WEBVTT 1 00:00:01.399 --> 00:00:10.080 I'm sorry. 2 00:00:10.919 --> 00:00:13.800 Hey everybody, welcome to another episode of Eyes on Geo Politics. 3 00:00:13.839 --> 00:00:18.079 I'm here with mcmulroy. I'm de tacos. Uh. Before we 4 00:00:18.079 --> 00:00:20.079 get into it, let's do a solo favor and go 5 00:00:20.120 --> 00:00:22.760 and check out mix new podcasts. The Pub and the 6 00:00:22.800 --> 00:00:25.440 Porch is available on Spotify and Apple and anywhere else 7 00:00:25.519 --> 00:00:27.079 you get your podcast. I'm gonna put a link in 8 00:00:27.079 --> 00:00:31.199 to description. It's The Pub in the Porch Applied Stoicism, 9 00:00:31.199 --> 00:00:34.000 So if you're interested in stoicism and learning more, check 10 00:00:34.039 --> 00:00:35.679 it out. It's a good show. I listened to it 11 00:00:35.719 --> 00:00:38.719 every week, so it's it's super good. Uh. He's got 12 00:00:38.759 --> 00:00:42.439 a great co host, Adam. Uh, it's an awesome pot 13 00:00:42.520 --> 00:00:45.679 so check it out. Mick, you got it. 14 00:00:45.960 --> 00:00:49.320 How are you doing good? A lot going on in 15 00:00:49.320 --> 00:00:51.159 the world and I'm getting ready to travel. 16 00:00:51.399 --> 00:00:51.880 Yeah again. 17 00:00:52.000 --> 00:00:54.960 So yeah, this is uh, this is gonna be an 18 00:00:55.039 --> 00:00:57.240 interesting conversation today for sure. 19 00:00:58.759 --> 00:01:01.640 Like you said, a lot happened. Uh, it's literally like 20 00:01:01.840 --> 00:01:04.920 it all happens within like twenty four hours of itself. 21 00:01:04.920 --> 00:01:10.079 It seems like it just piles on. We know, obviously 22 00:01:10.159 --> 00:01:12.439 right now what's going on. We see that the ceasefire 23 00:01:12.519 --> 00:01:17.079 in Gaza seems to be collapsing. Let's start with Gaza 24 00:01:17.120 --> 00:01:20.040 fuck it because it's like the most most like the 25 00:01:20.040 --> 00:01:27.920 most prescient. I guess yesterday the State Department released unnoticed 26 00:01:28.079 --> 00:01:32.040 or a statement or whatever saying that Hamas had violated 27 00:01:32.040 --> 00:01:36.079 the ceasefire because they were planning an attack on Palestinians 28 00:01:37.519 --> 00:01:40.480 today in the morning. As we're recording, it's ten forty 29 00:01:40.560 --> 00:01:48.400 eight am Sunday, nineteenth Eastern where Israel started bombing. I 30 00:01:48.439 --> 00:01:50.840 believe they hit Rafa and I believe they hit Gaza 31 00:01:50.879 --> 00:01:54.439 City just recently too. They also closed the Rafa crossing 32 00:01:54.480 --> 00:01:59.159 as well. I think that was yesterday. What's the deal? 33 00:02:00.159 --> 00:02:03.319 Question that I asked to make offline was why would 34 00:02:03.359 --> 00:02:07.319 the US State Department announce it and not Israel announce it? 35 00:02:07.400 --> 00:02:10.719 Is it to like for cover for like a little 36 00:02:10.759 --> 00:02:13.039 bit more like you know, see, we're not just doing 37 00:02:13.039 --> 00:02:16.840 this ourselves, you know, laterally like the you know, US 38 00:02:17.039 --> 00:02:19.159 is backing us, like just for like a little bit 39 00:02:19.159 --> 00:02:21.680 of cover. You what's your take? Where are you at 40 00:02:21.719 --> 00:02:23.879 with this? So? 41 00:02:24.199 --> 00:02:26.120 First of all, I think that we might see an 42 00:02:26.120 --> 00:02:34.080 announcement today unfortunately from Israel about the restarting of combat operations. 43 00:02:34.639 --> 00:02:37.080 So it's it's it's somewhat breaking down. I think the 44 00:02:37.199 --> 00:02:40.120 US made the statement, don't know, but we are the 45 00:02:40.159 --> 00:02:44.759 ones that coordinated it. It's statements specifically to the guaranteurs 46 00:02:44.800 --> 00:02:48.039 of the ceasefire agreement that was signed in Charlmel Shake. 