Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Do podcast. I'm your host,
Corey Evans. Thank you all for listening. This week, the
episode is titled Dynasty Lottery Tickets. The idea here is
that I have five names that I think are going
to be massive hits or complete misses in fantasy football
that's redraft and dynasty oriented for this season and.
Speaker 2: For the future.
Speaker 1: So let's take a stock check of them now, evaluate
from here on out, and decide if we should be
invested or pivot off and sell these assets more specifically
in dynasty fantasy football.
Speaker 2: Therefore, I don't think there's.
Speaker 1: A happy medium or common ground for these players for
the ceilings, which means it could be a bit divisive
in subjective value. Before we get to that, I did
announce that on last week's show the new Patreon tiers
would go live. Unfortunately, Patreon's engineers had an issue behind
the scenes and my new subscription billion model that they
are enforcing was delayed. According to their support team, it
should be up and running come December second, so next month.
So if you're on Patreon, it's still per creation for
all in November, and if you want to become a
new member, just remain patient. The tiers will be sorted
out come December if all goes according to plan. Keep
you all posted, no doubt about it. Thank you so
much for your patients. Let's get right to it up.
First is Jonathan Brooks. He's twenty one years old, very young,
second round pick forty six overall out of Texas this year,
and he has yet to make his NFL debut after
recovering from his torn acl in college in November of
twenty twenty three. Presumably was expected to be back come
week three, Week four, that was the initial timeline, not
the case, and he was not able to hit the
field in Germany with the Giants and Panthers games. So
at this point it sounds like Carolina has its by
in week eleven, and then come week twelve, Jonathan Brooks
should make his professional debut verse Kansas City. Now as
a reminder, because it's been a bit since we've discussed
Jonathan Brooks, or maybe that you've reflected on his college resume,
he averaged six point two yards per carry on two
hundred and thirty eight career college rushing attempts, including sixteen
rushing touchdowns, and then to prove his versatility chipped in
a twenty eight, three thirty five and two receiving log
during his time in school. He is six feet two
oh seven based on the tape, and if you watch
any Texas film of his excellent vision, burst, contact, balance
and acceleration on film, he reminded me a bit of
Arian Foster, bit of a throwback comparison. But those are
the vibes that I got. The elephant in the room
is that Chewba Hubbard is currently the Panther start running
back and a good one at bat who recently signed
a fresh extension four years thirty three point two million
with sixteen point four to five eight million guaranteed, and
that forecasts in RBBC in Carolina for the foreseeable future.
Instead of Jonathan Brooks being locked in as a featured
RB one.
Speaker 2: As previously anticipated, those.
Speaker 1: Days could be well off in the career arc of
Brooks Hubbard this year one sixty one, eight, eighteen and
six on the ground, that's five point one yards per
totes thirty for a buck twenty four and one receiving
touchdown on thirty five targets. Not to mention, he was
a PPR RB twenty seven and twenty twenty three last
season on a bad Carolina football team. Now two years
in a row, so he was a sound RB two
if not on the RB three boarder depending on a
ten or twelve team league last year and at this
point has been a rock stout RB two and twenty
twenty four. In other words, Chewba Hubbard is not going
away despite the excitement surrounding Brooks in his NFL debut.
Reminds me of a David Montgomery being a thunder Jamier
Gibbs being a lightning approach, where Chuba Hubbard is the
odd end favorite at least initially four volume, while Brooks
gets his feedback and he's going to actually bring versatility
to the field that Chewba will not be able to match.
Speaker 2: It's going to be a slow burn, though Jonathan Brooks.
Speaker 1: Just based on how long it took him to even
get back in the field compared to Dave Canalis saying
he could be back week one or a short stint,
and I are we all know that that was not
the case, and it's been a slow and steady return.
I think the best case scenario outlook right now is
that David Montgomery, Jamiir gives split while the worst case
could be or resemble now She Harris and Jalen Warren,
where Brooks really does play second fiddle to the volume
hog that is Chewba Hubbard. Now, if you watched the
Germany game, unfortunately Chewba Hubbard did s staing what looked
like a very bad injury. Look at a twenty ACL
just in live real time. He came back in a
field though, and by the time it was a quarter,
and I've heard nothing in terms of an injury updates.
If he's Alsom's go, then we'll expect that RBBC from
here on out. But Brooks is a Dynasty lottery ticket
because his rookie ADP was extremely high borderline top five
pick and one quarterback leads if not mid to late
first in a super flex format signed to the second.
Potentially you'd expect a premium cost.
Speaker 2: To equate to R one value. That's not out of
the question.
