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Speaker 1: All, we are live here on the Blitz Way to

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Talk TV, talking all of this weekend's biggest college football

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matchups that includes USC Oregon, Oklahoma, Missouri BYU Cincinnati, Tennessee, Florida,

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and anything else you want to hear. Rolt All you

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have to do if you're catching us live here on

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the Waygechuck TV channel is comment right there. If you're

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in the chat, we will get to your questions after

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we finish our rundown the afforementioned games. Joining me as always,

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Ralph Michaels. I understand Ralph recently celebrated a birthday. Happy

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birthday to you, Ralph. Us normally Ross Benjamin is with us.

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Ross is off this week. He will be back next

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week for our special Thanksgiving edition. All but Steve May,

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we don't we don't rebuild, We reload here on the

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But Steve Merrill I assure you will be joining this

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program in just a little bit. But as as part

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of the deal to get him to come on, we

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agree to let them come out a few minutes late.

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And have you know, a hero's welcome. So Ralph, you know,

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my birthday again to you, and what's going on?

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Speaker 2: You're a pre Madonna, Like Steve Merrill, you just make

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your own schedule and we just have to live around it.

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So that's all we will do. You know, I want

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to mention since we're waiting for Steve here, I will

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say this my special last year Brian for my birthday

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a cheaper deal. So unfortunately, now that I turn sixty two,

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I have a seven day all access special available for

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sixty two dollars. I am loading a five percent college

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football play right after the show. And my college football

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five percents haven't done too bad? How about ten and

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one the last eleven ninety one percent? So as we

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wait for Steve, if you're thinking about it, the Weekend Warrior,

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you know, is always available. We have some other specials

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and again my birthday special just sixty two dollars, seven

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days all sports, including that thirty five college football play.

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Speaker 1: So there you guys, go go get that right now. Now.

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I was gonna go to you first, raf I was

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gonna get I was gonna allow Steve a little bit

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of time to reacclimate himself to the blitz here. Uh

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so you're gonna go up first, and there he is.

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Steve Merrill, Ralph joined us.

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Speaker 3: Stand up Ralph. Stand up, Ralph Michaels. Happy belated birthday

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to the pen A young thirty five years old as

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of this week, never looking any better.

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Speaker 1: We said it was part of the agreement to get

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you to come on, Steve. We gave you, you know,

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a two minute buffer there, So anything for you, Steve.

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We're very glad you joined us.

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Speaker 3: Steve.

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Speaker 1: Of course we'll bring all the excellent information you're customed

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him sing. All three of us are all over the

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wager Talk YouTube channel, by the way, constantly with tons

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of great videos. So check us out. How about spashing

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that like button and clicking subscribe easiest way to show

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your support. All right, keep those questions coming to the chat.

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We are going to start with Oregon and USC, clearly

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the most marque map up on this weekend's slate. Ralph,

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I will kick it to you. Before we went live,

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you were reading off some great trends that you had

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for this matchup. Obviously Oregon and odds on favorite here

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in autsin USC having to travel but not traveled any

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time zones. That's always been their problem under Lincoln Riley,

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but here they get to stay out West. But odds

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makers don't like their chances. What do the trend say

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for USC and Oregon Saturday, three thirty eastern on CBS.

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Speaker 2: Well, you look at their year to date stats, and

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the teams have played almost equal schedules. Oregon thirty, USC

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number thirty two. When you're looking at points per game

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and yards per play diff Oregon number one in both categories,

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USC not far behind their number twelve and yards per

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game differential and their number twelve in yards per play

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the difference, of course, the defense is Oregon number three,

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and defensive yards per play USC is number seventy three,

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allowing five point five nine yards per play. I break

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down this game and the statue we're referring to Brian

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are I wanted to take a look at how elite

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teams do late in the season. So when we have

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two teams that have win percentages of eighty percent or higher,

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a conference home favorite of minus three or more is

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now sixty seven percent since twenty sixteen, and when we

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look at games ten and later, so games ten, eleven,

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and twelve, both teams eighty percent are higher. Conference home

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favorites of three or more seventy two percent against the spread.

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With that said, when I break down this game. It's

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basically a playoff elimination game. Well, we'll see Oregon at

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number seven would likely fail if they lose this game.

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Speaker 1: Head to head to USC.

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Speaker 2: So I think both teams are going to have pressure.

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Both teams are not very fast paced at all in

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Big ten action. USC is number seventy three in plays

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per game, Oregon number one oh four. It's not a

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fast Ducks offense. They're just very efficient on offense. I

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look at first half the first games and in the

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first half two and five over under their last seven games.

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First half, I expect both teams to run, try to

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feel each other out. I do like first half under

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here as my free play for the show.

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Speaker 1: Nice little interesting angle there for you with the first

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half under Steve. I remember way back when in August

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I did my preseason Power five for colleg football. We've

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already cashed the three win totals we gave out on

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that show. We reminded you about that on Instagram, two

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of them cashing before Halloween. As a matter of fact,

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with over Houston and over Virginia their win totals.

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Speaker 3: That was nice.

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Speaker 1: The other two bets, of course, we give you five bets.

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That's why it's called the power. My other two bets

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on that particular preseason show were Oregon to miss the

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playoff as a long shot and USC to make the

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playoff as a long shot. So one if they remember

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that video would naturally think that I would be all

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over USC here. Fortunately, I'm kind of upright on market here.

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I don't know about you as far as the points

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spread is concerned. That's why I thought it was very interesting, Ralph,

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what with not just the total, but the first half total.

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But I don't like the setup here for USC. They

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obviously had to lay it all on the line last

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week coming back from against Iowa, while Oregon not only

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an extra day to prepare, but they were not tested

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at all Friday night against Minnesota just absolutely just destroyed

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the Golden Gophers there. So what do you think here?

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Oregon does not have a quality win, I would say

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on their rest, despite their great their gaudy stats number

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one in yards per play margin, yards per game margin,

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they don't have a quality win. USC beat Iowa last week.

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Speaker 3: What do you think? Yeah, A few things. First of all,

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I've cast my one season total win, not my Washington

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Commanders under So I'm with you, Love cash in those

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mid season That's the way to do it. Brian Power

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and Ralph's point about the first half under is interesting

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because if you recall that Penn State Oregon game was

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like three to nothing in the first half a few

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months ago, and then it ended up with like fifty

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four total points because you know, it went the distance

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and then some I'll look at the side in this one.

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Let's start off with my ten thousand game simulation, and

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by the way, I'll be doing a lot of free

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play videos on these high profile games as well, including

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my college football Top twenty five report for Saturday. And

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I always give you my projections. It's a ten thousand

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game simulation. It's a projection win. It's not a power rating.

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What I'm gonna start doing this week, and I'll do

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it for the first time ever right here on the

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Blitz live on wager Talk TV is also give you

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my rankings for these teams, and right now I do

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have Oregon as the fifth best team in the country.

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I've got usc as the fourteenth best team in my

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power ratings in the country. I also give you my

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offense and the defensive ratings each week, and these are

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both top ten offenses not a surprise. But what is

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interesting to me is that USC is coming in sixth

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now my rankings. Just a couple of weeks ago. Basically

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all season they were number one, so it shows that

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that offense has been tailing off a bit, and that

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would also favor Ralph's first half underplay, as USC has

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been a little weaker offensively here in recent weeks in

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conference play. In fact, over the last four games, they

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have scored twenty six points or less than three of

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those four games, so they've not been nearly as explosive

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as they were early in the season. They struggled to

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run the ball against both Notre Dame and Iowa. They're

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now facing an Oregon defense that's been excellent against both

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the run and the pass. And I really think that's

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going to be the difference in this game, and that's

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why Oregon will win this game and probably by double digits,

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is the defensive edge. I've got the Ducks as the

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third best defense in the country right now, which is

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really surprising. You think of Oregon as a fast paced,

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flashy offensive team, their defense is stronger than their offense,

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and that is not the case with USC. They're barely

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in my top forty right now, and getting back to

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that ten thousand game simulation. On average, I've got Oregon

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winning this game by just over thirteen points, so at

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the current line of ten, little bit of value, more

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value at nine and a half, though, there's about a

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three to four chance the Ducks win this game by

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exactly ten points. It's a very key number. There are

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mostly tens out there, but hey, DraftKings pretty big boy

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book there. Minus nine and a half mineus a dollar twelve,

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So I like Oregon here, especially at nine and a

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half or less. On Saturday afternoon, Jacob Hefner in the chat,

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join us.

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Speaker 1: I'll go to you real quick, breeth, he says, BP

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all over Oregon. Everyone knows BP is hedging, is what

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he had to say. No, Jacob even worse, I'm chickening out.

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I'm not gonna bet this game at all. I'll be

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honest with you. I know it's our marketing matchup, but

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that's why I'm joined by Steven Ralph, who gave you

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those great breakdowns. Obviously we had a case for the

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first half under from Ralph, and then Steve says, the

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numbers point to an Oregon double digit victory, Ralph, you

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want to add something.

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Speaker 2: I was just gonna say, Guys, just because you have

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some futures, do not change the way you are betting

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your weekly college football plays. You can't worry about that.

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Those bets are made now. Granted, if you have two

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season futures and they're playing against each other and you

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want to hedge for that, yeah, I'm sure Brian, you

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don't have enough invested where you want to. If you hedge,

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it's because it might cost you two bets what you're

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gonna lose here, Because there's even if you hedge this

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week in USC one, they could still lose the UCLA.

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It's not a guarantee if you hedge one game unless

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since the final game of the season, that that dictates

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that you hedge in that. So be careful. Do not

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throw good money after bad situations if you're putting that role.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and they were small bets. Like I said, they

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were the long shot bets that I made preseason. Again,

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there's also a situation I can't just lay ten with

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Oregon because Oregon could win but not cover, and then

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I'm really just banging my head against the wall Saturday night,

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which I often do sometimes, but that's a different story

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for a different day. Guys, keep those questions common. I

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see a lot, I see some question of mach We'll

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get to that again after we get through the rundown.

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But Tennessee, Florida is up next on our docket, and

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this is a game I talked about in the midweek

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edition of the Power Five. I do not agree with

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a lot Tennessee's taking money. I don't agree with it.

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Now I know that we're you know, there's a lot

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of concern about the level of motivation from the Florida

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side Steve coming into this game. Now, I cashed a ticket.

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It was that was a BP special. We took Florida

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last week against Ole miss Absolutely nobody wanted to bet

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the Gators in that situation. I got to admit, last

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minute of the game, I was very, very concerned that

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Lane Kiffin was going to run up the score and

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you know, screw me right through the back door there,

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so to speak. But I was remembering in the back

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of my mind Lane Kiffin rumored to be the next

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coach of Florida. He's not gonna screw over his potential

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future employer there. So we got out of there. Florida

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wired to wire cover. I got a great number last

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week at fourteen and a half. They closed ten and

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a half. I see people in the chat, they think

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Florida's quit. Steve, I don't know, Tennessee. Here's the stat

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you need to know, guys. Tennessee has not won in

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Gainesville since two thousand and three, zero to five against

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the number of their last five trips to this all

239
00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:04,159
and ten straight up to and eight ats their last ten.

240
00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:06,600
This is usually this game is played way earlier in

241
00:12:06,600 --> 00:12:08,360
the season. I don't know. I guess it's just conference

242
00:12:08,399 --> 00:12:11,000
expansion that we're dealing with here. Why this game is

243
00:12:11,240 --> 00:12:13,559
now being played in November? Usually it was played in September.

244
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But what do you think, Steve, Florida? Is there any

245
00:12:16,519 --> 00:12:20,360
fight left, any byte left, if you will in these

246
00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:23,919
Gators to keep this closer, possibly shock the world with

247
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an out right upset.