47 00:02:48.599 --> 00:02:52.800 So that's one reason. And the other one is President 48 00:02:52.800 --> 00:02:55.759 Trump has said we many times. I don't think that 49 00:02:55.879 --> 00:03:00.840 means he's gonna insert US forces into Gaza, but it 50 00:03:00.919 --> 00:03:04.800 might be that he's trying to be, you know, strategically ambiguous, 51 00:03:05.159 --> 00:03:09.039 whereas a moss doesn't know that he's not talking about 52 00:03:09.120 --> 00:03:13.400 land in the you know, a mew on the coast 53 00:03:13.439 --> 00:03:17.240 of gazam right. So I don't know. But this is 54 00:03:17.680 --> 00:03:21.400 first of all, it's it would be horrible. This conflict 55 00:03:21.400 --> 00:03:23.439 needs to come to an end. Thank goodness, we got 56 00:03:23.439 --> 00:03:27.080 the hostages out, but there's also a dire humanitarian situation 57 00:03:27.479 --> 00:03:33.639 in Gaza, which could be alleviated. I just got a 58 00:03:33.719 --> 00:03:37.039 note that there's one hundred and ninety thousand metric tons 59 00:03:37.039 --> 00:03:41.159 of food ready to go into Gaza. So it's not 60 00:03:41.439 --> 00:03:43.159 for a lack of food, it's for a lack of 61 00:03:43.479 --> 00:03:45.639 getting it to the people who need it. And we're 62 00:03:45.680 --> 00:03:49.680 going to hit the winner here in a month, and 63 00:03:49.759 --> 00:03:52.719 it's only going to get worse. So we everybody should 64 00:03:52.719 --> 00:03:55.840 want this pathlic to come to an end, but it 65 00:03:55.879 --> 00:03:57.879 doesn't look like it's going to do that. And one 66 00:03:57.919 --> 00:04:01.759 of the reasons is the same reason why it started. 67 00:04:01.840 --> 00:04:06.039 Right it's hamas. 68 00:04:05.159 --> 00:04:08.319 Yeah uh, as far as like the aid goes one 69 00:04:08.360 --> 00:04:11.960 hundred ninety thousand tons or pounds, you know it was 70 00:04:12.039 --> 00:04:12.599 it tons you. 71 00:04:12.560 --> 00:04:13.639 Said ton tons? 72 00:04:13.919 --> 00:04:17.319 Yeah, that's a fuck ton of aid as far as 73 00:04:17.360 --> 00:04:19.600 that goes. Has that stopped as well? Like since the 74 00:04:19.680 --> 00:04:22.600 Rafa crossing got closed, and now that the cease fire 75 00:04:22.600 --> 00:04:27.079 seems to be going as ship is that now kai bosh, 76 00:04:27.160 --> 00:04:28.759 Like they're not delivering aid anymore. 77 00:04:30.120 --> 00:04:33.839 So from what I've seen, they started strong, right, like 78 00:04:33.920 --> 00:04:37.560 nine hundred trucks went in, Like seven hundred trucks went in. 79 00:04:38.879 --> 00:04:43.879 And now because of this issue with the non uh 80 00:04:44.000 --> 00:04:49.439 you know, produce of the deceased tossages bodies, which seems 81 00:04:49.439 --> 00:04:51.519 like it would have been part of the negotiation process 82 00:04:51.879 --> 00:04:52.319 they like. 83 00:04:52.319 --> 00:04:56.240 And I think said they had they had delivered some right, 84 00:04:56.319 --> 00:04:58.680 like I think just yesterday delivered too as well. 85 00:04:59.560 --> 00:05:02.279 Yes, but it seems like part of the negotiation process 86 00:05:02.319 --> 00:05:05.279 would be and you actually deliver on what you're promising. 87 00:05:05.360 --> 00:05:09.199 So if it's deliberate, then that's obviously a breach of 88 00:05:09.279 --> 00:05:12.560 the of the agreement. If it's they don't even know 89 00:05:12.600 --> 00:05:14.720 where they are, well they knew they didn't know where 90 00:05:14.720 --> 00:05:19.240 they were when they made the agreement. Yeah, no either way. 91 00:05:20.439 --> 00:05:24.240 Because of that, and now it looks like there's attacks 92 00:05:24.240 --> 00:05:27.040 AGAINSTI the f forces in Gaza. It looks like they're 93 00:05:27.040 --> 00:05:30.480 going to cut the aid, yeah, to three hundred trucks 94 00:05:30.480 --> 00:05:32.560 a day. So it's supposed to be six hundred on 95 00:05:32.720 --> 00:05:35.199 the agreement, and they're going to cut it to three hundred, 96 00:05:35.240 --> 00:05:36.399 which is not adequate. 