1
00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:04,360
Speaker 1: All right, Monday Funday here and down to a final four.

2
00:00:04,480 --> 00:00:06,639
We're getting ready for the end of the regular season

3
00:00:06,679 --> 00:00:10,880
in the NBA, the NHL, my goodness, and of course

4
00:00:10,919 --> 00:00:15,720
Major League Baseball all in store for you. And we

5
00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:19,120
have a pres free zone today here, maybe all week,

6
00:00:19,199 --> 00:00:23,480
which means it's power time, Brian Power in the house,

7
00:00:23,640 --> 00:00:25,399
ready to hang with us all week here on the

8
00:00:25,399 --> 00:00:28,679
best betting show ever. And what I mean by all

9
00:00:28,679 --> 00:00:31,760
week at least the next eight minutes. It's always a

10
00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:35,280
pleasure to see you VP, even most people watching us. No,

11
00:00:35,439 --> 00:00:38,280
that's not true either, but it is. No Honestly, it's

12
00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:40,520
always a pleasure of seeing you here as we get

13
00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:42,759
ready to say I can't believe it, goodbye to March.

14
00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:47,159
But the madness is alive and well here, my friend is.

15
00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:50,439
It was getting a little chalky for me, to tell

16
00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:55,200
you the truth, with the ridiculousness and the blowouts that

17
00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:59,039
we were getting here, But boy, Yukon changed all of

18
00:00:59,079 --> 00:01:02,880
that for us yesterday against Duke, didn't they. And now

19
00:01:03,560 --> 00:01:06,920
it's a very interesting final four coming up here, isn't it.

20
00:01:08,239 --> 00:01:11,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, it is pleasure to be here, Joe, of course,

21
00:01:12,079 --> 00:01:18,239
and interesting that I had Duke's team total over in

22
00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:22,959
that game yesterday, very given how the game played out,

23
00:01:23,159 --> 00:01:26,799
very kind of interesting winner. I'm sure that if you're

24
00:01:26,799 --> 00:01:28,480
a Duke fan, you don't really give a damn that

25
00:01:28,519 --> 00:01:32,359
they barely scratched over their team total and another unnecessary

26
00:01:32,519 --> 00:01:35,000
sweat for me Joe. They scored forty four points in

27
00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:38,000
the first half in the Blue Devils, and the team

28
00:01:38,040 --> 00:01:39,879
total I got it at sixty nine and a half.

29
00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:42,599
I'm thinking of myself, what are the chances that this

30
00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:45,040
Duke team's only gonna put twenty five points in the

31
00:01:45,040 --> 00:01:48,560
next second half or in the second half. Well, with

32
00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:51,519
two minutes left, they only scored twenty five points, and

33
00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:54,599
I'm like, and guess what a team that had played

34
00:01:54,599 --> 00:01:59,159
with fire all tournament long. They trailed Ciena by double digits.

35
00:01:59,599 --> 00:02:01,840
It was a lost game with TCU seventy five percent

36
00:02:01,879 --> 00:02:04,359
of the way through before Jamie Dixon got a ridiculous

37
00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:07,200
technical foul for protesting a bad call. And then they

38
00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:10,639
trailed Saint John's by double digits as well. Well, it

39
00:02:10,719 --> 00:02:13,560
all blew up in john Shire and Duke's face. They

40
00:02:13,599 --> 00:02:18,080
are out yukon now seventeen and one against the number

41
00:02:18,120 --> 00:02:20,759
the last three years in the tournament.

42
00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:22,879
Speaker 3: And that is a championship pedigree.

43
00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:26,240
Speaker 1: That was that was my five percent yesterday and the

44
00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:29,039
weekend I had Duke getting five and a half.

45
00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:30,240
Speaker 3: It got bet.

46
00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:32,400
Speaker 1: It was funny, he got bet to about four four

47
00:02:32,439 --> 00:02:34,479
and a half, and then the whole world came in

48
00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:38,240
on Duke yesterday pushing it back up to a five

49
00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:40,360
and a half dog and a five and a half

50
00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:43,199
favorite for Duke. And after they went one and for

51
00:02:43,319 --> 00:02:46,479
eleven from three in the first half, and that was

52
00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:48,960
really the big difference in the first half was their

53
00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:53,400
inability to get anything to drop from the perimeter. Now,

54
00:02:53,479 --> 00:02:56,960
Duke has always been a good three point defender. I

55
00:02:57,000 --> 00:02:59,800
think teams shot just about thirty percent on the year

56
00:02:59,800 --> 00:03:02,039
for them, but at one point, even going into the

57
00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:05,479
second half, they were one for seventeen, one for eighteen

58
00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:09,360
before they made one. So you kind of were going,

59
00:03:09,479 --> 00:03:14,240
my goodness, if they just shot thirty percent the season average.

60
00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:16,240
Speaker 3: I mean, the variance was ridiculous.

61
00:03:16,319 --> 00:03:19,840
Speaker 1: That you had Saint John's made an absurd amount of

62
00:03:19,879 --> 00:03:23,840
threes as a thirty percent, you know, three point shooting team,

63
00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:26,280
and then all of a sudden they're hitting forty five

64
00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:29,639
or better from three. In that game against Duke, and

65
00:03:29,719 --> 00:03:31,800
in this one you've got I mean, listen, they were

66
00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:35,199
a Yukon during a year thirty six percent three point

67
00:03:35,199 --> 00:03:38,759
shooting team. It wasn't tremendous, but they were certainly better

68
00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:41,439
than the one for eleven in the first half. So

69
00:03:41,560 --> 00:03:46,159
they honestly had to come back from dominating everything else

70
00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:49,080
bp they dominated. They didn't turn the ball over to

71
00:03:49,159 --> 00:03:52,240
Duke right like we saw other teams.

72
00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:52,719
Speaker 3: Didn't turn up.

73
00:03:52,879 --> 00:03:55,439
Speaker 1: We saw the turnover issue with Duke into the Saint

74
00:03:55,560 --> 00:04:00,879
John's with the pressure, Saint John's couldn't finish. Yukon is

75
00:04:00,919 --> 00:04:03,919
a national chance, Yukon has a championship pedigree, and you

76
00:04:03,919 --> 00:04:08,960
know what, that mattered there. And Caraban, to me, maybe

77
00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:12,000
might have been the unsung guy. A lot of guys

78
00:04:12,039 --> 00:04:14,759
would have just panicked and chucked that ball up when

79
00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:17,720
he was given that at the end, and instead he

80
00:04:17,759 --> 00:04:19,839
gave it back to a wide open mull And to

81
00:04:19,839 --> 00:04:23,480
get it, which was I thought, that's when experience matters

82
00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:27,240
in college basketball. Didn't look panicked at all Yukon in

83
00:04:27,319 --> 00:04:29,279
the second half, and I think that's the difference.

84
00:04:30,720 --> 00:04:30,959
Speaker 3: Yeah.

85
00:04:31,079 --> 00:04:33,000
Speaker 2: I mean, look, you're never DoD I mean, how many

86
00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:35,560
times have we seen in these games shoe the second

87
00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:38,680
half going wildly different from the first. Unfortunately, I had

88
00:04:38,680 --> 00:04:41,720
a loser on Saturday with a Purdue team and was

89
00:04:41,839 --> 00:04:45,879
beating here heaven. You know, you're getting more possessions and

90
00:04:46,079 --> 00:04:48,639
you think, okay, we could stay within the number.

91
00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:49,560
Speaker 3: Still.

92
00:04:49,600 --> 00:04:51,199
Speaker 2: You know, it's funny you brought up the three point

93
00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:54,680
variants with Saint John's in that game on Friday. I

94
00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:57,839
had the Johnnies against you, and I felt a little

95
00:04:57,879 --> 00:05:00,360
queasy going into the game because they were the verbial

96
00:05:00,439 --> 00:05:05,439
public dog. Yep, Saint John's was, but the whole it's

97
00:05:05,480 --> 00:05:08,759
it's funny how you you were talking about how you

98
00:05:08,759 --> 00:05:10,439
were feeling during the game. If we could only hit

99
00:05:10,439 --> 00:05:12,279
a three, if we can only hit a three, we

100
00:05:12,319 --> 00:05:14,920
can get back inside this number, maybe with Yukon. Well,

101
00:05:14,959 --> 00:05:17,560
I'm watching Saint John's a duke, and I'm watching Saint

102
00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:20,160
John's melt down the stretch, and I keep them look

103
00:05:20,319 --> 00:05:23,560
saying to myself, they shot so well from three, there's

104
00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:26,920
no way we can't cover. They shot beyond my wildest

105
00:05:26,959 --> 00:05:28,879
dreams from three. We have to stay within this number

106
00:05:28,920 --> 00:05:32,439
and they and they fortunately did. But yeah, duke, look,

107
00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:36,920
they kept saying during that Saint John's telecast. This is

108
00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:39,240
a team Duke that, including the Saint John's game, they

109
00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:41,800
had one they were six and oh Duke was in

110
00:05:41,920 --> 00:05:45,439
game where they trailed by double digits. Joe, as you know,

111
00:05:45,560 --> 00:05:48,879
you've watched enough basketballow falling behind double digits is not

112
00:05:49,120 --> 00:05:52,680
generally a good recipe for winning games. So I know

113
00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:54,360
there's a lot of people in Duke Land who are

114
00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:56,560
gonna say, oh, we're so unlucky the way we lost

115
00:05:56,600 --> 00:05:59,720
that game against Yukon. Oh, you know the North Carolina

116
00:05:59,759 --> 00:06:02,439
game in the regular season. Remember they led like ninety

117
00:06:02,519 --> 00:06:05,120
nine percent of that game except until the game winning three.

118
00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:08,079
Speaker 3: Yep, you know, it works both ways.

119
00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:10,639
Speaker 2: You know, Duke was a team that, yes, they blew

120
00:06:10,680 --> 00:06:13,040
big leads in some of their losses, but they also

121
00:06:13,079 --> 00:06:15,399
had a lot of comeback wins. And they did one

122
00:06:15,439 --> 00:06:17,720
more stat for one more stat for you, Joe. I

123
00:06:17,759 --> 00:06:19,759
had given this out on the Morning Wager last week.

124
00:06:20,399 --> 00:06:25,000
We had never ever had back to back tournaments where

125
00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:28,680
at least three number one seeds made the final four.

126
00:06:29,279 --> 00:06:32,519
Of course, last year all four made it. It looked like,

127
00:06:32,639 --> 00:06:34,360
you know, when Duke was up big at the half yesterday,

128
00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:35,720
it looked like history was gonna be made. We were

129
00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:38,759
gonna get three this year, but nope, that trend still

130
00:06:38,800 --> 00:06:40,720
holds and just two.

131
00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:41,519
Speaker 3: Number one seeds.

132
00:06:41,519 --> 00:06:43,759
Speaker 2: And I guess we probably should talk about that game

133
00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:46,120
since it's going to get a lot of discussion over

134
00:06:46,160 --> 00:06:49,040
the next six days. Michigan and Arizona. But I guess

135
00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:53,680
everyone is gonna say Joe is the true National Championship

136
00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:54,720
game on Saturday.

