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Speaker 1: All right, guys, welcome in. It's Monday. It's time for

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total bases.

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Speaker 2: Little extra not that I need it, Brian, put a

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little extra caffeine for me this morning.

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Speaker 1: I was up late watching.

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Speaker 2: The Buffalo Bills pull off one of the comebacks of

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maybe ever that I can remember in a regular season

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football game. That's our team here in Central New York.

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So if you're wondering Central New York all the way

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out to Buffalo, almost all Bills fans.

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Speaker 1: You get the scattered Giants, no.

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Speaker 2: Jets fans out here. It's weird where I grew up

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from in Albany. There's a lot of Giants and Jets

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out here, and no one's a Jets fan. But anyway,

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what a way to sort of close out Week one

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of the NFL. This is a baseball show, though, and

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we're gonna be talking bases for the next hour. Brian Leonard,

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your Cleveland Guardians are sort of back in the mix

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here in the wildcard race. Two and a half back,

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and it looks like them and the Royals are going

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to decide who's here to stay or not over the

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next couple of days. So we've got people in the

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live chat. Welcome in appreciate you guys here, and we're

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gonna start with Guardian's Royal, So Brian Leonard give it

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set the table for US. Guardians Royal is kind of

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a big series. Both these teams keep hanging around. Will

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one of these teams be for real after this series?

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Speaker 1: Is the question? And who do you like in this game?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? According to the ESPN website, Cleveland has a seven

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point seven percent percent chance to make the playoffs, Kansas

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City eleven point seven, Texas fourteen point seven, and it's

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all coming on. The Seattle Mariners continuing to struggle. They

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did win their last two, but they're only four and

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six seventy nine point five percent, where just a couple

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weeks ago it was about ninety percent. So their fade

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keeps a lot of peat, a lot of these other

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teams alive. This is a game that I'm excited about

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because I think it's got some nice betting opportunities. You

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got Burger going against State chacone. Jacarti is about anywhere

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from a one to ten to a one to fifteen

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favorite here ven seeing a one to twenty at a

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couple of places, but total is eight slightly to the

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over and when I look at this game, Chaconi has

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not been good. He in fact, he's been pretty bad.

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His walk grade's pretty good eighty seventh percentile, but he

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comes in with a four point seven to eighty RA

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five point seven to one, expected one point three to

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zero whip a lot of single digits here on his

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statcast page. Expected thera fifth percentile, expected banning average sixth average,

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Jackson velocity first, chase right, third, barrel right second, hard

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hit first. He's a guy I'm looking a bet against.

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And if you've seen the Cleveland bullpen situation for this game,

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they've got Kate Smith, who I wrote up. I used

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the under is my free play yesterday and I said

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that he wasn't going to be available. Well, he came

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in for the same through eighteen pitches, so now he's

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pitched three games in a row. I gatarantee he will

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not be in this game. Hunter Gatis has pitched thirty

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two pitches the last two days. He may not play.

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So you've got their best two arms in the bullpen

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which will not be there, and a pitcher who gets

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knocked around a lot. That's not a pretty sight. The Royals,

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on the other hand, I think we'll have a little

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bit of success here. The Royals bullpen comes in and Estevez,

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Ursag and Schreiber have not pitched any of the last

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three days. They did have sort of a lot of

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their guys pitching the bullpen yesterday, but not their best relievers.

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And if you go up to their starter on today's card,

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you're looking at a guy that think is a little

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bit overrated right now. Ryan Berger comes in with a

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two point six one four point oh four expected one

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point nine whip. If you take a look at his

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status page overall, he's he's pretty good at hard hit

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percentage of seventy five, barrel right sixty five fourth and

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expected Benny Edwards the sixty eighth percentile, but he does struggles.

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Ground ball rate is only third, so it'll be a

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fly ball pitcher this city. This ballpark in Cleveland plays better,

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much better in the summer. And his walk grade is

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a seventeenth percentile and his chase rights seventeenth percent of

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So we've got two guys that I think can get hit.

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The only difference is I like the Kansas City bullpen

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a lot better than Cleveland. In this game, I'm lucky

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to play either Kansas City in the game at about

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even money plus one hundred or so, or the Kansas

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City team total over three and a half at minus

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one thirty. That one is one. I checked that a

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few minutes ago. Let me check it again because it

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is getting a little bit of money. It's up to

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one forty in some spots here, but I would still

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play that. That's probably my better play on this game

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is Kansas City over three and a half team total

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one forty. If you can't play that, you can always

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play the over eight. Right now, they're still over eights

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at minus one twenty, but there there's a few eight

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and a halfs now, so if you're gonna play it,

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play it now before it gets the eight and a half.

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Speaker 4: So I just won two five percent plays over the

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weekend feeling good, went to and Oh yesterday in MLB

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so liking stuff, and I have another five percent at

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play out today, So I'm sure these two guys are

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gonna have something out today to go to wager talk

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dot com and see what we have with our free

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plays as well. Regarding this one, I have both bullpens

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ranked fairly even and both fairly good. But like Brian said,

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the Guardians have had a lot of bullpen usage and

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they're not gonna be leveraging their best guys. So slight

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advantage of Kansas City there, but I would love to

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take Kansas City. Bergert Is has pitched well, but like

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Brian said, I I also think he's a little bit overrated.

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But my numbers love him, so I can't really ignore

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that CHACONI my numbers hate him. I got him ARKD

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twenty six on a curve of thirty, so he's in

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the bottom one third of pitchers. But he is this guy.

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I've mentioned it on previous shows, but every time I

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fade him, he comes out and throws six innings of

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shut out ball, and every time I back him, he

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blows up for six runs in the first three innings,

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So I stay away from his games. I can see

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the Royals bats are a little bit cold. Cleveland's bats

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are a little bit cold too. Kansas City's bullpen performing

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well and bergert performing well, So if anything, I would

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do a Cleveland team total under. But looking at Pinnacle

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right now, it's three and a half to plus one nineteen.

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I don't like three and a half's in MLB, even

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if it's the Guardians, so I'll probably pass on this one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this is so I probably have four plays.

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Oh first, I know what I want to say, Mark Martin,

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So you guys are late. Probably Tokyo's fault. No, that

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was one hundred percent of my fault. I decided, Yeah, sixty.

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I decided sixty seconds before the show that I needed

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to explain to TV and Brian Leonard like where I

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was in proximity to the Canadian border. No no idea

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why I felt the need to do that at eight

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fifty nine am, but I did so. No, it's my

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fault that we're late. But we're gonna be going. Well,

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we'll go to ten on one. We'll go to ten

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on one for you guys today, I got four plays

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or I got four kind of leans on the MLB

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card today that I'm gonna have to decide which ones

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are plays, which ones are not. I did not bet

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an MLB game Saturday and Sunday. It's not that I

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didn't want to. I just I had such a bad

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taste in my mouth from the previous two days. Friday night,

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I played the Red Sox and totally didn't pitch well.

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And I really was waiting for the deck to be reshuffled,

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if you will. The new matchups I couldn't get. I

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just couldn't find ways into the weekend matchups. And now

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here we are on a Monday, and I like like

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every single matchup. So now I've got to figure out

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how to pare it down. One of the four plays

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I one of the four sides I'm very strongly considering

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is the Royals, a lot of which has been been

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talked about here. Really Brian kind of hit the nail

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on the head with the bullpen usage. Slay Tocny is

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someone that we've talked about on the show a couple

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of times. I really feel like the Guardian, I almost

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feel like he's playing with house money to an extent,

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or at least the Guardians feel like, you know, that's

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that's kind of what they're doing putting him out there.

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They don't have a really have it, They don't have

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a better option right now. But he's also sort of

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earned the right to like fail, I feel like relative

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to the other options that they have. That being said, like,

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you know, when they grabbed him, the Diamondbacks completely gave

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up on him. They tried sending him back to Reno

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on multiple occasions they actually worked on his change up.

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Speaker 1: I I follow the Diamondbacks closer than I.

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Speaker 2: Do most teams, and so I kind of followed him

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through his sort of developmental stage in that organization, and

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when they sent him back down, they really want him

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to work on the change up. It just didn't work.

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He gets to Cleveland. If you look at a Stackcats page,

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he should be getting crushed. It's actually incredible that he hasn't.

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So I think where the Guardian's at and where he's at,

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it's just like, well, we don't really have a better option.

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Not really sure how he's doing it, but he's got

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a one to three whip and his era is under five.

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I mean he does get through five innings sometimes, but

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as Brian pointed out, great, if he gives you five

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good innings here, that's nice.

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Speaker 1: What are you gonna do for the other four?

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Speaker 2: When of a lot of your top bullpen guys are

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used and we are getting to the point where it's

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kind of like playoff baseball, and I just think the

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Royals look more like a team that can win a

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close playoff type grind game.

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Speaker 1: They have the bullpen arms to do it.

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Speaker 2: So as long as Burget doesn't get blown up, which

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you know, I don't think he's going to not by

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this Guardians lineup, even though I do agree with Brian

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he's probably got a little regression in his profile. I

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think it's got to lean you toward the Royals here,

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and then you look at the price and the Royals

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are actually I guess the slightest of underdogs right now,

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right around even money maybe minus one oh two. I

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think that's incorrect. I think the Royal should phighvi about

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minus one twenty here. So that's one that I'm strongly considering.

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Run differential on the year Royals what minus one Guardians

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of minus forty eight. That just tells you all you

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need to know about the Guardians offense because I think

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the pitching has been.

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Speaker 1: Kind of similar for both teams. Royals have the edge,

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and you know, I'll just let's just get it started.

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I'll throw that in the parlay. I'm gonna make the

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Royals my parlay lake here.

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Speaker 2: So Brian, what do we look at for a price

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right there?

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Speaker 3: About plus one oh one right now? It's varying, And

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will point out anybody's got a bet online account, they

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just went to seven and a half over fifteen. I'm

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looking at the the progressive field is supposed to be

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nine percent under. The wind is blowing in a little bit,

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but I don't care with these these pictures are on

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the mound. There's no way if this line should be

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seven and a half. So if you've got a bet

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online account, bet that seven and a half over right

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now at minus one fifteen. I think that's the hell

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of a bargain.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And if you don't, you should. Bet Online's a

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great spot.

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Speaker 2: I feel like I've trained any of my long term

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clients probably have it at this point because they're one

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of the few places that actually lets you bet triple

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A baseball and gives you reasonable odds to do so.

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Actually let you play it two to three, sometimes even

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four times. They might change the number on you, but

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they'll still let you get down on that.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I am a big fan of bet online,

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and Dave comes on our shows once in a while,

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So shout out to Dave and shout out to bet online.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's move it along, here we go. Mark

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Kinson brings up a game that I knew we were

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gonna want to talk about. He says, I'm just having

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bad luck with might go full game or might just

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take McLean CA's Philly batters are aggressive, they'll strike out that.

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So he's he's bringing up the Phillies Mets game. We've

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got Nolan McLain and Brian. The first thing I noticed

238
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when I pulled up the odds, I was like, Man,

239
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Nolan McClain keeps coming up in these spots where he's

240
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facing pretty good teams, and the books really can't I

241
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feel like juice him up the way that they want to.

242
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Speaker 1: Uh you saw I think the last series.

243
00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:31,679
Speaker 2: He pitched and he finally he was finally starting to

244
00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:34,000
creep up into that minus one fifty range. But now

245
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he's on the road against the Phillies. So I feel

246
00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:37,759
like it puts the Books in a little bit of

247
00:12:37,799 --> 00:12:42,120
a tough spot because Nolan McLain's filthy. I retweeted this

248
00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:45,639
on Friday, go look at like I think Rob Friedman

249
00:12:45,679 --> 00:12:48,480
put it up on Twitter. His his pitch tunneling is

250
00:12:48,519 --> 00:12:51,759
so good that like he's got a pitch that one

251
00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:54,320
takes a hard right and one takes a hard left,

252
00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:56,080
and they look identical.

