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Speaker 1: All right, guys, welcome in. It's Thursday. It's time for

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total basis. Gotta be honest, I didn't really want to

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do a show this morning, but you know what, coming

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on here and talking baseball for an hour I think

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will be, uh be good for everyone. So it is

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September eleventh, we should be thinking about that Tokyo, Brandon,

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were you still Were you still in the US on

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September eleventh? Do you remember anything about that?

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Speaker 2: Bet?

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Speaker 3: I do remember that day. I was actually already here

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in Japan, living in Japan. Uh, you were probably like

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twelve years old, right, No, No, I.

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Speaker 1: Was in tenth grade. So I was in tenth grade. Okay,

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I about three hours north of the city. So I

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grew up in the Albany, New York area, and I remember,

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I'll be honest, I remember not not realizing how big

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of a deal it was until until baseball was canceled. Basically,

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like we kind of went through our day in school

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like we knew it was like they wheeled the TVs

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and we knew something was going on. Yeah, my soccer

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game got canceled, like I kind of went I think

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we hung out with friends after school and then when

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like baseball got canceled. And then I got home because again,

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you weren't attached to your phone back then. So when

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I got home and like kind of like, you know,

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my watch the news with my parents, I knew how

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big of a deal it was. And that was, yeah,

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kind of for real to think about that day.

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Speaker 3: It happened about fifteen minutes ago, right from right now.

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So it's nighttime here in Japan, and I was in Japan.

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My son was about two years old. So I remember

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I was on the computer with my son on my

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shoulder and I was looking at something on the Internet

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and my friend called me on my cell phone, my

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friend here in Japan, and he's like, dude, you have

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to look at the news. This is so unbelievable. What's happening.

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And I'm like, what are you talking about. He's like,

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just turn the news on. And I turned it on.

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I was like, oh my god, I saw burning building.

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It was just incredible, amazing, just surreal. And that changed

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our country in a lot of ways, and especially for

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someone like me who travels a lot, changed travel. So yeah,

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just crazy thing that changed the history of the world.

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Speaker 1: Actually, oh, I really think one of those things that

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brought everyone together in the In the wake of that

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was baseball, and of course, you know, we had a

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week without Major League Baseball and then it comes back

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and you know, those I I still can remember as

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a you know, however old I was at the time,

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fifteen sixteen year old watching those because our local team,

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my local team was still the Yankees and the Mets,

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and and this was like pre MLB TV, So getting

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to watch those Yankee games and Mets games every night

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was uh, you know, was was like something I'll never forget.

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And that's where we'll start today in the Bronx. You know,

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that'll that'll give us something to do for the next hour.

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Then think about the news and we'll talk about Tiger's

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Yankees in the Bronx. It was, of course the year

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the Yankees went to the World Series, ended up losing

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against the Diamondbacks, but that's still the best World Series

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I can remember for that. I was alive for that

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Yankees Diamondbacks series. What was absolutely incredible TV. Yankees, Uh,

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they do you think they can get back there this year?

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A month ago I would have said no, But now

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I'm stide I might be a believer in this team again.

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 3: Haven't you seen the beating they've taken two days in

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a row from the Tigers.

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Speaker 1: My question to you, though, and well, my question to you,

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and we'll get into this game, is who who do

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you think in the American League is so much better

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that that that it's not.

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Speaker 2: Going to be the Yankees?

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Speaker 3: Well, they got Nuke Weaver out there giving up runs

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every time he takes the noun. They got Williams, who

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doesn't have his head straight. They got so many guys

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who can't hold games down. You're asking who could who

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could be a contender in the American League. Strows are

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always a contender, The Blue Jays are always The blue

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Jays are a contender this year. But blue Jays have

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bullpen problems too. But I think their bullpen is a

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little more stable than the Yankees right now. I think

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I think the Blue Jays might surprise some people. They're

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they're really playing some solid baseball right now.

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Speaker 1: That's right, let's tie let's tie it into this game TV.

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How about how about the Tigers. I know Sean is

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ready to explode in the chat right now because he

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wants me to say the Tigers, And as you do,

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process of elimination, like Tigers might be a team that's

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the toughest out of anyone in the playoffs they have

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they just they.

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Speaker 2: They may be the sneakiest team of the bunch. So

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what do you think about this matchup?

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Speaker 3: The problem is they only have one real legitimate picture

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in their rotation. I think that's going to hurt them

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in a in a series. Uh, I you know, uh,

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you've got to cover the logos and stop being a

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fan for a minute and actually think, uh are they playing?

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Are they playing World Series Baseball? Do you think? I mean, yeah,

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they put a spanking on the Yankees, but Yankees are Yankees.

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I think that's another team. If you cover the logo,

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they're just not as good as their logo is. But yeah,

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I mean the Tigers, you can't argue with their record.

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I just think the Blue Jays have more talent than

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both of those teams, and they're actually peaking right now.

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So I think it's the right time for the Blue Jays,

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although they have a shaky rotation as well. So yeah,

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it's hard to.

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Speaker 1: Say so in this game tonight, As you said that,

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the Tigers have kind of, you know, got the best

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of it. The last couple of days, it looks like

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we're going to have Cam Schlitzer and for the for

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the Tigers, it's gonna be kind of you know, aj Hinch,

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he loves to do this. It's yet to be seen

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if he's going to do this in the playoffs this year,

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but you know, aj Hinch more than anyone loves himself

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a bullpen game, and I think that's kind of what

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you're gonna get today with Tyler. Holton is like the opener.

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Butler's a guy I've been really impressed with. But I

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don't know that i'd lay this price here with the Yanks.

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What do you think about tonight's matchup?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, my first impression looking at this was oh, Yankees

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all the way. And then I looked at the line

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and I'm like, oops, not for that price. But this

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is one of those gambling tricks you can do. I

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think after getting beaten in the head two games in

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a row, I think the Yankees will come back and

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at least take this one. The Tiger's bullpen I have

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them rated twenty six out of thirty in current form,

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so if this is a bullpen game, it should give

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the Yankees plenty of innings to tee off on that

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vulnerable bullpen. I think the Yankees are a good home

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team and really hard to sweep a team like the

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Yankees three games at home, or to win three in

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a row. So I think it's the Yankees day. Here's

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a gambling trick, though. You can take about thirty cents

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off the price if you just take a minus one,

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and you'll get a good price for a minus one

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today because they're at home, home team. If they're winning,

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they only bat eight innings, so you'll get a good

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price for a minus one here. I think you'll probably

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be able to get a minus one twenty five for

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the Yankees today, Schlitler, I mean at home. He's got

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a four to eighty RA. He actually pitches better on

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the road, but still, I think the Yankees' bats and

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the Yankees are pretty angry right now. They have bullpen problems,

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but I think that the Tiger's bullpen problems are bigger.

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So I think it's the Yankees day. I think a

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minus one would be the way to go here.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna I've had I've thought about this a lot.

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Speaker 2: I was up late last night watching the Mariners game.

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Speaker 1: I had Cardinals plus one and a half and that

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was just a mind numbing result to finish the day.

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On of course, if you missed that game, the Mariners

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walked it off.

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Speaker 2: They won four to two.

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Speaker 1: But as of why that Mariners team, who I was

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very high on and kind of watching them now seeing

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what their flaws are, I truly believe the Tigers are

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slow rolling everyone at this point. I think the Tigers

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are the best team in the American League. I think

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the Yankees are going to be a tough out when

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they're at home. But right now, the Tigers, they're five

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and five in their last ten games. They are they're

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just they're basically just having a tryout.

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Speaker 2: This is an open trial for to make a J.

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Hinch's playoff roster.

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Speaker 1: So it becomes very difficult to bet for them or

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against them on a day to day basis because their

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results are like right now, their focus is not really

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on wins and losses. I think you'll see that play

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out here. You're gonna have Sawyer Gibson long likely come

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in after Holton. It's really about spreading innings around, getting

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guys fresh, keeping guy, you know, getting guys playing time.

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Now their roster is good enough where they can win

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a game twelve to two, eleven to one, but the

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next day they might, you know, they might just you know,

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they might lose one like they did to the White Sox.

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So it makes the Tigers a really challenging handicap for

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the next couple of weeks.

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Speaker 2: All I'll say about the Tigers.

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Speaker 1: Is, don't sleep on this team wants a playoff start because,

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and I'll go to Collins comment, aj hinch Is is

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just an elite coach and he is going to be

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the toughest out in the American League, in an American

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league that, in my opinion, lacks a team that I

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actually think might win this thing. I have a feeling

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that the World Series winner maybe comes from the National League,

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But like the Tigers are down a team that I

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want to. I don't want to lay a price against

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the Tigers because they just have there's too much upside

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with the roster, and they've shown you what they can

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do when they show up the last couple of days,

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So I don't want to lay a price against them.

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That being said, would I be surprised if the Yankees

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grabbed one here and no, because I still think the

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Yankees are gonna seriously threaten Toronto over these next couple

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of weeks. So an interesting game for sure, But yeah,

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I don't really have a play in this one. I

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you know more more my thoughts are more long term

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with these two teams. But I think going into the playoffs,

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if you're high and the Tigers, you're going to make

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some money this year. That's that's my biggest sort of

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takeaway from that handicap.

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Speaker 3: I think if we're going to talk about World Series

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contenders from the American League, I think the record doesn't

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reflect it, but I think Seattle is the best put

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together team in the American League.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so TV, I want to let's talk let's let's

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transition there. Let's let's talk Mariners eight Angels. But one

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of the things I observed in this Cardinal series, and

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it was very much on display last night, the Mariners

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truly just wait for the home run, like that is

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their offense. They they it was a that game went

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thirteen innings last night. The Cardinals bullpen essentially shut them

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down for most of the game, and of course they

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end up what did they do?

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Speaker 2: They They finally hit one out.

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Speaker 1: That's how they won the game, but the at that's

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led up to that in extra innings when all you

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needed to do is get a runner home from second.

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Put it into my head like this, this team just

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doesn't have like hitters that really execute in those situations.

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They really are up there waiting for the three run homer.

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Can you survive in the playoffs with that? Because I

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agree with you, they have a lot of intriguing pieces.

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Emerson Hancock is now coming out of the bullpen throwing

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ninety nine miles an out like they are an interesting team,

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but my concern is that they just can't string the

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hits together.

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Speaker 2: So what do you say about that?

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Speaker 1: Do you? Are you interested in running it back with

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Bryce Miller and the Mariners here?

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Speaker 3: So I have a five percent play out today in

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Major League Baseball. It's one of the games that's on

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the schedule, so there's a hint. But someone asked if

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I have too, No, I only have one five percent

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play out today. I had Seattle yesterday, so that was

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a little upsetting. But I actually went three and one

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yesterday in MLB and I had I won a four

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percent play tonight in Japanese baseball, so things are going

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well right now. I got a five percent play up

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today regarding this one. You're right, Seattle. Seattle is just

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such a good, such a well put together team. I'm

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just surprised they're struggling like they are, and they've got

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guys like the starter today, Ryce Miller, who throughout his

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career has been a great pitcher. But something's off this season.

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I don't know what it is. He's not pitching like

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he I mean, I can't remember him with a with

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a one to four whip. Maybe he had, but it

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just didn't stand out to me like it does this season.

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He's getting he's getting hit pretty hard. He's given up

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what a twelve earned in his last four starts. I

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mean that's granted, that's only three earned runs per start,

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and he's gone more than five innings in each one.

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So I guess it's not that bad. Looking at the Angels, Soriano,

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he was a guy that I was kind of high

258
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on coming into season, but he's somewhat underperforming. I got him,

259
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but you know, I've got him ranked twelve out of

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thirty on a scale on a curve of thirty starting pitchers,

261
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So not that horrible. I guess he doesn't pass the

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eye test. When I see him pitch, he doesn't look good.

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He doesn't look like twelve out of thirty to me.

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So let's take a look at how Bryce Miller has

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performed against these Angels. Because he's got fifty two at

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bats against. He's got a two thirty one average against

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in the seven to fourteen OPS, which is fair. It's

268
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not great, it's not bad. It's average, and he's been

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pitching kind of average so far this season. Soriano against

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Seattle has a two nineteen average against in the six

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twenty nine OPS, so Soriano has actually performed better against

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the other team. The problem is the Mariners have huge

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advantages in batting and bullpen. I got their batting rank

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seven and I got their bullpen eight. The Angels I

275
00:14:02,399 --> 00:14:05,440
have them ranked twenty six in both batting and bullpens.

