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<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, Hello, welcome to the Football Glory Holme Podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>We're listening to that the podcast SoundCloud streaker, watching us

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<v Speaker 1>live on the news uh stream yard live on YouTube, Facebook,

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<v Speaker 1>whatever the fuck, however the fuck we take each and

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<v Speaker 1>everyone's glory's secrets tuning in this week I was supposed

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<v Speaker 1>to be I'm going here as always, Bye, my good

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<v Speaker 1>buddy Longhorn. Long hold what's up? Buck?

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<v Speaker 2>No hol ride all ride who both sea fists? Here

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<v Speaker 2>we go Week number five in the NFL, baby Boy,

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<v Speaker 2>and the theme of this week is going to be

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<v Speaker 2>playing both sides of the coin, playing some middles, if

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<v Speaker 2>you will. We're gonna be doing lots of tease ups,

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<v Speaker 2>lots of tees downs, and then coming back on the

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<v Speaker 2>other side of the same coin and trying to double

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<v Speaker 2>up our money. Most even speaking of playing both sides,

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<v Speaker 2>it's kind of like how Israel always likes to say

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<v Speaker 2>they love America. This seemed to be perpetually involved with

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<v Speaker 2>killing our presidents and our cultural leaders, all the while

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<v Speaker 2>getting huge amounts of our tax dollars. It's really fucking weird.

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<v Speaker 2>So Bozevas, let's channel our innermost money hungry juice self

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<v Speaker 2>and fine all the winners this week in the NFL.

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<v Speaker 2>Hit that button. Whether you are for the funny, it's

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<v Speaker 2>a question for fun.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna have fun, and you're gonna have fun. We're

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<v Speaker 1>all gonna have much fucking fun.

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<v Speaker 2>When the plastic surgery to remove our goddamn spiles, you'll

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<v Speaker 2>be whistling symphony due to out of your assholes. Are

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<v Speaker 2>you out here for the money? Anybody tells your money

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<v Speaker 2>is the root of all evil.

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<v Speaker 1>Doesn't fucking have any They say money can't buy happiness.

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<v Speaker 2>Look at the money, money and smile on my face.

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<v Speaker 2>Here to here, baby, You have come to the right place.

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<v Speaker 2>Two questions for you people. Do you like football? What

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<v Speaker 2>a stupid question that has? What a stupid question?

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<v Speaker 3>You ask a lot of stupid questions.

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<v Speaker 2>My apologies, mister President's I will do better. Do you

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<v Speaker 2>like money? I'm a big fan of money.

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<v Speaker 1>I like it, I use it. I have a little

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<v Speaker 1>I keep it in a jar on top of my refrigerator.

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<v Speaker 2>I'd like to put more in that jar. That's where

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<v Speaker 2>you come in. That's right, Adams Center. That's exactly where

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<v Speaker 2>we come in. Visit our Patreon page and check out

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<v Speaker 2>all the winning opportunities. That's Patreon dot com, slash bet

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<v Speaker 2>Underscore FGH become our football partners for life, so that

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<v Speaker 2>you can bet football the right way, the winning way,

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<v Speaker 2>the bet FGH way. And as always here on the

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<v Speaker 2>sports patio, we got that TV's lower. We got the

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<v Speaker 2>beer heavily flowing tonight and right now it is everybody's

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<v Speaker 2>most unfortunate favorite part of the show. My friend, tell

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<v Speaker 2>the people all about your horrible, disgusting how choice of

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<v Speaker 2>the week. I still drunk.

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<v Speaker 1>I feel right, Donna, thank you very much, sir, sir. Tonight,

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<v Speaker 1>I am bringing a loose cannon by Heaven heavy sorry

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<v Speaker 1>seize beer in Baltimore, Maryland, three out of five stars,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm drinking it's not longhorn. Because did you know

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<v Speaker 1>that on this day in eighteen thirty five, the first

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<v Speaker 1>shots were fired in the Texas War for Independence. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of people think that this was because the

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<v Speaker 1>Mexican Army tried to take the cannon from the good

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<v Speaker 1>people Gonzales Tejas as it was known then, and that

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<v Speaker 1>set off a fire rebellion that spread like wildfire across

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<v Speaker 1>the territory. But the true story is the back of

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<v Speaker 1>the Mexican Army beat the Spanish army and took their

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<v Speaker 1>sovereignty back. They needed people to populate the territory known

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<v Speaker 1>as Tejas, because the newly formed Mexican government feared that

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<v Speaker 1>the United States would tried to steal Tejas now that

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<v Speaker 1>they didn't have any fear of repercusion, any fear of

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<v Speaker 1>repercussions from the powerful Spanish nation, So the Mexican government

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<v Speaker 1>set out recruits into America, tried to convince settlers to

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<v Speaker 1>come to the vast territory. In exchange for their courage

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<v Speaker 1>and travel, they would be given free land, full Mexican citizenship,

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<v Speaker 1>and of course the number one resource in all of Mexico,

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<v Speaker 1>free lawn care service. Well, it turns out that the

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<v Speaker 1>Mexicans were derelict in their lawnmowing duty and the people

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<v Speaker 1>Gonzales grass is way too fucking tall. And even after

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<v Speaker 1>the Maxons did come and mow one last time, they

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<v Speaker 1>refused to fucking weed eat first of all, Secondly, they

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<v Speaker 1>refused to blow off the fucking porch at the saloon,

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<v Speaker 1>and they missed the spot under the goddamn cannon. And

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<v Speaker 1>the text was like, hey, you ain't done until you mow.

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<v Speaker 1>Want the fucking cannon and then Maxans were like, it's

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<v Speaker 1>the mocha, we can Barlin move a boto and that's

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<v Speaker 1>when the shit hit the fucking fan. So ultimately that

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<v Speaker 1>is how the candy got involved in the story. So

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<v Speaker 1>all the shirts that say, you know, come and take it,

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<v Speaker 1>they really should kind of read come and rake it.

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<v Speaker 1>But either way, cheers to Texas independence. Baby, this is

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<v Speaker 1>the day it's starting for us to be fucking numero uno.

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<v Speaker 2>See I can appreciate that story, and I can go

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<v Speaker 2>along with that. Sounds legit to me. But the story

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<v Speaker 2>that I heard was that there was it wasn't Gonzalez,

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<v Speaker 2>it was a guy named Gonzales Stein, and then there

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<v Speaker 2>was a guy on the other side named Davy Crockett Stein,

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<v Speaker 2>and somebody all higher up convinced both these people that

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<v Speaker 2>they hate each other and they sure to fight all

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<v Speaker 2>the while both sides were paying heavy, heavy tax to somebody.

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<v Speaker 2>It wasn't sure where it was going, somewhere overseas that

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<v Speaker 2>we we on parts unknown. That that's the story I heard.

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<v Speaker 1>It's always nos all right, girls, were do the podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>Now We're going to every game in the NFL in

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<v Speaker 1>the air tonights, and of course we get you pay

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<v Speaker 1>for those free picks as we always do, but right

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<v Speaker 1>now we have to get paid to do that. Oh

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<v Speaker 1>it's our sponsor. Look, let's face it. Going to the

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<v Speaker 1>doctor sucks. You got a schedule, a pull, but take

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<v Speaker 1>time off where to drive there and waiting for up

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<v Speaker 1>to an hour just to finally see a doctor. Well

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<v Speaker 1>not with my good buddy doctor weston Texas telehealth dot com.

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<v Speaker 1>He's got a way to skip all that. All you do,

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<v Speaker 1>go to the website schedule, your appointment is a little

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<v Speaker 1>thirty minutes lest you're on the phone with him. He's

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<v Speaker 1>got you diagnosed, scriptwritten, and got you feeling better and

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<v Speaker 1>notes on the best part is you never have to

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<v Speaker 1>leave your house for work again because now you can

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<v Speaker 1>have your strip called in an Amazon their pharmacy delivered

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<v Speaker 1>right your door, just like a fucking ammalhore. There, kid,

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<v Speaker 1>I go to doctor West, My parents do, Longhorn does,

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<v Speaker 1>and you should too because the text to health dot

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<v Speaker 1>telehealth dot com they treat everything for the comic coal,

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<v Speaker 1>flu EEDVD and weight loss. To get that old simpit

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<v Speaker 1>baby for one hundred and nineteen dollars for a thirty

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<v Speaker 1>days supply and your consultation is almost free with accepted

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<v Speaker 1>health insurance. So whether you gotta peen the stern green

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<v Speaker 1>a little to sumusize around your thighs, the yeow shit

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<v Speaker 1>coming out of your nose longs, than I was go

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<v Speaker 1>to texta telehealth dot com right now and be sure

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<v Speaker 1>to tell them that FGA sent you that it's Texas

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<v Speaker 1>t e l e Health dot com for all of

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<v Speaker 1>your medical needs please, and gentlemen, boys and girls, children

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<v Speaker 1>of all ages. Oh my god, okay, it's happening.

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<v Speaker 2>Do you think is happening right now? Excuse me? What

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<v Speaker 2>is happening here?

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<v Speaker 1>What is happening? What the fuck just happened? Oh?

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<v Speaker 2>You know what's happening.

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<v Speaker 1>It's time for all those wins coming in the air

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<v Speaker 1>to Nightmber. All right, boys and girls, it is time

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<v Speaker 1>to get into every game in the NFL in the

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<v Speaker 1>air tonight, and we're gonna start. Oh you sounding my blood,

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<v Speaker 1>goddamn London games over in London. We're Lawhorns. Cleveland Brown's

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<v Speaker 1>home game, not quiet home. I don't know. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>they do like dogs in England, especially English bulldogs, and

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<v Speaker 1>I think that's pretty much the mascot of Fleeveland. So hey,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a fucking home game they're hosting those Minnesota Vikings.

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<v Speaker 1>And I was looking at preseason lines in this one,

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<v Speaker 1>so I had this one at plus seven, Vegas headed

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<v Speaker 1>plus seven? Should lock step on that, it's down to

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<v Speaker 1>three and a half, we're three and a half and

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<v Speaker 1>then live. Uh yeah, we're sitting three three on this one.

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<v Speaker 2>Well as always good eight mate to the people crossed

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<v Speaker 2>the pond. Now, before we get started with a handicap,

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<v Speaker 2>I just I was just thinking, because Israel is on

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<v Speaker 2>top of my mind for all the wrong reasons right now.

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<v Speaker 2>But when is the first game in Israel for the

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<v Speaker 2>NFL going to be? Because if I know my good

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<v Speaker 2>Jewish friends, they're not missing out on this cash cow

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<v Speaker 2>called the NFL. So they're not gonna like that these uh, both.

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<v Speaker 1>Teams are gonna lose, and somehow it's gonna be their fault.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know, but either way, you know, they'll see

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of concessions.

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<v Speaker 2>They'll say this, they'll say that game didn't count. We

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<v Speaker 2>want our money back, that you can't have a tie,

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<v Speaker 2>so that they'll rts send us our money. But let's

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<v Speaker 2>lay off the juice for a little wile. I think

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<v Speaker 2>we've we've We've done enough to get kicked off YouTube,

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<v Speaker 2>I'm sure. So we'll check the analytics after this show

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<v Speaker 2>and see just see how long this lasted. Probably not

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<v Speaker 2>very long as far as this game goes. I am

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<v Speaker 2>going to be on Minnesota here, not that I look.

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<v Speaker 2>We talked last week that I'm kind of in lockstep

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<v Speaker 2>with Cleveland on what I know. You're bad, Cleveland. I

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<v Speaker 2>know what you do. I get it now. You play

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<v Speaker 2>really good at home, and you suck on the road.

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<v Speaker 2>And this is not only on the road, it's across

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<v Speaker 2>the pond in parts unknown, So it sucks. Well speak

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<v Speaker 2>speaking to suck. They're going away from Flacco, who has

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<v Speaker 2>sucked really bad, and they're they're throwing in the rookie,

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<v Speaker 2>the third round draft pick, Dylan Gabriel, And you can

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<v Speaker 2>go and hit that drop again if you wanted to

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<v Speaker 2>both it, or you can say this, or you can

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<v Speaker 2>say they're stupid for even playing him. Either way, I

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<v Speaker 2>can't think of a worse situation, like if I was

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<v Speaker 2>setting up if I wanted to make sure my rookie

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<v Speaker 2>quarterback had the worst possible start ever, is there a

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<v Speaker 2>what what would you do? More traveling overseas which he's

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<v Speaker 2>never done. Obviously, starting against I don't know, the most

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<v Speaker 2>complicated defensive coordinator in the league. One that confuses veterans like,

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<v Speaker 2>what is this? Is this a setup to fail? I

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<v Speaker 2>don't get it. You know, the in Minnesota's coming off

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<v Speaker 2>a loss overseas. They were in Ireland, lost lost to Pittsburgh.

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<v Speaker 2>Now they just take a short trip down to England

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<v Speaker 2>and they are looking to bounce back from that line.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, this is you talk about throwing you to

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<v Speaker 2>the Wolves. This is I'm all on Minnesota here. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>So the Cleveland Brown coaching staff, organization, ownership, You've lost

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<v Speaker 1>your goddamn mine. I've never been a believer in Dylan Gabriel.

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<v Speaker 1>I wasn't a believer in him. Where was he before Oregon?

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<v Speaker 1>Now I've lost my train of thought.

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<v Speaker 2>Was he in Washington?

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<v Speaker 1>No, Indiana? Maybe somewhere runner there? Either way, it doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>matter anybody playing the organ system. They've proven that that

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<v Speaker 1>fucking coach is awesome. He's one of the best coaches

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<v Speaker 1>all college football. He fucking turns chicken shit into chicken

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<v Speaker 1>salad constantly at that position. And I mean, you said

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<v Speaker 1>it all. I don't have anything else to add. I

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<v Speaker 1>didn't even run numbers in this game. It's not worth it.

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<v Speaker 1>I have no fucking comfort Dylan Gabriel. I could run

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<v Speaker 1>Joe Flacco numbers and just put them up there, But

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<v Speaker 1>at the other side we got Carson Wentz. Carson Wentz

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<v Speaker 1>has been a fucking disaster from Minnesota if you look

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<v Speaker 1>inside of his numbers, a fucking disaster. This dude sucks

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<v Speaker 1>worse than he's ever sucked in his entire life. And

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<v Speaker 1>how is that possible when every other fucking veteran comes

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<v Speaker 1>in this system and that plays so great. I guess

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<v Speaker 1>the dude just fucking sucks.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, he's okay, but he's better than JJ. And they

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<v Speaker 2>they won a game with JJ.

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<v Speaker 1>No, I'm not saying they're not gonna win, but I'm

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<v Speaker 1>just saying, like, that's the reason why I didn't run

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<v Speaker 1>the numbers, because what am I gonna run them on

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<v Speaker 1>Fucking a rookie quarterback that I got nothing on and

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<v Speaker 1>a fucking quarterback who sucked balls for two weeks. Like, no,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm out, So I'm out on this game. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>give a fuck. But yeah, there's no there's zero chance

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<v Speaker 1>that could ever back Cleveland in the situation now, Flaka

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<v Speaker 1>was starting. You could probably talk me into it just

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<v Speaker 1>because maybe that defense travels, you know, and Carson Wentz

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<v Speaker 1>has been so fucking bad. Yeah maybe. But this number though,

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<v Speaker 1>here's what confused me the long one. Vegas and I

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<v Speaker 1>were both at minus seven preseason. It's cutting half, it's

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<v Speaker 1>cutting half. And this is with a rookie quarterback who's

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<v Speaker 1>never seen the field in a terrible situation like you

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<v Speaker 1>just laid out, yet our number is cut in half.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't understand that, and that scares me. So that's

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<v Speaker 1>another reason why I wouldn't play. Another reason I just wouldn't.

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<v Speaker 2>Play this game. Yeah, well it's because Minnesota is it

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<v Speaker 2>has underperformed dramatically from what some and they're dealing with massive,

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<v Speaker 2>massive injuries. So like there's massive injuries on the offensive

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<v Speaker 2>line for Minnesota. So in this should be a very,

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<v Speaker 2>very low scoring game. Points are going to be a premium.

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<v Speaker 2>So this game thirty six ish.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, thirty six and a half. That's the grossest lowest

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<v Speaker 1>total that we've ever sent overseas. You know, I would apologize,

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<v Speaker 1>but you know what, Fuck you England.

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<v Speaker 2>And one last thing, oh by the way.

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<v Speaker 1>All our listeners in England, which we do have a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of we love you. We love you guys, so

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<v Speaker 1>please please keep listening, please keep watching. Sorry, I apologize

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<v Speaker 1>personally for this football game that you're about to have

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<v Speaker 1>to watch. You'd be better off going to watch the

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<v Speaker 1>high school as you call football game the soccer rather

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<v Speaker 1>than going watching this. This is gonna be a shit show.

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<v Speaker 2>So just out, I just I don't want to go

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<v Speaker 2>too far on Carson Wentz because he is working his

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<v Speaker 2>way back in. This is a new system with him

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<v Speaker 2>and he's only paid what oh is it two full games?

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<v Speaker 2>He was thirty for forty six for three hundred and

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<v Speaker 2>fifty yards and now he did have two mistakes and

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<v Speaker 2>interceptions and took six sacks.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's give some let's what's his pff greak is? I

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<v Speaker 1>guaranteed it's horrific.

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<v Speaker 2>Well his QBR was forty one, so yeah, it's it's

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<v Speaker 2>gonna be bad. All I'm saying is the completion percentage,

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<v Speaker 2>the yardage is there. Give him some time to clean

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<v Speaker 2>up the mistakes, maybe maybe learn some check that, like,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, to check with me. It's in the hot round.

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<v Speaker 1>And the what's his name fucking stepped in last year

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<v Speaker 1>and was dynamite from the very fucking jump. Who Sammy

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<v Speaker 1>d Well.

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<v Speaker 2>I hate to tell you, but Sammy D's a better

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<v Speaker 2>quarterback than Carson Wentz. So it's not they're not gonna

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<v Speaker 2>go fourteen all you know, They're not going fourteen and

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<v Speaker 2>three with Carson Wentz. But they don't have to. They

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<v Speaker 2>just need to go. They just need to win this

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<v Speaker 2>game by three and a half points.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, they're over Runner right now in Vegas like

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<v Speaker 1>seven and a half.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's I mean, and that's that's that's what it

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<v Speaker 2>should be. I guess, you know, like, I mean, what

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<v Speaker 2>are you gonna do? What's who's the quarterback? I'm looking

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<v Speaker 2>up what's his name? Carson Wentz is uh, he's he's

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<v Speaker 2>graading out as fifty eight and JJ was grading out

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<v Speaker 2>as a fifty five, so he's actually grading out better

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<v Speaker 2>than JJ. So but but it's the offensive line. It's

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<v Speaker 2>the offensive line. Like the injuries are just that they

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<v Speaker 2>got some clusters there. So I'm encouraged. When they get

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<v Speaker 2>these guys back, I'm encouraged, and some more time with

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<v Speaker 2>with O'Connell in the system, I'm encouraged that they can

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<v Speaker 2>still be close to what I kind of thought they

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<v Speaker 2>would be. And let's not forget Green Bay's wheels have

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<v Speaker 2>kind of fallen off, so it's look, it's Detroit is

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<v Speaker 2>looking like they're just they're just still the fucking beast

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<v Speaker 2>of the of the North again. So we'll see what happens.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, all right, we'll move on to Oh those j

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<v Speaker 1>e Just no Dallas Camels on this one.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh cows.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's see, I had the cows minus one, Vegas had

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<v Speaker 1>a minus one and a half. They're sitting at two

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<v Speaker 1>and a half. So pretty much what we expected Longhorn

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<v Speaker 1>on this one. Now, this game did world opening to

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<v Speaker 1>pick them. All the money went to the cow, so

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<v Speaker 1>the market corrected itself immediately back to what Vegas and

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<v Speaker 1>I thought preseason. So I should do have some thoughts

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<v Speaker 1>on this game, but I will let you take it

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<v Speaker 1>away what you got.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, this is this one I've gone back and forth on,

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<v Speaker 2>but I have landed on the jets. So Motivias, you

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<v Speaker 2>want to get that sounder button ready because we're gonna

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<v Speaker 2>go ahead and hit the sounder on those New York Jets.

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<v Speaker 2>So let that siren go. That means that this is

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<v Speaker 2>a call for the four, the four New York Flag.

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<v Speaker 1>Football Jets to be obviously have your pickup.

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<v Speaker 2>No, I would never in a million goddamn years do that.

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<v Speaker 2>But let me just say this. The only way I

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<v Speaker 2>lose this and there's a good chance I lose it

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<v Speaker 2>because obviously the Cowboys are favorite.

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<v Speaker 1>It's just Daklus plus how many units.

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<v Speaker 2>We're doing two on this one. We're going to this one.

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<v Speaker 2>I like this one. Look, Dak beats bad teams. That

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<v Speaker 2>just flat out he beats bad teams, and that is

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<v Speaker 2>my concern. But everything, literally everything else points me to

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<v Speaker 2>the Jets here number one. They're going for They're desperate.

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<v Speaker 2>The new head coach who everybody says he's so good,

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<v Speaker 2>I would love to see him actually prove that he's

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<v Speaker 2>so good here in this spot against a team that

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<v Speaker 2>he has a very legitimate chance to get his first

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<v Speaker 2>win as an NFL head coach. Justin Fields, Justin Fields

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<v Speaker 2>should go bonkers on this shit horrible Cowboy defense. They

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<v Speaker 2>got nobody. They won't be able to stop the run.

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<v Speaker 2>And with Fields and the running game of the Jets,

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<v Speaker 2>and I feel like you're about to quep of a

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<v Speaker 2>drop here, I couldn't tell uh that they should be

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<v Speaker 2>able to run all day long on this cowboy demons.

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<v Speaker 2>Keep Dak and that offense off the field. And my

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<v Speaker 2>last part of this handicap is, well, there's two more parks.

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<v Speaker 2>Number one, Stas Gardner, I need you to be the

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<v Speaker 2>Sauce Gardener you were previously when you were an All Pro.

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<v Speaker 2>He's not been quite that, but in but in this

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<v Speaker 2>game has been great. He's he's not grating yet, he

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00:19:12.279 --> 00:19:15.720
<v Speaker 2>hasn't grated out great great, like I'll look it up.

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<v Speaker 2>I'll look it up when I sent to you. But

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<v Speaker 2>but in this matchup, George Pickens is the perfect perfect

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<v Speaker 2>player for him to be able to shut down because

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<v Speaker 2>sauces hands on physical That's how he wins as a cornerback.

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<v Speaker 2>And the only way George Pickens wins his hands on

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<v Speaker 2>It's gonna be a fight match. And I love the

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<v Speaker 2>matchup for Sauce there. And if you take away Pickens

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<v Speaker 2>from this cowboy offense, good luck. So and then the

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<v Speaker 2>last thing is who in the fuck are the Cowboys

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<v Speaker 2>to be favored on the fucking roll? This is a terrible,

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<v Speaker 2>terrible team. Everything points to the Jets here for me,

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<v Speaker 2>except for the Dak factor, because look, let's face it,

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<v Speaker 2>we give Deak a lot of shit, but he is

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<v Speaker 2>he's a really good quarterback man. He well, you know

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<v Speaker 2>at times, Yeah, you're right, you're you're we're probably playing

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<v Speaker 2>down in the middle more than most. But a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of people give him more shit than he deserves. So

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<v Speaker 2>I'm a sounder on jets. Take him with two oh

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<v Speaker 2>I want the two units on the the two and

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<v Speaker 2>a half and on the money line. You got that right,

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<v Speaker 2>So it's two and two oh four unitsky, yeah, yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>so four units total, and I'll look up I'll look

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<v Speaker 2>up Sauce and see what he's currently grading at.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, so on this one we got pwer Ringkings calling

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<v Speaker 1>for the Jets. Buckets are on the Jets. V two's

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<v Speaker 1>no called D two Jets. I've got a no call

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<v Speaker 1>on totals at forty seven and a half. The BBG

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<v Speaker 1>grades us out twenty four to twenty four, which will

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<v Speaker 1>not quite hit long horn sounder, but it would cover

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<v Speaker 1>the two units on the two and a half LOGA,

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<v Speaker 1>Longhorn said, I mean, obviously everybody grades out well like

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<v Speaker 1>quarterback against a shitty fucking cal secondary, that's a given.

