Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It's Tuesday morning.
Speaker 2: Sorry, I'm just getting set up as we go here.
It's five dollars Tuesday at Wager Talk. It's time for
full court press, Robino. I have made it back to
Upstate New York. A little little sad. I rolled in
late last night. Wake up this morning. It's it's five
degrees maybe four, So we're back home. But ready to uh,
you know, I'm ready to lock in on Tuesday slate.
I had a winter last night with Sacramento State, so
I'm off to a four and oh start on the month.
And Rob, you know, we hit our parlay yesterday the
Syracuse Orange decided to play the last couple of minutes
of that game, got the spread and your team total home.
How did your night go outside of the team total
hit with Syracuse?
Speaker 3: Yeah, that was a difference maker in college, Adam two
and one. You know, we talked about the Cookman game
on air and I said I was going to take
a little more time to make a decision on that,
and the decision I came to ended up being the
correct one for clients because I played with two Cookman's
team total over the number which got there and the
full game total, which we discussed on air. You probably pushed.
There were some forty two and a half's out there too,
so if you got unlucky, you could have unlucky there.
Speaker 4: But not for me.
Speaker 3: We got had a good one there, and then Texas
Tech kind of broke my heart at the end of
the game fifty nine to fifty with the big rally.
I thought that Texas Tech was in firm control until
they weren't fourteen to two run I guess to close
that game led by Darren Peterson, So two in one
there also had an NBA game, So for me, it
was a three and one night, very very good.
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, we'll move right along if you If you
want to get all the plays, we have a great
package that's called the Double the Fight. Two Times of
Firepower College Basketball is three day all access for my
seltn Rob.
Speaker 1: It's also five dollars Tuesday.
Speaker 2: So what I'm gonna do today, Rob, I've got I've
already got a couple of plays locked in.
Speaker 1: I like this slate quite a bit.
Speaker 2: I haven't decided which one I'm gonna use for the
five dollars play, And basically I'm just gonna kind of
see what comes up on the show, because I'll probably
give you at least one for free. Like I said,
I think I'm gonna have three or four plays, Rob,
I was kind of hoping that the uh, you know,
the schedule. It's really too bad for me that this
game wasn't last night, because I probably would have hit
it on my way back through. Also, I've behaved this
year in terms of like making the feature game the
big power conference game of the you know, game of
the night, whatever the big national TV power conference game is.
But I looked at the schedule today, Rob, and I said,
you know what, there's not like a great like big time.
You know, last night we had Kansas and Texas Tech.
I looked, I said, there's not really that tonight. So
our feature game tonight is gonna be Miami of Ohio
and Buffalo. I truly believe that this is the most
interesting game if you're a college basketball fan, even if
you're a fair weather college basketball fan. At this point,
this is the most intriguing game of the night. Miami
of Ohio has cracked the top twenty five, they've yet
to lose. They're twenty two and oh. Like I said,
it kills me that I'm not going to be at
this game. Buffalo is only two and a half hours away,
but been around the last couple of days, so I
kind of can't get back in the car and go
drive two and a half hours to a game tonight,
especially when they might get some snow. But at any rate,
huge game for Buffalo. They nearly won this one the
first time around. Actually, they pretty much had the game
one rot. It took a tip out three, a misshot,
a tip out for a three at the buzzer, and
then a buzzer beater three to win in overtime. So
my question to you is this Miami of Ohio twenty
two and oh twenty third in the country, does their
unbeaten season continue tonight?
Speaker 4: Well, I mean you would think that it does.
Speaker 3: A couple of things here, Adams situationally, like you just
pointed out, Yeah, Buffalo revenge from an overtime loss, a
game that they were ahead in the second half late
didn't get there.
Speaker 4: So you have that little bit of revenge. You have
your home floor, you have what might have been a
look ahead by Buffalo on Saturday, you know they lost
on Saturday, and a couple of quotes from the head
coach who said, I don't think we brought the proper
fight to this game.
Speaker 3: To me, that indicates all eyes were on Miami of Ohio.
The next game, they weren't necessarily on Ohio. You Saturday
give up thirteen turnovers, thirteen offensive rebounds, you're giving the
other team a chance to knock you off. So you know,
on a non Buffalo didn't do it, didn't play with
one hundred percent focus in that game on Saturday. Now,
who are they when they are one hundred percent focused?
There one of the mac's best offensive teams that can't
play any defense whatsoever. And if you're just going by
what's going on this season statistically, ats wise, inside the conference,
you probably want Miami. Miami's four and oh on the
conference road against the spread this year, they go on
the road, it doesn't matter, they just win and cover.
The Buffalo side is the exact opposite, and they've lost
their last four at home against the spread, and they
bent the teams that are in the upper echelon of
the MAC. Right, Kent State can't get the job done,
Akron can't get the job done. Ohio, you can't get
the job done.
Speaker 4: Excuse me, U mass can't get the job done.
Speaker 3: I was impressed by Miami of Ohio on Saturday to
be able to come out nothing. Beating Northern Illinois constitutes
is any great win, but it was on the heels
of the close called against you Mass and Miami o
just bounced right back. Difference between these two reading some quotes,
I think Miami sees the path where they're going, and
you have player quotes and you have coaches quotes about
talking about focusing on defense from here on. Out held
Northern Illinois to sixty one points the other day. Again,
we're not gonna take anything from that because Norton Illinois
is not a good basketball team. But Antoine Woolfolks says,
I'd rather hold a team to sixty points and win
than score in the hundreds. I think we can score
with anybody, but if we continue to lock down on defense,
the sky would be the limit for us. Good head
coach Travis Steele, who basically says the same thing.
Speaker 4: We have good spurret ability.
Speaker 3: We can score in bunches, but our defense is what
allows you to get those big runs, goes on to
say our offense is elite on the defensive side. I
want to be elite too. That's what great teams are.
The defensive disparity as it is without Miami being great
in league play between these two is huge if Buffalo
just can't stop anybody. But again, like you say in
that first game, they're big, three free tag sable at
Brizzy went crazy, all had over twenty points, All did
their end of the you know, their share of the work,
and they're capable of doing it again. So for me,
I would probably take slight lean toward Miami. It's the
proven road commodity inside league against the team that does
not win on the road. You could play do excuse
me win at home. You could play the do factor
and say Buffaloes do to cover one at home. I
guess they've got revenge, et cetera. They can score. Total
would be always what attracts me in this particular matchup,
and we're looking at one sixty.
Speaker 4: Four and a half.
Speaker 3: Haven't gotten there yet, Adam, but it seems like it
would be a higher scoring game. You know, last week
you joked and said, maybe Rob you just stay away
from the Miamis because they both hurt me last week
and my look at Miami Ohio's team total in this
one was the initial way I thought I would go. Again,
I haven't gotten anywhere with it yet, still on the
table to be a play, but I just don't know
that I want to bet against Miami at this point.
