1 00:00:01,600 --> 00:00:02,480 Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? 2 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:05,879 Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of Prophet Picks. If you are new, 3 00:00:05,919 --> 00:00:08,759 we always start this show by being transparent. Didn't have 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:13,400 any shows so far this week, but yesterday was good. 5 00:00:13,519 --> 00:00:14,000 Speaker 1: I had the. 6 00:00:13,919 --> 00:00:17,960 Speaker 2: Over in the Tigers game and yeah, just want to know, 7 00:00:18,199 --> 00:00:21,199 easy day, So we'll see if we can parlay that 8 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:24,839 end of today. You know, it's good to be back 9 00:00:24,879 --> 00:00:27,719 with you. We do have some WNBA to talk about today. 10 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:29,800 But how's everything been for you lately? 11 00:00:31,079 --> 00:00:35,640 Speaker 3: Things have been good ski. I did not play yesterday, 12 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:39,399 but I had a play on the Chiefs team total 13 00:00:39,759 --> 00:00:42,679 over twenty four and a half Monday night, and you 14 00:00:42,719 --> 00:00:46,719 know NFL and knock on wood here six and oh 15 00:00:46,799 --> 00:00:50,119 again this weekend in the NFL, it's been a crazy, 16 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:54,399 crazy run. I think it's up to somewhere around twenty 17 00:00:54,439 --> 00:00:58,320 four and five last twenty nine now, So doing very 18 00:00:58,399 --> 00:01:01,079 very well in the NFL. To get back into it 19 00:01:01,119 --> 00:01:03,920 today with some WNB. I didn't play the game Sunday, 20 00:01:05,079 --> 00:01:08,879 the game that Las Vegas won pretty big. I turned 21 00:01:08,879 --> 00:01:10,680 out to be a fairly easy bet, but I just 22 00:01:10,719 --> 00:01:12,519 didn't see it clear enough. So we'll see if we 23 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:14,439 got a clear sight on this one tonight. 24 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:18,439 Speaker 2: A little bit further recap. I did lose on the 25 00:01:18,519 --> 00:01:20,400 Chiefs on Monday. I will throw that out there. I 26 00:01:20,439 --> 00:01:23,840 was a little bit upset about that. Guy falls down twice, 27 00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:26,959 gets backed up, and walks in. Thanks a lot, Chris Jones, 28 00:01:28,439 --> 00:01:34,239 lazy ass, just sitting there watching him, not even trying. Bro, 29 00:01:35,519 --> 00:01:36,879 even trying for my money. 30 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 3: Lauren said he wanted to just throw the ball out 31 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:42,480 of bounds until he looked up and so nobody was 32 00:01:42,519 --> 00:01:43,280 going to tackle him. 33 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:47,519 Speaker 1: So yeah, hit, that was pathetic, Brom. Looking at Chris Jones, 34 00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:48,640 The whole play was pathetic. 35 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 2: But he's He's made me a lot of money over 36 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:53,079 the years. I can't bash him too much. But that 37 00:01:53,239 --> 00:01:57,840 was very, very poor effort. The weekend, though, NFL was good. 38 00:01:57,879 --> 00:01:59,840 We talked about some of that stuff. Probably know Lion 39 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:01,120 was a winner. 40 00:02:02,079 --> 00:02:03,879 Speaker 1: Well you know what I said with those chargers again, 41 00:02:04,519 --> 00:02:09,800 Oh hell no, no, give me those commanders, buddy, that 42 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:13,159 was easy. Yeah. NFL was good over the weekend. 43 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:17,319 Speaker 2: I think the only loser had was Seattle minus three 44 00:02:17,360 --> 00:02:19,599 and a half. But I had a few other winners, 45 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:23,680 So yeah, I'm feeling good right now. You know, anything 46 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:27,080 else you want to touch on before we tackle today's games. 47 00:02:27,479 --> 00:02:28,479 Speaker 1: Now, let's get after it. 48 00:02:28,479 --> 00:02:30,520 Speaker 3: We haven't been on for a while. Let's get after it. 49 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:34,159 Speaker 2: All right, first game up, we know we do the 50 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:37,439 ladies first around here, it looks like seven eighty three, 51 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:40,520 seven eighty four Phoenix Mercury heading into Las Vegas to 52 00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:43,599 take on the ass and this one opened up minus 53 00:02:43,599 --> 00:02:46,479 two for Phoenix, seeing pretty much four and a half 54 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:51,039 everywhere now total opened one sixty five and it looks 55 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:52,240 like one sixty. 