WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.280 --> 00:00:03.799 Michael the news break says that the Iranians moved most 2 00:00:03.839 --> 00:00:09.199 of the uranium or the nuclear products before the air strike. 3 00:00:09.880 --> 00:00:12.359 I thought Israel had air dominance. 4 00:00:12.839 --> 00:00:16.280 Why didn't they take out all those trucks. 5 00:00:16.760 --> 00:00:18.399 This sounds like a cluster. 6 00:00:20.679 --> 00:00:25.320 Let's walk through that, because I spent probably too much 7 00:00:25.359 --> 00:00:30.760 time last night trying to figure out what, what do 8 00:00:30.879 --> 00:00:35.200 we know or what's being said about the strikes on 9 00:00:35.359 --> 00:00:41.159 Iran's nuclear facilities back on June twenty second. Remember it 10 00:00:41.200 --> 00:00:47.719 targeted three sites, Fordeau, the Tons and Isfahan, Operation Midnight 11 00:00:47.759 --> 00:00:54.000 Hammer B two Spirit stealth bombers, fourteen bunker buster bombs, 12 00:00:54.039 --> 00:00:59.560 the GBU fifty seven massive ordnance penetrators. We had a 13 00:00:59.600 --> 00:01:04.400 submarin that more I think more than two dozen Tomahawk 14 00:01:04.439 --> 00:01:08.760 cruise missiles. And then Trump comes out. The President comes 15 00:01:08.760 --> 00:01:13.760 out and claims the strikes quote completely and totally obliterated 16 00:01:14.760 --> 00:01:20.599 Rand's nuclear enrichment capabilities. But then when I start digging, 17 00:01:21.879 --> 00:01:27.640 and I'm not yet willing to fall on one side 18 00:01:27.719 --> 00:01:31.519 or the other, and let me explain why, because I'm 19 00:01:31.519 --> 00:01:34.000 not trying to be you know, wishy washy here, and 20 00:01:34.000 --> 00:01:35.159 I'm not trying to be. 21 00:01:36.560 --> 00:01:40.040 You know, the lawyer well, you know, consider this. 22 00:01:40.200 --> 00:01:44.040 But on the other hand, it's because I know how 23 00:01:44.120 --> 00:01:50.959 intelligence reports are given. I know how intelligence is collected, 24 00:01:51.719 --> 00:01:58.280 and I know that sometimes intelligence is the facts may 25 00:01:58.319 --> 00:02:02.079 be there, but nobody asks the right questions, and so 26 00:02:02.280 --> 00:02:05.359 the summary, the briefing doesn't get to the heart of 27 00:02:05.359 --> 00:02:07.120 what you really want to know. And I don't know 28 00:02:07.120 --> 00:02:09.759 whether that's the case here or not. And I also 29 00:02:09.800 --> 00:02:11.719 don't know whether politics is playing a part of this 30 00:02:11.840 --> 00:02:17.800 or not. So I just went through every publicly available 31 00:02:17.879 --> 00:02:22.759 source that I can have access to. I ask a 32 00:02:22.800 --> 00:02:28.520 couple of people that might have some tangential knowledge about 33 00:02:28.560 --> 00:02:32.800 it to find out what's real and what's not real. 34 00:02:36.199 --> 00:02:41.120 So let's just think in terms of damage assessment, and 35 00:02:41.199 --> 00:02:46.800 let's go first to FOURDEH, because that's around's most fortified 36 00:02:47.400 --> 00:02:52.400 nuclear facility, very deep, with than a mountaineer calm, and 37 00:02:52.439 --> 00:02:55.360 it is designed specifically to withstand air strikes. 38 00:02:56.280 --> 00:02:59.199 It's an uranium enrichment. 39 00:02:58.800 --> 00:03:03.159 Site capable of holding up to two thousand, nine hundred 40 00:03:03.159 --> 00:03:08.199 and seventy six centrifuges. It is probably the most critical 41 00:03:08.400 --> 00:03:12.639 part of Iran's nuclear program because of the hardened structure. 42 00:03:14.000 --> 00:03:17.280 So on that particular site, we deployed twelve mops on 43 00:03:17.400 --> 00:03:21.039 four doh each wayh you know, thirty thousand pounds each 44 00:03:21.159 --> 00:03:26.159 capable of penetrating up to sixty meters of earth or 45 00:03:26.280 --> 00:03:33.919 eighteen meters of concrete. We dropped twelve of those twelve 46 00:03:33.960 --> 00:03:38.919 times well sixty meters depending on how many you know 47 00:03:39.000 --> 00:03:43.039 initially of earth, and then twelve times however many that 48 00:03:43.280 --> 00:03:49.039 you know through eighteen meters of concrete. Maxar Technologies, part 49 00:03:49.039 --> 00:03:53.120 of which is actually Colorado, I think. Their satellite imagery 50 00:03:54.120 --> 00:03:58.599 captured on June twenty second shows six large craters clustered 51 00:03:58.639 --> 00:04:02.479 around two entry points on the ridge above the facility, 52 00:04:03.400 --> 00:04:05.719 and then you see dustined debris scattered all across