WEBVTT

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<v Speaker 1>Here it is nine first one to wether forecast gonna

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<v Speaker 1>be a hot and humid day to day, going up

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<v Speaker 1>in ninety four overnight, mostly clouds, isolated rains possible seventy

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<v Speaker 1>one for the loft.

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<v Speaker 2>Possible isolated rain tomorrow.

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<v Speaker 1>Otherwise mostly cloudy with a high of eighty five, cooling

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<v Speaker 1>down to sixty seven overnight. Then Thursday we'll get mostly

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<v Speaker 1>sunny skies in a high of eighty seven seventy four degrees.

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<v Speaker 1>Right now, time for a traffic up to chuck Ingram from.

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<v Speaker 3>The UCUT Tramping Center. Nearly sixty percent of Americans waiting

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<v Speaker 3>on an Oregon transplanterer from multicultural communities get the gift

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<v Speaker 3>of wife's sign up today to be an Oregon donor

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<v Speaker 3>east spend two seventy five crews continue to work with

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<v Speaker 3>an accident before you got to Hamilton Avenue. Tramping banks

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<v Speaker 3>to the Reagan Highway eastbound Reagan Highway is not a

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<v Speaker 3>good alternative, as there's an accident near Galberth that banks

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<v Speaker 3>traffic to Hamilton Avenue southbound seventy five are wreck on

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<v Speaker 3>the rim to eastbound two seventy five above Sharonville, Chuck

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<v Speaker 3>Ingram and fifty five krs the talk station.

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<v Speaker 1>A thirty here fifty five KRCD talk station. It is

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<v Speaker 1>that time of week. I always look forward to it.

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<v Speaker 1>It's time for the Daniel Davis d Die, retired Lieutenant

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<v Speaker 1>Colonel Daniel Davis, offering his thoughts and comments about global

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<v Speaker 1>conflict and gee, Daniel Davis, welcome back.

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<v Speaker 2>Man.

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<v Speaker 1>It's too bad we have nothing to talk about today

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<v Speaker 1>along those lines.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, just just kind of a boring day and nothing.

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<v Speaker 2>A lot of death and destruction. But I mean, other

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<v Speaker 2>than that, there's nothing you want on at all.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh, there may be World War three perhaps, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>Lord Almighty, I mean, we've got our own folks saying,

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<v Speaker 1>you know that the attack is eminent. Israel's going to

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<v Speaker 1>get attacked any moment in time. We're sitting here in

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<v Speaker 1>the war room. We're talking about strategy. Israel's basically surrounded

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<v Speaker 1>right now. They're getting hit from Syria, they get hit

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<v Speaker 1>by the Huthies, they get hit by the the Hamas

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<v Speaker 1>folks in Gaza. It's just one, you know, they It

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<v Speaker 1>really is kind of a circular attack going on, limited

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<v Speaker 1>as it may be, and terrorist organizations funded by Iran,

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<v Speaker 1>but you know, Ron's a big elephant in the room,

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<v Speaker 1>the the ones behind all this, and now we're talking

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<v Speaker 1>about maybe Iran directly striking Israel itself, adding a whole

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<v Speaker 1>new element and dynamic to this.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, you know, I think it's important though to look

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<v Speaker 2>at the context, because these things don't come out of nowhere.

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<v Speaker 2>They come out of very specific things, and just prior

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<v Speaker 2>to this, well, actually this back up a little bit,

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<v Speaker 2>because it's important. You had back in April, you had

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<v Speaker 2>Iran had this big, unprecedented three hundred and fifty drone

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<v Speaker 2>missile trike against Israel that the United States, let's see,

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<v Speaker 2>several other countries used their air force to actually knock

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<v Speaker 2>down most of them. The Iron Dome did its work.