56 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:53,080 Speaker 1: Three and a half. 57 00:02:54,479 --> 00:02:57,240 Speaker 2: As far as injuries are concerned. I don't see anybody 58 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:02,680 for either team here, mister Robino. Oh, the Aces are 59 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:05,599 up two to zero. The Mercury could have stolen that 60 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:07,800 first game. I don't know too much about the second game, 61 00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:10,479 but they were right there in that first game. However, 62 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:14,159 that first game, you know, Asia kind of struggle, Jackie struggle. 63 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:15,800 Speaker 1: You're not gonna get that too often. 64 00:03:16,319 --> 00:03:18,560 Speaker 2: So it was tough for them not to be able 65 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:21,120 to take advantage of, you know, the star players not 66 00:03:21,199 --> 00:03:25,960 playing well for Vegas and that that first one. But 67 00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:30,360 now you go from Las Vegas, you go back over 68 00:03:30,400 --> 00:03:33,759 to Phoenix. You got that that home crowd behind you, 69 00:03:34,319 --> 00:03:36,800 and we know the situation. It might be the first 70 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:39,400 time in w NBA that they've had a seven game series. 71 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:42,800 But if you're an NBA better or fan, you're not 72 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:44,479 new to this. When the team is down to O 73 00:03:44,639 --> 00:03:48,840 two and they're going back home, it's absolute desperation. 74 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 1: You cannot go down in the series three. 75 00:03:51,479 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 2: Right, So it makes sense why we've seen, you know, 76 00:03:54,719 --> 00:03:56,759 Vegas the favorite the first two games, and we see 77 00:03:56,919 --> 00:03:59,360 Phoenix open a favorite and continue to get bat up. 78 00:04:00,199 --> 00:04:01,520 Speaker 1: I do think Phoenix is more. 79 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 2: Than capable of winning, and in a situation like this, 80 00:04:06,560 --> 00:04:09,439 you know, maybe even you know, first half, expecting them 81 00:04:09,439 --> 00:04:12,039 to throw that first punch first quarter, first half. I 82 00:04:12,039 --> 00:04:14,840 mean we've seen this before, right, Robino. 83 00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:17,360 Speaker 1: So yeah, from. 84 00:04:17,199 --> 00:04:20,720 Speaker 2: A side perspective, I mean, is that how you're seeing 85 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:22,319 it or are you looking more at the total? 86 00:04:22,399 --> 00:04:23,600 Speaker 1: What do you think about this one? 87 00:04:24,439 --> 00:04:26,560 Speaker 3: Now? I played the side, Ski, but I got there 88 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:30,319 early and laid three and a half. So the number 89 00:04:30,319 --> 00:04:32,480 has going up, like you say, to four and a half. Now, 90 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:36,199 in just for some form of context to how odds 91 00:04:36,199 --> 00:04:41,319 makers will shade sense of urgency teams for first half betting, 92 00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:45,399 the Mercury are now in upwards of minus three. I 93 00:04:45,439 --> 00:04:47,399 think there's still as I look here, Ski, there's still 94 00:04:47,399 --> 00:04:49,800 some minus two and a half around for the first half. 95 00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:51,160 If you think they're going to come out and just 96 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:54,839 right out of the tunnel, be ready to roll here, 97 00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:58,480 I wouldn't put it past them whatsoever. First quarters only 98 00:04:58,519 --> 00:05:01,399 minus one and a half, So any of those I 99 00:05:01,439 --> 00:05:04,079 would support. But I did play full game minus three 100 00:05:04,120 --> 00:05:09,120 and a half. And obviously we play these NBA playoff 101 00:05:09,160 --> 00:05:12,879 games almost the same way. The sense of urgency spot 102 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:14,680 if you have a good team at home, which I 103 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:17,839 believe Phoenix is a good team at home backs against 104 00:05:17,879 --> 00:05:22,079 the Wall two at home here. They've been really good 105 00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:23,879 in the playoffs, right, They're on a three and oh 106 00:05:23,920 --> 00:05:26,480 streak against the spread. They've won all three by five 107 00:05:26,560 --> 00:05:29,360 or more. So you're probably you know, by that number, 108 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:35,199 you're really really you've got a thin margin at