1
00:00:01,919 --> 00:00:04,160
Speaker 1: Welcome to Wager Talk Today, the gold standard of sports

2
00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:06,960
betting shows, where we talked the talk and walk the walk.

3
00:00:07,320 --> 00:00:09,279
It's Thursday powerhouse show.

4
00:00:09,119 --> 00:00:09,519
Speaker 2: For all you.

5
00:00:10,240 --> 00:00:12,679
Speaker 1: Johnny the Greek is gonna lead off with the Steam Report.

6
00:00:12,720 --> 00:00:16,879
Joanniary put a lout on Joe's plate, Falcons, Buccaneers, Thursday

7
00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:19,920
Night Football. He's gonna break down Iowa Iowa State in

8
00:00:20,199 --> 00:00:23,399
college basketball, and we're gonna break down the Celtics and

9
00:00:23,480 --> 00:00:27,000
the Bucks. Dan and I are gonna do WTF or LFG.

10
00:00:27,519 --> 00:00:30,199
We have a good all around the world all props

11
00:00:30,239 --> 00:00:33,119
for Thursday Night football and the same game parlay. We've

12
00:00:33,119 --> 00:00:35,039
only got four NBA games. I'll touch on a little

13
00:00:35,039 --> 00:00:36,840
bit of an NBA a little bit later on. So

14
00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:39,799
thank you very much for joining us. Let's get it started,

15
00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:45,640
by the way, shout out to Drew Martin. Drew Martin

16
00:00:45,719 --> 00:00:48,039
came on this show and said Liberty is gonna lose

17
00:00:48,079 --> 00:00:50,479
by twenty and they did not lose by twenty. They

18
00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:53,840
lost by forty. An insanely good call on the blowout.

19
00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:56,479
Like Dan it was. It was one of the best

20
00:00:56,479 --> 00:01:00,399
breakdowns we've ever had on this show. I mean, no

21
00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:04,400
sweat whatsoever. The line was thirteen. He's like online twenty

22
00:01:04,439 --> 00:01:07,719
but like just I mean absolutely blasted it.

23
00:01:07,799 --> 00:01:11,799
Speaker 3: So you and you know from from college basketball, like

24
00:01:11,840 --> 00:01:15,000
it's not something that you know our team caps regularly,

25
00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:17,200
but there was a stretch where we were doing women's

26
00:01:17,200 --> 00:01:19,439
college basketball and some of these numbers, they just get

27
00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:22,000
insane in college basketball, and a lot of the times you.

28
00:01:22,000 --> 00:01:23,599
Speaker 2: Just you let the line lead the way.

29
00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:26,000
Speaker 3: You're not like, they're not gonna win by twenty points,

30
00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:29,280
yet they win by forty points. Andy, That's that's early season,

31
00:01:29,359 --> 00:01:31,680
mid season college basketball for you, baby.

32
00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:34,680
Speaker 1: And I was so yeah, I was so happy for him.

33
00:01:34,719 --> 00:01:36,719
So all right, let's bring on, Yachnie. We're getting started

34
00:01:36,799 --> 00:01:40,120
right off the back with college football. What's up, Yannie?

35
00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:46,319
Speaker 4: Real quick? Ohl Canadian Hockey North Say Battalion minus one fifty.

36
00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:49,239
I'm only giving it out on the show here all

37
00:01:49,319 --> 00:01:52,319
because one customer bitch, and I didn't like it. It

38
00:01:52,400 --> 00:01:55,239
rubbed me the wrong way. I've been given out these

39
00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:59,319
Ohl plays that have been nothing but money. Bro these

40
00:01:59,359 --> 00:02:03,439
handball like all this extra stuff that has been such money.

41
00:02:03,560 --> 00:02:04,959
Like if I give it out at plus nine and

42
00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:06,920
a half, if it goes to four and a half,

43
00:02:06,920 --> 00:02:09,199
it doesn't matter because that dog wins by forty seven

44
00:02:09,199 --> 00:02:13,520
points or the spread doesn't matter. But for some reason,

45
00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:16,159
this gentleman had to write over and over and over

46
00:02:16,199 --> 00:02:18,400
and over how sick he is that he's not getting

47
00:02:18,439 --> 00:02:20,919
the line. So you know what, that's fine. No, I'll

48
00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:23,800
just bet them myself. I'll just keep them to myself,

49
00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:26,439
or if they happen to come on wage to talk today,

50
00:02:26,639 --> 00:02:28,560
because it's not my fault if you have one out.

51
00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:31,479
I explained it over and over to subscribers again and again.

52
00:02:31,759 --> 00:02:34,520
If you want to bet these off market stuff, you

53
00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:37,960
need a ton of books that are off screen. If

54
00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:41,759
your only ability is to bet at DraftKings FanDuel Caesar's,

55
00:02:42,159 --> 00:02:45,280
ignore this email because you're not getting down. Brother, I'm

56
00:02:45,319 --> 00:02:48,719
sorry to break it to you. We're smashing those markets.

57
00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:52,039
So there's people is subscribers that could use it. Just

58
00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:55,439
because you can't doesn't mean you got a flood customer

59
00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:58,639
service and piss the girls off, who then piss me

60
00:02:58,759 --> 00:03:01,240
off and take an hour out of my day to

61
00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:04,840
where I could be handicapping winners for my subscribers. Instead,

62
00:03:05,080 --> 00:03:06,719
I have to fuck with my head because I have

63
00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:10,240
crazy OCD and a little little comment like that is

64
00:03:10,280 --> 00:03:12,840
going to ruin my entire week. So if I lose

65
00:03:12,879 --> 00:03:15,599
over the next three days, it's your fault. Bro, it's

66
00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:19,520
your fault. You're ruined this perfect mindset I was. I

67
00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:22,759
was running so hot, and you had the bitch you

68
00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:27,280
couldn't get plus one and a half when everybody else could. Sorry,

69
00:03:27,319 --> 00:03:28,800
I had to get that off. Now I'm bad.

70
00:03:29,039 --> 00:03:29,400
Speaker 2: Thank you.

71
00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:34,479
Speaker 4: I'm sharing like gold. I'm sharing gold and you got

72
00:03:34,479 --> 00:03:37,800
the nerve to take ten minutes to email that he's given.

73
00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:40,240
Oh that that's a stale number? Like what am I

74
00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:43,639
trying to increase my results by three freaking units? Are you?

75
00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:46,840
Are you crazy? Bro? Like I'm trying to slide one

76
00:03:46,919 --> 00:03:50,520
past use. I'm trying to help you by give you information.

77
00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:52,879
If you can't use it, you can't use it. Someone

78
00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:57,479
else can. But that's the dude that like tattle tales. Yeah,

79
00:03:57,520 --> 00:03:58,479
I don't get you.

80
00:03:58,439 --> 00:04:01,400
Speaker 3: Know, he's the guy who said He's the guy who says, teacher,

81
00:04:01,439 --> 00:04:03,000
you didn't collect my homework.

82
00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:05,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, rest yeah, you know what I mean. And I'm

83
00:04:05,759 --> 00:04:08,000
sitting in the back like I didn't do my homework.

84
00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:09,120
Speaker 1: Why we got to bring this up?

85
00:04:09,199 --> 00:04:12,199
Speaker 3: But it's so funny because Andy he brings up you know, Hey,

86
00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:14,159
I got an OHL play and I saw you and

87
00:04:14,159 --> 00:04:16,160
I both did the same thing. I went down to

88
00:04:16,199 --> 00:04:18,360
my phone to see can I get down on OHL?

89
00:04:18,439 --> 00:04:20,759
Andy looks over at his screening, like, din, I get

90
00:04:20,759 --> 00:04:22,759
down so one more time?

91
00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:25,319
Speaker 2: What wasn't in case? But before we before?

92
00:04:25,399 --> 00:04:30,680
Speaker 4: Yes, it was North Bay Battalion, North Bay Battalion on

93
00:04:30,720 --> 00:04:33,759
the money line, they're good up the one seventy five

94
00:04:34,199 --> 00:04:35,560
or you could play half a goal.

95
00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:40,600
Speaker 2: I'm in minus one fifty for me. I'm in let's go.

96
00:04:40,639 --> 00:04:42,120
Speaker 4: Great right, great price.

97
00:04:42,120 --> 00:04:44,399
Speaker 2: There we go. Well, this is Andy.

98
00:04:44,759 --> 00:04:46,759
Speaker 3: We missed VR on the show for two days and

99
00:04:46,759 --> 00:04:49,040
he comes with Fire out the Gate.

100
00:04:49,079 --> 00:04:51,199
Speaker 2: We love it with VR is on fire.

101
00:04:51,319 --> 00:04:55,040
Speaker 1: No, no, no, no, Dan, it's it's the Steam Report. There's

102
00:04:55,079 --> 00:04:59,720
steam finally, And Yanni, Yanni, you are talking to people

103
00:04:59,800 --> 00:05:05,680
who handicap darts and lacrosse. We've gotten those. I can

104
00:05:05,759 --> 00:05:09,480
imagine what we've got em before, and we can't put

105
00:05:09,519 --> 00:05:12,680
them out. That's that's that's a big, big problem. Like

106
00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:15,240
one person complaints, Okay, we can't do this anymore.

107
00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:19,480
Speaker 4: All rights, Like yesterday, I swear not to like rub

108
00:05:19,519 --> 00:05:22,120
it in, but I got like five more props that

109
00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:24,600
ended up going three to one and one, and you

110
00:05:24,759 --> 00:05:26,560
just miss them like you know what I mean? And

111
00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:28,240
then I would just put them on the steam sheet.

112
00:05:28,279 --> 00:05:30,199
I give a billion things on the steam sheet. You

113
00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:32,199
just saved it for having to take another twenty minutes

114
00:05:32,199 --> 00:05:33,639
to cutting and paste and grow. Thank you.

115
00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:38,439
Speaker 1: All right, Well I feel your anger. We have had

116
00:05:38,439 --> 00:05:42,879
this conversation behind closed doors. Let's all right, let's talk

117
00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:48,399
college football. There's nothing better than salty SEC guy. Uh

118
00:05:48,439 --> 00:05:51,240
And there was a salty SEC guy in the comments

119
00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:55,240
section who one of the most passive, aggressive shade comments

120
00:05:55,319 --> 00:05:58,040
I have seen in a while. So this is right

121
00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:01,319
up your alley. Oni, Can you guys talk about college

122
00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:05,680
football power index rankings and how in Ohio State the

123
00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:08,360
second and third defense but forty fifth and forty six

124
00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:11,560
strength of schedule. Basically, his thing is he's doing the

125
00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:14,680
whole thing about the SEC plays a tougher schedule, they

126
00:06:14,680 --> 00:06:18,519
beat each other up and YadA, YadA, YadA. So go

127
00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:21,480
over your power ranking. To me, this sounds like an

128
00:06:21,560 --> 00:06:25,800
argument from before nil and that's what it sounds like.