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<v Speaker 2>But all of that came as a result of what

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<v Speaker 2>Israel destroyed an Iranian embassy building in another capital city

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<v Speaker 2>of Syria, and that prompted the response. This time, Israel

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<v Speaker 2>assassinated the lead negotiator for Hamas, who they were trying

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<v Speaker 2>to negotiate a ceasefire with which the United States was

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<v Speaker 2>strongly behind. Right, And now then they did it in Tehran,

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<v Speaker 2>and now then there's a risk that Iran's going to retaliate. Now,

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<v Speaker 2>I personally think that the fact that it didn't come

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<v Speaker 2>last night is indications that maybe our diplomacy, which has

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<v Speaker 2>been like twenty four to seven right now, starting from

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<v Speaker 2>the top on down, may have had a possible success

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<v Speaker 2>at pushing this off. And I don't know what kind

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<v Speaker 2>of deal could be struck it's going to or satisfy

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<v Speaker 2>Iran in this case. But that's the part of the problem,

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<v Speaker 2>is that if you take an action, you can expect

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<v Speaker 2>a counteraction, So these things don't come cost free.

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<v Speaker 1>And we'll see how it plays out well. And I

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<v Speaker 1>hope diplomacy works. Lord knows we don't need a global

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<v Speaker 1>conflict breaking out, do we have? And I guess I've

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<v Speaker 1>always been operating and perhaps the mistake in presumption, and

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<v Speaker 1>this is why we have you, Daniel Davis. Do we

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<v Speaker 1>have a defense agreement with Israel? I know we have

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<v Speaker 1>pledged to help defend them. We've offered them arms and

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<v Speaker 1>support and diplomacy and whatever else is in our arsenal.

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<v Speaker 1>But if they were to be attacked nation state with

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<v Speaker 1>a flag and an army attacking Israel, that could be

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<v Speaker 1>considered a war, a declaration war, much in the same

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<v Speaker 1>way Israel hitting Iranian territory, which an embassy is considered,

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<v Speaker 1>and of course in Tehran, that could be viewed by

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<v Speaker 1>the Irans as an act of war. Eric, Oh, if

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<v Speaker 1>they end up in a shooting war between the two countries,

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<v Speaker 1>are we going to have boots on the ground in

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<v Speaker 1>Israel or anyplace else in the region.

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<v Speaker 2>Now that that is the absolute number one question for

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<v Speaker 2>the United States right now, and just taking this thing

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<v Speaker 2>on the substance of it, it is absolutely, undeniably an

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<v Speaker 2>active war. Whether the Iranians choose to act on that

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<v Speaker 2>and to launch into a war is a separate question

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<v Speaker 2>because they have to do their own calculations of cost

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<v Speaker 2>benefited if we respond to this, what would you know,

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<v Speaker 2>what would be the consequence? Would we win, would we lose,

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<v Speaker 2>would we would it cost us even more to try,

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<v Speaker 2>et cetera. But part of this is their deterrent calculation,

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<v Speaker 2>because they think that, Okay, if we don't do something,

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<v Speaker 2>then Israel's going to keep on hitting this. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>just imagine if any nation on the planet took out

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<v Speaker 2>somebody in Washington, d c. With the missile and blew

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<v Speaker 2>it up. I mean, we would lose our minds. We

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<v Speaker 2>would be ready to go to war later that afternoon. Well,

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<v Speaker 2>we're allowed to do that, but nobody else can do

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<v Speaker 2>it to us. Right, And to answer the second part

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<v Speaker 2>of your question, we do have a I'm not sure

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<v Speaker 2>exactly what year it started, but we have a ten

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<v Speaker 2>year agreement to give three point eight billion in military

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<v Speaker 2>aid to Israel every year. It is not a mutual

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<v Speaker 2>defense treaty. There is no Article five type like there

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<v Speaker 2>is in NATO. Didn't tackle on one's attack, on both etc.

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<v Speaker 2>There's none of that. It does not go to that level.

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<v Speaker 2>We just said we will help them defend themselves. And listen,

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<v Speaker 2>the reason why we give them that money is so

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<v Speaker 2>that they can protect themselves, and they can they have

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<v Speaker 2>the capacity to protect theirselves to fight their own war

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<v Speaker 2>should they get into one, as happened in nineteen sixty

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<v Speaker 2>seven nineteen seventy three. We didn't fight for them on

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<v Speaker 2>those cases. They fought for themselves. Now then we've given

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<v Speaker 2>a lot more support than they had prior to those wars.