Like I say, they showed resiliency Saturday. They could have
easily let down against Northern Illinois. They did not, and
it seems again like the team mentally has a path
that they want to follow with getting better on defense.
Speaker 4: We'll see if they do so tonight against Buffalo.
Speaker 1: I think they're going to destroy Buffalo here.
Speaker 2: I haven't bet this yet, but like I'm hearing a lot,
I think you're gonna have a very Like you just
watch your Twitter today.
Speaker 1: I'm sure. I'm sure there's.
Speaker 2: Gonna be a lot of you know, people making a
case for Buffalo that haven't probably haven't watched either of
these teams play yet this year. Off of the fact that, yeah,
they're home against the ranked team. They Yes, they did
almost win the first meeting, So credit to them for
that effort in the first meeting that was a they
played a great game. Miami of Ohio probably caught sleep
in a little bit there, and suddenly Buffalo was in
that game, and you could you could argue they could
have won. Here's my problem with Buffalo in this In
this game, they probably need to score one hundred points
to cover this number. Like they're probably gonna need to
score ninety. It's just a conservative side to cover this number.
Like they you go back to the first meeting, they
had a very good offensive game in that game, right,
fifty three point eight percent from the field, They hit
thirteen threes. You could have could You can say, yeah,
they should have won, but they didn't. They ended up
losing on the road. Miami of Ohio is now gonna
be ready for that. In my opinion, they're not taking
Buffalo lightly like they maybe did in the first meeting.
The problem, like you talked about the Buffalo defense, it's
not great. You know, this is a team coming into
the mac I. I mean, I knew that Buffalo couldn't
be worse than they were the last two years, which
was as bad as so. Of course up here Buffalo
we had the great years with NATO's I believe it
was Jim White cell after him, and he had good
he had good teams.
Speaker 1: He had good Buffalo teams.
Speaker 2: Halkavich from Villanova comes in and and really had a
mess those first couple of years.
Speaker 1: But I think some of those guys are point shaving.
I think it came out after the fact.
Speaker 2: I forget maybe it was Isaiah Adams that was on
that in that document, But the point is he had
rosters that were working against him the first couple of years.
Speaker 1: Just you know, they were holdovers from the previous regime.
So I like, I like the direction Buffaloes going in,
But these two teams are not equal. In my opinion.
Speaker 2: Miami of Ohio space is the floor as good as anyone. Uh,
they are going to rip apart basically any defense, especially
a bad defense like Buffaloes. So when you look at
this from a matchup standpoint, you gotta like Miami of Ohio.
I get the If you want to give me the
counterpoint and say, well, Miami of Ohio's got a target
on their back, now, yeah, I can see that. Sure,
it's probably gonna be a good but it'll probably be
Buffalo's like most hype home game in a while, you know,
they and they probably will have fans. They had like
six thousand for Saint Bonaventure earlier earlier this year, so
I think they'll get a decent turnout because the kids
are on campus for this one.
Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean you have both.
Speaker 2: Those are the only things working in Buffalo's favor here
in my opinion, the fact that you know, they all
the pressure maybe is on the visitors being undefeated and
that they should have a good crowd. From a basketball standpoint,
Miami of Ohio should tread this team. They are probably
going to hit their team total. They're probably going to score,
you know, and it's probably going to take another fifty
plus percent effort from the field from Buffalo to cover
four and a half or five or five.
Speaker 1: Whatever it is.
Speaker 2: If you don't get that, look for Miami of Ohio
by double digits.
Speaker 1: I have not played this yet.
Speaker 2: I don't know if I I you know, Rob, I'm
over here talking like that.
Speaker 1: It's going to be so easy for Miami Ohio.
Speaker 2: And I still can't bring myself to click, uh click
Miami of Ohio in the you know, in the account
in the system, because it is in that weird range
where it's four and a half five and it's like, yeah,
Buffalo could could clip that.
Speaker 1: At the end, Joey Cheese is all one hundred percent.
Speaker 2: He goes Joey Cheese says, Buffalo, without a doubt will
be the Twitter cap or player of the day.
Speaker 1: He's so right about that.
Speaker 2: And Joey, how many of those how many of those
Twitter cappers watch.
Speaker 1: A minute of Buffalo basketball this year? Is what I
want to know. So, yeah, I.
Speaker 2: The only way I could play this would be Miami
of Ohio. And I actually think you're getting a little
bit of a bargain at four and a half. That
that seems like that seems like overshaded to the Buffalo side,
Rob Veino.
Speaker 3: Yeah, and again, numbers do move as we speak at
and you see some some Buffalo love at some places here.
You also see it's it's a.
Speaker 4: Weird it's a pretty weird line movement.
Speaker 3: I see some five and a halfs downe to four
and a halfs, and I see some fives going up
to five and a half. So dependent upon where you go,
who you want, you can shop to the best of
the number for either side. You know, I think one
of the points you made is so true, Adam, that
Miami of Ohio first time around probably was not really
all that worried about losing to Buffalo. Get caught up
in a game where and Buffalo has scoring capability, right.
I mentioned those Big three and a couple of you
know Brizzy, it's like this fourth school in four years,
but he and free Tag, etc. They played as good
as they can play. Miami also played tremendously offensively in
that game, and second time around, you have to believe
that Miami knows what's coming at them. That's why I
think I said earlier that kind of impressed that they
went out and just got to business and destroyed Northern
Illinois off of that close call with Massachusetts. It shows
me that they can focus when necessary. And the fact
that they're all talking about from coach to players, talking
about getting better on defense is even more impressive to me.
So I think they have their site set on bigger
things in March Madness, and they seem to want to
put into work to get there.
Speaker 4: Peter Souter in Company.
Speaker 3: I could still maybe get to this over eighty three
and a half in this game.
Speaker 4: We'll see how it goes during the day.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's kind of where I'm at. I've got I've
got two plays locked in already. This is a candidate
for a third. I see Jacob in the chat was
like man, if this gets down, if this gets knocked
down to four, I'm probably in with Miami Ohio. I
think I'd be with you. I think that would. I
don't think I could pass that up. I'm even four
and a half right now most of the four and
a half or minus one fifteen. If this even got
to four and a half minus one ten, I may
have to I may just have to do it. I
just see such a good matchup there for the RedHawks.
And yeah it's again. I think, going back to what
you said first time around, Buffalo is like a ten
point dog right now. They're on Miami of Ohio's now
all right, let's move along. Let's go to Garth in
the chat, Garth with the donation much appreciated. We appreciate
all you guys. Joey Cheese. I see your play. I
liked your comment about the Twitter cap or play of
the day. So I'll get you. I'll get your get
your game in next. But let's go to Garth first.