137
00:06:56,319 --> 00:06:59,199
Speaker 1: I could tell there is one thing that stands out

138
00:06:59,240 --> 00:07:02,560
to me in this final four, and that is the

139
00:07:02,680 --> 00:07:07,120
makeup of these teams are all very similar. And what

140
00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:10,560
I mean by that is there are more six eleven

141
00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:13,240
and seven footers on these four teams.

142
00:07:14,319 --> 00:07:16,920
Speaker 3: These teams are huge.

143
00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:19,800
Speaker 1: And the fact that I mean NATO IT team brought

144
00:07:19,839 --> 00:07:22,560
up Charles Bettiaco as a reason is to why they

145
00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:27,800
couldn't compete with Michigan, I thought was hilarious. But I mean,

146
00:07:27,839 --> 00:07:29,839
you look at the These are the biggest teams I

147
00:07:29,879 --> 00:07:32,319
can remember in a very long time heading to the

148
00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:36,000
Final four. The difference obviously is going to be some

149
00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:40,639
of them. You know, Michigan shoots the three much better

150
00:07:41,240 --> 00:07:44,240
than Arizona does. Arizona's not a three point shooting team.

151
00:07:44,279 --> 00:07:48,959
They're into dominating inside the payton at the rim. Michigan's

152
00:07:48,959 --> 00:07:51,759
pretty good at defending inside of that, and they have

153
00:07:51,959 --> 00:07:54,439
just as much size as Arizona. So I think that's

154
00:07:54,480 --> 00:07:57,439
gonna be fascinating. And listen, Illinois, the team two and

155
00:07:57,519 --> 00:08:00,399
all that size, they're not gonna let you getting your

156
00:08:00,399 --> 00:08:03,839
own rebounds. But at the same time, did it look

157
00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:07,759
like did it look like Yukon was intimidated at all

158
00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:09,959
from the Physicality's like?

159
00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:12,959
Speaker 3: No, these these four teams, I.

160
00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:16,519
Speaker 1: Think they're a lot closer than the market is setting

161
00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:18,560
them up to be. The market is making it seem

162
00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:21,720
as if whoever wins this Michigan Arizona game is your

163
00:08:21,800 --> 00:08:25,279
national champion. I don't think so, because they're to me,

164
00:08:25,399 --> 00:08:28,480
there's not a whole lot separating these four teams.

165
00:08:29,160 --> 00:08:31,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's gonna be said a lot over the

166
00:08:31,639 --> 00:08:34,639
next I'm with you, like a very interesting to see

167
00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:38,440
where the market is at, you know, where it opens

168
00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:41,080
on Sunday after these two national semi finals are over,

169
00:08:41,120 --> 00:08:43,720
because like I said before I threw it to you,

170
00:08:43,720 --> 00:08:45,879
we're gonna have now five six days where we keep

171
00:08:45,919 --> 00:08:49,399
hearing Michigan Arizona's the real national championship. And when that

172
00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:52,679
viewpoint just get with you know, a rolling stone gathering

173
00:08:52,799 --> 00:08:56,360
moss if you will, Joe, everyone's gonna say that the

174
00:08:56,399 --> 00:08:59,840
market's gonna respond accordingly, and there could potentially be some

175
00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:03,639
value on the underdog next Monday, whomever that may be,

176
00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:07,399
Ill or Yukon. I want to go back to something

177
00:09:07,399 --> 00:09:11,440
you said about the size of these teams. I think, yeah,

178
00:09:11,759 --> 00:09:14,360
it's sort of you know, people for you know, I

179
00:09:14,399 --> 00:09:18,080
think with the three point shot, everyone sort of forgot

180
00:09:18,120 --> 00:09:20,480
that size can matter as well. And you know, rim

181
00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:24,519
protection that's huge, right. Obviously, there's so much variance involved

182
00:09:24,559 --> 00:09:26,759
in three point shooting. I always joke if we knew

183
00:09:26,759 --> 00:09:28,320
what the three point variants that was going to be

184
00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:30,440
ahead of time, we'd all be millionaires. But the one

185
00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:32,080
thing you can't control with size.

186
00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:32,600
Speaker 3: Is rim protection.

187
00:09:32,919 --> 00:09:37,759
Speaker 2: Yes, and Michigan and Arizona both do that exceptionally well,

188
00:09:38,039 --> 00:09:39,799
you know, they make it hard, you know.

189
00:09:40,600 --> 00:09:41,519
Speaker 3: Teams that penetrate.

190
00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:44,600
Speaker 2: You know, we saw Arkansas who had been feasting for

191
00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:48,159
about a month getting the inside could do nothing against

192
00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:51,240
Arizona and then Arkansas, you being in that defensively didn't

193
00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:54,360
help their case either. But yeah, I mean I think team,

194
00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:56,799
you know, these teams with size that matters, man, because

195
00:09:56,799 --> 00:10:00,200
you have rim protection. In modern basketball, teams are to

196
00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:01,720
take two shit. They want to either get close to

197
00:10:01,759 --> 00:10:05,559
the rim, they want to get layups or dunks and threes. No,

198
00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:08,320
there's no one's taking mid range jumpers anymore.

199
00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:12,759
Speaker 1: So although Illinois is pretty good, I mean, Illinois is

200
00:10:12,759 --> 00:10:15,480
actually a pretty good team too. With that, Purdue was

201
00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:18,799
very good. But Purdue just you know, they fell apart

202
00:10:18,879 --> 00:10:22,240
in the second half. Shocker that a Matt Painter and

203
00:10:22,320 --> 00:10:24,600
Rick Barnes team can't make it past the Elite eight.

204
00:10:24,679 --> 00:10:28,279
What a absolute shocker there. But it is going to

205
00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:31,879
be a fantastic Final four, I think, and I do

206
00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:35,559
believe there's a couple of teams undervalued, maybe a couple

207
00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:39,159
of teams overvalued. We'll talk about that coming up in

208
00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:42,639
the predictive markets. I do want to mention also, Major

209
00:10:42,720 --> 00:10:46,559
League Baseball full weekend in the books here BP, and

210
00:10:47,639 --> 00:10:50,960
I'm sorry, I think it's going to go down as

211
00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:53,000
maybe one of the greatest. And we don't get a

212
00:10:53,039 --> 00:10:56,919
lot of rule changes in Major League Baseball because nobody

213
00:10:57,000 --> 00:10:59,799
lives in the rearview mirror better than major League Baseball.

214
00:11:00,240 --> 00:11:05,000
On the purists and oh we've always done it, that

215
00:11:05,039 --> 00:11:08,399
whole crew there again, dude, you imagine if Babe Ruth

216
00:11:08,440 --> 00:11:12,200
add an ab the ABS system might be the greatest

217
00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:15,000
thing ever to happen in Major League Baseball, because if

218
00:11:15,039 --> 00:11:19,960
you watch the reaction just on Saturday's game alone with

219
00:11:20,039 --> 00:11:23,039
the Red Sox and the Reds and that home playing

220
00:11:23,120 --> 00:11:28,320
umpire got six calls overturned, and the Red Sox in

221
00:11:28,360 --> 00:11:31,440
the meantime blew through their challengers early in the game

222
00:11:31,759 --> 00:11:34,000
and then couldn't challenge when they needed to at the

223
00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:36,840
end of the game. It adds a whole new layer

224
00:11:36,879 --> 00:11:41,639
of intrigue to the game here. And more importantly, it

225
00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:45,279
doesn't take forever. We know the answer right away and

226
00:11:45,399 --> 00:11:48,159
get the goddamn call, right, That's all that matters.

227
00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:49,399
Speaker 3: That's all we care about.

228
00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:51,720
Speaker 1: But you would have thought they were playing a playoff

229
00:11:51,759 --> 00:11:55,399
game with how the crowd was going ballistic every time

230
00:11:55,879 --> 00:11:58,879
the home plane umpire got overturned in favor of a

231
00:11:58,919 --> 00:11:59,480
Reds hitter.

232
00:11:59,759 --> 00:12:01,960
Speaker 3: It is hilarious. I'm like, give me more of this.

233
00:12:02,200 --> 00:12:04,440
I Baseball nailed it with this.

234
00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:08,240
Speaker 2: Yes, I concur And the funny thing was, it's also

235
00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:10,960
confirming something we already believed that ce B Buckner, who

236
00:12:11,000 --> 00:12:14,320
was the umpire in question, Joe sticks. You know he

237
00:12:14,360 --> 00:12:17,879
was a money Yeah, I know, but he was. He

238
00:12:18,000 --> 00:12:20,039
was one of the ones in particular that was much

239
00:12:20,399 --> 00:12:23,039
And yes, the new system made him look foolish, and

240
00:12:23,080 --> 00:12:24,399
I think that's why I think a lot of people

241
00:12:24,399 --> 00:12:26,080
are like, yes, ce B Buckner is a terrible home

242
00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:29,960
plate on fire and guess what is to confirm that he's.

243
00:12:29,799 --> 00:12:30,399
Speaker 3: Not very good?

244
00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:33,919
Speaker 2: And you're right, at the end of the day, I

245
00:12:33,960 --> 00:12:36,080
get that human error is a part of sports. But

246
00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:38,679
at the end of the day, we want the calls

247
00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:42,120
to be right. You know, nobody wants games any sport.

248
00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:44,639
No one wants anything to be determined by you know,

249
00:12:44,799 --> 00:12:47,679
bad officiating, bad umpire. So yes, I'm all for it,

250
00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:49,720
and it doesn't take a lot of time. We just

251
00:12:49,759 --> 00:12:52,960
want these calls to be right, you know. Middle Again

252
00:12:53,159 --> 00:12:55,799
he always says, I think everything should be reviewable. Now

253
00:12:56,039 --> 00:12:58,159
I think, you know, there needs to be some constraints

254
00:12:58,159 --> 00:12:59,919
we don't want, but no, I'm.

255
00:12:59,799 --> 00:13:00,320
Speaker 3: All for it.

256
00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:04,639
Speaker 1: And again, I think there's a strategy now in play. Again,

257
00:13:04,840 --> 00:13:08,919
didn't work out for Kora, but you know there's you

258
00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:10,679
gotta be able to pick them away, and I think

259
00:13:10,720 --> 00:13:14,960
it's gonna be fantastic. Fifty four percent of the actual

260
00:13:15,080 --> 00:13:19,080
challengers got overturned this past so far in Major League

261
00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:21,840
Baseball to start and see it, which means it's working.

