they're just gonna come in and hammer it down.
And that's exactly what they did. And so I look
at this and I'm like, how do I want to
fade what really is like, I still think maybe an
elite Padres team because that's what I'd be doing here now.
Cabrera is a guy. He always gets me. He's someone
I've probably been unnecessarily high on for the past few years.
Has a great fastball but doesn't always command it particularly well.
And if if he had fastball command, he'd be really
good because he's got the other stuff to play off
of it. You know, does do the Are the Padres
just are they able to to sort of get something
off of that? And then if the Marlins are they
in the are they in the mode where there's not
they're just not capitalizing because I can guarantee you Kolach
will give them chances. But if the Marlins can't cash in,
then you're talking, Okay, who do you want at the
end of this game, Padre's bullpen or the Marlins bullpen
And the Marlins bullpen's been solid, but still you're hot.
There's the Marlins have a great collection of relievers. The
Padres have high leverage arms that every other team in
the league would want to have. If you you could
gout pull the other twenty nine teams in the league,
if you would offer them the three guys or three
or four guys at the at the front of the
Padres bullpen. Basically every team in the league would take
that group of pitchers. So that's where I look at this.
It's it's super tempting to come back with the Marlins.
It's you know, I almost feel like I am somewhat
inclined to do it based on the fact that I
played them yesterday. But that is the concern for me.
Is am I poking the bear with this Padres team?
Where are you out in the Padres right now in
the Holbrian Leonard? You seeing them similar?
Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah, very much.
Speaker 1: So.
Speaker 2: I will say the Padres bullpen came into yesterday very
arrested for the best. Four guys all pitched nobody more
than nineteen pitches, so they should be available. And Miami's
bullpen is fully available here. So yeah, we'll see how
it goes. And but it should be an interesting game.
And obviously the line being near Peckham says.
Speaker 1: That, you know, I don't hate the idea of running
your play back from yesterday and going Marlins first five.
I actually think that might be the way to play it,
because I do I do still think Cabrera is a
pretty decent edge over Colic.
Speaker 2: And you're getting that at one twenty right now. If
that's what you are interested.
Speaker 1: In, Yeah, that could be. That could be the play,
all right, justin we got to bring it up. The
Brewers are the hottest team in baseball since Tokyo Brandon talked. Yeah, basically,
Tokyo Brandon dug their grave on this show. Put the
Brewers in their grave, and they've been basically like prime
Undertaker ever since. Just winning Hell in the Cell matches
doesn't matter. They've won every game. They've literally how many
is this in a row? Brian ten?
Speaker 2: Ten or eleven?
Speaker 1: Just incredible stuff the Brewers are. It has been fun
to watch. I gotta be honest, I did not think
there was any way that the Brewers could continue this
out of the break. Normally, when you go into the
All Star break hotter than the sun. Go ask the
Red Sox about this, it's very difficult to come out
of the break and and sort of maintain that that run.
It's not to say you're gonna play terribly, but it's
hard to like maintain that streak out of the breakw
have not only done it, they're doing it on the
road against really good competition. That is like the craziest
thing to me. They're doing it on the road in
la in Seattle, and now they bring it into tonight
where they're up against Logan Gilbert. But they've got a
stud picture of their own on the mount. So I mean, listen,
I said I would find a spot to fade the
Brewers in this series, but I don't know. I'm starting
to I'm starting to question if I want to do
that or not. How are you gonna play Mariners Brewers?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, the teams that they're beating and the
pictures that they are beating has been more impressive than
the win streak, if you ask me. But that's why
I like the Brewers. They find a way. It's not
like the Yankees, or you hit three home runs in
the game, the Yankees win. Yankees don't hit home runs,
the Yankees lose. The Brewers can beat you in any way.
They're not big. You look take a look at the
home runs on the season. They're not one of the
better teams in home runs. Once in a while they
get you know, they got some guys that have the ability,
but they're guys that get on base, and they are
threats to run. Just About everybody on this team has
the ability to steal bases, and I love that. It's
the way the Saint Louis Cardinals and the Royals did
you know decades ago, That's what a lot of teams
do nowadays. Tampa Bay, one of the teams we really like,
does that. Those are the teams that got to be
able to compete. If you are in Milwaukee and Seattle,
you cannot compete money wise with the teams in New
York and the teams in California and that kind of
thing Chicago. So that's how you have to build your team.
And hats off to the Brewers. They've done it better
than anybody this year and I'm really rooting for them.
Not a thing against Tokyo Brandon, but I did not
agree with his statement. I think he did it just
to get a rile out of everybody. But still, you
put that on the record and.
Speaker 3: Somebody's going to come back and make fun of and
that's what we've done with Brandon every time he does that.
