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Speaker 1: All right, guys, welcome in. It is time for Total Bases.

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It's a two man show today, myself and Brian Leonard.

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TV will be back tomorrow, but still plenty to talk about.

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Who knows, maybe we'll get to most of these games

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on the typical abbreviated Thursday slate. This is your go

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to show for everything major League Baseball. We'll get we'll

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go deep into the games, we'll get to some free picks,

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but more importantly, we'll get you guys involved. So hop

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in the chat, start firing off the questions and let

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us let us know what we're talking about today. Brian Leonard,

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we need some winners here in the parlay. Maybe we

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can hit a two team or today that was a

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you know, that was just a tough result raised guardians.

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Speaker 2: It's looking like a win until the very end, and

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it just you know that.

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Speaker 1: I feel like we've had a couple of those in

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the parlay where we get to, like the last leg.

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A couple of nights ago, we were into the Tigers

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for the last leg of the parlay. Three nothing Lee

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with Tarik Schooble. What do we have to do to

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get a parlay home here?

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Speaker 2: I mean, come on now.

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Speaker 3: I'm telling you, if you watch the show, I like

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the Tampa in the first half. I talked about that,

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talked about Tampa and the game. They led the entire way.

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The only time they were behind was when they lost

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the game and extra innings. Yeah, two outs away. And

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to top it all off, the one guy in the

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Cleveland lineup who's been worse than everybody all season long

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is the guy who hits the home run. So Nolan Jones,

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thank you very much for being a Cleveland as a

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Cleveland fan. No, thank you very much for costing us

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our parlay. But that's the way it goes sometimes, and

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you get to them. We have so many games for

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talking about here, and there's so many different Like you

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had Tampa Bay, as we mentioned before the show, and

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you changed it at the last minute because of mine

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and so I could have played Tampa Bay first half

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stuck with that, we would have had our winner. It's

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a choice. We lost. What are you gonna do?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I was talking to Brian off Air and this

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is going to be my segue into our first game,

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because you know, Bro, I mean, most of your friends,

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my friends are handicappers and stuff like that, or at

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least the people we interacted on a daily basis, and

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all you ever hear is people complain about losing, complain

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about how they got screwed, and it's like, sometimes things

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do work out in your favor. I was talking about yesterday.

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For me, I had every intention of playing the Rais

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were on the show.

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Speaker 2: I talked about it on the show.

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Speaker 1: I get off the show, suddenly they're a dollar fifty

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five favorite. They took a ton of money, and you know,

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being just the discipline guy that I am, Brian, I

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can't play that bad number. So I passed on that

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ended up passing on a loser, and then I come

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back and end up playing the Orioles plus one and

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a half, which I got to be honest, I don't

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know if I take a raise loss in that bastion

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early in the day, I might take my ball and

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go home. But I didn't, and the Orioles hang on

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to a game that I felt like they kind of

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had end up losing.

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Speaker 2: Read it too.

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Speaker 1: But that's our segue because that's the first game on

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the slate for a Thursday. It's Orioles Red Sox back

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at Camden Yards Day game. Tough way for the Orioles

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to sort of drop one. Yesterday they had, you know,

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I question how that end of that game was managed.

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They had Keegan Aiken, who comes in and does a

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tremendous job to get out of the eighth inning. I

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believe he inherited first and third no outs and gets

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out of it. And I also want to go back

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and say, if you watch the show yesterday, I talked

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about Dietrich ends Tronesi Contreras being tough on the Red Sox.

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They totally shut the Red Sox down for like eight innings.

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They were totally confused. Aiken comes in, gets out of

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the eighth inning, and they put him back out there

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for the ninth.

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Speaker 2: I thought it was the wrong decision. It turns out

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it was.

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Speaker 1: Thankfully it didn't cost me my plus one and a

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half by about one inch because that's where Romey Gonzalez's

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home run.

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Speaker 2: I thought it was a home run.

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Speaker 1: Somehow, Dylan Carlson just reaches his glove up, grabs it,

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gets out three two.

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Speaker 2: Final.

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Speaker 1: The Orioles man, you know, Brian, this is they're looking

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like a very young team right now. They called a

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lot of these guys up, but I'm not seeing much

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veteran leadership. I feel like I'm watching a very young

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team sort of get slapped around by a solid Red

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Sox team. Does that continue today or did the Orioles

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have a chance here?

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Speaker 3: Well, I'll be honest with everybody, I'm not enamored with

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today's card, So there's not a lot this popped out

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of me at this point. But if I'm looking at

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this game, you know, he got Crochet on the mounmae,

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a couple of lefties going Crochet and Povich. Crochet in

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the one ninety range total of eight to the under

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or seven and a half slightly to the over. I

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don't want any part of Povich. Povich's just has not

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been able to make that adjustment going from the minor

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leagues to the majors. He was expected to do much

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better than he has, not throwing a good outing once

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in a while, and he has late recently he had

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a really good outing. But you've got one of the

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best top five pitchers, top three maybe in Major League

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Baseball going here for a bosson team who's seems to

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be on a mission, and I wouldn't want to bet

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against him here. Crochet two point three eighty RA three

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point zero two expected one point six whip. If you

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look at his deckcast page on Baseball Savant on the

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MLB dot com website, we see nothing but red, nothing

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but bright red. He's great at everything he does. Throws

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five pitches, including his four seamer, at ninety six point

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three miles an hour, which is three point three miles

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an hour faster than anybody your average left handed pitcher

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in Major League Baseball. And we know how much success

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lefties have had this year, so that would be there's

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no way I'm going against Crochet. Now Povich, he's got

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a five point one three ERA. In his two seasons,

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He's gone five and sixteen with a five point one

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sixty ERA one point four to three whip. Granted it's

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only one hundred and sixty five innings. He's a young guy,

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he's only twenty five years old. But he just says

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not had the ability to make the adjustment going from

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the miners to the majors. He's expected dra's five point

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five to seven, so there's nothing there. If you take

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a look at his deackcast page, seventh, percentile and expected

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DRA fourth and average ex of velocity third and BEARL

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eight fifth and hard hit percentage and the way Baltimore

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lost that game yesterday in the heartbreaking fashion because I

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had Baltimore as a smaller play for myself. I used

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it for a for my free play yesterday and we've

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been on a nice ten to four run. Well now

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it's ten and five. Is I did not take the

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run and a half. It's gonna be tough for Baltimore

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to come back in this game. I prefer the boss inside,

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but I can't get there with this line. There's no

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there's no discount here on Boston going for the sweep.

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And normally this is the day where we've got a

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lot of teams that are you know, we saw a

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couple games yesterday. Well it was the game and then

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they got to fly out and there the Mets game under.

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I talked about that, and that's exactly what happened in

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the Mets game. Under. That was a nice win for us.

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But it's tough to take a team to sweep. And

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I believe the cincinny Riz finally got swept yesterday, so

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they were the last team to do it in Major

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League Baseball. But I can't get behind Boston and sweep.

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But there's no way I want to go against them

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right here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Greg Morales, welcome in New It became a YouTube member.

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That is that that's music to our ears. That means

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he just went just subscribe via the YouTube channel. Appreciate you, Greg,

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And if you haven't done that yet, which I know

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most of you have because you watch the show all

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the time, and I know you guys listen, But if

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you haven't, the like subscribes and subscriptions to the YouTube

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channel helped tremendously Turnbuckle Tommy, I'm kind of with you here.

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He says his favorite play of the day is the

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under in the Red Sox Orioles Road get Away Day

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Crochet in the Mount. Povish actually has good numbers against Boston. Yeah,

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Povic does have decent numbers against Boston. And I'll tell

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you what. I bet Povich earlier this year against the

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Red Sox in a game that ended up being like

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a seventeen to five loss. Okay, And I remember that

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game because I watched every pitch of it and Povich

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was very, very good and all of those runs came

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after he was out of the game. For the most part,

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I thought, I think it was like a one run game,

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there was a spot where the Orioles had a chance

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to take the lead. I think the Red Sox made

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a really nice defensive play to end the inning, and

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then the floodgates opened after he was out of the game.

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Speaker 2: But I remember every pitch of that game.

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Speaker 1: I thought he pitched well, and he has pitched okay

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against the Red Sox in the past.

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Speaker 2: I agree with what Brian's saying. It hasn't fully translated

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for him.

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Speaker 1: This is a guy that was very dominant at Triple

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A last year, just hasn't really been able to do

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that at the big league level.

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Speaker 2: But it still might be in there.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if there's anything to this, but you know,

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he was he kind of set and this should I

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hate even bringing stuff like this up because it doesn't

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deserve attention. But Povic got threats after his last start.

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I don't know if you saw that make the rounds

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on social media. I think a family member of his

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got threatened, so which is insane that that's like in

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the game, but it does happen, and you know, like

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we saw it happen with the Colors earlier this year,

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and the next day he came out and next game

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he came out pitched great. I don't think there's any

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correlation between that and the threat, but.

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Speaker 2: I'm sure the team is behind him.

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Speaker 1: I'm sure he's had a lot of kind, you know,

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a lot of kind words over the past few days,

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and there's probably people in there building him up, maybe

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more so than your typical start. Who knows if there's

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something to that or not. I want to make a

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case for the Oriols on the plus one and a

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half again because it's a much better price than Yes

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today and the reason I would like the Orioles here

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to stay within margin. The Red Sox have used some

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bullpen they've been win That's part of the thing. When

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you win a lot of games, and especially when you

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win close games like the Red Sox have in this series,

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you start to burn through the bullpen.

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Speaker 2: So they have had some bullpen usage. So I do

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think the Oriols might be able.

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Speaker 1: If they can hang around, they can cover that one

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and a half, maybe even steal this one. But I

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think Turnbuckle Tommy's play makes sense because you get Crochet,

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Covid should pitch better, or Povid should pitch Okay.

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Speaker 2: He has in this series so far.

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Speaker 1: You have the getaway day and you're gonna have you know,

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you're gonna have, you get the eight flat, which I

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thought it should have been seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: I like that, So turn buckle, Tommy. I'm with you.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if it'll be my parlay leg, but

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I think under makes a lot of sense here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the only problem is Chapman pitched yesterday. He's pitched

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three at the last seven days. He through twenty four pitches.

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He won't be available, and he has been violently talking

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about making catches at the at the wall. He's silently

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been the best pitcher, really pitcher in baseball this year.

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He's the number one rated. So him not playing, and

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we also Wilson came in for one pitch yesterday, but

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it would be the third game in a row that

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he pitched. I don't I doubt if he'll be used.