129
00:06:25,800 --> 00:06:29,040
Speaker 4: You know, go ahead, finish. I'm sorry I was to say.

130
00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:32,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, like ten fifteen years ago, I feel like this

131
00:06:32,199 --> 00:06:35,279
was a solid argument. Yeah, the SEC just had all

132
00:06:35,279 --> 00:06:37,879
the good players and you know, all the good coaches.

133
00:06:37,879 --> 00:06:40,040
I just don't feel like that's the case anymore. The

134
00:06:40,160 --> 00:06:43,959
entire landscape has changed. So this brings up the difference

135
00:06:44,000 --> 00:06:47,920
between the college rankings and the power rankings for what

136
00:06:48,079 --> 00:06:48,600
we bet.

137
00:06:48,839 --> 00:06:51,480
Speaker 4: So let's go over that, and here's what I'm going

138
00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:55,240
to say. In college football, the power ratings that I

139
00:06:55,519 --> 00:06:59,199
use have produced over one hundred and twenty plus one

140
00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:03,079
hundred and thirty units of profit, a sample size of

141
00:07:03,319 --> 00:07:06,519
close to what four hundred bets, and a win percentage

142
00:07:06,519 --> 00:07:09,240
of over fifty eight, which is incredible for that kind

143
00:07:09,279 --> 00:07:12,639
of sample size. I've been profitable in college football year

144
00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:16,839
over year using power ratings more or less alone and

145
00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:19,480
my read of the market because the matter ratings that

146
00:07:19,519 --> 00:07:21,480
I get come from a kid I grew up with.

147
00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:24,120
That is, when it comes to math, the smartest person

148
00:07:24,120 --> 00:07:27,480
I've ever met in my life and doesn't gamble, doesn't

149
00:07:27,600 --> 00:07:31,519
use them to profit, just simply takes the data that

150
00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:35,240
I told them is pertinent, puts them together and spit

151
00:07:35,319 --> 00:07:38,360
me out a number. The kid has no opinion, could

152
00:07:38,399 --> 00:07:41,279
care less, probably couldn't name five players on any team.

153
00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:44,399
So that's why I trust his numbers more than anything else.

154
00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:47,399
And here's what I could tell you. Ohio State and

155
00:07:47,519 --> 00:07:50,399
Indiana are the best two teams in the country. Okay,

156
00:07:51,319 --> 00:07:54,879
even after my adjustment going into bed on it yesterday,

157
00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:58,680
I was sure Indiana was now the number one team

158
00:07:58,759 --> 00:08:02,560
power rating wise. I was even mistaken as my man

159
00:08:02,639 --> 00:08:06,480
set me the updates, and Ohio State is still the

160
00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:09,600
highest power rated team in the country. If they were

161
00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:13,319
to play Indiana, and Indiana was favored by them, because again,

162
00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:16,279
the book's job is to balance risk, it's not to

163
00:08:16,399 --> 00:08:20,759
predict the outcome of sporting events, so they wouldn't make

164
00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:25,120
Ohio State a favorite after everyone just saw Indiana beat

165
00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:28,160
them and the line was close anyway. But what would

166
00:08:28,199 --> 00:08:31,079
happen is Indiana would become maybe a pick of minus

167
00:08:31,079 --> 00:08:34,360
one what have you. Public would probably bet Indiana and

168
00:08:34,399 --> 00:08:36,639
the sharps would just take the value on Ohio State.

169
00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:39,919
That's how that would play out. But power rating wise,

170
00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:42,759
Ohio State's still about one and a half points better

171
00:08:42,879 --> 00:08:46,360
on a neutral than Indiana. Now, as far as the

172
00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:51,039
SEC goes power rating wise, one team's only in the

173
00:08:51,039 --> 00:08:56,159
top five. That's Georgia. And still my power ratings would

174
00:08:56,159 --> 00:08:59,480
make the notre Dame team which has it made it

175
00:08:59,559 --> 00:09:03,679
into the layoffs. Notre Dame would still be a two

176
00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:06,639
and a half point favorite over that Georgia team on

177
00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:10,600
a neutral field. It would be a favorite over Alabama

178
00:09:10,759 --> 00:09:13,519
on a neutral field. They would be a favorite over

179
00:09:13,600 --> 00:09:16,039
Mississippi on a neutral field.

180
00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:16,799
Speaker 2: They would be a.

181
00:09:16,759 --> 00:09:20,919
Speaker 4: Favorite over Texas Tech on a neutral field. Yes, Notre

182
00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:24,720
Dame would be favored over all of those teams on

183
00:09:24,799 --> 00:09:29,000
a neutral field. In fact, only against Oregon is it

184
00:09:29,159 --> 00:09:31,879
a pick on. The only two teams that would be

185
00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:36,639
favored for sure over Notre Dame or neutral power rating

186
00:09:36,679 --> 00:09:44,240
wise is Ohio State and Indiana. Otherwise Notre Dames. That's strong,

187
00:09:44,519 --> 00:09:47,120
kind of like you know, Penn State. Everyone forgot about them.

188
00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:51,320
The teams when I'm looking at the college rankings that

189
00:09:51,440 --> 00:09:54,879
are overvalued Number one Texas A and M. They have

190
00:09:54,919 --> 00:09:57,320
Texas A and M as the seventh best team in

191
00:09:57,360 --> 00:10:00,000
the country. I've moved Texas A and M up as much,

192
00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,039
which is I can in the power ratings, and that

193
00:10:02,159 --> 00:10:05,799
kill still can't have them break my top fifteen. They don't.

194
00:10:05,879 --> 00:10:09,399
They just don't, bro And the reason is simple. They

195
00:10:09,399 --> 00:10:11,879
barely have a top twenty five offense, barely have a

196
00:10:11,919 --> 00:10:15,360
top ten defense, they have a respectable strength of schedule,

197
00:10:15,639 --> 00:10:18,480
but there's just so many teams that are above them.

198
00:10:18,799 --> 00:10:25,480
That's the truth. Another team Oklahoma, Oklahoma's overvalued. They're you know,

199
00:10:25,919 --> 00:10:29,120
a top ten team in the rankings. They don't make

200
00:10:29,200 --> 00:10:32,279
my top power ratings, they don't make my top fifteen

201
00:10:32,639 --> 00:10:37,200
power ratings. In fact, they're right on the CUSP. And

202
00:10:37,279 --> 00:10:41,240
again that's just numbers, that's just the data. And as

203
00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:44,799
far as again the SEC schedule wise, dude, Indiana has

204
00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:48,559
had a top twenty strength of schedule. Their schedule is

205
00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:53,840
comparable to Georgia's, comparable to Oregons, comparable to Penn States.

206
00:10:54,159 --> 00:10:58,480
They've had a very tough strength of schedule. Ohio State hasn't.

207
00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:02,559
They've had, you know, fifth type of strength of schedule

208
00:11:02,879 --> 00:11:05,320
like Notre Dame, like Notre Dame. And that's why with

209
00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:09,799
Notre Dame again, that's the negative on Notre Dame. Their

210
00:11:09,840 --> 00:11:15,240
strength of schedule hasn't been the toughest. So their stats

211
00:11:15,279 --> 00:11:18,799
should be as impressive as they are. Number one offensively

212
00:11:18,840 --> 00:11:22,000
efficiency wise, you know, just out of the top five

213
00:11:22,159 --> 00:11:24,360
on the defensive side of the ball. But when I

214
00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:27,080
look at a team like Indiana, dude. Their top three offense,

215
00:11:27,080 --> 00:11:29,679
their top three defense, and they have a top twenty

216
00:11:29,720 --> 00:11:33,919
strength of schedule Georgia top five defense, but their offense

217
00:11:34,039 --> 00:11:37,120
is out of the top ten. Alabama top ten defense,

218
00:11:37,279 --> 00:11:40,720
offense out of the top ten. The most balanced teams

219
00:11:40,720 --> 00:11:46,440
are Ohio State, Indiana, Oregon, Notre Dame. Those are balanced.

220
00:11:46,600 --> 00:11:51,080
The other teams it's either heavy on offense, heavy on defense,

221
00:11:51,360 --> 00:11:53,480
but those are the most balanced teams. I'm sorry I

222
00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:55,600
went off on a ramp, but just sharing the data

223
00:11:55,639 --> 00:11:56,639
that I haven't front.

224
00:11:56,360 --> 00:11:59,240
Speaker 1: Of me, No, it makes sense. It's the difference between

225
00:12:00,759 --> 00:12:04,240
rankings for bowl games and such a rankings for making money.

226
00:12:05,080 --> 00:12:08,159
It's a huge difference. It's a massive, massive difference. So

227
00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:10,799
you know the ones that follow the rankings that the

228
00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:14,799
College Football Committee puts out, use those as your power rankings.

229
00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:20,759
Speaker 4: That's like Miami, are you kidding me? Miami tenth, Miami tenth.

230
00:12:20,840 --> 00:12:23,519
Like Penn State would be a field goal favorite over

231
00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:28,080
then Penn State. Who's what six and six? Six and six?

232
00:12:28,480 --> 00:12:31,720
I would lay a field goal with Penn State against Miami.

233
00:12:33,679 --> 00:12:37,720
Speaker 3: That's saying something, Andy, that's saying something, I'm gone too

234
00:12:37,759 --> 00:12:39,399
well for Penn State this year.

235
00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:42,159
Speaker 4: No, it isn't it isn't it has?

236
00:12:43,200 --> 00:12:46,519
Speaker 1: I have friends that think Penn State nailed their coaching position,

237
00:12:46,679 --> 00:12:50,639
so they're very high able to State moving forward, we'll see.

238
00:12:50,679 --> 00:12:54,960
Speaker 4: So think I'm a Penn State fan. I was actually

239
00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:57,519
a Hurricanes fan when I was growing up. It was

240
00:12:57,559 --> 00:13:00,840
you know, Convicts versus Catholics. That was the back then,

241
00:13:01,279 --> 00:13:05,039
Notre Dame and Miami. I was so into Miami back then,

242
00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:08,399
testa Birdie, those worth the years that quarterback at the

243
00:13:08,440 --> 00:13:09,600
quarterback after quarterback.