the 53 00:04:05.719 --> 00:04:09.960 mountain side. Tunnel entrances appear on the satellite imagery to 54 00:04:10.000 --> 00:04:15.439 be blocked now because of the strike shock waves or 55 00:04:15.479 --> 00:04:19.959 where there are preemptive Iranian actions to seal the entryways. Now, 56 00:04:20.360 --> 00:04:25.040 I'm really sure it makes any difference. The entry points 57 00:04:25.399 --> 00:04:30.959 appear to be shut down, sealed off. So what's the 58 00:04:31.040 --> 00:04:35.120 damage assessment? Well, the damage as assessment itself is the 59 00:04:36.120 --> 00:04:41.199 significant surface damage craters blocked tunnel entrances. The so called 60 00:04:41.319 --> 00:04:47.399 experts suggest that the mops likely targeted ventilation structures or 61 00:04:47.439 --> 00:04:51.519 other infrastructure on the surface to maximize penetration. The extent 62 00:04:51.560 --> 00:04:55.199 of the damage to the underground centrifuge halls and the 63 00:04:55.319 --> 00:05:01.160 enrichment equipment, honestly, I think remains unclear now. The director 64 00:05:01.240 --> 00:05:05.800 of the International Atomic Energy Agency, the IAEA, a guy 65 00:05:05.879 --> 00:05:09.279 by the name of Raphael Grossi, he has stated, and 66 00:05:09.360 --> 00:05:12.040 I quote, no one could be able to tell you 67 00:05:12.120 --> 00:05:15.959 how much it has been damaged underground, as the IAEA 68 00:05:16.079 --> 00:05:20.480 inspectors have not yet accessed the site. The facility's depth 69 00:05:20.800 --> 00:05:25.079 estimated that forty five to ninety meters of bedrock. An 70 00:05:25.120 --> 00:05:29.920 iron's use of high strength concrete concrete may have limited 71 00:05:30.240 --> 00:05:34.040 the bomb's effectiveness. I emphasized may have because we don't know. 72 00:05:36.319 --> 00:05:39.959 There are a few experts. Jeffrey Lewis from Middlebury Institute 73 00:05:40.000 --> 00:05:43.720 of International Studies. He says the strikes did not appear 74 00:05:43.759 --> 00:05:48.240 to target RAN's highly enriched uranium stockpiles, which are likely 75 00:05:48.240 --> 00:05:52.839 sorted underground tunnels. Now, I tried to figure out what 76 00:05:53.199 --> 00:05:57.439 was he talking about, tunnels inside the facility, Tunnels that 77 00:05:57.639 --> 00:06:02.160 like you know, tentacles somehow go outside, still beneath the mountain, 78 00:06:03.079 --> 00:06:06.360 still within the mountain, but outside, you know, like like 79 00:06:06.480 --> 00:06:08.800 imagine a big giant room in the middle, you know 80 00:06:09.600 --> 00:06:14.120 what would to be forty five or ninety meters below bedrock, 81 00:06:15.000 --> 00:06:17.480 and then from their tentacles out in those titles they 82 00:06:17.560 --> 00:06:18.279 throw of those titles. 83 00:06:18.600 --> 00:06:19.600 Well, that's what he says. 84 00:06:22.000 --> 00:06:25.120 The Institute for Science and International Security YAHOO by the 85 00:06:25.199 --> 00:06:29.040 name of I shouldn't say YEAHO docause David Albright. He 86 00:06:29.240 --> 00:06:37.360 suggests that thousands of the uninstalled centrifuges may remain intact elsewhere, which, 87 00:06:37.399 --> 00:06:41.319 of course, he argues, would allow Iran to reconstitute its 88 00:06:41.439 --> 00:06:50.759 enrichment capacity. The only Israeli commentary is anonymous speakers that 89 00:06:50.920 --> 00:06:56.439 describe the damage as serious but not complete destruction, which 90 00:06:56.519 --> 00:07:01.879 obviously would contradict Trump's claim of literated. And of course 91 00:07:01.920 --> 00:07:05.920 it gets to the definition of obliterated, which in my 92 00:07:06.120 --> 00:07:14.360 vernacular is under destruction, totally destroyed. Aron's Atomic Energy Organization says, oh, 93 00:07:14.560 --> 00:07:16.399 just minor damage. But what would you what would you 94 00:07:16.480 --> 00:07:23.000 expect them to say? So for FEDOR, it's sustained severe 95 00:07:23.079 --> 00:07:29.800 surface damage, probably disruption to underground operations. The core underground 96 00:07:30.000 --> 00:07:36.279 enrichment capabilities, including the centrifuges and the uranium stockpiles may 97 00:07:36.319 --> 00:07:41.120 not have been fully destroyed, and part of the facility 98 00:07:41.000 --> 00:07:48.680 may remain partially intact. But is it accessible and is 99 00:07:48.720 --> 00:07:53.399 it operational? My guess is that it is not operational. 