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Speaker 1: Happy Saturday.

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Speaker 2: Oh my god, college football is finally here. I know

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it was here last week, but this is like Christmas

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Morning here for the wager Talk family.

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Speaker 1: This is last call. I am Kelly Sewart and I'm

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gonna be joining you every single.

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Speaker 2: Saturday until the college football playoff and the National Championship.

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So you guys get ready. I hope you got your

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notepads ready. I got my list. I'm gonna get some

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steam report from VR. We're gonna talk to Ross Benjamin

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from wager Talk dot Com, as well as Art this

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Caesar joining us from the Westgate super Book to give

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us a look behind the counter. We're gonna go to

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him first.

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Speaker 1: What is going on?

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Speaker 3: My man?

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Speaker 1: You text me yesterday said hey, I'm gonna be on

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last calall. I was like, you are.

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Speaker 2: I thought you were gonna be so busy with your

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new show with Joe and the Press. So I'm elated

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to have.

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Speaker 4: You here Kelly every Saturday. You know, this is what

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we do. And this is a great weekend, opening weekend.

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I know we've had week zero and Thursday and Friday,

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but this is a great day. The book has a

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lot of energy, there's a lot of great games, so

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I'm excited to talk about all these games.

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Speaker 2: How is the buzz there at the Westgate super Book.

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It is only eight am Pacific. There are people starting

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to line up, get their bets.

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Speaker 1: In, get their seats. Is anybody drinking beer yet?

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Speaker 4: People are starting to line up. You know, we open

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the counter an hour early. Obviously the app is open

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a lot earlier than that. And yeah, I mean you

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just the football energy in the football buzz is always

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really great.

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Speaker 5: It's great.

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Speaker 4: We can even feel the energy in the back room,

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so that's always a good thing.

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Speaker 1: That's awesome.

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Speaker 2: I felt the energy this morning when I saw the

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final count two hundred and sixteen thousand dollars to first

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place for that Westgate Inaugural College Football Contest. I am

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ready to run through a brick wall. Arn't this eason.

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I'm just gonna let you go. I want you to

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talk about some of your biggest needs here for the

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morning slate, that we'll get into some of the afternoon

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games and maybe even hit those couple of games for Sunday.

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Speaker 5: Absolutely, let's just talk.

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Speaker 4: Start in the morning Syracuse, Tennessee, which is one of

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the Markey morning games that seemed really good.

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Speaker 5: Two way they've.

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Speaker 4: Laid the thirteen and a half of Tennessee. They've taken

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the fourteen with Syracuse. We're now fourteen Tennessee. But we've

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kind of been going back and forth on that fau Maryland.

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We saw really sharp over money at fifty seven and

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a half, got all the way up to sixty one

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and a half.

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Speaker 5: We've seen a little bit of a.

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Speaker 4: Buyback on that under We are now sixty and a half.

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This is a real interesting one nine to forty five

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Vegas kickoff time. Toledo and Kentucky. It's been nothing but

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Kentucky money. They laid seven and a half, they laid eight,

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they laid nine, got all the way up to ten.

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We saw a little bit of buyback on Toledo, but

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we're still gonna need Toledo. We are very much buried

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to the Kentucky side. The Northwestern tu lane games split

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going from five to six, five to six, kind of

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back and forth.

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Speaker 5: Here's another big need for us.

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Speaker 4: We're gonna need Southern miss They laid twelve, they laid thirteen,

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they laid fourteen with Mississippi State. We're now fourteen and

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a half. A little bit of under money came in

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as well on sixty one. But I would say the

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big needs of the morning would be that Southern Miss game,

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like I mentioned, and we're really gonna need yeah, I

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mean we're we're probably gonna need Texas if we want

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to get in Ohio State, if we want to get

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into that game. Obviously, the early money has come in

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on Texas. We opened that game three, got all the

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way down to one, now back to one and a half.

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And don't forget we're dealing minus one oh five sides

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on that game. We always do one oh nine now

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on the college but now we're doing one oh five

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on the real marquee games. That int issue. We're gonna

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get that treatment this morning. So that's some of the

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early like nine ninety five AM kicks for Vegas.

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Speaker 2: All right, I was gonna save this question for VR,

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but since you brought it up, minus one oh five

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they're at the West Gate. Can you tell me what

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your money line is on Ohio State and whether it's

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smarter to lay minus one and a half minus one

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oh five. I'm guessing you guys are probably minus one twenty.

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I apologize if you do not have my odds logics

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up at the moment.

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Speaker 4: Yeah we are, Kelly, But like you said, when we

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were one, right, when we were one minus one oh five,

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money line was you know, minus one fifteen. So are

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you gonna take Texas plus one minus one oh five

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or are you gonna take minus one oh five on the

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money line. So there was a lot of that where

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people were trying to figure that out. But now that

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we have moved to the one and a half, we

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are minus one twenty on Ohio State on the money line.

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So you know when we deal these one oh fives

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on these market games and they're gonna be tight spreads

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usually anyway, on those games you see pretty good two

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way action. I mean, despite all the early Texas money,

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like I said, there was a little bit of a

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buyback on Ohio State this morning. And don't get me wrong,

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I think with games like that too, you're gonna see

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a lot more of the kind of money that might

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come in on in game stuff. You'll see that people

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want to see the game kickoff, maybe see a quarter,

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maybe see a couple of drives, So we see a

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lot of money too get in the pool on those

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in games.

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Speaker 1: Awesome.

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Speaker 2: Let's move along to some of those three PM Eastern

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noon Pacific games.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean not a ton with this slate. Temple

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UMass has been an interesting game. We've seen a lot

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of UMAs money all week and since the lines have

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been open three and a half, three, two and a half,

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we're now two.

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Speaker 5: We'll need Temple in the game. Bama, FSU. I mean

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we were.

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Speaker 4: Thirteen very early on, got to thirteen and a half quick,

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then got to fourteen.

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Speaker 5: That seemed pretty good. Two way.

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Speaker 4: I mentioned this too earlier in the week with Joe

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and Prez that Bama. Because they're in that range of like, uh,

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you know, minus five to fifty minus six dollars favorite,

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they're gonna be very popular in all moneyline parlays. You're

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gonna see a ton of eight, ten and twelve team

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moneyline parlays on all the favorites. So it's like, we

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just need one of those big dogs to come in

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and maybe Fsu is that one. I don't think it's

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gonna happen, but it would be good to kill a

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lot of those moneyline parlays and a lot of money

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on that Penn State under that was fifty nine and

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a half. We're now fifty five, and there was a

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little bit of buye on Pennza. You know, Penn State

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was forty four this morning. I think we're forty three

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on that. So a little bit of money on the

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dog there. But that middle slate is not as good

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as let's say, the later slate or the early slate.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about that later slate.

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Speaker 2: And then of course I want to hit some Sunday

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games and get your best bet before we get you.

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Speaker 1: Out of here.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, this is where you really are starting

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to see some money UTSA at A and M. This

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has been really one side of UTSA has seen all

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the money at twenty four and a half and twenty four.

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We're now A and M twenty three. Will need A

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and M in the game. Rice at Louisiana that was

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as high as fourteen. They took the fourteen with Rice,

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they took the thirteen. We're now eleven on Louisiana at home.

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We will need them in the game. Uva and Coastal

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is interesting. Uva, you know saw money early which moved

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the line all the way up to thirteen and a half.

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Speaker 5: There's been a.

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Speaker 4: Little nibbleback now on Coastal at the thirteen and a

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half still probably.

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Speaker 5: Will need Coastal in the game. Now a few clemps

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the game.

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Speaker 4: Early sharp money came in on Clemson at three, and

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when we were at four, we took some sharp money

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on LSU at four.

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Speaker 5: But we're now four and a half.

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Speaker 4: So the Clemson money has kind of really overdone that

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other move. Like we didn't we saw the sharp money

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in you know, sides, but we said, hey, we got

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to follow the market on this too.

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Speaker 5: That has seen good money line.

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Speaker 4: Action on LSU because we were a little bit higher

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because we were getting hit on Clemson. Also, that's a

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minus one oh five game, so we'll see pretty good

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action on that.

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Speaker 5: But right now we'll probably.

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Speaker 4: Need LSU because just the overwhelming early money on Clemson

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has kind of just you know, moved that to where

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we'll need LSU in the game.

