1
00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:04,320
Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.

2
00:00:04,440 --> 00:00:06,719
If you are new, we always start the show by

3
00:00:06,759 --> 00:00:12,359
being transparent, and yesterday I had one play and it

4
00:00:12,439 --> 00:00:18,239
was pretty terrible. It was the Pacers plus six. It

5
00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:21,079
didn't come close, So I need to do better than

6
00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:23,879
that here. Today I am back home, so maybe I

7
00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:27,399
can get some of that Vegas luck back Veno. Hopefully

8
00:00:27,480 --> 00:00:30,559
yesterday was better for you. How you doing today?

9
00:00:30,719 --> 00:00:32,960
Speaker 2: I'm good Ski. Yesterday NBA was good for me because

10
00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:34,840
I only had one play and it was the Bucks

11
00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:37,520
team Total over we left that here was the best

12
00:00:37,560 --> 00:00:40,119
bet for the show. It was pretty easy wire to

13
00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:41,880
wire for them to get to where they wanted to

14
00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:45,560
get to. But typical Doc Rivers fashion, he lost that

15
00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:49,039
game in the last three minutes. So Milwaukee not good

16
00:00:49,079 --> 00:00:51,119
as a side, but definitely good as a team. Total

17
00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:54,479
will take it. We're already in the books with a win.

18
00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:58,600
This morning in college basketball, Holy Bird Riser got ourselves

19
00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:01,719
another win, so maybe getting back home is the key. Ski.

20
00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:06,599
Speaker 1: Travel is rough, Yeah, travel is rough, but let's get

21
00:01:06,599 --> 00:01:09,879
to it. We got six games in association to talk

22
00:01:09,879 --> 00:01:12,959
about here today. I did play a couple of them.

23
00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:15,599
One of them I really do what I bought out.

24
00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:20,400
But we'll actually talk about that game first. That is

25
00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:25,799
Wizards and Sixers open thirteen and a half still looks

26
00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:28,480
like thirteen and a half. Total open two thirty six

27
00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:30,400
and a half, and that's down as low as two

28
00:01:30,439 --> 00:01:34,840
thirty four and a half. Injury report for Philly, you

29
00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:41,239
have Drumming questionable, Paul George questionable, Grimes questionable, no embiid

30
00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:47,680
Uber or Watford. For Washington, Keyshawn George questionable. You have

31
00:01:47,799 --> 00:01:56,040
no Middleton, Star, Kittsburg, Johnson, or Cooper. So initially, I

32
00:01:56,079 --> 00:01:57,519
know the Wizards are on the back to back, but

33
00:01:57,560 --> 00:02:01,760
I was still liking him. The Sixers they did just

34
00:02:01,799 --> 00:02:08,199
play that double overtime game, and I was surprised to

35
00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:10,680
see Drumming even get any minutes in that game. You know,

36
00:02:10,879 --> 00:02:14,800
he just had an MRI the day before, and usually

37
00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:18,439
when guys have MRIs, you know it's a bigger injury

38
00:02:18,439 --> 00:02:19,879
than just you know, getting right back out there the

39
00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:22,560
next game. He only played five minutes, So I do

40
00:02:22,599 --> 00:02:25,680
think he is really banged up. But I think that

41
00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:29,280
Philly just needs some you know, they need some size.

42
00:02:29,439 --> 00:02:31,400
That's why also in b play last game, but no

43
00:02:31,439 --> 00:02:35,960
one beat this game drumming, questionable. I'm just I don't

44
00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:38,400
know how effective he's going to be out there. At

45
00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:42,080
the same time, I was expecting some of these guys

46
00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:44,680
to play for the Wizards. I wasn't expecting everybody to

47
00:02:44,719 --> 00:02:50,680
be out Saar Middleton, Trey Johnson, Keyshine, George questionable. It's

48
00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:53,400
starting to become too much. So I did bet the

49
00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:56,719
Wizards yesterday. I have now bought it out. Like I said,

50
00:02:56,719 --> 00:02:59,719
I rarely do it, but it just it's too tough

51
00:02:59,759 --> 00:03:01,680
for me now with the injury report. What do you

52
00:03:01,719 --> 00:03:02,400
think here of you now?

