Speaker 1: All right, guys, welcome in. It's Thursday. It's time for
total basis. Gotta be honest, I didn't really want to
do a show this morning, but you know what, coming
on here and talking baseball for an hour I think
will be, uh be good for everyone. So it is
September eleventh, we should be thinking about that Tokyo, Brandon,
were you still Were you still in the US on
September eleventh? Do you remember anything about that?
Speaker 2: Bet?
Speaker 3: I do remember that day. I was actually already here
in Japan, living in Japan. Uh, you were probably like
twelve years old, right, No, No, I.
Speaker 1: Was in tenth grade. So I was in tenth grade. Okay,
I about three hours north of the city. So I
grew up in the Albany, New York area, and I remember,
I'll be honest, I remember not not realizing how big
of a deal it was until until baseball was canceled. Basically,
like we kind of went through our day in school
like we knew it was like they wheeled the TVs
and we knew something was going on. Yeah, my soccer
game got canceled, like I kind of went I think
we hung out with friends after school and then when
like baseball got canceled. And then I got home because again,
you weren't attached to your phone back then. So when
I got home and like kind of like, you know,
my watch the news with my parents, I knew how
big of a deal it was. And that was, yeah,
kind of for real to think about that day.
Speaker 3: It happened about fifteen minutes ago, right from right now.
So it's nighttime here in Japan, and I was in Japan.
My son was about two years old. So I remember
I was on the computer with my son on my
shoulder and I was looking at something on the Internet
and my friend called me on my cell phone, my
friend here in Japan, and he's like, dude, you have
to look at the news. This is so unbelievable. What's happening.
And I'm like, what are you talking about. He's like,
just turn the news on. And I turned it on.
I was like, oh my god, I saw burning building.
It was just incredible, amazing, just surreal. And that changed
our country in a lot of ways, and especially for
someone like me who travels a lot, changed travel. So yeah,
just crazy thing that changed the history of the world.
Speaker 1: Actually, oh, I really think one of those things that
brought everyone together in the In the wake of that
was baseball, and of course, you know, we had a
week without Major League Baseball and then it comes back
and you know, those I I still can remember as
a you know, however old I was at the time,
fifteen sixteen year old watching those because our local team,
my local team was still the Yankees and the Mets,
and and this was like pre MLB TV, So getting
to watch those Yankee games and Mets games every night
was uh, you know, was was like something I'll never forget.
And that's where we'll start today in the Bronx. You know,
that'll that'll give us something to do for the next hour.
Then think about the news and we'll talk about Tiger's
Yankees in the Bronx. It was, of course the year
the Yankees went to the World Series, ended up losing
against the Diamondbacks, but that's still the best World Series
I can remember for that. I was alive for that
Yankees Diamondbacks series. What was absolutely incredible TV. Yankees, Uh,
they do you think they can get back there this year?
A month ago I would have said no, But now
I'm stide I might be a believer in this team again.
Speaker 2: I don't know.
Speaker 3: Haven't you seen the beating they've taken two days in
a row from the Tigers.
Speaker 1: My question to you, though, and well, my question to you,
and we'll get into this game, is who who do
you think in the American League is so much better
that that that it's not.
Speaker 2: Going to be the Yankees?
Speaker 3: Well, they got Nuke Weaver out there giving up runs
every time he takes the noun. They got Williams, who
doesn't have his head straight. They got so many guys
who can't hold games down. You're asking who could who
could be a contender in the American League. Strows are
always a contender, The Blue Jays are always The blue
Jays are a contender this year. But blue Jays have
bullpen problems too. But I think their bullpen is a
little more stable than the Yankees right now. I think
I think the Blue Jays might surprise some people. They're
they're really playing some solid baseball right now.
Speaker 1: That's right, let's tie let's tie it into this game TV.
How about how about the Tigers. I know Sean is
ready to explode in the chat right now because he
wants me to say the Tigers, And as you do,
process of elimination, like Tigers might be a team that's
the toughest out of anyone in the playoffs they have
they just they.
Speaker 2: They may be the sneakiest team of the bunch. So
what do you think about this matchup?
Speaker 3: The problem is they only have one real legitimate picture
in their rotation. I think that's going to hurt them
in a in a series. Uh, I you know, uh,
you've got to cover the logos and stop being a
fan for a minute and actually think, uh are they playing?
Are they playing World Series Baseball? Do you think? I mean, yeah,
they put a spanking on the Yankees, but Yankees are Yankees.
I think that's another team. If you cover the logo,
they're just not as good as their logo is. But yeah,
I mean the Tigers, you can't argue with their record.
I just think the Blue Jays have more talent than
both of those teams, and they're actually peaking right now.
So I think it's the right time for the Blue Jays,
although they have a shaky rotation as well. So yeah,
it's hard to.
Speaker 1: Say so in this game tonight, As you said that,
the Tigers have kind of, you know, got the best
of it. The last couple of days, it looks like
we're going to have Cam Schlitzer and for the for
the Tigers, it's gonna be kind of you know, aj Hinch,
he loves to do this. It's yet to be seen
if he's going to do this in the playoffs this year,
but you know, aj Hinch more than anyone loves himself
a bullpen game, and I think that's kind of what
you're gonna get today with Tyler. Holton is like the opener.
Butler's a guy I've been really impressed with. But I
don't know that i'd lay this price here with the Yanks.
What do you think about tonight's matchup?
Speaker 3: Yeah, my first impression looking at this was oh, Yankees
all the way. And then I looked at the line
and I'm like, oops, not for that price. But this
is one of those gambling tricks you can do. I
think after getting beaten in the head two games in
a row, I think the Yankees will come back and
at least take this one. The Tiger's bullpen I have
them rated twenty six out of thirty in current form,
so if this is a bullpen game, it should give
the Yankees plenty of innings to tee off on that
vulnerable bullpen. I think the Yankees are a good home
team and really hard to sweep a team like the
Yankees three games at home, or to win three in
a row. So I think it's the Yankees day. Here's
a gambling trick, though. You can take about thirty cents
off the price if you just take a minus one,
and you'll get a good price for a minus one
today because they're at home, home team. If they're winning,
they only bat eight innings, so you'll get a good
price for a minus one here. I think you'll probably
be able to get a minus one twenty five for
the Yankees today, Schlitler, I mean at home. He's got
a four to eighty RA. He actually pitches better on
the road, but still, I think the Yankees' bats and
the Yankees are pretty angry right now. They have bullpen problems,
but I think that the Tiger's bullpen problems are bigger.
So I think it's the Yankees day. I think a
minus one would be the way to go here.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna I've had I've thought about this a lot.
Speaker 2: I was up late last night watching the Mariners game.
Speaker 1: I had Cardinals plus one and a half and that
was just a mind numbing result to finish the day.
On of course, if you missed that game, the Mariners
walked it off.
Speaker 2: They won four to two.