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Speaker 2: All right, perfect, let's hit those Sunday games because I

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am on Virginia Tech.

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Speaker 1: I got my.

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Speaker 2: Odds Logic screen open this morning, and then we'll get

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to Jack's question. By the way, if you guys have

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a question, drop it in the chat. Tell us what

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your best bet is for today. Tell us you love

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the show.

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Speaker 1: Tell us at the show.

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Speaker 2: Just drop a art So I opened up my Odds

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Logic excreen this morning and I said, oh my god,

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South Carolina Virginia Tech down to seven.

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Speaker 1: Now what do I do? Nothing? I got a nice

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number in pocket. But these line moves.

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Speaker 2: We saw it last night with Baylor, We've seen it

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with a couple of other games so far.

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Speaker 1: We saw it with the NFL preseason have been dead wrong.

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Speaker 2: I'm a little nervous here that even though I have

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a good number in pocket with Virginia Tech, you guys

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might be cheering for Carolina.

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Speaker 5: Yeah. I mean, as we look at it now, we

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could you know we will be.

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Speaker 4: And obviously that's the earlier of the two Sunday games.

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Obviously the Miami Notre Dame game will carry the day,

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but with all the early Virginia Tech money, at some.

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Speaker 5: Point, you know, it's funny too because it's seven and

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not a lot of people tease college football. But there

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might be some teasers. There might be. There might be

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some six.

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Speaker 4: Seven point teasers in that range, probably more six point teasers.

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Once again, it's not like the NFL where the teasers

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really come in heavy day game, but you could see

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maybe some things that get tied to either of those

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Sunday games or the Monday game where they kind of

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treat this like an NFL week where you have multiple

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days to bet.

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Speaker 5: You could see some of that.

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Speaker 1: Okay, let's talk about that Notre Dame Miami game. Two

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and a half. It's what I laid earlier in the week, saw.

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Speaker 2: Three, Saw three to a half at some shops. Did

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you guys get to three and a half at the Westgate?

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Looks like right now, you guys are sitting there steady

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at three.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, we're three. And you know, like you said, it's

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been bouncing back and forth. And I always say, quote unquote,

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maybe there's no key numbers in college football like the NFL,

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but when you're on football numbers three and seven, you're

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gonna go back and forth. You're gonna be two and

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a half, you're gonna be three. We have not pushed

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to three and a half yet that could still happen.

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I think, as I said, with a lot of things

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that would be tied to Sunday, I think a lot

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of things are gonna run into that Miami Notre Dame game.

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It's a night game, it's a big game. The big

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thing with that game is the way the total dropped.

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We opened fifty four and a half, he got his

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OOS forty nine, and now we went back up to fifty.

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Speaker 5: You've seen a little bit of a buyback on the

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over all.

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Speaker 2: Right, let's answer Jack's question. He wanted to know some

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of these biggest needs as far as.

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Speaker 1: Who you're gonna need to lose. Right, you mentioned eight, ten,

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twelve leg moneyline parlays. Who are the three to four

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you think are gonna be the most popular.

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Speaker 5: Just like the most popular bets that would come in today.

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Speaker 4: I mean, you know, I I think when you look

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at those main games, those main games will see.

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Speaker 5: Pretty good two way action for the most part.

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Speaker 4: You know, it's always the games that you don't expect,

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like even like a late late game. Maybe we didn't

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talk about Cal at Oregon State, like we're gonna need

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Oregon State in that game. That's now Cal is a favorite.

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Cal's now a one point favorite. We saw a really

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respected guy take Cal plus one and a half. So

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we're looking at now as Cal is the favorite at

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minus one, we're gonna need Oregon State in that game.

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Another game that I didn't really touch on that was

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a super early game is the Purdue game. Probably gonna

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need Purdue in the game.

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Speaker 5: You know.

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Speaker 4: It's just it's never the games that you think. It's

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not like, oh, the Texas Ohio State game will carry

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the day because for the most part, unless someone comes

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in because those are higher limit games and maybe drops

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a nice five figure bet, it's most of the smaller

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games that you see real big line movements on. I

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mentioned the Southern Miss game right now. That's our biggest need.

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We need Southern Miss against Mississippi State right now as

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we talk, that's our biggest need.

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Speaker 1: That's just wild.

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Speaker 2: The thing on Week one, Gog Southern Miss is the

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super Book unit is not gonna be very happy.

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Speaker 1: I know he is. At the Purdue ball State game.

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He told me he bet Ball State. I don't know.

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It sounds like that. You guys are gonna need for

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du all right.

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Speaker 2: I always appreciate you coming on Saturday mornings giving us

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your time that look behind the counter of the west

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Gate super Book. Before we get you out of here,

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we of course need that best bet.

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Speaker 4: I have to pick the best game of the day,

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and I'm gonna go with Ohio State. I just I'm

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taking them on the money line. I get that Texas

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is really good. I think Ohio State's really good. They

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lost a lot of stuff. Ohio State lost coordinators for

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Ohio State's at home. I feel like it's a cheap price.

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I feel like three was the right number, and now

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I'm not laying three. I'm laying like minus one fifteen,

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minus one twenty on the money line.

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Speaker 5: So give me Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: I think they win the game, all right, Art Sezer,

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that just made my day.

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Speaker 2: Make sure you guys give him a follow at art

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Dice twenty one over there on X. You guys can

299
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also catch him with Joe Vernieri and the pres on

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the Best Betting Show Ever. Here and I've been muted

301
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this whole time? Where's my producer? Louis yelling at me

302
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in the comments section? I got dogs squeaking in the

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background a toy, so I thought i'd mute myself. Art,

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you are the best. You guys can catch him on

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the Best Betting Show Ever with the Prez and Joe Vernier.

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You can also find him behind the counter.

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Speaker 1: They're in the risk room at the Westgates Superbook Art

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Dice twenty one on X.

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Speaker 2: Have a great day. Good luck to you, Art, we

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all need it. Awesome some opening weekend. Appreciate you taking

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the time. Let's get into it. We'll get right over

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to VR, Yanni the Greek as you guys know him,

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get him right here in the mix. Ross the Boss,

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Benjamin waiting in the wings as well. VR bringing you

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the Steam report right here on the Wager Talking YouTube

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channel right after last call. We're taking you guys up

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until kickoff. If you guys have questions for our handicappers,

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let us know, drop it in the check, give us

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your best bet.

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Speaker 1: VR. Tell everybody what they can expect on the steam room.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, just nonstop's actions come in since early this morning, Cal,

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I've been on this desk since about five am. I

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bet soccer in different countries. I bet college football, I

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bet props, I bet first quarters. I bet more extra

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games than you could ever imagine, and a lot of

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that live stuff comes in. For example, I bet this

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morning twenty plus extra game signs totals. I think I

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released maybe six or seven two subscribers. Multiple groups got in,

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and I thought there was still some value because those

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lines move so significantly. But when you're in the steam room,

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you're getting that information in real time. So I urge everyone,

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especially the handicappers to come in with your liens all

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ready to go, and we will be going through the

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college board confirming signs and totals for you as information

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comes in. And yeah, I'm there to answer all your questions.

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That goes off. As soon as Ohio Stayton Texas kick

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we're ready to go. We'll be live and going probably

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at least you know, sixty ninety minutes maybe two hours,

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cover as much as we can, and next week it'll

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be on Sundays leading into NFL Kickoff.

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Speaker 2: That's awesome, guys, Free steamroom today, wt dot buzz backslash

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s R.

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Speaker 1: Like Steamroom eight three zero.

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Speaker 2: Everybody is welcome to join here on the wager Talk

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YouTube channel VR.

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Speaker 1: You brought us some steam this week on bet.

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Speaker 2: On it, we also broke down every single college football

348
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matchup from top twenty five perspective. But I want to

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revisit that Ohio State Texas game, I asked Arc. He

350
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said that they are minus one and a half minus

351
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one oh five. They're at the West Gate. I also

352
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have a book that is minus one and a half

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minus one oh five or minus one twenty on the

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money line. Can you give me a little bit of advice.

355
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Some of those at home may have the same question,

356
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what are your thoughts on which I.

357
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Speaker 1: Should be laying? I do like the Buckeyes.

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Speaker 2: I know you're on the opposite side, but if you

359
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were sitting in my shoes, how would you bet this?