244
00:13:10,399 --> 00:13:11,440
Speaker 2: It does always crack.

245
00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:14,879
Speaker 3: Me up when people conflate like Philadelphia fans with Penn

246
00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:17,120
State fans, Like you understand how far you have to

247
00:13:17,200 --> 00:13:20,279
drive to get to Happy Valley from Philly. Ain't no

248
00:13:20,480 --> 00:13:24,399
yeah from Hilly taking the time to drive up Happy Valley.

249
00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:26,600
I can tell you that much. Unless they want to

250
00:13:26,639 --> 00:13:28,919
get their car destroyed by some white tailed deer.

251
00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:30,120
Speaker 2: That's the only way they're making that.

252
00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:34,159
Speaker 1: Let's do the rest of the steam report, Yannie. I

253
00:13:34,240 --> 00:13:35,559
know you got a busy day, and then I want

254
00:13:35,559 --> 00:13:38,720
to get some UFC for the people. So steam report,

255
00:13:39,000 --> 00:13:40,639
let's go with football and then we can move to

256
00:13:40,720 --> 00:13:41,639
college basketball.

257
00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:42,559
Speaker 2: Perfect.

258
00:13:42,679 --> 00:13:46,120
Speaker 4: I'm gonna hit you off off the steam sheet. Most

259
00:13:46,159 --> 00:13:48,720
of the football has been in the steam Sheet since

260
00:13:48,840 --> 00:13:52,120
Monday and Tuesday, so I'm sure the numbers are gone.

261
00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:53,639
But let me give you some of the college football.

262
00:13:53,639 --> 00:13:55,159
I won't give it all because there's a lot in there,

263
00:13:55,440 --> 00:13:58,240
but they late two or four Delaware plus three and

264
00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:01,960
a half, two seven Memphis plus six plus five and

265
00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:05,159
a half. They took two ninety seven Miami plus four

266
00:14:05,159 --> 00:14:08,879
and a half. They two nineteenth Central Michigan plus twelve

267
00:14:08,919 --> 00:14:12,440
and a half, two twenty three Florida International plus nine

268
00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:14,600
and a half, and a favorite for you, two thirty

269
00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:17,960
two BYU minus three and three and a half in

270
00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:21,080
the NFL. Oh a lot of value there too. Steam

271
00:14:21,159 --> 00:14:24,600
sheets got a lot of good stuff. Four fifty six

272
00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:26,480
Excuston minus six and a half and seven and a

273
00:14:26,519 --> 00:14:29,200
half Chicago for sixty two. I know I've been hard

274
00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:31,799
on Chicago off late wise guys took them minus six

275
00:14:31,799 --> 00:14:34,679
and a half, and seven they took Buffalo plus two

276
00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:36,519
and a half all the way down to pick them.

277
00:14:36,679 --> 00:14:38,919
I'll give you two more because there's a lot. Four

278
00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:41,159
seventy three Green Bay minus one and one and a

279
00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:44,200
half they got there for me last week. And oh,

280
00:14:44,279 --> 00:14:46,600
Minnesota Vikings another one that got there for us. They

281
00:14:46,679 --> 00:14:48,559
took the seven and a half, took the key number

282
00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:51,360
seven and six and a half on Minnesota. So there's

283
00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:56,200
some NFL and some college football NBA for you. Signed

284
00:14:56,200 --> 00:14:58,840
in the total, I'll give you five eighty New Ordlands

285
00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:02,559
plus five, then five seventy five under two twenty five

286
00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:07,840
Boston and Milwaukee two college basketball for you, we'll go

287
00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:12,440
with six seventy two. I you Indiana plus two all

288
00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:14,519
the way down to pick them, and then six point

289
00:15:14,519 --> 00:15:17,200
eighty one North Dakota State minus five and a half.

290
00:15:17,279 --> 00:15:21,039
So that's some of the sharper stuff today. Again, big

291
00:15:21,120 --> 00:15:23,360
big couple of days ahead, big couple of weeks ahead,

292
00:15:23,360 --> 00:15:26,559
with all the college football and NFL settling out the

293
00:15:26,559 --> 00:15:29,440
playoffs picture, let's.

294
00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:31,600
Speaker 1: Move to UFC real quick, last event of the year,

295
00:15:31,639 --> 00:15:34,720
And Yanni and I were talking about this right before

296
00:15:34,759 --> 00:15:36,399
the show. So we're gonna pick a day and we'll

297
00:15:36,440 --> 00:15:39,320
do kind of a UFC overview about how our years went.

298
00:15:39,639 --> 00:15:41,879
What we're seeing because Yanny and I each did not

299
00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:43,519
have our best year, and I think a lot has

300
00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:46,159
changed and Yannie's a lot is getting ready to change

301
00:15:46,159 --> 00:15:48,759
with UFC, as you know, you see, they're like basically

302
00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:49,559
done with Fight.

303
00:15:49,440 --> 00:15:53,159
Speaker 4: Pass, I know, and I have a podcast on there

304
00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:55,559
and I don't even know where it's going. My my,

305
00:15:56,519 --> 00:16:00,399
I know my contract got extended two years, thank you, UFCA.

306
00:16:01,279 --> 00:16:03,320
I don't know what that's for you on the line.

307
00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:05,559
I don't know what's going on with the Fight Pass

308
00:16:05,639 --> 00:16:07,799
and all. So as soon as I get any information,

309
00:16:07,840 --> 00:16:09,679
I'll let you guys know. But I don't even know.

310
00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:13,600
Speaker 1: LFA doesn't have any events scheduled like, because nobody knows

311
00:16:13,600 --> 00:16:15,759
where they're gonna. So anyway, all right, let's do some

312
00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:19,120
let's get some betting info. We'll start with the main event,

313
00:16:19,159 --> 00:16:22,440
cop Reval Cops a huge favorite. Can you make the

314
00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:24,279
case for Revolve No?

315
00:16:24,519 --> 00:16:26,960
Speaker 4: And here's why he's been in a lot of wars

316
00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:30,159
of late, even when he's lost. I touched on that

317
00:16:30,559 --> 00:16:33,399
with Moreno of last week, and that's why I was

318
00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:38,080
real heavy on Tai Era because I thought Moreno, even

319
00:16:38,159 --> 00:16:40,600
though he's young in age at thirty two, he's had

320
00:16:40,679 --> 00:16:42,759
gone through a lot of wars. In fact, his last

321
00:16:42,799 --> 00:16:45,279
like five or six fights all had gone the distance,

322
00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:48,600
all were like five rounds, and four of them had

323
00:16:48,639 --> 00:16:51,360
been like Fight of the Knights, and he split went

324
00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:53,240
like two to two and one, So even when he

325
00:16:53,399 --> 00:16:56,360
lost for one, they were wars. And that's what I

326
00:16:56,440 --> 00:17:00,480
see with Roy Bomb over his last four fights. You're

327
00:17:00,519 --> 00:17:04,079
looking at decision decision, decision decision. Three of those four

328
00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:08,319
went five rounds. Two of those four were fight the Knights, dude,

329
00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:11,319
that takes a toll on you, and here comes Manel

330
00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:16,240
Cop with a ton of power, excellent takedown defense. I

331
00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:17,880
don't think Roybald is going to be able to do

332
00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:21,559
anything as far as grappling goes, and I think CoP's

333
00:17:21,559 --> 00:17:24,160
going to start to systematically break him down. I like

334
00:17:24,240 --> 00:17:25,559
the over in three and a half a little bit

335
00:17:25,599 --> 00:17:27,480
because blindly going over three and a half and four

336
00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:30,599
and a half has been you know, plus ev long term.

337
00:17:31,039 --> 00:17:33,240
But I worry CoP's going to get him out of there.

338
00:17:33,319 --> 00:17:36,200
I really do. I like Manel Cop in this spot.

339
00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:40,319
I think he wins. I wouldn't be surprised inside the distance.

340
00:17:40,440 --> 00:17:43,039
I know it's chalky, but the market tells you everything

341
00:17:43,079 --> 00:17:45,759
you need to know, because I do think Rory Bomb

342
00:17:45,799 --> 00:17:48,039
money will come in from recreational betters getting them at

343
00:17:48,039 --> 00:17:50,440
plus three to one, kind of like you saw with Moreno,

344
00:17:50,799 --> 00:17:56,119
kind of like you saw even with Yon on Saturday

345
00:17:57,000 --> 00:18:00,200
but I don't think it's warranted. I like the cops side.

346
00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:04,200
Speaker 1: Sexy underdog pick of the week that everyone we need

347
00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:06,799
a name for this one where the public dog, where

348
00:18:06,799 --> 00:18:09,880
everybody thinks they're really smart by picking this underdog is

349
00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:11,599
Caesar Almeida this week?

350
00:18:11,799 --> 00:18:13,799
Speaker 4: Yeah, oh my gosh, yeah.

351
00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:16,359
Speaker 1: Yeah fight Olk's brother.

352
00:18:16,839 --> 00:18:16,960
Speaker 5: Uh.

353
00:18:17,759 --> 00:18:19,799
Speaker 1: I'm running the other direction. I'll take the favorite. I

354
00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:22,440
just see too many people on Almeida and not enough

355
00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:25,160
line movement to make me feel good. All the Sycheck's

356
00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:28,440
training with fighting nerds, I madea can't wrestle. Check's got

357
00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:30,640
big time power more than anything. Give me the under

358
00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:31,079
in that fight.

359
00:18:31,559 --> 00:18:34,519
Speaker 4: Well, and that's why I did this my podcast yesterday

360
00:18:34,839 --> 00:18:37,559
and I talked about asked Nick about that line move

361
00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,799
and he said it was correct. Like Olex say Check

362
00:18:40,839 --> 00:18:43,119
should be the favorite. They made a mistake when they

363
00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:46,920
brought Almeida out as the favorite. And he is the

364
00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:50,039
brother of you know, Michael Alex Alex say Check. He's

365
00:18:50,079 --> 00:18:53,400
got that type of knockout power and yeah, he thought

366
00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:56,160
he should be the rifle favorite also, And that's one

367
00:18:56,160 --> 00:19:01,680
of those sharp dogs and squared dogs. Kelly says Dad

368
00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:03,400
that I don't like either. I think a lot. Are

369
00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:06,200
gonna be taking Almeida, who's only lost is by split

370
00:19:06,279 --> 00:19:09,440
decisions to Kopolov, and he's coming off a performance bonus

371
00:19:09,799 --> 00:19:14,240
and now getting plus money against a debut fighter who's

372
00:19:14,279 --> 00:19:17,480
only fought a few minutes in the Contender series. Yeah,

373
00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:20,480
I'm what thirty six seconds? I'm with you, Bro, I'm

374
00:19:20,519 --> 00:19:23,559
with you. I think the market's telling me. Just like

375
00:19:23,599 --> 00:19:26,160
with Cop that'll say Check's the right side.