minus 109 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:37,920 four and a half and you know, wins of five plus. 110 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 1: Uh. 111 00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:43,160 Speaker 3: Those pair of games in Las Vegas, Phoenix actually played 112 00:05:43,240 --> 00:05:46,040 six really good quarters out of eight. It was two 113 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:49,600 quarters that really got them. But if you take the 114 00:05:49,639 --> 00:05:52,519 other six, Phoenix did outscore the Aces one thirty nine 115 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:55,560 to one thirty six the fourth quarter of Game one, 116 00:05:56,040 --> 00:05:58,920 the second quarter of Game two, where Phoenix only scored 117 00:05:58,959 --> 00:06:01,360 fifteen to ten points with the difference makers in both 118 00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:05,199 of those games really to lead the Aces to the 119 00:06:05,199 --> 00:06:09,199 two to zero spot. I think that let's use some 120 00:06:09,319 --> 00:06:12,439 NBA references again that we would use in the playoffs 121 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:16,800 where role players play better at home. Sammy Wickham and 122 00:06:16,879 --> 00:06:19,600 do Wanta Bonner better play better at home because they 123 00:06:19,639 --> 00:06:23,279 were horrendous in those first two games. Throw some numbers 124 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:26,560 out there for you. Bonner, who was a really good 125 00:06:26,639 --> 00:06:29,480 scorer and clutch bench player for them to end the 126 00:06:29,519 --> 00:06:33,560 regular season five of eighteen from the floor twenty seven 127 00:06:33,639 --> 00:06:36,480 point eight percent, only two of nine from three, and 128 00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:39,199 Sammy Wickham's on the floor to make threes. She's two 129 00:06:39,279 --> 00:06:42,399 of ten twenty percent from distance. So those two at 130 00:06:42,439 --> 00:06:47,319 home specifically need to play better. They did do that 131 00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:49,160 in the New York series when they were at home. 132 00:06:49,199 --> 00:06:52,040 They played a lot better on the on the Phoenix 133 00:06:52,079 --> 00:06:55,519 home floor, averaging seventeen and a half per game combined. 134 00:06:56,279 --> 00:06:59,680 The starters have been doing their job, Sobbily was good 135 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:03,600 in game one, good in game two. Alyssa Thomas, I 136 00:07:03,639 --> 00:07:05,439 don't know if the hand bothered her in Game two 137 00:07:05,519 --> 00:07:07,920 a little bit maybe, but she's had a day off. 138 00:07:07,959 --> 00:07:11,639 Not i'd expect at to be really good here as well. 139 00:07:12,079 --> 00:07:16,800 Claire Copper too. Feel like they're on the right side here. 140 00:07:16,839 --> 00:07:18,920 And I do think that the bench will come through. 141 00:07:19,120 --> 00:07:21,720 You know, it was the bench the game that you 142 00:07:21,759 --> 00:07:24,800 talked about earlier where Asia and Jackie Young didn't play well. 143 00:07:24,839 --> 00:07:28,800 How about the bench and that game for Las Vegas. 144 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:33,319 Speaker 1: So and Jewel right, Yeah. 145 00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, the two combined they lit it up in that game. 146 00:07:36,240 --> 00:07:39,560 So I think that could happen here for Phoenix. Like 147 00:07:39,639 --> 00:07:44,560 you say, going down three, you basically are toast at 148 00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:48,439 that point. So I played Phoenix full game minus three 149 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:51,399 and a half. Like I say, dinner margin if you're 150 00:07:51,439 --> 00:07:54,240 gonna lay four and a half late ass end of 151 00:07:54,279 --> 00:07:57,240 the line, but still doable for Phoenix in a lot 152 00:07:57,279 --> 00:07:59,600 of different situations here. Like you mentioned first quarter at 153 00:07:59,600 --> 00:08:01,040 first half possibilities too. 154 00:08:03,279 --> 00:08:04,639 Speaker 1: I like it. I like it. I like it. I 155 00:08:04,759 --> 00:08:05,040 like it. 156 00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:08,639 Speaker 2: We didn't talk really about the total so far, but 157 00:08:08,680 --> 00:08:10,319 it did drop from one to sixty five down to 158 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:11,480 one sixty three and a half. 159 00:08:12,319 --> 00:08:13,199 Speaker 1: I mean, I'll ask you this. 160 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:17,800 Speaker 2: You know, when you think of the Mercury, what kind 161 00:08:17,800 --> 00:08:20,120 of team like are Are they more of a defensive 162 00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:21,160 team or offensive team? 163 00:08:22,720 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 3: Well, it's funny because I know you pointed this out 164 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:27,800 when we talked about Game one in the playoffs the Mercury, 165 00:08:27,839 --> 00:08:30,600 where the number one defensive team coming in and the 166 00:08:30,639 --> 00:08:33,720 Aces were the number one offensive team, and certainly offense 167 00:08:33,799 --> 00:08:37,080 got the better of defense in the first two. I 168 00:08:37,200 --> 00:08:40,480 kind of view Phoenix as a combination. I've said before, 169 00:08:40,519 --> 00:08:42,639 and I feel like when they shoot threes, they're very, 170 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:45,360 very tough when they make threes, and just to give 171 00:08:45,399 --> 00:08:47,960 it the number Game two, five of twenty eight from 172 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:50,039 three point range, that's not going to do it for Phoenix. 