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Speaker 1: Welcome to Wager Talk Today, the gold standard of sports

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betting shows where we talk to talk and walk the walk.

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It's Tuesday, College basketball heavy, We've got a bunch of

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NBA games will go over so Dan, we got a loaded,

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loaded lineup today. Normally we've run with two guests on Tuesdays,

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but we got three guests to break down everything.

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Speaker 2: Today.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna do WTFLFG. We've about all around the world,

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all around the world. First NASCAR play of twenty twenty six.

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I'm very, very excited about that. Who's on the show today?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely loaded show.

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Speaker 3: Like you said, I mean, a loaded slate of NBA

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which is fully returned.

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Speaker 2: NHL is back tomorrow, and we got.

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Speaker 3: College basketball and massive slate as well, So we're gonna

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get you ready to bet. You know, at least over

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half a dozen of those games. Andy, we got Brian

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Power kicking us off. He's gonna talk to doubleheader tonight

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on EESPN two The Deuce, Cincinnati and Texas Tech and

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Arizona Baylor. Two great games games there and Andy a

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lot of big favorites. So I'm gonna be interested to

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see how Brian's attacking the card and how Ralph Michaels

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is attacking the card.

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Speaker 2: That's right.

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Speaker 3: The Pen is coming on, folks, Kentucky, South Carolina, Tennessee,

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Misszoo the games that the Pen will have for you.

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And then Jesse Schule. I say, I hesitate to say

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to save the best for last, because all three of

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these guys are bad asses. But one of the guys

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who is coming on the show is on A thirteen

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and oh run on free picks right here on this

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show thirteen and oh run Andy. So if there's anything

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that we can do, knock on wood, let's not fully jinx.

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The man, Jesse Shule is coming on. He's gonna tell

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you who's he's fading in college basketball and NBA action.

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Speaker 2: And he's also got a breakdown for you on Celtics

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and Suns.

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Speaker 3: But thirteen and oh run on free plays Andy, amazing stuff.

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The fact that he's also on a thirteen and one

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run for clients.

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Speaker 2: The man is just hot.

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Speaker 3: Dare I say he is? He is trending into some

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territory Andy, that is that is rare fight air.

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Speaker 2: I do say so myself.

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Speaker 1: We'll save it for when he comes on. Let's do WTFLFG.

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All right, So WTFLFG. There's a few nominees. Dan, you

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have one, but it didn't quite make the client list. Yeah,

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spread Lake oh with this play, guys.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, So there are five games going in college across action.

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Speaker 2: By the way, folks, if you tuned in yesterday and

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you got.

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Speaker 3: The Boop Boop live alert to bet that siena game

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over Andy, we now have twenty seven goals scored in

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that game, and nineteen of them have been scored by Ciena.

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So over has cashed at any number that you guys

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got in at. So you're welcome for that one. We

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won't count it as a WTFLFG win. But this late

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today sees a lot of big favorites. So two thoughts

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for you here, folks. I think Cornell is absolutely going

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to destroy Hobart College. This is just a complete mismatch.

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Cornell's at home. Hobart knows they're absolutely gonna get rolled.

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The fact that the total is sitting at twenty five

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and a half and you have a ten and a half.

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Speaker 2: Goal favorite, it tells you Hobart's scoring a handful of

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goals maybe in this one. So if you.

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Speaker 3: Need a little action tonight, I think these guys are

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gonna have some more big feelings on plays, but I'm

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probably gonna sprinkle a little bit laying ten and a

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half with Cornell and then the dog that keeps on

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giving for us Andy Iona Iona Lacrosse is in their

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second year here in Division one and things are kind

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of starting to turn a corner for him. They have

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learned that, hey, we're probably gonna get beaten up in games,

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but we're not gonna roll over. They score late, it's

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really hard for teams to put them away. So if

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you're looking for a big favorite that's Cornell, lay.

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Speaker 2: The ten and a half.

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Speaker 3: They could be a parlay piece if you want to

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lay minus twenty thousand. Or if you're looking for a

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barking dog, Andy Iona plus the seven and a half.

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Those are two bets that I will be making. I

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didn't like them enough to give them the clients. So

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two lacrosse bets for you. WTF or LFG If you

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had to pick one, Andy, which do you think you'd

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betailing there?

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Speaker 2: Uh?

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Speaker 1: Give me the ass kicking Cornell today. But again, guys,

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not client play, So not client plays.

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Speaker 3: Two free plays for you, folks, ones that I have

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bet with my own money. But not enough to give

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to the clients.

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Speaker 1: All right, Yeah, I'll go with Cornell and I listen,

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Johnny's in the chat. Johnny, what would you do if

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I put in a five percent play on a minus

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twenty thousand.

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Speaker 3: Whether, he says, and you're welcome. Steve Dan's lacrosse stuff

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is amazing. We appreciate that, JD. He would say, By Andy,

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and hey, huge thanks real quick. We're gonna get Brian

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power in here, but a huge thanks to Richie. Really

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appreciate you man dropping me the two dollars tip. There, folks,

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when you drop these tips, they go into a big

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old pool. And you might have seen it on Twitter.

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Follow us on Twitter at wager Talk. Every time we

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reach a certain threshold, boom, it's getting donated. So I

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believe it's around five hundred dollars. Whenever we hit that threshold,

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we make a big donation to different charities around the area,

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so ones that you're interested, wh you want us to

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check out, guys, But whenever we have these folks dropping

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those tips, we really appreciate it.

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Speaker 2: We appreciate it if you like and subscribe while you're

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at it.

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Speaker 1: Man, all right, well let's bring on Brian Power. I

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see a couple questions. We'll get into those.

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Speaker 2: Jason, I see your question about Brooks.

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Speaker 1: I could not be more out on Brooks Kopka, but

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I am in on Brian Power.

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Speaker 2: How's that for saying thank you? A professional segue right there?

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You got to go to school for that. How are you? Brian?

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Do it okay?

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Speaker 4: As a matter of fact, been seeing February has been

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very kind. As a matter of fact, we'll talk about

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that a little bit later. Twenty eight and eleven Hoops Run.

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I know Dan was talking about Iona lacrosse. We cashed

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Iona College basketball on Sunday. Needed a sweat double overtime.

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There is nothing worse than having an underdog in double overtime.

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But there's nothing better than a win, I suppose, so.

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Speaker 2: We'll take it. Twenty eight and eleven running hoops.

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Speaker 4: So seeing it well both NBA and college and got

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a couple good college games to talk about today.

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Speaker 2: Well let's do that here. We get the double header.

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Speaker 1: We got Cincinnati versus Texa Tech, Arizona versus Baylor.

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Speaker 2: Let's start with this.

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Speaker 1: Texas Tech games minus six and a half for Texas

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Tech over under one forty one and a half is.

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Speaker 2: There a barking dog here. Do you like the favorite?

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Speaker 4: That's a tricky handicap, Andy, because on one hand, you've got

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Cincinnati coming off a pretty shocking eighty four to sixty

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eight win outright at Kansas Bearcats Center. That game is

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eight and a half point dogs number did open even higher,

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so maybe not everyone was shocked, but worth noting it

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was Kansas's largest home loss in terms of margin as

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a top twenty five team to an unranked opponent. Of course,

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we've recently seen that st Kansas team defeat both Arizona

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and Houston at fog Allen, So a tip of the

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cap to Cincinnati, you know, going to Lawrence and winning

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by sixteen, no small feat. On the other hand, we've

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got Texas Tech. They're without JT. Topp and of course

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didn't matter. Over the weekend they beat down Kansas State

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one hundred and seventy two. Hopefully our good friend Kelly

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Stewart not listening or not watching right now, because it

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bears mentioned that Kansas State stinks.

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Speaker 2: Just a total corpse at this point of the season.

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Speaker 4: They fired their coach obviously, so I think when you

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look at that result, as I'm about to get into

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I wouldn't read too much into Texas Tech putting up

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triple digits on a team that may have quit on

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the season. Now, as far as betting the side of

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tonight's game goes, do I like the favorite, Do I

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like the dog? I would have a small lean towards

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the dog. Cincinnati actually owns the Big twelve's longest active

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win streak right now. They've won four straight since January first.

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Speaker 2: This caught me by surprise when I was doing my

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notes for the game.

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Speaker 4: Cincinnati has been a top twenty five team since the

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first of the year per Torvik. But my one concern

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with betting the Bearcats tonight, guys, is whether or not

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this recent offensive surge we've seen from them is a mirage.

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Over the past seven games, they're shooting forty three percent

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from three. That's really good, and it's way up from

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their season average of thirty two point five percent. Furthermore,

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while since He's averaged eighty six point five points during

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their four game win streak, for the year, they were

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at just seventy two point seven and that's next to

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last in the Big Twelve. So I think there could

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be some offensive regression upcoming. Perhaps as early as tonight

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for West Miller's team. Remember, they started the season zero

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to five in Big Twelve road games. Did Cincinnati Texas Tech?

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We know they can obviously defend a Red Raiders' twenty

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seventh best defensive rating in the country per ken Pom,

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But of course you're looking at the Texas Tech side,

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the concern is no top. I mean, this is a

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significant loss. Guy averages twenty one point eight points per

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game on fifty four and a half percent shooting.

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Speaker 2: I don't see Texas Tech shooting.

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Speaker 4: Thirteen to twenty eight from three again tonight like they

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did versus Kansas State. I was also surprised in that

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Kansas State game that the Red Raiders got to the

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free throw line twenty three times, because you look at

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the season numbers, this is a team that does not

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get to the charity stripe at a very high rate.

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As a matter of fact, I think they're bottom thirty

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in that metric for the season nationally and Cincinnati. I

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don't know if I believe in the offense, but I

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do believe in them defensively, top five in the Big

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Twelve when it comes to points per game allowed, field

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goal percentage allowed, three point percentage allowed, eleventh best defensive.

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Speaker 2: Rating nationally per Ken Pop.

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Speaker 4: So you factor all the above, guys, I think the

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best move for tonight would be to bet the under

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one forty and a half. Again, I think Cincinnati's due

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for some offensive aggression. Texas Tech without its best player.

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I'd say one or maybe even both of these teams

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struggle to score on Tuesday night.

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Speaker 1: All right, great breakdown, let's get your thoughts on the

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next game here. We got Arizona versus Baylor. Arizona big

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favorite here minus eight and a half over under one

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fifty four and a half, big total as well.

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Speaker 2: What do you think of this game?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's a game that Mark Zeno and I discussed

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earlier today on The Morning Wager. Of course, you can

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check that show out every Monday through Friday on either

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The Wager Talk or Picks and Parley's YouTube channels.

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Speaker 2: Make sure you're subscribed to both.