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<v Speaker 1>But dag heshad goats half a point versus this Jets team. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>the Jets running game it grades out flat. It's not negative,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's not positive. But the Cowboys running game does

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<v Speaker 1>lose a half a point. So where I took a

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<v Speaker 1>deep dive on this one was, look, the question is

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<v Speaker 1>not if fields is going to be successful. Everyone is

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<v Speaker 1>successful versus Dallas defense. But if you know the two

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<v Speaker 1>games that Dallas says either one or tied, it's when

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<v Speaker 1>Dak is his most successful. And we talked about this

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<v Speaker 1>in the offseason, that this new offense would have a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of pre stap motion. That was all the buzz,

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<v Speaker 1>and Dak's never been good with that. Well, obviously the

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<v Speaker 1>coaching staff has learned that very quickly, because they're still

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<v Speaker 1>running below average pre snap motion plays twenty three percent

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<v Speaker 1>of the season. Lee average is twenty seven and Dak

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<v Speaker 1>has been fucking awful at it, four point nine yards

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<v Speaker 1>per ten with pre snap motion. Now, the thing they

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<v Speaker 1>are doing at above average clip is at snap motion

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<v Speaker 1>thirty nine percent league average of twenty nine percent, and

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00:21:51.839 --> 00:21:54.279
<v Speaker 1>Dak is better at that than pre snap but he's

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<v Speaker 1>still below league average. Dak doesn't like a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>moving parts. He's more like Aaron Rodgers likes everybody. He's stationary,

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00:21:59.400 --> 00:22:01.880
<v Speaker 1>don't move, want to see what I see, and that's

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<v Speaker 1>how he likes to play. But the thing that they

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<v Speaker 1>still do second most is Zach's favorite thing, and that

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<v Speaker 1>is the no motion and his YPA is seven point

398
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<v Speaker 1>three on those plays. That's his best metric. So the

399
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<v Speaker 1>question became to me, can the Jets stop that? Well,

400
00:22:19.400 --> 00:22:22.880
<v Speaker 1>they're below league average that asks that motion and above

401
00:22:23.000 --> 00:22:25.839
<v Speaker 1>leave average at no motion, so it's kind of really

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<v Speaker 1>of a wash, which is why Dak grays out right

403
00:22:28.359 --> 00:22:31.200
<v Speaker 1>about on his average here in this game. Now, the

404
00:22:31.279 --> 00:22:33.559
<v Speaker 1>Jets do run more zone than man, which is an

405
00:22:33.559 --> 00:22:35.839
<v Speaker 1>advantage to them because Dak has been so much worse

406
00:22:35.960 --> 00:22:38.799
<v Speaker 1>than zone than man. You've seen he's at his best

407
00:22:38.839 --> 00:22:41.839
<v Speaker 1>when he gets man with CD, man with Pickings, man

408
00:22:41.839 --> 00:22:45.160
<v Speaker 1>with Dez. That's when Zach is best. He doesn't do

409
00:22:45.240 --> 00:22:48.720
<v Speaker 1>well versus zone, and the Jets are very very good

410
00:22:48.799 --> 00:22:53.920
<v Speaker 1>in their zone covers this year, but it's it's not

411
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<v Speaker 1>a huge disparity overall. I can't find a matchup advantage

412
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<v Speaker 1>for the Jets defense or Dak either way, which is

413
00:23:02.079 --> 00:23:04.640
<v Speaker 1>why this game grades the way that it does as

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<v Speaker 1>a tie. So I wanted to be with you. I

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00:23:07.240 --> 00:23:08.759
<v Speaker 1>wanted to be on the Jets. That was like one

416
00:23:08.799 --> 00:23:11.720
<v Speaker 1>of the games I had circled, even as a deep

417
00:23:11.799 --> 00:23:14.200
<v Speaker 1>dug into it. I just this game is gonna come

418
00:23:14.240 --> 00:23:19.119
<v Speaker 1>down to, you know, execution on third down, nobody fucking

419
00:23:19.200 --> 00:23:21.839
<v Speaker 1>up on special teams or turnover. This is gonna be

420
00:23:21.839 --> 00:23:24.480
<v Speaker 1>a very tight game. It's gonna get swung one one

421
00:23:24.480 --> 00:23:27.920
<v Speaker 1>way or the other on one of those funky fucking plays,

422
00:23:27.960 --> 00:23:29.599
<v Speaker 1>or maybe a couple of them, and it might end

423
00:23:29.720 --> 00:23:31.880
<v Speaker 1>up being a you know, double digit win one way

424
00:23:31.960 --> 00:23:34.119
<v Speaker 1>or the other, just because of just funky shit. But

425
00:23:34.119 --> 00:23:38.000
<v Speaker 1>as far as matchups schematics, these teams match up very

426
00:23:38.000 --> 00:23:40.559
<v Speaker 1>well against each other two and a half points like

427
00:23:40.599 --> 00:23:42.599
<v Speaker 1>that on the road. Like you said, the only way

428
00:23:42.640 --> 00:23:44.400
<v Speaker 1>I could play it was the Jets. I really wanted

429
00:23:44.400 --> 00:23:46.240
<v Speaker 1>to fucking take the Jets. I really wanted to take

430
00:23:46.279 --> 00:23:47.440
<v Speaker 1>them on the money line and put them on like a

431
00:23:47.440 --> 00:23:49.519
<v Speaker 1>money line parlay as well. So I don't disagree with

432
00:23:49.559 --> 00:23:52.759
<v Speaker 1>you at all. I just couldn't get there schematically. Now,

433
00:23:52.960 --> 00:23:55.319
<v Speaker 1>like I said, the BPG is with you one and

434
00:23:55.359 --> 00:23:56.960
<v Speaker 1>most of my metrichs are with you, So I don't

435
00:23:56.960 --> 00:23:57.920
<v Speaker 1>disagree with you at all.

436
00:23:58.279 --> 00:24:00.240
<v Speaker 2>Well, this is the start of the Hall of Same

437
00:24:00.279 --> 00:24:03.359
<v Speaker 2>coaching career of Aaron Glenn. That's no doubt one hundred

438
00:24:03.880 --> 00:24:04.440
<v Speaker 2>gonna happen.

439
00:24:04.640 --> 00:24:07.519
<v Speaker 1>So you know it's I mean, Bill Belichick lost in Cleveland,

440
00:24:07.599 --> 00:24:08.000
<v Speaker 1>so you know.

441
00:24:07.960 --> 00:24:11.079
<v Speaker 2>Whatever, Yeah, it's it's he's he's not. He didn't get

442
00:24:11.160 --> 00:24:12.880
<v Speaker 2>hired because he's black. He got hurt because he's really

443
00:24:12.920 --> 00:24:17.440
<v Speaker 2>really really really really really good. So it's this is

444
00:24:17.720 --> 00:24:20.000
<v Speaker 2>this is what is he Jewish? Though?

445
00:24:20.119 --> 00:24:20.519
<v Speaker 1>Really is?

446
00:24:20.880 --> 00:24:23.559
<v Speaker 2>No? I don't think so they don't.

447
00:24:23.799 --> 00:24:36.000
<v Speaker 1>They never never know. Let's move Oh god, let's move on.

448
00:24:36.480 --> 00:24:43.880
<v Speaker 1>Ye goddamn Philadelphia Eagles, those den Verb Broncos, all right

449
00:24:43.920 --> 00:24:46.880
<v Speaker 1>on this one. I had Philly five and a half.

450
00:24:47.720 --> 00:24:50.240
<v Speaker 1>Vegas had them four and a half. It is currently

451
00:24:50.279 --> 00:24:52.079
<v Speaker 1>three and a half, so Vegas is close to me

452
00:24:52.279 --> 00:24:55.200
<v Speaker 1>on this one. I guess I was a little bit

453
00:24:55.279 --> 00:24:56.839
<v Speaker 1>higher on Philly because I was pretty good. I was

454
00:24:56.880 --> 00:24:58.200
<v Speaker 1>pretty high on them or two, so I had to

455
00:24:58.240 --> 00:25:01.880
<v Speaker 1>be my Philly numbers a little bit off there. Longhorn

456
00:25:01.920 --> 00:25:06.599
<v Speaker 1>on this one, though, if you look at the money,

457
00:25:06.640 --> 00:25:09.839
<v Speaker 1>it is definitely coming in on Denver a little bit.

458
00:25:09.920 --> 00:25:12.440
<v Speaker 1>Because we were at the five and a half of

459
00:25:12.480 --> 00:25:13.960
<v Speaker 1>the World Open, which is what I had. It at

460
00:25:14.000 --> 00:25:15.799
<v Speaker 1>preseason and we're down to three and a half. So

461
00:25:16.119 --> 00:25:18.440
<v Speaker 1>now juice three and a half. We'll call three point

462
00:25:18.440 --> 00:25:21.160
<v Speaker 1>seventy five somewhere running there. So if you're looking to

463
00:25:21.519 --> 00:25:23.839
<v Speaker 1>lay it with Philly, I would advise doing that sooner

464
00:25:23.880 --> 00:25:26.319
<v Speaker 1>than later. If you're looking to catch it with Denver,

465
00:25:26.799 --> 00:25:28.400
<v Speaker 1>just wait a minute. But anyway, what do you got

466
00:25:28.400 --> 00:25:28.839
<v Speaker 1>on this one?

467
00:25:29.160 --> 00:25:31.400
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? I would love to catch a four with Denver

468
00:25:31.400 --> 00:25:33.960
<v Speaker 2>because I am going to be on Denver here. They're

469
00:25:34.000 --> 00:25:39.160
<v Speaker 2>they're kind of look, Philly is costing me dearly this season,

470
00:25:39.200 --> 00:25:41.680
<v Speaker 2>like it's been. It's we're only through four weeks and

471
00:25:41.720 --> 00:25:44.519
<v Speaker 2>I think they own at least two losses for me

472
00:25:44.599 --> 00:25:48.039
<v Speaker 2>on the official on the official record, and that just

473
00:25:48.079 --> 00:25:50.559
<v Speaker 2>can't happen because one of their one of their wins

474
00:25:50.960 --> 00:25:54.599
<v Speaker 2>was on a blocked field goal that the Rams were

475
00:25:54.599 --> 00:25:57.000
<v Speaker 2>gonna win the game. They were turning for a touchdown,

476
00:25:57.039 --> 00:26:00.799
<v Speaker 2>so so couldn't didn't cover, didn't win, went the other way.

477
00:26:00.880 --> 00:26:02.799
<v Speaker 2>And then of course we saw the block punt against

478
00:26:02.799 --> 00:26:05.400
<v Speaker 2>Tampa Bay last week kind of kind of turned that

479
00:26:05.440 --> 00:26:08.759
<v Speaker 2>game into a massive, massive lead for Philly that Tampa

480
00:26:09.079 --> 00:26:12.799
<v Speaker 2>almost came back and won but couldn't quite get the

481
00:26:12.839 --> 00:26:14.480
<v Speaker 2>win and didn't even get the cover because so the

482
00:26:14.519 --> 00:26:17.200
<v Speaker 2>three and a half is really killing me. And once

483
00:26:17.240 --> 00:26:19.319
<v Speaker 2>again we're sitting here with a three and a half

484
00:26:19.400 --> 00:26:23.240
<v Speaker 2>point line, a juicy, juicy dog, and it's it's really

485
00:26:23.240 --> 00:26:26.319
<v Speaker 2>worrying me. But the fact there's so many offensive line

486
00:26:26.359 --> 00:26:29.960
<v Speaker 2>injuries for Philly. They cannot get anything going on offense.

487
00:26:30.039 --> 00:26:32.599
<v Speaker 2>They cannot run the ball with with Sakuon Barkley because

488
00:26:32.599 --> 00:26:35.400
<v Speaker 2>of that offensive line, and A. J. Brown has been

489
00:26:35.440 --> 00:26:37.680
<v Speaker 2>an absolute no show. Don't know what's going on there.

490
00:26:37.720 --> 00:26:40.200
<v Speaker 2>Is he gonna get traded. He's chirping every week he

491
00:26:40.200 --> 00:26:44.079
<v Speaker 2>doesn't get the ball, he's chirping. So there's the Philly

492
00:26:44.119 --> 00:26:46.480
<v Speaker 2>offense is a major major problem. If it if it

493
00:26:46.519 --> 00:26:49.599
<v Speaker 2>wasn't really these fucking special team touchdowns. It again, they

494
00:26:49.640 --> 00:26:52.599
<v Speaker 2>could they could literally be two and two right now.

495
00:26:53.440 --> 00:26:56.240
<v Speaker 2>But I did not hit the sounder or I didn't

496
00:26:56.279 --> 00:26:58.039
<v Speaker 2>make this like a big Dick pick of the week

497
00:26:58.319 --> 00:27:01.880
<v Speaker 2>for reasons it well several reasons. Number one is bow Knicks.

498
00:27:02.400 --> 00:27:09.599
<v Speaker 2>Bo Knicks is not playing well now. He's bo Nicks

499
00:27:09.680 --> 00:27:12.000
<v Speaker 2>is four and seven is in his career as a dog,

500
00:27:12.839 --> 00:27:16.720
<v Speaker 2>So it's it's just for whatever reason he's they've been

501
00:27:16.920 --> 00:27:19.640
<v Speaker 2>lining up and beating teams in his short career when

502
00:27:19.640 --> 00:27:23.319
<v Speaker 2>their favorites, like we saw it last week against Cincy Bullyball,

503
00:27:23.480 --> 00:27:26.200
<v Speaker 2>just just they they roll teams with that good defense,

504
00:27:26.240 --> 00:27:28.160
<v Speaker 2>that pass rush. If they can get the lead and

505
00:27:28.240 --> 00:27:30.279
<v Speaker 2>open up that pass rush that Denver has and let

506
00:27:30.279 --> 00:27:33.200
<v Speaker 2>that defense really flourish, they seem to thrive when they

507
00:27:33.359 --> 00:27:35.480
<v Speaker 2>when they when they fall behind and they need bow

508
00:27:35.519 --> 00:27:37.400
<v Speaker 2>knicks to kind of make some place to keep them

509
00:27:37.440 --> 00:27:39.359
<v Speaker 2>in a game and even win it. That's when you're

510
00:27:39.400 --> 00:27:42.200
<v Speaker 2>running running into some trouble. So you know, I couldn't

511
00:27:42.240 --> 00:27:43.839
<v Speaker 2>hit the sounder, I couldn't do any kind of like

512
00:27:43.880 --> 00:27:47.559
<v Speaker 2>you know, big day piggering ninth like that. But I

513
00:27:47.680 --> 00:27:49.640
<v Speaker 2>do lean to Denver at the three and a half,

514
00:27:49.680 --> 00:27:51.680
<v Speaker 2>and I would love, love, love to catch a four.

515
00:27:52.200 --> 00:27:54.519
<v Speaker 2>Last thing on this is because I already talked about

516
00:27:54.519 --> 00:27:57.279
<v Speaker 2>how lucky Philly has been and how they're they're not

517
00:27:57.400 --> 00:27:59.440
<v Speaker 2>really a foreign oh team, but they are four and

518
00:27:59.440 --> 00:28:02.160
<v Speaker 2>oh but they're not, but they are. So the last

519
00:28:02.160 --> 00:28:06.079
<v Speaker 2>thing is Denver never fucking wins in Philly, like never,

520
00:28:06.119 --> 00:28:08.519
<v Speaker 2>They're one in six all time. They don't win there.

521
00:28:08.599 --> 00:28:11.680
<v Speaker 2>So it's just, you know, as much as I wanted

522
00:28:11.680 --> 00:28:13.839
<v Speaker 2>to be all over Denver to win and cover. I'm

523
00:28:13.880 --> 00:28:16.400
<v Speaker 2>just gonna I'm just gonna take them to cover and hope,

524
00:28:16.680 --> 00:28:18.839
<v Speaker 2>just hope that they can get a lead, because we

525
00:28:18.880 --> 00:28:20.960
<v Speaker 2>saw last week with Tampa Bay. If you don't get

526
00:28:21.000 --> 00:28:24.119
<v Speaker 2>the lead and lean on Philly, you're just your your

527
00:28:24.200 --> 00:28:26.720
<v Speaker 2>uphill battle is not good. So it's it's it's Denver

528
00:28:26.799 --> 00:28:29.160
<v Speaker 2>for me with the points, all.

529
00:28:29.119 --> 00:28:30.920
<v Speaker 1>Right, So this one was compeasing me, so I did

530
00:28:30.960 --> 00:28:33.200
<v Speaker 1>a little bit deeper dive on it, and the power

531
00:28:33.319 --> 00:28:35.119
<v Speaker 1>King had Philly. Like I said, I had a five

532
00:28:35.119 --> 00:28:37.720
<v Speaker 1>and a half preseason, but the buckets on Denver B

533
00:28:37.799 --> 00:28:41.359
<v Speaker 1>two's no call, D two's on Denver totals forty three

534
00:28:41.359 --> 00:28:43.119
<v Speaker 1>and a half. I actually got it going under that.

535
00:28:43.200 --> 00:28:46.319
<v Speaker 1>I've got this. The BBG grays at twenty twenty another tie,

536
00:28:46.759 --> 00:28:51.240
<v Speaker 1>so go Denver Lo's ties, lots of ties. So this

537
00:28:51.279 --> 00:28:55.000
<v Speaker 1>is an average matchup for Hurts, not the best. It's

538
00:28:55.039 --> 00:28:57.960
<v Speaker 1>a terrible matchup for bo Knicks. But it's a bad

539
00:28:58.000 --> 00:29:01.000
<v Speaker 1>matchup for Philly's running game. But you have to factor

540
00:29:01.000 --> 00:29:03.240
<v Speaker 1>in the fact that Sekon's not being good so far

541
00:29:03.240 --> 00:29:06.200
<v Speaker 1>this year, so that's in there. But it's an average,

542
00:29:06.240 --> 00:29:08.799
<v Speaker 1>just an average matchup for Dimmer's running game as well,

543
00:29:08.880 --> 00:29:12.200
<v Speaker 1>so no advantage there. Now, obviously it's a bad matchup

544
00:29:12.519 --> 00:29:15.960
<v Speaker 1>for bow I try to find anything that he does,

545
00:29:16.200 --> 00:29:19.359
<v Speaker 1>anything he does better than league average, and through all

546
00:29:19.359 --> 00:29:21.680
<v Speaker 1>the stats that we build all of our models off of,

547
00:29:22.599 --> 00:29:23.519
<v Speaker 1>there was not one.

548
00:29:24.000 --> 00:29:26.759
<v Speaker 2>He has great hair above league average hair.

549
00:29:27.240 --> 00:29:29.480
<v Speaker 1>That is true. Unfortunately they did not make it in

550
00:29:29.480 --> 00:29:29.880
<v Speaker 1>the model.

551
00:29:30.039 --> 00:29:32.279
<v Speaker 2>That has to be a point. That's gotta be a point.

552
00:29:32.279 --> 00:29:34.039
<v Speaker 2>I don't give a shit. If you don't have a

553
00:29:34.079 --> 00:29:36.759
<v Speaker 2>point on his hair, you need to redo your model.

554
00:29:36.759 --> 00:29:37.440
<v Speaker 2>That's all I'm saying.

555
00:29:37.559 --> 00:29:39.559
<v Speaker 1>Fine, I'll go back to work in the morning. All right,

556
00:29:39.599 --> 00:29:43.200
<v Speaker 1>he's twenty third at CPO, who plays EPA, twenty eighth QBR.

557
00:29:43.319 --> 00:29:46.559
<v Speaker 1>He stinks And yeah you're probably thinking, no shit, bo Sebus.

558
00:29:46.599 --> 00:29:48.880
<v Speaker 1>We all have eyes, we know he fucking sucks. Tell

559
00:29:48.960 --> 00:29:52.480
<v Speaker 1>us something we don't know. All right, then, this Deedford

560
00:29:52.480 --> 00:29:54.960
<v Speaker 1>defense is really good fourth overall and EPA for play,

561
00:29:55.079 --> 00:29:59.440
<v Speaker 1>but they are sixteenth in defensive Russian success rate and

562
00:29:59.519 --> 00:30:04.480
<v Speaker 1>another downgraded Berkley in this matchup. But again it's taken

563
00:30:04.519 --> 00:30:08.960
<v Speaker 1>into count. He's already played games this year, and he's

564
00:30:09.000 --> 00:30:14.200
<v Speaker 1>already played two of the best defensive rushing success rate

565
00:30:14.240 --> 00:30:16.880
<v Speaker 1>teams in the league in Tampa Bay and the Rams,

566
00:30:16.920 --> 00:30:20.039
<v Speaker 1>both top ten. His best game was against Kansas City.

567
00:30:20.720 --> 00:30:23.559
<v Speaker 1>No shit, they're twenty ninth, so there could be an

568
00:30:23.599 --> 00:30:26.079
<v Speaker 1>avenue for sake once who outperformed his grades to the

569
00:30:26.079 --> 00:30:29.680
<v Speaker 1>BPG on this one. On the passing side of the ball, though,

570
00:30:30.000 --> 00:30:34.000
<v Speaker 1>Denver is elite third in EPA six and success rate,

571
00:30:34.480 --> 00:30:38.000
<v Speaker 1>but there are two spots of weakness that Philly could exploit.

572
00:30:38.519 --> 00:30:41.480
<v Speaker 1>The only two spots of Denver grades up blow league

573
00:30:41.519 --> 00:30:46.480
<v Speaker 1>average are against play action and against no motion. So

574
00:30:47.160 --> 00:30:49.440
<v Speaker 1>the play action thing for Philly really doesn't exist so

575
00:30:49.519 --> 00:30:51.960
<v Speaker 1>far for some reason this year. I don't know what

576
00:30:52.000 --> 00:30:55.319
<v Speaker 1>they're doing, but historically this is Hurts best spots. I

577
00:30:55.319 --> 00:30:57.960
<v Speaker 1>honestly don't know what the fuck they're doing in Philly

578
00:30:58.720 --> 00:31:02.079
<v Speaker 1>play action versus Mande, which Denver plays the highest percentage

579
00:31:02.079 --> 00:31:05.319
<v Speaker 1>of mand defensive league because they have fucking great corners obviously,

580
00:31:05.920 --> 00:31:09.039
<v Speaker 1>So if there was ever a time to bust every

581
00:31:09.519 --> 00:31:12.319
<v Speaker 1>play action pass you have out in the playbook, it

582
00:31:12.400 --> 00:31:15.400
<v Speaker 1>is this game now. As far as the no motion goes,

583
00:31:15.799 --> 00:31:18.720
<v Speaker 1>that's what Philly does most of the time, and Hurts

584
00:31:18.759 --> 00:31:21.519
<v Speaker 1>gains over one hundred basis points with no motion versus

585
00:31:21.519 --> 00:31:24.960
<v Speaker 1>any motion at all, and Denver is over seventy basis

586
00:31:24.960 --> 00:31:28.440
<v Speaker 1>points worse than league average with no motion. It's their

587
00:31:28.480 --> 00:31:32.759
<v Speaker 1>only real weakness. So we're gonna see how smart this

588
00:31:32.839 --> 00:31:35.680
<v Speaker 1>Philly coaching staff is in this game. They should be

589
00:31:35.680 --> 00:31:38.039
<v Speaker 1>able to establish Sake one, even if he's not great.

590
00:31:38.480 --> 00:31:40.519
<v Speaker 1>He should get around four yards per carry, which is

591
00:31:40.519 --> 00:31:43.000
<v Speaker 1>good enough to set the play action passes, which we

592
00:31:43.119 --> 00:31:46.960
<v Speaker 1>have not seen from Philly all fucking season. Right now,

593
00:31:47.079 --> 00:31:50.000
<v Speaker 1>they average four point four point twenty five play action

594
00:31:50.079 --> 00:31:53.079
<v Speaker 1>passes a game. That number needs to be at least

595
00:31:53.079 --> 00:31:55.880
<v Speaker 1>eight in this game. It's their only avenue to score

596
00:31:56.079 --> 00:31:59.839
<v Speaker 1>on this Denver team except for special teams. As longhorn

597
00:31:59.880 --> 00:32:01.920
<v Speaker 1>Off actually mentioned, they have scored a million points there.