Speaker 4: Rob.
Speaker 2: I was actually at the first meeting between these two
teams at Carnaseca Court earlier this year.
Speaker 1: De Paul Verus Saint John's.
Speaker 2: I think I texted you either the following morning or
when I was leaving that game, and I said, you know,
I left this game more impressed with DePaul than I
was with Saint John's at the time. Now you have
to go back that way. I believe that was one
of the first Big East games for either of these
teams this year, because that was like mid December, so
I'm pretty sure it was either the Big East. Yeah,
I think it was the Big East opener for both teams.
Saint John's ended up winning the game seventy nine sixty six.
It ended up being an easy cover for DePaul. De
Paul was a nineteen and a half point underdog in
that game, and and you know, I kind of think
what I saw there has played out where you know,
Saint John's is, yes, they're nine and one, congratulations, you're
you know, being nine and one against the teams or
nine and one against they still contend is not overly impressive.
Speaker 1: But De Paul has been I would say, reasonably good.
Speaker 2: I know they're only four and seven, but this is
a team the last few years that's that struggled to
even win a conference game here and there. So the
fact that they have four conference wins, you know, tough
loss last time out against Xavier, lose by two.
Speaker 1: Went on the road, Uh, competitive with Butler.
Speaker 2: You know, they've been in a lot of these games,
and the thing that's nice for them is, you know,
going forward, they actually have quite a few home games
and they'll finish the season with like three of you know,
a couplet, a couple at home as well. This one
is out in Chicago tonight ranked Saint John's coming in.
Garth says De Paul has been a cover machine on
the road. He also likes the under So this game
being in Chicago, do you think DePaul can cover this
one at home?
Speaker 3: I'm disappointed in de Paul. I think we chatted them
up last week pretty heavily.
Speaker 2: Heading Oh we did on yeah, before that particular game
for sure, Yeah yeah.
Speaker 3: And then they go out on the road against two
beatable teams in the Big East. I know Georgetown is
coming on a little bit right now. But Georgetown won
that game seventy to sixty one, and I don't know
that it was that difficult. I don't you know, thinking
back on that game, I don't remember De Paul ever
being in command at any point in time in that one.
Speaker 4: Georgetown had that thing wire to wire. And then they
come back and play.
Speaker 3: Xavier, a team that we know is very beatable, and
they couldn't beat Xavier on the road, So now you
know they they did they Plateau, did they hit their
ceiling when we were chatting them up, And now they're
just showing us who they really are. I mean, I
know you've said all season long, rightfully so that the
Big East is just asterist this year where Big East
standards are concerned, and De Paul's showing you that even
a middling team or less than middling team can have
their high point in the season and get even guys
like us a little bit excited about their prospects and
then just you know, not beat teams like Georgetown Xavier
on the road, neither one not saying they had to
beat both, but couldn't beat either. One question is now
you're back home, are they more comfortable at home?
Speaker 4: Probably?
Speaker 3: So I worry about them turnover wise here, Adam, it's
not a team that's that great at ball handling, and
Saint John's obviously with that style, takes the ball away,
gets a lot of their points.
Speaker 4: Was interesting just to see this morning.
Speaker 3: And again there's thirty three conferences, thirty four conferences or
whatever in.
Speaker 4: Big East is one of the biggest. But I was
unaware that.
Speaker 3: Saint John's now stands as the number one offensive efficiency
team in this league. For all the problems that Saint
John's has had, Rick Patino has them coming along pretty
well at this point in time.
Speaker 4: On the offensive end.
Speaker 3: It's not you know, last year's team was better, but
last year's team was brick city and defense, this team
shoots it a little bit better than that team did,
maybe not as good athletically or personnel wise. I don't
want to lay a lot of points with them here, Adam,
because I do know that De Paul at home tonight
could be primed for trying to get a little bit
of revenge for the game earlier. But I don't see
these teams going in the same upward direction. I think
Saint John's is getting better as the year goes on.
A typical Patino type team where DePaul is you know,
they're a crapshoot on any any given night, for me,
it would probably be a pass on the side and
maybe a slight look towards this total. Again, Saint John's,
if they get if they get bonus points of steels
and turnovers, then they're gonna get their share. They're gonna
get close to eighty and DePaul at home, does it
help their offensive output? Maybe it was bad last game
against Xavier. I'm a big bounce back guy. I think
if you can only score sixty six against Xavier, your
next game at home, you should be a little bit better.
So maybe the total comes into play for me. Sidewise,
I think Saint John's clearly wins the game. I just
don't know if I want to lay this type of
number on the road.
Speaker 1: I don't know that Saint John's just has a clear
win here.
Speaker 2: I think it would be a pretty big upset if
De Paul comes out and wins this game out right.
But I think they're gonna have a chance. I think
they're gonna be in this game.
Speaker 1: I'll go back. So I've seen Saint John's play in
person twice this year.
Speaker 2: I was at the first meeting between these two teams,
and I was at the Saint John's Villanova game a
couple of weeks ago.
Speaker 1: That one was in Philly.
Speaker 2: I was more impressed with how DePaul played against Saint
John's than I was with Villanova, which is a little
bit relevant because Villanova, like they kind of came back
at the end. If you look at the box score,
you're like, oh, that was a decent game. You know,
Saint John's went on the road and won by seven,
But that really wasn't a great game, Like it was
like close in the first half, and Villanova really just
wasn't very good in the second half. The first meet,
so again tough, you know, having to play the first
meeting in this The first meeting of this between these
two teams is card second court. So it wasn't at
the garden. That's always going to be tougher. It was
that sold out crowd. It was early December, which meant
students were still there. I believe even if there wasn't,
students were still there. It was sold out, so it
was still a great crowd. Five thousand seed Arena and
Queens and de Paul. DePaul went down early, like right
like Saint John's had had a little spur early to
give themselves the lead, like like maybe halfway through the
first half if I remember correctly, and DePaul really couldn't
overcome that.
Speaker 1: Uh, they kept making a run.
Speaker 2: They would get it to like, you know, they cut
into it, but they really could overcome, you know, being
down early. That being said, the rest of that game,
you'll call it the last twenty to twenty five minutes.
Speaker 1: That game very very competitive.
Speaker 2: If you didn't, if you weren't looking at the scoreboard,
you'd say, oh, this was a pretty even game. Game
turns out to be a game, turns out to be
a seventy nine to sixty six final. But again it was,
in my opinion, it was a competitive basketball game. Four
straight wins on the on their home floor for De Paul.
So right now in Big East play, DePaul's won four
straight at home. They're only their only Big East home
loss was Yukon way back in early December. They've now
beat Xavier, Georgetown, Marquette, and Seaton Hall in consecutive home games,
so that's pretty impressive to me. They've been playing well
at home and so again I like DePaul plus the
points here. If like Garth, if you're going to play
this game like I think, I would prefer to.