So it's something we can all joke about, but hey,
it's worth to fade it. But Misrowski against Gilbert here.
Gilbert's about a one twenty favorite total is seven to
the under twenty five, so they don't expect many runs
in this game. Yesterday, I was looking at that game
as we were going along, and the game was, I believe,
scoreless in the sixth the team total or the total
in the game, depending on your sportsbook. At that time,
there was three innings left, was either two and a
half or three, and I seriously thought about playing the
over because if you got a total of two and
a half or three, it could be scoreless going into
the tenth inning, and based on the ghost Runner, you
could easily get two and a half three runs. I
didn't do it, and of course the next inning they
come out and it started heading for Milwaukee.
Speaker 2: But it's something that I noticed yesterday. Misrowski four and one,
two point eight oney or a two point six to
one expected zero point nine zero whip. Once again, he's
only thrown twenty five innings, so got to take everything
with a grain of salt. But ninety ninth percentile and
extension ninety ninth percentile and fastball velocity. The guy is
six foot seven, he's got one of the best extensions
in Major League Baseball, and he throw out one hundred
and three miles an hour unless he's tipping his pitches,
which may have been the occurrence in the game that
he did not pitch well. He's been awfully impressive Seattle
Logan Gilbert coming back from injury. He's you know, he's
got a career in five seasons, three point five to
nine ERA. He's just a terrific young pitcher. One point
zho six whip this year he's even slightly better than
that is expected. The ra's three point oh two. But
he is going to hit a little bit. His average
exon velost season the twentieth percentile barrel rate, twenty first
hard hit thirty seven. Now, most of that came earlier
when he was fighting his way back, so I expect
more of the same here from his The good Logan Gilbert.
He's also in the ninety ninth extension ninety seventh in
strike percentage. He's six foot six thrown it that way,
so you've got two guys on the mound, a ball
gets on you really fast, and you've got you've got
the situation where the line right now is seven to
the under. But I'm seeing the DraftKings and Pando have
it at six and a half now a little bit
to the over. But if you like the under in
this game, I would recommend you play it right now
and get that key number of seven and what could
very well be three to two game going into the
late innings, and you want to make sure that you've
got that odd number up there. You'd hate to have
a three to three up with a total of six
and a half, and that's an automatic loser. I like
the under in this one.
Speaker 1: So slick Vick in the chat says why feed And
I think I think it was an answer to his
previous message where he said Brewers And if that's the
in case, I agree, Like what like why why do
it right now? Like why play against Miserski? It almost
feels it, Brian, It feels a lot like why play
against Skeens early in his career? Like, I don't think
that's that big of a stretch to make that comparison.
I know Paul Skeens, we you know when he was
coming up. It's like everyone knew who he was before
he even got to the majors generational talent. But like,
is Misrowski that far off? I mean, the guy throws
one hundred and three like he's throwing one hundred and
three out there. It's been really impressive to watch him
pitch really aside from like one start. So it's like,
that's kind of where I'm at here. Even though I
do think this run will end at some point for
the Brewers, and I do think the Mariners are a
very good team and one that I've been looking to back,
I'm almost coming into this game saying, why do it?
Why not? Why do you not just go bet one
of the other fourteen games, because even if you do
have it, can can find an edge. Okay, Logan Gilbert,
you're obviously basing your edge on low Logan Gilbert by
looking at his entire career and what he's been And
you could even look back to the start before the
All Star break and say, yeah, that look like that
looked like full strength Logan Gilbert against Detroit five and
a third shutout, innings, nine strikeouts. But the reality is
he was hurt and since he's come off the eye out,
he's he's gotten you know, he's given up some contact,
he's given up some hits. So the other thing you
have to ask yourself is like the are the Mariners
just gonna take Misserowski deep like two, three, four times?
Probably not. I don't think they're just gonna be like
hitting him out of the ballpark. That's a big part
of the Mariners offense. So do you trust this Mariner's
team to string hits together against miss Rawski. I don't know.
Maybe not. I don't know if I do. So that's
where it's like I see merit in both sides. I
think I would probably say under seven or pass. I
trust the two pictures, and I just don't know if
I trust the opposing offense enough to like light up
the other picture where I would say, oh, like you're
the over is gonna get there feels like a four.
It feels like a three two, four to three type
game to me four two two, you know, three to one,
something like that. So I think I'd rather go under
if I had to play that one for sure. All Right,
going to the chat we have, this is a good
but let's this is a good question from Ethan. We'll
answer this. This is just a good betting question. He says,
I really struggle betting MLB out of the break. Anyone
have anything they look for? Any angles are strategies that
consistently work for them. I'll just really quickly say, I
approach it similar to I approach the start of the season.