360
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Speaker 3: Yeah, it lay the one and a half minus one

361
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oh five with Ohio State, even.

362
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Speaker 5: With the low total.

363
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Speaker 3: Definitely a better bet than laying that money line right now.

364
00:15:38,360 --> 00:15:40,039
I know it makes you feel a little more comfortable

365
00:15:40,039 --> 00:15:42,919
thinking if it lands on one, I'd cash my ticket

366
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with the money line. I'd lose it with the minus

367
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one and a half, But long term, that minus one

368
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oh five is the key. Only having to lay that

369
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minus one oh five compared them out minus one twenty. Now,

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if you were only going to be placed in one

371
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bet for the rest of your life and never going

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to be betting again, then the number doesn't matter getting

373
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the best of it. What you want to do is

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cash a ticket. So obviously you'd be looking to lay

375
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pick them at minus one twenty just in case it

376
00:16:06,279 --> 00:16:08,759
does land one. But if you're going to be betting tomorrow,

377
00:16:08,840 --> 00:16:11,320
next week, next month, the rest of the college football season,

378
00:16:11,559 --> 00:16:14,799
then your goals to place the most advantageous bets and

379
00:16:14,919 --> 00:16:17,320
laying minus one h five at one and a half

380
00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:19,360
would be a much better bet than having to lay

381
00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:22,480
that money line where it sits right now. And I'm

382
00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:25,039
on speaking at the Texas side, Kel, I'll be honest

383
00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:29,840
with you. I moved Texas at plus three back in

384
00:16:29,879 --> 00:16:32,320
the summer for the groups I moved with work with,

385
00:16:32,399 --> 00:16:36,080
but I didn't release that to subscribers. I didn't piggyback

386
00:16:36,159 --> 00:16:38,720
that make it like a premium play, just because it

387
00:16:38,759 --> 00:16:40,799
was a little bit too early and it was sitting

388
00:16:40,799 --> 00:16:42,440
on a key number, so I knew they were going

389
00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:43,679
to get the best of the key number if they

390
00:16:43,679 --> 00:16:46,159
didn't think it was going to go higher. And I

391
00:16:46,200 --> 00:16:48,519
wanted to see, is this just a case where they're

392
00:16:48,559 --> 00:16:50,279
going to look to middle it? Because if you could

393
00:16:50,279 --> 00:16:52,279
get a pick them and a plus three in a

394
00:16:52,279 --> 00:16:56,039
game where the totals being steamed under low scoring game,

395
00:16:56,279 --> 00:16:59,480
you know, high profile matchup, it isn't the worst position

396
00:16:59,519 --> 00:17:02,240
to be in. I didn't get involved, like I said,

397
00:17:02,279 --> 00:17:05,599
as a premium but I was hearing nothing but Texas Texas,

398
00:17:05,599 --> 00:17:09,079
Texas Texas, sharp money Texas Texas Texas. But just like

399
00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:11,559
the Super Bowl, where the books are one sided after

400
00:17:11,599 --> 00:17:14,359
one week, once you get into the game day, it

401
00:17:14,440 --> 00:17:17,359
comes out to a lot more balanced action because when

402
00:17:17,359 --> 00:17:20,480
you have two teams like this number one A, one B,

403
00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:23,279
you're gonna get opinions on both sides. And I think

404
00:17:23,359 --> 00:17:25,680
it's not going to be as one sided as it

405
00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:28,680
was days ago. So I think a little more balanced

406
00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:32,839
for the books on this game than we expected. And yeah,

407
00:17:33,079 --> 00:17:36,480
I'm on Texas because of the sharps that are on

408
00:17:36,559 --> 00:17:40,799
them as well. But again, caution fading Ohio State, especially

409
00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:41,279
at home.

410
00:17:41,559 --> 00:17:43,720
Speaker 2: All right, Aaron, I hear it. I hear that cell

411
00:17:43,720 --> 00:17:46,519
phone buzzing. I know you got plays coming in VR.

412
00:17:46,759 --> 00:17:48,519
So give everybody a little taste of what they can

413
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expect to get in the steam room today. I'm curious

414
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to see what has moved since we did bat on

415
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a Thursday, excuse me, Wednesday morning till now?

416
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Speaker 1: Was there some buyback? Is there some disagreements? Talk to me.

417
00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:03,559
Speaker 3: The biggest stuff is, here's what I'm seeing that's happen

418
00:18:03,599 --> 00:18:06,400
in Saturday, cal Most of the bets on the main

419
00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:09,960
board are happening earlier in the week and throughout the week.

420
00:18:10,319 --> 00:18:11,319
Speaker 5: Come game day.

421
00:18:11,759 --> 00:18:15,480
Speaker 3: It's like you said, doing some of those buybacks or

422
00:18:15,519 --> 00:18:18,200
some of those middles where some information changes and you

423
00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:19,519
want to limit your risk.

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00:18:21,039 --> 00:18:21,799
Speaker 1: On a side.

425
00:18:22,039 --> 00:18:25,359
Speaker 3: But the majority of action coming in today is all

426
00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:29,440
on the extra games, on the derivatives like first quarter,

427
00:18:29,559 --> 00:18:32,359
first half, and a lot of props since we covered

428
00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:36,680
a lot of the main games. Here's some of the

429
00:18:36,720 --> 00:18:40,559
stuff that came in today real quickly. I know everybody's

430
00:18:40,559 --> 00:18:43,759
looking at that. Texas Ohio State steamed the prop under

431
00:18:43,799 --> 00:18:46,279
twenty eight and a half under twenty eight and a half,

432
00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:49,079
arch manning rushing yards under twenty eight and a half

433
00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:54,680
and then in Fau Maryland under fifty nine and a

434
00:18:54,720 --> 00:19:01,599
half receiving yards for Baroke far Okay for Farrouke under

435
00:19:01,599 --> 00:19:03,559
fifty nine and a half receiving yards and the Mississippi

436
00:19:03,559 --> 00:19:06,680
State Southern miss under three and a half total receptions

437
00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:11,960
for Treo Saydan Saydan s e y Dov. I think

438
00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:13,839
something like that. You guys probably know who exactly what

439
00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:17,039
I'm talking about. Now, here's some of those derivatives that

440
00:19:17,039 --> 00:19:20,480
I'm talking about. Northwestern plus a half first quarter, Northwestern

441
00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:23,200
plus a half first quarter, and then a team total

442
00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:27,799
that got steamed everywhere. New Mexico team total over seven

443
00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:31,839
over seven New Mexico team total. And here's some of

444
00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:35,400
those extra games real quickly, Arizona State minus twenty eight,

445
00:19:35,799 --> 00:19:38,680
North Texas minus twenty four and a half, West Virginia

446
00:19:38,759 --> 00:19:42,599
minus thirty eight, Furman plus two and a half, Georgetown

447
00:19:42,759 --> 00:19:45,880
had a pick them over fifty seven and fifty eight,

448
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:50,079
Dukine Pittsburgh, Iowa State minus fourteen and a half, under

449
00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:53,039
fifty five and a half, Chattanooga under fifty two and

450
00:19:53,079 --> 00:19:55,799
a half, Maine Liberty over forty six and a half,

451
00:19:55,880 --> 00:19:58,799
South Dakota, Iowa State under fifty one and a half,

452
00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:02,720
Holy Cross, Northern Illinois, and Connecticut minus twenty seven and

453
00:20:02,759 --> 00:20:04,240
a half. I know that's a lot of information. I

454
00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:06,440
know that's a lot of the extra board stuff, but

455
00:20:06,519 --> 00:20:09,519
I'm telling you there's a ton of value on those.