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So if Bryce Miller can have a decent outing, I

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think Seattle should cruise to a win here. But that's

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00:14:12,159 --> 00:14:15,399
a big if because Miller's been a little bit inconsistent.

279
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He's given up three three to two two in his

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last four starts. So what do you think. Can he

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have a good game. If he can have a good game,

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they're gonna win.

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Speaker 1: So the tough part with Miller is the fact that

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he he had elbow inflammation. So you know, you want

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to talk about, well, how how can Miller? You know, what,

286
00:14:36,519 --> 00:14:39,679
what's his problem? It's like it's hard to get hurt

287
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in a season and then come back in the season.

288
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So like when you have a guy that goes down,

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they're down for maybe a long period of time, then

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they have to come back in the same year. It's like,

291
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how much are you know, you never really know, like

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how much are they sort of fighting through it?

293
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Speaker 2: Right?

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Speaker 1: Like Bryce Miller's all of his stat cast numbers and

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this is something if Brian we're here today that he'd

296
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be like all over this. The the blue on his

297
00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:08,600
stat cast page is astounding, right, Like everything is is

298
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trending toward poor. And you know, knowing what we know

299
00:15:12,799 --> 00:15:15,840
about Bryce Miller from like you know, his days as

300
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a coming up as a prospect, the stuff he had

301
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when he got to the league twenty twenty three, he

302
00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:24,639
comes in and he's got a one to one four

303
00:15:24,639 --> 00:15:27,679
whip last year, zero point nine to eight whip and

304
00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:30,080
one hundred and eighty point one innings pitch.

305
00:15:30,200 --> 00:15:30,919
Speaker 2: That's insane.

306
00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:34,159
Speaker 1: So knowing all of that you look and yeah, you're

307
00:15:34,159 --> 00:15:36,080
you're right to be like, man, like, what what is

308
00:15:36,120 --> 00:15:36,559
the deal?

309
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Speaker 2: Right?

310
00:15:37,480 --> 00:15:40,639
Speaker 1: And what I believe the deal is is the guy

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at elbow he went on the io, had elbow inflammation,

312
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has worked his way back.

313
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Speaker 2: He's probably not all the way right.

314
00:15:47,679 --> 00:15:50,159
Speaker 1: I highlighted Sean's comment because he said, no one on

315
00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:53,519
Seattle's pitching good. Logan Gilbert gets smacked every start. Well,

316
00:15:53,519 --> 00:15:56,200
it's like, yeah, Logan, Gilbert's dealing with the same thing.

317
00:15:56,600 --> 00:15:59,360
He's dealing with an injury that he very well may

318
00:15:59,399 --> 00:16:02,799
need surgery in the offseason. So it's like, you're you

319
00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:06,519
got guys out there that Gilbert is such a good example.

320
00:16:06,559 --> 00:16:11,600
Like last night he loaded the bases, sort of re regrouped,

321
00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:13,960
got his head on straight, and struck out the next

322
00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:16,559
three Cardinals because he's got the ability to do that, right.

323
00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:20,720
Bryce Miller probably not on the same level, But when

324
00:16:20,759 --> 00:16:23,720
you have a guy pitching through injury, it's really tough

325
00:16:23,759 --> 00:16:26,240
to go out there and like you just be able

326
00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:28,639
to fight through it for like six innings or be

327
00:16:28,679 --> 00:16:31,559
able to do it every start. That's kind of where

328
00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:34,080
my concern lies with with Miller at this point. So

329
00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:36,440
you know where the you know, this is kind of

330
00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:39,559
another one where the price point is I have no

331
00:16:39,639 --> 00:16:42,039
interest in laying a dollar sixty here with the Mariners,

332
00:16:42,080 --> 00:16:45,679
knowing for a couple of reasons. One, they used they've

333
00:16:45,759 --> 00:16:48,840
really used up the leverage bullpen arms from the Cardinals series.

334
00:16:48,960 --> 00:16:51,559
They used all their relievers. You know, the last two days,

335
00:16:51,799 --> 00:16:53,879
every Mariner's reliever has been out there, and they've been

336
00:16:53,879 --> 00:16:56,440
out there in like a high, high leverage spot, and

337
00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:58,720
now you have to basically count on length from bright

338
00:16:58,799 --> 00:17:01,200
Bryce Miller. I would want that at all here, So

339
00:17:01,679 --> 00:17:05,839
I would I would find some way to play the Angels.

340
00:17:06,400 --> 00:17:09,519
I just don't know exactly how you do that. Angels

341
00:17:09,519 --> 00:17:11,440
plus one and a half is a little bit pricey.

342
00:17:11,559 --> 00:17:15,519
Minus one fifty nine, really sure, I want that Angels

343
00:17:15,839 --> 00:17:18,920
money line is fair plus one forty. But this just

344
00:17:18,920 --> 00:17:21,400
feels like a Mariners team. They just let the Cardinals

345
00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:24,599
in three games that I don't necessarily think they deserved.

346
00:17:25,279 --> 00:17:25,720
Speaker 2: They didn't.

347
00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:27,640
Speaker 1: You know, it's hard to say they didn't deserve to win,

348
00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:29,519
but they could have lost all three of them. Everyone

349
00:17:29,599 --> 00:17:31,599
was a close, you know, a close game, a battle

350
00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:33,640
right till the end. I want to be surprised if

351
00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:37,119
the Angels got them today and SF forty nine er.

352
00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:41,079
If you're referring to the stat cast percentages, just pretty much.

353
00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:43,000
If you want to see a pitcher stat cast page,

354
00:17:43,079 --> 00:17:45,400
easiest way to do it put the pitcher's name in

355
00:17:46,359 --> 00:17:48,839
and then follow it with Baseball Savant, put it into

356
00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:51,720
Google and it'll it'll bring up their stat cast page.

357
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Speaker 2: And so when I'm referencing percentages.

358
00:17:54,599 --> 00:17:58,279
Speaker 1: It is it is the percentage, it's the percentile of

359
00:17:58,319 --> 00:18:01,839
where they are in in the league. So like, if

360
00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:06,359
I say Bryce Miller is in the bottom six percent

361
00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:09,960
in Major League Baseball and expected batting average against, that

362
00:18:10,079 --> 00:18:13,400
means his batting average against being two ninety one this

363
00:18:13,480 --> 00:18:16,119
year is in the bottom six percent of Major League

364
00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:19,200
Baseball pitchers, which is which is a fact. That's that's

365
00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:21,920
something you can get off the page. If I say

366
00:18:21,960 --> 00:18:24,440
he's in the bottom six percent and hard hit rate,

367
00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:27,359
that means he's in the bottom six percent of every

368
00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:29,839
pitcher of Major League Baseball. And that's what you find

369
00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:32,200
on miller stat cast page. Those are not good numbers

370
00:18:32,279 --> 00:18:34,160
right there. And so I could only go with the

371
00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:34,799
Angels here.

372
00:18:35,559 --> 00:18:37,720
Speaker 3: Let me make a note on Soriano since we have

373
00:18:37,799 --> 00:18:39,839
a little extra time. Yeah, go to games and just

374
00:18:39,920 --> 00:18:43,559
two of us. I challenge people to find a more

375
00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:48,119
inconsistent pitcher than Soriano. Let me take let me, let me,

376
00:18:48,319 --> 00:18:51,319
let me tell you about his last few starts. His

377
00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:55,079
last start, he gave up eight earned. Two starts before that,

378
00:18:55,319 --> 00:18:59,440
he shut the teams down for five innings and seven innings,

379
00:18:59,480 --> 00:19:03,160
zero earn, zero earned. Start before that, he gave up

380
00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:06,640
five earned in five start before that, he shut them

381
00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:10,839
shut the Dodgers down for six innings. The start before that,

382
00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:13,720
he gave up seven earned to Tampa Bay. So we've

383
00:19:13,759 --> 00:19:19,160
got game on of eight earned zero zero five zero seven.

384
00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:23,200
So basically, with Soriano, he's either gonna he's either gonna

385
00:19:23,279 --> 00:19:26,319
shut them down for six innings or he's gonna get bombed.

386
00:19:26,759 --> 00:19:31,880
So whichever it is, roll the dice and find out. Uh, yeah,

387
00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:34,400
he's not a safe guy to bet.

388
00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:35,400
Speaker 2: Uh you know.

389
00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:37,440
Speaker 1: In the chat makes it makes a really good point,

390
00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:40,559
and I think this is, like, this is very important

391
00:19:40,559 --> 00:19:43,720
if you're trying to handicap or bet this game. Soriano

392
00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:48,839
ground ground double play, ground ball king. Okay, Soriano's groundball

393
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:51,880
rate is as high as any pitcher in Major League baseball.

394
00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:55,400
What that means is when Soriano is on. And this, this,

395
00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:58,079
this chart sort of proves TV's point right here. This

396
00:19:58,119 --> 00:20:00,880
is exactly what Tokyo Braden's trying to tell you. With Soriano,

397
00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:04,440
when he's on, he's keeping the ball down. It's really

398
00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:07,079
hard to hit him out of the ballpark. He's he's

399
00:20:07,079 --> 00:20:09,920
getting strikeouts, and he's probably getting getting some of the

400
00:20:10,559 --> 00:20:13,200
you know, the the more powerful hitters to roll over

401
00:20:13,279 --> 00:20:16,799
on pitches, double plays, gets out of innings when he's

402
00:20:16,839 --> 00:20:19,319
not on. That means he's not getting the ground balls.

403
00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:21,839
That means his pitches are a little bit elevated. And

404
00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:24,599
that is what a team like the Mariners is going

405
00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:27,319
to feast on. Because what do we already established with

406
00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:29,599
the Mariners. They're trying to hit the ball in the ballpark.

407
00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:32,519
That's what every every guy in that lineup one through

408
00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:35,000
nine for the most part, is trying to hit the

409
00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:37,440
ball to the ballpark. Colin in the chat was like,

410
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:41,200
they're the West Coast Yankees. That's not necessarily a bad thing.

411
00:20:41,279 --> 00:20:43,759
We've seen the Yankees had tons of success over the

412
00:20:43,839 --> 00:20:46,920
years with teams that strike out a lot that that

413
00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:49,640
are everything is predicated on the home run. So I'm

414
00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:51,519
not saying it as like it's like a bad thing

415
00:20:51,519 --> 00:20:56,400
for the Mariners. What what Jose Soriano shows up tonight

416
00:20:57,079 --> 00:20:59,759
is going to probably decide this game because if he's

417
00:20:59,839 --> 00:21:02,160
if he's not getting that ground ball and those pitches

418
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:06,240
are elevated, you probably have a nailor homer. You probably

419
00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:09,440
have a couple of bombs, and suddenly Mariners are back

420
00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:10,200
in the driver's seat.

421
00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:12,039
Speaker 2: It makes it a very difficult handicap here.

422
00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:14,400
Speaker 3: I was happy for their bomb yesterday because I had

423
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:17,880
Seattle minus one. Yeah, going into the ninth inning. They

424
00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:19,319
hit a two run home run to win it, and

425
00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:21,599
that rarely happens, So I was pretty happy to get

426
00:21:21,599 --> 00:21:22,319
to win instead of.

427
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:24,720
Speaker 1: The Like I said, I was on the other side

428
00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:26,559
of that, and you know, I was talking to people

429
00:21:26,559 --> 00:21:28,880
on Twitter and they're like, that's a horrendous beat. And

430
00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:31,200
that was actually the bottom of the thirteen. That game

431
00:21:31,279 --> 00:21:34,720
went thirteen innings, and it's like, it's like, but you

432
00:21:34,799 --> 00:21:38,240
had to know that that when the Cardinals could not score,

433
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:40,680
you had to know it was probably coming because if

434
00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:43,119
you watched every at that and extra innings, it was

435
00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:46,039
every person that came to the play for the Mariners.

436
00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:47,240
Speaker 2: Was trying to end the game with a home run.