248
00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:27,480
Speaker 3: So many things there, Brian, firstchwell, never on live TV

249
00:12:27,519 --> 00:12:29,279
s hit screwed through the back door. You can't say

250
00:12:29,320 --> 00:12:31,879
that it's allowed. And also, second of all, there we go, well,

251
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we'll back it up, we'll edit it afterwards for the

252
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non live viewers. And also, is there any bitte left?

253
00:12:36,240 --> 00:12:38,000
With the Gators. That is the big question for me

254
00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:41,559
because I lean Florida in this game based on value

255
00:12:42,080 --> 00:12:45,159
better defensive team as a home dog. But it's hard

256
00:12:45,159 --> 00:12:48,279
to handicap the intangibles right and my ten thousand game

257
00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:50,840
simulation does not try to predict if a team is

258
00:12:50,879 --> 00:12:52,639
going to show up or not. It's basically looking at

259
00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:56,039
numbers and matchup scenarios. With that set. On average, I've

260
00:12:56,039 --> 00:12:57,840
got this game as a pick. Well, technically I've got

261
00:12:57,879 --> 00:13:01,399
Tennessee winning by half a point on so there is

262
00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:03,840
value with Florida plus four. That's covering the key number

263
00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:07,039
three and four, and there is some value there. And

264
00:13:07,080 --> 00:13:09,399
as I mentioned, also, we're getting the better defensive team

265
00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:11,720
here as a home dog, which is something that always

266
00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:14,759
makes my short list as well in college football, And

267
00:13:14,799 --> 00:13:17,000
while Tennessee has been pretty good this year against the run,

268
00:13:17,039 --> 00:13:19,960
they've been very mediocre against the pass. And the Gators

269
00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:22,200
have actually been an average offensive team when you factor

270
00:13:22,240 --> 00:13:25,840
in their difficult schedule played. Yeah, twenty one points a

271
00:13:25,879 --> 00:13:28,960
game is pretty weak. Their opponents allow twenty one a game,

272
00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:31,519
five point three yards per play. Their opponents give up

273
00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:34,559
just five point one, So Florida is technically a decent

274
00:13:34,600 --> 00:13:37,480
offensive team. They're definitely a strong defensive team, especially when

275
00:13:37,480 --> 00:13:40,519
you factor in a tough schedule played. It all comes

276
00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:42,080
down to if you think they show up or not.

277
00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:43,639
And now I do think that was a tough loss,

278
00:13:43,639 --> 00:13:46,360
a high profile game last week against Ole Miss. They

279
00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:48,600
got blown out the week before against Kentucky. But keep

280
00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:51,279
in mind that came off a narrow loss to Georgia.

281
00:13:51,679 --> 00:13:55,080
They beat Mississippi State, they narrowly lost to Georgia. I'll

282
00:13:55,159 --> 00:13:57,919
kind of chalk the Kentucky blowout loss just a flat spot.

283
00:13:58,440 --> 00:14:00,120
So the question comes, do they still have some they

284
00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:02,840
left in the tank? I think they probably do. One

285
00:14:02,840 --> 00:14:04,879
concern is that the run defense, though, has really been

286
00:14:04,879 --> 00:14:07,240
exploited the last two weeks. They've given up over four

287
00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:09,840
hundred and so actually four hundred and seventy exactly the

288
00:14:09,919 --> 00:14:12,240
last two games over two hundred and thirty rushing yards

289
00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:14,600
at both Old Miss and Kentucky. But keep in mind

290
00:14:14,639 --> 00:14:17,320
those are road games. They are back home. Yes, they

291
00:14:17,320 --> 00:14:20,039
have Florida State on deck, you know, so you are concerned.

292
00:14:20,080 --> 00:14:23,679
Maybe that's the get up game next week. All things equal, though,

293
00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:25,120
if they come to play, I think there is some

294
00:14:25,240 --> 00:14:27,039
value with the Gators at plus four for the reasons

295
00:14:27,039 --> 00:14:27,559
I mentioned.

296
00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:30,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would concurr. And you know another thing Steve

297
00:14:30,639 --> 00:14:31,600
is that, oh there you go.

298
00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:34,480
Speaker 3: I was wondering if earlier and he finally does it.

299
00:14:34,559 --> 00:14:40,480
My goodness, Okay, now he's yes, nobody likes the mine,

300
00:14:40,759 --> 00:14:42,279
nobody likes.

301
00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:44,480
Speaker 2: Just so you guys know how long it takes something

302
00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:46,759
in my mind to hit my brain. Steve said that

303
00:14:46,799 --> 00:14:48,879
what ten minutes ago, and he's dawned. Then he said,

304
00:14:48,919 --> 00:14:51,799
stand up, So oh right, it's odd.

305
00:14:52,480 --> 00:14:56,399
Speaker 1: Yeah you're a year older. Yeah, A question I have

306
00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:58,759
for both of you. So everyone's talking about Florida's motivation

307
00:14:58,879 --> 00:15:02,159
or lack there of it. What is Tennessee playing for

308
00:15:02,519 --> 00:15:04,879
right now? They're not making the college football Playoff? I mean,

309
00:15:04,919 --> 00:15:09,399
I guess you could argue, Ralph that that streak I mentioned,

310
00:15:09,440 --> 00:15:13,799
this sort of infamous I guess streak they have going

311
00:15:14,039 --> 00:15:16,039
in the swamp. Maybe they smell blood in the water.

312
00:15:16,279 --> 00:15:18,559
Maybe they're like, hey, let's finally get this proverbial monkey

313
00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:22,279
off our back. Let's get that long awaited win in Gainesville.

314
00:15:22,639 --> 00:15:25,279
I guess that's Tennessee's motivations. But other than that, I

315
00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:27,919
don't know what Tennessee's playing for right now. Either at

316
00:15:27,919 --> 00:15:30,120
this point because they're not getting you.

317
00:15:30,080 --> 00:15:32,879
Speaker 2: Know, you're coming off the playoff performance last year. You

318
00:15:32,919 --> 00:15:35,559
now have three losses. But you look at their three losses,

319
00:15:36,039 --> 00:15:40,120
you know, Georgia, Alabama, and Oklahoma. I mean those are

320
00:15:40,200 --> 00:15:43,559
legitimate three losses. So you know, I'm gonna jump back

321
00:15:43,759 --> 00:15:46,759
and look at Florida for a minute. Florida's been gained

322
00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:51,440
out gained in all but two games against the FCS FBS,

323
00:15:52,600 --> 00:15:55,200
they go to LSU, they have a yardage edge. They

324
00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:57,759
play Texas and having a yardage edge, so two of

325
00:15:57,799 --> 00:16:01,440
the best defenses in the SEC, they outgaineds but they

326
00:16:01,519 --> 00:16:05,039
can't out gain anyone else. You know, you talked about

327
00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:08,279
motivation in Florida. Now that they have seven losses, remember

328
00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:11,200
everyone's goal Florida's goals were much higher than this. But

329
00:16:11,279 --> 00:16:14,000
when a team now has seven losses, they are now

330
00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:17,320
full ineligible unless we're short one and they go by

331
00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:20,519
the AP scores. You know, so I looked and this

332
00:16:20,639 --> 00:16:23,639
is just blindly. This is five hundred games sample size.

333
00:16:24,159 --> 00:16:26,480
If you're off a loss in the FBS and that's

334
00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:29,559
now your seventh loss, you're two five and two forty

335
00:16:29,559 --> 00:16:32,519
eight forty five percent. So no It's not a wild number,

336
00:16:32,759 --> 00:16:35,919
but clearly it's a fifty five percent fad situation that

337
00:16:36,000 --> 00:16:41,440
your goals are diminished. I look at it and I'm concerned.

338
00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:44,840
Steve said he has Tennessee or Florida by half one

339
00:16:44,879 --> 00:16:48,039
of them. I actually have Florida a one point favorite

340
00:16:48,039 --> 00:16:50,720
of my power ratings. But the reason I can't get

341
00:16:50,799 --> 00:16:54,080
to him is the seventh loss. And you look at

342
00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:58,120
that Mississippi game. Remember they played Georgia in Jacksonville, then

343
00:16:58,159 --> 00:17:00,279
they had a good to Kentucky, then they had good

344
00:17:00,279 --> 00:17:05,000
in Mississippi, and against Mississippi last week, their defense was

345
00:17:05,039 --> 00:17:08,000
on the field for eighty three plays and they were

346
00:17:08,000 --> 00:17:10,920
on the field for seventy plays the week before. It's

347
00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:14,119
tough late in this season with a defense that allowed

348
00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:16,759
five hundred and thirty eight yards and a defense that

349
00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:20,039
was on the field for that many plays to now

350
00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:23,200
play another up tempo team that kept me off Florida.

351
00:17:23,279 --> 00:17:26,160
Not enough to get me on to Tennessee off of

352
00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:28,400
Florida as I had him as a one point favorite.

353
00:17:29,119 --> 00:17:30,680
Speaker 1: All Right, There seems to kind of be a general

354
00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:33,640
consensus among US three that their value is on the

355
00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:38,000
dog here, But situational analysis means We're probably not going

356
00:17:38,039 --> 00:17:40,400
to follow the numbers. There By the way, Ralph, we

357
00:17:40,559 --> 00:17:44,440
mentioned Retz Ralph's birthday. Ralph just celebrated birthday. Some kind

358
00:17:44,440 --> 00:17:48,559
words there from David Talk. David is a regular chat

359
00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:52,880
person here on Way do You Talk to YouTube Chattel.

360
00:17:53,279 --> 00:17:59,960
Let's stick in the sec guys, Missouri and Oklahoma. Of course,

361
00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:02,279
at the end of the Blitz every week we give

362
00:18:02,319 --> 00:18:04,839
you guys one free play, one game that we're looking

363
00:18:04,839 --> 00:18:06,680
at that we haven't talked Sometimes it's a game we

364
00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:10,440
have already talked about in the hour. Ralph just a spoiler.

365
00:18:10,799 --> 00:18:12,640
Ralph's best bet for the show is going to be

366
00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:15,599
on Missouri Oklahoma, so he's gonna hold onto his analysis

367
00:18:15,799 --> 00:18:17,720
until the end of the program. Steve, I'm gonna come

368
00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:21,039
to you. Oklahoma off the massive, massive win last week

369
00:18:21,079 --> 00:18:25,640
against Alabama where they were outgained severely. I think the

370
00:18:25,839 --> 00:18:27,279
tendency is to call that a fortune win.

371
00:18:27,519 --> 00:18:27,839
Speaker 3: Certainly.

372
00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:29,759
Speaker 1: I mean Oklahoma played well, but I mean you look

373
00:18:29,759 --> 00:18:32,000
at the total yardage and you could make an argument

374
00:18:32,039 --> 00:18:36,240
that they were lucky to escape Tuscaloosa with a victory.

375
00:18:36,680 --> 00:18:39,599
Now they come home, they're laying just over a touchdown

376
00:18:39,640 --> 00:18:41,960
against the Missouri team that's gonna still be down to

377
00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:42,839
its third string quarterback.

378
00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:43,079
Speaker 3: Guys.

379
00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:45,000
Speaker 1: I know there was some talk earlier in the week

380
00:18:45,039 --> 00:18:49,440
that Bo Bo Forbulah. Easy for me to say, good return,

381
00:18:49,799 --> 00:18:53,480
but he was listed as doubtful on Wednesday's injury report,

382
00:18:53,559 --> 00:18:58,000
so I don't think he's going to return Saturday. In Norman.

383
00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:02,319
Steve your thoughts here. Normally i'd want to fait Oklahoma

384
00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:03,759
coming off a big win like that lay in this

385
00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:07,119
kind of number, but Missouri's quarterback situation gives me a

386
00:19:07,119 --> 00:19:07,599
lot of pasts.

