1 00:00:00,360 --> 00:00:04,040 Speaker 1: It's a huge college basketball card. This Saturday, February the fourteenth, 2 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:07,320 Valentine's Day. Happy Valentine's Then, I'm gonna give you every 3 00:00:07,360 --> 00:00:10,640 Top twenty five matchup plus some bonus game seven games 4 00:00:10,679 --> 00:00:14,039 free for you in this video right here, right now. 5 00:00:14,519 --> 00:00:16,559 I it's the Steve Merrill wager Talk dot Com right 6 00:00:16,640 --> 00:00:18,640 back Carol wager Talk Today and wants to get Happy 7 00:00:18,719 --> 00:00:21,440 Valentine's Dad. All my Oil viewers out there, we had 8 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:23,839 you throughout the college and pro football season. Now that 9 00:00:23,879 --> 00:00:26,039 football is done, we're in the heart of basketball. I'll 10 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:28,480 continue to give you this Top twenty five video every Saturday, 11 00:00:28,679 --> 00:00:31,280 and then of course every NCAA tournament game next month 12 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:34,240 when March Madness hits, and then every NBA playoff game April, 13 00:00:34,320 --> 00:00:36,240 May and June, just like I did last year. Hey, 14 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:39,000 if you're finding a useful quick thumbs up like positive 15 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:40,920 common below and I'll keep these videos coming and click 16 00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:43,359 subscribe click the bell here on wager Talk TV so 17 00:00:43,399 --> 00:00:45,479 you never miss out. Right on, I have one pink 18 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:47,399 T shirt in the entire arsenal, so I wore it 19 00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:50,560 under the wager Talk hoodie for this Saturday Valentine's Day. 20 00:00:50,560 --> 00:00:52,240 By the way, we have a Valentine's Day special at 21 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:54,880 wager talk dot com. More details coming here later in 22 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:57,240 the video. But let's get to the games, because there 23 00:00:57,280 --> 00:01:00,439 are four true top twenty five matchups, actually five matchups 24 00:01:00,439 --> 00:01:02,439 if you look at the coaches poll. I look at 25 00:01:02,479 --> 00:01:04,680 the ap pole, but one team is twenty six, twenty 26 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:07,519 fifth and the other so early five top twenty five matchups, 27 00:01:07,519 --> 00:01:08,959 and I'm gonna give you a couple bonus games as 28 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:10,879 always due. So let's get to all seven games here. 29 00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:13,439 We will go down in start time order. I'm gonna 30 00:01:13,439 --> 00:01:15,159 go rapid fire here. I'm gonna try to creick make 31 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:17,200 it quick and simple for each game here so we 32 00:01:17,239 --> 00:01:19,719 don't take up too much time on this busy Saturday. 33 00:01:19,719 --> 00:01:21,239 But the first one's a good one at twelve newon 34 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:27,959 Eastern on ESPN, AACC action number twenty Clemson at number four. Duke, 35 00:01:28,439 --> 00:01:30,560 and I'm using, by the way, the Friday night lines. 36 00:01:30,599 --> 00:01:32,239 I'm doing this video nice and early for you on 37 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:33,719 Friday night. The lines have been out for a few 38 00:01:33,719 --> 00:01:35,760 hours here, so these numbers will probably change quite a 39 00:01:35,799 --> 00:01:38,799 bit by Saturday afternoon, especially the night time games. I'll 40 00:01:38,799 --> 00:01:40,799 get to in a moment. But Duke opening about a 41 00:01:40,799 --> 00:01:42,280 twelve and a half point favorite, it's now up to 42 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:43,959 thirteen and a half even fourteen a little bit of 43 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:46,599 early money on Duke. Total is holding pretty steady around 44 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:49,400 that one thirty three range. First time these teams have 45 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:52,040 met this season, and Duke did lose to North Carolina 46 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:55,200 of course, last Saturday as a road favorite. They bounce 47 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:58,040 back against Pittsburgh with a non covering win. So Duke 48 00:01:58,079 --> 00:02:00,840 has now failed to cover three straight games. After five 49 00:02:00,879 --> 00:02:03,359 straight covers and six out of seven, they're oher to 50 00:02:03,359 --> 00:02:06,280 three against the spread. They've gone under five straight and 51 00:02:06,480 --> 00:02:09,039 seven of their last eight games have stayed under the total, 52 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:11,879 and Clemson has stayed under in four of their last 53 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:15,560 five games. And Clemson plays extremely slow half court basketball. 