262
00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:25,320
It's doing exactly what we wanted it to do. Because

263
00:13:25,360 --> 00:13:28,879
across that many games, that's a pretty big that's an

264
00:13:28,919 --> 00:13:33,440
impressive percentage of calls that were they got wrong, you know,

265
00:13:33,480 --> 00:13:36,039
a couple of inches here and there. But the reality

266
00:13:36,200 --> 00:13:41,519
is it changes the dynamic of the game and makes

267
00:13:41,559 --> 00:13:44,320
it worth makes it really interesting to watch how this

268
00:13:44,399 --> 00:13:49,080
all happens moving forward. But I love that hopefully this

269
00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:53,519
makes the umpires better in the long run after getting

270
00:13:53,559 --> 00:13:56,360
turned out, like maybe this helps Buckner get you know,

271
00:13:56,559 --> 00:13:59,600
is strikeing someone be a little bit better. But my goodness,

272
00:13:59,639 --> 00:14:03,600
I mean five for five and two innings was hilarious

273
00:14:03,639 --> 00:14:04,080
to watch.

274
00:14:05,279 --> 00:14:08,360
Speaker 2: Did you see they have the stats? There was a

275
00:14:08,480 --> 00:14:13,960
huge split between old umpires and young umpires who were

276
00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:18,240
getting calls overturned. Like it was. It really skewed to

277
00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:21,360
the older umpires, which you know, we don't want to

278
00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:24,360
be an show here on the best betting show ever,

279
00:14:24,519 --> 00:14:29,080
but but there could be a uh sort of don't

280
00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:30,639
let the door hit your ass on the way out

281
00:14:30,679 --> 00:14:33,480
to some of these older umpires that could be a

282
00:14:33,519 --> 00:14:35,440
result of this that some of these guys don't get

283
00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:38,759
the found forever. If you're missing, you know, you're getting

284
00:14:38,759 --> 00:14:41,840
half your calls wrong the game or at least five.

285
00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:45,519
Speaker 1: Well, teams like the Yankees who don't chase and don't

286
00:14:45,559 --> 00:14:48,840
you know, take a ton of pitches there could it's

287
00:14:48,879 --> 00:14:51,799
gonna be advantage here at some point. I think there's

288
00:14:51,840 --> 00:14:55,399
some of those more plate disciplined teams. Well, one thing's

289
00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:59,279
for sure, it is absolutely highlighting, you know. That's why

290
00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:02,039
we say part of the handicappers know who's behind home plate.

291
00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:05,440
Guys know who's calling balls and strikes. It could be

292
00:15:05,519 --> 00:15:08,279
a lot more abs involved in games before it is

293
00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:11,799
all said and done so BP, we got a ton

294
00:15:11,799 --> 00:15:14,759
of Major League Baseball action here today.

295
00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:17,519
Speaker 3: We've got some NBA action.

296
00:15:17,679 --> 00:15:20,759
Speaker 1: We've got a couple of predictive markets that we're going

297
00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:24,000
to take a look at involving both the NBA and

298
00:15:24,399 --> 00:15:28,000
the National Championship here in college hoops. But first you

299
00:15:28,080 --> 00:15:31,200
got to get a parlay of the day here going

300
00:15:32,080 --> 00:15:33,559
where are you going to head here.

301
00:15:33,480 --> 00:15:36,159
Speaker 3: For your end of the Well, what's going to.

302
00:15:36,159 --> 00:15:38,440
Speaker 1: Be a two team looks like it could be a

303
00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:40,879
two team money line parlay? Maybe what are you looking

304
00:15:40,879 --> 00:15:41,559
at here today?

305
00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:45,600
Speaker 2: I'm looking at the Reds, who are host of the Pirates. Joe,

306
00:15:45,919 --> 00:15:49,879
I understand what the conventional wisdom was coming into the

307
00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:51,080
twenty twenty sixth season.

308
00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:51,360
Speaker 3: Here.

309
00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:54,919
Speaker 2: Everyone loves this Pirates team. You're going to take a

310
00:15:54,919 --> 00:15:57,120
big step forward, possibly make the playoffs.

311
00:15:57,159 --> 00:15:57,759
Speaker 3: You and I talk.

312
00:15:57,879 --> 00:15:59,799
Speaker 2: I believe it was last Monday when I was on

313
00:15:59,799 --> 00:16:02,039
the greve you and I said, maybe it was time

314
00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:03,799
to pump the brakes on that it is still the

315
00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:07,840
Pirates after all. Meanwhile, everyone likes the Reds, who did

316
00:16:08,200 --> 00:16:11,639
wind up getting that last wild card spot last fall.

317
00:16:11,679 --> 00:16:14,120
If your call everyone, they were a kind of a

318
00:16:14,200 --> 00:16:17,200
consensus underteam coming to the right. A lot of people

319
00:16:17,200 --> 00:16:18,879
thought they were going to finish with a losing record.

320
00:16:18,919 --> 00:16:22,000
Well one weekend in the books, Pirates one and two,

321
00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:24,879
Reds two and one. I like the Reds in the

322
00:16:24,919 --> 00:16:28,480
opener mainly because of who is on the mound, Chase Burns.

323
00:16:28,759 --> 00:16:30,600
This is a very highly touted prospect. He was the

324
00:16:30,679 --> 00:16:32,919
number two pick in the twenty twenty four draft. If

325
00:16:32,919 --> 00:16:35,639
you remember he was, You know, there were a lot

326
00:16:35,679 --> 00:16:38,080
of these highly touted prospects that seemed to be called

327
00:16:38,159 --> 00:16:40,679
up all at once. Joe in the second half last

328
00:16:40,759 --> 00:16:44,480
year of the season, Burns did struggle with his command,

329
00:16:45,039 --> 00:16:48,000
but I mean, this is a guy who averaged nearly

330
00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:51,919
fourteen strikeouts for nine innings. And if you look at

331
00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:55,720
Phipp versus Era, I think PHIP is a far more

332
00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:59,960
predictive metric than Era is. His FIP was really good

333
00:17:00,720 --> 00:17:04,400
Burns last year two point six y five. So I

334
00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:06,920
think Burns, who did not get a win in his

335
00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:10,039
thirteen appearances eight starts last year, is in line for

336
00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:13,160
a strong start tonight. I know the Pirates offense has improved.

337
00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,599
How much is it improved? We shall see. And I

338
00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:20,759
like Burns. I prefer him to Ashcroft, who's starting for Pittsburgh.

339
00:17:21,160 --> 00:17:24,640
So Reds minus one thirty on the money line, that'll

340
00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:28,000
be my half of the ARLA of the day. And

341
00:17:28,079 --> 00:17:31,079
I would not mind even Joe sprinkling a little bit

342
00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:34,960
on Burns plus two twenty to get a win tonight,

343
00:17:35,039 --> 00:17:37,440
to record a win, Oh.

344
00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:40,079
Speaker 1: I kind of I kind of liked that there BP

345
00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:45,119
all right, so and by the way, crazy what what

346
00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:47,319
is it Salvator Stewart?

347
00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:48,640
Speaker 3: Is it is?

348
00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:47,920
Speaker 2: That?

349
00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:50,599
Speaker 3: Is that his name? Salvator Stewart?

350
00:17:51,079 --> 00:17:54,400
Speaker 1: The kid might hit four hundreds with the way he

351
00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:57,519
he went this week. And guy is an absolute stud

352
00:17:57,680 --> 00:18:00,319
and he doesn't have the great baseball body, but the

353
00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:03,799
kid is an absolute monster at the played here. So

354
00:18:03,839 --> 00:18:09,599
the future pretty bright there for your Reds. Now, there

355
00:18:09,599 --> 00:18:12,839
are some teams that have some serious issues, especially in

356
00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:15,920
the bullpen, and Tampa Bay was one of those teams

357
00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:18,880
this weekend between them and the Cardinals. I don't know

358
00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:21,680
what bullpen was worse, but the amount of runs that

359
00:18:21,759 --> 00:18:25,279
we got in that game that series between the Rays

360
00:18:25,319 --> 00:18:28,319
and the Cardinals was hilarious. Now, Tampa's got to take

361
00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:31,400
this disheveled bullpen on the road to take on the

362
00:18:31,440 --> 00:18:34,279
Milwaukee Brewers, who already showed us this past week they

363
00:18:34,279 --> 00:18:38,519
got no problem beating up awful pitching and that's what

364
00:18:38,559 --> 00:18:41,359
we got from the White Sox here. Something tells me

365
00:18:41,720 --> 00:18:44,480
we're gonna get a ton of runs in this Tampa

366
00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:48,319
and Milwaukee game here tonight. I believe the young guy

367
00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:51,680
Martinez is going of all teams there, and Kyle Harrison

368
00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:56,200
going for their prospective teams. Either way, I thought eight

369
00:18:56,359 --> 00:19:00,240
was too low. Eight and a half probably start to

370
00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:03,680
pop up in the marketplace right now. Can't truck Cash

371
00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:05,960
doesn't know what to do with that bullpen of Tampa.

372
00:19:06,079 --> 00:19:08,720
They usually don't figure it out until we get to

373
00:19:08,839 --> 00:19:09,759
May anyway.

374
00:19:09,799 --> 00:19:11,160
Speaker 3: But the way the.

375
00:19:11,039 --> 00:19:14,519
Speaker 1: Brewers are swinging the bats, there is no reason for

376
00:19:14,559 --> 00:19:17,400
me to think they can't put up six runs themselves

377
00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:20,680
in this game. I think this goes flying over the total.

378
00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:23,759
So I'll go with the over tonight with Tampa and

379
00:19:23,799 --> 00:19:24,440
the Brewers.

380
00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:25,200
Speaker 3: There BP.

381
00:19:26,519 --> 00:19:29,079
Speaker 2: Brewers always a team that the sports but that better's

382
00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:33,680
down the year, and they always seem to defy the

383
00:19:33,759 --> 00:19:39,680
laws of regression and defy the presets and baselines. So yeah, Milwaukee,

384
00:19:40,799 --> 00:19:42,720
you're gonna be I think Tampa Bay'll figure it out too.

385
00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:44,519
I mean, I don't know what Tampa Bay's ceiling is

386
00:19:44,559 --> 00:19:47,160
in that division. The AL East is obviously so tough.

387
00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:50,480
I bet Tampa Bay over their win total. I think

388
00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:52,759
they could still get there. I mean, but you know,

389
00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:54,000
well they got I mean they can't.

390
00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:56,799
Speaker 1: I mean, Griffin Jacks blew a couple of saves this

391
00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:59,000
past week, and I mean they got a couple of

392
00:19:59,039 --> 00:20:01,960
guys that are just and they got used a lot

393
00:20:02,039 --> 00:20:05,680
in that series. So something tells me, yeah, we might

394
00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:09,400
be taking one for the team here tonight, these starting pitchers.

395
00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:12,640
But I still think runs because I believe the Tampa

396
00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:14,960
offense more than capable of scoring some runs in that

397
00:20:15,039 --> 00:20:19,839
ballpark as well, So give me the over in that. Also, guys,

398
00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:22,640
make sure you hit the like, hit the subscribe button,

399
00:20:22,680 --> 00:20:26,039
make sure you become part of the wager Talk TV family.

400
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:26,440
Speaker 3: Here.

