Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we always start this show by
being transparent, and yesterday I had Lebron James over twenty
two and a half points, look good for a quarter
a half and second half did nothing but just pissed
me off. So did not make it there two points
I think in that second half. Be no, Hopefully you
did better than that.
Speaker 2: Well, record wise, I did okay three and two, but
profit wise I didn't because the two were the biggest
place I had and they both went down in flames.
But the winning sides obviously yesterday's best bet on the show.
The Sixers team total did get there, didn't really need
the overtime, got there anyway. That was one good and
college basketball was another two and zero. So really well
there three good, two bad. Little bit of a minus
prophet though, like I said, because the other two were
heavier plays. So we'll see if we can correct the
amount that we're pushing the button with today.
Speaker 3: Hopefully we push it the right way.
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about these games. We do have
one that's already going some early start times outside of that,
you know, so I'm not gonna put today, it will
be a little different. Not putting the banners up. I'm
just gonna run down some of these games. Orlando and
Indiana get open. Three and a half looks like four
for Indiana. I mean, I guess I should start with
Orlando death. Mc bain, Suggs and Isaac are questionable. Still
no friends, no Mo Wagner. I feel like could be
missing just too much for this matic team. I get
that the Pacers have lost nine games in a row,
they are starting to get slightly healthier. I would only
be taking Pacers or passing this game. Rob you know
anything from you on Magic and.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's likely it's one of those kind of weird
game ski Wednesday afternoon. On the road, you would look
to the home team in most of these situations. NBA
teams are certainly not used to playing at this time
of day in the middle of the week, So for
a road team that's got so many absences, you do
wonder how they'll approach this game, or at least how
effective they'll be. On the other side, it's hard to
make the fundamental case for Indiana because they've been so bad,
so trying to put your money behind them is a
little tough as well.
Speaker 3: Therefore, for me.
Speaker 2: On my note sheet was a giant red line through
the game. I didn't play either way. I wouldn't be
surprised at any result here Ski. The one thing I
will say is, and I'll stick to this, is that
there's just so little defense being played in these games.
These guys probably want to get to the party scene
as quick as they can tonight New Year's Eve, So
I don't know that we'll see a whole lot of
defense in that game. Maybe an overplay even though Orlando's
missing a couple of key coocks.
Speaker 1: Yeah, this next game, I thought that same way. Minnesota
and Atlanta. I mean, Atlanta hasn't been playing defense first
anybody anyway, but I bet it, and then Trey Young
got rolled out and I bought out of it, and
we saw that number taking no stock. I mean, we
know try Young brings offense and less defense, So I'm
out on the total. I guess now, I think the spread,
you know, probably going too much here. Minnesota. They haven't
shown that they're worthy or capable of laying this many points,
especially on the road. In Atlanta. You know, as much
as I like try Young, they're playing just faying without them.
I don't think it's worth that much right now. I
think it's maybe moved too much that six and a half.
I would only be looking at Atlanta, what do you think?
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's another one where I have very very little
opinion on Ski. I could see Toad, I could understand
why you bought out of it as well. Atlanta hasn't
played defense. I feel like their ATS record was respectable
without Trey.
Speaker 3: Young, but still their totals still kind of climbed high.
Speaker 2: They've climbed even higher since he returned, So it's tough.
Speaker 3: To say here.
Speaker 2: Minnesota, just for what it's worth, hasn't played much defense either.
They've just been a different ball club this year. So
maybe an up and down game here. But again, the
two forty obviously down to two forty now, but earlier
when I looked at this, it was a little bit
higher around two forty two, and I just put again
a next through it.
Speaker 3: I did not play.
Speaker 1: Phoenix and Cleveland. You know, as much as you know
I've talked about Cleveland how bad they've been, and you
know they made them dogs for a few games. That
won the last game. I right open this one five
and a half up to six and a half, and
Calves are getting healthier. Rob, you know, Calves, they've been
playing better lately too. I feel like they've been playing
a lot better competition than what we've seen this Phoenix
Suns team play. So I like the Cavaliers in this situation.
I think they can absolutely win this game by margin.
How do you see it?
Speaker 2: I'm with you in a sense here, Ski that I played,
Actually this is when I did play. I took a
stance with one of these day games with the home team,
but with their team total over again, Cleveland just.
Speaker 3: Doesn't get stopped by anybody.
Speaker 2: And when I went through Phoenix's ledger lately, I think
you might have just said this, But when I went
through the teams that they've been holding down scoring wise,
it hasn't been a list of who's who in basketball.
You know, held New Orleans to a low score, held
in New Orleans to a low score, again, held Washington
to a low score. In between there there's a spot
where they gave up one nineteen to Golden Stand.
Speaker 3: I just feel like none of those teams.
Speaker 2: Score with the frequency or the capability that a just
about healthy Cavaliers team does. Cabs to get to one
twenty one is not a big ask of them in.
