Speaker 1: Today the golden standard of sports betting shows, where we
talk the talk and walk the walk. It is Monday.
We had a lot to get to. We got some NBA,
we got college basketball. We got to go over what's
been a truly horrific start to twenty twenty six for UFC.
I gotta pick Johnny's brain about this one, because I
got thoughts and we got a lot to get to.
Speaker 2: Sara so Dan, great weekend in lacrosse.
Speaker 1: My gosh, congratulations to you the lacrosse department. The profits
have been incredible and we hit our let It Ride.
Speaker 3: We are now yes, yes, So.
Speaker 4: As we told you on Friday, we put the playoff
for seven dollars and that was the entry into our
let It Ride. And then Andy told folks as well,
if we win this one, probably this boxing play we
have for Sunday will be our second. So we cashed
them both, so the let It Ride continues. We're not
pushing our luck. We'll let you know when the next
bet will be there. But yeah, I was happy man.
That Champ series that I told you, you know each
year it's one of our most profitable events that we have.
So I was knocking on wood crossed in my fingers
and we just cap it really well. So we initially
lost the first play we put on Champ Series Andy,
and it was one that we gave out here and
it was you know, it was a prompt, you know.
And then we got back to what we do best,
and that was sides. And then we win five straight.
So we end up five and one in our Champs
Series play. We're more than happy with that. We're gonna continue.
But folks, what do we have on the show today?
That's what you want to know. Yanni the Greek is
gonna kick us off. He hit us with like a
riddle before we came on air. He said, we have
a lot to get to, but not a lot to
get to, if you know what I mean. He said
that y'all understand in a few minutes, so Yanni will
decipher exactly what that means for us. Bill Krackenberger is here.
He's got an NBA prop for you. And we're also
gonna talk a little bit about conference towenty tips. Marco
gave us a great one on Yes, we're gonna be
using our brain with crack Man. You know that. But
Marco gave us a rate tip guys, if you missed
it on Friday Show, he was talking about, you know
these this this new court that's happening in one of
these tournaments. How do you handicap that? And uh, you're
cashing some easy first quarter and first half unders. Uh
throughout the weekend, and then Steve Merrill he's gonna break
things down for you the West Coast Conference semifinals. Gonzaga
is a huge favorite and Saint Mary's is a modest favorite.
We'll talk about those two games for you, and then
we'll talk Nuggets under an NBA So all kinds of
preplays come in your way and you'll take you all
around the world. So Monday morning, Andy, time change ain't
holding us back. Let's get into it.
Speaker 2: Brother, I can't stand the time change.
Speaker 5: The dumbest it's the dumbest shit in the world.
Speaker 4: It's yeah, yeah.
Speaker 1: All right, this is this is It's just it's it's dumb.
Speaker 4: We're all screwed up. But guess what we're gonna be here.
We're gonna cash tickets, is what we do.
Speaker 2: Andy.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's just like, yeah, let's just add an hour
or lose an hour depending on what on what state
you live in.
Speaker 2: Why not.
Speaker 1: Let's bring in Yanni and let's see what a a
lot today?
Speaker 2: A lot to get to Yanni. Let's get to start
it on a Monday.
Speaker 1: Uh, let's go over the steam sheet and then I
gotta we gotta talk to UFC.
Speaker 2: A year. So let's start with steam sheet.
Speaker 4: How are you serving so much to get to?
Speaker 6: So much to get to Good morning dan Andy and
all the viewers out there. My man block shout out
comments throughout for some reason today so I can kind
of see them, so usually they're not with that said
real fast, I want to apologize to my long term
subscribers that partner up with me for twenty twenty six.
I wasn't able to do the steam room on Saturday.
Speaker 7: I was so sick.
Speaker 6: I just got food poisoning late Friday night, and for
two days I was just curled up like a ball
in bed. And I was not going to risk all
our work so far when I'm not at my optimum.
So forgive me for the last two days that I
wasn't firing a ton of play. But if I'm not optimum,
I'm not going to put your money at risk.
Speaker 7: And here's where we stand right now.
Speaker 6: I need to go over this so far in twenty
twenty six, we're up ninety units, hitting fifty five percent,
so a literal about five hundred bets. We're asking about
seven bets per day. I know that's how volume from
Sun guys, but for me, that's low volume. And here's
what it's produced. We've only had to hit fifty five
percent to go up ninety units. That's sustainable, and that's
a five percent ROI. That's sustainable. What isn't sustainable is
if we were up ninety units and I was seventy percent,
that's not sustainable. But at fifty five percent, like I
can do that all day. That's that's what I try
to focus on. Like I look at where I'm doing
in college basketball right now, obviously sitting at number one,
like a close to one hundred units, but I'm only
fifty five point three percent, only a six percent ROI, Like,
I'm not defining probability. We're not getting lucky, We're not
like we're we're expecting to regress towards the me. That's
the key for my subscribers or anyone looking the jump
on board.
Speaker 7: Is his results.
Speaker 6: Sustainable and fifty five percent is easily sustainable. Now, what
I was talking about the riddle is there's a lot
to get to, but not a lot to cover.
Speaker 7: And what I mean is over these next few weeks,
there is so much opportunity.
Speaker 6: We have the conference tournaments and then that Beauty the
Big Dance coming up, and there are a lot of
teams on there that betters just haven't been following all
season long.
Speaker 7: So they're going to look at records.
Speaker 6: They're going to look at the most simple data to
try to draw conclusions, and that's where we're able to
make all our money. Like if you're betting college basketball
over the next couple of weeks, you're going to want
to know what our power ratings reflect and what we're doing,
because the results speak for themselves. And a perfect example
is this. I peaked up Andy at the AP and
I said, let me jump on Monday and explain the
differences in why this market offers so much value even
when you think it's twenty twenty six and it should
be so efficient. Here's the perfect example. Miami, Ohio right
now is ranked nineteenth in the AP and twentieth in
the Coach's Poll. So you say the AP they're writers.
Maybe they don't know as much. But the coaches they
know every team, that's what they do. And they have
Miami Ohio as the twentieth best team in the country.
And I can tell you this, based on my power ratings,
I would make one hundred and seven college basketball teams
favored over Miami Ohio on a neutral field. Let me
repeat that, the nineteenth team in the country according to
the AP Poll, would be an underdog to one hundred
and seven college basketball teams based on my power ratings.
In fact, against Duke number one Duke, they would be
a twenty three point dog. Against ten and twenty one Utah,
they would be a three point dog against thirteen and
eighteen Rutgers, They'd be a three and a half point dog.
And oh, last, but not least, thirteen and eighteen Northwestern.
Thirteen and eighteen Northwestern would be about a touchdown favorite.
Speaker 7: Yeah, seven points.
Speaker 6: I know it's not football, but they'd be a touchdown
favorite over that Miami Ohio team that's sitting at what
thirty one and oh or whatever they are. That's where
the value lies in college basketball. That undervalued, overvalued, and
nothing's bigger than that.
Speaker 7: And this is a long about way to get to
the steam sheet and the riddle.
Speaker 6: And here's what I mean. I wait, I power rate
every single game. It's easy, and then I wait for
plays to come in. If we line up, we fire
and the results speak for themselves. But here's what I
got so far today. I got eight forty nine, Santa
clair A plus five and a half and plus five.
I like Santa Clair A plus five and five and
a half. In fact, gun to my head, that's the
bed I placed. Unfortunately, my power ratings make this about
a six point game, so it doesn't line up. I
can't use Santa Clara. I feel like I was gambling.
I'm not getting the best of it.
Speaker 7: We also went over one forty two and a half
New Orleans.
Speaker 6: Texas Corpus Christy Mike power rating made it one forty four.
I know when we hit over one forty two and
a half, it's going to be at least one forty
three one forty three and a half, So I can't
bet on that and release the subscribers and field still
plus ev that's the problem. That's not actually a good
problem to have. Over the next couple of weeks. That yes,
we'll have opinions on everything and I'll have even some
strong opinions. But unless everything lines up, and the matchup,
the power rating all lines up, I just don't have
anything the fire and there's no steam sheet out yet
because I don't have a premium play.