100 00:07:53.759 --> 00:07:58.959 It's certainly probably not accessible at all, but that doesn't 101 00:07:58.959 --> 00:08:02.319 mean that parts of it inside the very core may 102 00:08:02.480 --> 00:08:05.759 some of it may remain undamaged. It just you know, 103 00:08:05.879 --> 00:08:09.879 you know when you blow something up that you know 104 00:08:09.920 --> 00:08:13.160 you have pieces and parts whatever that remain intact and 105 00:08:13.240 --> 00:08:18.360 other pieces are just shredded. So that's my assessment of 106 00:08:18.399 --> 00:08:26.720 for door Matons. The Isfahan province now, it is Iran's 107 00:08:26.839 --> 00:08:32.399 primary uranium enrichment site. It has both above and underground facilities. 108 00:08:34.519 --> 00:08:40.639 It housed cascades ofentrifuges, including those at sixty percent enriched, 109 00:08:41.480 --> 00:08:44.840 and that was what some have described as the cornerstone 110 00:08:45.039 --> 00:08:50.240 of the urine Iranian nuclear program. So two mops were 111 00:08:50.279 --> 00:08:56.039 dropped into Tons targeting in an underground centrifuge facility. Israel had 112 00:08:56.600 --> 00:08:59.480 drop bombs prior to that, back a couple of weeks, 113 00:08:59.480 --> 00:09:02.480 while she s maybe nine or ten days earlier. 114 00:09:03.039 --> 00:09:04.200 If it already. 115 00:09:03.879 --> 00:09:08.799 Damaged the above ground infrastructure, including the Iranian's pilot fuel 116 00:09:08.879 --> 00:09:14.759 enrichment plant. And they also attacked all the electrical substations. 117 00:09:15.080 --> 00:09:19.480 So what's the damage assessment? Again, you go to Maxar Technologies. 118 00:09:19.720 --> 00:09:23.720 You can find all these photos online. Significant damage to 119 00:09:23.720 --> 00:09:28.480 the above ground structures, including that facility that was in 120 00:09:29.120 --> 00:09:35.799 producing the sixty percent enriched uranium. The IAEA confirmed that 121 00:09:35.879 --> 00:09:40.039 the above ground part was destroyed, the electrical infrastructure, all 122 00:09:40.039 --> 00:09:43.320 the substations, the power supplied buildings, all the backup generators 123 00:09:43.519 --> 00:09:47.559 they were and they used the term obliterated, which I 124 00:09:47.679 --> 00:09:51.840 just found interesting. So the IAEA says that in terms 125 00:09:51.919 --> 00:09:56.279 of the toons, the infrastructure was obliterated, But what about 126 00:09:56.320 --> 00:10:01.399 the underground. Go back to the IAEA, Grossie, the same 127 00:10:01.919 --> 00:10:06.000 director director general, I think is its title. Notice that 128 00:10:06.039 --> 00:10:11.279 the sudden loss of external power would have severely damaged, 129 00:10:11.399 --> 00:10:18.080 if not destroyed, altogether, the underground centrifuge cascades. All right, 130 00:10:18.559 --> 00:10:24.000 So that's the IAEA destroyed all, you know, probably destroyed altogether. 131 00:10:25.000 --> 00:10:27.559 Now what got interesting was and the Wall Street Journal 132 00:10:27.600 --> 00:10:29.559 has a headline today. I've not yet read the story, 133 00:10:30.120 --> 00:10:32.120 but the let me just pull it up, just saying 134 00:10:32.159 --> 00:10:35.399 team what the headline is? Wall Street Journal today has 135 00:10:35.399 --> 00:10:39.200 a headline. The reason this is important, is Hegsath? The 136 00:10:39.240 --> 00:10:46.919 Defense Secretary says FBI is probing leak of Iran strike report. 137 00:10:48.279 --> 00:10:53.440 The preliminary preliminary report said strikes on three Iranian nuclear 138 00:10:53.480 --> 00:10:57.039 facilities step back to RAN's ambitions by only a few months. 139 00:10:57.519 --> 00:10:59.840 The Israel Iran cease fire appeared to hold for another 140 00:11:00.480 --> 00:11:04.240 So apparently this information I'm about to share with you 141 00:11:05.159 --> 00:11:10.000 is information that was supposedly leaked and now the FBI 142 00:11:10.080 --> 00:11:10.960 is investigating it. 143 00:11:12.399 --> 00:11:13.200 So what is that? 144 00:11:13.919 --> 00:11:19.279 A Defense intelligence agency, the DEA, they released a report 145 00:11:19.519 --> 00:11:22.679 or leaked a report, or somebody got a report on 146 00:11:22.759 --> 00:11:28.240 June twenty four, that's yesterday, which indicated that core components, 147 00:11:28.360 --> 00:11:35.720 including some centrifuges, remained intact and could be restarted within months. 148 00:11:36.879 --> 00:11:39.799 Those are That's the only general quote that I can 149 00:11:39.840 --> 00:11:44.000 find about the destruction there. So let's go to the 150 00:11:44.039 --> 00:11:47.200 Institute for Science and International Security. A guy by the 151 00:11:47.279 --> 00:11:53.960 name of Spencer Farragassa estimated that reconstituting that which could 152 00:11:54.120 --> 00:11:58.759 remain intact and which could be restarted could take years. 