Speaker 3: This particular situation.
Speaker 2: Again, Wednesday, early game, Cleveland the home team Phoenix maybe
just playing out the string here tonight. I would think
Cleveland puts up some numbers here and their team total
gets over.
Speaker 1: I can agree with that. Next, we have New Orleans
and Chicago. Now, I've liked New Orleans and they've been
making their backers money, you know, but they opened this
game as a minus one and a half. It did
flip to Chicago, you know, minus one and a half. Still,
it's just expecting New Orleans to win the game, and
I don't know that I want to do that, you know.
I know there's no Giddy, you know, Kobe White or
the Bulls. But we see this time and time again, Robi,
you know where you know, the main players are out
and the other guys step up for a game. So
this is when I won't get involved in do you
have anything for Pelicans?
Speaker 2: And you know what, and I'll just use a comp
to this particular game.
Speaker 3: Ski.
Speaker 2: It's with Utah last night with the injuries to Utah,
I think Cavante George wound up playing though, and had
a pretty nice game, but Utah's got a laundry list
full of injuries. Still, they score points. It's what they
do at home, and that's kind of what the Bulls
do at home. They score points. So for them to
score against the New Orleans defense, I wouldn't be surprised.
I think the only way you can look at this
game is a back and forth up and down score
fast total here is high. It's high for a reason
Bulls defense has gone out the window long ago, and
to the competitive nature of New Orleans which continues to keep.
Speaker 3: Covering as a sizeable underdog.
Speaker 2: I think you're absolutely right here when you're just asked
to win the game.
Speaker 3: And I think we went over to the numbers yesterday.
Speaker 2: You know, the straight up record during the good Ats
stretch that they're on straight up records not good. It's
the point spread that's helped them out here. The pointspread
doesn't really help them out. So for me, I would
look towards this game just being really high scoring.
Speaker 3: Breaking the two.
Speaker 2: Fifty barrier in New Orleans games hasn't really been that
hard to do, and the same with the Bulls. I
shouldn't leave them out and I wouldn't want to leave
either team out of the equation.
Speaker 1: Here next we have Nicks and Spurs. I just think
that looking at the injury report here, no Mitchell Robinson,
no Josh Hart, no Shammick. That's what it's questionable if
sellers out, I mean, if you don't have Mitchell Robinson,
you're gonna be a little short on Biggs. And I've
seen plenty of times with Anthony Towns just you know,
up those early fouls. If you're in foul trouble against
weinnby man, you're gonna be in trouble. So I lean Spurs.
What do you think you know, I think.
Speaker 3: It's the right side.
Speaker 2: Again, We'll go back to something that we said quite often.
Nick's home road dichotomy is such a it's a real thing.
Nicks haven't been as nearly as good on the road
as they have been at home and San Antonio just see,
you know, watching those OKC games three in a small
short period of time, just seems to me that they
prep really well for these bigger games, and the Knicks
would be considered a bigger game. Obviously, opposition here means something.
I feel like two and a half is not a
lot to ask of them. In this particular instance. And
I'll also say that I feel like when they're all
on the floor, they're the more athletic team than the
Knicks are. So you talked about the absence of Mitchell Robinson.
Even if he were in, I would think that san
Antonio would beat them to the boards, and they would
beat them on the break and what not. The Knicks
do like to be more methodical. They're efficient, but methodical.
But I think san Antonio, and they showed it against Okac,
They're not afraid to run on anybody, and I think
that they might get the best of New York where
transition is concerned in this game. So I'd lean on
san Antonio here. Small price to pay.
Speaker 1: Really, all right, Raptors and Nuggets. It's now missing, you know,
pretty much the entire start and FIM now except for
Jamal Murray. Jamal Murray does have a homecoming game though, up.
Speaker 3: There in Canada.
Speaker 1: I think if you like the Nuggets, you should probably
just bet on him. But we do see these things,
you know, where the star player goes down, everybody you
know else steps up, and this Raptors team, I do
like that r J. Barrid is back in the lineup
for them because they've looked really bad without them. But
still know Yaka Perdle makes it tough to lay with
them for sure. So I think Jamal Murray's the person
to play on in his game. What do you think
you know?
Speaker 2: I don't want any part of Denver Ski. I mean,
I know we talk about star player down players step up,
but I mean Jokic is beyond star player. I don't
know where they're stepping up there. When the guy's leading
you in points, rebounds and assists on the nightly base,
it's just about it's hard to fill all that up
with the injuries that they already had in a game
on New Year's Eve. I just I don't want to
call it schedule loss, but Denver's not going to get
any of my money it to your credit. I mean,
you've been talking about the RJ. Barrett absence for a
while back. Now probably makes somewhat of a difference. I
just think Toronto cares a heck of a lot more
about this game. Maybe Jamal Murray on his own cares,
but I don't know that that's enough.