437
00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:50,839
Literally is how that Literally is how they bat.

438
00:21:51,079 --> 00:21:53,599
Speaker 1: So when you talk take it back to this game Soriano,

439
00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:55,680
if you can't keep the ball down and it's up

440
00:21:56,200 --> 00:21:58,799
and he's given up fly balls, he's probably gonna get crushed.

441
00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:01,200
So maybe it's a live that type thing. Maybe you

442
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:03,799
see how Soriano looks in that first inning. But if

443
00:22:03,799 --> 00:22:05,640
the ball is up and he's not like getting either

444
00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:10,519
strikeouts balls that are that are diving or grounders, it's

445
00:22:10,559 --> 00:22:12,200
gonna likely be a long night for him and it

446
00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:13,480
makes it a tough game to bet.

447
00:22:13,799 --> 00:22:16,039
Speaker 2: But a great discussion right there, TV.

448
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:19,160
Speaker 1: It's a it's a good you you you nail the

449
00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:24,200
point about the inconsistency in uh in his result, and

450
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,599
it has everything to do with his ability to keep

451
00:22:26,599 --> 00:22:27,160
the ball down.

452
00:22:27,599 --> 00:22:30,039
Speaker 3: If there's a more inconsistent pitcher, I'd like to see

453
00:22:30,079 --> 00:22:34,799
who I mean, zero earned, zero earned eight, zero earned seven,

454
00:22:35,039 --> 00:22:36,079
zero earned five.

455
00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:40,440
Speaker 1: It's like crazy, yeah, yeah it may And again it's

456
00:22:40,559 --> 00:22:43,000
it's it makes it based on where it's priced.

457
00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:46,839
Speaker 2: It makes it a really tough, tough handicap H. So

458
00:22:46,880 --> 00:22:47,119
that's it.

459
00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:50,240
Speaker 1: That's an interesting game I want to go to. I'm

460
00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:52,440
just gonna pick a game. I didn't see one in

461
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,000
the chat, but I do want to. I noticed that

462
00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:58,279
right now people seem to want to touch about on

463
00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:01,920
the games that that I guess have some sort of impact.

464
00:23:02,319 --> 00:23:05,559
So unless you're asking for a game specifically, I will

465
00:23:05,599 --> 00:23:08,400
try to stay on the games that are maybe a

466
00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:12,079
little bit impactful, just just for picking games at random.

467
00:23:12,079 --> 00:23:12,279
Speaker 2: Here.

468
00:23:13,039 --> 00:23:16,480
Speaker 1: And one that again we kind of have talked about

469
00:23:16,519 --> 00:23:19,880
this series every day, that has a lot of you know,

470
00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:23,359
it's a very impactful game. Is is the Guardians Royal Series.

471
00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:27,000
Royals get a game they absolutely had to have yesterday

472
00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:30,000
four to three. We kind of talked about it being

473
00:23:30,039 --> 00:23:33,440
a bullpen game and they were you know, I guess

474
00:23:33,759 --> 00:23:36,279
what I maybe suspected, even though I didn't bet this,

475
00:23:36,880 --> 00:23:38,839
was that they might be able to piece it together

476
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:42,400
with the with the arms they had for that game.

477
00:23:42,839 --> 00:23:45,359
So I just want to pull up yesterday's box score

478
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:47,559
real quick before I kick it over to you and

479
00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:49,400
give you a chance to write down the time stamps,

480
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:51,519
because I know you're trying to do that, and usually

481
00:23:51,759 --> 00:23:55,200
Brian gets to talk. The Royals did exactly what we

482
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:58,640
thought they might do yesterday, bowling for two innings. They

483
00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:01,880
bring in Zurpa for like one two thirds long Avila

484
00:24:02,079 --> 00:24:05,839
ersag Estevez, and they close out a game they desperately

485
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:08,799
needed to have four out of three. Now they come

486
00:24:08,839 --> 00:24:12,920
in today TV, another game that is paramount to both

487
00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:16,400
these teams having any sort of chance to make the playoffs.

488
00:24:16,759 --> 00:24:20,240
You have the Cleveland Guardians three and a half.

489
00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:21,799
Speaker 2: Out, the Royals four out.

490
00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:24,799
Speaker 1: I feel like the team that loses this game is done.

491
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:27,440
I really truly believe that this is an elimination game

492
00:24:27,519 --> 00:24:30,000
right here, because I don't see, especially for the Royals,

493
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:32,480
I don't see how you come back from like more

494
00:24:32,519 --> 00:24:33,200
than four back.

495
00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:33,839
Speaker 2: At this point.

496
00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:38,279
Speaker 1: They're gonna go with Steven Kolek, who has been pretty

497
00:24:38,319 --> 00:24:41,559
good since showing up in Kansas City. On the other

498
00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:45,480
side is Gavin Williams, who I kind of wish Brian

499
00:24:45,519 --> 00:24:47,119
were here to talk about because he's I feel like

500
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:50,240
he's really had a good beat on him. Gavin Williams,

501
00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:52,440
other than when they messed with him after the no hitter,

502
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:56,640
has been very solid. So Royals Guardians. Massive game for

503
00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:59,200
these two teams. I'm calling it an elimination game. I

504
00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:01,640
think the loser of the this game is cook done

505
00:25:01,799 --> 00:25:03,680
out of any sort of playoff conversation.

506
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:06,480
Speaker 2: Do you have a bet here in Royals Guardians?

507
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:08,039
Speaker 1: Uh?

508
00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:13,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, I you know, looking at the way these pitchers

509
00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:16,880
face the other team. Colic he doesn't have really a

510
00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:20,359
good enough sample size to to measure, but he has

511
00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:23,119
been He has given four hits on five at bats

512
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:26,119
against these batters, if that's worth anything. But Colic is

513
00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:29,759
a really good road pitcher. But he was just traded

514
00:25:29,759 --> 00:25:32,960
to another team, so I think the road home split.

515
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:35,319
You know, everything's on the road for him now because

516
00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:38,440
he's he's getting used to a new ballpark. So I

517
00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:41,440
can't really take that into consideration either. If you look

518
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:44,240
at his last few starts, though, he's pitched really well

519
00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:47,720
two earned, one earned, two earned, three earned, So he

520
00:25:47,920 --> 00:25:52,960
he does he does have a knack for not getting bombed,

521
00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:56,119
so something to be said for that, because like we

522
00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:59,480
just talked about Soriano, he does have a propensity to

523
00:26:00,759 --> 00:26:04,279
barf on the mound, shall we say. Taking a look

524
00:26:04,319 --> 00:26:08,200
at Gavin Williams, though he has amazing stats against these

525
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:11,400
Royals ninety one at bats against, a two poh nine

526
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:14,200
average and a six thirty five OPS. Anything under seven

527
00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:18,720
fifty is pretty good. And taking a look at his

528
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:25,319
home and road stats pretty equal. He doesn't really have

529
00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:30,640
a big discrepancy between home and road. So Royals currently,

530
00:26:30,799 --> 00:26:34,359
I mean, you're probably still mad at them. They're hitting

531
00:26:34,359 --> 00:26:36,759
twenty six out of thirty right now in current form,

532
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:40,799
and the Cleveland bullpen is just pitching lights out right now.

533
00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:44,880
So I would look to a Royals team total under here.

534
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:46,640
I wish it was four and a half, but I

535
00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:49,440
guarantee you it's three and a half. Let's take a look. Yeah,

536
00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:52,039
it's three and a half. So we're not lucky to

537
00:26:52,079 --> 00:26:55,720
get that four and a half. But I think under

538
00:26:55,759 --> 00:26:57,759
three and a half is a decent play here. I'll

539
00:26:57,799 --> 00:27:01,000
consider making that my parlay leg unless something else comes up.

540
00:27:01,240 --> 00:27:04,240
Not official yet, but Royal's under I think is a

541
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:07,880
good bet considering Williams pitches great against them and the

542
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:09,200
bullpen is just on fire.

543
00:27:11,319 --> 00:27:15,119
Speaker 1: So I'm not okay, I kind of disagree with that

544
00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:17,680
a little bit, but not so much that I would say, like,

545
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:21,079
I like the other side of that bet, but I

546
00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:24,359
could see this game going over. I do think that

547
00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:27,920
the So I look at this, okay, and you have

548
00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:30,720
an over seven, and you have a line of essentially

549
00:27:30,759 --> 00:27:33,960
seven and a half minus one ten and and to me,

550
00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:37,960
I understand where both these offenses are at. But they've

551
00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:41,599
seen each other a lot, Okay, like the Royals and Guardians,

552
00:27:41,599 --> 00:27:45,160
they've had a ton of exposure to each other's essentially

553
00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:47,839
their roster. Now I'll get to Colic in a minute,

554
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:49,480
because you could come back and be like, well, Colic

555
00:27:49,599 --> 00:27:51,240
just got there. They haven't seen him much. And that's

556
00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:53,359
a good point, which I'm gonna talk about.

557
00:27:53,160 --> 00:27:53,720
Speaker 2: In a second.

558
00:27:54,079 --> 00:27:57,279
Speaker 1: But I'll start with Gavin Williams because this is a

559
00:27:57,359 --> 00:28:00,160
Royals lineup that a is better against right handed pitch.

560
00:28:00,400 --> 00:28:03,960
Be has seen Gavin Williams enough, you know, over the

561
00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:07,799
years and in this season, and you know, I'll go

562
00:28:07,839 --> 00:28:10,960
to Williams like he'll put guys on.

563
00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:12,599
Speaker 2: He et a lot of free passes, right.

564
00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:15,039
Speaker 1: So, like one thing we know about Williams is when

565
00:28:15,079 --> 00:28:18,680
he's not totally on, even when he's I guess you

566
00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:21,000
would call him on last start against the Race, he

567
00:28:21,039 --> 00:28:23,079
had a very he had a very strong start. Seven

568
00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:27,000
innings of one run ball, he still walked three guys,

569
00:28:27,039 --> 00:28:28,720
still gave up seven hits. I think he was a

570
00:28:28,759 --> 00:28:30,880
little bit fortunate to get out of that with only

571
00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:32,039
giving up one run.

572
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:34,000
Speaker 2: And you see it a lot. He is.

573
00:28:34,079 --> 00:28:36,200
Speaker 1: He is in the bottom five percent in Major League

574
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:40,119
Baseball pitchers in walk rate, so that's a concern. The

575
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:42,839
other thing is the the other thing is like gives

576
00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:45,440
up a lot of hard hit Like he's got a

577
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:47,559
good fastball, and when he's commanding his fastball, he can

578
00:28:47,599 --> 00:28:49,400
do what he's done the last couple of times out

579
00:28:49,799 --> 00:28:52,279
go seven innings, only give up a run or two.

580
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:55,240
Speaker 2: But you're you're really only asking.

581
00:28:54,920 --> 00:28:57,920
Speaker 1: For kind of the bare minimum here from each team,

582
00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:00,559
right like the Royals can can scrape together a few

583
00:29:00,640 --> 00:29:03,319
runs against the right handed pitcher that they they've seen,

584
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:07,440
they know, and that sort of fastball reliant. So then

585
00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:10,680
I look on the other side, Stephen Kolik, like he's

586
00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:13,559
been okay since since showing up in Kansas City. I'm

587
00:29:13,559 --> 00:29:16,200
still not convinced that he's really a big league starter

588
00:29:16,319 --> 00:29:19,640
at this point. He had a tremendous run earlier this

589
00:29:19,759 --> 00:29:21,720
year with the Padres when he was sort of called

590
00:29:21,759 --> 00:29:24,680
up as an emergency fifth starter, But you want to

591
00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:29,000
look at his underlying stuff. Doesn't strike anyone out, very

592
00:29:29,039 --> 00:29:32,519
low swinging, very low uh wiff rate and chase rate,

593
00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:38,119
gives up a ton of hard hit and a yeah,

594
00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:40,039
like that's well, that's a good point. Like he's sort

595
00:29:40,079 --> 00:29:42,880
of on the other end of the spectrum. No, no, no,

596
00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:47,640
it's it's a good it's it's a good point because right,

597
00:29:47,799 --> 00:29:49,519
like he's on the other end of the spectrum where

598
00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:52,839
he's not going to just put you on base for free.