253
00:12:56,519 --> 00:12:59,120
Speaker 1: The batters have no clue what way it's going. Some

254
00:12:59,240 --> 00:13:02,320
horrible swing. I think Nolan McLean is the real deal,

255
00:13:02,720 --> 00:13:04,759
and what Markins is saying is you can still get

256
00:13:04,840 --> 00:13:08,240
him minus one twenty if you're willing to go against

257
00:13:08,279 --> 00:13:10,559
the Phillies. So, Brian Leonard, are you willing to go

258
00:13:10,600 --> 00:13:12,000
against the Phillies with McLean? Here?

259
00:13:12,519 --> 00:13:16,639
Speaker 3: If I'm playing, I'm laying with McLean. He's currently about

260
00:13:16,799 --> 00:13:20,840
one let's go one twenty two a total of nine

261
00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:23,159
under or eight and a half over. He's going against

262
00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:27,080
Aaron Nola, and Aaron Nola is not having a great

263
00:13:27,159 --> 00:13:29,879
year and he may be coming to the end of

264
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what has been a very good career. Nolan mclan four

265
00:13:33,559 --> 00:13:35,440
and oh on the season on one point three seventy

266
00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:37,840
the RA expected the RA two point four to five,

267
00:13:38,320 --> 00:13:41,080
so it's legit. And his whip zero point seven six.

268
00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:44,120
The guy's gone twenty six point one innings and he's

269
00:13:44,120 --> 00:13:46,320
got a whip a zero point seven six That is

270
00:13:46,519 --> 00:13:50,720
pretty impressive. Although it's still a small sample size of

271
00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:53,919
just over twenty six innings. It's clear if you look

272
00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:56,639
at his numbers that his ground bow percentage is great,

273
00:13:56,720 --> 00:14:00,759
strikeout percentage expected the RA expected batting average. The only

274
00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:05,279
thing a little bit weak is his Chase percentage is

275
00:14:05,399 --> 00:14:08,039
only a twenty five point six percent and his hard

276
00:14:08,120 --> 00:14:11,799
hit rate is at forty forty second point excuse me,

277
00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:18,600
forty two point four percentile. So he's been everything expected.

278
00:14:18,639 --> 00:14:22,159
And if you take a look at the bullpen here

279
00:14:22,399 --> 00:14:28,720
for the Mets, we see that they're in a pretty

280
00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:33,840
good place. Yesterday only Rogers and Rie Garrett returned from

281
00:14:33,879 --> 00:14:36,360
the aisle. That's another guy who's really good in the bullpen.

282
00:14:36,639 --> 00:14:38,879
They've got so many good bullpen arms on this Mets team,

283
00:14:39,639 --> 00:14:43,960
so they've got they've got everybody available. Philadelphia, on the

284
00:14:44,039 --> 00:14:47,919
other hand, let's take a look at that, and we've

285
00:14:47,919 --> 00:14:54,120
got the Phillies bullpen situation. They Duran's pitched two of

286
00:14:54,159 --> 00:14:57,440
the last four days. He should be available. Yeah, they're

287
00:14:57,440 --> 00:14:59,200
a pretty good shape too. So both bullpens are in

288
00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:02,320
pretty good shape here. But I think the pitching advantage

289
00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:06,120
from the starter is definitely Alan MacLean. Aaron Nola comes

290
00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:09,240
in with a six point seven EIGHTYRA but only a

291
00:15:09,279 --> 00:15:12,600
four point ninety one expected one point five to one whip,

292
00:15:12,639 --> 00:15:15,360
which has really been his problem this year. His career

293
00:15:15,399 --> 00:15:18,360
whip is one point one five. He's got a career

294
00:15:18,399 --> 00:15:20,799
in the eleven seasons three point eight three ra. So

295
00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:25,440
while last year he was very similar to his career records,

296
00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:29,639
this year and somewhat in twenty twenty three, he's taken

297
00:15:29,679 --> 00:15:33,320
a step back. His chase rates great ninety six percentile,

298
00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:38,440
extension eighty eighth percentile, but expected thera fifteenth, expected batting

299
00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:42,639
average fourteenth, fastball velocity twelfth, and he still throws that

300
00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:46,519
for seemer in twenty nine percent of the time. That

301
00:15:47,279 --> 00:15:49,639
along with his curve, sinker and change, is really what

302
00:15:49,679 --> 00:15:53,559
he uses the most. But I'm not a huge fan

303
00:15:53,679 --> 00:15:55,720
of Nola. The way he's pitched this year, it's a

304
00:15:55,799 --> 00:16:00,639
clear pitching advantage for the Mets, for the starters. So

305
00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:02,679
while you're laying like a one to twenty one twenty

306
00:16:02,679 --> 00:16:04,879
five range for the Mets, let's see what we can

307
00:16:04,919 --> 00:16:08,919
do in the first half. First half, you're getting basically

308
00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:12,759
the same thing five cents moller or whatever. I prefer

309
00:16:12,879 --> 00:16:15,840
that because I think the Phillies bullpen comes in as

310
00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:18,480
good a shape as the Mets here. So the second

311
00:16:18,519 --> 00:16:20,200
half of the game to me, as a toss up,

312
00:16:20,559 --> 00:16:24,000
first half of the game is something I'm interested in,

313
00:16:24,159 --> 00:16:29,720
and I can get as low as one twenty one McLean,

314
00:16:30,159 --> 00:16:32,639
but most of the average is about one thirty range.

315
00:16:32,639 --> 00:16:35,559
I still think that's a pretty good bet. I would

316
00:16:35,600 --> 00:16:37,759
look at that. I'd look at the first five for

317
00:16:38,159 --> 00:16:40,879
the Mets at minus one thirty. I'm starting off the

318
00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:42,559
day with a little bit of chalk here. We'll see

319
00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:46,000
how this goes. Normally, I'm an underdog player, but anytime

320
00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:50,480
baseball season overlaps with football, we've got better chances to

321
00:16:50,519 --> 00:16:52,840
make money. And I'm number one over the last month

322
00:16:52,879 --> 00:16:56,360
in that regard. So yes, work it out for us,

323
00:16:56,440 --> 00:17:01,320
and my clients are pretty happy at this point. Yeah.

324
00:17:01,360 --> 00:17:03,960
Speaker 4: My first look at this game, I thought, Wow, Mets

325
00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:06,880
would love them, and then I hope, hope, hoping they

326
00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:09,119
were underdogs, and I went to the book to see

327
00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:13,960
the line and they were favorites. Phillies are a good team, guys.

328
00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:17,960
Let's not forget. They have eighty three wins and the

329
00:17:18,000 --> 00:17:21,519
Mets have seventy six. So Phillies are a good team.

330
00:17:21,720 --> 00:17:25,039
The problem is Aaron Nola is not quite himself right now,

331
00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:32,240
hasn't been pitching very well at all, and the problem

332
00:17:32,279 --> 00:17:35,839
another problem for the Phillies is the Mets are crushing

333
00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:41,240
it right now. Finally they got one, so too. Hitting,

334
00:17:41,440 --> 00:17:45,480
they got everyone everyone's everyone's contributing, so the Mets are

335
00:17:45,519 --> 00:17:49,000
finally producing. I got them ranked number four out of

336
00:17:49,039 --> 00:17:51,359
thirty teams in current form, but I got the Phillies

337
00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:54,319
ranked sixth, So both of these teams are actually producing.

338
00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:58,640
Phillies bullpen much better than the Mets at the current form.

339
00:17:58,720 --> 00:18:01,440
I think the Mets have a top five bullpen in

340
00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:03,880
Major League Baseball, but in current form I got them

341
00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:10,240
ranked twenty three. They're underperforming grossly. And McLain he's got

342
00:18:10,279 --> 00:18:13,880
four starts and they were all good, and his numbers

343
00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:17,279
are eye popping, like like Brian pointed out all the stats.

344
00:18:19,039 --> 00:18:21,640
I mean, I think the value is there for Mets

345
00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:24,599
first five. I don't trust their bullpen right now. So

346
00:18:24,759 --> 00:18:26,759
if you do play them, I play him first five.

347
00:18:27,519 --> 00:18:29,160
I don't know if I'll get there or not, but

348
00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:31,480
if I am going to get there, that would be

349
00:18:31,759 --> 00:18:33,640
how I would do it. Or I would take a

350
00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:36,240
Mets team total over one or the other.

351
00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:39,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's gonna be METSR pass for me.

352
00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:44,279
Speaker 2: The So if you want to see what I was

353
00:18:44,319 --> 00:18:47,920
talking about, I retweeted McLain. If you go to my Twitter,

354
00:18:48,160 --> 00:18:49,279
you can see what I'm talking about.

355
00:18:49,319 --> 00:18:49,759
Speaker 1: With McLain.

356
00:18:49,799 --> 00:18:53,559
Speaker 2: It's a sweeper and a sinker, and the tunneling is

357
00:18:53,599 --> 00:18:57,319
so good. Tunneling meaning like arm slot, the same where

358
00:18:57,359 --> 00:19:00,359
the ball is released, the same that. I mean, hitters

359
00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:02,440
are just straight up clueless right now. I can't bet

360
00:19:02,519 --> 00:19:05,519
against that, not until, not until the league either figures

361
00:19:05,559 --> 00:19:07,359
out how to pick that up a little bit, or

362
00:19:08,759 --> 00:19:11,680
he's just he has hit her so off balance right

363
00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:13,680
now that I wouldn't want to bet against him now.

364
00:19:13,839 --> 00:19:17,119
The problem with this series for me is the fact that,

365
00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:21,599
like both teams are somewhat locked into their spot. I

366
00:19:21,599 --> 00:19:23,920
don't think there's any way the Mets are catching the Phillies.

367
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:26,839
They're seven games out of the division. That being said,

368
00:19:26,839 --> 00:19:28,759
the Mets of a four game lead on that final

369
00:19:28,759 --> 00:19:32,079
playoff spot, so they probably even after two losses, they

370
00:19:32,079 --> 00:19:34,920
probably feel a little bit comfortable in that regard. Do

371
00:19:35,039 --> 00:19:38,160
the Phillies, like, are they going to be up for

372
00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:39,799
this because the Mets just swept them?

373
00:19:40,279 --> 00:19:40,759
Speaker 1: Maybe?

374
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:43,920
Speaker 2: Right, Like I mean, the Mets just embarrassed them a

375
00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:46,599
couple of weeks ago, city Field took the whole series,

376
00:19:46,599 --> 00:19:49,960
swept him, Maybe they'll be a little up for it, obviously,

377
00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:51,519
Like Tokyo Braanda made some great points.

378
00:19:51,519 --> 00:19:52,920
Speaker 1: This Phillies teams still very good.

379
00:19:53,720 --> 00:19:56,079
Speaker 2: I don't know that the you know, the I don't

380
00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:57,640
know that you could say the Mets are like the

381
00:19:58,079 --> 00:20:00,599
clear cut better team here. I do think gives them

382
00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:02,519
an edge, but I don't know that the Mets are

383
00:20:02,519 --> 00:20:05,279
the better team. So this one's difficult for me. I

384
00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:07,680
still lean towards the Mets, and it's really because of

385
00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:08,920
how high I am i McClean.

386
00:20:09,519 --> 00:20:11,880
Speaker 1: So maybe I'll sort of like go, you know, agree

387
00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:12,319
with some of.

388
00:20:12,279 --> 00:20:14,079
Speaker 2: The chat and say, you know, do you do you

389
00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:16,440
fight a way to isolate the first five? Do you

390
00:20:16,480 --> 00:20:18,519
try to play on the aggressiveness of the Phillies hitters

391
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:22,400
and look for a strikeout prop? All of those things

392
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:25,599
are all the things. All those things are reasonable ways

393
00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:27,720
to play it. But another thing that kind of popped

394
00:20:27,759 --> 00:20:29,559
out is I have the standings in front of me here,

395
00:20:30,039 --> 00:20:32,279
Mets thirty one and forty on the road this year,

396
00:20:32,599 --> 00:20:34,799
and this is one of the hardest ballparks to win it.

397
00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:36,880
If you were to go back to the beginning of

398
00:20:38,039 --> 00:20:40,559
last season, or maybe the season before. I think it's

399
00:20:40,559 --> 00:20:43,759
the beginning of last season, Philly, if they don't have

400
00:20:43,839 --> 00:20:45,880
the best home record in the League. They certainly have

401
00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:48,559
one of the best three home records in the league

402
00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:52,599
forty five and forty five and twenty three at Citizens

403
00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:55,240
Bank Park this year, and I want to say two,

404
00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:56,960
So I think you'd have to go back two years ago.