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Speaker 4: Now on the Morning Wage, your Mark was pretty adamant

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about betting Baylor in the first half here, and I

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concur with him. Probably a situation where if the Bears

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aren't covering early, they probably aren't covering late. I think

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it's a potential flat spot for Arizona after that huge

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win at Houston over the weekend. Not a lot of

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people were given the Wildcats much of a chance going

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into that game. They were without star freshman Coed Pete

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and Dwayne Aristote. Pete listed as questionable for tonight. Aristote

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is out again. On top of that, Anthony Delorzo, he

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led the team with twenty two points against Houston. He

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is also listed as questionable for tonight's game, So guys

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definitely be sure to monitor Arizona's injury report before betting

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this game. Now, of course, the market's going to react

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accordingly to these injuries, and we've already seen Baylor money

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come in. Looking at the odd screen, Bears have moved

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from plus ten to plus eight, So clearly some skepticism

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over the statuses of Pete and del Orzo. But rather

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than bet a number that's already moved. Going back to

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my initial point, let's look at plus four and a

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half in the first half. Baylor's the top five offense

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in the Big Twelve, both in terms of points and

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field goal percentage. They're ten and five straight up at

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home this season. They averaged forty one point one points

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per game in the first half at home, so I

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think Baylor comes out with some fire. They are the

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side I would look at here first half, a much

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more efficient offense at home. I think they can match

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Arizona on the glass. Not many teams can, but especially

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Arizona's short ended I think Baylor's got the bodies to

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do so. And obviously if Arizona's got these key absences,

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I think They're likely to struggle early. So Baylor I

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would take a look in the first half.

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Speaker 2: Nice. Nice, how'd things been going on Morning Wager? Morning

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Wager has been going very well forty and eighty.

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Speaker 4: If you're just tuning into the show for the free plays,

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First of all, you should tune in for you know,

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the laughs, everything, the whole Morning Wager package. But it

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is a forty and eighteen free play run on that show.

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And yeah, so we're doing it well. We're giving a

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lot of good information on the show. So check us

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out again.

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Speaker 2: We're available on both Wager Talking. Yeah you can.

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Speaker 3: You can obviously tune in. The free picks are great, Brian,

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But if you don't sit there for the minute long

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intro that Mark Xeno painstakenly made, Zeno will yell at you,

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Zeno will come to your house and brate you. So

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if that's something you're interested in, skip past the intro

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and comment I skip past the intro and Zeno will

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will personally come give you a ton.

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Speaker 4: T I understand he came to your house to be right,

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but never mind. That's a different story for a different day.

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Speaker 2: But no Morning Wager has been great, and it's been

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great overall. Andy.

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Speaker 4: As I mentioned at the top of the show, we're

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we won again in the another best bet yesterday for

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me in the Premier League we had Manchester United. I've

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hit sixty six percent of my place in the month

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of February all sports. I know, the Super Bowl stunk

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and the one to five percent play I had stunk.

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Other than that, I think I've won basically every play

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that I've released in February.

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Speaker 2: Sometimes it's how the cookie crumbles, but it's been great.

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Speaker 4: So sixty six percent overall of the month. Twenty eight

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and eleven run in hoops between NBA and college and

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it's been totals. We've been seeing the board very well

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with totals. Guys seven and one with basketball totals, we're

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three and zero with college totals. Last week alone, and

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guess what wouldn't you know? Today at wager talk dot com,

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00:13:15,759 --> 00:13:18,799
I have a four percent total in college basketball available

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00:13:18,840 --> 00:13:22,399
for only you guessed it five dollars and look at that.

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Speaker 2: I would be remiss.

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Speaker 4: You can jump on board of that. That's a great deal. Obviously,

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00:13:25,559 --> 00:13:27,320
I would be remiss if I did not mention the deal.

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00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:29,080
We've got going to picks and parlays two zeno and

289
00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:32,320
I'll buy one, get one three days for sixty nine dollars.

290
00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:33,960
So if you want to get both Mark and I.

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00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:35,919
If you're a fan of that show, you already know

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00:13:35,919 --> 00:13:39,519
about that deal. Take advantage many ways to take advantage.

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Why why do you think totals have been working so

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well for you?

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Speaker 2: It's a good question. I don't know. Honestly, I'm much

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more selective with it.

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Speaker 4: It just, you know, sometimes you look at things and

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you know, normally I do much better with sides. I

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just think it's been a thing where we've jumped in

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at the right time with a lot of these totals.

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We see things and you know, you know, it's just

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I don't know, to be honest with you, I don't

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have the answer to that question.

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Speaker 2: Andy.

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Speaker 4: I think It's been one of those things where, look,

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00:14:06,600 --> 00:14:09,240
it's been regardless sides or totals, they've they've all been

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00:14:09,279 --> 00:14:12,000
going well. But with totals recently last week, there were

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just a couple spots that I really wanted to hop on.

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I'm far more selective with the totals that I am

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with the sides. So yeah, it's been great, small It.

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Speaker 1: Just it's weird how that works. Sometimes you just like,

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00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:24,399
I have no idea why I'm seeing sides so well.

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I have no idea why I'm seeing team totals so well.

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So I was just curious if there was something in

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00:14:28,759 --> 00:14:31,200
the market. But if it ain't broke, don't fix it.

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Speaker 4: And I'll say that I've been focusing on unders obviously

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00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:36,799
that that's been a big story in college basketball.

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Speaker 2: Unders have been cashing at a pretty high rate.

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00:14:39,159 --> 00:14:42,600
Speaker 4: This season, so that that's helped too, Focusing on games

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00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:44,480
that I think are going to go under, looking for.

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00:14:44,399 --> 00:14:48,799
Speaker 1: Certain awesome, awesome stuff. Get Brian's four percent play for

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00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:50,320
only five bucks, another total.

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Speaker 2: Good luck, Brian, keep cashingly, thanks for having me on.

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00:14:53,919 --> 00:14:58,639
Speaker 3: Thanksving forty and eighteen on a free play run is insane.

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00:14:59,039 --> 00:15:02,080
It's almost like Jesse thirteen and oh run but but

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yeah eighteen.

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00:15:04,279 --> 00:15:10,759
Speaker 1: Holy god man, Yeah, let's see. Uh yeah, there was

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00:15:10,759 --> 00:15:14,200
a question about Brooks Kopka. Uh now, he hasn't been

329
00:15:14,240 --> 00:15:16,519
able to putt for years. This is an ongoing thing.

330
00:15:16,919 --> 00:15:20,240
Through two tournaments. He's the worst putter on tour. The

331
00:15:20,279 --> 00:15:23,960
rest of his game is fine, but the man cannot putt.

332
00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:26,240
Speaker 2: He just can't putt.

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00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:28,279
Speaker 1: And for somebody that's as good as he is off

334
00:15:28,279 --> 00:15:31,480
the tee and approach, it's really it's really staggering.

335
00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:34,080
Speaker 2: So let's see what was.

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00:15:34,159 --> 00:15:36,759
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, we'll be live again to do TGL tonight

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00:15:36,799 --> 00:15:37,480
at five o'clock.

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Speaker 2: Watch, uh, watch the Golf League tonight. That was a

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00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:41,080
lot of fun last night.

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00:15:41,639 --> 00:15:46,639
Speaker 1: And I'm I'm starting to think this UFC event may

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00:15:46,639 --> 00:15:47,919
not happen this weekend.

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00:15:48,000 --> 00:15:49,559
Speaker 2: Dan believe very sounded like.

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00:15:49,639 --> 00:15:51,879
Speaker 3: I mean, when we were talking to Yanni yesterday, he

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00:15:52,360 --> 00:15:56,320
seemed like, I would say, like seventy five percent. He

345
00:15:56,360 --> 00:15:58,840
thinks it's not happening as well. It was the vibes

346
00:15:58,879 --> 00:16:01,759
I was catching from Yanni yesterday and I mean he's.

347
00:16:01,639 --> 00:16:04,679
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I just read an article how they

348
00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:07,399
have it. They haven't like the public cannot you can't

349
00:16:07,399 --> 00:16:11,200
go out in public, which is which is tough.

350
00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:13,480
Speaker 3: It's gonna make it a little a little bit tough, yeah,

351
00:16:14,159 --> 00:16:14,879
to be there.

352
00:16:15,639 --> 00:16:18,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, tough to have an event when nobody's allowed out.

353
00:16:19,120 --> 00:16:21,240
Speaker 2: So but they are still playing tennis.

354
00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:24,399
Speaker 1: There's been a bunch of matches canceled, but we still

355
00:16:24,440 --> 00:16:27,440
there's still gonna be some play. Actually, they're they're revamping

356
00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:29,039
some of the matches and actually like some of the

357
00:16:29,039 --> 00:16:31,799
spots quite a bit, so I might actually uh have

358
00:16:31,879 --> 00:16:33,360
some more plays down in there.

359
00:16:33,399 --> 00:16:35,399
Speaker 2: Sometimes chaos gives us some really good lines.

360
00:16:35,519 --> 00:16:41,039
Speaker 1: So let's bring in the man of the moment, Jesse

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00:16:41,159 --> 00:16:46,799
Schule on an unbelievable thirteen and in the USA.

362
00:16:47,039 --> 00:16:49,799
Speaker 2: Jesse, I like it. I like it.

363
00:16:51,159 --> 00:16:52,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, love a winner, you know.

364
00:16:54,279 --> 00:16:54,919
Speaker 2: Respect that.

365
00:16:55,519 --> 00:16:59,960
Speaker 1: I respect that, all right, Jesse, you've been on insane

366
00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:03,840
run with free plays, an insane run for clients.

367
00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:08,079
Speaker 2: We are going to do our best to not jinx it.

368
00:17:09,319 --> 00:17:13,480
Speaker 3: So I have some help Andy, how about Jesse. We've

369
00:17:13,519 --> 00:17:15,519
been saving this. Andy and I have been working on this.

370
00:17:15,640 --> 00:17:19,359
Andy has has has painstakingly gone to the graphics department

371
00:17:19,400 --> 00:17:22,279
and say we need something. Or when someone is on

372
00:17:22,319 --> 00:17:24,799
a heater that's like thirteen and oh thirteen for want

373
00:17:24,839 --> 00:17:28,759
in clients. So, Jesse, you are the inaugural entrance into

374
00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:42,759
absolute wagon territory. A man is a wagon right now, folks,

375
00:17:43,079 --> 00:17:44,480
an absolute wagon.

376
00:17:44,599 --> 00:17:45,720
Speaker 2: Jesse, how we feel it?