153 00:12:00.559 --> 00:12:03.279 But he is the one that has suggested that the 154 00:12:03.440 --> 00:12:09.039 Uranians might have uninstalled centrifuges stored elsewhere, reducing a setback, 155 00:12:09.879 --> 00:12:13.279 not that they moved any He in particular says that 156 00:12:13.320 --> 00:12:22.039 they may have uninstalled centrifuges that were stored elsewhere. They 157 00:12:22.200 --> 00:12:27.799 emphasize that the strikes did not target enriched uranium stockpiles, 158 00:12:28.960 --> 00:12:34.039 which could and may have been moved to covert sites. Now, 159 00:12:34.080 --> 00:12:37.799 the Iranians, of course, you know, know, nothing happened, kind 160 00:12:37.799 --> 00:12:41.799 of Bagdad Bob here, nothing happened. So I would just 161 00:12:41.840 --> 00:12:46.639 conclude this Natan suffered very extensive damage, particularly to the 162 00:12:46.679 --> 00:12:50.799 above ground infrastructure and likely to the underground centrifuges because 163 00:12:50.840 --> 00:12:55.720 of the power disruptions, because those centrifuges need remain powered 164 00:12:55.799 --> 00:12:58.519 up and if you destroy the power source, then you're 165 00:12:58.519 --> 00:13:03.200 going to damage the centrifuges. There may be some underground 166 00:13:03.200 --> 00:13:09.399 capabilities and some uninstalled equipment that may remain intact, but 167 00:13:09.919 --> 00:13:14.519 that will that limits the long term impact, and that 168 00:13:14.919 --> 00:13:18.519 doesn't define or I can't find any definition that if 169 00:13:18.559 --> 00:13:21.600 you took those First of all, let's go back again 170 00:13:22.399 --> 00:13:27.840 about natons. I don't believe they have access to the 171 00:13:27.879 --> 00:13:32.679 internal core facility. Now, that will take time to get 172 00:13:32.799 --> 00:13:36.200 access to that core facility. Once they get in there, 173 00:13:36.240 --> 00:13:37.840 they may or may not find that there is some 174 00:13:37.919 --> 00:13:40.840 destruction and it may be obliterated, it may not, but 175 00:13:40.919 --> 00:13:45.919 we just don't know yet. So some underground capabilities and 176 00:13:46.000 --> 00:13:51.919 some uninstalled equipment may remain intact, which over I don't know, 177 00:13:52.360 --> 00:13:55.000 a period of time which I'm not willing to define, 178 00:13:55.159 --> 00:13:56.639 they could reconstitute. 179 00:13:59.159 --> 00:14:00.000 Is Fahn. 180 00:14:01.399 --> 00:14:06.039 Is a key nuclear research and production center. It housed 181 00:14:06.080 --> 00:14:11.360 the uranium conversion facility, fuel fabrication plants, and again another 182 00:14:11.440 --> 00:14:15.840 storage area for enriched uranium. It is probably the least 183 00:14:16.000 --> 00:14:20.360 fortified of the three structures. However, it is critical for 184 00:14:20.519 --> 00:14:26.159 preparing raw materials and converting uranium into a form for enrichment, 185 00:14:26.879 --> 00:14:30.960 so it's kind of like it's the least secure, the 186 00:14:31.080 --> 00:14:35.159 least fortified, and is the initial starting point for their 187 00:14:35.200 --> 00:14:40.240 conversion process. It was hit by more than two dozen 188 00:14:40.279 --> 00:14:48.960 Tomahawk cruise missiles. The missiles targeted key surface infrastructure. Again, 189 00:14:49.240 --> 00:14:53.960 Israel had hit that site earlier in June, damaged four buildings, 190 00:14:54.000 --> 00:15:01.159 including the uranium conversion facility. So what's the damage assessment? Again, 191 00:15:01.240 --> 00:15:06.720 go back to MAXR and their satellite imagery. It shows 192 00:15:06.759 --> 00:15:12.279 heavily damaged buildings, infrastructure, and again the IAEA General Director 193 00:15:12.360 --> 00:15:17.080 or Director General confirms extensive damage to six additional buildings, 194 00:15:17.120 --> 00:15:24.159 including a fuel rod production facility. The strikes targeted the 195 00:15:24.200 --> 00:15:29.440 facilities that with minimal or no nuclear material, so of 196 00:15:29.440 --> 00:15:31.840 course there was no radiological release. By the way, I 197 00:15:31.840 --> 00:15:35.360 would just make a comment here that the IAEA says 198 00:15:35.360 --> 00:15:38.559 they've seen no release of radiation anywhere, and people have 199 00:15:38.639 --> 00:15:41.679 jumped to the conclusion that means that wasn't damaged. I 200 