405
00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:58,880
But the year that they made the World Series, I

406
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:02,039
mean or yeah, they made the I'm sorry, the NLCS

407
00:21:02,039 --> 00:21:05,160
and they lost the Diamondbacks insane home record, it's been

408
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:07,920
one of the toughest places for a visiting team to win,

409
00:21:08,279 --> 00:21:10,359
So I'm just not sure I want to bet into that.

410
00:21:11,079 --> 00:21:13,599
Speaker 1: But the Mets from a matchup standpoint, I want no

411
00:21:13,599 --> 00:21:16,519
part of Aaronola right now. So who knows. Maybe maybe

412
00:21:16,519 --> 00:21:16,920
the over.

413
00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:19,640
Speaker 2: I think Mark Martin was pointing out the over and

414
00:21:20,319 --> 00:21:22,079
you had a couple other other guys in the chat

415
00:21:22,079 --> 00:21:25,680
agreeing with him. All reasonable options here. I'm just not

416
00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:27,079
sure I get to the window in one of them.

417
00:21:27,079 --> 00:21:29,559
But I think they're all reasonable sort of ways to

418
00:21:29,559 --> 00:21:30,279
look at this game.

419
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:36,119
Speaker 1: All right, let's see, let's go move it along.

420
00:21:36,279 --> 00:21:42,359
Speaker 2: Pretty good, pretty good Monday slate here. And oh, one

421
00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:44,480
other thing I want to point out. Yeah, like the Royals,

422
00:21:44,759 --> 00:21:48,119
I will be looking at Bobby WIT's status for the game.

423
00:21:48,519 --> 00:21:50,680
I know he tweaked, like his back or something, and

424
00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:53,000
it's possible he misses for our parlay.

425
00:21:53,039 --> 00:21:56,160
Speaker 1: I still like it. I think if Witt.

426
00:21:56,039 --> 00:21:59,400
Speaker 2: Is announced in, the Royals likely go to like minus

427
00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:02,559
one fifteen minus one twenty. I still think they probably

428
00:22:02,640 --> 00:22:06,400
win without him here. That's just how how little faith

429
00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:09,519
I have enslaved to Cody. So I will be keeping

430
00:22:10,799 --> 00:22:14,160
I will be keeping the parlay piece. I'm not changing

431
00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:16,599
it because of that, but it's certainly something that you

432
00:22:16,680 --> 00:22:19,119
should have your eye and you should know if you

433
00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:22,119
plan to bet Royals Guardians. Is that Bobby Witt, obviously

434
00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:25,319
Kansas City's best player, is dealing with I think like

435
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:28,200
a tweaked back or something. So keep an eye on

436
00:22:28,279 --> 00:22:32,079
that throughout the day. All right, let's move on. I

437
00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:34,000
was gonna try to grab another game from the chat,

438
00:22:34,759 --> 00:22:36,839
but it's like everyone's talking about the same games we've

439
00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:40,079
already covered, So I'll throw I'll throw one out there

440
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:40,799
that I want.

441
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,799
Speaker 1: To talk about. Let's go, Let's go. Cubby's Braves Clubs

442
00:22:43,839 --> 00:22:46,400
on the Road Brian Leonard.

443
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:48,640
Speaker 2: The Braves keep coming to play, even though they didn't

444
00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:51,160
come to play yesterday. They got rolled, but still they

445
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:53,640
I thought they were gonna kind of fade into a

446
00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:59,359
obscurity in September. They've actually given a respectable effort so far.

447
00:22:59,559 --> 00:23:03,440
So now they get the Cubs in their building, start

448
00:23:03,519 --> 00:23:06,359
the series tonight. How are you seeing this one? Cubs Braves?

449
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:11,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, Braves drop seven to ten, lost their last two,

450
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:15,559
but they're only even though they're fifteen games under five hundred,

451
00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:19,599
they're run de Parential's only minus thirty six. The Cubs,

452
00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:21,799
on the other hand, are plus one, seventeen, five and

453
00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:25,279
five their last ten. They're just trying to get out

454
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:28,759
right now. They and the Brewers have basically locked up

455
00:23:28,799 --> 00:23:32,200
the playoffs, and so they're just trying to set themselves

456
00:23:32,279 --> 00:23:36,039
up for the future. Inmanaga, let me give you the

457
00:23:36,079 --> 00:23:39,559
line on this one. Monaga goes against elder A Moanaga,

458
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:43,640
the lefty. It's about a one twenty three road favorite

459
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:46,000
here total of nine to the under, eight and a

460
00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:50,000
half to the over. Imanaga comes in with a three

461
00:23:50,079 --> 00:23:53,640
point one five ERA three point eight two expected zero

462
00:23:53,759 --> 00:23:56,960
point nine to three whip. Are you still a major

463
00:23:57,039 --> 00:24:00,599
fly ball pitcher? Doesn't have a lot of velosions fastball,

464
00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:06,160
but you know he's had great, great success in his

465
00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:08,160
two seasons of the Major league's three point zh one

466
00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:12,759
ERA zero point nine to nine. Whip Brand was talking

467
00:24:12,799 --> 00:24:15,960
about it earlier about a guy that he struggles with.

468
00:24:16,599 --> 00:24:19,759
I wanog is that way for me, So it seems

469
00:24:19,839 --> 00:24:21,559
to be that I'm on the wrong side of whichever

470
00:24:21,599 --> 00:24:24,880
game I bet with him. So he's not the first

471
00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:27,200
guy that I'm looking to play on or against. But

472
00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:31,599
Bryce Elder five point five four ERA four point eight two,

473
00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:35,039
one point four to three whip ugly numbers, but he

474
00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:38,839
has pitched better as of late major ground ball pitcher,

475
00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:40,839
which is important in this ballpark because I think he's

476
00:24:40,839 --> 00:24:44,799
a pretty good hitting ballpark eighty five percent of but

477
00:24:44,839 --> 00:24:47,960
everything else is in the blue. Not the kind of

478
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:51,720
guy I'm looking to play on, although he seems to

479
00:24:51,799 --> 00:24:55,640
be in a little better groove as the season goes on.

480
00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:59,000
While I speak, some money is coming in on Atlanta

481
00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:02,240
and now you can you can lay. The Cubs sit

482
00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:06,559
like one oh nine in some places, so, uh, somebody

483
00:25:06,759 --> 00:25:09,440
likes the Braves here and they played them, so give

484
00:25:09,559 --> 00:25:12,960
us a little more reason to look that way. But

485
00:25:13,079 --> 00:25:17,680
you're getting less of a number. I usually look to

486
00:25:17,759 --> 00:25:20,920
bet against Elder, but I don't trust anything the way

487
00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:22,519
the Cubs are playing right now, they seem to just

488
00:25:22,559 --> 00:25:25,200
be going through the motions, so I'll sit this one.

489
00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:26,079
I don't have much sad.

490
00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:30,759
Speaker 4: Go to Wayga talk dot com and see what we

491
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:33,559
have up. I put a free play up and I

492
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:36,759
have a five percent play going, and I love the

493
00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:41,960
KBO slate tomorrow or tonight. I have several KBO plays up,

494
00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:44,720
and Adam will tell you as well. Waysger Talk lets

495
00:25:44,799 --> 00:25:48,000
us do KBO and Non American Baseball for half price.

496
00:25:48,799 --> 00:25:51,119
So go to WAJA talk dot com and see what

497
00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:55,400
we have. My numbers love the Cubs in this game,

498
00:25:55,599 --> 00:25:59,000
love them, and it's actually a margin that's big enough

499
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:01,960
to bet them on the side, but I'm not going

500
00:26:02,039 --> 00:26:07,440
to because Elder is not a good picture. Actually, my

501
00:26:08,759 --> 00:26:11,920
stats have him ranked twenty out of thirty on a

502
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:16,640
curve of thirty of all starting pitchers, and the Cubs

503
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:19,400
have a huge bullpen advantage here. I got the Cubs

504
00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,960
ranked five in Atlanta, ranked twenty five in current form,

505
00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:28,319
and neither team is ranked higher than seventeen in hitting.

506
00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:31,680
So my numbers love the Cubs. But if you look

507
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,480
at Bryce Elder against the Cubs in his career, he's

508
00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:37,200
got forty eight at bats against a one sixty seven

509
00:26:37,279 --> 00:26:40,880
average against and a four eighty seven OPS seven point

510
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:44,839
fifty is the is the Mendoza line for eighty seven ops.

511
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:49,039
That's incredible. I don't know where these numbers are coming from,

512
00:26:49,079 --> 00:26:51,519
but it's definitely a big enough red flag for me

513
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:55,039
not to play the Cubs today. Emonaga has been knocked

514
00:26:55,079 --> 00:26:57,920
around by these Atlanta batters. He's got an eight hundred

515
00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:01,480
plus OPS against in his career, although the sample size

516
00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:05,160
not so large. Well, it's forty two at bats against.

517
00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:09,000
So those two red flags right there are enough to

518
00:27:09,079 --> 00:27:12,240
keep me off it. I might look at the Cubs

519
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:15,440
four and a half under team total. I might look

520
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:19,319
at that because of Elder's great numbers against them. I'm

521
00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:22,400
not there yet. There might be other better spots to

522
00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:24,559
bet out there today, but if I were to bet

523
00:27:24,599 --> 00:27:25,920
this game, that's how I would do it.

524
00:27:27,839 --> 00:27:30,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, turn buckle, Tommy. I made that comment on this

525
00:27:30,559 --> 00:27:34,200
game before I got to all the chat, saying Cubs braves.

526
00:27:34,279 --> 00:27:37,480
So the comments are kind of hard to sift through.

527
00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:41,440
It's easy to get behind on them. So apologize for that.

528
00:27:43,039 --> 00:27:47,279
Do I owe Bryce Elder an apology? Maybe I slandered

529
00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:49,839
him on this show and ever since I really sort

530
00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:53,400
of like, you know, came out and just pointed out

531
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:56,359
how he is really not deserving of a spot in

532
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:57,279
a big league rotation.

533
00:27:57,799 --> 00:27:58,720
Speaker 1: Let's see what he's done.

534
00:27:58,799 --> 00:28:02,599
Speaker 2: Six innings, two runs again the Mets, seven innings, one run,

535
00:28:02,799 --> 00:28:05,559
three hits against the Phillies, and then against this Cubbies

536
00:28:05,559 --> 00:28:07,799
team last time out. Seven innings of one run, ball,

537
00:28:08,079 --> 00:28:11,599
six strikeouts, no walks. So does that make me think

538
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:13,039
Bryce Elders is this great pitcher?

539
00:28:13,319 --> 00:28:13,880
Speaker 3: No, but.

540
00:28:15,839 --> 00:28:17,759
Speaker 2: We'll point out you got to point out fact here

541
00:28:17,799 --> 00:28:20,720
he's throwing it okay of late. And you know, I

542
00:28:20,799 --> 00:28:23,720
guess where the Cubs are very similar to where the

543
00:28:23,799 --> 00:28:27,440
Mets are right now, where it's like, you know, you

544
00:28:27,519 --> 00:28:29,720
got to kind of figure out what the type of

545
00:28:29,799 --> 00:28:32,319
motivation you're going to get out of this team. They're

546
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:34,200
seven and a half games back, they know they're not

547
00:28:34,240 --> 00:28:36,640
going to catch the Brewers. They've got like a four

548
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,799
game cushion on the wild card. So you know, are

549
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:42,799
you getting like this like sort of especially on the

550
00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:46,160
road right now, are you getting this like cutthroat effort

551
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:48,640
from them? I'm not saying that that that doesn't mean

552
00:28:48,680 --> 00:28:51,160
they can't win regardless. I still think the only way

553
00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:53,400
I would play this game is the Cubs, But I

554
00:28:53,480 --> 00:28:55,799
do think they're in that sort of limbo area where

555
00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:58,279
it's like, could they be are they looking at are

556
00:28:58,279 --> 00:29:00,720
they just looking ahead to the playoffs at this point, TV,

557
00:29:00,839 --> 00:29:03,480
you brought up their bullpen Daniel Palencia hurt himself over

558
00:29:03,559 --> 00:29:07,119
the weekend. That's not ideal for them. However, I'm gonna

559
00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:09,240
throw out a name for you guys. Keep an eye

560
00:29:09,319 --> 00:29:11,000
on this name. His name's Jackson Wiggins.