Speaker 7: And again, the businesses sell.
Speaker 6: If you don't have something to sell, you can't sell,
so it's kind of counterproductive. But I promised years ago
that I have one goal and that's the turn of
a year after year, and if our goal is align,
I'm not going to disappoint you. So partners for twenty
twenty six, you should be happy. I just don't see gold.
But I don't want you to go away empty handed.
So I'm gonna give you three soccer bets. Two of
them I just released today, one was the other day
the other day. One I don't know if this line's
still available. That's why I'm bringing it saying, you know
we bet players earlier. It's in Ireland Premier Division Shamrock
Verus Shelbourne. We went over two good to minus one
forty and then today this morning. And I know they
were in the system when I released them, because I
released them, I swear on my mother, and then I
bet them and we bet this is England League One.
We went Lincoln City and Exeter City under two and
a half minus one thirty five one forty one forty
five and one fifty, so that's under two and a
half Lincoln City, Exeter City and then also England Premiere
Leyton Orient versus stephen Age, Linton Orient steven He under
two we went plus one ten plus one oh five
even money minus one oh five minus one ten, so
Lanton Orient under two, Lincoln City under two and a half.
Speaker 7: Those are premium plays.
Speaker 6: I forgot to click the free pick to add is
a free plick pick I usually do, but I forgot
that otherwise, like I said, those are two moves and
one that just came across the screen while I was
talking was the under one forty eight and a half
in Detroit Mercy and Robert Morris and the under one
forty five and a half in Oregon State and Gonzaga,
and if you have odds logic, no surprise they popped
up on their screen as well. So yeah, that's why
I was saying, there's a lot to get to, but
not a lot to share because I just don't have confirmations.
Speaker 7: But I could give you my power.
Speaker 6: Rating for any game you want, any matchup, you want,
whatever you want to cover.
Speaker 7: I got it.
Speaker 6: I just don't have steam to share any more in
college basketball or NBA. But again, it's early. It's nine
am Eastern out here in Vegas, and as the day
goes on, I should be able.
Speaker 7: To put something together. But we're not forcing nothing.
Speaker 1: Let's talk to UFC. It's been a disaster. It's been
a disaster. It's been my worst sport by far. I
can't remember a worst year.
Speaker 7: Then get it out. Get it out, because I have
something to do. To tell me what's going on.
Speaker 1: Well, so you lost to play with a guy getting
punched in the balls twice. I lost a play where
a guy was outstriking his opponent twenty eight to two.
Speaker 2: Everyone got killed.
Speaker 1: On Max Holloway, OLIVERA just dog walks him. I don't
know what is I have somebody that is in with
UFC and they were saying, like everybody, the fighter's rhythms
are our way off. Like Max Holloway said, I had
to do four face offs against Oliver Era, like what
happened to weigh ins and then your face off and
then they're done. They're having to do all this promo stuff.
It just feels like everything is out of whack. And
I don't know very many.
Speaker 2: People that are up in MMA right now. So what's
your take on UFC right now?
Speaker 6: Well said I, Actually I think it was a UFC first.
If you could ever lose a bet every possible way,
I think I've done. So I've always said that that
I don't get emotional because I've won and lost every
possible way, so it's hard to like get up or
get two down. But on Saturday I lost the new
way where a fighter was deducted two points in.
Speaker 7: The very same round.
Speaker 6: I mean, what I don't understand still is didn't long
win all three rounds? Like, wasn't it thirty twenty seven?
So if you take two points off, isn't it twenty
eight twenty seven?
Speaker 7: So I don't know.
Speaker 6: Somewhere in there my math is wrong, maybe with the
rounds or somehow, but it just shows you this is
the perfect example of you could place the perfect bet
where you know before the game even starts that you
have the edge.
Speaker 7: Kind of like blankjack with your card counter.
Speaker 6: If you've taken my course, then you already know before
the hand is dealt you know exactly what the edge is,
whether the house has it, whether you have it, and
exactly what percentage edge that is, so you could bet accordingly. Well,
with sports betting, that's hard to determine except with some factors.
Speaker 7: One of those factors is closing line value.
Speaker 6: If you lay minus one and a half and the
game goes off at minus three, you have a plus
ev bet. You got the best of it, you got
out ahead of the market. You're now a mathematical certainty
to turn a profit long term if you could continue
doing that.
Speaker 7: I know I sound like a broken record.
Speaker 6: I repeat these things over and over again, but at
the end of the day, that's the simple essence of
sports betting and whether you're profitable or not.
Speaker 7: But going off on my train of thought, now, the problem.
Speaker 6: Is that randomness is going to occur in when you're betting,
and with the UFC right now, Like, yes, for me,
with long you could do everything right. I laid minus
one thirty. I made it a five percent because I
was so confident based on my own implied win probability,
that he should be a minus two hundred favorite.
Speaker 7: Well, the market started rewarding me for that.
Speaker 6: He went up to minus one sixty up to minus
one seventy up to minus one seventy five. Polymarket had
him even higher at some point, So I thought, I
did my job, that's the job.
Speaker 7: But he went out there, he did his job as well.
Speaker 6: He outstruck Guarbrandt by double significant strikes. He just owned
him the whole fight. But the ref changed the outcome
for me. There's nothing you could do. That's that random
occurrence that as a professional you gotta bounce back and
overcome quickly because it's gonna happen. And what you're suffering
from right now is short term randomness based on the
market trying to figure itself out. Because the change to paramount,
everybody thought it's going to be seamless, and it kind
of is. We still get a card every Saturday. It's
still the same fighters, same matchup, same objective, but the
structure's different. See, I've been in the UFC machine now
for seven years. I see how it works behind the scenes,
and I don't think a lot of viewers understand the
complexity and the amount of people that it takes to
put on a UFC show. Just the show that I do,
UFC on the Line, which is a thirty minute show
once or twice a month at the very most on
their streaming network, and we probably have fifteen people on
staff for that one show that are staff that that's
their job UFC on the line. So you can just
imagine the amount of people on a production of a
numbered event or a fight night card. So all that
stuff's happening right now, and it's changed for the fighters
to andy and management and trainers in everyone. So don't
let this sway you to stick to your process. Don't
let it change your process, because the market will correct
itself and get back to.
Speaker 2: What it's supposed to be doing.
Speaker 6: Don't like if your process has been profitable in less
over the next statistical significant sample size, it's not.
Speaker 7: I wouldn't change it.
Speaker 6: I run into that all the time I do with
my power ratings, where for two weeks I'm like, dude,
it's like we're on the wrong side of every one
of these. But then I zoom out a little bit
and it starts to make sense. And I think when
you zoom out a little bit and you look at
your long term results, your process is going to make
sense and you need to overlook the short term results.
Just shut it out and do what you do. Bro,
Just do what you do and the rest is going
to fall into place. Don't change what you do because
it's gotten you to this point being profitable. Don't let randomness,
short term variance affect your process.
Speaker 7: That's the key.
Speaker 1: Do we ever get the story what happened with the
Michael Johnson Drew Dover line, because I will tell you
I salvaged every penny I lost on preflop bets. I
have a rule whenever there's a line move over, a
dollar after that is an auto max max max.
Speaker 7: Good for you for not being a favorite fire. I
talk about that with the draft all the time.
Speaker 6: Bro. I'll lay minus twelve hundred if I know it's
already an official, like, who cares?
Speaker 4: Big deal.
Speaker 6: I got to walk up and put, you know, twenty
six hundred dollars to win two hundred dollars.
Speaker 7: But I made about eight percent return on my investment.
Nine percent return of my investment in a couple hours.
Speaker 4: Are you kidding me?
Speaker 6: If my stockbroker did that, I'd let him babysit my kids,
even though I don't have kids.
Speaker 7: But I trust them that much.
Speaker 6: So yeah, yeah, said, And here's what happened with the
Dover fight. At least this is what I heard. Rumors
speculating that Michael Johnson was going to throw in the
towel and the reason was that his kid was kidnapped
and some Kansas City, Missouri gangsters have him in some basement.