598
00:32:02.720 --> 00:32:05.000
<v Speaker 1>So I'll be watching this one closely to see what

599
00:32:05.039 --> 00:32:09.480
<v Speaker 1>Philling Philly this coaching staff does. How well do they

600
00:32:09.480 --> 00:32:12.519
<v Speaker 1>adjust to find these avenues that they actually can't exploit

601
00:32:13.000 --> 00:32:15.319
<v Speaker 1>if they so choose, And of course I'll be watching

602
00:32:15.440 --> 00:32:17.759
<v Speaker 1>to laugh at bow necks, as I always do so,

603
00:32:18.119 --> 00:32:20.240
<v Speaker 1>but I've got nothing on this one. This is a

604
00:32:20.359 --> 00:32:23.240
<v Speaker 1>This is a real learning stick game for me to

605
00:32:23.279 --> 00:32:26.799
<v Speaker 1>see if this Philly offense can adjust and actually can

606
00:32:26.880 --> 00:32:29.319
<v Speaker 1>get the A. J. Brown going on the play action.

607
00:32:29.400 --> 00:32:31.279
<v Speaker 1>That's where he's at his best. It's where fucking hurts

608
00:32:31.279 --> 00:32:33.079
<v Speaker 1>says the best. We just haven't seen it. They're doing

609
00:32:33.160 --> 00:32:37.279
<v Speaker 1>four times a game with Saquon motherfucking Barklay in the backfield.

610
00:32:37.279 --> 00:32:40.599
<v Speaker 1>You're running four play action passes a game. Four What

611
00:32:40.680 --> 00:32:45.359
<v Speaker 1>the fuck are you doing? And that's your quarterback's best plays,

612
00:32:45.400 --> 00:32:46.279
<v Speaker 1>his best play.

613
00:32:46.599 --> 00:32:49.960
<v Speaker 2>Well, they can't run though, you I mean not that

614
00:32:50.039 --> 00:32:52.559
<v Speaker 2>you have to run and do play action. It works anyways.

615
00:32:52.559 --> 00:32:56.480
<v Speaker 1>And if you're not running enough, yeah, a fucking bomb

616
00:32:56.559 --> 00:32:58.640
<v Speaker 1>back there, then yeah, who gives a ship? But you

617
00:32:58.720 --> 00:33:01.519
<v Speaker 1>got Saque at any moment. It's a house call. You

618
00:33:01.599 --> 00:33:02.799
<v Speaker 1>have to pay attention to him.

619
00:33:03.079 --> 00:33:05.160
<v Speaker 2>And only thing I'll say is that we have not seen,

620
00:33:05.480 --> 00:33:08.559
<v Speaker 2>in my opinion, the best from Denver. Obviously, we haven't

621
00:33:08.559 --> 00:33:11.519
<v Speaker 2>seen the best of their defense that they've been not

622
00:33:13.359 --> 00:33:16.839
<v Speaker 2>They've been good, they've been good, but I don't think

623
00:33:16.839 --> 00:33:18.880
<v Speaker 2>we've seen the best of them. And then, of course,

624
00:33:20.279 --> 00:33:23.680
<v Speaker 2>assuming there's more into in bow Knicks, I mean, if

625
00:33:23.680 --> 00:33:26.559
<v Speaker 2>you're there has to be. We saw last year. We

626
00:33:26.599 --> 00:33:29.279
<v Speaker 2>literally saw it last year. He's better than this.

627
00:33:29.599 --> 00:33:33.319
<v Speaker 1>This is what he did last year. That's what he did. Now,

628
00:33:33.359 --> 00:33:35.720
<v Speaker 1>what we haven't seen is the best jailing hurts, that's

629
00:33:35.720 --> 00:33:39.279
<v Speaker 1>for sure. That dude's fucking went to two Super Bowls

630
00:33:39.480 --> 00:33:42.920
<v Speaker 1>and one one of them he's played like ass. You

631
00:33:42.960 --> 00:33:45.240
<v Speaker 1>mean he average is like one hundred and ten yards

632
00:33:45.240 --> 00:33:48.559
<v Speaker 1>a game passed in the second half last.

633
00:33:48.359 --> 00:33:50.839
<v Speaker 2>Week, heay, I lost the game without without him competing

634
00:33:50.839 --> 00:33:54.160
<v Speaker 2>in the past. That's that was awesome. Happened. Thanks reminding

635
00:33:54.200 --> 00:33:55.079
<v Speaker 2>me of that.

636
00:33:55.119 --> 00:33:57.160
<v Speaker 1>Why don't you get me half the money you were

637
00:33:57.160 --> 00:34:01.880
<v Speaker 1>gonna ban. I'll kick and we'll call it a day.

638
00:34:02.920 --> 00:34:05.039
<v Speaker 1>That's what I said the long horn every time you betskains.

639
00:34:05.200 --> 00:34:06.960
<v Speaker 2>That's what it felt like when when I lost the

640
00:34:07.000 --> 00:34:09.480
<v Speaker 2>game with zero completed pass and the second half, That's what.

641
00:34:09.440 --> 00:34:12.599
<v Speaker 1>It felt like. All right, let's move all to those

642
00:34:12.719 --> 00:34:17.280
<v Speaker 1>Baltimore Ravens kind of you're hosting the Houston Texans. I'm

643
00:34:17.280 --> 00:34:19.480
<v Speaker 1>not even gonna go over the preseason lines. Not worth it.

644
00:34:19.920 --> 00:34:23.119
<v Speaker 1>Lamar's out, obviously, report is he might be out two

645
00:34:23.159 --> 00:34:25.559
<v Speaker 1>to three weeks. Our fucking Super Bowl pick is dead,

646
00:34:26.199 --> 00:34:28.920
<v Speaker 1>dead dead Longhorn dead.

647
00:34:29.840 --> 00:34:34.880
<v Speaker 2>It might be dead, could road, it could be us.

648
00:34:34.920 --> 00:34:40.039
<v Speaker 1>His road favorites road favorites in Baltimore yeah, I can't

649
00:34:40.039 --> 00:34:42.360
<v Speaker 1>even say that. I almost chooed in my mouth just

650
00:34:42.360 --> 00:34:45.519
<v Speaker 1>saying that a one to three team is a favorite

651
00:34:46.039 --> 00:34:47.599
<v Speaker 1>in Baltimore.

652
00:34:48.039 --> 00:34:52.000
<v Speaker 2>That's to say it out loud type type situation. And look,

653
00:34:52.039 --> 00:34:55.519
<v Speaker 2>it's a major line moving this game. It does feel

654
00:34:55.559 --> 00:34:56.880
<v Speaker 2>like a Baltimore spot.

655
00:34:57.199 --> 00:34:59.519
<v Speaker 1>Nine and a half to two, a major line moving there.

656
00:34:59.519 --> 00:35:01.719
<v Speaker 2>That's just two much. It's too much. It feels like

657
00:35:01.719 --> 00:35:04.840
<v Speaker 2>a Baltimore spot. But I ain't hitting the sounder on

658
00:35:04.880 --> 00:35:07.039
<v Speaker 2>Baltimore because I don't trust them with all their defensive

659
00:35:07.079 --> 00:35:12.800
<v Speaker 2>injuries and and I don't I don't trust Cooper Rush.

660
00:35:12.920 --> 00:35:15.599
<v Speaker 2>Although look, Cooper Rush has shown that he can win

661
00:35:15.639 --> 00:35:18.920
<v Speaker 2>football games in the NFL. He's backed up that. Yeah,

662
00:35:19.800 --> 00:35:23.320
<v Speaker 2>so it wouldn't surprise me at all if Houston wins,

663
00:35:23.440 --> 00:35:25.519
<v Speaker 2>or excuse me, if Baltimore is this game. But man,

664
00:35:26.559 --> 00:35:30.920
<v Speaker 2>and they're champion, they're like, they're a good champion type team.

665
00:35:31.039 --> 00:35:35.039
<v Speaker 2>So but I just can't And maybe that's just maybe

666
00:35:35.039 --> 00:35:36.400
<v Speaker 2>that tells me I should be on it, because I'm

667
00:35:36.400 --> 00:35:38.039
<v Speaker 2>just being scared in a pussy and these are the

668
00:35:38.039 --> 00:35:39.480
<v Speaker 2>exact type of games that you need to be on.

669
00:35:39.519 --> 00:35:41.480
<v Speaker 2>I should be hitting the sounder. It should be hit

670
00:35:41.519 --> 00:35:48.719
<v Speaker 2>that Sounder, but I'm not hit pretty much. Oh my god,

671
00:35:48.760 --> 00:35:50.920
<v Speaker 2>that's almost enough to talk me into the sound But

672
00:35:51.039 --> 00:35:54.199
<v Speaker 2>I tell you what, I tell you what. Let me

673
00:35:54.239 --> 00:35:57.440
<v Speaker 2>throw it to you. And if you like Baltimore as

674
00:35:57.480 --> 00:36:00.559
<v Speaker 2>much as I want to like Baltimore, Baltimo, I'm too

675
00:36:00.639 --> 00:36:04.880
<v Speaker 2>much of a cigarette to to do it, then I will.

676
00:36:05.239 --> 00:36:08.880
<v Speaker 2>I will post my handicap hit the Sounders. So you

677
00:36:08.920 --> 00:36:09.360
<v Speaker 2>tell me.

678
00:36:10.800 --> 00:36:12.440
<v Speaker 1>Like I got nothing on this game.

679
00:36:12.760 --> 00:36:16.679
<v Speaker 2>Oh my god, who is this cigarette? Now? Now?

680
00:36:16.840 --> 00:36:19.519
<v Speaker 1>My only thought here is and this is the reason

681
00:36:19.519 --> 00:36:21.519
<v Speaker 1>why I have none of this game. Cooper Rush was

682
00:36:22.159 --> 00:36:24.320
<v Speaker 1>very good with Dallas when Dallas was a good team

683
00:36:24.360 --> 00:36:27.119
<v Speaker 1>and Dak went down for some time, you know, but

684
00:36:27.239 --> 00:36:29.480
<v Speaker 1>you also saw what Cooper Rush was when Dallas wasn't

685
00:36:29.480 --> 00:36:31.480
<v Speaker 1>a very good team. Last year, he couldn't win a

686
00:36:31.519 --> 00:36:33.960
<v Speaker 1>football game. Now he's back with a very good team.

687
00:36:34.320 --> 00:36:38.480
<v Speaker 1>But my problem is this, Dallas's offense with Dak performs

688
00:36:38.519 --> 00:36:42.280
<v Speaker 1>exactly why Cooper Rush would perform. This Baltimore offense is

689
00:36:42.320 --> 00:36:44.960
<v Speaker 1>not the same. It is built around Lamar and all

690
00:36:45.039 --> 00:36:49.000
<v Speaker 1>his special capabilities an athlete. So now you're talking about

691
00:36:49.239 --> 00:36:53.159
<v Speaker 1>limiting a playbook that has been literally built around one

692
00:36:53.199 --> 00:36:56.559
<v Speaker 1>of the most special fucking players we've ever seen, and

693
00:36:56.599 --> 00:36:59.440
<v Speaker 1>now you have to adapt it to not one of

694
00:36:59.440 --> 00:37:00.800
<v Speaker 1>the most special players.

695
00:37:00.480 --> 00:37:04.079
<v Speaker 2>We've ever seen, and against a Houston defense that is elked.

696
00:37:04.639 --> 00:37:08.880
<v Speaker 1>And how much how much playbook do you even have left?

697
00:37:08.880 --> 00:37:09.519
<v Speaker 2>That's my question?

698
00:37:09.920 --> 00:37:13.559
<v Speaker 1>How much playbook can you even cool? Because I mean,

699
00:37:13.719 --> 00:37:18.719
<v Speaker 1>how many plays in that playbook are waggles, rollouts, sprint outs,

700
00:37:18.880 --> 00:37:22.679
<v Speaker 1>fucking power options, fucking quarterback draw I mean, like it's

701
00:37:22.679 --> 00:37:24.960
<v Speaker 1>got to be at least sixty percent of that playbook

702
00:37:25.039 --> 00:37:27.280
<v Speaker 1>is all built around I mean, there's not that many

703
00:37:27.280 --> 00:37:31.280
<v Speaker 1>straight drops in this fucking offense. So what Cooper Rushing

704
00:37:31.320 --> 00:37:33.840
<v Speaker 1>can roll through forty percent of the playbook? How much

705
00:37:33.880 --> 00:37:36.639
<v Speaker 1>easier does that have to make this great defensive head coach?

706
00:37:37.119 --> 00:37:39.320
<v Speaker 1>And in this defense.

707
00:37:40.519 --> 00:37:44.920
<v Speaker 2>Maybe you don't remember the Cooper Rush rushing. His name

708
00:37:45.000 --> 00:37:47.639
<v Speaker 2>is not Cooper Rush for for nothing. Okay, he can

709
00:37:47.840 --> 00:37:50.079
<v Speaker 2>run the ball, all right, let's go together. Now he can't.

710
00:37:50.119 --> 00:37:51.800
<v Speaker 2>He's he's not gonna be able to do it.

711
00:37:52.320 --> 00:37:54.800
<v Speaker 1>Yeah. So, in other words, you've got forty percent of

712
00:37:54.800 --> 00:37:57.039
<v Speaker 1>the playbook to prepare for for Houston. And this is

713
00:37:57.039 --> 00:37:59.199
<v Speaker 1>not a team that's not played this team they've played

714
00:37:59.199 --> 00:38:01.920
<v Speaker 1>two years in a row now, in the playoffs and

715
00:38:01.960 --> 00:38:04.880
<v Speaker 1>in the regular season I think two or three times

716
00:38:04.880 --> 00:38:05.880
<v Speaker 1>actually the last couple of years.

717
00:38:05.920 --> 00:38:06.920
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, they always seem to me.

718
00:38:07.519 --> 00:38:10.000
<v Speaker 1>So they've seen each other. So they already know what

719
00:38:10.159 --> 00:38:12.400
<v Speaker 1>Baltimore's not gonna be able to do. They know all

720
00:38:12.400 --> 00:38:14.519
<v Speaker 1>the plays that he does that Trooper will be able

721
00:38:14.559 --> 00:38:17.639
<v Speaker 1>to do. There's just I don't think there's nothing in

722
00:38:17.760 --> 00:38:20.800
<v Speaker 1>bag for this offensive winner to be able to pull out.

723
00:38:21.000 --> 00:38:24.920
<v Speaker 1>Now the their only fucking hope is that with the

724
00:38:24.960 --> 00:38:28.199
<v Speaker 1>straight drops, save Flowers can fucking do something and Henry

725
00:38:28.239 --> 00:38:30.800
<v Speaker 1>goes nuts, which Henry could always do.

726
00:38:31.440 --> 00:38:34.159
<v Speaker 2>That's tough defense, though, I can't bet on that. Yeah,

727
00:38:34.199 --> 00:38:36.800
<v Speaker 2>And let me just say, like we talked about Houston defense,

728
00:38:36.800 --> 00:38:38.880
<v Speaker 2>it's obviously the identity of that team, and they are

729
00:38:39.000 --> 00:38:42.000
<v Speaker 2>lights out, but they're switching them to what he marks.

730
00:38:42.000 --> 00:38:44.000
<v Speaker 2>The rookie running back out of USC is gonna give

731
00:38:44.079 --> 00:38:46.400
<v Speaker 2>a lot more juice in that backfield at not only

732
00:38:46.519 --> 00:38:49.039
<v Speaker 2>running the ball, but catching the ball in the backfield. Yeah,

733
00:38:49.039 --> 00:38:50.400
<v Speaker 2>he already has. He's made a difference.

734
00:38:51.360 --> 00:38:53.760
<v Speaker 1>And then Baltimore defense is a massive and has been.

735
00:38:54.559 --> 00:38:57.880
<v Speaker 1>I say, fati, they've given up how many points are bad?

736
00:38:58.000 --> 00:39:00.440
<v Speaker 2>They haven't been. They haven't been good all year since

737
00:39:00.480 --> 00:39:05.480
<v Speaker 2>Game one, and we talked about how bad the We

738
00:39:05.519 --> 00:39:07.840
<v Speaker 2>talked about how bad the Houston offensive line has been.

739
00:39:07.960 --> 00:39:09.119
<v Speaker 2>And I don't know if you've seen some of the

740
00:39:09.119 --> 00:39:12.159
<v Speaker 2>blooper reels of the Houston offensive line, like people going,

741
00:39:12.440 --> 00:39:14.480
<v Speaker 2>people going the wrong way off the snap and running

742
00:39:14.480 --> 00:39:16.400
<v Speaker 2>into each other's offense. I've never seen this from an

743
00:39:16.480 --> 00:39:19.719
<v Speaker 2>NFL team, but I said that to say this it's turning.

744
00:39:20.079 --> 00:39:23.079
<v Speaker 2>It's turning. The The PFF numbers on this on this

745
00:39:23.159 --> 00:39:25.679
<v Speaker 2>offensive line are nowhere near what they were to start

746
00:39:25.679 --> 00:39:28.679
<v Speaker 2>the year. And that's including the number one ranked guard

747
00:39:28.800 --> 00:39:31.159
<v Speaker 2>in the NFL as of right now at ingram Out.

748
00:39:31.199 --> 00:39:33.039
<v Speaker 2>If he's like a third or fourth year player round

749
00:39:33.079 --> 00:39:36.920
<v Speaker 2>or U s c L a guard. It's it's starting. Look,

750
00:39:37.000 --> 00:39:38.880
<v Speaker 2>I'm not saying that Houston's gonna make a run at

751
00:39:38.880 --> 00:39:41.159
<v Speaker 2>this division. I'm not saying they're not, but it's it's

752
00:39:41.199 --> 00:39:43.639
<v Speaker 2>starting to look like, Okay, this offense could have some

753
00:39:43.719 --> 00:39:46.519
<v Speaker 2>pieces that are coming into into form here, and if

754
00:39:46.519 --> 00:39:49.760
<v Speaker 2>they can get just an average on offense with that defense,

755
00:39:49.960 --> 00:39:54.280
<v Speaker 2>we might have something here in Houston. So we'll see possibility.

756
00:39:54.320 --> 00:39:58.320
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that play, I know exactly talking about where the

757
00:39:58.320 --> 00:40:01.199
<v Speaker 1>center and right guard literally blocked each other and the

758
00:40:01.719 --> 00:40:02.760
<v Speaker 1>rest of the line.

759
00:40:03.280 --> 00:40:08.239
<v Speaker 2>One guy, it was doesn't that literally doesn't happen though.

760
00:40:09.159 --> 00:40:11.880
<v Speaker 1>And one guy they're like, hey, let's fuck this guy.

761
00:40:12.920 --> 00:40:15.199
<v Speaker 2>I don't know who the offensive line coach is for

762
00:40:15.280 --> 00:40:17.119
<v Speaker 2>the Houston, but I would have if I was the

763
00:40:17.119 --> 00:40:19.400
<v Speaker 2>head coach, I'd have walked over there after I saw

764
00:40:19.440 --> 00:40:21.840
<v Speaker 2>that play and like, get your ship and you're just

765
00:40:21.960 --> 00:40:24.119
<v Speaker 2>in whatever point part of the game it was, you're

766
00:40:24.199 --> 00:40:27.159
<v Speaker 2>out of here. I could find I don't even need you.

767
00:40:27.199 --> 00:40:29.360
<v Speaker 2>I can tell them to do better than that. That's terrible.

768
00:40:30.119 --> 00:40:33.320
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, anybody can coach them to do better than that. Well,

769
00:40:33.440 --> 00:40:35.760
<v Speaker 1>speaking of a team that's got something to say about

770
00:40:35.840 --> 00:40:39.280
<v Speaker 1>your texts coming up on the division. Oh, it's Indiana

771
00:40:39.440 --> 00:40:46.039
<v Speaker 1>Jones in those fucking Colts, Pholson R awesome. Vegas raid

772
00:40:46.119 --> 00:40:49.559
<v Speaker 1>us all right now in this one pretty good move.

773
00:40:49.679 --> 00:40:53.280
<v Speaker 1>So I had Indy minus two, Vegas had Indie minus

774
00:40:53.320 --> 00:40:56.320
<v Speaker 1>one and a half. Uh, it's Indy minus seven. So

775
00:40:57.880 --> 00:40:59.719
<v Speaker 1>that seems like too much to me. Longhorn, did you

776
00:40:59.719 --> 00:41:00.000
<v Speaker 1>take it?

777
00:41:00.400 --> 00:41:03.920
<v Speaker 2>Well, you're talking about your preseason from preseason. Yeah, you're

778
00:41:03.920 --> 00:41:05.679
<v Speaker 2>you're gonna be. That's gonna be every week. It's gonna

779
00:41:05.679 --> 00:41:07.440
<v Speaker 2>be like that for Indy, for you, because we were

780
00:41:07.519 --> 00:41:10.679
<v Speaker 2>just apparently way off on what we thought they were

781
00:41:10.719 --> 00:41:15.360
<v Speaker 2>gonna be to what they might possibly be. So but

782
00:41:15.480 --> 00:41:19.400
<v Speaker 2>in this one, this was my first of many Split

783
00:41:19.440 --> 00:41:20.440
<v Speaker 2>the Baby type games.

784
00:41:21.039 --> 00:41:23.360
<v Speaker 1>Vegas wanted to an item of two, so we were

785
00:41:23.400 --> 00:41:27.440
<v Speaker 1>both right there, Yeah, you're not gonna fucking exceed our

786
00:41:27.480 --> 00:41:30.000
<v Speaker 1>expectations combined by this much.

787
00:41:29.920 --> 00:41:34.320
<v Speaker 2>Like it's maybe not eventually, yeah, maybe not eventually. We'll

788
00:41:34.320 --> 00:41:36.119
<v Speaker 2>see how it all plays out, but this was gonna

789
00:41:36.159 --> 00:41:38.840
<v Speaker 2>be my first Split the Baby obviously teased down Indy,

790
00:41:39.559 --> 00:41:44.599
<v Speaker 2>I was pretty pretty heavy on wanting to lean towards

791
00:41:44.599 --> 00:41:49.239
<v Speaker 2>that Vegas plus seven. But brock Bowers is missed another

792
00:41:49.320 --> 00:41:52.320
<v Speaker 2>day of practice. He's obviously been fighting that knee injury,

793
00:41:52.360 --> 00:41:54.480
<v Speaker 2>and by the way he had that offense hasn't looked

794
00:41:54.480 --> 00:41:58.800
<v Speaker 2>the same passing wise since the knee injury that he

795
00:41:58.880 --> 00:42:01.639
<v Speaker 2>sustained in like the first week. Like it's just he's

796
00:42:01.639 --> 00:42:04.519
<v Speaker 2>been playing through it kind of not looking the same.

797
00:42:04.960 --> 00:42:08.239
<v Speaker 2>But now he's missing some more days of practice.

798
00:42:07.800 --> 00:42:13.320
<v Speaker 1>And I'm worried about what what this this immediate future

799
00:42:13.639 --> 00:42:15.199
<v Speaker 1>for brock Bowers is gonna be.

800
00:42:16.119 --> 00:42:20.519
<v Speaker 2>But other than that, like Vegas they're they're they're really

801
00:42:20.639 --> 00:42:23.599
<v Speaker 2>just Geno Smith away from being a three and one

802
00:42:23.639 --> 00:42:26.599
<v Speaker 2>team two and two at worse because the block field

803
00:42:26.599 --> 00:42:29.000
<v Speaker 2>goal at the end of the Chicago game. Can they

804
00:42:29.039 --> 00:42:31.320
<v Speaker 2>be sitting at two and two? And Gino's been as

805
00:42:31.400 --> 00:42:34.039
<v Speaker 2>bad as he's ever been that I've seen him since

806
00:42:34.039 --> 00:42:35.039
<v Speaker 2>he started his career.

807
00:42:35.320 --> 00:42:38.800
<v Speaker 1>So, like, I think this handicap I had on them,

808
00:42:38.880 --> 00:42:41.280
<v Speaker 1>tell them all the summer with Gino Smith's a real quarterback.

809
00:42:41.519 --> 00:42:43.840
<v Speaker 1>They got no quarterback. Now, this team is not as

810
00:42:43.880 --> 00:42:46.599
<v Speaker 1>bad as thinks it is. They're gonna be five hundred's

811
00:42:47.000 --> 00:42:49.039
<v Speaker 1>fun and yeah, thank.