387
00:19:08,839 --> 00:19:11,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, and let's talk about the Oklahoma quarterback situation. You

388
00:19:11,599 --> 00:19:13,559
talked about your future wagers and how you've cast a

389
00:19:13,559 --> 00:19:15,240
few of them already. Probably the worst bet you can

390
00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:16,559
make in all of sports a year in a year

391
00:19:16,599 --> 00:19:18,599
out is to play the early Heisman favorites at like

392
00:19:18,599 --> 00:19:20,839
two to one, five to one, whatever it is. And

393
00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:22,960
John Mattiers, obviously, I don't know if he was the

394
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:25,000
preseason favor but I know after a few weeks he

395
00:19:25,039 --> 00:19:27,319
was the favorite, and then he had the injury. But

396
00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:30,000
even since coming back, boy has he been mediocre. I mean,

397
00:19:30,039 --> 00:19:32,200
on the season, he's averaging just over seven yards of

398
00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:37,680
pass which is respectable, but nothing crazy eight touchdowns, seven interceptions.

399
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:40,000
He only has eight touchdown passes in two hundred and

400
00:19:40,079 --> 00:19:42,359
eighty eight attempts so far this year. So you talk

401
00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:46,680
about the Missouri quarterback situation being dicey, This Oklahoma offense

402
00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:49,319
in general just hasn't been as good as expected this year,

403
00:19:50,039 --> 00:19:52,720
whereas the defense has been solid. It's the reverse of

404
00:19:52,759 --> 00:19:54,519
what we fought saw a few years again, when Oklahoma

405
00:19:54,559 --> 00:19:57,160
was a vastly overrated team two three years ago. Remember

406
00:19:57,160 --> 00:19:59,039
when TCU just routed them down there, put up like

407
00:19:59,079 --> 00:20:01,279
over fifty that year. You was really good two three

408
00:20:01,319 --> 00:20:03,200
years ago. It's been the oppostion.

409
00:20:03,279 --> 00:20:03,400
Speaker 2: Now.

410
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:05,960
Speaker 3: Oklahoma is mostly defense, very little offense. In fact, on

411
00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:09,160
the season, that's seven point one yards of pass is

412
00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:12,160
against teams allow seven point zero, five point four yards

413
00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:15,440
per play against teams allow five point three. Meanwhile, Oklahoma's

414
00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:17,599
defense is given up just four point three yards per

415
00:20:17,599 --> 00:20:21,000
play against teams that allow average five point nine. They're

416
00:20:21,039 --> 00:20:23,319
given up less than fifteen points a game against teams

417
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:26,960
that score almost thirty a game. This is a shutdown defense.

418
00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:29,720
So if you're worried about the Missouri situation with the quarterback,

419
00:20:29,759 --> 00:20:31,480
it's probably not the best opponent for them to be

420
00:20:31,519 --> 00:20:35,680
facing this week. Here the question becomes, oh, can Oklahoma

421
00:20:35,799 --> 00:20:38,240
do something against a pretty good Missouri defense. The Tiger's

422
00:20:38,279 --> 00:20:40,599
given up less than twenty points a game and just

423
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:43,559
about four and a half yards per play. I run

424
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:46,000
a ten thousand simulations, and I do plug in a

425
00:20:46,039 --> 00:20:48,880
lot of scenarios with the different quarterbacks, and on average,

426
00:20:49,240 --> 00:20:52,240
I've got Oklahoma winning this game by just over twelve points.

427
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:54,839
The current line is about seven and a half, so

428
00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:57,960
I do lean Oklahoma in this one. I would like

429
00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:00,640
it more below seven, that key number. You know, maybe

430
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:02,839
if we get some clarity in the quarterback situation, we'll

431
00:21:02,839 --> 00:21:05,000
see it move more. It did open as high as

432
00:21:05,079 --> 00:21:07,039
nine and a half, so I feel like it's already

433
00:21:07,039 --> 00:21:09,559
come down a little bit based on information. By the way,

434
00:21:09,559 --> 00:21:11,960
the total, obviously I was talking about two good defenses

435
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:14,480
open forty two and a half. It's down to forty two.

436
00:21:14,559 --> 00:21:16,319
We're seeing some forty one and a halves out there

437
00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:18,759
as well. Forty two is what we call a dead number.

438
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:20,759
Forty one is not. Forty one is one of the

439
00:21:20,799 --> 00:21:23,440
most key number, with totals three to four percent chance

440
00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:25,480
the game lands on exactly forty one points. So if

441
00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:27,599
you do like the under, you grab the under forty

442
00:21:27,599 --> 00:21:30,200
two under forty one and a half. Now I lean

443
00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:33,119
Oklahoma based online value, but I would like seven better,

444
00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:34,599
so I would probably wait to see it. Maybe you

445
00:21:34,599 --> 00:21:36,720
get a minus seven by kickoff and it is an

446
00:21:36,759 --> 00:21:39,720
early game New Eastern on Saturday. Yeah.

447
00:21:39,799 --> 00:21:42,559
Speaker 1: Absolutely, So you took the words right out of my mouth, Steve,

448
00:21:42,759 --> 00:21:47,119
in terms of, you know, looking at the total, because

449
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:50,039
as we were talking about the quarterback issues, obviously, I

450
00:21:50,039 --> 00:21:51,319
think a lot of people are thinking, oh well, how

451
00:21:51,319 --> 00:21:53,160
about an under. Well, the odds makers obviously your hip

452
00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:55,119
to that this is a very low total. You have

453
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:57,160
to be and one thing you have to be careful

454
00:21:57,160 --> 00:21:59,000
with with these low totals. You guys both know this.

455
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:02,279
You know, one wacky play could screw you. I mean,

456
00:22:02,319 --> 00:22:04,880
look at the Oklahoma I mentioned Oklahoma getting out gained

457
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:06,720
by Alabama last week. It was four oh six two

458
00:22:06,759 --> 00:22:10,400
twelve to be exact, Sooners though, were plus three internals,

459
00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:13,039
including a pick six. Those are the kind of plays

460
00:22:13,039 --> 00:22:15,839
that can ruin and under Obviously, it would be very

461
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:18,799
easy for any of us to write up, you know,

462
00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:20,359
give you a tell you why this is going to

463
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:22,000
be a low scoring game. I think Steve just did

464
00:22:22,039 --> 00:22:23,880
a very excellent job at telling you why it's likely

465
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:26,079
to be a low scoring game, but one play can

466
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:28,079
ruin it under with the total of the slow and yes,

467
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:30,000
forty one obviously a very key number. So if you

468
00:22:30,079 --> 00:22:34,039
like the under here, guys, bet it sooner rather than later.

469
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:35,480
That was not an intended fund.

470
00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:37,640
Speaker 3: Yes it was that. It was not.

471
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,200
Speaker 1: I swear to god that was not. That was incredible.

472
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:43,680
How that worked out. The gators biting, that was unbelievable.

473
00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:45,519
Speaker 3: And that's why it's so beautiful. You didn't even mean

474
00:22:45,519 --> 00:22:46,640
to do it. It's just magic.

475
00:22:47,319 --> 00:22:48,920
Speaker 1: If I wouldn't have talked about the back door, this

476
00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:49,400
would have been.

477
00:22:49,319 --> 00:22:51,480
Speaker 3: A perfect It would have been a perfect show, would

478
00:22:51,559 --> 00:22:52,480
friendly and the kids?

479
00:22:52,559 --> 00:22:56,000
Speaker 1: Yea, yeah? Unfortunately, Yeah, Well we know b Yu they

480
00:22:56,119 --> 00:23:00,720
like they've got a lot offulations and they've got a

481
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:04,880
lot of regulations on provo and they are a favorite

482
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:07,319
at Cincinnati. Let's move to the big twelve guys, shall

483
00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:13,480
we market hated BYU last week? Ralph hated him, got

484
00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:16,400
beat all the way down to minus three at home

485
00:23:16,759 --> 00:23:20,640
against TCU. B Yu told the market exactly what they

486
00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:23,240
thought of them. They routed the horse Frogs. I mean

487
00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:25,559
they played it to them. That is a good man.

488
00:23:25,759 --> 00:23:27,880
You talk about trends, I don't know if you have

489
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:30,039
the number handy, I actually don't, but I think we've

490
00:23:30,079 --> 00:23:33,440
all heard heard it about how great they are at

491
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:37,920
home at night in pro BYU provo night.

492
00:23:38,079 --> 00:23:38,400
Speaker 3: Great.

493
00:23:38,839 --> 00:23:42,279
Speaker 1: This game on the road tonight, but it's you know,

494
00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:44,480
one of the big trips East JA make in the

495
00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:48,880
Big twelve to Cincinnati, who's very good at home. So

496
00:23:50,839 --> 00:23:52,920
I don't know, I kind of I lean Cincinnati here.

497
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:56,519
I mean, this is dogger pass for me, Ralph. I

498
00:23:56,519 --> 00:23:59,359
think BYU has lived the charmed life this year, and

499
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:00,920
I do not want to lay it with them on

500
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:01,319
the road.

501
00:24:02,839 --> 00:24:05,799
Speaker 2: Well, I haven't been a BYU believer, so I've been

502
00:24:05,839 --> 00:24:08,480
wrong on them a few times this year. So you know, uh,

503
00:24:09,319 --> 00:24:11,759
you know the one game they go into Texas Tech

504
00:24:11,839 --> 00:24:14,160
and lose twenty nine to seven, I wasn't on a

505
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:17,440
more against them. So we'll see what happens. But Cincinnati

506
00:24:17,519 --> 00:24:20,880
is such an anomaly. I've never seen such a productive

507
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:27,799
offense with such a slow pace. Cincinnati's offense is top

508
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:32,160
thirty five in every category. They remember one hundred and

509
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:35,319
thirty one in plays per game, they average under sixty

510
00:24:35,400 --> 00:24:38,599
yards per play, so if someone can slow them down,

511
00:24:39,079 --> 00:24:41,799
I do look for the unders, and by slow them down,

512
00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:45,279
I one hundred percent mean shut down the rush attack.

513
00:24:45,519 --> 00:24:48,759
Cincinnati rushing for six point one and one hundred and

514
00:24:48,799 --> 00:24:53,519
ninety six yards per game. Now BYU's rush defense is

515
00:24:53,559 --> 00:24:57,720
allowing one forty four and three point seven, but down

516
00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:00,440
the stretch the last four games they've allowed one sixty

517
00:25:00,519 --> 00:25:04,680
nine and four point six. And so to me again

518
00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:07,680
later in the year, you have the attrition. You have

519
00:25:07,759 --> 00:25:10,119
to put away those first half stats and look at

520
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:13,119
conference only stats or at least the last four weeks

521
00:25:13,319 --> 00:25:15,599
to get a true judgment, because you know they started

522
00:25:15,599 --> 00:25:19,319
the season playing Portland State, Stanford, Colorado, West Virginia. You

523
00:25:19,319 --> 00:25:23,720
know those are all stat patters. I went this route again.

524
00:25:24,279 --> 00:25:28,559
I love the gold sheets first quarter, first half logs.

525
00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:31,519
It is so helpful to look at the running logs

526
00:25:31,519 --> 00:25:34,559
and look how teams performed to maybe if you like

527
00:25:34,599 --> 00:25:38,599
a team, perhaps you'll find a little little better situation.

528
00:25:39,319 --> 00:25:43,599
You know, And in this game BYU first half they're

529
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:46,480
three and four against the spread. The last seven full

530
00:25:46,519 --> 00:25:51,000
game they're seven and three, almost completely opposite Cincinnati first

531
00:25:51,039 --> 00:25:54,200
half eight and one against the spread. Full game, they're

532
00:25:54,279 --> 00:25:58,880
six and four. The Cincinnati Bearcats with the rush attack,

533
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:03,119
have gotten off the quick starts BYU. They had a

534
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:05,880
rush attack early. They've passed a lot more the last

535
00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:09,519
couple of weeks thirty six passes, twenty eight runs, thirty

536
00:26:09,559 --> 00:26:14,480
eight passes, twenty seven runs, thirty three passes thirty nine

537
00:26:14,559 --> 00:26:16,640
runs last week, but that was in a blowout that

538
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:19,000
they just handed off the ball in the second half.