377
00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:49,480
Speaker 5: You gotta be worried about jinxing it after that big

378
00:17:49,559 --> 00:17:52,920
graphic and all this type, and we're sitting at the

379
00:17:53,000 --> 00:17:56,319
number thirteen. I mean, there's probably gonna be guys lined

380
00:17:56,400 --> 00:17:57,759
up to fade my picks tonight.

381
00:17:57,799 --> 00:18:01,039
Speaker 2: I'm sure. However, this continuing, this.

382
00:18:01,039 --> 00:18:04,359
Speaker 5: Streak is really important, to be so important that I've

383
00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:08,960
decided to give out a big client play on the

384
00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:13,240
show as one of my fades today. I love, actually,

385
00:18:13,279 --> 00:18:16,000
I love both my fades today. I love both games.

386
00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:21,599
Feel very confident. So I wouldn't recommend fading the fade. Well,

387
00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:22,960
let's hear it, let's hear it.

388
00:18:23,079 --> 00:18:25,799
Speaker 3: Yeah, come on, I'm wondering, man, So you got you

389
00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:28,480
got two here for us, and let us know what

390
00:18:28,559 --> 00:18:30,880
teams are we fading tonight. This has been a nice

391
00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:33,480
recipe for success. You come on in case you're just

392
00:18:33,599 --> 00:18:35,920
joining us. Jesse joins us every week and he's like,

393
00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:38,039
these are teams I want to fade, And typically it's

394
00:18:38,079 --> 00:18:39,200
teams that get.

395
00:18:39,119 --> 00:18:41,200
Speaker 2: Him a lot of grief in the comments, and that's

396
00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:44,440
what we're here for. Jesse. Who are we fading now? Brother? Yeah?

397
00:18:44,519 --> 00:18:47,400
Speaker 5: Perfect thirteen and over run and all thirteen of those

398
00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:52,000
picks in the clips on YouTube, guys were saying, you're

399
00:18:52,039 --> 00:18:54,000
an idiot. This guy doesn't know her ball.

400
00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:56,640
Speaker 2: But anyways, keep saying that. I love that.

401
00:18:57,279 --> 00:19:00,400
Speaker 5: I did a video during the All Star break teams

402
00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:02,759
to bet on and teams to fade coming out of

403
00:19:02,799 --> 00:19:06,519
the break, and this particular game tonight in Toronto includes

404
00:19:06,559 --> 00:19:09,720
two teams that I mentioned in that video. I like

405
00:19:09,839 --> 00:19:13,920
Toronto coming out of the break. I don't like Oklahoma City,

406
00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:16,920
of course, the Thunder first in the NBA two and

407
00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:20,519
a half games up on the Spurs, two games up

408
00:19:20,519 --> 00:19:24,279
on the Detroit Pistons. They are really banged up though.

409
00:19:24,799 --> 00:19:31,960
SGA's out, aj Mitchell, Jay Williams, Jalen Williams, chet Holmgren

410
00:19:32,039 --> 00:19:35,319
is questionable for tonight's game. They are six and three

411
00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:40,119
this season without SGA, but with all those additional injuries

412
00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:43,279
playing a Toronto team that just beat them in Oklahoma

413
00:19:43,279 --> 00:19:47,079
City one three to one oh one last month. SGA

414
00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:49,759
did play in that game, by the way, and what

415
00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:52,799
really makes me want to fade Oklahoma City. In this

416
00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:55,920
spot is it's the first leg of a back to

417
00:19:56,039 --> 00:20:00,200
back and the second leg tomorrow night in Detroit, a

418
00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:02,839
team that's chasing them for the best record in the NBA.

419
00:20:03,640 --> 00:20:08,440
Really tough spot situationally for the defending champs and Toronto.

420
00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:10,440
They're coming off back to back wins. Coming out of

421
00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:13,519
the break. They're fifth in the East, only a game

422
00:20:13,559 --> 00:20:16,640
and a half back of the fourth spot. I did

423
00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:18,680
say I like them to contend for a top four

424
00:20:18,759 --> 00:20:21,079
spot in the East coming out of the break. They're

425
00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:24,839
finally healthy. They're twenty two and eleven with RJ. Barrett

426
00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:26,480
in the lineup. He's been out for a while, but

427
00:20:26,519 --> 00:20:31,039
he's back. He's healthy, he's contributing. They're starting center Jacob

428
00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:36,160
Jacob Potal. He's been injured from the majority of the season.

429
00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:38,319
He was supposed to be back. Turns out he's not

430
00:20:38,359 --> 00:20:41,000
going to play tonight, but they've been getting it done

431
00:20:41,039 --> 00:20:44,759
without him. Colin Murray Boyles filling in for him, should

432
00:20:44,759 --> 00:20:49,200
be fine. Scottie Barnes was out for personal reasons. No

433
00:20:49,319 --> 00:20:51,599
idea what happened there. If I had to guess, I'd

434
00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:55,279
say baby Mama drama. Because it is the NBA but regardless,

435
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,880
he's back tonight. The Raptors are healthy, they're at home,

436
00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:01,480
and it's a tough spot for Oklahoma City. This one

437
00:21:01,519 --> 00:21:04,559
opened Oklahoma City minus one and a half. This line

438
00:21:04,599 --> 00:21:07,880
has flipped Toronto is now a slight favorite. So I

439
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:11,160
say take the Raptors on the money line here. Love

440
00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:14,640
this pick, and this is a client play. Don't buy

441
00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:16,920
my client plays today. We've got a special. We'll talk

442
00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:17,839
about that a little later.

443
00:21:18,559 --> 00:21:20,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, and Jesse, why don't we talk about it now?

444
00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:21,359
We got another team.

445
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:24,240
Speaker 3: You're going to be fading here in college basketball, That's right.

446
00:21:24,319 --> 00:21:26,680
Speaker 2: Fades aren't just for the NBA.

447
00:21:26,839 --> 00:21:29,680
Speaker 3: And Jesse, just like you mentioned, short five dollars Tuesday

448
00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:31,640
to day, take advantage of it if you'd like to.

449
00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:33,440
Speaker 2: Jesse just gave you a client play.

450
00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:36,880
Speaker 3: But Jesse, the real great deal that you got rocking

451
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:38,599
is over at your page, and this is a chance

452
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:40,359
to hop on here, guys. I mean, if he's been

453
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:42,480
cashing for you a week after week, the least you

454
00:21:42,599 --> 00:21:44,759
can do is head on over to wt dot Buzz,

455
00:21:45,519 --> 00:21:48,079
Backslash JS and check him out. But tell folks about

456
00:21:48,079 --> 00:21:50,519
this offered Jesse, because I think it's a hell of

457
00:21:50,559 --> 00:21:52,039
a deal. For people to jump on one of the

458
00:21:52,039 --> 00:21:53,559
hottest kappers in the game right now.

459
00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:57,279
Speaker 5: Yes, So as incredible as the thirteen and zero free

460
00:21:57,279 --> 00:21:59,880
pick run on the show is thirteen and one with

461
00:22:00,079 --> 00:22:04,799
client plays coming into today's action. Really kicking butt in

462
00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:08,359
twenty twenty six, hitting over sixty three percent overall in

463
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:10,480
twenty twenty six, I killed it with a Super Bowl.

464
00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:14,200
So really feeling it right now seeing the board. Well,

465
00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:17,799
and you can get thirteen days for ninety nine bucks.

466
00:22:17,839 --> 00:22:21,039
That's basically a seven day pass and six days for free.

467
00:22:21,319 --> 00:22:24,359
So don't buy any of my picks today, just get

468
00:22:24,359 --> 00:22:27,599
that special. That's the best value on the board. I

469
00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:29,559
do have a three pack of plays today. I did

470
00:22:29,599 --> 00:22:32,160
give you one of those plays on this show already.

471
00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:36,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean the savings right there is absolutely insane.

472
00:22:36,039 --> 00:22:39,640
Well keep it going, Jesse, keep the run continuing here.

473
00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:42,599
I love the fact that you're absolutely rolling. You're our

474
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:45,400
first absolute wagon and that wagon's got to keep on

475
00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:48,880
moving here, brother, So let's talk college basketball. Like I

476
00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:51,119
said on the hardwood, get you can fade all around.

477
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:53,759
Who are we fade tonight in college hoops action?

478
00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:54,160
Speaker 2: Jesse?

479
00:22:55,319 --> 00:22:58,400
Speaker 5: We got a late night bailout game in the Mountain West.

480
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:02,480
We got New Mexico at Nevada. New Mexico opened as

481
00:23:02,519 --> 00:23:04,839
a one and a half point favorite. I think this

482
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:08,039
is another case of a wrong team favored. This line

483
00:23:08,079 --> 00:23:11,599
may have flipped as well. I like Nevada at home.

484
00:23:11,759 --> 00:23:13,240
If you've got to bet them on the money line

485
00:23:13,279 --> 00:23:17,000
as a slight favorite, go ahead and do that. New

486
00:23:17,039 --> 00:23:20,000
Mexico comes in with a twelve and four conference record.

487
00:23:20,279 --> 00:23:23,279
They've won seven of ten road games. They're coming off

488
00:23:23,319 --> 00:23:27,079
an eighty to seventy eight win at Fresno State, not

489
00:23:27,319 --> 00:23:31,880
very impressive. A close win at Fresno State, not one

490
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:34,039
of the top teams in the Mountain West. And this

491
00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:37,039
is a tough spot for New Mexico because their next

492
00:23:37,079 --> 00:23:40,720
game is against San Diego State, a team that they're

493
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:44,440
fighting for for the top record in the conference. So

494
00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:46,680
it could be a bit of a look ahead spot.

495
00:23:47,079 --> 00:23:50,119
And I'm concerned about this New Mexico team. They've got

496
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:53,200
a great record, they're the higher ranked team, but when

497
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:56,359
I look at their schedule, who have they really beaten.

498
00:23:56,559 --> 00:24:00,759
Their conference losses have come against Boise State, both at

499
00:24:00,759 --> 00:24:03,759
home and on the road. They lost to Utah State,

500
00:24:04,519 --> 00:24:06,519
they lost to Colorado or sorry, they didn't lose to

501
00:24:06,519 --> 00:24:10,720
Colorado State. But essentially, when they've played the better teams

502
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:13,720
in the conference, they haven't looked good. And their schedule

503
00:24:13,799 --> 00:24:16,839
is kind of backloaded. You look at their remaining four games.

504
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:19,519
You got tonight on the road at Nevada, then you

505
00:24:19,599 --> 00:24:23,000
got San Diego State, you got Colorado State, you got

506
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:27,240
Utah State. So the tough teams are all backloaded on

507
00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:31,440
their schedule. Really tough spot. I look at this Nevada team.