456
00:20:09,920 --> 00:20:12,799
Speaking of the main board, we touched on count and

457
00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:15,880
Oregon State earlier in the week. I thought that the

458
00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:18,680
wrong team was favored. We're starting to see that now

459
00:20:18,799 --> 00:20:21,519
Cal is going the favorite. That's a lot of sharp

460
00:20:21,559 --> 00:20:25,000
money that's been betting Cal, a ton of public money

461
00:20:25,079 --> 00:20:28,000
on the Oregon State side. That's the only reason we

462
00:20:28,039 --> 00:20:31,000
haven't seen a huge, huge shift. But today where it's

463
00:20:31,039 --> 00:20:33,079
game day and you're starting to see more sharp money

464
00:20:33,319 --> 00:20:36,880
on cal They have more or less no choice. But

465
00:20:37,000 --> 00:20:39,200
that's one of those where the public's on one side,

466
00:20:39,319 --> 00:20:41,640
the wise guys are on the other. And the other

467
00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:45,079
thing that sticks out a lot is three teams being

468
00:20:45,119 --> 00:20:52,920
bet the heaviest that I'm seeing Michigan, Michigan, Alabama, Oregon State, Michigan, Alabama,

469
00:20:53,079 --> 00:20:56,839
Oregon State. Those three are the most one sided. It

470
00:20:56,960 --> 00:21:00,400
was Texas until today starting to see more how state

471
00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:03,599
money come in as we approach kickoff. But Michigan, Alabama,

472
00:21:03,759 --> 00:21:07,240
Oregon State as one sided as you're possibly gonna get

473
00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:08,880
in college football.

474
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:13,319
Speaker 2: Awesome, awesome stuff at Greek Gambler on your social channels,

475
00:21:13,319 --> 00:21:17,359
at Great Gambler seven of course on TikTok vr.

476
00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:19,200
Speaker 1: Anything you'd like to leave our audience with.

477
00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:20,559
Speaker 2: I know you've got to get prepped for the steam

478
00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:23,680
room here and thirty eight minutes he's gonna be going

479
00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:25,880
live here on the wager Talk YouTube channel.

480
00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:28,079
Speaker 1: Let's hear what else you got for this audience.

481
00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:31,519
Speaker 3: Yeah, the dog that they're all betting, the one dog

482
00:21:31,599 --> 00:21:33,920
that everybody I'm even seeing moneyline in this kind of

483
00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:36,359
big dog. You usually don't see it. Toledo, Why they

484
00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:39,400
bet Toledo. Why they bet in Toledo, like they know Tomors,

485
00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:41,759
like Toledo's gonna win this game out right, we bet

486
00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:44,960
over first half, over in the first half what we're on,

487
00:21:45,519 --> 00:21:48,960
But they like Toledo in that one. And again it's

488
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:51,599
only week one. I know there's a high profile game,

489
00:21:51,839 --> 00:21:53,480
but patients, patients, patients.

490
00:21:53,519 --> 00:21:54,240
Speaker 5: A lot of these.

491
00:21:54,079 --> 00:21:56,480
Speaker 3: Lines have been up for a while. We got a

492
00:21:56,480 --> 00:22:00,799
long season in college football. Take your time, long season ahead,

493
00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:03,000
do some damage and go over to wage talk dot

494
00:22:03,039 --> 00:22:06,000
com Free picks page. I always put a premium on there,

495
00:22:06,039 --> 00:22:08,400
not a free pick, a premium free pick, So head

496
00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:10,599
on over to wagetalk dot com. Best the luck the

497
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,359
college football season. Kelly, thanks for having me on bet

498
00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:15,960
on It again this year, and wish you guys all

499
00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:17,079
do damage this weekend.

500
00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:19,839
Speaker 2: If you guys missed it, we filmed a college football

501
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:23,759
preview show as well as college football Week one episode

502
00:22:23,759 --> 00:22:25,680
of bet on It's up live right now on the

503
00:22:25,799 --> 00:22:28,759
wager Talk YouTube channel. Vr is gonna join us every

504
00:22:28,839 --> 00:22:32,480
single Saturday, bright and early. I appreciate you. Make sure

505
00:22:32,519 --> 00:22:34,480
you guys are giving him a follow again. Go over

506
00:22:34,559 --> 00:22:37,440
to the wager Talk YouTube channel right after the show

507
00:22:37,559 --> 00:22:38,079
and get his.

508
00:22:38,079 --> 00:22:42,000
Speaker 1: Steam room for free. Looks like Ross Benjamin is.

509
00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:43,880
Speaker 2: Waiting in the wings to answer all of your college

510
00:22:43,920 --> 00:22:46,440
football questions. So if you guys have a question about

511
00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:49,200
a game, we're gonna bring him in now. If there's

512
00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:51,759
no comments, we're getting out of here. I've got college

513
00:22:51,759 --> 00:22:55,079
football to watch. I'm excited, Russ.

514
00:22:55,079 --> 00:22:56,079
Speaker 1: What do you gotta go to? Mind?

515
00:22:56,160 --> 00:22:59,599
Speaker 2: You your greens here? Looks like Ohio State Texas.

516
00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:03,160
Speaker 6: I mean the game everybody's talking about, right, but the

517
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,759
game I'm not crazy about. You know. I think there's

518
00:23:06,799 --> 00:23:09,960
too much uncertainty on both sides, on both sides at

519
00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:13,119
the table for me to make a definitive bet on

520
00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:16,400
that game. You know, I don't know, Kelly. I'm not

521
00:23:16,559 --> 00:23:19,440
sold on arch Manning yet. You know, I think he's

522
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,359
getting a lot of hype. From what I saw on

523
00:23:21,519 --> 00:23:25,920
his brief appearances with Texas, He's not been overwhelming to me,

524
00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:28,759
So I think I have a little bit of a

525
00:23:28,799 --> 00:23:33,319
feeling that he might not be as good or how

526
00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:35,079
could I put it. He's going to be good, but

527
00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:37,559
maybe not up to the hype that he came in with.

528
00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:40,319
Speaker 1: Russ, you nailed it. This is what I've been saying

529
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:41,640
on every single show this week.

530
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:44,920
Speaker 2: Week one to me is fading some narratives and fading

531
00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:47,759
some hype. I truly believe if Arch Manning was as

532
00:23:47,759 --> 00:23:49,839
good as advertised, he would have been playing over Quinn

533
00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:53,839
Yewers last year. Bottom line, Steve Sarkisian wants that national championship.

534
00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:55,680
He wants to get it off his back. He went

535
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:57,880
with the better quarterback last year. So we're gonna see

536
00:23:57,920 --> 00:23:59,720
what Arch is made of. I completely agree with you.

537
00:23:59,759 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 1: Listen.

538
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:03,240
Speaker 2: And Texas has been back my entire life. When they

539
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,480
were in the Big twelve, it's all we heard, Look

540
00:24:05,519 --> 00:24:06,839
how loaded this team is.

541
00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:11,240
Speaker 1: Okay, time to show me how loaded you really are.

542
00:24:12,079 --> 00:24:14,920
Speaker 6: Yeah, yeah, And you know the other part of the

543
00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:18,799
equation is betting against Ohio State at the shoe.

544
00:24:18,839 --> 00:24:19,079
Speaker 1: You know.

545
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:23,519
Speaker 6: I just to me, there's better value on the board.

546
00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:26,559
Not better games, but better value on the board.

547
00:24:26,759 --> 00:24:28,680
Speaker 1: All right, let's go through some of that better value.

548
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:32,799
Speaker 2: I know right now Bill's commenting here about Clemson LSU.

549
00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:35,240
You have a five percent play up on that game.

550
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,200
Talk about that over at wager talk dot com. And

551
00:24:37,279 --> 00:24:38,759
let's get into some of these other games that you

552
00:24:38,759 --> 00:24:39,759
think have better value.

553
00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:42,400
Speaker 6: You have a five percent best bet on this game.

554
00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:45,640
I got the winning side. This game goes at seven

555
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:49,240
thirty tonight on ABC, So watch and win.

556
00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:49,880
Speaker 5: Folks.

557
00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:52,920
Speaker 6: In my college football over the last two years, number

558
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:56,799
one combined and units earned last year, number one with

559
00:24:57,480 --> 00:25:01,960
win percentage and also number one in UNI. So I'm

560
00:25:02,039 --> 00:25:04,680
zeroed in on this game. I'm really excited about it.

561
00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:07,440
I'm excited about the whole card today. It'd be quite

562
00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:10,759
frank it's the you know, first full week of college football, Kelly,

563
00:25:11,039 --> 00:25:11,960
how could you not get it?

564
00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:13,759
Speaker 1: Learning Ross?

565
00:25:13,799 --> 00:25:16,839
Speaker 2: I text our new producer, Lloyd Denafriel. You guys may

566
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:19,119
have recognized that name from the Kelly and Murray Show.

567
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:22,079
He's filling in on Saturdays and Sundays for the great

568
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,759
Dan Neubert, so I can give him a little bit

569
00:25:24,799 --> 00:25:27,279
of time off. But a Tex Louis and all capital letters.