599
00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:57,079
But he's also everything's in the zone. Uh, you know,

600
00:29:57,119 --> 00:30:01,559
two seventy three expected batting average against expected ERA is

601
00:30:01,599 --> 00:30:02,319
like four fifty.

602
00:30:03,319 --> 00:30:03,720
Speaker 3: Not good.

603
00:30:04,079 --> 00:30:07,680
Speaker 1: This Guardian's team is not like so dreadful offensively that

604
00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:10,359
they can't string some hits together. They just don't have

605
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:13,240
the power guys, and like the they're not gonna put

606
00:30:13,279 --> 00:30:16,160
like the often times they're not gonna put like the

607
00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:18,599
big sort of crooked numbers up. But I think the

608
00:30:18,599 --> 00:30:20,720
Guardians can handle that. And then you go to the

609
00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,680
bullpens and the Royals used basically everyone to pin down

610
00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:26,079
that win yesterday. So I would look to a full

611
00:30:26,119 --> 00:30:27,400
game over seven and a half.

612
00:30:27,519 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 2: Here. I'm not saying your bet doesn't get there.

613
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:33,400
Speaker 1: It could, but I mean this sort of feels like

614
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:35,799
a scenario where you're you're gonna get each team's gonna

615
00:30:35,799 --> 00:30:38,720
get at least three. And I think if there's a

616
00:30:38,759 --> 00:30:40,920
team that's more likely to put the crooked numbers up,

617
00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:43,359
it's gonna be the Guardians on either Kolek or the

618
00:30:43,440 --> 00:30:44,200
Royals bullpen.

619
00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:45,440
Speaker 2: So maybe both of.

620
00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:48,640
Speaker 1: Our our angles are get there in the end, because

621
00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:51,200
I could see like a six to three type game,

622
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:56,720
five four, you know, seven two, like it just seven

623
00:30:56,720 --> 00:30:57,839
and a half seems low here.

624
00:30:58,000 --> 00:30:59,759
Speaker 2: I really like the over in this game.

625
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:03,680
Speaker 3: Up your point, I have the Guardians ranked eleven in

626
00:31:03,680 --> 00:31:06,359
in in offense current form.

627
00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:08,319
Speaker 2: Well, they're hitting back. Don't mean they're the.

628
00:31:08,279 --> 00:31:11,960
Speaker 3: Eleven's best team. It means currently that they're hitting well,

629
00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:13,319
so that.

630
00:31:13,279 --> 00:31:15,920
Speaker 2: They're hitting better, and they they tend to hit at home.

631
00:31:16,079 --> 00:31:17,640
That's the other thing. They tend to hit the ball

632
00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:20,160
a little bit better in their home ballpark. So it's

633
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:22,960
an interesting game, I do.

634
00:31:23,079 --> 00:31:26,039
Speaker 3: I think, like you said, the loser, the loser can

635
00:31:26,559 --> 00:31:29,480
probably kiss their playoffs up skip by. They're going to

636
00:31:29,519 --> 00:31:30,960
be close to five hundred after that.

637
00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:34,000
Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, And someone in the chat was like,

638
00:31:34,079 --> 00:31:36,119
these two teams, but both these teams have had no

639
00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:38,519
shot at the playoffs for a while. Like I kind

640
00:31:38,559 --> 00:31:41,160
of agree with that statement. To neither of these teams,

641
00:31:41,440 --> 00:31:44,279
I haven't really at any point in the year, like

642
00:31:44,519 --> 00:31:47,279
really expected any either of these two teams to overtake,

643
00:31:47,319 --> 00:31:49,519
like a team like the Mariners or someone that they

644
00:31:49,519 --> 00:31:53,000
were chasing. But yeah, it's two teams that I don't

645
00:31:53,039 --> 00:31:56,240
think are very good, and they know each other well,

646
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,759
Like if one gets a little bit of a lead here,

647
00:31:59,279 --> 00:32:01,559
maybe it gets on hand. All I know is it's

648
00:32:01,599 --> 00:32:04,880
gonna take really strong pitching on both sides to keep

649
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:06,720
that under seven and a half. And I just I

650
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,440
just don't see it with uh with with the with

651
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:11,240
the guys that we're going to see on the mound today.

652
00:32:11,279 --> 00:32:11,680
Speaker 2: So I like it.

653
00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:16,240
Speaker 3: Queen Royals looked like a team of destiny. The Royals

654
00:32:16,279 --> 00:32:18,599
looked like a team of destiny about a month ago.

655
00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:20,720
But man, have they gone down downhill?

656
00:32:20,799 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 2: Yeah.

657
00:32:21,079 --> 00:32:23,680
Speaker 1: And and you know, Brian, Brian Leonard are our third

658
00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:27,599
he'll be back tomorrow. But our our third panelist pointed

659
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:31,200
out that they they had a really decent trade deadline.

660
00:32:31,839 --> 00:32:33,200
Speaker 2: I too kind of agreed with that.

661
00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:34,960
Speaker 1: I thought that I thought the Royals were in a

662
00:32:35,039 --> 00:32:37,680
really nice position to make a run like at the

663
00:32:37,799 --> 00:32:40,759
end of July, but just just not a good, not

664
00:32:40,799 --> 00:32:43,480
a great ball club. They're very average teams, so are

665
00:32:43,559 --> 00:32:46,960
the Guardians not not playoff teams, but but here I

666
00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:48,279
think they could score on each other.

667
00:32:48,319 --> 00:32:49,279
Speaker 2: So I like the over.

668
00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:54,559
Speaker 1: Well Doyle rules he wants an early game TV. Let

669
00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:57,000
let's give him an early game. And I saw someone

670
00:32:57,000 --> 00:33:01,119
else ask for Pirates Oreo, and I think that's an

671
00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:04,079
early one. So why don't we go there. Let's let's

672
00:33:04,119 --> 00:33:08,519
go to Pirates, Pirates Orioles. So I want to yesterday,

673
00:33:08,559 --> 00:33:10,759
I think, did you win a bet in this game yesterday?

674
00:33:10,759 --> 00:33:12,400
Speaker 2: Did you end up getting to the window with that

675
00:33:12,680 --> 00:33:13,240
like you were?

676
00:33:13,319 --> 00:33:15,519
Speaker 1: You nailed the under one and a half, I mean

677
00:33:15,519 --> 00:33:18,559
they were under one and a half for the games, Yes.

678
00:33:18,480 --> 00:33:20,400
Speaker 3: I want I won the Orioles under one and a

679
00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:21,920
half verst five, Yes I did.

680
00:33:22,279 --> 00:33:24,319
Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, okay, so they were I mean they really

681
00:33:24,319 --> 00:33:25,960
were under one and a half for the game. They

682
00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:29,960
they didn't score that that second run, uh until the sinning,

683
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:32,960
which which as we know, doesn't count, right, Like if

684
00:33:32,960 --> 00:33:36,160
you're scoring an extra innings, it's it's it's helped by

685
00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:39,559
the ghost runner. But like, yeah, to make the point,

686
00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:42,839
like you were, you were right about that, like Orioles

687
00:33:42,839 --> 00:33:44,000
couldn't hit skeens at all?

688
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:47,119
Speaker 2: Two to one final any under got there.

689
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:49,039
Speaker 1: I know that that's kind of like the way we

690
00:33:49,039 --> 00:33:52,960
we tilted our handicap in this game yesterday. Now we

691
00:33:53,079 --> 00:33:55,960
come back. I believe this is the fourth game? Is

692
00:33:56,000 --> 00:33:58,119
this the fourth game of the series, of the third? Okay,

693
00:33:58,119 --> 00:34:02,359
it's the third, so we're coming back. Orioles are hot

694
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:04,119
right now, though, I got I gotta say, like this

695
00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:06,880
team is, it's gonna be too little, too late for them,

696
00:34:07,519 --> 00:34:09,519
and they're still very, very young, and I think you're

697
00:34:09,559 --> 00:34:12,159
gonna see them struggle with like big time elite arms

698
00:34:12,199 --> 00:34:16,000
like Paul Schemes. No question, though, this Oriols team's playing

699
00:34:16,039 --> 00:34:18,199
great ball. They have been for a couple of weeks.

700
00:34:18,239 --> 00:34:20,800
Now it's gonna be kde Povic. It looks like a

701
00:34:20,920 --> 00:34:24,719
video for the Pirates. Do you continue to ride the

702
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:25,760
Orioles today TV?

703
00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:31,320
Speaker 3: No, I did not ride them yesterday. I bet their

704
00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:35,320
team total under Yes, and uh for this one. Man

705
00:34:35,880 --> 00:34:41,280
Oviedo impresses me. Same, he impresses me. He says, can

706
00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:43,599
you hear me? Is everything okay with my sound? Yeah?

707
00:34:43,599 --> 00:34:46,000
Speaker 1: I was just saying, I'm I'm I agree with you there,

708
00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:47,960
he's he's been very underrated.

709
00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:48,400
Speaker 2: Go ahead.

710
00:34:49,079 --> 00:34:53,280
Speaker 3: I'm having like Bluetooth issues and stuff. So just my

711
00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:56,880
sound might cut out or something might happen. But anyways,

712
00:34:57,239 --> 00:35:00,079
Oviedo has been very impressive. Look at his last few starts.

713
00:35:00,119 --> 00:35:03,239
He's given up zero two, one, one, two. Those are

714
00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:06,400
those are impressive numbers. Hang on, my sound is going

715
00:35:06,440 --> 00:35:10,239
to cut off right now, So on speaker, sorry, hang

716
00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:15,039
on one side? All right, sorry about that? Can you

717
00:35:15,079 --> 00:35:15,320
hear me?

718
00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:16,239
Speaker 2: Yep?

719
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:22,800
Speaker 3: Okay? So Oviedo has been very impressive. And uh, taking

720
00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:25,679
a look at Povich, he has not been impressive. One

721
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:29,880
four to six whip and against these batters, we don't

722
00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:34,159
have a sample size, but man Povich, he can get rocked.

723
00:35:34,639 --> 00:35:37,199
He doesn't get he doesn't get blown up, but he

724
00:35:37,199 --> 00:35:39,000
he like you can count on him for three or

725
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:42,440
four and runs almost every game. Looking at how the

726
00:35:42,559 --> 00:35:45,760
teams compare against each other, I have the hitting almost equal,

727
00:35:46,639 --> 00:35:50,599
both a little bit dreadful, but fairly equal. Bullpen's fairly equal.

728
00:35:50,599 --> 00:35:54,320
But I have a huge discrepancy in the starting pitching.

729
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:57,440
I got Oviedo rank six on a curve of thirty,

730
00:35:57,480 --> 00:36:00,599
where I got Povid ranked twenty six. Looking at this,

731
00:36:01,559 --> 00:36:03,280
I did put out a client play on this as

732
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:06,880
two percenter. I like the Pirates first five plus the

733
00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:10,800
half run, I think Oviedo can hold them down at

734
00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:13,119
least one earned run, but I think the Pirates can

735
00:36:13,199 --> 00:36:16,000
probably get one off Povich as well. So I think

736
00:36:16,039 --> 00:36:18,239
the Pirates can at least pull out a tie here

737
00:36:18,239 --> 00:36:20,800
in the first five. That's that's how I'm approaching this.

738
00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:22,599
And I did put that out as a client play.

739
00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:28,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I I it, you know, I like, so I'll

740
00:36:28,920 --> 00:36:32,519
go back to before the series he's even happened, and

741
00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:34,320
you know, just kind of like coming into the month

742
00:36:34,360 --> 00:36:37,679
of September. I really like both of these teams where

743
00:36:37,679 --> 00:36:40,440
they're at right now, where they're where they're at against

744
00:36:40,519 --> 00:36:44,000
the market. I think you have two very undervalued teams

745
00:36:44,039 --> 00:36:47,000
in terms of like they've both been out of it

746
00:36:47,079 --> 00:36:49,440
for a while, so now you've kind of got this

747
00:36:49,559 --> 00:36:53,280
young influx of talent they're playing, they're they're better. In

748
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:56,920
my opinion, both of these teams are better versions of

749
00:36:57,239 --> 00:37:00,280
what they were earlier in the year, like the Pirates

750
00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:03,280
with their young pitching, you know, and Oviado is a

751
00:37:03,280 --> 00:37:06,679
guy that would have likely been in this rotation right

752
00:37:06,679 --> 00:37:07,199
off the rip.