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<v Speaker 2>So it is vital, in my view, vital that the

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<v Speaker 2>United States not get dragged into a war, because if

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<v Speaker 2>we get involved with something like that, it can have

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<v Speaker 2>all kinds of unintended consequences, not the least of which

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<v Speaker 2>is it could cause casualties to the United States and

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<v Speaker 2>no apparent benefit if Israel gets into a war, especially

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<v Speaker 2>because it takes provocative action in the capital city or

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<v Speaker 2>against another nation state. That's something I'm up for a

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<v Speaker 2>they need to handle well.

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<v Speaker 1>As we pivot over to Ukraine, and you'll be able

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<v Speaker 1>to answer a question that I've been puzzled by with

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<v Speaker 1>regard to these F sixteens. That's a proxy war that

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<v Speaker 1>is being weighed. Ukrainians are getting funding from all kinds

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<v Speaker 1>of countries to fight against the Russians, and of course

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<v Speaker 1>the Russians would probably have a much larger advantage but

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<v Speaker 1>for our munitions and our arms and everything. But if

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<v Speaker 1>you look at it as a situation involving Israel, if

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<v Speaker 1>Israel's left the defend itself, it's certainly going to be

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<v Speaker 1>a proxy war with the Russians and maybe the Chinese

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<v Speaker 1>and the Iranians funding the weapons and the supplies to

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<v Speaker 1>the fighters, as well as the Huthis and the other

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<v Speaker 1>terrorist organizations who would similarly be attacking Israel.

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<v Speaker 2>Right well, now, I'll tell you it gets even more

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<v Speaker 2>complicated than that. I'm glad you brought this up because

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<v Speaker 2>I think it's really important here in that our bad

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<v Speaker 2>policies in the Russia Ukraine War war, and especially with

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<v Speaker 2>the change. We had a couple of months back where

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<v Speaker 2>Biden said, you know what, you guys with Ukraine, you

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<v Speaker 2>can use our weapons to strike into Russia and on

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<v Speaker 2>Russian territory. Putin then said, then, since you're willing to

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<v Speaker 2>do that, then we'll do a mirror image, a tit

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<v Speaker 2>for tat kind of thing, and we'll give weapons and

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<v Speaker 2>animations to your enemies elsewhere in the globe. He was unspecific. Now,

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<v Speaker 2>just imagine if Iran, who's getting weapons to Russia that

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<v Speaker 2>they need for their drones, goes to war with Israel.

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<v Speaker 2>What are the chances that. Oh, by the way, the

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<v Speaker 2>former Ministry of Defense from Russia's Sergei Shoigu is in

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<v Speaker 2>Tehran right now making military deals that Russia wouldn't give

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<v Speaker 2>them weapons to potentially use against the United States exactly

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<v Speaker 2>in the area. So this web keeps getting minded because

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<v Speaker 2>our policies remain stupid.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, and pivoting over to stupid policies the whole situation

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<v Speaker 1>in Ukraine. I talked with Congressman Warren Davison just yesterday,

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<v Speaker 1>and he is against continuing and funding this. He says

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<v Speaker 1>he has been from the outset. But this whole situation,

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<v Speaker 1>Ukraine has been clamoring for an ass for F sixteens

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<v Speaker 1>now since the whole situation unfolded. And here we are

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<v Speaker 1>fast forward, is it has been three full years of war.

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<v Speaker 1>We're roughly give or take six eight months whatever, now

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<v Speaker 1>we're giving them F sixteens.

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<v Speaker 2>Can you explain, well, see, here's here's the problem. Number one,

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<v Speaker 2>let's look at the tactical possibility. F sixteens are going

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<v Speaker 2>to give the ukrains a little more capacity. It will

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<v Speaker 2>not change anything. But secondly, these things, it's not like, okay, well,

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<v Speaker 2>when Russia invadi we should have given them F sixteens.