And if he doesn't lose in the second round, did
his kid heard this? I him old Michael Johnson gets
knocked out in the very second round. The problem with
that is, I believe now the confirmation WI has been
the tweet came out after the finish. I don't know.
I haven't researched it because I'm not on Twitter. I
haven't been able to get my account back, and I'm
considering just opening a little one just because I get
a lot of news from there. But yeah, that's what
I heard that. It was a lot of rumor speculation
driving that line. And the crazier part is the sharp
betters were on the Michael Johnson side earlier in the
week because the public was betting Dover. But the only
reason Dover hadn't gone the favorite was because every time
he did. If you hit the odds logic, you'll notice
every time Dober went the favorite, they would take Johnson
as dog. That's why he was like minus one twenty
one to twenty five throughout the fight week because prior
to that they were betting him. So yeah, it's just
one of those crazy, crazy night of fights, and again
it's gonna happen. Fortunately, Unfortunately, if you bet every day
long term, you're gonna have a ton of bad beats
and a lot of lucky wins. It's what you do
with those results in the middle that aren't affected by
by that that's ultimately going to decide success or failure,
because those are going to balance out. I promise you
the bad beats and the lucky wins do balance out.
Speaker 7: They don't feel like they do, they never do, but
they do.
Speaker 2: All Right, Yannie, it's Monday. What do you have about
for everyone?
Speaker 6: Yes, sir, right now, all I have is long term partnership,
and that's what you should be looking for anyway you
want to get with me for the March madness. You
already know the results, don't need to teut them. And
more importantly, I told you what I was looking for
in twenty twenty six. If our goals are aligned, you
will not be disappointed. That's the cheapest way to go
about it, and you get the highest ROI weekly steam room.
You get the blackjack course as well. Check out later
today if I'm confirming the steamshet will be up because
I want to share as much info as possible. If
I can put up premiums, we'll do that as well. Otherwise,
on to the next day, the next day, the next day,
because we got a ton of betting opportunities between now
and when they cut down the net first week of April.
Speaker 1: All right, Janni the Greek, thank you very much. Glad
you're feeling bad. Appreciate you doing on Mondays as always.
Uh yeah, Dan, I don't. You're not a huge UFC guy,
but yeah, after weigh ins whenever you seem well, whenever
you I was talking to my UFC guys and it
was like that was the only play that needed to
be made this weekend. You have a guy that's that's
even money and then he closes at minus two eighteen
Like kind of.
Speaker 4: Tells a story, doesn't it. Yeah, obviously nothing's sort but yeah,
when it when it's something that that's stark, that's that's
that's pretty wild there, man. And I don't I don't
envy you guys, Like I said, like I I watch
you know, I like following with our team and what
we do. But yeah, when when fighters are so much
like kickers or you know, even like football players, where
it's so much your routine, you do X, you do Y,
you do Z. With this whole paramount thing, man, it's
it's chained just how these fighters prepare in their weeks
for weeks, and it really is you have to go
back to the drawing board things that have worked for
you know, five almost ten years of handicapping you know
UFC specifically, it's it's a new beast, you know, And
that's why. That's why Andy, it's not like when you
talk about you know, PFL and things like that that
you guys were still capping that hasn't dropping off a
cliff or anything.
Speaker 5: It's just this UFC is a new beast with this
paramount partnership.
Speaker 4: And it's not only how you get it, it's how
these fighters prepare and the the you know, the things
that they have to do. So you know, I don't
envue you guys will figure it out and you know,
be able to nail down how it works. But yeah,
that's that's tough in the interim to be trying to
navigate while also trying to keep clients happy.
Speaker 1: Man, Yeah, I get I wish I wish Yanni was
still on here because I kind of disagree with when
he was. You know, the variance, you know, it'll it'll
work itself out. I think a wrench has been thrown
into the UFC cog. I don't know if I don't
know if we're coming back like this whole this new
paramount thing and the whole new UFC diving into boxing
and thrown. It's a brand new world. And so when
you you know when you have when you have something
that changes a lot. I mean there are things I
can't bet anymore. I used to be able to bet
a lot of out NASCAR. NASCAR plays at twenty to one,
thirty to one. Those days are gone.
Speaker 2: Everyone's plus six fifty or plus seven hundred.
Speaker 1: So yeah, like things change, the industry changes, and I
feel like we're in a pretty big change with UFC.
I know, I know how we're going to attack it
moving forward. We're going to be looking at the main card,
then we're going to be looking at overs. That was
that was Jim's best call was the Kyle Burrell over
here to rid or fight to go over, and the
narrative is these guys don't want to get finished the
main event, the main event, the BMF as in like
the baddest mother effort goes the distance.
Speaker 2: Yeah, when I finished.
Speaker 4: If that doesn't, if that doesn't tell you where they're at,
that that tells the story, Andy, real quick. You know
Yanni mentioned hopping on board from March Madness. Obviously we're
gonna have Steve come on. He'll give you some conference
tournaments plays. We're gonna get some conference tournament thoughts from
Bill Krackenberger coming up here. But something popular that we've
done years ago they're bringing it back is, you know,
by now and then up until you get it free.
This is action through March Madness, and the sooner you
sign up, your access is immediate. So you know you
want Steve, you want Bill, you want Yanni, and you
want you know, a mix between a long term package
and a short term package. By now one forty nine,
it's at everyone's page and get all of that access
through the National Championship and that includes Conference twenty play
right now. Andy, So we'd be remiss if we didn't
mention that with Yanni saying how much action he's gonna
have in the next few days. And I assume when
we talk with Bill it's it's similar for him, and
you know, his his team with what's coming up here
in college basketball one forty nine and no brainer and
what you buy now and boom your your access is
there through the end of March.
Speaker 5: Mad this so hop in now, you.
Speaker 1: Know, well, let's bring in Bill, Let's see what he's
got to Let's see what he's got kracking.
Speaker 8: Oh but once up Bill, Hey, guys, you'll have to
explain that to me. I'm sorry, I know we're live
on air. So for one hundred and forty nine dollars,
tell me, do they get they get uh picks started.
Let's say they signed up today, Do they get my
picks today? Also on tomorrow, like up until the National Championship?
Speaker 9: Is that basically yeah?
Speaker 5: So here's here's how it works.
Speaker 4: And at least my understanding is rest of college basketball
regular season, which would obviously include conference tournaments right now,
NZAA tournament through the National Championship. So any plays in
n T if it's in college hoops, Bill, they buy
today all access one forty nine through March Madness.
Speaker 5: It's it's a bit absurd, a bit absurd.
Speaker 9: Yeah, that's uh yeah, still's.
Speaker 4: Bill's like out, what's Johnny's phone number?
Speaker 9: Again?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 8: No, I just yeah, I I I'm like almost thinking
to myself, Wow, that's unbelievable. I've sold for years on
the own site, which which we're now closing, uh, because
everything's gonna under the wageer talk brands, and I just
didn't know one hundred and forty nine dollars worth that
gets that gets you basically until the championship, but you
know also all the way through the champions difference these
conference championship games and uh and stuff like that. So
good looking forward to a bill, a big week here myself,
and and of course into the into March Madness and
the Sunday selection. Anyone that does go with me, I'm
gonna tell you right now, make sure you have your
notifications on yeah, because we move, they not they're not
going to be giant moves. These are listen when they
put up these lines here in Vegas. I've been to
these selection shows where the sportsbook South Point put them
up a couple of years first before anybody live it
or up, and they had like Derek Stevens was able
to bet a force bet of ten thousand on each game.
There's also been other sports books that have done some
things similar, usually Chris Offshore, Cris colos O begin International Sports.
They'll put the line up and the other sports books
will copy that line. In recent years, though it's a battle.