00:15:41.720 --> 00:15:47.639 think that's erroneous because if you have the facilities that 201 00:15:47.759 --> 00:15:51.720 you know, ninety meters below ground, all contained within concrete, 202 00:15:52.159 --> 00:15:56.360 that's like a nuclear reactor, and so if you then 203 00:15:56.519 --> 00:15:59.039 bomb that and everything is now piled on top of 204 00:15:59.080 --> 00:16:02.480 that concrete, than the concrete itself is now damaged and 205 00:16:02.600 --> 00:16:05.399 is piled onto the uranium, then you're probably not going 206 00:16:05.440 --> 00:16:08.519 to have any radiation exposure. You're not going to have 207 00:16:08.559 --> 00:16:13.679 any radiation leaks, because that's how nuclear reactors are designed 208 00:16:13.720 --> 00:16:16.320 that you know, it keeps it all contained, and if 209 00:16:16.360 --> 00:16:18.159 you pile the mountain on top of that, it's even 210 00:16:18.200 --> 00:16:22.559 more contained. But that's just my assessment. They go back 211 00:16:22.600 --> 00:16:28.240 to the Defense Intelligence Agency, they say the underground structures, 212 00:16:29.679 --> 00:16:37.159 including storage for the highly enriched uranium, were largely unaffected. Yeah, 213 00:16:37.759 --> 00:16:42.000 I made the mistake. That's not a mistake. I decided 214 00:16:42.039 --> 00:16:44.120 to see what are some of these people saying on 215 00:16:44.639 --> 00:16:49.000 X because it is a good source for news. You 216 00:16:49.080 --> 00:16:53.200 go back to one account back on June fifteenth, claim 217 00:16:53.320 --> 00:16:57.799 that a key facility for converting ninety percent enriched uranium 218 00:16:57.840 --> 00:17:01.919 gas to metal, which is a step weaponization, that it 219 00:17:01.960 --> 00:17:06.240 was damaged. But I can't find that verified anywhere. Lewis 220 00:17:06.240 --> 00:17:10.240 and Albright, those two experts I cited earlier, they emphasized 221 00:17:10.240 --> 00:17:15.839 that the strikes did not destroy the enriched uranium stockpiles, 222 00:17:16.440 --> 00:17:20.039 which they say may have not that they were, but 223 00:17:20.079 --> 00:17:23.799 they may have been moved to other secret locations, and 224 00:17:23.839 --> 00:17:26.680 of course the uraniums. Once again, well, there's nothing wrong here. 225 00:17:28.039 --> 00:17:32.000 So I would conclude that in terms of ISFAHAN, it 226 00:17:32.119 --> 00:17:37.119 did sustain severe damage to the above ground infrastructure, but 227 00:17:37.519 --> 00:17:43.039 the underground storage and some of the critical components may emphasize, 228 00:17:43.119 --> 00:17:49.519 may remain intact. But that may be so what because 229 00:17:49.960 --> 00:17:55.000 ISFAHAN their role in uranium conversion and storage makes it 230 00:17:55.079 --> 00:17:59.160 less central to enrichment. That means it's still important, but 231 00:17:59.240 --> 00:18:07.599 it's not that sign Now, what is the president, what's 232 00:18:07.640 --> 00:18:11.880 the administration? And what are some of the independent assessments 233 00:18:11.880 --> 00:18:14.200 of the overall damage. 234 00:18:15.000 --> 00:18:20.519 This is where it gets dicey Michael. 235 00:18:20.559 --> 00:18:23.400 It seems perfectly fitting for Trump to use a term 236 00:18:23.519 --> 00:18:29.559 like total obliteration for the destruction and Iran. I mean, 237 00:18:29.599 --> 00:18:32.839 what else is you going to say, big, beautiful obliteration. 238 00:18:33.119 --> 00:18:35.200 Of course, that's just Trump. 239 00:18:37.680 --> 00:18:43.559 I agree wholeheartedly, it is just Trump. But I think 240 00:18:43.720 --> 00:18:50.640 I think it's worth because any anyone who wants to 241 00:18:52.039 --> 00:18:56.119 use that language against him by showing that there was 242 00:18:56.200 --> 00:18:59.559 not and I think it's redundant to say complete the 243 00:18:59.599 --> 00:19:05.599 blitterate because obliteration implies that you've totally destroyed something. They're 244 00:19:05.599 --> 00:19:09.960 going to use that against him politically, and in fact, 245 00:19:10.039 --> 00:19:12.759 I think that's what's going on, which is why I 246 00:19:12.759 --> 00:19:14.960 wanted to go through and see what I could find 247 00:19:15.920 --> 00:19:19.960 from whatever sources I can access, to see whether or 248 00:19:19.960 --> 00:19:26.359 not we've really stopped the Iranians or have we paused 249 00:19:26.559 --> 00:19:30.440 the Iranians? Have we slowed them down? I mean, there's 250 00:19:30.519 --> 00:19:36.799 a whole spectrum of possibilities here. And I just again 