812
00:42:48.880 --> 00:42:51.800
<v Speaker 2>You very much, you know, yeah, so and and really

813
00:42:51.800 --> 00:42:54.960
<v Speaker 2>if block, if brought Flowers can just be healthy and

814
00:42:55.559 --> 00:42:57.800
<v Speaker 2>kind of work his way into close to his one

815
00:42:57.840 --> 00:42:59.559
<v Speaker 2>hundred percent? Is he's gonna get with that knee injury

816
00:42:59.559 --> 00:43:03.079
<v Speaker 2>that he's fight through that I really really love Vegas

817
00:43:03.119 --> 00:43:06.119
<v Speaker 2>at that plus seven, it's just the Brough battle.

818
00:43:06.039 --> 00:43:09.039
<v Speaker 1>Play, like, well, how healthy is it gonna be?

819
00:43:09.159 --> 00:43:11.280
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I guess he's gonna play at some point.

820
00:43:11.440 --> 00:43:14.239
<v Speaker 2>Does that giant knee race that he's obviously fighting through,

821
00:43:14.320 --> 00:43:17.360
<v Speaker 2>is it gonna be something that progresses to something else?

822
00:43:17.400 --> 00:43:19.840
<v Speaker 2>I don't know, But let's say he plays I love

823
00:43:19.920 --> 00:43:22.199
<v Speaker 2>Vegas on the plus seven. I love Indy on the

824
00:43:22.239 --> 00:43:25.079
<v Speaker 2>teas down. We're splitting the baby or taate. We're playing

825
00:43:25.119 --> 00:43:28.679
<v Speaker 2>both sides. We are we love Gaza, we hate Gaza.

826
00:43:28.719 --> 00:43:31.000
<v Speaker 2>We love Gaza, we hate Gaza. That's the that's what

827
00:43:31.039 --> 00:43:33.440
<v Speaker 2>we're doing here, all right.

828
00:43:33.920 --> 00:43:36.639
<v Speaker 1>So I dug into this one flat a bit so

829
00:43:39.039 --> 00:43:42.599
<v Speaker 1>power rankings for me. Have Indy here, Blacky Gray though

830
00:43:42.679 --> 00:43:46.400
<v Speaker 1>Vegas V two Vegas D two Vegas, nicoll on the total,

831
00:43:46.440 --> 00:43:50.480
<v Speaker 1>I got another tie, it's twenty four four. It's right

832
00:43:50.519 --> 00:43:51.519
<v Speaker 1>on the number of forty eight.

833
00:43:52.039 --> 00:43:56.559
<v Speaker 2>Take the overun ties this week and cash out, all right.

834
00:43:56.960 --> 00:44:00.440
<v Speaker 1>Both quarterbacks straight out flat here, Indy does get a

835
00:44:00.519 --> 00:44:04.559
<v Speaker 1>half a point through the running game away jenty. I

836
00:44:04.599 --> 00:44:06.239
<v Speaker 1>told y'all last week he was going to go off.

837
00:44:06.239 --> 00:44:08.079
<v Speaker 1>This is not the week for him to go off. So,

838
00:44:09.239 --> 00:44:11.719
<v Speaker 1>but here is what I dug into this one. It's

839
00:44:11.760 --> 00:44:15.320
<v Speaker 1>all about Gino bouncing back. I know that the BBG

840
00:44:15.360 --> 00:44:17.639
<v Speaker 1>said is a flat matchup, but honestly, the only thing

841
00:44:17.719 --> 00:44:21.360
<v Speaker 1>Indy does on defense that will drop his numbers is

842
00:44:21.400 --> 00:44:23.880
<v Speaker 1>on pre snap motion, and Las Vegas only runs at

843
00:44:23.920 --> 00:44:26.920
<v Speaker 1>thirteen percent of the time. Indy has a slight edge

844
00:44:26.920 --> 00:44:29.039
<v Speaker 1>of man coverage, but they only run man thirty six

845
00:44:29.079 --> 00:44:31.840
<v Speaker 1>percent of the time. So Gino has been very good

846
00:44:32.039 --> 00:44:35.199
<v Speaker 1>in his career versus his own covers. And Gino has

847
00:44:35.239 --> 00:44:37.199
<v Speaker 1>only had two bad games out of the four and

848
00:44:37.239 --> 00:44:40.159
<v Speaker 1>they were horrible, but the other two games was great.

849
00:44:40.960 --> 00:44:43.519
<v Speaker 1>One was against the Chargers, who were the number one

850
00:44:45.440 --> 00:44:48.599
<v Speaker 1>defensive success rate against the pass, and then last week

851
00:44:48.679 --> 00:44:52.280
<v Speaker 1>versus the Bears. Look, that's just one of those NFL games.

852
00:44:52.800 --> 00:44:55.519
<v Speaker 1>Nobody can explain what the fuck happened because the Bears

853
00:44:55.519 --> 00:44:59.079
<v Speaker 1>sucking against the pass. That Indy is sixteenth. So you

854
00:44:59.199 --> 00:45:03.159
<v Speaker 1>have to think no glaring matchup weaknesses versus defense and

855
00:45:03.280 --> 00:45:06.280
<v Speaker 1>going to get you know, more of an average competition.

856
00:45:07.199 --> 00:45:08.639
<v Speaker 1>It's got to be a good game for Geno. Look,

857
00:45:08.639 --> 00:45:10.920
<v Speaker 1>he had over three hundred yards and three touchdowns versus

858
00:45:10.960 --> 00:45:13.719
<v Speaker 1>the Skins and New England two games out of four

859
00:45:13.840 --> 00:45:16.159
<v Speaker 1>so far. I said, three hundred yards and three touchdowns.

860
00:45:16.559 --> 00:45:20.000
<v Speaker 1>And yes, I know both of those secondaries suck twenty

861
00:45:20.079 --> 00:45:24.320
<v Speaker 1>second at twenty ninth respectively in defensive success rate against

862
00:45:24.360 --> 00:45:26.840
<v Speaker 1>the pass. Yes, Andy is a step up from them,

863
00:45:26.840 --> 00:45:29.800
<v Speaker 1>for sure, but is it enough of a step up?

864
00:45:29.840 --> 00:45:31.559
<v Speaker 1>The Raiders won't be able to score the fucking ball.

865
00:45:31.599 --> 00:45:35.639
<v Speaker 1>They've scored twenty points in every game this year except

866
00:45:35.719 --> 00:45:39.079
<v Speaker 1>the Chargers, which again, the Chargers are elite versus the

867
00:45:39.079 --> 00:45:42.719
<v Speaker 1>fucking pass. Now on the other side, the Raiders sink

868
00:45:42.760 --> 00:45:44.920
<v Speaker 1>against the pass too, so I do expect Indiana Jones

869
00:45:44.920 --> 00:45:46.920
<v Speaker 1>to be just finding this game. But there is one

870
00:45:46.960 --> 00:45:50.039
<v Speaker 1>matchup that favors the Raiders, and that is the Jones

871
00:45:50.119 --> 00:45:53.039
<v Speaker 1>is much better versus man than's own and the Raiders

872
00:45:53.119 --> 00:45:55.760
<v Speaker 1>run zones seventy four point four percent of sign that's

873
00:45:55.760 --> 00:45:58.199
<v Speaker 1>the third highest rate in the entire league. They do

874
00:45:58.239 --> 00:46:01.639
<v Speaker 1>it at a Bobve league average clip and the problem

875
00:46:01.719 --> 00:46:04.920
<v Speaker 1>area is one of the The problem area are one

876
00:46:04.960 --> 00:46:06.440
<v Speaker 1>of the worst man They're one of the worst man

877
00:46:06.480 --> 00:46:09.800
<v Speaker 1>coverages teams, and Danny Dowme's feast on man coverage, especially

878
00:46:09.880 --> 00:46:13.599
<v Speaker 1>shitty ones, which the Raiders definitely are. So the key

879
00:46:13.639 --> 00:46:17.400
<v Speaker 1>for the Raiders staying in this cover is this, stay

880
00:46:17.400 --> 00:46:20.760
<v Speaker 1>out of fucking man coverage as much as possible, play

881
00:46:20.880 --> 00:46:24.239
<v Speaker 1>zone and don't fucking blitz it. And on offense, stay

882
00:46:24.239 --> 00:46:26.480
<v Speaker 1>away from pre snap motion, which they really always do,

883
00:46:27.119 --> 00:46:30.559
<v Speaker 1>and have your best man beater plays ready for those

884
00:46:30.639 --> 00:46:34.079
<v Speaker 1>few times that Andy will go man coverage. That and

885
00:46:34.199 --> 00:46:37.440
<v Speaker 1>oh yeah, don't throw three fucking picks gino.

886
00:46:37.599 --> 00:46:40.519
<v Speaker 2>Okay, yeah, don't maybe just gino. Don't be a fucking

887
00:46:40.800 --> 00:46:45.239
<v Speaker 2>don't be West Virginia, GINO. Be that just pretty good

888
00:46:45.679 --> 00:46:49.079
<v Speaker 2>gino from from Seattle that we remember, and just transfer

889
00:46:49.159 --> 00:46:53.280
<v Speaker 2>that to this well coached, well coached Vegas team with

890
00:46:53.320 --> 00:46:55.440
<v Speaker 2>Pete Carroll. I'm still waiting to see what I think

891
00:46:55.440 --> 00:46:57.360
<v Speaker 2>they could be. But like I said, they could be

892
00:46:57.400 --> 00:47:00.599
<v Speaker 2>two and two or even three in one at this point.

893
00:47:00.639 --> 00:47:02.719
<v Speaker 2>So I think you're getting value at the plus seven

894
00:47:03.599 --> 00:47:04.880
<v Speaker 2>and I like to tease down.

895
00:47:06.199 --> 00:47:08.480
<v Speaker 1>All right, well here we'll here's what won't let you

896
00:47:08.679 --> 00:47:11.599
<v Speaker 1>beat the teas down. But it's ah, I'll call it

897
00:47:11.639 --> 00:47:14.079
<v Speaker 1>the numbers geek pick of the week, but it's a

898
00:47:14.159 --> 00:47:14.920
<v Speaker 1>pretty good trend.

899
00:47:15.000 --> 00:47:17.079
<v Speaker 2>Wow side nerve, get out go.

900
00:47:17.519 --> 00:47:19.280
<v Speaker 1>I ain't got time to be distracted by your worth.

901
00:47:19.320 --> 00:47:22.679
<v Speaker 2>This chime is gone, gone longer.

902
00:47:22.719 --> 00:47:26.760
<v Speaker 1>It's not gonna like this. So since twenty twelve, it's

903
00:47:26.800 --> 00:47:34.360
<v Speaker 1>week five. You are one and three, No, sorry, you're

904
00:47:34.400 --> 00:47:39.719
<v Speaker 1>three and one. You lost your last game. That's end

905
00:47:41.039 --> 00:47:45.960
<v Speaker 1>eight thirteen straight up eight and thirteen ats And then

906
00:47:46.119 --> 00:47:49.239
<v Speaker 1>if you do that and you're the favorite five and

907
00:47:49.400 --> 00:47:53.639
<v Speaker 1>nine straight up five and nine ats and the teasers

908
00:47:53.679 --> 00:47:56.639
<v Speaker 1>in such cases eight and six for the favorites fifty

909
00:47:56.639 --> 00:47:59.480
<v Speaker 1>seven percent. Thats not making you money on a teaser.

910
00:48:01.400 --> 00:48:03.280
<v Speaker 1>It's the only team to qualify for that. But there

911
00:48:03.280 --> 00:48:05.199
<v Speaker 1>are several teams to qualify. In the first trend that

912
00:48:05.239 --> 00:48:10.480
<v Speaker 1>I gave the Chargers, the Bucks, Colts and forty nine ers.

913
00:48:10.480 --> 00:48:13.920
<v Speaker 1>Now four Nineers are obviously dogs, the Bucks are obviously dogs.

914
00:48:13.960 --> 00:48:17.079
<v Speaker 1>So the Chargers and Colts go to the favorite. But overall,

915
00:48:17.440 --> 00:48:19.559
<v Speaker 1>it is a terrible fucking spot to be in. It's

916
00:48:19.599 --> 00:48:21.519
<v Speaker 1>that old momentum thing. You were three, and oh you

917
00:48:21.639 --> 00:48:23.679
<v Speaker 1>just lost the game. You think, oh, we can bounce back. No,

918
00:48:23.760 --> 00:48:26.639
<v Speaker 1>you don't fucking bounce back. In fact, you lose more

919
00:48:26.679 --> 00:48:29.440
<v Speaker 1>than you win at a sixty two to thirty eight

920
00:48:29.480 --> 00:48:31.920
<v Speaker 1>percent clip straight up not even ATS.

921
00:48:31.960 --> 00:48:34.679
<v Speaker 2>So okay, well, then that tells me that I need

922
00:48:34.719 --> 00:48:37.480
<v Speaker 2>to go ahead and plug in those Vegas Raiders and

923
00:48:37.519 --> 00:48:42.119
<v Speaker 2>plus seven and split the baby heads it out.

924
00:48:42.239 --> 00:48:45.239
<v Speaker 1>The baby all right, Let's move on to those pearl

925
00:48:45.320 --> 00:48:49.599
<v Speaker 1>lot of panthers. Hustle those my Hamma Dolphins.

926
00:48:50.119 --> 00:48:50.920
<v Speaker 2>Do we have to?

927
00:48:52.119 --> 00:48:53.159
<v Speaker 1>Unfortunately we do?

928
00:48:53.320 --> 00:48:53.639
<v Speaker 2>Okay.

929
00:48:53.800 --> 00:48:59.519
<v Speaker 1>I had Miami minus four, Vegas had them minus one,

930
00:48:59.519 --> 00:49:01.440
<v Speaker 1>and a half. Vegas speak me on this one. I

931
00:49:01.519 --> 00:49:05.639
<v Speaker 1>was too high in Miami preseason. That's it. It's one

932
00:49:05.639 --> 00:49:07.719
<v Speaker 1>and a half. Basically, live Longhorn. What do you got

933
00:49:07.760 --> 00:49:08.239
<v Speaker 1>on this one?

934
00:49:08.639 --> 00:49:10.800
<v Speaker 2>Where did you have Miami yet?

935
00:49:11.119 --> 00:49:14.840
<v Speaker 1>I had him at minus four, so I was wrong.

936
00:49:16.320 --> 00:49:18.239
<v Speaker 1>Now they're not a minus one across the board.

937
00:49:18.800 --> 00:49:21.039
<v Speaker 2>So so in this one, I look not allowed on

938
00:49:21.079 --> 00:49:23.480
<v Speaker 2>this one. I probably won't lay a single dime on

939
00:49:23.519 --> 00:49:26.360
<v Speaker 2>this game in any way. But if you're gonna pick them,

940
00:49:26.360 --> 00:49:30.079
<v Speaker 2>I'm probably gonna be on Miami here and reluctantly on Miami.

941
00:49:30.119 --> 00:49:32.079
<v Speaker 2>I do not want to play Miami at all. But

942
00:49:32.639 --> 00:49:35.760
<v Speaker 2>Cuba Hubbard might not play in this game for Carolina.

943
00:49:36.079 --> 00:49:40.639
<v Speaker 2>And if you're looking for any kind of real, consistent,

944
00:49:41.000 --> 00:49:44.400
<v Speaker 2>good player on the Carolina offense, it's just Cuba Hubbard.

945
00:49:45.000 --> 00:49:46.760
<v Speaker 2>And this is a good and this is a good

946
00:49:46.800 --> 00:49:49.559
<v Speaker 2>matchup for Cuba Hubbard against this defense, or at least

947
00:49:49.559 --> 00:49:51.920
<v Speaker 2>at least from the numbers that I've looked at. Uh

948
00:49:52.000 --> 00:49:54.559
<v Speaker 2>And so so if he can't go, if he cannot

949
00:49:54.639 --> 00:49:58.800
<v Speaker 2>go against this, this Miami defense, I have to look

950
00:49:58.840 --> 00:50:02.159
<v Speaker 2>towards Miami in two always beats bad teams. He's kind

951
00:50:02.159 --> 00:50:06.559
<v Speaker 2>of one of those eer typical good but not really

952
00:50:06.840 --> 00:50:10.599
<v Speaker 2>great quarterback that's going to beat up on bad teams,

953
00:50:10.639 --> 00:50:13.679
<v Speaker 2>beat up on bad defenses, light up the scoreboard to

954
00:50:13.719 --> 00:50:16.400
<v Speaker 2>where people think that he's better than he is, and

955
00:50:16.440 --> 00:50:18.400
<v Speaker 2>then when he plays a real team, he just gets

956
00:50:18.400 --> 00:50:20.280
<v Speaker 2>his doors blown. And we know that, we know, we

957
00:50:20.400 --> 00:50:22.199
<v Speaker 2>just know the truth about too. He's really good against

958
00:50:22.199 --> 00:50:25.039
<v Speaker 2>bad teams, and he sucks. He cannot cover, cannot beat

959
00:50:25.480 --> 00:50:28.480
<v Speaker 2>the good teams. So he's playing a bad team. Here,

960
00:50:28.719 --> 00:50:31.559
<v Speaker 2>he's playing a team that has a bad defense. And

961
00:50:31.679 --> 00:50:33.679
<v Speaker 2>on the other side of the ball, for Carolina, Bryce

962
00:50:33.719 --> 00:50:36.000
<v Speaker 2>Young is just he's a this is a this is

963
00:50:36.000 --> 00:50:38.800
<v Speaker 2>turning into almost an embarrassment because he did have a

964
00:50:38.840 --> 00:50:41.480
<v Speaker 2>little blip at the end of last year, but that

965
00:50:41.599 --> 00:50:44.960
<v Speaker 2>was coming off one of the most embarrassing, horrible starts

966
00:50:45.000 --> 00:50:49.320
<v Speaker 2>to a season that we've ever seen, like including Tim Tebow.

967
00:50:49.639 --> 00:50:55.480
<v Speaker 1>So saw numbers on him and literally his career so far,

968
00:50:56.559 --> 00:51:00.239
<v Speaker 1>he is if all matches you can bottom, is the

969
00:51:00.239 --> 00:51:02.400
<v Speaker 1>worst starting quarterback other than Tim Tebow.

970
00:51:05.360 --> 00:51:08.079
<v Speaker 2>And here and here's the deal. Don't forget they traded

971
00:51:08.239 --> 00:51:11.000
<v Speaker 2>up for this guy, so they mortgaged part of their future,

972
00:51:12.280 --> 00:51:16.239
<v Speaker 2>building around a huge part of it. So you can't

973
00:51:16.280 --> 00:51:19.480
<v Speaker 2>just do that and and then the quarterback suck because

974
00:51:19.519 --> 00:51:24.039
<v Speaker 2>if you do, you know again I think I I

975
00:51:24.039 --> 00:51:25.960
<v Speaker 2>think I got sucked into the Carolina thing again. I

976
00:51:26.000 --> 00:51:27.840
<v Speaker 2>think I picked him win eight games. It's it's just

977
00:51:27.840 --> 00:51:29.639
<v Speaker 2>gonna be not even close. They're gonna win four or

978
00:51:29.639 --> 00:51:33.920
<v Speaker 2>five games. Again, Like it's just Bryce Young. He sucks.

979
00:51:33.960 --> 00:51:36.920
<v Speaker 2>He's not it. He's not the dude, and he don't.

980
00:51:37.079 --> 00:51:39.599
<v Speaker 2>Don't be surprised if in the last four or five weeks,

981
00:51:39.639 --> 00:51:43.239
<v Speaker 2>when everybody has given up, they know that they suck.

982
00:51:44.360 --> 00:51:45.880
<v Speaker 1>Touch down pass last week. By the way, if you

983
00:51:45.880 --> 00:51:47.199
<v Speaker 1>didn't see that trash time.

984
00:51:47.360 --> 00:51:50.920
<v Speaker 2>Oh did he? I did not see that? Okay, oh

985
00:51:50.920 --> 00:51:52.320
<v Speaker 2>my god? Are we gonna Are we gonna get the

986
00:51:52.400 --> 00:51:55.960
<v Speaker 2>red Rocket again? Jesus Christ. No, I don't want to

987
00:51:55.960 --> 00:51:57.159
<v Speaker 2>spend a lot of time on this game because I

988
00:51:57.360 --> 00:51:58.880
<v Speaker 2>don't like it at all. But I will be on

989
00:51:58.960 --> 00:52:01.599
<v Speaker 2>Miami and Bryce Young sucks.

990
00:52:02.280 --> 00:52:05.119
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I'm not spending time on it either. Just I

991
00:52:05.119 --> 00:52:07.599
<v Speaker 1>would say the BPG grais it out twenty four to twenty.

992
00:52:07.679 --> 00:52:10.559
<v Speaker 1>Miami Overrunner is forty four and a half and no

993
00:52:10.719 --> 00:52:14.000
<v Speaker 1>call there. I mean, it's a it's a flat match

994
00:52:14.039 --> 00:52:17.960
<v Speaker 1>of about both quarterbacks. But here miam Here's where Miami

995
00:52:18.000 --> 00:52:19.480
<v Speaker 1>will have an advantage and why I think they win

996
00:52:19.519 --> 00:52:21.360
<v Speaker 1>the game. They're gonna have an advantage running the ball

997
00:52:21.760 --> 00:52:25.440
<v Speaker 1>with their scheme versus this Caroline offense or Caroline defense.

998
00:52:25.480 --> 00:52:27.920
<v Speaker 1>Excuse me and number two my ally, The other point

999
00:52:28.000 --> 00:52:32.320
<v Speaker 1>is I think that, you know, losing the fucking fastest

1000
00:52:32.559 --> 00:52:35.679
<v Speaker 1>girlfriend pregnant girlfriend kicker in the world could be auditioned

1001
00:52:35.719 --> 00:52:38.119
<v Speaker 1>by subtraction, at least in the small front. He's obviously

1002
00:52:38.159 --> 00:52:40.320
<v Speaker 1>a fucking distraction in the locker room. He didn't want

1003
00:52:40.320 --> 00:52:42.360
<v Speaker 1>to be there. You saw him fucking cheering like a motherfucker,

1004
00:52:42.440 --> 00:52:44.920
<v Speaker 1>like he just did the lottery when he s ending

1005
00:52:45.000 --> 00:52:46.679
<v Speaker 1>his career. I hate him too, I've hated him since

1006
00:52:46.719 --> 00:52:52.320
<v Speaker 1>Oklahoma State. But either way, for coming together moment, this

1007
00:52:52.360 --> 00:52:54.400
<v Speaker 1>could be one of those sealed the locker room type deals.

1008
00:52:54.480 --> 00:52:57.039
<v Speaker 1>Sure play a shitty fucking team. It's a small travel

1009
00:52:57.039 --> 00:53:01.159
<v Speaker 1>from Miami to fucking Carolina. I mean, it's it's Miami pass.

1010
00:53:01.159 --> 00:53:05.960
<v Speaker 1>We're here. Oh, let's get onto the game that I

1011
00:53:06.039 --> 00:53:09.639
<v Speaker 1>know Longhorn has been chomping at the fucking bit to

1012
00:53:09.679 --> 00:53:14.280
<v Speaker 1>get into. And you know what if I said that

1013
00:53:14.599 --> 00:53:16.199
<v Speaker 1>four weeks ago, he'd be like you're out of here,

1014
00:53:16.280 --> 00:53:20.800
<v Speaker 1>goddamn mine, But here we are. It's those New Orleans

1015
00:53:20.840 --> 00:53:27.880
<v Speaker 1>Saints hosting those New York Football Giants. All right, this was.

1016
00:53:30.679 --> 00:53:33.559
<v Speaker 2>Supposed to be it's going to be all over the place.

1017
00:53:34.440 --> 00:53:38.480
<v Speaker 1>No, So I had New Orleans minus two. They're sitting

1018
00:53:38.480 --> 00:53:41.800
<v Speaker 1>at minus two. Vegas had New Orleans plus one and

1019
00:53:41.840 --> 00:53:43.960
<v Speaker 1>a half. This is one of the few games that

1020
00:53:44.679 --> 00:53:49.599
<v Speaker 1>Vegas had the Giants favorite and I didn't. I had

1021
00:53:49.599 --> 00:53:52.360
<v Speaker 1>New Orleans sitting exactly where they are, so I bet

1022
00:53:52.400 --> 00:53:53.800
<v Speaker 1>they beat me on the last one. I beat them

1023
00:53:53.840 --> 00:53:58.280
<v Speaker 1>on this one, Longhorn. It's New Orleans minus two. Just

1024
00:53:58.320 --> 00:53:59.960
<v Speaker 1>like I said, it was gonna be taking away.

