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<v Speaker 1>Tiver the Channel one weather. We have scattered showers and

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<v Speaker 1>the storms. Best chances begin after two pm. Today's high

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<v Speaker 1>seventy nine out of sixty eight overnight instead'll be very

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<v Speaker 1>muggy Tomorrow. Scattered showers of storms begin around noon, a

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<v Speaker 1>very humid day as well. I have eighty five showers

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<v Speaker 1>and storms overnight as well. Sixty nine ft low. We

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<v Speaker 1>got scattered showers predicted on Thursday and Thursday's high eighty

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<v Speaker 1>one seventy two degrees. Right now, it's time for a

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<v Speaker 1>traffic update from.

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<v Speaker 2>The UCLP Traffic Center.

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<v Speaker 3>Right now, over one hundred thousand people are waiting and

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<v Speaker 3>hoping for an organ transplant to save their life. Sign

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<v Speaker 3>up to be an organ donor or explore a living

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<v Speaker 3>donation at uc health dot com. Slaves transplant southbound seventy

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<v Speaker 3>five continues slow through Blackland northbound Buttermilk into the Cut

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<v Speaker 3>northbound four to seventy one from Memorial and southbound seventy one.

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<v Speaker 3>You're often on the breaks through blue Ash and Kenwood

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<v Speaker 3>heavy again exiting to Third Street, king Ramont fifty five krs.

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<v Speaker 2>The talk station A twenty nine and A Tuesday.

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<v Speaker 1>I always look forward to this moment in time, because

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<v Speaker 1>it gets a deep dive with Daniel Davis. It's time

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<v Speaker 1>for the Daniel Davis deep dive, retired Lieutenant colonel giving

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<v Speaker 1>us all kinds of thoughts and insights on well things military.

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<v Speaker 1>And we have a new conflict to talk about this week.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's stop and put aside Ukraine and Russia for a moment,

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<v Speaker 1>and let's talk about the details unfolding in the war

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<v Speaker 1>with Israel and Iran.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, I mean Behindsight's twenty twenty.

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<v Speaker 1>As I've pointed out in the program, the last couple

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<v Speaker 1>of days, Donald Trump pulls our military person out out

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<v Speaker 1>of the region in advance of well the sixty first day.

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<v Speaker 1>In his sixty today deadline he gave to Iran about

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<v Speaker 1>negotiating a deal on their military or on their nuclear program.

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<v Speaker 1>I guess maybe perhaps he had a conversation and at

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<v Speaker 1>some point with Benjamin Netanyahu early on. I suspect Netanyahu

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<v Speaker 1>had good intelligence that Iran might be up to something

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<v Speaker 1>no good in a very short period of time, and

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<v Speaker 1>it was time to stop the wheel spinning and take

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<v Speaker 1>some action. Trump maybe suggested him, well, at least give

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<v Speaker 1>me sixty day window of opportunity before all hell breaks

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<v Speaker 1>lose to see if we can negotiate. Obviously, that did

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<v Speaker 1>not work. Day sixty one Israel unleashes and an amazing

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<v Speaker 1>thing to behold, much like the Ukraine's getting inside the

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<v Speaker 1>interior of Russia and hiding those drones in spite of

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<v Speaker 1>the being Russian territory. Obviously, Israel had a profound presence

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<v Speaker 1>within the interior of Iran was able to launch some

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<v Speaker 1>very short term or rather short distance military strikes from

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<v Speaker 1>within the interior. That's an amazing coup right there. And

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<v Speaker 1>then now they apparently dominate the entire Iranian airspace and

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<v Speaker 1>can fly free will and hit any target they want

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<v Speaker 1>with pretty much great success. Long winded start. Daniel Davis,

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<v Speaker 1>welcome back, man. What's your take on this and what's

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<v Speaker 1>your reaction all this?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, really there's two separate things at play here that

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<v Speaker 4>we need to address because they're very different and potential

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<v Speaker 4>where we're going next. And one is just the operational

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<v Speaker 4>art that you just mentioned there and from a military

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<v Speaker 4>tactical perspective, and this has been pretty impressive again because

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<v Speaker 4>it was very highly effective. They were able to infiltrate

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<v Speaker 4>apparently a pretty decent number of massad agents and other

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<v Speaker 4>infiltrators and perhaps even some insider folks the Iranians who

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<v Speaker 4>had been helping, et cetera. Just like the the Ukraine

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<v Speaker 4>side had some help from the Russian people who turned

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<v Speaker 4>on the other situation there, and so then now then

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<v Speaker 4>they were able to take care of that on the ground.