561
00:29:11,839 --> 00:29:14,640
Speaker 1: He just got called up from Double A to Triple

562
00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:17,599
A and then they didn't They didn't use him for

563
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:20,119
like a week, and I think the reason that they

564
00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:22,480
didn't use him is they were having the sort of

565
00:29:22,559 --> 00:29:23,319
work on the side.

566
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:26,240
Speaker 2: Maybe they may want to to sort of bring him

567
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:28,799
in a bullpen role. Now, he did start a game

568
00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:32,599
for Iowa on Saturday, looked pretty good. Now that Palencia

569
00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:36,240
goes down, like he's probably the best arm in their organization,

570
00:29:37,119 --> 00:29:39,079
that would that would be intriguing to me if they

571
00:29:39,559 --> 00:29:42,240
That probably doesn't happen here because he pitched Saturday, But

572
00:29:42,359 --> 00:29:44,200
keep an eye if he comes up, I think they're

573
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:45,279
gonna throw him in the bullpen.

574
00:29:45,759 --> 00:29:48,720
Speaker 1: And if he's I mean, he's got one two winnings.

575
00:29:48,759 --> 00:29:50,880
Speaker 2: He can probably get it up there and that that

576
00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:53,359
would be a nice boost to the Cubs bullpen in

577
00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:55,640
my opinion. So that's something to keep an eye on

578
00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:57,839
for this game. I think I just have to roll

579
00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:00,960
with Imanaga, and my mindset would be they just saw

580
00:30:01,079 --> 00:30:04,119
Elder Elder shut them down. How how many how long

581
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:07,200
does it take to see Bryce Elder, who really doesn't

582
00:30:07,279 --> 00:30:10,400
have a big time plus pitch at this point, to

583
00:30:10,519 --> 00:30:11,240
figure him out.

584
00:30:11,799 --> 00:30:14,240
Speaker 1: I think the Cobbies probably figure him out. So celeene

585
00:30:14,279 --> 00:30:15,599
Cubs to me, go ahead, Brian.

586
00:30:15,839 --> 00:30:18,839
Speaker 3: Yeah, two things. First of all, a great point about

587
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:22,240
them just saying I think that really is a big advantage. Also,

588
00:30:22,359 --> 00:30:25,680
when he talked about apologizing for your thoughts on him

589
00:30:25,680 --> 00:30:28,720
in the past, we called and it goes against you.

590
00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:32,680
We we call that a TV On this show, Brandon

591
00:30:32,799 --> 00:30:36,160
has a habit of telling somebody that they suck and

592
00:30:36,359 --> 00:30:42,279
they turn around and they're great. So my plays that

593
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:44,240
they suck, so I can go on to feed to

594
00:30:44,279 --> 00:30:46,319
the rest of the season. It's one of those dudes.

595
00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:48,680
Speaker 4: The Milwaukee Brewers can thank me.

596
00:30:50,599 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 1: I already told you. Then you're gonna be on. They're

597
00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:57,160
gonna have you on the when they win the World Series.

598
00:30:57,359 --> 00:31:06,920
They're gonna they're gonna be a parade you're toareat. Yeah,

599
00:31:07,279 --> 00:31:09,480
Jake says Elder doesn't deserve an apology.

600
00:31:09,519 --> 00:31:10,240
Speaker 3: I agree with that.

601
00:31:10,799 --> 00:31:12,480
Speaker 1: I agree with that. He'll listen.

602
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:14,880
Speaker 2: He's gonna get slammed at some point, whether it's here

603
00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:17,400
or I'll tell you right now that you don't. He

604
00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:21,119
has four average pitches for the big leagues. Like, probably

605
00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:23,920
gonna get slammed at some point, and very well could

606
00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:27,839
be here because one thing, one thing that the Cubs are, you.

607
00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:28,279
Speaker 1: Know they are.

608
00:31:28,359 --> 00:31:31,799
Speaker 2: They've been hot and cold and they haven't like hit

609
00:31:31,880 --> 00:31:33,880
to their to the where I feel like they should

610
00:31:33,920 --> 00:31:36,319
be hitting at times. But when they have their their

611
00:31:36,440 --> 00:31:39,119
like breakout, it's usually like an eight, eight, nine run

612
00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:41,960
sort of outburst, kind of like we talked about on Friday.

613
00:31:42,119 --> 00:31:45,480
Brian hit an easy over in that Nats Cubs game,

614
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:48,440
and they they sort of broke out quickly. So maybe

615
00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:51,200
you get one of those, but I guess I'm less

616
00:31:51,559 --> 00:31:52,759
less confident.

617
00:31:52,359 --> 00:31:53,680
Speaker 1: In them doing that on the road.

618
00:31:54,160 --> 00:31:57,519
Speaker 2: Uh, you know, just in general, Colin, I, I we

619
00:31:57,599 --> 00:31:59,559
got to talk about this game. This is very important

620
00:31:59,599 --> 00:32:02,160
in my opinion. So I feel like the the Red

621
00:32:02,240 --> 00:32:04,440
Sox sort of set the tone for my baseball weekend,

622
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:07,720
which which really wasn't. I really didn't have any after

623
00:32:07,839 --> 00:32:10,759
Friday night, so I got sucked in on Friday with

624
00:32:10,839 --> 00:32:11,440
the Red Sox.

625
00:32:12,079 --> 00:32:13,640
Speaker 1: I thought Peyton totally would pitch well.

626
00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:17,960
Speaker 2: I thought the Red Sox, even without Roman Anthony, seeing

627
00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:19,759
as they were facing a lefty wear in an okay

628
00:32:19,839 --> 00:32:23,079
spot against the Diamondbacks, they were not. They lost that

629
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:25,200
game and I haven't bet an MLB game since, which

630
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:29,279
will change today. But Colin says the Red Sox are

631
00:32:29,319 --> 00:32:33,119
missing Roman Anthony. I think that's a massive understatement. I

632
00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:36,559
this the Red Sox are cooked, in my opinion, without

633
00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:37,279
Roman Anthony.

634
00:32:37,359 --> 00:32:38,880
Speaker 1: If they don't have him back.

635
00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:42,240
Speaker 2: You can you can just they're not beating anyone because

636
00:32:42,279 --> 00:32:46,039
he really I've noticed watching them now that their lineup

637
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:49,160
just doesn't have that juice without him.

638
00:32:49,039 --> 00:32:49,920
Speaker 1: At the top of the order.

639
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:52,720
Speaker 2: He's He's And if you look at their season arc,

640
00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:56,359
if you will, like go back to the you know

641
00:32:56,559 --> 00:32:59,200
they were ten games hundred five hundred, they sweat the Yankees,

642
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,039
and that was the time that their organization finally said,

643
00:33:02,079 --> 00:33:03,960
you know what, we got to get Roman Anthony up.

644
00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:06,279
We should have been up already and they just took

645
00:33:06,359 --> 00:33:09,400
off like a rocket ship when he was called up,

646
00:33:10,319 --> 00:33:14,079
you know, just totally turn their season around now without him, Brian,

647
00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:17,039
this looks like that Red Sox lineup that really couldn't

648
00:33:17,079 --> 00:33:19,920
do much in those games leading up to that Yankee series,

649
00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:23,559
losing low scoring games. They just lacked that sort of

650
00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:27,119
sort of bite in my opinion, So the Red Sox

651
00:33:27,160 --> 00:33:29,920
are a fade to me without Anthony going forward. I'm

652
00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:32,119
actually thinking about the a's tonight a little bit. How

653
00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:35,160
are you seeing this one Red Sox a's Well.

654
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:37,680
Speaker 3: I do want to point out I was at the

655
00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:41,920
Aces game Las Vegas. Ace's women's basketball league last night.

656
00:33:42,000 --> 00:33:46,240
Marco was nice enough to kick me for free. Nothing

657
00:33:46,960 --> 00:33:49,400
a night off for free, That's my kind of deal.

658
00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:55,000
But I saw that our oldest chapman pitched the ninth inning,

659
00:33:55,519 --> 00:33:58,119
and he got to say and he struck out four

660
00:33:58,200 --> 00:34:02,119
batters sold, Marco, I said, they must. I didn't watch

661
00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:04,640
the game. I'm assuming somebody reached on a wild pitch

662
00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:07,960
that they swung a mess on. But how often do

663
00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:11,360
you see four strekeouts at one inning in Major League baseball?

664
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:13,559
I'm assuming that's what happened. I didn't get to see

665
00:34:13,639 --> 00:34:16,679
the game. But if anybody's in the chat and they

666
00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:19,760
know it's something different, let me know. But Chapman has

667
00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:24,519
been awesome. Heats rated as the number one number one

668
00:34:24,559 --> 00:34:28,239
relief pitcher in Major League Baseball the last fourteen days,

669
00:34:28,599 --> 00:34:32,599
and Garret Whitlock's right with them at twelfth. So I

670
00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:37,079
like the Red Sox bullpen right now, and we're getting

671
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:43,519
Garrett Crochet if I remember correctly off a bad outing. Yeah, yeah,

672
00:34:43,559 --> 00:34:47,159
Crochet's numbers, He's two point six seventy RA, a three

673
00:34:47,199 --> 00:34:50,840
point one three expected, one point oh eight whip. His

674
00:34:51,039 --> 00:34:55,079
worst number on his entire stack cast page is his

675
00:34:55,199 --> 00:34:59,360
barrel percentage, and that's still better than it's in the

676
00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:01,960
sixty seven sixty fourth percentile, So it's better than just

677
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:05,679
about everybody. Boston comes in here is going against Morales

678
00:35:05,880 --> 00:35:08,320
for the Athletics, who has been really good thus far.

679
00:35:09,039 --> 00:35:11,920
But as he pitched enough innings for us to back him,

680
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:16,760
we've got Boston's about one close to one seventy favorite.

681
00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:20,320
I would say, with a total of nine here. I

682
00:35:20,639 --> 00:35:24,199
love Garrett Crocheted love the bullpen in this game. Morales

683
00:35:24,239 --> 00:35:26,239
comes in with a one point five to nine ERA,

684
00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:29,280
but a four point one to three expected. His web's

685
00:35:29,320 --> 00:35:32,079
been very good at zero point ninety nine. He's only

686
00:35:32,119 --> 00:35:35,239
throwing twenty eight and to a third innings, so nothing.

687
00:35:35,599 --> 00:35:38,280
The only thing that has stabilized is fastball velocity in

688
00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:41,760
the eighty ninth percentile in his extension of the seventeenth.

689
00:35:42,519 --> 00:35:45,280
But most of his numbers thus far, his strike out

690
00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:48,079
rates been great. But he can be hit hard, and

691
00:35:48,199 --> 00:35:51,800
he has not been yet. I think that's going to

692
00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:55,000
be coming up. I don't I don't think he knows

693
00:35:55,119 --> 00:35:58,840
he's a fourth r inked prospect for the A's, so

694
00:35:59,079 --> 00:36:02,400
he's got that background to him. I just think he's

695
00:36:02,519 --> 00:36:06,480
been pitching over his head thus far. I would find

696
00:36:06,519 --> 00:36:11,199
a way to play Boston here, either Boston team total

697
00:36:11,320 --> 00:36:15,880
over or something in the first five inn It's just

698
00:36:16,639 --> 00:36:18,440
I don't like. I don't like to lay these one

699
00:36:18,519 --> 00:36:21,119
sixties to one seventies on the road team very often.

700
00:36:21,559 --> 00:36:23,400
But I really think Crochie is going to have a

701
00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:25,599
good game here. So let me take a look at

702
00:36:25,639 --> 00:36:29,239
the team total for the for the A's here, team

703
00:36:29,320 --> 00:36:35,039
totals three and a half, pretty much even on the over,

704
00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:40,719
somewhat like that under with the Boston pitching staff the

705
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:43,559
way it's set up here. But this is a pretty

706
00:36:43,559 --> 00:36:46,800
good hitters park, and as we always know that this

707
00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:49,760
is normally from a part factor, it's twenty two percent

708
00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:53,920
over a normal situation. The wind is blowing out. Uh

709
00:36:54,159 --> 00:36:58,639
so maybe I passed, but I really like the situation

710
00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:02,480
for this look for the Boston pitching staff. But maybe

711
00:37:02,519 --> 00:37:03,760
I'll just pick another game.