54 00:02:15,599 --> 00:02:18,479 And these are two excellent defensive teams, but Duke holds 55 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:21,400 the big offensive edge in this game, and that'll probably 56 00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:24,000 be the difference. But once again, you're paying a premium 57 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:25,960 with Duke, as evident by their ower to three point 58 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:28,680 spread run recently. Let's look at the total. We'll keep 59 00:02:28,680 --> 00:02:30,960 that under run going here. With both of these teams 60 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:33,599 under the one thirty three would probably be the best 61 00:02:33,599 --> 00:02:35,719 way to tack it. I think Clemson's going to slow 62 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:37,719 this game down, and Duke is not an up tempo team. 63 00:02:37,759 --> 00:02:41,039 They're in the bottom half of tempo ratings nationwide as well. 64 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:43,599 Duke's weakness on defense this year is they give up 65 00:02:43,639 --> 00:02:46,240 a lot of three point shots. But Clemson's not a 66 00:02:46,280 --> 00:02:48,759 great three point shooting team. So I think the under 67 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:51,199 one to thirty three makes sense in this game at 68 00:02:51,199 --> 00:02:55,000 twelve new Eastern on ESPN. All right, let's look at 69 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:58,000 your next game at one o'clock eastern on ABC. Another 70 00:02:58,039 --> 00:03:00,280 good one of top ten matchup, probably the best game 71 00:03:00,280 --> 00:03:04,000 of the day, Number nine Kansas at number five Iowa State. 72 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:07,080 That's at one o'clock eastern once again on ABC National TV. 73 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:09,680 And we have seen some early money come in on 74 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:12,719 Iowa State in this one line opened six and by Saturday. 75 00:03:12,840 --> 00:03:14,800 By Friday evening, going into Saturday, it was already up 76 00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:17,280 to minus six and a half minus seven in most spots. 77 00:03:17,319 --> 00:03:20,960 Also saw the over underbump Hire opened about one forty 78 00:03:21,039 --> 00:03:23,639 three on Friday afternoon. By Friday night it was up 79 00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:26,280 to one forty six. We've seen sharp money early on 80 00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:29,039 Iowa State and the over in this Kansas game, and 81 00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:30,759 I agree with the move on Iowa State. Now the 82 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:33,120 line is inflated. I thought it'd be a little bit lower, 83 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:36,639 but the situation is solid for Iowa State. We always 84 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:39,719 talk about revenge second meetings. That's why I love handicapping 85 00:03:40,159 --> 00:03:42,479 February college hoops. We got all the conference play, a 86 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:44,960 lot of common opponents, a lot of statistics to work 87 00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:47,520 with now that these teams have played twenty some games, 88 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:50,479 and we also get second meetings. Now, not every second 89 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:53,240 meeting is a revenge play. There's always a revenge motive, 90 00:03:53,879 --> 00:03:57,280 but revenge works better in certain situations. First of all, 91 00:03:57,479 --> 00:04:00,680 with strong Class A teams. It also works better with 92 00:04:00,759 --> 00:04:03,719 home teams because home court is very strong in college basketball, 93 00:04:03,759 --> 00:04:07,680 especially for Class A teams. And I also like when 94 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:10,159 the team is coming off a loss and also when 95 00:04:10,199 --> 00:04:12,479 it's meaningful revenge. And we get all four of those 96 00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:15,000 angles working with Iowa State, this is an excellent setup 97 00:04:15,039 --> 00:04:17,279 for the Cyclone. So yes, the line is a little inflated, 98 00:04:17,759 --> 00:04:19,600 but the early sharp maney is on Iowa State, and 99 00:04:19,639 --> 00:04:23,079 I agree. Cyclones coming off a loss against TCU earlier 100 00:04:23,120 --> 00:04:27,319 this week, four days earlier as a road favorite, and 101 00:04:27,399 --> 00:04:30,240 of course they were embarrassed by Kansas back on January 102 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:32,639 thirteenth on the road, a twenty one point loss at 103 00:04:32,720 --> 00:04:35,120 Kansas as a road favorite. In that game, we talked 104 00:04:35,120 --> 00:04:37,079 about that. I think I did a video for that 105 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:41,199 game last month and Kansas just smoked them. And also 106 00:04:41,439 --> 00:04:44,079 it's a home situation for Iowa State, so we get 107 00:04:44,079 --> 00:04:48,240 the home strong home team, awful loss, meaningful revenge. I 108 00:04:48,319 --> 00:04:51,000 like Iowa State in this one at one o'clock. Eastern 109 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:53,079 line's a little inflated, but it looks like a good 110 00:04:53,079 --> 00:04:56,800 spot for the Cyclones. All right, we'll keep it rolling here. 111 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:59,279 Another game for you on ABC right afterwards is at 112 00:04:59,319 --> 00:05:04,959 three o'clock you number twenty five Kentucky at number fourteen Florida. 113 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:07,639 Kentucky barely ranked in the top twenty five in the 114 00:05:07,639 --> 00:05:10,399 ap here. They're sliding in, but they're played excellent basketball. 