570
00:25:27,319 --> 00:25:30,599
I was like, get up, it's college football Saturday. It's

571
00:25:30,599 --> 00:25:34,200
like Christmas morning. I'm so excited for today. Let's get

572
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:36,000
into some of these games that you think have some

573
00:25:36,039 --> 00:25:36,839
better value.

574
00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:40,200
Speaker 1: Which is one game that maybe you know right here.

575
00:25:40,079 --> 00:25:43,400
Speaker 2: Let's actually let's sake Shawn's comment syracuston Tennessee is very

576
00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:45,599
fishy to me. She's more like twenty and a half. Fishy, fishy,

577
00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:49,279
I agree. I thought the line at fourteen and a

578
00:25:49,319 --> 00:25:51,799
half would be very telling. I did, however, lay thirteen

579
00:25:51,839 --> 00:25:55,440
and a half here with the Valls. The a SEC

580
00:25:55,599 --> 00:25:57,720
has been historically horrible.

581
00:25:57,640 --> 00:26:00,559
Speaker 1: Against the SEC. Three and fifteen straight up.

582
00:26:00,599 --> 00:26:03,200
Speaker 2: Now that doesn't mean Syracuse won't cover, but I think

583
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:05,720
Syracuse is getting a lot of love after last year

584
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:10,039
superseding expectations. You know, the Balls lose Nico to UCLA.

585
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:13,200
That's a whole another bunch of dramatic events. But let's

586
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:15,119
break down the Syracuse Tennessee game. If you have an

587
00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:15,839
opinion for me.

588
00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:18,559
Speaker 6: Well, you know this is a tough one for me

589
00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:21,440
because I've been a lifelong Syracuse fan like you have

590
00:26:21,519 --> 00:26:25,920
been a Kansas State fan. And you're right, o Kelly. Look,

591
00:26:26,039 --> 00:26:29,759
they won ten games last year, but they played probably

592
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:36,440
one of the five softest schedules for Power four teams

593
00:26:36,519 --> 00:26:39,559
last year, and now they're going to be playing one

594
00:26:39,559 --> 00:26:43,240
of the toughest schedules. And this starts right here. I

595
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:46,680
mean some unknown you know, two new quarterbacks. Steve Angelly,

596
00:26:46,759 --> 00:26:50,039
former Notre Dame quarterback Notre Dame backup taken over at

597
00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:55,240
Syracuse lost a lot of pieces offensively from last year

598
00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:59,200
Syracuse did, starting with Kyle McCord, who put up record

599
00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:02,799
setting number. You lost your tight end and Aronde Gatson,

600
00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:08,960
you lost one of your key receivers, Panya, who transferred

601
00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:12,559
to Penn State. In their defense has a lot of

602
00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:15,920
question marks. In Tennessee, we know their defense is real good.

603
00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:19,640
They also have a new quarterback and Joey Aguilar, who's

604
00:27:20,319 --> 00:27:22,519
you know now he's stepping up a bit from the

605
00:27:22,559 --> 00:27:25,720
competition he's faced though, so you know, I would have

606
00:27:25,799 --> 00:27:30,960
a small lean laying the points with Tennessee. But again,

607
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:35,400
I think the the I was gonna say color the

608
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:38,559
person who commented is right on the ball, seems a

609
00:27:38,599 --> 00:27:41,640
little bit fishy where you think Tennessee would be a

610
00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:45,440
bigger favorite here and they're not. So I'm gonna stay

611
00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:47,759
away from the game, but I agree with Kelly. I

612
00:27:47,799 --> 00:27:51,000
think small lean on Tennessee.

613
00:27:52,039 --> 00:27:52,759
Speaker 5: Is the way to go.

614
00:27:53,279 --> 00:27:55,759
Speaker 1: Shout out to everybody in the comments section.

615
00:27:55,799 --> 00:27:58,160
Speaker 2: We got over two thousand watching live on x We

616
00:27:58,279 --> 00:28:01,680
got five or six hundred alive on the wager TALKI

617
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:04,720
YouTube channel, a bunch of people on Instagram as well.

618
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:07,440
TikTok got mad at us because we talk about gambling.

619
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:10,160
But that's why we don't even really promote them anymore

620
00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:11,920
unless people to put out some funny content.

621
00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:14,960
Speaker 1: All right, some questions here. Let's talk from Rob Christiansen.

622
00:28:15,039 --> 00:28:17,519
Speaker 2: He said, did Art say Kentucky was sharp and then

623
00:28:17,599 --> 00:28:21,000
Yannie say his people were hammering Toledo? That is actually

624
00:28:21,039 --> 00:28:24,200
what exactly happened. Art said it's all Kentucky money, they're

625
00:28:24,200 --> 00:28:27,720
gonna need Toledo, and VR saying he's seeing the opposite ross.

626
00:28:27,759 --> 00:28:30,759
Maybe break down this game. I wanted to put Toledo

627
00:28:30,799 --> 00:28:34,240
on my money line parlay. Let's call it Monday or Tuesday.

628
00:28:34,319 --> 00:28:36,839
I looked really hard at this Toledo team. That line

629
00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:38,200
came from ten and a half.

630
00:28:38,039 --> 00:28:41,359
Speaker 1: All the way down, all the way back up here

631
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:43,039
on the Odds logic screen, some nine and a half,

632
00:28:43,079 --> 00:28:45,119
some tens, depending on where you like to shop. Do

633
00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:47,079
you have an opinion on that game? Can you maybe

634
00:28:47,319 --> 00:28:50,799
make some inferences here based on the line move and

635
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:52,359
make sense for all the rest of us.

636
00:28:52,519 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 6: Well, I saw an opener of eleven and a half,

637
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:56,839
and then this came all the way down to seven

638
00:28:56,880 --> 00:28:58,759
and a half, and now it's back up to ten.

639
00:29:00,119 --> 00:29:03,599
I trust the early money on this. I mean, you

640
00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:07,880
look at Toledo. Their recruiting class they brought in is

641
00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:10,599
number one in the MAC. They're actually in the seventies

642
00:29:10,799 --> 00:29:14,759
nationally in recruiting, which is unbelievable for a MAX school.

643
00:29:14,799 --> 00:29:19,440
They brought in some very good transfers in the portal.

644
00:29:20,039 --> 00:29:23,279
This is a team that's used to winning under Jason Kandle.

645
00:29:24,400 --> 00:29:26,559
I just think that, you know, look at the MAC

646
00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:29,440
so far, Kelly, I mean, you look at the dogs

647
00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:32,480
in the MAC that have played on Thursday and Friday

648
00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:35,440
and Week one. They've done awfully well. You know, they're

649
00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:39,119
not winning games, but they're they're covering big numbers, and

650
00:29:39,759 --> 00:29:42,799
I think Toledo has a shot to win this game outright.

651
00:29:42,839 --> 00:29:45,920
To be quite frank, I'm not sold on Kentucky last

652
00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:49,200
year three and eight against FBS teams. The only hesitancy

653
00:29:49,240 --> 00:29:53,640
I have here is as bad as Kentucky was last year.

654
00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:57,519
They did blow out Ohio that won the MAC. But

655
00:29:58,039 --> 00:30:01,079
I think Toledo with Jason Kandle, this is this is

656
00:30:01,079 --> 00:30:05,359
a guy. He's beaten two Power four teams in recent years.

657
00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:07,720
So I like Toledo here plus the points.

658
00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:15,839
Speaker 1: Somehow I got muted. I'm sorry. Ross I keep hitting

659
00:30:15,839 --> 00:30:16,319
you know what it is.

660
00:30:16,359 --> 00:30:18,680
Speaker 2: I got my notepad and I keep hitting my space

661
00:30:18,759 --> 00:30:22,200
bar the doing of doing live shows. It's gonna be

662
00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:24,759
a rough season, guys, because I'm gonna be just ready

663
00:30:24,799 --> 00:30:26,400
to run through a brick while every single Saturday and

664
00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:27,759
having waiting coffee.

665
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:29,799
Speaker 1: All right, So a couple of questions here.