753
00:37:07,280 --> 00:37:08,760
Speaker 2: He just he was hurt.

754
00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:11,280
Speaker 1: He spent the majority of the first half of his

755
00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:15,559
season coming back from injury. He's been fantastic, and yeah,

756
00:37:15,599 --> 00:37:19,199
like this is you know, it's an interesting handicap because

757
00:37:19,199 --> 00:37:22,159
the Pirates they've actually kind of used up some of

758
00:37:22,199 --> 00:37:24,599
their bullpen at this point. Even though they've they've managed

759
00:37:24,639 --> 00:37:27,559
to lose the first two games of this series, they

760
00:37:27,800 --> 00:37:31,000
they did cook through some of their bullpen arms. So

761
00:37:31,159 --> 00:37:33,760
that's not like, you know that that's something that is

762
00:37:33,760 --> 00:37:36,000
is not I would say ideal if you're looking for

763
00:37:36,039 --> 00:37:40,840
a Pirates sort of side bet. The other thing here

764
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:44,559
is like the Pirates, like they typically don't sort of

765
00:37:44,679 --> 00:37:47,519
crush left handed pitching. They're near the bottom in the

766
00:37:47,559 --> 00:37:50,840
league in WRC plus against letties, but then again, they're

767
00:37:50,880 --> 00:37:52,880
near the bottom of the league in WRC plus against

768
00:37:52,920 --> 00:37:56,400
just about anyone, and a lot of that number has

769
00:37:56,440 --> 00:37:58,800
been accumulated by guys that aren't necessarily going to be

770
00:37:58,840 --> 00:37:59,719
in the lineup today.

771
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:03,599
Speaker 2: So where you know, this is another one.

772
00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:06,559
Speaker 1: I don't really want to go against either of these

773
00:38:06,599 --> 00:38:11,079
teams because I'm very high on them relative to market

774
00:38:11,199 --> 00:38:14,000
right now, So relative to where they are priced in

775
00:38:14,119 --> 00:38:16,519
the market against the other thirty teams in the league,

776
00:38:16,559 --> 00:38:19,440
I'm very high on them. I could actually see some

777
00:38:19,519 --> 00:38:22,519
offense in this game. We haven't seen it yet this series,

778
00:38:22,559 --> 00:38:25,320
but you have to understand too that we had you know,

779
00:38:25,719 --> 00:38:29,480
Schemes was pitching yesterday. The day before was a two

780
00:38:29,519 --> 00:38:34,159
to three final. It was it was Burrows and Ashcraft

781
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:37,000
for the for the Pirates. I think the Orioles are

782
00:38:37,000 --> 00:38:39,679
going to see far sort of you know, even with

783
00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:42,239
a video being solid, even with the fact that he

784
00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:44,920
can be you know, kind of nasty. I don't think

785
00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:47,119
he goes super deep into this game. I think the

786
00:38:47,159 --> 00:38:49,280
overall sort of pitching that the Orioles are going to

787
00:38:49,320 --> 00:38:51,679
see is a little bit easier than the one they've

788
00:38:51,679 --> 00:38:55,360
seen the last two days, with guys like Ashcraft skiings some.

789
00:38:55,280 --> 00:38:56,440
Speaker 2: Of the better bullpen arms.

790
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:59,440
Speaker 1: And then on the other side, to your point, I

791
00:38:59,760 --> 00:39:01,719
don't have a ton of faith in povit right now,

792
00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:03,960
and the Pirates are a team that are hitting the

793
00:39:03,960 --> 00:39:06,159
ball better they've hit the ball. Where do you have

794
00:39:06,199 --> 00:39:08,679
the Pirates line up last thirty days TV? You can

795
00:39:08,760 --> 00:39:10,079
you quickly see that.

796
00:39:10,639 --> 00:39:13,119
Speaker 3: Well, my current form is not My current form is

797
00:39:13,159 --> 00:39:15,559
not exactly last three days. I take the last month,

798
00:39:15,679 --> 00:39:16,599
last no.

799
00:39:16,519 --> 00:39:18,519
Speaker 2: Like last month or so, where do you have the

800
00:39:18,519 --> 00:39:19,360
Pirates line.

801
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:23,079
Speaker 3: Make a taco out of that? And I use that

802
00:39:23,159 --> 00:39:26,280
for current current form. I have the Pirates at twenty

803
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:28,679
five and I have the Oriels at twenty one.

804
00:39:30,079 --> 00:39:32,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, so, like you know, even twenty five though,

805
00:39:33,039 --> 00:39:35,440
like that sounds like bad for the Pirates. Even twenty

806
00:39:35,440 --> 00:39:38,719
five is probably better than what they were most year,

807
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:40,920
Like this is a team that hadn't hit at all,

808
00:39:41,159 --> 00:39:43,119
they get priced as a bottom option. I guess the

809
00:39:43,119 --> 00:39:45,000
point I was trying to make is I feel like

810
00:39:45,039 --> 00:39:48,360
the Pirates offense is trending in the correct direction, just

811
00:39:48,519 --> 00:39:49,000
on the whole.

812
00:39:49,039 --> 00:39:50,519
Speaker 2: Now this series not so much.

813
00:39:50,559 --> 00:39:52,920
Speaker 1: We've had a couple of low scoring games, but this

814
00:39:53,079 --> 00:39:55,800
group of Pirates is hitting much better than like, let's say,

815
00:39:55,800 --> 00:39:56,679
the Pirates of May.

816
00:39:56,880 --> 00:39:59,320
Speaker 2: So I'm going to throw another over out here. It's

817
00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:01,360
a lot of total for me so far today TV

818
00:40:01,920 --> 00:40:02,920
over eight and a half.

819
00:40:03,199 --> 00:40:05,599
Speaker 1: I think this one gets there because what you don't

820
00:40:05,599 --> 00:40:08,880
have on the Oriol side is bullpen depth. So you're

821
00:40:08,920 --> 00:40:11,559
either gonna get the runs off Povich or you're gonna

822
00:40:11,599 --> 00:40:14,119
get it off like they have a very poor and

823
00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:16,599
not very deep bullpen right now, and they just want

824
00:40:16,679 --> 00:40:19,039
you know, they just won back to back close games.

825
00:40:19,480 --> 00:40:21,800
Speaker 2: On the Pirates side, if you don't get to a video.

826
00:40:22,519 --> 00:40:25,440
Speaker 1: There's definitely like the back end of their bullpen, which

827
00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:26,639
is what you're likely to see today.

828
00:40:26,679 --> 00:40:27,960
Speaker 2: You're not going to see Ashcraft.

829
00:40:28,239 --> 00:40:29,760
Speaker 1: You're not going to see a couple of their higher

830
00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:32,400
leverage relievers that were used the last two days.

831
00:40:32,760 --> 00:40:34,400
Speaker 2: I think there can be runs there as well.

832
00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:36,840
Speaker 1: So eight and a half over I like another over here,

833
00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:39,880
those last two totals we spoke about. I kind of

834
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:44,480
like quite a bit. All right, all right, we have

835
00:40:44,639 --> 00:40:49,679
about eighteen minutes left. We will lock in parlay pieces,

836
00:40:50,199 --> 00:40:52,000
try to hit a two team or today.

837
00:40:53,280 --> 00:40:53,519
Speaker 2: TV?

838
00:40:53,679 --> 00:40:55,920
Speaker 1: Do you so I kind of I guess I kind

839
00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:59,480
of rained on your parade with the Royals under Do

840
00:40:59,559 --> 00:41:01,280
you still want to go there in the parlay or

841
00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:03,079
do you have something that you want to talk about

842
00:41:03,079 --> 00:41:05,440
that we haven't talked about yet to get the parlays started.

843
00:41:05,599 --> 00:41:09,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's let's talk about the Padres and Rockies, because

844
00:41:10,039 --> 00:41:14,880
I think I'll make this my piece of the parlay.

845
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:18,159
Where are we at right now? Forty one minutes in

846
00:41:18,639 --> 00:41:19,760
fourteen seconds?

847
00:41:19,760 --> 00:41:22,760
Speaker 2: So yeah, we'll do that full game. Let's let's go

848
00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:23,639
to that one. Go ahead?

849
00:41:24,360 --> 00:41:24,719
Speaker 3: What's that?

850
00:41:25,719 --> 00:41:28,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, Well, we'll just do our full breakdown of Padres

851
00:41:28,079 --> 00:41:30,239
Rockies because we haven't talked about it yet, and yeah,

852
00:41:30,280 --> 00:41:30,880
go ahead.

853
00:41:30,639 --> 00:41:34,440
Speaker 3: That's what I'm going to do. So taking a look

854
00:41:34,519 --> 00:41:39,280
at the Padres and Rockies. Look, the Padres are just

855
00:41:39,320 --> 00:41:47,519
a better team and they're hitting despite despite not playing

856
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:53,559
very inspired baseball recently. I still think, let's see where

857
00:41:53,559 --> 00:41:56,400
do I have them ranked? I have their lineup ranked

858
00:41:56,440 --> 00:42:00,719
ten out of thirty despite playing uninspired baseball, where I

859
00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:04,719
have the Rockies rank sixteen. So not a huge discrepancy here.

860
00:42:05,119 --> 00:42:08,239
But the big discrepancy is the bullpens. Because the Padres

861
00:42:08,280 --> 00:42:11,559
bullpen is very solid even though they're not playing that well.

862
00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:15,880
Rockies bullpen is ranked twenty seven according to my rankings,

863
00:42:17,119 --> 00:42:21,360
and the Rockies are starting a pitcher today who has

864
00:42:21,800 --> 00:42:27,639
nine innings of experience and he has given up more

865
00:42:27,679 --> 00:42:29,880
than nine runs in those nine innings. Let's see, he

866
00:42:29,920 --> 00:42:33,239
gave up six three and four, so not very good.

867
00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:36,199
Thirteen runs in nine innings, and six of those runs

868
00:42:36,199 --> 00:42:40,360
were to these Padres. Looking at the team total Padres

869
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:43,280
four and a half seems really low to me. I

870
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:48,199
think they have a shot to blast mckaid brown, and

871
00:42:48,280 --> 00:42:51,239
even if they don't blast him, they can blast the

872
00:42:51,280 --> 00:42:54,440
twenty six ranked bullpen after he goes out. So I

873
00:42:55,679 --> 00:42:58,800
think four and a half here would be good if

874
00:42:58,800 --> 00:43:02,400
you don't trust Vasquez. You don't have to trust Vasquez

875
00:43:02,480 --> 00:43:06,840
because yeah, Colorado's putting runs up, and Vasquez certainly is

876
00:43:07,719 --> 00:43:12,440
vulnerable to getting hit by these guys. So forget Vasquez,

877
00:43:12,760 --> 00:43:15,679
forget the Rockies, and just go with the Padres team.

878
00:43:15,719 --> 00:43:17,800
Total over four and a half, that's gonna be my parlay.

879
00:43:17,880 --> 00:43:24,000
Leg I think it was minus one sixty fifty. I'll

880
00:43:24,039 --> 00:43:26,480
get you the exact number in just a moment off

881
00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:28,599
Pinnacle because.

882
00:43:28,360 --> 00:43:31,239
Speaker 2: I Saidres Padres team totally.

883
00:43:31,239 --> 00:43:34,039
Speaker 1: You said over four and a half, yeap, minus Like

884
00:43:34,480 --> 00:43:36,320
I see a minus one forty, I see a minus

885
00:43:36,360 --> 00:43:36,800
one fifty.

886
00:43:36,800 --> 00:43:38,360
Speaker 2: I think we could say minus one fifty.

887
00:43:38,880 --> 00:43:44,679
Speaker 3: That's fine, minus minus one thirty two on Pinnacle.

888
00:43:44,880 --> 00:43:46,639
Speaker 1: So yeah, I was gonna say, I see some I

889
00:43:46,679 --> 00:43:48,440
see some one forties.

890
00:43:48,719 --> 00:43:50,480
Speaker 2: I see more one forties than like one.

