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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It is time for total bases.

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It is opening day officially. Even though we had one

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baseball game last night, today is really opening day for

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most of the league.

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Speaker 2: Eleven games.

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Speaker 1: There's six teams that have to wait until tomorrow to

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play their first game.

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Speaker 2: But we're ready to get into it.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna be talking Paul Skeins, the Pirates, and the Mets,

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kicking it off on NBC at one PM. The Dodgers

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also try to embark on a three peat, something that

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hasn't been done since last last century. At this point

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the late nineties, the Yankees the last team to win

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three straight World Series. I got Tokyo Brandon, I got

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Brian Leonard with me. We've also got a great special

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on the website. It is the double play, the pick two.

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I don't know, I feel like I'm at Panera Bryan Leonard.

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You know, you get to pick a super a sandwich.

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You get to pick two of the handicap. So it's

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either myself, Tokyo Brandon, me and Brian Leonard, TB and

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Brian whoever fits your you know sort of you know

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thing the best. You get two of us three days.

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All of the plays and of course we still have

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the other specials right now. I think it's three and three,

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so that's all access for any handicapper. It's like buy

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three days, get six free. Those are up at the

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website right now. Brian Leonard, I'm coming to you first.

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I know you're just as jacked up as me. It's

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six am. You're ready to go. How you doing today?

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And also kick us off, Paul Skeen's headed to the

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Big Apple the first game of the opening day eleven games.

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Slate today, Pirates Mets.

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Speaker 3: Good game to talk about, not only because I'm excited

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about both of these two teams, but they're pretty good

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teams this year. A lot of people think the Pirates

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are going to be a contender in the division this year,

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and it may be about a year early, but still

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they've really improved. Their team still don't have enough power

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if you ask me, and they do play more of

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a pitcher's ballpark, but they're going against Skins is going

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against Freddy Peralta here, and Freddy Parolta is not playing

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for the Brewers in this game, as he's a free

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agent and the Mets signed him. And that's actually maybe

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a little bit better for him on the season, is

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I really like Benny Unders in this stadium. We've got

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two pitchers right here in Skins and per Altar that

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could clearly do that. The problem I'm having is if

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you take a look at Freddy Parolter, he has not

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pitched in the last twelve days. Everybody else on the

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schedule today has gone the last five days or so.

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So he's a guy that comes into this game. I

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believe he's only been pushed up to like forty three pitches,

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So if he's in there, he's may not be in

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there very long. I don't think they're going to throw

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him for the complete five innings, So keep that in

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mind if you're looking to play props. Also, I usually

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don't like to play early on in the season on

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guys who were big, big free agents, big guys moving

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moving teams playing early, which is why I'm going to

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fade a lot of hitters that are switching switching teams,

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and I'm going to fade the pitchers. So we've got

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a guy in this situation for Peralta, where normally he

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had great season last year. I don't think he's that good,

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but he's a guy who changes teams and is pitching

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opening day, a lot of pressure on him, and he

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also has not been built up. So I think the

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value right here, it's we're looking at Peralta and the

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Mets roughly about a one, anywhere from a one to

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fifteen to one twenty five favorite out there. I like

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Pittsburgh in this game, and yes the Mets, the Mets

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are the much better team than what the Pirates are,

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but in this individual game, and every game is different,

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every day is different. That's why we love baseball. I'm

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going to use the Pirates in one.

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Speaker 1: Let's bring in Tokyo Brandon. Great call in the Yankees

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last night. That was simple, nice easy win right there. Obviously,

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you know, I feel like you've, you know, been willing

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to take shots with Paul Skeens, you know almost I

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guess at prices that you know, I think you've been

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pretty bullish on taking him in, you know, even when

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he's a little bit inflated. You know, I look at

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this and I'm kind of with Brian. I feel like

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you're getting a bargain on Scheens here, all things considered, TV,

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talk to me about the Pirates Skiens and also that

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layoff for Peralta as opposed to some of the other

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guys that have gotten a pitch. More recently, there's a

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one of the chat questions here talks about guys coming

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off a World Baseball Classic.

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Speaker 2: How are you approaching that as well?

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Speaker 4: So regarding the World Baseball Classic, I think who pitched

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in pressure situations in the World Baseball Class it could

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be candidates for a slight temporary regression, just because you know,

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it's really hard for athletes to get jacked up and

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then back down and then jacked up again, even in

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the same game. It's hard for them to do it's

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hard for them to do it in the same week

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or the same month as well. But talent is talent,

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and talent's going to come through. I think, like for

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someone like I don't know, I can't think someone who

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pitched for Team Canada or someone who pitched for Nicaragua,

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maybe I won't see much regression or temporary regression for

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them because they didn't really have any pressure situations and

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they didn't pitch in the WBC for two weeks now.

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But the teams that were in the Championship, the teams

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that were in the semi finals, yeah, you could see

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a little regression regarding this game. Yeah, Peralta's been off.

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I'm sure he's been doing simulated starts and and and

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things like that. And that's how these guys keep their rhythm,

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because these guys really are creatures of habit. But you know,

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the season is just starting, and uh, I don't you know,

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there's not there's not a lot that you're gonna knock

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them off the rhythm too much at the very beginning

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of the season. So, uh, I agree with Brian's assessment

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of Peralta. He's not I don't think he's an ace ace.

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Uh He's not like an elite guy. He's all right.

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His recent history against the Pirates though he's got a

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three nine one ERA in three five appearances, he's two

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and one in the last two years against them, where

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Skeins has a two O eight d r A against

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the Mets in the last two years with fourteen strikeouts

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and two starts. So the way I'm going to look

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at this, I think I think I agree with Brian

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also that the Pirates are not a terrible team. They're

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they're there. They might not be a playoff team, but

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they're they're not bad. I mean, on any given day, yeah,

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the Mets should knock them around, but when it's a

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Skien's day, that's something different. So the Pirates definitely have

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the pitching advantage here. But actually I think the bullpens

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are fairly equal. But you know, you guys know how

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I cap. I like current form, and there's no current

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form on opening days, so I'm gonna go with Paul Skins.

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You know his outs props. His outs prop was fifteen

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and a half. I thought that was really low because

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he's pitched six innings and seven innings against this team

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in the last two years. I know it's opening day,

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but I went with Max fred Over fifteen and a

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half outs yesterday and won it. I don't think managers

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are that, you know, hooky to take a guy out

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so soon if it's Skeens. And actually, I've read a

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lot of reports that the Pirates are gonna let Skeens

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go a lot a lot more innings this season than

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they did last season, So we'll see how that shakes out.

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I've just been reading some things. You never really know

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until the game's actually played, But I like Skins over

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fifteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think they're going to be in a

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rush to take Schens out. I mean I make I

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actually make the Pirates minus one twelve a slight favorite here,

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going back just just last year to this year, I

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think this Pirates team is a lot better than the

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team that they put on the field last year. So

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I don't think you're gonna have that sort of dynamic

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that you did last year where it's like, okay, well

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you have it's schemes, but it's this awful team. I

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don't think the Pirates are a playoff team per se,

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but they're closer to that than they were last year

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by a lot I think. I mean, I think they

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could win. I think they could flirt with five hundred.

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I don't think it's crazy to think the Pirates could

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win half of their games. So again, I think for

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right now, like Ski like, you're getting Schiens in the

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in the plus one oh five plus you know, even

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money range, I think that's pretty solid. And then for

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as far as Preddie Freddie Peralti is concerned, he's not

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going past the fifth inning anyway. I mean, even when

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he's even when he's like in form, he's really a

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five inning guy. So all the Mets are are you know,

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one of the better teams in the National League. I

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still think you're gonna be asking like five different Mets

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pitchers to come out and pitch. Well today, you're probably

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gonna have maybe maybe three or four relievers and then

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and then Peralta.