508
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:33,599
They're coming off a home win over the best team

509
00:24:33,599 --> 00:24:36,079
in the conference or the number one team in the conference,

510
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:39,119
Utah State. They are ten and six in the Mountain West,

511
00:24:39,279 --> 00:24:42,119
thirteen and two at home. If you look at previous

512
00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:45,039
head to head meetings, you'll see that Nevada has lost

513
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:48,559
five straight head to head to New Mexico. But if

514
00:24:48,599 --> 00:24:51,119
you look at the scores in those games, most of

515
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:54,119
them very close, one of them a one point loss

516
00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:57,920
in overtime. The last time they played New Mexico at home,

517
00:24:57,960 --> 00:25:01,799
they lost by just three. To mention, last year's Nevada

518
00:25:01,799 --> 00:25:04,680
team that lost by three at home, they were eight

519
00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:07,079
and twelve in the conference. They're already ten and six

520
00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:09,680
in the conference this year. They're a far better team.

521
00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:12,720
In fact, they ranked second in the conference in three

522
00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:16,279
point shooting, hitting thirty seven point six percent from beyond

523
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:18,559
the arc. I think this is a very good spot

524
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:21,440
for Nevada and a tough spot for New Mexico. So

525
00:25:21,519 --> 00:25:24,279
we'll take the wolf Pack on the money line tonight.

526
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:30,200
Speaker 3: Fade Oka, ce Fade New Mexico, says our man Jesse

527
00:25:30,559 --> 00:25:33,160
Schule and Jesse again. They can check out that thirteen

528
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:35,680
days of action, just ninety nine bucks, WT dot buzz

529
00:25:35,720 --> 00:25:40,000
backslash JS. Jesse always a pleasure man. You look good

530
00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:42,079
in the USA, you look even better in the mister,

531
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:43,839
wonderful outfit. What do you got for the folks?

532
00:25:43,839 --> 00:25:44,039
Speaker 2: Man?

533
00:25:45,000 --> 00:25:46,519
Speaker 5: We do have an NBA play as well.

534
00:25:46,759 --> 00:25:48,240
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, sorry about that.

535
00:25:48,279 --> 00:25:50,079
Speaker 3: I got a little I got I got two jacked

536
00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:53,200
up one to fade these teams right on, CEE fade

537
00:25:53,240 --> 00:25:56,119
in front. I'm like, it can't be Jesse's game. Boston

538
00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:59,559
Celtics Phoenix Suns. Thanks for keeping me honest there, Jesse,

539
00:25:59,599 --> 00:26:00,559
how are we in this one?

540
00:26:00,599 --> 00:26:02,240
Speaker 2: Brother? All right?

541
00:26:02,319 --> 00:26:04,640
Speaker 5: So we got Boston coming out of the All Star

542
00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:08,119
Break as winners of back to back games, second in

543
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:12,640
the Eastern Conference, five games back of Detroit. This is

544
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,799
a very strong defensive team second in the NBA and

545
00:26:15,839 --> 00:26:19,599
opponents scoring, and they rank dead last in the NBA

546
00:26:19,839 --> 00:26:23,519
in pace of play possessions per game. They only average

547
00:26:23,599 --> 00:26:26,799
ninety nine point one possessions per game, so they play

548
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:29,599
at the slowest pace and they're the second best team

549
00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:33,079
as far as giving up points, and their leading scorer,

550
00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:36,880
Jalen Brown, is listed as questionable. And much like I

551
00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:39,599
said about Oklahoma City, this is the first leg of

552
00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:42,400
a back to back, and the second leg at the

553
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:44,759
Denver Nuggets might be the one that they look forward

554
00:26:44,799 --> 00:26:47,720
to more. I don't see why they would bring Jalen

555
00:26:47,759 --> 00:26:51,440
Brown into play tonight in the first leg when they

556
00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:53,319
could probably win this game without him. So I don't

557
00:26:53,319 --> 00:26:57,880
expect Jalen Brown to play given that he's listed as questionable. Phoenix,

558
00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:00,440
on the other hand, seventh in the West, coming off

559
00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:05,119
a ninety two to seventy seven loss to Portland on Sunday.

560
00:27:06,039 --> 00:27:09,160
That score comes right out of the nineteen nineties, doesn't it.

561
00:27:09,519 --> 00:27:14,920
Ninety two to seventy seven. Phoenix is in trouble. Dylan

562
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:17,599
Brooks broke his hand. He's out for four to six weeks.

563
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:21,880
Devin Booker's out. Grayson Allen missed the game on Sunday

564
00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:28,119
he hurt himself in practice or pregame warmups. Grayson Allen's questionable.

565
00:27:28,240 --> 00:27:32,240
If Grayson Allen doesn't play, the active leading scorer will

566
00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:35,920
be backup point guard Connor Gillespie. He's the He was

567
00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:38,240
a starting point guard for Villanova in the twenty one

568
00:27:38,599 --> 00:27:42,559
twenty two season, average sixteen points per game for Villanova.

569
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:46,319
He's averaging thirteen point four points per game with Phoenix

570
00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:49,799
as a backup, but he will be the go to

571
00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:54,839
guy in this game if regardless of whether Grayson Allen plays,

572
00:27:54,839 --> 00:27:57,240
He's going to be the starting point guard. He scored

573
00:27:57,279 --> 00:28:02,039
eighteen when the Son's only scored seventy seven points on Sunday.

574
00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:05,519
I'm expecting them to do a little bit better offensively here,

575
00:28:05,519 --> 00:28:08,119
despite the fact that they are a seven point home

576
00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:10,880
dog against a very good Boston team. I still think

577
00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:14,759
they'll get over that seventy seven mark. I think Connor

578
00:28:14,759 --> 00:28:16,519
Gillespie is gonna get a lot of shots, a lot

579
00:28:16,519 --> 00:28:19,559
of looks, so we're gonna go over his points total

580
00:28:19,599 --> 00:28:23,720
of sixteen and a half. Player prop Connor Gillespie over

581
00:28:23,759 --> 00:28:25,759
sixteen and a half points.

582
00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:27,480
Speaker 2: Nice.

583
00:28:28,599 --> 00:28:33,759
Speaker 1: I think Boston routes them even without Jalen Brown. That

584
00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:37,200
Boston teams full of guys that love playing hard, and

585
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:39,599
this Phoenix team is in that.

586
00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:41,440
Speaker 5: I mean, se them looks a little bit short, but

587
00:28:41,480 --> 00:28:44,599
I probably prefer the under. Actually, I know the totals

588
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:47,920
come down. It was around two ten. Now it's two

589
00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:50,160
oh six and a half. I don't see them gett

590
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:53,839
into two hundred, to be honest with you, not with.

591
00:28:53,799 --> 00:28:56,319
Speaker 1: How Phoenix is played. I mean Jalen Green, I'm looking

592
00:28:56,319 --> 00:29:00,119
at his stats. Run, Jalen Green is twelve of forty

593
00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:02,880
two in his last two games. He took forty two

594
00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:05,880
shots in the last two games, and he only made

595
00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:09,000
twelve of them. So I'm with you on Gillespie, like

596
00:29:09,039 --> 00:29:12,839
the under, like Boston. So great breakdown there, Jesse, appreciate it.

597
00:29:15,519 --> 00:29:16,519
Speaker 5: Thanks for having me.

598
00:29:18,799 --> 00:29:19,319
Speaker 2: One more time.

599
00:29:19,359 --> 00:29:21,960
Speaker 1: Go over that special for Jesse, the seven days for

600
00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:26,279
thirteen or no thirteen days for what's the special again, Jesse?

601
00:29:26,559 --> 00:29:27,839
Speaker 2: I didn't catch it the first day.

602
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 5: Because we're on a thirteen and oh run you get

603
00:29:30,799 --> 00:29:34,880
thirteen days for ninety nine bucks. That's basically six days

604
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:35,279
for free.

605
00:29:37,519 --> 00:29:40,440
Speaker 2: I get it. Sorry, that's the way to break it down, right, there.

606
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:43,839
Speaker 1: Well, that's well, you need to do our promos just

607
00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:46,519
like that moving forward. That's that's exactly how to do it.

608
00:29:46,559 --> 00:29:53,839
So awesome stuff. Jesse, Good luck, USA, USA, USA. Let's

609
00:29:53,839 --> 00:29:55,920
go for fourteen and oh fifteen and O brother.

610
00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:58,319
Speaker 2: Thanks Jesse, appreciate you man.

611
00:29:58,440 --> 00:30:01,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, insane, run right there, and Andy, real quick, we

612
00:30:01,519 --> 00:30:03,640
got Ralph Michael's coming up. He's got some more info

613
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:06,119
for you guys here in college basketball action.

614
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:08,119
Speaker 2: It is five dollars Tuesday.

615
00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:10,359
Speaker 3: You know, a great deal that that Jesse has rocking

616
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:11,839
over there is you know, if you want to get

617
00:30:11,839 --> 00:30:14,000
a little bit more long term action. But any play,

618
00:30:14,559 --> 00:30:16,519
you know the featured plays the Kaffers have over at

619
00:30:16,519 --> 00:30:19,200
wager talk dot com, any of them, any guys on

620
00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:22,279
the show here and obviously Andy as well, just five

621
00:30:22,319 --> 00:30:24,000
dollars if you want to try him out. Andy, what

622
00:30:24,079 --> 00:30:27,160
do we got loaded for folks tonight? WT dot buzz

623
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:30,920
backslash a l for five dollars Tuesday? Also that seven

624
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:32,759
dollars over at sports Memo. But what do we got

625
00:30:32,799 --> 00:30:34,880
over at your page here at wager Talk.

626
00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:38,480
Speaker 2: We got a great player prop. There's a few really

627
00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:38,960
good ones.

628
00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:41,400
Speaker 1: I'll go over one that that I think is probably

629
00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:44,559
gonna make the client card as well. But one stuck

630
00:30:44,599 --> 00:30:48,240
out just it was just like the beacon, play me,

631
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:49,400
want play me?

632
00:30:50,359 --> 00:30:50,839
Speaker 2: So I did.

633
00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:54,240
Speaker 1: And it's only it's only five bucks because it's the

634
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:58,240
best player prop it when these teams are we're the

635
00:30:58,640 --> 00:31:01,680
part of the year when teams missing players with injury

636
00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:04,279
or they're sitting players, some of these role players and

637
00:31:04,319 --> 00:31:06,440
bench guys just get a lot more minutes and a

638
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:09,039
lot more usage. And we're seeing that with a lot

639
00:31:09,039 --> 00:31:11,319
of teams, and the books just aren't adjusting the numbers.

640
00:31:11,359 --> 00:31:12,599
Speaker 2: They should be moving them up.