891
00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:54,280
Speaker 3: Let's say minus one forty. Then, yeah, Pinnacle is rather

892
00:43:54,360 --> 00:43:56,519
generous sometimes, So yeah.

893
00:43:56,360 --> 00:43:59,119
Speaker 1: Yep, yeah, I'm looking at two over four and a

894
00:43:59,159 --> 00:43:59,920
half minus one four.

895
00:44:00,119 --> 00:44:02,400
Speaker 2: He's here, I listen.

896
00:44:02,599 --> 00:44:08,000
Speaker 1: It's it's gonna be very difficult to like talk someone

897
00:44:08,039 --> 00:44:11,119
off of a a team total against the Rockies, because

898
00:44:11,760 --> 00:44:13,360
even if even if you get a good effort from

899
00:44:13,360 --> 00:44:17,599
a starting pitcher, they're there, it's always one crooked number away,

900
00:44:17,719 --> 00:44:21,039
right Like it's it's just always there's always the possibility

901
00:44:21,079 --> 00:44:23,719
that that happens against what the Rockies are running out

902
00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:27,480
there bullpen wise. Right now, that being said, I like

903
00:44:27,599 --> 00:44:30,079
mckaid brown a little bit, and and so I'll tell

904
00:44:30,079 --> 00:44:32,480
you he he he has spent so he didn't spend

905
00:44:32,519 --> 00:44:33,400
any time at Triple A.

906
00:44:34,000 --> 00:44:34,159
Speaker 2: Uh.

907
00:44:34,280 --> 00:44:35,760
Speaker 1: The only reason I kind of had him on my

908
00:44:35,880 --> 00:44:39,440
radar is my cousin. I have a cousin that lives

909
00:44:39,840 --> 00:44:41,760
over in Connecticut and her and her her and her

910
00:44:41,880 --> 00:44:45,400
husband go to Hartford Yard Goats games frequently, and so

911
00:44:45,719 --> 00:44:48,320
when they go, they always text. They always tend to

912
00:44:48,360 --> 00:44:50,280
text me to to to let me know that they're

913
00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:53,320
at the ballpark. And what I do is I look,

914
00:44:53,440 --> 00:44:55,880
I kind of look at the roster and say, oh, Okay,

915
00:44:55,880 --> 00:44:57,679
I think this guy's good this because that's a Double

916
00:44:57,679 --> 00:44:59,719
A team, so obviously they're they're not.

917
00:45:00,119 --> 00:45:00,719
Speaker 2: They just show up.

918
00:45:00,719 --> 00:45:02,599
Speaker 1: They don't know who any of the players are, and

919
00:45:02,639 --> 00:45:04,639
so I like, look at see who's pitching for that day.

920
00:45:04,679 --> 00:45:06,360
Speaker 2: Who's in the lineup, And.

921
00:45:06,559 --> 00:45:08,679
Speaker 1: It kind of got me to look at mcaid brown

922
00:45:08,719 --> 00:45:12,239
a little bit, you know, and I saw, you know

923
00:45:12,280 --> 00:45:14,920
that he's so that. So first of all, it's craziness

924
00:45:15,000 --> 00:45:18,159
that the Rockies Double A team is over at Hartford, Connecticut,

925
00:45:18,199 --> 00:45:19,320
but that is that is true.

926
00:45:19,519 --> 00:45:21,280
Speaker 2: The Colorado Rockies Double.

927
00:45:21,039 --> 00:45:23,360
Speaker 1: A affiliate is all the way over in Hartford, CT

928
00:45:23,880 --> 00:45:27,320
and mccaid brown that's where he spent most of his year.

929
00:45:27,480 --> 00:45:30,400
He actually started the year in High A, came up

930
00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:35,159
to Double AS, has easily been the best pitcher in

931
00:45:35,199 --> 00:45:38,519
the Rockies farm system this year, better than Donander, better

932
00:45:38,519 --> 00:45:41,639
than palm Quist, one point oh seven whip in the minors,

933
00:45:41,840 --> 00:45:44,480
one hundred and five strikeouts, and seventy six and two

934
00:45:44,559 --> 00:45:48,400
thirds innings. So you know, they called him up directly

935
00:45:48,400 --> 00:45:52,119
from Double A. I gotta be honest, I may be

936
00:45:52,239 --> 00:45:55,199
a mccaid brown believer. And again I'm not saying that

937
00:45:55,199 --> 00:45:58,280
that the Padres won't find their way to some runs

938
00:45:58,280 --> 00:45:59,480
at some point in this game.

939
00:46:00,440 --> 00:46:01,159
Speaker 2: But you know, I.

940
00:46:01,559 --> 00:46:04,920
Speaker 1: Yes, he's been crushed in a couple of big league starts,

941
00:46:04,960 --> 00:46:06,840
but you got to remember they gave him no time

942
00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:09,480
at Triple A whatsoever. They called him up. They said,

943
00:46:09,480 --> 00:46:12,320
hey you, we need you no Triple A. You're gonna

944
00:46:12,320 --> 00:46:14,480
come up and you're gonna pitch against the Pirates. Obviously

945
00:46:14,519 --> 00:46:18,480
that didn't go well. He's faced the Cubs and the

946
00:46:18,480 --> 00:46:20,960
Padres so far, and last time out he got smoked

947
00:46:20,960 --> 00:46:23,079
by the Padres, So that may be a little bit

948
00:46:23,119 --> 00:46:26,000
of concern. But this guy's got good stuff, and I

949
00:46:26,039 --> 00:46:29,559
would just be cautious of like thinking that you can

950
00:46:29,679 --> 00:46:32,440
just like fade him for a free win here, because

951
00:46:33,039 --> 00:46:35,840
he has had really good stuff all season in the minors,

952
00:46:35,880 --> 00:46:38,199
and I just think that those three starts that you've

953
00:46:38,199 --> 00:46:42,280
seen at the big league level are him, just like

954
00:46:42,840 --> 00:46:44,639
he had no time at Triple A. They just said,

955
00:46:44,639 --> 00:46:46,719
hey you, Hartford Yard, go we need you in the

956
00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:49,000
big leagues. And I don't you know, I think he

957
00:46:49,039 --> 00:46:51,079
needed a little time to like get his feet wet.

958
00:46:52,119 --> 00:46:54,360
Speaker 2: I'm here's the point I'm gonna make about this game.

959
00:46:54,920 --> 00:46:57,079
Speaker 1: At some point from now to the end of the season,

960
00:46:57,320 --> 00:46:59,119
he's gonna come out and throw a gem. I don't

961
00:46:59,159 --> 00:47:01,000
know if it's gonna be here, but I bet you

962
00:47:01,079 --> 00:47:03,559
he has like a six shutout inning type outing in

963
00:47:03,639 --> 00:47:05,480
him because his stuff is that good.

964
00:47:06,079 --> 00:47:07,360
Speaker 2: I don't care TV you.

965
00:47:07,320 --> 00:47:11,639
Speaker 1: Don't strike out one hundred and five guys in seventy

966
00:47:11,679 --> 00:47:14,000
six and two thirds innings over a full season in

967
00:47:14,039 --> 00:47:19,199
the minors without you being like kind of okay, I

968
00:47:19,280 --> 00:47:22,599
like Rockies plus one and a half plus one oh five.

969
00:47:22,679 --> 00:47:25,400
I think that's a reasonably good bet, and I hope,

970
00:47:25,400 --> 00:47:27,559
for your sake and our sake, for the parlay TV,

971
00:47:27,760 --> 00:47:31,719
it's a it's a higher scoring game because this is

972
00:47:31,840 --> 00:47:34,159
Randy that you want to know who's worse than mcaid brown,

973
00:47:34,599 --> 00:47:38,159
it's probably Randy Vasquez. Okay, this is this is a

974
00:47:38,159 --> 00:47:40,960
guy that is a four to a starter at best.

975
00:47:41,159 --> 00:47:44,480
Someone in the chats like someone's in the chat like

976
00:47:45,079 --> 00:47:46,960
this is one of Adam's wrong takes.

977
00:47:47,199 --> 00:47:47,559
Speaker 2: Listen.

978
00:47:47,599 --> 00:47:50,239
Speaker 1: I'm not saying TV's play is not gonna hit, but

979
00:47:50,320 --> 00:47:53,119
i'll tell you right now, mccaid brown in a year

980
00:47:53,519 --> 00:47:56,079
is going to be higher on all of your rankings

981
00:47:56,199 --> 00:47:58,800
than Randy Vasquez. And you can get him right here

982
00:47:58,800 --> 00:48:02,519
plus one and a half at plus money. I if

983
00:48:02,559 --> 00:48:04,239
I had to pick a side here, it's Rockies plus

984
00:48:04,239 --> 00:48:06,079
one and a half all day at that plus price,

985
00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:10,199
because mccade brown is really good. But obviously the padres

986
00:48:10,239 --> 00:48:13,280
like they need the game they're at home, so I

987
00:48:13,280 --> 00:48:15,599
don't think getting to the four and a half is impossible,

988
00:48:15,760 --> 00:48:18,159
but I think Brown can keep them in this game.

989
00:48:18,440 --> 00:48:21,000
I'm I'm just trying to give you guys the best

990
00:48:21,039 --> 00:48:24,360
info possible. Circle mccaid Brown. If it's not this start,

991
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:26,440
it will be next start. He's got a gem in

992
00:48:26,519 --> 00:48:28,079
him at some point go ahead TV.

993
00:48:28,559 --> 00:48:31,679
Speaker 3: Two points to make. Maybe he did accumulate a lot

994
00:48:31,679 --> 00:48:34,119
of strikeouts, but he did not do that against Manny

995
00:48:34,159 --> 00:48:35,559
Machado and Tatis.

996
00:48:36,119 --> 00:48:38,280
Speaker 2: Correct right, toughout.

997
00:48:38,440 --> 00:48:42,639
Speaker 1: Those are tough outs, and it's rare these days that

998
00:48:42,679 --> 00:48:44,440
they don't give a guy at least a starter or

999
00:48:44,440 --> 00:48:46,719
two at Triple A. So that's why I'm saying, you

1000
00:48:46,840 --> 00:48:49,920
gotta like take those numbers with a grain of salt,

1001
00:48:50,280 --> 00:48:53,519
because he had no time at Triple A and so

1002
00:48:53,639 --> 00:48:55,800
coming up and getting bombed by some big league hitters

1003
00:48:55,920 --> 00:48:59,800
is not is not the Colin Gregory said Randy will

1004
00:48:59,840 --> 00:49:02,000
be in the KBL That is as factual as the

1005
00:49:02,000 --> 00:49:04,679
statement as I've ever heard. Qu up the Randy Vasquez

1006
00:49:04,679 --> 00:49:08,800
to Low Ta Giants right now, twenty seven KBO starter

1007
00:49:08,920 --> 00:49:09,719
right there.

1008
00:49:10,960 --> 00:49:15,960
Speaker 3: He might not be lo Te's best picture anyways, But anyways,

1009
00:49:16,519 --> 00:49:19,320
my second point is. I've been to Hartford, Connecticut one time.

1010
00:49:19,400 --> 00:49:22,320
It was the most depressing place I've ever been. I

1011
00:49:22,360 --> 00:49:25,320
walked down the street on a Saturday, and McDonald's in

1012
00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:28,760
Hartford are closed on Saturdays. There's no street traffic. It

1013
00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:31,199
was like a ghost town. I was depressed.

1014
00:49:32,199 --> 00:49:35,159
Speaker 1: Hartford is such a weird city because there's parts of

1015
00:49:35,199 --> 00:49:37,679
Hartford that you literally feel like you're in Manhattan that

1016
00:49:37,760 --> 00:49:40,360
are like super downtown like but kind of by where

1017
00:49:40,400 --> 00:49:40,880
the Yard.

1018
00:49:41,039 --> 00:49:44,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, so like, dude, it's very very odd because.

1019
00:49:43,840 --> 00:49:47,039
Speaker 1: I felt like most town down by like where the

1020
00:49:47,119 --> 00:49:49,039
Yard goes play and where the Excel Center is where

1021
00:49:49,119 --> 00:49:51,719
Yukon plays, it looks like you're in Manhattan. You feel

1022
00:49:51,760 --> 00:49:54,199
like you're in a huge city. If you go to like,

1023
00:49:54,280 --> 00:49:56,360
if you go to like I think it's West Hartford,

1024
00:49:57,599 --> 00:50:00,679
it looks like abandoned and it's not very nice. It's

1025
00:50:00,679 --> 00:50:02,159
it's a it's a weird city.