Speaker 1: But as of why that Mariners team, who I was
very high on and kind of watching them now seeing
what their flaws are, I truly believe the Tigers are
slow rolling everyone at this point. I think the Tigers
are the best team in the American League. I think
the Yankees are going to be a tough out when
they're at home. But right now, the Tigers, they're five
and five in their last ten games. They are they're
just they're basically just having a tryout.
Speaker 2: This is an open trial for to make a J.
Hinch's playoff roster.
Speaker 1: So it becomes very difficult to bet for them or
against them on a day to day basis because their
results are like right now, their focus is not really
on wins and losses. I think you'll see that play
out here. You're gonna have Sawyer Gibson long likely come
in after Holton. It's really about spreading innings around, getting
guys fresh, keeping guy, you know, getting guys playing time.
Now their roster is good enough where they can win
a game twelve to two, eleven to one, but the
next day they might, you know, they might just you know,
they might lose one like they did to the White Sox.
So it makes the Tigers a really challenging handicap for
the next couple of weeks.
Speaker 2: All I'll say about the Tigers.
Speaker 1: Is, don't sleep on this team wants a playoff start because,
and I'll go to Collins comment, aj hinch Is is
just an elite coach and he is going to be
the toughest out in the American League, in an American
league that, in my opinion, lacks a team that I
actually think might win this thing. I have a feeling
that the World Series winner maybe comes from the National League,
But like the Tigers are down a team that I
want to. I don't want to lay a price against
the Tigers because they just have there's too much upside
with the roster, and they've shown you what they can
do when they show up the last couple of days,
So I don't want to lay a price against them.
That being said, would I be surprised if the Yankees
grabbed one here and no, because I still think the
Yankees are gonna seriously threaten Toronto over these next couple
of weeks. So an interesting game for sure, But yeah,
I don't really have a play in this one. I
you know more more my thoughts are more long term
with these two teams. But I think going into the playoffs,
if you're high and the Tigers, you're going to make
some money this year. That's that's my biggest sort of
takeaway from that handicap.
Speaker 3: I think if we're going to talk about World Series
contenders from the American League, I think the record doesn't
reflect it, but I think Seattle is the best put
together team in the American League.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so TV, I want to let's talk let's let's
transition there. Let's let's talk Mariners eight Angels. But one
of the things I observed in this Cardinal series, and
it was very much on display last night, the Mariners
truly just wait for the home run, like that is
their offense. They they it was a that game went
thirteen innings last night. The Cardinals bullpen essentially shut them
down for most of the game, and of course they
end up what did they do?
Speaker 2: They They finally hit one out.
Speaker 1: That's how they won the game, but the at that's
led up to that in extra innings when all you
needed to do is get a runner home from second.
Put it into my head like this, this team just
doesn't have like hitters that really execute in those situations.
They really are up there waiting for the three run homer.
Can you survive in the playoffs with that? Because I
agree with you, they have a lot of intriguing pieces.
Emerson Hancock is now coming out of the bullpen throwing
ninety nine miles an out like they are an interesting team,
but my concern is that they just can't string the
hits together.
Speaker 2: So what do you say about that?
Speaker 1: Do you? Are you interested in running it back with
Bryce Miller and the Mariners here?
Speaker 3: So I have a five percent play out today in
Major League Baseball. It's one of the games that's on
the schedule, so there's a hint. But someone asked if
I have too, No, I only have one five percent
play out today. I had Seattle yesterday, so that was
a little upsetting. But I actually went three and one
yesterday in MLB and I had I won a four
percent play tonight in Japanese baseball, so things are going
well right now. I got a five percent play up
today regarding this one. You're right, Seattle. Seattle is just
such a good, such a well put together team. I'm
just surprised they're struggling like they are, and they've got
guys like the starter today, Ryce Miller, who throughout his
career has been a great pitcher. But something's off this season.
I don't know what it is. He's not pitching like
he I mean, I can't remember him with a with
a one to four whip. Maybe he had, but it
just didn't stand out to me like it does this season.
He's getting he's getting hit pretty hard. He's given up
what a twelve earned in his last four starts. I
mean that's granted, that's only three earned runs per start,
and he's gone more than five innings in each one.
So I guess it's not that bad. Looking at the Angels, Soriano,
he was a guy that I was kind of high
on coming into season, but he's somewhat underperforming. I got him,
but you know, I've got him ranked twelve out of
thirty on a scale on a curve of thirty starting pitchers,
So not that horrible. I guess he doesn't pass the
eye test. When I see him pitch, he doesn't look good.
He doesn't look like twelve out of thirty to me.
So let's take a look at how Bryce Miller has
performed against these Angels. Because he's got fifty two at
bats against. He's got a two thirty one average against
in the seven to fourteen OPS, which is fair. It's
not great, it's not bad. It's average, and he's been
pitching kind of average so far this season. Soriano against
Seattle has a two nineteen average against in the six
twenty nine OPS, so Soriano has actually performed better against
the other team. The problem is the Mariners have huge
advantages in batting and bullpen. I got their batting rank
seven and I got their bullpen eight. The Angels I
have them ranked twenty six in both batting and bullpens.
So if Bryce Miller can have a decent outing, I
think Seattle should cruise to a win here. But that's
a big if because Miller's been a little bit inconsistent.
He's given up three three to two two in his
last four starts. So what do you think. Can he
have a good game. If he can have a good game,
they're gonna win.
Speaker 1: So the tough part with Miller is the fact that
he he had elbow inflammation. So you know, you want
to talk about, well, how how can Miller? You know, what,
what's his problem? It's like it's hard to get hurt
in a season and then come back in the season.
So like when you have a guy that goes down,
they're down for maybe a long period of time, then
they have to come back in the same year. It's like,
how much are you know, you never really know, like
how much are they sort of fighting through it?
Speaker 2: Right?
Speaker 1: Like Bryce Miller's all of his stat cast numbers and
this is something if Brian we're here today that he'd
be like all over this. The the blue on his
stat cast page is astounding, right, Like everything is is
trending toward poor. And you know, knowing what we know
about Bryce Miller from like you know, his days as
a coming up as a prospect, the stuff he had
when he got to the league twenty twenty three, he
comes in and he's got a one to one four
whip last year, zero point nine to eight whip and
one hundred and eighty point one innings pitch.
Speaker 2: That's insane.
Speaker 1: So knowing all of that you look and yeah, you're
you're right to be like, man, like, what what is
the deal?
Speaker 2: Right?
Speaker 1: And what I believe the deal is is the guy
at elbow he went on the io, had elbow inflammation,
has worked his way back.
Speaker 2: He's probably not all the way right.
Speaker 1: I highlighted Sean's comment because he said, no one on
Seattle's pitching good. Logan Gilbert gets smacked every start. Well,
it's like, yeah, Logan, Gilbert's dealing with the same thing.