Speaker 3: That being said, I don't want to lay six and
a half with Toronto, but.
Speaker 2: I certainly the next few weeks with Y'll kitch out.
Speaker 3: Very very different approach. Either for me it'll be fade.
Speaker 2: Denver or just not play because that guy means way
way too much to that team.
Speaker 1: Fair Portland, Okay, see Washington Milwaukee to the last two games.
I want nothing to do with Ralvin, know So if
you have anything, you know, any kind of inside or
anything you want to share on those two, feel free.
Speaker 3: But nothing for me.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't think I would share anything bet wise.
The only thing I would say is Milwaukee does seem
to be playing better. I played them as a three
and a half point shock the other night at Charlotte.
They did get the job done, win by ten. Now
you're asking them to win by eleven. Washington's a miserable team,
but you don't want to trust Milwaukee in a double
digit situation. So even though they're playing well, I let
that one go. OKAC doesn't seem to let any game go.
They just seem to be out after everything, So it's
possible in front of the home crowd. They do have
a night game, unlike a lot of these other day games.
I think in front of the night home crowd on.
Speaker 3: New year's eve.
Speaker 2: Maybe you get a spirited effort out of okay See
in Portland obviously can't match that okay Se showing us
the ability to blow teams out by this price. Out
of those two Ski, if I had to pick one game,
I think it would be okay Ce.
Speaker 3: Minus the points. But again no play on either.
Speaker 1: Fair enough, Well we will wrap it up. We'll move
on over the best bets. And yeah, I'm not I'm
not putting anything on the screen for today. I just
twenty twenty six will do better. Robie, no, how about that.
But for today, I'm gonna just toss his best bet
banner up. I'll ask you if there's anything you would
like to promote, and if you have a best bet
for the show, we'd love to hear it.
Speaker 3: I would just say this real quick.
Speaker 2: Where promotional stuff is concerned, just go over to wager
talk dot com. Find the numerous amount of special discounted
packages they have, especially for the next couple of days
where college football is so prominent, especially tomorrow. I already
have a few best bets up there already. You can
find those all at my homepage wt dot slash r V.
Speaker 3: Before I get it to best bet Ski.
Speaker 2: It is New Year's Eve, so let me just say
to the audience, your your your chat guys, Happy New
Year to all you guys.
Speaker 3: Hopefully have a safe New Year's Eve. I would do
a show with Ski at.
Speaker 2: Any point because I respect his opinion and his work ethic.
But you guys in the ever since I came out
in that Spotify green room, the chat room here is
different and it makes it fun for me to come
in every day and handicap these games.
Speaker 3: So Happy New Year to everybody out there, and best
bet boy.
Speaker 2: This is a problem Ski, because I didn't bet anything
with conviction here today. I mean I made a bet,
but I don't know that it's best bet worthy.
Speaker 3: It's New Year's Eve. I hate to leave people hanging.
Speaker 2: Let me go. Let me do this for the audience.
I will go into the college basketball. Well, no, they're
not gonna have enough time for that, so let me
go into college football. I do have a play here
that's upcoming in a couple of hours. If you're near
an app here, near a window, you want to get
down on something. I did bet the Michigan team total
over twenty and a half points here against Texas today,
So you got need twenty one to win. Pretty solid
bet on my part on Michigan here to just to
score that amount of points. Don't have a real opinion
on this side, but I think Michigan gets the twenty
one here today, So I'll leave that as a best
bet for the show college football, but still best bet.
Speaker 3: Michigan team total over twenty and a half.
Speaker 1: Good stuff for myself. I will roll with the Cavaliers
today minus six and a half. Yeah, they've been they've
been playing a little bit better. They played two bottom
figures I think it was the Hornets and the Pelicans,
and you know they won those games, and they played
the Knicks on Christmas and played them pretty tough. They
did lose, but played them tough. Lost to the Rockets.
You know, I don't know if you know. I see
this Cavs team. They come in and beat the well,
they beat the Spurs as underdogs. See them starting to
trend in the right direction, getting healthier. So I like
that versus the Phoenix team who hasn't played anybody on
the road as well. Give me the Calves mine six
and a half as my best bet. Last best bet
for twenty twenty five here Vino said it pretty well.
You know, we appreciate all of you guys in the chat.
Definitely great people, great cappers. You know, you make the show,
help make the show what it is, and we all
just try to help each other. Wain Veno, I always
appreciate you taking it time to do the show with me.
Helps my process and I know helps everybody else out
there as well. So no show tomorrow on New Year's
but we have games Friday.
Speaker 3: You wanna do something Friday, Rabino, we can do it.
Speaker 1: We get We'll be back on Friday, January second, So
best of luck in between then and we gonna catch
you guys Friday