97 00:05:36.639 --> 00:05:41.279 No, yeah, not good. What's interesting is like, well, I 98 00:05:41.319 --> 00:05:43.319 don't understand why AID needs to be tied to any 99 00:05:43.319 --> 00:05:47.439 of this. It's so insane to me. I mean, we've 100 00:05:47.439 --> 00:05:50.160 been through it a bunch. Also, like it kind of 101 00:05:50.160 --> 00:05:55.000 feels like the whole ceasefire show in Egypt when they 102 00:05:55.040 --> 00:05:59.040 signed was kind of like for a show, to be honest, 103 00:05:59.079 --> 00:06:04.199 because like Nan Yahoo wasn't there, No Hamas representatives were there, 104 00:06:04.240 --> 00:06:07.199 So was it even a ceasefire that like people were 105 00:06:07.240 --> 00:06:11.240 really behind by the two combatants, because I mean obviously 106 00:06:11.279 --> 00:06:15.360 Hamas gave up, gave back the twenty hostages, plus did 107 00:06:15.519 --> 00:06:19.160 some deceased hostages as well. Israel's got to know that 108 00:06:19.199 --> 00:06:21.920 the majority of those other dead hostage are likely under 109 00:06:21.959 --> 00:06:26.600 the rubble, along with like probably one hundred thousand Palestinians. 110 00:06:26.680 --> 00:06:28.319 I feel like we were just this was kind of 111 00:06:28.319 --> 00:06:30.319 set up to fail from the get go, and like 112 00:06:30.399 --> 00:06:32.519 Israel did whatever they could to get the hostages back, 113 00:06:32.560 --> 00:06:36.000 and that's great, but if you're Hamas and like, part 114 00:06:36.040 --> 00:06:39.920 of the deal was also disarming, I guess, even though 115 00:06:39.959 --> 00:06:42.360 like there was also some mixed back and forth in 116 00:06:42.439 --> 00:06:44.839 reports on in news reports saying that they didn't agree 117 00:06:44.879 --> 00:06:48.279 to it, they did agree to it, Like it doesn't 118 00:06:48.279 --> 00:06:50.560 seem like this was a completely fleshed out thing, and 119 00:06:50.600 --> 00:06:53.000 like Israel said, yeah, we'll take the hostages back, and 120 00:06:53.000 --> 00:06:56.639 like Hamas literally, besides their aks and stuff, have no 121 00:06:56.759 --> 00:06:59.519 leverage whatsoever at this point, and Israel's really it's not 122 00:06:59.560 --> 00:07:02.120 really holding Israel back in terms of like they could 123 00:07:02.199 --> 00:07:04.040 just come back and level Gaza if they want. Now 124 00:07:04.079 --> 00:07:05.000 there's no hostages. 125 00:07:06.720 --> 00:07:12.199 Yeah, they weren't really holding back before that. I think 126 00:07:13.399 --> 00:07:15.759 the long pole in the tent of this agreement has 127 00:07:15.800 --> 00:07:19.879 always been the disarming of the Moss it's obvious that's 128 00:07:19.879 --> 00:07:24.439 what Israel would require any country and their position would 129 00:07:24.480 --> 00:07:29.920 require the issue. Of course is Hamas ceases to be Hamas. 130 00:07:30.279 --> 00:07:35.040 They're a terrorist organization without the ability to cause terror, right, So, 131 00:07:36.920 --> 00:07:38.920 like that's a good thing for the rest of the world, 132 00:07:38.959 --> 00:07:40.959 but for them to look at it from their perspective, 133 00:07:41.160 --> 00:07:44.519 they're essentially agreeing to end which would be a complete 134 00:07:44.560 --> 00:07:48.399 and utter defeat. Right, they have been defeated. But and 135 00:07:48.800 --> 00:07:51.079 so is all of Iron's proxies for the most part, 136 00:07:51.079 --> 00:07:53.279 except for maybe some of those hoothies up the mountains 137 00:07:53.279 --> 00:07:59.360 and the oven. But they have they have really strategically miscalculated. 138 00:07:58.680 --> 00:08:01.279 Is a polite way of saying, yeah. 139 00:08:00.920 --> 00:08:03.720 I'm as did. But it's not just that. It's also 140 00:08:03.759 --> 00:08:08.040 the fact that they're despised in Gaza, this concept that 141 00:08:08.040 --> 00:08:12.560 they're like the freedom fighters at all, the Palestinians rally behind. Hell, no, 142 00:08:13.120 --> 00:08:17.519 they kill Palestinians all the time. The former head Sinoar 143 00:08:18.079 --> 00:08:20.519 was known as the Butcher of Conunists for butcher and 144 00:08:20.560 --> 00:08:24.560 Palestinians in Conmunists, right, So, and you can see the 145 00:08:24.680 --> 00:08:27.759 videos and then just summarily executing people that they don't like. 146 00:08:28.839 --> 00:08:30.839 There's a lot of other there's a lot of people 147 00:08:30.839 --> 00:08:33.720 in Gaza who really don't like AMAS. There's a lot 148 00:08:33.720 --> 00:08:37.879 of armed groups really don't. They come as if they disarmed, 149 00:08:38.759 --> 00:08:39.759 they're going to be an island. 