401
00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:30,319
Speaker 1: BP also has a show with what our good friend

402
00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:33,680
Mark Zeno there during the week that you can catch

403
00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:37,039
on the YouTube channel there. How is the Morning Wager

404
00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:38,039
going these days?

405
00:20:38,039 --> 00:20:41,240
Speaker 3: There? BP going swimmingly? You can catch it, and you know,

406
00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:42,160
we give you a choice.

407
00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:44,599
Speaker 2: You can watch it here on the wager Talk YouTube channel,

408
00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:47,079
or you can watch on the Picks and Parlays YouTube channel.

409
00:20:47,079 --> 00:20:50,279
Please subscribe to both if you would be that way,

410
00:20:50,359 --> 00:20:54,160
you will not miss any of the content on both

411
00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:55,400
of those YouTube channels.

412
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:56,119
Speaker 3: But yes, the.

413
00:20:56,079 --> 00:21:00,000
Speaker 2: Monday's Morning Wager has already been posted every Monday through Friday.

414
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:02,640
And I giving you three free plays, so.

415
00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:05,480
Speaker 3: Tree free plays. I love that all.

416
00:21:05,599 --> 00:21:11,240
Speaker 1: Right, before we get into the rundowns and some business here,

417
00:21:11,319 --> 00:21:14,319
let's talk about these predictive markets because they are on

418
00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:18,640
fire right now BP, And let's start with the National

419
00:21:18,759 --> 00:21:22,119
Championship Game. First, you and I were talking now that

420
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:25,680
of course we have an understanding of who the final

421
00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:28,519
four teams are. As you can see, this is an

422
00:21:28,519 --> 00:21:33,359
interesting market because the national champion while Arizona Michigan awkward

423
00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:36,839
play one another. So one of those two teams is

424
00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:43,319
not going to advance. But Illinois and Yukon obviously underpriced

425
00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:45,480
as far as I'm concerned, I had mentioned I don't

426
00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:49,680
think there's a lot separating these four teams. But from

427
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:54,240
a price perspective, I mean, I'm looking at thirty let's

428
00:21:54,279 --> 00:21:57,480
just say thirty five cents for Michigan and Arizona to

429
00:21:57,519 --> 00:22:01,640
win the National Championship. Well, whoever wins that game. To me,

430
00:22:02,279 --> 00:22:04,799
they're going to be the favorite. And I've got it

431
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:09,880
somewhere between the sixty to sixty five sixty six cent

432
00:22:10,039 --> 00:22:13,559
mark that just by being in the final game, they're

433
00:22:13,559 --> 00:22:16,359
gonna come close to doubling what their price is right now.

434
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:17,839
And I think we can say the same thing for

435
00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:21,519
Illinois and Yukon. I mean, you conted fourteen cents right

436
00:22:21,559 --> 00:22:25,960
now just by beating Illinois and getting into the National Championship.

437
00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:29,720
I think that fourteen cents turns into forty cents tomorrow

438
00:22:29,759 --> 00:22:32,640
there BP as soon as the game is over. So Again,

439
00:22:32,799 --> 00:22:35,599
the thing about the predictive markets is we don't need

440
00:22:35,599 --> 00:22:38,400
this to go to FRU. I don't need these teams

441
00:22:38,799 --> 00:22:41,519
to actually win. It would be great if you wanted

442
00:22:41,559 --> 00:22:43,799
to hold on to it, but I'm all about the

443
00:22:43,839 --> 00:22:48,480
options being able to cash out, buying in low and selling.

444
00:22:48,519 --> 00:22:51,079
When all of a sudden, you know, Yukon, I get

445
00:22:51,079 --> 00:22:53,119
in at fourteen, they beat Illinois, and now all of

446
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:56,200
a sudden, they're a forty five cent team to win

447
00:22:56,240 --> 00:23:00,720
the national Championship. I'll take that quick turnaround prop any day,

448
00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:04,519
because again, I still think Illinois and Yukon have every

449
00:23:04,559 --> 00:23:08,279
opportunity to win this national Championship, and the pricing is

450
00:23:08,319 --> 00:23:12,559
basically telling you it's Arizona, Michigan. Whoever gets out, I mean,

451
00:23:12,559 --> 00:23:14,960
whoever wins that BP, we're gonna wake up. They're gonna

452
00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:18,359
be a sixty five cent, sixty cent team to win

453
00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:21,640
the national championship. Because they're also gonna be about a

454
00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:24,720
buck fifty. I think favorite one way or together or

455
00:23:24,759 --> 00:23:27,160
more depending on if it's Illinois or Yukon.

456
00:23:28,279 --> 00:23:30,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think even more possible. Yeah, looking at that

457
00:23:30,319 --> 00:23:32,640
screen right there, Joe, I would concur with you the

458
00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:37,680
value in that particular market is clearly on whomever you

459
00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:39,920
think is gonna win the Illinois Yukon game with the

460
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:43,279
ability to you know, cash out obviously before you know,

461
00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:47,440
in between Saturday semi final and Monday's final, I will

462
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:51,599
say this about Illinois. Interesting trend going against the fighting

463
00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:55,640
a line II Joe. No team that has lost its

464
00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:58,759
first conference tournament game ever went on to win the

465
00:23:58,839 --> 00:24:02,799
national championship. Illinois lost its first conference game. They were

466
00:24:02,799 --> 00:24:05,000
one and none in the Big Ten Attorney, So history

467
00:24:05,039 --> 00:24:07,440
says they're not winning the chance. They're not going to

468
00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:09,920
win the national championship. No, that doesn't mean they can't

469
00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:12,359
beat Yukon and get to the get to the final.

470
00:24:12,799 --> 00:24:16,640
But you know Yukon obviously, you know I mentioned the

471
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:18,720
trend at the top now seventeen and one against the

472
00:24:18,759 --> 00:24:22,599
spread in the NCAA tournament the last three years or

473
00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:27,039
the last four years. Pardon me, yeah, I mean I

474
00:24:27,039 --> 00:24:30,240
think they showed yesterday. It's a mistake to discount them.

475
00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:34,039
So I you know, you look at that screen again.

476
00:24:34,079 --> 00:24:38,200
I think the value is on Yukon. Really, that that's

477
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:40,759
who I would go with if I were to you

478
00:24:40,799 --> 00:24:44,119
were to force me to bet yes on someone here

479
00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:45,200
in this market.

480
00:24:45,519 --> 00:24:45,880
Speaker 3: Yukon.

481
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:47,960
Speaker 2: And look, it just dropped the twelve cents, so there

482
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:48,200
you go.

483
00:24:48,799 --> 00:24:51,079
Speaker 1: So I mean, yeah, twelve, yeah, it is still it's

484
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:54,440
about thirteen cents now, so it did drop a cent

485
00:24:54,519 --> 00:24:57,519
there for the yes market. But I'll and I'll say

486
00:24:57,559 --> 00:25:00,480
this BP and again this is all about staf and

487
00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:03,720
giving yourself different options and outs.

488
00:25:03,799 --> 00:25:04,960
Speaker 3: Right, if I think.

489
00:25:04,799 --> 00:25:06,880
Speaker 1: Illinois is gonna win, I'm betting Illinois on the money

490
00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:10,960
line at minus one thirty against Yukon. But I'm sure

491
00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:14,119
as how back in Illinois at what eighteen cents to

492
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:17,400
win the national championship in this market, because like I said,

493
00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:22,200
I fully anticipate Illinois to open up if they beat

494
00:25:22,599 --> 00:25:24,200
Yukon here at.

495
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:25,480
Speaker 3: A pretty darn good price.

496
00:25:25,559 --> 00:25:28,279
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, they're gonna at least double in

497
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:30,920
value from what you're getting them in at eighteen cents,

498
00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:35,119
thirty six, thirty seventh or maybe even forty cents. So

499
00:25:35,279 --> 00:25:37,200
not only am I taking them on the money line,

500
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:40,319
I'm taking them in this market here. That is a

501
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:44,799
substantial increase for just beating Yukon. So I'll take them

502
00:25:44,799 --> 00:25:46,799
on the money line and I'll invest in them in

503
00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:49,720
eighteen cents and then if they hit forty cents to

504
00:25:49,759 --> 00:25:52,759
win the national championship. Guess what I'm doing Now, I

505
00:25:52,799 --> 00:25:54,279
can figure out what do I want to do. Do

506
00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:57,039
I want to roll the dice or do I want

507
00:25:57,039 --> 00:25:59,880
to cash out and invest it in another market? So

508
00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:03,359
to me, it's all about options VP, and that's what

509
00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:08,599
the predictive markets offer you in conjunction with sportsbooks. Obviously

510
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:11,799
your money lines and those types of things. Yes, go

511
00:26:11,839 --> 00:26:14,599
ahead and do it. But in a future market like

512
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:18,400
that with one game to go, we got some opportunities

513
00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:21,200
I think in that space. Same thing in the NBA,

514
00:26:21,319 --> 00:26:24,359
because that's the other market I wanted to talk about. Here,

515
00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:27,480
let's take a look at teams and what the odds

516
00:26:27,519 --> 00:26:33,000
are VP to make the playoffs. Now, again, making the

517
00:26:33,039 --> 00:26:35,880
play in is not making the playoffs. So these prices

518
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:39,480
are based upon actually making it out of the play

519
00:26:39,519 --> 00:26:42,599
in tournament. And right now we know who's in the

520
00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:46,759
play in tournament. Right, Let's start with the East, because

521
00:26:46,799 --> 00:26:49,720
I believe the East if we look this up here

522
00:26:49,759 --> 00:26:56,319
a little further, the East is Yeah, so Charlotte, Miami, Orlando, Philadelphia,

523
00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:59,720
that's your cut line right there. Right, So of those

524
00:26:59,759 --> 00:27:03,400
team teams, the are BP. I mean, who's making it

525
00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:07,759
from the East into the postseason.

526
00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:10,160
Speaker 3: What do we got a better shot at getting here?

527
00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:11,200
Do you think right now?

528
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:13,480
Speaker 2: Well, if we can go back to that screen with

529
00:27:13,599 --> 00:27:16,240
shows the problem, I think Charlotte is the best value

530
00:27:16,759 --> 00:27:19,799
on the board to make the playoffs, to get in

531
00:27:19,839 --> 00:27:22,599
to the final eight. Now, they may have to win

532
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:25,279
two playing games. Remember, guys, if you finish in that

533
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:27,880
nine to ten spot, you have to win twice in

534
00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:30,359
the play and tournament to make the playoffs proper. But

535
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:32,960
you look Joe at a lot of the underlying metrics

536
00:27:33,799 --> 00:27:36,839
and Charlotte is the best of those. You know, Obviously

537
00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:40,039
there's a gap I think most of our viewers. You know,

538
00:27:39,759 --> 00:27:41,759
If you guys don't agree with this, feel free to

539
00:27:41,759 --> 00:27:43,680
comment down below. But I think there's a gap in

540
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:46,400
the East between the top four teams and then the

541
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:50,519
next six, right between Cleveland and then the bottom six.