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I think I trust the Pirates kind of the way

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they set up a little bit more so I'm on

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the Pirates as well. Uh that is uh, you know,

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that's that's something that I actually made bet and well,

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and we'll see if I give it out in the

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Best Bets segment, which will be at the end of

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the show where we will lock in our parley. So

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this year where we're gonna wait till the end to

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lock our parlay and we'll we'll sort of go through

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the games and uh, I'm gonna go back. Let's get

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Brian Leonard back in here. Let's talk Dodgers Diamondbacks. Brian,

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the Dodgers. No one's disputing the fact that they are

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projected to they are the best team in baseball until

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someone says otherwise. They're projected with with the highest win

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total by far. But boy do they look inflated for

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a game where they're gonna be getting their rings and

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they might just be like partying today. I don't love

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the Diamondbacks, but wow, that is a big number. Go ahead, Dodgers, Diamondbacks,

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and are you fading? The ring ceremony is the question?

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Speaker 3: You know, that's funny. I've always used the ring ceremony

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in other sports and had a lot of success. Baseball

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is more of a laid back game as opposed to

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football and basketball, so I don't know if it means

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as much. Especially the Dodgers have been so good for

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so long. It's not like they jumped out of it.

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Jumped out of the lower tier and won the World

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Series last year. So we'll have to see how that

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works out. But it's always something you have to keep

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in mind. The problem here is everybody knows the Dodgers

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are the best team, and Arizona's number one starter. Well,

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it's a guy that nobody else wanted, Zach Gallon. They

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thought he was gonna he thought he was gonna go

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somewhere else and make the money. Nobody my knowledge made

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any serious offers, and now he's back in Arizona again

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because they have a lack of that's the worst part

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of this team. Is the pitching. Arizona's offense is very good,

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it's one of the best in the league, but the

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pitching staff is the problem. The Dodgers, obviously, the pitching

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staff is not the problem. They've got a great bullpen,

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whereas Arizona right now doesn't even really know for sure

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who are their closure is going to be so and

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they've got a couple of guys that missed half going

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to miss half the season. In the bullpen, key members,

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probably the best members. So I am worried about Arizona

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in the second half of the game. Gallon really hasn't

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been Both these pitchers last pitched six days ago, so

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they both in the same group. Gall It's looked okay

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in preseason, not great, not you know, he's had some

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good and bad, but he knows this team very well

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in the Dodgers. He's been in this division for a

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long time, so I would expect maybe we get a

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little bit better effort out of him here against the Dodgers.

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Yamamoto a guy who is when he's pitching, he's one

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of the best in baseball. The problem is with a

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six rotation and they're gonna piggyback. We got a couple

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of guys at piggybacking for the season. Ammamotos stats. It's

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going to be a little bit slower on innings, so

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he's not going to get he may not get the

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cy Young votes. He would be well and he's on

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the mound. He's a guy you want to back. The

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problem is we're looking you right now and they're anywhere

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from like two fifty to two seventy five favorite. I'm

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not going to lay that early in the season, So

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I need to find a different way to look at

238
00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:35,360
this game. Maybe play some props something of that effect

239
00:12:35,360 --> 00:12:37,159
if I'm gonna play this one. But right now, I

240
00:12:38,000 --> 00:12:40,240
can't lay the number, and I really don't want to Arizona

241
00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:40,879
in this one.

242
00:12:42,240 --> 00:12:45,200
Speaker 2: So Tokyo Brandon, I am my.

243
00:12:45,320 --> 00:12:48,240
Speaker 1: One of my biggest sort of number edges here of

244
00:12:48,279 --> 00:12:51,919
the days is the Diamondbacks. I think, you know, and

245
00:12:52,759 --> 00:12:55,240
I don't think that's crazy because the Dodgers are going

246
00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:58,200
to be inflated probably on a day to day basis,

247
00:12:58,639 --> 00:13:01,480
But man, I don't think this Diamondbacks team is very

248
00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:03,639
good this year. I guess it's I guess that's why

249
00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:05,799
you know, plus one and a half plus money is

250
00:13:05,799 --> 00:13:07,799
sitting right out there for me plus one oh five

251
00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:10,720
with the visiting team. So if I like the Diamondbacks

252
00:13:10,759 --> 00:13:12,399
at all, that's certainly the way I would go. But

253
00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:15,639
I just can't seem to get myself there. I think

254
00:13:15,679 --> 00:13:18,480
it's because of the bullpen, because of the injuries. What

255
00:13:18,519 --> 00:13:20,840
do you think, Dodgers, Dbacks? Is there any path here

256
00:13:20,879 --> 00:13:22,960
for Arizona to get on that side?

257
00:13:23,960 --> 00:13:28,679
Speaker 4: So starting pitching, we've got a cy young candidate versus

258
00:13:28,720 --> 00:13:31,679
a guy who you probably never mentioned the word cy

259
00:13:31,799 --> 00:13:35,080
young with his name ever in your life. Zach Collin

260
00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:37,600
is not a terrible pitcher, but he's a he's he's

261
00:13:37,639 --> 00:13:40,440
he's just a you know, a reliable hu hum kind

262
00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:42,240
of guy who'll get you five innings and give up

263
00:13:42,279 --> 00:13:46,120
three runs. So that's why no one wanted to take him.

264
00:13:46,159 --> 00:13:50,200
But Yamamono was electric, and last year the bullpen was

265
00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:54,679
the Achilles Hill for both of these teams in my opinion, Yeah,

266
00:13:54,679 --> 00:13:57,200
the Diamondbacks did have some talent, but they didn't perform

267
00:13:57,279 --> 00:14:04,039
up to it. The Dodgers acquired Scott and they acquired

268
00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:07,720
a couple other guys and they didn't pan out. But

269
00:14:07,799 --> 00:14:11,080
this year they've improved their bullpen even further and in

270
00:14:11,159 --> 00:14:15,000
the offseason. I don't think the Diamondbacks got better. Matter

271
00:14:15,039 --> 00:14:18,279
of fact, I think they got worse. If there's any

272
00:14:19,279 --> 00:14:21,519
if there's a side bet here, I think the Dodgers

273
00:14:21,519 --> 00:14:24,679
would be the only way to go. Might have to

274
00:14:24,759 --> 00:14:27,360
lay the one and a half even at home, which

275
00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:31,080
is in our business is sometimes a no no. But

276
00:14:32,200 --> 00:14:34,840
there's also the ring ceremony thing that you guys brought up.

277
00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:38,480
That is a thing. I mean, I'm not a superstitious guy,

278
00:14:38,559 --> 00:14:43,600
and I'm not one of those they want it more

279
00:14:43,759 --> 00:14:45,679
or they're trying harder kind of thing. I think at

280
00:14:45,679 --> 00:14:49,480
this level everyone's trying for their contract, so I'm not

281
00:14:49,519 --> 00:14:51,360
a believer in that kind of stuff. But the ring

282
00:14:51,399 --> 00:14:55,200
thing is a thing. It actually is a detriment to winning.

283
00:14:55,600 --> 00:14:57,399
But I think this team's just too good. I don't

284
00:14:57,399 --> 00:15:00,440
think it'll be a factor today. In this case. I

285
00:15:00,519 --> 00:15:04,519
generally like to take a minus one. If it's minus

286
00:15:04,519 --> 00:15:06,879
one eighty minus one seventy, I'll take a minus one.

287
00:15:06,919 --> 00:15:09,360
But this is beyond that. A minus one will only

288
00:15:09,440 --> 00:15:12,200
get you a minus two hundred in the odds, so

289
00:15:12,679 --> 00:15:14,440
I don't think a minus one is worth it either.

290
00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:16,399
You'd have to take the one and a half or,

291
00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:19,039
like Brian said, look for a prop That's the only

292
00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:22,799
way I would be able to approach this one. I'm

293
00:15:22,799 --> 00:15:25,080
not touching the diamond back to the ten football in

294
00:15:25,120 --> 00:15:25,639
this game.

295
00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:31,279
Speaker 1: All Right, we are going to move on this next segment.

296
00:15:31,519 --> 00:15:33,279
We're gonna go a little bit quicker. We're going to

297
00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:35,679
go entirely off of what you guys are looking at

298
00:15:35,720 --> 00:15:38,279
in the chat. So I'm gonna go to Brian Leonard

299
00:15:38,639 --> 00:15:41,960
on Jack's question here just because I think he's definitely

300
00:15:42,039 --> 00:15:46,279
got a strong opinion on one of these teams. So basically,

301
00:15:46,879 --> 00:15:51,519
isn't too early to fade the Terrible Cardinals? Feels like

302
00:15:51,559 --> 00:15:53,879
this game in June would be Tampa Bay minus one

303
00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:58,279
forty or more. And Brian, is that I've here, I've

304
00:15:58,279 --> 00:16:03,480
heard a lot of the Terrible Cardinals. I mean, are

305
00:16:03,480 --> 00:16:05,840
they much worse than the Rays? Talk to me about

306
00:16:05,919 --> 00:16:07,000
raised Cardinals a little bit.

