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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in everyone. Happy Labor Day, Happy Monday.

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It's time to start a new week, and it's September first,

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the day that kind of signifies the home stretch of

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the Major League Baseball season. Rosters expand guys get called up,

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and we're here to break it all down for you.

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Speaker 2: A ton of day baseball today.

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Speaker 1: So we have Brian Leonard here, I believe, from the

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Sunshine State, which is awesome. He made it, and Tokyo

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Brandon looking great as usual. I hope you enjoyed some

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football this weekend. But it's time to talk base is

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excited to do a show with you guys. How's the

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weather down there in Florida, Brian.

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Speaker 3: It's been nice. I went to the beach yesterday and

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I'm burnt as hell, So yeah, that's I get more,

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much more sun sitting on the beach than I do

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in Vegas, going out to the pool every day. Different

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kind of sun when you're close to a beach. Same

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every time I go to a beach, I get murdered.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Different kind of sun, different kind of different kind of

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humidity down there in Florida.

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Speaker 2: It's uh off in the summer.

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Speaker 1: My family's got a place not too far from where

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you are right now, and it gets it's harsh in

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the summer.

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Speaker 2: We've had a harsh summer.

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Speaker 1: Up here in the Northeast with the humidity, so I'm

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looking forward to fall. Tb how close are you to

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a beach in Japan?

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Speaker 4: I mean, yeah, it's a tiny little island, smaller than California.

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Well it's California plus a little bit of Oregon, but yeah,

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it's it's beaches everywhere. But today in Tokyo was one

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hundred and one degrees with sixty five percent humidity. So yeah,

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sweet Brough, we're having a heat wave here, but yeah,

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there's beaches everywhere. I've been to him several times, and

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like Brian said, it's different than the Arizona Las Vegas

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heat because Arizona and Las Vegas, you go out, you

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just feel like you walked into an oven, it's like,

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but here in Japan, it's like it's like the minute

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you walk outside, you feel like your whole body is

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wrapped in saran wrapped. You know, It's like it's like suffocating.

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Pretty bad.

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Speaker 1: We're getting some people in I had to do a

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little tweet remind people that it's not Sunday.

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Speaker 2: It's Monday.

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Speaker 1: I know, like everyone here in the States has the

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day off, but it is Monday. And you know, I

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think that's a good segue because some of these teams

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are are going to be mentally preprepped, prepared for the beach,

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and that's gonna be a big thing, you know, for the.

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Speaker 2: Beach for vacation. That's gonna be a big thing with

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with handicappy.

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Speaker 1: But I'm gonna start with the two teams that are

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not because these are two playoff teams. That's the Phillies

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and the Brewers. Pretty much no questions there. Both will

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be playing in October this year, Brian Leonard, and they're

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playing each other today. Very interesting series here in Milwaukee.

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We've got Taiwan Walker for the Phills. Played on Sunday

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Night baseball last night, So we'll make sure to note

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that because again it's anecdotal a little bit. Have you

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feel have you felt like teams have been a little

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sluggish out the Sunday night game. I feel like I've

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gotten in trouble with that backing them at times this year.

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So Philly's Brewers, what do you think?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, as you pointed about Sunday Night, thing. Yeah, it's

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for years. I could back on that. In fact, Marco's

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very big on that kind of thing, but it doesn't

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seem to be working out as well this year. Off

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the top of my head, I don't know. I don't

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chart it, so I don't know. But anyway, we've got

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Walker against Misarowski here Philadelphia at Milwaukee. Milwaukee's about a

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roughly a one fifty favorite total of nine. When I

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look at timon Walker, he had had a really good

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season until the last time out, if I remember, because

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I believe I had him and he got hit pretty hard.

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But his ZA three point sixty three expect is up

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to four point one nine one point three to three whip,

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which is high, but not too much higher than his

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career at one point two eight. He survives on a

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seventy nine percent til barrel rate, round bowl rate seventieth percentile,

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but he doesn't have the big strikeout rate any longer.

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He's in the thirteenth percentile. There six percent whip whip

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rate extensions extension. I might have mentioned this before, he's

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only the fourteenth percent talent extension he had. He's six

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foot four, so if they were to totally rework him

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in the off season and get that extension up there,

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because he should be closer to the play when let's

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go to that ball. I think he could have a success.

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He's in his later years. He's thirty three, so maybe

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that's something they could work on here. But he's opposing

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Jacob Azarowski who took the world by fire, was an

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All Star after what five games or something like that.

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And now if you take a look at him and

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you wonder why it's four point three to three ERA,

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but expected ra is two point seven to six. His

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whip is one point one zero, and if you take

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a look at his tech past page on Baseball Savant

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and MLB, he's in the ninety nine percent I'll expected

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adding average, ninety ninth fastball lost, a ninety nine strikeout percentage,

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and ninety ninth an extension. Of course, he's sixty seven,

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so he's going to be great at that. But he's

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struck out twenty five batter shoot me, sixty five batters

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in forty three point two innings. The problem is he's

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been very inconsistent, and by looking at this game, while

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I'm not a big Taiwan Walker fan, i am a

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fan of the Phillies, and to catch the Phillies in

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this price range, we can get him in the plus

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one thirty five price range. I would prefer them and Misowski.

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He could come up and he could shut him down.

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He could be great like he was earlier in the season,

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but he's obviously taking a step back. And if you

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ignore the early part and just go about what he's

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done for the last few weeks, he hasn't been that oppressor.

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So I think there's value here on Philadelphia with Walker

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and something that I'm taking a look at for today's card.

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I'm going to all the games are in the day

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today for the most part, so as soon as the

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show's overall, make sure what's going on there, check out

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some lineups. But I prefer Philadelphia this matchup.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, guys, go to our pages at wayjatalk dot com.

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I already have something out MLB last thirty days plus

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six thousand dollars on one hundred dollars bets going pretty well.

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I'm sure Brian and Adam are going to have something

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up as well. WAYJA talk dot com. Go check out

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what we got regarding this matchup. Yeah, I got these

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two teams pretty evenly matched I've never been a big

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Taiwan Walker fan, but he's having a pretty good season. However,

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if you look how he's pitched against these batters in

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his career, he's been pretty smashed. Forty at bats against

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three seventy five batting average against in a one thy

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sixty nine ops against and that's forty at bats against,

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so it's a pretty decent sample. Side. Now, one start

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to contradict that would be the fact that Taiwan Walker

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pitches better on the road than he does at home,

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and today he's on the road. So will Milwaukee smash

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him or not? I'm not exactly sure. I'm not confident

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to make a bet on it, but if I did,

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I would take maybe the Milwaukee team total over because

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I don't really want to take either one of these

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teams on the side. And Philly's bullpen has been mediocre

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to sub mediocre, as I like to say, toiling in mediocrity.

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Misroski another way that you could go here, miss Roski,

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his last start was pretty good, had good control, good command,

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But the four starts before that he walked two guys

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or more in each start, So maybe his walks over

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one and a half. If you can get that might

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be a decent play as well. So those would be

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the only two ways I'd go here.

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Speaker 1: I'm sort of all in on Jacob Misrowski going forward.

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My gut tells me no, Now, I know you've got

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I know you have.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 1: The numbers regressed a little bit in August, totally to

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be expected in my opinion. As Brian said, he got

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called up, he appeared in an All Star Game after

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like five starts. Incredibly rare, just a very unique sort

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of like thing to happen in my opinion, because not

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I mean, you just don't see that very often. Guy

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gets called up and suddenly he's in an All Star Game,

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pitches in the All Star Game, and then you have

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the Brewers sort of tweaking his innings a little bit

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because and this goes back to something that I said

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last month. I said, well, you're gonna I think you're

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gonna see the Brewers mess with his innings a little

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because he was pitching regularly as a starter triple A

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and they did that. They they gave him that sort

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of short outing against Seattle coming off the All Star

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Game appearance. He had n't pitched for a while, and

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you know, sometimes sometimes that does more bad than good.

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I'm not a big fan Tokyo Brandon talks about it

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all the time. I'm not a big fan with team

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teams tweaking pitchers routines. We saw it with Gavin Williams

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after the big start where he had where he almost

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threw the no hitter, threw one hundred and twenty six pitches,

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and then and then the Guardians came in and said,

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you know what, let's just throw him a couple extra

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days off. And it's like, well, now you ran his

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pitch count up and you messed up his schedule. I

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think some of that happened to Miseraski over the course

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of August, got him out of his rhythm a little bit,

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and you know it just I think that's why you

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saw the numbers regress just a little last time out. Yeah,

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I gave up a couple of runs, ten strikeouts, one

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walk against a very very good Diamondbacks team. Sort of

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shows how dominant he can be. And now it's September.

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I truly believe, like I know a lot of people

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like this Brewers team. I truly believe for the Brewers

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to win win anything this year. They got to ride. MISERASKI.

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He's got to be their ace. He's got to be

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the guy that can go out and wipe a team

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out for six innings. And I think they're going to

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sort of let him try to do that a little

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bit in September to truly see what they have going

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into going into the playoffs. I'm not saying he's their

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number one, but I think that that's the type of

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effort they need from him come October to really be

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a World Series contender. So I'm not big on Walker.

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We've talked about it a ton on this show. I

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think he's a guy that's due for some regression. And

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you know what, the Phillies did play last night, so

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I think it's at least worth bringing up. I lean

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toward the Brewers here. Not sure if that'll be my

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parlay leag but I really like Miserrowski, and I think,

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going back to what Brian said, the stuff rates out

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very high. If he's on, he's gonna be very, very

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tough to hit. Markinson says he trusts trusts Brewers, bats

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and pitching over Philly. I think this is gonna be

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a pretty good series. I totally I'm not gonna put

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you off making the point that like there might be

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some value on Philly here, but I just am very

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high on Jacob Mzerowski.

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Speaker 2: So I'll leave it at that.

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Speaker 1: Brian, Are you gonna get to a Fort Myers Mighty

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Muscles game while you're in town?

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Speaker 2: Is the real question.

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Speaker 3: That's why I haven't. But I have been to both

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those stadiums down here in that area to for spring training,

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and both very nice stadiums down here. I enjoyed it.

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Speaker 2: That'll be that.

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Speaker 1: That's what we'll get to maybe get to that star.

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Oh that's actually what will segue there. So Fort Myers

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the Mighty Muscles. I think that's a new, a new mascot.

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Speaker 2: I know.

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Speaker 1: It's the single A affiliate of the Minnesota Twins, who you know,

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have kind of become their single A affiliate or maybe

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their Triple A affiliate for you know, pretty much since

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the All Star Break when they traded away they're half

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of their roster around the All Star break. Now, yeah,

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they traded away a lot of guys. So to the

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to the Twins credit, and I think they won.

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Speaker 2: For our guy that went to the game on Friday.

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Speaker 1: To the Twins credit, they showed up this past weekend,

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took two of three from the Padres.

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Speaker 2: I thought they played well, and.

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Speaker 1: I think, you know, you're starting to see some of

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the guys that if you go back maybe two three weeks,

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I said, why do they have some of these guys

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at Triple A. Why is Taj Bradley starting games for

239
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Saint Paul? He came up over the weekend and you're

240
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starting to see some of these other guys get up there. So,

241
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Brian Leonard, Twins are now at home for four nights.

242
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I guess today's the day game, but four days against

243
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the Chicago White Sox. Interesting because the theoretically the Twins

244
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are they still kind of the better team here. How

245
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do you handicap this game this series? And what are

246
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the White Socks going to do with pitching? Because I

247
00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:35,360
think the guy that was going to pitch is no

248
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longer on the team. I thought it was Aaron Savali.