115 00:05:10,519 --> 00:05:12,079 And this is a team I've kind of had circles 116 00:05:12,079 --> 00:05:14,639 a possible play on team. Later in the season, you know, 117 00:05:14,680 --> 00:05:16,720 Brad Pope talked about the terrible start they got off 118 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:18,160 to I think they were two and three to start 119 00:05:18,160 --> 00:05:20,839 the season, and he came out and said, back in November, 120 00:05:21,079 --> 00:05:23,399 I've done a terrible job coaching. I love it. I 121 00:05:23,439 --> 00:05:25,839 love it when they admit it. His payroll was like 122 00:05:25,879 --> 00:05:27,920 twenty five million for all his players, and they were 123 00:05:27,959 --> 00:05:29,959 off to a losing start. But there's a lot of talent, 124 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:32,040 and I remember at that time a couple months ago, 125 00:05:32,079 --> 00:05:34,759 I thought to myself, at some point, Kentucky's going to 126 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:36,839 be an undervalue team, And it looks like that might 127 00:05:36,879 --> 00:05:39,560 be the case here, as the Wildcats entered this game 128 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:41,439 eight and won their last nine. They've won eight of 129 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:44,079 their last nine games now. The one loss was a 130 00:05:44,120 --> 00:05:47,240 blowout loss at Vanderbilt by twenty five a few weeks ago, 131 00:05:47,759 --> 00:05:49,680 but otherwise they're eight and one straight up in their 132 00:05:49,759 --> 00:05:52,800 last nine games, and they've covered three in a row here, 133 00:05:52,879 --> 00:05:55,800 three wins and covers in their last three games, including 134 00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:59,079 an underdog straight up win at Arkansas, a solid double 135 00:05:59,079 --> 00:06:02,839 digit win against Oklahahoma, and then they win against Tennessee 136 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:05,759 as a small favorite last Saturday. They've hit a full 137 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:08,800 week off to prepare for this game as well at Florida, 138 00:06:08,839 --> 00:06:12,319 and the matchup is also favorable for Florida for Kentucky rather, 139 00:06:12,759 --> 00:06:15,480 Todd Golden the last three years has not beaten Kentucky 140 00:06:15,480 --> 00:06:18,639 in regulation. They're four to one straight up the last 141 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:21,199 three years, including last year when they won the national title. 142 00:06:21,480 --> 00:06:23,439 They lost to Kentucky in the regular season one O 143 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:25,759 six to one hundred over two hundred points in regulation. 144 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:28,759 They o four to one in regulation. They only win 145 00:06:28,800 --> 00:06:31,120 the last three years against the Wildcats came in overtime, 146 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:34,680 and Florida's laying double digits in this game. I do 147 00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:37,279 think Kentucky's a live dog in this one. I would 148 00:06:37,279 --> 00:06:39,120 take a look at the Wildcats. And by the way, 149 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:42,079 this line opened ten and a half eleven, it's already 150 00:06:42,120 --> 00:06:43,920 up to thirteen thirteen and a half. I do not 151 00:06:43,959 --> 00:06:46,480 agree with that move. I like Kentucky as a live 152 00:06:46,519 --> 00:06:49,319 dog here to keep this one close at three o'clock Eastern, 153 00:06:49,399 --> 00:06:52,879 that's on ABC National TV. All right, we'll finish out 154 00:06:52,879 --> 00:06:55,040 with your fourth true top twenty five matchup. Then I'll 155 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:56,720 get the three bonus games for you. This one at 156 00:06:56,759 --> 00:07:00,480 six thirty eastern on ESPN, Number sixteen ten Texas Tech 157 00:07:00,519 --> 00:07:03,600 the Red Raiders against number one Arizona, and we'll see 158 00:07:03,639 --> 00:07:05,800 if Arizona holds onto that number one spot. Because the 159 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:09,560 Wildcats finally lost a game this season, they're now twenty 160 00:07:09,639 --> 00:07:12,240 three and one straight up, and of course that loss 161 00:07:12,279 --> 00:07:14,920 came in their most recent game and it was a 162 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:18,720 eighty two seventy eight loss at Kansas as a four 163 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:21,759 and a half point road favored, difficult road spot at Kansas. 164 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:24,519 No shame in losing by four against a good top 165 00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:27,560 ten Jayhawks team. So the question becomes, does Arizona bounce 166 00:07:27,600 --> 00:07:31,959 back now in this situation against a pretty good Texas 167 00:07:31,959 --> 00:07:35,199 Tech team. Texas Tech right now in my rankings ranks 168 00:07:35,199 --> 00:07:39,079 top twenty both offense and defensive efficiency. Arizona, though, ranks 169 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:41,360 top fifteen in both in Clack. In fact, I've got 170 00:07:41,399 --> 00:07:43,360 them as the second best defensive team in the country, 171 00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:46,040 but offensively I don't have Arizona top ten. These are 172 00:07:46,079 --> 00:07:49,920 two good offenses, but Arizona is a great defense. A 173 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:52,959 couple other matchup things here. Texas Tech does not get 174 00:07:52,959 --> 00:07:55,360 to the free throw line much Arizona does. I would 175 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:58,480 expect Arizona also at home to get some calls. They 176 00:07:58,480 --> 00:08:01,519 also play extremely fast, which normally the home team can 177 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:05,759 dictate tempo. Arizona does not take many three point shots, 178 00:08:05,759 --> 00:08:08,040 and the strength for Texas Tech this year has been 179 00:08:08,079 --> 00:08:10,439 a strong perimeter defense. They don't give up many threes, 180 00:08:10,720 --> 00:08:12,959 and they have a strong three point defense. But that's 181 00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:16,360 not Arkansas's game. Arizona Arkansas. We'll talk about them in 182 00:08:16,399 --> 00:08:18,920 a moment. Arizona's game is scoring down low and in 183 00:08:18,920 --> 00:08:21,639 transition with the up tempo style, and I do think 184 00:08:21,639 --> 00:08:24,480 that'll work well here. I'm in no hurry to buck 185 00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:26,160 one of the best teams in the country. Look, I've 186 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:28,199 said I think Michigan might be the most balanced team, 187 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:29,839 and come tournament time, they might be my pick to 188 00:08:29,879 --> 00:08:32,639 one at all. Everyone keeps saying, Steve, what about Arizona. 