307
00:16:08,159 --> 00:16:10,720
Speaker 3: The Rays are a little strange to me this year

308
00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:13,639
because there's people I respect that love the Rays. They

309
00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:17,159
love what they've done. I'm not so sure I'm gonna

310
00:16:17,159 --> 00:16:20,679
buy They got ras Messon on them out today against

311
00:16:20,679 --> 00:16:23,320
Librator and rass. Messon is about a one fifteen one

312
00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:28,840
five favorite you're looking at a Tampa Bay team who

313
00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:33,159
I just don't think they're They're a team that likes

314
00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:35,840
to mix a match, a lot of you know, lucky

315
00:16:35,919 --> 00:16:39,080
righty kind of stuff. Love the management at Tampa Bay.

316
00:16:39,879 --> 00:16:42,639
They've got one of the best managers in baseball. But

317
00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:46,120
and they've got a third basement, by the way, that

318
00:16:46,440 --> 00:16:49,639
everybody's so crazy about. But they are moving back from

319
00:16:49,679 --> 00:16:52,720
a hitting standpoint. They are moving back from a minor

320
00:16:52,799 --> 00:16:55,279
league park that was a good hit part, and now

321
00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:57,519
they're going back into their home park, which is a

322
00:16:57,519 --> 00:17:00,200
good pitching part. This game's obviously on the road to

323
00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:03,840
Saint Louis, but that's well moving those hitters. Yeah, they

324
00:17:03,879 --> 00:17:07,440
played very well outside of outside of this Tampa Bay stadium,

325
00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:10,559
but when you get back to Tampa Bay, you don't

326
00:17:10,599 --> 00:17:12,200
hit aus well. That's going to be a concern when

327
00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:16,480
they go back home. That's not the concern today Librator. Yet,

328
00:17:16,640 --> 00:17:20,559
normally some of these pictures for Saint Louis, they're young

329
00:17:20,559 --> 00:17:23,559
pitchers that haven't performed well in the past. Librator had

330
00:17:23,559 --> 00:17:26,680
a great preseason and that's why he's the He's the

331
00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:29,720
starting off this first game here. He's a left hander

332
00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:32,640
against Tampa Bay playing at home. This is more of

333
00:17:32,680 --> 00:17:35,279
a pictures park in Saint Louis. I like that. We

334
00:17:35,319 --> 00:17:37,440
talked about this yesterday. I like Saint Louis's team this

335
00:17:37,519 --> 00:17:40,960
year better than most guys do. But I love Drew

336
00:17:41,079 --> 00:17:44,599
Rasmus and he's probably my best, my favorite pitcher in

337
00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:47,359
this Tampa Bay lineup. You take a look at him

338
00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:49,839
over the years. I don't know if he's ever had

339
00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:52,839
a three e er. The guy's amazing. If he played

340
00:17:52,920 --> 00:17:55,680
one hundred percent of the time, never got hurt, we'd

341
00:17:55,680 --> 00:17:57,759
be talking about him like we do snow. I mean,

342
00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:01,160
he's that good that That's the only thing that I'm

343
00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:04,039
with coctarned with here. If I play anything in this game,

344
00:18:04,279 --> 00:18:07,119
I may look at the under. We're looking at h

345
00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:09,160
to the a couple of eighths to the under, but

346
00:18:09,519 --> 00:18:12,039
seven and a half's at even money to the under.

347
00:18:12,519 --> 00:18:14,200
That would be the way I go in this one.

348
00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:17,079
I don't think either offense is that great right now.

349
00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:19,640
As the season goes on, with say Louis brings up

350
00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:22,759
some of those rookies that are really good, I think

351
00:18:22,759 --> 00:18:24,440
their offense will be a lot better. But right now

352
00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:25,519
I would play this game.

353
00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:29,519
Speaker 1: Underd yeah, I mean my number here, so just to

354
00:18:29,519 --> 00:18:33,640
go back to the original question, minus one forty in

355
00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:35,680
a couple months, I mean, I make this minus one

356
00:18:35,759 --> 00:18:38,839
fifteen rays. So it's like I actually show a little

357
00:18:38,839 --> 00:18:42,759
bit of value to the Cardinals. I think for me,

358
00:18:43,039 --> 00:18:45,519
if I wanted the raise here, I would just be

359
00:18:45,519 --> 00:18:48,440
betting on Rasmussen. If you take him out of the equation,

360
00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:52,640
I would I all of my sort of numbers the

361
00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:54,960
way I'm looking at both of these teams this year

362
00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:57,519
would actually have me on the Cardinals side. But yeah,

363
00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:00,160
Rasterson is not a guy that I really want to

364
00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:02,839
bet against at this point. But I still actually show

365
00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:04,599
a little bit of value to the to the Cardinals.

366
00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:06,680
If I showed more, I'd be willing to take a chance.

367
00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:10,000
But these opening opening day lines are a little bit

368
00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:12,640
tighter than probably you'll see all season.

369
00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:16,160
Speaker 2: These next two days. I mean, you're gonna be really.

370
00:19:17,319 --> 00:19:20,400
Speaker 1: You're probably gonna have to go very contrarian to find

371
00:19:20,400 --> 00:19:23,359
any real value on sides the next couple of days,

372
00:19:23,359 --> 00:19:26,200
because of course it's opening day. The line's been up

373
00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:28,640
for a couple of days. There's only eleven games. Everyone's

374
00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:30,960
got their ace on the mound. But Tokyo Brandon. I'm

375
00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:32,240
gonna go to Tokyo Brandon.

376
00:19:32,279 --> 00:19:33,680
Speaker 2: In the chat, he.

377
00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:36,480
Speaker 1: Said it's never too early to fade trash. So I'll

378
00:19:36,519 --> 00:19:40,240
ask you two questions. One, I don't exactly know what

379
00:19:40,279 --> 00:19:43,119
you were referring to by that, But two, I think

380
00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:45,759
the I think when I think trash this year, TV,

381
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:47,480
I think the Washington Nationals.

382
00:19:47,799 --> 00:19:50,599
Speaker 2: I think the Washington Nationals are gonna be the worst.

383
00:19:50,359 --> 00:19:53,279
Speaker 1: Team maybe in Major League Baseball this year.

384
00:19:53,319 --> 00:19:54,920
Speaker 2: They're certainly gonna be down there.

385
00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:55,799
Speaker 4: Uh.

386
00:19:55,880 --> 00:19:58,559
Speaker 1: So, do you have any interest in fading them out

387
00:19:58,559 --> 00:20:00,000
Wrigley Field this afternoon?

388
00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:04,640
Speaker 4: Absolutely? Uh And when I said it's never too early

389
00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:07,079
to fade rush, someone in the comments said, is it

390
00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:09,079
is it too early to fade the Cardinals? So I

391
00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:11,480
was calling the Cardinals trash? I know you guys are

392
00:20:11,519 --> 00:20:15,720
not are not? Are not as frowning upon the Cardinals

393
00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:19,319
as I am. But I think they just lost. I didn't.

394
00:20:19,319 --> 00:20:21,240
I don't think they improved themselves in the off seat.

395
00:20:21,279 --> 00:20:23,359
I think they're gonna have a worse season than last season.

396
00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:28,799
But that's what I was referring to. But regarding the Nationals, No,

397
00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:32,039
I absolutely don't think it's too early to fade the

398
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:36,359
Nationals if you look at the pitching matchup, if you

399
00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:39,359
look at the lineups, if you look at the bullpens.

400
00:20:39,519 --> 00:20:42,759
I mean, the bullpen is a huge liability for the Nationals.

401
00:20:43,480 --> 00:20:48,559
I think their starter today is a young guy who

402
00:20:48,599 --> 00:20:51,559
has potential, but it's a matter of when the potential

403
00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:54,839
is gonna kick in and he's gonna start actually looking

404
00:20:54,839 --> 00:20:58,880
good because he's got talent, but he hasn't performed to

405
00:20:58,960 --> 00:21:02,559
that talent. Boyd is you know, kind of a proven commodity.