1025
00:54:00.320 --> 00:54:02.519
<v Speaker 2>Well before I take it away, we're getting some fuckery

1026
00:54:02.559 --> 00:54:05.000
<v Speaker 2>here in the San Francisco game with some spotting of

1027
00:54:05.039 --> 00:54:07.400
<v Speaker 2>the balls, but we'll deal with that later because I

1028
00:54:07.440 --> 00:54:09.079
<v Speaker 2>think the Rams are gonna come back on this game.

1029
00:54:10.800 --> 00:54:13.119
<v Speaker 2>Go to go to go to Texas. Tell health dot

1030
00:54:13.159 --> 00:54:15.320
<v Speaker 2>com if you've got spotted balls, Doctor West, take carry

1031
00:54:15.360 --> 00:54:20.719
<v Speaker 2>for sure. Now this one is fiddle in the middle

1032
00:54:20.840 --> 00:54:23.760
<v Speaker 2>action a lot of those this week. I may or

1033
00:54:23.800 --> 00:54:26.039
<v Speaker 2>may not have already put out in New Orleans at

1034
00:54:26.079 --> 00:54:30.119
<v Speaker 2>pickam on the on the premium page, I'll be sure

1035
00:54:30.159 --> 00:54:32.159
<v Speaker 2>to go to that premium page at our patreon dot

1036
00:54:32.199 --> 00:54:35.159
<v Speaker 2>com slash bet underscore. Fgh. Maybe it's there, maybe it's not.

1037
00:54:35.199 --> 00:54:38.280
<v Speaker 2>I don't even got to purchase to find out. But

1038
00:54:38.719 --> 00:54:41.119
<v Speaker 2>I do like that the number has gone up. Would

1039
00:54:41.119 --> 00:54:44.360
<v Speaker 2>you say, is that right now? Yeah? It's at two?

1040
00:54:45.920 --> 00:54:47.679
<v Speaker 2>Oh is this steaming either way? Are we gonna get

1041
00:54:47.679 --> 00:54:51.440
<v Speaker 2>two and a half. It's pretty flat, it's it's flattened

1042
00:54:51.440 --> 00:54:53.880
<v Speaker 2>out at too. Okay, that's fine because I may or

1043
00:54:53.880 --> 00:54:56.719
<v Speaker 2>may not have played the Giants back on the teaser

1044
00:54:56.800 --> 00:54:59.559
<v Speaker 2>at plus eight. So this is this is again we

1045
00:54:59.599 --> 00:55:01.519
<v Speaker 2>talked about open a lot of a lot of a

1046
00:55:01.559 --> 00:55:04.119
<v Speaker 2>lot of playing both sides here. This is one. Now,

1047
00:55:05.280 --> 00:55:08.320
<v Speaker 2>Spencer Rounders never won a game. Does that worry? Yes?

1048
00:55:08.400 --> 00:55:12.960
<v Speaker 2>It fucking does, because he's not He is never you know,

1049
00:55:13.039 --> 00:55:14.920
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I don't know how to say you never

1050
00:55:14.920 --> 00:55:17.679
<v Speaker 2>want a game. Now, you could say, you could say

1051
00:55:18.760 --> 00:55:23.079
<v Speaker 2>he does suck. But here's the deal. New Orleans knows

1052
00:55:23.119 --> 00:55:27.599
<v Speaker 2>they're gonna win somewhere between zero and four games this year,

1053
00:55:27.679 --> 00:55:28.920
<v Speaker 2>and four is one.

1054
00:55:29.320 --> 00:55:30.800
<v Speaker 1>This is the one.

1055
00:55:31.039 --> 00:55:33.679
<v Speaker 2>Four might be pushing it, but I'm just saying, like

1056
00:55:33.719 --> 00:55:35.679
<v Speaker 2>they're over under was you know, five and a half.

1057
00:55:35.719 --> 00:55:39.440
<v Speaker 2>I think so five five and a half. So this

1058
00:55:39.639 --> 00:55:42.360
<v Speaker 2>is like, man, if we're gonna get one, if we're

1059
00:55:42.400 --> 00:55:44.360
<v Speaker 2>ever gonna have that feeling in the locker room, that

1060
00:55:44.360 --> 00:55:47.119
<v Speaker 2>that winning feeling for a shitty team, you want to

1061
00:55:47.159 --> 00:55:49.480
<v Speaker 2>have it one time. This is their super Bowl. This

1062
00:55:49.519 --> 00:55:52.039
<v Speaker 2>is literally the stadium is gonna be ready for it,

1063
00:55:52.280 --> 00:55:52.480
<v Speaker 2>you know.

1064
00:55:52.599 --> 00:55:56.159
<v Speaker 1>And also never won a game. Kellen Moore is a

1065
00:55:56.199 --> 00:55:57.880
<v Speaker 1>head coach. This could be his first.

1066
00:55:58.360 --> 00:56:01.400
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, good good point. Good point, like they're they're they're

1067
00:56:01.480 --> 00:56:06.920
<v Speaker 2>thirsting for a win here and that and last last point,

1068
00:56:06.920 --> 00:56:09.800
<v Speaker 2>I'll throw it to you. The giants kind of. I mean,

1069
00:56:09.800 --> 00:56:12.760
<v Speaker 2>we saw the celebration between Dart and and the coach

1070
00:56:12.840 --> 00:56:15.159
<v Speaker 2>last week that they felt like that's a monkey off

1071
00:56:15.199 --> 00:56:17.000
<v Speaker 2>the back, Like, holy shit, they were still running the

1072
00:56:17.039 --> 00:56:19.920
<v Speaker 2>one super Bowl. It's a natural letdown spot. It's just

1073
00:56:19.960 --> 00:56:23.039
<v Speaker 2>a natural letdown spot. Not to mention Dart like there's

1074
00:56:23.079 --> 00:56:25.440
<v Speaker 2>some more. There's tape on him now, you know. So

1075
00:56:25.440 --> 00:56:26.760
<v Speaker 2>so they'll be able to shut down some of that

1076
00:56:26.840 --> 00:56:29.039
<v Speaker 2>running game, force him to beat them with the past.

1077
00:56:29.400 --> 00:56:31.400
<v Speaker 2>Neighbors is not there, so you don't have that bell

1078
00:56:31.440 --> 00:56:34.960
<v Speaker 2>out throw over the top. Look, I like Newlan's to

1079
00:56:34.960 --> 00:56:38.960
<v Speaker 2>win this game. You know it's but I do think

1080
00:56:39.000 --> 00:56:41.320
<v Speaker 2>it'll be closed because no one sucks and and Ratler's

1081
00:56:41.360 --> 00:56:42.840
<v Speaker 2>number won a games, so he's not going to get

1082
00:56:42.880 --> 00:56:45.679
<v Speaker 2>to win with margins. So New Orleans to win, Giants

1083
00:56:45.719 --> 00:56:48.519
<v Speaker 2>to cover the teaser, and let's let's play both sides.

1084
00:56:49.519 --> 00:56:49.880
<v Speaker 3>All right.

1085
00:56:49.920 --> 00:56:52.599
<v Speaker 1>So I did grade this out. I do have four

1086
00:56:52.880 --> 00:56:56.199
<v Speaker 1>weeks now for all the rookie quarterbacks and Spencer Rattlers

1087
00:56:56.239 --> 00:56:58.280
<v Speaker 1>of the world, so I am able to grade pretty

1088
00:56:58.360 --> 00:57:02.440
<v Speaker 1>much every team now rated in fairness. I degrade the

1089
00:57:02.480 --> 00:57:05.119
<v Speaker 1>Giants with Russell Wilson's numbers because I don't have enough

1090
00:57:05.119 --> 00:57:07.679
<v Speaker 1>one Jackson Dart, but I was like, eh, close enough.

1091
00:57:08.880 --> 00:57:13.159
<v Speaker 1>So the power raking is on the Giants, the buckets

1092
00:57:13.159 --> 00:57:15.079
<v Speaker 1>are on the Giants, but the B two's a no call.

1093
00:57:15.679 --> 00:57:18.480
<v Speaker 1>D two's on Giants. Forty two is the over under.

1094
00:57:18.519 --> 00:57:20.800
<v Speaker 1>I've got this twenty four to twenty two New Orleans,

1095
00:57:20.880 --> 00:57:22.599
<v Speaker 1>so that's right on the two points. That's a no

1096
00:57:22.760 --> 00:57:26.400
<v Speaker 1>call for me on the VPG. But here's the thing,

1097
00:57:27.880 --> 00:57:31.199
<v Speaker 1>this should be a decent matchup for Spencer Ratler. He

1098
00:57:31.239 --> 00:57:34.119
<v Speaker 1>gets half a point through the BBG. I can't really

1099
00:57:34.159 --> 00:57:37.360
<v Speaker 1>say what it's gonna be for Dart. Per se. But

1100
00:57:37.440 --> 00:57:39.800
<v Speaker 1>here's the other pause to part for New Orleans. They

1101
00:57:39.840 --> 00:57:43.119
<v Speaker 1>should be able to run wild on this defense. They

1102
00:57:43.159 --> 00:57:45.639
<v Speaker 1>gain a point and a half of the BPG. That's

1103
00:57:45.679 --> 00:57:47.440
<v Speaker 1>what he needs. He needs a fucking running game, and

1104
00:57:47.440 --> 00:57:50.239
<v Speaker 1>he needs a control of the clock and just wear

1105
00:57:50.440 --> 00:57:52.760
<v Speaker 1>down this Giants team, like you said, coming off a

1106
00:57:52.760 --> 00:57:56.039
<v Speaker 1>big high. They get down, we'll see what happens. But

1107
00:57:56.119 --> 00:57:59.840
<v Speaker 1>I do have this humongous trend on this game, and

1108
00:58:00.119 --> 00:58:03.920
<v Speaker 1>this applies to the Taxons, which they're gonna catch a

1109
00:58:03.960 --> 00:58:07.159
<v Speaker 1>break probably, but the Dolphins too, which that's what kept

1110
00:58:07.199 --> 00:58:13.039
<v Speaker 1>me off, the Dolphins and the Giants. So Week five, again,

1111
00:58:13.280 --> 00:58:16.039
<v Speaker 1>you were one and three or oh and three, you

1112
00:58:16.159 --> 00:58:20.239
<v Speaker 1>just won the game three and so this opposite of

1113
00:58:20.320 --> 00:58:21.920
<v Speaker 1>last the last trend of game you were three and

1114
00:58:21.960 --> 00:58:24.519
<v Speaker 1>oh and lost a game. This trend is you were

1115
00:58:24.559 --> 00:58:26.840
<v Speaker 1>oh and three and you just won your first game.

1116
00:58:28.280 --> 00:58:30.559
<v Speaker 1>So then now it's week five, you're one and three,

1117
00:58:31.719 --> 00:58:36.960
<v Speaker 1>three and fourteen straight up, seven and ten ats forty

1118
00:58:37.000 --> 00:58:40.199
<v Speaker 1>one percent and eleven and six of the over, which

1119
00:58:40.239 --> 00:58:42.960
<v Speaker 1>I do have it going over. So numbers line up

1120
00:58:42.960 --> 00:58:46.599
<v Speaker 1>with that part of the trid lease and the average

1121
00:58:46.639 --> 00:58:49.679
<v Speaker 1>line on that is a plus three and they're plus

1122
00:58:49.719 --> 00:58:53.239
<v Speaker 1>two and they're losing at a two point six culative

1123
00:58:53.320 --> 00:58:55.679
<v Speaker 1>ats mark.

1124
00:58:56.400 --> 00:58:57.800
<v Speaker 2>So you're all over New Orleans two.

1125
00:58:59.280 --> 00:59:04.239
<v Speaker 1>There's only New Orleans in the over all right, all right,

1126
00:59:04.280 --> 00:59:06.599
<v Speaker 1>here we go. We're moving on to this is a

1127
00:59:06.599 --> 00:59:13.800
<v Speaker 1>difficult one. Those Seattle Seahawks hosting those tam uh Bakers.

1128
00:59:13.840 --> 00:59:16.239
<v Speaker 1>Maybe Bakers, maybe no Bakers.

1129
00:59:15.920 --> 00:59:16.320
<v Speaker 2>I don't know.

1130
00:59:16.400 --> 00:59:17.960
<v Speaker 1>I think he plays. He's a tough kid.

1131
00:59:18.039 --> 00:59:19.360
<v Speaker 2>He ain't missing shit.

1132
00:59:20.360 --> 00:59:24.320
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, he ain't missing. So on this one preseason I

1133
00:59:24.400 --> 00:59:29.000
<v Speaker 1>had to pick him. Vegas had Seattle plus one Seattle

1134
00:59:29.000 --> 00:59:30.920
<v Speaker 1>minus three and a half, so I was closer to

1135
00:59:30.920 --> 00:59:35.239
<v Speaker 1>the Vegas. We were still both way fucking wrong. I

1136
00:59:35.280 --> 00:59:36.719
<v Speaker 1>think you right now, it's still three and a half

1137
00:59:36.760 --> 00:59:38.719
<v Speaker 1>long horn. So you go on this one.

1138
00:59:39.320 --> 00:59:41.639
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you say this is a tough one. It's almost

1139
00:59:41.760 --> 00:59:44.360
<v Speaker 2>like this one is a dangerous one, because I woke

1140
00:59:44.440 --> 00:59:47.519
<v Speaker 2>up feeling a little dangerous this morning. Boats. Even so,

1141
00:59:47.599 --> 00:59:51.159
<v Speaker 2>this is gonna be the danger zone game of the.

1142
00:59:51.239 --> 01:00:14.079
<v Speaker 3>Week, all right. So right off the bat, Baker.

1143
01:00:13.760 --> 01:00:15.760
<v Speaker 2>Eight missing his game, He's gonna play. He's a gamer

1144
01:00:15.920 --> 01:00:19.840
<v Speaker 2>fifteen and eight, fifteen and eight as a dog for Bakers.

1145
01:00:19.880 --> 01:00:21.639
<v Speaker 2>So I like that. I like that we're getting to

1146
01:00:21.679 --> 01:00:24.360
<v Speaker 2>three and a half. Now, as I mentioned earlier, the

1147
01:00:24.440 --> 01:00:27.440
<v Speaker 2>three and a half has been the absolute kryptonite for

1148
01:00:27.480 --> 01:00:30.360
<v Speaker 2>me this year. I've got multiple losses taking the dog

1149
01:00:30.400 --> 01:00:32.280
<v Speaker 2>at three and a half, one of them by this

1150
01:00:32.639 --> 01:00:35.639
<v Speaker 2>by this very Bucks team last week against Philly at

1151
01:00:35.639 --> 01:00:37.519
<v Speaker 2>three and a half. So it's kind of been a

1152
01:00:37.519 --> 01:00:42.480
<v Speaker 2>little little fools good. Well, remember the La Rams plus

1153
01:00:42.519 --> 01:00:43.519
<v Speaker 2>three and a half in Philly.

1154
01:00:43.639 --> 01:00:46.440
<v Speaker 1>That was the impossible. The Bucks got whipped pretty good,

1155
01:00:46.440 --> 01:00:48.079
<v Speaker 1>but they did have a chance to cover and the.

1156
01:00:48.119 --> 01:00:49.679
<v Speaker 2>End had a great chance to cover at the end.

1157
01:00:50.079 --> 01:00:53.360
<v Speaker 2>So now that can't that can't continue because three and

1158
01:00:53.360 --> 01:00:55.519
<v Speaker 2>a half is one of the greatest numbers in in

1159
01:00:55.920 --> 01:01:00.519
<v Speaker 2>football betting period. So I'm killing that Bucky Irving being

1160
01:01:00.599 --> 01:01:03.800
<v Speaker 2>out or you know, probably out, we'll see, haven't haven't

1161
01:01:03.800 --> 01:01:08.320
<v Speaker 2>seen officially ruled out, but he's yeah, but it But

1162
01:01:08.440 --> 01:01:10.800
<v Speaker 2>either way, we saw him be out last year and

1163
01:01:10.840 --> 01:01:13.440
<v Speaker 2>they still had running it like uh the Tucker kid

1164
01:01:14.280 --> 01:01:17.000
<v Speaker 2>White or Shaan White. They've got running backs. They might

1165
01:01:17.039 --> 01:01:19.679
<v Speaker 2>not be as as dynamic as Bucky Irving, but they've

1166
01:01:19.679 --> 01:01:24.159
<v Speaker 2>got running backs. But the defense for Tampa Bay you

1167
01:01:24.159 --> 01:01:28.519
<v Speaker 2>can't run on them. And Seattle's identity is running the ball.

1168
01:01:29.639 --> 01:01:32.320
<v Speaker 2>Is running the ball and playing defense. Well, the the

1169
01:01:32.360 --> 01:01:34.400
<v Speaker 2>Tampa Bay defense is gonna shut down the running game.

1170
01:01:34.480 --> 01:01:37.039
<v Speaker 2>So now you're stuck with Sam Darnold, who has had

1171
01:01:37.039 --> 01:01:40.719
<v Speaker 2>a reserve in his career, being able to find enough

1172
01:01:40.760 --> 01:01:43.519
<v Speaker 2>weapons to to, you know, win this game with margin

1173
01:01:43.719 --> 01:01:46.800
<v Speaker 2>by more than three and a half. And these dbats

1174
01:01:46.800 --> 01:01:50.719
<v Speaker 2>for Tampa Bay, this physical Tampa Bay defense, it's really

1175
01:01:50.800 --> 01:01:53.119
<v Speaker 2>only one guy that they got to shut down in JSN.

1176
01:01:53.599 --> 01:01:55.400
<v Speaker 2>Outside of that, if they shut down the running game

1177
01:01:55.440 --> 01:01:59.760
<v Speaker 2>and JSN they should, they should be able to win

1178
01:01:59.760 --> 01:02:02.280
<v Speaker 2>this game. So with the danger zone on my mind,

1179
01:02:02.280 --> 01:02:05.679
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna do. I'm gonna do one in one, one

1180
01:02:05.679 --> 01:02:10.840
<v Speaker 2>in one, one one need to want to now plus

1181
01:02:10.880 --> 01:02:16.639
<v Speaker 2>three money actually changed just on a three and a half,

1182
01:02:16.639 --> 01:02:18.320
<v Speaker 2>two units on a three and a half, and then

1183
01:02:18.360 --> 01:02:20.960
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna listen to your handicap and then I'll decide

1184
01:02:20.960 --> 01:02:22.519
<v Speaker 2>if I want to if I want to go moneyline,

1185
01:02:23.079 --> 01:02:26.159
<v Speaker 2>but definitely, definitely I'm on Tampa Bay plus three and

1186
01:02:26.199 --> 01:02:28.159
<v Speaker 2>a half in this game. And both sieves do the

1187
01:02:28.239 --> 01:02:31.360
<v Speaker 2>numbers agree with this? And does Tampa Bay have a

1188
01:02:31.360 --> 01:02:34.880
<v Speaker 2>shot to steal this game against Seattle? Who who I have?

1189
01:02:35.320 --> 01:02:37.239
<v Speaker 2>I think I can't see a boarder now, but I

1190
01:02:37.239 --> 01:02:39.320
<v Speaker 2>think I have them in the Anster Championship game with

1191
01:02:39.440 --> 01:02:42.519
<v Speaker 2>Tampa Bay. So this, this to me is the NFC

1192
01:02:43.199 --> 01:02:50.800
<v Speaker 2>Championship matchup. So uh, what do we got charter or something? Well,

1193
01:02:51.519 --> 01:02:55.239
<v Speaker 2>I mean you know that's uh that that's just that's

1194
01:02:55.360 --> 01:02:58.039
<v Speaker 2>just like your opinion, man, I mean.

1195
01:03:00.000 --> 01:03:03.159
<v Speaker 1>All right, so on this power rankings agreed, Tampa Bay

1196
01:03:03.239 --> 01:03:07.280
<v Speaker 1>buckets right now, no call B two, Tampa Bay the money.

1197
01:03:07.280 --> 01:03:09.559
<v Speaker 1>The money has not moved in this game. So I'm

1198
01:03:09.599 --> 01:03:12.519
<v Speaker 1>watching the money. I'm still watching the money. D two's

1199
01:03:12.599 --> 01:03:14.760
<v Speaker 1>no call. Forty four and a half sen the total.

1200
01:03:14.800 --> 01:03:17.840
<v Speaker 1>I've got it slightly over that. I've got Tampa Bay

1201
01:03:17.840 --> 01:03:21.440
<v Speaker 1>winning this game twenty five to twenty two. Now here's

1202
01:03:21.480 --> 01:03:23.719
<v Speaker 1>what scares me with this matchup is it's a flat

1203
01:03:23.760 --> 01:03:26.599
<v Speaker 1>matchup for Sam Darnold. He should be fine. It's not

1204
01:03:26.679 --> 01:03:28.480
<v Speaker 1>a great matchup for Baker. He loses the point and

1205
01:03:28.480 --> 01:03:31.840
<v Speaker 1>a half of the VPG. But to your point, Seattle

1206
01:03:31.840 --> 01:03:35.119
<v Speaker 1>loses a half a point on their running game. Tampa

1207
01:03:35.119 --> 01:03:37.039
<v Speaker 1>Bay gains a half a point on their running game.

1208
01:03:37.039 --> 01:03:39.360
<v Speaker 1>And we've seen when Tampa Bay can run the ball

1209
01:03:40.400 --> 01:03:43.679
<v Speaker 1>and Baker doesn't have to scramble and get out of

1210
01:03:43.679 --> 01:03:46.679
<v Speaker 1>fucking forty seven fucking sacks and you know, have to

1211
01:03:46.719 --> 01:03:48.880
<v Speaker 1>do something awesome or something stupid.

1212
01:03:49.039 --> 01:03:51.800
<v Speaker 2>He's gonna do that. That's just what he does, I know.

1213
01:03:51.880 --> 01:03:53.599
<v Speaker 1>But like when he doesn't have to and they can

1214
01:03:53.639 --> 01:03:56.480
<v Speaker 1>stay on time, this offense is a fucking machine.

1215
01:03:56.760 --> 01:03:59.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and Godwin is gonna be I think he had

1216
01:03:59.519 --> 01:04:01.679
<v Speaker 2>ten target last week and like two or three catches

1217
01:04:01.719 --> 01:04:03.039
<v Speaker 2>like that's not gonna happen again.

1218
01:04:03.440 --> 01:04:05.920
<v Speaker 1>And they're gonna have to lean on this running game

1219
01:04:05.920 --> 01:04:07.840
<v Speaker 1>because again, it's not gonna be a good matchup for Baker,

1220
01:04:07.880 --> 01:04:09.599
<v Speaker 1>So I do not expect them to have a great game.

1221
01:04:09.920 --> 01:04:11.320
<v Speaker 1>So it's gonna have to be the running game to

1222
01:04:11.360 --> 01:04:13.679
<v Speaker 1>Texas home. But the good news is they do have

1223
01:04:13.719 --> 01:04:15.519
<v Speaker 1>the advantage there and they do great out to win

1224
01:04:15.599 --> 01:04:18.159
<v Speaker 1>as far as my numbers go. So I back you

1225
01:04:18.239 --> 01:04:18.679
<v Speaker 1>on this one.

1226
01:04:21.000 --> 01:04:23.880
<v Speaker 2>For Tampa to win. For Tampa to win, yeah, okay,

1227
01:04:23.880 --> 01:04:25.639
<v Speaker 2>then do one unit on the money line.

1228
01:04:26.440 --> 01:04:31.599
<v Speaker 1>One you need money line? Okay, I will look that

1229
01:04:31.679 --> 01:04:32.280
<v Speaker 1>up in a second.

1230
01:04:32.320 --> 01:04:34.880
<v Speaker 2>Okay, Yeah, you're good, You're good. What's the next one?

1231
01:04:35.719 --> 01:04:38.320
<v Speaker 1>Oh, it's the fucking game of the week. Of course,

1232
01:04:38.400 --> 01:04:43.400
<v Speaker 1>it's still the Arizona Fight Midgets versus those ten See titles.

1233
01:04:43.679 --> 01:04:46.400
<v Speaker 1>I mean, how could you not just be glued to

1234
01:04:46.519 --> 01:04:49.840
<v Speaker 1>your TV during the fucking spa Like we have to

1235
01:04:49.920 --> 01:04:53.960
<v Speaker 1>have this in the sparse ass three o'clock fucking times,

1236
01:04:54.000 --> 01:04:55.880
<v Speaker 1>Like there's four games and this has to be fucking

1237
01:04:56.320 --> 01:04:59.519
<v Speaker 1>move this ship up, moving to London, moving to fucking Japan.