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<v Speaker 2>You see, it took almost a full year to even

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<v Speaker 2>get them to the point to where they can use

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<v Speaker 2>these things. So it's a long lead time. And I

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<v Speaker 2>assure you that these things. In the United States, we

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<v Speaker 2>spent about two years training our pilots before we let

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<v Speaker 2>them go into combat. Now, then these guys have had

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<v Speaker 2>one and even though you can say yes, but they

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<v Speaker 2>were already trained pilots in the mid twenty nine, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a very different aircraft and it fights different. We

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<v Speaker 2>use the system the sixteens differently than they do use theirs.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's a whole system of systems that have to

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<v Speaker 2>be create on the fly. And listen when you talk

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<v Speaker 2>about aircraft, even if we gave them ninety over the

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<v Speaker 2>next year and a half, assuming the war could last

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<v Speaker 2>that long, which is apparently the plan, Russia has up

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<v Speaker 2>at one thousand, fourth and fifth generation fighters, So you're

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<v Speaker 2>never going to close that gaps, and so anybody who

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<v Speaker 2>thinks that's going to make a difference is fooling themselves.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, and going back to the training, if the pilots

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<v Speaker 1>of the ex F sixteens we give the Ukraine have

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<v Speaker 1>only a year of training, I have to imagine that

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<v Speaker 1>the Russian pilots have a lot more training than that,

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<v Speaker 1>and the F sixteens might not be around very long.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, there's two things, the Russian F thirty five's and

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<v Speaker 2>the Russian air defense system, especially the S three S

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<v Speaker 2>four hundred. Apparents some new S five hundreds that are

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<v Speaker 2>coming online now are very very potent systems, and the

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<v Speaker 2>Ukraine side is just not going to be able to

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<v Speaker 2>stand up to that. There have actually been very very

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<v Speaker 2>few air to air engagements. As far as I know,

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<v Speaker 2>there may not have been any, but if there was,

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<v Speaker 2>there's some rumors there was one. That's it. So this

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<v Speaker 2>is mainly an air defense system. And so when when

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<v Speaker 2>you get the F sixteenth in the year, the Russian

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<v Speaker 2>S three four five hundreds are almost certainly going to

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<v Speaker 2>take that out or air to air missiles from the

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<v Speaker 2>F thirty of the S thirty five.

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<v Speaker 1>Wow, you got any good news for us today, Daniel days, Well.

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<v Speaker 2>We didn't get into a war last night, so that's

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<v Speaker 2>a good news in the Middle East, and let's pray

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<v Speaker 2>that that continues.

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<v Speaker 1>We will end on that positive note. Search for them online.

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<v Speaker 1>Just search Daniel Davis Deep Dive you find his podcast

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<v Speaker 1>and these types of conversations. Always enjoy the discussion, Daniel.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll talk next Tuesday. Stay well, my friend.

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<v Speaker 2>Always my pleasure. Thanks by coming.

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<v Speaker 1>Up on eight forty here fifty five krc DE talk station.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, seventy five years more than third generation Zimmer

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<v Speaker 1>Heating and Cooling. They're taking care of their customers and

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<v Speaker 1>they do a great job of it. It's whether Cincinnti's

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<v Speaker 1>greater Cincinnati leader rather than the twenty four hour day

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<v Speaker 1>emergency service for HVAC systems. Yours conks out, you got

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<v Speaker 1>a problem with it, you need to get in touch

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<v Speaker 1>with Zimmer will certainly help you out along the way.

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<v Speaker 1>And if the bad news comes, they show up at

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<v Speaker 1>your home and yeah, sorry, your air conditioning unit is

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<v Speaker 1>belly up, you need to replace it. It's the perfect

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<v Speaker 1>time to get in touch with Zimer because they're going

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<v Speaker 1>to give you a cool carrier comfort rebate. You get

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<v Speaker 1>that carrier unit, you can save up the twenty one

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<v Speaker 1>hundred dollars. I call that real money. So get the

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<v Speaker 1>benefit of the carrier unit, which are the inventors of

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<v Speaker 1>air conditioning carrier did and you get the benefit of

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<v Speaker 1>working with Zimmer, who do a wonderful job. So call

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<v Speaker 1>them up. You'd be glad you did. Actually, I would

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<v Speaker 1>say go to the website. Not only can you learn

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<v Speaker 1>more about it, but it's easy to schedule an appointment again.

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<v Speaker 1>Twenty four hour day, seven day a week emergency service

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<v Speaker 1>at Zimmer. Go to go Zimmer dot com. That's go

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<v Speaker 1>Zimmer dot com.