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But that leaves you Whitlock and Matt's in so that

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they're fine. Other than that, but to play an under

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in a game where your best pitcher will not be

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pitching in Chapman, that is something to think about. But yeah, yeah,

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anytime we've get these Thursday getaway games, that's the first

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thing I'm looking at from a total standpoint, is to

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play the other end these especially you know that one's

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at an early game, starts at one o'clock. They got

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to get out of there. Yep. Makes a lot of

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sense to me too.

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Speaker 1: Brian Leonard, did you know Eraaldish Chapman has now gone

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forty two batters without giving up a hit.

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Speaker 2: I didn't know that until last night. That's kind of crazy.

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Speaker 3: His numbers, considering his age to throw the ball as

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fast as he does, being a lefty, he's turned himself

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if he wasn't, is he a Hall of Famer? I mean,

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you got to look at that. The career he's had,

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it's tougher for the relief pitchers to get in there.

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But the guy, the guy's been really good and he's

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done it for so many teams and so many years.

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Hats off to him in the career.

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Speaker 1: Hed Yeah, I mean, he's, like Collin said, he looks

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like he's in his prime and we all remember how

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dominant or all the Chapman was during his prime days.

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But yeah, it's a I mean, what a weapon for

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this Red Sox team who's been playing great ball to have.

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And I think that would also sort of tilt me

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to Orioles plus one and a half, knowing that they're

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probably not going to have Chapman at the end of

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the game because credit to the Orioles, I mean, Kobe

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Mayo had a phenomenal at that in the ninth inning,

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they just I mean, I think it was like a

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twelve pitch at bat against Chapman and he just put

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him away with ninety nine down the middle, hitch number twelve,

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because that that's just how locked in Chapman is. Right now,

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you have to protect against like three other things. Good

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conversation right there, that'll be a fun one. And that

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is the uh, the first day game. So Scargon, I

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did not know this, he says, hitting subscribe does not

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make you a member. Membership is two ninety nine, but

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subscribe anyways, Well I didn't realize that. But hey, if

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if you guys are becoming members, thank you very much,

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and you know it is free to like and subscribe

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and all the interaction greatly helps us. We just want

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to grow, grow this show to be as big as

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we can possibly be. So they so then when next

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year rolls around and they're figuring out what what kind

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of programming, they want they keep us in mind.

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Speaker 2: That is that is our goal with all of that.

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Speaker 1: So let's see, let's go to the cop I mean,

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we're gonna probably get to a lot of games today,

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so I'm just gonna go. We might get to most

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of them, actually or some of them. Let's let's let's

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talk Mets baseball first second, Brian, I feel like you

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know this is I didn't make it. Like again, I

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didn't bet the Mets a single time in this series.

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And I'm kicking myself a little bit because I talked

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about it on Friday. Hey, I'm gonna bet the Mets

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till they lose. I play on Friday, Saturday, they lose

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on Sunday. I never came back with him against the Phillies,

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and then they pull off the sweep. I do feel

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a little bit validated here. Your boy has been all

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over Nolan McLean and Joel and Jonah Tong Nolan McLean

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last night awesome. Wipes out the Phillies, no problem. But

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now we're starting to get it. It's just amazing how

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quickly things turn. Because the Mets a week ago, no

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one wanted any part of this team, Brian, and now.

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Speaker 2: They're over a two dollars favorite against the Marlins.

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Speaker 1: Any way, you play back at that a little bit

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this weekend or even here tonight.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's uh. I was actually thinking about it because

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I'm watching the games. I said, I wonder what the

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Mets are right now to win the World Series, because well,

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in a week ago, but you know, they're not dead

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because they've accumulated enough wins, but they were not looking good,

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very hit and miss. That's why at the end of

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the season when you see these teams, when you see

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the records like against over five hundred teams or whatever,

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it gets to me with a great assault because if

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the Mets, if they played the Mets during that street

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that they were just on, that was nothing to be

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brag about. Because the Mets just were not playing well.

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We'll going with the bullpen game. It looks like for

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Miami today Maser is getting the start against Clay Holmes

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and they are bringing up your man to pitch tomorrow

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that you had met or yeah tomorrow Tong is going

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to go. They're going to go with the six man rotation.

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It would not surprise me to see Holmes go to

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the bullpen because of his innings. He was the closer

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for the Yankees goes over to the Mets, so his

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innings are starting to pile up a little bit, but

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homes in the Mets right now looking like basically about

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two fifty favorite total, nine to the slately to the under.

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We're looking at major as I mentioned on the stackcast

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page here, they don't have they don't have a listed

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pitcher because it was just it was just done. So

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I expect him to go and in and I think

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it's going to be a bullpen game. Which the first

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thing I'm going to take a look at here is

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how's Miami bullpen sitting up in this game? And it

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looks like they're in really good shape. Fauchet and Henricaez

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and Phillips. Proche and Henricas haven't pitched the last two days. Phillips,

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nobody pitched last night except for two guys they brought

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up from the miners to extend that game, and that

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was Tarnock and Martinez. They won't be playing. They'll be

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sent back down to Triple A and they'll bring a

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couple more guys up here. But it'll be a bullpen

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game for Miami, I believe, and I have no problem

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with that because they're set up pretty well. Here. We've

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got Holmes, as I mentioned going for New York, he

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had hidden the season. He's up to a three point

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six o Era four point three seven expected one point

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three to two whip, very good ground ball right and

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excellent grand ball right in ninety fourth percentile. But other

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than that, his barrel rate's pretty good sixty nine percent.

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But everything else is in the blue. So I'm not

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looking to play the Mets here in any regard. He's

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got one hundred and thirty seven pitches thrown this year,

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which is more than he's had the last two years combined. Obviously,

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coming out of the bullpen, hasn't started a game the

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last two years. Now he's up. This is be his

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twenty seventh start, so it's probably a five and fly

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for homes if you can get there, which isn't a

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bad situation, but he has not been as nearly as

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good lately. I got to find a way to play

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Miami here and let me see what we can get here.

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At the plus one and a half, you can get

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them a plus money. Let me use that. Like I said,

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I'm not I'm not in love with anything on today's card,

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but because of the situation here with the the Mets

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coming off, it's gotta be a letdown after after sweeping Phillies.

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So I'm gonna use Miami here plus one and a

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half at plus plus one oh five out there, So

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that'll be my play on this game.

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Speaker 1: You don't get First of all, it's football season and

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you should be watching bet on It, which is a

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great football show that wad your talk produces. You don't

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get many sandwich spots in baseball. Uh Marco does this

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segment which is like sandwich spots and football, they happen

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every week, you rarely get.

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Speaker 2: Them in baseball.

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Speaker 1: This would be a baseball sandwich spot because you have

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the letdown of sleeping the sweeping the Phillies, and then

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you have tomorrow night which has now become this very

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anticipated Jonah Thong major League dated, So you have a

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legitimate sandwich spot here. One thing I'll disagree with you

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with Adam Maser is a starter. He will go five

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innings like this is not going to be a bullpen game.

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Speaker 2: He is.

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Speaker 1: He's not a bullpen arm at all. Like he he

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is a starting pitcher. He only has started for Jacksonville

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this year. Every outing is like five innings. So the

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only way he's out early in this game is if

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he's getting crushed. Brian, if you remember, I could pull

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up our text thread from back in April, I said,

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I said, Maser will be in this rotation by early May.

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Speaker 2: This was the guy that I was excited about.

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00:19:30,759 --> 00:19:33,319
Speaker 1: So if you're not familiar with Adam Maser, he's They

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00:19:33,359 --> 00:19:37,079
got him from the Padres, I believe as part of

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one of their deadline deals last year. I forget who

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00:19:41,839 --> 00:19:46,000
they got for him, doesn't matter, but I thought early

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in this year, so he was a guy. Actually, he

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was up with San Diego for a stretch last year

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and he struggled because he was just not ready to

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be in the big leagues yet. He san Diego needed

400
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a starter last year. He only had about four outings

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at and they said, hey, you're in, like, go for it.

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Speaker 2: And he didn't pitch well. And then the Marlins got him.

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Speaker 1: And to the Marlins credit and this is Peter Bendix,

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00:20:09,839 --> 00:20:12,440
and this is you know, their whole sort of mo

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with trying to develop pitching and do it their way.

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They kept Maser down at Triple A last year and

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he's been there for most of the year this year,

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So the only issue is he hasn't thrown the ball

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great at Triple A. But you also have to wonder

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if this is one of those things where he feels

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like he's just you know, other guys have gotten a

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chance and maybe he should have.

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Speaker 2: We had this come up.

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Speaker 1: I forget who it was with, but this same scenario

415
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came up the other day and the pitcher in question

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pitched well. I can't remember who we were talking about.

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But the point is, Maser's a big league caliber pitcher.

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He made it to the big leagues with the Padres,

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he was serviceable, had command issues. He's been down at

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Triple A all year for the Marlins, and for whatever reason,

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the Marlins liked to do this. But they seem to

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like to do this with guys they really like. If

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you remember, they did it to Max Meyer last year,

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where they just like kind of forced him to stay

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down at Triple A all year, even though the guys being

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called up were not as they were less touted, if

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you will, than him. That's kind of what has happened

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to the Marlins this year in terms of some of

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the guys they've brought up ahead of him. I kind

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of like that though, because they've had him down there

431
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for a reason, they must feel like the time is now.

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Speaker 2: If you're looking at stuff, of all.

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Speaker 1: Those pitchers down in Jacksonville, he probably has the best stuff.

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Speaker 2: So I think there's a lot of upside here to

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the Marlins.

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Speaker 1: And then after him, you are going to get some

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of the better bullpen arms and you do get this

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great sandwich spot. So the only thing that kind of

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00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:45,319
sucks with the Marlins right now is you don't have stours,

440
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and I think that really has hurt them since he

441
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went down. But you know, there's been time. There's been

442
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plenty of time. What are we going on a week

443
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where he's been out. I think the markets sort of

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bake that in at this point. I'm with you, Brian,

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Marlins plus one and after if you didn't do it,

446
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I would have done it.

447
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Speaker 2: So I like that quite a bit.

448
00:22:03,839 --> 00:22:07,920
Speaker 1: And Trevor says, Maser horrible against lefties. Gonna be a

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few left handed hitters in the Mets lineup. Okay, yeah,

450
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I mean, listen, it's it's that's that's a good point,

451
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and it's possible. But you're getting the run here, and

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you're getting it with the road team like, I think

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it's a worthwhile trade off with this, with the spot

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coming off the Phillies game and then you've got the

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big Jonahtong debut tomorrow. I just it really is a

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tremendous spot for the Marlins, and you're getting a ton

457
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of value as well.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and I appreciate you, uh correcting me on that

459
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because he wasn't listening on setcast anywhere. I had to

460
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go to Baseball Reference. Now that trade was when he

461
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came over to to Miami. He has had one start

462
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for Miami this year, six point three five a r A.