376
00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:29,880
Speaker 1: I like cost over Cherrier. I'm done betting on Cherrier.

377
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:32,279
I have lost too much money and I've made that

378
00:19:32,519 --> 00:19:33,200
was my side.

379
00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:35,240
Speaker 4: I like him too, and now he cost me Bro.

380
00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:41,960
He's inconsistent, he's on paper, he's so good.

381
00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:45,720
Speaker 1: And he sucks. I'll tell you I love Bobby Green

382
00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:48,599
because by King Green. I love him over Lance Gibson.

383
00:19:48,599 --> 00:19:50,599
This Lance Gibson. He's a wrestler that's not very good

384
00:19:50,599 --> 00:19:53,200
at wrestling. That's not a good recipe for a good

385
00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:56,200
guy who can strike. I like King Green, and then

386
00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:59,119
I actually like the underdog Thompson coming in against Brito.

387
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:04,680
I do Brito makes too many mistakes. He's just bonehead man.

388
00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:07,160
He's violent. He can finish you, but he could also

389
00:20:07,240 --> 00:20:10,440
put himself in terrible positions. Thompson twenty three years old.

390
00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:13,440
He's athletic, he's got the cardio, good, good wrestler. He

391
00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:15,640
came off a really nice performance against the guy who

392
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:17,240
tried to take him down a million times and he

393
00:20:17,279 --> 00:20:19,359
stuffed all of them. So anything else you like on.

394
00:20:19,319 --> 00:20:23,359
Speaker 4: This garden, no man to be honest with you, like,

395
00:20:23,519 --> 00:20:25,519
I'm still kind of working on and actually doing my

396
00:20:25,599 --> 00:20:27,759
notes today that I have to turn into the UFC.

397
00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:30,400
I turned in some betting notes to them and just

398
00:20:30,559 --> 00:20:34,960
off other than comp and then against Kosta because I thought,

399
00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:38,079
like again, like Shari, like you said, but I'm starting

400
00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:40,759
to see the coast this theme come in, which is

401
00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:44,119
worries some and nothing really jumped out. I like Pat

402
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:46,960
over Fry, I did, like you less love that one, Pratt,

403
00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:49,519
but now that line's gotten away from me. He's almost

404
00:20:49,599 --> 00:20:52,759
two to one favorite. So I yeah, not much as

405
00:20:52,759 --> 00:20:54,720
stuck out so far. But like I said, it's a

406
00:20:54,759 --> 00:20:57,720
little bit early, and I've been coming off really good

407
00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:00,839
UFC this last month, So not going to force anything,

408
00:21:01,519 --> 00:21:03,319
just going to what I confirm and then look to

409
00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:05,799
a good twenty twenty six where we should progress towards

410
00:21:05,839 --> 00:21:09,039
demean Because I had a horrific twenty twenty five. In MMA,

411
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:10,240
I tell you when I win, and I tell you

412
00:21:10,279 --> 00:21:13,200
when I lose. And after you know, five straight winning

413
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:17,640
years in MMA, I got destroyed in twenty twenty five, demolished.

414
00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:20,680
Speaker 1: Well, we're going to talk about that. But I know

415
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:23,039
you got an appoint me to get to extended steam report.

416
00:21:23,039 --> 00:21:24,559
Thank you very much. Tell everyone what you have up

417
00:21:24,559 --> 00:21:25,160
at wager Tug.

418
00:21:25,559 --> 00:21:27,319
Speaker 4: Thank you, brother. There's a lot up there. I got

419
00:21:27,319 --> 00:21:30,519
the Thursday night football package up that passes availuable. I

420
00:21:30,559 --> 00:21:32,920
have the Saturday College football that's going to be all

421
00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:36,640
four percent plays in there, Sunday NFL with a five

422
00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:41,359
percent big move. And also that UFC cards up well,

423
00:21:41,400 --> 00:21:44,279
I think two four percents already. So running hot over

424
00:21:44,319 --> 00:21:47,400
seventy seven units in the last seven days, number one,

425
00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:50,559
last three, number one, last seven, number one, last thirty days.

426
00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:54,640
Stay consistent, though those start jumping up your bet size again.

427
00:21:56,359 --> 00:22:01,000
Maintaining that kind of win percentage is mathematically possible. No

428
00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:04,039
one's gonna hit seven out of ten bets consistently, Not me,

429
00:22:04,319 --> 00:22:06,880
not anyone. So stay consistent with bet size. We'll keep

430
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:08,759
grinding out of profit. Thank you, brother, and best of

431
00:22:08,799 --> 00:22:10,000
luck to everybody this weekend.

432
00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,720
Speaker 1: Johnie the Greek gonna be a part of football Friday tomorrow.

433
00:22:13,799 --> 00:22:16,039
Thank you very much. Johanni, have a good Thursday. We're

434
00:22:16,079 --> 00:22:19,279
gonna bring on Joe Ranieri. In just a second, quick recap.

435
00:22:19,319 --> 00:22:22,680
We did hit our NBA Best Bet last night. Thank

436
00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:24,440
you very much to everybody that was on. We had.

437
00:22:24,799 --> 00:22:26,960
We had Marcus Smart over four and a half points

438
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:30,160
and he ended with twenty six. Got on fire late,

439
00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:32,960
so easy cash in that one. A couple of you

440
00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:36,039
have brought up darts. I'll talk about darts after Joe

441
00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:37,680
is in. Those plays that you got out, those are

442
00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:40,559
futures for the full tournament. The meat of the plays

443
00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:44,319
is the daily so don't panic. I'll explain that afterwards.

444
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:46,279
We have our Monday Night, our Monday Night, we have

445
00:22:46,319 --> 00:22:49,200
our Thursday night Football best Bet that is up twenty

446
00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:52,519
four and thirteen run on primetime plays this season. We

447
00:22:52,559 --> 00:22:55,039
also have an NBA Best Bet that is up, and

448
00:22:55,079 --> 00:22:56,799
we do have that darts package that is still up

449
00:22:56,799 --> 00:22:58,759
fifty nine dollars to get all of our darts plays.

450
00:22:58,839 --> 00:23:02,359
There's some futures that have been released and the big

451
00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:05,920
plays though, we're gonna be those daily matchups and parlays

452
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:08,480
and props that we have, so I'll explain that after Joe.

453
00:23:08,559 --> 00:23:10,640
But we running really hot twenty one units in December.

454
00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:12,640
We're calling this the sprint to the end of twenty

455
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:15,799
twenty five. It's been a hillacious November, a really really

456
00:23:15,839 --> 00:23:18,400
good start to December. So we look to continue that.

457
00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:20,519
All those plays can be found at WT do Buzz,

458
00:23:20,559 --> 00:23:23,119
slash al go get that Monday night or that Thursday

459
00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:25,559
Night football play. I'm gonnattach the NBA Best Bet to that.

460
00:23:25,559 --> 00:23:27,799
That's what I'll do. Thursday Night Football best Bet, you

461
00:23:27,839 --> 00:23:30,200
get a bonus NBA prop. I just decided that. So

462
00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:32,759
let's rock tonight and have a big Thursday. All right,

463
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:38,960
let's bring in Jue Joe for a little bit. I

464
00:23:39,039 --> 00:23:42,160
thought I was like, man, Joe and I just got

465
00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:44,839
done talk about LSU, and now we get to talk

466
00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:47,440
about Michigan. And then it got really dark, and I'm

467
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:51,640
not really sure that this is a situation to poke

468
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:53,359
a whole lot of fun of I will just say

469
00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:56,759
my Ohio State friends are having just a really really

470
00:23:56,839 --> 00:24:00,359
grand old time this morning. The memes are just all

471
00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:02,200
over the place. What do you do if you're Michigan

472
00:24:02,279 --> 00:24:02,519
right now?

473
00:24:02,599 --> 00:24:06,519
Speaker 5: Real quick cry that's what you gotta do here. But

474
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:08,920
I love me say you this to Andy. And here's

475
00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:12,279
the question I have. Number One, there is an upside here,

476
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:16,400
like we get to watch maybe the best dressed college

477
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:19,079
football coach in the history of the game now take

478
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:22,319
over in an interim basis, there is a fifth Poggy

479
00:24:23,039 --> 00:24:26,400
is now your interim head coach, and nobody dresses better

480
00:24:26,799 --> 00:24:31,680
than that man. But let me ask you, if Michigan

481
00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:37,680
thought Searan Moore was that valuable and that good a coach,

482
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:41,799
do we are we even learning about this right now?

483
00:24:41,839 --> 00:24:45,640
And I'm wondering is this even a situation where they

484
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:49,920
do an investigation, because it's not like Michigan to hide crap.

485
00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:54,559
Speaker 2: It's not like, what are you talking about video?

486
00:24:55,079 --> 00:24:57,759
Speaker 5: I'm just saying, if they really thought he was a

487
00:24:57,839 --> 00:25:01,680
great coach, like he was harpball worthy, I'm not sure

488
00:25:01,759 --> 00:25:04,440
we hear about any of this at all.

489
00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:05,400
Speaker 2: If we're being.

490
00:25:05,279 --> 00:25:09,079
Speaker 1: Honest, it's pretty bad. It's it's pretty bad.

491
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:11,000
Speaker 2: But especially it.

492
00:25:11,039 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 5: Got worse after he knew he was caught, Like after

493
00:25:15,319 --> 00:25:17,279
he knew it was coming out is where it really

494
00:25:17,279 --> 00:25:18,640
started to go off the rails.

495
00:25:19,599 --> 00:25:21,000
Speaker 2: If but the only.