712
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:10,519
Speaker 4: Yeah, sometimes it's good to not overthink things. You've got

713
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,960
a team that probably has a very good chance of

714
00:37:15,039 --> 00:37:18,360
winning their division with the number four pitcher in all

715
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:20,960
of MLB on the mound for them, against a team

716
00:37:21,039 --> 00:37:23,519
with a losing record who are twenty nine and forty

717
00:37:23,559 --> 00:37:27,920
at home. So sometimes better not to overthink things than

718
00:37:28,039 --> 00:37:32,920
just take Boston here. I think you know they could

719
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:35,639
win their division. Even if they don't, they're probably in

720
00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:40,599
the playoffs. Garrett Kroschet I have him ranked number four

721
00:37:40,679 --> 00:37:44,559
out of every pitcher in MLB, So you know, the

722
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:48,320
A's just can't win at home, and they haven't and

723
00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:52,440
they do have the better lineup, no doubt about it.

724
00:37:52,679 --> 00:37:56,039
But does that matter? I mean, I think Crochet can

725
00:37:56,079 --> 00:37:59,079
shut them down. I don't have enough sample size to

726
00:37:59,199 --> 00:38:01,400
really judge how he does against these batters, but in

727
00:38:01,480 --> 00:38:05,280
thirteen at bats, against. He has a one thirty average

728
00:38:05,320 --> 00:38:09,000
against something like that, so not enough sample size to

729
00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:13,239
actually put that into the cap. But you've got a

730
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:16,119
team that's probably gonna win their division or at least

731
00:38:16,159 --> 00:38:18,360
make the playoffs with the number four pitcher on the mound.

732
00:38:18,840 --> 00:38:21,679
Morales has pitched well, but he only has four starts,

733
00:38:21,880 --> 00:38:28,280
so regression perhaps not sure, but Bustin should win it

734
00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:31,320
in the end. They're the better team, so don't overthink it.

735
00:38:33,280 --> 00:38:36,960
Speaker 2: I think, for I don't think Boston is coming anywhere

736
00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:38,679
close to any of this division. I'll be shocked if

737
00:38:38,679 --> 00:38:41,880
they finished any They're above third, and it's because Roman

738
00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:45,639
Anthony's out and this team without him, they're just very

739
00:38:45,719 --> 00:38:48,840
average from the way their lineup is constructed. Now, I'm

740
00:38:48,880 --> 00:38:51,280
not like the one thing that I kind of came

741
00:38:51,320 --> 00:38:53,119
in and said, okay, can I make a case I

742
00:38:53,320 --> 00:38:53,880
like Morales.

743
00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:54,280
Speaker 3: I think.

744
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:58,800
Speaker 2: I mean, the guy's throwing ninety nine. He's hitting corners like.

745
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:01,559
I don't know how long that last as a starter.

746
00:39:01,639 --> 00:39:03,559
It's tough to do that as a starter in this

747
00:39:03,719 --> 00:39:06,960
league without like another really good pitch. But he's been

748
00:39:07,039 --> 00:39:10,000
fantastic and I think he could maybe have success against

749
00:39:10,000 --> 00:39:13,039
this Red Sox lineup. I did kind of forget about

750
00:39:13,119 --> 00:39:15,480
Crochet getting Bob last time out, so maybe not the

751
00:39:15,559 --> 00:39:18,599
best spot to go against Crochet. If I was gonna

752
00:39:18,599 --> 00:39:20,199
play it, it'd be A's plus one and a half

753
00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:24,119
and and it entirely goes back to me not thinking

754
00:39:24,199 --> 00:39:26,199
this Red Sox lineup is gonna be able to do

755
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:29,119
much without Roman Anthony and I also like Morales. I

756
00:39:29,159 --> 00:39:30,840
think he can kind of hold them down. As far

757
00:39:30,880 --> 00:39:36,360
as Chapman's concerned. Yes, four strikeouts last night Ililamaro Vargas

758
00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:38,800
almost got hit by the pitch that he swung at

759
00:39:38,840 --> 00:39:40,039
and it ended up behind him.

760
00:39:40,599 --> 00:39:41,119
Speaker 1: No big deal.

761
00:39:41,199 --> 00:39:43,519
Speaker 2: He came out, struck out the next two guys. That

762
00:39:43,679 --> 00:39:47,039
is fifty consecutive hitters he's faced without giving up a hit.

763
00:39:47,360 --> 00:39:51,480
Speaker 1: That is insane. So you're that's one thing I guess

764
00:39:51,599 --> 00:39:52,440
is a little concerning.

765
00:39:53,039 --> 00:39:54,519
Speaker 2: Usually you take the plus one and a half and

766
00:39:54,559 --> 00:39:56,119
you're like, Okay, maybe I can backdoor this.

767
00:39:56,239 --> 00:39:57,199
Speaker 1: Well, let me tell you something.

768
00:39:57,239 --> 00:39:59,440
Speaker 2: If if it comes down to like a two run

769
00:39:59,559 --> 00:40:02,199
lead and check apps in, I'm not very confident in

770
00:40:02,280 --> 00:40:04,280
getting that run that might cover that plus one and

771
00:40:04,320 --> 00:40:04,599
a half.

772
00:40:04,719 --> 00:40:07,199
Speaker 1: So that's a you know, I guess it keeps me

773
00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:08,000
off of it a little.

774
00:40:08,679 --> 00:40:10,960
Speaker 2: The A's is TV said have not played well at home,

775
00:40:11,039 --> 00:40:13,400
but this is still the type of team that I

776
00:40:13,920 --> 00:40:17,039
don't mind against a pitcher like Crochet or even like

777
00:40:17,119 --> 00:40:20,000
a Chatman, because they've got young players, good back to

778
00:40:20,079 --> 00:40:23,559
ball skills. They're gonna swing it a lot, and it's

779
00:40:23,599 --> 00:40:26,320
a ballpark that will give up the cheap homer, so

780
00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:28,840
who knows, maybe you know the ball gets out. I

781
00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:31,679
think Crochet gave up four home runs in his last start,

782
00:40:31,840 --> 00:40:33,599
so maybe a one off, maybe not.

783
00:40:33,760 --> 00:40:35,519
Speaker 1: I think the values with the A's I like as

784
00:40:35,559 --> 00:40:36,880
plus one and a half. Brian, go ahead.

785
00:40:37,679 --> 00:40:41,159
Speaker 3: I just wanted to point out the difference between Anthony

786
00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:43,719
and what they've got. Now, if you take a look

787
00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:47,920
at the power rank on the season over at fangrafs RUSS,

788
00:40:47,960 --> 00:40:51,960
the resources tremendous. Mister Martinez does a terrific job on

789
00:40:52,079 --> 00:40:55,360
that site. But Roman Anthony on the season is ready

790
00:40:55,400 --> 00:40:57,760
as the two hundred and eleventh best hitter. Now, a

791
00:40:57,840 --> 00:41:00,719
lot of that came early on, struggled a little bit

792
00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:02,599
early on, and then he's been much better since then.

793
00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:07,199
But they've got Nate Eaton taking his spot, and he

794
00:41:07,360 --> 00:41:10,719
ranks number four ninety eight. They do have Rob Reschneider

795
00:41:10,880 --> 00:41:16,199
at two ninety four. He's already the faces off against lefties,

796
00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:21,119
but he won't be starting today, So big, big differential there.

797
00:41:22,239 --> 00:41:24,480
That Batman out of the lineup really does hurt him.

798
00:41:25,159 --> 00:41:28,119
But I think we're going up against, at least in

799
00:41:28,159 --> 00:41:31,639
my mind, a little bit overrated Athletics starting pitcher here.

800
00:41:31,679 --> 00:41:32,559
We'll see how this goes.

801
00:41:35,079 --> 00:41:38,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, and you know, with the morales like tremendous,

802
00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:41,800
I'll say this again, I think he's gonna end up

803
00:41:41,800 --> 00:41:44,440
being a great reliever. I don't know how long they're

804
00:41:44,480 --> 00:41:47,119
going to keep him as a starter, but guy throws

805
00:41:47,159 --> 00:41:51,280
almost sixty percent bastballs. At some point a lineup's probably

806
00:41:51,360 --> 00:41:54,159
gonna figure out that, like that's just how the big

807
00:41:54,239 --> 00:41:56,480
leagues work. But I don't know if I have faith

808
00:41:56,519 --> 00:41:59,400
in this Red Sox lineup doing it, because Roman Anthony

809
00:41:59,440 --> 00:42:02,880
would be one of the best matchups in this lineup tonight. Lefty,

810
00:42:03,320 --> 00:42:05,599
his his ops and his splits are much better against

811
00:42:05,639 --> 00:42:08,559
right handed pitchers. You're gonna replace him with Nady and

812
00:42:08,599 --> 00:42:11,119
that's a huge drop off right there for the Red Sox.

813
00:42:11,199 --> 00:42:15,880
So aser passed for me. All right, let's let's continue on.

814
00:42:18,960 --> 00:42:21,639
Let's see, Well, I'll throw it over to you, Brian.

815
00:42:21,679 --> 00:42:23,000
Do you know do you have a game we haven't

816
00:42:23,000 --> 00:42:25,000
talked about yet that you would use for the parlay

817
00:42:25,119 --> 00:42:26,679
or just one you want to bring up in general.

818
00:42:27,360 --> 00:42:29,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, I've got a few things I'm looking at regarding

819
00:42:30,039 --> 00:42:32,519
team totals and first half and things like that, but

820
00:42:33,159 --> 00:42:36,159
I want to try to keep it that people can

821
00:42:36,239 --> 00:42:38,920
bet it anywhere they play. So let's take a look

822
00:42:38,920 --> 00:42:47,719
at this this Arizona San Francisco game, and we're looking

823
00:42:47,880 --> 00:42:52,599
at right now San Francisco with Web against Chris matt

824
00:42:52,679 --> 00:42:55,960
for Arizona. Web's about a one seventy five to one

825
00:42:56,039 --> 00:42:59,880
eighty favorite total seven and a half to the over.

826
00:43:01,079 --> 00:43:04,920
And the Giants right now, when you take a look

827
00:43:04,960 --> 00:43:07,559
at WRC plus for the last two weeks, they're leading

828
00:43:07,639 --> 00:43:11,840
Major League Baseball. It won fifty two. Keep in mind

829
00:43:12,079 --> 00:43:15,880
they did play in Colorado. That always helps. But is

830
00:43:15,960 --> 00:43:18,960
this really an offense we trust at this point for

831
00:43:19,039 --> 00:43:22,639
the entire season they were one of the lower rated offenses.

832
00:43:22,719 --> 00:43:26,320
They've been hot lately, but I think if you're playing

833
00:43:26,719 --> 00:43:29,119
San Francisco right now, you're playing them at the peak.

834
00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:32,280
They're just coming off a big winning streak, they've lost

835
00:43:32,320 --> 00:43:36,440
two games in a row. They're up plenty up plus

836
00:43:36,519 --> 00:43:39,079
twenty six on run differential this year, but the Arizona

837
00:43:39,119 --> 00:43:43,440
Diamondbacks are plus twenty five, so and they're only half

838
00:43:43,480 --> 00:43:45,920
a game. Diamondbacks are half a game behind them in

839
00:43:46,000 --> 00:43:50,760
the standings, So I know the reason. A major reason

840
00:43:50,880 --> 00:43:52,960
why is because of Web being on the mild, and

841
00:43:53,400 --> 00:43:55,760
no doubt about it. But take a look at what

842
00:43:55,920 --> 00:43:58,519
Chris matt has done, and it's you know, he's a

843
00:43:58,559 --> 00:44:01,679
guy that has been around. This is his sixth season,

844
00:44:02,599 --> 00:44:05,159
but look at his ERA three point five to five

845
00:44:05,320 --> 00:44:09,639
career ERA. In six seasons, he's thrown basically two hundred innings.