Sometimes Westgate has the lines up. Sometimes a Fandel and
DraftKings put the lines up first. Of course, you know
that DraftKings. You really can't really, I can't really bet
a lot there, but they do have at least the
they do have the least of the stones to put
the lines up first, so they have confidence in their
book makers. So it's interesting to know it's gonna happen
this year on Selection Sunday. But no matter what, when
it's a market that's betable, Now, what that means is
for our customers and our clients, for people that could
bet DraftKings, Fandel and the other sports book, I'll wait
until it's like, you know, five or six sports books.
This way they can get abtainable line for sure. I
know I'm not gonna be able to get that first
line out to people because it's only available at one
sportsbook or two, But that's okay. There'll be plenty of plays,
trust me. One thing we're going to have now is
plenty of volumes. So you want to literally take your
bankroll management skills, everything you've done in your past, and
you want to use them here because you want to
make sure you're spread out enough where you're.
Speaker 9: Able to have action on everything you know.
Speaker 8: And literally what I mean is you don't want to
be firing on in game wagering. And you know, if
people get caught up in the hubbub of March madness
those first four days Thursday, Friday, Saturday Sunday next week,
they go so crazy, man. They they lose their money
on something that's double or triple the juice, their closet gambling,
firing on their apps. This in progress wagering could be
the death of America and sports betting for people, because
you know, they're just trying to get out and trying
to get even and they think they know something by
seeing something.
Speaker 9: On the court.
Speaker 8: Now, granted, I'm not saying live wagering can't be beat
by the way, but it's not going to be beat
by you just firing on something because you're watching it
on TV, or you're listening to one of these idiots
on TV, these announcers or prognosticators or whatever you want
to call them, fagazy telling you this and that. You
want to be with winners, You want to be with
proven track records, and you don't want to get caught
up just to degenerate literally dunkey gambling where you're just gambling.
And I understand it because guess why, guys, I've been there.
I was a losing gambler back when I was a kid,
and it took someone to shake me and show me
the right way in life. I'm not doing this now
just to have fun, just to get even, just to
say let me get one let me win one more
bet and I'll go home. Let me just get even
for the night. So anyway, I know what happened though,
because especially here in Vegas, where it's craziness, it gets
it starts to get crazy here next week, as we're
gonna know. And now I'm not just talking about Kelly
and Vegas coming in town either.
Speaker 9: She gets a little crazy. I gotta keep her under control.
Speaker 4: We know that's that's that's true. Bill, You gotta you
gotta keep her in Kelly keep years. Yeah, I can
tell you some stories.
Speaker 8: Uh, but but no, it does get crazy here in town.
But it's a sense of should I I should be
betting more, I should be doing more?
Speaker 5: Like you get that just.
Speaker 8: Feeling it amongst the other people and stuff because you
see them in the sportsbooks. Every single sports book sold out.
Literally Westgate, you could you can't buy a seat for
the last month. You couldn't get a seat at Westgate
for Thursday, Friday, Saturday. Next week they're sold out. Every
seat well circa sold out. Everyone has just sold out.
So there's a lot of a lot. It's it's it's
it's really a tension filled week for gamblers too. They
may not think so, they may even mistake it for
you know, fun than this.
Speaker 9: I'm telling you.
Speaker 4: I know.
Speaker 8: It's a lot of pressure though for people betting wise.
So you just want to keep within yourself and and
keep your gambling to uh you know, bankroll management bankroll.
Speaker 4: So yeah, no, for sure, and you alluded to it
that volume is going to be tantamount, which is why
you know obviously making sure that you are keeping your
bank role management in place. That's important. But Bill My
question is, you know when this volume comes around, is
that because this conference tournament time is something that you
really like, you guys see it really well, and kind
of what's your process into determining you know, hey, this
has to be a play. Even though we already have three, four, five,
six plays on this card, this still needs to be one.
How are you narrowing down and how are you betting
these conference tournaments because it can be a really profitable time,
but if you don't do it right, it could also
bury you.
Speaker 8: Yeah, you want to know what teams are there for
just just to you know, be on the court, to
get this over with, to get that a big dance,
or you're one of the ones that are serious about
the conference tournaments too. So I have done this time
of year in my lifetime, and of course especially that
first round next week where we talk about that next Monday.
So I have done very well. You do you want
to know what teams are playing? Uh, you know, not
just going through the movements and the motions. You want
to know which teams really want to win and uh
don't want to just get to the big dance and
get it over with. But however, we have a good
grasp on that every year. Like I said, around this
time of the year, we have done very well, and
I'll be doing some You know, it's a scary thing
when people, you know, I like to tell them about
first half, end full game, but I hate for them
to bet two units on one game. But there will
be some situations where I'll tell you about full first half,
which I think is a stronger play, especially on underdogs.
That really goes into next week's play during the Big Dance.
But even now though, there may be some situations where
I'm taking some of these dogs in the first half.
But yeah, no, I'll have a plethora I'll play. It's
probably more volume than I've ever had throughout the year.
I'll have this week and next week.
Speaker 4: Yeah, and you can get it all one forty nine.
Just don't tell Bill that that's the price right now,
all the way through March's Madness. Bill, I know it's
full steam ahead on college basketball. But you know, the
folks love your props here on the show. Do you
have anything that you fired off in NBA action or
is it just full steam ahead on college No, I.
Speaker 8: Have an NBA one for an NBA props have been
great I'm really fortunate how good the NBA props have been.
They've been carrying me home. Here, let's see what we
got for today. I want to make sure I give
you guys the right line. I know it's SGA, but
went over to okay, see, okay, good, all right. SGA
Alexander over six and a half minus a dollar thirty five.
Speaker 9: This is his assist by the way, to.
Speaker 8: His assist over He's up against the Nuggets today who
they like to double and trap the primary ball handler
nine and thirteen, and is two earlier matchups versus the
Nuggets this season, So I like this over six and
a half minus one thirty five. It should be a
close game with the playoff atmosphere too, So there's one
for there's one for you guys. SGA over six and
a half minus one thirty five on his assists and
props have been fantastic, so you'll also get them for
that one forty nine, you know.
Speaker 9: So you're gonna get everything I give.
Speaker 8: Out for you know, Like I said, I've sold lots
of these packages for five hundred a month for years
and years, in almost a decade. This is this is
a really good deal.
Speaker 10: So you'll be.
Speaker 4: Then yeah, and then you met our friend Johnny Detroit
and then you said, okay, Johnny, all right, yeah whatever man.
Speaker 9: So I've had some I've.
Speaker 8: Had some wars with these guys instead. You know, I've
never done that, like for the kind of prices. But
they said, you know you'll actually get you'll get a
lot of clients. So that'll that'll you know, you'll get
new clients too.
Speaker 4: Yeah, and it's a chance for people, people who you know,
have to go in at a lower price point. I mean,
no brainer, guys, I mean this March Madness through the
end of it. Any college basketball action from your favorite capper.
So Bill, always a pleasure man. Best of luck, and
don't let Kelly talk you into the second bottle of wine.
One one bottles enough man, good luck, good luck with
March madness, but bigger luck with Hurricane Kelly that's coming
your way.
Speaker 9: Oh I don't. I don't drink anyway, I don't.
Speaker 3: All right, smart man, that's a smart man.
Speaker 8: It's a smart man every single day with a sharp brain.
And uh, you know, I haven't had drink at thirty
years high school. But anyway, Yeah, so guys, I just
want to go over one quick tweet. So I put
up a tweet. A guy, a friend of mine, left
fifty thous he did. My friend David left fifty thousand
on a slot machine by accident. Chips fifty thousand chips
took him out of his pocket, was in a rubber
band and there were five thousand dollars chips. They were
hurting his pocket as he was playing. I can't believe
that he was just complacent that he took this out,
put it at the machine, got up and left those
chips right at the machine.
Speaker 9: But my point is I put a video about this.
Speaker 8: Just make sure in a casino you watch your surroundings
because surveillance does not want to get involved in any disputes.
Speaker 9: They even though.