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<v Speaker 4>At the same time they were coming in with strategic

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<v Speaker 4>assets and operational and you know, an aircraft and all that,

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<v Speaker 4>and it just absolutely devastated the initial Iranian defense. Allegedly

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<v Speaker 4>one or two f thirty fives were shot down, which

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<v Speaker 4>don't have confirmation of that, but even at that, that's

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<v Speaker 4>out of two hundred aircraft that flew the first night.

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<v Speaker 4>That is a remarkable number to have been shot down,

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<v Speaker 4>if it was. If not, obviously it's even more than that.

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<v Speaker 4>So in terms of how they start, that's great. But

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<v Speaker 4>there's another half of this coin, because we also see

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<v Speaker 4>playing out graphically that the Iron Dome system and the

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<v Speaker 4>multi layered Israeli air defense system is not anywhere near

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<v Speaker 4>as good as what people thought it was.

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<v Speaker 2>We knew it wasn't.

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<v Speaker 4>We've had on our show many times an expert that

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<v Speaker 4>pointed this out in twenty twenty four. He very accurately

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<v Speaker 4>predicted what Iran could do if it wanted to, and

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<v Speaker 4>how it signaled in the past when we gave the

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<v Speaker 4>Iron Dome credit for knocking down everything. But it turns

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<v Speaker 4>out it only got some of the smaller stuff and

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<v Speaker 4>the slower moving drones, but the missiles got through. And

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<v Speaker 4>now that we see, while Israel has virtual air supremacy

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<v Speaker 4>in Iran, Iran has virtual missile supremacy in Israel. There's

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<v Speaker 4>very little that they can shoot down of those ballistic missiles,

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<v Speaker 4>especially some of the more sophisticated ones that they have.

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<v Speaker 2>So right now you have both.

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<v Speaker 4>Sides literally every night for five straight nights, hummeling the

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<v Speaker 4>other side there and causing tremendous damage, worse that we've

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<v Speaker 4>ever seen in Israel in their existence. None of the

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<v Speaker 4>wars have ever hit their cities the way this one

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<v Speaker 4>is so far, and it's anybody's guess where it's going next.

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<v Speaker 2>But with Trump leaving the G seven and coming.

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<v Speaker 4>Back to convening just this morning, just hours from now

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<v Speaker 4>this National Security Council meeting, it's kind of ominous what

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<v Speaker 4>could be coming next?

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and you know I've been railing against this all morning.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not the first time I've railed against it. The

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<v Speaker 1>president is not allowed to declare war on his own.

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<v Speaker 1>It takes congressional action, at least the Court of the Constitution.

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<v Speaker 1>I've got a copy of Daniel. There has to be

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<v Speaker 1>at least an authorization for use of military force which

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<v Speaker 1>the Senate has to approve. That hasn't been done yet.

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<v Speaker 1>So I got the USS and them it's apparently heading

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<v Speaker 1>on over to the Middle East. We've got all these

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<v Speaker 1>refueling airplane heading on over to the Middle East. So

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<v Speaker 1>obviously the American military presidence has been there and is

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<v Speaker 1>now growing. So you know, is there going to be

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<v Speaker 1>some sort of congressional action on this. I mean, I

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<v Speaker 1>think it would be on the pale people screaming about

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<v Speaker 1>the imperial presidency for Trump to just unilaterally join in

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<v Speaker 1>the fray.

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<v Speaker 2>Right.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, there's no question that there's lots of moving pieces here.

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<v Speaker 4>In addition, there have been by many reports up to

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<v Speaker 4>thirty area or refueling jets leave from the United States

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<v Speaker 4>and moved into the region.

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<v Speaker 2>That's on top of everything else.

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<v Speaker 4>You mentioned the B two bombers that have been at

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<v Speaker 4>Diego Garcia for quite a long time, and then now

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<v Speaker 4>on top of this and Trump making some pretty boisterous

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<v Speaker 4>and and you know, derogatory claims on Air Force One

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<v Speaker 4>last night about what may be coming, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 2>I have huge problems with that.

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<v Speaker 4>I don't think it's a good idea to do anyway,

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<v Speaker 4>because we should not get involved with this war. There

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<v Speaker 4>is something between Israel and Iran. If they want to

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<v Speaker 4>do that, that's that's up to them. But I'm even

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<v Speaker 4>more concerned with the lack of concern about any almost

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<v Speaker 4>anyone in the United States about the very issue you

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<v Speaker 4>just mentioned here.

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<v Speaker 2>We do not want a situation.

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<v Speaker 4>To where we literally give carte blanche to whoever's in

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<v Speaker 4>the White House men that they can have because then

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<v Speaker 4>you basically are a monarch, which is what we try

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<v Speaker 4>to prevent with the forming of the Constitution in the

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<v Speaker 4>first place. And there's a couple of I think the

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<v Speaker 4>Thomas Massey and I think there's one Senator Tim Kaine,

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<v Speaker 4>I believe that are talking about that, but no one

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<v Speaker 4>else is nobody in the Democratic Party leadership, the Republican

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<v Speaker 4>Party leadership. They have basically just handed it over to

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<v Speaker 4>the commander in chief. And that is a dangerous place

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<v Speaker 4>to be.