1026
00:50:02,880 --> 00:50:03,679
Speaker 2: But you're hungry.

1027
00:50:03,679 --> 00:50:06,320
Speaker 3: I went to McDonald's. They're like it's closed. I'm like,

1028
00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:09,320
you closed McDonald's on the Saturday. Yeah, nobody comes here,

1029
00:50:09,320 --> 00:50:14,559
And I'm like, whoa. Anyways, just a little point, but.

1030
00:50:15,440 --> 00:50:17,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm just I and I'll go back to like

1031
00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:19,000
a point I made since the beginning of the season,

1032
00:50:19,079 --> 00:50:21,960
Like Randy Vasquez, like credit credit to him for being

1033
00:50:22,039 --> 00:50:23,719
able to sort of like hang around and do what

1034
00:50:23,760 --> 00:50:24,400
he's done this year.

1035
00:50:24,440 --> 00:50:25,679
Speaker 2: He throws five six pitches.

1036
00:50:25,719 --> 00:50:28,480
Speaker 1: But I just have I don't have high hopes for

1037
00:50:28,559 --> 00:50:31,719
him as a big league starter, and I wouldn't be

1038
00:50:31,719 --> 00:50:34,239
surprised if the Rockies generated some offense off him here.

1039
00:50:34,639 --> 00:50:37,760
So but for the so just to rehash, because I'm

1040
00:50:37,760 --> 00:50:39,360
gonna get into a game in a second, I'm gonna

1041
00:50:39,400 --> 00:50:42,800
close out our parlay Tokyo Brandon his parlay like he's

1042
00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:46,719
going padres over four and a half on the team total.

1043
00:50:47,039 --> 00:50:50,800
It's like minus one forty in that game. So yeah,

1044
00:50:50,840 --> 00:50:53,639
we we we can root for runs and I'm gonna

1045
00:50:53,960 --> 00:50:56,079
I'm gonna root for the Rockies to to come out

1046
00:50:56,079 --> 00:50:57,320
and find a way to win that game.

1047
00:50:57,519 --> 00:51:00,880
Speaker 2: But I hope they do. It sounds great to me.

1048
00:51:01,480 --> 00:51:03,920
It sounds great to me for sure.

1049
00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:06,840
Speaker 3: Because actually, Adam, even if even if Brown has a

1050
00:51:06,880 --> 00:51:08,920
decent game, I don't think he's going to go more

1051
00:51:08,960 --> 00:51:09,719
than five innings.

1052
00:51:11,199 --> 00:51:13,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, I could see that, Like He's right, because they

1053
00:51:13,400 --> 00:51:15,360
have they have no reason to like really run his

1054
00:51:15,360 --> 00:51:15,800
innings up.

1055
00:51:15,840 --> 00:51:16,480
Speaker 2: There at this point.

1056
00:51:16,519 --> 00:51:18,519
Speaker 1: So I do think you're probably right in the respect

1057
00:51:18,519 --> 00:51:20,960
that you should get like four innings out of this

1058
00:51:21,039 --> 00:51:21,880
Rockies bullpen.

1059
00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:26,880
Speaker 2: I don't disagree with that, but Colin, I'm.

1060
00:51:26,760 --> 00:51:29,679
Speaker 1: With you, and hey, hand up right, like I've lost

1061
00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:32,119
money this year, fading Randy as well he is he

1062
00:51:32,199 --> 00:51:35,119
has been, And this is such a good comment, Like

1063
00:51:35,159 --> 00:51:36,719
I don't really know how to quantify it.

1064
00:51:36,760 --> 00:51:38,760
Speaker 2: I'm sure on the stat cast page you can.

1065
00:51:39,119 --> 00:51:42,039
Speaker 1: He is insanely lucky when it comes to bat a

1066
00:51:42,119 --> 00:51:45,679
ball luck and like getting out of innings where there's

1067
00:51:45,679 --> 00:51:49,920
traffic on the basis guys like Houdini, He's always finds

1068
00:51:49,920 --> 00:51:50,519
a way out.

1069
00:51:50,440 --> 00:51:56,880
Speaker 3: TV like his games are in San Diego. Yeah, yeah, anyway,

1070
00:51:57,039 --> 00:51:59,480
it's a very pitcher friendly park.

1071
00:51:59,639 --> 00:52:04,599
Speaker 1: So yeah, all right, let's let's go to I'll close

1072
00:52:04,639 --> 00:52:05,400
this parlay out.

1073
00:52:05,440 --> 00:52:07,039
Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'm gonna go to a.

1074
00:52:08,480 --> 00:52:10,119
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to a different game here. Let me

1075
00:52:10,159 --> 00:52:11,920
just let me just make sure I have the the

1076
00:52:12,119 --> 00:52:13,599
line and up on it first.

1077
00:52:14,119 --> 00:52:14,320
Speaker 2: Uh.

1078
00:52:14,400 --> 00:52:17,559
Speaker 1: I feel like they hadn't come up much recently, but

1079
00:52:18,519 --> 00:52:22,440
the White Sox, they were obviously my my team for

1080
00:52:22,519 --> 00:52:25,000
a long period of time. You know, I was kind

1081
00:52:25,039 --> 00:52:26,639
of feel like I was ahead on the curve on

1082
00:52:26,760 --> 00:52:29,119
them coming out of the All Star Break playing better ball.

1083
00:52:29,599 --> 00:52:31,679
Uh they they sort of, you know, they had a

1084
00:52:31,679 --> 00:52:34,400
wheels fall off moment there for a while, like earlier

1085
00:52:34,440 --> 00:52:36,559
part of or end of last month, earlier part of

1086
00:52:36,599 --> 00:52:40,719
this month. But tb the the White Sox. I feel like,

1087
00:52:40,800 --> 00:52:44,440
are you know so end of last month? So far

1088
00:52:44,639 --> 00:52:47,639
this month, I think the White Sox are very much back.

1089
00:52:47,760 --> 00:52:50,320
So they had what I was referring to was the

1090
00:52:50,440 --> 00:52:52,639
five game losing streak at the end of last month.

1091
00:52:53,280 --> 00:52:57,719
Since August thirty first, the Chicago White Sox one two, three, four,

1092
00:52:57,840 --> 00:52:58,639
five six.

1093
00:52:58,679 --> 00:53:00,519
Speaker 2: They're eight and two straight up.

1094
00:53:00,639 --> 00:53:03,400
Speaker 1: They're eight and two straight up since August thirty first,

1095
00:53:03,719 --> 00:53:06,360
And that's just like young team going through the ebbs

1096
00:53:06,360 --> 00:53:08,599
and flows of being like a very young team. They

1097
00:53:08,599 --> 00:53:11,280
have a lot of players that I'm really very high on.

1098
00:53:11,360 --> 00:53:14,239
I think their collection of arms in the bullpen is

1099
00:53:14,400 --> 00:53:19,000
very good. They will face Ian Seymour today, who is

1100
00:53:19,039 --> 00:53:21,920
a guy that I think is going to have a

1101
00:53:21,960 --> 00:53:24,400
bright future in the big leagues. But he's also a

1102
00:53:24,440 --> 00:53:27,760
guy that they've seen a ton Do you know why,

1103
00:53:27,960 --> 00:53:32,480
Because Ian Seymour pitching for Durham Durham and Charlotte play

1104
00:53:32,559 --> 00:53:35,559
constantly at Triple A. Okay, so you have Ian Seymour,

1105
00:53:35,559 --> 00:53:38,199
who has spent essentially the last two years at Triple A.

1106
00:53:38,719 --> 00:53:41,559
You have a White Sox roster who's essentially spent the

1107
00:53:41,599 --> 00:53:42,679
last two years at Triple A.

1108
00:53:42,800 --> 00:53:44,679
Speaker 2: Most of these guys are fresh to the majors.

1109
00:53:45,199 --> 00:53:45,639
Speaker 1: Just up.

1110
00:53:46,079 --> 00:53:47,559
Speaker 2: They I don't have it in front of me.

1111
00:53:47,920 --> 00:53:50,719
Speaker 1: They probably have as big of a sample size against

1112
00:53:50,760 --> 00:53:54,320
Ian Seymour as as anyone you're gonna find at this point.

1113
00:53:54,440 --> 00:53:58,119
And you know, Ian Seymour, you know, at the big

1114
00:53:58,239 --> 00:54:00,519
league level, has not really been what he's what he's

1115
00:54:00,519 --> 00:54:01,320
been at Triple A.

1116
00:54:03,079 --> 00:54:03,519
Speaker 2: So far.

1117
00:54:03,719 --> 00:54:05,599
Speaker 1: You know, he's had a couple of good outings. Last

1118
00:54:05,679 --> 00:54:07,920
you know, last time out against Cleveland was decent. He

1119
00:54:07,960 --> 00:54:10,039
only made or I'm sorry, two times out to go

1120
00:54:10,079 --> 00:54:13,039
against Cleveland was decent. Five shoutout innings with the last

1121
00:54:13,039 --> 00:54:15,639
two times out gave it four runs to the Nationals,

1122
00:54:16,000 --> 00:54:17,360
five runs to the Guardians.

1123
00:54:17,559 --> 00:54:19,639
Speaker 2: This White Sox line is better than both of those.

1124
00:54:20,800 --> 00:54:22,039
And then you've got Shane Smith.

1125
00:54:22,079 --> 00:54:25,239
Speaker 1: And even with Shane Smith's ups and downs, I still

1126
00:54:25,239 --> 00:54:27,480
think he's had a very solid season. And I like

1127
00:54:27,519 --> 00:54:30,119
these bullpen arms for the White Sox. The Rays are

1128
00:54:30,159 --> 00:54:32,679
the team Tokyo Brandon that I think you can stick

1129
00:54:32,679 --> 00:54:34,920
a fork in. At this point, they had their big run,

1130
00:54:35,159 --> 00:54:37,559
their big winning streak. This team's now five and a

1131
00:54:37,599 --> 00:54:40,880
half games out. They lost yesterday. Their season is over.

1132
00:54:41,400 --> 00:54:43,840
My parlayle will be White Sox plus one and a half.

1133
00:54:44,039 --> 00:54:46,199
I won't be surprised if they win this game, but

1134
00:54:46,239 --> 00:54:48,119
I want to hit the parlay and I like having

1135
00:54:48,119 --> 00:54:50,639
that run, so White Sox plus one and a half.

1136
00:54:50,960 --> 00:54:55,360
Speaker 2: I would like to know, though, do you agree or disagree?

1137
00:54:56,639 --> 00:54:58,840
Speaker 3: I agree with you that the White Sox are a

1138
00:54:58,920 --> 00:55:03,760
very dangerous team and they're always underdogs and they're probably,

1139
00:55:04,119 --> 00:55:07,360
in my opinion, the most difficult team to cap in

1140
00:55:07,400 --> 00:55:11,280
all of Major League Baseball because they on the surface

1141
00:55:11,320 --> 00:55:16,039
they just look terrible, but they're not terrible. So the

1142
00:55:16,480 --> 00:55:19,199
automatic knee jerk reaction is to fade them. But if

1143
00:55:19,199 --> 00:55:21,559
you fade them, you're probably losing a lot of money

1144
00:55:21,559 --> 00:55:29,199
this season because they're extremely scrappy. And to enforce your

1145
00:55:29,239 --> 00:55:32,199
point there, I have them ranked number eight in current

1146
00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:36,679
form in offense production, so eight out of thirty teams,

1147
00:55:36,880 --> 00:55:38,840
and they're on an eight and two run right So,

1148
00:55:39,360 --> 00:55:42,519
but I do just slightly disagree with you in Seymour.

1149
00:55:42,639 --> 00:55:48,400
I think my numbers love Seymour and his expected projection

1150
00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:52,960
ratings like expected ERA and those those kind of ratings

1151
00:55:53,000 --> 00:55:57,079
are off the chart. So he did give up a

1152
00:55:57,079 --> 00:55:58,840
lot of runs in his last few stars, but they

1153
00:55:58,840 --> 00:56:00,920
weren't all earned. I mean, I mean, he's backed by

1154
00:56:01,000 --> 00:56:05,519
a pretty pretty poor fielding team. So I like Seymour.