53
00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:05,919
Speaker 2: Yeah? And on the other side too, Ski, because when

54
00:03:06,199 --> 00:03:11,319
Quentin Grimes got downgraded for Philly from probable to questionable,

55
00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:14,080
that hurts them as well. I know what they want

56
00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:17,159
to do. You mentioned they're small, and just being here

57
00:03:17,159 --> 00:03:19,520
in the area and seeing them almost every night, they

58
00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:22,680
want to pace pace things up. And of course when

59
00:03:22,719 --> 00:03:24,520
you have Washington and on the back to back a

60
00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:27,840
little bit short handed because of their injury report, you

61
00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:30,919
want to go. But the team total here is one

62
00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:34,199
twenty four and a half where Philly's concerned and I

63
00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:36,680
can't get there, not without you know, I would need

64
00:03:36,759 --> 00:03:40,199
Grimes in there. I know McCain is capable, but I

65
00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:42,360
don't know that they have enough tyree smacks. He had

66
00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:45,439
to get fifty four the other night for them. He

67
00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:48,680
does an awful lot. I couldn't find an edgy either

68
00:03:48,759 --> 00:03:50,520
way in this game. I really don't want to lay

69
00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:53,439
that price with the seventy six ers. I don't want

70
00:03:53,439 --> 00:03:56,479
to play the total up and over because I don't

71
00:03:56,560 --> 00:04:00,439
trust Washington's side as much. Here now, maybe Washington team

72
00:04:00,479 --> 00:04:04,879
total under if I try to rethink this and reposition myself.

73
00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:07,360
But I have no play and I don't see any

74
00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:08,800
reason to try and force one there.

75
00:04:10,039 --> 00:04:12,360
Speaker 1: All right, we'll keep going. Next game up, we have

76
00:04:13,879 --> 00:04:18,959
Blazers and Raptors opened up five stufups like five total.

77
00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:21,839
Though it's come down from two thirty four seeing it

78
00:04:21,879 --> 00:04:24,360
as low as two thirty and when I look at

79
00:04:24,399 --> 00:04:29,000
the injury report, RJ. Barrett is out for the Blazers,

80
00:04:29,120 --> 00:04:34,279
Clinging is still questionable. No Scoot, Drew, Tibo or Wesley

81
00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:37,519
for them. You know, this is another one that I

82
00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:40,680
like quite a bit. I agree with the market for

83
00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:43,720
the total coming down. I didn't get the best of

84
00:04:43,720 --> 00:04:45,759
the number at two thirty four, but I got two

85
00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:49,439
thirty two and a half. And you know, a lot

86
00:04:49,439 --> 00:04:52,040
of these games for the Raptors, I've come and I've

87
00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:54,319
talked about their how good their defense has been. And

88
00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:56,720
I've been playing their opponent's team total hunders, which has

89
00:04:56,800 --> 00:04:59,680
been pretty pretty you know, pretty good this year. And

90
00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:02,920
I thought about that again here versus Blazer's team, and

91
00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:10,199
I thought, why not include the Raptors side, because ever

92
00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:12,920
since RJ got hurt, they just been struggling to score.

93
00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:15,079
Now I think about RJ. You know, he's more of

94
00:05:15,120 --> 00:05:18,639
an offensive player than defense. The defense improves actually with

95
00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:22,120
him out, in my opinion, So I think that's why

96
00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:25,000
we're seeing his Raptors offense struggle lately. They've gone under

97
00:05:25,040 --> 00:05:28,319
and five straight. I think this is another undergame here, Rob.

98
00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:29,360
You know, how do you see it?

99
00:05:30,879 --> 00:05:33,160
Speaker 2: Well, we see it exactly the same, except you beat

100
00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:34,920
me to the punch by a little bit, because I

101
00:05:34,959 --> 00:05:37,879
got two thirty two under the Toronto team total ski

102
00:05:37,959 --> 00:05:40,800
is five and oh to the under last five games

103
00:05:41,079 --> 00:05:43,800
full game five and oh to the under Toronto team

104
00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:46,000
total five and oh to the under. And you're right,

105
00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:49,319
they hadn't been able to score at all as of late.

106
00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:51,680
You would have it would have been even better. I

107
00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:54,680
think if Drew Holliday was going to play in this

108
00:05:54,759 --> 00:05:57,399
game as far as s Portland defense against them, you know,

109
00:05:57,879 --> 00:05:59,879
and then I could have gotten to Toronto team to

110
00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:02,879
little maybe individually, but I still think that, you know,

111
00:06:02,959 --> 00:06:05,000
this is the first game for Portland of a road trip.