249
00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:40,759
I believe he's a cub now. So what are the

250
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Twins do or what are the White Sox do today?

251
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And do you like the Twins at all?

252
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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm glad you mentioned that because I was out

253
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of the beach all day and I did not realize

254
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that and Sovally is listed, but on our website or

255
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on our line service odslogic dot com, it is undecided.

256
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And when I saw it was Savali, I thought they

257
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had some pretty good value on the White Sox. But

258
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if he's not there, obviously, I'm gonna have to real.

259
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Speaker 1: He They put him on waivers and he was very

260
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quickly grabbed by the Chicago Cubs. Interesting that they were

261
00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:16,600
so quick to kind of sign him, but hey, he

262
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threw the ball pretty well for the White Sox, so

263
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good for him.

264
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Speaker 2: Go ahead.

265
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Speaker 3: They picked up Santana, Carlos Santana too from Cleveland, so yeah,

266
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they're trying to fill some holes there. So I don't

267
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know who's going to go for Chicago, but I do

268
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know that baby Over's going and the line is going

269
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anywhere from you know, one seventy bet online up to

270
00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:41,120
one ninety five in other place. There's no way I

271
00:13:41,799 --> 00:13:43,519
could go out and pitch for the White Sox and

272
00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:47,480
not feel comfortable about Minnesota is a one ninety five

273
00:13:47,519 --> 00:13:52,200
favorite here, so I like the White Sox. Will have

274
00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:54,320
to see who they throw out there. I'll check. Let's

275
00:13:54,360 --> 00:13:58,519
take a quick look at a bullpen situation for the

276
00:13:58,559 --> 00:14:01,080
White SOX, maybe it'll be able game. Let me take

277
00:14:01,080 --> 00:14:06,840
a quick look here, we'll see what you got. Okay,

278
00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:14,200
they've got yesterday Wilson through sixteen pitches. He'll be available.

279
00:14:15,039 --> 00:14:17,000
Leisures pitched to it the last three days, but they

280
00:14:17,000 --> 00:14:20,840
didn't pitch yesterday. Vashal's pitched to it three days and

281
00:14:21,000 --> 00:14:25,080
he pitched yesterday. So it may be a situation where

282
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they just go small one ending of time for the guys.

283
00:14:27,879 --> 00:14:30,039
But at this point, without knowing, I can't talk a

284
00:14:30,039 --> 00:14:32,720
whole lot about this game, but I but I don't

285
00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:35,879
want any part of Minnesota that sounds of a favorite.

286
00:14:38,399 --> 00:14:41,679
Speaker 4: Guys. If you go to my my Twitter X account,

287
00:14:41,720 --> 00:14:44,200
I went to a Buddhist temple today, you can see

288
00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:51,399
some pretty cool picks there. So regarding this game, yeah,

289
00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:53,440
Bailey Over is not a guy I like to back,

290
00:14:53,559 --> 00:14:57,000
but neither are the Chicago White Socks. I got both

291
00:14:57,039 --> 00:15:00,759
of these bullpens rinked worse than twenty fifth current form,

292
00:15:01,720 --> 00:15:04,559
so that would immediately make me think, hmm, I want

293
00:15:04,559 --> 00:15:07,120
to take an over here. The problem is, if you

294
00:15:07,120 --> 00:15:09,799
look at how Bailey Over is pitched against these guys

295
00:15:10,080 --> 00:15:13,080
that he's facing today, he's absolutely dominated them a one

296
00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:15,399
to eighty six average against in a four point fifty

297
00:15:15,440 --> 00:15:19,000
five OPS, which is three hundred points better than what

298
00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:23,440
I consider the Mendoza line for OPS. So definitely not

299
00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:30,039
taking Chicago White Sox over today despite Minnesota's bullpen struggles.

300
00:15:30,639 --> 00:15:34,240
But Chicago's bullpen is struggling quite badly as well. I

301
00:15:34,279 --> 00:15:38,799
don't know who's pitching for them, but usually when they

302
00:15:38,919 --> 00:15:41,639
wait till the last minute to put their pitcher out,

303
00:15:41,720 --> 00:15:44,919
it means he could be an opener, could be a

304
00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:49,440
young guy, but in most cases it exposes their bullpen

305
00:15:49,559 --> 00:15:54,320
for a lot more innings than they're normally exposed. Minnesota's

306
00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:58,879
bats mediocre at the moment in current form, not as

307
00:15:58,879 --> 00:16:01,960
bad as I thought. They were rank fourteen on a

308
00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:04,480
thirty according to my numbers. So I would take a

309
00:16:04,519 --> 00:16:07,639
Minnesota team total here. I would love to see it

310
00:16:07,679 --> 00:16:09,639
if it's If it's three and a half, I certainly

311
00:16:09,679 --> 00:16:11,480
would put a lot of money on it. If it's

312
00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:14,159
four and a half, which is probably what it is, Yeah,

313
00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:17,960
then mile a mild, a mild small bet on over

314
00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:19,559
four and a half for Minnesota.

315
00:16:19,600 --> 00:16:23,960
Speaker 3: Perhaps here the team total is going to be higher

316
00:16:23,960 --> 00:16:26,039
than that if you go by the current lines. If

317
00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:28,480
they're a one ninety favorite and the total is nine

318
00:16:28,519 --> 00:16:30,360
and a half. That means it'll be at least five.

319
00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:34,000
Speaker 4: So I would not do that.

320
00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:34,919
Speaker 3: That would be too much.

321
00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:38,879
Speaker 4: Yeah yeah, maybe maybe maybe a White Sox team total

322
00:16:39,000 --> 00:16:42,840
under here because Ober, despite being a pretty poor pitcher,

323
00:16:43,039 --> 00:16:45,679
has great numbers against these guys. So something to consider.

324
00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:48,480
Speaker 3: Sure you're considering under for.

325
00:16:48,519 --> 00:16:53,720
Speaker 4: Over under over over out under an airplane? What a

326
00:16:53,759 --> 00:16:57,159
great right over under under? Huh?

327
00:16:57,320 --> 00:16:58,840
Speaker 3: Bad day, bad day to quit smoking?

328
00:17:00,559 --> 00:17:03,480
Speaker 1: Uh, Steve Steve Duke says Saint Paul Saints. They actually

329
00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:05,920
fill the seats. It's weird. Listen, if you don't fill

330
00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:07,839
the seats at Triple A, you lose your team. Now

331
00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:10,319
that pretty much is that. When Major League Baseball came

332
00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:14,200
in and took ownership of of the miners, essentially, it's like,

333
00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:16,799
if you're not filling the stands, you you basically just

334
00:17:16,920 --> 00:17:20,960
lose your your affiliated teams. So they gotta find ways.

335
00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:24,759
Yeah did because they were they were losing money. So yeah,

336
00:17:24,799 --> 00:17:28,359
you you gotta find ways. Brian Aviators parks always full, right,

337
00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:29,480
they can get good crowds.

338
00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:35,240
Speaker 3: There announced crowds. They everyplace counts the season ticket holders

339
00:17:36,079 --> 00:17:38,279
and so a lot of the season ticket holders are

340
00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:40,799
is a little bit higher because the A's are coming

341
00:17:40,799 --> 00:17:42,759
to Vegas and they get the first choice on the tickets.

342
00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:45,079
But I was there at the other day and then

343
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I couldn't see more than five hundred people in the stands,

344
00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:49,759
and I think they said they had, you know, eight

345
00:17:49,799 --> 00:17:50,559
thousand or something.

346
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Speaker 2: So who wants Yeah, that's that's You're right, that that

347
00:17:53,319 --> 00:17:55,160
is a that is the thing. We get great crowds

348
00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:55,839
here in Syracuse.

349
00:17:55,880 --> 00:17:57,839
Speaker 1: I just thought that was an interesting comment because they

350
00:17:57,880 --> 00:18:00,160
do they do put fans in the seats or you

351
00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:01,799
becoming very much in.

352
00:18:01,799 --> 00:18:04,920
Speaker 2: Danger of losing your team.

353
00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:06,960
Speaker 1: Okay, so I'm gonna look for I'm looking for a

354
00:18:07,039 --> 00:18:09,200
name today now that we note so this is kind

355
00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:11,519
of like an emergency type scenario for the White Sox.

356
00:18:11,599 --> 00:18:14,200
Obviously they probably knew that what they were gonna do

357
00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:17,799
with Soavali, but yet this was so current that he

358
00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:19,759
was actually listed as the starter.

359
00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:21,519
Speaker 2: So, as you guys.

360
00:18:21,319 --> 00:18:25,359
Speaker 1: Pointed out, it could be a bullpen game. I'm also

361
00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:29,000
with Brian, I would love to go against the Twins here.

362
00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:32,119
I think this is an insane line for the Twins

363
00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:34,279
and Bailey over to lay. So I'm gonna throw a

364
00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:36,440
name out that I would love to see. Now this

365
00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,799
is a day game, so it's like I almost feel

366
00:18:38,839 --> 00:18:42,119
like we should have heard about it already. But in

367
00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:46,319
the trade for Adrian Houser, the White Sox got back

368
00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:48,960
a kid named by the name of Duncan David from

369
00:18:49,119 --> 00:18:52,839
the Rays organization. I do believe. So he made his

370
00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:56,079
last start on Wednesday, which means this would be the

371
00:18:56,119 --> 00:18:58,920
fifth day, so this would be I think he's supposed

372
00:18:58,920 --> 00:19:02,119
to start tomorrow for Charlotte. This would be his turn

373
00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:05,880
in the rotation like a normal rest. The reason I

374
00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:07,920
bring him up is since he since he showed up,

375
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:10,240
he was having a very very good season for Durham.

376
00:19:10,359 --> 00:19:12,519
He actually started the year at Double A. He's been

377
00:19:12,759 --> 00:19:15,160
very strong in the minors since showing up in the

378
00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:18,920
White Sox organization. He's got a one point eight whip

379
00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:20,720
or one point six whip in a one to eighty

380
00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:21,839
three batting average against.

381
00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:23,279
Speaker 2: He's been very, very good.

382
00:19:23,799 --> 00:19:26,680
Speaker 1: And if the White Sox being as it's September first,

383
00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:31,720
and it's much easier to expand rosters and and Brian.

384
00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:32,079
Speaker 2: What does that mean?

385
00:19:32,119 --> 00:19:34,200
Speaker 1: They just have extra roster spots, they don't have to

386
00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:35,480
send guys down.

387
00:19:35,559 --> 00:19:37,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're able to bring up some guys, set them

388
00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:38,960
on the bench, get them. He used to measure league

389
00:19:39,079 --> 00:19:42,319
dugouts and hopefully learn something from the veterans. And some

390
00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:46,039
of these guys, I mean Cincinnati brought up Stewart, some

391
00:19:46,079 --> 00:19:48,240
of the other guys have really brought up some of

392
00:19:48,279 --> 00:19:50,119
their top prospects. So they should be able to get

393
00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:51,920
a good look at these these players.

394
00:19:52,759 --> 00:19:55,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, so so because it's not going to cost them

395
00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:59,240
a roster spot to add someone. I wouldn't be surprised

396
00:19:59,240 --> 00:20:01,799
that the White Sox were in the process of trying

397
00:20:01,799 --> 00:20:04,079
to get Duncan David to Minnesota to make his major

398
00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:05,119
league debut today.

399
00:20:05,599 --> 00:20:06,839
Speaker 2: And if that's.

400
00:20:06,599 --> 00:20:09,359
Speaker 1: The case, I would one hundred percent roll the dice

401
00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:11,799
with the White Sox here because he's been really good

402
00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:12,640
at TRIPAA.