463
00:22:51,839 --> 00:22:55,759
Did not look good five point two innings any any

464
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had some walk issues in that game. So yeah, overall

465
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he has not done well. But I'd like the situation

466
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and even if they can get four quality innings out

467
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of them, three quality innings, that's fine enough for me.

468
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But I remembered the name, and once you mentioned San Diego,

469
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then I put it all together. But yeah, I should

470
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have gone to Baseball Reference. They had all the They

471
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have all the information. That's that's another site where we

472
00:23:24,079 --> 00:23:27,039
rarely mention it, but it gives you a lot of

473
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great information. And if you're looking for these minor league players,

474
00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:33,319
and I'm like, like, you do you follow those games

475
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:35,920
a lot more than I do. This is a place

476
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:38,079
to catch up on all those guys that do that

477
00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:38,599
for a living.

478
00:23:41,440 --> 00:23:46,200
Speaker 1: Andy Lang says, w T slash Insiders two ninety a month.

479
00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,200
You get five dollar coupon at the start of every month,

480
00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:51,359
exclusive content, emoji's buttons, chat, and your questions in the

481
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:54,200
chat get priority. That that must be what he's talking

482
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:58,960
about for the the whatever that subscription was. So if

483
00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:02,079
that's something that interesting, check that out. Appreciate Andy popping

484
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:04,359
in and Brian I remembered who it was, and this

485
00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:06,039
will be my segue to our next game.

486
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:07,640
Speaker 2: It was Bubba Chandler.

487
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:11,000
Speaker 1: Last week we talked about Bubba Chandler. He started to

488
00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:14,480
he started to sort of struggle in the miners. I

489
00:24:14,559 --> 00:24:17,559
kind of felt like maybe he was kind of looking

490
00:24:17,599 --> 00:24:20,000
at it like, all right, why am I still down here?

491
00:24:20,039 --> 00:24:22,200
Speaker 2: And maybe he got bored a little bit. Now.

492
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:24,640
Speaker 1: I don't want to compare Mazer to Chandler because Chandler's

493
00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:28,920
a much higher touted sort of prospect at this point,

494
00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:31,720
but that's what we saw happen with Chandler, where he

495
00:24:31,799 --> 00:24:33,279
had some bad outings at the miners.

496
00:24:33,319 --> 00:24:36,400
Speaker 2: He gets up, he's tremendous. Last week, did I see

497
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:39,200
he got in and threw the ball pretty well? Last night? Again,

498
00:24:39,319 --> 00:24:40,240
I think I got right.

499
00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:43,279
Speaker 3: He Actually he's the first player in major league history

500
00:24:44,279 --> 00:24:46,880
to get a save and a win in his first

501
00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:52,519
two appearances. It's another useless stat from ESPN or whoever

502
00:24:52,519 --> 00:24:55,960
it was, but still he was able to get the

503
00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:58,480
win and he'd piggy back, and that's what they're doing

504
00:24:58,599 --> 00:25:01,519
right now. So and he's been unheatable so far. So

505
00:25:01,559 --> 00:25:04,440
it's worked out well. And that's one of the other

506
00:25:04,519 --> 00:25:06,759
things you have to keep track of this time of year.

507
00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:09,640
Some of guys get real frustrated they haven't gotten the call.

508
00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:11,240
They're seeing all their buddies getting in the call and

509
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:14,319
they go, what the hell's wrong with that? Why I

510
00:25:14,440 --> 00:25:17,200
cannot get the call? And then when they do, they

511
00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:19,960
come out and they're more focused. So hopefully it'll work

512
00:25:20,000 --> 00:25:21,839
out for the mind of a picture today.

513
00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:26,319
Speaker 1: So my segue was to this Pirates Cardinals game, and man,

514
00:25:26,359 --> 00:25:29,759
every time I watch the Pirates and they win a game,

515
00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:32,359
then they do it with like Abobba Chandler or something,

516
00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:36,039
I think to myself, Man, if there was other people

517
00:25:36,079 --> 00:25:39,759
in charge of this organization, they would be they would

518
00:25:39,799 --> 00:25:43,599
they would be above five hundred team probably in the mix.

519
00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:46,400
Like it's actually insane. This team is fifty nine and

520
00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:49,359
seventy five with the pitching talent, they have some of

521
00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:51,920
the guys that they've been able to accumulate in that organization.

522
00:25:52,039 --> 00:25:54,839
Like the fact that they're you know, can't key on

523
00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:58,200
in the chat is like twenty twenty six rotation schemes.

524
00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:03,160
Chandler ASHTRAK Jared Joe, I mean, brack it. It's just

525
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:06,000
incredible that this team isn't winning more games. But then

526
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:08,440
they have a you have a game like last night

527
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:11,640
where they go out they win two to one, Baba

528
00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:14,079
Chandler's throwing a hundred, and you're like, yeah, like this

529
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:16,519
is what's supposed to This is what they're supposed to

530
00:26:16,519 --> 00:26:18,920
happen with this Pirates team.

531
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:22,200
Speaker 2: And so I bring you to this game today.

532
00:26:23,279 --> 00:26:25,039
Speaker 1: I feel like if things were to go how they

533
00:26:25,079 --> 00:26:28,279
were supposed to, it'd be Braxton Ashcraft throwing five or

534
00:26:28,319 --> 00:26:31,000
six really good innings and the Pirates into the driver's

535
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:33,599
seat to win, and you've got the Pirates at plus

536
00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:34,039
money here.

537
00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:36,799
Speaker 2: So but it's still the Pirates and they still make

538
00:26:37,279 --> 00:26:40,480
mind theming decisions, mostly with their lineup, because that lineup

539
00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:42,519
down in Indianapolis is very good right now. I got

540
00:26:42,519 --> 00:26:45,279
to see them in person last week. There's four guys

541
00:26:45,279 --> 00:26:47,039
in that lineup that should be in the big league lineup.

542
00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:50,519
So it makes the Pirates a tough handicap. How do

543
00:26:50,559 --> 00:26:52,279
you handicap this one? Pirates Cardinals?

544
00:26:52,839 --> 00:26:55,079
Speaker 3: Yeah, the Pirates. We didn't talk about that game yesterday,

545
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:57,799
but I really like the Pirates. I oh, there's way

546
00:26:57,839 --> 00:27:02,240
too much value on them. The Saint Louis pitcher is

547
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:03,960
a very good pitcher, and he pitched well in the game.

548
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:07,240
But how is Saint Louis worth? Maybe in a one

549
00:27:07,279 --> 00:27:10,279
ninety favorite. We didn't get into it yesterday, but hopefully

550
00:27:10,279 --> 00:27:12,960
a lot of people saw what I saw Ashcraft against

551
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:16,519
Miles Micholas, who for some reason is pitching well right now.

552
00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:20,559
Every time I think the guy's gonna get cut, it

553
00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:22,480
gets to the point he goes, Okay, well, yeah, I

554
00:27:22,559 --> 00:27:23,720
better stick around a little bit.

555
00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:26,599
Speaker 2: But it's been going on for a decade. Yeah, it's

556
00:27:26,599 --> 00:27:28,039
been for ten years.

557
00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:30,640
Speaker 3: But by the way, Colorado just sends us a towel

558
00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:33,480
to the bullpen, So no more than that for us.

559
00:27:33,799 --> 00:27:37,720
But yeah, that was something that's probably four months too late.

560
00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:42,759
But Michaela's here one sixth bed one sixteen favorite and

561
00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:44,279
it looks to be eight and a half to the

562
00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:47,119
under or he get eight slightly to the over. Yeah,

563
00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:50,279
Ashcraft have been very good. Two point seven oe a,

564
00:27:50,799 --> 00:27:53,480
one point one eight whip expected three point three zero,

565
00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:56,680
a lot of red on his tadcast page Bureau percentage

566
00:27:56,759 --> 00:28:01,000
ninety seventh percentle ground ball right eighty ninth, ninety percent

567
00:28:01,039 --> 00:28:05,000
on average Egson velocity. He throws the four steamer at

568
00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:07,839
ninety seven, which is two miles an hour more than

569
00:28:07,839 --> 00:28:10,880
a normal right hander. But he throws the slider and

570
00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:14,039
the curve a lot too. So he's got three pitches

571
00:28:14,039 --> 00:28:17,079
that he throws maybe maybe eighty five percent of the time,

572
00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:19,799
although he does have five total pitches. I like the

573
00:28:19,839 --> 00:28:22,839
package for Asscraft. I think this is a guy that

574
00:28:23,559 --> 00:28:27,519
is for the most part, staying under the the notice

575
00:28:27,559 --> 00:28:30,319
of a lot of people out there, and you know,

576
00:28:30,599 --> 00:28:32,240
even some of the other guys for the Pirates on

577
00:28:32,279 --> 00:28:35,359
the pitching staff. The starters have done pretty well. Yeah,

578
00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:38,960
Miles Cholis five point one seven ERA, five point three

579
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:42,519
nine expected, one point three six whip. He doesn't pitch

580
00:28:42,519 --> 00:28:47,079
in Colorado. He doesn't pitch in Cincinnati. Those are numbers

581
00:28:47,079 --> 00:28:48,559
that you would get if you were to pitch in

582
00:28:48,559 --> 00:28:51,160
those two ballparks. He's been lucky to pitch here. The

583
00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:54,799
one saving graycer Miles Micholis. He doesn't walk anybody, only

584
00:28:54,839 --> 00:28:57,559
five point seven this year, and his career walk grate

585
00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,240
is four point four percent, so he's in the eighty

586
00:29:00,279 --> 00:29:03,119
seven percent of all of that. But everything else all

587
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:08,599
blue on his tackcast page four. Seam, slider, curve, sinker, change, sweeper,

588
00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:12,400
he does it all and he only threw us as

589
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:15,759
pass ball twenty eight percent of the time, which I like.