I almost look at it as a reset and we've
kind of like got to get going again and have
to establish some form and stuff like that. I'm I'm
I'm cautious typically coming out of the break, similar as
I would be going into the season. What about you, Brian, I.
Speaker 2: Think it's very similar. You're a college basketball expert in
addition to Major League Baseball. You know, in college basketball,
you have your preseason games, which are basically your non
conference games. Let's go non conference games. The coaches are
trying to get everything together because they're worried about conference play.
Once you get into conference play, boom, teams turn on
the switch totally different. You have to throw away a
little bit of what you got earlier, and then once
you get to the conference tournament and the Big Dance
and whatever tournament you're in, you have to make the adjustments.
That's the way it is in Major League Baseball. A
lot of times a team will have started the season poorly,
like for example, the Baltimore Oriols. This is not still
not a team I'm looking to back. That defense is horrendous.
If you watch that game yesterday, Oh my god, this
a terrible anytime there was a decision to be made,
they threw to the wrong base, they would overrun the ball.
Just bad coaching, bad bad team right now in Baltimore.
I don't expect the Baltimore team who started the year
with a lot of expectations and struggled to turn it
around the second half. O there's other teams that could
do that, Other teams that entered the break and have
not played well that have the talent can do it,
especially now that other than the American League Central where
you got detrite with you know, a ten game leader
or eleven game leader or whatever. Any other team could
be back back into the in contention within a week
or two. We've seen it about Toronto. Toronto overtakes the
Yankees and you know the Yankees, You're you're falling behind here.
So yes, there's ways to play it, but you've got
to take it every team and individual, as opposed to
just blindly playing it. I talked about the Braves earlier
going into the break, when they were struggling with all
the injuries they've had with all all the guys on
the starting rotation that were injured. These were teams. This
was a team coming into the season. They thought they
were coming back this last year. A con is out,
they're going to be back this year, and they've had
some ups and downs. Still mixed the team that has
ton of talent, But it's something that you have to
take a look at each and every each and every
team on an individual basis.
Speaker 1: How willing are you to throw out the first weekend
the first weekend back? Say all right, like some of
like a team like the Cardinals per se just very lethargic.
Never you know, like like, are you willing to basically
give a team a pass on the first weekend back?
Or is that are you looking at the first weekend
saying maybe this is what we're going to get out
of the team for the next week or two.
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Cardinals have been a team that's been very
streaky all season long. Start of the year, poorly started
talking about selling then all of a sudden they start
playing well. I think by this time we know exactly
what the Cardinals are. They're probably a five hundred ball club.
I think I would expect that the rest of the
way out. I don't think that's a team that's going
to differ very much from what they played so far.
Speaker 1: A great question, Ethan, that's we could probably sit here
and sort of, you know, talk about that for an.
That's a that's a really good question. There's probably no
great answer, but different perspectives are always going to help
you know when you when you're talking about how to
approach the slate. So great question. Andy laying in the
chat Happy Tuesday fellas great show. As always, we appreciate you, Andy.
Andy does a great show every single day noon Eastern
on this same platform, the wager Talk YouTube channel, wager
Talk Today. So heading over there, make sure you're watching that.
It's five dollars Tuesday, so we're all going to have
a five dollars play up at some point in time.
But yeah, with football season around the corner, wager Talk
Today should be a must watch for you if you're
not watching it already. So head over there, check that out.
Appreciate Andy tuning in. We have job. Oh, we have
Johnny Detroit in the chat today. He says, my poor tigers,
My poor tigers. Rather get the bad run out now,
first later in the season, let's talk about Johnny Detroit's
Tigers and listen, how how spoiled are you guys up
in Detroit right now that like you're got to have
a bad run at some point. I mean, the team
was out of control good for like three you know,
for three months, and now they're finally kind of having
a run where it's like they're not playing their best ball.
It was always gonna happen. I gotta be honest, Brian,
I'm I'm buying the Tigers so much more than I
was at the beginning of the season, especially in where
they're at in the context of the American League. I
only see like one or two teams in the AL
that I truly think is a better baseball team than
the Tigers. So let's talk about that. They run into schemes.
Yesterday we talked about it on the show, maybe not
being the best spot for the Tigers. Do you think
it's a good spot for them to bounce back today?
Speaker 2: I am on the Tigers much more than it was
before the season, but they're not playing them all right now.
And I talked about that the other day before I
was yesterday before I was cut off with the bad Internet.