406
00:21:02,599 --> 00:21:06,119
You know what you're gonna get. It's not a shiny Ferrari,

407
00:21:06,519 --> 00:21:09,920
but it is a drivable car and it'll get you

408
00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:12,279
where you're going. On the other side, you don't know

409
00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:15,640
if you're gonna get where you're going. So add that

410
00:21:15,799 --> 00:21:19,000
together with the proven lineup against the non proven lineup.

411
00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:22,480
I really like Abrams though. I love watching Abrams play.

412
00:21:22,599 --> 00:21:26,039
He's he's so talented. He's a really fun guy to watch.

413
00:21:26,519 --> 00:21:29,039
But that's really the only reason I would watch the

414
00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:30,079
Nationals game.

415
00:21:30,759 --> 00:21:32,079
Speaker 3: Rotation the.

416
00:21:33,559 --> 00:21:36,799
Speaker 4: Bullpen. Man. The biggest liability for them is their bullpen.

417
00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:39,160
I just think the car the Cubs are gonna trounce

418
00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:41,440
them today.

419
00:21:44,039 --> 00:21:45,920
Speaker 1: Well, this isn't trying. I'm gonna keep I'm gonna stay

420
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:48,279
on this game. We'll go to Brian. If you want

421
00:21:48,279 --> 00:21:50,720
to add anything on today's game, feel free to go

422
00:21:50,799 --> 00:21:54,640
ahead for me. Kavali, he's fine, but like there's no

423
00:21:54,799 --> 00:21:57,359
bullpen arms, there's zero bullpen depth.

424
00:21:57,480 --> 00:22:00,440
Speaker 2: I don't know how much the depth matters on Open Day,

425
00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:01,519
but this was.

426
00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:07,279
Speaker 1: One Brian where my sort of number was not showing

427
00:22:07,279 --> 00:22:09,400
as much value despite it them being one of the

428
00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:12,559
bigger underdogs of the day. And talk to me about

429
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:15,640
that's an interesting bet. Plus seven fifty for fewest wins.

430
00:22:16,559 --> 00:22:18,079
I think the Rockies are going to be better than

431
00:22:18,079 --> 00:22:20,359
people think. I don't hate that one bit. I think

432
00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:24,079
you could throw some a flyer on plus seven fifty

433
00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:26,200
for fewest wins is I'm interested in that.

434
00:22:26,480 --> 00:22:28,559
Speaker 2: Talk to me about the Nats and the Cubs.

435
00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:36,759
Speaker 3: Well, I do like Cavali. He's a guy that had

436
00:22:36,799 --> 00:22:41,640
to deal with some injuries over the years. And if

437
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:43,920
there's anybody I'm looking to back out of this Washington

438
00:22:45,119 --> 00:22:48,079
starting rotation, it would be Cavali. You talked about the bullpen.

439
00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:51,240
The bullpen is lousy. Boyd. I was a big fan

440
00:22:51,279 --> 00:22:53,720
of Boyd last year got off to a great start,

441
00:22:53,839 --> 00:22:56,480
did not pitch well in the second half of the season.

442
00:22:57,400 --> 00:22:59,519
He was pitching over his head early on. I still

443
00:22:59,599 --> 00:23:01,880
like him, but I don't know if I want to

444
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:06,359
lay this big number with the Cubs. Here. What I

445
00:23:06,480 --> 00:23:09,400
gave my clients, What I'm doing for my clients this year,

446
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:11,720
the ones that signed up for the season, I'm giving

447
00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:16,119
them small one percent plays overnight, looking to take advantage

448
00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:19,480
of good numbers, and I gave them the under in

449
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:23,160
this game. We are looking at roughly about a seven

450
00:23:23,160 --> 00:23:25,440
and a half right now. There's still some sevens out there,

451
00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:29,839
which means and any time you're looking in Chicago for

452
00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:32,079
the Cubs, paying attention to what the total is, if

453
00:23:32,079 --> 00:23:35,039
the wind's blowing out, you could see fourteens. If the

454
00:23:35,039 --> 00:23:37,319
wind's blowing in, you could see five and a half.

455
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:40,720
So two aces are my own, so the win is

456
00:23:40,839 --> 00:23:44,480
probably blowing in here. It's something where teams have come

457
00:23:44,519 --> 00:23:49,559
from warmer clients in the spring, and now we're going

458
00:23:49,599 --> 00:23:51,400
to play in coulder clients.

459
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:51,559
Speaker 2: Now.

460
00:23:51,559 --> 00:23:54,079
Speaker 3: I haven't seen the weather yet today. I'm six am

461
00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:57,480
my time. I'm giving out my plays later on in

462
00:23:57,480 --> 00:23:59,079
the season or later on in the day for my

463
00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:02,640
clients this year. Once I figure out everything else, but

464
00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:05,720
I gave an early player on the under. I thought

465
00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:07,880
the under was a nice play here. I like Cavali.

466
00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:11,119
I'll think you'll go the full five innings, Boyd. Being

467
00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:12,960
a lefty, I think it's gonna have some success here

468
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:17,400
against Washington. DO like Chicago bullpen much better than Washington.

469
00:24:18,079 --> 00:24:21,039
But if I can get under seven and a half

470
00:24:21,079 --> 00:24:23,880
here in a decent number, yeah, I like.

471
00:24:23,839 --> 00:24:26,960
Speaker 2: The under in this one, all right.

472
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:29,279
Speaker 1: I want to bring Tokyo Brandon back in, but I'm

473
00:24:29,279 --> 00:24:31,440
gonna say a few words about this game first, because

474
00:24:31,480 --> 00:24:37,799
I have some opinions on these two teams and I'm

475
00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:40,319
interested in something here. So we'll see if TV can

476
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:44,759
either confirm what I'm gonna say or talk me off. Now,

477
00:24:44,759 --> 00:24:47,079
ghost Win Sports says Angels might lose one hundred games.

478
00:24:47,079 --> 00:24:50,799
I don't really disagree with that. I'm not high on

479
00:24:50,839 --> 00:24:54,440
the Angels one bit, but I think the Astros might

480
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:58,079
be the biggest sort of dip of any team in baseball.

481
00:24:58,119 --> 00:25:01,559
Speaker 2: I think this team, I don't think they're five hundred team.

482
00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:04,440
Speaker 1: So if you talk about where they're priced relative to

483
00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:07,440
where I think they end up, I am in major

484
00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:11,200
Astros fade mode. This year, they have banged a bullpen.

485
00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:15,640
Their best play I mean, obviously their best players. Jordon Avarez,

486
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:17,359
Kenny stay healthy.

487
00:25:17,519 --> 00:25:18,200
Speaker 2: We'll see.

488
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:21,799
Speaker 1: But like I mean, jose Al Tuve, what is he like?

489
00:25:21,839 --> 00:25:25,759
Thirty six, thirty seven at this point? You know, last

490
00:25:25,839 --> 00:25:29,359
year I got this shoved right in my face. Boys,

491
00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:33,480
I was on here talking about this Astros team being

492
00:25:33,519 --> 00:25:37,000
no good, and they just found way after what. They

493
00:25:37,039 --> 00:25:39,880
just kept finding ways to win. They kept plugging guys

494
00:25:39,920 --> 00:25:43,400
in miracle year for them. In my opinion, last year,

495
00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:47,519
I think I'm gonna be what I was saying last year.

496
00:25:47,559 --> 00:25:50,720
I think comes to fruition this year. So I'm looking

497
00:25:50,759 --> 00:25:55,799
for ways to fade the Astros. Ken Man Angels plus

498
00:25:55,799 --> 00:25:57,920
one and a half's tempting, but it's a little bit

499
00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:00,519
juiced right now. If this would have come down fifteen twenties,

500
00:26:00,559 --> 00:26:02,599
you know, give me this in the minus one ten,

501
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:05,759
minus one fifteen range here, I'd be all over it.

502
00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:10,240
TV talk talk to me, Angels, Astras. Am I crazy

503
00:26:10,279 --> 00:26:12,119
to think the Angels start one to oh today?