Speaker 8: There you think you're you're secure and safe in a casino,
trust me, many times casinos do not want to get
involved helping their own customers. The reason why I say
this too. Be careful with the slot vouchers. Listen, I
know people like to go around pick up the vouchers
and pick up you see a voucher for something. I
had a customer right, a guy right into me here
who I'm going back and forth now with im DM
due to that tweet I put up that was arrested
and thrown in jail over a voucher that he picked
up and he played off that voucher, and by him
gambling off that voucher, they actually put him in jail
for the weekend. It was a big voucher. It was
over fifteen hundred dollars, and that's the law here. Over
fifteen hundred it's a felony. So you may think someone
leaves money in a machine, you can cash it out
and go to another machine and start playing it. They
will backtrack and they will First of all, that's you're
being a thief. You can't steal someone else's money. But
people just leave vouchers for a dollar eighty cents and
you're not gonna go to jail for something like that.
But I want people to know that, just so everyone
knows out there, it is illegal to take those vouchers
and cash them in and play off them.
Speaker 9: This guy got put in jail. Just read my tweet.
Speaker 4: Wow, yeah, great, follow and you see it. Blow him
at Bill crack Man, the Man of the people. Bill,
always a pleasure, buddy, Thanks for coming on.
Speaker 9: Then see you guys.
Speaker 5: Thanks, have a good one.
Speaker 4: And yeah, so just to clarify, Andy, we had BP.
I'm guessing this is not our friend Brian Power asking,
but maybe it is. Maybe he wants some clarification. But yeah,
so this this this March Madness Special, Andy, It is
college basketball specific.
Speaker 5: So this is all access college hoops.
Speaker 4: But it does include n i T conference tourneys, any
of the regular season stuff that's still going. So you
lock it in right now. You're getting it through the
end of March Madness. You know, it's not something that
we dabble in, Andy, but you know, this is this
is the time of year. You know, do you does
our team do any team totals anything like that? In
college basketball?
Speaker 2: No, it's one sport. We don't dip our toes.
Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, we have enough.
Speaker 1: I mean we have we have we have a four
percent tennis doubles play that's up right now.
Speaker 2: It is true.
Speaker 1: So we we have lacrosse. We've had boxing at eleven
o'clock last night.
Speaker 4: That we So we'll leave the college basketball to Bill
and Steve. And yeah, if that's what you're looking for,
trust me, there's plenty of folks to get it for you.
Speaker 1: Man, We're I mean I'll let everybody know we're adding
another sport to our arsenal.
Speaker 2: You probably don't. We got coming KBO. We're bringing in
a KBO experts.
Speaker 3: Hell yeah.
Speaker 4: One of my favorite things about KBO Andy is the
fact that the games happen at like five am.
Speaker 5: So if you're like a if you're like an early rider,
it's great.
Speaker 9: Yeah.
Speaker 4: So either you wake up and you roll over and
you're like, oh wait, I got more money in my account.
Oh yeah, the KBO it's kind of like the boxing
match Andy that was in the middle of Sunday night.
I wake up in the morning and I was like,
I let it ride continues. But yeah, this KBO action,
it's great because if you're an early riser coffee and
kb oh. If you're a late riser, you wake up
and you're like, oh yeah, I forgot I won on
the uh the I think who's my s S SG
Landers Yeah hanwhah, I think I think Handwa was Eagles
handwha Eagles? Like if I know the city name and
bring the teams back. Because I did a KBO show
with with with Treg and Tokyo Brandon, So when I
hear the duson Duson Bears maybe be Yeah. Absolutely, they're
all like named after companies Andy.
Speaker 5: They're all just like like a company.
Speaker 4: Yeah, then.
Speaker 1: It's it's it's you know this, it's what we specialize in.
We're we're we're not gonna be high volume in one sport,
but we're just gonna have a lot of sports that
we have a play here and there.
Speaker 4: If your friends ask, oh, wait, you bet that sport,
it means you're probably riding with Andy and his team.
Speaker 1: Yes, what we do absolutely, yeah, Uh, let's you want
to talk real quick about let It Ride?
Speaker 4: Yeah, tell folks about it because we we told them, hey,
this isn't something we're gonna be doing every single day,
but we cash both of our plays. So we're already
heading to step three of the ladder, so to speak.
Speaker 1: In Yeah, so the let It Ride started on Friday.
We said we're gonna try and do that. I believe
this is called the Latter Challenge on social media. So,
but we're doing it a little different. We're not doing
a play every single day. We're just kind of hand
picking some of these plays. We said we're gonna play
our lacrosse play and that hit on Friday and we
said if we won, we would let it ride on
on Sunday with the boxing play.
Speaker 2: So we did. So that's two in a row we.
Speaker 9: Do not have.
Speaker 1: We're not gonna let it ride today. We're gonna wait
just a little bit. But yeah, that's step two. I'm
not gonna aim for ten plays in a row, but
I would love to get to that five or six
in a row.
Speaker 3: So oh yeah, from one hundred bucks, we get up there.
Speaker 10: That's feeling good Man's way.
Speaker 4: It's a don't let social media trick you into thinking
the ladder challenge. Did you ever see the dude who
is on TikTok who he keeps starting over the ladder challenge?
If you go to his TikTok scrolls day one, day
one of the day one of the ladder one, we
couldn't even get past rung number one man every day.
If you fainted him, you're probably on ladder step number seven.
Speaker 3: Tough stuff, man, tough stuff.
Speaker 2: It's not a bad idea.
Speaker 1: Tried these guys who are trying to do the Ladder
Challenge on Twitter and just yeah, eventually be loaded.
Speaker 2: Yeah, so you probably didn't even see it.
Speaker 3: I put I put a let it ride.
Speaker 2: Video in the in the media asset.
Speaker 4: It's nice.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I was debating whether or not to call
it quits on h on this, on this let it ride,
like on this mission, just say, let's just take two
and put them in our pocket. No, no, you all right,
we'll keep going.
Speaker 2: We'll keep going.
Speaker 4: We at least have to get the ladder step number
three or let it ride step now, Okay, let's not.
Speaker 5: Let's be judicial.
Speaker 1: Yeah nothing today. I love, by the way, I love
our four percent tennis play today. I cannot wait for
this thing to start. Starts in a couple hours. If
you guys want to well, if you if you want
to get the one forty nine, do it now. That
way you can get this tennis play. I believe we're
fifteen to nine on tennis plays. So loving what's going on?
We got a free play coming up? Uh in tennis.
But I believe Steve Merrill has uh has finally entered
the building.
Speaker 3: Steve, Ye, Steve is in the house.
Speaker 10: Baby. Sounds like when if you're fading. The latter challenge
would be like a step stool challenge, right or something.
Speaker 3: You just step up and step down.
Speaker 10: Step stool, the step stool challenges for beginners.
Speaker 1: I I love I love Steve because you guys can't
see what we have in our company slack. But like
whenever Steve is on, it always says like I'm almost
back to my office or I will be back to
my office and I just wonder where are you?
Speaker 10: I got two NBA Best s bets posted had to
run out to a meeting and came back to get
the free playoff right after that. I'm actually gonna give
you the free player in the show, but I will
let you know what in the three games. So you
start to go to my page, so yeah, it's a
you know me, man, I'm Diversification Nation. Stop for Steve
Diversification Nation.
Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly.
Speaker 4: And then he also does the top twenty five videos,
breaks down about forty five games because there's so many
of these freaking top twenty five matchups.
Speaker 5: So Steve, you're doing You're doing a damn good job.
And the YouTube page thanks you, and the clients do
as well.
Speaker 4: Brother, We're happy to have you here on the Monday.
Speaker 10: Well, I thank you Dan, because people don't realize Dan
does a lot of the pretty much all the graphics
for those videos gets them up as well, and last
couple of weeks did not do him any favors getting
it to him. Basically after midnight Friday. We learn, and
we earn and we win together.
Speaker 4: One of my favorite parts about that I get to
edit your videos is I get to watch the entire videos.
Speaker 10: You know what I mean? We need to come up
with a graphic for the learn to earn though we
might have to time. Stam, I'm on you.
Speaker 4: Actually, Andy has been making some fire graphics, so maybe
we'll get our AI assistant on it because we've been
doing well, Steve.
Speaker 10: But stance for Andy and AI stands for Andy.