542
00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:50,799
Speaker 3: Right.

543
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:53,400
Speaker 2: I think we all presume those top four teams maybe

544
00:27:53,440 --> 00:27:56,920
the conference semi finals, but after that, like, I think

545
00:27:57,039 --> 00:27:58,079
Charlotte's as good as anyone.

546
00:27:58,160 --> 00:27:58,319
Speaker 3: I know.

547
00:27:58,319 --> 00:28:00,240
Speaker 2: The Hornets are coming off a bad week and they

548
00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:02,599
blew a double digit lead against Philadelphia at home, and

549
00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:05,480
they had to turn around and face Boston yesterday and

550
00:28:05,519 --> 00:28:08,039
they lose. But I mean you look at point differential,

551
00:28:08,119 --> 00:28:11,519
you look at net rating, Charlotte is better than Toronto,

552
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:16,720
better than Atlanta, Orlando, Miami, Philadelphia. So I think Charlotte, yes,

553
00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:21,119
is a good value to make the top to make

554
00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:23,720
the final eight in the Eastern Conference. Currently trading at

555
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:24,440
fifty cents.

556
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:26,720
Speaker 1: If I see that, yes, that's kreat I mean it's

557
00:28:26,720 --> 00:28:30,079
about even money as far as what that price is

558
00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:33,039
right now to make the odd of the play and

559
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:36,000
into the postseason here. I don't think Atlanta up at

560
00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:39,599
the tie. I think Atlanta stays out. I do not

561
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:42,400
trust Toronto. You and I had a conversation about what

562
00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:48,720
about the no markets for Toronto who beat Orlando. That

563
00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:53,480
was just hilarious yesterday. But you were looking at their

564
00:28:53,599 --> 00:28:56,640
schedule down the road here now currently there's only a

565
00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:59,640
game separating them and everybody else.

566
00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:02,039
Speaker 3: That's the play in here. But the schedule.

567
00:29:02,119 --> 00:29:05,519
Speaker 1: They got Detroit coming up, They've got Miami twice.

568
00:29:05,599 --> 00:29:07,000
Speaker 3: I think they've got Boston.

569
00:29:07,559 --> 00:29:10,839
Speaker 1: They have a couple of layoffs also, I think Sacramento

570
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:14,839
and Memphis in there. Yes, But do we trust Toronto

571
00:29:15,079 --> 00:29:17,640
to make it not only stay out of the play

572
00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:19,519
in but maybe make it out of the play in

573
00:29:19,559 --> 00:29:20,640
because I don't.

574
00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:25,920
Speaker 2: So. If you look at the odds to win the

575
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:29,680
Eastern Conference, okay, the ten teams available in that market,

576
00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:32,960
Toronto is tied with Orlando as the long shot. The

577
00:29:33,039 --> 00:29:36,279
sportsbooks don't aren't big believers in this Toronto team. I

578
00:29:36,279 --> 00:29:40,359
can tell you as a Cavs fan, I would love

579
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:42,839
if Toronto did finish fifth and that they were the

580
00:29:42,839 --> 00:29:46,240
Calves first round opponents. They're the team I am scared

581
00:29:46,279 --> 00:29:49,640
the least of out of those bottom six, and I

582
00:29:49,759 --> 00:29:52,200
think at what is it twelve cents we saw on

583
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:54,960
the screen, do you think there's some value in betting

584
00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:57,319
the Raptors not to even make the playoffs?

585
00:29:57,640 --> 00:29:57,839
Speaker 3: Yep?

586
00:29:57,920 --> 00:30:00,720
Speaker 2: Again, because they're currently fifth. Obviously, if you finish the

587
00:30:00,799 --> 00:30:05,240
top six, you avoid the play true, but if they slipped,

588
00:30:05,319 --> 00:30:08,960
if they were to fall into the plant and look,

589
00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:11,960
if you look, Philadelphia is only a game back, so

590
00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:14,720
Toronto would only need to be passed by you know,

591
00:30:14,839 --> 00:30:17,200
Atlanta and Philly. If Atlanta and Philly finish out of

592
00:30:17,200 --> 00:30:20,240
Toronto and Toronto goes into the play in tournament, yep,

593
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:24,079
I don't love the Raptors against Orlando, Miami and Charlotte.

594
00:30:24,079 --> 00:30:26,880
I think the week those four teams and they would

595
00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:29,839
have you know, they would have the mindset, Oh my god,

596
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:31,799
we were top five. Now we fell in this play

597
00:30:31,839 --> 00:30:34,279
in tournament. So you would wonder about the mindset. And

598
00:30:34,319 --> 00:30:36,319
there's a chance they could because you mentioned the schedule,

599
00:30:36,359 --> 00:30:40,640
Joe Miami twice, Boston, the Knicks. So I mean Toronto

600
00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:42,480
may only play five hundred the rest of the way,

601
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:45,400
and if they do that, there's a chance they slip

602
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:48,200
into the play And you know, all of a sudden,

603
00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:50,319
if we bet them at twelve cents to miss the playoffs,

604
00:30:50,359 --> 00:30:52,799
if they fall into the play in tournament, we can

605
00:30:52,799 --> 00:30:54,519
cash out and that's a good and make a little

606
00:30:54,519 --> 00:30:55,000
money there.

607
00:30:55,279 --> 00:30:57,240
Speaker 3: I kind of like where you're heading with that one.

608
00:30:57,279 --> 00:30:59,160
Speaker 1: And the other big question to me over in the

609
00:30:59,200 --> 00:31:02,680
West is what we do with Golden State, who they

610
00:31:02,759 --> 00:31:07,079
swear Steph Curry will be back this week. They're thinking

611
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:10,240
he will be back here and right now, if we

612
00:31:10,279 --> 00:31:14,680
take a look at what the Western Conference playoffs are

613
00:31:14,759 --> 00:31:18,720
here there they are sitting at the bottom. But you

614
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:23,160
know who's overtaking them is the question? And if Steph

615
00:31:23,240 --> 00:31:27,559
Curry is back, do we like Steph Curry? I mean,

616
00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:30,480
Memphis is not catching them, right, So we know Memphis

617
00:31:30,559 --> 00:31:32,599
is not in it. So it's just a matter of

618
00:31:32,599 --> 00:31:34,559
whether or not you think Golden State's going to make

619
00:31:34,559 --> 00:31:37,720
it out of the play in game with porzingis now

620
00:31:37,759 --> 00:31:41,920
apparently somewhat healthy, and Steph Curry, now he is that

621
00:31:42,039 --> 00:31:45,559
kind of game changer. So is there any value in

622
00:31:46,079 --> 00:31:49,960
because nobody, it looks like, from the market perspective, thinks

623
00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:53,359
Golden State. I mean a twenty five cent chance right

624
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:56,799
now is what they're pricing him at to make out

625
00:31:56,839 --> 00:32:01,119
of the play in into the postseason. If Steph Curry's playing,

626
00:32:01,759 --> 00:32:04,200
I mean, all bets are off as far as I'm concerned.

627
00:32:05,799 --> 00:32:08,319
Speaker 2: So here's the deal. Unlike the East, we know who

628
00:32:08,359 --> 00:32:11,039
the top six are the last and and we pretty

629
00:32:11,079 --> 00:32:12,920
much know who the four playing.

630
00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:13,319
Speaker 3: Teams are gonna be.

631
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:16,480
Speaker 2: I would be surprised if Phoenix made a run and

632
00:32:17,119 --> 00:32:19,200
off the top six. So you're taking a look, it's

633
00:32:19,240 --> 00:32:22,079
a situation where you have it right now. Phoenix would

634
00:32:22,119 --> 00:32:25,359
play the Clippers, winner gets the seven seed, and then

635
00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:28,640
the loser would face the Golden State Portland winner. I

636
00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:30,480
gotta be honest with you, just so I don't think

637
00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:33,880
Portland is not winning two in the play term.

638
00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:35,480
Speaker 3: I would be shocked by that.

639
00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:40,920
Speaker 2: You know, we were writing off Golden State before the show.

640
00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:43,680
But the more I think about it, just looking at

641
00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:50,480
the price, Golden State needing to just win once yep,

642
00:32:50,799 --> 00:32:54,000
if you like, okay, I would I would think, you know,

643
00:32:54,079 --> 00:32:56,720
obviously with a healthy curry, I would like them to

644
00:32:56,759 --> 00:32:57,559
beat Portland.

645
00:32:58,200 --> 00:32:59,799
Speaker 3: I think you're talking about.

646
00:32:59,559 --> 00:33:01,880
Speaker 2: A situation where they would then just need to beat

647
00:33:02,359 --> 00:33:04,519
either Phoenix or the Clippers.

648
00:33:04,839 --> 00:33:05,079
Speaker 3: Yep.

649
00:33:05,319 --> 00:33:07,599
Speaker 2: I think Golden State, Yes, twenty five cents. I think

650
00:33:07,599 --> 00:33:10,200
there actually is some value there because if they beat Portland,

651
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:12,440
obviously that price is gonna shoot way up.

652
00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:15,240
Speaker 1: That's kind of what I'm thinking at twenty five cent.

653
00:33:15,279 --> 00:33:18,599
And again, they all indications are they're trying to get

654
00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:21,559
him back out here this week, back add on to

655
00:33:21,680 --> 00:33:24,720
the court, and if that's the case, I'm with you.

656
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:27,759
I mean, a shot at them winning and getting in,

657
00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:30,000
you know, a couple of times here out of the plane.

658
00:33:30,559 --> 00:33:32,839
I think there's value at twenty five cents. But he's

659
00:33:32,839 --> 00:33:35,359
got to be in. Obviously, he's got to be in.

660
00:33:36,079 --> 00:33:38,720
And I don't trust Orlando or Miami. I'm having a

661
00:33:38,759 --> 00:33:42,480
hard time with that one, but I do trust the Clippers.

662
00:33:42,759 --> 00:33:45,400
I do think the Clippers could be one and in here.

663
00:33:45,559 --> 00:33:48,920
I think this new revamped Clippers team is a winner.

664
00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:51,519
I think they're very dangerous and I think at this

665
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:53,440
point they are.

666
00:33:53,240 --> 00:33:55,319
Speaker 3: Going to be what the seven seeds.

667
00:33:55,559 --> 00:33:57,480
Speaker 1: It's kind of hard to believe that that's the case,

668
00:33:57,599 --> 00:34:00,680
but I'm pretty sure that that's what we'd be looking

669
00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:01,400
at here right.

670
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:05,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, it'd be the way the standings are now. And

671
00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:08,239
I don't think Portland or Golden State overtakes the Clippers

672
00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:11,000
here in the final week. Certainly not Golden State. They

673
00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:13,880
have a three game manage there. Portland at one and

674
00:34:13,880 --> 00:34:16,599
a half, I guess, is still in play. Let's just

675
00:34:16,639 --> 00:34:18,719
for argument, say the Clippers finish in the top eight. Yes,

676
00:34:18,719 --> 00:34:20,519
they would just need to win one play. They would

677
00:34:20,559 --> 00:34:23,639
need to beat Phoenix to get these sevens. And the

678
00:34:23,679 --> 00:34:26,920
Clippers are a lot like Charlotte over in the East Show,

679
00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:29,239
where it was obviously a bad start to the season.