504
00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:18,680
Speaker 4: Uh No, Actually, I fully agree with your sentiment there

505
00:26:18,799 --> 00:26:24,359
that the Astros are regressing a little bit. I fully

506
00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:27,559
agree with that, and that's going to play into What

507
00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:30,000
I'm gonna use as my best bet on the show

508
00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:32,200
is going to be this game. So I'll just put

509
00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:34,640
it out there right now while I analyze this game.

510
00:26:36,559 --> 00:26:39,400
The Astros lineup really wasn't anything to be that afraid

511
00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:43,519
of last year, and the Angels lineup certainly wasn't anything

512
00:26:43,559 --> 00:26:46,400
to be afraid of last year, especially after losing Mike Trout,

513
00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:50,440
which they do every season. So I don't I don't

514
00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:53,759
like really either lineup here. The bullpens, I don't really

515
00:26:53,799 --> 00:26:59,880
like the bullpens either, but it's Opening day. Bullpens are fresh.

516
00:27:00,119 --> 00:27:02,839
You can use your best arms to grind out a

517
00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:06,640
win on Opening Day without worrying about how many innings

518
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:10,279
he pitched in the last three days. And then starting pitcher,

519
00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:14,240
I mean, Hunter Brown is. I made a free play

520
00:27:14,319 --> 00:27:17,079
video today on wager Talk, and I broke this down.

521
00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:19,599
Hunter Brown is on the precipice of being elite. I

522
00:27:19,640 --> 00:27:22,319
don't think he's in the group of elite, but he's

523
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:25,480
on the precipice of it. He's almost there. He's a

524
00:27:25,519 --> 00:27:30,039
really good pitcher. Jose Soriano, he is my chronic walker.

525
00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:34,000
He walks a lot of people. He doesn't have control

526
00:27:34,079 --> 00:27:38,359
of his stuff, but he performs really well against this

527
00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:41,000
Astros team, and back to your point about the Astros

528
00:27:41,039 --> 00:27:43,960
regressing and not being afraid of them, I think he

529
00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:46,039
can actually hold them down today. I really like an

530
00:27:46,079 --> 00:27:49,960
under in this game. I think it was eight. My

531
00:27:50,079 --> 00:27:51,920
numbers say this is going to be around six or

532
00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:55,039
six point two, way under eight, so I don't think

533
00:27:55,039 --> 00:27:58,079
either team's really going to score that much. It takes

534
00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:01,599
testicular fortitude, Brian, take an under on a Nats game,

535
00:28:01,839 --> 00:28:04,759
and I'm gonna use the same testicular fortitude to take

536
00:28:04,759 --> 00:28:07,519
an under on an Angels game, because the Angel's bullpen

537
00:28:07,599 --> 00:28:11,160
is almost as bad as the Nationals and their rotation

538
00:28:11,319 --> 00:28:15,039
is horrible too. But I think Soriano performed well against

539
00:28:15,079 --> 00:28:17,359
the Astros last year. I think he can carry that

540
00:28:17,440 --> 00:28:20,720
in on Opening Day. I like the under in this game.

541
00:28:20,759 --> 00:28:23,880
That's gonna be my leg of the parlay for this show.

542
00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:27,039
Speaker 1: All right, TV, We'll come back to you in a

543
00:28:27,079 --> 00:28:29,960
minute before I get Brian's best bet. We've got about

544
00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:31,799
like ninety seconds before I'm going to go to you

545
00:28:31,839 --> 00:28:33,319
for a best bet, So, Brian, why don't you jump

546
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:36,279
in on Astros Angels and you give your thoughts here.

547
00:28:36,480 --> 00:28:39,400
Speaker 3: Well, I talked yesterday, I thought the Angels would have

548
00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:42,240
the worst record in baseball. I found a number seventeen

549
00:28:42,279 --> 00:28:45,160
to one. You can bet the Angels get seventeen times

550
00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:47,599
your money by playing them as the worst record in baseball.

551
00:28:47,599 --> 00:28:50,400
I talked about it yesterday. Don't have time today, so

552
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:53,200
I'll go back and watch yesterday's show if you want

553
00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:56,440
to find that out. I also like the Angels here.

554
00:28:56,680 --> 00:29:01,640
I am looking to fade Houston. Houston, know I this

555
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:04,079
is this is baseball, and it's a long season. The

556
00:29:04,079 --> 00:29:06,720
team I just predicted we have at least amount of wins.

557
00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:08,839
I'm looking to bet on today, and that's the Angels.

558
00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:12,359
Because of the starting pitchers here. Soriano des walk a

559
00:29:12,359 --> 00:29:14,599
lot of people. That's because he gives up home runs

560
00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:16,279
and he doesn't want to throw the ball down the middle.

561
00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:18,759
It's worked out well for him. He's been their ace

562
00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:22,400
for a few years now. I like that situation. The

563
00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:24,279
problem is in this one is I don't like the

564
00:29:24,319 --> 00:29:28,759
Angels bullpen. So I would prefer the first half here

565
00:29:28,799 --> 00:29:32,039
in this game, and we could get the Angels in

566
00:29:32,079 --> 00:29:37,200
the first half of this game and roughly one five range. Yeah,

567
00:29:37,519 --> 00:29:38,160
I'll take that.

568
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:42,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, for me, like the Angels.

569
00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:44,119
Speaker 1: Listen, it's going to be over the course of the

570
00:29:44,119 --> 00:29:47,240
season as guys start to get hurt, as you know,

571
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:52,440
like they they grab some interesting bullpen pieces, so like.

572
00:29:52,519 --> 00:29:54,839
But the problem is, it's like they're I don't think

573
00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:56,640
they're built to do much over the course of one

574
00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:59,279
sixty two. So hey, first couple, first couple of weeks,

575
00:29:59,279 --> 00:30:02,680
everyone's healthy, Angels. This might be your time to play

576
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:05,039
the Angels because this is the type of team, Like

577
00:30:05,079 --> 00:30:07,519
they could start the year ten and ten, but then

578
00:30:07,559 --> 00:30:10,799
they could lose twenty five of their next thirty five.

579
00:30:11,279 --> 00:30:12,720
That's kind of how I see the angel So I

580
00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:14,640
don't hate them in a one off year. But yeah,

581
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:17,000
I'm with you in the respect that I don't think

582
00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:18,839
they're going to do much this year, and they're probably

583
00:30:18,839 --> 00:30:20,480
going to be a pretty good long term faith Brian,

584
00:30:20,519 --> 00:30:22,599
I got to say this. I think I like you're

585
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:25,200
seventeen to one on them to have the worst record,

586
00:30:25,279 --> 00:30:28,759
better than the Nationals at plus seven fifty. So I

587
00:30:28,799 --> 00:30:31,160
will say that TV. I want to give you the

588
00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:34,720
floor here. You've already kind of given your best bet,

589
00:30:34,799 --> 00:30:37,079
so just tell us what it is again. If there's

590
00:30:37,119 --> 00:30:39,079
anything else you want to talk about if there's anything

591
00:30:39,119 --> 00:30:40,319
you've got to promote for today.

592
00:30:41,440 --> 00:30:44,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, Wayger talk set up that deal for us. It's

593
00:30:44,519 --> 00:30:47,319
the double play. You can pick two of us. We

594
00:30:47,359 --> 00:30:51,559
can we can't see how how many sold to what,

595
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:53,200
so we don't know who's going to be the most

596
00:30:53,240 --> 00:30:56,079
popular person. But it could be a popularity vote as well.

597
00:30:56,119 --> 00:30:58,319
Speaker 2: It'll be you for sure, you're the most pot.

598
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:04,480
Speaker 4: But anyway, so anyway, so we got that deal going on.