112
00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:08,639
Generally you have the most energy in the first game

113
00:06:08,800 --> 00:06:13,040
of the road trip. Even without Drew Holliday, they could

114
00:06:13,079 --> 00:06:16,680
be worth a look as the underdog in this game,

115
00:06:16,759 --> 00:06:20,360
simply because Toronto hasn't scored enough to create separation as

116
00:06:20,399 --> 00:06:23,480
of late. But I chose the high road here, which

117
00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:26,079
was play under. Like I said, I got two thirty two.

118
00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:27,839
I'm looking at it right now. It's down to two

119
00:06:27,879 --> 00:06:29,839
thirty and a half. Maybe you already said that, but

120
00:06:30,319 --> 00:06:33,879
it has been bet down pretty solidly, and I agree

121
00:06:33,879 --> 00:06:36,600
with it. Ski until Toronto comes out of this offensive

122
00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:40,360
rut and as you as you mentioned, they're playing really

123
00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:43,240
really good defenses. You put those two together. We like

124
00:06:43,279 --> 00:06:45,360
to go to math school around here, at logic school.

125
00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:48,120
Two plus two weeks put me on the under So

126
00:06:48,959 --> 00:06:50,959
I think there's still maybe even some wiggle room left

127
00:06:50,959 --> 00:06:52,680
at two thirty and a half. Maybe you could still

128
00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:53,639
stay under this number.

129
00:06:54,399 --> 00:06:58,120
Speaker 1: I think there is still Wigoran honestly, I mean, look

130
00:06:58,120 --> 00:07:00,959
at the Raptors games lately. I don't think any of

131
00:07:01,000 --> 00:07:03,680
them hit two twenty nine. I mean twenty eight and

132
00:07:03,720 --> 00:07:06,199
a half. Even I think there's a little bit of

133
00:07:06,199 --> 00:07:11,920
a wicker room. Still my bad. A lot of people

134
00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:16,000
in the chat, like in the Raptors first half, I

135
00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,560
can understand when they get in and get out. It's

136
00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:21,639
just I struggle. I mean, this offense has just been

137
00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:25,680
so bad, so I don't want to bet the side.

138
00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:33,199
Next game, Knicks and Celtics opened up minus one for

139
00:07:33,399 --> 00:07:36,000
the Knicks. I'm now saying, I mean, it depends where

140
00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:39,439
your shot, but most shots have the Celtics as minus one.

141
00:07:39,519 --> 00:07:41,879
Right now, total dick go up from two twenty eight.

142
00:07:41,959 --> 00:07:46,279
That's how it's two thirty one and a half. Everybody

143
00:07:46,360 --> 00:07:48,720
is healthy for Celtics. We know Tatum has been out

144
00:07:49,439 --> 00:07:54,000
for the Knicks. Og is out, Shammon is out. The

145
00:07:54,079 --> 00:07:57,360
Knicks have one four in a row. This is the

146
00:07:57,360 --> 00:07:59,439
first of a back to back for them. That will

147
00:07:59,439 --> 00:08:03,680
play the horn is tomorrow. For the Celtics team, it

148
00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:07,279
is their third game of four nights. They did lose

149
00:08:07,279 --> 00:08:10,000
to the Knicks a little earlier in the season, if

150
00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:13,279
I'm not mistaken, maybe a chance for them to get

151
00:08:13,279 --> 00:08:18,240
some revenge here. I don't know, you know, this was

152
00:08:18,279 --> 00:08:20,199
not when I had one the stronger oppinons on, So

153
00:08:21,000 --> 00:08:23,199
I'm on pass this one to you first. Is anything

154
00:08:23,240 --> 00:08:26,720
you have on Nicks and Celtics.