He's dealing with an injury that he very well may
need surgery in the offseason. So it's like, you're you
got guys out there that Gilbert is such a good example.
Like last night he loaded the bases, sort of re regrouped,
got his head on straight, and struck out the next
three Cardinals because he's got the ability to do that, right.
Bryce Miller probably not on the same level, But when
you have a guy pitching through injury, it's really tough
to go out there and like you just be able
to fight through it for like six innings or be
able to do it every start. That's kind of where
my concern lies with with Miller at this point. So
you know where the you know, this is kind of
another one where the price point is I have no
interest in laying a dollar sixty here with the Mariners,
knowing for a couple of reasons. One, they used they've
really used up the leverage bullpen arms from the Cardinals series.
They used all their relievers. You know, the last two days,
every Mariner's reliever has been out there, and they've been
out there in like a high, high leverage spot, and
now you have to basically count on length from bright
Bryce Miller. I would want that at all here, So
I would I would find some way to play the Angels.
I just don't know exactly how you do that. Angels
plus one and a half is a little bit pricey.
Minus one fifty nine, really sure, I want that Angels
money line is fair plus one forty. But this just
feels like a Mariners team. They just let the Cardinals
in three games that I don't necessarily think they deserved.
Speaker 2: They didn't.
Speaker 1: You know, it's hard to say they didn't deserve to win,
but they could have lost all three of them. Everyone
was a close, you know, a close game, a battle
right till the end. I want to be surprised if
the Angels got them today and SF forty nine er.
If you're referring to the stat cast percentages, just pretty much.
If you want to see a pitcher stat cast page,
easiest way to do it put the pitcher's name in
and then follow it with Baseball Savant, put it into
Google and it'll it'll bring up their stat cast page.
Speaker 2: And so when I'm referencing percentages.
Speaker 1: It is it is the percentage, it's the percentile of
where they are in in the league. So like, if
I say Bryce Miller is in the bottom six percent
in Major League Baseball and expected batting average against, that
means his batting average against being two ninety one this
year is in the bottom six percent of Major League
Baseball pitchers, which is which is a fact. That's that's
something you can get off the page. If I say
he's in the bottom six percent and hard hit rate,
that means he's in the bottom six percent of every
pitcher of Major League Baseball. And that's what you find
on miller stat cast page. Those are not good numbers
right there. And so I could only go with the
Angels here.
Speaker 3: Let me make a note on Soriano since we have
a little extra time. Yeah, go to games and just
two of us. I challenge people to find a more
inconsistent pitcher than Soriano. Let me take let me, let me,
let me tell you about his last few starts. His
last start, he gave up eight earned. Two starts before that,
he shut the teams down for five innings and seven innings,
zero earn, zero earned. Start before that, he gave up
five earned in five start before that, he shut them
shut the Dodgers down for six innings. The start before that,
he gave up seven earned to Tampa Bay. So we've
got game on of eight earned zero zero five zero seven.
So basically, with Soriano, he's either gonna he's either gonna
shut them down for six innings or he's gonna get bombed.
So whichever it is, roll the dice and find out. Uh, yeah,
he's not a safe guy to bet.
Speaker 2: Uh you know.
Speaker 1: In the chat makes it makes a really good point,
and I think this is, like, this is very important
if you're trying to handicap or bet this game. Soriano
ground ground double play, ground ball king. Okay, Soriano's groundball
rate is as high as any pitcher in Major League baseball.
What that means is when Soriano is on. And this, this,
this chart sort of proves TV's point right here. This
is exactly what Tokyo Braden's trying to tell you. With Soriano,
when he's on, he's keeping the ball down. It's really
hard to hit him out of the ballpark. He's he's
getting strikeouts, and he's probably getting getting some of the
you know, the the more powerful hitters to roll over
on pitches, double plays, gets out of innings when he's
not on. That means he's not getting the ground balls.
That means his pitches are a little bit elevated. And
that is what a team like the Mariners is going
to feast on. Because what do we already established with
the Mariners. They're trying to hit the ball in the ballpark.
That's what every every guy in that lineup one through
nine for the most part, is trying to hit the
ball to the ballpark. Colin in the chat was like,
they're the West Coast Yankees. That's not necessarily a bad thing.
We've seen the Yankees had tons of success over the
years with teams that strike out a lot that that
are everything is predicated on the home run. So I'm
not saying it as like it's like a bad thing
for the Mariners. What what Jose Soriano shows up tonight
is going to probably decide this game because if he's
if he's not getting that ground ball and those pitches
are elevated, you probably have a nailor homer. You probably
have a couple of bombs, and suddenly Mariners are back
in the driver's seat.
Speaker 2: It makes it a very difficult handicap here.
Speaker 3: I was happy for their bomb yesterday because I had
Seattle minus one. Yeah, going into the ninth inning. They
hit a two run home run to win it, and
that rarely happens, So I was pretty happy to get
to win instead of.
Speaker 1: The Like I said, I was on the other side
of that, and you know, I was talking to people
on Twitter and they're like, that's a horrendous beat. And
that was actually the bottom of the thirteen. That game
went thirteen innings, and it's like, it's like, but you
had to know that that when the Cardinals could not score,
you had to know it was probably coming because if
you watched every at that and extra innings, it was
every person that came to the play for the Mariners.
Speaker 2: Was trying to end the game with a home run.
Literally is how that Literally is how they bat.
Speaker 1: So when you talk take it back to this game Soriano,
if you can't keep the ball down and it's up
and he's given up fly balls, he's probably gonna get crushed.
So maybe it's a live that type thing. Maybe you
see how Soriano looks in that first inning. But if
the ball is up and he's not like getting either
strikeouts balls that are that are diving or grounders, it's
gonna likely be a long night for him and it
makes it a tough game to bet.
Speaker 2: But a great discussion right there, TV.
Speaker 1: It's a it's a good you you you nail the
point about the inconsistency in uh in his result, and
it has everything to do with his ability to keep
the ball down.
Speaker 3: If there's a more inconsistent pitcher, I'd like to see
who I mean, zero earned, zero earned eight, zero earned seven,
zero earned five.
Speaker 1: It's like crazy, yeah, yeah it may And again it's
it's it makes it based on where it's priced.
Speaker 2: It makes it a really tough, tough handicap H. So
that's it.
Speaker 1: That's an interesting game I want to go to. I'm
just gonna pick a game. I didn't see one in
the chat, but I do want to. I noticed that
right now people seem to want to touch about on
the games that that I guess have some sort of impact.
So unless you're asking for a game specifically, I will
try to stay on the games that are maybe a
little bit impactful, just just for picking games at random.
Speaker 2: Here.
Speaker 1: And one that again we kind of have talked about
this series every day, that has a lot of you know,
it's a very impactful game. Is is the Guardians Royal Series.
Royals get a game they absolutely had to have yesterday
four to three. We kind of talked about it being
a bullpen game and they were you know, I guess
what I maybe suspected, even though I didn't bet this,
was that they might be able to piece it together
with the with the arms they had for that game.