403
00:20:13,799 --> 00:20:15,920
Speaker 2: They would probably be unprepared for him.

404
00:20:16,279 --> 00:20:18,599
Speaker 1: You'd still have some of the White Sox good bullpen arms,

405
00:20:18,599 --> 00:20:22,519
and you'd get to fade Bailey over at this huge number.

406
00:20:23,039 --> 00:20:26,160
I mean, the Twins are not a team you should

407
00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:28,599
be laying that number with anyway, and this would actually

408
00:20:28,599 --> 00:20:31,119
give you some reason, I think, to go against them.

409
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:33,559
So keep an eye out for that name. I will

410
00:20:33,559 --> 00:20:35,240
be looking throughout the show to see if the White

411
00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:38,079
Sox announce something. I still haven't even seen it on

412
00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:40,319
White Sox Twitter. So also if you're tuned in it

413
00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:42,640
all and you see that, if you see it on

414
00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:44,599
Twitter at any point during the show, let us know,

415
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:48,559
because if Duncan David's the starter, I'm probably be in

416
00:20:48,599 --> 00:20:52,799
the White Sox today, all right, Brian Leonard, They JG

417
00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:59,759
wants to know any fruitful observations on Red Sox Guardians.

418
00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:04,920
Your Guardians continue to just hang around. I thought they

419
00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,039
were going to pull off the sweep yesterday and really

420
00:21:07,079 --> 00:21:08,960
hang around every time.

421
00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:10,119
Speaker 2: I think this team's cooked.

422
00:21:10,160 --> 00:21:11,720
Speaker 1: They take two of three from a team I don't

423
00:21:11,759 --> 00:21:13,920
think they should take two of three from, and the

424
00:21:13,960 --> 00:21:17,000
Red Sox didn't have their banner weekend against the Pirates.

425
00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:21,640
So Red Sox Guardians, any shot for the Guardians or

426
00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:23,559
are they just is this just more false hope from

427
00:21:23,599 --> 00:21:25,599
this team ran well.

428
00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:28,200
Speaker 3: I felt the same way that I was surprised that

429
00:21:28,279 --> 00:21:31,000
Cleveland was playing so well, so I used I went

430
00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:33,039
against him and took Seattle yesterday. I worked out well.

431
00:21:33,079 --> 00:21:37,440
A baseball weekend was really strong. Unfortunately, in football, after

432
00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:42,200
a big opening week, Zero struggled in football aspect. But

433
00:21:42,279 --> 00:21:44,440
luckily I only had a lot of one percent plays,

434
00:21:44,440 --> 00:21:47,279
so only one bad play and that was Alabama and

435
00:21:47,599 --> 00:21:51,279
that was just a horrendous pick. But we got Messic

436
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:55,839
going against Bayo, Messic being a lefty, and before we

437
00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:58,319
get to this was that player for the White Sox

438
00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:00,680
seal left he or already that you were recommending.

439
00:22:01,519 --> 00:22:03,200
Speaker 2: Now I have to Now I have to double check,

440
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:05,920
even though I was let me know, he's right. He's

441
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:06,759
a right handed pitcher.

442
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:09,279
Speaker 3: He's a right handers. For myself, I'm not as high

443
00:22:09,279 --> 00:22:11,440
on him as I am left He's coming up to

444
00:22:11,559 --> 00:22:14,480
the majors, but Messick is the lefty here. He's been

445
00:22:14,599 --> 00:22:18,720
very good so far, obviously overperforming his metrics. But BeO

446
00:22:18,799 --> 00:22:21,720
has been just as good. Uh. It surprised me this year.

447
00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:26,039
Line's about one forty five for Boston, eight and a

448
00:22:26,079 --> 00:22:30,359
half on the total. H Parker Messik. If you take

449
00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:32,119
a look at what he's done so far, he's thrown

450
00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:34,599
thirteen point two innings zero point sixty six the RA

451
00:22:35,599 --> 00:22:38,640
expect to the RA two point eighty five. Not the

452
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:40,720
guy who's gonna blow you away with his fastball. Velossie.

453
00:22:40,759 --> 00:22:43,480
It's only in the twenty seventh percent tel. He does

454
00:22:43,559 --> 00:22:46,119
throw five pitches, even though the sinker is only eight

455
00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:48,400
percent of the time. I do like that, But his

456
00:22:48,519 --> 00:22:51,359
four seamer he's thrown forty five percent of the time,

457
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:55,640
and it's not the best pitch out there. So eventually

458
00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:59,279
I'm a little bit worried about him. But Brian BeO

459
00:22:59,319 --> 00:23:01,839
has been really good. It comes in with a two

460
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:03,960
point nine to nine the ra Now, who would have

461
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:07,279
thought that four point twenty five expected, though that's more

462
00:23:07,279 --> 00:23:10,839
in line one point two to one whip. His whiff

463
00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:13,599
rate is only the fourteenth percentile struck out rate and

464
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,799
the twenty second percent, so we got two very similar

465
00:23:16,839 --> 00:23:19,680
guys in that regard. He doesn't give up fly balls

466
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:23,200
eighty second percentile round ball rate, and he does throw

467
00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:26,720
six pitches, although there's only five that he throws thirteen

468
00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:31,240
percent of the time or more. We're looking at as

469
00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:35,400
I mentioned, one forty five eight and a half, somewhat

470
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:39,440
like the under here. It's tough going under Boston because

471
00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:42,920
there's such a good ballpark when it comes to hitting,

472
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:44,799
but they don't give out a lot of home runs,

473
00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:46,880
but it's a lot of doubles off of that wall.

474
00:23:47,519 --> 00:23:50,200
Sight linked to the under here. Don't know if I'll

475
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:54,680
get there, but yeah, Cleveland, we'll see how they go.

476
00:23:54,759 --> 00:23:56,960
They're a team that's used to go into the playoffs

477
00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:58,400
and they're not going to the playoffs this year, so

478
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:02,880
we'll see how they management approaches the end of the season.

479
00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:06,640
Speaker 4: Here, Guys, do us a favor. Go to the replay

480
00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:09,400
and leave a comment, because we read them all. Whether

481
00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:11,799
you like us or hate us, think we suck, think

482
00:24:11,839 --> 00:24:14,680
we're great, let us know and if you have any

483
00:24:14,759 --> 00:24:18,200
questions for us, we'll be happy to share our knowledge

484
00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:20,880
with you. Uh, maybe you can teach us something as well.

485
00:24:21,079 --> 00:24:25,240
Leave a comment and a like on the replay. Brian,

486
00:24:25,319 --> 00:24:27,759
are you a Roper's guy or do you like mister

487
00:24:27,799 --> 00:24:28,480
Furley better?

488
00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:37,319
Speaker 3: Uh, that wasn't a question I was expecting. Today.

489
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:40,119
Speaker 4: I watched the documentary on Three's Company today. Yeah, I

490
00:24:40,279 --> 00:24:44,799
like mister Furley a little better too. Anyways, regarding Adam,

491
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:46,400
this is before your time, so you don't know what

492
00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:48,880
Three's Company is, probably do you know?

493
00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:53,200
Speaker 1: I mean it's yeah, it's uh, I mean I used

494
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:55,160
to watch it on like Nick at night, so this

495
00:24:55,279 --> 00:24:56,799
is like, you know, a lot not all that was

496
00:24:56,799 --> 00:24:59,359
going on, but it's why can't I think of the

497
00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:01,519
actor's name, who's the guy?

498
00:25:02,519 --> 00:25:03,880
Speaker 4: Uh John Ritter.

499
00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:12,960
Speaker 2: Don Not. Yes, yep, Summer I was tongue great show.

500
00:25:13,759 --> 00:25:16,480
Speaker 4: But anyway, back then when we were growing up, that

501
00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:19,880
was like very risque. But these days you see a

502
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:23,480
lot worse than that on TV now. But anyways, I digress,

503
00:25:23,759 --> 00:25:26,759
So to this game. This game, these two teams. I

504
00:25:26,799 --> 00:25:31,200
have actually the closest matchup of the day between these

505
00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:34,000
two teams, which is kind of surprising because you think

506
00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:36,240
Cleveland is pretty much given up on the season and

507
00:25:36,279 --> 00:25:39,680
are fading away. Actually neither teams hitting very well. I

508
00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:42,519
have both teams hitting worse twenty two or worse out

509
00:25:42,519 --> 00:25:45,319
of thirty in current form, and I have both bullpens

510
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:48,160
performing really well. Now this is the Cleveland bullpen we

511
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:51,480
expected at the beginning of the season, but they weren't

512
00:25:51,759 --> 00:25:55,279
pitching this well. But now Cleveland's bullpen has turned it up.

513
00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:58,799
Boston's bullpen is actually better. I have Boston rank seven

514
00:25:58,839 --> 00:26:03,000
and Cleveland rink eleven in current form. So poor hitting

515
00:26:03,319 --> 00:26:06,480
plus really good bullpens usually would make me lean to

516
00:26:06,519 --> 00:26:12,920
an under, and a couple things shine me away from

517
00:26:12,960 --> 00:26:15,880
an under here. Number one, like Brian mentioned, the ballpark

518
00:26:16,519 --> 00:26:20,480
is not conducive to unders. And the second thing that

519
00:26:20,519 --> 00:26:23,079
would kind of lead me off and under would be

520
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:27,480
Bao has been actually absolutely clubbed like a baby seal

521
00:26:27,559 --> 00:26:30,519
against these guys, a three seventy five average against you know,

522
00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:34,680
twenty twenty eight ops. Granted it's only twenty four at bats,

523
00:26:35,279 --> 00:26:38,880
but that would scare me off and under there. But

524
00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:40,880
if anything, under would be the only way I would

525
00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:41,359
lean here.

526
00:26:44,559 --> 00:26:46,799
Speaker 2: I mean, I'll pull up this comment.

527
00:26:47,559 --> 00:26:50,559
Speaker 1: Wolf says half of Cleveland's team suspended for sports betting.

528
00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:53,759
Like that's just false, Like it was a couple. It

529
00:26:53,799 --> 00:26:56,720
was a couple of guys. And listen, I don't know

530
00:26:56,759 --> 00:27:00,000
what the clubhouse dynamic is, but one of the guys

531
00:27:00,039 --> 00:27:00,640
suspended was.

532
00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:02,519
Speaker 2: A new was new to the team.

533
00:27:02,799 --> 00:27:06,000
Speaker 1: So, like, do you think it was additioned by subtraction

534
00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:08,960
at all? From like getting that out of there and

535
00:27:09,039 --> 00:27:11,240
just moving past it, because the Guardians have really played

536
00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:15,039
better in my opinion, since all of that has kind

537
00:27:15,079 --> 00:27:15,839
of faded away.

538
00:27:16,519 --> 00:27:18,119
Speaker 2: I don't know what's your take on that.

539
00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:21,880
Speaker 3: Brian, Well, yesterday it was a big day because they

540
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:24,319
were waiting to find out. He originally said at the

541
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:27,960
end of August they were suspended now they're saying they're

542
00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:31,240
going to be suspended the rest of the year. It's

543
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:34,839
an ongoing investigation. I think everybody wanted it to be

544
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:38,960
solved or not. It's I'm not worried about Artis Artees.