666
00:30:30,119 --> 00:30:32,880
Speaker 2: I did bet Toledo plus eight if you guys saw

667
00:30:32,920 --> 00:30:35,480
that on my picket sports. I ultimately did not get

668
00:30:35,519 --> 00:30:37,960
to the money line to the window with the money line,

669
00:30:38,319 --> 00:30:40,599
but Ross kind of convincing. Maybe I better sprinkle just

670
00:30:40,640 --> 00:30:42,799
a little bit just in case I was wrong.

671
00:30:43,200 --> 00:30:45,880
Speaker 6: Let's greedy, Kelly, don't get greedy, you know.

672
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:48,440
Speaker 2: I just love I just love that plus money. I

673
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:50,880
cannot help myself. Let's get into some of these other

674
00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:53,119
questions here in the chat. One of the guys was

675
00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:56,519
asking Kelly, why do you like UCLA so much? So

676
00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:58,599
let's talk about that. If you guys want to hear

677
00:30:58,599 --> 00:31:01,960
my breakdown, it's up on my ex page. I get

678
00:31:02,039 --> 00:31:06,240
right into why like Ucla and Nico with an established

679
00:31:06,319 --> 00:31:09,319
run game that defense. You guys can watch that video

680
00:31:09,319 --> 00:31:11,480
over there, because now we're gonna ask Ross what his

681
00:31:11,599 --> 00:31:14,640
opinion is here on UCLA down to five and a

682
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:17,799
half now at home versus Utah.

683
00:31:18,200 --> 00:31:20,759
Speaker 6: You know, I'm not crazy about Nico. I think that

684
00:31:20,839 --> 00:31:23,640
he benefited from a great running game last year and

685
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:28,400
also a terrific defense at Tennessee. So it's we'll see

686
00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:33,160
now at UCLA how he'll fair with a mediocre type

687
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:36,920
of club compared to an elite SEC team last year

688
00:31:37,799 --> 00:31:40,680
in Utah. You're looking for a bounce back right from

689
00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:43,480
the from the Utes. I have a small lean toward Utah.

690
00:31:43,559 --> 00:31:46,039
I didn't use this game today, nor will I bet it.

691
00:31:46,799 --> 00:31:49,319
But if you put the proverbial gun to my head, Kelly,

692
00:31:49,359 --> 00:31:51,839
I'd have a small lean and have to disagree with

693
00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:54,279
you just a slight bit. But you know, if you

694
00:31:54,319 --> 00:31:56,359
have money on UCLA, I hope you win.

695
00:31:57,240 --> 00:31:57,400
Speaker 5: Well.

696
00:31:57,440 --> 00:31:59,720
Speaker 2: I appreciate that, Ross, I just am not buying that

697
00:31:59,799 --> 00:32:02,880
you hype. Once again, since joining the Big twelve, they've

698
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:05,240
had it a little rough, all right, Lemon Cake wants

699
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:08,279
to know about the NOVAA team total seven and a half,

700
00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:11,759
But ultimately here's another team getting a ton of hype.

701
00:32:12,039 --> 00:32:12,319
Speaker 1: Ross.

702
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:15,119
Speaker 2: Let's talk about this Penn State team. Do you think

703
00:32:15,119 --> 00:32:18,759
that they are a national champion contender or we need

704
00:32:18,799 --> 00:32:21,160
to pump the brakes just a little bit.

705
00:32:21,839 --> 00:32:24,880
Speaker 6: You know. I did a college football betting preview show

706
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:28,079
with Teddy Covers over at the Westgate last week, as

707
00:32:28,119 --> 00:32:31,559
you well know, and I picked Penn State to win

708
00:32:31,599 --> 00:32:34,799
the Big Ten. Okay, so I'm a Penn State believer

709
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:35,319
this year.

710
00:32:35,359 --> 00:32:35,960
Speaker 5: I really am.

711
00:32:36,039 --> 00:32:39,279
Speaker 6: You know. Of course Teddy brings to my attention because

712
00:32:39,319 --> 00:32:43,480
he has to correct me, and that's okay, everything to do. Yeah,

713
00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:46,079
James Franklin just can't win big games.

714
00:32:46,119 --> 00:32:46,960
Speaker 1: And that's a fact.

715
00:32:47,039 --> 00:32:49,119
Speaker 5: I mean, he's not teasing me, he's stayed.

716
00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:49,440
Speaker 1: In e fact.

717
00:32:50,240 --> 00:32:52,039
Speaker 6: But I just think they were gonna get over to

718
00:32:52,079 --> 00:32:55,039
Hump this year. So and their defense will continue to

719
00:32:55,039 --> 00:32:59,440
be their strong suit. Veteran quarterback coming back for his

720
00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:03,759
senior year, I really like Pence State a lot. Today's game,

721
00:33:03,759 --> 00:33:06,279
they're laying such a big number and that over and

722
00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:10,559
under is just wait. Yeah, I would want to go

723
00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:15,279
under on that team total for New Mexico, but I

724
00:33:15,440 --> 00:33:18,720
just can't do it. A number that's that's small, you

725
00:33:18,759 --> 00:33:20,759
know what I mean? Kelly, you're talking about in a

726
00:33:20,799 --> 00:33:24,720
game like this, Penn State maybe getting three deep into

727
00:33:24,759 --> 00:33:25,519
the second half.

728
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:30,480
Speaker 2: Listen, Nevada is not some great mount West powerhouse team.

729
00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:32,880
They're not a Boise State except that didn't look so

730
00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:34,799
good on Thursday night. But you get the idea the

731
00:33:34,799 --> 00:33:37,880
Boise States of the past, at least from what we've

732
00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:40,680
seen previously, this is a Nevada team that could get

733
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:43,440
shut out seventy and a half. Seems rather fishy, though

734
00:33:43,519 --> 00:33:45,759
I will say that just looking at it from the

735
00:33:45,839 --> 00:33:48,839
surface level, I'm not buying as much Penn State hype

736
00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:50,079
as you. I do think they're gonna make the College

737
00:33:50,079 --> 00:33:52,279
Football Playoff. I do think they will be a contender

738
00:33:52,319 --> 00:33:54,759
in the Big Ten, but I'm kind of with Teddy

739
00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:57,319
in regards to James Franklin.

740
00:33:57,559 --> 00:34:00,359
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about Notreed Miami.

741
00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:02,160
Speaker 2: I know the game's not till tomorrow, but the chat

742
00:34:02,200 --> 00:34:05,240
is going nuts about this game. Bill Ceybert says Notre

743
00:34:05,279 --> 00:34:07,400
Dame is gonna run the ball down Miami's throat.

744
00:34:07,599 --> 00:34:10,519
Speaker 1: I would agree. Here's another game.

745
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:11,800
Speaker 2: I gave out as my best, but I lay two

746
00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:14,639
and a half here with the Irish Ross.

747
00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:17,360
Speaker 1: Talk to me about the Sunday night game. It's gonna

748
00:34:17,360 --> 00:34:18,039
be big.

749
00:34:17,800 --> 00:34:20,440
Speaker 2: As we heard from Art and Caesar at the Westgates

750
00:34:20,480 --> 00:34:23,480
Super Bowl, because it's a standalone game so it does

751
00:34:23,559 --> 00:34:25,840
make me nervous that every parlay is probably gonna have

752
00:34:25,880 --> 00:34:26,920
Notre Dame money line.

753
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:32,519
Speaker 6: Yeah, here's the thing with Miami. It's not so much

754
00:34:32,599 --> 00:34:34,920
that I love Notre Dame in this game. It's that

755
00:34:35,079 --> 00:34:38,719
I don't like Miami. I'm just sick and tired, and

756
00:34:38,800 --> 00:34:41,800
you know, maybe it'll break the trend this year. Sick

757
00:34:41,840 --> 00:34:44,440
and tired of the hype that Miami gets. Every year

758
00:34:44,519 --> 00:34:46,800
they seem to be ranked in the top twenty. They

759
00:34:46,840 --> 00:34:50,000
have a great recruiting class, and they're gonna be all that,

760
00:34:50,199 --> 00:34:52,239
and they continue to disappoint.

761
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:52,440
Speaker 1: Now.

762
00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:55,440
Speaker 6: They look like they were gonna break that trend last year,

763
00:34:55,519 --> 00:34:58,719
right starting nine to zero, and then they lose three

764
00:34:58,840 --> 00:35:01,480
or the last four games. And the real killer for

765
00:35:01,599 --> 00:35:05,400
Miami fans was that game they lost at Syracuse with

766
00:35:05,519 --> 00:35:08,280
the twenty one and nothing lead and a game they

767
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:10,599
needed to win to get to the College Football playoff.