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, exactly Andy information Indeed, Steve, you want to
start this college basketball double gamer? You want to do
NB Yeah, he will let you pick since since you're
joining us.
Speaker 10: Here, I was going to do college Church. Well, let's
knock the NBA out and then I'll do it. Let's
do it. That sounds good.
Speaker 4: It's what do we got? Nuggets thunder here and I'll
turn it over for you. Interesting handicap here. You heard
the player prop from our man Bill Krackenberger. He's like
an SGA tonight. What do you think? In Denver and
OKCOKC around this six point favorite Steve.
Speaker 10: Only about a month away, only about a month away
from the NBA playoffs. I'm excited about that five to
six weeks away because we get a little more certainty
on who's playing who's not. Because once again, you look
at the injury report for this spotlight national TV game.
By the way, this is a Peacock game. It's on
NBC Sports Net as well, and it's a great matchup
to the best teams of the league, two world champs
over the last few seasons. But the injury report once
again makes a little bit unquestionable questionable questionable because Jamal
Murray is questionable tonight left ankle spring chet Holgrim is
questionable as well with the flu for OKC, So we'll
see what happens in that. I mean, I just kind
of assume neither one is going to be at full
strength even if they play. But what does jump out
to me about this matchup is a couple of things.
First of all, these two teams have played twice over
the past five weeks, and okay CE has beaten Denver
both times. Back on February first at Denver as a
six and a half point favorite. Same line here they
won by ten, and then they got the rematch in
overtime at the end of February, and the twenty seventh
at home, once again six and a half point favorite,
they won by six, but it was overtime, so they
didn't really deserve to cover. And what's interesting about that
game it started the first of five straight wins here
and it also started the first of five straight non cover.
So Okay seas in a very strange situation tonight, in
which they've won five straight games as a favorite, but
they haven't covered any of them, and they've been a
single digit favorite in three of those five games, including
that non cover overtime win against Denver about a week
and a half ago. With that said, I still think
Oklahoma City is the better team. And if SGA does
go off to night you and I agree, you probably will.
I'd rather have the thunder. I don't like taking teams
to cover when I don't think they're gonna win, and
I don't see the Nuggets winning this one outright, So
don't let the line scare you. If you're gonna play it,
I would lay it with Oklahoma City. That's currently my
six are some six and a halves out there by
the way to open his high seven and a half.
So we are getting a little bit of line value
now at six or less with the OKC Thunder and
that one again is that seven to forty Eastern on
Peacock in NBC Sports Net, National TV.
Speaker 4: NBA action from our man Steve Merrill.
Speaker 5: It's a beautiful thing.
Speaker 2: Andy, Who do you like in NBA right now? Steve?
Speaker 1: About a month out from the playoffs, So the Detroit's
kind of faltering a little bit. They don't quite have
that scoring option. Who were you looking at outside of
the Thunder? Obviously they're going to be the favorites.
Speaker 10: Yeah, I was just gonna say, Andy, I mean, I
think it's Thunder and then everybody else is playing for second.
You look at last year, I mean the Pacers, as
you remember, you know, snuck in there as one of
the lower seeds and gave them a game. Though the
Pistons could be that team this year out of the East.
If you look at you know, overall net rating for
the season, I believe Boston is actually the second best
net rated team this year, which might surprise a lot
of people. They're ahead of the Spurs and the Pistons. Nick,
I still think if you look at the experience, yes,
the Celtics habit, but I think the Knicks have it
as well. So you really got Detroit as the unexperienced
team that's playing well. With the Celtics and Knicks is
kind of the known quantity. So I think it'll probably
be either Boston or New York out of the East
and in the seven game series, yes they have a chance,
but unlike March Madness and college hoops, the one in
dun scenario really allows itself to see more upsets. It's
hard to beat a good team in seven games. Pacers
gave it a run last year, came up short. Okay
See is just so good defensively. If you look at
the defensive efficiency ratings, they're just night and day ahead
of everybody else. Basically, you got Detroit and San Antonio
and Boston in the top five, Knicks or sixth, thunder
or first. So once again, you know, if you really
think defense wins, championship is going to probably be one
of those teams. He realized I didn't mention the Nuggets.
The Nuggets actually are the number one rated offensive efficiency
team this year. If you look at okay See they're
only like eighth. Boston is actually second, New York is third.
So there again, I keep going back to Boston and
New York out of the East. I think the experience
factor in the balance will be one of those two
teams and then most likely they'll face okay, see San
Antonio and Detroit Dangerous Squad. I just don't feel like
the experience is there quite to win three or four
straight seven game series.
Speaker 4: Steve Merril, w T dot buzz backslash sm Sorry there, Andy,
I was looking at all of these UH and NFL
free agencies. It keeps popping up on my phone. I'm like, ESPN,
don't you know Steve's giving out some gold here in NBA?
But yeah, all is Kenneth Walker movement.
Speaker 10: Yeah, would be looking at that stuff. In the second.
Speaker 4: It's coming at me fast and furious. I'm like, I'm
trying to pay attention to Steve here. So it has
been muted since Steve, So.
Speaker 10: Now fine, it's fine. Someone's got to follow NFL stuff,
because I know I sure as hell not following any NFL.
Maybe Teddy probably is, but maybe you here.
Speaker 4: Malik willis to the Dolphins. So yeah, well, Andy and
I will address some of these moves. Rate them on
a scale of one to ten on whether it's helping
them or whether Yeah, Congress, But Steve, the phone has
been silent, undivided attention for the West Coast Conference. It's
Gonzaga taking on Oregon State. That number is huge. I
don't envy you cap in this one, but I'm wondering
if you see value on either side there. And then
we'll talk Santa Clara and Saint Mary's California. Some folks
in the chat saying, hey, Santa Clara could be a
barking dog. We'll see what Steve thinks. But kick it
off here Oregon State and Zaga. Steve, I turned the
mic over to you for these games. West Coast Conference
Tournament resumes for some teams, starts for other teams. Here
they've got the extra by round scenario. So Gonzaga and
Saint Mary's both coming off the bye whereas their opponents
played yesterday, and these by the ways in the Orleans
Arena in Las Vegas neutral court, and it looks weird
to see Oregon State playing Gonzagon the West Coast Conference
tournament strained still for me to say that, and Oregon
State's lucky to be here. They barely got by San
Francisco seventy eight to seventy seven yesterday on Sunday, did
not play an excellent game of but they did hit
eleven threes. They also gave up eleven threes in that game,
whereas Gonzaga has rested since their loss against Saint Mary's
last Saturday. And if you remember in my Top twenty
five video a week ago, I said I thought Saint
Mary's was live in that game because they played slow
down half court basketball. Was also the final home game.
It was a revenge spot.
Speaker 10: Really set up well for Saint Mary's, so I'm not
going to dock Gonzaga too much. They were sixteen to
one in the conference before that, and they did play
Oregon State on the road back on February seventh, beat
them by twenty eighty one to sixty one, so they
should be able to take care of business. However, the
question becomes winning and winning by more than the big
points spread are two different things here, and currently this
line is hefty. We saw the initial opener around eighteen
and a half and it's been bet up now to
nineteen even nineteen and a half in a lot of spots.
We've also seen some early money coming on the under
open one forty five and a half. It's now down
to one forty four. As far as the matchup in
this game, Oregon State does prefer a half court style
of basketball. We saw Saint Mary's give Gonzaga some trouble
with that. Problem is when you get behind, it's very
tough to keep playing that way, and when you don't
start playing your style, the wheels sometimes come off. Gonzaga
also plays fast. Zags do give up a lot of
three point shots. Oregon State takes a lot of threes
and as I said, they hit eleven of them last
night in that narrow win. Also, Oregon State gets to
the free throw line a little more off in the
Gonzaga not a game that I love here, but I
would actually lean towards Oregon State plus the nineteen nineteen
and a half. I think a better play actually might
be the first half line though, because here again we
got arrested Gonzaga team that maybe comes in a little
bit flat after being off for over a week, whereas
Oregon State did just play last night and with the momentum,
maybe they carry that in early. So instead of taking
them plus nineteen and a half, I think the better
option is probably plus eleven eleven and a half first half,
because once again, if Oregon State gets down in the
second half, as they will, that slow half court style
might not work as well, but they might be able
to keep it close early. So if you're gonna look
at Oregon State, I think the first half plus eleven
and a half is the best way to attack. And
that's your ESPN game tonight at nine eastern, right, Well,
look at the late night game. This is one on
ESPN two the Deuce Saint Clara against Saint Mary's a California.