680
00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:32,000
But the Clippers, I mean, if you go back, they

681
00:34:32,039 --> 00:34:36,480
were ten games under five hundred in early January. Now

682
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:40,079
they're three games over there. I mean, they've played much

683
00:34:40,159 --> 00:34:43,760
better than a team that the average team that's in

684
00:34:43,760 --> 00:34:46,280
the eighth position, and it's conference are thirteen, that's what

685
00:34:46,679 --> 00:34:51,239
twenty six and they're twenty six and thirteen over their

686
00:34:51,320 --> 00:34:53,760
last thirty nine games. The Clippers, it's a.

687
00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:58,320
Speaker 1: Different team with health, with a Kawhi, with matharn now

688
00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:02,239
Darius Garland is how this is a different Clipper team.

689
00:35:02,480 --> 00:35:04,960
I still think they can catch Phoenix for that number

690
00:35:05,039 --> 00:35:08,000
seven spot, and I think they would host then, and

691
00:35:08,079 --> 00:35:11,360
they would host exactly correct. And then anytime you have

692
00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:15,159
in a one off situation, Kawhi Leonard, I'm in and

693
00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:17,639
right now the Clippers. Yeah, I mean they're chalking at

694
00:35:17,679 --> 00:35:20,199
seventy two cents here, but that means if the Clippers

695
00:35:20,199 --> 00:35:24,519
are in, are we one hunder present convinced Phoenix is in?

696
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:27,519
Speaker 3: I mean, are we that convinced.

697
00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:31,239
Speaker 2: It goes back to our Golden State discussion, and it's

698
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:32,119
a matter of price.

699
00:35:32,679 --> 00:35:33,360
Speaker 3: I liked it.

700
00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:36,639
Speaker 2: The Clippers are obviously a better price just to you know,

701
00:35:36,719 --> 00:35:40,320
to get in. I prefer the Clippers to Phoenix to

702
00:35:40,559 --> 00:35:44,239
both both price and just handicapping wise, I think the

703
00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:46,760
Clippers are more likely than Phoenix to get in the

704
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:49,159
final eight. And so yeah, I wouldn't want to bet

705
00:35:49,159 --> 00:35:50,639
Phoenix at that current number.

706
00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:51,960
Speaker 3: I don't love.

707
00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:58,119
Speaker 2: Then I mean, but like the Tonto Yeah, yeah, because

708
00:35:58,159 --> 00:36:02,159
I mean, but I like Toronto's no Price better than

709
00:36:02,199 --> 00:36:03,039
Phoenix is no Price.

710
00:36:03,519 --> 00:36:06,840
Speaker 1: Yeah. I think Darren Brooks and Hell is huge. I

711
00:36:06,840 --> 00:36:09,760
mean they have to be. We have to know exactly

712
00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:12,519
what's going on. Not having him, not having Williams down

713
00:36:12,519 --> 00:36:15,719
to stretch here has been a problem. But I still

714
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:19,000
think Phoenix is one of those teams that's absolutely overperformed

715
00:36:19,079 --> 00:36:22,159
and wouldn't shock me if they get bounced early. So

716
00:36:22,280 --> 00:36:25,440
at twenty three cents, there in the no market for

717
00:36:25,559 --> 00:36:27,800
Phoenix not making it into the playoffs.

718
00:36:28,559 --> 00:36:29,800
Speaker 3: I can't see him making it.

719
00:36:30,199 --> 00:36:32,440
Speaker 1: I think there's a good shot they don't, especially if

720
00:36:32,440 --> 00:36:35,920
Steph Curry's in either it is a good shot Phoenix

721
00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:38,280
would be the odd man looking out here, even though

722
00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:40,800
they'd be what the seventh or eighth seed. I think

723
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:44,039
there's a good shot they don't make it, especially with

724
00:36:44,119 --> 00:36:45,719
Steph Curry being back in the pitching.

725
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:47,039
Speaker 3: Yeah.

726
00:36:47,079 --> 00:36:49,920
Speaker 2: The way I see this working is the Clippers beat Phoenix.

727
00:36:50,599 --> 00:36:53,400
Nippers are the seven, and that it's a one that won.

728
00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:56,519
In your in scenario, Phoenix and Golden State would play

729
00:36:56,559 --> 00:36:58,800
to get the eighth seed. And again, if you've got

730
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:02,119
Golden State at twenty five ense you can always cash out, yeah,

731
00:37:03,599 --> 00:37:06,000
or you can just bet Phoenix in that because you

732
00:37:06,039 --> 00:37:08,760
probably Phoenix would not be a huge favorite against Golden State,

733
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:12,239
not even at hole in a one in a winner

734
00:37:12,800 --> 00:37:13,960
in a must win situation.

735
00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:17,239
Speaker 1: And you know Steph would garner all of that public

736
00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:18,840
support too as.

737
00:37:18,639 --> 00:37:21,840
Speaker 2: Well, So Phoenix would be a short favorite at home

738
00:37:21,840 --> 00:37:23,079
in that situation for sure.

739
00:37:23,639 --> 00:37:26,400
Speaker 1: Good stuff there, and that is what makes these predictive

740
00:37:26,440 --> 00:37:30,159
markets so much fun. Make sure you guys hit the

741
00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:33,960
light button, subscribe button, make sure that you guys drop

742
00:37:34,039 --> 00:37:36,719
us a comment below. Who do you think makes the

743
00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:40,800
NBA Playoffs and who will be on the outside looking

744
00:37:41,199 --> 00:37:43,599
in here? I think the East and the West have

745
00:37:43,679 --> 00:37:46,920
some opportunities to fade a couple of teams, but I

746
00:37:46,960 --> 00:37:50,920
think there's also some guarantees that we can just pencil

747
00:37:51,000 --> 00:37:54,039
them into moving on into the postseason out of the

748
00:37:54,039 --> 00:37:56,760
play in spot. All Right, I hate to do it,

749
00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:57,800
but it is that time.

750
00:37:57,960 --> 00:38:01,960
Speaker 3: BP. It's time for some which is unfortunately we.

751
00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:05,199
Speaker 1: Got to look at the pres who is enjoying his

752
00:38:05,639 --> 00:38:09,599
skiing apparently too much to join us. But that's okay.

753
00:38:09,639 --> 00:38:14,519
We got winners coming up. NBA Rundown, Major League Baseball Rundown.

754
00:38:14,559 --> 00:38:16,280
We'll throw out a couple of best bets for you

755
00:38:16,320 --> 00:38:18,840
here on the card today, But tell the folks what

756
00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:22,480
you got rolling over at wager talk dot com.

757
00:38:22,519 --> 00:38:27,239
Speaker 2: Two MLB plays available to premium MLB plays available for Monday, guys.

758
00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:28,920
Don't forget. We've got a great new specially going at

759
00:38:28,920 --> 00:38:30,960
wager talk where you can get a three day at

760
00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:34,840
pass for forty nine dollars. So the two plays today

761
00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:36,360
are for twenty nine, but if you want the next

762
00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:39,679
three days forty nine dollars. We're always looking out, always

763
00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:41,360
a ton of great deals going on at wager talk

764
00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:41,800
dot com.

765
00:38:41,800 --> 00:38:43,400
Speaker 3: This is the latest as.

766
00:38:43,280 --> 00:38:47,719
Speaker 2: We look start the Major League Baseball season in full

767
00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:50,360
swing here. So I'll go to my pagewt dot buzz

768
00:38:50,639 --> 00:38:54,719
slash VP for those two MLB winners on Monday.

769
00:38:55,119 --> 00:38:57,599
Speaker 1: Yep, you can do that wager talk dot com. Forwards

770
00:38:57,679 --> 00:39:01,239
last specials guys, we'll get you right there, same thing too,

771
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:05,119
BB I got a four percent NBA top play locked

772
00:39:05,159 --> 00:39:10,400
and loaded. Also Major League Baseball in and ready to go.

773
00:39:10,559 --> 00:39:14,440
So those plays are available over at wager talk dot com.

774
00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:17,440
Now would be the time to hop on board. Take

775
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:20,480
advantage of one of those deals, especially with the Major

776
00:39:20,559 --> 00:39:23,760
League Baseball three days, I mean, it's four game series

777
00:39:23,800 --> 00:39:28,039
now setting up here, starting on a Monday. All right, BP,

778
00:39:28,519 --> 00:39:31,639
let's talk some NBA here. We got a couple of

779
00:39:31,639 --> 00:39:34,679
games in the NBA rundown. I'll throw them out there.

780
00:39:34,719 --> 00:39:38,639
Not a ton of games here, but some interesting lines,

781
00:39:38,719 --> 00:39:42,000
to say the least here today BP and the NBA.

782
00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:43,400
Speaker 3: So why don't we.

783
00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:46,679
Speaker 1: Start with the ones that aren't as gross, one of

784
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:50,239
them being Boston and Atlanta Here where Atlanta s light

785
00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:54,159
home favorite Celtics second of a back to back, nice

786
00:39:54,199 --> 00:39:57,280
win on the road against Charlotte yesterday without Jalen Brown,

787
00:39:58,239 --> 00:40:01,079
they are sort of locked into that number two spot

788
00:40:01,159 --> 00:40:04,480
with Detroit. Against Detroit, I don't I am not sure

789
00:40:04,519 --> 00:40:08,559
why they would not rest a Tatum or Brown's apparently

790
00:40:08,559 --> 00:40:12,039
got some sort of achilles calf injury. I can't see

791
00:40:12,079 --> 00:40:14,320
them laying it all out here to beat Atlanta in

792
00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:17,239
this game here, do you no?

793
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:21,199
Speaker 2: And there was some question whether Tatum was gonna play yesterday.

794
00:40:21,440 --> 00:40:24,159
He wound up the market did the market did not

795
00:40:24,360 --> 00:40:27,400
believe Tatum was gonna play. And I'm very upset about that, Joe,

796
00:40:27,559 --> 00:40:30,639
because I wanted to play ball yesterday because Charlotte was

797
00:40:30,679 --> 00:40:34,880
off just a crushing loss on Saturday filled alf for

798
00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:36,559
where they blew a lead, and I didn't think they

799
00:40:36,599 --> 00:40:38,320
would have much in the tank to Hornet. So I

800
00:40:38,400 --> 00:40:41,559
was like, oh my goodness, Austin, you know, basically as

801
00:40:41,599 --> 00:40:43,280
a pickham price. But then I was like, oh my god,

802
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:47,199
I don't know. No Tatum, no Brown. Yep, yeah, there's

803
00:40:47,519 --> 00:40:49,000
that lot of that's a lot of cu and I

804
00:40:49,039 --> 00:40:51,039
didn't want to bet to that uncertainy with Boston lo

805
00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:53,599
and behold, Tatum plays and the self explode the Hornets out.