Speaker 1: But I think he's a lottery ticket because the value
has changed, or at least the initial role is not
what was initially projected. Up next is in fact Jalen Warren,
who I gets touched down. He turned twenty six early on
in November. Warren has struggled in his third professional season
after emerging with Pittsburgh in twenty twenty three with a
one p forty nine seven eighty four and four rushing
log that was for five point three yards per clip,
sixty one receptions for three seventy no touchdowns, seventy four targets,
and that made Warren the PPR RB twenty two last
year a rock solid running back two in fantasy. He
even showed glimpses of becoming Austin Eckler two point zero
on tape when it comes to efficiency per touch, elusiveness
and ability to manufacture yardage after contact. Fast forward to now,
he's appeared in seven games played in twenty twenty four,
fifty five rushes, two seventeen no touchdowns, three point nine
yards per clip, so sub four in that category, and
then fourteen grabs ninety six yards, no touchdowns, sixteen targets.
He did manage to deliver, probably at his healthiest, being fair,
his best showing of this season this past weekend against
Washington fourteen for twenty six on the ground and then
two for twenty nine as a receiver, and he just
missed inches by scoring a touchdown before fumbling at the
goal line.
Speaker 2: I have deemed Jalen Warren a.
Speaker 1: Dynasty lottery ticket because sustaining a hamstring injury in the
preseason I think really set him back behind Naji Harris
in twenty twenty four, and then a knee injury when
up to speed and we three further complicated matters in
terms of Warren's availability and playing time alongside Nag. Now
he has the reins of this backfield rightfully, so he's
gone one fifty seven six forty five three rushing touchdowns,
four point one yards per clip, and seventeen for one
fifty two as a receiver on twenty four targets. I
don't think that Nagy has a solidified grip on the
distribution of work. I think that is certainly stthing to change.
But sort of like Jonathan Brooks where he's not the
clear lead away running back, the same to be set
for Warren and Warren is the one, b Tanagi being
the one. A. Let's look at this though with a
broader scope. Harris is set to become a free agent
in twenty twenty five, as is Warren, but Warren's an
RFA because he was a UDFA out of school, and
at that point in time, Pittsburgh might think to themselves
as a franchise looking at conserve costs or draft the
running back that Warren is the one to retain or
match a tender as opposed to overspending on Nause. The
focus right now is Pittsburgh being one of the best
teams in the AFC, let alone all of football, and
utilizing its one two punch of Nause and Warren to win.
Speaker 2: Regardless of utilization.
Speaker 1: For us in fantasy, I will say that I think
Warren the time to buy low is closing.
Speaker 2: He's ramping up his workload, the snap shares are.
Speaker 1: Increasing, and the usage that we sell on twenty twenty
three is starting to reappear, and I think he'll be
a solid viable flex with RB two spike week's rest
of season. How about Keaton Mickshell as a lottery ticket.
He's a definition of such when it comes to fantasy football.
Speaker 2: He's a home run hitter.
Speaker 1: He's twenty three in January, so still twenty two at
this time. He made his twenty twenty four debut in
Week ten, that shootout versus the Bengals without recording a
single touch on offense three percent, The snaps very limited,
and he saw some usage as well on special teams.
The lack of involvement behind Derek Henry Riven Justice Hill,
for that matter, is no surprise. Mixchell towards ACL in
Week fifteen of twenty twenty three and is fully expected
to be eased in to Baltimore's defensive mix as a
former Uitia fantavasth Carolina let's rewind Keaton impressed in twenty
twenty three during the rookie season with production of forty
seven three ninety six and two touchdowns eight point four
yards per carry, showcasing that big playoffs side, and then
nine grabs ninety three yards eleven targets in eight games played.
The bladant speed is what makes him a home run
hitter four point three seven forty. It's a matter of opportunity,
which I'm not sole he gets with a healthy.
Speaker 2: Derreck Henry and a spry Justice Hill.
Speaker 1: The hope though, is that eventually Mick Jo can carve
out or push Justice Hill for those change of pace touches.
Since Derrick Henry's role is about secure as he gets
among all running backs in football. Assessing contracts here, Derek
Henry under contracts till twenty twenty six, Hill until twenty
twenty seven. Therefore, there's not a clear path for Mix
to earn a prominent role unless he unseats Justice Hill
as that satellite that for Baltimore. Because we know Barring
and Ingrey, Derrick Henry, Keith and Mitchell is not going
to be the alpha.
Speaker 2: He is a bet on efficiency per.
Speaker 1: Touch, which oddly enough does remind me of Jonathan Brooks
based on being easy into action. At least we assume
so Angalen Mooren and those running backs are hard to
start with confidence week in week out, yet they offer
week winning upside based on the cheap costs you have
to invest to acquire them or roster them. Perhaps outside
of Jonathan Brooks, he's exception on this episode, but I
think he fits the lottery ticket perfectly based.
Speaker 2: On situation he's in.
Speaker 1: Keith and Mitchell should be easy to acquire right now,
perhaps a third at most a second, even that seems
a bit steep based on the uphill battle he faces
to become relevant in Baltimore's backfield rotation. Time for quick
break and then two more Dynasty lottery tickets don't forget.