173 00:08:51,159 --> 00:08:52,799 But I do think they're kind of a combination because 174 00:08:52,799 --> 00:08:56,080 they can play with pace and score in bunches, and 175 00:08:56,120 --> 00:08:59,559 they actually had a lead in Game one. But for 176 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:02,360 where the Aces are concerned, I really view them as 177 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:06,000 more of an offensive team. Being defensive, they play it 178 00:09:06,039 --> 00:09:08,840 in spurts, kind of when Becky gets mad, they'll tighten up, 179 00:09:08,879 --> 00:09:12,600 but they can be had for you know, eighty five 180 00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:15,960 on any given nights. So yeah, that's how I view Phoenix. 181 00:09:15,960 --> 00:09:18,200 I view Phoenix is kind of a combination team offense 182 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:18,840 and defense. 183 00:09:19,840 --> 00:09:24,519 Speaker 2: I agree with your assessment. I think after you know, 184 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:28,159 you've seen the Aces have a lot of success. They 185 00:09:28,240 --> 00:09:31,799 score damn near ninety points in both games, and you're 186 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:32,879 the number one defense. 187 00:09:33,279 --> 00:09:36,799 Speaker 1: I mean that has to ring an alarm, you know. 188 00:09:37,159 --> 00:09:39,200 Speaker 2: I think that's a side that they'll be focused on today, 189 00:09:39,279 --> 00:09:42,759 especially being back at home. So I would think I 190 00:09:42,799 --> 00:09:44,559 agree with the market on both the side and the 191 00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:45,519 total in this game. 192 00:09:46,799 --> 00:09:48,879 Speaker 1: Anything else before we moved along to some baseball. 193 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:52,000 Speaker 3: No, I like that we both see it the same 194 00:09:52,039 --> 00:09:54,039 way here, so we can move on. 195 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:57,519 Speaker 2: Shout out to my guy, U Kapper says, with Upski 196 00:09:57,559 --> 00:10:00,679 and Vino and Casey, I appreciate you, she says background 197 00:10:00,679 --> 00:10:04,960 fire Ski man, I appreciate it because, well, first of all, 198 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:06,960 let me see if I could do this just real quick. 199 00:10:08,639 --> 00:10:10,879 You can see a little bit more real quick. But anyway, 200 00:10:11,000 --> 00:10:13,360 I took my time doing this yesterday, and you can 201 00:10:13,399 --> 00:10:15,759 see this, Casey, everybody can see this right here. 202 00:10:16,080 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 1: There's a little mark right here. 203 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:21,879 Speaker 2: It's trying to set something up, thinking falling, busting me 204 00:10:21,919 --> 00:10:22,440 in my nose. 205 00:10:22,639 --> 00:10:25,799 Speaker 1: So I'm glad you guys at least like the backdrop, 206 00:10:25,879 --> 00:10:29,639 it was not all for nothing. All right, let's keep 207 00:10:29,639 --> 00:10:30,120 it going out here. 208 00:10:30,159 --> 00:10:34,480 Speaker 2: We got we got a little baseball to talk about. 209 00:10:34,480 --> 00:10:38,360 It's playoffs there too, so we'll go Brewers and Cubs. 210 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:40,320 We're only gonna talk about two out of the four games. 211 00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:44,480 We're not gonna do too much on the diamond, but 212 00:10:45,159 --> 00:10:45,840 you do have. 213 00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:48,480 Speaker 1: The Cubs as the slight favorite here. 214 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:52,559 Speaker 2: Total did open, I believe seven came down to about 215 00:10:52,639 --> 00:10:53,559 six and a half. 216 00:10:53,879 --> 00:10:55,440 Speaker 1: And this matchup you have. 217 00:10:55,480 --> 00:11:00,559 Speaker 2: Quinn Priester versus James and Talian Priester. He looks like 218 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:03,000 he's been pretty good like the last five starts, going 219 00:11:03,039 --> 00:11:06,600 about four point eight innings, only allowing one point four 220 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:10,679 runs one point two earned runs. A