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Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to the Dynasty Do podcast. I'm your host,

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Corey Evans. Thank you all for listening. This week, the

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episode is titled Dynasty Lottery Tickets. The idea here is

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that I have five names that I think are going

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to be massive hits or complete misses in fantasy football

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that's redraft and dynasty oriented for this season and.

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Speaker 2: For the future.

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Speaker 1: So let's take a stock check of them now, evaluate

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from here on out, and decide if we should be

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invested or pivot off and sell these assets more specifically

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in dynasty fantasy football.

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Speaker 2: Therefore, I don't think there's.

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Speaker 1: A happy medium or common ground for these players for

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the ceilings, which means it could be a bit divisive

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in subjective value. Before we get to that, I did

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announce that on last week's show the new Patreon tiers

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would go live. Unfortunately, Patreon's engineers had an issue behind

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the scenes and my new subscription billion model that they

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are enforcing was delayed. According to their support team, it

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should be up and running come December second, so next month.

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So if you're on Patreon, it's still per creation for

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all in November, and if you want to become a

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new member, just remain patient. The tiers will be sorted

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out come December if all goes according to plan. Keep

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you all posted, no doubt about it. Thank you so

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much for your patients. Let's get right to it up.

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First is Jonathan Brooks. He's twenty one years old, very young,

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second round pick forty six overall out of Texas this year,

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and he has yet to make his NFL debut after

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recovering from his torn acl in college in November of

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twenty twenty three. Presumably was expected to be back come

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week three, Week four, that was the initial timeline, not

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the case, and he was not able to hit the

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field in Germany with the Giants and Panthers games. So

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at this point it sounds like Carolina has its by

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in week eleven, and then come week twelve, Jonathan Brooks

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should make his professional debut verse Kansas City. Now as

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a reminder, because it's been a bit since we've discussed

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Jonathan Brooks, or maybe that you've reflected on his college resume,

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he averaged six point two yards per carry on two

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hundred and thirty eight career college rushing attempts, including sixteen

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rushing touchdowns, and then to prove his versatility chipped in

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a twenty eight, three thirty five and two receiving log

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during his time in school. He is six feet two

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oh seven based on the tape, and if you watch

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any Texas film of his excellent vision, burst, contact, balance

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and acceleration on film, he reminded me a bit of

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Arian Foster, bit of a throwback comparison. But those are

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the vibes that I got. The elephant in the room

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is that Chewba Hubbard is currently the Panther start running

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back and a good one at bat who recently signed

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a fresh extension four years thirty three point two million

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with sixteen point four to five eight million guaranteed, and

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that forecasts in RBBC in Carolina for the foreseeable future.

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Instead of Jonathan Brooks being locked in as a featured

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RB one.

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Speaker 2: As previously anticipated, those.

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Speaker 1: Days could be well off in the career arc of

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Brooks Hubbard this year one sixty one, eight, eighteen and

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six on the ground, that's five point one yards per

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totes thirty for a buck twenty four and one receiving

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touchdown on thirty five targets. Not to mention, he was

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a PPR RB twenty seven and twenty twenty three last

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season on a bad Carolina football team. Now two years

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in a row, so he was a sound RB two

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if not on the RB three boarder depending on a

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ten or twelve team league last year and at this

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point has been a rock stout RB two and twenty

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twenty four. In other words, Chewba Hubbard is not going

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away despite the excitement surrounding Brooks in his NFL debut.

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Reminds me of a David Montgomery being a thunder Jamier

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Gibbs being a lightning approach, where Chuba Hubbard is the

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odd end favorite at least initially four volume, while Brooks

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gets his feedback and he's going to actually bring versatility

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to the field that Chewba will not be able to match.

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Speaker 2: It's going to be a slow burn, though Jonathan Brooks.

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Speaker 1: Just based on how long it took him to even

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get back in the field compared to Dave Canalis saying

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he could be back week one or a short stint,

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and I are we all know that that was not

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the case, and it's been a slow and steady return.