806
00:40:53,599 --> 00:40:55,360
But yeah, I think there's a chance Tatum could rest.

807
00:40:55,599 --> 00:40:58,719
The Brown injury seems more serious than is being let on.

808
00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:00,719
Speaker 3: I agree, at least.

809
00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:03,840
Speaker 2: Injury that's not great. In Atlanta, who I believe is

810
00:41:03,880 --> 00:41:07,320
won twelve in a row at home, Joan Airey, I

811
00:41:07,360 --> 00:41:12,519
has revenge for a loss in Boston. You know what

812
00:41:12,559 --> 00:41:15,480
was that a Thursday or Friday? So yeah, the Hawks here,

813
00:41:15,559 --> 00:41:18,639
I could see the Hawks emerging victorious. They need it

814
00:41:18,760 --> 00:41:21,480
to stay in the top six. Whereas you mentioned Boston

815
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:24,079
likely going to be the two seed in the Eastern Conference.

816
00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:25,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, you got another one too.

817
00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:29,519
Speaker 1: The Pistons last night started telling everyone who wouldn't be

818
00:41:29,599 --> 00:41:31,920
playing against the Thunder Thunder on the second of a

819
00:41:31,960 --> 00:41:35,719
back to back, and but we knew last night the

820
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:40,920
Pistons we were likely weren't seeing. Durham, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris,

821
00:41:41,320 --> 00:41:45,719
Austin Thompson also still questionable. So basically none of the

822
00:41:45,719 --> 00:41:49,320
Pistons starters could be available for this game here, which

823
00:41:49,360 --> 00:41:51,440
is why you saw this thing shoot up to thirteen

824
00:41:51,480 --> 00:41:52,039
and a half.

825
00:41:52,239 --> 00:41:53,280
Speaker 3: We are starting to see.

826
00:41:53,079 --> 00:41:55,599
Speaker 1: A little bit of buyback now eleven and a half's

827
00:41:56,360 --> 00:42:00,559
in the market twelve But I mean that's again. The

828
00:42:00,599 --> 00:42:02,840
Thunder just took on the Knicks, which is not a

829
00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:06,519
cake walk. But even the Pistons backups, I don't know

830
00:42:06,599 --> 00:42:09,079
we trust in the Thunder to run away year.

831
00:42:10,559 --> 00:42:12,360
Speaker 2: No, I mean that was a miss. Look I have

832
00:42:12,440 --> 00:42:15,039
the Knicks last night against the Thunder. It's a two

833
00:42:15,119 --> 00:42:17,159
point game with a couple of minutes left. They wind

834
00:42:17,199 --> 00:42:20,400
up losing, and that sucked, to be honest with you,

835
00:42:20,559 --> 00:42:23,760
So I'm not running to bet ok see here, even though, Look,

836
00:42:23,840 --> 00:42:26,400
the Troit's been undervalued ever since the Cunningham injury. Everyone

837
00:42:26,519 --> 00:42:28,760
thought the Pistons were gonna fall flat on their face, Joe.

838
00:42:28,840 --> 00:42:32,639
I know Minnesota didn't have Edwards either on Saturday night,

839
00:42:33,079 --> 00:42:36,960
but Detroit went to Minnesota and dominated, YEP, a game

840
00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:39,079
where both teams were missing their best player, So yeah,

841
00:42:39,199 --> 00:42:41,400
I would. I'm not running to lay this year with

842
00:42:41,480 --> 00:42:43,800
the thunder, especially on the second night of a back

843
00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:44,239
to back.

844
00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:47,480
Speaker 3: I agree with you there.

845
00:42:47,519 --> 00:42:52,159
Speaker 1: All the other games are just absurd prices except.

846
00:42:51,800 --> 00:42:53,320
Speaker 3: For Miami and Philadelphia.

847
00:42:53,440 --> 00:42:57,400
Speaker 1: But yeah, I have never seen a Philadelphia injury report

848
00:42:58,400 --> 00:43:01,280
have that few and it there's one name on it,

849
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:04,840
and that's h Johnny Broom who had surgery and he's

850
00:43:05,000 --> 00:43:08,800
never playing this year. So I just I don't there

851
00:43:08,840 --> 00:43:12,559
is nobody, which means they'll have everybody available. And isn't

852
00:43:12,599 --> 00:43:15,320
it the definition of don't catch a falling knife? That's

853
00:43:15,320 --> 00:43:19,760
what Miami is right now. They can't stop a nosebleed folks.

854
00:43:20,239 --> 00:43:23,880
To lose to Indiana, to give up eighteen threes like

855
00:43:24,000 --> 00:43:27,079
they did, Yes, it's no. This is not a team

856
00:43:27,119 --> 00:43:30,760
I want anything to do with. Philadelphia could very well

857
00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:33,679
be an interesting bet looking into the future as well,

858
00:43:33,760 --> 00:43:34,559
now that they're healthy.

859
00:43:35,840 --> 00:43:39,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, Philadelphia obviously wants to get into the top six,

860
00:43:39,840 --> 00:43:43,119
avoid the playing ternment. I believe there a are on

861
00:43:43,199 --> 00:43:46,079
the wrong side of the tie breaker with Atlanta. I

862
00:43:46,079 --> 00:43:47,599
think I think they got it. I think they were

863
00:43:47,599 --> 00:43:50,440
swept in the season series by Atlanta. Joe, correct me

864
00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:54,159
if I'm wrong. We were talking about six they were

865
00:43:54,199 --> 00:43:55,840
swept by the Hawks, Okay, I wanted to make sure.

866
00:43:56,039 --> 00:43:59,000
I thought I said that earlier today. So look, they've

867
00:43:59,000 --> 00:44:01,400
got every reason to care Phildelphia. Miami has every recent

868
00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:04,920
care but look, wins of change. You mentioned the Sixers

869
00:44:04,920 --> 00:44:09,199
all of a sudden at the right time, Miami. This

870
00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:12,800
is a horrible, horrible spot for Miami. I mean, I

871
00:44:12,840 --> 00:44:14,920
would like to say they bounce back from an outright

872
00:44:14,960 --> 00:44:16,800
losses an eight and a half point favorite to Indiana

873
00:44:16,880 --> 00:44:19,400
the game you brought up. But this is the third

874
00:44:19,480 --> 00:44:23,440
game in four days. Yeah for Miami if one just

875
00:44:23,599 --> 00:44:27,480
once in their last eight games. Overall, it's going the

876
00:44:27,480 --> 00:44:28,840
wrong way in your neck.

877
00:44:28,679 --> 00:44:30,039
Speaker 3: Of the woods, Joe for the heat.

878
00:44:30,159 --> 00:44:33,440
Speaker 1: Yeah not don't catch a falling knife. It would be

879
00:44:33,559 --> 00:44:37,000
my best bet. Avoid it like at all costs. And

880
00:44:37,039 --> 00:44:38,960
I'm not running to the window to La seventeen and

881
00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:41,239
a half with Cleveland in altitude either.

882
00:44:42,920 --> 00:44:43,599
Speaker 3: No, why died it?

883
00:44:43,639 --> 00:44:45,599
Speaker 2: Bet their team total. But it's one hundred and thirty

884
00:44:45,639 --> 00:44:46,079
and a half.

885
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:49,559
Speaker 3: Yeah. No, it's like you can't do that either. No,

886
00:44:49,880 --> 00:44:50,960
absolutely not.

887
00:44:51,199 --> 00:44:54,559
Speaker 1: All right, we got some major League baseball games here again,

888
00:44:54,599 --> 00:44:57,440
a big card. We'll run down a couple of these.

889
00:44:57,519 --> 00:45:01,599
Do the Marlins go four and oh.

890
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:01,639
Speaker 3: Against the White Sox?

891
00:45:01,719 --> 00:45:05,679
Speaker 1: I mean, start to see Chris Paddock for Miami at home.

892
00:45:06,519 --> 00:45:09,239
But listen, I think the White Sox they could very

893
00:45:09,239 --> 00:45:11,400
well get one here. I don't know that I trust

894
00:45:12,159 --> 00:45:15,480
the Marlins to rattle all four straight here. Maybe the

895
00:45:15,519 --> 00:45:18,480
White Sox who scored some runs against Milwaukee, they just

896
00:45:18,639 --> 00:45:20,559
couldn't stop Milwaukee from scoring.

897
00:45:21,559 --> 00:45:23,960
Speaker 2: Yes, Davis, don't call me Drew Martin on the mound

898
00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:25,599
for the White Sox. The White Sox were a team

899
00:45:25,599 --> 00:45:30,960
that I expected to improve this year. I thought Miami's

900
00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:34,159
wind total was a little low, but you mentioned three. Yeah,

901
00:45:34,159 --> 00:45:35,760
I mean, I don't want to bet Miami in this

902
00:45:35,840 --> 00:45:38,360
price range. I mean they're up north to minus one forty.

903
00:45:38,400 --> 00:45:40,760
Now that that's not the price range you want to

904
00:45:40,760 --> 00:45:42,480
bet Miami. So that's White Sox are passed for me.

905
00:45:42,480 --> 00:45:46,320
Speaker 1: There playoffs going for the Mets taking on the Cardinals.

906
00:45:46,559 --> 00:45:50,000
I mentioned the Cardinals bullpen being horrific, but they did

907
00:45:50,000 --> 00:45:54,199
score some runs against Tampa. The Mets two and one

908
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:57,760
lost that game yesterday to the Pirates, but Claire Ops

909
00:45:57,800 --> 00:45:59,119
has actually been pretty good.

910
00:45:59,239 --> 00:46:01,360
Speaker 3: Lay he going for the Cards.

911
00:46:01,480 --> 00:46:03,800
Speaker 1: I feel like an over is in store for this

912
00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:05,159
game with the Mets and Cardinals.

913
00:46:05,199 --> 00:46:07,119
Speaker 3: What do you think? Yeah?

914
00:46:07,159 --> 00:46:08,760
Speaker 2: I think this is the total and if you like

915
00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:10,760
the old, I mean it's juiced at eight and a

916
00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:13,000
half right now, pretty the way the way it's probably

917
00:46:13,039 --> 00:46:15,440
it looks like we might this total might close at

918
00:46:15,440 --> 00:46:16,440
the key number of nine.

919
00:46:17,199 --> 00:46:19,360
Speaker 3: That's what I'm thinking there. Giants and Padres.

920
00:46:19,440 --> 00:46:22,960
Speaker 1: By the way, at Petco, Roupe versus Walker Bueller is

921
00:46:23,000 --> 00:46:25,480
still pitching in Major League Baseball, which is kind of

922
00:46:25,480 --> 00:46:28,639
hard to believe. And he's a pitcher now for the

923
00:46:28,760 --> 00:46:33,199
Padres who listen to Giants. Neither of these teams started

924
00:46:33,239 --> 00:46:36,480
off the season greats. But can the Giants get enough

925
00:46:36,519 --> 00:46:42,760
offense at Petco to overcome what Walker Bueller might might

926
00:46:42,840 --> 00:46:45,480
not give them, which is I don't know, any sort

927
00:46:45,519 --> 00:46:46,360
of lack of runs?