So I just want to pull up yesterday's box score
real quick before I kick it over to you and
give you a chance to write down the time stamps,
because I know you're trying to do that, and usually
Brian gets to talk. The Royals did exactly what we
thought they might do yesterday, bowling for two innings. They
bring in Zurpa for like one two thirds long Avila
ersag Estevez, and they close out a game they desperately
needed to have four out of three. Now they come
in today TV, another game that is paramount to both
these teams having any sort of chance to make the playoffs.
You have the Cleveland Guardians three and a half.
Speaker 2: Out, the Royals four out.
Speaker 1: I feel like the team that loses this game is done.
I really truly believe that this is an elimination game
right here, because I don't see, especially for the Royals,
I don't see how you come back from like more
than four back.
Speaker 2: At this point.
Speaker 1: They're gonna go with Steven Kolek, who has been pretty
good since showing up in Kansas City. On the other
side is Gavin Williams, who I kind of wish Brian
were here to talk about because he's I feel like
he's really had a good beat on him. Gavin Williams,
other than when they messed with him after the no hitter,
has been very solid. So Royals Guardians. Massive game for
these two teams. I'm calling it an elimination game. I
think the loser of the this game is cook done
out of any sort of playoff conversation.
Speaker 2: Do you have a bet here in Royals Guardians?
Speaker 1: Uh?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I you know, looking at the way these pitchers
face the other team. Colic he doesn't have really a
good enough sample size to to measure, but he has
been He has given four hits on five at bats
against these batters, if that's worth anything. But Colic is
a really good road pitcher. But he was just traded
to another team, so I think the road home split.
You know, everything's on the road for him now because
he's he's getting used to a new ballpark. So I
can't really take that into consideration either. If you look
at his last few starts, though, he's pitched really well
two earned, one earned, two earned, three earned, So he
he does he does have a knack for not getting bombed,
so something to be said for that, because like we
just talked about Soriano, he does have a propensity to
barf on the mound, shall we say. Taking a look
at Gavin Williams, though he has amazing stats against these
Royals ninety one at bats against, a two poh nine
average and a six thirty five OPS. Anything under seven
fifty is pretty good. And taking a look at his
home and road stats pretty equal. He doesn't really have
a big discrepancy between home and road. So Royals currently,
I mean, you're probably still mad at them. They're hitting
twenty six out of thirty right now in current form,
and the Cleveland bullpen is just pitching lights out right now.
So I would look to a Royals team total under here.
I wish it was four and a half, but I
guarantee you it's three and a half. Let's take a look. Yeah,
it's three and a half. So we're not lucky to
get that four and a half. But I think under
three and a half is a decent play here. I'll
consider making that my parlay leg unless something else comes up.
Not official yet, but Royal's under I think is a
good bet considering Williams pitches great against them and the
bullpen is just on fire.
Speaker 1: So I'm not okay, I kind of disagree with that
a little bit, but not so much that I would say, like,
I like the other side of that bet, but I
could see this game going over. I do think that
the So I look at this, okay, and you have
an over seven, and you have a line of essentially
seven and a half minus one ten and and to me,
I understand where both these offenses are at. But they've
seen each other a lot, Okay, like the Royals and Guardians,
they've had a ton of exposure to each other's essentially
their roster. Now I'll get to Colic in a minute,
because you could come back and be like, well, Colic
just got there. They haven't seen him much. And that's
a good point, which I'm gonna talk about.
Speaker 2: In a second.
Speaker 1: But I'll start with Gavin Williams because this is a
Royals lineup that a is better against right handed pitch.
Be has seen Gavin Williams enough, you know, over the
years and in this season, and you know, I'll go
to Williams like he'll put guys on.
Speaker 2: He et a lot of free passes, right.
Speaker 1: So, like one thing we know about Williams is when
he's not totally on, even when he's I guess you
would call him on last start against the Race, he
had a very he had a very strong start. Seven
innings of one run ball, he still walked three guys,
still gave up seven hits. I think he was a
little bit fortunate to get out of that with only
giving up one run.
Speaker 2: And you see it a lot. He is.
Speaker 1: He is in the bottom five percent in Major League
Baseball pitchers in walk rate, so that's a concern. The
other thing is the the other thing is like gives
up a lot of hard hit Like he's got a
good fastball, and when he's commanding his fastball, he can
do what he's done the last couple of times out
go seven innings, only give up a run or two.
Speaker 2: But you're you're really only asking.
Speaker 1: For kind of the bare minimum here from each team,
right like the Royals can can scrape together a few
runs against the right handed pitcher that they they've seen,
they know, and that sort of fastball reliant. So then
I look on the other side, Stephen Kolik, like he's
been okay since since showing up in Kansas City. I'm
still not convinced that he's really a big league starter
at this point. He had a tremendous run earlier this
year with the Padres when he was sort of called
up as an emergency fifth starter, But you want to
look at his underlying stuff. Doesn't strike anyone out, very
low swinging, very low uh wiff rate and chase rate,
gives up a ton of hard hit and a yeah,
like that's well, that's a good point. Like he's sort
of on the other end of the spectrum. No, no, no,
it's it's a good it's it's a good point because right,
like he's on the other end of the spectrum where
he's not going to just put you on base for free.
But he's also everything's in the zone. Uh, you know,
two seventy three expected batting average against expected ERA is
like four fifty.
Speaker 3: Not good.
Speaker 1: This Guardian's team is not like so dreadful offensively that
they can't string some hits together. They just don't have
the power guys, and like the they're not gonna put
like the often times they're not gonna put like the
big sort of crooked numbers up. But I think the
Guardians can handle that. And then you go to the
bullpens and the Royals used basically everyone to pin down
that win yesterday. So I would look to a full
game over seven and a half.
Speaker 2: Here. I'm not saying your bet doesn't get there.
Speaker 1: It could, but I mean this sort of feels like
a scenario where you're you're gonna get each team's gonna
get at least three. And I think if there's a
team that's more likely to put the crooked numbers up,
it's gonna be the Guardians on either Kolek or the
Royals bullpen.
Speaker 2: So maybe both of.
Speaker 1: Our our angles are get there in the end, because
I could see like a six to three type game,
five four, you know, seven two, like it just seven
and a half seems low here.
Speaker 2: I really like the over in this game.
Speaker 3: Up your point, I have the Guardians ranked eleven in
in in offense current form.
Speaker 2: Well, they're hitting back. Don't mean they're the.
Speaker 3: Eleven's best team. It means currently that they're hitting well,
so that.
Speaker 2: They're hitting better, and they they tend to hit at home.
That's the other thing. They tend to hit the ball
a little bit better in their home ballpark. So it's
an interesting game, I do.
Speaker 3: I think, like you said, the loser, the loser can
probably kiss their playoffs up skip by. They're going to
be close to five hundred after that.
Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, And someone in the chat was like,
these two teams, but both these teams have had no
shot at the playoffs for a while. Like I kind
of agree with that statement. To neither of these teams,
I haven't really at any point in the year, like
really expected any either of these two teams to overtake,
like a team like the Mariners or someone that they
were chasing. But yeah, it's two teams that I don't
think are very good, and they know each other well,
Like if one gets a little bit of a lead here,
maybe it gets on hand. All I know is it's
gonna take really strong pitching on both sides to keep
that under seven and a half. And I just I
just don't see it with uh with with the with
the guys that we're going to see on the mound today.
Speaker 2: So I like it.
Speaker 3: Queen Royals looked like a team of destiny. The Royals
looked like a team of destiny about a month ago.
But man, have they gone down downhill?
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 1: And and you know, Brian, Brian Leonard are our third
he'll be back tomorrow. But our our third panelist pointed
out that they they had a really decent trade deadline.
Speaker 2: I too kind of agreed with that.
Speaker 1: I thought that I thought the Royals were in a
really nice position to make a run like at the
end of July, but just just not a good, not
a great ball club. They're very average teams, so are
the Guardians not not playoff teams, but but here I
think they could score on each other.
Speaker 2: So I like the over.
Speaker 1: Well Doyle rules he wants an early game TV. Let
let's give him an early game. And I saw someone
else ask for Pirates Oreo, and I think that's an
early one. So why don't we go there. Let's let's
go to Pirates, Pirates Orioles. So I want to yesterday,
I think, did you win a bet in this game yesterday?
Speaker 2: Did you end up getting to the window with that
like you were?
Speaker 1: You nailed the under one and a half, I mean
they were under one and a half for the games, Yes.
Speaker 3: I want I won the Orioles under one and a
half verst five, Yes I did.
Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, okay, so they were I mean they really
were under one and a half for the game. They
they didn't score that that second run, uh until the sinning,
which which as we know, doesn't count, right, Like if
you're scoring an extra innings, it's it's it's helped by
the ghost runner. But like, yeah, to make the point,
like you were, you were right about that, like Orioles
couldn't hit skeens at all?
Speaker 2: Two to one final any under got there.
Speaker 1: I know that that's kind of like the way we
we tilted our handicap in this game yesterday. Now we
come back. I believe this is the fourth game? Is
this the fourth game of the series, of the third? Okay,
it's the third, so we're coming back. Orioles are hot
right now, though, I got I gotta say, like this
team is, it's gonna be too little, too late for them,
and they're still very, very young, and I think you're
gonna see them struggle with like big time elite arms
like Paul Schemes. No question, though, this Oriols team's playing
great ball. They have been for a couple of weeks.
Now it's gonna be kde Povic. It looks like a
video for the Pirates. Do you continue to ride the
Orioles today TV?
Speaker 3: No, I did not ride them yesterday. I bet their
team total under Yes, and uh for this one. Man
Oviedo impresses me. Same, he impresses me. He says, can
you hear me? Is everything okay with my sound? Yeah?
Speaker 1: I was just saying, I'm I'm I agree with you there,
he's he's been very underrated.
Speaker 2: Go ahead.
Speaker 3: I'm having like Bluetooth issues and stuff. So just my
sound might cut out or something might happen. But anyways,
Oviedo has been very impressive. Look at his last few starts.
He's given up zero two, one, one, two. Those are
those are impressive numbers. Hang on, my sound is going
to cut off right now, So on speaker, sorry, hang
on one side? All right, sorry about that? Can you
hear me?
Speaker 2: Yep?
Speaker 3: Okay? So Oviedo has been very impressive. And uh, taking
a look at Povich, he has not been impressive. One
four to six whip and against these batters, we don't
have a sample size, but man Povich, he can get rocked.
He doesn't get he doesn't get blown up, but he
he like you can count on him for three or
four and runs almost every game. Looking at how the
teams compare against each other, I have the hitting almost equal,
both a little bit dreadful, but fairly equal. Bullpen's fairly equal.
But I have a huge discrepancy in the starting pitching.
I got Oviedo rank six on a curve of thirty,
where I got Povid ranked twenty six. Looking at this,
I did put out a client play on this as
two percenter. I like the Pirates first five plus the
half run, I think Oviedo can hold them down at
least one earned run, but I think the Pirates can
probably get one off Povich as well. So I think
the Pirates can at least pull out a tie here
in the first five. That's that's how I'm approaching this.
And I did put that out as a client play.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I I it, you know, I like, so I'll
go back to before the series he's even happened, and
you know, just kind of like coming into the month
of September. I really like both of these teams where
they're at right now, where they're where they're at against
the market. I think you have two very undervalued teams
in terms of like they've both been out of it
for a while, so now you've kind of got this
young influx of talent they're playing, they're they're better. In
my opinion, both of these teams are better versions of
what they were earlier in the year, like the Pirates
with their young pitching, you know, and Oviado is a
guy that would have likely been in this rotation right
off the rip.
Speaker 2: He just he was hurt.
Speaker 1: He spent the majority of the first half of his
season coming back from injury. He's been fantastic, and yeah,
like this is you know, it's an interesting handicap because
the Pirates they've actually kind of used up some of
their bullpen at this point. Even though they've they've managed
to lose the first two games of this series, they
they did cook through some of their bullpen arms. So
that's not like, you know that that's something that is
is not I would say ideal if you're looking for
a Pirates sort of side bet. The other thing here
is like the Pirates, like they typically don't sort of
crush left handed pitching. They're near the bottom in the
league in WRC plus against letties, but then again, they're
near the bottom of the league in WRC plus against
just about anyone, and a lot of that number has
been accumulated by guys that aren't necessarily going to be
in the lineup today.
Speaker 2: So where you know, this is another one.
Speaker 1: I don't really want to go against either of these
teams because I'm very high on them relative to market
right now, So relative to where they are priced in
the market against the other thirty teams in the league,
I'm very high on them. I could actually see some
offense in this game. We haven't seen it yet this series,
but you have to understand too that we had you know,
Schemes was pitching yesterday. The day before was a two
to three final. It was it was Burrows and Ashcraft
for the for the Pirates. I think the Orioles are
going to see far sort of you know, even with
a video being solid, even with the fact that he
can be you know, kind of nasty. I don't think
he goes super deep into this game. I think the
overall sort of pitching that the Orioles are going to
see is a little bit easier than the one they've
seen the last two days, with guys like Ashcraft skiings some.
Speaker 2: Of the better bullpen arms.
Speaker 1: And then on the other side, to your point, I
don't have a ton of faith in povit right now,
and the Pirates are a team that are hitting the
ball better they've hit the ball. Where do you have
the Pirates line up last thirty days TV? You can
you quickly see that.
Speaker 3: Well, my current form is not My current form is
not exactly last three days. I take the last month,
last no.