599
00:31:04,559 --> 00:31:06,559
I think you get three days of two of us

600
00:31:06,599 --> 00:31:09,160
for like forty something dollars. I think it's forty nine

601
00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:12,160
if I'm not mistaken. So it's a great deal. And

602
00:31:12,200 --> 00:31:14,359
I have a five percent play out today. You could

603
00:31:14,599 --> 00:31:17,160
actually get that five percent play which is normally thirty

604
00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:21,119
five dollars for about what fourteen dollars more, And you

605
00:31:21,119 --> 00:31:25,160
can get another caper as well. So we're all we

606
00:31:25,240 --> 00:31:27,599
all have different opinions, we all have different approaches to

607
00:31:27,680 --> 00:31:29,839
our betting, so taking two of us would be a

608
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:35,240
very good advantage for your portfolio. I do like the

609
00:31:35,279 --> 00:31:39,880
Angels under today, the Angels Astros I the Astros lineup

610
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:44,440
is underwhelming in my opinion, and I just think Soriano

611
00:31:44,519 --> 00:31:47,480
is going to perform at least once this season is

612
00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:50,400
probably going to be today. That's about all I have

613
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:54,839
to say. On my Twitter x account Tokyo under Bar Brandon,

614
00:31:55,839 --> 00:32:02,759
I have released the outs, recorded the top outs, recorded bets,

615
00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:05,200
so I put that out for free so you can

616
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:06,400
go check that out as well.

617
00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:09,920
Speaker 2: TV. What are you seeing for a number on the under?

618
00:32:09,960 --> 00:32:11,799
Speaker 1: It looks like you could either go with a reduced

619
00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:13,759
juice eight or do you want to throw eight and

620
00:32:13,799 --> 00:32:15,519
a half with juice in it for the parlay.

621
00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:17,359
Speaker 2: I'm fine with that for the parlay. If you want

622
00:32:17,359 --> 00:32:18,440
the strap run.

623
00:32:18,359 --> 00:32:21,079
Speaker 4: Let's do that. I don't see a number in front

624
00:32:21,119 --> 00:32:24,079
of me right now, but it's probably like minus one

625
00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:25,960
forty or something like that. I imagine.

626
00:32:27,039 --> 00:32:28,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, I was gonna say that under with the eight

627
00:32:28,839 --> 00:32:32,839
and a half's like minus one thirty. Again, you could

628
00:32:32,839 --> 00:32:38,880
play under eight at like but yeah, well I want

629
00:32:39,799 --> 00:32:42,480
So here's the deal. I gotta and I'll just you

630
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:46,079
know before I bring Brian back in. Like, we we

631
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:49,519
profited on the parlay last year, and after doing the

632
00:32:49,559 --> 00:32:52,480
College Basketball Show and the fact that we're going to

633
00:32:52,519 --> 00:32:56,039
finish a little bit negative on the parlay, it's like

634
00:32:56,359 --> 00:32:58,759
very very impressive that we were able to go six

635
00:32:58,839 --> 00:33:04,200
months and turn plus money on a show three teamer Brian, you're.

636
00:33:04,079 --> 00:33:06,319
Speaker 2: Not and go go ahead, jump in talk to the people.

637
00:33:06,319 --> 00:33:07,200
How impressive that is?

638
00:33:07,519 --> 00:33:10,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's extremely impressive. I I had, I had no

639
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:12,839
idea we were gonna come pluse we're ended up making money.

640
00:33:13,319 --> 00:33:16,920
Keep in mind, I don't play parlais. I don't. I'm

641
00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:19,680
not really sure any of us do. This is a

642
00:33:20,039 --> 00:33:22,839
gimmick to give viewers to be honest with you. Hey,

643
00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:25,240
we try to be so as we can to you.

644
00:33:26,359 --> 00:33:30,079
I play the games individually. So I made even more

645
00:33:30,160 --> 00:33:33,799
money than than that. So uh and and as far

646
00:33:33,920 --> 00:33:38,400
this this great special they've got for us by by

647
00:33:38,480 --> 00:33:41,079
two out of the three. If you're new to US,

648
00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:46,079
I strict solely on Major League baseball. Craig does Major

649
00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:48,720
League baseball and then minor league baseball.

650
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:51,559
Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, I sprinkle some Korea in, but yeah, there

651
00:33:51,599 --> 00:33:52,359
you there you go.

652
00:33:52,519 --> 00:33:55,440
Speaker 3: And then if there's a home plate on any stadium

653
00:33:55,519 --> 00:34:00,079
in the world, that's that's okay. Brandon, he plays Korean baseball,

654
00:34:00,119 --> 00:34:04,000
You play Japanese baseball. So if you had the ability

655
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:08,119
to bet those games, then you want to go with him.

656
00:34:08,159 --> 00:34:11,280
If you can't bet him, maybe you choose something else.

657
00:34:11,599 --> 00:34:14,239
But if you're only interested in Major League Baseball, that's me.

658
00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:17,400
I got enough on my table to get all that

659
00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:22,199
done every day, So then then if that's fine. So

660
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:24,119
that's one way to look at it. I'm gonna take

661
00:34:24,119 --> 00:34:26,280
a look at my best bet today and I'm gonna

662
00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:30,239
take a sizeable underdog. I'm gonna take the Chicago White Sox.

663
00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:35,760
They're at Milwaukee. Miss Rowski's going for the Brewers. A

664
00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:40,079
big flamethrower. Everybody loves the guy. The guy made the

665
00:34:40,519 --> 00:34:43,800
All Star Team throwing was it three to five starts

666
00:34:43,800 --> 00:34:46,199
something like that in his first season. So he's a

667
00:34:46,199 --> 00:34:48,559
guy who's been out there. You're betting on name. You're

668
00:34:48,559 --> 00:34:50,559
betting on the Brewers, which are a very good team,

669
00:34:50,599 --> 00:34:53,440
no doubt about it. But I like the White Sox

670
00:34:53,519 --> 00:34:56,599
this year. Smith is the ace of this this staff.

671
00:34:57,159 --> 00:34:59,400
I liked him last year. He didn't have some control issues,

672
00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:02,800
but look better in that regard this year. I think

673
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:08,360
these teams like the Saint Louis in some of these

674
00:35:08,400 --> 00:35:12,199
teams like this Ministers or Miami, some of the teams

675
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:14,079
like this are We're gonna be able to make some

676
00:35:14,119 --> 00:35:16,280
money because there's a lot of people like these teams

677
00:35:16,519 --> 00:35:19,400
and right now the general public, we will be betting

678
00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:21,920
all the teams that they know and the players they know,

679
00:35:22,000 --> 00:35:24,039
so we get great advantages here.

680
00:35:26,519 --> 00:35:30,079
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I got to ask you so again, dealer's choice.

681
00:35:30,159 --> 00:35:32,320
Do you want White Sox money line in the parlay

682
00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:34,159
or for the parlay sake? Do you want to go

683
00:35:34,199 --> 00:35:35,880
plus one and a half. You can do either, It's

684
00:35:35,960 --> 00:35:36,199
up to you.

685
00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:41,719
Speaker 3: Okay, let's see what kind of numbers we've got here. Okay,

686
00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:45,159
I could get the White Sox right now and the

687
00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:50,679
one five to one sixty three range. If I look

688
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:54,280
at the uh red on this, I get the White

689
00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:55,960
Sox plus the one and a half. But I have

690
00:35:56,039 --> 00:35:59,239
to lay the number. Yep, you're probably laying anywhere from

691
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:01,880
one thirty to one forty, maybe one thirty five. What

692
00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:05,400
do you guys think? Should I I gave my clients

693
00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:09,159
just a side play. I'd rather take the plus money

694
00:36:09,159 --> 00:36:10,760
because I don't play parlays.

695
00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:12,920
Speaker 2: But all right, let's do it. Then.

696
00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:15,239
Speaker 1: Listen, we we go for broke right out of the gate,

697
00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:16,920
the nice big money line in there.

698
00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:18,320
Speaker 2: I don't hate it. I don't.

699
00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:19,920
Speaker 1: I don't you know this is you know I'm a

700
00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:22,000
White Sox guy Brian I talked about it. Yes, you

701
00:36:22,039 --> 00:36:24,159
want to hear my thoughts about the socks. I think

702
00:36:24,199 --> 00:36:26,159
we I can't remember if they came up yesterday, but

703
00:36:26,639 --> 00:36:27,719
any show last year.

704
00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:29,800
Speaker 2: You get my thoughts on the White.

705
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:35,280
Speaker 4: They're actually called the Adam Trigger Chicago White Sox.

706
00:36:37,679 --> 00:36:39,840
Speaker 1: I'll add one thing real quick, just because we have

707
00:36:39,960 --> 00:36:41,599
the time to do it, as far as the White

708
00:36:41,599 --> 00:36:44,400
Sox are concerned, Like today, they don't play tomorrow. So

709
00:36:44,400 --> 00:36:46,639
a lot of these teams don't play tomorrow, but the

710
00:36:46,639 --> 00:36:49,679
White Sox and specifically do not in particular, do not

711
00:36:49,679 --> 00:36:50,199
play tomorrow.