1155
00:56:05,639 --> 00:56:08,239
So I I don't know how to read the White

1156
00:56:08,239 --> 00:56:13,519
Sox though, that's the problem. They're hitting better than Tampa

1157
00:56:13,519 --> 00:56:19,000
Bay bullpens are both fairly decent slightly above average, but

1158
00:56:19,039 --> 00:56:21,679
I got Seymore ranked higher than Smith. I got Smith

1159
00:56:21,920 --> 00:56:25,039
graded very average, right at fifteen out of thirty, but

1160
00:56:25,079 --> 00:56:28,239
I got Seymour ranked much higher. However, the sample size

1161
00:56:28,280 --> 00:56:31,559
is small, so I won't argue with your White Sox

1162
00:56:31,920 --> 00:56:34,400
plus one and a half. But I stay away from

1163
00:56:34,679 --> 00:56:38,760
White Sox games because they're just so hard. I don't

1164
00:56:38,760 --> 00:56:40,800
have stock in the team as well like you do.

1165
00:56:42,400 --> 00:56:46,239
Speaker 1: Yeah right, yeah, no, I just listen, they've been they've

1166
00:56:46,239 --> 00:56:49,119
been very undervalued, probably since about the ninety gay mark

1167
00:56:49,159 --> 00:56:51,400
when we first started talking about them.

1168
00:56:51,679 --> 00:56:52,480
Speaker 2: You're you're not.

1169
00:56:52,599 --> 00:56:55,840
Speaker 1: Wrong to be high on Ian Seymour, Like so I

1170
00:56:55,880 --> 00:56:58,320
want to make like a very clear point here. Ian

1171
00:56:58,360 --> 00:57:00,280
Seymour is going to be a very good star in

1172
00:57:00,320 --> 00:57:03,360
this league. He already has has shown it. He already

1173
00:57:03,400 --> 00:57:06,079
is to an extent. The reason that I'm okay with

1174
00:57:06,159 --> 00:57:09,760
going against him today a couple things. Fastball Velo the

1175
00:57:09,800 --> 00:57:12,119
last couple starts has been a little bit down. I

1176
00:57:12,119 --> 00:57:15,079
think the I just think the rigors of a long

1177
00:57:15,159 --> 00:57:18,360
season going up and down from the Major to the minors,

1178
00:57:18,639 --> 00:57:21,760
starter to the bullpen, I think is just caught up

1179
00:57:21,800 --> 00:57:24,480
with him a little bit at this point, and that's

1180
00:57:24,480 --> 00:57:27,239
probably why you're seeing a dip in fastball below. And

1181
00:57:27,280 --> 00:57:29,960
then the other thing is just it's a rare scenario

1182
00:57:29,960 --> 00:57:32,800
where you have a guy that's new to the MLB

1183
00:57:33,480 --> 00:57:38,159
that the other team has seen a ton Because the

1184
00:57:38,199 --> 00:57:42,119
White Sox and Rays minor league teams are are essentially rivals,

1185
00:57:42,800 --> 00:57:44,920
which means they play more than any of the other

1186
00:57:45,119 --> 00:57:47,800
teams like so basically triple A, they're gonna pair you

1187
00:57:47,840 --> 00:57:51,079
off like so Syracuse, Syracuse, Rochester play more than like

1188
00:57:51,159 --> 00:57:54,400
anyone else, Durham, Charlotte play like more than anyone else,

1189
00:57:54,639 --> 00:57:58,719
So they have a big time sample against him. And again,

1190
00:57:59,039 --> 00:58:03,320
you rarely find that the big league roster is essentially

1191
00:58:03,360 --> 00:58:05,320
all Triple A guys from the last year and a half,

1192
00:58:05,360 --> 00:58:06,800
and that's what you're getting with the White Sox. So

1193
00:58:06,840 --> 00:58:11,199
I think it's a I think it is a really

1194
00:58:11,719 --> 00:58:14,880
good spot for the Socks, and you're catching the run

1195
00:58:14,920 --> 00:58:17,199
and a half on a team that's starting to fade

1196
00:58:17,239 --> 00:58:17,760
out of the race.

1197
00:58:18,039 --> 00:58:20,119
Speaker 2: I really love the spot and set up for the

1198
00:58:20,119 --> 00:58:25,400
White Sox. Today. All right, we have reached the end

1199
00:58:25,480 --> 00:58:27,159
of the show. Got a lot in today that was

1200
00:58:27,559 --> 00:58:28,039
good TV.

1201
00:58:28,679 --> 00:58:30,159
Speaker 1: I feel like we got a lot of good stuff,

1202
00:58:30,159 --> 00:58:31,519
a lot of good conversation in.

1203
00:58:33,159 --> 00:58:35,000
Speaker 2: I am so for the parlay.

1204
00:58:35,119 --> 00:58:38,559
Speaker 1: It is a nice, clean, tidy two to one parlay

1205
00:58:38,599 --> 00:58:42,119
plus two hundred. I am on White Sox plus one

1206
00:58:42,119 --> 00:58:44,599
and a half for the full game and Tokyo Brandon's

1207
00:58:44,639 --> 00:58:48,599
gonna be looking for runs at Pechco Park tonight. Padres

1208
00:58:48,760 --> 00:58:52,119
team total over four and a half, so we got

1209
00:58:52,119 --> 00:58:54,159
White Sox plus one and a half full game for

1210
00:58:54,239 --> 00:58:57,760
Trig Padres full game team total over four and a

1211
00:58:57,800 --> 00:59:01,280
half comes out to two to one, and hopefully we've

1212
00:59:01,280 --> 00:59:04,280
got a winner going into tomorrow and then we get

1213
00:59:04,280 --> 00:59:06,079
Brian back and we can can maybe hit a three

1214
00:59:06,119 --> 00:59:08,599
team or to close out the week, have a great

1215
00:59:08,679 --> 00:59:09,159
day everyone.

1216
00:59:10,559 --> 00:59:11,239
Speaker 2: Yeah. Oh yeah.

1217
00:59:11,239 --> 00:59:14,400
Speaker 1: And that's the other thing I I I'll probably I

1218
00:59:14,719 --> 00:59:16,079
really am bad about promoting.

1219
00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:18,480
Speaker 3: Adam is a very bad salesman.

1220
00:59:19,199 --> 00:59:21,719
Speaker 1: Bad salesman which is is not a great look when

1221
00:59:21,880 --> 00:59:25,039
when your job is to sell picks. But you know, hey,

1222
00:59:25,119 --> 00:59:28,400
that's why I have TV. Here go grab TVs five

1223
00:59:28,440 --> 00:59:32,000
percent play. I'll be honest. After after losing the Cardinals

1224
00:59:32,039 --> 00:59:34,320
in the fashion I did last night, I I probably

1225
00:59:34,360 --> 00:59:36,679
won't even make you pay for my MLB today. It's

1226
00:59:36,719 --> 00:59:38,679
like I've got some football up. I've had a great

1227
00:59:38,719 --> 00:59:41,800
start to the football season. I got a couple of football.

1228
00:59:41,440 --> 00:59:44,400
Speaker 2: Players I saw that I'll probably be selling the KB.

1229
00:59:44,679 --> 00:59:46,079
Speaker 1: I think I'm on like an eight and two KB

1230
00:59:46,199 --> 00:59:48,840
O run right now, so I'll probably sell that.

1231
00:59:49,599 --> 00:59:52,920
Speaker 3: I feel one was very was very good.

1232
00:59:55,840 --> 00:59:58,880
Speaker 1: This year, had the Browns Week one, five and oh

1233
00:59:58,920 --> 01:00:02,320
to start the NFL season right now. For whatever reason

1234
01:00:03,199 --> 01:00:05,119
I have, I have been on the wrong side of

1235
01:00:05,159 --> 01:00:08,360
the luck in every Major League Baseball bat for like

1236
01:00:08,400 --> 01:00:11,400
the last week. So I don't know if I'll put

1237
01:00:11,400 --> 01:00:13,519
anything out today. If I do, like I'll more than

1238
01:00:13,559 --> 01:00:16,840
likely put it up just for free. So check keep

1239
01:00:16,920 --> 01:00:18,440
keep an eye on my page. I feel like I

1240
01:00:18,440 --> 01:00:20,679
owe you guys a free one at this point.

1241
01:00:20,960 --> 01:00:23,639
Speaker 3: A red hot Adams football is red.

1242
01:00:23,519 --> 01:00:27,840
Speaker 1: Hot and and and yet and you know you can

1243
01:00:27,880 --> 01:00:30,159
save the the if you were going to buy me today,

1244
01:00:30,199 --> 01:00:31,719
I'll tell you what, if you were going to buy

1245
01:00:31,760 --> 01:00:34,480
me today, you can save that money and put it

1246
01:00:34,519 --> 01:00:37,000
towards TV's five percenter, because he's been ripping these five

1247
01:00:37,039 --> 01:00:41,480
percenters off left and right, three and all this month.

1248
01:00:41,559 --> 01:00:45,599
That's a that's an incredible uh start on big bets.

1249
01:00:45,840 --> 01:00:48,559
And that's this month, as in like in September so far.

1250
01:00:48,679 --> 01:00:51,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, I I only do baseball, so I only have

1251
01:00:51,840 --> 01:00:54,079
four or five plays in a month, and this is

1252
01:00:54,119 --> 01:00:54,960
my last one.

1253
01:00:55,519 --> 01:00:57,599
Speaker 1: Well, and if you're if you're I, I I feel

1254
01:00:57,639 --> 01:00:59,679
like if you're, like, if you run the table, you

1255
01:00:59,679 --> 01:01:01,519
you may maybe can ask for an extra one.

1256
01:01:01,559 --> 01:01:04,199
Speaker 2: I think that's that's fair. I feel like, if you

1257
01:01:04,320 --> 01:01:07,559
run the table, you know. But anyway, but.

1258
01:01:07,840 --> 01:01:10,199
Speaker 3: Three and oh so far, three and oh so far.

1259
01:01:11,039 --> 01:01:13,159
Speaker 1: Colin Gregory, thank you for the shout out. You know,

1260
01:01:13,360 --> 01:01:16,599
you know I'm already digging. You know I'll be November.

1261
01:01:16,760 --> 01:01:18,960
So I want to throw this out there too, because

1262
01:01:18,960 --> 01:01:22,519
I haven't really publicly said this yet, this show will

1263
01:01:22,559 --> 01:01:27,000
turn into a college basketball show once college basketball season starts.

1264
01:01:27,239 --> 01:01:30,559
I'll obviously have different panel lists because TV doesn't do

1265
01:01:30,639 --> 01:01:33,920
college basketball. But we will be doing this show five

1266
01:01:34,000 --> 01:01:36,800
days a week. Two other wager talk guys who I

1267
01:01:36,840 --> 01:01:39,239
am not going to announce yet because I need to

1268
01:01:39,280 --> 01:01:41,320
make sure I'm allowed to say that out loud.

1269
01:01:41,760 --> 01:01:42,960
Speaker 2: I got to talk to the boss.

1270
01:01:43,119 --> 01:01:44,679
Speaker 1: But I will be here five days a week, and

1271
01:01:44,679 --> 01:01:47,119
we will be doing the same type of show for

1272
01:01:47,239 --> 01:01:50,880
college hoop, and we will have all of those small

1273
01:01:50,920 --> 01:01:52,199
school info.

1274
01:01:53,559 --> 01:01:56,360
Speaker 2: We'll have it, so keep an eye out for that.

1275
01:01:56,440 --> 01:01:58,519
Speaker 1: We're gonna well, yeah, we're gonna be let this ride

1276
01:01:58,599 --> 01:02:01,360
right in a college hoop season. For today, go check

1277
01:02:01,400 --> 01:02:04,760
out TV's five percent play and you guys in the morning.

1278
01:02:05,119 --> 01:02:06,159
We'll see you guys in the morning.

1279
01:02:08,880 --> 01:02:10,480
Speaker 2: M hm, m hm.