846
00:44:09,679 --> 00:44:12,400
In that regard, he's not a bad pitcher. I mean

847
00:44:12,480 --> 00:44:17,480
his fastball Veloss he is terrible. He throws. He's already

848
00:44:17,599 --> 00:44:21,760
that throws eighty eight point nine miles per hour as

849
00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:24,679
for Singer League average is ninety five. He's not going

850
00:44:24,719 --> 00:44:28,320
to beat you in that. He's a crafty guy, and

851
00:44:29,159 --> 00:44:31,719
I liked that his fastball Velos season the second percente

852
00:44:31,880 --> 00:44:35,239
strekout rates bad. With rates bad, you would expect that.

853
00:44:36,119 --> 00:44:38,960
But even though he's only throwing twenty one innings this year,

854
00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:41,519
and he hasn't pitched a lot in the majors the

855
00:44:41,599 --> 00:44:44,840
last three years. He's only got what forty one innings

856
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:47,199
the last three years. But this is a guy when

857
00:44:47,239 --> 00:44:50,519
he gets the chance to pitch, he performs very well.

858
00:44:51,400 --> 00:44:55,280
Avera Jackson velocity is very good, his barrel rates very good,

859
00:44:55,360 --> 00:44:58,280
hard hit rates very good, ground ball percentage is very good.

860
00:44:58,960 --> 00:45:00,920
That is a pitcher I'm looking to back. And I

861
00:45:00,960 --> 00:45:03,199
talked about his forts Seamer. He only throws that ten

862
00:45:03,239 --> 00:45:07,480
percent of the time, so he's got six pitches that

863
00:45:07,760 --> 00:45:09,800
has changed. He throws thirty seven percent. This is the

864
00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:13,320
guy who's gonna keep you off balanced, and I like that.

865
00:45:14,119 --> 00:45:16,840
And he's going up against Logan web Nothing. I can't

866
00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:18,800
say anything bad about Logan Webb. He comes in with

867
00:45:18,880 --> 00:45:22,360
a three point one seventy RA three point sixty seven expected,

868
00:45:23,119 --> 00:45:27,280
but he's beat his expected DRA all but one of

869
00:45:27,440 --> 00:45:30,679
his seven seasons in Major League Baseball, so he he's

870
00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:34,559
a crafty guy. Also. But why is San Francisco such

871
00:45:34,599 --> 00:45:36,920
a huge favorite in this game. I just don't see it.

872
00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:40,719
We've got two teams that are pretty equal and they're

873
00:45:40,760 --> 00:45:43,119
going off the name of web very good pitcher, but

874
00:45:43,679 --> 00:45:48,000
some of his numbers are not impressive. Basketball velocity twenty

875
00:45:48,079 --> 00:45:53,719
thirty percentile, expected betting average thirty second, expected average eggs

876
00:45:53,719 --> 00:45:57,760
of velocity thirty fifth, aren't hit rate forty fourth. He's

877
00:45:57,880 --> 00:46:00,639
very good in walk grate, very good in gravel percentage,

878
00:46:00,679 --> 00:46:03,159
and his extension is good. There's too much of a

879
00:46:03,239 --> 00:46:06,960
differential here between these two teams. There. They're pretty much

880
00:46:07,079 --> 00:46:10,480
equal on the season, although the Giants have played better lately.

881
00:46:11,119 --> 00:46:13,280
But there's no way they should be at once seventy five,

882
00:46:13,360 --> 00:46:17,119
one eighty favorite. I could get Arizona right now as

883
00:46:17,239 --> 00:46:20,880
high as plus one sixty two average. You're getting about

884
00:46:20,880 --> 00:46:23,719
a plus one sixty. I'm going to play that. We're

885
00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:26,440
going to get a good playoff tonight unless TP pulls

886
00:46:26,519 --> 00:46:29,480
one of his minus three hundred for his part. But

887
00:46:29,639 --> 00:46:33,440
I'm gonna take Arizona here at plus one sixty, and

888
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:36,119
I think there's a plenty of value in that game.

889
00:46:38,719 --> 00:46:38,920
Speaker 1: Yeah.

890
00:46:39,000 --> 00:46:43,679
Speaker 4: When I do my capting, I kind of scan the

891
00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:45,840
games and see what pops out at me, and then

892
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:48,360
whatever pops out of me, I take a closer look.

893
00:46:48,400 --> 00:46:51,280
And this one did pop out at me simply because

894
00:46:51,800 --> 00:46:56,480
I have web ranked one spot below Crochet at number

895
00:46:56,559 --> 00:46:59,079
five the number five pitcher in all of MLB, So

896
00:46:59,679 --> 00:47:03,119
I did a little bit of a deeper dive his

897
00:47:04,239 --> 00:47:07,199
His career stats against these batters are not as good

898
00:47:07,239 --> 00:47:10,280
as I expected them to be. So then I looked

899
00:47:10,280 --> 00:47:14,400
at Krismutt numbers like him. My numbers have him ranked

900
00:47:14,760 --> 00:47:18,960
right there with Web, but obviously he's not Logan Web.

901
00:47:19,679 --> 00:47:24,519
But he said four three legitimate starts this season, and

902
00:47:24,679 --> 00:47:26,920
he performed quite well in all of them, and one

903
00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:29,639
of them was against Milwaukee. One of them was against Colorado,

904
00:47:29,760 --> 00:47:32,400
So those are teams that can kind of hit well.

905
00:47:32,599 --> 00:47:37,760
Colorado at Colorado, Colorado can hit. So I looked at

906
00:47:37,840 --> 00:47:40,280
his career numbers, like Brian says, he's got He's got

907
00:47:40,360 --> 00:47:42,719
like a three three RA not bad, but a lot

908
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:45,199
of that was in relief work. So I really don't

909
00:47:45,239 --> 00:47:48,559
know what to expect from him, but I know Logan

910
00:47:48,639 --> 00:47:51,280
Web is really good. So then I compare the two teams.

911
00:47:51,639 --> 00:47:54,519
This is the closest matchup I have of of of

912
00:47:54,840 --> 00:47:57,800
the whole slate today. I got these two teams neck

913
00:47:57,880 --> 00:48:01,239
and neck, even though Web is the best picture in NLP.

914
00:48:01,880 --> 00:48:04,920
So I agree with Brian, the Giants should not be

915
00:48:05,000 --> 00:48:09,239
this big of a favorite. Here will I bet the Diamondbacks.

916
00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:14,320
I'm not sure about that. Webb has amazing command, He's

917
00:48:14,360 --> 00:48:17,039
only walking eighteen percent of the guys he's striking out.

918
00:48:19,480 --> 00:48:23,000
I really wanted to bet the Giants here, but I

919
00:48:23,119 --> 00:48:26,320
can't because my numbers tell me that the Diamondbacks have

920
00:48:26,480 --> 00:48:30,119
a very very good chance of upsetting them today. But

921
00:48:30,400 --> 00:48:33,519
I do not have the testicular fortitude to put my

922
00:48:33,639 --> 00:48:35,360
money on it, so I will not bet this.

923
00:48:38,039 --> 00:48:40,519
Speaker 1: Arizona is the best team that's going to miss the playoffs.

924
00:48:40,639 --> 00:48:41,719
It's very unfortunate.

925
00:48:41,960 --> 00:48:46,559
Speaker 2: They were completely let down by pitching injury, specifically bullpen.

926
00:48:47,599 --> 00:48:49,039
So this was a bullpen that was supposed to have

927
00:48:49,159 --> 00:48:53,639
Justin Martinez AJ puck and it just blew up early.

928
00:48:54,360 --> 00:48:56,599
And the reason I'm bringing that up here is like

929
00:48:56,960 --> 00:48:59,199
the lineup is still just as good as it's all.

930
00:48:59,400 --> 00:49:01,800
I still, I still truly believe that this lineup is

931
00:49:02,320 --> 00:49:04,519
just as good as it was when it had Josh

932
00:49:04,639 --> 00:49:07,559
Naylor and Eugenio SoRs. You talk about like Brian talked

933
00:49:07,559 --> 00:49:11,280
about player replacement when we talked about the Red Sox

934
00:49:11,360 --> 00:49:13,880
a minute ago. The guys that have come into the

935
00:49:13,920 --> 00:49:16,280
lineup been taking the places of Josh Naylor and Eugenio

936
00:49:16,320 --> 00:49:20,000
scores are not like that much worse in terms of

937
00:49:20,079 --> 00:49:23,679
like production. Uh, they're They're a team that's got a

938
00:49:23,880 --> 00:49:26,360
very deep sort of collection of players. You know, with

939
00:49:26,440 --> 00:49:29,320
the guys down at Reno there, there's they like they

940
00:49:29,440 --> 00:49:31,119
have guys that sort.

941
00:49:30,960 --> 00:49:34,199
Speaker 1: Of belong in in a big league lineup.

942
00:49:34,559 --> 00:49:37,840
Speaker 2: And so again like they're this lineup is great, tons

943
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:40,360
of team speed, they know how to score runs. You know,

944
00:49:40,480 --> 00:49:42,880
TV you talked about some of their splits against the Giants.

945
00:49:43,159 --> 00:49:44,400
They've seen Web a ton.

946
00:49:44,880 --> 00:49:46,239
Speaker 1: So if there was ever going to be a team

947
00:49:46,320 --> 00:49:48,079
that was going to get to Logan Web, it's probably

948
00:49:48,119 --> 00:49:52,280
Arizona because they've seen him plenty. They've had success against him.

949
00:49:52,840 --> 00:49:54,960
The Chrisler is his nickname.

950
00:49:54,639 --> 00:49:56,840
Speaker 2: By the way, at least on the Lehigh Valley Iron

951
00:49:56,880 --> 00:49:59,320
Pigs broadcast earlier this year, when Chris Matt was in

952
00:49:59,679 --> 00:50:02,039
the organization, they called him the Krizzler.

953
00:50:02,159 --> 00:50:04,840
Speaker 1: That's what they called them all year. They really wanted

954
00:50:04,840 --> 00:50:05,519
to get that going.

955
00:50:05,599 --> 00:50:07,559
Speaker 2: I saw them posted on social media a couple times,

956
00:50:07,599 --> 00:50:08,440
and then he gets traded.

957
00:50:08,920 --> 00:50:10,400
Speaker 1: That's what's happened to him his whole career.

958
00:50:11,320 --> 00:50:13,519
Speaker 2: Neville chrisn at thirty years old, he's been in like

959
00:50:14,239 --> 00:50:15,960
probably eight different organizations.

960
00:50:16,039 --> 00:50:18,400
Speaker 1: He's just a professional. He's a veteran.

961
00:50:19,039 --> 00:50:21,079
Speaker 2: He's going to go out and give you a professional effort,

962
00:50:21,800 --> 00:50:25,679
throw six or seven pitches, like you know, I don't

963
00:50:25,760 --> 00:50:27,800
know that Arizona really needs him to get through more

964
00:50:27,880 --> 00:50:28,639
than five innings.

965
00:50:29,159 --> 00:50:30,880
Speaker 1: They don't have a great bullpend. But here's the thing,

966
00:50:31,039 --> 00:50:35,239
Like they're not getting priced off of having good pitching.

967
00:50:35,639 --> 00:50:38,159
Speaker 2: So if you can get a couple of good innings

968
00:50:38,199 --> 00:50:40,400
out of Chris Matt which he's he's actually been able

969
00:50:40,480 --> 00:50:43,000
to do for them, you're gonna be in a great

970
00:50:43,000 --> 00:50:46,199
position to win a game, and, as Brian said, have

971
00:50:46,280 --> 00:50:48,239
a great great price in doing so.

972
00:50:48,400 --> 00:50:51,000
Speaker 1: I like the plus one and a half here, I'm hoping.

973
00:50:51,880 --> 00:50:54,440
Speaker 2: I'm wondering if the market says, oh, it's logan web,

974
00:50:54,480 --> 00:50:56,760
the Giants have to win. You know what we talked

975
00:50:56,760 --> 00:50:59,079
about that last week, the whole, the whole sort of

976
00:50:59,480 --> 00:51:02,039
you know concept that this is a game the Giants

977
00:51:02,199 --> 00:51:05,519
must win. If that pushes this up another twenty cents

978
00:51:05,920 --> 00:51:06,920
and I can get plus.