150 00:08:40.879 --> 00:08:42.240 Right, Yeah, they're fine. 151 00:08:42.159 --> 00:08:45.480 Fine with me, but you know, from again from their perspective. 152 00:08:45.519 --> 00:08:48.840 Yeah, from aspective of human survival, Yeah, it's like, why 153 00:08:48.840 --> 00:08:50.639 would I fucking do this? Yeah? 154 00:08:50.840 --> 00:08:55.120 Right, So that's where that's where I'm afraid. It's made 155 00:08:55.320 --> 00:08:58.840 bright down is and there's no stability force that I've 156 00:08:58.879 --> 00:09:03.240 seen being set up to go in. So the alternative 157 00:09:03.279 --> 00:09:05.919 to the IDF right now appears to be nothing unless 158 00:09:05.919 --> 00:09:09.080 I'm missing something, and I hope I an't. There's also 159 00:09:09.799 --> 00:09:12.519 some reporting that, you know, the Egyptians have been training 160 00:09:12.519 --> 00:09:15.919 a Palestinian security force, so not a multinational force, but 161 00:09:15.960 --> 00:09:19.080 a Palestinian security force. I don't know if they're ready 162 00:09:19.080 --> 00:09:20.840 to go into the middle of this, which could be 163 00:09:20.919 --> 00:09:24.320 a giant civil war, right right, you know, I mean 164 00:09:24.399 --> 00:09:26.720 they just might be one of they might be the 165 00:09:26.720 --> 00:09:28.799 good guys, but they might just be one of many 166 00:09:29.320 --> 00:09:31.080 armed groups fighting in Gaza. 167 00:09:30.960 --> 00:09:33.120 Yah, there's a vacuum, right, A vacuum is going to 168 00:09:33.159 --> 00:09:34.799 be there, and someone's going to want to fill it. 169 00:09:35.879 --> 00:09:38.440 Yes, and it's going to be the strongest will survive 170 00:09:38.639 --> 00:09:41.360 in the case of Gaza, And unfortunately, the innocent civilians 171 00:09:41.360 --> 00:09:43.080 are going to pay the price, and it's going to 172 00:09:43.080 --> 00:09:47.159 make it even more difficult even if Israel opened up 173 00:09:47.559 --> 00:09:51.639 all the gates and all the food. If there's I 174 00:09:51.759 --> 00:09:56.159 counted four three major groups other than a moss Actually, 175 00:09:56.159 --> 00:09:57.919 I think there's more than that, but four major groups 176 00:09:58.679 --> 00:10:00.960 that are armed and ready to fight and gossip. 177 00:10:01.039 --> 00:10:02.840 Right now, what are those groups? 178 00:10:04.240 --> 00:10:06.799 Uh, let's see, I can't remember the names up top 179 00:10:06.799 --> 00:10:13.840 of my head. Send in a car they are, yeah, 180 00:10:15.480 --> 00:10:16.279 I can send you away. 181 00:10:16.519 --> 00:10:18.039 All like Islamic or like. 182 00:10:19.480 --> 00:10:22.799 A lot of them are. Some of them are just 183 00:10:22.919 --> 00:10:25.559 came together, so they're the name of the families. 184 00:10:25.120 --> 00:10:26.000 Mostly, I see. 185 00:10:26.039 --> 00:10:30.200 Okay, so there's one of them that just means like 186 00:10:30.559 --> 00:10:35.399 a student, but that all the rest of them are families. 187 00:10:36.440 --> 00:10:36.639 Yeah. 188 00:10:37.200 --> 00:10:39.240 I think of Abu this and Abu that, you know, 189 00:10:40.840 --> 00:10:42.399 And I think some of them are set up just 190 00:10:42.440 --> 00:10:46.240 to protect their own Like if you know this, if 191 00:10:46.279 --> 00:10:48.799 this happened to New York City, you'd probably you know, 192 00:10:49.000 --> 00:10:51.279 get the militia of Brooklyn to defend. 193 00:10:52.039 --> 00:10:52.879 Yeah. 194 00:10:52.919 --> 00:10:54.879 So I'm not saying they're good or bad. They're just like, 195 00:10:55.039 --> 00:10:57.919 you know, this is the way Mad Max happens. And 196 00:10:57.960 --> 00:11:02.200 then some of them pray on you know, innocent civilians. 197 00:11:02.519 --> 00:11:04.879 So and then some of them are Islamic based, like Amas, 198 00:11:05.279 --> 00:11:05.600 and some. 199 00:11:05.639 --> 00:11:09.639 Are like gang based, I should say, like criminals essentially 200 00:11:09.759 --> 00:11:11.279 criminal gangs and stuff. 