man, I know 221 00:11:10,759 --> 00:11:13,559 I haven't liked him that much over the years, but 222 00:11:13,559 --> 00:11:17,399 he's pitching damn good right now. Last five starts for him, 223 00:11:17,639 --> 00:11:20,720 four point twenty seven innings pitch not even giving up 224 00:11:20,720 --> 00:11:24,879 a run, zero point six runs. So I'm looking at 225 00:11:24,879 --> 00:11:28,200 this one here, Rovino, I think these are two of 226 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,759 the better bullpens and baseball at least they're playing well 227 00:11:30,799 --> 00:11:34,360 right now. And these two pitchers and really good rhythm, 228 00:11:34,399 --> 00:11:36,840 really good for him. You got some win blowing in 229 00:11:36,879 --> 00:11:39,639 a little bit. It was in a double digit number. 230 00:11:40,200 --> 00:11:42,080 This is all lining up to me far and under. 231 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:44,480 Give me that six and a half under at even money, 232 00:11:44,519 --> 00:11:45,320 That's what I'm liking here. 233 00:11:45,360 --> 00:11:45,480 Speaker 3: Rob. 234 00:11:45,559 --> 00:11:58,519 Speaker 1: You know what about you? You're muted. We can't hear you. 235 00:11:58,600 --> 00:12:00,000 You know we can't hear you. 236 00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:03,919 Speaker 3: I gotcha, I'm said. I think the dog was mad 237 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:08,159 at something against so I muted for a second. I 238 00:12:08,159 --> 00:12:10,840 played tie on first five innings here, Like you say, Ski, 239 00:12:10,879 --> 00:12:13,240 the numbers have been terrific. Last twenty three innings only 240 00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:16,240 two were and runs allowed. Cubs in that desperation spot 241 00:12:16,279 --> 00:12:19,159 here really don't want to trust bullpens as we watch 242 00:12:19,919 --> 00:12:23,679 these games go by. Even as good as the La 243 00:12:23,799 --> 00:12:26,240 Dodgers have been, the eighth inning has been a nightmare 244 00:12:26,279 --> 00:12:30,279 for them as well. So I think that I'd rather 245 00:12:30,320 --> 00:12:34,000 stick with the starter here. Quinn Priester, It's an interesting story. 246 00:12:34,080 --> 00:12:37,240 The Brewers won nineteen games in a row that he 247 00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:41,679 started this year, wow, and then finally in his last 248 00:12:41,759 --> 00:12:43,919 game of the regular season, he got hit pretty good, 249 00:12:44,440 --> 00:12:46,919 and you just wonder if that doesn't carry over here 250 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:51,320 road playoff game young pitcher where like you say, tie On, 251 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:54,039 more veteran and has been dominant as of late. So 252 00:12:54,279 --> 00:12:56,639 I think if I just match those two uphead to head, 253 00:12:57,120 --> 00:12:59,240 I trust the Cubs offense to get me enough to 254 00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:03,240 get through five innings. The price is pretty pretty good here. 255 00:13:03,279 --> 00:13:05,440 You get a plus price with the Cubs. So that's 256 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:07,679 the way I looked the desperate team at home with 257 00:13:07,759 --> 00:13:12,159 what I consider at this point to be the the 258 00:13:12,240 --> 00:13:13,279 more capable picture. 259 00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:16,480 Speaker 1: Let's put it that way, all right, good stuff on that. 260 00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:18,600 Speaker 2: I think we have some good angles in that game. 261 00:13:19,200 --> 00:13:21,240 And let's talk about one more here before we get 262 00:13:21,240 --> 00:13:23,679 out of here for the day. That's gonna be your 263 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:27,720 negative Woods and my negative Woods, Billy's and Dodgers. We 264 00:13:27,799 --> 00:13:31,960 have Aaron Nola versus Yamamoto and. 265 00:13:32,720 --> 00:13:34,399 Speaker 1: My bad Let me just pull this up. I mean, 266 00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:35,919 I do know, you know I'm. 267 00:13:35,759 --> 00:13:38,679 Speaker 2: A Dodger fan, and even if I don't follow a 268 00:13:38,759 --> 00:13:41,159 four year long I know I think enough from Yamamoto 269 00:13:41,240 --> 00:13:43,720 where that's one of the pictures that I trust him, 270 00:13:44,360 --> 00:13:47,759 and seeing how Dave Rodgers has used them or Dave 271 00:13:47,799 --> 00:13:51,879 Roberts has used them lately, Like earlier in the year, 272 00:13:52,159 --> 00:13:54,159 from what I was looking at, it looked like he 273 00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:57,440 didn't really trust him, But lately it's either he trusted 274 00:13:57,480 --> 00:14:01,360 him more or he doesn't trust the bullpen. So I 275 00:14:01,399 --> 00:14:04,240 think we'll have an extended you know, how do I 276 00:14:04,279 --> 00:14:07,840 say extended outing from Yamamoto on this one. If you're 277 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:10,519 one of those people who bets Pitt your