189 00:08:32,799 --> 00:08:34,600 I've got Arizona as a one seat. I brank them 190 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:36,399 is like the second or third best team in the country. 191 00:08:36,399 --> 00:08:39,840 I've got Houston, Michigan, Arizona all up there, and whenever 192 00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:41,320 I can get one of the best teams in the country. 193 00:08:41,399 --> 00:08:44,240 Awful loss, that's always going to make my short lists. 194 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:46,200 And I do think you're going to play it. You 195 00:08:46,200 --> 00:08:48,000 want to lay it with Arizona and also looks like 196 00:08:48,039 --> 00:08:51,120 a favorable matchup for the Wildcats back at home off 197 00:08:51,159 --> 00:08:53,440 their first loss of the season as they try to 198 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:56,519 hold on to that number one ranking. We'll see if 199 00:08:56,519 --> 00:08:57,879 they're able to do so. By the way, what are 200 00:08:57,919 --> 00:08:59,240 your thoughts. Who do you think is the best team 201 00:08:59,240 --> 00:09:01,519 in college basket We'll drop it in the comments below. 202 00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:03,799 I do read the comments and I reply back. This 203 00:09:03,879 --> 00:09:05,679 line open nine and a half and as of Friday night, 204 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:07,320 still nine nine and a half, so we haven't seen 205 00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:09,120 too much movement. A little bit of movement to the 206 00:09:09,159 --> 00:09:11,559 over up to one fifty seven, which makes sense because 207 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:14,080 if you lean Arizona, they're going to probably push the tempone. 208 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:16,519 It should be a high scoring game. Right. Those are 209 00:09:16,519 --> 00:09:19,240 your four official AP top twenty five matchups. So there's 210 00:09:19,240 --> 00:09:23,240 another game that technically qualifies because Iowa is coming in 211 00:09:23,279 --> 00:09:27,360 twenty fifth in the coaches poll now the second most 212 00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:30,759 additional votes in the AP poll, which means they're twenty seventh, 213 00:09:31,080 --> 00:09:32,960 but they are number twenty five in the coaches pole. 214 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:34,440 So I'm gonna give you that fifth game, and I 215 00:09:34,440 --> 00:09:36,399 say it's a bonus game, but it's technically a top 216 00:09:36,440 --> 00:09:38,399 twenty five game depending on which pole you look at. 217 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:41,960 And that's number thirteen per Due at number twenty seven Iowa. 218 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:45,759 That's at five pm Eastern on Fox National TV. And 219 00:09:45,799 --> 00:09:48,000 this looks like a good spot for the Hawk guys, 220 00:09:48,039 --> 00:09:49,799 and that they win this one, I think they got 221 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:52,240 a good chance to be ranked in both polls next 222 00:09:52,240 --> 00:09:53,840 week when all is said and done, and once again, 223 00:09:53,879 --> 00:09:56,559 Iowa is coming in twenty fifth in the coaches poll, 224 00:09:56,799 --> 00:09:59,360 even though they are two spots out in the AP now. 225 00:09:59,399 --> 00:10:01,960 They did lose to Maryland on the road as a 226 00:10:02,039 --> 00:10:05,720 double digit favorite earlier this week on Wednesday, so they 227 00:10:05,759 --> 00:10:08,399 probably will not be ranked even if they pull the 228 00:10:08,440 --> 00:10:11,240 win in this game against a good Purdue team. This 229 00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:13,799 is a revenge spot though for Iowa. They lost at 230 00:10:13,840 --> 00:10:16,080 Purdue by seven, they covered as a ten point dog 231 00:10:16,200 --> 00:10:20,000 back a month ago exactly on January fourteenth, and they also, 232 00:10:20,039 --> 00:10:22,559 as I mentioned, lost in Maryland. So here's another situation. 233 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:26,679 Quality team, strong home court with revenge and coming off 234 00:10:26,679 --> 00:10:28,879 a loss looks like a pretty good set up here, 235 00:10:28,879 --> 00:10:31,360 and it's also a spot to fade. Purdue off of 236 00:10:31,399 --> 00:10:34,919 three straight wins, including an outright underdog win in overtime 237 00:10:34,919 --> 00:10:38,360 against Nebraska on Tuesday, could be a possible flat spot 238 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:40,440 here at oh looky here, guess who's on deck for 239 00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:45,080 Purdue Michigan next week on Tuesday as well. So they're 240 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:47,360 coming off a big upset win on Tuesday and overtime 241 00:10:47,360 --> 00:10:50,000 against Nebraska and they have Michigan on deck and now 242 00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:53,480 they're traveling on the road. Let down possible letdown spot 243 00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:56,039 for Purdue, and it looks like a good bounce back 244 00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:58,840 