1238
01:04:59.639 --> 01:05:01.440
<v Speaker 1>What a we have to do to not have this

1239
01:05:01.559 --> 01:05:06.119
<v Speaker 1>game in the fucking three o'clock time? Song? God damn it?

1240
01:05:06.639 --> 01:05:07.079
<v Speaker 2>All right?

1241
01:05:07.639 --> 01:05:11.719
<v Speaker 1>On this one, I had Arizona minus seven and a half.

1242
01:05:12.119 --> 01:05:14.239
<v Speaker 1>Vegas had a minus five and a half. It's sitting

1243
01:05:14.320 --> 01:05:17.000
<v Speaker 1>at I believe seven and a half. So I beat

1244
01:05:17.079 --> 01:05:19.639
<v Speaker 1>Vegas on this one, like I was waying down on

1245
01:05:19.679 --> 01:05:21.719
<v Speaker 1>Tennessee and I was a little bit higher on Arizona

1246
01:05:21.880 --> 01:05:24.559
<v Speaker 1>than Vegas. Now I'm not sure that I'm right, I'll

1247
01:05:24.559 --> 01:05:26.719
<v Speaker 1>put that out. I'm not sure that I'm right I'm

1248
01:05:26.719 --> 01:05:30.920
<v Speaker 1>being higher than Vegas and Arizona. But clearly I was

1249
01:05:30.960 --> 01:05:33.159
<v Speaker 1>fucking right on me and more down on the Titans

1250
01:05:33.159 --> 01:05:35.360
<v Speaker 1>than they were. So long, when were you got on

1251
01:05:35.400 --> 01:05:35.800
<v Speaker 1>this one?

1252
01:05:36.199 --> 01:05:40.079
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? I hate to burst everybody's bubble here, but I

1253
01:05:40.159 --> 01:05:43.920
<v Speaker 2>don't do write ups on Tennessee games anymore. They are unvetable.

1254
01:05:44.480 --> 01:05:47.480
<v Speaker 2>Why would I waste my time digging into a team

1255
01:05:47.679 --> 01:05:49.679
<v Speaker 2>that what are they both say? It was three and

1256
01:05:49.760 --> 01:05:52.960
<v Speaker 2>eighteen ats under this coach, like.

1257
01:05:53.039 --> 01:05:56.199
<v Speaker 1>Three in eighteen? How did they ever cover three games?

1258
01:05:56.239 --> 01:05:58.039
<v Speaker 2>I don't know. I would love to go back and

1259
01:05:58.079 --> 01:06:02.440
<v Speaker 2>watch it, like they're on unbeedable. So I'm not wasting

1260
01:06:02.559 --> 01:06:04.599
<v Speaker 2>us three twenty seven on the money line. I don't

1261
01:06:04.639 --> 01:06:07.360
<v Speaker 2>give a shit. I'm not wasting my time writing them up.

1262
01:06:07.840 --> 01:06:07.960
<v Speaker 1>Uh.

1263
01:06:08.119 --> 01:06:12.119
<v Speaker 2>Put them in the hell corner TV forever, stuck there

1264
01:06:12.800 --> 01:06:17.880
<v Speaker 2>until until this coach gets fired unbetable And and this

1265
01:06:17.920 --> 01:06:20.840
<v Speaker 2>is a free pass every single week for me, all right?

1266
01:06:20.920 --> 01:06:22.880
<v Speaker 1>Plus one sixty five.

1267
01:06:23.159 --> 01:06:25.480
<v Speaker 2>For Okay Tampa Bay.

1268
01:06:25.599 --> 01:06:28.719
<v Speaker 1>Okay, So that's a good that's a good number for you. Yeah, okay.

1269
01:06:28.960 --> 01:06:30.440
<v Speaker 1>I did go ahead and grade this game out. I

1270
01:06:30.440 --> 01:06:34.840
<v Speaker 1>don't have anything on it, like it's it's an okay

1271
01:06:34.880 --> 01:06:38.480
<v Speaker 1>matchup for Kyler. It's not a great matchup for fucking

1272
01:06:38.519 --> 01:06:41.599
<v Speaker 1>cam word. But what is forty two and a half

1273
01:06:42.000 --> 01:06:44.199
<v Speaker 1>is the total I've got it going under. I've got

1274
01:06:44.960 --> 01:06:49.000
<v Speaker 1>Arizona winning twenty two to sixteen. That's not quite covering

1275
01:06:49.039 --> 01:06:52.280
<v Speaker 1>the number I'm not betting. Tennessee. Don't worry boys and girls.

1276
01:06:52.320 --> 01:06:55.239
<v Speaker 1>I'm done. I've taken my chastising and I'm moving the

1277
01:06:55.239 --> 01:06:58.360
<v Speaker 1>fuck on. But Arizona should be able to run them

1278
01:06:58.400 --> 01:07:00.519
<v Speaker 1>up pretty well in this game, should be able to

1279
01:07:00.519 --> 01:07:02.800
<v Speaker 1>do what he does. Tennessee won't be able to do anything,

1280
01:07:02.920 --> 01:07:06.239
<v Speaker 1>So Arizona wins. If you haven't picked Arizona and.

1281
01:07:06.199 --> 01:07:08.800
<v Speaker 2>Your survivor yet, what do you think? That's what That's

1282
01:07:08.800 --> 01:07:12.039
<v Speaker 2>what I was gonna ask. What's the percentage of Arizona

1283
01:07:12.079 --> 01:07:16.559
<v Speaker 2>this week and survivor if they didn't pick him right

1284
01:07:16.599 --> 01:07:18.840
<v Speaker 2>because they played Carolina. That's what I was That's what

1285
01:07:18.920 --> 01:07:20.039
<v Speaker 2>I was thinking too, So like.

1286
01:07:20.239 --> 01:07:22.480
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, there's a lot of I've already burned Arizona in

1287
01:07:22.480 --> 01:07:24.679
<v Speaker 1>both of mine because I okay one of them at

1288
01:07:24.719 --> 01:07:27.440
<v Speaker 1>New Orleans week one, and I burned him the other

1289
01:07:27.559 --> 01:07:30.800
<v Speaker 1>on the other side with Carolina coming. So probably not

1290
01:07:30.800 --> 01:07:32.840
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people have Arizona left. That's all I'm saying.

1291
01:07:33.400 --> 01:07:36.000
<v Speaker 2>I do. So they're definitely my survivor pick.

1292
01:07:36.679 --> 01:07:38.639
<v Speaker 1>That's not a That's not a bad pick at all, sir,

1293
01:07:38.719 --> 01:07:41.159
<v Speaker 1>Not a bad pick at all, all right, Moving on

1294
01:07:41.320 --> 01:07:44.480
<v Speaker 1>to Longhorn. Well, this this is long Horn. This is

1295
01:07:44.519 --> 01:07:49.920
<v Speaker 1>the long Horn super Bowl. This fanatic hosting those Detroit Lions.

1296
01:07:49.960 --> 01:07:51.559
<v Speaker 2>What does that even mean? I don't even know what

1297
01:07:51.599 --> 01:07:52.199
<v Speaker 2>that means.

1298
01:07:52.639 --> 01:07:54.480
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. I'm not going over the pre season

1299
01:07:54.559 --> 01:07:57.159
<v Speaker 1>lines because obviously that was burrow In. Who gives a fuck,

1300
01:07:57.199 --> 01:08:00.599
<v Speaker 1>he's not there. Now we are sitting at this thing.

1301
01:08:00.599 --> 01:08:03.440
<v Speaker 1>Got up to fucking ten and a half at one point.

1302
01:08:03.800 --> 01:08:07.159
<v Speaker 2>Uh where at Now it's a flat ten.

1303
01:08:08.599 --> 01:08:11.559
<v Speaker 1>I'm trying to look, where is Thomas this fucking game?

1304
01:08:11.559 --> 01:08:14.760
<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, they they fucking moved this game to three

1305
01:08:14.800 --> 01:08:18.119
<v Speaker 1>o'clock hour. Now it's still pretty much ten and a

1306
01:08:18.159 --> 01:08:21.479
<v Speaker 1>half across the board. So ten to ten and a half.

1307
01:08:21.479 --> 01:08:23.439
<v Speaker 1>You can get plenty of ten's out there if you

1308
01:08:24.000 --> 01:08:25.920
<v Speaker 1>want to lay the ten. If you want to catch

1309
01:08:25.960 --> 01:08:27.239
<v Speaker 1>the ten and a half, you can get that too.

1310
01:08:27.439 --> 01:08:29.720
<v Speaker 1>So pick your poison here, boys and girls.

1311
01:08:30.760 --> 01:08:33.159
<v Speaker 2>Yeah I'm not. I'm not necessarily looking to lay the ten,

1312
01:08:33.199 --> 01:08:35.159
<v Speaker 2>but if you're, I mean, you know, if if I

1313
01:08:35.199 --> 01:08:36.640
<v Speaker 2>had to, like, if you're in the league that that

1314
01:08:36.760 --> 01:08:39.319
<v Speaker 2>picks every game against the spread or every game straight up,

1315
01:08:39.399 --> 01:08:42.720
<v Speaker 2>I'm just taking Detroit in both and and looking and

1316
01:08:42.800 --> 01:08:45.439
<v Speaker 2>just not even thinking about it. They are They're still

1317
01:08:45.439 --> 01:08:48.239
<v Speaker 2>a machine. They're still they're still doing what they've kind

1318
01:08:48.239 --> 01:08:50.640
<v Speaker 2>of always been doing. I don't see it. Do you

1319
01:08:50.680 --> 01:08:54.039
<v Speaker 2>do you notice a discernible difference between the Detroit with

1320
01:08:54.279 --> 01:08:57.319
<v Speaker 2>Ben Johnson and the great Hall of Fame Aaron Glynn

1321
01:08:57.359 --> 01:08:59.880
<v Speaker 2>to this Detroit team. I don't.

1322
01:09:00.720 --> 01:09:02.720
<v Speaker 1>The only difference was the green Bay game.

1323
01:09:03.000 --> 01:09:06.640
<v Speaker 2>Right, which was within the first game. Yeah, So, like,

1324
01:09:06.720 --> 01:09:08.079
<v Speaker 2>I mean, let's just say that there was I mean

1325
01:09:08.520 --> 01:09:11.159
<v Speaker 2>of some sort of a learning curt I mean.

1326
01:09:11.439 --> 01:09:13.560
<v Speaker 1>Let's say that Green Bays is the better team, which

1327
01:09:13.600 --> 01:09:16.520
<v Speaker 1>they probably are and is what it is.

1328
01:09:16.840 --> 01:09:20.960
<v Speaker 2>Maybe we'll see. Yeah, look, I don't want to overthink this.

1329
01:09:21.079 --> 01:09:26.319
<v Speaker 2>Cincinnati sucks, but they've sucked with Browning against some really

1330
01:09:26.359 --> 01:09:28.399
<v Speaker 2>good defenses. I do think that Brownie is gonna have

1331
01:09:28.399 --> 01:09:30.479
<v Speaker 2>a little bit of a bounce back here, be able

1332
01:09:30.520 --> 01:09:32.600
<v Speaker 2>to score some points. They they haven't scored anything in

1333
01:09:32.680 --> 01:09:34.880
<v Speaker 2>like two weeks. They're gonna put some focus on that.

1334
01:09:36.079 --> 01:09:38.479
<v Speaker 2>But the machine of the Detroit offense is just too much.

1335
01:09:38.520 --> 01:09:40.359
<v Speaker 2>And my last thing is I just I will not

1336
01:09:40.399 --> 01:09:44.439
<v Speaker 2>spend a lot of time on on going against Detroit

1337
01:09:44.479 --> 01:09:49.159
<v Speaker 2>because there they are a seventy percent ats machine since

1338
01:09:49.239 --> 01:09:53.560
<v Speaker 2>Dan Campbell's been there, seventy percent golf golf, same thing,

1339
01:09:53.600 --> 01:09:56.800
<v Speaker 2>you know, they're they're they're you know, coincide together. Obviously,

1340
01:09:57.039 --> 01:09:59.880
<v Speaker 2>you have to have a damn damn good reason to

1341
01:10:00.199 --> 01:10:03.079
<v Speaker 2>bat against Detroit, and we thought that this year would

1342
01:10:03.119 --> 01:10:07.960
<v Speaker 2>be a good well, we thought this year would be

1343
01:10:08.000 --> 01:10:09.680
<v Speaker 2>a good reason to bet against Detroit because of the

1344
01:10:09.760 --> 01:10:11.960
<v Speaker 2>you know, the the coordinator changes we did. We weren't

1345
01:10:12.000 --> 01:10:15.439
<v Speaker 2>sure how how much Ben Johnson had influence on that team.

1346
01:10:16.560 --> 01:10:16.720
<v Speaker 3>Base.

1347
01:10:17.520 --> 01:10:19.960
<v Speaker 2>Good job getting now it. Don't do it again, just

1348
01:10:20.000 --> 01:10:22.560
<v Speaker 2>don't do it. But yeah, so yeah, I'm on Detroit here.

1349
01:10:23.159 --> 01:10:25.159
<v Speaker 2>I just you gotta have a good reason. And and

1350
01:10:25.279 --> 01:10:27.039
<v Speaker 2>Detroit does not take their foot up the gas. That's

1351
01:10:27.079 --> 01:10:29.920
<v Speaker 2>the thing. If they if they smell blood in the water,

1352
01:10:30.239 --> 01:10:32.760
<v Speaker 2>they fucking throttle it. They foot down to the pedal.

1353
01:10:32.840 --> 01:10:34.920
<v Speaker 2>They will run it up on your ass. So they're

1354
01:10:34.960 --> 01:10:36.680
<v Speaker 2>much like a college team in that way to where

1355
01:10:37.159 --> 01:10:39.039
<v Speaker 2>they're not gonna kneel on it at the end of

1356
01:10:39.079 --> 01:10:41.199
<v Speaker 2>the game and just hand off, handoff, handoff. They're gonna

1357
01:10:41.239 --> 01:10:43.239
<v Speaker 2>keep running their offense. They're gonna keep doing They might

1358
01:10:43.239 --> 01:10:45.199
<v Speaker 2>not do trick plays if they're up, if they're up

1359
01:10:45.199 --> 01:10:48.000
<v Speaker 2>by thirteen, but they're they're gonna run their offense. They're

1360
01:10:48.000 --> 01:10:48.880
<v Speaker 2>gonna do their ship.

1361
01:10:50.279 --> 01:10:53.000
<v Speaker 1>See Detroit versus Chicago early this year.

1362
01:10:54.600 --> 01:10:57.720
<v Speaker 2>Well that was personal. That one was personal, So I

1363
01:10:58.159 --> 01:10:59.000
<v Speaker 2>understand that one.

1364
01:10:59.079 --> 01:11:01.039
<v Speaker 1>But the funny thing is Dan's not even mad at

1365
01:11:01.079 --> 01:11:03.680
<v Speaker 1>him for leaving because he can't be. He took an opportunity.

1366
01:11:03.680 --> 01:11:06.359
<v Speaker 1>Why wouldn't. I mean, dad couldn't be happier for the kid.

1367
01:11:06.640 --> 01:11:09.119
<v Speaker 2>No, But that's just that's just competitive. That's what they're

1368
01:11:09.159 --> 01:11:10.279
<v Speaker 2>the both competitive.

1369
01:11:10.359 --> 01:11:14.039
<v Speaker 1>Ye Sons. Not welcome to the fucking show as well. Yeah,

1370
01:11:14.199 --> 01:11:16.560
<v Speaker 1>that one movie like that that was and they were

1371
01:11:16.600 --> 01:11:18.840
<v Speaker 1>still running tree plays like oh, I mean they went

1372
01:11:18.880 --> 01:11:23.199
<v Speaker 1>forward to like fourth and three forty or thirty on

1373
01:11:23.359 --> 01:11:26.279
<v Speaker 1>the like six yard line just to throw another touchdown

1374
01:11:26.319 --> 01:11:29.680
<v Speaker 1>to fucking anonymous s Brown Like it was so like

1375
01:11:29.760 --> 01:11:32.840
<v Speaker 1>it was. It was one of those just ass whippons

1376
01:11:33.319 --> 01:11:35.600
<v Speaker 1>that you just like, if you're Ben Johnson, you you

1377
01:11:35.680 --> 01:11:37.279
<v Speaker 1>knew what was coming. You know who that dude is,

1378
01:11:37.319 --> 01:11:38.319
<v Speaker 1>You're just gonna take it.

1379
01:11:38.399 --> 01:11:41.079
<v Speaker 2>Like, look, they have they clearly have love for each

1380
01:11:41.119 --> 01:11:42.520
<v Speaker 2>other and respect for each other. It's just like a

1381
01:11:42.560 --> 01:11:46.079
<v Speaker 2>father and son. Like if you're a father, will if

1382
01:11:46.079 --> 01:11:47.960
<v Speaker 2>he gets a chance to teach a son a lesson

1383
01:11:48.199 --> 01:11:50.399
<v Speaker 2>like in physical like they're playing that he's gonna take

1384
01:11:50.439 --> 01:11:52.479
<v Speaker 2>it same way when the sun grows up and gets

1385
01:11:52.479 --> 01:11:54.439
<v Speaker 2>a little gets a little physicality, and hey, I got

1386
01:11:54.479 --> 01:11:56.079
<v Speaker 2>a chance to put it on you, pops, I'm gonna

1387
01:11:56.119 --> 01:11:58.319
<v Speaker 2>do it. It's the same thing, so that it's it's

1388
01:11:58.319 --> 01:12:00.439
<v Speaker 2>just competition. But yeah, Detroit, you gotta have a reason

1389
01:12:00.439 --> 01:12:01.880
<v Speaker 2>to bet against them, and I don't. I don't see

1390
01:12:01.920 --> 01:12:02.279
<v Speaker 2>one here.

1391
01:12:03.720 --> 01:12:07.279
<v Speaker 1>I don't either. The Power Greens do have sensy on this.

1392
01:12:07.479 --> 01:12:08.359
<v Speaker 1>This number is just.

1393
01:12:08.279 --> 01:12:10.840
<v Speaker 2>It's they're going to like, it's just going to that's

1394
01:12:10.880 --> 01:12:12.760
<v Speaker 2>just yeah, it always will.

1395
01:12:13.239 --> 01:12:16.159
<v Speaker 1>But the buckets are on Detroit, and buckets, by the way,

1396
01:12:16.319 --> 01:12:22.159
<v Speaker 1>boys and girls are now eighteen and eighteen and twelve overall,

1397
01:12:22.640 --> 01:12:26.600
<v Speaker 1>So I'm bad. It's having another great season. I'm hoping

1398
01:12:26.640 --> 01:12:28.720
<v Speaker 1>to unleash them soon. I want to get through this

1399
01:12:29.359 --> 01:12:33.199
<v Speaker 1>unleased four weeks. Plush the uh plus the fucking whip around.

1400
01:12:33.279 --> 01:12:35.199
<v Speaker 1>We usually have her for these four weeks where crazy

1401
01:12:35.199 --> 01:12:38.439
<v Speaker 1>shit happens. Now the B two and D two are

1402
01:12:38.439 --> 01:12:41.159
<v Speaker 1>no calls on this one. Forty nine and a half

1403
01:12:41.199 --> 01:12:43.960
<v Speaker 1>is a total. I've great this created well well well

1404
01:12:44.000 --> 01:12:48.159
<v Speaker 1>to the under I don't trust that necessarily, because, like

1405
01:12:48.199 --> 01:12:50.920
<v Speaker 1>you said, if Detroit can go put up forty. They're

1406
01:12:50.960 --> 01:12:54.359
<v Speaker 1>fucking gonna now what the BBG spit out was. Detroit

1407
01:12:54.399 --> 01:12:56.960
<v Speaker 1>went in twenty seven to fifteen, which would cover the

1408
01:12:57.000 --> 01:12:59.199
<v Speaker 1>ten and a half, put it well to the under.

1409
01:12:59.560 --> 01:13:02.319
<v Speaker 1>But your point, Brownie does actually great and I do

1410
01:13:02.359 --> 01:13:03.840
<v Speaker 1>have grades on a brown and now he actually does

1411
01:13:03.880 --> 01:13:06.359
<v Speaker 1>grade out decently. He gains half a point against his

1412
01:13:06.439 --> 01:13:07.279
<v Speaker 1>Detroit defense.

1413
01:13:07.880 --> 01:13:11.479
<v Speaker 2>That's shocking. That's shocking that it's grinding it out to

1414
01:13:11.520 --> 01:13:14.439
<v Speaker 2>the under, that this has over ridden all over it.

1415
01:13:15.000 --> 01:13:16.920
<v Speaker 2>I know, I know that is shocking.

1416
01:13:18.600 --> 01:13:21.119
<v Speaker 1>But here's the thing. Cincinna is not gonna be ever

1417
01:13:21.119 --> 01:13:22.399
<v Speaker 1>to run the ball. They're not gonna be able to

1418
01:13:22.439 --> 01:13:24.680
<v Speaker 1>run the ball in this game. That's gonna make it

1419
01:13:24.720 --> 01:13:27.640
<v Speaker 1>tough on Browning and Detroit should be able to run

1420
01:13:27.680 --> 01:13:30.560
<v Speaker 1>the ball at better than the average clip. That's just

1421
01:13:30.600 --> 01:13:33.399
<v Speaker 1>gonna make it easier on golf. The easier they run

1422
01:13:33.399 --> 01:13:35.479
<v Speaker 1>the ball in that offense, the more points they fucking score.

1423
01:13:35.520 --> 01:13:37.439
<v Speaker 1>The board opens up, the play action everything they love

1424
01:13:37.520 --> 01:13:40.560
<v Speaker 1>to do. Yeah, I mean, I'm not in the business

1425
01:13:40.560 --> 01:13:42.239
<v Speaker 1>of laying ten and a half, but if I had

1426
01:13:42.279 --> 01:13:45.199
<v Speaker 1>too good in my head, I can't back Sincy. There's

1427
01:13:45.199 --> 01:13:47.159
<v Speaker 1>nothing in the numbers and second back Sinsey. So I'm

1428
01:13:47.159 --> 01:13:47.399
<v Speaker 1>with you.

1429
01:13:47.920 --> 01:13:51.800
<v Speaker 2>Twenty to twenty rams ball with nine minutes left. Here

1430
01:13:51.880 --> 01:13:56.119
<v Speaker 2>we go, baby rams ball, yep, rams ball, nine minutes left.

1431
01:13:56.520 --> 01:13:59.960
<v Speaker 1>All right, let's go do it, fucking Matthew Stafford, don't

1432
01:14:00.159 --> 01:14:02.520
<v Speaker 1>don't fail me now, back, don't fail me now.

1433
01:14:02.760 --> 01:14:04.479
<v Speaker 2>Don't say anything in Jenson, just let it go.

1434
01:14:05.600 --> 01:14:09.479
<v Speaker 1>All right, Let's move on to those Sandy Yeah, go souper.

1435
01:14:10.319 --> 01:14:13.279
<v Speaker 2>Oh, back to San Diego. They were always san Diego.

1436
01:14:13.399 --> 01:14:15.680
<v Speaker 2>They were never not san Diego, never.

1437
01:14:15.680 --> 01:14:20.479
<v Speaker 1>Not san Diego. All right, they're hosting those Washington Redskins.

1438
01:14:20.960 --> 01:14:23.640
<v Speaker 1>All right on this one. Let's see what we had.

1439
01:14:25.520 --> 01:14:28.600
<v Speaker 1>I had Washington plus two Bays had and plus one

1440
01:14:28.680 --> 01:14:31.079
<v Speaker 1>and a half. We're sitting at I believe two and

1441
01:14:31.119 --> 01:14:35.399
<v Speaker 1>a half live now. We did have some no sorry, three,

1442
01:14:36.279 --> 01:14:40.399
<v Speaker 1>let's say two point seventy five, because any threes are juice.

1443
01:14:40.560 --> 01:14:45.159
<v Speaker 2>So but there are threes. But there are threes, okay.

1444
01:14:45.239 --> 01:14:48.880
<v Speaker 1>Plenty plenty of threes. Plenty threes now longer and I

1445
01:14:48.920 --> 01:14:51.079
<v Speaker 1>had some discussion on Monday. He thought this line was

1446
01:14:51.079 --> 01:14:53.359
<v Speaker 1>San Daniel's house. Said no, it's a fair line with

1447
01:14:53.479 --> 01:14:57.039
<v Speaker 1>Daniels Inns. I knew what my preseason grades were and

1448
01:14:57.279 --> 01:15:00.159
<v Speaker 1>he is gonna play. He is gonna wear knee bres yup.