928
00:46:46,440 --> 00:46:47,239
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't.

929
00:46:47,480 --> 00:46:50,000
Speaker 1: To me, it would be Padres or passed. But what

930
00:46:50,039 --> 00:46:51,880
were you thinking here? It's a coin flip game.

931
00:46:52,920 --> 00:46:57,400
Speaker 2: I actually like the Giants in the first five. This

932
00:46:55,440 --> 00:46:59,079
was This was zen andized best bet on the morning

933
00:46:59,079 --> 00:47:03,480
wager today. The Giants obviously were just did nothing offensively

934
00:47:03,559 --> 00:47:07,639
against the Yankees one in three games. You mentioned Walker

935
00:47:07,679 --> 00:47:11,239
Buehler now pitching for the Padres. Tough break for Walker Ruler,

936
00:47:11,320 --> 00:47:13,679
because you know what team he has pitched the best

937
00:47:13,719 --> 00:47:16,679
against in his career. It would be the Padres. He

938
00:47:16,719 --> 00:47:19,440
can't get to face them, or because he's now he's

939
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:22,519
now wearing the San Diego uniform. So yeah, I think

940
00:47:22,559 --> 00:47:26,519
the Giants to me, if the offense is to break out,

941
00:47:26,559 --> 00:47:29,599
it's early against Bueller, So let's go first five money line.

942
00:47:29,719 --> 00:47:32,480
It's a relatively cheap price, and it's interesting too, Joe.

943
00:47:32,800 --> 00:47:36,679
The Giants are a favorite first five full game underdog,

944
00:47:36,840 --> 00:47:39,320
so we've got the tie in our You know, if

945
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:41,320
it's tied after five, we'll.

946
00:47:41,119 --> 00:47:41,679
Speaker 3: Take a push.

947
00:47:41,760 --> 00:47:43,639
Speaker 2: But yeah, I like the Giants to be ahead after

948
00:47:43,679 --> 00:47:44,639
five innings of that game.

949
00:47:44,880 --> 00:47:49,199
Speaker 1: I'll throw one more out there late game tonight, forty

950
00:47:49,239 --> 00:47:51,800
three year old justin Verland are on the mound for

951
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:54,159
Detroit taking on Soroka.

952
00:47:54,199 --> 00:47:57,039
Speaker 3: Who you know is he? I don't know?

953
00:47:57,320 --> 00:48:00,280
Speaker 1: Is he throwing harder than ninety miles an hour. Kind

954
00:48:00,320 --> 00:48:02,719
of crazy what happened to him after the injury? And

955
00:48:02,760 --> 00:48:06,280
then you know, this guy had with the Braves looked

956
00:48:06,400 --> 00:48:10,159
like he was like a young Verlander, but the injuries,

957
00:48:10,599 --> 00:48:13,199
the surgeries just have not worked out in his favor.

958
00:48:13,280 --> 00:48:17,440
But all indications are Arizona thinks, uh, he's on the

959
00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:19,719
mend here and it could be a good season. But

960
00:48:19,760 --> 00:48:22,599
they're all and three to start the year, Tigers two

961
00:48:22,639 --> 00:48:25,199
and one. How much are we getting from Verlander? It

962
00:48:25,239 --> 00:48:26,280
feels like an over to me.

963
00:48:26,400 --> 00:48:27,079
Speaker 3: I don't know.

964
00:48:28,039 --> 00:48:30,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't want to bet on either starter. Is

965
00:48:30,280 --> 00:48:32,840
what it boils down, So I mean, what you're gonna

966
00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:36,079
have here, it's which starter is gonna blow up? And

967
00:48:36,119 --> 00:48:37,760
then you know it goes into the hands of the

968
00:48:37,800 --> 00:48:41,400
respective bullpens. So I don't know. I'm probably staying away.

969
00:48:41,719 --> 00:48:43,119
As a matter of fact, I can tell you I'm

970
00:48:43,119 --> 00:48:46,840
standing this game because look, I just don't like either starter,

971
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:48,519
and I'm not obviously betting on a team where I

972
00:48:48,559 --> 00:48:49,519
don't like the starting pitcher.

973
00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:52,639
Speaker 1: I agree with you, yep, all right, and one final

974
00:48:52,679 --> 00:48:55,239
one here for best bets tonight, guys.

975
00:48:55,280 --> 00:48:57,119
Speaker 3: Whoops, don't mean to put that one on there. You

976
00:48:57,599 --> 00:48:58,519
don't know how that happened.

977
00:48:58,840 --> 00:49:00,920
Speaker 1: Let me give you some best bets here tonight, guys,

978
00:49:00,960 --> 00:49:04,000
I got one Major League Baseball one, and I'll throw

979
00:49:04,039 --> 00:49:08,760
one out there for you. In the NBA, it's Sunday

980
00:49:08,840 --> 00:49:12,119
Night Baseball, which means it is time to fade those

981
00:49:12,159 --> 00:49:15,559
teams that have to that have to travel no less

982
00:49:15,679 --> 00:49:18,239
after a Sunday night game, and that would mean the

983
00:49:18,239 --> 00:49:22,559
Guardians on the road taking on the Dodgers here tonight,

984
00:49:22,679 --> 00:49:27,239
Mesick versus Tzaki. For the Dodgers, I'm not laying the

985
00:49:27,320 --> 00:49:29,000
run in a head. I don't like laying running a

986
00:49:29,000 --> 00:49:30,800
half with a home team since they only get up

987
00:49:30,800 --> 00:49:33,119
at eight, but I'll lay it in the first five

988
00:49:33,719 --> 00:49:35,920
given the fact that I know they're going to back.

989
00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:37,159
Speaker 3: At least in the bottom of the fifth.

990
00:49:37,239 --> 00:49:39,920
Speaker 1: Ending here, it feels it's a tough spot for the

991
00:49:39,960 --> 00:49:43,760
Guardians here. I think Dodgers jump out early and often

992
00:49:43,840 --> 00:49:46,719
here on the Guardians, who well, didn't score very much

993
00:49:46,880 --> 00:49:49,000
last night either, No.

994
00:49:49,079 --> 00:49:51,800
Speaker 2: And they're lots of Seattle. They didn't do anything offensively.

995
00:49:51,800 --> 00:49:54,519
Look if Chase the latter's not hitting home runs. I

996
00:49:54,519 --> 00:49:57,000
don't love this Guardians lineup at all this year. So

997
00:49:57,039 --> 00:49:58,440
that's that's not a bad jumping.

998
00:49:58,719 --> 00:49:59,880
Speaker 3: No, I like that one.

999
00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:03,119
Speaker 1: I'll give you one final one here in the association.

1000
00:50:03,280 --> 00:50:06,480
I'm gonna go to that Atlanta in Celtics game. I

1001
00:50:06,559 --> 00:50:08,960
think this total has gotten a little too low here.

1002
00:50:09,039 --> 00:50:11,679
They just played a couple of days ago. One oh

1003
00:50:11,760 --> 00:50:14,159
nine to one oh two I believe was that score.

1004
00:50:14,280 --> 00:50:17,480
But you know that was a whole lot of a

1005
00:50:17,519 --> 00:50:20,159
whole lot of Celtics effort on a defensive side.

1006
00:50:20,239 --> 00:50:21,280
Speaker 3: Nobody sat out.

1007
00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:24,760
Speaker 1: I just don't see the Celtics quid I believe is

1008
00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:28,599
also possibly sitting this one out. I could see Atlanta

1009
00:50:28,639 --> 00:50:31,119
at home, pushing pace here a little bit, getting some

1010
00:50:31,199 --> 00:50:34,719
points on this board. I think up and over with

1011
00:50:34,840 --> 00:50:38,159
the Hawks and the Celtics. I think everyone thinks Celtics

1012
00:50:38,239 --> 00:50:41,880
automatic under. I think they're gonna be missing some pieces

1013
00:50:41,880 --> 00:50:43,960
here tonight, So I don't mind the over in this spot.

1014
00:50:44,079 --> 00:50:44,280
Speaker 3: VP.

1015
00:50:45,480 --> 00:50:47,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's the way the market's going as well,

1016
00:50:47,280 --> 00:50:50,480
So yeah, I would co sign that as well. But

1017
00:50:51,199 --> 00:50:54,280
I think I think I lean maybe Atlanta's team total

1018
00:50:54,320 --> 00:50:55,760
over if we think, I mean, if the Hawks are

1019
00:50:55,760 --> 00:50:58,440
to win this earlier discussion, if the Hawks are to

1020
00:50:58,519 --> 00:51:03,519
prevail here, chances are they don't do so. By you know,

1021
00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:05,960
not scoring a ton, so I mean team total here

1022
00:51:06,000 --> 00:51:10,159
on the Hawks is sitting at one eleven and a half.

1023
00:51:10,559 --> 00:51:14,199
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think they can get there. Love it.

1024
00:51:14,360 --> 00:51:16,559
Speaker 1: There you go, guys, we got some best bets for

1025
00:51:16,639 --> 00:51:19,480
you and that'll do it on this Monday edition of

1026
00:51:19,559 --> 00:51:21,280
the Best Betting Show Ever.

1027
00:51:21,599 --> 00:51:23,559
Speaker 3: Prez I don't know where he's going to be.

1028
00:51:23,559 --> 00:51:25,679
Speaker 1: A guy, so I'll have to figure it out there myself,

1029
00:51:25,760 --> 00:51:27,639
but I know I'll be here.

1030
00:51:28,239 --> 00:51:29,320
Speaker 3: Art de Caesar be here.

1031
00:51:29,360 --> 00:51:32,320
Speaker 1: Maybe you catch a BP here again as well, as

1032
00:51:32,360 --> 00:51:35,280
We've got plenty going on this week as we get

1033
00:51:35,320 --> 00:51:37,960
ready for the final four Major League Baseball and of

1034
00:51:37,960 --> 00:51:41,480
course the end to tanking and as sooner rather than

1035
00:51:41,559 --> 00:51:43,840
later there, So go check it out, guys.

1036
00:51:43,840 --> 00:51:44,960
Speaker 3: Take advantage of.

1037
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:48,400
Speaker 1: The offer there for three days all access trip will

1038
00:51:48,400 --> 00:51:52,159
play forty nine bucks VP at his page, a mine

1039
00:51:52,320 --> 00:51:54,400
at mine, and make sure you come back and join

1040
00:51:54,480 --> 00:51:58,280
us again tomorrow for another edition of the Best Betting

1041
00:51:58,320 --> 00:51:59,280
Show Ever BP.

1042
00:52:00,079 --> 00:52:01,199
Speaker 3: Well, brother, we'll see you again