But it's a team that I think was filling pretty
fat and sassy, and now they're stillver Last month, there's
still eleventh in WRC plus at one oh six. Well,
Pittsburgh second to last at seventy nine. But the offense
just isn't what it was earlier. They were hitting over
their heads everything. The guys you know McKinstry, guys like that,
who were basically fill ins, just like guys that play
many positions, good players, but they weren't guys that you
could put in the lineup every day and expect a
lot out of. They slumped a little bit, and you
can see that coming. I mean, they don't have so
many great players in the lineup where you could expect
that to go on all day. Casey Myiz is a
guy that we had said earlier in the season we
were looking to fade as the year went on. His
career record is eighteen to twenty two with a four
pointa ERA last year four point four nine ERA. I
didn't pitch for the Tigers the year before, and then
in twenty two when he got his start, he only
pitched two games five point four. That was small sample sized,
so he comes in three point one five ERA expected
three point twenty nine one point two two whip, great
extension eighty six percentile great walk grate eighty second percentile
six three. Twenty eight years old. He was been He's
been one of their guys they've been counting on for years.
He's already twenty eight years old. Normally by twenty seven
you peek, especially as a hitter. He's a twenty eight
right now, and he still has a losing record in
his career. Injuries have been a problem for him throughout
his career. That is a concern. I like the guy,
but still until he does it more often, I'm not
a huge believer. Mitch Keller having a really good season
by his standards, despite having a three to ten record,
He along with the schemes, will both beat crying together
based on that. But at three point four eight ERA
three point eight two expected, one point one four whip,
his whip is much better now than it's been in
his career. He's got a one point three seven whip
four point four to three e ERRA walk rate has
been great this year, which helps his whip eighty eight
percentile four. It's gonna be five point five percent walk
rate every year. If you look at since twenty twenty,
the granted it's the small stemple size, he only threw
fifty two bad of balls three hundred and eighty five pitches,
but his walkway was over twenty the next year, over ten,
over eight, over six, over six, now it's over five.
He's getting better as his career goes on, and that's
something you'd like to see. Problem is, he's not a
great strikeout pitcher twenty fifth percent of strike right right,
ten percentile and whiff right. Keller's on the trading block
right now, and there are teams out there looking for him.
I actually heard the Yankees were interested in him. Don't
know if going from PNC Park to the New yank
Stadium will be a positive for Keller, but at least
when he gives up his four runs a game, four
or five runs a game, they can outscore the opposition.
So we'll see how it goes. Kurt Line on this
is mis about one twenty three to one twenty five
with a total of eight. I would like to play
Pittsburgh here because the Tigers are not playing well. I
just think Keller is a little bit old. Skis right,
now pitching better than what he's normally done, and he's
got the pressure on every time out there now, so
we can get the hell out of Pittsburgh. I love Pittsburgh,
and I love the fans there. I loved the favorite ballpark.
But if you've got a chance to pitch for a
contender as opposed to pitching in Pittsburgh, he needs to
have a good start a lot of times. That puts
a lot of pressure on the starter.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I I of course, another another vent complaint from
yesterday that the one other one I left off was
the Pirates. I felt like it was a little bit
more expensive than I wanted to pay for that team.
But sure enough, Schemes did exactly what I expected him
to shut down the Tigers and the Pirates won that game.
I think Andrew was in the chat yesterday saying the
under was a good bet, and that was and we
talked about it, and I think that was right where
you cut off. Maybe you were even talking about the
under when you got cut off yesterday and it hit easily.
He says, Tigers Pirates under looks good again today. I
can't really disagree with that. Pirates are as bad as
it gets when it comes to like, if you're just
looking at a team's offense over the course of the season,
I don't think there's been a worse offensive team than
the Pirates. They made their offense worse in the short
term for whatever reason. I actually loved the trade of
Adam Fraser for Camdevany. I think you got cut off
before I brought this up yesterday, But the Pirates made
a trade. I think they moved Fraser to the Royals
and got that Candevany, which is a very good trade
for the Pirates. The problem is they put candevanyan triple A,
not really just and then they called up I think Pagero,
who's been off at Triple A for like two years.
So someone's gonna have to explain that to me. I
don't understand it.
Speaker 2: I I came over from a different ball club. Every
team wants to mold their pictures to a certain area.
Speaker 1: No, No, Devaney's shortstop, That's what I'm saying. Why would
Yeahvany's he's had a great season at all. Sorry, so
they go they get what should be their starting shortstop.
In my opinion, he's had a really good season in Omaha.
He's he's just he earned a call up by at
one point from the Royals, So if you're gonna make
that trade in your twenty games back, why are you
not just putting him at shortstop? Instead? They called up
like Livier Pagero, who we already know is not a
good MLB player, and they left Aveny at triple A.
So I just I feel like they made their lineup
worse than the short term because Fraser was probably more
productive than the guy they called up. So anyway, neither
here nor there. But I certainly agree with with Andrew
Pirates offense is a mess. But the Tigers right now, Brian,
how much do you think it was? Like the Tigers
went into the break and then they look at that
al central standings and they see the double digit lead.