1449
01:15:00.720 --> 01:15:04.319
<v Speaker 1>Scary Terry not gonna play. No Brown, not gonna play.

1450
01:15:04.399 --> 01:15:08.520
<v Speaker 1>Not that fucking matters at all. But I mean Longhorn

1451
01:15:08.560 --> 01:15:11.479
<v Speaker 1>talked about also in the preseason that other than Scary

1452
01:15:11.560 --> 01:15:14.079
<v Speaker 1>Terry might be one of the worst fucking receiving porters

1453
01:15:14.119 --> 01:15:17.159
<v Speaker 1>in all the football. How do they score against his

1454
01:15:17.279 --> 01:15:20.560
<v Speaker 1>Chargers defense? I don't know, man, Longhored.

1455
01:15:20.239 --> 01:15:24.640
<v Speaker 2>You got Yeah, everything you just said I tend to

1456
01:15:24.720 --> 01:15:29.239
<v Speaker 2>agree with, but I don't care because I love me

1457
01:15:29.560 --> 01:15:33.039
<v Speaker 2>some Jade Daniels and get the get it ready bosis

1458
01:15:33.079 --> 01:15:37.119
<v Speaker 2>because this is gonna be the big Dick pick of

1459
01:15:37.159 --> 01:15:38.239
<v Speaker 2>the week, and.

1460
01:15:38.439 --> 01:15:41.960
<v Speaker 1>Pop off a piece of my dick, floppy donky dick.

1461
01:15:41.960 --> 01:15:48.199
<v Speaker 2>Sire, fucking we've more deal nice, I'm gonna put some

1462
01:15:48.239 --> 01:15:52.159
<v Speaker 2>my dick in. Yeah, so just call it a gut check.

1463
01:15:52.479 --> 01:15:54.880
<v Speaker 2>I don't have a whole lot of numbers to back

1464
01:15:54.920 --> 01:15:56.279
<v Speaker 2>it up. I'm hoping when you throw it to you,

1465
01:15:56.279 --> 01:15:57.880
<v Speaker 2>you've got some numbers to back this up. But this

1466
01:15:58.000 --> 01:16:00.600
<v Speaker 2>is this is a Daniels This is just a Daniels play.

1467
01:16:00.720 --> 01:16:04.640
<v Speaker 2>And and sprinkle in some some Herbert coming back to

1468
01:16:04.840 --> 01:16:07.800
<v Speaker 2>the Herbert that he We always saw that he was

1469
01:16:07.840 --> 01:16:08.960
<v Speaker 2>whenever he gets pressured.

1470
01:16:10.439 --> 01:16:12.800
<v Speaker 1>How many units, We're.

1471
01:16:12.079 --> 01:16:17.439
<v Speaker 2>Going two and two, two and two, two units on

1472
01:16:19.159 --> 01:16:20.239
<v Speaker 2>the three on the three?

1473
01:16:20.920 --> 01:16:21.319
<v Speaker 1>Got it?

1474
01:16:21.640 --> 01:16:27.039
<v Speaker 2>Okay, uh, it's a big one. We're going. Okay, Joe

1475
01:16:27.079 --> 01:16:31.159
<v Speaker 2>all out later already was out. This is too much.

1476
01:16:31.199 --> 01:16:35.359
<v Speaker 2>This is the identity of the Chargers. They are going.

1477
01:16:36.319 --> 01:16:38.840
<v Speaker 1>People off the fucking say by the.

1478
01:16:38.840 --> 01:16:41.439
<v Speaker 2>Bell cast right now, or you know, I can you know,

1479
01:16:41.479 --> 01:16:43.039
<v Speaker 2>I could go deeper. I could. I could go into

1480
01:16:43.039 --> 01:16:45.199
<v Speaker 2>Makaia beacons like that. I'm not even done with naming

1481
01:16:45.239 --> 01:16:47.600
<v Speaker 2>the rosters, so don't even get me started. Don't even

1482
01:16:47.600 --> 01:16:49.279
<v Speaker 2>get me started, because I could, I could go much

1483
01:16:49.319 --> 01:16:52.039
<v Speaker 2>further with this. But the injuries are adding up, and

1484
01:16:52.079 --> 01:16:54.840
<v Speaker 2>this is just this is the Herbert versus Daniels play,

1485
01:16:54.880 --> 01:16:59.720
<v Speaker 2>because Daniels can succeed and perform without having off his

1486
01:16:59.800 --> 01:17:02.119
<v Speaker 2>best players. We've seen it, We've seen him do it.

1487
01:17:02.399 --> 01:17:06.600
<v Speaker 2>He can do it. Herbert, on the other hand, I

1488
01:17:06.680 --> 01:17:09.159
<v Speaker 2>love him when everything is good around him. I don't

1489
01:17:09.319 --> 01:17:11.439
<v Speaker 2>like him when it's not. And this is a situation

1490
01:17:11.479 --> 01:17:14.359
<v Speaker 2>where it's just not gonna be the Redskins. They are,

1491
01:17:14.720 --> 01:17:17.079
<v Speaker 2>they do get pressure. They're they're a team that can

1492
01:17:17.079 --> 01:17:19.479
<v Speaker 2>get pressu on the quarterback and with both tackles out

1493
01:17:19.560 --> 01:17:21.399
<v Speaker 2>and a guard out, I just think this is gonna

1494
01:17:21.399 --> 01:17:27.039
<v Speaker 2>be a nasty, low scoring game where Herbert's gonna gonna

1495
01:17:27.079 --> 01:17:28.720
<v Speaker 2>have the ball at the end of the game with

1496
01:17:28.760 --> 01:17:31.079
<v Speaker 2>a chance to win, and Daniels is gonna have the

1497
01:17:31.079 --> 01:17:32.279
<v Speaker 2>ball at the end of the game with a chance

1498
01:17:32.359 --> 01:17:34.840
<v Speaker 2>to win. And if you're asking me who I want

1499
01:17:35.199 --> 01:17:38.680
<v Speaker 2>in that situation, I mean, that's not even close right now.

1500
01:17:38.720 --> 01:17:42.000
<v Speaker 2>Give me Daniels, gimme Washington win this game, take the three,

1501
01:17:42.319 --> 01:17:45.039
<v Speaker 2>take them on the money line, give me some Washington.

1502
01:17:46.359 --> 01:17:52.319
<v Speaker 1>Longhorn at six Central immediately regret.

1503
01:17:53.279 --> 01:17:55.880
<v Speaker 2>No, I don't know. I fucking don't. I stand by it.

1504
01:17:55.960 --> 01:17:58.880
<v Speaker 2>I love it. This is win is this game? Is

1505
01:17:58.880 --> 01:18:01.359
<v Speaker 2>this a three o'clock game? Yeah? Is it's free? Oh?

1506
01:18:01.439 --> 01:18:02.520
<v Speaker 2>I can't wait for this game.

1507
01:18:03.279 --> 01:18:06.920
<v Speaker 1>No, it should be a great game. So power rankers

1508
01:18:06.920 --> 01:18:08.960
<v Speaker 1>of this got the charters bugs, You got the Chargers v.

1509
01:18:09.000 --> 01:18:13.039
<v Speaker 1>Two though Washington d two charters forty eight to total. Here,

1510
01:18:13.159 --> 01:18:15.000
<v Speaker 1>I agree with you. I think it's lower scoring. I've

1511
01:18:15.000 --> 01:18:17.199
<v Speaker 1>got a great out the Chargers twenty three to twenty,

1512
01:18:17.560 --> 01:18:19.600
<v Speaker 1>which is really a no call for the BBG because

1513
01:18:19.600 --> 01:18:21.199
<v Speaker 1>at the two and a half or three, it's right

1514
01:18:21.239 --> 01:18:24.399
<v Speaker 1>on the fucking line. But that's forty three points well

1515
01:18:24.439 --> 01:18:27.159
<v Speaker 1>to the under. Both of these teams have struggled again

1516
01:18:27.199 --> 01:18:30.840
<v Speaker 1>in the red zone. I expect that to continue. It's

1517
01:18:30.880 --> 01:18:33.640
<v Speaker 1>a decent matchup for Herbs, it's but it's not good.

1518
01:18:34.079 --> 01:18:36.560
<v Speaker 1>It's a really really bad matchup for Daniels. And what

1519
01:18:36.600 --> 01:18:38.239
<v Speaker 1>the Redskins like to do is the point and half

1520
01:18:38.239 --> 01:18:41.079
<v Speaker 1>of the BBG. And the bigger thing to me is

1521
01:18:41.159 --> 01:18:43.640
<v Speaker 1>it's a good matchup for the Chargers running game. They

1522
01:18:43.640 --> 01:18:45.159
<v Speaker 1>should be able to run the ball if they can

1523
01:18:45.239 --> 01:18:49.359
<v Speaker 1>run the ball with Dobbins and the kiddo, not Dobbins,

1524
01:18:49.520 --> 01:18:52.319
<v Speaker 1>the kiddo and uh no they have two kiddos.

1525
01:18:52.359 --> 01:18:59.720
<v Speaker 2>Now you're playing the charters. Yeah, Hampton and Dobbins. It's

1526
01:18:59.720 --> 01:19:04.000
<v Speaker 2>pretty much it that they're running with Dobbins. No, it's

1527
01:19:04.600 --> 01:19:07.000
<v Speaker 2>it's just Hampton now because Naja Harris got hurt.

1528
01:19:07.359 --> 01:19:09.520
<v Speaker 1>That's right. So it should be a good matchup for Dobin.

1529
01:19:09.720 --> 01:19:11.840
<v Speaker 1>Not I said last week it was gonna be fucking

1530
01:19:12.520 --> 01:19:15.239
<v Speaker 1>Hampton's like breakout game. That it doesn't grade out that

1531
01:19:15.319 --> 01:19:18.319
<v Speaker 1>way on this one. But he should be okay, should

1532
01:19:18.800 --> 01:19:19.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, do a little bit better.

1533
01:19:20.000 --> 01:19:22.880
<v Speaker 2>He's looking good. He's he's looking really good. That he

1534
01:19:22.960 --> 01:19:24.239
<v Speaker 2>looks like a one for one game.

1535
01:19:24.279 --> 01:19:26.640
<v Speaker 1>He looked good. Yeah, but and I told you he

1536
01:19:26.680 --> 01:19:28.800
<v Speaker 1>was going to But I also told you that was

1537
01:19:28.800 --> 01:19:30.560
<v Speaker 1>going to for his one game. That he's looked good.

1538
01:19:30.600 --> 01:19:32.439
<v Speaker 2>So who's breaking out in this game?

1539
01:19:34.279 --> 01:19:35.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's not gonna be the Redskins running game.

1540
01:19:35.840 --> 01:19:37.600
<v Speaker 1>I'll tell you that. And it's not gonna be Jayden.

1541
01:19:37.720 --> 01:19:40.319
<v Speaker 2>So, but it is gonna be Jayden. You shut your

1542
01:19:40.319 --> 01:19:40.960
<v Speaker 2>horse mouth.

1543
01:19:42.399 --> 01:19:44.279
<v Speaker 1>At the end of the day, the numbers agree with you,

1544
01:19:44.359 --> 01:19:45.840
<v Speaker 1>at least to the fact that it will be a

1545
01:19:45.840 --> 01:19:48.479
<v Speaker 1>close game. They may or may not cover the three.

1546
01:19:49.119 --> 01:19:52.239
<v Speaker 1>I don't have him winning. Look, it's just one of

1547
01:19:52.319 --> 01:19:54.800
<v Speaker 1>those spots that the Redskins don't go win. They just

1548
01:19:54.840 --> 01:19:57.840
<v Speaker 1>don't go win this game. So it is what it is.

1549
01:19:58.119 --> 01:20:02.239
<v Speaker 2>That's your daddy's Redskins. That's your daddy's Redskins. This is

1550
01:20:02.359 --> 01:20:05.039
<v Speaker 2>not your daddy's Redskins. Look.

1551
01:20:05.399 --> 01:20:07.920
<v Speaker 1>I love Jayden two. He is very special, but he's

1552
01:20:07.920 --> 01:20:08.760
<v Speaker 1>got a knee brace on.

1553
01:20:09.840 --> 01:20:11.880
<v Speaker 2>Oh. He could have played last week. He could have

1554
01:20:11.920 --> 01:20:13.680
<v Speaker 2>played last week. They held him out.

1555
01:20:14.600 --> 01:20:16.760
<v Speaker 1>But with the knee brace, he was hoping to get

1556
01:20:16.760 --> 01:20:18.399
<v Speaker 1>out of the knee bras. They're not gonna let him

1557
01:20:18.399 --> 01:20:19.319
<v Speaker 1>out of kne bras. He's not.

1558
01:20:19.359 --> 01:20:23.720
<v Speaker 2>I think you're just having RG three flashbacks PTSD right now,

1559
01:20:23.840 --> 01:20:27.960
<v Speaker 2>and it's uh, it is. It is very kind of

1560
01:20:28.039 --> 01:20:29.439
<v Speaker 2>on the same line. It's kind of a.

1561
01:20:29.399 --> 01:20:33.159
<v Speaker 1>Little scary, well, except that RG three was never as

1562
01:20:33.199 --> 01:20:35.560
<v Speaker 1>good at throwing the ball as Jade Dan, especially under pressure.

1563
01:20:35.760 --> 01:20:39.600
<v Speaker 1>An improvisational ship was great if it was his first

1564
01:20:39.640 --> 01:20:43.079
<v Speaker 1>read on a set up play, perfect in that Shanahan offense. Yeah,

1565
01:20:43.119 --> 01:20:46.439
<v Speaker 1>he like, if you reincarninated RG three and put him

1566
01:20:46.439 --> 01:20:49.399
<v Speaker 1>in the forty nine ers right now, they'd be fucking great.

1567
01:20:49.439 --> 01:20:51.960
<v Speaker 1>They would be the same thing as the Redskins were before. Like,

1568
01:20:52.560 --> 01:20:55.479
<v Speaker 1>it's just that's how those type of quarterbacks operate. But yeah,

1569
01:20:55.840 --> 01:20:58.800
<v Speaker 1>Jayden's so much further beyond that. But I can't get

1570
01:20:58.800 --> 01:20:59.720
<v Speaker 1>there with you on this one.

1571
01:20:59.800 --> 01:21:01.920
<v Speaker 2>The charters have a left tackle, and you know how

1572
01:21:02.000 --> 01:21:04.680
<v Speaker 2>much I have follow players and depth charts and draft

1573
01:21:04.760 --> 01:21:07.640
<v Speaker 2>they have a left tackle starting that I've literally never.

1574
01:21:07.479 --> 01:21:09.359
<v Speaker 1>Heard of they do.

1575
01:21:09.479 --> 01:21:13.239
<v Speaker 2>Someone has to play left tackle. Unfortunately, you can't not play,

1576
01:21:13.319 --> 01:21:16.720
<v Speaker 2>you can't go with a four man line, So I've

1577
01:21:16.760 --> 01:21:19.560
<v Speaker 2>never heard of him. He's graving, he's grading out terrible.

1578
01:21:20.319 --> 01:21:24.960
<v Speaker 2>The whole line. This looks like the Houston Texas Literally,

1579
01:21:25.000 --> 01:21:27.600
<v Speaker 2>the Houston Texas office line is way better than the

1580
01:21:27.640 --> 01:21:30.079
<v Speaker 2>grades that I'm stirring at for the charters. Opens the

1581
01:21:30.119 --> 01:21:32.079
<v Speaker 2>line right now. This is horrible. This is like worse

1582
01:21:32.079 --> 01:21:34.680
<v Speaker 2>than the league type offensive line gradings. Right now with

1583
01:21:34.960 --> 01:21:38.880
<v Speaker 2>it because they have three starters out obviously, Yeah.

1584
01:21:38.680 --> 01:21:41.119
<v Speaker 1>So if you try to play with four offensive Lindeman,

1585
01:21:41.199 --> 01:21:45.159
<v Speaker 1>it's just frowned up, like masturbating on an airplane.

1586
01:21:45.960 --> 01:21:48.399
<v Speaker 2>Thanks a lot, Ben Luden, Thanks a lot, Ben Ldden.

1587
01:21:49.960 --> 01:21:53.079
<v Speaker 1>All right, let's move on to those. Let's go buff

1588
01:21:54.439 --> 01:21:59.359
<v Speaker 1>Hm those built those are those new England Patriots. All right,

1589
01:21:59.640 --> 01:22:04.079
<v Speaker 1>So I've admitted whenever's wrong with the Bills. Preseason, I

1590
01:22:04.119 --> 01:22:05.880
<v Speaker 1>had a minus six. Vegas had a minus eight and

1591
01:22:05.920 --> 01:22:09.960
<v Speaker 1>a half. I think that's it definitely opened around there,

1592
01:22:09.960 --> 01:22:12.039
<v Speaker 1>but it's definitely come down when I got the money

1593
01:22:12.079 --> 01:22:16.159
<v Speaker 1>line up, hang on, it's around eight seven a half eight,

1594
01:22:18.279 --> 01:22:21.960
<v Speaker 1>So we open it ten. We're sitting actually sitting behind.

1595
01:22:22.359 --> 01:22:24.520
<v Speaker 1>It's coming back up now, so we're sitting between eight

1596
01:22:24.520 --> 01:22:27.199
<v Speaker 1>and a half and nine. So Vegas more right than

1597
01:22:27.199 --> 01:22:30.479
<v Speaker 1>me on this one, for sure, So let's call it

1598
01:22:31.359 --> 01:22:33.880
<v Speaker 1>let's call it eight point seventy five at this point.

1599
01:22:35.239 --> 01:22:35.680
<v Speaker 2>Climbing.

1600
01:22:36.439 --> 01:22:38.199
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's climbing back, but it opened it tens, so

1601
01:22:38.239 --> 01:22:41.079
<v Speaker 1>heavy money on the Patriots coming in first. Now late

1602
01:22:41.119 --> 01:22:43.359
<v Speaker 1>money's coming back into the bills to push this back up.

1603
01:22:43.680 --> 01:22:44.920
<v Speaker 1>I don't know how longer. What do you got on this?

1604
01:22:45.560 --> 01:22:47.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, this is another it's another fiddle in the middle

1605
01:22:48.000 --> 01:22:50.000
<v Speaker 2>type game. We're gonna have to get both sivas to

1606
01:22:50.279 --> 01:22:52.600
<v Speaker 2>pull a drop with a fiddle so that we can

1607
01:22:52.640 --> 01:22:56.000
<v Speaker 2>we can because this week there's just a lot of them. Now, Uh,

1608
01:22:56.239 --> 01:22:59.520
<v Speaker 2>the fact that the that the numbers climbing for New England,

1609
01:22:59.680 --> 01:23:02.359
<v Speaker 2>let it keep climbing. Let's see what the ceiling is

1610
01:23:02.359 --> 01:23:05.600
<v Speaker 2>on this because as we've seen, the sweet spot against

1611
01:23:05.680 --> 01:23:07.920
<v Speaker 2>Josh Allen is when it gets to ten plus as

1612
01:23:08.000 --> 01:23:10.880
<v Speaker 2>him favored. I don't think it's gonna get there, you know,

1613
01:23:11.000 --> 01:23:13.119
<v Speaker 2>but like, just let it keep climbing, because because I

1614
01:23:13.119 --> 01:23:15.720
<v Speaker 2>want to take Buffalo down and the teasers and I

1615
01:23:15.720 --> 01:23:18.359
<v Speaker 2>want to play New England on the other side, this

1616
01:23:18.399 --> 01:23:22.680
<v Speaker 2>is Drake May's chance to kind of plant his flag

1617
01:23:22.880 --> 01:23:27.159
<v Speaker 2>as like, hey, we're coming, We're next. I'm the next

1618
01:23:27.199 --> 01:23:30.319
<v Speaker 2>big you know, like young quarterback that's that's gonna have

1619
01:23:30.520 --> 01:23:32.479
<v Speaker 2>You know, we've seen him do it against shitty teams.

1620
01:23:32.479 --> 01:23:34.119
<v Speaker 2>This is a chance to go on the road. He

1621
01:23:34.159 --> 01:23:35.880
<v Speaker 2>doesn't have to win this game, but if he can

1622
01:23:35.920 --> 01:23:38.800
<v Speaker 2>go to go tot to toe with Josh Allen, uh

1623
01:23:39.359 --> 01:23:41.760
<v Speaker 2>that that's a chance for him to say, Hey, I'm next.

1624
01:23:41.800 --> 01:23:46.800
<v Speaker 2>So it's a division game, huge division dog number. So

1625
01:23:46.840 --> 01:23:50.239
<v Speaker 2>I'm looking to play this middle. Already got Buffalo teased down.

1626
01:23:50.359 --> 01:23:53.000
<v Speaker 2>You should have already done that too, and then just

1627
01:23:53.079 --> 01:23:55.359
<v Speaker 2>late just wait and see see how see how big

1628
01:23:55.359 --> 01:23:57.079
<v Speaker 2>this number can climb for New England.

1629
01:23:58.159 --> 01:24:01.119
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, numbers agree with you there, so power Reagan's on

1630
01:24:01.159 --> 01:24:04.840
<v Speaker 1>Buffalo New England though, we got the buckets. But Buffalo's

1631
01:24:04.920 --> 01:24:07.720
<v Speaker 1>v the V two New England D two forty nine

1632
01:24:07.720 --> 01:24:09.399
<v Speaker 1>and a half is total sitting. I've got a pretty

1633
01:24:09.399 --> 01:24:11.319
<v Speaker 1>close to that. I got Buffalo win in twenty eight twenty.

1634
01:24:11.760 --> 01:24:13.680
<v Speaker 1>So it's gonna be a no call by the BPG.

1635
01:24:13.760 --> 01:24:17.239
<v Speaker 1>It's basically ride on the fucking line. It's an okay

1636
01:24:17.279 --> 01:24:18.279
<v Speaker 1>match up with Josh Dellen.

1637
01:24:18.359 --> 01:24:18.720
<v Speaker 2>Not great.

1638
01:24:18.760 --> 01:24:20.840
<v Speaker 1>He gains a half a point. It's not a terrible

1639
01:24:20.880 --> 01:24:23.039
<v Speaker 1>matchup for Drake may Henley loses a half a point,

1640
01:24:23.039 --> 01:24:26.199
<v Speaker 1>but it's not good. But on the flip side, Buffalo

1641
01:24:26.239 --> 01:24:28.640
<v Speaker 1>lose a half a point on their running game, which

1642
01:24:28.640 --> 01:24:31.000
<v Speaker 1>has been crucial to this team. New England gains. I

1643
01:24:31.039 --> 01:24:32.479
<v Speaker 1>have win of the running game, which will help the

1644
01:24:32.479 --> 01:24:35.720
<v Speaker 1>young quarterback continue to be established in this game and

1645
01:24:35.760 --> 01:24:37.840
<v Speaker 1>not get blown the fuck out. That's why it's right

1646
01:24:37.840 --> 01:24:40.760
<v Speaker 1>about the number. You know, I really wanted to be

1647
01:24:40.760 --> 01:24:43.199
<v Speaker 1>on New England here. I can't get there. It's I'm

1648
01:24:43.279 --> 01:24:45.880
<v Speaker 1>right at it. So yeah, if he gets a ten, yeah,

1649
01:24:45.880 --> 01:24:48.439
<v Speaker 1>I'll probably fire on New England for sure. Sitting at

1650
01:24:48.479 --> 01:24:50.880
<v Speaker 1>nine and several books right now, that's tempting enough on

1651
01:24:50.920 --> 01:24:51.319
<v Speaker 1>its own.

1652
01:24:51.359 --> 01:24:54.199
<v Speaker 2>That's good. That's a good number. Nine is a good number.

1653
01:24:54.479 --> 01:24:56.520
<v Speaker 1>Nine is a good number. But I'm gonna let it.

1654
01:24:56.560 --> 01:24:58.119
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna let it ride, like you said, and see

1655
01:24:58.119 --> 01:25:01.399
<v Speaker 1>where we get to come game day. All right, let's

1656
01:25:01.479 --> 01:25:08.720
<v Speaker 1>move on to I believe this is the football bat up.