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I think the best case scenario outlook right now is

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that David Montgomery, Jamiir gives split while the worst case

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could be or resemble now She Harris and Jalen Warren,

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where Brooks really does play second fiddle to the volume

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hog that is Chewba Hubbard. Now, if you watched the

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Germany game, unfortunately Chewba Hubbard did s staing what looked

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like a very bad injury. Look at a twenty ACL

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just in live real time. He came back in a

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field though, and by the time it was a quarter,

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and I've heard nothing in terms of an injury updates.

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If he's Alsom's go, then we'll expect that RBBC from

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here on out. But Brooks is a Dynasty lottery ticket

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because his rookie ADP was extremely high borderline top five

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pick and one quarterback leads if not mid to late

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first in a super flex format signed to the second.

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Potentially you'd expect a premium cost.

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Speaker 2: To equate to R one value. That's not out of

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the question.

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Speaker 1: But I think he's a lottery ticket because the value

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has changed, or at least the initial role is not

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what was initially projected. Up next is in fact Jalen Warren,

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who I gets touched down. He turned twenty six early on

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in November. Warren has struggled in his third professional season

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after emerging with Pittsburgh in twenty twenty three with a

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one p forty nine seven eighty four and four rushing

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log that was for five point three yards per clip,

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sixty one receptions for three seventy no touchdowns, seventy four targets,

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and that made Warren the PPR RB twenty two last

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year a rock solid running back two in fantasy. He

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even showed glimpses of becoming Austin Eckler two point zero

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on tape when it comes to efficiency per touch, elusiveness

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and ability to manufacture yardage after contact. Fast forward to now,

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he's appeared in seven games played in twenty twenty four,

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fifty five rushes, two seventeen no touchdowns, three point nine

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yards per clip, so sub four in that category, and

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then fourteen grabs ninety six yards, no touchdowns, sixteen targets.

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He did manage to deliver, probably at his healthiest, being fair,

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his best showing of this season this past weekend against

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Washington fourteen for twenty six on the ground and then

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two for twenty nine as a receiver, and he just

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missed inches by scoring a touchdown before fumbling at the

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goal line.

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Speaker 2: I have deemed Jalen Warren a.

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Speaker 1: Dynasty lottery ticket because sustaining a hamstring injury in the

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preseason I think really set him back behind Naji Harris

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in twenty twenty four, and then a knee injury when

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up to speed and we three further complicated matters in

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terms of Warren's availability and playing time alongside Nag. Now

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he has the reins of this backfield rightfully, so he's

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gone one fifty seven six forty five three rushing touchdowns,

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four point one yards per clip, and seventeen for one

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fifty two as a receiver on twenty four targets. I

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don't think that Nagy has a solidified grip on the

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distribution of work. I think that is certainly stthing to change.

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But sort of like Jonathan Brooks where he's not the

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clear lead away running back, the same to be set

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for Warren and Warren is the one, b Tanagi being

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the one. A. Let's look at this though with a

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broader scope. Harris is set to become a free agent

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in twenty twenty five, as is Warren, but Warren's an

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RFA because he was a UDFA out of school, and

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at that point in time, Pittsburgh might think to themselves

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as a franchise looking at conserve costs or draft the

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running back that Warren is the one to retain or

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match a tender as opposed to overspending on Nause. The

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focus right now is Pittsburgh being one of the best

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teams in the AFC, let alone all of football, and

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utilizing its one two punch of Nause and Warren to win.

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Speaker 2: Regardless of utilization.

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Speaker 1: For us in fantasy, I will say that I think

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Warren the time to buy low is closing.

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Speaker 2: He's ramping up his workload, the snap shares are.

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Speaker 1: Increasing, and the usage that we sell on twenty twenty

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three is starting to reappear, and I think he'll be

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a solid viable flex with RB two spike week's rest

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of season. How about Keaton Mickshell as a lottery ticket.