251 00:19:37.000 --> 00:19:40.759 because the cabal, and in this case, I mean every 252 00:19:40.759 --> 00:19:45.039 aspect of the cabal, the you know, the tech companies, 253 00:19:46.359 --> 00:19:51.000 all of the ruling elites, Democrat and Republican They're all 254 00:19:51.039 --> 00:19:54.559 over the place, and the media is all over the place, 255 00:19:56.079 --> 00:19:57.839 and so I thought one thing I would try to 256 00:19:57.880 --> 00:20:02.880 do today is just give objective, an objective survey of 257 00:20:02.920 --> 00:20:08.640 what I really think has happened, which leads to the 258 00:20:08.680 --> 00:20:11.359 next thing I wanted to do is just let's look 259 00:20:11.400 --> 00:20:19.319 at the overall damage assessment from the administration, independent sources 260 00:20:20.359 --> 00:20:25.960 and the IAEA satellite imagery, and what was what were 261 00:20:25.960 --> 00:20:30.759 the Iranians doing beforehand? So, as you point out, both 262 00:20:30.839 --> 00:20:36.160 Trump and the Deaf sect have said that the strikes 263 00:20:36.240 --> 00:20:41.319 obliterated the facilities, and Trump went on, of course, to 264 00:20:41.400 --> 00:20:47.279 your point, describing the operation as a spectacular military success. 265 00:20:48.559 --> 00:20:53.160 But remember that the next day when I played the 266 00:20:53.240 --> 00:20:57.000 briefing from I played the entire eight minutes of General 267 00:20:57.079 --> 00:21:01.799 dan Kine determine the Joint Chiefs. When you think back 268 00:21:01.839 --> 00:21:04.559 on that, he was actually more measured. I'm not going 269 00:21:04.640 --> 00:21:07.720 to play the whole thing again, except he said this 270 00:21:08.440 --> 00:21:15.119 that all three sites sustained quote extremely severe damage and destruction, 271 00:21:16.079 --> 00:21:21.599 but that a full battle damage assessment was pending. And 272 00:21:21.640 --> 00:21:23.920 then he went on to say, generally speaking to until 273 00:21:23.960 --> 00:21:27.559 we get that full battle damage assessment, we won't know 274 00:21:28.599 --> 00:21:34.240 the extent of the extremely severe damage and destruction, which is, 275 00:21:34.720 --> 00:21:38.440 you know, slightly different than what Trump said, but again 276 00:21:38.519 --> 00:21:45.440 not surprising the Defense Intelligence Agency. I've got this under 277 00:21:45.519 --> 00:21:51.319 independent assessments, but I only say that because the DA 278 00:21:51.640 --> 00:21:55.440 having worked with them, they really do try to be objecting. Now, 279 00:21:55.480 --> 00:22:00.640 they had a preliminary classified report that was leeure somehow 280 00:22:01.119 --> 00:22:07.279 obtained yesterday by CNN, The Washington Post, New York Times, 281 00:22:07.359 --> 00:22:11.799 the Guardian, the usual suspects in the cabal. Now I've 282 00:22:11.839 --> 00:22:15.200 not seen the report itself, but they conclude that the 283 00:22:15.240 --> 00:22:21.680 strikes did not destroy core components of the Iranian nuclear program, 284 00:22:21.720 --> 00:22:26.720 including the centrifuges and the highly enretigrate uranium stockpiles. They 285 00:22:26.759 --> 00:22:29.440 say the program was set back by a few months 286 00:22:30.440 --> 00:22:35.119 tops that's a quote from the Times and others, rather 287 00:22:35.200 --> 00:22:39.480 than years. They do say that the entrances to Fordeau 288 00:22:39.519 --> 00:22:43.960 and the Times were sealed, but that doesn't necessarily mean 289 00:22:44.000 --> 00:22:50.279 that the internal underground structures collapsed entirely. Those two experts 290 00:22:50.440 --> 00:22:54.599 fort Lewis and Albright, they argue that the strikes were incomplete, 291 00:22:55.400 --> 00:22:58.960 because they still argue their contention is that the Iranians 292 00:22:59.000 --> 00:23:05.319 likely moved the enriched uranium and retains uninstalled centrifuges that 293 00:23:05.519 --> 00:23:08.160 were never put into use, so they could take the 294 00:23:08.240 --> 00:23:12.480 enriched uranium, use those in the uninstalled centrifuges and start 295 00:23:12.519 --> 00:23:18.160 back up again. The IAEA reported, as I said earlier, 296 00:23:18.279 --> 00:23:24.920 no off site radiation increases, no major radiological release grows. 