539
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,759
I actually am gonna go Cincinnati first half here. They're

540
00:26:22,759 --> 00:26:26,160
excited to be here. They're off the home lost to Arizona.

541
00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:28,960
You know in that game they were minus two turnovers

542
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:31,440
and they got out gained, but they still kept the

543
00:26:31,519 --> 00:26:34,640
game within reason. That showed a lot to me. I

544
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:37,319
like Cincinnati first half here, to get out and jump

545
00:26:37,319 --> 00:26:39,839
out early. We'll see you if by you can catch

546
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:42,880
them in the second half, hid.

547
00:26:42,799 --> 00:26:45,559
Speaker 1: Steve, We've gotten some support for the Bearcat side, not

548
00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:49,200
just Ralph but myself here clear this is a BYU

549
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:53,039
team that the market has not liked, betters have not liked.

550
00:26:53,279 --> 00:26:55,720
We all remember a couple of weeks ago, they're undefeated.

551
00:26:56,039 --> 00:26:58,720
The line gets steamed up to thirteen and a half

552
00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:03,279
against Texas Tech, and they don't cover that game. Here

553
00:27:03,319 --> 00:27:06,920
they are on the road again, not provo. What do

554
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:10,119
we think about this game? Is this where BYU actually

555
00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:10,880
loses a game?

556
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:14,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, so I'm actually gonna look at the total here.

557
00:27:14,039 --> 00:27:16,359
My simulation, first of all has BYU by two and

558
00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:18,720
a half, so it is spot on with the line here.

559
00:27:19,599 --> 00:27:21,079
But I do think there's some value with the over

560
00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:23,839
in this game. You know, Ralph mentioned looking at conference stats.

561
00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:25,599
I fully agree with them on that. But even when

562
00:27:25,599 --> 00:27:28,160
you look at conference only, these are two really explosive offenses.

563
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:31,000
They're both averaging over six yards per play within the conference.

564
00:27:31,039 --> 00:27:33,160
And let's backtrack a little bit. When we think a

565
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:35,680
Big twelve football, it's BYU Cincinnati. I mean, what a

566
00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:38,839
matchup here that I think of. But seriously, they have

567
00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:42,039
been good in conference play still offensively, and BYU is

568
00:27:42,079 --> 00:27:44,759
a decent defensive team. Cincinnati is not. I do not

569
00:27:44,799 --> 00:27:47,839
even have Cincinnati in my top fifty in my defensive

570
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:50,519
rankings overall for the season, and that's because the Bearcats

571
00:27:50,839 --> 00:27:53,119
and conference play alone, are giving up over six yards

572
00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:55,039
per play as well. They're gaining almost seven, but they're

573
00:27:55,039 --> 00:27:57,599
giving up six. And I think both teams can score

574
00:27:57,640 --> 00:27:59,240
in this one. And we've seen some sharp money on

575
00:27:59,279 --> 00:28:01,440
the over as well in this game. And I do

576
00:28:01,480 --> 00:28:03,119
pay attention a little bit more of the line moves

577
00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:05,440
early in the week on the over unders, because the

578
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:08,000
public plays totals less, especially early in the week, and

579
00:28:08,039 --> 00:28:10,400
sharpstew have an edge with totals. So whenever I like

580
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:12,880
a total and I see the initial line move line

581
00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:14,200
up with it, it kind of gives it a little

582
00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:16,880
more reinforcement. And this one has gone up a bit

583
00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:19,359
already this week. I believe it opened as low as

584
00:28:19,359 --> 00:28:21,839
like fifty three and a half and now it's up

585
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:24,000
to fifty five and a half. We're even seeing fifty

586
00:28:24,039 --> 00:28:27,240
six at Bookmaker, one of the sharpest offshores. I think

587
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:28,960
the over is the correct play with the total in

588
00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:31,640
this game over fifty five and a half. Since Andy

589
00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:33,559
by you both offenses hold the edge.

590
00:28:34,759 --> 00:28:36,960
Speaker 1: Right there you go, And yeah, that total's been moving, Ralph,

591
00:28:36,960 --> 00:28:39,680
if you wanted to catch you add something. You know me,

592
00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:40,960
you're my boss.

593
00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:42,839
Speaker 2: I had to go to the database while you were talking,

594
00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:43,440
just so you know.

595
00:28:43,960 --> 00:28:44,559
Speaker 1: For next week.

596
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:47,599
Speaker 2: BYU at home at night nine and four against the

597
00:28:47,599 --> 00:28:49,200
spread their last thirteen games.

598
00:28:49,680 --> 00:28:50,759
Speaker 3: Okay, there we go.

599
00:28:51,559 --> 00:28:54,200
Speaker 1: I will say this, if you like Cincinnati in this game,

600
00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:56,799
if you think you want to bet, wait, oh yeah,

601
00:28:56,839 --> 00:29:00,000
definitely wait because DraftKings is at two and a half

602
00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:05,440
minus fife, there's a chance that this game moves to three.

603
00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:08,079
I think, so wait, if you like Cincinnati, wait for

604
00:29:08,119 --> 00:29:10,279
the three it may may come.

605
00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:12,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Brian real quick on that too. Even if

606
00:29:12,279 --> 00:29:13,680
it was two and a half flat or even two

607
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:15,640
and a half a little bit to the dog I did,

608
00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:19,240
the risk reward is worth waiting because I mean two's

609
00:29:19,279 --> 00:29:21,039
becoming a little more key, and Ralph will tell you

610
00:29:21,079 --> 00:29:23,480
that than it was back in the day. But three

611
00:29:23,519 --> 00:29:25,400
is king. I mean there's about a ten percent, nine

612
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:28,359
to ten percent chance BYU wins by exactly three in

613
00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:30,440
this game. So the risk reward is always worth waiting

614
00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:32,680
to get that plus three by LUs.

615
00:29:32,799 --> 00:29:34,200
Speaker 1: We know that Joe public side.

616
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:38,119
Speaker 2: Yeah. Plus we know Joe Public looks at the playoff rankings, right,

617
00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:40,880
b Yu with one loss Cincinnati with three losses, that's

618
00:29:40,880 --> 00:29:42,720
so much more. You know, we all know that the

619
00:29:42,799 --> 00:29:46,480
AP rankings are bs and it actually gives us value

620
00:29:46,519 --> 00:29:48,920
playing against them. Well, I'll tell you what. The playoff

621
00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:51,119
rankings aren't much better, but all of a sudden, they

622
00:29:51,119 --> 00:29:53,000
get so much low because they have this show and

623
00:29:53,079 --> 00:29:56,680
everyone's carrying on that. If you're looking if you're looking

624
00:29:56,799 --> 00:29:59,480
at a better team, a higher ranking team in the playoffs,

625
00:29:59,519 --> 00:30:01,839
I would better early. If you're looking for a lower

626
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:03,920
ranked team that you like, I would wait.

627
00:30:04,799 --> 00:30:07,119
Speaker 1: Absolutely all right. So that is our show, Rundown.

628
00:30:07,200 --> 00:30:07,519
Speaker 3: We are three.

629
00:30:07,519 --> 00:30:11,160
Speaker 1: We're gonna get to your questions in just a little bit,

630
00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:14,720
but first, Steve, Ralph and I will be telling you

631
00:30:14,759 --> 00:30:18,240
about what we've got going on this weekend at wager

632
00:30:18,319 --> 00:30:21,480
talk dot com. Good start to the month on a

633
00:30:21,599 --> 00:30:25,440
five dollars Tuesday was unfortunate. We had a bad interception

634
00:30:25,519 --> 00:30:29,119
late from a bad quarterback with Bowling Green. Very upset

635
00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:31,480
that we lost that play. But we're still off to

636
00:30:31,559 --> 00:30:35,359
a thirteen and four start this month in college football,

637
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:39,799
and I've got a couple totals already up for Saturday.

638
00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:42,039
Believe it or not, I have not done a ton

639
00:30:42,079 --> 00:30:44,839
of totals this football season, but the three that I

640
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:46,960
have released atfel In College of all one and I

641
00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:50,000
think that's that's one hundred percent last time I checked.

642
00:30:50,000 --> 00:30:54,119
So we're gonna put that on the line early on Saturday.

643
00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:57,680
A couple totals already posted for Saturday. If you're catching

644
00:30:57,720 --> 00:30:59,839
this show live here on Thursday, I do have an

645
00:31:00,400 --> 00:31:04,680
play for tonight. Of course, college basketball in full effect.

646
00:31:04,680 --> 00:31:06,920
I'm doing full court Press each and every day ten

647
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:11,200
am Monday through Friday with Rob Veno and Adam Trigger,

648
00:31:11,559 --> 00:31:16,000
so check that out as well. Steve, I know you

649
00:31:16,039 --> 00:31:18,359
always have a lot going on. Tell us about it.

650
00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:22,000
Speaker 3: First of all, literally five minutes ago, the Florida Tennessee

651
00:31:22,079 --> 00:31:24,400
total just went from fifty seven to fifty eight, like

652
00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:27,279
a substantial move across the board on the Odds logic screen,

653
00:31:27,319 --> 00:31:29,880
And we just talked about that game about ten minutes prior.

654
00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:32,160
I don't think it's us because we didn't talk a

655
00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:34,400
lot about the total, but it literally went from fifty

656
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:35,960
seven to fifty eight, not even fifty seven and a

657
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:37,880
half in a lot of the books. So some sharp

658
00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:39,359
money looks like it's coming in on the over in

659
00:31:39,359 --> 00:31:40,759
the Florida game. And by the way, I will say,

660
00:31:40,759 --> 00:31:43,759
if a team quits like we talked about the conservative Florida,

661
00:31:43,799 --> 00:31:45,640
I think that often shows on the defensive side of

662
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:48,480
the ball, So maybe that's part of the thought process there.

663
00:31:48,559 --> 00:31:50,119
By the way, if you'd like a free seven day

664
00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:52,519
trial to odds Logic. I do have a promo code

665
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666
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667
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right now is the rest November three? What the rest

668
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of November three? Well, yes it's true, but you got

669
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to buy December a little bit of a catch. But

670
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what a great catch because you're gonna want December college

671
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and pro football bowls, playoffs, some of the National title

672
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673
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are a ton of bowl games obviously, but also college

674
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and pro basketball on a daily basis, four major sports

675
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going right now. We run over a seventy percent all

676
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sports run the past week. It's going to continue through

677
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681
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682
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683
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and it is truly the last cut for my best

684
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685
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686
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687
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a little bit, but then again, thousands of getting them

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692
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shows here on YouTube, don't forget I've got a ton

693
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of standalone videos for this week. I'm doing every weeknight

694
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college and pro football game for you, including Thursday night

695
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Prime ten and two. This year, we've got bills in

696
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Texas tonight on Thursday. Also have both Friday college football games.

697
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The Thursday night college football game is up now, and

698
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then tons of weekend content as well. So click subscribe

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and click that bill for instance. Alerts here on wager

700
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Talk TV.

701
00:33:26,759 --> 00:33:29,920
Speaker 1: Said Steve Merrill. And now we round out the promotional

702
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portion of the program with the birthday Boy, who has

703
00:33:33,359 --> 00:33:36,079
a birthday special. He mentioned it a little bit at

704
00:33:36,079 --> 00:33:38,079
the top of the show. Ralph, why don't you remind

705
00:33:38,079 --> 00:33:40,200
the folks who might have joined us late about the

706
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special You've got going on at your page.

707
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Speaker 2: Last year, If you guys can figure this out. Last

708
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:48,480
year I charged sixty one dollars for my birthday special.