590
00:29:16,039 --> 00:29:18,680
But I think he's been in the league for ten

591
00:29:18,759 --> 00:29:22,519
years now, got a respectable seventy and seventy four record,

592
00:29:23,119 --> 00:29:29,319
but he's seen better days and after the three years,

593
00:29:29,319 --> 00:29:31,119
at least the last two years five point three five

594
00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:34,440
y R five point one seven this year. I don't

595
00:29:34,480 --> 00:29:37,799
know what his contract situation is, but he'll likely be

596
00:29:37,839 --> 00:29:43,000
out of baseball soon. All that said, I do prefer

597
00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:46,200
Pittsburgh in this game. I think we've lost a little

598
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,799
bit of value because they won yesterday. I would have

599
00:29:49,319 --> 00:29:52,359
preferred to take say Lewis coming in here all for

600
00:29:52,400 --> 00:29:54,519
a satisfying win. But yeah, the only way I could

601
00:29:54,519 --> 00:29:58,200
play this game would be Pittsburgh with a clearly better

602
00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:02,480
starter the bult For Pittsburgh, even though they traded away

603
00:30:02,559 --> 00:30:05,640
their closer, they still got a lot of talent. I've

604
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:07,680
always left Alderman and I like some of other guys

605
00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:10,599
in that bullpen. So yeah, if I play this, I'm

606
00:30:10,599 --> 00:30:13,000
playing the Pirates. The only problem is you got to

607
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:15,759
worry about the Pirates offense. Some days they put up

608
00:30:15,759 --> 00:30:19,480
fourteen runs, other days they get shut out Major League Baseball,

609
00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:22,440
and they could get one of those where Micholas just

610
00:30:22,599 --> 00:30:26,119
dazzles them with his offspeat stuff. But we'll see. The

611
00:30:26,119 --> 00:30:28,960
only way I coul play this would be Pittsburgh.

612
00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:32,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, Brian, I guess when the organizational depth

613
00:30:32,359 --> 00:30:35,680
right around your age range at your position is Paul Skeins,

614
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:39,519
Jared Jones, Hunter Barco like, and you're on that list,

615
00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:42,440
it's easy to someone's gonna go under Bubba Chandler. It's

616
00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:44,640
easy someone's gonna go under the radar a little bit.

617
00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:47,440
And I do feel like it's been Ashcraft. And another

618
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:49,240
reason he's gone a little bit under the radar is

619
00:30:49,279 --> 00:30:52,480
the Pirates. Did I guess this is the pirates what

620
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:54,240
they're gonna do. Now, this is their new thing where

621
00:30:54,279 --> 00:30:55,880
they're gonna call a guy up and then let him

622
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:58,160
come and pitch in long relief and come out of

623
00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:00,039
the bullpen. So he kind of, you know, he he

624
00:31:00,039 --> 00:31:02,839
didn't really get his his sort of day when he

625
00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:05,279
got called up because he was coming out of the bullpen.

626
00:31:05,359 --> 00:31:08,200
So on and so forth. They might be onto something though,

627
00:31:08,319 --> 00:31:11,880
because I think I think it's like he's I think

628
00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:13,920
it's helped him right, Like he was coming out of

629
00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:16,480
the bullpen. Maybe he realized he could throw a little

630
00:31:16,519 --> 00:31:21,000
bit harder in shorter you know, in shorter stretches. He's

631
00:31:21,039 --> 00:31:23,720
been awesome and and he's been better than he was

632
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:26,960
at Triple A since you know, sort of getting called

633
00:31:27,039 --> 00:31:29,880
up and going through that like routine of being a

634
00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:33,240
long reliever for a minute. I mean, his stuff is tremendous.

635
00:31:33,559 --> 00:31:37,200
He has, like you know, if they didn't have Paul

636
00:31:37,279 --> 00:31:39,079
Skeins and they didn't have some of these other guys,

637
00:31:39,279 --> 00:31:41,440
I think they'd be talking about Brax and Ashcraft is

638
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:44,039
like a potential ace, but he does sort of fly

639
00:31:44,160 --> 00:31:46,680
under the radar a little bit, and for that reason,

640
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:49,720
you're able to get prices like plus one ten plus

641
00:31:49,799 --> 00:31:52,319
one oh five on him when he's the better pitcher.

642
00:31:52,359 --> 00:31:55,079
And you know what, the Pirates right now, they very

643
00:31:55,119 --> 00:31:57,119
possibly could be the better team.

644
00:31:57,279 --> 00:31:58,920
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go Gene.

645
00:31:58,799 --> 00:32:01,000
Speaker 1: I pull I put his comment down because it was

646
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:02,880
it was taking up a lot of room on the screen.

647
00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:06,160
I'll pull it back up. Cardinals, clear clubhouse issues. Did

648
00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:08,279
you guys have to catchman? Contreras got tossed out of

649
00:32:08,279 --> 00:32:10,640
the game the night before through the bat hit one

650
00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:15,559
of the teammates. It's yeah, it's it's not good for

651
00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:17,359
the Cardinals right now. And I think that's a very

652
00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:20,319
good point that's being made. They're kind of a team

653
00:32:20,319 --> 00:32:23,160
that it feels like they're sort of going off the rails,

654
00:32:23,799 --> 00:32:27,079
whereas the Pirates are a team that, you know, unfortunately

655
00:32:27,359 --> 00:32:30,039
has been off the rails since about May. They haven't

656
00:32:30,079 --> 00:32:32,559
had anything to play for since May in terms of

657
00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:35,640
like going anywhere. So I think you could see the

658
00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:37,559
Pirates play spoiler a little bit. I'll tell you what

659
00:32:37,599 --> 00:32:41,160
I'm looking for a long term right now in Indianapolis,

660
00:32:41,200 --> 00:32:46,079
they have Cam Devaney, Rapiel Flores, Nick Solak, and Nick York.

661
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:49,240
Those four should be in the Pirates lineup. If you

662
00:32:49,319 --> 00:32:51,799
see those guys start to creep into the lineup in

663
00:32:51,839 --> 00:32:54,480
the coming days and weeks, the Pirates will be a

664
00:32:54,519 --> 00:32:59,279
money making machine in September, an absolute machine, because that

665
00:32:59,319 --> 00:33:04,440
would improve the Pirates lineup tenfold. Those four are better

666
00:33:04,480 --> 00:33:07,079
than the last four guys in the Pirates lineup right now,

667
00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:08,680
which has been the Pirates issue.

668
00:33:08,799 --> 00:33:10,640
Speaker 2: Why they won't bring him up, I don't know.

669
00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:12,240
Speaker 1: It must be it must be a way for that

670
00:33:12,319 --> 00:33:15,039
owner to save a dollar or two, because that's like

671
00:33:15,279 --> 00:33:18,720
the m O in Pittsburgh. But write those four names

672
00:33:18,759 --> 00:33:21,160
down and keep an eye on the on the transactions.

673
00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:23,720
The reason I say that is it is August twenty eighth.

674
00:33:24,079 --> 00:33:28,599
On September first rosters expand, and it like it would

675
00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:31,640
be crazy to like not give Cam Devaney his major

676
00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:35,599
league baseball debut when they traded Adam Frasier for him.

677
00:33:35,920 --> 00:33:37,000
Speaker 2: They still haven't called him up.

678
00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:39,000
Speaker 1: And the guy's got like a nine to fifty ops

679
00:33:39,039 --> 00:33:41,599
in the minors, like he's twenty eight years old, like you,

680
00:33:43,079 --> 00:33:46,599
even the Pirates can't continue to do him a disservice

681
00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:48,200
like that. So I think you're gonna see some of

682
00:33:48,200 --> 00:33:50,559
these guys get in the lineup and the Pirates might

683
00:33:50,599 --> 00:33:54,200
be a September machine. For today, I still think they're

684
00:33:54,319 --> 00:33:56,400
they're good enough, Brian. So I'm gonna use I'm gonna

685
00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:57,240
throw this in the parla.

686
00:33:57,559 --> 00:33:59,519
Speaker 2: I'll do. What do we have for a pirate's money line?

687
00:33:59,599 --> 00:33:59,920
Right now?

688
00:34:01,119 --> 00:34:07,880
Speaker 3: The Pirate's money line is looking at plus plus one

689
00:34:07,960 --> 00:34:08,400
o three.

690
00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:14,199
Speaker 2: I will say, I'll take that. That's good.

691
00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:19,639
Speaker 3: I will say after looking at the bullpen situation for Pittsburgh,

692
00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:25,159
Santana's pitch three the last four days, including yesterday, there

693
00:34:25,519 --> 00:34:30,400
seventh and eighth inning guys Matt Sen and Lonzowski. Uh

694
00:34:30,679 --> 00:34:32,920
he threw forty six pitches, Yester, so he won't be

695
00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:37,639
available match the last four Uh, so they're gonna have

696
00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:40,079
to use some of their other guys in the bullpen.

697
00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:42,559
I like the first half better. You can get him

698
00:34:42,559 --> 00:34:45,119
at minus one twenty. That way, I don't have to

699
00:34:45,119 --> 00:34:47,800
worry about the bullpen. And we didn't even talk about

700
00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:50,440
Mike Burrows, who has been in the rotation for a

701
00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:53,800
long time this year, and he's another guy that has

702
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:56,239
turned into be a pretty good picture for Pittsburgh. So

703
00:34:56,679 --> 00:34:59,440
from a pitching standpoint, I think the Pirates are in

704
00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:01,639
good shape for next year. It's got to bring in

705
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:05,719
some hitters and they'll be a competitive team.

706
00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:08,639
Speaker 1: I think you I think you could see Justin Lawrence

707
00:35:09,400 --> 00:35:11,480
out of the bullpen for the Pirates today. He threw

708
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:15,920
he threw on Tuesday for Indianapolis, and I don't see

709
00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:19,719
why they wouldn't just I mean, he looked fine, like

710
00:35:19,760 --> 00:35:22,559
it's you know, it's his third it was his third

711
00:35:22,639 --> 00:35:25,960
rehab outing. I feel like if they I feel like

712
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:28,239
it's like, what are you know if he's if if

713
00:35:28,280 --> 00:35:30,920
it would be outing number four, Like why don't just

714
00:35:30,920 --> 00:35:32,719
just let him throw it for Pittsburgh, especially if you

715
00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:35,400
need a bullpen arm and and Lawrence before he got hurt,

716
00:35:36,079 --> 00:35:38,079
was looking really good. If you guys remember he was

717
00:35:38,119 --> 00:35:40,960
the reliever that they grabbed from the Rockies who was

718
00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:43,559
off to a tremendous start this season. So you may

719
00:35:43,639 --> 00:35:46,719
you may see him back in the Pirates pen today.