Speaker 2: Like last month or so, where do you have the
Pirates line.
Speaker 3: Make a taco out of that? And I use that
for current current form. I have the Pirates at twenty
five and I have the Oriels at twenty one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, so, like you know, even twenty five though,
like that sounds like bad for the Pirates. Even twenty
five is probably better than what they were most year,
Like this is a team that hadn't hit at all,
they get priced as a bottom option. I guess the
point I was trying to make is I feel like
the Pirates offense is trending in the correct direction, just
on the whole.
Speaker 2: Now this series not so much.
Speaker 1: We've had a couple of low scoring games, but this
group of Pirates is hitting much better than like, let's say,
the Pirates of May.
Speaker 2: So I'm going to throw another over out here. It's
a lot of total for me so far today TV
over eight and a half.
Speaker 1: I think this one gets there because what you don't
have on the Oriol side is bullpen depth. So you're
either gonna get the runs off Povich or you're gonna
get it off like they have a very poor and
not very deep bullpen right now, and they just want
you know, they just won back to back close games.
Speaker 2: On the Pirates side, if you don't get to a video.
Speaker 1: There's definitely like the back end of their bullpen, which
is what you're likely to see today.
Speaker 2: You're not going to see Ashcraft.
Speaker 1: You're not going to see a couple of their higher
leverage relievers that were used the last two days.
Speaker 2: I think there can be runs there as well.
Speaker 1: So eight and a half over I like another over here,
those last two totals we spoke about. I kind of
like quite a bit. All right, all right, we have
about eighteen minutes left. We will lock in parlay pieces,
try to hit a two team or today.
Speaker 2: TV?
Speaker 1: Do you so I kind of I guess I kind
of rained on your parade with the Royals under Do
you still want to go there in the parlay or
do you have something that you want to talk about
that we haven't talked about yet to get the parlays started.
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's let's talk about the Padres and Rockies, because
I think I'll make this my piece of the parlay.
Where are we at right now? Forty one minutes in
fourteen seconds?
Speaker 2: So yeah, we'll do that full game. Let's let's go
to that one. Go ahead?
Speaker 3: What's that?
Speaker 1: Yeah, Well, we'll just do our full breakdown of Padres
Rockies because we haven't talked about it yet, and yeah,
go ahead.
Speaker 3: That's what I'm going to do. So taking a look
at the Padres and Rockies. Look, the Padres are just
a better team and they're hitting despite despite not playing
very inspired baseball recently. I still think, let's see where
do I have them ranked? I have their lineup ranked
ten out of thirty despite playing uninspired baseball, where I
have the Rockies rank sixteen. So not a huge discrepancy here.
But the big discrepancy is the bullpens. Because the Padres
bullpen is very solid even though they're not playing that well.
Rockies bullpen is ranked twenty seven according to my rankings,
and the Rockies are starting a pitcher today who has
nine innings of experience and he has given up more
than nine runs in those nine innings. Let's see, he
gave up six three and four, so not very good.
Thirteen runs in nine innings, and six of those runs
were to these Padres. Looking at the team total Padres
four and a half seems really low to me. I
think they have a shot to blast mckaid brown, and
even if they don't blast him, they can blast the
twenty six ranked bullpen after he goes out. So I
think four and a half here would be good if
you don't trust Vasquez. You don't have to trust Vasquez
because yeah, Colorado's putting runs up, and Vasquez certainly is
vulnerable to getting hit by these guys. So forget Vasquez,
forget the Rockies, and just go with the Padres team.
Total over four and a half, that's gonna be my parlay.
Leg I think it was minus one sixty fifty. I'll
get you the exact number in just a moment off
Pinnacle because.
Speaker 2: I Saidres Padres team totally.
Speaker 1: You said over four and a half, yeap, minus Like
I see a minus one forty, I see a minus
one fifty.
Speaker 2: I think we could say minus one fifty.
Speaker 3: That's fine, minus minus one thirty two on Pinnacle.
Speaker 1: So yeah, I was gonna say, I see some I
see some one forties.
Speaker 2: I see more one forties than like one.
Speaker 3: Let's say minus one forty. Then, yeah, Pinnacle is rather
generous sometimes, So yeah.
Speaker 1: Yep, yeah, I'm looking at two over four and a
half minus one four.
Speaker 2: He's here, I listen.
Speaker 1: It's it's gonna be very difficult to like talk someone
off of a a team total against the Rockies, because
even if even if you get a good effort from
a starting pitcher, they're there, it's always one crooked number away,
right Like it's it's just always there's always the possibility
that that happens against what the Rockies are running out
there bullpen wise. Right now, that being said, I like
mckaid brown a little bit, and and so I'll tell
you he he he has spent so he didn't spend
any time at Triple A.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 1: The only reason I kind of had him on my
radar is my cousin. I have a cousin that lives
over in Connecticut and her and her her and her
husband go to Hartford Yard Goats games frequently, and so
when they go, they always text. They always tend to
text me to to to let me know that they're
at the ballpark. And what I do is I look,
I kind of look at the roster and say, oh, Okay,
I think this guy's good this because that's a Double
A team, so obviously they're they're not.
Speaker 2: They just show up.
Speaker 1: They don't know who any of the players are, and
so I like, look at see who's pitching for that day.
Speaker 2: Who's in the lineup, And.
Speaker 1: It kind of got me to look at mcaid brown
a little bit, you know, and I saw, you know
that he's so that. So first of all, it's craziness
that the Rockies Double A team is over at Hartford, Connecticut,
but that is that is true.
Speaker 2: The Colorado Rockies Double.
Speaker 1: A affiliate is all the way over in Hartford, CT
and mccaid brown that's where he spent most of his year.
He actually started the year in High A, came up
to Double AS, has easily been the best pitcher in
the Rockies farm system this year, better than Donander, better
than palm Quist, one point oh seven whip in the minors,
one hundred and five strikeouts, and seventy six and two
thirds innings. So you know, they called him up directly
from Double A. I gotta be honest, I may be
a mccaid brown believer. And again I'm not saying that
that the Padres won't find their way to some runs
at some point in this game.
Speaker 2: But you know, I.
Speaker 1: Yes, he's been crushed in a couple of big league starts,
but you got to remember they gave him no time
at Triple A whatsoever. They called him up. They said,
hey you, we need you no Triple A. You're gonna
come up and you're gonna pitch against the Pirates. Obviously
that didn't go well. He's faced the Cubs and the
Padres so far, and last time out he got smoked
by the Padres, So that may be a little bit
of concern. But this guy's got good stuff, and I
would just be cautious of like thinking that you can
just like fade him for a free win here, because
he has had really good stuff all season in the minors,
and I just think that those three starts that you've
seen at the big league level are him, just like
he had no time at Triple A. They just said,
hey you, Hartford Yard, go we need you in the
big leagues. And I don't you know, I think he
needed a little time to like get his feet wet.