1657
01:25:09.560 --> 01:25:14.560
<v Speaker 1>It is those Cansas City Chiefs, and they're going to

1658
01:25:14.640 --> 01:25:23.319
<v Speaker 1>my three and one Jacksonville. Who saw that shit coming?

1659
01:25:23.600 --> 01:25:24.000
<v Speaker 2>Not me?

1660
01:25:24.159 --> 01:25:26.640
<v Speaker 1>I'll tell you that. I'm gonna fucking laugh my balls

1661
01:25:26.640 --> 01:25:30.079
<v Speaker 1>off when I see this number. Okay, I had Kansas

1662
01:25:30.119 --> 01:25:34.000
<v Speaker 1>City minus five. They said it minus four and a half,

1663
01:25:34.039 --> 01:25:36.800
<v Speaker 1>So we were, you know, pretty lock step there. We're

1664
01:25:36.840 --> 01:25:39.960
<v Speaker 1>sitting it between three and a half and three live,

1665
01:25:40.479 --> 01:25:43.920
<v Speaker 1>so there are plenty of both available. Every three is juiced,

1666
01:25:44.000 --> 01:25:46.399
<v Speaker 1>every three and a half is juiced on the dog.

1667
01:25:46.760 --> 01:25:49.399
<v Speaker 1>So let's call it three point twenty five long horny.

1668
01:25:49.000 --> 01:25:54.880
<v Speaker 2>Ot on this. So as we're watching San fran go

1669
01:25:55.079 --> 01:25:57.760
<v Speaker 2>Totte with the Rams live twenty to twenty in the

1670
01:25:57.760 --> 01:25:59.840
<v Speaker 2>fourth quarter and they've got a chance to win his game,

1671
01:26:00.079 --> 01:26:05.079
<v Speaker 2>see how it ends up. That tells me that Jacksonville

1672
01:26:05.119 --> 01:26:08.199
<v Speaker 2>who beat the breaks off this San Francisco team in

1673
01:26:08.239 --> 01:26:11.880
<v Speaker 2>the trenches. It's I'm leaning that way. I'm just leaning

1674
01:26:11.920 --> 01:26:16.439
<v Speaker 2>that way. And historically, historically casey, as we know, is

1675
01:26:16.680 --> 01:26:20.079
<v Speaker 2>never good. Is over three points is never what you

1676
01:26:20.119 --> 01:26:24.600
<v Speaker 2>want to be laying with k C. Now, oh, almost

1677
01:26:24.600 --> 01:26:26.880
<v Speaker 2>intercepted with that ball. Let's do live commentary on a

1678
01:26:27.199 --> 01:26:29.600
<v Speaker 2>game that y'all can't see and and has already been

1679
01:26:29.600 --> 01:26:33.560
<v Speaker 2>finished by the time you listen. Isn't that fun? The

1680
01:26:33.960 --> 01:26:36.640
<v Speaker 2>trenches for the Jacksonville should be able to control this

1681
01:26:36.680 --> 01:26:40.079
<v Speaker 2>game on both sides. The the running game for Jacksonville

1682
01:26:40.199 --> 01:26:44.640
<v Speaker 2>is their strength, it is their identity and defense. Somehow

1683
01:26:44.960 --> 01:26:47.720
<v Speaker 2>for the Jacksonville Jaguars. That has become their identity and

1684
01:26:47.760 --> 01:26:49.399
<v Speaker 2>taking the ball away. They're one of the league leaders

1685
01:26:49.439 --> 01:26:52.279
<v Speaker 2>and taking the ball away. All those things point me

1686
01:26:52.359 --> 01:26:55.960
<v Speaker 2>to Jacksonville. And if San Francisco can win this game tonight,

1687
01:26:56.399 --> 01:26:59.279
<v Speaker 2>that just makes that just makes the the Jacksonville plus

1688
01:26:59.319 --> 01:27:01.600
<v Speaker 2>three and a half even stronger. As a matter of fact,

1689
01:27:01.760 --> 01:27:04.159
<v Speaker 2>it'll probably dip it down to they'll lose a half point.

1690
01:27:04.199 --> 01:27:06.720
<v Speaker 2>It'll go down to uh plus three for Jacksonville if

1691
01:27:06.760 --> 01:27:09.439
<v Speaker 2>San Francisco San Franciso can win this game. Now, my

1692
01:27:09.560 --> 01:27:14.840
<v Speaker 2>fear and also faith in this game is Trevor Lawrence

1693
01:27:14.880 --> 01:27:18.680
<v Speaker 2>because he has been god awful. He's been god awful

1694
01:27:18.720 --> 01:27:22.880
<v Speaker 2>and they're still winning, which tells me that we have

1695
01:27:23.000 --> 01:27:26.119
<v Speaker 2>not seen the ceiling on this team yet. Because if

1696
01:27:26.119 --> 01:27:30.720
<v Speaker 2>he can just get to where he's playing average quarterback,

1697
01:27:31.279 --> 01:27:34.319
<v Speaker 2>then it's gonna get then then and they're they're doing

1698
01:27:34.319 --> 01:27:35.840
<v Speaker 2>good in the trenches. They gotta get running in. They

1699
01:27:35.880 --> 01:27:38.359
<v Speaker 2>got a good defense. It takes the ball away. Man,

1700
01:27:38.560 --> 01:27:40.800
<v Speaker 2>Maybe we haven't even seen the best of this Jacksonville

1701
01:27:40.800 --> 01:27:43.279
<v Speaker 2>team yet. And Brian Thomas can't catch the ball all year,

1702
01:27:43.560 --> 01:27:47.359
<v Speaker 2>so how good can this team be? But bottom line,

1703
01:27:47.680 --> 01:27:50.159
<v Speaker 2>you don't historically lay three and a half with Casey

1704
01:27:50.439 --> 01:27:53.000
<v Speaker 2>that they play that they keep these games close. Casey

1705
01:27:53.119 --> 01:27:55.960
<v Speaker 2>might win by one, two or three, but they just

1706
01:27:55.960 --> 01:27:58.119
<v Speaker 2>don't win on margin these spots. So I'm on Jacksonville

1707
01:27:58.119 --> 01:27:59.920
<v Speaker 2>here on Monday night football.

1708
01:28:00.319 --> 01:28:02.239
<v Speaker 1>All right, So this is the game I dug into

1709
01:28:02.359 --> 01:28:05.600
<v Speaker 1>quite a bit, so strap in boys and girls. It's

1710
01:28:05.600 --> 01:28:08.079
<v Speaker 1>the last one. I didn't mean to do this to you,

1711
01:28:08.159 --> 01:28:09.720
<v Speaker 1>but I just happened to.

1712
01:28:09.960 --> 01:28:10.640
<v Speaker 2>So knock it.

1713
01:28:10.600 --> 01:28:15.119
<v Speaker 1>Out, powering great Jacksonville bucket k C V two D

1714
01:28:15.239 --> 01:28:17.680
<v Speaker 1>two k C forty six and a half the total.

1715
01:28:17.840 --> 01:28:19.479
<v Speaker 1>I've got to go in under that. I've got Kansas

1716
01:28:19.520 --> 01:28:21.840
<v Speaker 1>City winning twenty three to twenty in a nasty one.

1717
01:28:23.880 --> 01:28:25.560
<v Speaker 1>It's not a good match for Lawrence C. He loses

1718
01:28:25.640 --> 01:28:28.119
<v Speaker 1>half a point. It is a fantastic matchup for Patrick

1719
01:28:28.159 --> 01:28:30.960
<v Speaker 1>Mahomes against a point and a half. It is not

1720
01:28:31.039 --> 01:28:32.600
<v Speaker 1>a good match up with the Jacksonville unning game. They

1721
01:28:32.640 --> 01:28:35.279
<v Speaker 1>lose a half a point. It's a flat matchup for

1722
01:28:35.640 --> 01:28:39.840
<v Speaker 1>Kansas City's running game. So on this one, this is

1723
01:28:39.880 --> 01:28:40.680
<v Speaker 1>pretty straightforward.

1724
01:28:40.680 --> 01:28:41.319
<v Speaker 2>With the quarterbacks.

1725
01:28:41.359 --> 01:28:44.439
<v Speaker 1>Mahomes has a clear advantage here. It's not really worth

1726
01:28:44.439 --> 01:28:48.840
<v Speaker 1>breaking down. It's not worth breaking down on the Trevor Lawrence,

1727
01:28:48.880 --> 01:28:51.600
<v Speaker 1>I either, like you said, he's been fucking terrible all year,

1728
01:28:52.199 --> 01:28:54.640
<v Speaker 1>He's not gonna be good here either. But for me,

1729
01:28:54.800 --> 01:28:56.880
<v Speaker 1>what was interesting is that the BBG spit out that

1730
01:28:56.920 --> 01:29:00.000
<v Speaker 1>Jacksonville will not have great success running the ball, because

1731
01:29:00.079 --> 01:29:02.159
<v Speaker 1>if you look at Kansas City's run defense, it has

1732
01:29:02.199 --> 01:29:07.000
<v Speaker 1>been fucking awful so far, thirty first and EPA twenty

1733
01:29:07.079 --> 01:29:09.279
<v Speaker 1>ninth in success rate. So I was thinking, how the

1734
01:29:09.319 --> 01:29:11.279
<v Speaker 1>fuck are they losing to have a point? Did I

1735
01:29:11.359 --> 01:29:14.359
<v Speaker 1>fuck up? One of the fucking equations is what is

1736
01:29:14.399 --> 01:29:17.560
<v Speaker 1>going on? Jacksonville has been a top ten rushing offense

1737
01:29:17.560 --> 01:29:19.439
<v Speaker 1>so far this year, So I had to do a

1738
01:29:19.439 --> 01:29:22.079
<v Speaker 1>deeper dive on this, and I found that Jacksonville's best

1739
01:29:22.159 --> 01:29:24.159
<v Speaker 1>run is the inside zone. They run it twenty five

1740
01:29:24.199 --> 01:29:27.399
<v Speaker 1>percent of the time at six point two yards per

1741
01:29:27.479 --> 01:29:31.439
<v Speaker 1>tempt Longhorn. That's fucking amazing. Their second most used run

1742
01:29:31.520 --> 01:29:33.680
<v Speaker 1>is man concepts, they run thirty one percent of the

1743
01:29:33.680 --> 01:29:36.439
<v Speaker 1>time at a four point eight yards per clip, both

1744
01:29:36.560 --> 01:29:40.960
<v Speaker 1>well above league average. Kansas City's defense is not good

1745
01:29:41.479 --> 01:29:44.880
<v Speaker 1>against the run, but their best concept they defend is

1746
01:29:44.960 --> 01:29:49.560
<v Speaker 1>inside zone. They only allow three point four yards per attempt,

1747
01:29:49.640 --> 01:29:52.039
<v Speaker 1>the league average is for so they're excellent at it,

1748
01:29:52.880 --> 01:29:56.439
<v Speaker 1>but they don't defend MANICMPS man comps very well, giving

1749
01:29:56.520 --> 01:29:59.159
<v Speaker 1>up five point seven point five yards per tempt league

1750
01:29:59.159 --> 01:30:02.399
<v Speaker 1>average a four point two. So Jacksonville will struggle with

1751
01:30:02.479 --> 01:30:04.960
<v Speaker 1>their best running concept, but they but should have success

1752
01:30:05.279 --> 01:30:07.560
<v Speaker 1>with their most utilized running concept, which is why you

1753
01:30:07.600 --> 01:30:10.319
<v Speaker 1>want to see theo point five downgrade through the BBG.

1754
01:30:10.680 --> 01:30:13.800
<v Speaker 1>But inside of that, I did want to see directionally

1755
01:30:13.840 --> 01:30:17.680
<v Speaker 1>if this holds up well, Etn's best spot to run

1756
01:30:17.920 --> 01:30:21.880
<v Speaker 1>the ball in the inside zone concept is actually in

1757
01:30:21.920 --> 01:30:25.159
<v Speaker 1>the middle of the line where he averages almost it's incredible,

1758
01:30:25.199 --> 01:30:29.960
<v Speaker 1>almost ten yards per attempt and one hundred percent of

1759
01:30:30.039 --> 01:30:33.199
<v Speaker 1>his ninety five explosive yards on the season have come

1760
01:30:33.319 --> 01:30:36.239
<v Speaker 1>on that play in that concept. Well, if you look

1761
01:30:36.239 --> 01:30:40.479
<v Speaker 1>at Kansas City's defense up the middle against the inside zone,

1762
01:30:40.680 --> 01:30:43.199
<v Speaker 1>they go from three point four yards per attempt down

1763
01:30:43.399 --> 01:30:46.319
<v Speaker 1>to three point two. Their explosive play rate on that

1764
01:30:46.439 --> 01:30:49.359
<v Speaker 1>is only seven percent. They have given up two explosive

1765
01:30:49.439 --> 01:30:52.399
<v Speaker 1>runs on the entire season for a total of twenty

1766
01:30:52.399 --> 01:30:56.359
<v Speaker 1>four yards. Translation, I think Kansas City can stop the

1767
01:30:56.359 --> 01:30:59.560
<v Speaker 1>big play from happening here from ETN on those plays

1768
01:31:00.079 --> 01:31:03.960
<v Speaker 1>and without those plays this offense is fucking dead in

1769
01:31:04.039 --> 01:31:07.439
<v Speaker 1>the water. And three of the four Jacksonville games they

1770
01:31:07.479 --> 01:31:11.520
<v Speaker 1>have had, they've scored over twenty points, every one of

1771
01:31:11.560 --> 01:31:14.600
<v Speaker 1>them with an explosive run out of that set for

1772
01:31:14.720 --> 01:31:18.039
<v Speaker 1>Mets end. The one game he did not have one

1773
01:31:18.039 --> 01:31:20.239
<v Speaker 1>of those explosive runs of the set was versus Houston.

1774
01:31:20.439 --> 01:31:23.119
<v Speaker 1>They scored seventeen points and they should have lost by

1775
01:31:23.199 --> 01:31:25.479
<v Speaker 1>goddamn million, but of course they didn't because we had

1776
01:31:25.520 --> 01:31:29.800
<v Speaker 1>money on Houston. But by the way, Houston has a

1777
01:31:29.920 --> 01:31:33.079
<v Speaker 1>YPA against that concept for three point one, is only

1778
01:31:33.079 --> 01:31:36.159
<v Speaker 1>given a one explosive run on it all season, so

1779
01:31:36.359 --> 01:31:39.319
<v Speaker 1>same as Kansas City. Couple that with the fact that

1780
01:31:39.359 --> 01:31:42.439
<v Speaker 1>Patty should be Patty. Well, I've said for a long time,

1781
01:31:42.479 --> 01:31:44.479
<v Speaker 1>he's not been Patty for a while. He was fucking

1782
01:31:44.520 --> 01:31:47.079
<v Speaker 1>Patty last week. He should be Patty again this week.

1783
01:31:47.119 --> 01:31:48.920
<v Speaker 2>Got the weapon back, not the weapon back.

1784
01:31:49.560 --> 01:31:52.239
<v Speaker 1>I can't do anything. I can't do anything but lay

1785
01:31:52.319 --> 01:31:53.920
<v Speaker 1>the three points here with Kansas.

1786
01:31:53.600 --> 01:31:55.720
<v Speaker 2>City, period three or three and a half.

1787
01:31:56.399 --> 01:31:59.760
<v Speaker 1>It's a three a lot of places three point two five.

1788
01:32:00.119 --> 01:32:04.039
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, So look, and I don't if you notice that

1789
01:32:04.079 --> 01:32:06.560
<v Speaker 2>I'm not taking this three and a half. It's on

1790
01:32:06.600 --> 01:32:09.279
<v Speaker 2>a forest I would at three, I would I would

1791
01:32:09.279 --> 01:32:14.159
<v Speaker 2>take case and it's it's Spagnolia against Trevor Lawrence. I

1792
01:32:14.840 --> 01:32:15.840
<v Speaker 2>just I don't like that.

1793
01:32:16.000 --> 01:32:18.479
<v Speaker 1>Not a good matchup for any anyway. Like I said,

1794
01:32:18.520 --> 01:32:21.319
<v Speaker 1>the quarterback him is a watch Patrickmon's always gonna have advantage.

1795
01:32:21.640 --> 01:32:23.720
<v Speaker 1>But that's why dove into the run against That's like

1796
01:32:23.760 --> 01:32:26.319
<v Speaker 1>you said, that's what Jacksonville, that's what's carried them after

1797
01:32:26.319 --> 01:32:29.039
<v Speaker 1>I dove in to see exactly what's carried them. Yeah,

1798
01:32:29.119 --> 01:32:33.960
<v Speaker 1>that inside inside zone run at one of ET's explosive

1799
01:32:33.960 --> 01:32:35.920
<v Speaker 1>plays have come on that play, and that is the

1800
01:32:36.000 --> 01:32:40.560
<v Speaker 1>one play, this terrible, terrible, terrible run defense for Kansas City.

1801
01:32:40.880 --> 01:32:43.600
<v Speaker 1>That's the one fucking concept that they are so fucking

1802
01:32:43.600 --> 01:32:45.800
<v Speaker 1>good at. If they if he doesn't get loose one

1803
01:32:45.800 --> 01:32:48.159
<v Speaker 1>of those forty yarders like he has in those other games,

1804
01:32:48.319 --> 01:32:52.680
<v Speaker 1>they're dead. This offense is fucking dead. The quarterback can't

1805
01:32:52.720 --> 01:32:56.359
<v Speaker 1>fucking play, the receivers can't fucking catch. Travis Hunter is

1806
01:32:56.439 --> 01:32:57.279
<v Speaker 1>fucking sucks.

1807
01:32:58.000 --> 01:32:58.439
<v Speaker 3>They're dead.

1808
01:32:58.520 --> 01:32:59.000
<v Speaker 1>They're dead.

1809
01:33:00.079 --> 01:33:01.840
<v Speaker 2>Good stuff, good stuff, mate.

1810
01:33:02.920 --> 01:33:05.880
<v Speaker 1>All right, boys and girls, that was all them wins

1811
01:33:06.239 --> 01:33:30.479
<v Speaker 1>coming to the ads, all right, Longhorn, As we wait

1812
01:33:30.479 --> 01:33:32.800
<v Speaker 1>to see if Matthew Safford can hindle of those bombs

1813
01:33:32.800 --> 01:33:35.920
<v Speaker 1>to save our balls like you did last week, I hope.

1814
01:33:35.960 --> 01:33:39.399
<v Speaker 1>So why don't we go with the Oh it's time

1815
01:33:39.520 --> 01:33:43.640
<v Speaker 1>for the free I said, three picks of the week

1816
01:33:43.920 --> 01:33:46.720
<v Speaker 1>long horn. Look, I feel it before you even say it.

1817
01:33:47.119 --> 01:33:50.880
<v Speaker 1>I feel it. Longhorn is getting off the snide this week, baby,

1818
01:33:50.960 --> 01:33:54.680
<v Speaker 1>I oh feel it, don't you goddamn pick those Jaguars though.

1819
01:33:54.880 --> 01:33:57.119
<v Speaker 2>Oh am, I am I on the snide because I'm

1820
01:33:57.159 --> 01:33:59.520
<v Speaker 2>above five hundred on the premium pigs. So if you're

1821
01:33:59.640 --> 01:34:03.920
<v Speaker 2>just just free picks, don't be cheap. Don't be cheap

1822
01:34:03.960 --> 01:34:06.119
<v Speaker 2>and go to the Patreon page and get the real picks,

1823
01:34:06.199 --> 01:34:08.359
<v Speaker 2>cause like these, these free picks can go.

1824
01:34:08.560 --> 01:34:09.920
<v Speaker 1>He's killing it's killing it over there.

1825
01:34:10.039 --> 01:34:11.199
<v Speaker 2>You know what, you know what I'm gonna do. Here's

1826
01:34:11.199 --> 01:34:13.479
<v Speaker 2>my new strategy on free picks. I'm bent against Tennessee

1827
01:34:13.520 --> 01:34:15.720
<v Speaker 2>every fucking week. I'm gonna go eighteen and three. I'm

1828
01:34:15.760 --> 01:34:19.159
<v Speaker 2>gonna go eighteen. So give me those the Arizona Cardinals

1829
01:34:19.239 --> 01:34:21.079
<v Speaker 2>minus seven and a half is my free pick. This

1830
01:34:21.119 --> 01:34:22.319
<v Speaker 2>is a can't lose situation.

1831
01:34:22.399 --> 01:34:27.039
<v Speaker 1>How about that? That's a fucking solid, solid strategy. Or

1832
01:34:28.159 --> 01:34:30.039
<v Speaker 1>all right, I'm gonna go to college free pick of

1833
01:34:30.039 --> 01:34:32.640
<v Speaker 1>the week. Oh, we're going deep to the fcs. We're

1834
01:34:32.680 --> 01:34:35.880
<v Speaker 1>going Nickel State and Lamar. Let's take the under forty

1835
01:34:35.880 --> 01:34:36.399
<v Speaker 1>four and a half?

1836
01:34:36.520 --> 01:34:38.800
<v Speaker 2>What high schools are those? What? What state did they play?

1837
01:34:38.880 --> 01:34:39.319
<v Speaker 2>High school?

1838
01:34:39.319 --> 01:34:42.479
<v Speaker 1>App Ohio. I believe these are two of the worst

1839
01:34:42.520 --> 01:34:45.920
<v Speaker 1>offenses all the FCS. I got it projected at forty eight,

1840
01:34:46.439 --> 01:34:47.960
<v Speaker 1>Like forty four and a half is the bottom. If

1841
01:34:48.000 --> 01:34:51.000
<v Speaker 1>he gets below that, don't go there. But you know

1842
01:34:51.159 --> 01:34:53.079
<v Speaker 1>what could go wrong? What could go wrong with picking

1843
01:34:53.079 --> 01:34:54.600
<v Speaker 1>an under a two of the worst offense? So that

1844
01:34:54.720 --> 01:34:57.840
<v Speaker 1>probably fucking score one hundred? Who knows? That's your college

1845
01:34:57.880 --> 01:35:01.000
<v Speaker 1>free pick of the week. All right, Lord tell me

1846
01:35:01.039 --> 01:35:02.720
<v Speaker 1>that Famulus Patreon one more time.

1847
01:35:02.800 --> 01:35:04.880
<v Speaker 2>Let's get out of here, all right, once again, go

1848
01:35:04.880 --> 01:35:08.439
<v Speaker 2>to that Patreon page, Patreon dot com, slash bet underscore

1849
01:35:08.600 --> 01:35:11.000
<v Speaker 2>f eight fgs. Don't rely on the free picks on

1850
01:35:11.039 --> 01:35:13.359
<v Speaker 2>the podcast. Don't rely on the free picks on the

1851
01:35:13.399 --> 01:35:16.800
<v Speaker 2>social media's go there, sign up for free, doesn't cau sanny,

1852
01:35:16.840 --> 01:35:19.960
<v Speaker 2>become a free member and then pick your favorite handicapper

1853
01:35:20.000 --> 01:35:22.840
<v Speaker 2>bo stevestive is a step for a huge bounce back

1854
01:35:23.000 --> 01:35:26.319
<v Speaker 2>this week. I'm looking to stack those units in the NFL,

1855
01:35:26.520 --> 01:35:29.199
<v Speaker 2>and let's do that. Let's do all of the winning.

1856
01:35:29.319 --> 01:35:33.039
<v Speaker 2>And let's I mean, as as our good Jewish friends

1857
01:35:33.079 --> 01:35:37.640
<v Speaker 2>would say, get all of the money. So people stop

1858
01:35:37.680 --> 01:35:40.079
<v Speaker 2>throwing away you're harder money on the guessing game. Let

1859
01:35:40.119 --> 01:35:44.119
<v Speaker 2>the pros do the heavy lifting. So sign up, tell

1860
01:35:44.159 --> 01:35:46.640
<v Speaker 2>a friend, and join in on the fun watching football,

1861
01:35:46.720 --> 01:35:50.359
<v Speaker 2>drinking beer. And never pay a booky again, Come.

1862
01:35:50.159 --> 01:35:54.159
<v Speaker 1>On, a damns, people, never pay a book against Steven

1863
01:35:54.159 --> 01:35:55.159
<v Speaker 1>sal Let's take a soup.

1864
01:35:56.039 --> 01:35:57.000
<v Speaker 2>We love you Jews

1865
01:36:05.399 --> 01:36:14.439
<v Speaker 1>Shot were not things we know about