720
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:49,599
It would probably be his day to pitch, So keep

721
00:35:49,599 --> 00:35:53,400
an eye on that. Okay, let's take a look here

722
00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:59,199
we have Dayton. Dayton says, can we cover the Diamondbacks

723
00:35:59,199 --> 00:36:02,360
game today? We can definitely do that. That was when

724
00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:04,039
I saw a little value on I told I did

725
00:36:04,159 --> 00:36:07,519
a video for this yesterday. I thought Arizona would win

726
00:36:07,559 --> 00:36:08,960
a game in the series, and that they were a

727
00:36:08,960 --> 00:36:11,480
little value at plus money, and they got it done

728
00:36:11,559 --> 00:36:14,440
yesterday three to win. So I guess my free play

729
00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:19,440
cash yesterday on the Diamondbacks, Brian, I think they might

730
00:36:19,519 --> 00:36:22,400
have a tiny bit of value again today in this

731
00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:25,599
one at plus money. You're gonna need them to piece

732
00:36:25,639 --> 00:36:29,159
together the pitching a little bit. It's probably gonna be

733
00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:32,519
no Bill, Chris Matt and a sort of a couple

734
00:36:32,519 --> 00:36:34,519
of bullpen guys because I don't know that he's going

735
00:36:34,599 --> 00:36:37,679
to go very long in this game. But I believe

736
00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:39,639
they called up a guy from Reno that's been throwing

737
00:36:39,639 --> 00:36:42,119
it well. His last name's Rashi r A s Hi.

738
00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:44,320
I believe is I don't know if you appeared yesterday.

739
00:36:44,360 --> 00:36:46,760
If he didn't, he's probably in the mix for today.

740
00:36:47,119 --> 00:36:49,280
So my question to you is can can Aara's gonna

741
00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:52,320
piece it together with the pitching where they're in this

742
00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:53,000
game today?

743
00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:58,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, this game, we're looking at Chris Matt and Quintana

744
00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:03,320
for the afterthought for Milwaukee, and he cons interested to

745
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:06,880
have a terrific season. He's a lefty going against Arizona. Here.

746
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:10,960
We're looking at Milwaukee at about a what's sixty favorite

747
00:37:11,159 --> 00:37:13,159
and a total of nine. I'm glad we talked about

748
00:37:13,159 --> 00:37:16,679
this game because I wanted to talk about Milwaukee. I

749
00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:18,480
lost a game the other day. I believe they played

750
00:37:18,519 --> 00:37:23,320
San Francisco and they brought McGill in to close, and

751
00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:25,199
it brought him in the last sning. He clearly didn't

752
00:37:25,199 --> 00:37:27,599
have anything. I'm watching the game. I go they got

753
00:37:27,639 --> 00:37:28,800
to give him the hell out of there. I talked

754
00:37:28,800 --> 00:37:32,480
about it earlier show, and now they find out. Why

755
00:37:32,519 --> 00:37:35,400
do you know he's going on the ale? He's hurt? Yeah,

756
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:37,119
I knew he was hurt. I watched the damn game.

757
00:37:38,039 --> 00:37:40,440
In fact, if I could see it, the management's got

758
00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:41,800
to be able to see that. Or do you leave

759
00:37:41,880 --> 00:37:44,519
him in an entire game? Cost ship, I'll start, clients

760
00:37:44,559 --> 00:37:47,079
will win. But a little frustration on my part. But

761
00:37:47,599 --> 00:37:50,920
still Milwaukee right now, they got a big lead, they

762
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:54,559
don't need to win, and they're playing somewhat like that

763
00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:57,840
right now. The Bill the only no Bill I've ever

764
00:37:57,880 --> 00:38:00,519
heard of in Major League Baseball. He's thirty year old,

765
00:38:01,079 --> 00:38:04,599
so he's only pitched one hundred and eighty six innings

766
00:38:04,639 --> 00:38:07,519
in his career. This is his third, actually sixth season

767
00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:11,480
in Major League Baseball three RA three point five eight,

768
00:38:11,599 --> 00:38:13,440
not bad one point three. I wa up a little high,

769
00:38:14,199 --> 00:38:17,920
but he's come in. He started a game earlier for

770
00:38:19,159 --> 00:38:22,800
this team, and he's had some pretty good success. Probably

771
00:38:22,840 --> 00:38:25,199
won't go along. As you mentioned, he's going up against

772
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:29,960
Stana Gwentana three point three two, ERA five point oh

773
00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:33,239
two expected. He's always beat his expected numbers. You go

774
00:38:33,280 --> 00:38:34,960
all the way back the last four years, he's beating

775
00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:37,679
them every year. He's one of those guys that stays

776
00:38:37,760 --> 00:38:40,679
under the radar, and I like it. But if you

777
00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:43,320
see a stack cast page, not any red on this

778
00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:46,920
page average Jackson Velosti sixty first percentile. That's the best thing.

779
00:38:46,920 --> 00:38:49,880
He does a lot of blue, but he knows how

780
00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:53,400
to pitch. His career ERA three point seven two last

781
00:38:53,400 --> 00:38:55,599
three years three point three two, three point seventy five,

782
00:38:55,639 --> 00:38:59,400
three point five to seven. These statcast people do not

783
00:38:59,599 --> 00:39:02,159
like him, and a lot of people in Major League Baseball,

784
00:39:02,159 --> 00:39:03,920
the scouts and all that, they don't like them. But

785
00:39:04,159 --> 00:39:07,480
he knows how to pitch, and I usually find a

786
00:39:07,480 --> 00:39:10,079
lot of value on him. But I don't want him today.

787
00:39:10,599 --> 00:39:17,159
As I mentioned, Milwaukee right now without their closer, and

788
00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:19,280
they can just cruise the rest of their way, so

789
00:39:20,519 --> 00:39:23,400
no reason to play Milwaukee here at the line open

790
00:39:23,480 --> 00:39:28,800
one seventy one five. I believe they take those from

791
00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:32,199
Chris and they kind of inflate their their numbers on

792
00:39:32,239 --> 00:39:34,760
the on the favorite there with they got twenty five

793
00:39:34,880 --> 00:39:37,599
cent straddle right there, so normally you only see about

794
00:39:37,599 --> 00:39:40,840
a fifteen points straddle at the worst. So yeah, we're

795
00:39:40,920 --> 00:39:44,480
we're looking at Arizona here. I think there's value on there,

796
00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:49,119
and because of the Milwaukee not having the closer, the

797
00:39:49,119 --> 00:39:51,400
rest of their guys are really good. But Ashby I

798
00:39:51,559 --> 00:39:54,239
used as a starter so last time out and they

799
00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:56,960
pitched like forty five pitches, so he won't be available,

800
00:39:57,239 --> 00:40:00,360
so it'll be a limited Milwaukee bullpen here. I kind

801
00:40:00,360 --> 00:40:02,519
of like Arizona. I think that's a decent underdog play

802
00:40:02,559 --> 00:40:02,960
for today.

803
00:40:04,280 --> 00:40:06,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, and no Bille Chris. Matt's been around for a

804
00:40:06,519 --> 00:40:09,159
long time. He's I think he's thirty, will be thirty

805
00:40:09,199 --> 00:40:11,840
one later this year. Kind of just he's just been

806
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:14,440
a journeyman, minor leaguer. I feel like I've seen him

807
00:40:14,440 --> 00:40:17,679
on six different A rosters over the past couple of years.

808
00:40:17,679 --> 00:40:19,639
Speaker 2: I think he was actually on three different ones.

809
00:40:20,119 --> 00:40:23,719
Speaker 1: I think he went from Dodgers to Phillies to to

810
00:40:24,159 --> 00:40:29,000
This is his most recent stop he's actually been. He's

811
00:40:29,039 --> 00:40:31,480
he's taken this opportunity and run with it a little bit.

812
00:40:31,519 --> 00:40:35,320
This will be his third outing for the Diamondbacks and

813
00:40:35,599 --> 00:40:38,000
he's given up one run over nine innings so far.

814
00:40:38,119 --> 00:40:41,639
So you know, he's thrown it well recently since being

815
00:40:41,679 --> 00:40:45,280
called up. So I think that's worth pointing out. I'll

816
00:40:45,280 --> 00:40:48,400
echo what you were saying, Brian. This this Brewers team,

817
00:40:49,559 --> 00:40:52,159
they just don't really need to like go nuts right now.

818
00:40:52,199 --> 00:40:53,599
They have a six and a half game lead in

819
00:40:53,599 --> 00:40:58,599
the division. They still have a man I think their

820
00:40:58,679 --> 00:41:00,559
lead on the on the best track in the nash

821
00:41:00,639 --> 00:41:02,760
League is roughly the same. They have like a six

822
00:41:02,880 --> 00:41:05,440
or seven game lead on the next best team in

823
00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:09,159
the NL right now. They don't need to manage these

824
00:41:09,199 --> 00:41:11,320
games and put guys at risk.

825
00:41:11,440 --> 00:41:11,599
Speaker 2: There.

826
00:41:11,679 --> 00:41:14,760
Speaker 1: You're gonna see, it's gonna be all Just spread the

827
00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:19,559
innings around, let's keep everyone fresh, and let's go to

828
00:41:19,599 --> 00:41:20,679
the postseason healthy.

829
00:41:21,679 --> 00:41:21,880
Speaker 2: Yeah.

830
00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:24,440
Speaker 1: Now, listen, if the Cubs close the gap and suddenly

831
00:41:24,480 --> 00:41:26,599
this is a two game lead in the division, do

832
00:41:26,639 --> 00:41:28,079
you think does that change things?

833
00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:28,840
Speaker 2: Probably?

834
00:41:29,199 --> 00:41:30,920
Speaker 1: But I just don't think you're gonna see the Brewers

835
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:33,440
take chances with your relievers. I think it's just gonna

836
00:41:33,440 --> 00:41:37,440
be next guy up. So that's it's worth sort of

837
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:40,199
noting because you get to these leverage spots and you're

838
00:41:40,239 --> 00:41:43,000
you're typically used to having a McGill or an Ashby

839
00:41:43,039 --> 00:41:46,000
in a certain spot. Well, McGill's on the il, they're

840
00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:49,159
obviously not gonna use Ashby today, and you get.

841
00:41:50,519 --> 00:41:52,400
Speaker 2: Kind of the situation that happened.

842
00:41:52,079 --> 00:41:54,239
Speaker 1: To you over the weekend where you have the game

843
00:41:54,280 --> 00:41:56,840
on the line and Garrett Anderson is pitching in the

844
00:41:56,920 --> 00:41:59,480
ninth inning of the game, and that's tough. So I

845
00:41:59,519 --> 00:42:02,360
do think that that's a reason, based on where the

846
00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:04,639
Brewers are priced in the market, to start to look

847
00:42:04,679 --> 00:42:07,400
at the other side, because you're still paying premium prices

848
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:10,360
for the Brewers on pretty much a daily basis, and

849
00:42:10,440 --> 00:42:11,960
I think that's what you're being asked to do here.