545
00:27:39,279 --> 00:27:43,079
He's never been much of a more than an average

546
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:46,720
starting pitcher in Major League Baseball. But when your best

547
00:27:46,759 --> 00:27:50,759
reliever in the history of the team gets suspended and

548
00:27:50,759 --> 00:27:53,160
it may not pitch him major League Baseball, there's a

549
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:56,319
lot of concern about that. But now that they know

550
00:27:56,440 --> 00:27:58,160
that he's not going to be with him the rest

551
00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:00,920
of the season, maybe that's a good thing that they

552
00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:04,519
don't have to worry about that anymore. So. But yeah,

553
00:28:04,519 --> 00:28:08,759
that's just the two guys, and I'm sure that a

554
00:28:08,799 --> 00:28:11,599
lot of that is going on, which is why I've

555
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:14,240
never understood why they would take let you bet the

556
00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:17,920
first pitch. Just too much manipulation. Could be that that

557
00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:21,720
that that's the government and the sportsbooks problem. They should

558
00:28:21,759 --> 00:28:27,039
never have been allowed that. So but no, they're they're

559
00:28:27,079 --> 00:28:28,960
they're a team. The rest of the guys are back,

560
00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:30,920
and you know they cut They cut Santana the other day,

561
00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:32,839
which was a fan favorite, but it was something that

562
00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:34,119
had to be done, he wasn't going to be on

563
00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:36,400
the team next year, and so they get better look

564
00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:38,839
at the young players. So that's what I'm excited about

565
00:28:38,839 --> 00:28:39,839
being a Cleveland fan.

566
00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:43,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, and listen, like you know, there's no question that

567
00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:47,000
Emmanuel Colasse would would be like helping the team, But

568
00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:50,359
he wasn't a guy that that I necessarily wanted in

569
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:52,680
the big leverage spots this year. Like he was not

570
00:28:52,759 --> 00:28:55,440
having the best season in my opinion, I don't think

571
00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:59,319
I don't think the team is like significantly worse off

572
00:28:59,359 --> 00:29:02,759
without him. And you know, he's just not the guy

573
00:29:02,799 --> 00:29:05,000
who was the previous couple of years. You even talking

574
00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:08,200
about that coming into the season, the inning, the usage

575
00:29:08,279 --> 00:29:10,599
last year, and you could sort of see it coming

576
00:29:10,640 --> 00:29:11,559
toward the end of the year.

577
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:12,920
Speaker 2: He didn't look great.

578
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:15,640
Speaker 1: This year, So I don't really put much stock into

579
00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:18,400
that at all. If anything, I think the Guardians, in

580
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:21,519
spite of not being able to hit, have really played

581
00:29:21,519 --> 00:29:23,279
some of their best ball over the last month.

582
00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:27,160
Speaker 2: So I'll bring it back to this handicap into this game.

583
00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 1: I think they're a little undervalued at current at present

584
00:29:31,079 --> 00:29:33,720
right now when you continue to get them, like I know,

585
00:29:33,759 --> 00:29:35,480
it didn't work out yesterday I'm glad you had the

586
00:29:35,519 --> 00:29:37,400
Mariners in that game, or I'm sorry.

587
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:38,359
Speaker 2: Two days ago.

588
00:29:38,599 --> 00:29:40,640
Speaker 1: Two days ago and I did the video for the Guardians.

589
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:42,960
I gave out Guardians as my free pick. They were

590
00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:45,200
like plus one forty five at home in that game

591
00:29:45,759 --> 00:29:49,599
on Saturday today. I mean, Beyo Versu Messic, who's been

592
00:29:49,599 --> 00:29:52,759
pretty good, and the Red Sox have never seen catch

593
00:29:53,359 --> 00:29:56,200
plus one twenty six plus one thirty. I kind of

594
00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:58,240
think the Guardians had some value right now. Not sure

595
00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:00,000
if I'll play it, but I don't know that I've

596
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:01,920
I want to lay that price with the Red Sox here.

597
00:30:02,119 --> 00:30:04,799
I didn't see enough from the Red Sox this weekend

598
00:30:04,799 --> 00:30:08,200
to make me sort of confident laying a dollar forty

599
00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:11,519
five with them in what looks to be a somewhat

600
00:30:11,519 --> 00:30:14,319
of an even matchup. So I'll throw Guardians out there

601
00:30:14,319 --> 00:30:16,720
as a value play. But it's very likely a pass

602
00:30:16,799 --> 00:30:20,039
for me. And guys. While I was while I was,

603
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:23,279
you guys were talking about this game the White Sox.

604
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:26,599
It could be Mike Clevenger too, which would make me

605
00:30:26,799 --> 00:30:32,240
less inclined, less inclined to back the White Sox. But

606
00:30:32,519 --> 00:30:34,880
if they did something where they were like hey, because

607
00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:37,559
it is remember the White Sox are operating as a

608
00:30:37,599 --> 00:30:40,400
developmental team right now. I've been talking about this for months.

609
00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:42,640
If they were like, hey, you know what, let's just

610
00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:45,720
do it. Let's give Davitt the start here because tomorrow

611
00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:49,880
is his start at Triple A, then I'd be in Clevenger.

612
00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:51,119
Speaker 2: I'm probably out.

613
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 1: So just to circle back to that game where we

614
00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:56,880
didn't know who the starter was, Okay, let's move on.

615
00:30:57,079 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 2: This is an interesting one. This one is the first

616
00:31:00,039 --> 00:31:00,960
spun off the board.

617
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:06,839
Speaker 1: Lingo Wick says, let's talk Nationals Marlins, Brian Leonard. This

618
00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:09,079
is another one where the Marlins are gonna have to

619
00:31:09,119 --> 00:31:11,880
scramble for a starter because Ryan Gusto hit the I

620
00:31:12,119 --> 00:31:15,759
L yesterday, so this would have been Ryan Gusto's spot

621
00:31:16,079 --> 00:31:16,839
in the rotation.

622
00:31:17,519 --> 00:31:20,240
Speaker 2: They he hit the eye L and.

623
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:22,400
Speaker 1: No one has really much of a clue who's who's

624
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:23,960
going to pitch today for the Marlins.

625
00:31:24,039 --> 00:31:26,519
Speaker 2: I have done my sort of research here.

626
00:31:26,599 --> 00:31:29,680
Speaker 1: I think they could potentially call up Morgan McSweeney. But

627
00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:31,799
what I think is gonna happen here for the Marlins

628
00:31:32,039 --> 00:31:34,680
is it's really gonna be like a collection of whatever

629
00:31:34,759 --> 00:31:37,400
bullpen arms can maybe throw an inning or two in

630
00:31:37,480 --> 00:31:40,359
this game, and on the flip side, it looks like

631
00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:44,799
it's gonna be Andrew Alvarez for the net. He will

632
00:31:44,839 --> 00:31:47,920
be making Yeah. So this this I believe will be

633
00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:51,680
his MLB debut. And this is a lefty. So you

634
00:31:51,839 --> 00:31:55,319
like those lefties that no one knows about. Uh, Andrew Alvarez.

635
00:31:55,359 --> 00:31:56,839
I've got to see a couple of times up here

636
00:31:56,839 --> 00:31:57,519
in Rochester.

637
00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:00,799
Speaker 2: He is. He has sort of turned corner.

638
00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:04,599
Speaker 1: Over the last month month and a half, growing as

639
00:32:04,599 --> 00:32:06,119
good as it because he's been here for a couple

640
00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:08,519
of years now, throwing the ball as good as he's

641
00:32:08,559 --> 00:32:11,599
been at any point in Triple A. Probably why he's

642
00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:15,200
getting his shot here. This one goes soon one pm Eastern.

643
00:32:15,279 --> 00:32:18,559
Any any in for you in Marlin's NAT today.

644
00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:22,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, Andrew Alvarez twenty six years old, making his major

645
00:32:22,279 --> 00:32:26,039
league debut. That's a little low. They usually have these

646
00:32:26,039 --> 00:32:29,319
guys up a little bit before twenty six in Triple A.

647
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:31,039
This year he just comes out of a four point

648
00:32:31,039 --> 00:32:33,960
one OARA, a one point three five whip and that's

649
00:32:34,119 --> 00:32:37,480
the Eastern League. That's not the one they have out

650
00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:39,839
in Vegas where the ball flies. So that's a little

651
00:32:39,839 --> 00:32:46,839
bit of a concern as for Miami. Yeah, they at

652
00:32:46,839 --> 00:32:49,720
this point they don't know who's coming up and it's

653
00:32:49,759 --> 00:32:51,240
but it's got to be better than.

654
00:32:53,039 --> 00:32:55,359
Speaker 1: The last I would approach it, Brian, I would just

655
00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:58,000
approach it as as bullpen game, because even if it

656
00:32:58,039 --> 00:32:59,960
is McSweeney, he's probably gonna throw three four.

657
00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:02,799
Speaker 3: Yeah. Ryan Gusta was not a guy that I was

658
00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:05,359
high on even when he made the trade, and since

659
00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:08,599
the trade he has been horrendous. So anybody they've got there,

660
00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:10,759
if you follow Miami, we talked about it all season long.

661
00:33:10,799 --> 00:33:12,799
They made a lot of changes to the front office

662
00:33:13,039 --> 00:33:15,279
the way they were doing things in the preseason, and

663
00:33:15,359 --> 00:33:17,799
the pitching staff has been much better this year. So

664
00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:19,920
they've got plenty of guys that they could choose from.

665
00:33:20,359 --> 00:33:22,160
Give them three innings the least, and then go with

666
00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:26,200
a bullpen Because of that, I prefer that side here,

667
00:33:26,240 --> 00:33:29,599
but some books at this point don't have lines up.

668
00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:32,880
But with Alvarez right now in the majority, you're looking

669
00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:36,319
at about a one twenty five favorite total of nine.

670
00:33:37,079 --> 00:33:39,200
I do like the lefties when they come up, but

671
00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:41,799
he's not one of the ones I would run out

672
00:33:41,799 --> 00:33:46,680
to bet. And with Miami undecided on the pitcher, I'll

673
00:33:46,680 --> 00:33:48,960
probably pass. We'll see how what happens is the day

674
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:52,319
goes on. But nothing jumps out of me at this game.

675
00:33:54,079 --> 00:33:58,279
Speaker 4: So guys, we got stuff available. Go to waigitalk dot

676
00:33:58,279 --> 00:34:02,920
com to see what we got, and we always put

677
00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:05,960
free plays up as well, so go check those out

678
00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:08,920
when you have a chance. It's worse than ten seconds

679
00:34:08,920 --> 00:34:12,639
to see how three of the best kappers are putting

680
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:15,880
free plays out, So go check our pages at wager

681
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:19,800
talk dot com. Regarding this game. If Miami's making this

682
00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:22,119
a bullpen game, they have one of the worst bullpens

683
00:34:22,119 --> 00:34:24,119
in current form right now, ranked twenty eight out of

684
00:34:24,119 --> 00:34:27,719
thirty according to my numbers. But the problem with that

685
00:34:28,079 --> 00:34:32,280
is Washington hitting is ranked twenty six out of thirty

686
00:34:32,519 --> 00:34:35,840
in current form. So it's a complete stalemate for me.

687
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:40,199
No way I'm going to put money on this game

688
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:43,920
unless it's monopoly money. So yeah, I'm not going to

689
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:45,800
play this one at all, So I'll just pass it

690
00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:46,239
to Adam.

691
00:34:47,519 --> 00:34:50,039
Speaker 1: I thought Andy's like he said noon o'clock. I thought

692
00:34:50,039 --> 00:34:51,840
I said one o'clock. But I got to be honest,

693
00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:54,400
I probably had like ten high noons yesterday.

694
00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:58,239
Speaker 2: That's a rare. That's rare for me.