297 00:23:24.960 --> 00:23:25.160 See. 298 00:23:25.559 --> 00:23:29.519 The Director General noted significant damage at all three sites, 299 00:23:30.680 --> 00:23:33.960 and he says the toms's above ground facilities were destroyed 300 00:23:34.519 --> 00:23:38.200 and potential centrifuge damage underground, and they too, as I 301 00:23:38.240 --> 00:23:44.039 said earlier, waiting to access underground access or at least 302 00:23:44.079 --> 00:23:47.119 access as far as they can get so they can 303 00:23:47.160 --> 00:23:50.880 do a damage assessment. And the satellite imagery both from 304 00:23:50.960 --> 00:23:55.240 Maxar which I've quoted earlier and Planet Labs PBC, does 305 00:23:55.279 --> 00:23:58.240 show all the surface damage, the craters, the debris, the 306 00:23:58.319 --> 00:24:02.079 destroyed buildings at all three sides, But obviously that cannot 307 00:24:02.160 --> 00:24:04.759 show the underground damage, so that's going to be harder 308 00:24:04.799 --> 00:24:10.519 to gauge because of the depth and the fortification. It 309 00:24:10.640 --> 00:24:15.200 was interesting that I found satellite and you may have 310 00:24:15.240 --> 00:24:18.759 seen these, the satellite images from days before the strikes. 311 00:24:18.799 --> 00:24:22.119 They showed this unusual what they call unusual truck activity 312 00:24:22.400 --> 00:24:27.599 at four dou Now some will argue that suggests that 313 00:24:27.640 --> 00:24:32.119 the Uranians were moving enriched uranium or equipment, and in fact, 314 00:24:32.160 --> 00:24:36.640 a senior IRGC, the Iranian Guard Corps, they actually claim 315 00:24:36.720 --> 00:24:40.880 back on June twentieth, that all enriched uranium was transferred. 316 00:24:41.279 --> 00:24:45.039 Now that's unverified, and it's unbelievable because I would expect 317 00:24:45.079 --> 00:24:48.400 them to say that. But I've looked closely at those trucks. 318 00:24:50.480 --> 00:24:55.279 Those trucks, now this is concluded. I'm obviously not an expert, 319 00:24:56.359 --> 00:24:59.200 but those trucks don't look like the kinds of trucks 320 00:24:59.200 --> 00:25:02.880 that you would use if you're going to be transformed, transforming, 321 00:25:03.039 --> 00:25:08.319 if you're going to be transferring enrich uranium, either in 322 00:25:08.440 --> 00:25:13.200 centrifuges or in rich uranium and whatever containers they keep 323 00:25:13.279 --> 00:25:16.799 them in and centrifuges, those just didn't look like the 324 00:25:16.880 --> 00:25:19.319 kind of trucks you would use. I would think you 325 00:25:19.359 --> 00:25:24.599 would have, you know, some sort of more sophisticated equipment 326 00:25:24.680 --> 00:25:30.160 to move them. So the uranium preparations, based on my 327 00:25:30.400 --> 00:25:31.839 past experience with. 328 00:25:32.119 --> 00:25:35.279 The Iraq WMD issue. 329 00:25:36.079 --> 00:25:39.880 In which we had intelligence that said some of this 330 00:25:39.960 --> 00:25:43.559 may have been moved to both Russia and into Syria. 331 00:25:43.839 --> 00:25:46.920 In fact, I still believe to this day that some 332 00:25:47.039 --> 00:25:53.240 of the some of the WMD, particularly the nerve gases 333 00:25:53.240 --> 00:25:58.039 and others, probably were moved into Syria because the Syrians 334 00:25:58.079 --> 00:26:00.839 eventually use those nerve gases against the Kurds and others. 335 00:26:01.799 --> 00:26:04.400 So I wouldn't be surprised if the Iranians did something 336 00:26:04.440 --> 00:26:08.480 like the Iraqis did, and you know, in anticipation of 337 00:26:08.960 --> 00:26:12.200 some strike either by the United States or by the Israelis, 338 00:26:12.519 --> 00:26:15.440 may indeed move some of it. But I'm want to 339 00:26:15.480 --> 00:26:20.160 emphasize the only basis on which that claim is made 340 00:26:20.759 --> 00:26:25.000 is the satellite imagery showing trucks lined up, which they 341 00:26:25.039 --> 00:26:27.039 claim to be as unusual. I have no clue whether 342 00:26:27.079 --> 00:26:31.240 it's unusual, unusual or not, but there were indeed trucks 343 00:26:31.279 --> 00:26:34.440 in some of the satellite imagery days before the strike, 344 00:26:34.799 --> 00:26:37.519 and they may have been doing something. They may have 345 00:26:37.559 --> 00:26:40.440 been reinforcing, They may have been bringing more dirt in 346 00:26:40.559 --> 00:26:44.519 for all I know. But that is the extent of 347 00:26:44.559 --> 00:26:52.960 the uranium preparations enriched uranium stockpiles. According to the Defense 348 00:26:53.000 --> 00:26:58.519 Intelligence Agency and all their experts in their analysis, they 349 00:26:58.640 --> 00:27:02.279 are being quoted saying that Iran moved much of its 350 00:27:02.319 --> 00:27:07.839 highly indur itched uranium before the strikes, possibly to secret facilities, 351 00:27:09.160 --> 00:27:12.960 and Lewis, again from I forget whether he was from 352 00:27:13.240 --> 00:27:16.680 which group he was from, noted that significant amounts of 353 00:27:16.720 --> 00:27:21.279 this in uranium still exists, but the location remains unknown. 