Speaker 1: Paul plus the points. But it might correlate a little
bit with the under because they can't just let Saint
John score it will if they want to cover this number.
Speaker 2: All right, let's well, quick quick promo. It's five dollars
Tuesday at wager Talk. You know what that means. Every
hand any k handicapper is gonna have a play up
for five bucks.
Speaker 1: I know I'm gonna have one.
Speaker 2: I just haven't put it up yet because I'm probably
gonna give you one of them, one of my other
ones for free on the show. If it comes up,
we'll see Rob and I will be going for another
parlay win Rob. After yesterday's win, we're down like two
point six units on the year for the parlay, so
we very well. If we go to team or both
at like that minus one ten range, we might be
playing to be even on the year, you know which
would be again, it's pretty I'll call that an accomplishment.
It's February. We've been playing a parlay every day. If
we can get to like even where we have a
chance to be ahead, that's pretty good. So stay tuned
with us for the next thirty minutes. We're gonna be
locking in to at least two parlay legs. Who knows,
maybe even make it a three. Teamer'll probably do one
at least some point this week.
Speaker 1: That's a three teamer.
Speaker 2: But yeah, so if you're waiting for the play stick around,
we'll have at least two of them the rest of
the way. In the meantime, let's go to mad Let's
go to mad Max. Mad Max, thank you for the
donation to the show. It is greatly appreciated, Mad Max.
As South Carolina off an overtime loss, Texas on a roll,
Texas is strong at home. He's leaning Texas minus thirteen
and a half. Robino, I've been talking way too much,
so I'm gonna let you have the floor on this one.
He says, team total or spread. Do you like the
Longhorns in any capacity here?
Speaker 3: Well, I would answer that by saying I don't like
South Carolina in any capacity at this point in time.
I mean, this team's going downhill like an avalanche in
a hurry. Texas A and M give up ninety two,
Florida give up ninety five. LSU give up ninety two,
albeit in overtime. LSU was a team that, even with
Ddon Thomas, was still having a ton of issues trying
to win games. They get that in South Carolina. South
Carolina's a bad basketball team, and one thing you've been
able to count on them for in the past. Is
a good defensive end of the basketball court, but it's
just not the case anymore. Right Arkansas hit him for
one oh eight, Oklahoma got them for seventy six. There's
no reason why Texas off of the Oklahoma game and
now looking for an opportunity to stack wins because.
Speaker 4: We know what seeding.
Speaker 3: Seedings mean at this point in time, whether it be
conference tournament, whether it be March Madness positioning. But you've
got back to back winnables here at home this week.
This could be a big week for Texas. You've got
South Carolina and Ole Miss, no reason why you shouldn't
be both, So I expect Texas to be fired up
and ready to go here.
Speaker 4: I've said before that.
Speaker 3: In any in any of these sports, college football, NFL football, NBA,
college basket ball, what players love most is putting up numbers.
And when you get a team that you can put
up statistical numbers against, generally guys do that Texas, Adam,
it's been a little bit corrected. Go back two weeks
to when we did our first Saturday show with Kelly
and I read this Sean Miller quote who said we
will file the shi t out of anybody that haven't
filed as much as of late. You know, it was
a problem that he wanted to have corrected. Thought they
had given away too many points on a free throw line.
South Carolina has difficulty scoring anyway, so you don't want
to give them anything free on the foul line. I
think in this particular instance, let's get the current team
total up here, because that's usually where I'm at, you know,
to answer the question in the chat, and I forget
who asked that I apologize my I do think Texas
wins by margin here, mad Max.
Speaker 4: Apologize Max. I do think they would buy margin.
Speaker 3: But just the name of the way I bet, I
think eighty and a half point total four Texas to
go over here against this South Carolina defense that has
absolutely falling off a clip is probably the way I
would look with a little more conviction for Texas to
get eighty plus at home. And as I mentioned, Sean
Miller is a good head coach, and he's gonna look
at this week's schedule the way the same way I
just looked at it.
Speaker 4: Guys, we got two right here.
Speaker 3: The SEC is hard enough, but we got two that
we can go out and win. I think they'll be
fired up. I think they get eighty plus, So I
would think that's the way I would go. Not that
laying the points is a bad idea, but I think
a better idea is to play Texas up and over
eighty and a half.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I like Texas at the opener. You know,
I don't know if you'll have a chance at eleven
and a half at any point the rest of the day.
Speaker 2: Even even twelve would be fine. Thirteen and a half
some places is probably getting a little bit out of
the range where I'd be comfortable, like taking two points
worse than what it could be had on the open.
But I mean Texas winning by twenty five wouldn't surprise
me either. We had South Carolina on the show a
couple of weeks ago, and I think we kind of
fired it in at the gun, like just to get
one more in at the at the horn, and we
both kind of looked at each other and was like, well,
we don't have a great handicap here, but like, Florida
is probably gonna win by one hundred, and that's exactly
what happened. It was just a no contest that was
a couple of games ago. So for South Carolina, they
were just ripped to shreds by Florida. That was a
home game for South Carolina, ninety five to forty eight.
They lost that game. Now I'm not saying that Texas
is Florida. They're not, but they're certainly a far more
formidable opponent than LSU is, especially without Thomas.
Speaker 1: I'll go back to the game. It was the Kentucky game.
So it was the game right after they had gotten
their two big wins back to back. They beat Alabama
and they beat Vanderbilt.
Speaker 2: They turned around and lost to Texas A and M
and I remember we did it.
Speaker 1: We did the show.
Speaker 2: I had a four percent in that game on Texas
and I said, you know, I said, I think their
season is I think you actually were the one that
brought it up and said maybe, you know, maybe those
two wins and then Miller ripping them a little bit
was going to turn their season around. I turned around
and met Texas plus seven. They covered, but they lost
the game. And then we were on with Kelly for
the Georgia game, and I noted, I said, you know,
they lost that game. I felt like they didn't even
play very good, they still covered the seven and they came.
Speaker 1: Out and just destroyed Georgia. You know that.
Speaker 2: I felt like they played pretty good against Auburn. They
covered that game. So four straight wins against the spread.
Even though Texas is two and two their last four games,
they've covered all four of them over the weekend.
Speaker 1: Good second half for them.
Speaker 2: They pull away from Oklahoma, who is another inferior team.
So yeah, I mean you can look at this week
and say, Okay, where's Texas gonna slip up?
Speaker 1: Right?
Speaker 2: Like maybe maybe one of these next two is close.
That wouldn't surprise me, rob. I guess, like you look
at the week as a whole, They're gonna be at home.
They're gonna probably be big favorites of both. Do they
cover the number in both of them? Yeah, I don't know.