155
00:08:25,879 --> 00:08:28,800
Speaker 2: Well, I was thinking of taking a little bit of

156
00:08:28,839 --> 00:08:31,360
a chance here on the Boston Celtics team total over

157
00:08:31,399 --> 00:08:34,200
one fifteen and a half, because they look better since

158
00:08:34,200 --> 00:08:37,600
they're fully healthy. In fact, their team totally opposite of

159
00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:41,039
Toronto's kind of They're four and one over their number

160
00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:44,639
last five games with everybody being back on the floor

161
00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:48,440
for the most part. But the Knicks counter that ski

162
00:08:48,559 --> 00:08:51,919
by playing unders the last four games. Now, I tried

163
00:08:51,960 --> 00:08:54,000
to justify it a little bit by saying, you know what,

164
00:08:54,039 --> 00:08:56,919
the Knicks didn't play good offenses in those games, or

165
00:08:56,960 --> 00:08:59,720
even good teams. They played Brooklyn, they played Charlotte, they

166
00:08:59,759 --> 00:09:02,360
played Milwaukee, which is a good offense, and they played Toronto.

167
00:09:03,200 --> 00:09:05,840
But still those games fell under the total. All four

168
00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:10,159
times Knicks team total under three of the four. I

169
00:09:10,279 --> 00:09:12,679
still m you know, my feeling here, My gut feeling

170
00:09:12,759 --> 00:09:17,039
is that Boston's offense is clicking right now, and I'd

171
00:09:17,159 --> 00:09:20,639
rather play that side. I could see it getting into

172
00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:22,440
a little bit more of a high scoring game because

173
00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:26,320
I don't know if Boston can defend the Knicks thoroughly.

174
00:09:26,440 --> 00:09:29,240
But I don't know. I'd rather ride the hot hand here.

175
00:09:29,279 --> 00:09:31,639
If I'm gonna play, it's gonna be Boston team total

176
00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:34,039
up and over one fifteen and a half, the game

177
00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:36,279
you talked about earlier this year one oh five ninety

178
00:09:36,320 --> 00:09:41,799
five Knicks ten point win and under. But again, Boston

179
00:09:41,919 --> 00:09:45,480
has been a little sporadic up until now. And at

180
00:09:45,519 --> 00:09:48,279
what Pritchard had forty two the other day, I think, right,

181
00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:51,000
I remember I was harping on Peyton Pritchard a little

182
00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:54,360
bit from bench to starter, not as good. But he

183
00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:57,679
seems to be turning a bit of a corner here also,

184
00:09:57,879 --> 00:10:01,200
So maybe Boston team total looks kind of appealing to me.

185
00:10:01,279 --> 00:10:04,279
I don't know that I buy into the Knicks holding

186
00:10:04,320 --> 00:10:08,679
their opponents down score wise last four games, simply based

187
00:10:08,720 --> 00:10:10,399
on the majority of their opponents.

188
00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:17,080
Speaker 1: Well, looking at the Celtics home game so far this season,

189
00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:20,240
they are the number one offensive rad the team, whatever

190
00:10:20,320 --> 00:10:24,440
that's worth. So maybe looking at some points for that side,

191
00:10:24,919 --> 00:10:30,080
we'll keep going down the list. Next game we have

192
00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:34,519
Minnesota and New Orleans opened up minus nine and a

193
00:10:34,559 --> 00:10:37,519
half now minus twelve or even twelve and a half

194
00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:41,080
for those Timberwolves total hasn't really moved too much. I

195
00:10:41,080 --> 00:10:44,279
don't see anybody on the injury report from Minnesota. For

196
00:10:44,399 --> 00:10:51,399
New Orleans, though you see questionable Zion, questionable, Herb Jones, Mackovich,

197
00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:56,519
Murray and pull are all out for the Pelicans. It

198
00:10:56,519 --> 00:10:58,480
will be the third game and Fortnite for both of

199
00:10:58,519 --> 00:11:03,559
these teams, you know, just to put it simply, you know,

200
00:11:04,159 --> 00:11:07,480
Timberwolves our team of us at least so far, they

201
00:11:07,519 --> 00:11:10,639
struggle with the better teams. They demolished the weaker teams.

202
00:11:11,639 --> 00:11:15,039
Pelican's one of those weaker teams. I mean they are

203
00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:16,679
on the road though it's a big number to lay

204
00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:20,080
on the road. But as of right now, I agree

205
00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:23,279
with the market anything for you on Wolves and Pelicans,

206
00:11:24,159 --> 00:11:24,879
and I think.

207
00:11:24,720 --> 00:11:27,799
Speaker 2: The market moved, you know, based on the Zion news.

208
00:11:27,799 --> 00:11:31,440
Once he got downgraded, there went the number straight up.