641
00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:16,799
Speaker 1: There's somewhere there they're over adjusting. Like I saw Scoot Henderson,

642
00:31:17,119 --> 00:31:19,400
they got his points rebounds in the sist blown through

643
00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:21,880
the roof, and then other guys they're just leaving at

644
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:24,319
the same number despite the fact they're playing way more minutes.

645
00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:27,559
So I've isolated one tonight. It's only five bucks. I

646
00:31:27,559 --> 00:31:29,920
love it already, bet it so excited for that. That's

647
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:32,839
over WT Buzz Slash al We still have our five

648
00:31:32,839 --> 00:31:35,799
percent darts play that's up. It's still half price, and

649
00:31:36,279 --> 00:31:38,079
got a lot of good stuff with recording the Golf

650
00:31:38,079 --> 00:31:40,480
Show right after this. We got a good betable tournament.

651
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:43,920
Saw somebody that brought up Shane Lowry. Yeah, he's the

652
00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:46,440
betting favorite and he may appear in all around the world.

653
00:31:47,079 --> 00:31:51,240
Maybe just maybe we had a question about but yeah,

654
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:54,759
we had a question about my pacers. Are your punchy

655
00:31:54,839 --> 00:32:01,920
Pacers alive for a cover tonight? The punchy Pacers?

656
00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:08,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is and a half now. Yeah, well the

657
00:32:08,400 --> 00:32:10,799
pacers are doing the right thing. They're sitting everybody.

658
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:14,319
Speaker 1: Uh they'll probably get fined for it, but tell the

659
00:32:14,359 --> 00:32:16,880
commissioner to uh stick it.

660
00:32:17,720 --> 00:32:21,720
Speaker 2: They're they're sitting everybody tonight. I mean you got McConnell questionable,

661
00:32:21,799 --> 00:32:26,000
Nemhark questionable, Siakham doubtful, Nie Smith out, Zuba.

662
00:32:27,559 --> 00:32:29,759
Speaker 1: I love that they traded for Zubachuo was playing and

663
00:32:29,799 --> 00:32:32,359
now they're just like he's are somebody get hurt on

664
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:32,799
the plane?

665
00:32:33,799 --> 00:32:35,039
Speaker 2: You mean, what do you mean he's out?

666
00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 3: Uh?

667
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:37,359
Speaker 2: So we we just have a skeleton crew.

668
00:32:37,359 --> 00:32:40,480
Speaker 1: We got Jaris Walker and Jay Huff and uh Joel

669
00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:43,000
Embiid might have eighty three points against us tonight.

670
00:32:43,319 --> 00:32:46,799
Speaker 2: I would not lay the points with the pacers. I

671
00:32:46,839 --> 00:32:47,640
looked up their trends.

672
00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:50,039
Speaker 1: They're not even covering in the first half. They're two

673
00:32:50,079 --> 00:32:51,759
and three in the last five in the first half,

674
00:32:51,759 --> 00:32:54,279
so I couldn't really get there on any trends. Philly's

675
00:32:54,319 --> 00:32:57,200
actually been better in the first half, so maybe Philly

676
00:32:57,319 --> 00:32:58,839
first half might be the way to go out.

677
00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:01,599
Speaker 3: And yeah, first first half definitely worth a look. Also,

678
00:33:01,640 --> 00:33:03,559
you know, if anyone's worried, they're like, oh, do I

679
00:33:03,599 --> 00:33:04,039
really want to.

680
00:33:04,039 --> 00:33:05,920
Speaker 2: Lay close to ten points with six ers?

681
00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:10,200
Speaker 3: Sixers are actually one of the best road favorites in

682
00:33:10,279 --> 00:33:13,240
the NBA though far Andy. I'm looking here and I

683
00:33:13,319 --> 00:33:16,400
just pulled the numbers real quick, and Philly against the

684
00:33:16,519 --> 00:33:21,279
spread as away favorites nine and three against the number.

685
00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:26,279
Average margin of victory however, only around seven points, so

686
00:33:26,680 --> 00:33:28,960
you know that that's where you get a little bit

687
00:33:29,359 --> 00:33:32,240
chintzy there. But if you're thinking, you know, this is

688
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:34,160
just six or slam spot, I'm kind of with you.

689
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,960
If they're not covering early, probably ends up being a

690
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:38,599
closer game than it should be, So maybe you.

691
00:33:38,599 --> 00:33:40,880
Speaker 2: Chop that in half, make that number a bit manageable.

692
00:33:41,480 --> 00:33:43,200
I don't mind Philly in the first half. I kind

693
00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:46,119
of like that breakdown, Andy, I mean, watching the Pagers

694
00:33:46,119 --> 00:33:47,559
try and guard Tyrese.

695
00:33:47,240 --> 00:33:51,160
Speaker 1: Maxki and edgecomb Is won't be fun, laugh out loud, funny.

696
00:33:53,839 --> 00:33:59,359
Speaker 2: Just I'll just be flying by him. So and then, yeah,

697
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:02,119
like I said, if m Dead plays, he's gonna eat

698
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:05,799
j Yeah. I mean it's just a matchup nightmare. Yeah

699
00:34:05,839 --> 00:34:06,160
it is.

700
00:34:06,200 --> 00:34:08,639
Speaker 1: So who will be putting up stats for the Pacers?

701
00:34:09,400 --> 00:34:16,760
Jeris Walker? Yes, I said, Jaris Walker, Jay Huff maybe so,

702
00:34:17,599 --> 00:34:19,800
uh yeah, it's it's it's a tough one. It's a

703
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:21,679
tough one out there. But all right, let's bring in

704
00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:24,000
Ralph and Ralph's good friend.

705
00:34:24,039 --> 00:34:27,800
Speaker 2: The pen. The pen is in the half guys, how

706
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:30,559
are you Ralph good? Doing great? So?

707
00:34:30,760 --> 00:34:34,880
Speaker 6: I talked to Teddy this weekend, So in honor of that, yeah,

708
00:34:34,880 --> 00:34:41,280
I'm sorry, I am gonna do my Teddy covers impression. Dan,

709
00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:45,760
are you at all concerned that even though Hovart's one

710
00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:48,840
and two, they actually have a twenty nine to twenty

711
00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:52,880
seven gold edge. And while Cornell was a national champion

712
00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:56,000
last year eighteen and one, with the only loss against

713
00:34:56,039 --> 00:34:58,960
a ranked Penn State team, they have only beaten one

714
00:34:59,000 --> 00:35:02,719
opponent by more than ten goals in those twenty games

715
00:35:02,760 --> 00:35:03,760
the last two years.

716
00:35:04,079 --> 00:35:06,320
Speaker 2: But I will give you this credit.

717
00:35:07,039 --> 00:35:09,480
Speaker 6: The one game they won by more than ten goals

718
00:35:09,760 --> 00:35:12,400
was ad Hobart last year and they won twenty two

719
00:35:12,440 --> 00:35:12,840
to nine.

720
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:19,639
Speaker 3: Holy shit, that's why he called that was amazing. Tell you,

721
00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:22,159
I'll tell you if he if he was really doing

722
00:35:22,159 --> 00:35:24,719
a Teddy Covers impersonation, you'd be like, Dan, nobody cares

723
00:35:24,719 --> 00:35:28,280
about lacrosse. Next that would be the real So that

724
00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:31,440
was that was the Teddy leaning with the rh Sorry

725
00:35:31,440 --> 00:35:32,039
I'm smiling.

726
00:35:32,079 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 2: I have to get that smile off. Yeah, yeah, yeah.

727
00:35:34,079 --> 00:35:38,360
Speaker 3: But the research out of out of our man Ralph Michaels,

728
00:35:38,360 --> 00:35:42,320
that was that was wow, no comment, no comment, And yeah,

729
00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:46,840
the difference is, you know, Hobart when they're playing Canisius University,

730
00:35:47,679 --> 00:35:50,599
Colgate University, the U of Albany, it's a bit of

731
00:35:50,599 --> 00:35:51,960
a step up in competition.

732
00:35:52,119 --> 00:35:55,079
Speaker 6: But you know, there are there are seventy six Division

733
00:35:55,119 --> 00:35:58,360
one lacrosse teams. Holbot's actually ranked fifty one, So they're

734
00:35:58,400 --> 00:35:59,239
not at the bottom.

735
00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:02,239
Speaker 2: They're not. Yeah, they're not the bottom of the barrel.

736
00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:03,039
That's for sure.

737
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:06,360
Speaker 3: Because Andy and I basically every weekend we tell people, hey,

738
00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:09,519
bet the bottom of the barrel like IONA lacrosse or

739
00:36:09,599 --> 00:36:10,679
VMI lacrosse.

740
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:13,639
Speaker 6: And you guys have now heard everything I know about

741
00:36:13,639 --> 00:36:15,000
college lacrosse.

742
00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:17,159
Speaker 2: In ten seconds. Masterfully done.

743
00:36:17,199 --> 00:36:18,079
Speaker 3: Man, it was.

744
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:21,280
Speaker 2: That was so good. So let's go to college basketball.

745
00:36:21,400 --> 00:36:21,920
We're off.

746
00:36:21,960 --> 00:36:24,280
Speaker 1: We got a couple games for you to break down, Kentucky,

747
00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:27,480
South Carolina and Tennessee in Missouri.

748
00:36:27,679 --> 00:36:30,199
Speaker 2: Let's go ahead and start with the Kentucky game.

749
00:36:30,280 --> 00:36:33,440
Speaker 1: Kentucky South Carolina seven and a half point favorite for

750
00:36:33,519 --> 00:36:36,719
the Wildcats over under one forty nine and a half.

751
00:36:36,800 --> 00:36:37,960
How do you break this game down?

752
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:41,880
Speaker 6: Well, I always like going back to their body of

753
00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:46,199
work full season and conference to see if the line

754
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:49,760
is where it should be. Kentucky seventeen and ten against

755
00:36:49,800 --> 00:36:52,840
the number seven schedule in the country. They're eight and

756
00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:57,920
six versus the number three SEC schedule, South Carolina twelve

757
00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:01,840
and fifteen versus the number seven D schedule, and in

758
00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:04,639
conference play they're three and eleven versus the number two

759
00:37:04,639 --> 00:37:09,360
conference schedule. In Ken Palm's Offense and defensive rankings and

760
00:37:09,519 --> 00:37:13,440
SEC action, Kentucky number ten and number six, South Carolina

761
00:37:13,719 --> 00:37:17,239
sixteen and fifteen. So South Carolina clearly is at the

762
00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:21,159
bottom of the SEC. But we look at the Wildcats away,

763
00:37:21,519 --> 00:37:23,920
they're five and six against the spread and only four

764
00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:27,400
and seven over under, and in true road games they're

765
00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:30,079
three and oats as a dog of six and a

766
00:37:30,159 --> 00:37:32,719
half or more, but as in a way favored and

767
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:36,119
away dog. They're only one in four against the spread.