I mean it's still Texas. It's still you know, they
still find ways to beat themselves on occasion. But here
I kind of I just I just wouldn't want South Carolina.
So eleven or twelve I think I'm okay with. But
because I because I look at this week as a
whole and see these two games coming up where Texas
is likely double digit favorite. They're probably gonna cover one
of them and one will be close. I don't know
if they'll lose either, but they'll probably have a scare
in one of these two. Figuring out which one it
is is the is the challenge, I suppose, So maybe
you just go team total and take it out of
the equation.
Speaker 3: You know what, That point you just made, Adam is
so true and comes up every day for guys betting games,
and it's not situational, it's not fundamental. There's no quantifying
what kind of handicap that is. But any of us
that have done this for a long period of time
look at that set of games and just know there's
probably not two double digit favorite covers in those two games.
Speaker 4: There's not.
Speaker 3: If you want to take a chance and project which
one you think it's going to be. For myself, I
would think that it's back to back home games. I
said two or three times, I think they'll be fired up.
I think it would be the first game. I think
that's the game they come out with the momentum, and
then maybe if they blow this team out tonight, you
come back with a lackadaviable effort. On Saturday, Texas just
again to reiterate and I didn't see this coming how
good the offense could and would end up being, for
Sean Miller their second best offensive officiality team in the SEC,
which is saying something. But their last three games from
the field, they've shot fifty eight point three, fifty two
and sixty percent. The game you talked about Adam against
Kentucky where you thought they didn't play very well, and
they did. They were two for eighteen from three, eleven
percent from three point land and still got to eighty points,
which is saying something. So you're only asking for eighty
one tonight at home against South Carolina.
Speaker 4: I think that's probably the safest way to go.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and it's one of those ones too. You can
watch a little of the game.
Speaker 2: If Bocatitis is getting comfy under there and he's able
to get what he wants and he's not in foul trouble,
that Texas could run it up if he if conversely, though,
if you can somehow get him in foul trouble and
get him off the court, that's where you maybe try
to take a shot live betting South Carolina because there
is a big difference for Texas when he's effective and
he's on the court against when he's in fil trouble
and he's not there. So yeah, interesting game, mad Max.
Good luck with however you decide to play that one.
Speaker 1: All right.
Speaker 2: I told I promised Joey Cheese I'd hit this game,
and his comment made me so we're we're gonna give
him this one. He wants to talk Saint Bonaventure and
Dayton rob which is a which is an intriguing game
to me because you know, I live out here in
Bonnie's Country, Central New York. I I I Saint Bonaventure
is west of here. Actually it's it's quite a bit.
It's not easy to get to.
Speaker 1: It's still like it.
Speaker 2: Even though it's not as far out as Buffalo, you
have to go quite a bit south, so it would
still take me like three and a half hours to
get to a Olien. There's no there's no direct route
from where I live either. It's a it is a
rough drive. But a lot of a lot of guys
in this area go to you know, went to Saint
Bonaventre and stuff like that. So uh, I've always you know,
we have Mallory's family has a bunch of people I
think her her one cousin is playing hockey there right now,
so some some Bonnie's in the family here. And you know,
this was a year that they were pretty excited about
this team right the whole.
Speaker 1: You know, it's like year or two of Woje. You know,
they're they're getting these.
Speaker 2: Like NBA uh like team days in the offseason or
something like that. Whatever he got he drummed up there.
And you know, coming into the year, they had a
pretty good non conference, relatively good, and right now, Rob
the only team worse in the Atlantic ten is Yola Chicago,
who is having a historically bad season. So I almost
don't know what to make of that. It's like they
keep they keep finding themselves on the wrong end of
close games. Over the weekend, George Mason, that would have
been you know, that was a game they were right there,
eight point lead at halftime would have been a huge
win for them.
Speaker 1: But they just can't get it done.
Speaker 2: You know, losing a close win to LaSalle earlier this year,
losing a close one to Saint Joe's earlier this year,
lost by four to Fordham. Those are all like one
possession games, right so we could be sitting here, things
could look a lot different if Saint Bonaventure was coming
on the right side of some of these one possession
games Dayton. On Friday night, I was at the Dayton
game they played Saint Louis. That game was over before
it started, and it wasn't It wasn't really Dayton's fault.
That's just how good this Saint Louis team is. That's
how good, that's how efficient Saint Louis's offense is. Where
it was like Dayton just had no chance, right, they
had no chance. Saint Louis. It is just an incredible
team this year. And so I don't even fault Dayton
for getting crushed and maybe as much as I would
in other years, because I think Saint Louis just has
an incredible team. So now, rob we have where I'm
at a little crossroads here for Joey Cheese, because on
one hand, Dayton should match up much better with the
Bonnies and this should be a much more favorable situation
for them at home.
Speaker 1: On the other hand, Saint Bonaventure.
Speaker 2: Plays all these close games, So do you really want
to lay eight and a half nine against the Bonnies?
I don't know what do you think Saint Bonaventure Dayton,
Do you have anything on the total?
Speaker 3: I could answer whether or not I want to lay
eight and a half in two capital letters.
Speaker 4: No, just no way. We went through the Dayton Saint
Louis game that you were at.
Speaker 3: Friday morning on the show, and you know, the back
to back losses to LaSalle and Saint Joe's were concerning
to me. Anthony Grant has kind of lost contact with
this team. Then they lose the Rhode Island overtime, and
then the Saint Louis destruction happened. You could see it
coming from a mile away. Now you get back home,
can you regroup off a four game losing streak and
beat Saint Bonaventure? Answers probably yes. Are you going to
beat him by nine or ten points? Answers probably no.
I mean, I don't want to bet either of these teams.
To tell you the truth, neither one. Saint Bonaventure has
absolutely lost. Mark Schmidt teams throughout his entire tenure at
Saint Bonaventure have been annually known as solid defensive ball clubs.
Speaker 4: They don't defend it all. This year three hundred and
second in the country against the three just not a
good defensive team. They've lost their identity.
Speaker 3: Some games they score big, some games they don't score
at all. It's just it's a mixed mash of results
with Saint Bonnie. So I don't like them in almost
any circumstance. I don't like Dayton in any circumstance right now. Obviously,
Dayton's kind of the same thing. Lost their identity under
Anthony Grant.
Speaker 4: When you have two teams that you view that way
at them and you see eight and a half points,
you probably take and the old in the old adage
gun to the head. What would you do?
Speaker 3: I would take Saint Bonaventure plus eight and a half
because you can't trust Dayton at this point in time.
Speaker 4: They've won one game in Atlantic ten play. They've won
one game by.
Speaker 3: This margin all season long, and that was Loyola Chicago
and loyal to Chicago. They played them to a two
point game and a twenty seven point win. But other
than that, there have been no wins by nine points
by dating inside this league.