354 00:27:21.839 --> 00:27:22.160 Now. 355 00:27:22.319 --> 00:27:27.359 That stockpile, if it really is intact, would allow Aran 356 00:27:27.480 --> 00:27:32.160 to potentially enrich to ninety percent according to the experts, 357 00:27:32.200 --> 00:27:37.480 in days two weeks, using any surviving or covert centrifuges 358 00:27:38.279 --> 00:27:42.880 that they may have hidden elsewhere. So, while the Tonza's 359 00:27:42.960 --> 00:27:49.720 centrifuges were probably I shouldn't say likely damaged, the Uranians 360 00:27:50.240 --> 00:27:57.000 probably have uninstalled centrifuges stored elsewhere. I think they probably 361 00:27:57.000 --> 00:28:00.680 have done that simply because I know that we do 362 00:28:00.759 --> 00:28:03.960 that sort of thing. You know, we have just to 363 00:28:04.000 --> 00:28:09.559 take something that's not That's the total opposite pharmaceuticals. We 364 00:28:09.599 --> 00:28:16.160 have pharmaceutical stockpiles, and some are in incredibly secure facilities 365 00:28:16.640 --> 00:28:20.559 and some are not in so secure facilities in order 366 00:28:20.599 --> 00:28:23.559 to have easier access. Well, if we would do with 367 00:28:23.599 --> 00:28:27.480 that with pharmaceuticals, I know we do that with other 368 00:28:28.359 --> 00:28:32.920 dangerous things, Well, why wouldn't the Uranians do the same thing. 369 00:28:35.000 --> 00:28:38.799 We do know that the Iranians were well, I shouldn't 370 00:28:38.799 --> 00:28:42.720 say we know. It was reported so to the extent 371 00:28:42.759 --> 00:28:46.400 that the reports are correct, that Iran had had begun 372 00:28:46.599 --> 00:28:51.559 constructing some new underground centri feud facilities near Neatons before 373 00:28:51.599 --> 00:28:56.519 the strikes, and that area was not targeted. And again 374 00:28:56.640 --> 00:29:04.079 the Defense Intelligence Agency reported that Iran may maintain really 375 00:29:04.160 --> 00:29:09.519 small covert enrichment sites that they purposely put together, so 376 00:29:09.599 --> 00:29:13.279 they would have some redundancy, some you know, like having 377 00:29:13.279 --> 00:29:17.200 a generator, you have some ability to keep the power on, 378 00:29:17.440 --> 00:29:21.319 to keep the process going, albeit at a smaller, more 379 00:29:21.359 --> 00:29:27.720 discreet level. There is one weaponization expert, Kenneth Pollock from 380 00:29:27.759 --> 00:29:33.319 the Middle East Institute. He's quoted as emphasizing that the 381 00:29:33.359 --> 00:29:38.160 Iranian nuclear knowledge is very widespread and that you cannot 382 00:29:38.200 --> 00:29:42.440 eliminate the knowledge by bombing. Now we know that we've 383 00:29:42.519 --> 00:29:47.279 killed some scientists. We know we killed, or shouldn't say 384 00:29:47.279 --> 00:29:50.640 we although there may be some of the facilities. We 385 00:29:50.720 --> 00:29:55.480 know that the Israelis targeted some of they had scientists. 386 00:29:57.000 --> 00:29:59.759 But that's all I can find reported is that the 387 00:29:59.799 --> 00:30:03.359 is Rayley's targeted and did assassinate some of the key 388 00:30:03.559 --> 00:30:08.319 scientific experts that were in charge of the programs. How 389 00:30:08.319 --> 00:30:11.240 many assistants did they have. How much knowledge do the 390 00:30:11.279 --> 00:30:15.519 assistants have Are they capable of stepping into the place 391 00:30:15.559 --> 00:30:20.440 of those that were assassinated. I can't find any publicly 392 00:30:20.440 --> 00:30:25.640 available information about that, but I would think again, if 393 00:30:25.640 --> 00:30:28.720 you're going to build redundancy into your program, you would 394 00:30:28.720 --> 00:30:31.880 have some of that. You would have some other scientists 395 00:30:31.960 --> 00:30:35.720 that you know, maybe are just you know, they're fill ins, 396 00:30:37.160 --> 00:30:40.240 they are understudies, and they follow along to see what's 397 00:30:40.279 --> 00:30:46.960 going on. So I think we've set it back. The 398 00:30:47.079 --> 00:30:51.240 question is whether we've obliterated it, totally destroyed it or not. 399 00:30:53.119 --> 00:30:57.200 And if we accept that there may be redundant sites 400 00:30:57.400 --> 00:31:04.200 on a smaller scale that remain untouched, then technically, in 401 00:31:04.279 --> 00:31:08.720