209
00:11:32,519 --> 00:11:35,799
I'm a little bit hesitant. I've been on Minnesota's side

210
00:11:35,879 --> 00:11:38,600
a couple of times this year and gotten burned, especially

211
00:11:38,679 --> 00:11:43,320
on the road laying points. However, you know, New Orleans

212
00:11:43,320 --> 00:11:46,240
for what it's worth just can't play any defense. Ski

213
00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:50,080
and Minnesota. Again, it's a game where I looked at

214
00:11:50,120 --> 00:11:52,840
a team total just thinking why not only fade the

215
00:11:52,879 --> 00:11:56,879
Pelicans defense and go ahead and play the Timberwolves offense.

216
00:11:57,360 --> 00:11:59,399
I'm not so sure they've left me hanging at the

217
00:11:59,399 --> 00:12:00,960
door a couple of so it was a game I

218
00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:04,720
really couldn't get to no play yet. I think if

219
00:12:04,759 --> 00:12:07,720
I had to, I would try to find some way

220
00:12:08,480 --> 00:12:14,200
to play that Minnesota individual total, kind of just playing

221
00:12:14,279 --> 00:12:17,600
against New Orleans defense, because New Orleans defense, that's the

222
00:12:17,639 --> 00:12:21,919
one constant, that thing never gets better. They just kind

223
00:12:21,919 --> 00:12:24,639
of like the way I played Milwaukee against Washington last night,

224
00:12:24,679 --> 00:12:28,000
just score points because they can't defend Minnesota. Maybe the

225
00:12:28,039 --> 00:12:30,919
same thing here and again to your point, they're healthy.

226
00:12:31,759 --> 00:12:34,080
Minnesota's dealt with a lot of injuries this season on

227
00:12:34,159 --> 00:12:37,440
and off. Being fully healthy could help here. I'd like

228
00:12:37,480 --> 00:12:40,600
to say that standings matter and Minnesota needs to get

229
00:12:40,600 --> 00:12:43,879
some wins, but I think we know better standings don't

230
00:12:43,879 --> 00:12:46,600
really matter until after All Star break for these teams.

231
00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:50,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll hear you on that. This one is ah,

232
00:12:52,200 --> 00:12:54,919
this one is tough, so I'm gonna move along. I

233
00:12:54,919 --> 00:12:57,360
think these next two games are better than this one,

234
00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:03,120
so we will go. Let's go to Memphis. Let's see

235
00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:04,840
if I can get that up there at Memphis and

236
00:13:04,879 --> 00:13:10,799
San Antonio. There we go opened up five still five

237
00:13:10,879 --> 00:13:13,120
or five and a half. Tottle didn't really move either,

238
00:13:13,240 --> 00:13:15,399
or at least it's you know, still right around the opener,

239
00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:18,279
is what I'm saying there. As far as the injury report,

240
00:13:18,879 --> 00:13:22,720
Landale questionable. Still no Clark, Jerome or at Pippin or

241
00:13:22,759 --> 00:13:27,799
small for the Spurs. Winby Castle, McLoughlin or main out

242
00:13:28,200 --> 00:13:33,000
Ingram is questionable. I like the way the Grizzlies have

243
00:13:33,039 --> 00:13:36,960
been playing lately, I do, But the Spurs, you know

244
00:13:37,240 --> 00:13:40,639
that they've been They've been playing solid too. Without Winby.

245
00:13:42,399 --> 00:13:46,919
Spurs have already beaten this Grizzlies team. I just have

246
00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:50,080
trouble laying with this Spurs team without Winby. I mean,

247
00:13:51,399 --> 00:13:55,799
looking at their wins lately. I mean they have one

248
00:13:55,919 --> 00:13:58,360
couple of games by margin. It's just it's tough for

249
00:13:58,360 --> 00:14:00,440
me to push that button if I don't have Winby

250
00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:03,600
out there, even with Wimby, Like, I don't like laying

251
00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:08,120
multiple posessions with the Spurs, so that automatically makes me

252
00:14:08,159 --> 00:14:11,360
want to lean towards the Grizzlies here. Grizzlies definitely have

253
00:14:11,399 --> 00:14:13,919
been the better defense lately, Grizzlies have been the better

254
00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:16,919
rebounding team. I mean, why don't we bet the Grizzlies

255
00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:18,159
in this game, then, Raveno.