695
00:34:59,039 --> 00:35:02,679
Speaker 1: So yeah, little uh, I might just be saying random

696
00:35:02,679 --> 00:35:03,519
stuff this morning.

697
00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:08,320
Speaker 4: You're at your boy no matter what country they're from.

698
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:13,280
Speaker 1: Jesus, Yeah, no, we're we're off and running here on

699
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:15,800
the holiday. I mean, actually, that's that's what I plan

700
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:19,599
on doing today too. I'm probably just gonna hang out.

701
00:35:19,639 --> 00:35:22,079
I think we're grilling and I'm gonna watch baseball a day.

702
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:25,519
Probably be the most anti social person at the at

703
00:35:25,559 --> 00:35:28,239
the barbecue, if you will. But as far as this

704
00:35:28,320 --> 00:35:30,320
game's concerned, I might be. I might actually, you know what,

705
00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:32,239
we are going to be involved in this game. I'm

706
00:35:32,239 --> 00:35:35,639
gonna take the Marlins money line right here. I'm with you, Brian,

707
00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:38,039
Like Andrew Alvarez is the guy I've seen pitch at

708
00:35:38,119 --> 00:35:43,039
Rochester a couple of times. He's I think this is

709
00:35:43,599 --> 00:35:46,679
a type of a scenario where he was. He was

710
00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:50,920
a national draft pick. Okay, twelfth rounder. The term they

711
00:35:51,039 --> 00:35:54,000
use in corporate world is like a company guy, right, Like,

712
00:35:54,079 --> 00:35:58,679
so sometimes sometimes these organizations, like if you're out there

713
00:35:58,679 --> 00:36:01,840
working your tail off and and you come through the organization,

714
00:36:02,000 --> 00:36:04,039
right and like he was a twelve round he went

715
00:36:04,039 --> 00:36:04,719
to cal Poly.

716
00:36:05,480 --> 00:36:07,760
Speaker 2: I don't know that they ever really looked at him.

717
00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:10,960
Speaker 1: As someone that would impact the big league club, but

718
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:14,360
they're totally out of it. And sometimes what happens in

719
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:18,920
September is you will get rewarded for your hard work

720
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:22,039
with your big league debut. It's not like the rest

721
00:36:22,079 --> 00:36:24,000
of the year where it's like guys the rest of

722
00:36:24,000 --> 00:36:24,960
the year they get called up.

723
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:26,400
Speaker 2: It's typically they.

724
00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:28,519
Speaker 1: Were dominating in the minors and they got called up

725
00:36:28,559 --> 00:36:30,960
because they and I don't want to say he didn't

726
00:36:31,000 --> 00:36:34,079
earn the call up, but this feels like one of

727
00:36:34,119 --> 00:36:37,800
those scenarios where the Gnats are like, hey, we're completely

728
00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:41,920
out of it. We're gonna play whoever. Alvarez has worked

729
00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:44,199
his tail off for us for four years, we drafted

730
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:46,960
him in twenty twenty one, and we can give the

731
00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:50,920
guy his MLB debut. Let's do that. That's what this

732
00:36:50,960 --> 00:36:53,800
feels like here for the Gnats. The Marlins, on the

733
00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:56,159
other hand, even if they call up McSweeney, who's been

734
00:36:56,239 --> 00:36:58,880
very good at TRIPAA, I think this is going to

735
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:02,199
be two innings here, three innings here, maybe another two

736
00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:04,599
innings here, which is what the Marlins have done a

737
00:37:04,639 --> 00:37:08,280
lot this year. I'm kind of comfortable with that because

738
00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:10,480
it's no different than what you've seen out of the

739
00:37:10,519 --> 00:37:13,280
Marlins on a lot of other games this year. I

740
00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:15,000
don't think it's gonna be very different from what the

741
00:37:15,039 --> 00:37:18,159
Marlins have done from time to time. I just don't

742
00:37:18,159 --> 00:37:19,960
think the Marlins should be an underdog. Brian, what are

743
00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:23,039
we getting here on Marlins? Is it still like plus

744
00:37:23,039 --> 00:37:24,880
one oh five or like even money.

745
00:37:26,639 --> 00:37:29,280
Speaker 3: You can get upwards of one ten, but basically most

746
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:30,559
places are plus one oh five.

747
00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:33,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, Like the Marlins shouldn't be a dog here.

748
00:37:34,320 --> 00:37:36,679
Speaker 1: I would list to action because you don't know exactly

749
00:37:36,679 --> 00:37:38,400
who they're gonna start, and it doesn't matter.

750
00:37:38,559 --> 00:37:39,760
Speaker 2: That's that's it. That's the point.

751
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:42,280
Speaker 1: I want to sort of drive home the Marlins it

752
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:44,599
does not matter who they start, because they're just gonna

753
00:37:44,719 --> 00:37:47,119
they're gonna do what the mar what the Marlins kind

754
00:37:47,119 --> 00:37:48,920
of do, where it's like they've got a guy that

755
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:51,440
can go three innings, next guy can go two, and

756
00:37:51,480 --> 00:37:53,280
then they'll just mix and match the rest of the way.

757
00:37:53,679 --> 00:37:57,559
I'm totally comfortable with that. I'm not really worried about

758
00:37:57,559 --> 00:38:00,119
the Nats doing much damage there. That being said, I

759
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:03,480
remember Rochester Jacksonville actually did play a couple of times

760
00:38:03,480 --> 00:38:06,400
this year. I went to that series up here in Rochester.

761
00:38:06,480 --> 00:38:09,760
They don't always play, so some of these hitters might

762
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:13,440
have some familiarity with Alvarez as well. Just no way

763
00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:15,880
the Nationals should be favored here. So let's go Marlins

764
00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:18,480
to start off the parlay. That'll be my parlay leg

765
00:38:18,639 --> 00:38:24,039
for the day. All right, let's move on. Let's see

766
00:38:24,039 --> 00:38:24,920
what we've got here.

767
00:38:26,519 --> 00:38:26,760
Speaker 2: Great.

768
00:38:27,039 --> 00:38:30,920
Speaker 1: I'm I'm sitting through the chat comments and we're talking

769
00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:33,800
like Vietnam War skinny women, like I'm trying to find

770
00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:36,159
a game to talk about, and the chat has gone

771
00:38:36,599 --> 00:38:38,199
completely off the rails.

772
00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:39,880
Speaker 3: Today.

773
00:38:40,119 --> 00:38:45,079
Speaker 1: That's okay, listen, it's it's it's a holiday, like my

774
00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:48,199
family's on the boat right now, like I'm working here

775
00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:48,880
like everyone else.

776
00:38:49,000 --> 00:38:50,400
Speaker 2: Is the day off, So we we got to mess

777
00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:51,199
around a little bit.

778
00:38:51,519 --> 00:38:55,000
Speaker 1: Turnbuckle Tommy says that the books are just opening.

779
00:38:54,599 --> 00:38:59,079
Speaker 2: Their arms to Blue Jay's money. Are you seeing that?

780
00:38:59,159 --> 00:39:01,519
Speaker 1: To Brian Leonard, this is kind of a kind of

781
00:39:01,559 --> 00:39:04,679
a big game right here, reds J's Is it a

782
00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:06,440
lot of Is it a lot of Red's money? With

783
00:39:06,519 --> 00:39:09,239
Hunter Green on the mound is well, I'm sorry, are

784
00:39:09,280 --> 00:39:10,880
they are? Is it a lot of Blue Jays money?

785
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:12,960
Are they trying to bait you into taking the j's

786
00:39:13,320 --> 00:39:15,960
at plus money here. I couldn't get a great read

787
00:39:16,039 --> 00:39:17,840
on this game, so I'm kind of curious what you

788
00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:18,320
have to say.

789
00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:19,840
Speaker 2: Blue Jay's rents.

790
00:39:20,320 --> 00:39:22,440
Speaker 3: Well, they don't beat you into the game. They they

791
00:39:23,679 --> 00:39:26,079
I don't believe any of that, that the books want whatever.

792
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:29,159
For the most part, they're just putting out the best

793
00:39:29,199 --> 00:39:29,800
line possible.

794
00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:32,199
Speaker 2: The wrong term, I mean, I meant they do shade though.

795
00:39:32,280 --> 00:39:32,480
I I.

796
00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:39,039
Speaker 3: Yeah, they got Bassett coming in with a four point

797
00:39:39,079 --> 00:39:42,519
one four r a one point three to three whip expected,

798
00:39:42,559 --> 00:39:46,559
the RA of four point oh eight. Uh, pretty good,

799
00:39:46,559 --> 00:39:50,440
acts of velocity eighty eighth percentile, eighty four percent hard right.

800
00:39:50,559 --> 00:39:53,079
So here's a guy. He's a veteran, he's been around

801
00:39:53,119 --> 00:39:57,960
eleventh Season's thirty six years old and uh he's uh

802
00:39:58,039 --> 00:40:02,679
he's from Happening and that'swhear Right graduated college. So I've

803
00:40:02,679 --> 00:40:04,679
always had a soft spot for him. He's had a

804
00:40:04,679 --> 00:40:09,559
really nice career. He's going up against Hunter Green. Hunter

805
00:40:09,679 --> 00:40:14,320
Green when he's healthy, he's been terrific all season long.

806
00:40:14,679 --> 00:40:17,800
Comes out with a two point eight one ERA two

807
00:40:17,880 --> 00:40:21,400
point eight five in my eyes still early in the

808
00:40:21,400 --> 00:40:26,199
morning for me, two point eighty five era expected are

809
00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:31,159
a zero point ninety seven a whip five percent ground ball, right.

810
00:40:31,199 --> 00:40:34,119
We talked about that before with the Reds. They've somehow

811
00:40:34,159 --> 00:40:36,000
managed to for get all these flyball pitchers and I

812
00:40:36,039 --> 00:40:38,800
give up home runs. But he's only a three pitch

813
00:40:38,840 --> 00:40:41,320
pitcher and he throws that fastball fifty five percent of

814
00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:44,119
the time. I think he'll struggle with that as he

815
00:40:44,159 --> 00:40:47,639
gets older and he loses some of that velocity. And

816
00:40:47,760 --> 00:40:49,920
right now he's in the ninety nine percent of all right, now,

817
00:40:50,199 --> 00:40:52,400
all good, but he's going to have to change the

818
00:40:52,440 --> 00:40:56,519
way he pitches as he gets older. On the current line,

819
00:40:56,559 --> 00:40:59,559
we're looking at Green basically about a one sixteen favorite

820
00:40:59,639 --> 00:41:04,119
total of eight. I prefer Green over Bastid, obviously, but

821
00:41:06,320 --> 00:41:09,519
Toronto's been playing a lot better and they're still in

822
00:41:09,559 --> 00:41:12,920
the race to win that division. Cincinnati at this point

823
00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:15,920
is basically out of the playoffs, so we don't know

824
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:18,760
how long Green's going to go. They may decide at

825
00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:21,320
this point to just give him the five and fly

826
00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:23,400
the rest of the way out. I don't know he'll

827
00:41:23,440 --> 00:41:25,960
if he'll like it, but if you've had the injuries

828
00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:29,239
that he's had, eventually you're going to say you know what,

829
00:41:29,320 --> 00:41:32,119
should we shut this guy down? This could be something

830
00:41:32,159 --> 00:41:34,320
that comes comes later in the season, but as of

831
00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:37,039
right now, I think the line's about right. I can't

832
00:41:37,039 --> 00:41:41,239
get a fix on either side here, But as for

833
00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:47,400
begging for money, I don't know. I don't think so.