outs, I 278 00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:12,840 could see him going over his outs prop for tonight, 279 00:14:13,519 --> 00:14:15,759 and as long as he's out there, I trust him 280 00:14:15,759 --> 00:14:19,679 to hold down this Phillies lineup. For the Phillies, I 281 00:14:19,720 --> 00:14:22,000 think it's gonna be a little bit of you know, 282 00:14:22,679 --> 00:14:24,679 if they see even a little bit of shakiness, you're 283 00:14:24,679 --> 00:14:29,840 getting pulled. But I have faith in and Nola a 284 00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:32,080 little bit. The first time through the lineup at least, 285 00:14:32,399 --> 00:14:35,600 so I was. I was thinking about an underhere, Ravino, 286 00:14:37,159 --> 00:14:39,600 I just haven't gotten there yet. Is there anything else 287 00:14:40,399 --> 00:14:41,240 that catches your eye? 288 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:44,519 Speaker 3: And Phillies at Dodgers, it's great When you said my 289 00:14:44,679 --> 00:14:47,320 neck of the woods. It made me laugh because the 290 00:14:47,360 --> 00:14:49,679 people here in Philly, I don't think they like my 291 00:14:49,799 --> 00:14:53,440 kind too much. Because I'm a Dodger fan like you. 292 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:56,639 They come in here and win two against the Phillies, 293 00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:59,240 and I'm a Broncos fan and they come in and 294 00:14:59,279 --> 00:15:01,360 beat the Eagles. So the three day weekend for me 295 00:15:01,559 --> 00:15:04,360 was great. For the people in Philadelphia was not good. 296 00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:10,120 This matchup in particular, there's been nobody better than Yamamoto 297 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:12,559 as of late. I give you some numbers here last 298 00:15:12,639 --> 00:15:16,399 eight starts fifty three and two thirds innings over eight starts, 299 00:15:16,639 --> 00:15:19,440 one point five to three E zero point seven to 300 00:15:19,480 --> 00:15:23,639 two whip other side hitting just one sixty four against 301 00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:29,000 Yamamoto since the All Star Break. This one absolutely floored Miski. 302 00:15:29,120 --> 00:15:32,879 There have been two hundred and ten played appearances against 303 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:37,519 Yamamoto since the All Star Break, only three extra base hits. 304 00:15:38,200 --> 00:15:41,679 That's crazy. All three were homers, but only three extra 305 00:15:41,720 --> 00:15:44,639 base hits. The only start he had against Philly this year, 306 00:15:44,639 --> 00:15:47,080 he won six innings, three hits, one run aloud. He 307 00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:49,840 got out of there with a no decision because the 308 00:15:49,879 --> 00:15:53,480 Dodger offense didn't support him well in that game in Philly. 309 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:56,960 But their offense has been good last ten games, and 310 00:15:57,000 --> 00:15:59,200 it's been good in the playoffs. Dodgers fifty eight runs 311 00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:02,440 in their last ten, twenty seven in the four playoff games. 312 00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:08,399 Aaron Nola eight roads starts this season owen six six 313 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:11,840 point nine to seven ERA on the road, not really good. 314 00:16:11,919 --> 00:16:14,080 The Phillies first five inning record with Nola on the 315 00:16:14,159 --> 00:16:17,799 hill two five and one. The last four road outings 316 00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:20,519 first five to four Nola have resulted in a one 317 00:16:20,559 --> 00:16:24,440 to seven to nine whip eight point three era, this 318 00:16:24,639 --> 00:16:28,879 feel like you can trust Yamamoda. Now Dave Roberts, I 319 00:16:28,919 --> 00:16:32,360 have trouble trusting because it seems like he's got it 320 00:16:32,399 --> 00:16:35,600 made with the road, with the staff that he has 321 00:16:35,879 --> 00:16:39,120 here in the playoffs. In other words, the bullpen that's 322 00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:42,480 killed them the last month doesn't necessarily have to be 323 00:16:42,639 --> 00:16:45,120 used in these games. We saw him go to Tyler 324 00:16:45,159 --> 00:16:48,720 Glass now a starter in relief. We've seen Rory Sasaki 325 00:16:49,679 --> 00:16:52,919 be the closer in these games. You've got Clayton Kershaw, 326 00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:55,120 another starter that you could use for an ending or two. 327 00:16:55,519 --> 00:16:59,039 And yet last game he insisted on going to Blake 328 00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:02,960 Triman and Alex Vesia and I almost lost that game. 329 00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:05,640 I mean, it got kind of crazy at the end 330 00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:07,319 when he really didn't have to. I don't think that 331 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:09,400 