496
00:25:20,839 --> 00:25:22,640
Speaker 5: Reason he knew he was gonna get caught is because

497
00:25:22,680 --> 00:25:25,200
Michigan's like, well, he sucks, and we don't have to

498
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:27,839
worry about paying him because we can fire him with cause,

499
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:30,440
so we're good to go. And that's kind of what

500
00:25:30,519 --> 00:25:33,759
they did, is pulled the hammer on him and didn't

501
00:25:33,799 --> 00:25:36,400
realize there might be some collateral damage after that.

502
00:25:37,039 --> 00:25:40,839
Speaker 3: Well, and Andy to to Joe's point two, since since

503
00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:45,799
Jim Harbaugh arrived there in ann Arbor, eleven staffers either

504
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:51,400
arrested or fired sport to violation, just.

505
00:25:51,480 --> 00:26:00,440
Speaker 1: Say details details. I will tell you this a little

506
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:03,079
Bernie told me a week ago that the Michigan coach

507
00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:04,759
was going to be out. I didn't even pay any

508
00:26:04,759 --> 00:26:07,279
attention to it. They knew this. They knew about this

509
00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:08,519
for a while, so.

510
00:26:08,759 --> 00:26:09,759
Speaker 2: I don't see how you don't.

511
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:12,359
Speaker 3: Part of the story was that he got Planned B

512
00:26:12,599 --> 00:26:16,079
door dashed to his office, like like, that's rule one

513
00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:16,880
of Plan.

514
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:18,839
Speaker 2: B, you go out and acquire it yourself.

515
00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:26,119
Speaker 1: That's playing c on how to get planned ban A

516
00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:29,319
cannot be door dashing to you.

517
00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:33,680
Speaker 2: I wonder is Lane Kiffin available? I don't know how

518
00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:36,119
does this work? Now for Michigan? Where do you go?

519
00:26:37,160 --> 00:26:39,960
I meant, get a phone call like, how does this work?

520
00:26:40,039 --> 00:26:44,720
Speaker 1: Exactly what Michigan he's misunderstood understood?

521
00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:49,240
Speaker 5: I agree, all.

522
00:26:47,799 --> 00:26:50,200
Speaker 1: Right, Joe, Well let's talk let's talk some sports here,

523
00:26:50,279 --> 00:26:53,799
Let's talk some let's talk some lines of betable info.

524
00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:58,319
We got the Falcons and the Buccaneers. I mean, this

525
00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:01,920
Falcons quarterback situation is almost as bad as the Colts

526
00:27:02,039 --> 00:27:06,000
may be worse. Like my, how the Mighty have fallen?

527
00:27:06,039 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 2: Here?

528
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:09,079
Speaker 1: You got Tampa Bay minus five. They're getting basically all

529
00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:11,839
their wide receivers back just in time for the run.

530
00:27:11,839 --> 00:27:14,559
But Tampa Bay has not been that good recently. Minus

531
00:27:14,599 --> 00:27:16,880
five is the line here that kind of tells us

532
00:27:16,880 --> 00:27:18,799
the books are totally sure what to do here over

533
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:20,640
under forty four, what's your breakdown on this game?

534
00:27:21,079 --> 00:27:24,880
Speaker 5: Well, I just did the Best Betting Show with Art,

535
00:27:25,000 --> 00:27:27,519
and Art's like, man, there ain't nobody playing this game,

536
00:27:27,599 --> 00:27:31,279
Like they have zero interest at the West State right

537
00:27:31,319 --> 00:27:34,000
now for this game because they're kind of in no

538
00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:36,880
man's laying to your point, Andy, four and a half five,

539
00:27:37,519 --> 00:27:40,119
the books are like, all right, any day now, anybody

540
00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:41,720
want to come in make a big bet so we

541
00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:43,240
can push it one way or the other because we

542
00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:47,319
don't know it does look like the total was forty

543
00:27:47,319 --> 00:27:47,880
four and a half.

544
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:49,839
Speaker 2: Maybe that's starting to come down a little.

545
00:27:50,599 --> 00:27:53,119
Speaker 5: I mean, listen, the schedule maker is when they put

546
00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:56,480
this on the list, probably thought this was going to

547
00:27:56,559 --> 00:27:59,400
be a game Andy that was probably gonna be for

548
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:02,400
first place in this division, and boy with a wrong,

549
00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:06,920
this is just awful on so many levels here. Yes,

550
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:11,440
Evans likely back, They're gonna have some of their skill

551
00:28:11,519 --> 00:28:15,039
position guys back, Kaydott and likely still not going. But

552
00:28:15,119 --> 00:28:17,160
what the hell are you gonna get from these guys

553
00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:21,400
in a situation where we haven't seen them forever. I

554
00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:25,559
can't imagine that this Atlanta defense, after getting crushed in

555
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:29,119
the second half last week. Rahiem Marris is the defensive

556
00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:33,839
minded guy they usually defensively bounce back after getting blown

557
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:37,759
out in these types of situations, I can't imagine them

558
00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:42,319
allowing you know, Evans and everyone else to run all

559
00:28:42,319 --> 00:28:45,839
over them. So I tend to think that maybe that's

560
00:28:45,839 --> 00:28:49,599
being a little overvalued. Don't forget still missing two starting

561
00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:51,599
guards on that offensive line.

562
00:28:51,759 --> 00:28:52,920
Speaker 2: Christian Wurs is great.

563
00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:55,599
Speaker 5: It's good to have him back, but again, it feels

564
00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:58,079
like the Eagles offensive line where he's one or two

565
00:28:58,079 --> 00:29:01,079
plays away from being back on the side again and

566
00:29:01,279 --> 00:29:04,519
out of the game. So that's what's been happening all

567
00:29:04,599 --> 00:29:07,680
year long. I think both defenses are going to be

568
00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:11,440
the star of this game if we're being honest here, Andy,

569
00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:15,799
Jon Robinson seems to be the only one that can

570
00:29:15,839 --> 00:29:18,160
either catch the ball or run the ball. He's the

571
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:21,839
you know, he's all about the offense. For Atlanta. It's

572
00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:25,480
clear they don't trust the passing game. I don't know

573
00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:28,160
where the points are coming from really, from either of

574
00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:31,440
these two teams, so I'd be concerned. I like to

575
00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:34,960
think the Bucks are the right side here, Andy, but

576
00:29:35,079 --> 00:29:40,240
the problem is Baker and Todd bulls against this division

577
00:29:40,559 --> 00:29:44,279
at home. The record is atrocious, Andy. I mean, they

578
00:29:44,319 --> 00:29:48,799
have been absolutely awful against the number. So I'm not

579
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:51,400
exactly running to the window one way or the other

580
00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:54,240
to play it. If I'm looking at it, I'm probably

581
00:29:54,279 --> 00:29:57,799
looking the Atlanta Falcons team total under in this one, Andy.

582
00:29:59,559 --> 00:30:03,640
Speaker 1: I mean, it's it's wild when the bookmaker like Art says,

583
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:04,640
nobody's betting this.

584
00:30:06,559 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 2: Crazy? Yeah, it'st I mean, look at the number. It's

585
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:10,039
been four and a.

586
00:30:10,079 --> 00:30:14,319
Speaker 5: Half five and okay, anybody else want to bet this game?

587
00:30:16,279 --> 00:30:18,519
Speaker 3: I don't know, it's a team who's it's a team

588
00:30:18,559 --> 00:30:20,920
whose record is asked, and then it's a team who

589
00:30:21,119 --> 00:30:24,200
what they're fighting for the division against the against the Panthers.

590
00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:27,319
Yet in the last nine games, they're one and eight

591
00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:28,440
in getting out games.

592
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 2: So they've been eight out gaining eight of their last

593
00:30:30,519 --> 00:30:31,200
nine games.

594
00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:35,160
Speaker 3: It's just it's two teams that, regardless what the record says,

595
00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:37,880
it's tough to find value betting on either side of

596
00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:38,519
this one man.

597
00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:41,559
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, it's not good. It's not And they've been

598
00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:43,079
terrible against their own division.

599
00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:45,119
Speaker 5: First of all, they're all in two I think a

600
00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:49,319
couple of games right against against this Falcons team Tampa

601
00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:53,920
is and not exactly great against the division going back,

602
00:30:54,079 --> 00:30:55,720
so we usually.

603
00:30:55,440 --> 00:30:55,960
Speaker 2: Want to lay.

604
00:30:56,880 --> 00:30:58,599
Speaker 3: You want to lay points with the team that just

605
00:30:58,640 --> 00:31:01,039
lost outright to the same His eight and a half

606
00:31:01,039 --> 00:31:02,799
point favorites, be my guest.

607
00:31:03,359 --> 00:31:06,279
Speaker 2: I'll be betting props. I'll be betting props on firstday night.

608
00:31:06,319 --> 00:31:10,039
That's about it. I did see one prop I'll give up.

609
00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:14,200
Speaker 5: Okay, Kirk Cousins rushing prop is a half a yard.

610
00:31:15,519 --> 00:31:19,279
I'm betting anytime touchdown and give me the if he

611
00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:22,680
falls forward. Andy, we're getting at least half of our bet.

612
00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:25,680
They are at a pretty good agree. Kirk Cousins to

613
00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:28,799
get tackled forward and you got a half a yard.

614
00:31:29,319 --> 00:31:30,559
Speaker 2: I agree.

615
00:31:30,599 --> 00:31:33,680
Speaker 1: I love that forward, Joe.

616
00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:34,160
Speaker 2: Joe.

617
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:37,000
Speaker 1: The year before he heard his achilles, we were doing

618
00:31:37,039 --> 00:31:40,480
the same game parlay of Kirk Cousins under his rushing

619
00:31:40,559 --> 00:31:42,759
yards and over his rush attempts, because when they'd win,

620
00:31:42,799 --> 00:31:45,279
he'd kneel down and lose yards. We were getting six

621
00:31:45,319 --> 00:31:47,400
to one games, they were favored.

622
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:50,200
Speaker 3: I love me what it's worth any of the games.

623
00:31:50,319 --> 00:31:52,559
So it's either he doesn't run, he doesn't have a

624
00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:55,880
rush attempt. If he falls forward, like Joe said, any

625
00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:58,680
of the games that he has had an attempt, it's

626
00:31:58,680 --> 00:31:59,279
been two.

627
00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:03,519
Speaker 2: Or more yards. Oh why not flee an ugly ass yep.

628
00:32:03,920 --> 00:32:05,960
Speaker 1: Half a yard? All right, that's what you tune in for.

629
00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:07,359
The kirk Cousins rushing crops.