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<v Speaker 1>It is It's not a question whose ox is being

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<v Speaker 1>gored as a question of whether or not they had

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<v Speaker 1>the legal authority to do it in the first place.

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<v Speaker 1>And you and I are eyed eye on that. And

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<v Speaker 1>I read Congress from Massey's statement on the air this morning.

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<v Speaker 1>I read Tim Kaine statement on the air. Tim Kaine's

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<v Speaker 1>gone down this road before, back when Trump was originally president.

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<v Speaker 1>It passed his resolution, which either that in and of

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<v Speaker 1>itself is commingle did he need to pass a piece

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<v Speaker 1>of legislation to confirm what's already there, which is the

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<v Speaker 1>Congress as col But it did go through and it

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<v Speaker 1>got vetoed by the president. Hey, something's followed apart here

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<v Speaker 1>on that one. And you know, I don't have a

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<v Speaker 1>problem with Donald Trump the man. I like most all

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<v Speaker 1>of his policies. But this is something that's really quite

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<v Speaker 1>concerning to me. And I'm glad you agree with me

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<v Speaker 1>and see eyed eye with me on that one, sir.

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<v Speaker 4>Now, it's just a simple rendering of the Constitution that

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<v Speaker 4>we're supposed to all follow. Now, it's not hard to

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<v Speaker 4>see e'd eye with you on that.

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<v Speaker 1>They all held their hand up and swore an oath

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<v Speaker 1>of office that included upholding the constitution craziness. But then

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<v Speaker 1>you know there's a lot of elected to people running

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<v Speaker 1>around going we need to get in this, we need

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<v Speaker 1>to get in this.

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<v Speaker 2>All right.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, if you want to get into it, then you know,

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<v Speaker 1>go ahead and declare war and make it efficial.

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<v Speaker 2>You know.

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<v Speaker 4>One of the things, Brian, it's supposed to be hard

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<v Speaker 4>to get into wars. Yeah, it was designed that way

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<v Speaker 4>on purpose, so that it's not easy. And we're seeing

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<v Speaker 4>if this goes sideways. And my big beef tactically is

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<v Speaker 4>that if we join offensively in this, then we put

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<v Speaker 4>targets on the backs of our troops all the Middle

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<v Speaker 4>East over and that same issue that just showed you

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<v Speaker 4>we're the bad system. The Patriots, the ourn Dome can't

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<v Speaker 4>stop these missiles. There's even less protection for many of

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<v Speaker 4>our smaller outposts in the Middle East.

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<v Speaker 2>We would be absolutely powerless to stop this.

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<v Speaker 4>In the would be a lot of American casualties, which

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<v Speaker 4>we don't have to have any, but that's almost certain

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<v Speaker 4>to come if we launched this war.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, that was something that Thomas Massey put up in

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<v Speaker 1>a graphic along with his rejection or the idea that

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<v Speaker 1>we should under this conflict. The range of the Iranian missiles,

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<v Speaker 1>and it encoupes a very large range, which includes all

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<v Speaker 1>these operations you're talking about where American military personnel are

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<v Speaker 1>really big problem for US over there now insofar as

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<v Speaker 1>providing them with weaponry. I mean, we provide countries all

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<v Speaker 1>over the world with weaponry. If Israel wants the bunker

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<v Speaker 1>busting bombs and we provide them to them, that's not

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<v Speaker 1>US getting involved with boots on the grounds. Hell, they

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<v Speaker 1>bought F thirty five from US. I don't really recognize

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<v Speaker 1>the distinction between them, could we? And I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>if you have any information on the depth at which

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<v Speaker 1>these centrifuges happened to be within the within that mountain.

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<v Speaker 1>But if they had those types of technology, there's bunker

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<v Speaker 1>busting type bombs, could they reach them or do enough

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<v Speaker 1>damage that will put the centrifugees out of operation?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, that's that's the one key category that Israel doesn't

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<v Speaker 4>have to the four TOAH plant that seems to be

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<v Speaker 4>the central piece and this whole issue because it is

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<v Speaker 4>buried by some accounts half a kilometer under the ground,

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<v Speaker 4>and the Israelis with all their assets, don't have anything

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<v Speaker 4>big enough to carry these big bumper bunker buster bombs,

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<v Speaker 4>So they don't have the number one, but they don't

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<v Speaker 4>have the carriers either, that is the B two bomber.