768
00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:41,119
Now the Wildcats are playing with pressure, guys. I mean

769
00:37:41,159 --> 00:37:43,679
Mark Pope came in last year and they have now

770
00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:48,159
lost three straight games. They were at Florida, returned home

771
00:37:48,199 --> 00:37:51,400
to Georgia. They let that Florida loss affect them the

772
00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:54,079
next game, and then they go to Auburn and lose

773
00:37:54,119 --> 00:37:57,840
in a very controversial finish. Kentucky is taking the ball

774
00:37:57,880 --> 00:38:00,920
out with thirteen seconds to go up one. They called

775
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:04,519
an offensive push off. Then Auburn gets a shot, gets

776
00:38:04,519 --> 00:38:08,119
a tap in at the buzzer. So here was Mark

777
00:38:08,159 --> 00:38:11,920
Pope's statements. We're not allowed to talk about referees, but

778
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:14,039
you guys saw it. I think something in there just

779
00:38:14,159 --> 00:38:17,280
is super personal. I'm not allowed to comment on referees,

780
00:38:17,320 --> 00:38:19,880
and I won't comment on referees. It's unfortunate it didn't

781
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:21,960
cost us the game. As soon as a way, he

782
00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:25,559
moved away from the mic. He goes, if those mother

783
00:38:25,639 --> 00:38:28,199
efforts try to find me, screw them. I did not

784
00:38:28,280 --> 00:38:30,880
say a word about how those officiatos cheated us. So

785
00:38:31,559 --> 00:38:34,400
Kentucky is playing with pressure, three straight losses, first time

786
00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:38,159
since that dismal season back in twenty nineteen. I think

787
00:38:38,199 --> 00:38:42,480
they do come prepared ready to play South Carolina. Six

788
00:38:42,559 --> 00:38:45,480
and two ATSs away from home, they're actually a better

789
00:38:45,559 --> 00:38:50,639
road team at home, only two and five ats against

790
00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:55,159
SEC teams. South Carolina also now having to play without

791
00:38:55,199 --> 00:38:58,280
Miles Stoot. He has started twenty three games this year.

792
00:38:58,559 --> 00:39:01,119
First game he's missing in a while. Now, this will

793
00:39:01,239 --> 00:39:05,760
hurt them now. Kentucky is a team when they're not

794
00:39:05,800 --> 00:39:08,320
playing a good offense, they press the pace. They're very

795
00:39:08,400 --> 00:39:12,079
unique because the Wildcats on offense are number fifty five

796
00:39:12,119 --> 00:39:15,519
as far as temple concerns. On defense, they're number three

797
00:39:15,599 --> 00:39:18,480
oh four, So when you look at tempo ranks, they're

798
00:39:18,599 --> 00:39:22,119
one sixty. But it's important to think you're breaking out

799
00:39:22,119 --> 00:39:25,360
the offensive temple or the defensive tempo in this case,

800
00:39:25,599 --> 00:39:30,360
quite unique. South Carolina the exact opposite. On offense, they're slow,

801
00:39:30,719 --> 00:39:34,800
number two sixty eight on tempo. On defense they are

802
00:39:34,880 --> 00:39:38,000
number thirty eight. Means they allowed their opponents to score fast.

803
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:42,119
So Kentucky's offense likes to play fast. South Carolina's defense

804
00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:45,960
allows teams to play fast. That does have me looking

805
00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:50,000
at the over, but for the show, as I like

806
00:39:50,119 --> 00:39:52,960
doing often, we're going to go first half and we're

807
00:39:52,960 --> 00:39:57,079
actually going to go under. There are some significant under

808
00:39:57,280 --> 00:40:00,239
trends for Kentucky the first twenty minutes of a game.

809
00:40:01,599 --> 00:40:05,920
On the season, they're thirteen and fourteen over under. In

810
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:10,000
the first half, they're six and twenty one. That's twenty

811
00:40:10,039 --> 00:40:14,199
three percent as a favorite. They're nine and eight over

812
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:19,760
under first half as a favorite four and thirteen twenty

813
00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:25,360
three percent. They're first half scoring as a favorite. First

814
00:40:25,400 --> 00:40:30,119
half average score thirty seven point seven to thirty two

815
00:40:30,159 --> 00:40:34,840
point three, second half forty six point three and thirty

816
00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:38,559
five point three. They are averaging eleven point six points

817
00:40:38,559 --> 00:40:41,960
per game more in the second half than in the

818
00:40:41,960 --> 00:40:45,360
first half, and when they're playing a team that does

819
00:40:45,400 --> 00:40:49,119
not turn the ball over often nine and thirteen over

820
00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:55,199
under full season four and eighteen first half gimme Kentucky

821
00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:58,920
and South Carolina first half under. If it does go

822
00:40:59,000 --> 00:41:03,719
first half under, cash that free play, think about playing

823
00:41:03,800 --> 00:41:07,280
some of it live betting over in the second half.

824
00:41:08,199 --> 00:41:11,960
Speaker 3: Ooh, a little ying yang zig zag by our man

825
00:41:12,119 --> 00:41:14,599
Ralph Michaels play under the first half.

826
00:41:14,800 --> 00:41:16,920
Speaker 2: See how it's going look towards that over in the

827
00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:17,480
second half.

828
00:41:17,559 --> 00:41:20,199
Speaker 3: Love that breakdown, Ralph, and honestly, it makes a hell

829
00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:22,480
of a lot of sense there. So thoughts in that

830
00:41:22,519 --> 00:41:25,239
one for you folks, comment below, let us know if

831
00:41:25,239 --> 00:41:27,880
there's any games that you'd like to hear about here.

832
00:41:27,639 --> 00:41:29,639
Speaker 2: In college basketball as well.

833
00:41:29,760 --> 00:41:32,280
Speaker 3: Ralph's also got to play for you guys, maybe several

834
00:41:32,320 --> 00:41:36,079
plays like you did in that first breakdown Tennessee and

835
00:41:36,159 --> 00:41:39,159
Miss Zoo. But real quick, Ralph, how things been going

836
00:41:39,159 --> 00:41:41,079
for you? How have you been seeing it and what

837
00:41:41,119 --> 00:41:42,840
do you got rocking today? If people want to try

838
00:41:42,880 --> 00:41:44,840
you out for just five bucks over at wt dot

839
00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:46,000
buzz backslash r M.

840
00:41:46,719 --> 00:41:49,039
Speaker 6: Well, I am not thirteen to no on free plays,

841
00:41:49,119 --> 00:41:53,639
but I have cash six straight best bets in college basketball.

842
00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:57,000
My best bets are four percent and five percent. Number

843
00:41:57,039 --> 00:42:00,719
seven is only five bucks today. I'm very happy with

844
00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:04,440
the way the college basketball season has gone. Currently ranked

845
00:42:04,519 --> 00:42:07,519
number one at Wageer Talk for the entire college basketball

846
00:42:07,559 --> 00:42:12,199
season onprofit, and my current college basketball run forty two

847
00:42:12,880 --> 00:42:15,960
and twenty sixty eight percent.

848
00:42:16,199 --> 00:42:21,440
Speaker 2: One college basketball play today it is five bucks. Love

849
00:42:21,519 --> 00:42:22,559
to hear it, Ralph.

850
00:42:22,599 --> 00:42:26,199
Speaker 3: All right, let's talk at Tennessee and Miszoo here for

851
00:42:26,440 --> 00:42:28,639
the folks, Ralph, this one is out of all the

852
00:42:28,639 --> 00:42:32,239
college basketball games we talked today, this is the tightest spread. Finally,

853
00:42:32,280 --> 00:42:34,760
a game that might be a little competitive, but another

854
00:42:34,800 --> 00:42:37,800
game that we're seeing road chalk in this one around

855
00:42:37,800 --> 00:42:41,360
three and a half total, basically one forty four and

856
00:42:41,360 --> 00:42:43,519
a half one forty five. What are you looking to

857
00:42:43,559 --> 00:42:45,519
bet in this one, Ralph?

858
00:42:45,559 --> 00:42:49,400
Speaker 6: Well, you know, I uh, looking at the body of work,

859
00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:53,519
you know, Tennessee clearly deserves to be the favorite on

860
00:42:53,599 --> 00:42:56,880
the season. They're twenty and seven versus the number thirteen

861
00:42:56,920 --> 00:43:00,920
schedule Missouri eighteen and nine that they've played, the number

862
00:43:00,960 --> 00:43:05,119
fifty seven schedule in SEC action, Tennessee ten and four

863
00:43:05,239 --> 00:43:09,360
versus the number eight schedule, the Tigers eight and six

864
00:43:09,880 --> 00:43:15,039
versus the number nine schedule. In SEC stat profiles, Tennessee

865
00:43:15,119 --> 00:43:18,280
number nine and number two Missouri twelve and eight.

866
00:43:18,559 --> 00:43:21,800
Speaker 2: So clearly Tennessee deserves to be a favorite.

867
00:43:22,079 --> 00:43:23,679
Speaker 6: I think they're a little bit too much of a

868
00:43:23,719 --> 00:43:28,599
favorite because of the situation. Tennessee is all four straight

869
00:43:28,639 --> 00:43:30,760
wins and their eight and won their last nine games.

870
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:36,400
The only loss in that mix was to Kentucky at home.

871
00:43:36,440 --> 00:43:38,920
They lost by two points. Eighty to seventy eight, and

872
00:43:38,960 --> 00:43:40,920
they did have one overtime game when they went down

873
00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:41,880
to Georgia.

874
00:43:41,519 --> 00:43:42,320
Speaker 2: Which was close.

875
00:43:42,920 --> 00:43:46,079
Speaker 6: They're twelve and fifteen ATS on the season and fifteen

876
00:43:46,159 --> 00:43:52,159
and twelve over under. But Tennessee on the road they

877
00:43:52,159 --> 00:43:55,079
did cover against Vanderbilt. They're upset win the last game

878
00:43:55,119 --> 00:43:58,000
they went into Nashville and they win sixty nine to

879
00:43:58,039 --> 00:44:01,280
sixty five. Prior to that, they only went one in

880
00:44:01,400 --> 00:44:04,920
five ATS on the road, so that does concern me.