revenge spot for Iowa. I like the Hawk guys in 245 00:10:58,879 --> 00:11:00,679 this one, and once again after that Maryland Laws. They're 246 00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:02,639 probably not gonna be ranked even if they win this one, 247 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:04,960 but they're gonna give themselves a fighting chance to get 248 00:11:04,960 --> 00:11:07,519 back on the top twenty five. And early line on 249 00:11:07,559 --> 00:11:08,960 this was one one and a half. It's been bet 250 00:11:09,039 --> 00:11:11,240 up to two. Might seat some two and a halfs, 251 00:11:11,279 --> 00:11:13,600 but I do like Iowa as the live home dog 252 00:11:13,639 --> 00:11:16,759 at five o'clock Eastern, and that is on Fox National TV. 253 00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:19,679 There you go. Those are your true top twenty five matchups, 254 00:11:19,759 --> 00:11:21,639 all five of them for this Saturday. But as I 255 00:11:21,639 --> 00:11:23,600 always do, I'd like to dig a little bit deeper 256 00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:26,279 and give you as much value as possible in these videos. 257 00:11:26,279 --> 00:11:27,840 So I'm gonna give you two more games and are 258 00:11:27,919 --> 00:11:30,600 just a bit outside for making the cut, well more 259 00:11:30,600 --> 00:11:33,159 than just a bit outside. They're not even top thirty matchups, 260 00:11:33,399 --> 00:11:36,200 but their two teams are getting some additional votes in 261 00:11:36,279 --> 00:11:38,960 the AP poll, so hey, why not, I'm gonna give 262 00:11:38,960 --> 00:11:40,639 you seven full games here in the video. By the way, 263 00:11:40,639 --> 00:11:43,080 if you're liking it, quick thumbs up like that's all 264 00:11:43,120 --> 00:11:44,840 I ask. I'm giving you like a twenty some minute 265 00:11:44,879 --> 00:11:47,320 video here for free. It takes two seconds to click 266 00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:49,679 the thumbs up like, please do it. The more thumbs 267 00:11:49,720 --> 00:11:52,519 up likes, the more positive comments, the more free play 268 00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:54,600 videos they do every day for college and pro basketball 269 00:11:54,639 --> 00:11:57,000 and baseball, which is about to start. It's that simple. 270 00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:59,159 People are watching it if they're liking it. Hey, I'll 271 00:11:59,159 --> 00:12:01,360 take the time to do more free vidiot videos every day. 272 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:04,240 And don't forget refer a friend to wager Talk TV. 273 00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:07,519 We are so close to a quarter million subscribers, over 274 00:12:07,559 --> 00:12:10,200 two hundred and forty one thousand subscribers. Hey, make sure 275 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:12,519 you're one of them. Click subscribe. Sure you already have, 276 00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:15,279 just double check, but consider clicking that bell as well. 277 00:12:15,639 --> 00:12:17,720 Instant alerts when these freeplay videos go up each and 278 00:12:17,759 --> 00:12:20,399 every day here on wager Talk TV. All right, two 279 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:22,159 bonus games for you. We're gonna look at one at 280 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:24,639 eight thirty Eastern. These your two lady ESPN games. That's 281 00:12:24,639 --> 00:12:25,720 the other reason I want to give them to you. 282 00:12:25,720 --> 00:12:29,240 Their high profile TV games. Alburn and Arkansas in the SEC. 283 00:12:30,600 --> 00:12:32,840 Arkansas is coming in ranked twenty first in the country 284 00:12:32,919 --> 00:12:35,720 right now. Auburn is in the additional votes that they're 285 00:12:35,720 --> 00:12:38,799 got like two or three additional votes in the eightp pole. 286 00:12:38,879 --> 00:12:40,759 In fact, I'll look it up for it. Let's be exact. 287 00:12:41,120 --> 00:12:44,559 They're getting two additional votes. Saint Mary's is getting one, 288 00:12:44,919 --> 00:12:47,559 So that would put Auburn at thirty fourth with those 289 00:12:47,600 --> 00:12:50,279 two additional votes. To put it in perspective. By the way, 290 00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:52,879 the number twenty fourteen Louisville has one hundred and eighty 291 00:12:52,919 --> 00:12:57,200 two total votes, Kentucky has eighty votes in twenty fifth. 292 00:12:57,559 --> 00:13:00,960 Alabama's in twenty six with seventy two votes, so Alburn 293 00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:02,960 getting two votes is really pushing it. But I wanted 294 00:13:02,960 --> 00:13:04,840 to talk about this game because this is on ESPN 295 00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:07,320 National TV at eight thirty Eastern, and I think it's 296 00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:09,759 a good bounce back spot for Arkansas, you know, another 297 00:13:09,799 --> 00:13:12,200 one of those revenge situations I talk about. There's different 298 00:13:12,240 --> 00:13:14,279 angles that we'd like to use with revenge. First of all, 299 00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:17,960 like strong teams at home, and of course this qualifies 300 00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:21,360 because Arkansas is a top twenty five team at home. 301 00:13:21,399 --> 00:13:24,679 And it's also legitimate revenge as I mentioned earlier, as 302 00:13:24,720 --> 00:13:27,639 they were embarrassed at Auburn last month on January tenth, 303 00:13:27,799 --> 00:13:30,519 losing by twenty two points as only a two point 304 00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:32,879 dog on the road. And while they have come in 305 00:13:32,960 --> 00:13:35,559 off back to back road winds, they lost their last 306 00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:38,639 