630
00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:09,079
Speaker 4: Let's go to college basketball.

631
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:14,279
Speaker 1: Let's go to college basketball. Joe, Iowa, Iowa State, Iowa State.

632
00:32:15,319 --> 00:32:17,720
Bigger favorite here minus ten and a half over under

633
00:32:18,119 --> 00:32:20,839
one forty two. We were talking a little bit earlier

634
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:24,079
about sometimes early in the season, these bigger favorites are

635
00:32:24,079 --> 00:32:26,720
these big favorites like Dada blowing these teams out because

636
00:32:26,720 --> 00:32:29,319
the books don't quite have a handle on what the

637
00:32:29,759 --> 00:32:32,160
lines really should be. Is this a scenario where you're

638
00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:34,160
looking at Ohio State to be a big winner here

639
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:35,920
or this little too much respect?

640
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:38,559
Speaker 5: Well, it's it's fascinating, right because you got the big

641
00:32:38,640 --> 00:32:42,279
ten versus the big twelve here, which it's sometimes confusing

642
00:32:42,319 --> 00:32:43,240
still for people here.

643
00:32:43,279 --> 00:32:46,599
Speaker 2: But Iowa is not bad this year, right? What are they?

644
00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:49,799
Eight and one? I think sitting there? Iowa State nine

645
00:32:49,839 --> 00:32:50,240
in all.

646
00:32:50,400 --> 00:32:53,519
Speaker 5: Both teams, by the way, have covered seven of their

647
00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:57,640
last nine games. After beating I believe Saint John's by

648
00:32:57,680 --> 00:33:00,839
one a couple of weeks ago, Iowa State has just

649
00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:04,079
gone scorched earth on people. I mean, their next four

650
00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:07,880
games they beat teams by eighteen points or more. To

651
00:33:08,000 --> 00:33:11,119
what you know, Yanni's point is is that we're starting

652
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:14,000
to get, Yeah, we're starting to get all of a sudden,

653
00:33:14,039 --> 00:33:18,359
these numbers creeping up from teams that begin to separate themselves.

654
00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:21,440
Here and listen, that win against Purdue at macki Arena,

655
00:33:21,599 --> 00:33:24,440
the toughest place to get a win in all of

656
00:33:24,519 --> 00:33:28,480
college basketball. That was pretty impressive. They're shooting lights out

657
00:33:28,519 --> 00:33:31,640
from three that they shot fifty eight percent from the

658
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:35,039
field in that game, forty eight percent from three. They've

659
00:33:35,079 --> 00:33:40,119
beaten Iowa the last two years by nine points or more.

660
00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:42,480
So this this has kind of been a little bit

661
00:33:42,559 --> 00:33:45,039
one sided. But you got a new coach. The fran

662
00:33:45,119 --> 00:33:49,960
McCaffrey days are over here with Iowa. Iowa played its

663
00:33:50,039 --> 00:33:53,160
first road game I think that was what nine days

664
00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:57,160
ago at Michigan State, and they lost by nineteen, mostly

665
00:33:57,240 --> 00:34:02,319
because Andy, Michigan State is a very physical basketball team,

666
00:34:02,359 --> 00:34:05,720
and Iowa got pushed around. They're very good at shooting,

667
00:34:06,119 --> 00:34:08,199
but they're more of a finesse team than they are

668
00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:11,840
a physical team. And if they thought Michigan State was physical,

669
00:34:12,159 --> 00:34:14,199
wait until they get a load of what's gonna happen

670
00:34:14,239 --> 00:34:17,559
here in Iowa State at home. They're gonna get bullied around.

671
00:34:17,920 --> 00:34:21,280
And that's the problem here. I think you've had two

672
00:34:21,280 --> 00:34:23,840
lines of thought. We saw overnight money come in on

673
00:34:24,079 --> 00:34:27,079
Iowa kind of pushing this down from eleven and a

674
00:34:27,159 --> 00:34:30,280
half down to ten ten and a half. It's kind

675
00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:32,440
of where we're sitting right now. But I wouldn't be

676
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,719
shocked Andy if this line starts to creep up by

677
00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:38,360
the time we get to by the time we get

678
00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:41,000
the tip and we go back to eleven eleven and

679
00:34:41,079 --> 00:34:43,599
a half. So my advice is, if you like Iowa State,

680
00:34:44,199 --> 00:34:46,679
grab the ten ten and a half right now, because

681
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:50,079
this is likely going up before tip. The only fear

682
00:34:50,199 --> 00:34:53,679
is Iowa plays so damn slow. But I don't think

683
00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:56,000
it's gonna make a difference. I think Iowa State's gonna

684
00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:59,639
get whatever they want from a physical standpoint.

685
00:35:00,199 --> 00:35:04,159
Speaker 1: All right, Uh yeah, physicality sometimes just cannot be overcome.

686
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:07,679
So let's lay the wood there. All right, let's saw

687
00:35:07,800 --> 00:35:11,880
this Celtics Bucks game. Oh Joe, if before the season

688
00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:14,199
I told you one team was the three seed in

689
00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:17,039
the East and one team was the ten seed in

690
00:35:17,079 --> 00:35:20,840
the East, no chance you would say, Well, clearly it's Boston,

691
00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:23,800
it's the three seed, and Milwaukee is the Milwaukee season,

692
00:35:24,519 --> 00:35:28,000
and maybe the foreseeable future has cratered. Now there's Giannis

693
00:35:28,039 --> 00:35:31,599
trade talks, and now uh oh, Jannis has a calf injury.

694
00:35:32,239 --> 00:35:35,760
I don't know what they do. Meanwhile, the Celtics East

695
00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:38,199
is a little bit wide open. They're playing well, this

696
00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:41,400
is a really interesting team. Nine point favorites of the

697
00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:43,360
over under two twenty three and a half. What do

698
00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:44,440
you make in this game tonight.

699
00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:48,960
Speaker 5: Yeah, and two teams going in opposite directions, right, because

700
00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:51,440
you're talking about a Celtics team that's one ten of

701
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:54,880
their last twelve, and you're talking about a Bucks team

702
00:35:54,920 --> 00:35:58,039
that's lost ten of their last twelve, and there is

703
00:35:58,079 --> 00:36:01,639
a cleared I so wish Giannis was available for this

704
00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:04,599
game because I think this would be what is pretty

705
00:36:04,639 --> 00:36:07,760
much a blast slate tonight. This game would have been

706
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:11,360
must watch television, I think andy if Jannis was available

707
00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:15,119
to go, but he is busy interviewing with other teams

708
00:36:15,199 --> 00:36:17,880
right now, trying to figure out what uniform he'll be

709
00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:22,079
wearing next. So we're left with a Celtics team that

710
00:36:22,559 --> 00:36:25,480
if I read one more story about Tatum playing one.

711
00:36:25,360 --> 00:36:27,880
Speaker 2: On one with guys and he'll be here before.

712
00:36:28,159 --> 00:36:30,880
Speaker 5: Wouldn't shock me if Tatum is back for a playoff

713
00:36:30,960 --> 00:36:35,880
run at all. But Boston is playing great basketball. The

714
00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:39,440
Bucks aren't. They're one in seven without Gianness this season.

715
00:36:41,440 --> 00:36:44,360
You know they would be right there in contention if

716
00:36:44,400 --> 00:36:47,760
he was actually available, but they're not. So to me,

717
00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:50,880
I think the best way to look at this game

718
00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:53,000
is I think the value is on the over. I

719
00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:56,840
don't want to necessarily lay nine ten points. With Boston,

720
00:36:56,880 --> 00:36:59,880
although I think they win the game. I think we're

721
00:37:00,000 --> 00:37:03,119
getting points here. I think the Celtics are gonna get theirs.

722
00:37:03,159 --> 00:37:05,440
I don't know that they're gonna get a ton of

723
00:37:05,559 --> 00:37:08,960
pushback defensively from the Bucks, and the Bucks know they're

724
00:37:09,000 --> 00:37:11,039
gonna have to score in this game, Andy, if they're

725
00:37:11,039 --> 00:37:13,639
gonna keep it close or give themselves a shot to win.

726
00:37:14,079 --> 00:37:15,519
I don't see a one oh five to one to

727
00:37:15,559 --> 00:37:18,639
oh three game here. I think a lot of the

728
00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:21,599
public perception and the money looks to be on the

729
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,320
under here, dropping it to what to twenty three and

730
00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:27,559
a half to twenty four, I think that's low. I

731
00:37:27,599 --> 00:37:29,840
think the value is looking at this game to go

732
00:37:30,039 --> 00:37:32,800
up and over the total here tonight, let it rain

733
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:36,199
threes across the board as far as I'm concerned.

734
00:37:36,920 --> 00:37:40,039
Speaker 1: Well, Boston and they will rain three threes. I mean,

735
00:37:40,199 --> 00:37:42,480
I think they they're hitting the most of any team.

736
00:37:42,519 --> 00:37:45,920
I mean, I'm looking at their they could be good

737
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:49,159
for one. I mean, these totals for Boston are going

738
00:37:49,199 --> 00:37:52,119
into the one thirties and one forties the last five games,

739
00:37:52,119 --> 00:37:55,920
so pretty hard to buck that trend. Great breakdowns. As always, Joe,

740
00:37:55,960 --> 00:37:57,400
what do you have about for everyone? At wait you talk.

741
00:37:58,199 --> 00:37:59,639
Speaker 2: I am a lot Tandy.

742
00:37:59,679 --> 00:38:01,440
Speaker 5: I just the more I kept looking at it, the

743
00:38:01,480 --> 00:38:03,960
more I just go on one of my this is absurd.

744
00:38:04,119 --> 00:38:07,679
So I do have a five percent match bet available

745
00:38:07,760 --> 00:38:12,440
Sunday for the NFL five and zero on those plays

746
00:38:12,519 --> 00:38:15,280
this year, Andy, in the NFL, so they don't come

747
00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:16,519
around off of when they do.

748
00:38:17,079 --> 00:38:19,159
Speaker 2: You know, we see value, we fire on it and

749
00:38:19,199 --> 00:38:19,639
that's it.

750
00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:23,000
Speaker 5: And that's exactly what we have on a game Sunday

751
00:38:23,559 --> 00:38:26,760
that sooner rather than later, guys, because at some point

752
00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:29,320
something tells me this line will be moving before we

753
00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:30,039
get to kick.

754
00:38:30,760 --> 00:38:32,960
Speaker 2: You can hop on board. Go grab that now.