256
00:14:19,919 --> 00:14:22,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, once upon a time, about two and

257
00:14:22,799 --> 00:14:25,320
a half weeks ago, three weeks ago, when these point

258
00:14:25,360 --> 00:14:28,279
guard injuries hit Memphis, I thought it was going to

259
00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:30,480
be a real problem. But it hasn't. You know, it

260
00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:33,279
looks like they've learned how to play around it, because

261
00:14:33,320 --> 00:14:37,480
you're right, five and one against the spread last six games.

262
00:14:37,919 --> 00:14:41,519
Vince Williams playing a pretty good brand of point Memphis

263
00:14:41,559 --> 00:14:45,840
still a little bit lacking on the defensive side, but

264
00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:48,679
good on the offensive side. My first inclination here was

265
00:14:48,679 --> 00:14:51,279
to play over in this game, but San Antona it

266
00:14:51,320 --> 00:14:53,799
is their first home game off a four game road trip,

267
00:14:55,080 --> 00:14:56,960
and generally we don't like to be on the home

268
00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:59,320
team in those situations. So maybe a vote for the

269
00:14:59,399 --> 00:15:08,480
underdog in that particular situation for Memphis, fourth road right

270
00:15:08,559 --> 00:15:11,120
the end of a road trip here, fourth game, fourth

271
00:15:11,159 --> 00:15:12,759
road game, and a four game road trip, So I

272
00:15:12,759 --> 00:15:16,559
guess those counteract one another. I could see points in

273
00:15:16,639 --> 00:15:21,679
this game, Ski, to your point about wembin Yama, they've

274
00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:24,559
also learned to play because it's been Stephen Castle and

275
00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:26,759
wemben Yama both out, and they've learned how to get

276
00:15:26,759 --> 00:15:29,399
around that there since Dearon Fox came back. I think

277
00:15:29,440 --> 00:15:31,960
you're a little bit quicker of a team. I trust

278
00:15:32,039 --> 00:15:34,440
them to score on Memphis. I kind of trust Memphis

279
00:15:34,440 --> 00:15:36,879
to score back, so I might get there with a

280
00:15:36,919 --> 00:15:39,679
total play here, but I didn't play it. It was

281
00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:45,240
a little too difficult for me to really establish something sidewise,

282
00:15:45,279 --> 00:15:48,279
and maybe maybe total that's a gut feeling more than

283
00:15:48,679 --> 00:15:51,879
statistical or fundamental reasoning play.

284
00:15:52,799 --> 00:15:57,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm thinking about I mean even player props here eighty.

285
00:15:58,159 --> 00:16:01,039
I feel like Eightie's been playing solid lately going up

286
00:16:01,039 --> 00:16:05,840
against Cornet. I mean, I want to do something for

287
00:16:06,039 --> 00:16:08,360
Edie or I'm at least looking to bet and Edie.

288
00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:11,399
That's what I'll say there, And then we can move

289
00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:13,720
over to the last game on the slate, that is

290
00:16:14,519 --> 00:16:17,240
Thunder and Warriors. And this one opened eight and a

291
00:16:17,279 --> 00:16:19,399
half for okay, see is upp as high as twelve

292
00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:22,360
total open two twenty six and a half, and it's

293
00:16:22,399 --> 00:16:26,039
come down seeing as low as two twenty two and

294
00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:30,840
a half. Right now, Caruso out, Doort out, Hardenstein out

295
00:16:31,039 --> 00:16:36,799
for the Warriors, Draymond is probable, Jimmy's questionable, TJ D

296
00:16:37,039 --> 00:16:41,840
is questionable, Steph Horford, Melton two hey all out for

297
00:16:41,879 --> 00:16:45,639
this Warriors team. Man, if you know so, I understand,

298
00:16:45,720 --> 00:16:47,799
I mean, Steph is we knew stuff was out already,

299
00:16:48,679 --> 00:16:56,120
but I guess maybe it's Jimmy questionable. But Caruso out

300
00:16:56,159 --> 00:16:58,559
Doort out, Hartenstein out. It's a lot of defense missing

301
00:16:58,559 --> 00:17:03,600
for that Thunder team. If they're playing anybody else except

302
00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:06,599
for this Golden State team. Mind is Steph Curry. I'll

303
00:17:06,599 --> 00:17:09,119
be trying to look towards betting and over that Golden

304
00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:12,400
State offense has just been pitiful without steps so far

305
00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:18,039
this season. So saying all that, I mean, I'll just

306
00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:21,319
ride with the the one thing that's not really matchup based,

307
00:17:21,640 --> 00:17:25,119
it's just how do you call it? Maybe is it

308
00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:30,559
a motion based or whatever? I like Draymond and Draymond

309
00:17:30,640 --> 00:17:35,160
under points and assists fourteen and a half, and it's

310
00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:38,079
just based on we know he don't like to play.