home game against Kentucky as a favorite two weeks ago 307 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:41,159 on January thirty first, So that's another little intricacy. It's 308 00:13:41,159 --> 00:13:43,440 not always a team aful loss. Sometimes it's a team 309 00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:45,080 that lost their last home game because you know they're 310 00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:47,120 going to be focused in front of the home fans. 311 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:50,360 So this looks like a good revenge bounce back spot 312 00:13:50,720 --> 00:13:53,240 for Arkansas at home. And that one's at eight to 313 00:13:53,279 --> 00:13:56,000 thirty Eastern for you on ESPN, And I'll pull up 314 00:13:56,039 --> 00:13:58,559 the current number for you here late Friday night as 315 00:13:58,559 --> 00:14:00,200 I'm doing this, just so we can give you the 316 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:02,600 lines for you see if this one has moved and 317 00:14:02,600 --> 00:14:04,399 he had opened around six six and a half, it's 318 00:14:04,399 --> 00:14:05,799 now up to eight and a half. So yeah, we've 319 00:14:05,799 --> 00:14:09,240 seen some real early Sharp Money line opened six Friday afternoon, 320 00:14:09,279 --> 00:14:11,440 by late Friday night it's eight and a half. So 321 00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:13,720 Sharp Money agrees with Arkansas. There's not you know, that 322 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:15,679 line's inflated now. But just like I was stated, it 323 00:14:15,679 --> 00:14:18,200 looks like a good bounce back revenge spot. And hey, 324 00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:20,320 that shows the sharps are looking at the exact same 325 00:14:20,360 --> 00:14:22,799 angles I'm looking at here in the videos as well. 326 00:14:23,360 --> 00:14:25,279 All right, that's your ESPN gave it eight thirty Eastern 327 00:14:25,279 --> 00:14:27,159 and then the late night game right after it on 328 00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:30,440 ESPN also is Gonzaga and Santa Clara, And I talked 329 00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:32,519 about how I was digging deep with those additional votes. Well, 330 00:14:32,519 --> 00:14:34,440 guess what, there's a team one spot ahead of Auburn 331 00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:37,000 with Actually now they're with two additional votes as well, 332 00:14:37,039 --> 00:14:39,519 so they're tied with Auburn for the thirty thirds. I 333 00:14:39,519 --> 00:14:42,279 said Auburn was thirty fourth. Actually they're technically thirty third 334 00:14:42,720 --> 00:14:45,919 because Santa Clair and Auburn are both getting two additional 335 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:49,000 votes in the AP poll. Hey, but let's talk about 336 00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:52,519 it anyway. Number twelve, Gonzaga, number thirty three, Santa Clair 337 00:14:52,639 --> 00:14:54,759 ten thirty eastern on ESPN. And one of the reason 338 00:14:54,759 --> 00:14:56,279 I wanted to talk about this game is I don't 339 00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:58,840 do a lot with the fade the public information in 340 00:14:58,960 --> 00:15:00,840 college hoops. I'll talk more about it, by the way, 341 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:03,720 in my march men is NCAA tournament games because those 342 00:15:03,720 --> 00:15:05,720 are heavily bet public sports. And I hope, by the way, 343 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:08,559 you enjoyed the NFL Fade the Public video this season 344 00:15:08,639 --> 00:15:12,159 hit sixty percent overall from start to finish through the playoffs. 345 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:14,639 Regular season through the playoffs, Fade in the Public was 346 00:15:14,679 --> 00:15:17,240 sixty percent of my video. Yet another reason to click 347 00:15:17,279 --> 00:15:19,240 subscribe and clicked the bell for instance alerts you'll know 348 00:15:19,279 --> 00:15:22,840 when it's ready next September when the NFL resumes. But 349 00:15:22,960 --> 00:15:25,120 this is a situation where my guess is that the 350 00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:28,200 book's gonna probably need Santa Clara late Saturday night. This 351 00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:31,000 line opened around four four and a half on Friday nine, 352 00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:33,759 and that's currently where it's holding right now. But that 353 00:15:33,799 --> 00:15:36,200 line's gonna probably look pretty short to the average better. 354 00:15:36,519 --> 00:15:38,919 But this is actually a very good Santa Clara team 355 00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:42,600 this season that could give Gonzaga a little bit of trouble. 356 00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:43,960 And I think this game's gonna be like a one 357 00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:46,879 or two point game if they don't win it outright. Also, 358 00:15:46,960 --> 00:15:49,639 it's a revenge spot for Santa Clair. They lost by twelve, 359 00:15:49,639 --> 00:15:52,919 but they covered back on January eighth. And as far 360 00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:55,720 as the matchup in this game, well, first let's talk 361 00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:57,799 a little bit more about Santa Clara Gonzaga twenty four 362 00:15:57,799 --> 00:15:59,519 and two, twelve and one. They're coming off back to 363 00:15:59,559 --> 00:16:02,960 back win as they enter this game. Santa Clair though 364 00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:05,480 twenty two and five on the season, thirteen and one 365 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:08,159 in the conference, and the only loss once again was 366 00:16:08,559 --> 