850
00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:14,320
So it would be Dbacks or pass for me, I

851
00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:16,159
think there's value again on them today. I would I

852
00:42:16,199 --> 00:42:18,599
would rather have the Arizona Diamondbacks if I was going

853
00:42:18,599 --> 00:42:24,280
to bet this game. Okay, let's move along. We have

854
00:42:24,320 --> 00:42:27,320
seventeen minutes left. We've locked the parley, in so I'll

855
00:42:27,320 --> 00:42:29,599
repeat that again at the end of the show. But

856
00:42:29,639 --> 00:42:31,960
there's still plenty of other games to talk about. Let's

857
00:42:32,119 --> 00:42:35,360
let's talk about those Cubs. The Cubs six and a

858
00:42:35,360 --> 00:42:37,920
half back in the in the NL Central, but it

859
00:42:37,960 --> 00:42:40,159
looks like they're sort of comfortably a playoff team at

860
00:42:40,159 --> 00:42:43,400
this point, Brian. They've everyone has kind of distanced themselves

861
00:42:43,440 --> 00:42:46,119
from the Reds, which you sort of foreshadowed that being

862
00:42:46,159 --> 00:42:50,159
the case. On Monday, they're still on the road in

863
00:42:50,199 --> 00:42:53,320
San Francisco. Looks like we're going to get immanouga vers Web.

864
00:42:53,400 --> 00:42:55,119
Any thoughts Cubs Giants for you.

865
00:42:55,960 --> 00:42:59,280
Speaker 3: Yeah. The first thing that pops at me is the

866
00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:02,440
Cubs are face slightly. I mean, it's more it's more

867
00:43:02,480 --> 00:43:05,000
of a pick them game. But they're going against San

868
00:43:05,039 --> 00:43:07,320
Francisco's best picture Logan Web, one of the best pitchers

869
00:43:07,360 --> 00:43:11,000
in Major League Baseball. They say, well, why is that? Well,

870
00:43:11,159 --> 00:43:14,840
San Francisco is going for the sweep the Cubs this

871
00:43:15,119 --> 00:43:19,280
last game here. They don't expect them to leave here

872
00:43:19,760 --> 00:43:22,280
getting swept. So a lot of people are jumping on

873
00:43:22,280 --> 00:43:25,480
the Cubs. I can understand the logic behind it, but

874
00:43:25,519 --> 00:43:28,280
now we've lost, there's no value. I'm not going to

875
00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:33,239
go against Logan Web, the best San Francisco starter. They're

876
00:43:33,239 --> 00:43:37,199
playing at home here, they're playing they've they come on.

877
00:43:37,360 --> 00:43:39,960
They've been another team that's been up and down all

878
00:43:40,119 --> 00:43:43,480
season long, and they look terrible just a week ago,

879
00:43:43,519 --> 00:43:45,400
and now they're playing very well. I believe they're won

880
00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:48,400
four straight games total. So you got the best picture

881
00:43:48,440 --> 00:43:50,639
for this team on a winning streak at home and

882
00:43:50,719 --> 00:43:54,199
money is coming in on the Cubs. Can't get there

883
00:43:54,280 --> 00:43:57,880
that way. If I was catching maybe one twenty here

884
00:43:57,920 --> 00:44:00,039
on the Cubs, I'd be interested, But right now it

885
00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:03,159
looking like a pick up situation in Minaga. Three point

886
00:44:03,159 --> 00:44:05,920
oh three era, three point sixty five expected zero point

887
00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:08,960
nine four whip in two years. Zero point nine nine

888
00:44:09,239 --> 00:44:12,119
in Major League Baseball's a whip that's been excellent. His

889
00:44:12,159 --> 00:44:15,480
walk grade obviously terrific ninety fourth percentile. But he is

890
00:44:15,519 --> 00:44:20,360
a flyball pitcher and that hasn't hurt him that much.

891
00:44:20,440 --> 00:44:22,440
But he doesn't have the ability to give up a

892
00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:25,320
fly ball, which hurts you in the home runs basketball

893
00:44:25,400 --> 00:44:28,639
velocity only in the eighth percentile. He's a guy who's

894
00:44:28,639 --> 00:44:32,079
a crafty veteran, and he'll come into he'll come into

895
00:44:32,119 --> 00:44:35,519
San Francisco, as I mentioned logan web three point one

896
00:44:35,559 --> 00:44:38,440
three ERA three point seven zero expected one point two

897
00:44:38,480 --> 00:44:41,559
two whip last two years three point four to seven

898
00:44:41,599 --> 00:44:44,239
e ra A three point two five the year before

899
00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:47,599
his career in seven seasons three point three seven e

900
00:44:47,719 --> 00:44:49,639
ra A one point one nine whip. He's one of

901
00:44:49,639 --> 00:44:52,840
those guys that will walk somebody once in a while,

902
00:44:53,079 --> 00:44:56,599
but this year is at five point four percent, so

903
00:44:56,679 --> 00:45:01,199
other than that, it's very good. And ah it's ninety

904
00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:04,039
percent tile on walk right ninety first to ground ball

905
00:45:04,039 --> 00:45:08,760
percent extension eighty fourth. I like this guy, obviously, and

906
00:45:09,000 --> 00:45:11,400
they're playing pretty well right now. I wanted to play

907
00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:12,920
the Cubs. I thought this was going to be a

908
00:45:12,960 --> 00:45:15,440
good spot for him, but there's no way I could

909
00:45:15,519 --> 00:45:17,800
go on guess Web at home, so I'll be sitting

910
00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:18,360
this one up.

911
00:45:25,440 --> 00:45:29,000
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, dog dogs are barking again. Sorry about that.

912
00:45:29,239 --> 00:45:31,079
Speaker 1: I don't have a huge opinion on this game, so

913
00:45:31,079 --> 00:45:32,840
I want to pull up this chat comment because i'll

914
00:45:32,880 --> 00:45:34,239
kind of ill kind of it's a good spot to

915
00:45:34,280 --> 00:45:36,320
talk about this and I'll tie it into this game.

916
00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:39,719
So the question here is, you know, basically, how do

917
00:45:39,840 --> 00:45:43,760
standings affect your handicapping? And I think it's I think

918
00:45:43,800 --> 00:45:48,519
too often it gets thrown around like meaningless game, like

919
00:45:49,480 --> 00:45:52,039
Major League Baseball. Players are always going out there and

920
00:45:52,079 --> 00:45:54,960
trying to win games. The players are always going, for

921
00:45:55,039 --> 00:45:59,360
the most part, play hard every day. So but but

922
00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:02,360
the standing and where a team is at will affect

923
00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:03,079
the handicap.

924
00:46:03,719 --> 00:46:05,480
Speaker 2: For me, it's two ways. It's one the.

925
00:46:05,440 --> 00:46:08,519
Speaker 1: Game we just spoke about with the Brewers where it's like, Okay,

926
00:46:08,559 --> 00:46:10,639
we have a large lead. It's not that they're not

927
00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:15,239
trying to win, but management spreading the innings around like

928
00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:17,559
there's there's different things in play.

929
00:46:17,639 --> 00:46:19,599
Speaker 2: The other thing is.

930
00:46:19,599 --> 00:46:22,719
Speaker 1: Teams like and I will look at the standings and

931
00:46:22,880 --> 00:46:27,079
teams that I felt. I feel that they felt that

932
00:46:27,119 --> 00:46:28,960
they should have been in it, and they've got some

933
00:46:29,079 --> 00:46:31,960
veterans and now they're no longer in it come September

934
00:46:32,599 --> 00:46:35,280
tend to be. That's where you see some of the

935
00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:38,199
some of the lethargic play in my opinion, when you

936
00:46:38,239 --> 00:46:40,199
have a team and I think the Giants could could

937
00:46:40,320 --> 00:46:43,559
fall right into that mix where this was a team

938
00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:46,880
that in May went out and got Rafael.

939
00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:49,239
Speaker 2: Devers and everyone's throwing them a parade. What a move.

940
00:46:49,280 --> 00:46:52,679
Speaker 1: Now they fleece the red Sox got Devers and gave

941
00:46:52,760 --> 00:46:55,760
up a couple of young prospects and gave up Kyle Harrison,

942
00:46:55,960 --> 00:46:58,519
and if you guys remember at the time, they were

943
00:46:58,679 --> 00:47:01,239
very much in the mix. Shreig was drinking the kool aid.

944
00:47:01,320 --> 00:47:03,960
I think I said, oh, God, Giants are a playoff team.

945
00:47:04,079 --> 00:47:08,000
Just mark it down. This team's now seven games out

946
00:47:08,000 --> 00:47:10,199
of the wild card, eleven and a half back in

947
00:47:10,199 --> 00:47:13,000
the division. I think the writings on the wall here,

948
00:47:13,000 --> 00:47:15,400
I don't see the Giants playing their way back into it.

949
00:47:15,800 --> 00:47:17,960
Speaker 2: And it is kind of a veteran team.

950
00:47:18,480 --> 00:47:20,639
Speaker 1: You've always sort of questioned, like I don't know that

951
00:47:20,679 --> 00:47:23,039
Devers is fully caught on there, Like I don't know,

952
00:47:23,119 --> 00:47:25,000
like he's not like a fan favorite like he was

953
00:47:25,039 --> 00:47:28,480
in Boston by any means logan Web's a veteran like

954
00:47:28,719 --> 00:47:31,079
so Brian, I'll throw this back to you for a second.

955
00:47:31,119 --> 00:47:33,880
Could the Giants be that team that just sort of

956
00:47:33,920 --> 00:47:37,360
like doesn't look like they really care over the like

957
00:47:37,400 --> 00:47:39,320
in the next couple of weeks, especially if they fall

958
00:47:39,400 --> 00:47:40,800
another game or two out of the race.

959
00:47:41,559 --> 00:47:44,719
Speaker 3: Well, they had been that team. They had they'd been

960
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:48,719
on a bad run after having the nice starts of

961
00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:51,079
the season. I think they got their out of their system.