201 00:11:11.440 --> 00:11:13.840 Yeah, some of them are cri middle gangs. Some reportedly 202 00:11:13.919 --> 00:11:15.159 or you know, supported by Edge. 203 00:11:15.600 --> 00:11:15.759 Yeah. 204 00:11:15.759 --> 00:11:17.240 I don't know if that's true, but you can see 205 00:11:17.240 --> 00:11:19.519 it in the you know, the media reporting. I don't 206 00:11:19.559 --> 00:11:23.559 know if actor or not, but you know, from irregular warspective, 207 00:11:23.720 --> 00:11:26.879 that's I'm something. I'm sure they at least considered it, 208 00:11:26.960 --> 00:11:27.679 not not did. 209 00:11:27.879 --> 00:11:29.399 I was just going to say, it's like that makes 210 00:11:29.399 --> 00:11:32.519 sense for them to I kind of you know, do 211 00:11:32.679 --> 00:11:36.399 that all right, so quick quick Google search and you 212 00:11:36.480 --> 00:11:41.440 correct me if I'm wrong. Obviously, TAMAS, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, 213 00:11:42.279 --> 00:11:45.240 the Popular Front for a Liberation of Palestine, and the 214 00:11:45.240 --> 00:11:47.639 Democratic Front for the Liberation of Palestine. 215 00:11:48.720 --> 00:11:51.080 Right, there's more than that, and there's ones that I'm 216 00:11:51.279 --> 00:11:53.000 the ones that I'm thinking of all have names that 217 00:11:53.120 --> 00:11:57.080 look like are named after probably the you know, militia leader. 218 00:11:57.279 --> 00:11:59.320 Yeah. I think there was I remember we spoke about it, 219 00:11:59.320 --> 00:12:01.519 probably a couple of months ago, the guy down south, 220 00:12:03.080 --> 00:12:04.919 I mean, I can't remember his name. I feel like 221 00:12:04.919 --> 00:12:08.559 we definitely spoke about it. So yeah, it's a ship 222 00:12:08.639 --> 00:12:10.159 I mean, for lack of a better word, it's a 223 00:12:10.159 --> 00:12:12.080 ship show. It sounds like in terms of like who's 224 00:12:12.080 --> 00:12:14.679 going to take over next? Like I can't see free 225 00:12:14.720 --> 00:12:16.559 and fair elections happening anytime soon. 226 00:12:17.279 --> 00:12:21.159 No, no, no, it does. I mean again, the plan 227 00:12:21.519 --> 00:12:24.919 as laid out by the US is a solid, comprehensive 228 00:12:24.919 --> 00:12:29.200 plan that would greatly benefit the people of Israel and 229 00:12:29.240 --> 00:12:30.559 the people of Gaza. 230 00:12:30.399 --> 00:12:31.039 In my opinion. 231 00:12:32.799 --> 00:12:35.639 But it's it's going to be a hard slug because 232 00:12:35.679 --> 00:12:40.080 this really hang up is a just demlitarization of Hamas 233 00:12:41.159 --> 00:12:43.559 what just happened. And you know, there's there's also and 234 00:12:43.639 --> 00:12:47.279 that's that's also so Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and the UAE 235 00:12:47.360 --> 00:12:49.720 came out and said, if they don't de militarize, we're 236 00:12:49.720 --> 00:12:55.000 not paying for the reconstruction. So this is this is 237 00:12:55.039 --> 00:13:00.000 the lynchpin right here, demailitaration. They have offered them amnesty 238 00:13:00.600 --> 00:13:04.519 and save passage out of Gaza, which tells me that 239 00:13:04.559 --> 00:13:09.360 they addressed the situation of them disarming. We'll just have 240 00:13:09.440 --> 00:13:10.960 to see if they do it and who will take 241 00:13:11.000 --> 00:13:11.960 them and where they go. 242 00:13:12.200 --> 00:13:16.440 I don't know, Yeah, I mean I would think they 243 00:13:16.440 --> 00:13:19.879 would want that like negotiated and like set up logistically 244 00:13:20.360 --> 00:13:22.480 before they gave up any kind of weapons and stuff 245 00:13:22.519 --> 00:13:23.720 like that. I would think, I mean, that's what I 246 00:13:23.759 --> 00:13:25.919 would want. And like you're just kind of on your 247 00:13:25.960 --> 00:13:29.200 own whether you go to Iran or Qatar or wherever, 248 00:13:31.200 --> 00:13:33.600 because like the targets on your back and like lists 249 00:13:33.639 --> 00:13:35.759 and covert wise, you know, the targets on your back. 250 00:13:35.799 --> 00:13:37.559 It is what it is. I don't give a shit 251 00:13:37.600 --> 00:13:39.360 if every single one of them gets clipped, as long 252 00:13:39.399 --> 00:13:42.879 as like women and children stop getting fucking smoked and 253 00:13:42.919 --> 00:13:45.679 bombed and starved, Like I don't you know. That's where 254 00:13:45.720 --> 00:13:50.039 my my liberalism kind of ends, you