00:16:11,559 that fifth conference game back in early January. I think 367 00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:13,759 they can hang in this one and one thing about 368 00:16:13,759 --> 00:16:17,240 Gonzaga they play fast. Santa Clara does as well, and 369 00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:19,679 normally I prefer the better team when they both play fast, 370 00:16:19,679 --> 00:16:21,360 but Santa Clair is not far off. In fact, if 371 00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:24,440 you look at offensive efficiency ratings this year, Santa Clair 372 00:16:24,519 --> 00:16:27,480 is the better offense and they actually shoot the three 373 00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:29,519 point shot more often as well, which always gives them 374 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:31,919 upset potential. And Gonzaga gives up a lot of three 375 00:16:31,919 --> 00:16:34,759 point shots and that's something Santa Clair does well and 376 00:16:34,799 --> 00:16:36,759 they should do even better now that they're on their 377 00:16:36,799 --> 00:16:38,960 home court for this rematch. I think it's a live 378 00:16:39,000 --> 00:16:40,840 dog Santa Clara plus the four and a half in 379 00:16:40,879 --> 00:16:44,879 your late game ten third Eastern Saturday night on ESPN. Whoo, 380 00:16:44,919 --> 00:16:47,360 there we go. Seven games. I can breathe now what 381 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:49,679 that take about fifteen minutes to go over seven games 382 00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:52,240 for he free plays and analysis. Hope you found it 383 00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:54,919 useful if you did click the thumbs up, like hey, 384 00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:57,639 leave me a positive comment below. Also, which games do 385 00:16:57,639 --> 00:16:59,759 you agree or disagree with? What top twenty five plays 386 00:16:59,799 --> 00:17:02,480 do you you like? What other college basketball games you'd like? 387 00:17:02,519 --> 00:17:06,400 In general? For this Saturday, February the fourteenth, Valentine's Day, 388 00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:09,200 Hey drop it below include some analysis if you have time, 389 00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:11,599 your favorite plays, even some under the radar selections mid 390 00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:14,400 major games. Let's learn and earn and win together here 391 00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:17,759 on wager Talk TV. And speaking of Valentine's Day, what 392 00:17:17,839 --> 00:17:21,240 are your plans tonight? Are you spending the night watching 393 00:17:21,240 --> 00:17:23,559 the three point in dunk contest with your loved one? 394 00:17:23,759 --> 00:17:25,880 Nothing wrong with that? Are you going out to a 395 00:17:25,920 --> 00:17:28,240 fancy dinner? Hey? Drop it in the comments below. We're 396 00:17:28,279 --> 00:17:31,519 all family here on wager Talk TV. And once again, 397 00:17:31,519 --> 00:17:33,720 click subscribe and click the bell for an instant alert 398 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:36,480 so you'll never miss out when a free play videos posted. 399 00:17:36,519 --> 00:17:39,759 Another Valentine's comment you can lead below best or worst 400 00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:43,319 Valentine's Gift ever? Or best or worth worst candy? Maybe 401 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:45,359 that'd be a good one. Hey, let's get creative here. 402 00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:47,160 I do truly read the comments our reply back. I 403 00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:49,319 love the support here on the channel, and that is 404 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:52,000 truly why I do these videos each and every day 405 00:17:52,039 --> 00:17:54,720 for you. I love the interaction and it's a great 406 00:17:54,759 --> 00:17:57,680 way to learning or to win together. As I always say, Hey, 407 00:17:57,680 --> 00:18:00,559 speaking of winning, I've got some strong client bets for 408 00:18:00,599 --> 00:18:02,880 this Saturday. Look, I just gave you seven games for free. 409 00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:05,160 Some of these might make my best bet card. I'm 410 00:18:05,160 --> 00:18:06,880 definitely keeping an eye on some of these games that 411 00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:08,839 I mentioned, But when I'm giving you a free play 412 00:18:08,880 --> 00:18:11,359 in every top twenty five, top thirty, is Top forty 413 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:13,759 to be exact game. Obviously, some of these are light 414 00:18:13,839 --> 00:18:15,880 leans only if you're playing all the TV games, nothing 415 00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:17,920 wrong with that. Treat them maybe is one percent of 416 00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:20,759 bankroll that's appropriate for like a light lean. Don't forget. 