Do you think that has something to do with it
where there's really no one on their heels right now?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it does, and especially going into the
All Star break because they had a lot of All stars.
Uh we made fun of Javier Bayas being a starting,
all starting player in the All Star Game, but yeah,
that's that's just they. This is a team that doesn't
get that a lot of All stars normally. I mean
the Tigers. Was the last time they had more than
two or three All Stars? Uh? And also you know
with with the pitt with the Pittsburgh situation, they're not
trying to win. I mean they're they're they're going out
and if they got a chance to win, yes, But
is management they know this guy's going to be better
in the long run than a retread. Is what basically
what I thought the trade was. I thought, I thought
when they made that trade, they're just getting rid of
one other guy that doesn't have a future in the
tape and they've got to start looking at that. You
got to start playing some young guys.
Speaker 1: So Sean, I actually didn't realize he was here. I
I he must have heard us. He must he must have,
like somehow heard Tigers get brought up. He's here, which
I'm glad he's here. We love all you guys here
every day. He's just beware of the under Detroit's gonna
pop eventually. I definitely agree with that, And that's kind
of like that's how I'm looking to play the Tigers, Like,
I don't know how long this little sort of funk
is going to continue, but when they show that that
when they break out of it a little bit. You
can rest assured they're probably gonna win a bunch of games,
because I still go back to, like, looking at the
American League, they're still like the best two there's if
you were to take the best three teams in the AL,
I think the Tigers have to be if you're if
you're talking about the full season to this point, judging
them on the full body of work, they have to
be one of the three best teams in the American League.
And so I'm with Sean. I do think they're gonna
play like that again at some point, but right now,
I need to see something first. I'm not going to
bet on them until I see some signs of life.
And we didn't see any signs of life yesterday, so
well ahead.
Speaker 2: The problem with that is that's the due system. Yeah
and there. Everybody has played the dou system in their lives.
Nobody's ever won playing the due system. Milwaukee has played
the last ten games. Oh, that's they're not that good.
That's that's ad system. You can't do that. I understand
what he's saying. Okaybody, uh, but yeah, it's they're a
very good team. There's something right now, and if I
saw something showing that they're coming out of it. I
would eventually they're gonna win more games than to lose.
But yeah, to pick your spot, it's a it's a
tough thing to do.
Speaker 1: So our pal Dave Cochine used to use the term
by sign with a team like with this, and I
think that that's very much. You know, I still sort
of reference that term a lot. That's that's where I
got that from. And he, you know, he'd say, like, Okay,
I'm looking for a buy sign to jump in with
the Tigers. So that's kind of how I'm approaching the Tigers.
I'm not gonna bet them here, but if they show
a sign of like even if it's at a loss,
like even if they go out and lose a game
seven to six, but suddenly they think the bats wake up,
I will definitely be looking at like trying to jump
in with them. But yeah, I'm not on I don't
like the do the do theory either, because like, right,
like it's gonna happen at some point, but what's why,
why why here? Right? What have they done over the
last few days that makes you think it's gonna be here?
I think that that's you know the point we're both
trying to make. And so for that reason, I think
I still have to like the under because I still
until I see the Bats, I'm gonna expect that they
don't show up. And we know the Pirates can't hit.
They've proven that over one hundred games. So why you know,
why not underwent two? You know, pretty respectable uh pitchers
on the mount and Seohn said, Pirates under team total
four and a half? That's is that really what it is?
Is that really what the Pirates team total is in
this game? That's very high. That's the case.
Speaker 2: No, No, because Detroit's favored in the game. The line's eight,
so Detroit would be the team with the four and
a half.
Speaker 1: If they did do that, you could have I mean
as Tokyo Brandon. So sometimes there there's alts and they're juice.
But again, like that's I mean, it's probably going to
stay under that if you get a respectable line on that.
I don't. I don't really disagree at all. But that's
an interesting conversation, and you know, we we I feel
like the Tigers combo always gives us a nice spike
on the show, so wanted to ride that one out
as long as as long as possible hit the side
in total, and we'll move on. So let's go to
a different here we go. I've listen, I've I've sort
of like talked about all of the negatives for me
yesterday going oh and getting some stuff wrong and leaving
some stuff off. So now I'm gonna I'm gonna pat
myself on the back for the White Sox. When they
were thirty and sixty, I was on this show Brian Leonard,
and I said, do not be surprised if this team
plays a lot closer to five hundred ball from this
point forward. Venable's doing some different things with the man
with how he's managing the team. They're playing all the
young guys, they're getting everyone in. I think there's some
really good chemistry and camaraderie with this team, and they
have been very good. I don't have their win loss
record since then, but it's got to be close to
five hundred and they're playing very good ball. Big Slip says,
how about them White Sox. Let's go fellas. Appreciate you
tuning in, Appreciate you commenting, give us those likes and
subscribes on the wager Talk YouTube channel, because I don't
know another show that was hyping up the White Sox
like we were in this show the last couple months.