712
00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:51,840
Speaker 2: Why that matters you?

713
00:36:52,000 --> 00:36:55,800
Speaker 1: Theoretically could go Smith to Leisure, to Sir Anthony Domingos

714
00:36:55,840 --> 00:36:59,480
to uh Grant Taylor in some fashion today that is

715
00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:00,679
a healing right.

716
00:37:00,679 --> 00:37:03,639
Speaker 3: There also the three bullpen guys out of Chicago that

717
00:37:03,719 --> 00:37:04,119
are great.

718
00:37:04,400 --> 00:37:08,119
Speaker 4: Yes, actually let picture.

719
00:37:09,079 --> 00:37:11,599
Speaker 2: Yeah, So what do you want to call it?

720
00:37:11,639 --> 00:37:13,840
Speaker 1: Plus one sixty plus one fifty five?

721
00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:15,760
Speaker 2: What are you? What are you seeing? Like the kind

722
00:37:15,760 --> 00:37:16,320
of fair.

723
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:18,920
Speaker 3: Duh?

724
00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:25,239
Speaker 2: I think we could probably call it. I'll put one sixty.

725
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:26,480
I see enough of that.

726
00:37:26,599 --> 00:37:31,440
Speaker 1: I mean again, as always like shop around, you know,

727
00:37:33,039 --> 00:37:35,000
and yes, Steve, this is another one. I'll just jump

728
00:37:35,079 --> 00:37:37,840
in here the plus one and a half, Like again,

729
00:37:37,880 --> 00:37:39,800
this is one. Brian was saying, Yeah, you're asked to

730
00:37:39,840 --> 00:37:40,840
lay a little bit of juice.

731
00:37:41,519 --> 00:37:42,119
Speaker 2: You kind of are.

732
00:37:42,239 --> 00:37:45,280
Speaker 1: I think if this was twenty cents cheaper, I may

733
00:37:45,920 --> 00:37:48,639
you know, I might be inclined to take the plus.

734
00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:48,800
Speaker 2: One and a half.

735
00:37:48,800 --> 00:37:50,800
Speaker 1: They're with them on the road, knowing I was going

736
00:37:50,840 --> 00:37:54,440
to get that, uh, that kind of stack of pictures,

737
00:37:54,719 --> 00:37:55,719
I'd be looking to stay.

738
00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:57,639
Speaker 2: I'd be that's a good.

739
00:37:57,480 --> 00:38:00,360
Speaker 1: Plus one and a half bet, in my opinion, about

740
00:38:00,400 --> 00:38:03,159
fifty cents off on the money line forty Maybe I

741
00:38:03,159 --> 00:38:06,000
think I made it like Brewers like minus one thirty five.

742
00:38:06,159 --> 00:38:07,719
I think it was up to up as high as

743
00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:11,599
minus one eighty. So yeah, I'm kind of pro White Sox.

744
00:38:11,599 --> 00:38:15,719
Today we have we have an extra minute or two

745
00:38:15,760 --> 00:38:17,239
before I get to my best bet, TV, do you

746
00:38:17,320 --> 00:38:19,280
want to chime in on Brewers White Sox quick?

747
00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:20,119
Speaker 2: Before we move on.

748
00:38:21,239 --> 00:38:23,880
Speaker 4: Brewers White Sox. I don't really have much of an

749
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:28,719
opinion on it. Brewers were you know, every time I

750
00:38:28,719 --> 00:38:30,760
talk about the Brewers, I get egg on my face.

751
00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:32,639
Right last year, I say, after.

752
00:38:32,559 --> 00:38:34,920
Speaker 3: They lost the Martinals this year, buddy.

753
00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:38,719
Speaker 4: Yeah, last year, the Brewers I said their season is over.

754
00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:40,800
They lost that game to the Mets. Their season of

755
00:38:41,079 --> 00:38:43,039
what did they do? They went on to have one

756
00:38:43,079 --> 00:38:44,960
of the best records in MLB. I think they did

757
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:50,559
finish with the best record in MLB. So yeah, Brewers

758
00:38:50,599 --> 00:38:54,639
prognostications don't go exactly well for me, but I do

759
00:38:54,760 --> 00:38:59,159
agree with you. I like Smith, but the Brewers always

760
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:02,840
have good pictures. I thought the Brewers kind of out

761
00:39:02,920 --> 00:39:06,559
overplayed themselves last season, and I think the White Sox

762
00:39:06,599 --> 00:39:08,199
will improve. So I think this is gonna be a

763
00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:10,480
real grinded out game. If you gave me a run

764
00:39:10,519 --> 00:39:12,960
and a half, I probably would take it, but I'm

765
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:14,199
not gonna bet this game.

766
00:39:15,679 --> 00:39:18,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm very long term high on the Brewers. I

767
00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:21,199
think they have a ton of pitching depth. But we're

768
00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:24,280
talking about single games, individual games. I think early in

769
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:28,840
the year, you know, yesterday we talked about win totals

770
00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:31,400
and stuff like that, and you have to like not

771
00:39:31,760 --> 00:39:34,360
try to project out the whole season in like the

772
00:39:34,559 --> 00:39:37,679
the now, it's just two teams playing nine innings today,

773
00:39:38,840 --> 00:39:42,039
and I think that could be challenging as betters, Like

774
00:39:42,079 --> 00:39:44,280
we sit here all spring and say, well, this team's

775
00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:46,239
gonna do this or whatever, and then we get to

776
00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:48,159
the one you know today and you got to realize

777
00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:51,119
it's just nine innings today with the with the pitchers

778
00:39:51,119 --> 00:39:52,519
that are on the field, the players that are on

779
00:39:52,559 --> 00:39:55,719
the field. So I guess that's uh, you know, we'll

780
00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:57,760
get to uh, we'll get to my best bet here

781
00:39:57,760 --> 00:39:58,239
in the minute.

782
00:39:58,239 --> 00:40:00,400
Speaker 2: But so for me, I'll tell you so what d

783
00:40:00,639 --> 00:40:01,440
Nice wants to.

784
00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:05,840
Speaker 1: Talk Twins Orioles, and I'm using the Pirates as my

785
00:40:05,920 --> 00:40:06,360
best bet.

786
00:40:06,360 --> 00:40:07,840
Speaker 2: So we've already talked that whole game.

787
00:40:08,039 --> 00:40:12,039
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go back into that Pirates even money

788
00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:15,239
is a play for me today. And if you miss

789
00:40:15,280 --> 00:40:18,239
the breakdown of that, as always, this show is live,

790
00:40:18,440 --> 00:40:23,119
it's on demand on the wager Talk YouTube channel, so

791
00:40:23,679 --> 00:40:25,519
just rewind to the beginning you'll get all of our

792
00:40:25,559 --> 00:40:28,559
thoughts on that. So I will use my time here

793
00:40:28,599 --> 00:40:31,840
at the end and I'll bring YouTube back in real quick.

794
00:40:32,119 --> 00:40:36,400
Twins Orioles, I'll start. I like both of these teams.

795
00:40:36,679 --> 00:40:38,320
I think the Twins are a lot better than they're

796
00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:41,159
getting credit for. And I will promo my new segment.

797
00:40:41,559 --> 00:40:43,519
It's gonna be called off the Radar. I'm gonna do

798
00:40:43,559 --> 00:40:46,880
like ten or fifteen minutes each day, I'm players that

799
00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:49,119
I'm watching in the minors. I might even throw a

800
00:40:49,119 --> 00:40:52,440
triple a bet out. You know, I bet those for clients.

801
00:40:52,840 --> 00:40:56,800
But ultimately, what we'll be foking on, focusing on is

802
00:40:56,840 --> 00:40:58,920
guys that are flying under the radar, the forty man

803
00:40:59,079 --> 00:41:01,400
roster guys, the guys that you might not know about,

804
00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:05,440
but that may you know, be bettable or you know.