709
00:33:48,599 --> 00:33:51,200
This year I charged sixty two. Sorry for the increase

710
00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:55,519
in price. Seven day all access. I do have a

711
00:33:55,640 --> 00:33:59,640
college football best bet for tonight on Thursday. My college

712
00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:04,160
run twenty one and eight seventy two percent. And listen

713
00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:07,759
this going back to last year forty eight and twenty

714
00:34:07,839 --> 00:34:11,519
three sixty eight percent on every college place since last December,

715
00:34:12,079 --> 00:34:16,280
my best bets like tonight ten and one ninety one percent,

716
00:34:16,639 --> 00:34:18,559
and oh yeah, by the way, I will have a

717
00:34:18,639 --> 00:34:23,280
college football five percent, my college football five percent ten

718
00:34:23,480 --> 00:34:28,119
and one ninety one percent, and my football five percents

719
00:34:28,559 --> 00:34:34,000
seventeen and four seven days all sports, including the thirty

720
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:38,199
five dollars college football five percent, just sixty two dollars.

721
00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:44,760
Head to my homepage wt Dot buzz backslash rm UKA.

722
00:34:45,360 --> 00:34:47,840
Speaker 1: That is what we've got going on this weekend. Now,

723
00:34:47,880 --> 00:34:50,800
let's talk about what you guys want to know are

724
00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:53,719
asking about this weekend. Let's go to the chat. What

725
00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:57,360
do you say? Dan Alexander hit us with some questions,

726
00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:01,119
Sean Burley. He wants to know is there a path

727
00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:04,880
to the College foball PLAFF from Missouri if they dominate Oklahoma,

728
00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:08,280
does the committee give a pass for losing? Don't I

729
00:35:08,400 --> 00:35:11,239
know that was spoken about. I think that is a

730
00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:13,840
far fetched scenario. First of all, I'd be sure. I

731
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:16,840
think we all agree would be shocked if Missouri dominates Oklahoma.

732
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:19,679
I don't see a path I don't know for Missouri

733
00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:21,079
to get into the College Football PLAFF.

734
00:35:21,119 --> 00:35:23,679
Speaker 3: That's just me, I'll say real quick on this ano.

735
00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:27,480
The NCAA Basketball Committee does consider injuries, but it's a negative.

736
00:35:27,559 --> 00:35:30,360
They consider what the team is like now. So unless

737
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:32,320
Missouri is fully healthy and they think it makes a

738
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:34,599
big difference, they're gonna actually penaloze it for being shorthanded

739
00:35:34,599 --> 00:35:36,760
because you're supposed to put in the best possible teams.

740
00:35:37,559 --> 00:35:40,400
Speaker 2: Hell, Steve, look what Florida State happened two years ago.

741
00:35:40,519 --> 00:35:43,199
You're undefeated, you're undefeated, and your quarterback had injured and

742
00:35:43,239 --> 00:35:44,320
you don't to make the playoffs.

743
00:35:44,440 --> 00:35:45,679
Speaker 1: You want to talk about an uproar.

744
00:35:45,760 --> 00:35:48,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, So, I mean they've already made their statement that

745
00:35:48,199 --> 00:35:51,440
without your startup quarterback, you're not going to be there, especially,

746
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:54,760
you know, especially when this kid is you know, fifty

747
00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:57,159
three percent with a six point one YPA so far,

748
00:35:57,519 --> 00:35:59,280
you know, and then against a good Oklahoma team on

749
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:00,960
the road, you're not to get more. And then they

750
00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:01,840
play Arkansas.

751
00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:03,079
Speaker 3: So we'll see.

752
00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:07,519
Speaker 1: What else do we have here? Dan in the chat.

753
00:36:08,039 --> 00:36:09,840
Keep in mind, guys, we've got best bets coming up

754
00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:12,360
at the end of the show. Oh little mactionin Adam

755
00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:14,480
wants to know about Mac. This is not the week

756
00:36:14,760 --> 00:36:17,440
of course, there's always one MAC game that they put

757
00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:19,400
on an island on Saturday. I don't know why they

758
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:20,920
do that. I don't know why they just don't put

759
00:36:20,920 --> 00:36:23,159
all the MAC games of the weekday. Who's watching Toledo

760
00:36:23,199 --> 00:36:25,840
book ball State on Saturday? Even I'm not watching that game.

761
00:36:26,119 --> 00:36:30,360
Ball State is absolutely atrocious. They are one of the

762
00:36:30,360 --> 00:36:33,360
five worst teams in the country. We had six until Tuesday,

763
00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:35,400
we had incredible. Of course, I'm a problem an American

764
00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:37,920
Conference graduate. Both of you guys know that everyone watching

765
00:36:38,039 --> 00:36:40,360
knows that as well. We had great success with the

766
00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:44,400
weekday Maction plays the first two weeks. I agree this

767
00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:47,039
would be favorite or pass wee. Toledo, in my opinion,

768
00:36:47,199 --> 00:36:49,480
is still the best team in the MAC. I know

769
00:36:49,639 --> 00:36:52,679
Jason Kandall always has a history and He's done it

770
00:36:52,679 --> 00:36:56,039
twice this year. He has a history of inexplicably dropping

771
00:36:56,079 --> 00:36:58,599
games as a double digit favorite. He's not losing this game.

772
00:36:58,639 --> 00:37:01,000
Toledo still has a path to the man to the

773
00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:03,559
MAC Championship game. I think they can name the score

774
00:37:03,840 --> 00:37:07,400
against the ball state team that has absolutely zilch to

775
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:09,280
play for. I don't know if either of you guys

776
00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:10,920
had anything there. If not, we can just go.

777
00:37:11,159 --> 00:37:13,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll say real quick, Brian, and Toledo's my only

778
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:15,519
team in my power ratings. It's a top fifty team

779
00:37:15,559 --> 00:37:17,440
in the MAC. And I've been doing all these week

780
00:37:17,559 --> 00:37:19,280
night games, as you know the single video, so I've

781
00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:21,079
been covering the MAC as well. And something also that

782
00:37:21,199 --> 00:37:22,880
jumped out to me. You know, when the maxins started

783
00:37:22,960 --> 00:37:25,920
last week or the week before, I was excited because

784
00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:30,239
we had some crummy conference USA, Sunbelt, American, whatever conference

785
00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:31,559
these other teams are in. I was like, Oh, we

786
00:37:31,639 --> 00:37:33,679
got the MAC, you know that. And I started to

787
00:37:33,679 --> 00:37:35,639
realize the last couple of weeks how bad the MAC

788
00:37:35,679 --> 00:37:38,840
has become. I mean, you messed the worst offensive and

789
00:37:39,000 --> 00:37:40,639
defensive team in the country. I mean you got to

790
00:37:40,639 --> 00:37:42,440
try hard to be the absolute worst one hundred and

791
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:45,239
thirty six team in both categories, and they're going to

792
00:37:45,280 --> 00:37:48,440
drop the FCS sooner than later. Once again, Kent State

793
00:37:48,480 --> 00:37:50,360
the last couple of years was probably the worst team

794
00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:52,360
in the country. So, yeah, the MAC is really fallen.

795
00:37:52,920 --> 00:37:54,239
And I don't know if you have any thoughts on

796
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:57,000
why that's happened, but it's not what it used to be.

797
00:37:57,039 --> 00:37:59,199
But yeah, putting them on the weeknights is smart because

798
00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:02,199
these games disappear on the weekends. But I do think

799
00:38:02,199 --> 00:38:04,119
Toledo is a one team and I'd have Western Michigan

800
00:38:04,119 --> 00:38:06,840
maybe in my top seventy as far as other teams

801
00:38:06,840 --> 00:38:09,719
in this conference that are competitive, but otherwise it's a

802
00:38:09,760 --> 00:38:11,800
pretty weak conference. This year in Ball State is definitely

803
00:38:11,800 --> 00:38:14,719
one of those teams. It's pretty ugly. I've got yeah

804
00:38:14,800 --> 00:38:15,880
thirty two by the way.

805
00:38:16,199 --> 00:38:18,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, real quick to answer, you know, why has

806
00:38:18,480 --> 00:38:20,679
the MAC fall I mean, obviously the MAC was always

807
00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:23,840
several steps below the Power Conference and why is that gap? Why?

808
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:25,920
And I mean I think you can look at it

809
00:38:25,360 --> 00:38:28,920
at the transfer portal and I obviously if somebody's a

810
00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:30,559
standout one of these teams, they're going to go to

811
00:38:30,639 --> 00:38:33,000
greener past years, then they're gonna leave. But yeah, I

812
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:36,000
mean it. I don't think that's the full explanation because

813
00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:39,039
I mean there is just a The bottom of the

814
00:38:39,119 --> 00:38:43,679
MAC this year is just absolutely horrific. I mean half

815
00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:46,159
the bottom ten teams in the country are MAC teams.

816
00:38:46,199 --> 00:38:48,760
So I mean even a team like Akron is very

817
00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:52,360
who you know, screwed me on Tuesday, is very lucky

818
00:38:52,400 --> 00:38:56,400
that there's you know, notable teams worse in the conference.

819
00:38:56,920 --> 00:39:00,039
Speaker 2: Hi, Steve, I think it's winner playing winner in I

820
00:39:00,400 --> 00:39:03,480
or Michigan, and you're not getting paid at all. I

821
00:39:03,519 --> 00:39:06,800
mean Akron, Ken State, those schools have no money. Eastern Michigan.

822
00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:09,119
You know, you're not getting anybody. You can't pay even

823
00:39:09,159 --> 00:39:12,000
a kid to stay. So everyone they may not be

824
00:39:12,079 --> 00:39:14,519
going to a power for school, but the MAC loses

825
00:39:14,559 --> 00:39:17,320
so many people to those next level conferences. I remember

826
00:39:17,360 --> 00:39:20,800
my last couple of years managing phil Steel Publications, the

827
00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:24,119
MAC and sun Belt were about even. You know, now

828
00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:27,840
the sun Belt is closer to the American Conference and CUSA,

829
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:30,760
which basically, you know, the sun Belt took all the

830
00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:33,360
good CSA teams, so CUSA now has all the teams

831
00:39:33,360 --> 00:39:36,880
that were FCS teams, the Kennesaw States, the Jacksonville States,

832
00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:40,079
the Delawares, you know, and even that conference, I have

833
00:39:40,119 --> 00:39:41,599
them ranked a little higher.

834
00:39:41,679 --> 00:39:42,840
Speaker 1: Than the MAC.

835
00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:45,840
Speaker 2: So you're taking you're taking a you're taking a conference

836
00:39:45,880 --> 00:39:49,280
that has four teams that played in the FCS two

837
00:39:49,360 --> 00:39:51,199
years ago and you still have them better at the MAC.

838
00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:55,440
That's a sad situation. And Steve old UMass is just

839
00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:58,119
talking about getting rid of football and figuring what's the

840
00:39:58,159 --> 00:40:00,000
best sports for them to do for their other sport

841
00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:00,800
in the conference.

842
00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:02,920
Speaker 3: So they might not even drop down because yeah, I

843
00:40:02,960 --> 00:40:04,880
heard some rumblings at all won the Marry meeting. Actually,

844
00:40:04,880 --> 00:40:07,360
you know, they're all FCS power that they were leaving,

845
00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:09,880
so maybe they're just leaving for good with football. But

846
00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:11,559
the way they're playing it makes you think that's what's

847
00:40:11,559 --> 00:40:13,559
happening because they're atrocious. Trophy.

848
00:40:13,639 --> 00:40:15,679
Speaker 1: That was That was that was. That was a free win,

849
00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:17,719
although you kind of slept walked in the first half

850
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:20,280
of that game. There was a lightning delay on Tuesday

851
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:23,599
night when when the minute Men came to Peden Stadium

852
00:40:23,639 --> 00:40:26,199
at the corner of Rich Lived around six't eighty two.