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He's a definition of such when it comes to fantasy football.

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Speaker 2: He's a home run hitter.

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Speaker 1: He's twenty three in January, so still twenty two at

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this time. He made his twenty twenty four debut in

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Week ten, that shootout versus the Bengals without recording a

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single touch on offense three percent, The snaps very limited,

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and he saw some usage as well on special teams.

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The lack of involvement behind Derek Henry Riven Justice Hill,

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for that matter, is no surprise. Mixchell towards ACL in

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Week fifteen of twenty twenty three and is fully expected

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to be eased in to Baltimore's defensive mix as a

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former Uitia fantavasth Carolina let's rewind Keaton impressed in twenty

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twenty three during the rookie season with production of forty

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seven three ninety six and two touchdowns eight point four

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yards per carry, showcasing that big playoffs side, and then

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nine grabs ninety three yards eleven targets in eight games played.

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The bladant speed is what makes him a home run

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hitter four point three seven forty. It's a matter of opportunity,

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which I'm not sole he gets with a healthy.

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Speaker 2: Derreck Henry and a spry Justice Hill.

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Speaker 1: The hope though, is that eventually Mick Jo can carve

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out or push Justice Hill for those change of pace touches.

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Since Derrick Henry's role is about secure as he gets

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among all running backs in football. Assessing contracts here, Derek

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Henry under contracts till twenty twenty six, Hill until twenty

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twenty seven. Therefore, there's not a clear path for Mix

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to earn a prominent role unless he unseats Justice Hill

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as that satellite that for Baltimore. Because we know Barring

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and Ingrey, Derrick Henry, Keith and Mitchell is not going

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to be the alpha.

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Speaker 2: He is a bet on efficiency per.

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Speaker 1: Touch, which oddly enough does remind me of Jonathan Brooks

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based on being easy into action. At least we assume

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so Angalen Mooren and those running backs are hard to

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start with confidence week in week out, yet they offer

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week winning upside based on the cheap costs you have

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to invest to acquire them or roster them. Perhaps outside

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of Jonathan Brooks, he's exception on this episode, but I

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think he fits the lottery ticket perfectly based.

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Speaker 2: On situation he's in.

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Speaker 1: Keith and Mitchell should be easy to acquire right now,

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perhaps a third at most a second, even that seems

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a bit steep based on the uphill battle he faces

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to become relevant in Baltimore's backfield rotation. Time for quick

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break and then two more Dynasty lottery tickets don't forget.

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This is a great time before the fantasy playoffs. If

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you have a trade deadline in your league. If it's

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past it's still okay to check in with me. Set

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up a roster call. Thirty bucks, thirty minutes, fifty dollars

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one hour. He hit me up on at diynasdu pod

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on all social media platforms, or send me an email

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dynastydepod at gmail dot com. We can coordinate with our

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schedules and get a call booked asap. Time for the

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quick break. I'll be right back. Jonathan Mingo was another

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name that came to mind as a lottery ticket.

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Speaker 2: He's twenty three.

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Speaker 1: Carolinas traded Jonathan Mingo to Dallas with a seventh for

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a twenty twenty five fourth round pick. That is a

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lucrative price tag Dallas pay in order to acquire what's

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deemed a bust, at least so far in the NFL.

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In the former Mingo and Mingo was a second round selection,

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so already you could see the two round differential for

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trade cost. I think more so a fifth or a

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six would have been appropriate, but that's Dallas, that's their decision.

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Mingo was the thirty ninth overall pick out of ole

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Miss last year, never managed to really earn a significant

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role with the Panthers. He went forty three for four

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eighteen no touchdowns, nine point seven yards per catch, eighty

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five targets for a fifth two one percent catch rate.

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Speaker 2: That was a bad start.