And everyone thinks of the Gonzaga and Saint Mary's as
the two powerhouse teams in the West Coast each year,
and that is the case. But Santa Clara is a
really good team as well, and they definitely have a
good shot in that large bid this season. And they
entered this game also having played yesterday, and that one
was a win against Pacific by eight points, a game
in which they really controlled. They were up by more
than eight a good amount of that game, So don't
let the close eight point margin fool you. They weren't
taxed in that game. Here again the extreme three point
shooting fifteen to three pointers made yesterday on Sunday they
allowed eight. Now they play at Saint Mary's team, which
I rate is the better squad here. Yes, they came
off that big home win against Gonzaga last week, but
they've been off for over a week now to recover.
And as far as Santa Clair, they also got their
revenge against them. They lost the first ski back in
January by eight at Santa Clara, and then beat them
by nineteen points at home over two wednesdays ago or
last Wednesday before that Gonzaga win. Saint Mary's enters in
excellent current form. They've won eight straight in the conference
and in a pretty low price range here. I like
Saint Mary's minus the four four and a half points
a little bit heftier than I thought it should be.
I thought the prize is gonna come around maybe two
or three. But still, if you're gonna play it, I
would lay it with the Gaels. Here's a tremendous tempo
edge here. We talked about Oregon State playing slow, Gonzaga
played fast. Saint Mary's is the slow team here. Santa
Clair is the fast team. The difference is I think
Saint Mary's is the better team and they will have
the lead and be able to control the tempo in
this game. And also the no rest situation for Santa
Clair is not going to work well. I like Saint
Mary's in this one minus the four four and a half.
And that's your late night game at eleven thirty Eastern
on a ESPN two.
Speaker 2: Oh boy, don't you hate it when the host is met?
Speaker 5: Would help if the microphone wasn't off.
Speaker 10: Yeah, and he's playing it clipped these for videos, man,
I think it's good. I thought you guys were actually
doing it on purpose earlier.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 10: Yeah, so to clip a lot easier.
Speaker 4: If he's playing, he's laying. That's Steve Merrill. If I'm talking,
my mic is muted. So there you go, Steve, you
heard us talking with Bill is what I was going
to ask you about about this deal. That's you know,
hopping now and you're getting conference tournament action, you're getting
regular season action one forty nine through the end of March, Madness.
I'm sure that's something that you're going to be advising
your potential clients to check out over at your page.
Speaker 10: Right, Yeah, I see that it's posted today. Great special.
There it is the Bonanza I was gonna the March
Madness Bonanz. Anybody under fifty does not get that rep.
Speaker 2: Wow, Steve, you really dated yourself yourself.
Speaker 10: I love me TV. I love TV Land. In the afternoons,
is i'm working, I'll have it on and Bananza is
on quite often. It's a great, great theme song. By
the way, me TV has an all cartoon channel now,
at least on Cox Cable here twenty four to seven.
I've been watching a lot of Bugs Bunny, so we
love our Seinfeld quotes in the comments. But come March Madness,
I might have to start asking for some good Bug
Bugs Bunny episodes.
Speaker 3: And them with it.
Speaker 10: Oh man, I tell you it's everyone's worried about society nowadays.
We grew up with that. We turned out fine. I
think the last week I've seen shotguns, anvils, gambling, drinking,
and that's that's the good stuff I can there's some
stuff I can't even say that.
Speaker 5: I get children's programming back.
Speaker 10: Yeah, I turned out fine, at least I think I
turned out fine. But yeah, Bonanza special. I love the
word Bonanza. One March Madness we also have to buy
three days, get three more free, which is a great offer.
Three and oh sweep by the way yesterday in the
NBA on Sunday for me, and I point that out
because I have two NBA best bets. It's gave me
some free information in basketball. But my two strongest places
and I both come in the association. Did not put
them up free anywhere. No videos. You gotta get him
as best bet clients. You'll see one of them posting
on wager Talking.
Speaker 9: Now.
Speaker 10: If you sign up for the for the buy three,
get three or any subscription, you're gonna get both of
them tonight. But you only see one of them. I'll
like heart for twenty five on wager Talk because the
other one is available for seven dollars at Sportsmemo dot com.
What my seven dollars bill? I only have one to
one here, so I got to get another George Washington here,
But yeah, seven dollars and everyone gets excited for five
dollars Tuesday to Mars the best Tuesday of the week,
but seven dollars every day at Sports Memory you get
one play. It's limited, one best bet and one of
my NBA plays tonight is available for seven dollars at
sportsmemo dot com, or get them both for less than
five dollars a day with a direct subscription at wager
talk dot com. And by the way, bonus free college
play is gonna be posted as well Steve merrillwager Talk
dot com and hey, get there quicker WT dot Buzz,
slash sm and don't forget if you're liking the shows
the free play videos thumbs up, like positive comment below,
click subscribe and click the bell as well, so you
won't miss out when every March Madness tournament game is
posted for free here in the channel in the upcoming weeks.
Speaker 4: Love it's Steve.
Speaker 5: Always a pleasure buddy, Best of luck and we'll see.
Speaker 3: You next time.
Speaker 10: Brother.
Speaker 4: Thanks guys, yep, have a go one, Steve Merrill, Andy,
we still got you're all around the world to get to.
We got to remind people that the tennis play is
locked and loaded right now.
Speaker 5: So a few minutes left here on the show man,
let let folks know.
Speaker 1: Yeah, four percent tennis play. That's pretty much the big
thing we got going on today, and that yeah, kind
of We had an insanely amazing Friday, then a horrible Saturday,
golf went good this week. That was nice to get
off the schneid, but we got some work to do.
Speaker 2: Not real happy with the results. We should be. We
should be way way more profitable than we are right now.
So a UFC.
Speaker 1: Honestly, this year, UFC has been has been the downfall.
We're wait, we're doing fine in the other sports, but
it's been UFC that's really really tripped us up.
Speaker 2: But tennis has been very, very good. So happy to
catch this one later this afternoon.
Speaker 1: Let's do some free picks and then we'll go through
Adam Schefter's Twitter and we'll go through all of the
NFL plays.
Speaker 2: There are transactions that we have.
Speaker 1: Blackhawks man Mammoth sim Sam, I believe it's Renzel over
one and a half shots on goal.
Speaker 2: He's gone over in.
Speaker 1: All four games since the Olympic break. He's getting four
shots per game. Last three games he has not missed
any shots. They've either been blocked or they've gotten to
the goal. So Sam Marenzel loved this streak to continue.
Nicks and the Clippers. I like the over two twenty
and a half. The Knicks only scored ninety seven points yesterday.
They were eight of thirty four from threes. They were
in Los Angeles to play the Lakers. It's a back
to back, but they're staying in Los Angeles play the Clippers.
I think they were gressed back on their shooting and
the Clippers they've been in some pretty serious shootouts the
last three games. The totals have been two forty three,
two thirty eight, and two thirty seven. So I looked
at for the over and then Indian Wells a couple
of favorites I like. I saw Harjay said something about
parlaying all of the tennis favorites.
Speaker 3: I don't know if they're all going to win.
Speaker 2: I hope they all do. RJ.
Speaker 1: But two of them that I've got, Pagoula and Spidealina
on the money lines, they're just way better than their opponents.
Speaker 2: You don't need a whole lot of breakdown about.
Speaker 1: Baseline, four hands and velocity on the courts. It's just
a couple of couple of mismatches there. So all right, Dan,
let's go through Adam Schefter's Twitter account and we'll go
through the NFL transactions scale of one to ten, one
absolutely nothing.