755
00:38:33,079 --> 00:38:37,239
Speaker 5: The weekend Warrior package for all plays is a fantastic

756
00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:40,679
idea as well. But go ahead and grab that five

757
00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:44,480
percent max bet right now in the NFL for Sunday.

758
00:38:45,559 --> 00:38:48,000
Speaker 1: Jure and Eery great breakdown. It's got a five percent

759
00:38:48,119 --> 00:38:51,440
best bet up WT Up Buzz Slash JR. Joe, thank

760
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:55,599
you very much, appreciate that. All right, Dan, we had

761
00:38:55,639 --> 00:38:57,840
a lot to get to. We got we got DOUBLETF,

762
00:38:57,880 --> 00:39:00,400
we got LFG, We've got props for Thursday night. We

763
00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:05,320
got a same game parlay. Let's do WTF and LFG.

764
00:39:05,599 --> 00:39:06,719
Let's do that, and then that's I.

765
00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:09,199
Speaker 3: Mean, why not this is this has been out the

766
00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:10,760
gate here, We've done two of them.

767
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:12,639
Speaker 2: We are zero and two. Andy. We lost on a

768
00:39:12,639 --> 00:39:15,039
soccer play. We lost on a Jalen Hurts prop.

769
00:39:15,159 --> 00:39:19,360
Speaker 3: So, Hey, whether you're watching, you know it always it's

770
00:39:19,559 --> 00:39:23,440
LFG or WTF for a reason. WTF means we're fading you, Dan,

771
00:39:23,679 --> 00:39:25,480
LFG goes I'm tailing you.

772
00:39:25,880 --> 00:39:28,000
Speaker 2: So Andy, I know that this might be something that

773
00:39:28,039 --> 00:39:29,199
you're a little intrigued with.

774
00:39:29,519 --> 00:39:33,199
Speaker 3: Joe mentioned all these receivers that are coming back tonight

775
00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:35,519
here for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They're gonna have all

776
00:39:35,519 --> 00:39:39,360
the horses back, right, and and Mike Evans he's coming back.

777
00:39:39,400 --> 00:39:41,599
You know, hopefully that makes a Mika buk a little

778
00:39:41,599 --> 00:39:44,400
bit better. One player that I think is getting overlooked

779
00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:46,920
in this big shuffle that is also returning from the

780
00:39:46,960 --> 00:39:51,760
IR is Jalen McMillan. He's gonna get his first action tonight.

781
00:39:52,159 --> 00:39:56,400
And I'm looking at his reception total over because what

782
00:39:56,440 --> 00:39:59,360
does this Bucks team do? They pass out the wazoo

783
00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:02,760
attempts crazy for Baker, whether he's injured, whether he's healthy.

784
00:40:03,039 --> 00:40:05,800
So his over one and a half receptions for Jalen

785
00:40:05,880 --> 00:40:08,519
McMillan is sitting at one and a half, so we're

786
00:40:08,559 --> 00:40:12,039
asking does this guy get two catches? But when he

787
00:40:12,079 --> 00:40:16,079
became a featured player last season, Andy, I think it

788
00:40:16,159 --> 00:40:18,639
was six straight games to end the season two or

789
00:40:18,639 --> 00:40:19,239
more catches.

790
00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:21,920
Speaker 2: Most of those were five catches with seven type targets.

791
00:40:22,280 --> 00:40:25,599
Speaker 3: Now they are a favorite that begs the question will

792
00:40:25,639 --> 00:40:26,760
they pass as much?

793
00:40:26,840 --> 00:40:27,159
Speaker 5: Well?

794
00:40:27,559 --> 00:40:31,159
Speaker 3: Last week in the first half the Falcons, they were

795
00:40:31,239 --> 00:40:34,119
tied with the Seahawks, so the defense was at least

796
00:40:34,239 --> 00:40:36,320
able to keep them in the game until it got

797
00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:39,119
out of the way. You know, four catches, seven targets

798
00:40:39,199 --> 00:40:41,159
last year against the Falcons.

799
00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:44,280
Speaker 2: Do they use him much in his return? That's the question,

800
00:40:45,079 --> 00:40:45,320
you know.

801
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:48,679
Speaker 3: So I think the targets could be there for Jaln

802
00:40:48,719 --> 00:40:52,280
McMillan simply because there's so many other folks to pay

803
00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:55,000
attention to in this offense that somebody's going to get

804
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:57,920
open on the play. Sometimes it'll be Mike Evans, sometimes

805
00:40:57,920 --> 00:41:01,199
it'll be a meek big boo to quote to quote

806
00:41:02,199 --> 00:41:05,920
Gronk there. But for me, Andy plus one point fifty,

807
00:41:06,320 --> 00:41:09,719
it's a great sprinkle here over one and a half receptions,

808
00:41:09,880 --> 00:41:12,119
And I know you're attacking Jayleen McMillan a little bit

809
00:41:12,159 --> 00:41:14,400
different of a way. So this might just be your

810
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:17,920
first WTF of the three plays we've had, Andy.

811
00:41:19,360 --> 00:41:22,679
Speaker 1: I I went with his receiving because I looked at

812
00:41:22,679 --> 00:41:24,719
this hard. I looked at both props really hard. I

813
00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:27,079
opted to go ten and a half because I found

814
00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:29,840
I found an article where they said he's probably gonna

815
00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:32,760
be on a snapcount to now he's practiced six games

816
00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:34,679
in a row. Okay, they say he's gonna play, but

817
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:37,480
he's gonna be limited. To me, that says he's healthy

818
00:41:37,559 --> 00:41:39,679
enough to play. He's not going to play a ton,

819
00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:42,519
but they are going to get him a few targets.

820
00:41:42,559 --> 00:41:44,920
I would expect two to three targets. So that's why

821
00:41:44,920 --> 00:41:47,039
I went over ten and a half receiving, because.

822
00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:49,960
Speaker 2: Well, he could do that as opposed to asking him

823
00:41:50,000 --> 00:41:50,800
to get two catches.

824
00:41:50,880 --> 00:41:56,840
Speaker 1: Okay, so I'll go. You know me, I'm positive I'll

825
00:41:56,840 --> 00:42:00,000
go LFG. Let's go Jaylen McMillan two catches for fifty

826
00:42:00,079 --> 00:42:01,559
teen yards tonight. How about that?

827
00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:04,360
Speaker 2: I like that? That's sexy, Andy. So there you go.

828
00:42:04,440 --> 00:42:07,119
Speaker 3: Comment below after the video is done and let us

829
00:42:07,119 --> 00:42:08,000
know what props go on.

830
00:42:08,079 --> 00:42:10,000
Speaker 2: This is a tough game to bet here tonight. I

831
00:42:10,280 --> 00:42:11,800
really don't have much for the side.

832
00:42:12,079 --> 00:42:14,119
Speaker 3: Don't have much thought on the total unless you're looking

833
00:42:14,119 --> 00:42:17,199
at some team total props maybe, But the play that

834
00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:20,000
I'm playing with my own money, it's already locked in.

835
00:42:20,440 --> 00:42:23,800
Jalen McMillan over one and a half receptions plus one

836
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:27,039
P fifty w t AF you Phaden or LFG, you

837
00:42:27,239 --> 00:42:29,119
tail and comment below and let us know that's what

838
00:42:29,159 --> 00:42:29,719
we got for today.

839
00:42:29,760 --> 00:42:31,719
Speaker 2: And you gotta get on the board. Gotta get on

840
00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:32,039
the board.

841
00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:33,480
Speaker 1: On board segment.

842
00:42:33,519 --> 00:42:34,840
Speaker 2: When I go to get on the board.

843
00:42:34,679 --> 00:42:36,639
Speaker 3: Andy, I'm not saying, let me play a minus one

844
00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:38,960
eighty just you know, chip shots something again, I'm like, no,

845
00:42:39,119 --> 00:42:41,440
let's get some plus money here, get on the board

846
00:42:41,639 --> 00:42:43,119
and recoup some of those losses.

847
00:42:43,119 --> 00:42:47,440
Speaker 1: I like this, all right, let's do it. Jmask, have

848
00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:49,719
they hit any props for Thursday night football? I'm glad

849
00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:50,199
you asked.

850
00:42:50,239 --> 00:42:52,760
Speaker 2: Let's hear it comes. Maybe you came to the right

851
00:42:53,360 --> 00:42:54,480
right places.

852
00:42:55,199 --> 00:42:59,039
Speaker 1: We're gonna go over three sprinkles and then the same

853
00:42:59,079 --> 00:43:01,599
game parlay, so we'll go over the sprinkles. I have

854
00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:03,880
one best bet that's up tonight that I think stands

855
00:43:03,880 --> 00:43:06,599
out way above the rest. So these are some sprinkles.

856
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:10,760
I like Kirk Cousins over to over two oh five passing.

857
00:43:10,840 --> 00:43:12,559
This has even come down here a little bit, So

858
00:43:12,559 --> 00:43:15,320
if you want to bet it, just wait. He's he's

859
00:43:15,400 --> 00:43:17,480
gone under in two of his last three starts. But

860
00:43:18,480 --> 00:43:21,039
Tampa's we talk about this Tampa Bay team every week.

861
00:43:21,079 --> 00:43:23,679
They're twenty seventh against the pass, eighth against the run.

862
00:43:23,679 --> 00:43:25,599
They're tough to run against, but you can throw all

863
00:43:25,599 --> 00:43:28,800
over him. The last three games that he's started and

864
00:43:28,840 --> 00:43:31,920
played against Tampa Bay, his lowest passing total is two

865
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:35,440
hundred and seventy six yards. I know that Drake London

866
00:43:35,519 --> 00:43:37,960
is out. And I know this because Drake London is

867
00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:39,719
on a fantasy team of mine and I have him

868
00:43:39,719 --> 00:43:42,000
and Darnell Mooney and we'll just say Darnal mooneys no

869
00:43:42,079 --> 00:43:45,199
Drake London. But garbage time is gonna count if they're down.

870
00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:49,760
If the game script shows that Tampa's again stopping the rush,

871
00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:53,440
then Kirk Cousins is gonna go over correl eight Bjon

872
00:43:53,559 --> 00:43:55,760
Robinson under seventy four and a half. And it's the

873
00:43:55,800 --> 00:43:58,840
exact same reasoning bucks twenty seventh against pass, eighth against

874
00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:01,320
the rush. He has never go on over against Tampa.