happens here. Ski. The pitching staff has had a day 332 00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:13,640 of rest for Philly, it'll be all hands on deck. 333 00:17:14,720 --> 00:17:17,480 But Christopher Sanchez, the starter in game one, only three 334 00:17:17,559 --> 00:17:19,279 days rest, I don't know that you could use him, 335 00:17:19,279 --> 00:17:22,319 and you certainly can't use Jesus Lozardo this starter in 336 00:17:22,359 --> 00:17:25,960 game two. Both of those guys threw really well, but 337 00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:29,039 the Dodgers offense against the rest of those pitchers, I 338 00:17:29,039 --> 00:17:31,759 think is in pretty good shape here real quick. One 339 00:17:31,839 --> 00:17:34,519 last thing here about Aaron Nola. He's a lot of 340 00:17:34,559 --> 00:17:37,359 three twenty five on base percentage this year in eighth 341 00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:40,240 five ops. Those are just bad numbers. I like the 342 00:17:40,279 --> 00:17:44,160 Dodgers first half with Iyamamoto. I laid the half of run. 343 00:17:44,839 --> 00:17:47,440 It cost me fifteen cents, But Dodgers minus a half 344 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:49,160 first five. I think that's a solid play. 345 00:17:50,519 --> 00:17:52,359 Speaker 1: Like it good stuff on that. 346 00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:57,599 Speaker 2: And Mark says he likes Yamamoto over his strikeouts there tonight. 347 00:17:58,079 --> 00:17:59,960 So a lot of different ways to bet this one. 348 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:02,519 I think if I'm betting that game as of right now, 349 00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:05,839 Dow'm a Moto overs out. Seems like the best way 350 00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:09,119 to go for me. All right, Veno, looks like we 351 00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:10,759 can wrap it up. We're not gonna talk any college 352 00:18:10,799 --> 00:18:13,920 football today. So before we do move it over the 353 00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:16,079 best bets, let's see what we can throw up on 354 00:18:16,079 --> 00:18:19,160 the screen. Are we're still doing Weekend Warrior all right? 355 00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:21,880 Speaker 3: So yeah, I think they're gonna keep doing that. 356 00:18:21,960 --> 00:18:25,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll toss that up there. Weekend Warrior. 357 00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 2: It allows you to get every football play from Andy 358 00:18:28,759 --> 00:18:31,359 KEAVI of your choice for only forty nine dollars five 359 00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:32,240 percent are included. 360 00:18:32,279 --> 00:18:35,599 Speaker 1: You get Monday Night football as well. And for myself, 361 00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:35,880 I have. 362 00:18:35,839 --> 00:18:39,160 Speaker 2: To say this year this season on four and oh 363 00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:42,559 on my top plays in the NFL, and I already 364 00:18:42,599 --> 00:18:45,680 have one up and available, so it would be included 365 00:18:45,759 --> 00:18:50,680 if you got this Weekend Warrior past Veno. I know 366 00:18:50,680 --> 00:18:52,640 football has been good for you. Anything you want to 367 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:53,880 touch on for football there. 368 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:57,759 Speaker 3: Yeah, real quick, Like I said, Skei, I think the 369 00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:01,119 numbers bear out that at wager talk on top of 370 00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:05,279 the heap so far in NFL handicapping. But I do 371 00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:08,240 know for a fact it's been twenty five or twenty 372 00:19:08,279 --> 00:19:11,039 four and five excuse me, over the last twenty nine plays, 373 00:19:11,039 --> 00:19:13,839 so it's been really really good. Another six in a weekend, 374 00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:17,640 like I said, just for the NFL, forty nine dollars 375 00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:21,640 probably worth it. So once again Weekend Warrior package, I 376 00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:23,599 will throw out one more time here Skeeeks, I haven't 377 00:19:23,599 --> 00:19:26,039 done it in a while. Those of you who are 378 00:19:26,039 --> 00:19:28,720 playing these things seriously every single day, want to be 379 00:19:28,799 --> 00:19:30,279 on top of the lines, want to be on top 380 00:19:30,319 --> 00:19:32,200 of the moves, want to be on top of the injuries. 