Speaker 2: I'm here's the point I'm gonna make about this game.
Speaker 1: At some point from now to the end of the season,
he's gonna come out and throw a gem. I don't
know if it's gonna be here, but I bet you
he has like a six shutout inning type outing in
him because his stuff is that good.
Speaker 2: I don't care TV you.
Speaker 1: Don't strike out one hundred and five guys in seventy
six and two thirds innings over a full season in
the minors without you being like kind of okay, I
like Rockies plus one and a half plus one oh five.
I think that's a reasonably good bet, and I hope,
for your sake and our sake, for the parlay TV,
it's a it's a higher scoring game because this is
Randy that you want to know who's worse than mcaid brown,
it's probably Randy Vasquez. Okay, this is this is a
guy that is a four to a starter at best.
Someone in the chats like someone's in the chat like
this is one of Adam's wrong takes.
Speaker 2: Listen.
Speaker 1: I'm not saying TV's play is not gonna hit, but
i'll tell you right now, mccaid brown in a year
is going to be higher on all of your rankings
than Randy Vasquez. And you can get him right here
plus one and a half at plus money. I if
I had to pick a side here, it's Rockies plus
one and a half all day at that plus price,
because mccade brown is really good. But obviously the padres
like they need the game they're at home, so I
don't think getting to the four and a half is impossible,
but I think Brown can keep them in this game.
I'm I'm just trying to give you guys the best
info possible. Circle mccaid Brown. If it's not this start,
it will be next start. He's got a gem in
him at some point go ahead TV.
Speaker 3: Two points to make. Maybe he did accumulate a lot
of strikeouts, but he did not do that against Manny
Machado and Tatis.
Speaker 2: Correct right, toughout.
Speaker 1: Those are tough outs, and it's rare these days that
they don't give a guy at least a starter or
two at Triple A. So that's why I'm saying, you
gotta like take those numbers with a grain of salt,
because he had no time at Triple A and so
coming up and getting bombed by some big league hitters
is not is not the Colin Gregory said Randy will
be in the KBL That is as factual as the
statement as I've ever heard. Qu up the Randy Vasquez
to Low Ta Giants right now, twenty seven KBO starter
right there.
Speaker 3: He might not be lo Te's best picture anyways, But anyways,
my second point is. I've been to Hartford, Connecticut one time.
It was the most depressing place I've ever been. I
walked down the street on a Saturday, and McDonald's in
Hartford are closed on Saturdays. There's no street traffic. It
was like a ghost town. I was depressed.
Speaker 1: Hartford is such a weird city because there's parts of
Hartford that you literally feel like you're in Manhattan that
are like super downtown like but kind of by where
the Yard.
Speaker 2: Yeah, so like, dude, it's very very odd because.
Speaker 1: I felt like most town down by like where the
Yard goes play and where the Excel Center is where
Yukon plays, it looks like you're in Manhattan. You feel
like you're in a huge city. If you go to like,
if you go to like I think it's West Hartford,
it looks like abandoned and it's not very nice. It's
it's a it's a weird city.
Speaker 2: But you're hungry.
Speaker 3: I went to McDonald's. They're like it's closed. I'm like,
you closed McDonald's on the Saturday. Yeah, nobody comes here,
And I'm like, whoa. Anyways, just a little point, but.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm just I and I'll go back to like
a point I made since the beginning of the season,
Like Randy Vasquez, like credit credit to him for being
able to sort of like hang around and do what
he's done this year.
Speaker 2: He throws five six pitches.
Speaker 1: But I just have I don't have high hopes for
him as a big league starter, and I wouldn't be
surprised if the Rockies generated some offense off him here.
So but for the so just to rehash, because I'm
gonna get into a game in a second, I'm gonna
close out our parlay Tokyo Brandon his parlay like he's
going padres over four and a half on the team total.
It's like minus one forty in that game. So yeah,
we we we can root for runs and I'm gonna
I'm gonna root for the Rockies to to come out
and find a way to win that game.
Speaker 2: But I hope they do. It sounds great to me.
It sounds great to me for sure.
Speaker 3: Because actually, Adam, even if even if Brown has a
decent game, I don't think he's going to go more
than five innings.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I could see that, Like He's right, because they
have they have no reason to like really run his
innings up.
Speaker 2: There at this point.
Speaker 1: So I do think you're probably right in the respect
that you should get like four innings out of this
Rockies bullpen.
Speaker 2: I don't disagree with that, but Colin, I'm.
Speaker 1: With you, and hey, hand up right, like I've lost
money this year, fading Randy as well he is he
has been, And this is such a good comment, Like
I don't really know how to quantify it.
Speaker 2: I'm sure on the stat cast page you can.
Speaker 1: He is insanely lucky when it comes to bat a
ball luck and like getting out of innings where there's
traffic on the basis guys like Houdini, He's always finds
a way out.
Speaker 3: TV like his games are in San Diego. Yeah, yeah, anyway,
it's a very pitcher friendly park.
Speaker 1: So yeah, all right, let's let's go to I'll close
this parlay out.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'm gonna go to a.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to a different game here. Let me
just let me just make sure I have the the
line and up on it first.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 1: I feel like they hadn't come up much recently, but
the White Sox, they were obviously my my team for
a long period of time. You know, I was kind
of feel like I was ahead on the curve on
them coming out of the All Star Break playing better ball.
Uh they they sort of, you know, they had a
wheels fall off moment there for a while, like earlier
part of or end of last month, earlier part of
this month. But tb the the White Sox. I feel like,
are you know so end of last month? So far
this month, I think the White Sox are very much back.
So they had what I was referring to was the
five game losing streak at the end of last month.
Since August thirty first, the Chicago White Sox one two, three, four,
five six.
Speaker 2: They're eight and two straight up.
Speaker 1: They're eight and two straight up since August thirty first,
And that's just like young team going through the ebbs
and flows of being like a very young team. They
have a lot of players that I'm really very high on.
I think their collection of arms in the bullpen is
very good. They will face Ian Seymour today, who is
a guy that I think is going to have a
bright future in the big leagues. But he's also a
guy that they've seen a ton Do you know why,
Because Ian Seymour pitching for Durham Durham and Charlotte play
constantly at Triple A. Okay, so you have Ian Seymour,
who has spent essentially the last two years at Triple A.
You have a White Sox roster who's essentially spent the
last two years at Triple A.
Speaker 2: Most of these guys are fresh to the majors.
Speaker 1: Just up.
Speaker 2: They I don't have it in front of me.
Speaker 1: They probably have as big of a sample size against
Ian Seymour as as anyone you're gonna find at this point.
And you know, Ian Seymour, you know, at the big
league level, has not really been what he's what he's
been at Triple A.
Speaker 2: So far.