417 00:18:20,799 --> 00:18:22,720 I also post a free play on my page every day, 418 00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,559 which is truly the last cut for my best bet card. 419 00:18:25,599 --> 00:18:27,079 That you might want to treat as a two percent 420 00:18:27,119 --> 00:18:30,079 opinion because the free play on my page Steve merrillwager 421 00:18:30,079 --> 00:18:32,920 Talk dot com every day, including this Saturday, is truly 422 00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:35,599 this last cut for my best bet card. Maybe treat 423 00:18:35,599 --> 00:18:38,319 that as a two percent opinion. But my client best bets, 424 00:18:38,319 --> 00:18:40,240 my official best bets each and every day, are strong 425 00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:43,519 four percent plays. They're the games I'm personally using and 426 00:18:43,559 --> 00:18:45,680 they're strong. That's why they're four percent of bank roll. 427 00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:47,960 And if you're serious about making money and taking a 428 00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:50,680 consistent investment approach, you need to be playing the strongest 429 00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:53,559 plays for four percent. Lots of different ways to get it. 430 00:18:53,599 --> 00:18:55,440 You can get the one day all access right now 431 00:18:55,519 --> 00:18:59,079 for Saturday, or as I mentioned, a Valentine special by 432 00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:01,160 three days. I give you three more days free, six 433 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:04,119 days for the price of three sixty nine. Dude, so 434 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:05,880 many jokes you can make on Valentine's Day with a 435 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:08,559 sixty nine dollars price, but I won't go there. Seriously, 436 00:19:08,599 --> 00:19:10,519 three days is normally sixty nine, but you're getting three 437 00:19:10,519 --> 00:19:13,240 more days for free, so it's six days for sixty nine. 438 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:15,680 Or an even better offer, which is still available this week, 439 00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:17,240 and we made this last week during the Super Bowl, 440 00:19:17,279 --> 00:19:19,559 but I kept it up this week ten days for 441 00:19:19,640 --> 00:19:22,640 the price of seven all Sports all access normally seven 442 00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:24,960 days is ninety nine. Nope, you're getting ten days for 443 00:19:25,079 --> 00:19:27,559 ninety nine. So it's six days for sixty nine or 444 00:19:27,599 --> 00:19:30,319 ten days for ninety nine. No promo codes needed for 445 00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:34,000 those two special all sport all access offers, or, of course, 446 00:19:34,039 --> 00:19:36,440 if you're ready to take the consistent investment approach and 447 00:19:36,519 --> 00:19:39,200 get all of this year's upcoming baseball season, all of 448 00:19:39,240 --> 00:19:41,680 next year's college and pro football, complete the rest of 449 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:43,839 this year's college and pro basketball, next year's college and 450 00:19:43,839 --> 00:19:46,920 pro basketball through February. The one year all access is 451 00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:49,480 the way to go, and right now Instant five hundred 452 00:19:49,519 --> 00:19:52,440 dollars discount plus a bonus twenty five percent coupont included 453 00:19:52,519 --> 00:19:54,759 for free gets a down to about a dollar a 454 00:19:54,839 --> 00:19:58,000 play for every college and pro football, basketball, and baseball 455 00:19:58,039 --> 00:20:00,000 best bet for the next three hundred and sixty five 456 00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:02,640 days and nights. Hey look, if you want just this Saturday, 457 00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:04,519 my strong college best bets are loaded along with the 458 00:20:04,519 --> 00:20:06,880 bonus free play. Or if you want a six day 459 00:20:06,880 --> 00:20:09,480 for sixty nine, ten day for ninety nine, nothing wrong 460 00:20:09,519 --> 00:20:11,599 with that, or the one year all access for about 461 00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:14,400 a dollar a play with the Instant five hundred dollars discount. 462 00:20:14,599 --> 00:20:16,240 By the way, it doesn't matter what you choose, whether 463 00:20:16,279 --> 00:20:18,519 it's one day, one week, or one year, every client 464 00:20:18,559 --> 00:20:21,039 gets the same best bets I'm personally using, and it's 465 00:20:21,079 --> 00:20:23,519 always been that way since I started thirty years ago 466 00:20:23,839 --> 00:20:26,759 in August of nineteen ninety six. That's right, my thirtieth 467 00:20:26,799 --> 00:20:29,000 anniversary comes up this summer. I looked it up. The 468 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:31,359 traditional gift, as you know as pearls rule the pearl 469 00:20:31,519 --> 00:20:35,119 so appropriate, or diamonds the modern gift. I like that 470 00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:37,319 just as much. I think that's a good sign. Pearls 471 00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:39,519 and diamonds. This thirtieth year, we're gonna cash in big 472 00:20:39,839 --> 00:20:41,759 and make sure you're part of the team. It's always 473 00:20:41,759 --> 00:20:43,400 been the same. If I'm using the game, my clients 474 00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:45,440 get it, and there's one way to get my best bets, 475 00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:47,279 and that's good on my page right now Steve Merrill, 476 00:20:47,559 --> 00:20:50,279 wager Talk dot com and hey, get there quicker with 477 00:20:50,359 --> 00:20:55,799 shortcut wt dot Buzz slash sm. Don't forget about that 478 00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:57,759 daily free play for Saturday as well, the last cut. 479 00:20:57,759 --> 00:20:59,759 It's just a bit outside up there, free for everyone 480 00:21:00,079 --> 00:21:02,680 on Saturday on the way out. Don't forget to follow 481 00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:04,960 me on social media on X and Instagram at Steve 482 00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:07,279 Merrill two RS one L you know the deal at 483 00:21:07,319 --> 00:21:10,319 Steve Merrill, m E R R I L at Steve 484 00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:13,200 Merrill and X and Instagram. And stay tuned here to 485 00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:15,720 wait to Talk TV because you also know there's more 486 00:21:15,759 --> 00:21:17,640 free play videos coming up next