And if you've been sort of betting on it, you,
without a doubt, have made money, no question, There's no
way if you've been sort of following along and betting
the White Soxe that you have not been profitable. There's
just no way. So, Brian Leonard, do they continue this
run here in Tampa tonight?
Speaker 2: White Talks have been impressing me on a four game
win streak. Now, the run differential on the season is
down seventy three, as opposed to the Orioles down one
oh four, the Athletics down one forty one, and everybody's
favorite whipping boy, the Colorado Rockies down two hundred and
fifty seven. Chicago is not played exceptionally well on the road.
They got a fifteen and thirty six record, but as
you pointed out really early in the season, that plus
one and a half on Chicago on the road is
a lot easier to hit than a team that's, you know,
only winning less than thirty percent of the road games.
The line on this one here is Martin going for
Chicago ras Musta going for Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay is
about a two fifteen eight and a half to the
under or eight towards the over a little bit. Ras
Mussen is a guy who just a week or so ago,
they talked about, because of his injury history, that they
were going to take him out of the starting rotation
and let him pitch in the bullpen. Then a couple
things happened and they decided they will let him start,
but they're going to put his limit in like five innings.
So from a fantasy standpoint, you're not going to get
as many wins with ras Mussin out there, but from
a betting standpoint, you should be able to get five
good innings out of him, and I think they may
have some success in that now from a two to
one favorite, don't know. Martin's going for the for the
White Sox here, not a not one of the better pitchers,
but they played with a lot of heart. Like I said,
they won four straight games. They're in just about every
game they play now. I prefer ras Mussen, obvious is
the shorter, but I'm not gonna lay that big number
here with Tampa Bay.
Speaker 1: Yeah, if anything, I mean for me it would be
White Sox plus one and a half or pass. I
don't I don't know if this is the best spot
to do it. The one guy, like the one guy
I'm just not as high on as some others from
from like the White Sox rotation standpoint is Davis Martin.
I know he's been good. I mean, you know, last
few starts now he missed. I don't believe he's pitched
at the big league level in a while, right since
like since like late since like mid June. So that's
a little bit, a little bit of a concern. I
think that's where where this handicap will die out for me,
is is I like the White Sox, it would only
be White Sox. I still see, I still see value
in them because they're just an undervalued commodity and they
will be for the rest of the year. The problem is,
do I want Davis Martin? Is Davis Martin the guy
that I want on the road, And and that's where
I'm just like, eh, maybe not. So I'm just gonna
keep it quick there because I'm not gonna make a
case for the rais. I'm not gonna I'm not gonna
lay a number to go against this White Sox team
right now. But I just don't know if this is
the exact setup where I want the White Sox. If
I did, however, it would be White Sox one and
a half. So But again, will I be continuing to
look for, you know, ways to play the White Sox
on a day to day basis. Absolutely, they're still way
undervalued and they're playing great ball.
Speaker 2: Go ahead, let me we haven't given out any plays yet,
and yeah, go ahead. Brand is not here today, There'll
only be a two team parlay. We're struggling with the
threes lately, so let's see if I can get something here.
I'm gonna go back to a couple of teams I
talked about earlier, Baltimore and Cleveland. I mentioned Baltimore. Uh,
this is a team coming into the season, had really
high expectations, as did Cleveland, by the way, Uh not.
The people on the inside did not think Cleveland is
going to be as good. But from a fan standpoint,
you know, they don't pay as much attention and they've
been disappointed the way Cleveland's played this year. I can
understand that. But Young is going for Baltimore, Cantillo going
for Cleveland. He's a lefty. Katil right now is about
a one forty favorite total of eight. I want to
fade Brandon Young, and many reasons to do that. He's
only four on the season, seven point five to ERA
four point sixty five expected much better unexpected. But I've
watched him pitch and his control is not good. He's
got a one point seven eight whip. His barrel rate
is It's obviously he's only pitch twenty six innings, so
we're not getting a lot of really solid numbers here.
But he's not even good fastball pitchers and thirty seven
percentile that so he's not going to blow you away
with that. He does I it's close to one strikeout
per inning, but his walk grade nine point one percent.
His strikeout minus walker eight, even though he's a pretty
good strikeout pitcher, is eleven point six pretty low. League
average is slightly less than sixteen. And they did use
a good amount of a bullpen pitching last night Baltimore.