know what I'm saying, Like, uh. 255 00:13:52.480 --> 00:13:59.039 Wow, yeah, these they're deplorable, but they we have to 256 00:13:59.039 --> 00:14:02.159 look at it from thetive only to the extent that 257 00:14:02.240 --> 00:14:04.559 it ends the conflict. So if they have to line 258 00:14:04.639 --> 00:14:07.480 them up and put a giant barge and they just 259 00:14:07.519 --> 00:14:09.279 hand in their aks, they get out of barge, and 260 00:14:09.279 --> 00:14:12.360 then they go to whichever country you would accept them, 261 00:14:12.360 --> 00:14:15.440 which I imagine is going to be very difficult. Sure is, 262 00:14:15.440 --> 00:14:17.600 what are you going to do with all these And 263 00:14:17.639 --> 00:14:19.159 you know when they're gonna get there, they're gonna if 264 00:14:19.159 --> 00:14:21.360 they go to a rob they're just going to militarize 265 00:14:21.399 --> 00:14:24.480 them back and send them back out doing bearable ship. 266 00:14:25.000 --> 00:14:28.919 So it's a lot of it's it is as about 267 00:14:28.919 --> 00:14:31.200 as complex as you can get when it comes to negotiating, 268 00:14:33.039 --> 00:14:35.440 you know, demilitarization of any kind of. 269 00:14:37.840 --> 00:14:41.879 Man. Insanely, it sounds insanely complicated. I mean, the last 270 00:14:41.919 --> 00:14:45.120 two years we've just been really talking about is IDF 271 00:14:45.159 --> 00:14:48.600 and hamas right as being like the chief combatants and 272 00:14:48.720 --> 00:14:52.360 frankly like they are, but it's like the internal politics 273 00:14:52.480 --> 00:14:58.240 of gods that sounds like an absolute just just like 274 00:14:58.840 --> 00:15:02.720 crazy mass of a you know, just lack of a 275 00:15:02.720 --> 00:15:05.559 better word, clusterfuck Frankly. 276 00:15:05.679 --> 00:15:10.159 And I remember it's only twenty five kilometers like eight kilometers, y. 277 00:15:11.519 --> 00:15:14.320 Yeah, jesus, It literally, like you said it before, it 278 00:15:14.360 --> 00:15:19.879 literally seems like mad max like total anarchy. Man. I 279 00:15:20.000 --> 00:15:22.440 just wish that like women and children and civilians weren't 280 00:15:22.480 --> 00:15:24.000 in the middle of this shit, because it seems like 281 00:15:24.039 --> 00:15:28.720 there's only about like maybe thirty thousand even less probably 282 00:15:28.840 --> 00:15:31.360 like not just Hamas but the rest of the players 283 00:15:32.159 --> 00:15:34.480 who are in fighting and stuff like that, and like 284 00:15:35.000 --> 00:15:39.799 totally destroying a place where there's two plus million people, 285 00:15:39.960 --> 00:15:43.320 Like it's it's insane. It's not to really think about 286 00:15:43.639 --> 00:15:46.840 like the the sheer numbers of it. 287 00:15:46.840 --> 00:15:48.799 It is. It is. It's fresh shot, and I used 288 00:15:48.799 --> 00:15:51.159 to come to an end. People need to get fed. 289 00:15:51.639 --> 00:15:54.440 Everything that that's in that twenty point plan needs to happen. 290 00:15:55.320 --> 00:15:57.600 We were and I think the vice presidents get on 291 00:15:57.639 --> 00:16:01.919 a plane to try to, uh try to make some 292 00:16:01.919 --> 00:16:04.600 some headway with this, because at least for my hearing, 293 00:16:04.639 --> 00:16:10.840 it's potential that the idea is really government announces that 294 00:16:10.879 --> 00:16:12.120 they're essentially going back. 295 00:16:12.000 --> 00:16:16.120 To come yeah, and I mean to be fair for 296 00:16:16.279 --> 00:16:18.000 like the you know on the other side, like that 297 00:16:18.080 --> 00:16:21.000 right wing in the in in that LIQUD party or whatever, 298 00:16:21.039 --> 00:16:25.759 that coalition not just the LACUD party of the Gaviller's 299 00:16:26.080 --> 00:16:31.120 and the finance minister guy small Tricks. You know, they've 300 00:16:31.120 --> 00:16:33.320 been coming out and saying publicly like you know, we're 301 00:16:33.320 --> 00:16:35.399 going to keep fifty two percent of Gaza and start 302 00:16:35.600 --> 00:16:41.919 like settling it and stuff like that, which not optimal obviously, 303 00:16:41.960 --> 00:16:43.759 with the people in power and stuff like that. It's 