768
00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:16,360
Mario Christobal, great recruiter, terrible head coach. If that makes

769
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:20,320
sense to you, Kelly, in terms of game day adjustments

770
00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:25,519
and in game decisions, I'll take Marcus Freeman every day,

771
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:30,039
any day over Mario Cristobal. Notre Dame, great running game,

772
00:35:30,079 --> 00:35:35,559
great offensive line, and also a great defense, and I

773
00:35:35,599 --> 00:35:38,239
think that's gonna pay dividends in this matchup. The only

774
00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:42,239
hesitancy I would have is CJ. Carr making his first

775
00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:46,840
start and also Carson Becketting's you know, the former Georgia

776
00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:49,440
quarterbacks done a lot of winning in his career, so

777
00:35:49,480 --> 00:35:52,239
they'll have an advantage there. I'm not so sure Miami

778
00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:54,960
is going to have a huge home field advantage here either, Kelly.

779
00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:57,519
I mean, I think Notre Dame, you know, first game

780
00:35:57,559 --> 00:36:00,119
of the year, holiday weekend, They're going to travel well,

781
00:36:00,599 --> 00:36:03,199
especially you get the people from the Midwest who love

782
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:07,800
that Florida weather like Kelly does. So yeah, I'd have

783
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:09,760
a lean toward Notre Dame in this spot.

784
00:36:10,480 --> 00:36:11,679
Speaker 1: Yeah. I like Notre Dame as well.

785
00:36:11,760 --> 00:36:15,199
Speaker 2: Mario Christovall in his career never had back to back

786
00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:18,360
double digit win seasons, and last year they didn't play.

787
00:36:18,159 --> 00:36:21,719
Speaker 1: A single ranked opponent. Funny how that works. I better.

788
00:36:22,079 --> 00:36:25,320
Speaker 6: Yeah, Syracuse ended up being ranked, but they weren't ranked

789
00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:25,920
at the time.

790
00:36:26,119 --> 00:36:29,480
Speaker 2: Sorry, yes, correct, Yes, it's more or less in my

791
00:36:29,639 --> 00:36:33,039
opinion that cam Ward pulled so many games out of

792
00:36:33,079 --> 00:36:35,519
his you know what, because I had the money line

793
00:36:35,559 --> 00:36:38,199
on the other side, that cal money line still stings

794
00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:39,480
almost a year later.

795
00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:40,800
Speaker 1: It is what.

796
00:36:40,719 --> 00:36:43,000
Speaker 2: It is, all right, guys, if you have any questions

797
00:36:43,039 --> 00:36:46,519
for Ross in the chat, Jeremy Love over one hundred

798
00:36:46,559 --> 00:36:48,159
and forty nine rushing yards and you get plus seven

799
00:36:48,159 --> 00:36:51,039
to fifty Sean Sean Shan Shan. Yeah, listen, I think

800
00:36:51,119 --> 00:36:53,159
we can run against Texas, but Texas still has a

801
00:36:53,199 --> 00:36:57,719
pretty decent defense. Everybody, calm down. Plus seven fifty Sean.

802
00:36:57,760 --> 00:37:00,519
You can tweet me if you're correct on that one.

803
00:37:00,639 --> 00:37:02,360
I hope you are. How about that, I hope you

804
00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:04,960
are correct. I hope Jeremiah Love runs the ball down

805
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:08,800
Texas's throat. All right, Florida State can upset Bama. Let's

806
00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:11,320
talk about this game. This is a game then. I

807
00:37:11,320 --> 00:37:13,960
think it's been really under the radar. I know that

808
00:37:14,119 --> 00:37:15,960
Art Caesar mentioned a ton of people are gonna play

809
00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:17,039
Alabama money line.

810
00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:18,480
Speaker 1: I'm living down here in Florida.

811
00:37:18,480 --> 00:37:20,880
Speaker 2: I got a lot of FSU fans who are like,

812
00:37:21,079 --> 00:37:22,800
I'm going about Bama emotional heads.

813
00:37:22,800 --> 00:37:25,519
Speaker 1: We're gonna get our doors blown off yet another one

814
00:37:25,519 --> 00:37:27,679
of those fishy lines. Sitn't at thirteen and a half?

815
00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:32,559
Speaker 6: Yeah on the money line in Alabama? Well, I mean

816
00:37:32,559 --> 00:37:37,400
you're gonna lay that much juice. God bless you anyway. Alabama, Look,

817
00:37:37,440 --> 00:37:39,679
they're gonna be good, no doubt about it. Teddy likes

818
00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:44,000
them to win a national championship and makes a compelling.

819
00:37:43,599 --> 00:37:44,239
Speaker 5: Case for that.

820
00:37:45,159 --> 00:37:47,840
Speaker 6: However, this is a quarterback who's going to be starting

821
00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:50,719
for the first time for Alabama and Florida State.

822
00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:52,599
Speaker 5: I like what they brought in.

823
00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:55,639
Speaker 6: I mean, terrible team last year, right two and ten,

824
00:37:56,039 --> 00:38:00,239
only one in ten against FBS opponents, catching third teen

825
00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:03,079
and a half at home. But they bring in Tommy Castelanos,

826
00:38:03,159 --> 00:38:07,719
the former quarterback at BC, who is very good. And

827
00:38:07,800 --> 00:38:10,599
I like the additions of Gus mel Zon as their

828
00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:16,480
offensive coordinator to also bring in Herbhand as their offensive

829
00:38:16,519 --> 00:38:22,320
line coach. The last three times Norvelle in Herbhand and

830
00:38:22,559 --> 00:38:26,039
Gus mel Zon were together was at Telsa, and they

831
00:38:26,079 --> 00:38:29,159
produce a five thousand yard passer in the dynamic offense.

832
00:38:29,199 --> 00:38:35,239
So you know, the money's on Alabama overwhelmingly. But I'm

833
00:38:35,239 --> 00:38:38,519
going to take a small shot here with Florida State here, Kelly.

834
00:38:38,559 --> 00:38:40,800
I know, once in a while, you got to have

835
00:38:40,920 --> 00:38:43,559
some guts, because if you don't, you have no glory.

836
00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:46,639
Speaker 2: Sean just mentioned in the chat, there's gonna be some

837
00:38:46,639 --> 00:38:49,440
shockers today, four and fourteen for home favorite so far

838
00:38:49,480 --> 00:38:50,159
in week one.

839
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:52,880
Speaker 1: Wow, that is quite a stat.

840
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:55,280
Speaker 2: I don't have an ability to fact check this right now,

841
00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:57,360
but yeah, my buddy text me last night, Hey, I

842
00:38:57,480 --> 00:38:58,639
like Central Michigan.

843
00:38:58,320 --> 00:38:59,519
Speaker 1: And I kind of blew him off and went to

844
00:38:59,519 --> 00:38:59,840
bed night.

845
00:38:59,840 --> 00:39:03,639
Speaker 2: Well up, and they want outright double digit road underdog.

846
00:39:03,719 --> 00:39:06,719
So we have seen some nice upsets. Ross, who is

847
00:39:06,760 --> 00:39:08,000
your pick to upset?

848
00:39:08,039 --> 00:39:10,559
Speaker 1: Give me a money line, outright winner. We all know

849
00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:12,880
a lot of those barking dogs.

850
00:39:13,440 --> 00:39:18,519
Speaker 2: My three teams are UCLA, Northwestern and Virginia Tech. If

851
00:39:18,559 --> 00:39:22,239
you guys missed my parlay video up there on my Instagram,

852
00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:25,079
as well as x and TikTok Ross, let's get it.

853
00:39:25,159 --> 00:39:27,000
Let's get a little juicy underdog here. That's one of

854
00:39:27,039 --> 00:39:29,360
my favorite segments on bet on It. We call them

855
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:30,480
barking dogs.