Let's check this bullpen for Baltimore here. Last night they
used three of the guys on their lesser Corbram Martin,
Grant Wolfram, and Colin Selby, so they didn't have to
use about Tista Domingez, Sodo or Kittridge or Cano. The
bullpen overall. Dominiez is actually pitching very well right now.
He's the guy comes in usually the seventh or eighth inning.
He's been their best pitcher lately. But if you take
a look at what the bullpen has done overall in
the last fourteen days, Greg Soto's the only one that's
listed in the top one hundred in Major League Baseball
in relief pitching. So they have not been going very
well Cleveland at this point. You know, if you watch
that game, everything that happened with Cleveland, the team is
still young enough where they're getting so excited about things happening,
and it was a lot of fun to watch, and
it was a close game for a while in that game,
So you got a lot of that out there. And
I think this is a really good home stand for
Cleveland to turn it around. They played better coming out
of the break, and Cantio is a guy that I
like when it comes to the Cleveland. Cleveland starters yesterday.
So far on the season for Cantio, he's got a
four point one seven ERA, three point ninety five expected,
one point four to four whip. That's his weakness. He
walks eleven game this year, last year nine or eleven
percent last year nine point two percent. His strikeout March
walk is only eighteen point three, which is good, it's
very good, but that walk rate is a concern. Part
hit rate fifth percentile chase for eight second so he
can hit extensions in the ninety eighth percent Alley six
foot four. I like the Cleveland team total in this
game over Baltimore. Let's take a look at that one
team total. Cleveland is four and a half to the
over or to the under excuse me, of one thirty five.
So you can get Cleveland at plus money to score
five runs against Baltimore. I think it happens here. This
is a pretty good hitting ball club ballpark now the
way they could figure it a little bit later in
the right center field, especially with the right hander going,
they'll have a lot of lefties and that fills right
into the power ally in Cleveland. I'm going to play
that over Cleveland over team total of four and a
half and that should be about plus one oh five
or so.
Speaker 1: And that's your parlay league, right, that's my parlay leg perfect.
So I'm very much in agreement. If you did not
use that, I would have used Guardian's money line as
the parlay leg. So I'm gonna pick a different leg
in a second. But if you can't parlay the team total,
I am. I am pretty good with you just parlaying
Guardians to win the game, because I do think if
the Guardians get that those five runs, I think there's
probably a pretty good chance that they win. Reason. I
like the Guardians a lot to win this game, and
I just this got kind of hit overnight. This was
like minus you know, one twenty eight, minus one thirty
and quickly jumped up to like minus won forty five.
I'll be That's what I'll be looking for today. Brian
is hope hopefully we have some Orioles buy back, because
if this kind of comes back in a range for me,
I'll probably be on the Guardians here. Now I've been
anti Guardians, but one thing I know about this Orioles team,
they don't hit as well on the road, and they
don't hit left handed pitching. And up, what do we
have here? We have the Oils on the road against
Joey Cantillo, a lefty. Trevor brings up a great point
in the chat. He's in young struggles to get left
handed batters out. That's correct, and he's right. The Guardians
have quite a few left handed hitters in the lineup,
so that lends itself to you know, your handicap of
Guardians runs, and I just don't think the Orioles are
going to score at the rate the Guardians should score
here off of Cantillo, who's a Leftian has also been
pretty good. So I'm very much with you on that
over and I haven't bet it yet and I'm probably
just gonna kind of keep an eye on it throughout
the day. I don't know if I can get there
with like a minus one forty five or minus one
forty price tag, because I still don't love this Guardian's team,
but from a matchup standpoint, the Guardians matchup very well
in this game with the Orioles today.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's why I decided to go with the team totally,
because you're saving about forty cents in price. I am
very price sensitive. I know Brandon has talked in the
past that he is not. I'm very price sensitive, and
I think you really have to be if you plan
on winning in the long run. If you miss a number,
sometimes you have to pass, or you can play it live,
but you don't want to. Let's say you're ranking Cleveland
as a one fifty favorite here and you could have
gotten them at one thirty, and now you got to
pay one forty one forty five. That value cuts into
your profit. And it's one thing I disagree with with Brandon,
but he's got the way he does things and he's
had great success doing it. I've had the same kind
of success doing it my way, and you know I am.
I'm open to anybody that could change my mind. But
still to save forty cents by looking for Cleveland to
score five runs. I don't think Cleveland is going to
win this game scoring three or less, so it's worth
the forty cents for me.