304 00:16:43.840 --> 00:16:46.639 just I feel like we were all happy a couple 305 00:16:46.600 --> 00:16:50.639 of weeks ago. I was kind of cynical obviously, and 306 00:16:50.720 --> 00:16:53.039 I'm not really surprised that this is happening this way. 307 00:16:53.159 --> 00:16:55.480 Like it's you know, they got the hostage back, which 308 00:16:55.519 --> 00:16:59.879 is like the it feels like the pressure on the 309 00:17:00.519 --> 00:17:04.640 Israeli government in power, like then Yahoo and his coalition 310 00:17:04.759 --> 00:17:07.200 has kind of ceased a little bit, only because like 311 00:17:07.240 --> 00:17:10.960 they got their living hostages back and some deceased ones. 312 00:17:11.599 --> 00:17:17.960 Now I think I'm assuming that the Israeli population will 313 00:17:18.000 --> 00:17:22.000 be less likely to be totally against you know, just 314 00:17:22.039 --> 00:17:24.000 obliterating whatever is left of Gaza. 315 00:17:24.680 --> 00:17:27.759 Now, yeah, that was the biggest pressure point on that 316 00:17:27.960 --> 00:17:34.200 Yahoo internally was the hostages, as you'd expect. But now 317 00:17:34.359 --> 00:17:38.440 he can say, look, we pulled back to the yellow line, 318 00:17:39.000 --> 00:17:43.680 we did our part, we started flowing aid. And I 319 00:17:43.680 --> 00:17:45.680 agree with the age to never be used as margaining 320 00:17:45.720 --> 00:17:49.880 to warfare, but it is. And then they attacked us, 321 00:17:50.160 --> 00:17:55.279 so from the Israeli perspective, and they won't release all 322 00:17:55.359 --> 00:17:58.720 the twenty eight deceased hostages, so it's gonna be a 323 00:17:58.720 --> 00:18:02.680 lot less pressure on the hand internally, and you know, 324 00:18:02.720 --> 00:18:05.160 the only pressure really that's going to be remaining is 325 00:18:06.000 --> 00:18:09.599 the US and President Trump. And he does have i 326 00:18:09.599 --> 00:18:13.799 think influence over net and Yahoo that other president's US 327 00:18:13.920 --> 00:18:18.000 residents really didn't have. So that's probably because he's really 328 00:18:18.000 --> 00:18:21.680 popular in Israel. So I mean, but is that going 329 00:18:21.759 --> 00:18:25.160 to be enough? And you know, if Hamas or any 330 00:18:25.200 --> 00:18:28.000 of these other groups keep attacking Israel, nobody's going to 331 00:18:28.000 --> 00:18:32.480 tell about to defend themselves, right, so we're not in 332 00:18:32.480 --> 00:18:35.039 a good spot. Hopefully, you know, we can get this 333 00:18:35.119 --> 00:18:38.119 back on track and the pressure put on it's really 334 00:18:38.119 --> 00:18:40.480 going to come down to Hamas has to leave, right, 335 00:18:41.160 --> 00:18:44.319 you know, they fall on our discussion. You know, the 336 00:18:44.359 --> 00:18:47.279 more you talk about it, they just have to believe. 337 00:18:47.279 --> 00:18:49.240 And if they stay, they're not going to stay because 338 00:18:49.240 --> 00:18:52.200 they're in disarmed, because they'll be you know, they'll be 339 00:18:52.240 --> 00:18:55.799 summarily executed like that likes two other people. So they 340 00:18:55.839 --> 00:18:57.240 got to go. We got to find a place for 341 00:18:57.319 --> 00:18:59.240 him to go, and we got to find you know, 342 00:18:59.240 --> 00:19:02.680 a country as falling to take them and contain them. 343 00:19:02.960 --> 00:19:03.880 They have to be contained. 344 00:19:04.799 --> 00:19:07.839 Tall Lass too, bro like who outside of Iran and 345 00:19:07.880 --> 00:19:09.839 maybe Qatar, but like I don't know if Qatar is 346 00:19:09.920 --> 00:19:13.079 down for like three thousand or so whatever hamask guys 347 00:19:13.720 --> 00:19:16.880 rolling up after what I know, there's a new security 348 00:19:16.880 --> 00:19:19.599 guarantee all that bullshit with the United States. But like 349 00:19:20.319 --> 00:19:24.920 Israel's bombed Qatar anyway, right, targeting the Mosque guys. So 350 00:19:24.920 --> 00:19:28.759 it's like, I don't know if Qatar's game for something 351 00:19:28.839 --> 00:19:32.119 like that. Understandably, shit, no doubt. 352 00:19:31.880 --> 00:19:35.000 It, because that they internationed the beauty to do it, 353 00:19:35.279 --> 00:19:37.480 they would then do it and then they get blamed. 