Speaker 1: You know, he's had a couple of good outings. Last
you know, last time out against Cleveland was decent. He
only made or I'm sorry, two times out to go
against Cleveland was decent. Five shoutout innings with the last
two times out gave it four runs to the Nationals,
five runs to the Guardians.
Speaker 2: This White Sox line is better than both of those.
And then you've got Shane Smith.
Speaker 1: And even with Shane Smith's ups and downs, I still
think he's had a very solid season. And I like
these bullpen arms for the White Sox. The Rays are
the team Tokyo Brandon that I think you can stick
a fork in. At this point, they had their big run,
their big winning streak. This team's now five and a
half games out. They lost yesterday. Their season is over.
My parlayle will be White Sox plus one and a half.
I won't be surprised if they win this game, but
I want to hit the parlay and I like having
that run, so White Sox plus one and a half.
Speaker 2: I would like to know, though, do you agree or disagree?
Speaker 3: I agree with you that the White Sox are a
very dangerous team and they're always underdogs and they're probably,
in my opinion, the most difficult team to cap in
all of Major League Baseball because they on the surface
they just look terrible, but they're not terrible. So the
automatic knee jerk reaction is to fade them. But if
you fade them, you're probably losing a lot of money
this season because they're extremely scrappy. And to enforce your
point there, I have them ranked number eight in current
form in offense production, so eight out of thirty teams,
and they're on an eight and two run right So,
but I do just slightly disagree with you in Seymour.
I think my numbers love Seymour and his expected projection
ratings like expected ERA and those those kind of ratings
are off the chart. So he did give up a
lot of runs in his last few stars, but they
weren't all earned. I mean, I mean, he's backed by
a pretty pretty poor fielding team. So I like Seymour.
So I I don't know how to read the White
Sox though, that's the problem. They're hitting better than Tampa
Bay bullpens are both fairly decent slightly above average, but
I got Seymore ranked higher than Smith. I got Smith
graded very average, right at fifteen out of thirty, but
I got Seymour ranked much higher. However, the sample size
is small, so I won't argue with your White Sox
plus one and a half. But I stay away from
White Sox games because they're just so hard. I don't
have stock in the team as well like you do.
Speaker 1: Yeah right, yeah, no, I just listen, they've been they've
been very undervalued, probably since about the ninety gay mark
when we first started talking about them.
Speaker 2: You're you're not.
Speaker 1: Wrong to be high on Ian Seymour, Like so I
want to make like a very clear point here. Ian
Seymour is going to be a very good star in
this league. He already has has shown it. He already
is to an extent. The reason that I'm okay with
going against him today a couple things. Fastball Velo the
last couple starts has been a little bit down. I
think the I just think the rigors of a long
season going up and down from the Major to the minors,
starter to the bullpen, I think is just caught up
with him a little bit at this point, and that's
probably why you're seeing a dip in fastball below. And
then the other thing is just it's a rare scenario
where you have a guy that's new to the MLB
that the other team has seen a ton Because the
White Sox and Rays minor league teams are are essentially rivals,
which means they play more than any of the other
teams like so basically triple A, they're gonna pair you
off like so Syracuse, Syracuse, Rochester play more than like
anyone else, Durham, Charlotte play like more than anyone else,
So they have a big time sample against him. And again,
you rarely find that the big league roster is essentially
all Triple A guys from the last year and a half,
and that's what you're getting with the White Sox. So
I think it's a I think it is a really
good spot for the Socks, and you're catching the run
and a half on a team that's starting to fade
out of the race.
Speaker 2: I really love the spot and set up for the
White Sox. Today. All right, we have reached the end
of the show. Got a lot in today that was
good TV.
Speaker 1: I feel like we got a lot of good stuff,
a lot of good conversation in.
Speaker 2: I am so for the parlay.
Speaker 1: It is a nice, clean, tidy two to one parlay
plus two hundred. I am on White Sox plus one
and a half for the full game and Tokyo Brandon's
gonna be looking for runs at Pechco Park tonight. Padres
team total over four and a half, so we got
White Sox plus one and a half full game for
Trig Padres full game team total over four and a
half comes out to two to one, and hopefully we've
got a winner going into tomorrow and then we get
Brian back and we can can maybe hit a three
team or to close out the week, have a great
day everyone.
Speaker 2: Yeah. Oh yeah.
Speaker 1: And that's the other thing I I I'll probably I
really am bad about promoting.
Speaker 3: Adam is a very bad salesman.
Speaker 1: Bad salesman which is is not a great look when
when your job is to sell picks. But you know, hey,
that's why I have TV. Here go grab TVs five
percent play. I'll be honest. After after losing the Cardinals
in the fashion I did last night, I I probably
won't even make you pay for my MLB today. It's
like I've got some football up. I've had a great
start to the football season. I got a couple of football.
Speaker 2: Players I saw that I'll probably be selling the KB.
Speaker 1: I think I'm on like an eight and two KB
O run right now, so I'll probably sell that.
Speaker 3: I feel one was very was very good.
Speaker 1: This year, had the Browns Week one, five and oh
to start the NFL season right now. For whatever reason
I have, I have been on the wrong side of
the luck in every Major League Baseball bat for like
the last week. So I don't know if I'll put
anything out today. If I do, like I'll more than
likely put it up just for free. So check keep
keep an eye on my page. I feel like I
owe you guys a free one at this point.
Speaker 3: A red hot Adams football is red.
Speaker 1: Hot and and and yet and you know you can
save the the if you were going to buy me today,
I'll tell you what, if you were going to buy
me today, you can save that money and put it
towards TV's five percenter, because he's been ripping these five
percenters off left and right, three and all this month.
That's a that's an incredible uh start on big bets.
And that's this month, as in like in September so far.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I I only do baseball, so I only have
four or five plays in a month, and this is
my last one.
Speaker 1: Well, and if you're if you're I, I I feel
like if you're, like, if you run the table, you
you may maybe can ask for an extra one.
Speaker 2: I think that's that's fair. I feel like, if you
run the table, you know. But anyway, but.
Speaker 3: Three and oh so far, three and oh so far.
Speaker 1: Colin Gregory, thank you for the shout out. You know,
you know I'm already digging. You know I'll be November.
So I want to throw this out there too, because
I haven't really publicly said this yet, this show will
turn into a college basketball show once college basketball season starts.
I'll obviously have different panel lists because TV doesn't do
college basketball. But we will be doing this show five
days a week. Two other wager talk guys who I
am not going to announce yet because I need to
make sure I'm allowed to say that out loud.
Speaker 2: I got to talk to the boss.
Speaker 1: But I will be here five days a week, and
we will be doing the same type of show for
college hoop, and we will have all of those small
school info.
Speaker 2: We'll have it, so keep an eye out for that.
Speaker 1: We're gonna well, yeah, we're gonna be let this ride
right in a college hoop season. For today, go check
out TV's five percent play and you guys in the morning.
We'll see you guys in the morning.
Speaker 2: M hm, m hm.