834
00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:50,519
Speaker 4: So the way I have this, the first off, I

835
00:41:50,519 --> 00:41:52,559
look at this number, I'm like, why in the world

836
00:41:52,679 --> 00:41:54,599
are the Blue Jays underdogs here? And then I look

837
00:41:54,639 --> 00:41:58,360
at the starting pitching. Okay, I think Hunter Green gets

838
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:01,320
a little too much credit from the books. Yes, he's

839
00:42:01,360 --> 00:42:06,719
a flamethrower, strikeout guy, but Bassett has great numbers against

840
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:09,440
these Reds batters in his history, and Green does not

841
00:42:09,559 --> 00:42:11,480
have good numbers against the Blue Jays. Now, when I

842
00:42:11,519 --> 00:42:15,519
break the teams down, I see the Blue Jays batting

843
00:42:15,639 --> 00:42:18,239
ninth in current form and I see the Reds batting

844
00:42:18,239 --> 00:42:22,039
twenty seventh in current form. And both bullpens are worse

845
00:42:22,079 --> 00:42:26,920
than twenty in current forms. So that tells me I

846
00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:30,079
kind of agree with Turnbuckle Tommy here. I think the

847
00:42:30,639 --> 00:42:34,559
Jays should be favored here. And matter of fact, I'm

848
00:42:34,559 --> 00:42:36,599
gonna make the Blue Jays my leg of the parlay

849
00:42:36,679 --> 00:42:39,920
at plus one oh five. I think the Blue Jays

850
00:42:39,960 --> 00:42:42,199
are just overall better team. They have ten more wins

851
00:42:42,239 --> 00:42:45,239
than Cincinnati. The only red flag here is the fact

852
00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:48,119
that they're on the road. So yeah, I like the

853
00:42:48,159 --> 00:42:50,719
Blue Jays here. That the bullpen though, it's just so

854
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:53,800
hard to trust, but the plus money is just so

855
00:42:54,000 --> 00:42:57,199
delicious here. I mean, they're the better team overall, so

856
00:42:57,840 --> 00:43:00,159
I'll take the Blue Jays.

857
00:43:01,679 --> 00:43:04,960
Speaker 1: I think it's worth pointing out that both both teams

858
00:43:04,960 --> 00:43:07,599
have used quite a bit of bullpen over the past

859
00:43:07,599 --> 00:43:11,400
couple of days, so it's like, yeah, that's what I mean,

860
00:43:11,559 --> 00:43:15,360
you had, So basically you had. You've had the Reds

861
00:43:15,679 --> 00:43:18,400
who won yesterday seven to four and needed a couple

862
00:43:18,400 --> 00:43:21,880
of their leverage arms, but have been playing close games

863
00:43:21,920 --> 00:43:25,519
for you know, that entire series was pretty much close.

864
00:43:26,119 --> 00:43:28,880
A lot of bullpen usage there. The Blue Jays got

865
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:32,519
me on Saturday. Unfortunately, I got a phenomenal outing out

866
00:43:32,519 --> 00:43:35,239
of Kevin Gossman, and then that bullpen that you just

867
00:43:35,280 --> 00:43:38,280
spoke of came up to bite me. Jeff Hoffman comes

868
00:43:38,320 --> 00:43:40,519
in and just is serving them up left and right.

869
00:43:40,599 --> 00:43:42,679
So I think the way I look at this one,

870
00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:46,599
the bolt like you're probably gonna get to the to

871
00:43:46,639 --> 00:43:49,159
the bullpens anyway, and it's gonna decide it. I don't

872
00:43:49,239 --> 00:43:52,679
care for either, So it's like, I guess, why not

873
00:43:52,760 --> 00:43:54,599
take the bus plus money at that point. That's just

874
00:43:54,639 --> 00:43:57,039
how I'm looking at it. TV is more competent in

875
00:43:57,079 --> 00:43:59,119
the in in a side here than I am. So

876
00:44:00,360 --> 00:44:02,360
we roll with the Jays. Brian, what's the price on

877
00:44:02,360 --> 00:44:02,760
the Jays?

878
00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:02,960
Speaker 4: Here?

879
00:44:03,920 --> 00:44:06,880
Speaker 3: Jays you can get?

880
00:44:06,079 --> 00:44:06,199
Speaker 1: Uh?

881
00:44:07,719 --> 00:44:10,320
Speaker 3: I guess plus one oh five is pretty much. You

882
00:44:10,320 --> 00:44:12,360
can get a little bit better at some paces, but

883
00:44:12,559 --> 00:44:14,639
plus one on five you should be able to get everywhere.

884
00:44:15,440 --> 00:44:18,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, my my number suggests that that's value.

885
00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:22,519
Speaker 1: Again, I don't like I I couldn't get a good

886
00:44:22,559 --> 00:44:25,360
read on this game. So but my number suggests that

887
00:44:25,360 --> 00:44:27,199
Blue Jays are value at plus one oh five. And

888
00:44:27,199 --> 00:44:29,000
the one the one thing that I kind of had

889
00:44:29,039 --> 00:44:31,559
in my notes was both teams of bullpen usage.

890
00:44:31,599 --> 00:44:32,800
Speaker 2: Don't trust either bullpen.

891
00:44:32,920 --> 00:44:35,480
Speaker 1: So it's probably gonna be probably gonna come down to

892
00:44:35,519 --> 00:44:38,000
a timely hit one way you're going.

893
00:44:37,760 --> 00:44:40,280
Speaker 4: To trust either bullpen And in that case, I'll take

894
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:43,320
the number five lineup over the number twenty seven lineup

895
00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:43,960
any day.

896
00:44:45,280 --> 00:44:47,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, And there's this this week kind of tough to

897
00:44:47,280 --> 00:44:49,119
Aaron Pauling says, you got to figure the Reds have

898
00:44:49,239 --> 00:44:52,159
more motivation sitting four games back with wild card spot.

899
00:44:52,519 --> 00:44:54,480
I feel like the Blue Jays have to like get

900
00:44:54,480 --> 00:44:56,800
it in gear. They're going to lose that division. I mean,

901
00:44:57,119 --> 00:44:59,480
Brian's kind of like already buried the Reds, which I

902
00:44:59,519 --> 00:45:02,679
don't totally disagree with. Like I'm not saying the Reds

903
00:45:02,679 --> 00:45:06,079
aren't motivated to win some games, but they're looking at

904
00:45:06,079 --> 00:45:09,320
three teams ahead of them that are much better than

905
00:45:09,320 --> 00:45:11,639
they are. I think we've kind of come to that conclusion.

906
00:45:11,639 --> 00:45:13,920
It's gonna be tough for the Reds to sort of

907
00:45:13,920 --> 00:45:16,239
get back into it. The Blue Jays got to wake

908
00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:18,800
up a little bit because the Yankees and Red Sox

909
00:45:18,840 --> 00:45:22,519
are both very capable of getting hot and rattling off

910
00:45:22,559 --> 00:45:25,519
six or seven wins and all of a sudden, what

911
00:45:25,760 --> 00:45:27,159
are the Blue Jays coming to play today?

912
00:45:27,199 --> 00:45:30,320
Speaker 2: Maybe a four game lead in that division on two

913
00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:30,719
of them.

914
00:45:30,760 --> 00:45:33,320
Speaker 1: Like I'll before we go to the next game, Brian,

915
00:45:33,360 --> 00:45:36,000
do you think someone's catching the Blue Jays or no?

916
00:45:36,119 --> 00:45:37,920
Speaker 2: Do you think the Blue Jays hold off that division

917
00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:42,639
or TV? I'm curious to see what you guys say.

918
00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:46,079
Speaker 3: Do the Red Sox I trust Boston over the Yankees.

919
00:45:47,639 --> 00:45:49,679
But there's they're three and three and a half games out.

920
00:45:50,559 --> 00:45:54,440
I still think Toronto wins the division. But they're all

921
00:45:54,559 --> 00:45:55,039
very good.

922
00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:59,760
Speaker 4: Teams, and justus because they're both ends actually playing well

923
00:45:59,760 --> 00:46:03,559
now and Judge is waking up. He's not playoff Judge anymore.

924
00:46:03,679 --> 00:46:07,239
So Yanks are pretty Yankees have a shot to catch him,

925
00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:07,840
I think.

926
00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:10,920
Speaker 1: Right and to tie into like your handicap of the

927
00:46:10,920 --> 00:46:12,800
Blue Jays. I I don't think you're going to see

928
00:46:12,840 --> 00:46:16,239
one team less motivated than another here.

929
00:46:16,280 --> 00:46:18,079
Speaker 2: I feel like they both have a lot to play

930
00:46:18,119 --> 00:46:18,719
for right now.

931
00:46:19,079 --> 00:46:22,719
Speaker 4: So every player in MLB has a lot to play

932
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:26,000
for next year's contract. So the players when they're trying

933
00:46:26,000 --> 00:46:27,880
to hit a ball, they're not thinking, oh, I better

934
00:46:27,960 --> 00:46:29,880
hit this or we won't make the playoff. They're thinking,

935
00:46:29,920 --> 00:46:31,039
I need to hit this ball.

936
00:46:31,880 --> 00:46:31,960
Speaker 2: No.

937
00:46:32,039 --> 00:46:34,239
Speaker 1: But I'm just saying, like both of these teams there's

938
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:36,079
still a lot on the line, Like for the J's

939
00:46:36,079 --> 00:46:38,039
you don't want to let that division slip away, and

940
00:46:38,079 --> 00:46:41,199
for the Reds like, yeah, you're still very much in

941
00:46:41,280 --> 00:46:42,280
it if you can get hot.

942
00:46:42,400 --> 00:46:47,159
Speaker 2: So it's a yeah, I want a motivation that I

943
00:46:47,199 --> 00:46:48,679
would say so much that's.

944
00:46:48,559 --> 00:46:50,800
Speaker 3: The problem this time of the year because you're bringing

945
00:46:50,880 --> 00:46:52,679
up the young guys, and you know, some of these

946
00:46:52,679 --> 00:46:55,440
things that are out of the playoffs. We'll be testing

947
00:46:55,440 --> 00:46:58,559
out the young players and the fans like that. But

948
00:46:58,679 --> 00:47:00,480
when you're on the border like that, when you were

949
00:47:00,519 --> 00:47:03,639
just hanging on a little bit, like the Kansas City's

950
00:47:04,559 --> 00:47:09,119
and the Cincinnatis, yeah, you're you're not able to give

951
00:47:09,119 --> 00:47:11,159
it much of a look. Although I did say that

952
00:47:11,440 --> 00:47:14,679
Cincinnati's bringing up one of their best prospects.

953
00:47:14,800 --> 00:47:17,199
Speaker 2: Oh, he should have been up already. That's Sal Stewart.

954
00:47:17,280 --> 00:47:17,840
Learn the name.

955
00:47:18,000 --> 00:47:20,239
Speaker 1: If you haven't learned that name already, he should have

956
00:47:20,280 --> 00:47:22,559
been up two weeks ago. I mean, the guy's like

957
00:47:22,880 --> 00:47:25,159
he's just been hitting tanks and in the minors for

958
00:47:25,239 --> 00:47:27,800
like like, I thought they should have got him into

959
00:47:27,800 --> 00:47:30,159
that lineup a couple of weeks ago. I'm very excited

960
00:47:30,440 --> 00:47:32,480
to see him play at the big league level. He's

961
00:47:32,519 --> 00:47:36,119
been awesome since since getting a triple A. Two drinks

962
00:47:36,119 --> 00:47:39,639
in very fit, that's very fitting for today. That's gonna

963
00:47:39,639 --> 00:47:43,519
be me about two PM. Probably two drinks in. Wants

964
00:47:43,519 --> 00:47:46,320
to know if we can talk Mets Tigers. This will

965
00:47:46,320 --> 00:47:48,480
probably be the game on at my my father in

966
00:47:48,559 --> 00:47:52,960
law's house, a big Mets fan, and I gotta get Sean.