354 00:19:37.119 --> 00:19:41.119 For how like yeah right, yeah, yeah in. 355 00:19:41.119 --> 00:19:46.680 Those shoes and be like noah, they hosted the negotiations 356 00:19:46.680 --> 00:19:48.880 that led to this, and then they get blamed for 357 00:19:48.960 --> 00:19:51.400 hosting a MOSS, which if they didn't host. 358 00:19:51.240 --> 00:19:55.400 A moss to negotiation, right, yeah, exactly. 359 00:19:56.160 --> 00:19:58.720 I imagine they would say no. And then the issue 360 00:19:58.759 --> 00:20:05.480 is with Iran might take them, right, So there's no 361 00:20:05.559 --> 00:20:08.519 easy answers nothing, the ultimate answers. They have to be 362 00:20:08.599 --> 00:20:11.839 allowed to get us some of the grounds and that's 363 00:20:11.839 --> 00:20:13.599 maybe that's what the high strengthen is. 364 00:20:15.240 --> 00:20:17.440 Also, you would think that like we would be hearing 365 00:20:17.559 --> 00:20:23.359 reports like there's negotiation happening now for you know, uh, 366 00:20:23.519 --> 00:20:28.160 the like the rest of Hamas fighters and whatever to 367 00:20:28.279 --> 00:20:30.519 go to Iran or somewhere else where, like cause, like 368 00:20:30.720 --> 00:20:33.319 even if like somebody approached Iran for like, hey you 369 00:20:33.319 --> 00:20:36.759 want to take these three thousand guys, They're gonna be like, okay, yeah, 370 00:20:36.839 --> 00:20:40.759 there are all proxies, but like what do we get? Right? 371 00:20:40.960 --> 00:20:43.759 You know, they would let's go talk about the you know, 372 00:20:44.599 --> 00:20:48.160 the the agreements going on or not the agreements negotiations 373 00:20:48.200 --> 00:20:50.680 going on on a new nuclear agreement, right, yeah, so 374 00:20:50.759 --> 00:20:52.880 that they could play into that, so it could give 375 00:20:52.920 --> 00:20:57.000 them advantage there. Okay, I mean this is this is 376 00:20:57.039 --> 00:21:00.240 where we live in right, nothing's come out perfect. That's 377 00:21:00.279 --> 00:21:02.079 not to let the perfect be the enemy of the 378 00:21:02.119 --> 00:21:05.839 good when it comes to in complex, there's there's a 379 00:21:05.920 --> 00:21:09.680 lot going on, and you know, good on all the 380 00:21:09.680 --> 00:21:11.480 people that are trying to make a hat. 381 00:21:12.319 --> 00:21:18.119 Yeah, all right, let's move on to Venezuela. That was 382 00:21:18.119 --> 00:21:19.599 going to be the kickoff where we're going to talk 383 00:21:19.599 --> 00:21:21.799 about because what's going on with that is pretty nuts. 384 00:21:22.920 --> 00:21:26.440 But obviously what's going on in the last few days 385 00:21:26.480 --> 00:21:30.480 a couple of days with Israel and Gaza is taking precedence. 386 00:21:32.039 --> 00:21:35.680 So Venezuela, it seems like we're gearing up for some 387 00:21:35.839 --> 00:21:37.640 regime change. I'm not gonna lie to you. We have 388 00:21:37.680 --> 00:21:40.839 about ten percent of the US Navy in the Caribbean. 389 00:21:40.880 --> 00:21:42.720 I don't know what on vacation. I don't know what 390 00:21:42.759 --> 00:21:49.039 they're doing. They're clearly getting ready for something. TF one sixty. 391 00:21:49.079 --> 00:21:55.599 This Special Operations Aviation Regiment seen you know, doing exercises 392 00:21:55.599 --> 00:21:59.440 about ninety miles out of away from Venezuela. That was 393 00:21:59.480 --> 00:22:03.559 reported last week and stuff. So clearly we have jaysach 394 00:22:03.680 --> 00:22:08.920 over there in some form another. It's just so much 395 00:22:08.920 --> 00:22:14.319 shit going on with Venezuela. It's insane to me. Another 396 00:22:14.359 --> 00:22:17.359 strike obviously on the traffickers and stuff like that, which 397 00:22:17.400 --> 00:22:19.920 seems to a couple of them have survived and stuff. 398 00:22:19.960 --> 00:22:26.160 So like international law clearly is being violated. We don't 399 00:22:26.200 --> 00:22:28.559 really care about international laws the US. We didn't sign 400 00:22:28.680 --> 00:22:30.359 into it, so whatever, we kind of kind of make 401 00:22:30.359 --> 00:22:32.839