311
00:17:38,079 --> 00:17:40,960
When Steph's not on the court, he's either gonna he

312
00:17:41,039 --> 00:17:42,720
might not even get to play the night at all,

313
00:17:42,759 --> 00:17:44,920
which get our money back. He might go out there

314
00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:46,720
and get a couple of flagrants and get thrown out,

315
00:17:47,319 --> 00:17:48,880
or he might just end up with two points like

316
00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:52,039
you did the last game. I mean, we've seen this

317
00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:55,480
too many times. I think he's only hit this number

318
00:17:55,720 --> 00:18:01,160
four out of the last fifteen or so without Steph Curry.

319
00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:06,319
So Draymond under points and assists. What do you think

320
00:18:06,319 --> 00:18:07,880
about thunder and Warriors? Rovino?

321
00:18:08,839 --> 00:18:11,359
Speaker 2: I played, I actually played this game. I played the

322
00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:15,799
OKC team total over one seventeen and a half. The

323
00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:21,359
guys that you mentioned, Caruso, dort Hartenstein all defense, but

324
00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:23,480
not a lot of offense, missing Skei. The key here

325
00:18:23,519 --> 00:18:25,759
for me is that their offensive pieces are still in there.

326
00:18:25,759 --> 00:18:29,799
The backcourt exists with Shay Gilgs Alexander and Jalen Williams

327
00:18:29,839 --> 00:18:33,119
and ched Holmgren up in the middle, and all the

328
00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:37,279
scorers seem to remain here. We're missing some you know,

329
00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:40,799
bench type scores eight to eleven a game, but I

330
00:18:40,799 --> 00:18:43,400
don't think that matters here against the Golden State defensive

331
00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:47,000
unit that's gonna confront them tonight. So for me, I

332
00:18:47,039 --> 00:18:49,400
think it was the simplest form of getting to over

333
00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:53,440
because I started the way you started your analysis here,

334
00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:57,839
thinking that I would play this game over. But the

335
00:18:57,880 --> 00:18:59,799
Golden State injury list, when I looked at who's going

336
00:18:59,839 --> 00:19:02,319
to be on the floor, thought to myself, you know what,

337
00:19:02,440 --> 00:19:04,359
Golden State's not missing a lot of points, they're missing

338
00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:06,039
a lot of defense. I wish I could get there,

339
00:19:06,079 --> 00:19:09,559
thinking that Golden State what's going to be on the

340
00:19:09,559 --> 00:19:13,759
floor could score against OKAC even without those three defenders,

341
00:19:13,759 --> 00:19:15,839
you know what I mean. But don't have enough faith.

342
00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:18,440
So I'm put my eggs in one basket here, the

343
00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:22,880
OKC basket. They've scored over one eighteen for their last

344
00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:25,119
five games. Somehow, some way, they seem to get there

345
00:19:25,160 --> 00:19:27,319
all the time. They don't cover all the time because

346
00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:31,480
they're laying such huge numbers, but seemingly they always get

347
00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:35,599
two and around the one twenty marks. So for me, okay,

348
00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:38,680
see over one seventeen and a half team total.

349
00:19:41,039 --> 00:19:44,200
Speaker 1: And uh, I could see it. The only thing I

350
00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:46,200
would say is if the Warriors are going to cover

351
00:19:46,240 --> 00:19:49,200
this game. I'm not saying they are. That's to bear

352
00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:52,920
them playing defense, I guess. But yeah, yeah, I'm not

353
00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:57,880
on the Warriors. So all right, that's the NBA slave

354
00:19:57,960 --> 00:20:01,720
for today. We can move it on over to or

355
00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:03,400
before we move to best Best, let's do some of

356
00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:06,799
that promo stuff. It is also five dollars. Tuesday, I

357
00:20:06,839 --> 00:20:09,240
have a best bet up and available. Robino has the

358
00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:11,599
best bet up and available. You can get them for