381 00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:34,519 Go ahead and get a free seven day trial to 382 00:19:34,559 --> 00:19:37,359 odds Logic go over to wagertalk dot com. The Odds 383 00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:41,400 Logic Live odd screen is as good as any in 384 00:19:41,440 --> 00:19:44,079 the business, maybe better than any in the business. So again, 385 00:19:44,799 --> 00:19:48,920 if you're taking it seriously each and every day, and 386 00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:51,319 it's more than just a hobby for you, you probably want 387 00:19:51,319 --> 00:19:52,759 to get on top of that. Give it a seven 388 00:19:52,839 --> 00:19:54,640 day trial. If you like it, you can go ahead 389 00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:57,079 and purchase. If you don't like it, you don't have 390 00:19:57,160 --> 00:20:01,119 to nothing, no obligation with that. Once again, Odds Logic, 391 00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:02,920 go ahead and get your free trial at wager talk 392 00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:08,519 dot com. Free play got you know the games we 393 00:20:08,599 --> 00:20:11,160 talked about. I like a lot here Tonight's ski, but 394 00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:13,599 I'll leave everybody with the Phoenix Murky. 395 00:20:13,599 --> 00:20:17,200 Speaker 1: Well, hold on, I'm bad. There we go. 396 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:23,880 Speaker 3: I got the better number, so I won't give out 397 00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:26,319 the Mercury as the best bet here. I'll go to 398 00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:31,519 the Cubs with tie on first five innings minus a 399 00:20:31,559 --> 00:20:34,240 half a run plus in the vicinity of you know, 400 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:37,079 lines vary so much in baseball, but you can find 401 00:20:37,079 --> 00:20:39,759 yourself either taking a dollar fifteen, you can find yourself 402 00:20:39,759 --> 00:20:41,839 taking a dollar twenty five. Go ahead and shop it 403 00:20:41,920 --> 00:20:43,960 the best you can. But I do think the Cubs 404 00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:46,920 at home in this particular situation, will be up by 405 00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:48,559 a run after five, So I'm gonna leave that as 406 00:20:48,559 --> 00:20:51,599 the best bet for this show. Cubs with tie on 407 00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:53,880 first five innings minus half a run. 408 00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:59,000 Speaker 2: Right, Good stuff from mister Robo and for myself. I 409 00:20:59,039 --> 00:21:01,440 will also remind every that I do have a five 410 00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:05,279 percent best bet in the w up for tonight. So far, 411 00:21:05,279 --> 00:21:07,559 I'm twelve and five in the playoffs, and my five 412 00:21:07,559 --> 00:21:10,720 percents h they they've been really good. They've been better 413 00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:14,160 than twelve and five, I'm pretty sure. So if you 414 00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:16,079 would like to be involved with me in a w tonight, 415 00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:18,279 that is how you can do it. My best bet 416 00:21:18,279 --> 00:21:20,720 for the show for today, I'm going to go through 417 00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:22,759 the diamond. I'm gonna go with that first game we 418 00:21:22,799 --> 00:21:25,960 talked about Priester. He's been pitching well. Tan has been 419 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:29,640 pitching well. Both strong bullpens win blowing in. I think 420 00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:32,519 it's a lower scoring game, so I got I believe 421 00:21:32,519 --> 00:21:35,000 it was plus one oh two for under six and 422 00:21:35,039 --> 00:21:37,960 a half. That will That is what I will leave 423 00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:40,519 for the best bet for the show. 424 00:21:41,279 --> 00:21:42,480 Speaker 1: So I like that. 425 00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:45,440 Speaker 2: We'll start rocking like that with the single one for 426 00:21:45,519 --> 00:21:46,200 the best bets. 427 00:21:46,440 --> 00:21:49,319 Speaker 1: Look, I start. I'm still learned a little something Robbie though, 428 00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:50,839 all right. 429 00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:53,799 Speaker 2: Appreciate you taking the time to come and catch these 430 00:21:53,799 --> 00:21:55,960 games with me, help some of my process. I'm sure 431 00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:58,759 you help everybody else as well. Appreciate everybody in the chat, 432 00:21:59,079 --> 00:22:01,079 good people, good cat and we're all just trying to 433 00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:04,319 help each other cash. Everybody else out there, whether it's Twitch, 434 00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:11,039 x kick, Spotify, Apple, we appreciate you as well. Thursday 435 00:22:11,119 --> 00:22:13,559 Night Football tomorrow, will be back for that and we 436 00:22:13,599 --> 00:22:15,519 will catch you all day. Best of luck on all 437 00:22:15,519 --> 00:22:15,920 your action