This is a great time before the fantasy playoffs. If
you have a trade deadline in your league. If it's
past it's still okay to check in with me. Set
up a roster call. Thirty bucks, thirty minutes, fifty dollars
one hour. He hit me up on at diynasdu pod
on all social media platforms, or send me an email
dynastydepod at gmail dot com. We can coordinate with our
schedules and get a call booked asap. Time for the
quick break. I'll be right back. Jonathan Mingo was another
name that came to mind as a lottery ticket.
Speaker 2: He's twenty three.
Speaker 1: Carolinas traded Jonathan Mingo to Dallas with a seventh for
a twenty twenty five fourth round pick. That is a
lucrative price tag Dallas pay in order to acquire what's
deemed a bust, at least so far in the NFL.
In the former Mingo and Mingo was a second round selection,
so already you could see the two round differential for
trade cost. I think more so a fifth or a
six would have been appropriate, but that's Dallas, that's their decision.
Mingo was the thirty ninth overall pick out of ole
Miss last year, never managed to really earn a significant
role with the Panthers. He went forty three for four
eighteen no touchdowns, nine point seven yards per catch, eighty
five targets for a fifth two one percent catch rate.
Speaker 2: That was a bad start.
Speaker 1: I didn't write him off because I liked Mingo's college
resume and overall pedigree. But then as a sophomore already
with Carolina nine games played before the trade, twelve catches
about twenty one no touchdowns, Ten point one is per
catch on twenty six targets. This is a complete hope
or banking on a change of scenery helping Mingo in Dallas. Now,
the absence of Dak Prescott certainly won't help matters When
we saw mc ten cooper rush is not going to
be the saving grace. Trey Lanty's a lot of work
and development, so that doesn't necessarily vote or forecast well
for Mingo. But then again, anything outside of Carolina and
more usage could benefit him, and I do think that
John Di Mingo is an exciting college prospect that will
miss from both a production and athletic profile perspective. He
had one hundred and twelve career college receptions for twelve touchdowns,
fifteen point seven yards per catch. He's six two to twenty,
so he has that big body frame that a lot
of teams covet. Four point four to six forty's really
good speed, thirty nine and a half vertical, a ten
foot ninete broad jump. This is all tools in the
world you could want if you made a wide receiver
out of a factory. It's a matter of producing a
Mingo has not done so, or at least aligned his
college film to NFL output. There's a lot of time
to change that. His debut for the Cowboys will have
to wait. Did not occur in week ten healthy scratch,
just a very late week trade in order to.
Speaker 2: Get ming up to speed.
Speaker 1: But I do think if you have multiple thirds in
twenty twenty five, or even a couple of forts one
that could be early try to acquire him and see
if anything occurs in Dallas, because the environment and situation
is certainly better on paper than Carolina, where he was
being phased out for the legs of Obviously he's averly
get or Jalen Cocher, and last but not least, for
a lottery tickets Jalen McMillan, who turns twenty three in December,
a third round pick this year out of Washington, ninety
two overaw. He's six's one one ninety two tall, lanky frame,
four point four to seven forty thirty seven inch vertical
on a ten foot seven inch broad so a solid
not great athletic profile. He cut my eye though out
of Washington because of the Kyle production. He did struggle
with injuries competing of vying four volume with Romadunza and
Jalen Polk, but still one hundred and twenty four pre
receptions for McMillan, seventeen touchdowns and thirteen point one yards
per catch. He can stretch a field vertically and offers
possession traits. McMillan has had a huge opportunity to carve
out a larger role for Tampa Bay with Mike Evans
sideline hamstring and Chris Godwin ir ankle since Week eight,
but all we've seen is four catches thirty five yards
versus Atlanta and that's it. Unfortunately, Jalen's been dealing with
the hamstring injury of his own been limited to him
and his reps. He actually missed Week nine Kansas City
and was active in Week ten vers San Francisco. No
stats from what I've seen so far a time I
recording not even a single snap Offensively, to me, that
means that the hamstring is still alien because the Tampa
Bay Buccaneers need as much help as possible wide out
until Mike Evans returns, hopefully after the teams by. McMillan
is allowed to ticket because he's a short and long
term investment. But if you're banking on the short term dividends,
it's probably going to beat his appointment because the Bucks
have instead relied on Kate Odden, the dual running back
of Forshad White and Bucky Irvin, and then even Stiling
Shepherd until Mike Evans returns. Therefore, McMillan is far from
being written off in Dynasty circles, but he's a lottery
ticket because the upside, unfortunately is parallel to the downside
at this stage's career.
Speaker 2: Hope you enjoyed this week's episode.
Speaker 1: A quick reminder and recap of those Dynasty lottery tickets
I discussed Jonathan Brooks, Jalen Warren Keeton, Mitchell, Jonathan Mingo,
and Jalen McMillan. If you enjoyed this week's show, please
take a few moments, hit pause right now and drop
a five star review. Click those five stars for Spotify
or Apple Off it's Apple and Ridden. I'll give you
a shout out on next week's program. Thank you again
for listening. Until next time. This is the Dynasty checking out.
Go lect you all in week eleven. Talk to you soon,
see you