805
00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:07,880
I'm trying to give out actionable info and I'm going

806
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:09,840
to use this game, so I'm going to save my

807
00:41:10,000 --> 00:41:14,079
thoughts on Twins Orioles for that game. Check that out

808
00:41:14,079 --> 00:41:17,079
on the wager Talk YouTube channel ninety seconds or less.

809
00:41:17,119 --> 00:41:19,880
Speaker 2: Brian Leonard Twins Orioles, anything for d nice.

810
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:22,559
Speaker 3: Love that both these pitchers. The only thing I would

811
00:41:22,599 --> 00:41:24,320
take a look at is they under in the first

812
00:41:24,360 --> 00:41:25,599
hailf probably in this game.

813
00:41:26,639 --> 00:41:29,159
Speaker 2: What about you, TV, Twins Orioles anything for you in

814
00:41:29,159 --> 00:41:29,639
this one?

815
00:41:30,119 --> 00:41:34,079
Speaker 4: Totally agree with Brian. I normally would say take the

816
00:41:34,159 --> 00:41:37,679
Orioles here. The Twins are kind of looks like they're

817
00:41:37,719 --> 00:41:40,199
going to be trash this season, but I don't want

818
00:41:40,199 --> 00:41:42,000
to bet against Joe Ryan, so I would take an

819
00:41:42,079 --> 00:41:44,679
under in the first five as well. If I bet it,

820
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:45,920
which I didn't.

821
00:41:46,199 --> 00:41:47,679
Speaker 2: Another quick question for you, TV.

822
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:51,039
Speaker 1: I know you are very meticulous about how you rate

823
00:41:51,480 --> 00:41:55,039
players and pitchers, so I'll ask you both and you

824
00:41:55,079 --> 00:41:57,440
can say yes no. You can even tell me where

825
00:41:57,480 --> 00:42:00,480
you have him in your rankings. If you want Joe

826
00:42:00,559 --> 00:42:04,159
Ryan top fifteen starter in Major League Baseball, I say yes,

827
00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:05,599
where do you?

828
00:42:05,679 --> 00:42:07,920
Speaker 2: Yes or no? Joe Ryan, he's the starter today?

829
00:42:08,760 --> 00:42:11,280
Speaker 4: I say he's He's on the precipice. I'm going to

830
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:13,840
use that word again. I don't know if he's that.

831
00:42:14,159 --> 00:42:17,440
I don't know if I got him ranked that high.

832
00:42:17,480 --> 00:42:18,800
Speaker 2: Okay, that's fine.

833
00:42:19,239 --> 00:42:22,119
Speaker 4: He's extremely solid and he's very reliable, but I don't

834
00:42:22,119 --> 00:42:23,960
know if he's an ace, so to speak.

835
00:42:24,599 --> 00:42:27,559
Speaker 1: So on the precipice is in no, Brian Leonard, go ahead,

836
00:42:27,719 --> 00:42:31,039
yes or no? Joe Ryan top fifteen starter major League Baseball.

837
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:35,119
Speaker 3: Anywhere from fifteen to twenty. He did have that thing

838
00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:39,280
in the preseason. Did not yet it got hurt a

839
00:42:39,320 --> 00:42:43,480
little bit, which makes me probably say not top fifteen?

840
00:42:43,559 --> 00:42:45,360
Is this right now? If you ask me today?

841
00:42:45,400 --> 00:42:45,480
Speaker 4: No?

842
00:42:47,559 --> 00:42:50,280
Speaker 1: Okay, I mean I again, I've been a Joe Ryan

843
00:42:50,360 --> 00:42:52,639
guy for a couple of years, and I will, but

844
00:42:52,679 --> 00:42:55,000
that's not what I'm focused on for this matchup. What

845
00:42:55,079 --> 00:42:56,719
I'm going to talk about on the off you know,

846
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:59,480
the off the radar segment is more about what you

847
00:42:59,559 --> 00:43:01,559
gotta look for with the Twins in general this year,

848
00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:03,519
which are the names you don't know? I would say

849
00:43:03,519 --> 00:43:07,559
everyone knows who Joe Ryan is at this point. So

850
00:43:08,079 --> 00:43:10,760
we are at the end of the show. Remember we've

851
00:43:10,800 --> 00:43:13,000
got the double play special, so that's any of the

852
00:43:13,039 --> 00:43:16,199
two of us, whoever annoys you the most you can

853
00:43:16,239 --> 00:43:18,599
throw out and then you just you have the other two.

854
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:20,559
Speaker 2: It's a great deal either way.

855
00:43:20,639 --> 00:43:24,039
Speaker 1: We also have the three sort of three days for

856
00:43:24,559 --> 00:43:27,119
six special that's all access, so like if you want

857
00:43:27,159 --> 00:43:29,079
to use that on me, you'll get all the college

858
00:43:29,119 --> 00:43:32,679
basketball this weekend as well. And then Tokyo. Brandon's got

859
00:43:32,719 --> 00:43:35,000
a five percent coming right out of the gate. I

860
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:37,039
guess not really right out of the gat. He won yesterday,

861
00:43:37,119 --> 00:43:40,639
so why not. He's got the five percenter today, So

862
00:43:40,639 --> 00:43:43,000
if you're looking for one play, that's probably the move.

863
00:43:44,000 --> 00:43:46,960
And then the first show parlay of like six months

864
00:43:46,960 --> 00:43:49,719
of trying to keep our heads above water. On the parlay,

865
00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:53,079
we are coming in hot though. Brian Leonard plus one

866
00:43:53,199 --> 00:43:57,159
sixty White Sox money line I'm going even money on

867
00:43:57,239 --> 00:44:02,360
the Pirates and then Tokyo Brandon Angels Astros under eight.

868
00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:02,719
Speaker 3: And a half.

869
00:44:03,039 --> 00:44:05,960
Speaker 1: That's gonna have minus one thirty juice. So one more time,

870
00:44:06,320 --> 00:44:12,199
that's Pirates money line, that's White Sox money line, Angels Astros.

871
00:44:11,239 --> 00:44:12,320
Speaker 2: Minus one thirty.

872
00:44:13,360 --> 00:44:15,639
Speaker 1: I'll calculate the odds when we get off the show,

873
00:44:15,719 --> 00:44:18,639
but you know those are what the individual game odds

874
00:44:18,639 --> 00:44:22,119
are going to be before we got a minute before

875
00:44:22,159 --> 00:44:24,320
we anyone have anything to say in the final sixty

876
00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:25,599
seconds before we sign off.

877
00:44:26,239 --> 00:44:28,760
Speaker 3: I do believe we're all gonna be doing daily videos,

878
00:44:28,840 --> 00:44:32,480
so keep that in mind. We're just when to get

879
00:44:32,519 --> 00:44:35,679
them up. And like I said, I I'm doing also

880
00:44:35,760 --> 00:44:38,000
my work a little bit later today, so we'll have

881
00:44:38,119 --> 00:44:39,760
everything up for clients later on today.

882
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:45,199
Speaker 4: Yeah, same here, daily videos. I'm almost daily daily free

883
00:44:45,199 --> 00:44:48,840
plays on my Twitter as well. So go to wager

884
00:44:48,920 --> 00:44:53,159
Talk on YouTube and subscribe and check our videos out

885
00:44:53,159 --> 00:44:54,599
as well. Not just live show.

886
00:44:55,960 --> 00:44:57,400
Speaker 2: You got the likes and subscribes.

887
00:44:57,559 --> 00:45:01,159
Speaker 1: The comments help the we was on this chatter as

888
00:45:01,199 --> 00:45:03,599
good at jumping in the comments as any show I've

889
00:45:03,599 --> 00:45:07,559
ever been on, so we very much appreciate that. And yep,

890
00:45:07,639 --> 00:45:11,440
we'll be back nine am tomorrow morning, Opening Day, Part two,

891
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:14,480
and then every day Monday through Friday the rest of

892
00:45:14,480 --> 00:45:19,719
the year, I believe Saturdays starting next week. This Saturday,

893
00:45:19,760 --> 00:45:22,519
we're talking college hoops. Still on Last Call. Next week

894
00:45:22,599 --> 00:45:25,840
we'll be starting the Major League Baseball portion of Last Call.

895
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:27,719
Speaker 2: Thank you guys for tuning in. We will see you

896
00:45:27,760 --> 00:45:28,199
in the morning.