979
00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:08,360
Speaker 1: One and a half and in the plus in the

980
00:51:08,400 --> 00:51:11,079
minus one thirty range, that's something I'd be willing to

981
00:51:11,119 --> 00:51:12,400
maybe throw all my client card.

982
00:51:13,440 --> 00:51:15,360
Speaker 2: I really think Saturday night was a nail on the

983
00:51:15,400 --> 00:51:17,719
coffin for the Giants. They had a two nothing lead

984
00:51:18,119 --> 00:51:21,199
going into the ninth inning. They blew that game and

985
00:51:21,519 --> 00:51:23,400
sort of blew their wind streak in the process.

986
00:51:23,440 --> 00:51:24,360
Speaker 1: They lose yesterday.

987
00:51:24,400 --> 00:51:28,159
Speaker 2: I woultn't be surprised if that's sort of the unofficial

988
00:51:28,320 --> 00:51:31,400
end of the Giants season, just because it took so

989
00:51:31,559 --> 00:51:33,920
much effort to get to that point and then you

990
00:51:34,400 --> 00:51:36,840
lose in the fashion they did on Saturday, you come

991
00:51:36,880 --> 00:51:40,320
out and lose yesterday. I just think that the hill

992
00:51:40,440 --> 00:51:42,599
is too you know, too much of an uphill climb

993
00:51:42,920 --> 00:51:45,480
from this point forward. Arizona's kind of been out of

994
00:51:45,519 --> 00:51:48,079
it for a few, like a month now, even though

995
00:51:48,119 --> 00:51:50,519
they are actually only what like a half game worse

996
00:51:50,559 --> 00:51:51,199
than the Giants.

997
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:54,559
Speaker 1: I feel like there's this the mindset has been, We've

998
00:51:54,639 --> 00:51:55,119
been out of it.

999
00:51:55,360 --> 00:51:58,000
Speaker 2: I saw Jordan Lawler getting some playing time over the weekend,

1000
00:51:58,079 --> 00:52:00,400
some of the younger guys getting up in there. I'm

1001
00:52:00,440 --> 00:52:02,920
with you, Brian, diamondbacks make a lot of sense, and

1002
00:52:03,639 --> 00:52:05,440
plus one and a half if it comes down ten

1003
00:52:05,480 --> 00:52:07,199
to fifteen cents is something.

1004
00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:09,800
Speaker 1: That might be on my card. So yeah, I like

1005
00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:10,880
Arizona in the spot.

1006
00:52:11,400 --> 00:52:14,079
Speaker 3: Maybe you put two bets on it. You take the

1007
00:52:14,119 --> 00:52:16,000
plus one and a half of the minus one forty

1008
00:52:16,679 --> 00:52:19,039
and then you play them on the line at plus

1009
00:52:19,119 --> 00:52:22,519
one sixty and set yourself up pretty well in that

1010
00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:26,280
could have a huge pay. Yeah.

1011
00:52:26,320 --> 00:52:28,800
Speaker 2: I mean, and from a price standpoint, there's no question

1012
00:52:29,159 --> 00:52:31,039
Diamondbacks plus one sixty there's crazy.

1013
00:52:31,440 --> 00:52:33,960
Speaker 1: That's crazy. There's still a much And someone in the

1014
00:52:34,039 --> 00:52:37,679
chat says the Diamondbacks are the Rockies. No, not even close.

1015
00:52:38,159 --> 00:52:40,400
That is a horrible comparison.

1016
00:52:40,760 --> 00:52:43,000
Speaker 2: Just because they don't have pitching does not make them

1017
00:52:43,000 --> 00:52:44,880
even close to the Rockies. This is still a team

1018
00:52:44,960 --> 00:52:48,239
that's like top five in the league WRC plus they're

1019
00:52:48,280 --> 00:52:50,280
pitching is the reason they won't be a playoff team.

1020
00:52:50,360 --> 00:52:54,159
But but they're still with this lineup, a five hundred

1021
00:52:54,159 --> 00:52:57,679
team or better. Yeah, I got to disagree with that comment.

1022
00:52:57,679 --> 00:53:00,760
They're much better, much better than the ROI all right,

1023
00:53:00,880 --> 00:53:03,800
let's uh, a couple of people, let's talk about the Rockies.

1024
00:53:03,840 --> 00:53:06,519
I guess a couple of people brought Actually, TV.

1025
00:53:06,920 --> 00:53:08,199
Speaker 1: Do you have a game you want to propose? We

1026
00:53:08,280 --> 00:53:09,320
need a park from you.

1027
00:53:09,599 --> 00:53:11,519
Speaker 4: It's gonna be something we already covered, so we can

1028
00:53:11,599 --> 00:53:13,320
do the Rockies and I'll just throw it in at

1029
00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:13,639
the end.

1030
00:53:14,159 --> 00:53:14,599
Speaker 3: Perfect.

1031
00:53:14,840 --> 00:53:18,440
Speaker 2: Let's let's talk about the Rockies a little bit. That

1032
00:53:18,719 --> 00:53:23,960
was a scene in Baltimore on Saturday night. Yamamoto won

1033
00:53:24,039 --> 00:53:26,480
out away from a from a no hit and then

1034
00:53:26,480 --> 00:53:27,880
they end up losing the game.

1035
00:53:29,519 --> 00:53:31,559
Speaker 1: Why can am I not seeing it? Do we have

1036
00:53:31,800 --> 00:53:33,360
a line for this one? Right?

1037
00:53:34,719 --> 00:53:36,960
Speaker 3: Do? Just haven't decided who are they're gonna pitch? But

1038
00:53:37,039 --> 00:53:40,000
I will say, you know people in this industry, and

1039
00:53:40,159 --> 00:53:43,239
everybody's just a common sense that you bit about your

1040
00:53:43,360 --> 00:53:47,360
bad beats. Well, I had Baltimore in that game eight

1041
00:53:47,400 --> 00:53:50,159
and two thirds innings of no hit ball and I won.

1042
00:53:50,559 --> 00:53:52,000
Speaker 1: So you want to hear.

1043
00:53:52,000 --> 00:53:54,519
Speaker 3: Anything from me about talking about bad beats? That was

1044
00:53:54,559 --> 00:53:57,280
the gift that just kept on giving the entire weekend.

1045
00:53:58,679 --> 00:53:59,559
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a good one.

1046
00:54:00,079 --> 00:54:02,800
Speaker 2: All right, Well to this, we'll do a quick one

1047
00:54:02,880 --> 00:54:07,679
here just to get another game in Rockies Dodgers general thoughts.

1048
00:54:07,719 --> 00:54:09,400
Brian will start with you go to TV and I'll

1049
00:54:09,400 --> 00:54:11,000
finish it off, and then we'll let TV close the

1050
00:54:11,039 --> 00:54:11,599
parlay out.

1051
00:54:12,039 --> 00:54:14,599
Speaker 3: Yeah, we're looking at the Dodgers. People that do have

1052
00:54:14,719 --> 00:54:18,719
lines up in the three ten, three twenty range total

1053
00:54:18,800 --> 00:54:21,400
of nine to the slightly to the over. Dolander is

1054
00:54:21,480 --> 00:54:24,320
going for Colorado. That's all I'll say on it, because

1055
00:54:24,320 --> 00:54:26,320
I don't bet on anything without knowing who the pitchers are.

1056
00:54:29,480 --> 00:54:31,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, we don't know who the pitchers are. But we

1057
00:54:31,519 --> 00:54:34,840
know that both of these teams have horrible bullpens, and

1058
00:54:35,119 --> 00:54:37,320
we know the Dodgers probably will be able to hit

1059
00:54:37,440 --> 00:54:42,360
Chase Dolander and the Rockies. The Rockies have a top

1060
00:54:42,440 --> 00:54:45,760
ten lineup according to my rankings. I know they're not

1061
00:54:45,960 --> 00:54:48,800
a top ten lineup, but in current form they're hitting

1062
00:54:48,880 --> 00:54:51,119
pretty well. Maybe that's because they just came off a

1063
00:54:51,199 --> 00:54:55,480
home series where the air is like the moon and

1064
00:54:55,639 --> 00:54:59,960
it's a monkey ballpark, but they do have the ability

1065
00:55:00,079 --> 00:55:04,960
need to hit poor pitching, and the Dodgers will serve up,

1066
00:55:06,960 --> 00:55:10,199
you know, a good amount of poor pitching if they're

1067
00:55:10,239 --> 00:55:14,679
gonna make this a bullpen game. Man, man, they look

1068
00:55:14,760 --> 00:55:15,760
bad at bullpen.

1069
00:55:15,920 --> 00:55:17,840
Speaker 1: I I thought.

1070
00:55:19,480 --> 00:55:22,480
Speaker 4: I thought Tanner Scott would be like the saves leader

1071
00:55:22,559 --> 00:55:24,920
this year. I thought Blake trying him would would be

1072
00:55:25,039 --> 00:55:28,320
the holds leader. These guys are just underperforming. They look

1073
00:55:28,400 --> 00:55:31,559
like garbage. I would look at an over in this

1074
00:55:31,679 --> 00:55:33,760
one once the line comes out, if I'm gonna do

1075
00:55:33,880 --> 00:55:38,360
anything certainly would not take minus three twenty with the

1076
00:55:38,440 --> 00:55:42,039
Dodgers when they're having a bullpen game, it's probably gonna

1077
00:55:42,039 --> 00:55:43,840
be like a ten to twelve kind of game.

1078
00:55:45,679 --> 00:55:47,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I'm reading that that.

1079
00:55:47,800 --> 00:55:50,719
Speaker 2: Dave Roberts said that it was gonna be Tyler Glass now,

1080
00:55:51,159 --> 00:55:54,239
which is interesting to me considering he's coming off of

1081
00:55:54,280 --> 00:55:57,639
an injury and why no, I guess I guess he

1082
00:55:57,840 --> 00:56:00,280
That's that's what Dave Roberts in one of his press

1083
00:56:00,320 --> 00:56:03,519
conference over the weekend said, Tyler Glass I would start

1084
00:56:03,599 --> 00:56:06,360
against the Rockies at some point. So the way it's

1085
00:56:06,400 --> 00:56:09,519
set up, it's she and tomorrow it's Snell on Wednesday,

1086
00:56:10,000 --> 00:56:12,239
So like it looks like this would be the spot

1087
00:56:12,320 --> 00:56:12,440
to do.

1088
00:56:12,559 --> 00:56:14,239
Speaker 1: What the problem is, doesn't he have it?

1089
00:56:14,320 --> 00:56:16,199
Speaker 2: Isn't he coming off of an oblique Why would you

1090
00:56:16,239 --> 00:56:17,280
even throw him out there?

1091
00:56:17,719 --> 00:56:17,920
Speaker 3: Yeah?

1092
00:56:18,519 --> 00:56:19,159
Speaker 1: A ton of sense.

1093
00:56:19,559 --> 00:56:21,320
Speaker 3: He was pushed back. He was supposed to pitch a

1094
00:56:21,360 --> 00:56:24,760
couple of days ago. And I don't like I don't

1095
00:56:24,840 --> 00:56:28,920
like guys who are not in their regular routine. Brandon

1096
00:56:28,960 --> 00:56:31,760
has talked about this overall in the Scotting days. If

1097
00:56:31,840 --> 00:56:33,719
guys go every five or six days and they're not

1098
00:56:33,800 --> 00:56:35,960
going that five or six day. That's not a guy

1099
00:56:36,000 --> 00:56:37,400
I'm looking to back, and so.

1100
00:56:38,880 --> 00:56:39,360
Speaker 2: Yeah it.

1101
00:56:40,920 --> 00:56:43,119
Speaker 3: He's obviously a very good picture, but he's hurt all

1102
00:56:43,159 --> 00:56:47,519
the time. And that's the problem with this entire entire situation.