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<v Speaker 4>That's why we have those in the region. And these

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<v Speaker 4>thirty thousand pound bombs just spectacular destructive of ability, but

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<v Speaker 4>it's not clear at all that they have the ability

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<v Speaker 4>to penetrate that deep, so it may not even work.

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<v Speaker 4>But unless the US personally flies, that's something we can't

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<v Speaker 4>give to Israel, right, they don't have the ability to

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<v Speaker 4>use it. So and I know that Benjaminett and Yahoo

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<v Speaker 4>wants desperately to have that in there, But again, the

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<v Speaker 4>minutes that you allow that and then we've offensively, then

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<v Speaker 4>now then you're almost certainly signed the death warrants for

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<v Speaker 4>American soldiers that otherwise won't die well.

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<v Speaker 1>And that would be akin then to what we got

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<v Speaker 1>going on in Ukraine, which is operating these sophisticated missiles that

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<v Speaker 1>need American personnel with security clearance to author to use,

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<v Speaker 1>so you know, effectively boots on the ground in the

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<v Speaker 1>form of operation operating equipment that Ukraine has physically president

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<v Speaker 1>it's country, right, and so far.

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<v Speaker 4>We have done that there and bootin although he rattled

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<v Speaker 4>his saber a little bit, has not taken any action.

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<v Speaker 4>He's chosen not to because he doesn't want to start

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<v Speaker 4>a war with the US. The difference in this situation

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<v Speaker 4>here is that that could be fatal for the Iranian regime,

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<v Speaker 4>So they would have no reason to constrain themselves, whereas

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<v Speaker 4>Russia does because they don't want to get into a

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<v Speaker 4>war against the nuclear power if they can avoid it.

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<v Speaker 4>But in this situation, if it's like your regime is

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<v Speaker 4>about to be destroyed, then they would use it, or

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<v Speaker 4>they would likely use it.

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<v Speaker 2>Well real quick.

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<v Speaker 1>For the part coming today, Daniel Davis, I just could

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<v Speaker 1>go on for hours with you. Today I had an

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<v Speaker 1>energy expert on. We were talking about the Irani nuclear program.

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<v Speaker 1>Even itched up to sixty percent, you only need effectively

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<v Speaker 1>three or four percent in Richmond to run a domestic

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<v Speaker 1>energy generating operation. But even if they don't have a

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<v Speaker 1>triggering mechanism, they build a bomb, you need to be

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<v Speaker 1>able to blow it up. For a real thermonuclear bomb.

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<v Speaker 1>They could easily make a dirty bomb. They just pack

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<v Speaker 1>it full of the sixty percent enriched uranium and just

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<v Speaker 1>blow it up inside Tel Aviv or some other Israeli occupied.

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<v Speaker 1>Do you see Iran reaching that level of desperation under

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<v Speaker 1>the current circumstance.

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<v Speaker 4>If if Benjaminett and Yah who makes good on his

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<v Speaker 4>what he's saying right now, we will go after we

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<v Speaker 4>may go after Iotola Comania if they start literally going

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<v Speaker 4>after the top like they did against Hassan Isrela with Hezbola,

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<v Speaker 4>because I think that Israel said, well, we did it

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<v Speaker 4>before and it worked out great.

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<v Speaker 2>They actually went to ground.

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<v Speaker 4>That nearly ended the threat right there, and they may

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<v Speaker 4>be some thoughts that let's do the same thing to

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<v Speaker 4>Iotota Kamane. That's what Yahu said yesterday. That would end

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<v Speaker 4>the war, wouldn't expand it. I think that is a

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<v Speaker 4>reading of the situation because there are a bunch of

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<v Speaker 4>other senior missions. You haven't killed, you know, even a small,

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<v Speaker 4>well a small percentage, but there are still a bunch

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<v Speaker 4>of of the senior clerics around, and there would be

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<v Speaker 4>somebody else to pick up the table. And it's very

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<v Speaker 4>unlikely to me that they would do what Hasbola did.

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<v Speaker 4>I think they would do the opposite, and then they

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<v Speaker 4>would start just throwing in the kitchen sink and everything else.

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<v Speaker 1>They would have no reason to withhold it scary situation

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<v Speaker 1>if we go down that road. Daniel Davis Deep Dive,

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<v Speaker 1>find his podcasts online and enjoy what he has to

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<v Speaker 1>say throughout the week.

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<v Speaker 2>I always look forward to this, Daniel.

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<v Speaker 1>It's been a wonderful conversation.

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<v Speaker 2>He's a pleasure.

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<v Speaker 1>My pleasure too, my friend. Talk to you on Tuesday

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<v Speaker 1>next See you next time. A forty two to fifty

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<v Speaker 1>five car see the talk station took away.

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<v Speaker 4>This is fifty five KARC an iHeartRadio station.

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<v Speaker 2>Bill Cunning