Speaker 4: So what makes you think they're going to do it tonight?
I don't know. Here.
Speaker 3: Here's the problem mindset wise with Dayton. Did that one
oh two seventy one just absolutely brush their spirits. Did
that just tell this team that, you know what, we
had no shot this year. We're in this league, we're
looking uphill and dating a team that usually has expectations
may have had them crushed by Saint Louis. Or does
Anthony Grant get in that locker room and have this
team reset refocus? Listen, guys, the A ten tournaments in
a couple of weeks. We got to stack some wins here.
We're still five and four in league. We're not that
bad off, etc.
Speaker 4: I don't know the answer to that question, but I
think it's an important question inside the locker room at
Saint Bonnie. Plus eight and a half probably is the
way to go.
Speaker 3: And as far as total is concerned, on my on
my card here the rotation card that I printed out,
I just put a red line through the game because
I don't know what kind of offensive and defensive results
to expect from either of these teams on the given night.
Speaker 4: So no total. If I had to play, i'd be
on Saint Bonnie.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Like in different years, I would say, oh this
is a great this is such a great spot for
Dayton at home, But like this is just not a
Daton team that I think is even remotely comparable to
some of the teams they've had in past years. Now,
on the flip side, like from if you're talking like
a mentality standpoint, I actually prefer the dayt inside here,
because I'll go back to that game was over so quickly,
Rob That game was over in the first half, okay,
And I think Anthony Grant, If I'm Anthony Grant, I'm
just like, hey, don't sweat this one. That is a
that is an insanely good basketball team, and they just
dropped one hundred and two points on one of the
most efficient you know, the Saint Louis hit. They hit
sixty two point five percent of their shots from the
field and seventeen threes. They were seventeen for twenty eight
from three. If I'm Anthony Grant, I'm going in and saying,
forget about, forget about that game. Just get it out
of your head. There's nothing we could have done there.
They hit seventeen threes, the ball movement was insane, every
they did everything right, shot sixty three percent from the field,
Like you know, what do you what do you even
do right there?
Speaker 1: If you're Saint Bonaventure.
Speaker 2: I almost feel like the result against George Mason is
is far worse, is far more crushing, because you had
your chance, in my opinion, to somewhat turn your season around.
Speaker 1: You had the road win over Ducane.
Speaker 2: Remember this is after the Bonnie's got destroyed in similar
fashion by Saint Louis, right, and that was arguably worse
because that was in that was in Olian and they
had a sellout. They had they thought they were going
to pull the upset and they had no they were
They were down on arrival too, So you know, you
come in another huge home game over the weekend. Looking
at that game, Saint Bonaventure was only like a one
point underdog right the book the books were basically saying
like they they thought the Bonnie's had a pretty good
chance to win or could win that game. Do you
have an eight point lead at halftime and you still
find a way to lose. So for me, you go
back to the defense. I really think, I really think
Saint Bonaventure thought that they would that they would be
a destination for some of the guys they got in
the portal the last couple of years, and it's been
a little bit of a rude awakening, like with guys
like Melvin Council only coming for a year and then
finding a better spot.
Speaker 3: Uh.
Speaker 1: There's another one that.
Speaker 2: I think ended up on VCU right, Like, Uh, there's
a couple of guys that have come through this program
that I think they thought they were going to have
for multiple years and they it ended up being just
sort of a one a stop, have a good year,
and then leave.
Speaker 1: So I think that's hurt them obviously.
Speaker 2: I mean Melvin Council, rob right, imagine what I mean,
imagine having him look at what he's doing at Kansas now.
Speaker 1: So, man, this is tough.
Speaker 2: I listen, Joey's usually not caught, Like if he's confident
like this, I don't like to go against him because
he picks his spots well, so joe I I mean,
I hate to like spend this long on a game
and not really give a pick. But this is also
the point of this show is to just try to
give different viewpoints and give you guys information. I saw
someone earlier said thank you guys, you helped me cash
with Boston, you and the Dune Cookman yesterday.
Speaker 1: That that's really the goal.
Speaker 2: I don't have a definitive answer here, but dating at
home off of four straight losses having hung it up
in the first half of that game would not surprise
me if they win and potentially win comfortably. It's just
so hard to know where the heads are at for
these respective teams right now. So that's probably why it's
just a pass for me and then yeah, by you.
Sometimes the best play is no play. There's a lot
of really good there's a lot a lot of really
good games on the you know spots. But I'm not
gonna listen. If Joey loves the dayt inside, I can.
I can't talk them off. So so Joey, good luck
if you decide to play that one. All right, Rob,
I'll give you. I'll give you the right of refusal here,
all right. If you want to lock your parlay Legan,
go ahead. Otherwise, if you want another minute, I'll do mine.
Speaker 1: It's up to you.
Speaker 2: It's your call. You're you're muted, though, so it's a
mystery to all of us. Still, I'm gonna let you
do your sirch all right, all right, I I'll do mine.
This is this is one of my client plays. This
is a four percenter for me. So I will I'm
gonna I'm gonna use this one. I'm gonna lay it
with Boise State tonight. Uh, they are at home. They
are at home against Nevada. Some of you guys are like,
of course you're gonna do that. You know, you went
against Nevada on Friday and and and took it on
the chin, got destroyed in that game. That is true,
But Rob, I think that some of that loss on
Friday had more to do with UNLV just being a
total uh disaster right now than it did Nevada being
like some you know team that I'm that I'm scared
to bet against. You know, Boise State was a team
got to see in person last year. I went and saw,
I went to the pit in New Mexico, and they
got crushed in that game. And something I was, you know,
kind of picked up when I was there talking to
some people which made sense which was not fully on
my radar prior to that trip, was Boise State really
lacks athletes like this team and it's been it's been
this way for a couple of years where they just
don't have like a super athletic team. Leon Rice seems
to build these teams where it's like they've got some shooters,
they're not. It's not that they can't be physical at times,
but they just don't have like like like crazy athletic teams,
and so in a matchup like you know, like New
Mexico or last year's New Mexico team or some of
the more athletic teams in the league, it can hurt them.
Nevada is not that team. And Nevada is not gonna
like punish you with athleticism. Nevada is not gonna, you know,
take the ball, put it on the floor, drive it
down your throat and get to the rim. What they're
gonna do is just bomb threes. And they've done it
at a They've done it a very impressive clip this year.
Believe they come into play eleventh in the country shooting
the three. Now, you go back to the first meeting
and you might say, treg well, Nevada they won eighty
one to sixty six in that first meeting. That is true,
but that was also way back in December. It was
a home gate that was December twentieth. No, you know,
it's kind of in that kind of in that weird
part of the season where it's finals it's right before Christmas.