853
00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:29,840
Of course, for those keeping score at home, have you

854
00:40:29,840 --> 00:40:32,840
remember twenty years ago, guys, the MAC they always would

855
00:40:32,840 --> 00:40:34,320
sneak a team and right in the But you know,

856
00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:36,239
I mean it was when I was, you know, still

857
00:40:36,239 --> 00:40:37,800
going to college. You would get a team at the

858
00:40:37,880 --> 00:40:39,480
end of the year. A MAC team would sneak into

859
00:40:39,480 --> 00:40:41,400
the bottom of the top twenty five. I don't think they're

860
00:40:41,599 --> 00:40:43,360
at the end of the top twenty five. I don't

861
00:40:43,360 --> 00:40:45,760
think there's a hope in hell that a MAC school

862
00:40:45,760 --> 00:40:47,800
will ever represent the G five in the in the

863
00:40:47,840 --> 00:40:52,480
College Football Playoff. The way things are going, I agree

864
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:55,519
with that. Yeah, yeah, there's just no way. It's the

865
00:40:55,559 --> 00:40:57,960
worst conference in America. All right, nothing about the MAC.

866
00:40:58,079 --> 00:41:01,480
As much as I love the MACI or Virginia Tech.

867
00:41:02,000 --> 00:41:04,119
I said it last week that I wouldn't be afraid

868
00:41:04,119 --> 00:41:08,480
to lay it with Miami. They covered I don't like

869
00:41:08,599 --> 00:41:11,360
road favorites. I think most of the people who follow

870
00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:13,559
my videos bill that I don't like. I would not

871
00:41:13,599 --> 00:41:15,880
take the home dog here Tech. Virginia Tech's a team

872
00:41:16,119 --> 00:41:19,559
that is just thinking about next year. Obviously, James Franklin

873
00:41:19,599 --> 00:41:22,119
will be coming to Blacksburg. That's the big news here.

874
00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:27,239
But the other part of the equation, Steve Miami, they're

875
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:29,159
on the team on the outside looking in when it

876
00:41:29,199 --> 00:41:31,000
comes to college horble play iff. They are hanging their

877
00:41:31,039 --> 00:41:33,639
hat on the fact they beat the Ordre Dame Order

878
00:41:33,719 --> 00:41:38,440
Dames ahead of them. I know Christo Ball is scared

879
00:41:38,519 --> 00:41:41,159
about on at times, especially as a favorite, but he's

880
00:41:41,199 --> 00:41:43,280
already dropped his two games as a double digit favorite

881
00:41:43,280 --> 00:41:45,440
this year. I think Miami can name the score here.

882
00:41:45,599 --> 00:41:47,039
I actually think this number is too short.

883
00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:50,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, so this is a game I looked at based

884
00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:52,960
on the motivational aspect you just mentioned. With the Virginia

885
00:41:53,000 --> 00:41:56,159
Tech hiring James Franklin, I've got a lot of Tech fans, obviously,

886
00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:59,519
daniel Leewan's a diehard Tech. One of my fellow coaches

887
00:41:59,840 --> 00:42:02,599
is extremely excited. He'd been checking for weeks about Franklin

888
00:42:02,639 --> 00:42:04,480
told me it was gonna happen, and it did happen

889
00:42:05,079 --> 00:42:07,960
Monday night. So my first thought was that maybe they

890
00:42:07,960 --> 00:42:09,599
get a little bit of an emotional bump. But then

891
00:42:09,599 --> 00:42:11,039
the more I've thought about it could go the other

892
00:42:11,079 --> 00:42:12,880
way too, Right, they just check out on the season

893
00:42:13,119 --> 00:42:16,000
and bigger picture. Here's what I'm concerned with. I think

894
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:18,880
maybe the players will be excited, the fans are obviously excited,

895
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:21,599
but what about the coaches? Right? They pretty much all

896
00:42:21,599 --> 00:42:24,039
know their lame ducks now, which they probably were anyway,

897
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:26,840
that's a concern. And then you mentioned the fact Miami

898
00:42:26,880 --> 00:42:30,039
needs to win by margin and they still have something

899
00:42:30,039 --> 00:42:33,079
to play for. I have them winning by nineteen on average,

900
00:42:33,079 --> 00:42:34,719
and that does not factor. And they once again any

901
00:42:34,719 --> 00:42:38,480
of the emotional aspects of this. And Virginia Tech is

902
00:42:38,519 --> 00:42:40,840
a team that is vastly underachieved at times this year,

903
00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:43,840
and they don't have good quarterback play. I barely have

904
00:42:43,960 --> 00:42:47,119
them ranked in my top ninety for offense or defensive ratings.

905
00:42:47,159 --> 00:42:49,199
I've got Miami top twenty for both. So this is

906
00:42:49,199 --> 00:42:52,119
a real mismatch. And initially I was saying, well, maybe

907
00:42:52,119 --> 00:42:54,000
Tech gets a spark with the Franklin higher but now

908
00:42:54,039 --> 00:42:56,960
I'm not even sure it's the opposite. So probably Miami,

909
00:42:56,960 --> 00:42:58,320
if you're gonna play it, I would lay with them.

910
00:42:58,519 --> 00:43:00,440
I have them winning by nineteen. It could be more, though.

911
00:43:01,159 --> 00:43:02,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that point about the lame duck coaching

912
00:43:02,880 --> 00:43:04,679
Staf Steve that' to that point is well taken. What

913
00:43:04,679 --> 00:43:07,480
do you think I'm gonna like Virginia Tech next year

914
00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:08,960
with Franklin I can tell you I think they're gonna

915
00:43:08,960 --> 00:43:10,280
be a play on team in.

916
00:43:10,480 --> 00:43:12,679
Speaker 3: Great Higher Sea Yeah, it's a great hire for them

917
00:43:12,679 --> 00:43:15,239
because they're so far removed from word about top five games.

918
00:43:15,320 --> 00:43:17,119
Right now, let's just get there. So it's a great

919
00:43:17,159 --> 00:43:17,840
hire for Tech.

920
00:43:18,280 --> 00:43:22,039
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, you know Franklin's Franklin's value got diminished

921
00:43:22,039 --> 00:43:23,599
by half probably, you know, so now all of the

922
00:43:23,840 --> 00:43:26,760
Virginia Tech never could have afforded Franklin, but now they can.

923
00:43:27,119 --> 00:43:30,679
You know, one thing shocks me is that you know,

924
00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:33,639
this is this is Virginia Tech's final home game, so

925
00:43:33,760 --> 00:43:36,199
it's senior night. You come out, you know, your parents

926
00:43:36,239 --> 00:43:39,320
are there, and and you see all that. I'm surprised

927
00:43:39,360 --> 00:43:42,880
they announced this before Senior's weekend, not wait till Sunday.

928
00:43:43,119 --> 00:43:45,559
But that just shows the business now of college football.

929
00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:48,400
You know, Franklin gets announced, So now all of a sudden,

930
00:43:48,639 --> 00:43:50,559
these kids can start going to the portal, you know,

931
00:43:50,599 --> 00:43:52,480
as soon as these bowl games are, you know, as

932
00:43:52,480 --> 00:43:55,079
soon as those season's over. So it shows you the

933
00:43:55,119 --> 00:43:58,079
business aspect that college football took away senior Day and

934
00:43:58,079 --> 00:44:00,360
made all the news about Franklin. But you half to

935
00:44:00,400 --> 00:44:03,039
nowadays if you want any chance in the portal. I

936
00:44:04,239 --> 00:44:06,639
like the under here. You know, Miami's defense doesn't get

937
00:44:06,719 --> 00:44:09,559
enough credit. They are actually number three in the country,

938
00:44:09,559 --> 00:44:11,920
holding opponents to one hundred and forty three yards per

939
00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:14,679
game under their average. And you look at Virginia Tech.

940
00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:17,440
They're getting a game by forty one yards per game

941
00:44:17,440 --> 00:44:19,960
their last four games. They have an offense that put

942
00:44:20,039 --> 00:44:23,000
up three hundred and sixty seven yards at Georgia Tech

943
00:44:23,000 --> 00:44:25,480
two hundred and sixty three yards against Wake. They try

944
00:44:25,480 --> 00:44:27,199
to run the ball, You're not going to run the

945
00:44:27,199 --> 00:44:30,280
ball on Miami eighty two yards per game, two point

946
00:44:30,320 --> 00:44:33,000
seven yards per carrie. In the last four weeks, they're

947
00:44:33,039 --> 00:44:36,119
only allowing sixty six yards per game and two point

948
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:39,599
zero yards per carrey rushing. Virginia Tech will not have offense.

949
00:44:39,880 --> 00:44:42,559
Miami's fine, just running the ball. Last couple of weeks

950
00:44:42,559 --> 00:44:44,800
they ran the ball forty four, forty thirty two, and

951
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:47,000
thirty seven times under for me in.

952
00:44:46,960 --> 00:44:50,639
Speaker 1: This game, Okay, there we go, last little total lean

953
00:44:50,840 --> 00:44:53,960
there for you on Miami Virginia Tech. Once upon a

954
00:44:54,000 --> 00:44:55,519
time that was a big game. Maybe it will be

955
00:44:55,599 --> 00:44:58,960
again under Franklin when he takes over Blacksburg. Guys, what

956
00:44:59,000 --> 00:45:01,400
do you think about Pittsburgh, Georgia. This is a hard

957
00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:03,119
call for me. I actually don't want to bet either

958
00:45:03,119 --> 00:45:06,800
of these teams right now, Georgia Tech. Every year, guys,

959
00:45:07,559 --> 00:45:11,320
there's one, two, three, couple teams, a couple few teams

960
00:45:11,320 --> 00:45:13,480
that just have Lady Luck riding on their shoulders and

961
00:45:13,519 --> 00:45:16,440
you have to accept it. Georgia Tech has Lady Luck

962
00:45:16,480 --> 00:45:19,360
riding on its shoulders this season. This is you know,

963
00:45:19,400 --> 00:45:23,480
obviously they're they're not better than Miami, but Georgia Tech

964
00:45:23,480 --> 00:45:25,639
is gonnaet to play for the ACC Championship in Miami.

965
00:45:25,679 --> 00:45:30,320
Probably will not. Pitt Pitt, I don't know what paton Ardoozy,

966
00:45:31,119 --> 00:45:33,320
you go back a week. I think he wishes he

967
00:45:33,320 --> 00:45:35,159
could have that quote back when he opened his mouth

968
00:45:35,199 --> 00:45:36,679
and said, oh, we don't mind if we get killed

969
00:45:36,679 --> 00:45:39,400
by Notre Dame. Because that didn't go well and you

970
00:45:39,440 --> 00:45:42,400
have to wonder what the pit mindset is, or maybe

971
00:45:42,440 --> 00:45:44,320
he was just it was a case of we have

972
00:45:44,360 --> 00:45:46,239
to look at that, and the man was being very honest.

973
00:45:46,519 --> 00:45:48,480
He cared more about this Georgia Tech game than he

974
00:45:48,519 --> 00:45:50,320
did against the Notre Dame game. What do you think, see,

975
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:52,760
I don't have a really strong feel on this game

976
00:45:52,800 --> 00:45:55,039
because these are two teams that I would prefer to

977
00:45:55,119 --> 00:45:59,400
fade rather than bet on at this particular moment in time.

978
00:46:00,159 --> 00:46:01,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, and I actually have a two and a half

979
00:46:02,000 --> 00:46:04,719
point Georgia Tech projected win, and that's exactly what the

980
00:46:04,719 --> 00:46:07,760
line is. Here's another situation, though, where no matter which

981
00:46:07,800 --> 00:46:10,800
side do you like, it's inexcusable not to have about

982
00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:13,199
a nine to ten percent better chance of not losing it. And

983
00:46:13,159 --> 00:46:15,679
the reason I say that is right now, it's mostly

984
00:46:15,719 --> 00:46:17,760
Georgia Tech minus two and a half. Some spots have

985
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:20,960
minus fifteen, but there are some major books out there

986
00:46:21,000 --> 00:46:23,159
that have plus three available. By the way, bet Online

987
00:46:23,199 --> 00:46:25,360
and book Maker, two of the sharpest offshores, have moved

988
00:46:25,360 --> 00:46:28,559
to minus three. Even so it looks like a little

989
00:46:28,599 --> 00:46:30,599
bit of the sharply might be towards Georgia Tech. But

990
00:46:30,679 --> 00:46:33,639
regardless of what side you like, here, you're getting either

991
00:46:33,679 --> 00:46:36,280
Georgia Tech minus two and a half or Pittsburgh plus three.