Speaker 4: Ten.
Speaker 2: Wow, this makes them the Super Bowl favorites.
Speaker 4: So uh yeah, they've been fast and furious. I pulled
it up so we can play along. You know some
of them, you know, okay, Jets one year deal Jets.
The bigger one, Andy, was the Minka Fitzpatrick who just
got traded for a bag of chips. Seventh rounder is
what he went to the Jets. Sports Any thoughts on Minca,
Uh no, we move on. Yes, well here's one for
my Philadelphia Eagles. That again the story of Jalen Phillips.
He's now going to Carolina. You know, little edge rush
help there. But the bigger story, four year, one hundred
and twenty million, eighty million guarantees.
Speaker 5: He ain't worth that is right.
Speaker 2: That's that's too much. That's too much. I don't like
that signing.
Speaker 4: So that's that's because of value. I'm putting that as
a too. He's a fine enough player, but that's he's
getting paid like he's a top flight pass rusher and
he's simply just not that.
Speaker 10: Andy.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I got it at three.
Speaker 4: All right, what's the here's here's one. All right, So
my team loses a player, your team loses a player.
But how about the Steelers' ability to just get receivers
that are just fine. Michael Pittman three year, fifty nine
million dollars deal, which isn't awful for a wide receiver,
but it's Michael Pittman thoughts for your Indianapolis called big loss,
little loss and for the Steelers major upgrade or just okay,
you got Michael Pittman.
Speaker 2: I give that a five.
Speaker 1: I appreciate that the Steelers are actually trying to go
for offense as opposed to linebackers and defensive linemen so
they can score another sixteen points per game, so trying
to get it. I don't think the DK Metcalf has
worked out, but I don't know if Pittman is the
answer for the price.
Speaker 2: I will I will miss Michael Pittman. But was he
a game changer?
Speaker 9: No?
Speaker 1: And with both teams, it's all about the quarterback and
the Colts. You know, are the Colts gonna roll with
Daniel Jones? What are the Steelers going to do? So,
unless I know what the quarterback situation is, I give
this some four five signing.
Speaker 4: Yeah, and I don't know. I mean, it's it's huge
for the depth and that wide receiver room. It's a
decent loss for the Colts. But It's not a world
Michael Pittman. Wasn't you know taking you to the next level?
Speaker 3: Either way?
Speaker 5: How about the Giants?
Speaker 4: This one, I hadn't seen you got harball there and
he says, gimme likely. The only problem with Isaiah likely
is he is likely on the injury report is usually
where you find him. Andy so reuniting with Harbaugh and
some new digs this Onie moved the needle for you
three year deal.
Speaker 2: I put this at a two. They need I'm with you.
They need to address offensive line, not tight end.
Speaker 1: I don't like this move at all. They see a
lot more, yeah, a lot.
Speaker 4: More than Isaiah likely to say the day. How about
this one? I feel like this is just a scroll
on pass packers. Malik Willis is now going to the
Miami Dolphins, who are Tua liss now as Tua was
released this morning, surprising.
Speaker 2: No one give this a seven.
Speaker 1: They address their quarterback situation moving off of Tua. I
know they have to eat a lot in the cap,
but I plowed them for realizing that you got to
just get off of you got to get off of
a bad situation. I plowed the forty nine ers when
they got rid of Trey Lance at the time that
they did that has worked out well. So when your
quarterback situation isn't working, you gotta swing for the fences
and move on.
Speaker 2: I think this is a pretty good one. I give
this a seven.
Speaker 4: So Malik Willis, in your opinion, he'll be the day
day one starter for the Dolphins unquestioned.
Speaker 1: Yes, you don't go get a free agent quarterback and
then draft somebody else, you know, young, So.
Speaker 5: Yeah, all right, I like I like it. I like
the breakdown.
Speaker 4: All right, So we got Pittman here, Let's see if
we got any other Jalen Phillips, larrym Me, Tyn Soel
he's just staying put, so you know, nothing burger there.
Speaker 3: Watson going to La.
Speaker 4: LA is kind of upgrading and LA is always going
to be about the conversation. But LA's window is starting
to shrink. Guys like that's why they're making moves like
this bringing in Watson three year deal now two former
chiefs on the raster because they also you know, went
out and they got Trent McDuffie.
Speaker 10: Diner.
Speaker 4: So this this is the last one will stop on
Jalen Watson.
Speaker 2: Any thoughts, uh no thoughts on this one.
Speaker 1: I disagreeed this the last one we got talk Kenneth
Walker going to the Chiefs.
Speaker 4: Oh, I completely forgot about Kenneth Walker. That was the
one that sent my phone into a tizzy. Yeah, the
Seahawks just say hear you, buddy, Kenneth Walker. I also
feel like Andy, I want to get your take, but
I feel like the because he won the Super Bowl MVP.
The revisionist history on Kenneth Walker being like this elite
stud running back. Yes, it answers a huge position to need.
So this one is going to be like an eight
for me, Andy, because this is a positional need that
the Chiefs have. The Chiefs have needed this for a
long time, so just from a positional needs standpoint, they
have not had a good running back that that's of
the level of Kenneth Walker. However, I think there's some
revisionist history. Kenneth Walker was a guy who in fantasy
drafts would constantly fall down the board and underperform, and
because of his stretch at the end of the season.
I think some serious revisionist history going on for Kenneth Walker.
Your your thoughts.
Speaker 2: I give this a three. I don't think. Yeah, the
Chiefs need the Chiefs need.
Speaker 1: Uh Well, first off, they need Mahomes to be healthier.
Their defense needs a little bit of help. Their offensive
line needs a little bit of help. I running back
is nothing if you don't have an offensive line.
Speaker 2: I really hate what happened to Pacheco.
Speaker 1: He just doesn't look like he's ever gonna completely return
to the form he was after the broken Lake.
Speaker 2: So they needed somebody.
Speaker 1: But I just don't believe in signing free agent, big name,
big money running backs. You can draft these guys in
the first, second, third round for the rookie minimum. So
I do not I do not like paying free agent
running backs so fall.
Speaker 4: And that's fair because it's the running back position. It's
it's just the nature of the beast there. Think about
what sharbon Ay did in Walker's stead, and that's probably
what you know the Seahawks are looking at here, Andy,
But I guess follow up question for that one, and
then we can wrap it. Bigger ad for Kansas City
or bigger loss for Seahawks, or in your opinion, he's
a free agent running back for a reason.
Speaker 1: Free agent running back for a reason. The Seahawks are
built on defense, so they will lean into defense Jackson
Smith and Jigba is their home run wide receiver. They've
got their quarterback figured out. Listen, They've got their quarterback,
they've got their defense, they've got their coach, they've got
their owner. They have all the pieces running back in
my opinion, for an organization like that is plug and play.
And by the way, I don't believe. I don't believe
Sharpening is gonna be ready for the regular season. His
injury sounds you don't His injuries sounded really bad. Yeah,
and this is football. This isn't This isn't Tatum coming
back with you know in basketball. This is football, guys,
and ankles and such.
Speaker 2: But they'll figure it out.
Speaker 1: That that that I don't like the Kansas City signing
Kenneth Walker. Start starting to be really out on the
Kansas City Chiefs. They're they're doing desperate things.
Speaker 4: I mean, we were the ones who told you, hey, folks,
they're not making the playoffs and then nine, look at
where we are now.
Speaker 5: Andy, So I love it.
Speaker 4: Man, March ninth, and we're breaking down NFL will they
won't they? So so enjoy man, enjoy good stuff.
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, absolutely so thanks for joining us, guys, tomorrow's
five dollars Tuesday. We'll be back tomorrow to get everybody ready. Maybe,
just maybe, we may have a let It Ride play tomorrow.
We'll have to see where the lines come out. So
but thanks very much for joining us. Please ht the
like button. Hope everyone had a great weekend. We're gonna
be back the same time, same place tomorrow. Good luck
on all your Monday bets see tomorrow.
Speaker 2: Take care,