881
00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:10,159
The biggest matchup differences is this, Tennessee doesn't shoot a

882
00:44:10,159 --> 00:44:13,679
lot of threes, but they're very good at it. Missouri

883
00:44:13,760 --> 00:44:16,639
is a very poor tree point defense. They're number three

884
00:44:16,719 --> 00:44:19,239
oh nine in the country. But when I say Tennessee

885
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:22,760
doesn't shoot many shots, the percentage of points from three pointers,

886
00:44:23,119 --> 00:44:25,480
they are number three twenty three in the country. So

887
00:44:25,880 --> 00:44:30,280
the one major weakness they can exploit they can't because

888
00:44:30,280 --> 00:44:33,840
they don't have the personnel to do it. Tennessee also

889
00:44:35,039 --> 00:44:37,559
a very poor turnover team. They're number two hundred and

890
00:44:37,559 --> 00:44:40,480
fifty six and turnovers, and they're a poor free throw

891
00:44:40,480 --> 00:44:44,199
shooting team, number two hundred and sixty four. That's not

892
00:44:44,960 --> 00:44:47,800
the pattern you want playing a true road game with

893
00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:52,679
bad turnovers and poor free throw shooting. We also have

894
00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:57,440
Australia now on the injury report. The SEC does do

895
00:44:57,480 --> 00:45:01,280
it a availability report. He's what's the last two games?

896
00:45:01,519 --> 00:45:04,360
He is listed as questionable on this, so we'll see

897
00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:07,719
what happens if he does come and play Missouri. They

898
00:45:07,719 --> 00:45:10,800
traveled to Arkansas. They played well. They did lose that game,

899
00:45:10,840 --> 00:45:13,119
but they covered and they've covered four of the last

900
00:45:13,119 --> 00:45:13,840
five games.

901
00:45:14,119 --> 00:45:14,719
Speaker 2: On the season.

902
00:45:14,760 --> 00:45:18,119
Speaker 6: They're twelve and fifteen against the spread and thirteen and

903
00:45:18,159 --> 00:45:25,239
fourteen over under. Now against common foes, these numbers make

904
00:45:25,320 --> 00:45:27,559
you think the wrong team is favored. When you break

905
00:45:27,599 --> 00:45:30,719
down all the common foes this year, Tennessee has shot

906
00:45:31,000 --> 00:45:35,800
forty five point five percent and allowed forty two point

907
00:45:35,880 --> 00:45:40,360
nine Missouri has shot better forty five point nine percent,

908
00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:43,159
and while their DA is a little weaker, it's only

909
00:45:43,199 --> 00:45:46,079
forty four point one percent, So there's only a one

910
00:45:46,119 --> 00:45:50,079
percent difference between the shooting percentage, offense and defense diff

911
00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:55,119
for Tennessee and Missouri in those common opponents. Now, Barnes

912
00:45:55,199 --> 00:45:57,960
loves this Tennessee team. He says, we're playing the best

913
00:45:58,000 --> 00:46:01,320
we can. You know we are we are physical, we

914
00:46:01,360 --> 00:46:05,039
are mentally tough, but I'm still concerned coming off you

915
00:46:05,079 --> 00:46:08,280
know Tennessee when they traveled to Vanderbilt, that was the

916
00:46:08,320 --> 00:46:11,719
traditional all let's go pack the stadium and all our

917
00:46:11,760 --> 00:46:14,880
fans can come visit us there. But the way Vanderbilt's playing,

918
00:46:15,480 --> 00:46:17,840
that was a huge win for them. We're in the past,

919
00:46:17,880 --> 00:46:20,480
it wouldn't have been I'm gonna look to fade them

920
00:46:20,480 --> 00:46:21,320
in this situation.

921
00:46:22,519 --> 00:46:23,800
Speaker 2: Tennessee off that upset.

922
00:46:23,880 --> 00:46:27,239
Speaker 6: They're only two and seven against the spread off a

923
00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:31,039
game they won and covered, and one of those ATS

924
00:46:31,079 --> 00:46:32,039
wins was at home.

925
00:46:33,199 --> 00:46:34,559
Speaker 2: The SEC has been the.

926
00:46:34,519 --> 00:46:39,239
Speaker 6: Toughest schedule over the toughest schedule toughest conference combined over

927
00:46:39,280 --> 00:46:41,800
the last three years. It is difficult to win on

928
00:46:41,840 --> 00:46:47,400
the SEC road. Since twenty sixteen, only sixteen teams have

929
00:46:47,760 --> 00:46:53,119
won on the road and now an away favorite. They're

930
00:46:53,159 --> 00:46:55,760
only four and eleven twenty seven percent win away as

931
00:46:55,800 --> 00:46:58,519
a dog and now win away favorite twenty seven percent

932
00:46:58,559 --> 00:47:01,599
against the spreading how difficult it is for back to

933
00:47:01,599 --> 00:47:05,280
baca away games and Missouri seven and seven against the

934
00:47:05,320 --> 00:47:09,360
spread and as an SEC team only one and four

935
00:47:09,559 --> 00:47:12,280
is a favorite. They're six and three against the spread

936
00:47:12,280 --> 00:47:15,599
as a dog, three and zero as an sec home

937
00:47:15,679 --> 00:47:20,440
dog covering by a combined twenty five points. Missouri's clearly

938
00:47:20,519 --> 00:47:22,960
on the bubble. I love Dennis Gates when he was

939
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:27,280
at Cleveland State. He gets the Missouri Tigers to pull

940
00:47:27,320 --> 00:47:28,840
the outright upset tonight.

941
00:47:30,320 --> 00:47:34,280
Speaker 3: Oh we got a barking dog alert for our man, Ralph.

942
00:47:34,320 --> 00:47:37,280
Speaker 2: Would we venture to say, Ralph that that is your

943
00:47:37,360 --> 00:47:40,320
doing and anybody gotta say anything, you let me know

944
00:47:41,079 --> 00:47:49,639
that's my dog. Here we go many for you. I

945
00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:52,239
just made that yesterday and Ralph comes on with a

946
00:47:52,280 --> 00:47:53,039
barking dog.

947
00:47:53,159 --> 00:47:57,679
Speaker 3: Shout out, guns spring the money line on the Mizoo Tigers.

948
00:47:57,719 --> 00:48:02,239
According to famed lacrosse expert Ralph Michaels, you can give

949
00:48:02,320 --> 00:48:05,599
him a follow on Twitter at cal Sports LV. Ralph

950
00:48:05,679 --> 00:48:08,159
always a pleasure man. Again, folks, check that out, wt

951
00:48:08,320 --> 00:48:12,639
dot buzzbackslash rm. Ralph's got a college basketball play loves

952
00:48:12,679 --> 00:48:13,159
tonight to.

953
00:48:13,159 --> 00:48:13,719
Speaker 2: Check that out.

954
00:48:13,800 --> 00:48:16,519
Speaker 6: I do want to mention guys, I did a guest

955
00:48:16,599 --> 00:48:19,400
appearance on Puck Time today, So if you want to

956
00:48:19,440 --> 00:48:24,000
know how teams have done off with significant rest, what

957
00:48:24,079 --> 00:48:26,920
their traditional numbers have been after the All Star breaks,

958
00:48:27,119 --> 00:48:29,880
I break down horse situations. Make sure you check it out.

959
00:48:30,039 --> 00:48:32,360
You're going to be surprised at some of those ATS

960
00:48:32,480 --> 00:48:35,159
numbers in hockey. The first game back after an All

961
00:48:35,159 --> 00:48:37,719
Star break, and we know this is an incredibly unique

962
00:48:37,719 --> 00:48:41,639
situation with the but make sure you watch that video.

963
00:48:42,119 --> 00:48:44,880
Be careful betting teams that were hot into the All

964
00:48:44,880 --> 00:48:48,360
Star break, and be careful about betting teams the first

965
00:48:48,360 --> 00:48:50,880
game at home as a favorite the game after the

966
00:48:50,880 --> 00:48:51,559
All Star break.

967
00:48:52,400 --> 00:48:56,159
Speaker 3: That's an expert tease frum our man, Ralph Michaels. Ralph

968
00:48:56,440 --> 00:48:59,159
always a pleasure man. Appreciate you, thanks for coming on

969
00:48:59,320 --> 00:49:02,760
and liking mentioned Andy. There was a really cool special

970
00:49:02,800 --> 00:49:04,840
that they did with Puck Time today. They had Ralph on,

971
00:49:05,280 --> 00:49:06,559
they had some of the other guys and it was

972
00:49:06,599 --> 00:49:10,039
basically like a future bonanza. They were basically breaking down, Hey,

973
00:49:10,400 --> 00:49:12,960
return to play for NHL. Here's how we're looking to

974
00:49:13,000 --> 00:49:15,760
bet this, you know, final stands of the NHL season.

975
00:49:16,079 --> 00:49:18,880
Ralph hopped on there with some historical data and trends

976
00:49:18,920 --> 00:49:21,920
that maybe maybe go against what Barney at the bar

977
00:49:21,960 --> 00:49:24,880
would maybe think with lansam chalk at home. Well, these

978
00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:26,199
teams don't want to travel again.

979
00:49:26,679 --> 00:49:29,679
Speaker 2: They're all traveling folks, you know what I mean.

980
00:49:29,840 --> 00:49:33,840
Speaker 3: Like the exactly, So, yeah, great stuff there and check

981
00:49:33,880 --> 00:49:35,400
it out puck time right here on the channel.

982
00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:37,800
Speaker 2: Great way to know if it goes live. That subscribe

983
00:49:37,800 --> 00:49:38,920
button if you haven't already.

984
00:49:38,960 --> 00:49:42,360
Speaker 1: And yeah, in case none of you, those of you

985
00:49:42,440 --> 00:49:44,239
that have followed me for a long time, no, I

986
00:49:44,320 --> 00:49:47,320
love my drops and data.

987
00:49:47,440 --> 00:49:50,039
Speaker 2: Well, well it's.

988
00:49:50,079 --> 00:49:52,280
Speaker 1: It's a struggle because we have to be super careful

989
00:49:52,400 --> 00:49:54,079
what we put on here so we don't get dinged

990
00:49:54,119 --> 00:49:55,000
with a copyright thing.

991
00:49:55,079 --> 00:49:57,519
Speaker 2: Cause you can get hit with a copyright thing. It really,

992
00:49:58,239 --> 00:50:00,960
you know, it can't. It was really dangerous.

993
00:50:01,519 --> 00:50:06,519
Speaker 3: Yeah, we got the the wager Talk YouTube channel even

994
00:50:06,519 --> 00:50:09,400
a strike against us because we played like a drop

995
00:50:09,480 --> 00:50:14,159
on the channel. President President of Mask, like JD was

996
00:50:14,239 --> 00:50:16,119
joking about that would be the host of the show.

997
00:50:16,159 --> 00:50:18,719
Speaker 2: That would be it would be yeah, yeah, yeah. So

998
00:50:18,840 --> 00:50:22,280
but we'll keep we'll keep working on on jobs.