992
00:46:36,639 --> 00:46:38,800
And there's about an eight to nine percent chances game

993
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:40,960
lands exactly on that key number, a little bit less

994
00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:43,840
than normal because the total is high at sixty two,

995
00:46:43,880 --> 00:46:46,719
so maybe a seven to eight percent chance regardless of

996
00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:48,119
it lands on three. But you get it for free

997
00:46:48,119 --> 00:46:51,559
by just having multiple sports book accounts, So betting one

998
00:46:51,599 --> 00:46:53,559
oh one something that's very important to comprehend. If you're

999
00:46:53,639 --> 00:46:54,199
new better.

1000
00:46:56,960 --> 00:46:59,880
Speaker 1: Guys, we are now going to go to our best.

1001
00:47:00,159 --> 00:47:02,400
That's Ralph actually right with something else.

1002
00:47:02,679 --> 00:47:04,960
Speaker 2: Let me just jump in one second there because I

1003
00:47:05,079 --> 00:47:07,519
was I was high on Georgia Tech this week. But

1004
00:47:08,599 --> 00:47:10,280
you know, I'm never going to base a play on

1005
00:47:10,320 --> 00:47:14,440
a trend. But this trend clearly kept me off the game.

1006
00:47:15,079 --> 00:47:19,000
So if we look at game four and later, you're

1007
00:47:19,000 --> 00:47:23,280
a favorite. You allowed over six point five yards per

1008
00:47:23,320 --> 00:47:25,119
carry in each of your last two games.

1009
00:47:25,159 --> 00:47:25,519
Speaker 1: That's it.

1010
00:47:25,760 --> 00:47:29,039
Speaker 2: That's the only situation. You allowed six point five yards

1011
00:47:29,079 --> 00:47:31,119
per carry or more each of the last two games,

1012
00:47:31,199 --> 00:47:35,840
and you're now a favorite. Those teams have gone eighteen

1013
00:47:36,639 --> 00:47:39,840
and sixty one since two thousand and six. That is

1014
00:47:39,880 --> 00:47:43,599
twenty three percent against the spread. They allowed seven point

1015
00:47:43,599 --> 00:47:46,800
one yards per carry at NC State and they allowed

1016
00:47:46,840 --> 00:47:52,000
six point seven yards per carry at Boston College. Taking

1017
00:47:52,159 --> 00:47:54,800
a favorite with that type of defense is a recipe

1018
00:47:54,800 --> 00:47:55,679
for disaster.

1019
00:47:58,360 --> 00:48:00,719
Speaker 1: Good ad there, and I think now we are going

1020
00:48:00,760 --> 00:48:04,480
to get to our best bets for the show. Each

1021
00:48:04,519 --> 00:48:08,199
of us has one. By the way, it hit, lad

1022
00:48:08,519 --> 00:48:11,159
If you parlayed our three best bets last week, Ralph

1023
00:48:11,320 --> 00:48:14,079
Ross and I you won. That was a monster, probably

1024
00:48:14,079 --> 00:48:16,400
all three of our best bets one. We swept the

1025
00:48:16,400 --> 00:48:20,480
best bets on the show last week. We hope to

1026
00:48:20,519 --> 00:48:23,679
do it again here with Steve joining the program. Steve,

1027
00:48:23,679 --> 00:48:25,639
thank you again for joining us. We cannot thank you

1028
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:30,119
enough again. A programming note, Ralph, correct me if I'm

1029
00:48:30,119 --> 00:48:32,559
wrong here. We're gonna do the show live on Wednesday

1030
00:48:32,679 --> 00:48:37,239
next week, because of course, next Thursday is Thanksgiving. Yes,

1031
00:48:37,400 --> 00:48:40,840
one o'clock on Wednesday. We would like to eat with

1032
00:48:40,880 --> 00:48:43,360
our families though on Thursday. Well, you know, it's funny.

1033
00:48:43,360 --> 00:48:46,079
I remember Thanksgiving growing up. I used to always curse

1034
00:48:46,119 --> 00:48:48,960
the Detroit Lions at Thanksgiving. There. Now it's amazing that

1035
00:48:49,000 --> 00:48:50,760
they're one of the best teams in the league, and

1036
00:48:50,760 --> 00:48:54,159
it's it's so much different. But I'll kick us off

1037
00:48:54,639 --> 00:48:56,920
with the best Bet segment and we're going to talk

1038
00:48:57,039 --> 00:49:01,840
in the American East Carolina at guys. This is a

1039
00:49:01,880 --> 00:49:05,639
game I discussed on that midweek edition of The Power five.

1040
00:49:06,480 --> 00:49:11,199
I reposted it live on my Twitter on Twitter X.

1041
00:49:11,239 --> 00:49:14,800
I believe they're calling it now at Brian Power Underscore Wins.

1042
00:49:14,840 --> 00:49:16,960
You can catch the full video there. One of the

1043
00:49:17,000 --> 00:49:20,480
games I talked about was this one East Carolina UTSA,

1044
00:49:21,000 --> 00:49:24,559
UTSA has moved from a three point to a two

1045
00:49:24,639 --> 00:49:27,519
and a half point home dog, and I agree with

1046
00:49:27,559 --> 00:49:30,800
this line move and I'm gonna tell you why. Number One,

1047
00:49:31,159 --> 00:49:34,400
it is a massive, massive letdown spot for the road

1048
00:49:34,400 --> 00:49:36,800
favorite East Carolina. I know East Carolina still has a

1049
00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:39,719
lot to play for. They've got the conference championship, the

1050
00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:42,320
possibility of being in the conference championship in front of them,

1051
00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:44,800
but they are coming off a last minute win at

1052
00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:48,440
home against Memphis last week. Greenville was rocking after that

1053
00:49:48,519 --> 00:49:51,480
last second win. But not only do I think this

1054
00:49:51,519 --> 00:49:54,199
is a letdown spot for East Carolina coming off that

1055
00:49:54,320 --> 00:50:01,119
massive home win, UTSA at home under trailer has been fantastic.

1056
00:50:01,159 --> 00:50:03,840
You're talking about thirty two and four straight up overall,

1057
00:50:04,079 --> 00:50:07,000
and now they're a dog. How is UTSA done as

1058
00:50:07,000 --> 00:50:09,920
a home dog in recent seasons? Well, the answer is

1059
00:50:09,960 --> 00:50:13,519
absolutely incredible. They are five and zero against the spread

1060
00:50:13,519 --> 00:50:15,880
as a home dog since twenty twenty one, and they've

1061
00:50:15,920 --> 00:50:19,239
won all five games straight up. If you're a client

1062
00:50:19,239 --> 00:50:21,280
of mine, you probably remember a few weeks ago I

1063
00:50:21,320 --> 00:50:23,440
gave out the road Runners as a three percent play

1064
00:50:23,480 --> 00:50:26,000
on a Thursday night getting points here at home against

1065
00:50:26,000 --> 00:50:29,039
Tulane that's a two lane team that now occupies the

1066
00:50:29,039 --> 00:50:33,079
G five spot in the College Football Playoff. UTSA won

1067
00:50:33,119 --> 00:50:35,159
that game outright by a score of forty eight to

1068
00:50:35,199 --> 00:50:41,159
twenty six, so I could only play UTSA in this spot.

1069
00:50:41,199 --> 00:50:45,199
That is my best bet this week. Meet. Let's go

1070
00:50:45,719 --> 00:50:48,679
road Runners, Steve, you are up next.

1071
00:50:49,440 --> 00:50:51,679
Speaker 3: First of all, it's pronounced bbep. I love that She'll

1072
00:50:51,719 --> 00:50:53,840
do that. Everybody. That's the best best nickname in all

1073
00:50:53,840 --> 00:50:56,559
of sports. Let's talk about names, though, because I have

1074
00:50:56,639 --> 00:51:00,519
a free play video for tonight on Thursday between stayed

1075
00:51:00,519 --> 00:51:03,440
in UL Lafayette the Louisiana Raging Cajuns. So I did

1076
00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:06,840
some research on this because don Bescreen, the Odds logic

1077
00:51:06,920 --> 00:51:09,760
screen still has UL Lafayette, but all the school goes

1078
00:51:09,800 --> 00:51:14,119
by Louisiana Raging Cajuns. The official school name is still

1079
00:51:14,159 --> 00:51:17,760
Louisiana at Lafayette UL Lafayette for academic purposes, but the

1080
00:51:17,800 --> 00:51:20,800
sports has rebranded Louisiana Raging Cajun. So check how that

1081
00:51:20,800 --> 00:51:23,920
free play video. And I bring this up because my

1082
00:51:23,960 --> 00:51:26,239
free play is going to come up on Saturday afternoon

1083
00:51:26,280 --> 00:51:30,000
between South Carolina and Coastal Carolina. And if you've noticed

1084
00:51:30,079 --> 00:51:31,880
a lot of the networks, like when they're showing the

1085
00:51:31,920 --> 00:51:34,800
scores this year, it said Coastal, so I researched this.

1086
00:51:35,119 --> 00:51:37,360
They have not changed the name for either the academic

1087
00:51:37,400 --> 00:51:40,519
institution or the sports team. They are still Coastal Carolina

1088
00:51:41,400 --> 00:51:43,519
baseball champs a few years ago. They have a fantastic

1089
00:51:43,559 --> 00:51:46,639
baseball program, and they've been pretty good in football in

1090
00:51:46,679 --> 00:51:48,440
recent years. You know, they were one of those better

1091
00:51:49,039 --> 00:51:52,400
mid major teams. Not the case this year. While they've

1092
00:51:52,400 --> 00:51:54,760
been competitive at times, and yes, they put up forty

1093
00:51:54,760 --> 00:51:59,280
points in each of their last four games, is extremely misleading.

1094
00:51:59,280 --> 00:52:02,159
This is actually not a very good offensive team. They

1095
00:52:02,199 --> 00:52:04,360
run the ball well, but they can't throw the ball

1096
00:52:04,360 --> 00:52:05,920
at all. In fact, they are averaging only about five

1097
00:52:05,960 --> 00:52:07,960
and a half yards a pass against teams allow seven

1098
00:52:08,000 --> 00:52:10,320
and a half. And I bring that up because when

1099
00:52:10,360 --> 00:52:12,000
they get behind in this game is a twenty four

1100
00:52:12,000 --> 00:52:14,400
point dog in South Carolina, they cannot catch up. Whenever

1101
00:52:14,440 --> 00:52:17,199
you're laying a big number with a team like South Carolina,

1102
00:52:17,239 --> 00:52:18,760
you want a couple of things working for You want

1103
00:52:18,800 --> 00:52:21,079
motivation to win big, and you want to make sure

1104
00:52:21,079 --> 00:52:23,199
the other team does not have that backdoor cover potential,

1105
00:52:23,239 --> 00:52:25,039
which normally comes to being able to throw the ball.

1106
00:52:25,320 --> 00:52:27,320
Coasta Carolina's going to have trouble playing for behind in

1107
00:52:27,320 --> 00:52:29,360
this game, and South Carolina has been a good defensive

1108
00:52:29,360 --> 00:52:31,960
team this year. Overall problem in South Carolina is they're

1109
00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:33,679
not a good offensive team. And normally I don't lay

1110
00:52:33,679 --> 00:52:35,880
twenty four points with the team that's averaging less than

1111
00:52:35,920 --> 00:52:38,440
twenty one points. And normally this could be a flat

1112
00:52:38,480 --> 00:52:41,599
spot for South Carolina in the middle of the SEC schedule,

1113
00:52:41,599 --> 00:52:43,400
but I don't think it is for a few reasons.