875
00:44:01,360 --> 00:44:06,199
His high is sixty three yards like ten yard eleven

876
00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:09,280
yards less than This total is his high against this

877
00:44:09,360 --> 00:44:12,079
Tampa Bay team. And if you're Tampa, who are you

878
00:44:12,199 --> 00:44:15,239
scared of Kirk Cousins throwing the ball or Bjon running it?

879
00:44:15,239 --> 00:44:17,519
It's Bjeon running it. So I'll take the under on

880
00:44:17,599 --> 00:44:19,840
his rushing. And then we talked about Jayalen McMillan over

881
00:44:19,880 --> 00:44:22,039
ten and a half receiving. He's gonna play limited snaps,

882
00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:25,199
but I think they get him involved. They want to

883
00:44:25,280 --> 00:44:26,960
kind of shake the rust off a little bit. So yeah,

884
00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:30,679
Jaalen McMillan will try and take two catches for fifteen

885
00:44:30,760 --> 00:44:35,760
yards tonight. Let's do a same game parlay here. This

886
00:44:35,800 --> 00:44:39,079
will get you plus money plus one. Twenty six. Will

887
00:44:39,079 --> 00:44:42,199
take Baker to throw one passing touchdown and Cousins to

888
00:44:42,280 --> 00:44:45,440
throw one passing touchdown. Baker gets all of his weapons back.

889
00:44:45,480 --> 00:44:48,880
Surely he throws one. Cousins we talked about the pass defense.

890
00:44:48,960 --> 00:44:50,840
I think he throws one. And then let's take the

891
00:44:50,840 --> 00:44:54,760
Buccaneers team total over twenty three and a half. This

892
00:44:54,920 --> 00:44:58,239
is a Buccaneers defense that is just getting shredded. They've

893
00:44:58,239 --> 00:44:59,760
given up this total. I believe in five out of

894
00:44:59,800 --> 00:45:02,800
the way last six games, So take bucks over their

895
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:07,920
team total. Nekets your plus one twenty six. Before we

896
00:45:08,000 --> 00:45:11,920
go real quick, So a couple things here for you, Darts.

897
00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:15,920
The darts plays will released those future those are futures. Okay,

898
00:45:16,199 --> 00:45:18,840
those are futures. The tournament starts in like an hour,

899
00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:21,960
so those futures will come off the board. I will

900
00:45:22,000 --> 00:45:24,159
tell you there are two futures that have come off

901
00:45:24,159 --> 00:45:27,280
of my book. So I don't know what happened. Maybe

902
00:45:27,280 --> 00:45:30,119
there's a chance that everyone started playing and they just

903
00:45:30,159 --> 00:45:32,480
came down off of the books. But there's a couple

904
00:45:32,480 --> 00:45:34,920
that I can't get. Don't worry about the futures. If

905
00:45:34,920 --> 00:45:37,440
you can't get them, there's gonna be like thirty five

906
00:45:37,559 --> 00:45:40,400
more plays coming out. The real meat is on the

907
00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:45,559
daily matches that we have. So uh yeah, well, well

908
00:45:45,599 --> 00:45:47,840
well that's what we focus on. We got one play

909
00:45:47,840 --> 00:45:49,480
for today, but then the rest of the players that

910
00:45:49,519 --> 00:45:53,000
are going to be coming out are gonna start tomorrow.

911
00:45:53,039 --> 00:45:55,880
They start early, like seven thirty or eight in the morning,

912
00:45:55,880 --> 00:45:58,039
so make sure you get the plays in tonight. So

913
00:45:59,000 --> 00:46:05,480
all right, Oh so damn, I decided to watch the

914
00:46:05,519 --> 00:46:10,199
first episode of the last season of Stranger Things. I

915
00:46:10,679 --> 00:46:13,480
heard the hype. I love the first season of Stranger Things.

916
00:46:13,760 --> 00:46:16,320
I like the second season of Stranger Things, which is

917
00:46:16,360 --> 00:46:18,760
weird for me because I do not like that genre,

918
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:21,960
Like I don't like superhero movies. I don't like it's

919
00:46:22,039 --> 00:46:26,039
just yeah yeah. So I watched the first episode and

920
00:46:26,039 --> 00:46:28,039
I said, if I liked the first episode, I'll watch.

921
00:46:28,079 --> 00:46:30,079
But if I if I'm not into it, I'm done.

922
00:46:30,159 --> 00:46:34,800
I'm I'm completely done with Stranger Things. And I'm so in.

923
00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:41,119
They're back, baby, they found their magic. Not only did

924
00:46:41,119 --> 00:46:45,920
I watch the first I watched all of them.

925
00:46:43,679 --> 00:46:45,719
Speaker 2: And I just finished.

926
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:49,800
Speaker 3: I just finished them last night, Like like you, Wednesday's

927
00:46:49,840 --> 00:46:52,119
a little bit of a slow night for the things

928
00:46:52,119 --> 00:46:53,800
that you and I are betting. So I was like,

929
00:46:53,840 --> 00:46:55,760
you know what, let me get in and I started

930
00:46:55,800 --> 00:46:58,400
one episode and then I was like, holy crap, and

931
00:46:58,440 --> 00:46:58,840
then I.

932
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:00,360
Speaker 2: Was stuck watching them. Now.

933
00:47:00,840 --> 00:47:03,079
Speaker 3: The thing for me was Andy was I was kind

934
00:47:03,079 --> 00:47:05,119
of like you, so much time has passed, you know,

935
00:47:05,239 --> 00:47:08,679
how is it gonna go? Number One, the production value

936
00:47:08,760 --> 00:47:10,960
is insane. I mean they are all many movies, you

937
00:47:10,960 --> 00:47:13,400
know what I mean. And it actually looks great and

938
00:47:13,440 --> 00:47:16,039
they let it on a great little cliffhanger, and the

939
00:47:16,039 --> 00:47:18,440
next one's come out, I believe on Christmas, which is

940
00:47:18,480 --> 00:47:20,079
gonna be one of the few days that you and

941
00:47:20,119 --> 00:47:23,760
I actually have off here, so we'll have to recoup.

942
00:47:23,840 --> 00:47:26,039
But uh yeah, let us know, folks, it's been a

943
00:47:26,079 --> 00:47:28,760
lot of times since time has passed. Are you in

944
00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:31,159
or out on the strain your things? Because Andy and

945
00:47:31,199 --> 00:47:33,559
I were back, Baby, we're back.

946
00:47:33,639 --> 00:47:36,000
Speaker 1: It was great. It was it was everything I wanted.

947
00:47:36,079 --> 00:47:38,679
And if they win me over, that says a lot, because,

948
00:47:38,719 --> 00:47:41,760
like I said, I I don't understand the superhero movies,

949
00:47:41,840 --> 00:47:44,960
the sci fi a that's but man, they totally got it.

950
00:47:44,960 --> 00:47:50,119
It is pretty funny. It's let's just say some of

951
00:47:50,159 --> 00:47:53,360
the child actors improved and a few of them did not.

952
00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:56,000
There's some rough actings.

953
00:47:55,639 --> 00:47:58,559
Speaker 2: Very fair some of them this will be their final role.

954
00:47:58,800 --> 00:48:03,880
Speaker 1: Let's say, yes, yes, some of some of them got better. Uh,

955
00:48:03,920 --> 00:48:07,239
some of them did not. So, oh, this is a

956
00:48:07,280 --> 00:48:11,440
great one. Titans. Andy already hit over seven, touching his ear,

957
00:48:13,119 --> 00:48:15,360
touching our ears. It's our air pods.

958
00:48:16,199 --> 00:48:19,760
Speaker 3: Oh you're right, yeah, because they slip They fit in there,

959
00:48:19,760 --> 00:48:20,960
but they slip out.

960
00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:24,360
Speaker 1: When you talk a lot. They start to slip out.

961
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:27,639
So I'm reaching up and I'm touching the AirPod.

962
00:48:27,239 --> 00:48:27,920
Speaker 5: Not my ear.

963
00:48:29,480 --> 00:48:31,880
Speaker 1: I was like, what is he talking about? But yes,

964
00:48:31,960 --> 00:48:34,960
that is what is happening. Uh for that, So all right,

965
00:48:35,039 --> 00:48:37,400
that is gonna do it for us. On this Thursday,

966
00:48:37,400 --> 00:48:40,639
we get a huge show. It's Football Friday tomorrow. It's

967
00:48:40,679 --> 00:48:44,360
gonna be the usual gang Yanni, Teddy, Marco and Dan

968
00:48:44,400 --> 00:48:46,599
and I are gonna do our pick five super contest

969
00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:48,599
best bets. So make sure joy us. We're gonna get us,

970
00:48:48,639 --> 00:48:51,679
get you ready for everything football and all plays can

971
00:48:51,679 --> 00:48:54,800
be found at w T dot buzz slash a l.

972
00:48:54,840 --> 00:48:58,000
We have a huge, huge day and night of bets.

973
00:48:58,360 --> 00:48:58,480
Speaker 4: Uh.

974
00:48:58,519 --> 00:49:00,639
Speaker 1: We got that Thursday night football best Bet. I'm attaching

975
00:49:00,760 --> 00:49:03,920
NBA to that one just because I'm feeling feeling Santa

976
00:49:03,960 --> 00:49:07,119
Clausa tonight. So let's cash big. We're having a great,

977
00:49:07,239 --> 00:49:08,119
great December.

978
00:49:11,239 --> 00:49:13,719
Speaker 2: It's like it's like a it's like a picture signal.

979
00:49:13,760 --> 00:49:14,039
Speaker 5: Andy.

980
00:49:14,119 --> 00:49:20,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's no, no, no, fastball, fastball.

981
00:49:22,320 --> 00:49:24,480
Speaker 1: All right, thank you very much, guys, Let's have a

982
00:49:24,519 --> 00:49:27,360
big day. Hit the like button. Please don't forget to

983
00:49:27,360 --> 00:49:29,599
subscribe to the channel or over a quarter million people,

984
00:49:29,639 --> 00:49:31,599
So if you haven't subscribed and hit that bell. You

985
00:49:31,599 --> 00:49:33,960
get notified when all these shows go live and all

986
00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:36,800
of our breakdown videos go up. So thank you very much. Guys.

987
00:49:36,840 --> 00:49:39,519
We'll see you again on Football Friday. Luck on your bets.

988
00:49:39,559 --> 00:49:40,719
We'll see you tomorrow. Take care,