I don't even know why Mountain West is playing league
games on December twentieth. Someone's going to have to explain
that one. To me, that seems like an awful time
to have a league game when you basically have like
kids leaving for Christmas that Christmas break in a couple
of days. You know, Nevada only took ninth threes in
that game, which is also surprising to me.
Speaker 1: Thirty four file shots.
Speaker 2: You know, that's a game that I may have to
go back and look more into that, although I already
already played this, so I guess I'm not. I guess
I'll use my time to look at something else. Point
is this Nevada has to go on the road.
Speaker 1: Now.
Speaker 2: I tend to want to fade teams rob that are very,
very three point reliant on the road. Okay, And I
also think Boise is the type of team that would
prefer if you just stay on the perimeter and try
to shoot. I think it gives them a better chance defensively.
And then you talk about like Boise at home, the
splits have been better and Bois should be able to
run their offense here. So to me, this feels like
a game where maybe Nevada finally goes a little bit
cold from three, has a tougher shooting night.
Speaker 1: And if that's the case, I.
Speaker 2: Think Boise is actually the team that's pulling away in
the in the in the revenge meeting. So I laid
five and a half, you can actually get fives at
this point some places on Boise. I think we're I
think we're looking at a double digit Bois win. This
is going to be a good night for the Broncos
in my opinion.
Speaker 4: Rob Veno, very nice. Yeah, I don't.
Speaker 3: I don't hear much in there that I could disagree
with on the Boise state side against Nevada, and that
that conference again, that's one where you know, for the
most part, teams bash each other around. It's a it's
a tough conference to go through unblemished.
Speaker 2: Let me ask you this question real quick, Rob, Like,
because this is a league where typically you're paying a
massive tax for the home team, I don't feel like
I'm paying the tax here. I think I'm getting almost
a bargain on Boise at home relative to like what
it would be if if Boise was considered this juggernaut
this year.
Speaker 4: Very true, very true.
Speaker 3: Generally speaking, that Boise tax is higher than what we're
seeing here tonight, that's for sure. And some of that
could be in nevada recent play. I mean again, the
win over Grand Canyon of the night. We talked about
it at length, but Nevada has been playing pretty well
this season, so I guess a little combination of both.
Bois hasn't been up to expectations, Nevada has been a
little above expectations, et cetera, et cetera. So yeah, I
could see Boise that's a tough trip. We'll see how
Nevada handles it, but I can, honestly, I could see
that happening here.
Speaker 4: Let's go.
Speaker 3: Well, I know, if I knew the exact status of
Rob Whaley, I would be on Kent State team game
over tonight. But I just don't know. And it's so hard.
As you were talking, I was trying to dig even
further because I'm thinking, you know what, I want to
get these guys on Kent State, but I can't do
it until I know. Let's go ahead and take something
that I feel extremely confident in.
Speaker 4: We'll go back to A ten. Do I want to
go there? I think I'd rather go back.
Speaker 3: I think I'd rather go back to the Missouri Valley
because I've always got multiple choices when we come on.
Speaker 4: In the morning.
Speaker 3: But I'm going to go back to the Missouri Valley
and I'm going to take my shot here with Murrae
State team total over eighty one and a half, and
you know, I'm I'm a Belmont guy, right They absolutely
dismantled Murray State.
Speaker 4: You talk about the Saint Louis.
Speaker 3: Game with Dayton the other night, Dayton being dead on arrival,
Murray State was dead on arrival and I.
Speaker 1: Was on them. I was on Murray in that game,
and I yeah, that was twenty two to four right off.
Speaker 3: The rate from the outset and just the amount of
players that Casey Alexander has on this. I mean, he
went to a kid that's only played thirty six minutes
all season long that absolutely walked out and shredded it
from three that night. But everything was falling for Belmont,
but they're that good. They played again without Sam orm
without Nick McClain. You're not supposed to get away with
that if you're Belmont, that's two of your three best players.
Speaker 4: But yet they still they're so deep.
Speaker 3: They're so good, Murray State, with their lack of defense,
just ran into a buzz so they couldn't overcome it.
As good as they are offensively, they couldn't overcome it.
Tonight they're back, They're on a four game losing streak here,
and they got to right the ship at some point
in time. I'm not gonna trust them to go out
and beat Illinois Chicago by margin. Although the money has
come in fairly heavily on the Murray State side here,
people expecting them to come back and bounce back to
the formula they were playing about five games ago. And again,
we talk about this every single day, about these stretches
in conference season, where yeah, you have these ruts. Vanderbilt
had this rut right They're undefeated and get whacked me
straight times. Turn it right around. I don't know that
they'll cover the number, but I think they're gonna score again.
It's what they do best. They just didn't have enough
to overcome what Belmont was throwing at them the other night,
and it became obvious after about the first ten minutes here.
Oddsmaker is asking us to get over eighty one and
a half. In fact, I'm seeing some eighty two and
a half's now Adam Half is available. I don't know,
we'll figure out fairness when we figure out the final
parlay at the end of the show. But I think
there's a big bounce back here for Murray State. A
team that scored eighty three against Illinois Chicago the first time.
Addaillois Chicago, which is a good team in the Missouri
Valley as well, going to be up and down. I
think the number indicates to everybody that there's going to
be a high scoring game. Both sides may get to eighty,
but I think the one that definitely will get to
eighty is Murray State at home in this contest. So
for me, it's really simple of a bounce back in
I'm gonna call this like a sense.
Speaker 4: Of urgency play.
Speaker 3: If you're Murray State, it's a sense of urgency type
game at home, in front of your home fans, to
re establish yourselves. They're not good enough on the defensive
end for me to recommend laying the points, although I
wouldn't talk you off of it, but I do think
if you're looking at scoring points, Murray State's the way
to go here. So give me Murray State up.
Speaker 4: And over that team total of eighty one and a half.
Speaker 3: And I'll research it real quick here, Adam while we
move on, just to make sure that eighty one and
a half is available in multiple spots, so that so
that we can use that in the parla if it
happens to be eighty two and a half, I'm not
afraid of that number either.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Murray State minus six is very much on my
short list for a lot of the reasons that you
just said. Also, I guess you could say there's an
element of being a little bit stubborn as well. That
six is probably rogue at this point. I see Caesars
is at six, but a lot of these other places
six and a half. I even see some sevens at
this point. Although it looks and you know, it looks
like the sevens are at some of the Sharper books,
So do what you will with that. It seems like
some of the Sharper spots are like trying to attract
some of that Illinois Chicago bunny. What that tells you
is they probably think Murray State can smash as well.