1114
00:52:43,440 --> 00:52:46,480
First of all, South Carolina enters off of five straight losses.

1115
00:52:46,480 --> 00:52:49,440
They've dropped seven of their last eight games. After beating

1116
00:52:49,519 --> 00:52:52,440
Virginia Tech to start the season, there was hopes there,

1117
00:52:52,440 --> 00:52:55,079
but they've been just miserable since. Yes, they did not

1118
00:52:55,119 --> 00:52:57,320
cover as a big favorite against South Carolina State, but

1119
00:52:57,320 --> 00:53:00,039
they did win that by twenty eight. Still think this

1120
00:53:00,199 --> 00:53:02,280
has blowout written all over it. Even if South Carolina

1121
00:53:02,280 --> 00:53:03,880
has tossed the towel in the season, they're not going

1122
00:53:03,920 --> 00:53:05,360
to be able to help but win this game by

1123
00:53:05,360 --> 00:53:07,800
more than twenty four because Coastal's not gonna be able

1124
00:53:07,800 --> 00:53:09,360
to catch up when they get behind. And I also

1125
00:53:09,400 --> 00:53:12,079
think there's a fatigue factor in the second half. After

1126
00:53:12,159 --> 00:53:15,400
four straight wins, Coastal lost that high scoring forty five

1127
00:53:15,519 --> 00:53:18,719
forty shootout against Georgia Southern last week. Traveling now for

1128
00:53:18,760 --> 00:53:21,159
the second week in a row, I project a twenty

1129
00:53:21,199 --> 00:53:23,559
eight point win in my projections, and I think the

1130
00:53:23,639 --> 00:53:26,280
matchup and the motivation lines up as well. If you're

1131
00:53:26,280 --> 00:53:29,119
going to play it, lay it with South Carolina minus

1132
00:53:29,159 --> 00:53:30,880
twenty four or less. And I say twenty four or

1133
00:53:30,920 --> 00:53:32,960
less because DraftKings has gone to twenty four and a half.

1134
00:53:33,039 --> 00:53:35,039
Some of the Sharper books are starting to move, so

1135
00:53:35,119 --> 00:53:37,239
I like twenty four. It's a key number. Play it

1136
00:53:37,280 --> 00:53:39,760
now South Carolina minus twenty four or less. And that's

1137
00:53:39,800 --> 00:53:42,599
a time change four to fifteen Eastern because the SEC

1138
00:53:42,679 --> 00:53:45,159
Network just had to have that game on Saturday.

1139
00:53:45,400 --> 00:53:49,320
Speaker 1: Yes, the unusual four to fifteen Easter. The SEC Network

1140
00:53:49,360 --> 00:53:51,880
always with those odd start times. All right, So we've

1141
00:53:51,880 --> 00:53:56,159
got UTSA, we got South Carolina, and now we throw

1142
00:53:56,199 --> 00:53:58,679
it to the birthday of Waiting to blow the candles out,

1143
00:53:58,760 --> 00:54:00,760
if you will. On this week's issue of The Blitz,

1144
00:54:00,800 --> 00:54:03,239
I'm on fire with the metaphors.

1145
00:54:03,239 --> 00:54:04,719
Speaker 3: I thought you're gonna say returning it to Ralph to

1146
00:54:04,760 --> 00:54:06,360
blow it. I was like that is not nice. He's

1147
00:54:06,360 --> 00:54:08,320
gonna have I've.

1148
00:54:08,159 --> 00:54:10,559
Speaker 2: Gotten no bb for if you're gonna play at Lea's

1149
00:54:10,559 --> 00:54:13,039
So sorry, guys, there's nothing, there's nothing coming from me.

1150
00:54:14,119 --> 00:54:19,159
But I am gonna say this. You know, Oklahoma, I

1151
00:54:19,280 --> 00:54:21,480
even said this earlier in the year. I watched one

1152
00:54:21,519 --> 00:54:24,159
game against Michigan, and you look, and they held four

1153
00:54:24,199 --> 00:54:27,599
of their first five opponents to a season low. In

1154
00:54:27,719 --> 00:54:30,840
non conference play, they allowed one hundred and seventy yards

1155
00:54:30,840 --> 00:54:34,119
per game. That's it. But look at the defensive late, Yes,

1156
00:54:34,159 --> 00:54:37,800
they played quality competition. The last three games, they've allowed

1157
00:54:37,840 --> 00:54:40,679
four hundred and thirty one yards, four hundred and fifty

1158
00:54:40,719 --> 00:54:43,920
six yards, and four hundred six yards. If you look

1159
00:54:43,920 --> 00:54:47,679
at the last four weeks. This is with Privula hurt

1160
00:54:47,800 --> 00:54:52,000
and having a backup. The last four weeks, Missouri is even.

1161
00:54:52,559 --> 00:54:54,960
They're gaining three sixty they were allowing three fifty nine.

1162
00:54:55,000 --> 00:54:58,800
They're plus one yard per game. Oklahoma is actually minus

1163
00:54:58,880 --> 00:55:02,039
sixty nine yards per game over their last four games,

1164
00:55:02,360 --> 00:55:05,400
and they've gotten out gained four of their last five foes,

1165
00:55:06,280 --> 00:55:08,760
including the last three by one hundred yards per game.

1166
00:55:09,000 --> 00:55:11,280
The only team they've won the yardage battle in the

1167
00:55:11,360 --> 00:55:15,440
last five weeks is South Carolina. Now it's not going

1168
00:55:15,519 --> 00:55:17,280
to make my card, but it was close. I don't

1169
00:55:17,320 --> 00:55:19,800
want to play on the young quarterback on the road

1170
00:55:20,199 --> 00:55:23,360
making that road start against the solid defense. But you

1171
00:55:23,360 --> 00:55:25,679
know he's got a couple starts under his belt. He

1172
00:55:25,760 --> 00:55:28,880
started the bowl game last year and he started another game,

1173
00:55:28,920 --> 00:55:32,199
so he's not completely in experience. He just looked shell

1174
00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:35,840
shocked in that first game. I do like Missouri hair.

1175
00:55:36,079 --> 00:55:38,079
They are going to just run the ball, run the ball,

1176
00:55:38,159 --> 00:55:41,960
run the ball. Last four weeks they've averaged forty carries

1177
00:55:42,159 --> 00:55:44,480
at one hundred and ninety nine yards and five point

1178
00:55:44,559 --> 00:55:47,599
two yards per carry. And to me, I think there's

1179
00:55:47,639 --> 00:55:51,800
a value play with a solid defense off a confidence

1180
00:55:51,840 --> 00:55:56,039
building win against Mississippi State. And remember they have no pressure.

1181
00:55:56,039 --> 00:55:58,679
They have three losses, they're not expecting to make the playoffs.

1182
00:55:59,000 --> 00:56:03,039
Oklahoma is playing with pressure. They also have LSU on deck,

1183
00:56:03,280 --> 00:56:06,119
so there on that we can't do anything wrong stage,

1184
00:56:06,440 --> 00:56:10,119
and that's where people like Matier, who's only completing sixty

1185
00:56:10,119 --> 00:56:13,840
four percent with an eight seven ratio, starts forcing the

1186
00:56:13,880 --> 00:56:16,199
ball and gets in trouble. I do like the Missouri

1187
00:56:16,360 --> 00:56:20,280
Tigers here, but again just fell short because I was

1188
00:56:20,320 --> 00:56:23,559
afraid to back the young quarterback in a very difficult

1189
00:56:23,599 --> 00:56:25,000
setting in Stillwater.

1190
00:56:26,559 --> 00:56:29,480
Speaker 1: I'm right, I'll tell you what, Ralph. Because it's your birthday, Dan,

1191
00:56:29,559 --> 00:56:34,159
Alexander Norman. I apologize I should have said Norman. I

1192
00:56:34,159 --> 00:56:36,719
said still water again. Yeah, I first say that didn't

1193
00:56:36,760 --> 00:56:38,760
sound was like still have fever dog.

1194
00:56:38,800 --> 00:56:43,199
Speaker 3: If anyone watched, he's a man. That's a great there.

1195
00:56:44,400 --> 00:56:48,159
Speaker 1: But because it's your birthday though, Ralph, Dan did some

1196
00:56:48,280 --> 00:56:50,559
line shopping for you. He found some plus eights and

1197
00:56:50,559 --> 00:56:52,800
we're gonna throw that. That's how we're going to grade

1198
00:56:53,519 --> 00:56:59,519
this blitz squad ride. Steve Merrill is landing with South Carolina. Steve,

1199
00:56:59,559 --> 00:57:02,679
thank you would again. Ross will be back next week.

1200
00:57:02,760 --> 00:57:05,039
Ross Benjamin will be back next week a Wednesday again

1201
00:57:05,119 --> 00:57:08,280
one pm Eastern Live now Thursday Wednesday. We'll be live

1202
00:57:08,360 --> 00:57:12,719
next week. Ralph, he's taking it with Missouri at Oklahoma

1203
00:57:12,840 --> 00:57:18,079
and Norman I am taking it in the Alamodome Utsa.

1204
00:57:18,639 --> 00:57:20,880
They are perfect five and oh straight up as a

1205
00:57:20,880 --> 00:57:23,239
home dog since twenty twenty one. I think they pull

1206
00:57:23,280 --> 00:57:26,480
the upset against East. You should Carolina.

1207
00:57:26,760 --> 00:57:29,320
Speaker 2: You should have Steen Steve's face when you said I'm

1208
00:57:29,360 --> 00:57:29,960
taking it in.

1209
00:57:32,000 --> 00:57:34,960
Speaker 3: Did you see that that's fantastic. I was like, he

1210
00:57:35,079 --> 00:57:37,480
can't help but keep putting his foot in his mouth

1211
00:57:37,519 --> 00:57:40,840
because I was like, I was like, Ralph's taken and

1212
00:57:40,840 --> 00:57:44,480
then the Alamodome part it just b bep. We just

1213
00:57:44,519 --> 00:57:46,079
need to use that more often. We're going to clip

1214
00:57:46,079 --> 00:57:47,840
the BBPY using this guy.

1215
00:57:47,960 --> 00:57:49,679
Speaker 1: Have your minds in the gutter.

1216
00:57:49,760 --> 00:57:52,599
Speaker 3: I'm just I'm just talking about wonder Dog came on

1217
00:57:52,599 --> 00:57:54,880
an I had a clean head today. I don't know,

1218
00:57:54,920 --> 00:57:57,559
I know you always do, Steve and this show.

1219
00:57:58,280 --> 00:58:01,920
Speaker 1: Yes, hopefully all of you have a cleaner mind as well.

1220
00:58:01,960 --> 00:58:05,119
Now hopefully we've filled it with a ton of information

1221
00:58:05,360 --> 00:58:08,800
for this week's college football slay. Again, one more time,

1222
00:58:08,840 --> 00:58:11,119
I will remind you we are live at one pm

1223
00:58:11,199 --> 00:58:15,559
Eastern next Wednesday, not Thursday. Unfortunately, you will not be

1224
00:58:15,559 --> 00:58:18,239
able to watch us live during your Thanksgiving dinners, although

1225
00:58:18,239 --> 00:58:20,960
that would be probably a great treat I think. All right.

1226
00:58:21,079 --> 00:58:24,159
For Steve Merrill, thank you again for joining us, Steve, Ralph.

1227
00:58:24,199 --> 00:58:27,199
As always, I'll see you again next week. Let's see

1228
00:58:27,199 --> 00:58:29,719
if we can sweep the parlay for Second Street week. Guys,

1229
00:58:29,960 --> 00:58:33,239
I'll see again soon. Until next time, let's cash some

1230
00:58:33,440 --> 00:58:34,239
tickets