962
00:47:51,079 --> 00:47:54,119
Now they've gotten getting some of their guys back. I

963
00:47:54,159 --> 00:47:58,880
saw a tweet, and I'm terrible at remembering. I like

964
00:47:58,920 --> 00:48:01,039
to give everybody credit for what they've done, and I

965
00:48:01,119 --> 00:48:05,280
just can't remember. But they had a listing of since

966
00:48:05,360 --> 00:48:08,840
that trade, the Giants had the worst record in baseball

967
00:48:08,920 --> 00:48:11,880
or the worst WRC plus or whatever. The hitters just

968
00:48:11,880 --> 00:48:13,559
had not played well. But he did go four for

969
00:48:13,639 --> 00:48:16,800
four yesterday. It was a big, d big celebration last

970
00:48:16,920 --> 00:48:20,519
night on the field. So it could be a letdown

971
00:48:20,559 --> 00:48:23,960
spot with your best pitcher on the mound. But I

972
00:48:24,000 --> 00:48:27,440
talked about this the other day, and all six, all

973
00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:31,440
the teams right now, the six players, six from the

974
00:48:31,559 --> 00:48:34,039
East or from the American six from the National are

975
00:48:34,079 --> 00:48:39,519
all locked in. The last spot is the the Red Sox.

976
00:48:40,199 --> 00:48:43,000
They're at ninety four point five percent. Nobody else in

977
00:48:43,039 --> 00:48:46,000
the America American lead the Royals that are at fourteen

978
00:48:46,039 --> 00:48:48,960
point four. So the teams that are in are in.

979
00:48:49,079 --> 00:48:52,199
The teams that are out are out, and we can

980
00:48:52,280 --> 00:48:55,440
take advantage of going against those teams that are already

981
00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:58,239
in because of that. The Brewers are one. They've got

982
00:48:58,239 --> 00:49:00,960
that big laid over the Cubs this is a team

983
00:49:01,039 --> 00:49:04,000
that they will They'll not only change up some of

984
00:49:04,039 --> 00:49:06,679
the innings that the pitchers throw, but they'll also give

985
00:49:06,679 --> 00:49:09,800
the bench guys more at bats. And that's something that

986
00:49:09,840 --> 00:49:11,920
they've done very good. It's one of the reasons why

987
00:49:12,320 --> 00:49:14,920
they have success. Boston does a lot of that. They

988
00:49:15,039 --> 00:49:18,760
keep the red or they keep the bench guys involved,

989
00:49:18,800 --> 00:49:21,800
so we can fade a lot of these teams. The

990
00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:23,599
Tigers we talked about, and you know, I know we

991
00:49:23,679 --> 00:49:26,159
got a lot of Tigers fans in the chat. But

992
00:49:26,360 --> 00:49:28,199
every time they get a big lead in that division,

993
00:49:28,320 --> 00:49:30,440
I called this when they beat Kansas City three out

994
00:49:30,440 --> 00:49:33,639
of four the other day, that they were going to slump,

995
00:49:33,639 --> 00:49:36,760
and sure enough, they've lost four straight games now. But

996
00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:39,000
that doesn't mean they're a bad team. It just means

997
00:49:39,039 --> 00:49:41,239
that this is the time where we can go against

998
00:49:41,280 --> 00:49:45,360
them and once it gets close. Obviously, if he does

999
00:49:45,519 --> 00:49:47,159
get close, then you can bet on him again. So

1000
00:49:48,239 --> 00:49:50,760
Toronto's in that situation a little bit lately. They got

1001
00:49:50,800 --> 00:49:52,599
a four game lead over Boston, four and a half

1002
00:49:52,639 --> 00:49:56,000
over the Yankees. I'm kind of worried about Toronto getting

1003
00:49:56,000 --> 00:49:59,440
a little bit satisfied in that situation because if if

1004
00:49:59,440 --> 00:50:01,480
you to me, you flip a coin in the Blue Jays,

1005
00:50:01,519 --> 00:50:03,880
the Red Sox, and the Yankees. Any of those teams

1006
00:50:03,880 --> 00:50:07,280
could win this division and it's still up for grabs,

1007
00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:10,280
but trials in the playoffs. So it's a situation for

1008
00:50:10,360 --> 00:50:13,760
me where I'm looking to fade those teams, any team

1009
00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:16,480
in the playoff, I'm looking to fade. And there's gonna

1010
00:50:16,480 --> 00:50:20,719
be certain spots every day that we get Now. I

1011
00:50:20,760 --> 00:50:24,840
talked about Philadelphia. They're playing Atlanta today and that's one

1012
00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:27,719
of those situations. In Atlanta, a lot of injuries, their

1013
00:50:27,760 --> 00:50:30,840
players are going to be out. The starting pitching staff

1014
00:50:30,880 --> 00:50:34,400
has been just it's and then it's just just there's

1015
00:50:34,440 --> 00:50:37,599
been a wasted season for Atlanta. But they signed Quadrille,

1016
00:50:37,679 --> 00:50:41,360
they signed Fetti earlier. Uh, they're they're picking guys off

1017
00:50:41,360 --> 00:50:43,239
the scrap heap just to give him innings so they

1018
00:50:43,239 --> 00:50:46,679
don't throw throw any of the minor leaguers and add

1019
00:50:46,760 --> 00:50:49,599
up their innings at the major league level. So uh,

1020
00:50:49,920 --> 00:50:52,440
in Philadelphia in that game, you know, coming off with

1021
00:50:52,480 --> 00:50:54,679
the sweep, you expect Philadelphia play a great game, but

1022
00:50:55,159 --> 00:50:57,920
is Aaron Ollaback? So uh, it would be a good

1023
00:50:57,960 --> 00:51:02,800
game to uh to fade to Atlanta. But I'm not

1024
00:51:02,840 --> 00:51:04,760
sure that I want to lay that kind of number

1025
00:51:04,760 --> 00:51:06,639
with Aaronola. I didn't know if we're going to go

1026
00:51:06,679 --> 00:51:09,039
into another game, but I guess they have gotten into

1027
00:51:09,039 --> 00:51:11,079
another game here. Just want to get your opinion on that.

1028
00:51:12,519 --> 00:51:14,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, well we can go into that one. I'll just

1029
00:51:14,199 --> 00:51:15,840
wrap up the colin.

1030
00:51:16,079 --> 00:51:17,960
Speaker 1: It looks like a couple guys in the chat were

1031
00:51:17,960 --> 00:51:20,960
pointing out giants struggle against lefties. Yeah, it's it's definitely

1032
00:51:20,960 --> 00:51:24,320
worth pointing out here because they do swing and miss

1033
00:51:24,440 --> 00:51:26,840
quite a bit too. Giants strike out a lot, and

1034
00:51:27,360 --> 00:51:29,519
even though imman Ague is not going to overpower anyone,

1035
00:51:29,559 --> 00:51:31,639
he doesn't throw it particularly hard. He does have a

1036
00:51:31,679 --> 00:51:36,599
pretty solid chase rate, and he's also very very intelligent pitcher.

1037
00:51:36,639 --> 00:51:39,280
Speaker 2: In my opinion, he'll he'll be able to set up

1038
00:51:39,280 --> 00:51:39,800
those hitters.

1039
00:51:39,800 --> 00:51:43,239
Speaker 1: So yeah, this could be a decent spot for the Cubs, especially,

1040
00:51:43,400 --> 00:51:46,039
you know, kind of avoid a sweep. Didn't even really

1041
00:51:46,039 --> 00:51:48,719
I this is I didn't even realize the Giants had

1042
00:51:48,719 --> 00:51:51,400
four straight wins going into today, so maybe, you know,

1043
00:51:51,440 --> 00:51:53,760
maybe they are sort of like, you know, this is

1044
00:51:53,800 --> 00:51:56,119
like their last stand, if you will. But I don't

1045
00:51:56,159 --> 00:52:00,000
think that this sets up great great for them. Yeah,

1046
00:52:00,280 --> 00:52:03,320
let's go into that Phillies Braves game. The Phillies were

1047
00:52:03,639 --> 00:52:06,239
rather humbled by the Mets the last couple of days,

1048
00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:09,800
but I actually had, you know, on my list of

1049
00:52:10,079 --> 00:52:13,239
stuff that I jotted down almost every one of which

1050
00:52:13,320 --> 00:52:17,639
was just a disgusting gross play. Braves were kind of like,

1051
00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:19,360
you know, I thought there was a little value with

1052
00:52:19,639 --> 00:52:21,239
Raves plus one and a half, and I think it

1053
00:52:21,599 --> 00:52:24,360
really kind of does go to the pitching. It's like,

1054
00:52:24,840 --> 00:52:26,840
you know, I guess this is a spot where you

1055
00:52:26,840 --> 00:52:29,239
would look and say, Okay, the Philly should win this game.

1056
00:52:29,920 --> 00:52:31,880
But do you want Aaron Nola at a dollar eighty

1057
00:52:32,039 --> 00:52:34,840
is the question right now. And I don't know that

1058
00:52:34,920 --> 00:52:38,400
I'll get to the window with that, but you know,

1059
00:52:38,559 --> 00:52:42,960
I definitely I definitely see, Like, you know, Cal Quantrill

1060
00:52:43,039 --> 00:52:45,639
is not a guy that I am super high on,

1061
00:52:45,679 --> 00:52:47,480
but I think it was it was worth pointing out

1062
00:52:47,480 --> 00:52:49,599
that I think he was throwing ninety seven a couple

1063
00:52:49,559 --> 00:52:54,800
of weeks ago. He's shown flashes, so it's it's tough

1064
00:52:54,840 --> 00:52:57,280
that would be one where there's no way I'm playing

1065
00:52:57,320 --> 00:53:01,960
the Phillies at a dollar eighty. But again, it's it

1066
00:53:02,000 --> 00:53:04,079
does feel like a spot maybe where they bounce back,

1067
00:53:04,400 --> 00:53:06,159
tough game. I wasn't even gonna talk about that one,

1068
00:53:06,159 --> 00:53:07,039
but go ahead.

1069
00:53:07,079 --> 00:53:09,599
Speaker 3: Yeah if you I don't want to lay the one eighty.

1070
00:53:09,719 --> 00:53:12,280
But Aaron OLA's in the ninety eight percent Hall of Chase, right,

1071
00:53:13,199 --> 00:53:16,440
He's got more strikeouts than the ning's pitched. Maybe there's

1072
00:53:16,480 --> 00:53:19,760
a situation where if you want to play Nola's strekeouts,

1073
00:53:20,280 --> 00:53:23,599
then may be a way to actually play Philadelphia without

1074
00:53:24,639 --> 00:53:26,039
without having to lay the big number.