856
00:39:30,880 --> 00:39:34,519
Speaker 6: Yeah, well, I like Toledo. I think they're fully capable

857
00:39:34,519 --> 00:39:38,360
of pulling the upset. I also like Georgia Southern at

858
00:39:38,920 --> 00:39:43,599
Fresno State, and not a huge upset right because actually

859
00:39:43,599 --> 00:39:45,559
they went to a one and a half point favorite

860
00:39:45,559 --> 00:39:49,079
in that game. I'm a little sumthing's up with this

861
00:39:49,199 --> 00:39:55,159
Northwestern Tulane game. You know you're looking at Northwestern opening

862
00:39:55,239 --> 00:39:57,360
as a seven point dog. They're down to four and

863
00:39:57,360 --> 00:39:59,719
a half against a TWU lane team that's favored to

864
00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:03,639
win the AAC and Northwestern coming off a terrible year.

865
00:40:03,679 --> 00:40:05,639
I would keep an eye on that game. I think

866
00:40:05,719 --> 00:40:09,760
something's up there and we may see a potential upset

867
00:40:09,800 --> 00:40:14,519
in that contest. And if again, going out on a

868
00:40:14,559 --> 00:40:18,360
limb that Florida State pick that I just gave you,

869
00:40:18,840 --> 00:40:21,719
I just got this eerie feeling that Florida State is

870
00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:25,760
going to play much better than people anticipate. And watch

871
00:40:25,760 --> 00:40:29,039
out for the Seminoles here with the overhaul they did

872
00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:32,039
in the coaching staff and the transfer portal and bringing

873
00:40:32,079 --> 00:40:35,079
in a new quarterback against a first time starter at

874
00:40:35,199 --> 00:40:36,400
quarterback for Alabama.

875
00:40:37,039 --> 00:40:37,719
Speaker 1: Oh ross.

876
00:40:37,880 --> 00:40:40,320
Speaker 2: This Florida State team I've watched so much since I

877
00:40:40,400 --> 00:40:42,920
moved down here four years ago. Let me tell you,

878
00:40:43,079 --> 00:40:46,000
Mike Norvella is going to lose this one in gut

879
00:40:46,039 --> 00:40:47,039
wrenching fashion.

880
00:40:47,159 --> 00:40:49,000
Speaker 1: I can just see it now.

881
00:40:49,960 --> 00:40:52,280
Speaker 2: I do lean plus the thirteen and a half I

882
00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:54,639
did not take this team. I've got to see something

883
00:40:54,639 --> 00:40:55,360
from Florida State.

884
00:40:55,360 --> 00:40:56,760
Speaker 1: I think that's kind of how I feel about Week

885
00:40:56,760 --> 00:41:00,719
one zero, week one even sometimes we you got to

886
00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:02,960
kind of see some of these games play out, Especially

887
00:41:03,079 --> 00:41:06,400
in the new college football era with the transfer portal,

888
00:41:06,559 --> 00:41:08,880
we have new teams with little cohesion.

889
00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:11,119
Speaker 2: They've some of them been practicing a little bit. I'll

890
00:41:11,119 --> 00:41:14,599
tell you why I took Northwestern. It's because the BYU

891
00:41:14,639 --> 00:41:17,400
transfer quarterback in ruts left just got there about a

892
00:41:17,440 --> 00:41:19,920
month ago, and now we're asking to learn a new system,

893
00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:21,599
learn an entire new playbook.

894
00:41:21,800 --> 00:41:24,119
Speaker 1: It's going to be a little rough sledding.

895
00:41:24,159 --> 00:41:27,360
Speaker 2: I like Northwestern plus three in the first half as well.

896
00:41:27,440 --> 00:41:30,320
Hopefully they can get that cover of the six and

897
00:41:30,360 --> 00:41:33,440
possibly that outright winner. All right, Ross, tell everybody what

898
00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:35,280
you've got up over at wagertalk dot com. I know

899
00:41:35,320 --> 00:41:38,840
you mentioned your five percent play on LSU Clemson, anything

900
00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:40,079
else that people need to know.

901
00:41:40,679 --> 00:41:43,679
Speaker 6: I got a winning side, winning sides, four of them,

902
00:41:43,880 --> 00:41:47,480
including that five percent best bet, a winning side in

903
00:41:47,519 --> 00:41:50,280
the twelve o'clock window, a winning side, and the three

904
00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:53,480
p thirty window in also a late game which I

905
00:41:53,559 --> 00:41:57,239
call my closer on late Saturday night. Again, folks, number

906
00:41:57,280 --> 00:42:00,559
one in college football last year and win percentage units

907
00:42:00,599 --> 00:42:04,920
earned number one over the last two college football seasons

908
00:42:04,960 --> 00:42:08,000
combined units earned. So, you know, I hear a lot

909
00:42:08,000 --> 00:42:10,320
of people talk about sharp money. I don't know if

910
00:42:10,639 --> 00:42:13,599
any of the sharps are gonna top what I did

911
00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:16,480
over the last two years in college football, you know.

912
00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:20,639
And I'm not throwing stones at somebody, but I'm just saying,

913
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:22,280
you know, come on.

914
00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:24,800
Speaker 2: Hey, that's why you got to be on the first

915
00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:26,920
edition of Last All, that's why you've been on back

916
00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:30,440
to back weeks on the Blitz on Thursdays with Brian Power.

917
00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:34,039
Because right now number one college football handicapper. Let's see

918
00:42:34,079 --> 00:42:37,400
if you can't repeat that again this year. I know

919
00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:38,880
lots of people are going to be gunning for you

920
00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:44,119
over there in the coveted number one spot.

921
00:42:44,519 --> 00:42:44,920
Speaker 5: Bring it on.

922
00:42:45,039 --> 00:42:48,039
Speaker 6: There's a lot of great handicappers that wageertalk dot com.

923
00:42:48,079 --> 00:42:50,519
So when I say I'm number one in a particular sport,

924
00:42:50,880 --> 00:42:53,960
I'm you know, I'm promoting. It's it's all I'm doing.

925
00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:56,760
I know damn well that some of the guys at

926
00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:59,840
the sum all the guys at the site are top notch.

927
00:43:00,599 --> 00:43:01,159
Speaker 5: We have a.

928
00:43:01,039 --> 00:43:04,119
Speaker 6: Collection of some of the best sports betting experts in

929
00:43:04,159 --> 00:43:07,199
all the world at wadertalk dot com. We also have

930
00:43:07,320 --> 00:43:10,880
the top host in all the world, the New World

931
00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:13,639
of Sports Betting, and miss Kelly here and that's a

932
00:43:13,719 --> 00:43:14,360
proven fact.

933
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:17,280
Speaker 2: Well, thank you, Ross, Aaron Elepstein's going to try to

934
00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:18,480
give me a run for my money.

935
00:43:18,599 --> 00:43:20,840
Speaker 1: We got a surprise. Joe Madden is going to be

936
00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:23,960
doing Last Call on Love Joe, Love Joe.

937
00:43:24,119 --> 00:43:27,199
Speaker 2: And Mondays before kickoff. So Last Call's moving to four

938
00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:32,199
days a week guys, going forward starting this Thursday night.

939
00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:35,320
So make sure you guys hit that subscribe button so

940
00:43:35,400 --> 00:43:38,400
you never miss another episode. Ross, as long as you're

941
00:43:38,400 --> 00:43:40,239
on the leaderboard, you're staying on Last Call with me.

942
00:43:40,679 --> 00:43:43,159
So let's see if you can't have a great opening

943
00:43:43,199 --> 00:43:45,320
weekend again. If you guys are looking for Ross's place,

944
00:43:45,360 --> 00:43:47,719
head over to wager talk dot com.

945
00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:48,800
Speaker 1: Appreciate you guys.

946
00:43:48,599 --> 00:43:51,320
Speaker 2: Hanging out with us here each and every Saturday morning,

947
00:43:51,400 --> 00:43:54,519
bright and early there on the West Coast eleven am

948
00:43:54,559 --> 00:43:57,480
here on the East Coast. Ross, good luck, Thank you

949
00:43:57,519 --> 00:44:03,079
to VR, have a good opening weekend. Thank you to

950
00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:05,679
Art and Caesar from the Westgate super Book joining us

951
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out there early every single Saturday morning here on Last Call.

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And of course y'all in the Greek guys, he's up

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next fifteen minutes. He's gonna be live here on the

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wager Talk YouTube channel. Make sure you guys hop in there.

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It is a free edition of his steam room. Bring

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your pin, bring your paper, because he is going to

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give you all of that gold. I hope you guys

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have a wonderful and profitable Saturday. Good luck today, and

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we'll see you next week.