967
00:47:53,000 --> 00:47:55,239
I saw Sean pop on the pop up in the chat.

968
00:47:55,280 --> 00:47:57,119
I feel like I feel like the Tigers put it

969
00:47:57,159 --> 00:48:00,480
to bed this weekend. I made a comment on Friday

970
00:48:00,519 --> 00:48:02,760
that said, oh, you know, if they don't, if they

971
00:48:03,079 --> 00:48:05,239
f around this weekend, the Royals could be back in

972
00:48:05,280 --> 00:48:05,639
the mix.

973
00:48:06,039 --> 00:48:07,599
Speaker 2: The Royals are not back in the mix.

974
00:48:08,000 --> 00:48:10,800
Speaker 1: Scooble sort of slammed the door on the Division in

975
00:48:10,800 --> 00:48:13,599
my opinion last night. So, Brian, maybe the Tigers are

976
00:48:13,599 --> 00:48:16,599
one of these teams they can kind of tweak some things,

977
00:48:16,639 --> 00:48:19,480
try some things out. I guess like they're you know,

978
00:48:19,880 --> 00:48:22,599
they may go through the motions a little bit in September.

979
00:48:22,639 --> 00:48:24,480
They now have a nine and a half game lead

980
00:48:24,519 --> 00:48:27,519
in the division. The Mets don't have that luxury, though

981
00:48:27,519 --> 00:48:28,360
they're still fighting.

982
00:48:29,039 --> 00:48:29,440
Speaker 2: They could.

983
00:48:29,519 --> 00:48:33,159
Speaker 1: I mean, theoretically they could still catch the Phillies, I suppose,

984
00:48:34,239 --> 00:48:36,679
but they're in a battle because a lot of those

985
00:48:36,719 --> 00:48:38,800
teams in the National League are very close in terms

986
00:48:38,840 --> 00:48:42,079
of where their wild card sort of seating is. So

987
00:48:42,119 --> 00:48:44,719
what do you see in this one? Tiger's Mets, Mets

988
00:48:44,760 --> 00:48:47,000
with a ton to play for. Tiger's still a very

989
00:48:47,039 --> 00:48:49,119
good team though, any angle.

990
00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:52,119
Speaker 3: For you here, yeah, I mean as going for the Mets,

991
00:48:52,119 --> 00:48:55,480
he's still lefty, still can't get through the fifth inning

992
00:48:55,559 --> 00:48:58,719
or so, but he broke out of a slump and

993
00:48:58,840 --> 00:49:01,440
last time out he seemed to straighten out a lot

994
00:49:01,440 --> 00:49:03,920
of things. So I would as a Met, if you're

995
00:49:03,920 --> 00:49:06,599
a Mets fan, I think he should be back to normal.

996
00:49:07,519 --> 00:49:10,599
Charlie Morton going for Detroit, and he was on the

997
00:49:10,639 --> 00:49:15,000
trash pile earlier this season, but he's pitched very well

998
00:49:15,800 --> 00:49:19,119
the last month or so. We're getting the Mets about

999
00:49:19,119 --> 00:49:21,559
a one sixteen favorite here total of eight and a

1000
00:49:21,599 --> 00:49:25,440
half on the total, And if I'm taking a look

1001
00:49:25,480 --> 00:49:28,519
at this game, you've got Manea coming in with a

1002
00:49:28,559 --> 00:49:31,519
five point zero one ERA basically because three or four

1003
00:49:31,559 --> 00:49:35,239
really bad starts, three point seven six expected some bad

1004
00:49:35,320 --> 00:49:38,440
luck in his regard one point one four whip extension,

1005
00:49:38,519 --> 00:49:41,719
ninety second percent, tol walk right ninety six, strikeout right

1006
00:49:41,760 --> 00:49:45,079
eighty ninth. That's usually a very good package. And if

1007
00:49:45,079 --> 00:49:47,039
you take a look at a strikeout minus walk ratio,

1008
00:49:47,559 --> 00:49:52,000
we're looking at twenty five point three, which is outstanding.

1009
00:49:52,960 --> 00:49:56,000
So even though he's got he's gone through some struggles.

1010
00:49:56,119 --> 00:50:00,199
He has pitched pretty well this year. Charlie Morton five

1011
00:50:00,199 --> 00:50:02,440
point two five e R four point one to nine

1012
00:50:02,480 --> 00:50:08,000
expected one point four eight whip high is his average

1013
00:50:08,079 --> 00:50:10,719
is one point three two. He's in his eighteenth season

1014
00:50:11,639 --> 00:50:13,880
and he, like I said, you look like he was

1015
00:50:13,920 --> 00:50:15,360
on his way out the last couple of years. But

1016
00:50:15,960 --> 00:50:17,760
he's put it together in the last month or so

1017
00:50:18,360 --> 00:50:20,760
and he's even got his swift percentage up to seventy

1018
00:50:20,760 --> 00:50:26,679
four percent. It's a game myself where I do like

1019
00:50:26,800 --> 00:50:28,960
more and a little bit better than a lot of

1020
00:50:28,960 --> 00:50:32,880
people at this point. And I do like the Tiger's bullpen,

1021
00:50:33,559 --> 00:50:35,880
but the Mets had one of the best bullpens in baseball,

1022
00:50:37,239 --> 00:50:40,599
and money is probably only go four or five innings.

1023
00:50:40,639 --> 00:50:44,400
So the line to me looks about where it should be.

1024
00:50:45,320 --> 00:50:48,960
I could see taking Detroit. And you know, if the

1025
00:50:49,000 --> 00:50:53,519
Mets are laying like one fifteen or so, that that's

1026
00:50:53,559 --> 00:50:55,760
not bad if you like them. So if that tells

1027
00:50:55,760 --> 00:50:57,079
me that I don't have anything on this.

1028
00:50:57,079 --> 00:51:01,880
Speaker 4: Game, everyone, I have and MLB play out today. I

1029
00:51:01,880 --> 00:51:05,119
have a KBO playout already for the evening the late night,

1030
00:51:05,679 --> 00:51:07,239
and I have a free play up as well. I'm

1031
00:51:07,280 --> 00:51:11,800
sure my colleagues here already do or will later in

1032
00:51:11,840 --> 00:51:14,000
the day, so please go to wager talk dot com

1033
00:51:14,039 --> 00:51:17,880
and see what we have to offer regarding this game.

1034
00:51:18,559 --> 00:51:21,360
I have the two starters pretty equal as far as

1035
00:51:21,440 --> 00:51:24,800
rating is concerned, but Manya has absolutely shut these batters

1036
00:51:24,800 --> 00:51:27,719
down in his career. Granted it's only a thirty four

1037
00:51:28,320 --> 00:51:31,360
at bat sample size, but two six average against in

1038
00:51:31,400 --> 00:51:35,719
a six twenty six ops pretty good numbers. And I

1039
00:51:35,719 --> 00:51:38,000
got the Mets rank number one in batting right now,

1040
00:51:38,000 --> 00:51:42,800
where I got the Tigers rank twenty bullpen's pretty even. Uh,

1041
00:51:43,039 --> 00:51:47,920
but uh, Martin gets a bad rap because he's old,

1042
00:51:48,320 --> 00:51:50,639
but he's actually pitching a little bit better than Mania.

1043
00:51:50,760 --> 00:51:53,719
So I'm a little torn on this. I don't think

1044
00:51:53,760 --> 00:51:56,360
he's as bad as the books think, and I've never

1045
00:51:56,519 --> 00:52:01,039
liked Manaia, so uh, I'm kind of stuck on this one.

1046
00:52:01,039 --> 00:52:03,599
The Mets. The Mets are just cranking right now, though,

1047
00:52:03,599 --> 00:52:06,599
and Juan Soto is getting heated up. This lineup is

1048
00:52:06,639 --> 00:52:11,440
pretty dangerous when they're all when they're cranking on all cylinders,

1049
00:52:11,800 --> 00:52:15,639
So I definitely would not bet against the Mets, whether

1050
00:52:15,719 --> 00:52:18,480
I backed him or not. I haven't got there yet,

1051
00:52:18,760 --> 00:52:21,039
but if I'm going to go anyway, that would be

1052
00:52:21,039 --> 00:52:21,679
how I would go.

1053
00:52:23,880 --> 00:52:25,360
Speaker 1: I think if I was going to go anyway, here

1054
00:52:25,360 --> 00:52:27,159
would be the Mets as well. But I want to

1055
00:52:27,199 --> 00:52:29,639
point something out. I know the Tigers are going to

1056
00:52:29,679 --> 00:52:32,280
be playing quote unquote meaningless ball for the next month.

1057
00:52:33,039 --> 00:52:34,440
I think the Tigers are going to kind of be

1058
00:52:34,440 --> 00:52:37,320
a good bet in September because I think this is

1059
00:52:37,360 --> 00:52:39,400
like an open tryout for the playoffs that I don't

1060
00:52:39,400 --> 00:52:42,239
think the Tigers have any clue who their playoff roster

1061
00:52:42,400 --> 00:52:45,679
is yet, and so Sean says it's Kevin McGonagall time.

1062
00:52:45,800 --> 00:52:48,199
Speaker 2: I wish. I do think you'll see him at Toledo

1063
00:52:48,280 --> 00:52:48,679
this week.

1064
00:52:48,840 --> 00:52:51,400
Speaker 1: If you don't know who Kevin McGonagall is, he's probably

1065
00:52:51,440 --> 00:52:53,440
the best hitter in minor league baseball right now. He's

1066
00:52:53,480 --> 00:52:56,039
only at Double A. He's been at Double A for

1067
00:52:57,320 --> 00:52:59,000
like a month or two at this point. I actually

1068
00:52:59,000 --> 00:53:00,639
went out to Eerie to see him play. That was

1069
00:53:00,679 --> 00:53:02,960
why I went to that Eerie Sea Wolves game, was

1070
00:53:03,000 --> 00:53:06,599
to see him in Max Clark play. He is insane

1071
00:53:06,599 --> 00:53:09,159
and I do think I think so I was looking

1072
00:53:09,199 --> 00:53:11,960
at some Tiger's roster moves, it looks like and now

1073
00:53:11,960 --> 00:53:13,719
you can only go to twenty eight in September. I

1074
00:53:13,760 --> 00:53:15,719
forgot about that. You can't go to forty anymore. It's

1075
00:53:15,760 --> 00:53:18,400
only twenty eight. So they've purbed. They've curbed, like the

1076
00:53:18,559 --> 00:53:21,159
calling up the whole team. So it looks like the

1077
00:53:21,159 --> 00:53:24,159
Tigers are going to go with Chase Lee. So well, no,

1078
00:53:24,239 --> 00:53:26,679
it used to be able to expand a forty just

1079
00:53:26,679 --> 00:53:30,320
like you have it. Yeah, now it's twenty eight, but

1080
00:53:30,400 --> 00:53:33,639
they're going to call up Chase Lee, Sawyer, Gibson Long

1081
00:53:33,800 --> 00:53:36,519
and Justin Henry Maloy. I think you're going to see

1082
00:53:36,559 --> 00:53:38,199
a revolving door, and I think the Tigers are going

1083
00:53:38,280 --> 00:53:40,760
to play everyone, and I almost think they're going to

1084
00:53:40,840 --> 00:53:44,519
internally have a little competition for who's on the playoff team.