1075
00:53:27,360 --> 00:53:29,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I've got to go back to the last

1076
00:53:29,280 --> 00:53:32,360
question we were talking about. You know, the Braves were the

1077
00:53:32,360 --> 00:53:34,039
team that I talked about for a couple of weeks.

1078
00:53:34,039 --> 00:53:35,519
I was like, this, this is going to be the

1079
00:53:35,559 --> 00:53:40,119
fade come come September, because they've got all these veterans.

1080
00:53:40,360 --> 00:53:42,199
Speaker 2: They've got veterans that are accustomed to winning.

1081
00:53:42,239 --> 00:53:45,719
Speaker 1: They've got Matt Olson, Ronald Lacunya, you know, guys that

1082
00:53:45,760 --> 00:53:49,079
have like tasted real success. And this was a team

1083
00:53:49,320 --> 00:53:51,360
that the expectation was they would be in the mix

1084
00:53:51,400 --> 00:53:53,719
for at least a wild card spot this year. So

1085
00:53:53,760 --> 00:53:56,000
the fact that they're coming into September sixty one and

1086
00:53:56,039 --> 00:53:59,639
seventy two and they're really like they're far They're.

1087
00:53:59,519 --> 00:54:01,239
Speaker 2: Much further out of it than the Giants are.

1088
00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:04,400
Speaker 1: That sort of profiles has a fade to me because

1089
00:54:05,519 --> 00:54:07,719
like when you it's it's totally different from that from

1090
00:54:07,719 --> 00:54:10,320
when you have like a young team, like let's say

1091
00:54:10,320 --> 00:54:11,559
an A's or a pirate.

1092
00:54:11,639 --> 00:54:13,360
Speaker 2: You know, A's is a good example.

1093
00:54:13,599 --> 00:54:15,800
Speaker 1: Well you've got this young team with a bunch of

1094
00:54:15,800 --> 00:54:18,119
guys that just want to play. Those are the types

1095
00:54:18,119 --> 00:54:19,599
of teams like they might be out of it, but

1096
00:54:19,639 --> 00:54:22,039
they can have success in September. When you've got a

1097
00:54:22,079 --> 00:54:23,960
team like the Braves who was supposed to be there

1098
00:54:24,000 --> 00:54:26,519
and they aren't, and they've got veterans, that's where you

1099
00:54:26,559 --> 00:54:29,719
get the like, you know, you know, some vacation plans

1100
00:54:29,719 --> 00:54:32,400
are already starting to be booked while the season's still

1101
00:54:32,440 --> 00:54:34,880
going on. So for that reason, the A's are the

1102
00:54:34,960 --> 00:54:36,320
Braves were always going to be a little bit of

1103
00:54:36,320 --> 00:54:37,840
a fade to me as we get to this point

1104
00:54:37,840 --> 00:54:40,519
in the season. But to the Braves credit, I think

1105
00:54:40,519 --> 00:54:42,440
they've played well the last couple of weeks, So I'm

1106
00:54:42,440 --> 00:54:44,360
not sure that I'm just like ready to go against

1107
00:54:44,400 --> 00:54:48,000
them yet. So that's a uh, that's a tricky one

1108
00:54:48,079 --> 00:54:50,079
right there. I can't I can't imagine I'll get involved

1109
00:54:50,079 --> 00:54:50,599
in that game.

1110
00:54:51,159 --> 00:54:53,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, even though the Braves come in as sixty one

1111
00:54:53,360 --> 00:54:56,519
and seventy two, there are run differentials minus two on

1112
00:54:56,559 --> 00:54:59,480
the season, So I should be a five hundred ball club.

1113
00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:02,639
If they were a five hundred ball club, they would

1114
00:55:03,039 --> 00:55:06,159
they would still be behind the Mets by five and

1115
00:55:06,199 --> 00:55:09,840
a half games or whatever. They'd still be playing hard.

1116
00:55:09,880 --> 00:55:13,079
But do you do these Braves players actually think that

1117
00:55:13,119 --> 00:55:16,800
there they would be uh, A'll get tender. With all

1118
00:55:16,840 --> 00:55:18,480
the injuries they've had, they just want to get this

1119
00:55:18,559 --> 00:55:22,079
season over with. I fully understand that, but they're playing.

1120
00:55:22,079 --> 00:55:24,159
They're a lot better team than let their record shows that.

1121
00:55:24,320 --> 00:55:26,000
I got to give them credit. They started the year

1122
00:55:26,000 --> 00:55:28,280
they were horrendous if you remember coming out of the

1123
00:55:28,440 --> 00:55:32,119
start of the season, had all those injuries, and they

1124
00:55:32,360 --> 00:55:34,159
they played with a lot of heart. I've got I've

1125
00:55:34,159 --> 00:55:34,719
got to say that.

1126
00:55:37,760 --> 00:55:40,719
Speaker 1: All right, we have I have someone coming to do

1127
00:55:40,840 --> 00:55:44,480
some work on the house. Specifically told them anytime after ten,

1128
00:55:44,559 --> 00:55:45,880
do not show up before ten?

1129
00:55:46,320 --> 00:55:48,079
Speaker 2: And when did they show up nine to fifty seven?

1130
00:55:48,159 --> 00:55:53,320
Speaker 1: But we're at the we're at the end of the show,

1131
00:55:53,559 --> 00:55:55,639
and I gotta I gotta be honest on on a

1132
00:55:55,679 --> 00:55:57,840
Thursday slate where there's not much, and I haven't put

1133
00:55:57,840 --> 00:56:00,400
anything out for clients yet. I probably should throw like

1134
00:56:00,400 --> 00:56:02,880
a quick promo in without Tokyo brand, and I forget

1135
00:56:02,880 --> 00:56:07,800
that we still sell stuff on this website. I mean

1136
00:56:08,000 --> 00:56:10,480
me personally. I got a five percent football play that

1137
00:56:10,559 --> 00:56:12,519
I love for Saturday. It's probably gonna be my only

1138
00:56:12,519 --> 00:56:15,360
college football selection of the weekend. And I'm five and

1139
00:56:15,400 --> 00:56:18,880
oh start football season, So check that out.

1140
00:56:19,039 --> 00:56:21,199
Speaker 2: Brian. Do you have anything going in Major League Baseball today?

1141
00:56:21,440 --> 00:56:23,400
Speaker 3: I have not put anything up yet. There's three or

1142
00:56:23,440 --> 00:56:25,760
four games on trying to break down here and get

1143
00:56:25,760 --> 00:56:31,239
those up. Also, yeah, we're undefeated in for college football.

1144
00:56:31,280 --> 00:56:33,719
We only had one play, but we had another play

1145
00:56:33,760 --> 00:56:35,719
on the free play in that one one. I do

1146
00:56:35,800 --> 00:56:37,559
have a play up for today's card, and I do

1147
00:56:37,639 --> 00:56:40,960
have a four percent play going further on than the weekend.

1148
00:56:41,920 --> 00:56:44,239
Speaker 1: If I get to the window with a baseball play today,

1149
00:56:44,280 --> 00:56:46,039
it very well might be one of these two that

1150
00:56:46,079 --> 00:56:46,840
are in the parlay.

1151
00:56:46,840 --> 00:56:48,599
Speaker 2: Can you just tell me what the odds are on that.

1152
00:56:48,679 --> 00:56:51,480
Speaker 1: We got Marlins plus one and a half and Pirates

1153
00:56:51,880 --> 00:56:53,920
and we desperately need a parlay win, and I think

1154
00:56:53,920 --> 00:56:55,360
we've got a nice two teamer here.

1155
00:56:55,440 --> 00:56:57,440
Speaker 2: I'm actually pretty excited about this parlay.

1156
00:56:57,599 --> 00:57:00,360
Speaker 3: Pittsburgh's about a one oh three plus one oh three

1157
00:57:00,480 --> 00:57:02,480
and Marlin's plus one and a half is plus one

1158
00:57:02,519 --> 00:57:02,920
oh five.

1159
00:57:04,880 --> 00:57:07,199
Speaker 1: Love that, and we even went with a little we've

1160
00:57:07,199 --> 00:57:09,480
got some odds there that's plus three sixteen.

1161
00:57:10,000 --> 00:57:12,920
Speaker 3: Since TV is not here, we don't have any big favorites.

1162
00:57:14,320 --> 00:57:17,039
Speaker 1: I mean, I used the big baby yesterday and magically

1163
00:57:17,079 --> 00:57:18,679
it got there with the Blue Jays. I'm not really

1164
00:57:18,760 --> 00:57:21,719
quite sure how that was a even though even though

1165
00:57:21,760 --> 00:57:23,480
we were cooked by that point, but I still that

1166
00:57:23,519 --> 00:57:23,800
would have.

1167
00:57:24,599 --> 00:57:26,440
Speaker 2: I'd like to win one, you know what. We set

1168
00:57:26,440 --> 00:57:28,679
the tone, Brian, the very first parlay of our year.

1169
00:57:28,719 --> 00:57:30,719
We got a Grand Slam.

1170
00:57:30,760 --> 00:57:33,239
Speaker 1: To like win it, and I don't think we've had

1171
00:57:33,280 --> 00:57:35,800
that kind of luck since, but I do like this one.

1172
00:57:35,840 --> 00:57:38,440
So just before we sign off one more time, the

1173
00:57:38,440 --> 00:57:42,559
two teamer for today is Marlins plus one and a half.

1174
00:57:42,599 --> 00:57:46,119
That's Brian's side and my side's gonna be pirates on

1175
00:57:46,199 --> 00:57:49,519
the money line, both plus money plus three sixteen. So

1176
00:57:49,519 --> 00:57:51,760
a nice little two team are there. Hopefully it gets

1177
00:57:51,840 --> 00:57:54,960
us back in the win column. We will be back

1178
00:57:55,000 --> 00:57:59,079
regardless tomorrow morning, nine am Eastern to finish out the week.

1179
00:58:00,039 --> 00:58:03,039
And yeah, hopefully we can cash them tickets today. Have

1180
00:58:03,119 --> 00:58:06,320
a great day, everyone. Check out the wager Talk YouTube

1181
00:58:06,360 --> 00:58:08,920
channel if you missed the show, the replay is always

1182
00:58:09,000 --> 00:58:10,840
up on the wager Talk YouTube channel.

1183
00:58:11,119 --> 00:58:12,760
Speaker 2: And yeah, good luck tonight everyone.

1184
00:58:12,880 --> 00:58:16,519
Speaker 1: Enjoy some college football really kind of officially kicking off tonight,

1185
00:58:16,559 --> 00:58:18,199
and we'll see you guys tomorrow morning.