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Speaker 1: I didn't write him off because I liked Mingo's college

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resume and overall pedigree. But then as a sophomore already

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with Carolina nine games played before the trade, twelve catches

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about twenty one no touchdowns, Ten point one is per

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catch on twenty six targets. This is a complete hope

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or banking on a change of scenery helping Mingo in Dallas. Now,

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the absence of Dak Prescott certainly won't help matters When

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we saw mc ten cooper rush is not going to

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be the saving grace. Trey Lanty's a lot of work

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and development, so that doesn't necessarily vote or forecast well

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for Mingo. But then again, anything outside of Carolina and

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more usage could benefit him, and I do think that

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John Di Mingo is an exciting college prospect that will

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miss from both a production and athletic profile perspective. He

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had one hundred and twelve career college receptions for twelve touchdowns,

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fifteen point seven yards per catch. He's six two to twenty,

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so he has that big body frame that a lot

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of teams covet. Four point four to six forty's really

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good speed, thirty nine and a half vertical, a ten

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foot ninete broad jump. This is all tools in the

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world you could want if you made a wide receiver

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out of a factory. It's a matter of producing a

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Mingo has not done so, or at least aligned his

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college film to NFL output. There's a lot of time

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to change that. His debut for the Cowboys will have

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to wait. Did not occur in week ten healthy scratch,

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just a very late week trade in order to.

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Speaker 2: Get ming up to speed.

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Speaker 1: But I do think if you have multiple thirds in

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twenty twenty five, or even a couple of forts one

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that could be early try to acquire him and see

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if anything occurs in Dallas, because the environment and situation

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is certainly better on paper than Carolina, where he was

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being phased out for the legs of Obviously he's averly

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get or Jalen Cocher, and last but not least, for

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a lottery tickets Jalen McMillan, who turns twenty three in December,

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a third round pick this year out of Washington, ninety

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two overaw. He's six's one one ninety two tall, lanky frame,

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four point four to seven forty thirty seven inch vertical

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on a ten foot seven inch broad so a solid

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not great athletic profile. He cut my eye though out

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of Washington because of the Kyle production. He did struggle

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with injuries competing of vying four volume with Romadunza and

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Jalen Polk, but still one hundred and twenty four pre

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receptions for McMillan, seventeen touchdowns and thirteen point one yards

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per catch. He can stretch a field vertically and offers

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possession traits. McMillan has had a huge opportunity to carve

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out a larger role for Tampa Bay with Mike Evans

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sideline hamstring and Chris Godwin ir ankle since Week eight,

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but all we've seen is four catches thirty five yards

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versus Atlanta and that's it. Unfortunately, Jalen's been dealing with

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the hamstring injury of his own been limited to him

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and his reps. He actually missed Week nine Kansas City

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and was active in Week ten vers San Francisco. No

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stats from what I've seen so far a time I

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recording not even a single snap Offensively, to me, that

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means that the hamstring is still alien because the Tampa

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Bay Buccaneers need as much help as possible wide out

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until Mike Evans returns, hopefully after the teams by. McMillan

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is allowed to ticket because he's a short and long

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term investment. But if you're banking on the short term dividends,

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it's probably going to beat his appointment because the Bucks

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have instead relied on Kate Odden, the dual running back

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of Forshad White and Bucky Irvin, and then even Stiling

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Shepherd until Mike Evans returns. Therefore, McMillan is far from

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being written off in Dynasty circles, but he's a lottery

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ticket because the upside, unfortunately is parallel to the downside

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at this stage's career.

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Speaker 2: Hope you enjoyed this week's episode.

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Speaker 1: A quick reminder and recap of those Dynasty lottery tickets

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I discussed Jonathan Brooks, Jalen Warren Keeton, Mitchell, Jonathan Mingo,

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and Jalen McMillan. If you enjoyed this week's show, please

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take a few moments, hit pause right now and drop

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a five star review. Click those five stars for Spotify

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or Apple Off it's Apple and Ridden. I'll give you

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a shout out on next week's program. Thank you again

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for listening. Until next time. This is the Dynasty checking out.

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Go lect you all in week eleven. Talk to you soon,

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see you