999
00:50:22,280 --> 00:50:25,480
Speaker 1: But that's an homage to the old school NBA show

1000
00:50:25,920 --> 00:50:29,800
that that's my dog. So uh, we'll have a lot

1001
00:50:29,920 --> 00:50:32,760
more as the weeks continue. So all right, let's go

1002
00:50:32,880 --> 00:50:35,119
to all around the world. Dan give out some free

1003
00:50:35,159 --> 00:50:36,280
plays before we.

1004
00:50:36,199 --> 00:50:36,960
Speaker 2: Get out of here.

1005
00:50:38,760 --> 00:50:42,480
Speaker 1: I I don't understand the number on Luke Canard. This

1006
00:50:42,679 --> 00:50:45,920
was seven and a half. Last game I played it,

1007
00:50:46,079 --> 00:50:48,639
he went over, and so now they've lowered.

1008
00:50:48,280 --> 00:50:49,840
Speaker 2: It to five and a half points.

1009
00:50:50,679 --> 00:50:53,719
Speaker 1: I could be the ultimate sucker here, but whatever, I'll

1010
00:50:53,719 --> 00:50:55,920
go for it. He's gone over in all five games

1011
00:50:56,239 --> 00:50:58,599
with the Lakers. He's getting at least eighteen minutes. He's

1012
00:50:58,639 --> 00:51:01,039
hit at least one three and every game hit at

1013
00:51:01,119 --> 00:51:03,840
least three field goals in each game. He doesn't shoot

1014
00:51:03,840 --> 00:51:05,960
the ball a loop, but when he does, he's wide

1015
00:51:05,960 --> 00:51:08,280
open and he's a very accurate shooter.

1016
00:51:08,480 --> 00:51:10,679
Speaker 2: So this line move tells you everything.

1017
00:51:10,719 --> 00:51:14,039
Speaker 1: It probably looks like an under, but I don't understand

1018
00:51:14,039 --> 00:51:16,840
the line move when a guy is consistently playing and

1019
00:51:16,960 --> 00:51:19,480
hitting shots, I'll take the over. Shout out to who

1020
00:51:19,519 --> 00:51:23,639
ever mentioned Shane Lowry at the Cognizant Classic. I got

1021
00:51:23,679 --> 00:51:26,840
him top twenty. He's the betting favorite. Is a very

1022
00:51:27,000 --> 00:51:30,679
weak field, and he loves this place. He's finished top

1023
00:51:30,760 --> 00:51:34,320
eleven in five straight years. He should have won this

1024
00:51:34,400 --> 00:51:37,639
thing a few years ago. He just loves playing here.

1025
00:51:37,800 --> 00:51:40,360
His approach game is on point. That's gonna be one

1026
00:51:40,400 --> 00:51:42,440
of the keys this week. So I think you're getting

1027
00:51:42,440 --> 00:51:44,159
a great price on him at minus one o six

1028
00:51:44,199 --> 00:51:48,880
on DraftKings for top twenty and then first Bettable NASCAR

1029
00:51:49,000 --> 00:51:51,239
race of the year. The last two races have been

1030
00:51:51,960 --> 00:51:54,239
restrictor played or pack racing, however you want to call it.

1031
00:51:54,440 --> 00:51:56,320
Speaker 2: This is a road course.

1032
00:51:56,920 --> 00:51:59,480
Speaker 1: Shane van Gisbergen to win, it's plus one twenty and

1033
00:51:59,480 --> 00:52:03,079
I know you're thinking plus one twenty. That's it on

1034
00:52:03,199 --> 00:52:06,159
a guy that outright win a NASCAR race. This is

1035
00:52:06,320 --> 00:52:09,519
the best road course driver that NASCAR has every seen.

1036
00:52:09,679 --> 00:52:14,199
Dan He won every road course last year. Everyone everyone

1037
00:52:14,320 --> 00:52:15,000
clean sweep.

1038
00:52:15,480 --> 00:52:15,679
Speaker 6: Uh.

1039
00:52:15,760 --> 00:52:18,800
Speaker 1: So you just play him at every road course if

1040
00:52:18,880 --> 00:52:20,920
he if he starts on the on the front row,

1041
00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:21,360
look out.

1042
00:52:21,559 --> 00:52:21,639
Speaker 2: Uh.

1043
00:52:21,800 --> 00:52:24,079
Speaker 1: The only worry is that the rest of the field

1044
00:52:24,119 --> 00:52:26,199
may go at some point. We're just gonna have to

1045
00:52:26,199 --> 00:52:28,519
wreck him and give us a chance to win. But

1046
00:52:28,559 --> 00:52:30,199
I don't think it's this week. So those are your

1047
00:52:30,199 --> 00:52:33,320
free plays. There Canardover's points, Lowry top twenty and Shane

1048
00:52:33,360 --> 00:52:39,360
at vander Gisbergen to win plus one twenty. Uh, let's

1049
00:52:39,760 --> 00:52:41,679
uh yeah, I think he's I think he's in the

1050
00:52:41,760 --> 00:52:44,840
Chevy because they moved. They moved Connor zilichup from UH

1051
00:52:45,199 --> 00:52:47,599
from Mxfinity to partner up with I think they're pushing

1052
00:52:47,719 --> 00:52:50,519
Chestain kind of out. So these two are going to

1053
00:52:50,559 --> 00:52:53,039
be uh yeah, these two are gonna be running one

1054
00:52:53,039 --> 00:52:54,719
two a lot at the road courses.

1055
00:52:54,760 --> 00:52:57,239
Speaker 2: These guys are Andy man of.

1056
00:52:57,239 --> 00:53:00,960
Speaker 3: The people, because we've had comments after the video, We've

1057
00:53:00,960 --> 00:53:02,960
had comments here in the live chatter like, hey, you

1058
00:53:02,960 --> 00:53:05,360
got anything in Nascar, Hey, you got anything in Nascar.

1059
00:53:05,480 --> 00:53:07,880
So Andy has heard your pleas and if they're a

1060
00:53:07,960 --> 00:53:11,199
betible NASCAR action, boom, you get him for free all

1061
00:53:11,239 --> 00:53:11,960
around the world.

1062
00:53:12,159 --> 00:53:14,400
Speaker 2: I love it there, man, that's the luck with that one.

1063
00:53:14,480 --> 00:53:16,320
Speaker 3: And I know a lot of folks who have been

1064
00:53:16,320 --> 00:53:18,840
common and are happy to see a NASCAR play being

1065
00:53:18,920 --> 00:53:21,239
dropped from from the man who when Andy and I

1066
00:53:21,280 --> 00:53:23,519
started working together, we recorded a NASCAR show.

1067
00:53:23,719 --> 00:53:26,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, so we've come a long way here, Andy, come

1068
00:53:26,679 --> 00:53:30,159
a long way brother. Yeah. Formula one will be starting

1069
00:53:30,199 --> 00:53:30,559
up soon.

1070
00:53:30,599 --> 00:53:33,119
Speaker 1: They went through testing, so I think we're gonna have

1071
00:53:33,159 --> 00:53:36,840
some some good, some good playable lines on NASCAR this

1072
00:53:36,880 --> 00:53:39,079
week and then Formula one. And by the way, people,

1073
00:53:39,519 --> 00:53:42,360
I get this question, what's your best sport? Never had

1074
00:53:42,360 --> 00:53:45,119
a losing season in auto racing since being a wager talk,

1075
00:53:45,199 --> 00:53:48,079
I guess you have to say that's that's the best sport.

1076
00:53:48,119 --> 00:53:50,039
Speaker 2: That's pretty good. The one you've the one you've never liked.

1077
00:53:50,159 --> 00:53:53,440
Yeah yeah, so uh yeah auto racing.

1078
00:53:53,480 --> 00:53:55,239
Speaker 1: A lot of money to be made in auto racing,

1079
00:53:55,320 --> 00:53:58,599
so uh but we'll have plays up and yeah, it'll

1080
00:53:58,639 --> 00:54:00,559
be a good, good week of car betting.

1081
00:54:00,599 --> 00:54:02,400
Speaker 2: So all right, thanks guys for watching.

1082
00:54:02,679 --> 00:54:04,880
Speaker 1: I did not go three and oh yesterday, so we

1083
00:54:04,960 --> 00:54:06,400
got to figure out another way to get a three

1084
00:54:06,440 --> 00:54:09,840
day pass to the people. Sorry, I accidentally went one

1085
00:54:09,880 --> 00:54:12,760
and two. Actually the one that one wasn't even really

1086
00:54:12,760 --> 00:54:14,559
close to the two the loss weren't even really close.

1087
00:54:14,599 --> 00:54:16,880
So it was kind of a blah ho hum type

1088
00:54:16,920 --> 00:54:18,440
of night in the NBA. But we got a ton

1089
00:54:18,519 --> 00:54:20,960
of games and it is five dollars Friday, so take advantage.

1090
00:54:21,039 --> 00:54:23,480
Get as many handicappers as you feel comfortable with. We

1091
00:54:23,519 --> 00:54:25,360
don't want a whole bunch of your bankroll tied up,

1092
00:54:25,480 --> 00:54:27,360
but it's a great way to try out handicappers that

1093
00:54:27,360 --> 00:54:30,239
you've never tried out before. Read their analysis, see how

1094
00:54:30,239 --> 00:54:33,400
their brain works and how they picked their their.

1095
00:54:33,239 --> 00:54:36,280
Speaker 2: Sides, totals, props, whatever. So five dollars Tuesday.

1096
00:54:36,320 --> 00:54:38,760
Speaker 1: Mine is in the NBA. Absolutely love it. It's in

1097
00:54:38,760 --> 00:54:41,119
a game we talked about on this very show. So

1098
00:54:41,199 --> 00:54:44,320
looking forward to a big Tuesday. And also all Access clients,

1099
00:54:44,800 --> 00:54:48,199
make sure your emails are on. They're moving tennis matches

1100
00:54:48,320 --> 00:54:51,039
as we speak, and if I get good matchups, we

1101
00:54:51,119 --> 00:54:53,519
will be firing on some of these doubles plays, so

1102
00:54:53,679 --> 00:54:54,639
good betable lines.

1103
00:54:55,480 --> 00:54:57,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm excited about that. Let's go.

1104
00:54:57,960 --> 00:55:01,159
Speaker 1: Thanks guys like button comment below. Appreciate you guys. Good

1105
00:55:01,199 --> 00:55:02,840
luck on your bets. We'll see you tomorrow, the same time,

1106
00:55:03,119 --> 00:55:03,679
same place.

1107
00:55:03,800 --> 00:55:04,199
Speaker 2: Take care,