1103
00:56:47,639 --> 00:56:50,360
Other than Yellamoto, everybody else has been in and out

1104
00:56:50,360 --> 00:56:52,480
of the lineup all season long. For the Dodgers. Luckily

1105
00:56:52,559 --> 00:56:55,920
they got a good good starters and the miners that

1106
00:56:55,960 --> 00:56:58,760
they can bring these guys in. But the Dodgers don't

1107
00:56:58,800 --> 00:57:00,719
need to win. They've shown them that they don't need

1108
00:57:01,639 --> 00:57:03,599
care if they win the division and not. San Diego

1109
00:57:03,679 --> 00:57:06,719
is the same bit. It's a it's at this point

1110
00:57:07,840 --> 00:57:10,480
my general thoughts, are you bat against balth these seams,

1111
00:57:10,840 --> 00:57:14,480
the Padres and the Dodgers, because obviously they don't seem

1112
00:57:14,559 --> 00:57:18,440
to think that they can win with the wild cards.

1113
00:57:18,480 --> 00:57:22,239
So yeah, it's hold your nose, maybe find a way

1114
00:57:22,280 --> 00:57:23,000
to play Colorado.

1115
00:57:23,039 --> 00:57:28,039
Speaker 4: Hohodell knows my experience with talking to some of these pictures. Man,

1116
00:57:28,119 --> 00:57:31,599
they're like scared children in a haunted house when they

1117
00:57:31,719 --> 00:57:33,840
when you throw them off their schedule. You have some

1118
00:57:34,000 --> 00:57:36,639
really steady rocks, you know, like the grom he's like

1119
00:57:36,719 --> 00:57:40,000
a steady he's got his head together, you know, there's

1120
00:57:40,039 --> 00:57:43,440
some pictures who are they have their stuff together and

1121
00:57:43,480 --> 00:57:45,280
they don't get thrown off no matter what you do.

1122
00:57:45,440 --> 00:57:50,280
But most of them are like superstitious, scared little girls

1123
00:57:50,320 --> 00:57:53,440
when you throw them off their schedule. They really are. Yeah,

1124
00:57:53,639 --> 00:57:54,159
it's funny.

1125
00:57:54,840 --> 00:57:58,639
Speaker 2: I'll tell you one injury that is a big red

1126
00:57:58,679 --> 00:58:01,480
flag and you never you never want to see for

1127
00:58:01,719 --> 00:58:03,320
if you're if you're looking at like a player, and

1128
00:58:03,400 --> 00:58:05,800
this is actually the injury Roman Anthony's dealing with right

1129
00:58:05,800 --> 00:58:09,920
now is an oblique injury. Because they're they linger, They

1130
00:58:10,000 --> 00:58:12,840
come and go. A lot of times you see guys

1131
00:58:12,880 --> 00:58:15,480
with oblique injuries. They'll come back from it. They'll think

1132
00:58:15,519 --> 00:58:18,320
they're fine, they move wrong a little bit, and suddenly

1133
00:58:18,360 --> 00:58:19,840
it's back, they're back on the aisle.

1134
00:58:19,960 --> 00:58:20,480
Speaker 1: It's it's quit.

1135
00:58:21,199 --> 00:58:24,320
Speaker 2: Probably right up there with the worst injuries a baseball

1136
00:58:24,360 --> 00:58:27,519
player could have, because of course you're hitting your the

1137
00:58:27,679 --> 00:58:30,320
obliques are on your side, so it's like the torque

1138
00:58:30,320 --> 00:58:33,440
to get in your swing. For pitchers, everything's about balance

1139
00:58:33,480 --> 00:58:35,920
and mechanics. That throws off your mechanics. So that's the

1140
00:58:36,000 --> 00:58:39,920
injury Tyler Glass I was dealing with. That doesn't leave

1141
00:58:39,960 --> 00:58:43,039
a warm, fuzzy feeling for me. With a three dollars favorite.

1142
00:58:43,320 --> 00:58:45,840
I'm looking at DraftKings right now. They're over nine. Here

1143
00:58:46,000 --> 00:58:48,280
is is basically minus one twenty.

1144
00:58:48,960 --> 00:58:49,760
Speaker 1: I kind of like that.

1145
00:58:50,440 --> 00:58:50,679
Speaker 4: Nice.

1146
00:58:50,880 --> 00:58:54,519
Speaker 1: They're gonna hit Dollander. Yeah, I don't think Donander is

1147
00:58:54,559 --> 00:58:55,719
gonna shut the Dodgers down.

1148
00:58:56,199 --> 00:58:58,119
Speaker 2: And then if it, let's say it goes poorly for

1149
00:58:58,239 --> 00:59:01,159
Glasstout or it's an injury type thing where he's not

1150
00:59:01,239 --> 00:59:03,199
out there long, you're going to have all the depth

1151
00:59:03,280 --> 00:59:05,719
Dodgers' bullpen arms trying to sort of mop up here.

1152
00:59:06,199 --> 00:59:07,920
And it's probably a game where they're going to tell

1153
00:59:07,960 --> 00:59:10,599
their team, hey, go out and score ten so we

1154
00:59:10,679 --> 00:59:12,719
can win this one eleven to six and not have

1155
00:59:12,840 --> 00:59:16,000
to burn our leverage arms because they kind of start

1156
00:59:16,079 --> 00:59:17,079
needed to win win games.

1157
00:59:17,119 --> 00:59:19,159
Speaker 1: They haven't played well at all. So I kind of

1158
00:59:19,239 --> 00:59:20,199
like the over go ahead, Brian.

1159
00:59:20,639 --> 00:59:22,800
Speaker 3: I just want to point out if that Tokyo Brandon's

1160
00:59:22,840 --> 00:59:25,800
favorite player, Max Munsey is supposed to come back off

1161
00:59:25,840 --> 00:59:29,119
the aisle today, and that gives them a huge power

1162
00:59:29,159 --> 00:59:31,559
advantage that they just don't have with his replacements.

1163
00:59:32,320 --> 00:59:35,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, and yet the Dodgers, let's not forget, they're forty

1164
00:59:36,000 --> 00:59:38,599
five and twenty six at home despite having a terrible

1165
00:59:38,679 --> 00:59:41,760
manager and a terrible bullpen. The Rockies are seventeen and

1166
00:59:41,920 --> 00:59:44,760
fifty one on the road, so we can't forget that.

1167
00:59:45,039 --> 00:59:47,920
But if you look at first games of series, I

1168
00:59:48,000 --> 00:59:50,159
don't have the numbers, but if you look at the

1169
00:59:50,239 --> 00:59:52,800
first game of the series, I would imagine most of

1170
00:59:52,880 --> 00:59:55,079
the Rockies wins came in the first game of the

1171
00:59:55,199 --> 00:59:59,480
series when someone is just you know, doesn't care and

1172
00:59:59,760 --> 01:00:02,400
get the game away and then wins the other two backs.

1173
01:00:02,559 --> 01:00:04,719
I imagine, but I'm not I don't have the data.

1174
01:00:05,840 --> 01:00:09,239
Speaker 2: Tommy Edmund was playing for OKC over the week last

1175
01:00:09,320 --> 01:00:11,320
week too, so so who knows. Maybe you see him

1176
01:00:11,320 --> 01:00:13,360
out there as well. But yeah, Munsey would be a

1177
01:00:13,519 --> 01:00:16,880
nice addition. And I don't think Munsey played yesterday, which

1178
01:00:16,920 --> 01:00:20,239
bitch tells me he's likely rejoining the team. So you

1179
01:00:20,400 --> 01:00:23,880
probably see Max Onnesi in the lineup here. All right, TV,

1180
01:00:24,000 --> 01:00:26,000
who do you like for the parlay? Let's close this out?

1181
01:00:26,639 --> 01:00:28,639
Speaker 4: Yeah, if I can use the team total, I want

1182
01:00:28,679 --> 01:00:31,440
to use the Cubs under four and a half, and

1183
01:00:31,719 --> 01:00:37,159
I'm seeing that at minus one p fifteen. I think Elder,

1184
01:00:37,519 --> 01:00:40,679
although I don't like him that much, He's dominated these

1185
01:00:40,719 --> 01:00:44,920
Cubs and I think he'll do it again today, going

1186
01:00:45,000 --> 01:00:49,159
against what Brian said, But uh yeah, I like the

1187
01:00:49,199 --> 01:00:51,079
Cubs under four and a half for my legs, So.

1188
01:00:52,559 --> 01:00:55,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, listen, it's worth it's worth pointing out

1189
01:00:55,119 --> 01:00:59,719
that like this, Cub's offense has not really fully clicked

1190
01:00:59,719 --> 01:01:00,000
in a way.

1191
01:01:00,440 --> 01:01:03,920
Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, yeah, you could get the.

1192
01:01:03,960 --> 01:01:06,719
Speaker 2: Outburst, but if you don't, a lot of their games

1193
01:01:06,760 --> 01:01:10,400
have been you know, when they score three runs against

1194
01:01:10,400 --> 01:01:12,400
the Nationals yesterday, right like they just it's it's not

1195
01:01:12,519 --> 01:01:13,039
like they've been.

1196
01:01:12,920 --> 01:01:16,400
Speaker 1: A run scoring machine. So still, I'm not gonna not

1197
01:01:16,519 --> 01:01:17,679
gonna try to argue with you on that.

1198
01:01:17,920 --> 01:01:18,559
Speaker 3: This I got.

1199
01:01:18,840 --> 01:01:20,480
Speaker 1: This might be a record for it. This might be

1200
01:01:20,559 --> 01:01:25,280
our our biggest parlay odds yet. I actually think we are.

1201
01:01:25,559 --> 01:01:28,519
We're looking at plus eight seventy seven, so we are

1202
01:01:28,599 --> 01:01:32,599
taking a shot to start the week. That's gonna be

1203
01:01:32,719 --> 01:01:37,000
Royal's money line, Diamondbacks money line Cubs team total under

1204
01:01:37,039 --> 01:01:37,559
four and a half.

1205
01:01:37,679 --> 01:01:39,239
Speaker 2: So my leg is gonna be the Royals on the

1206
01:01:39,280 --> 01:01:42,199
money line. Bryan Leonard's going Diamondbacks on the money line.

1207
01:01:42,480 --> 01:01:45,639
Nice plus price there Tokyo. Brandon says, Cubs under four

1208
01:01:45,679 --> 01:01:48,079
and a half. That's team total under four and a

1209
01:01:48,159 --> 01:01:49,519
half and.

1210
01:01:49,559 --> 01:01:52,760
Speaker 1: That's plus eight seventy seven, So nice, I mean, this

1211
01:01:52,840 --> 01:01:55,000
would be great for us, would set us up nicely

1212
01:01:55,559 --> 01:01:58,480
going forward if we can hit this one today. TV.

1213
01:01:58,559 --> 01:02:00,400
You got you want to do the quick promo before

1214
01:02:00,440 --> 01:02:01,400
we get out of here.

1215
01:02:02,159 --> 01:02:05,079
Speaker 4: Yeah, I have a five percent play up and I

1216
01:02:05,239 --> 01:02:09,880
have several KBO plays up. They are all half price,

1217
01:02:10,480 --> 01:02:13,559
and I'm sure these two gentlemen will be putting something up.

1218
01:02:13,880 --> 01:02:17,280
I have a free play up too, So go to

1219
01:02:17,360 --> 01:02:20,440
wager talk dot com sometime today and see what we

1220
01:02:20,519 --> 01:02:24,639
are all offering us three. We generally put a lot

1221
01:02:24,719 --> 01:02:27,679
of free plays up, so at least go and check

1222
01:02:27,760 --> 01:02:28,159
that out.

1223
01:02:30,920 --> 01:02:33,400
Speaker 1: Have a great day, yup, I'll I'll actually have a

1224
01:02:33,559 --> 01:02:35,400
special on my all Access.

1225
01:02:35,199 --> 01:02:36,880
Speaker 2: That's going to be up before the end of today.

1226
01:02:37,159 --> 01:02:39,400
They're working on like a code for it, so take

1227
01:02:39,400 --> 01:02:41,599
a look at that. Check out Brian's page to see

1228
01:02:41,639 --> 01:02:43,960
what he has going, and we'll be back here tomorrow

1229
01:02:44,000 --> 01:02:44,719
morning nine am.

1230
01:02:45,079 --> 01:02:46,800
Speaker 1: More total bases. We'll see you guys. Then, have a

1231
01:02:46,840 --> 01:02:47,440
good day everyone,