Speaker 1: All right, I've got my parlay leg. It's a game
that we already talked about and I have to pull
this comment up because this this I still have nightmares
about this game. Justin Coland reminded us that Kolak started
that game where we had the Marlins to close out
like a nice three team. I think it was like
a plus six or a sex six or seven to
one three teamer and Colic gave up six runs in
like the first ending of that game, and the Marlins
failed to cover the one and a half. I believe
they ended up losing eight to six after having a
six to nothing lead and absolutely destroying Stephen Kulich. So
I have to run it back with the Marlins here,
probably gonna make my client card as well. I know, listen,
you could go first five. I'm gonna go full game
because I do think I do think you've given the
given the shot at the same relievers again today that
the Marlins might be able to like break through late
as well. You know, they've just they just saw every
good bullpen arm, every top bullpen arm the Padres have,
and I do like like if they were to come
back with a uh Swarz gave up a couple of
hard hit balls. Now he got out of the inning
at the end. That's the other thing that the Marlins
generated some chances yesterday. I think they grounded into like
four double plays on balls that were hit pretty hard.
So I'm going to give the Marlins the full nine
innings and we're going to go Marlin's money line for
my parlay league. So what do we have there like
minus one fifteen, minus one twenty, something like that.
Speaker 2: One twenty. You can get better, but there's a few
out there. I see one sixteen in one place, but
one twenty would be about the number we're looking at.
And before we end the show, I do have my
four percent play up for five dollars up on the site.
We don't sell enough on the show.
Speaker 1: And it's definitely without TV here. TV does all the promotions.
Speaker 2: That's right, You've got it at the promos that we are,
and make sure to like it subscribe. We're getting less
I've noticed we're getting less people in the playback talking
about and asking questions and that kind of thing, and
that's something we really enjoy getting in there and talk
to him about. So get in there if you ever
have any questions about any games or just basic handicapping,
or if you want to look. The other day, there
was a guy that went in. I apologize for not
remembering his name, but he gave his analysis on one
of the games and it was excellent analysis. And we
can learn from you guys, because a lot of you
guys that's you know, a lot of you are in
Detroit or if you're in other places and that's your team.
We've got to follow thirty teams. We're not as well
known up to date on some of these teams. So
get in there and we'll have a nice discussion. We
don't have a discord at the moment for anybody to
go answer. So this is the best way to do it.
And I myself like that because I'm trying to learn
from you as well as you're trying to learn from us,
and that way we can all win, and that's our goal.
Speaker 1: Absolutely. Yeah. We try to get in answer all the comments,
and we appreciate when you come by drop a comment
on the YouTube channel. It does it helps a ton
help sort of bump ups in the algorithm, and the
more views we're getting, the you know, the more chance
that we'll be able to do this show not just
this year, but next year and going forward. So yeah,
appreciate you guys tuning in every day and we'll you know,
we'll we'll end it there. So we've got a two
team parlay today. Desperately need to hit one of these.
We're still the plus on the year though, but we're
getting dangerously close to even, so we really need to
hit one. We are gonna go with Marlins on the
money line and then Guardian's team total over four and
a half and that parlay comes out to plus two
seventy five. If your book does not allow you to
parlay team totals, I think we're both okay with just
Guardian's money line in there for the parlay, so that
that'll do it probably a two. It looks like a
two man show again. Tomorrow, I am taking my nine
year old nephew to Erie, Pennsylvania to see a bunch
of good prospects in the Tigers organization. They got they're
all there, Max Clark McGonagall, bro the catcher, and then
they're playing Somerset. To George Lombard from the Yankees organization,
he just wants to go see a baseball game. But
it was my idea to drive three and a half
hours to see that baseball game because I want to see,
like guys that I'm probably gonna be in the big
leagues in a year or so. So look, we won't
be here tomorrow. I won't be here tomorrow, so it
looks like it'll.
Speaker 2: Be let's let's see what happens with Brandon. If I
know ahead of time, brand is not going to be here.
I'll try to bring somebody else in. Yeah, and we'll
see how it goes. The problem is they're going to
have to know how to use the system because I
don't have that ability.
Speaker 1: Yeah, hopefully TV made it sound like he's probably fine,
Like he's just you know, so we'll see. But yeah,
we'll figure that out today. We will do our best
to bring you a show tomorrow as always nine am.
If I have to throw the phone on the dashboard
on the throughway, I'll do it so.
Speaker 2: We don't do that. We want you to be following.
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, anyway, we'll figure something out. But you know,
expect to see at nine am tomorrow as usual as
we are every day a week, Monday through Friday. Like
and subscribe five dollars Tuesday. Go check out wager Talk
Today on the wager Talk YouTube channel at noon Eastern.
Andy has put together a great show and as you're
getting closer to football season, that's gonna be a must watch.
We'll see you guys tomorrow. Good luck tonight,