359
00:20:11,880 --> 00:20:16,400
five dollars. Yeah, and to see, you know, see if

360
00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:17,799
you like what the write up says, See if you

361
00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:20,440
like whatever we're talking about, see if we win, and

362
00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:22,000
then maybe you want to rock with some other stuff

363
00:20:22,039 --> 00:20:25,319
we have going outside of that. This continues to be

364
00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:27,759
a thing. Weekend Warrior. If you want to get every

365
00:20:27,799 --> 00:20:32,920
football play you know from you, rob or myself Saturday

366
00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:36,400
Sunday included, it's gonna be forty nine dollars. That includes

367
00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:39,680
any five percent releases and Monday Night Football. We have

368
00:20:39,839 --> 00:20:42,839
the full court all Access pass three days at NBA

369
00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:46,920
and college basketball only forty nine dollars, and then the

370
00:20:47,039 --> 00:20:50,880
long term five hundred dollars off. A one year pass

371
00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:53,240
comes out to just one twenty five a month, And

372
00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:56,039
if you were to get a year passed for Robino,

373
00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:58,599
we'd also get a twenty five percent bonus keep on

374
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:01,880
that you could use on anything for myself or whatever

375
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:05,480
you want to use it on. So I think that

376
00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:07,319
is a pretty good job right there. You know, we

377
00:21:07,319 --> 00:21:10,079
can move it on over the best bets, and if

378
00:21:10,079 --> 00:21:12,160
there is anything else you want to mention or promote,

379
00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:14,200
feel free. If you have the best bet for the show,

380
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:15,000
we'd love to hear it.

381
00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:18,240
Speaker 2: I think promotions are all covered.

382
00:21:18,319 --> 00:21:18,559
Speaker 1: Ski.

383
00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:22,359
Speaker 2: Plenty of stuff available there at wager talk dot com, including,

384
00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:25,039
like Ski said, the five dollar Tuesday play. There's also

385
00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:28,839
for those interested in college football, a college Football Bowl

386
00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:31,720
special up right now. It could even be Bowl plus

387
00:21:31,759 --> 00:21:35,319
Super Bowl Special. I don't have the exact details in

388
00:21:35,319 --> 00:21:36,799
front of me, but I know it's available to go

389
00:21:36,799 --> 00:21:40,640
ahead and check it out wager talk dot com. I'll

390
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:42,640
just start where we left off. Was the first bet

391
00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:44,960
I made today. It's the biggest bet I made today. Okay,

392
00:21:45,079 --> 00:21:47,559
see team total over one seventeen and a half. I

393
00:21:47,599 --> 00:21:51,359
basically laid out why I played it. It's a team

394
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:53,160
that just finds their way to that number on a

395
00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:56,079
nightly basis. Ski. We'll see if they can do it again.

396
00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:58,519
I hope they can. But that's my play. Best bet

397
00:21:58,559 --> 00:22:01,079
play for today Oklahoma is City team total up and

398
00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:02,839
over one seventeen and a half.

399
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:07,400
Speaker 1: I like it for myself. You know, I'll go with

400
00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:10,799
that Draymond under. Like I said, I bet under fourteen

401
00:22:10,839 --> 00:22:13,519
a half points plus assist. Believe he stayed under that.

402
00:22:14,799 --> 00:22:16,880
I think it was five out of seventeen games it

403
00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:20,480
was without Steph Curry. And I mean, we know, I

404
00:22:20,519 --> 00:22:22,319
don't have to explain too much. He does not want

405
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:24,480
to be out there on the court when Steph is

406
00:22:24,519 --> 00:22:27,200
not playing, so and he doesn't have a lot of success.

407
00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:29,400
A lot of his success is tied to Steph. So

408
00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:31,960
that would be my best bet for the show. You

409
00:22:32,079 --> 00:22:34,000
no appreciate you taking the time to break these games

410
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:37,519
down with me. We'll be back doing it again tomorrow.

411
00:22:37,759 --> 00:22:40,359
Everybody out there in the chat appreciate you as well.

412
00:22:40,559 --> 00:22:42,039
We're all just trying to help each other get to

413
00:22:42,039 --> 00:22:45,519
the window. And yeah, like I said, we'll be back tomorrow.

414
00:22:45,839 --> 00:22:49,200
Be seleuck everybody on all your actions tonight and we'll

415
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:50,680
catch you guys.