It's definitely rob a sell kind of like Illinois Chicago's
probably due for a loss Murray States do for a
win type spot. Illinois Chicago has been way better than
anyone could have ever imagined they would be in Valley
Play so far this year, Whereas, like Murray State, they
just got to figure it out offensively. If they can
come out and get their offense back and check, they're
gonna win this game by double digits. The problem is
they have been on a stretch where their defense has
been horrific and they also can't make a shot. Not
a great combo if you're playing, you know, not a
great combination for trying to win basketball games is when
you're in an offensive ruck and a defensive ruck at
the same time, and you certainly can't get away with that.
Against Belmont, you're just not gonna get away with that.
And in this league, Rob this is like, you know,
you're not gonna get away with that against the better
teams in this league. You might get away with it
at home against Illinois Chicago. But if Murray States can
somehow get their offense back to functional status, I'd be
really surprised if this isn't a this isn't a like
a double digit margin game. So I'm with you if
that happens, you're probably gonna get the team total over.
Speaker 4: And guys, as bad as Saturday was at Belmont, Murray
State found their way to eighty six and we're looking.
Speaker 3: I'm just looking here, Adam, and fairness to the to
the chat. I know everybody doesn't have the available outlets
that a lot of us have, but it looks like
that there's more eighty two and a halves out there
than eighty one and a halves.
Speaker 4: Again, if you can shop it, get the eighty one
and a half. But for parlay use on the show,
I'm gonna go with eighty two and a half to
be fair.
Speaker 2: Here, all right, Yeah, I'll go with Bois minus five
and a half, even though you can get some vibes
out there as well.
Speaker 1: Rob, we have five minutes left. Let's get one more in.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna really quickly, all right, Let's let's just get
let's go random here.
Speaker 1: I saw two people ask about this game.
Speaker 2: Darryl Turner says, anyone like Tennessee Martin to cover or
the other side tonight with little Rock, So let's talk
some Ohio Valley real quick to close out the show.
I was at Tennessee Martin's game on Thursday. They were
impressive as I expected them to be.
Speaker 1: They are. You know.
Speaker 2: The thing with Tennessee Martin though, and even though I
just said that they were impressive, they were in the
second half, not so much the first half. I think
that they're quite inflated on the number based on what
they were, what they did in the non conference.
Speaker 1: Right, they had Rob correct me if I'm wrong. They
beat UNLV.
Speaker 2: I think they played Bradley tight, might have might have
had a couple of good wins there, covered against the
power conference team, and suddenly Tennessee Martin was everyone's favorite team. Yeah,
they won against UNLV, they beat Bradley, they covered against
Florida State. So in this league they're still probably the
best team. They're nine and two. I think you could
argue that Tennessee State might be might be better than them.
We'll see about that. But listen, they're nine and two.
They haven't lost a home game all year. They're nine
to zero at home.
Speaker 1: Rob. Coming into the year, I thought Little Rock was
gonna be the best team in this league. I was.
Speaker 2: I was pretty confident of that, and you know, they
had a couple injuries. Gat keck Im not even gonna
try to pronounce his name. He was out for a
stretch of non conference play, and he really is the
anchor to their zone. So you know, they had a run.
Little Rock had a run where they were just really bad.
Tung attached gat Keck. I mean, what do I even
do with that Rob? How am I supposed to pronounce
that name?
Speaker 1: Anyway? Little Rock over the weekend kind of like kind
of choked a couple of games away the Tennessee State.
You know, that would have been a really good win
for Little Rock at Tennessee State.
Speaker 2: They choked that one away at the end, and then
they turned around and lost to Tennessee Tech. Now, some
of the some of this league you have to take
with a grain of salt right now, because these guys
are all in that Tennessee region that's gotten crushed with weather.
A lot of these games have gotten moved around, a
lot of these games have gotten rescheduled. So this is
gonna be Little Rock's fourth straight road.
Speaker 1: Game right here.
Speaker 2: But Tennessee Martin kind of had two easy ones last
week Eastern Illinois, and then they got to play the
worst team in this league, Western Illinois over the weekend,
where I think they won by a huge margin, so
current right, Like I kind of lead Little Rock as
a dog. I wouldn't be surprised if Little Rock found
a way to win this game. Do you have anything
on the total and what do you think about maybe
a live dog with Little Rock here?
Speaker 3: Yeah, money certainly thinks so early on Adam pushed down
towards Little Rock. I would side with the total under
in this game Tennessee. Ut Martin has been great inside
this conference defensively.
Speaker 4: Little Rock. For what it's worth, I've said it a
few times this season.
Speaker 3: Although it's not one hundred percent correct anymore close, but
not one hundred percent correct that Arkansas Little Rock is
a team that can't shoot straight. I never trust them
off of a real strong offensive performance to come back
and put them together back to back. Just go through
their game logs this season again, you'll probably find that out.
But they shot better than fifty percent in their most
recent game, and now they're going to play the number
one defense inside the league. So I think Little Rock
will have to work on the defensive end. Ut Martin's
strength is the is the defense that's their anchor. So
I saw one thirty seven. I think Adam in this
game this morning, at least it's what I've written and
my notes one thirty seven.
Speaker 4: I could check it real quick here, but I think
it stays under.
Speaker 3: I think you're looking at a game that probably falls
in the you know, sixty eight sixty five. There's not
a ton of wiggled room. But I would lean under
in that contest between these two.
Speaker 1: I think there's some correlation there. Rob.
Speaker 2: I think if if Little Rock covers, it's one hundred
percent going to be under, because they they really need
to sort of, you know, make their their hay if
you will, at at the defensive end right.
Speaker 1: Like they have to.
Speaker 2: They've got that one to three to one with gat Kek,
and they think when that is is working appropriately, they're
gonna be in games. But they're gonna be in games
because they're good defensively, and then maybe they're gonna hit
some threes and it's gonna be like a little bit
disjointed offensively, but they're gonna hit some threes. So I
agree with the move from eight to six and a half,
and I very much agree that if Little Rock is
gonna cover that six and a half, it's likely staying under.
And then the final layer of this, Rob, All these
teams have been the weather has been so bad. Games canceled,
practice is canceled. No power in that part of the country,
probably not ideal for staying in rhythm, right, Like their
schedules have been totally altered. That might might play into
the under as well. All right, we're right at the wire. Like,
let's recap the parlay very quickly. Robino is going with
the Murray State team total over eighty two and a half.
I'm gonna go with Boise State spread minus five and
a half. Rob, It would put us back to even
if we can hit this two team or tonight. If
you're looking for all of our I gave one of
my client plays out, I'm gonna have probably at least
three in addition to everything Rob has. We've got that package,
double the CBB firepower. It's three days. It's everything we
play over the course of those three days. Appreciate you
guys tuning in. It's five dollars Tuesday, check us out,
check all the other handicappers at the site out who
have a five dollars play, and we will see you
guys back here in the morning. Good luck tonight, see
you guys, tomorrow,