1085
00:53:44,599 --> 00:53:46,480
And I think it's gonna make the Tigers kind of

1086
00:53:46,519 --> 00:53:49,480
play good ball in September, because I think there's a

1087
00:53:49,519 --> 00:53:53,039
lot of internal competition for playoff spots on that team.

1088
00:53:53,079 --> 00:53:54,880
I don't I think I don't think they have any

1089
00:53:54,960 --> 00:54:00,480
clue who that twenty six seven. However many eight man

1090
00:54:00,559 --> 00:54:04,280
roster is for the playoffs yet. And Sean, I think

1091
00:54:04,480 --> 00:54:06,960
I think we'll see McGonagall get McGonagall get a crack

1092
00:54:07,000 --> 00:54:09,039
toward the end of the month. They would be stupid

1093
00:54:09,159 --> 00:54:11,840
not to if they're playing meaningless games, just see what

1094
00:54:11,880 --> 00:54:13,800
you got? Like, what if he comes up and and

1095
00:54:13,840 --> 00:54:15,760
he tears the cover off the ball, It's like, don't

1096
00:54:15,760 --> 00:54:18,000
you want to throw that on your playoff roster? So

1097
00:54:18,679 --> 00:54:20,320
I think you'll see him at some point. It's just

1098
00:54:20,320 --> 00:54:22,920
not gonna be today. But that is going to make

1099
00:54:22,960 --> 00:54:26,519
the Tigers very interesting play in my opinion, because they

1100
00:54:26,559 --> 00:54:29,039
might get priced as a team that's not quote unquote

1101
00:54:29,119 --> 00:54:32,239
doesn't care. And I think they are gonna care a

1102
00:54:32,280 --> 00:54:35,519
little bit. So that's I don't really have much there,

1103
00:54:35,719 --> 00:54:38,039
but I'm with you TV this pick. I don't love Morton.

1104
00:54:38,320 --> 00:54:40,719
I could see the Mets getting to him, so maybe

1105
00:54:40,760 --> 00:54:42,519
an over. Though, what's the total on this game?

1106
00:54:42,559 --> 00:54:45,800
Speaker 2: Eight and a half? I can mess with that? Is

1107
00:54:45,840 --> 00:54:46,800
it an eight and a half total?

1108
00:54:46,840 --> 00:54:49,079
Speaker 3: Brian? I have eight half to eight and a half

1109
00:54:49,159 --> 00:54:50,519
to the over twenty?

1110
00:54:51,440 --> 00:54:53,159
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think if I was gonna play here, it

1111
00:54:53,199 --> 00:54:55,360
would probably be an over because I could see the

1112
00:54:55,400 --> 00:54:58,400
Mets generating some offense up Martin, and I think the

1113
00:54:58,440 --> 00:55:01,039
Tigers are gonna U are going to hit a little

1114
00:55:01,039 --> 00:55:03,480
bit this month as they sort of rotate guys in

1115
00:55:04,360 --> 00:55:07,679
John Sis Parker Meadows will be back, Maloy won't be okay, Yeah,

1116
00:55:07,760 --> 00:55:11,639
I think you're gonna see them just sort of rotate up, down,

1117
00:55:11,719 --> 00:55:12,000
up down.

1118
00:55:12,000 --> 00:55:16,280
Speaker 2: They're just gonna give everyone a shot. All right, all right,

1119
00:55:16,320 --> 00:55:18,280
I'm gonna throw it over to to Tokyo Brandon.

1120
00:55:18,360 --> 00:55:21,239
Speaker 1: We need a parlay leg from you, and we've only

1121
00:55:21,239 --> 00:55:22,400
got about four minutes left.

1122
00:55:22,440 --> 00:55:24,679
Speaker 2: How are you? How are you gonna? I'm sorry not I

1123
00:55:24,719 --> 00:55:26,920
already put out, but I have a game to suggest.

1124
00:55:27,280 --> 00:55:32,480
Speaker 3: No, that's okay, We're going to Bryan, so I'll get Yeah,

1125
00:55:32,559 --> 00:55:34,719
let me go to my earl leg. Let's take a

1126
00:55:34,719 --> 00:55:38,119
look at the Athletics against the Cardinals today. Got Morales

1127
00:55:38,159 --> 00:55:42,400
against Gray Saint Louis about a one thirty five favorite

1128
00:55:42,400 --> 00:55:46,039
total seven and a half to the over. And that's

1129
00:55:46,079 --> 00:55:48,159
a bit surprising to me that the old I mean,

1130
00:55:48,199 --> 00:55:50,480
Morales has been really good so far. But he's only

1131
00:55:50,519 --> 00:55:55,880
thrown twenty two point two innings and the only thing

1132
00:55:55,920 --> 00:55:58,840
he's got that's really showing is that fastball velossity in

1133
00:55:58,880 --> 00:56:01,639
the eighty nine percentile, and he does throw that fifty

1134
00:56:01,639 --> 00:56:04,440
four percent of the time. But like I said, anybody

1135
00:56:04,559 --> 00:56:07,760
major League Baseball can hit a fastball Sunny Gray, likes

1136
00:56:07,760 --> 00:56:10,760
Sunny Gray, but he's he's been struggling. I think his

1137
00:56:10,840 --> 00:56:14,079
last start started he did pretty well, but overall since

1138
00:56:14,119 --> 00:56:16,519
the All Star break, a little bit of struggles for Gray.

1139
00:56:16,559 --> 00:56:20,480
Four point one ninety ra three point seven three expected,

1140
00:56:20,840 --> 00:56:25,280
one point one eight on the whip. The reason why

1141
00:56:25,280 --> 00:56:29,199
I'm taking it is Kurtz hasn't played. He's hard, and

1142
00:56:29,239 --> 00:56:31,039
I don't the line tells me he's not going to

1143
00:56:31,039 --> 00:56:34,119
play again today. But still to get a seven and

1144
00:56:34,239 --> 00:56:36,480
a half in Saint Louis, this has got to be

1145
00:56:36,519 --> 00:56:39,360
the first time all season I can remember a seven

1146
00:56:39,400 --> 00:56:41,320
and a half there. Normally seven and a half, so

1147
00:56:41,480 --> 00:56:44,760
really good pitchers parks, maybe Chicago like today when the

1148
00:56:44,800 --> 00:56:47,159
wind's blowing in that kind of thing. But to get

1149
00:56:47,159 --> 00:56:49,519
a seven and a half, and you know, I don't

1150
00:56:49,519 --> 00:56:50,679
know if he's going to play it all he make.

1151
00:56:51,679 --> 00:56:54,000
Kurtz may came into the pitch hitter. I haven't seen

1152
00:56:54,119 --> 00:56:57,079
the latest on him, but that seems to be an

1153
00:56:57,079 --> 00:57:00,440
awful low number, even even without him playing. So I'm

1154
00:57:00,440 --> 00:57:04,639
gonna go with the over here in the Athletics and

1155
00:57:04,719 --> 00:57:07,199
the Cardinals game, I'm gonna go over seven and a

1156
00:57:07,239 --> 00:57:12,159
half minus one point fifteen and looking for eight or

1157
00:57:12,159 --> 00:57:14,480
more runs. It's not hard to score eight runs in baseball,

1158
00:57:14,519 --> 00:57:14,920
as we know.

1159
00:57:16,559 --> 00:57:20,360
Speaker 4: Nice we have almost twelve hundred watching live, so thank

1160
00:57:20,400 --> 00:57:22,960
you guys. Go to the replay and give us a

1161
00:57:23,000 --> 00:57:26,039
comment as well, and we will answer any questions you have.

1162
00:57:26,400 --> 00:57:28,679
I'll make this really brief because we're running a long

1163
00:57:28,760 --> 00:57:30,519
time and I don't really have a good read on

1164
00:57:30,559 --> 00:57:33,239
this game. As you guys know from previous shows, I

1165
00:57:33,239 --> 00:57:35,760
don't really like to bet games with X factors in him,

1166
00:57:35,800 --> 00:57:38,960
and to me, Morales is an X factor not enough

1167
00:57:39,000 --> 00:57:42,039
sample size. Sunny Gray is a decent home pitcher. But

1168
00:57:42,920 --> 00:57:45,880
actually I won my only MLB play yesterday. I won

1169
00:57:46,000 --> 00:57:49,559
betting against the A's. I took the Rangers first five

1170
00:57:49,599 --> 00:57:51,599
and I won it, But that was mainly because the

1171
00:57:51,679 --> 00:57:55,719
gram was on the mound and Texas bats are on fire,

1172
00:57:56,119 --> 00:58:00,320
but Saint Louis's bats are not. So I have every

1173
00:58:00,320 --> 00:58:04,000
category here going in favor of the A's, but I

1174
00:58:04,079 --> 00:58:07,199
just don't trust him right now, so I'm not gonna

1175
00:58:07,199 --> 00:58:10,280
play this game. Sonny Gray though really good walk to

1176
00:58:10,360 --> 00:58:13,639
strikeout ratio, but still not enough for me to bet it.

1177
00:58:13,800 --> 00:58:16,119
The A's are hitting a lot better than the Cardinals

1178
00:58:16,320 --> 00:58:19,320
bullpen's pretty equal. Sonny Gray is a good picture, So

1179
00:58:19,360 --> 00:58:20,280
I'm gonna stay away.

1180
00:58:21,800 --> 00:58:23,599
Speaker 2: I don't think you could ever go wrong betting an

1181
00:58:23,599 --> 00:58:24,159
A's over.

1182
00:58:24,320 --> 00:58:26,639
Speaker 1: At this point, you've got to even without Kurt, You've

1183
00:58:26,639 --> 00:58:29,519
got a lineup of guys that all have sort of

1184
00:58:29,639 --> 00:58:32,000
like we don't even really know what the ceiling is yet,

1185
00:58:32,039 --> 00:58:35,599
but it could be very good, very good, like back

1186
00:58:35,639 --> 00:58:39,239
to ball skill across the board. Out of the young guys,

1187
00:58:39,440 --> 00:58:42,480
Jacob Wilson is going to be a phenomenal hitter. Soderstrom

1188
00:58:42,920 --> 00:58:45,639
against any righty is someone that you want in the lineup.

1189
00:58:45,760 --> 00:58:48,599
So there's absolutely runs out there for the A's. But

1190
00:58:48,639 --> 00:58:51,000
then on the flip side, like even if Morales comes

1191
00:58:51,039 --> 00:58:54,880
out so last time out against the Tigers dominant, seven

1192
00:58:54,920 --> 00:58:59,440
shoutout innings, two hits, seven strikeouts, even if he comes

1193
00:58:59,440 --> 00:59:01,360
out in he does something close to that, let's say

1194
00:59:01,360 --> 00:59:04,039
he throws five six really good innings, you still have

1195
00:59:04,079 --> 00:59:06,880
to survive three innings with the A's bullpen, and they

1196
00:59:06,960 --> 00:59:09,000
just don't have many bullpen arms at this point. So

1197
00:59:09,360 --> 00:59:12,719
I feel like, you know it's priced as if here's

1198
00:59:12,760 --> 00:59:14,679
the thing, and this goes back to what's Brian saying

1199
00:59:15,079 --> 00:59:17,719
it's priced as if Morales is like a proven ace.

1200
00:59:18,039 --> 00:59:18,440
Speaker 2: He's not.

1201
00:59:18,760 --> 00:59:21,199
Speaker 1: He's been very, very good for a couple of starts,

1202
00:59:21,239 --> 00:59:23,719
but he's only been at the big leagues for a

1203
00:59:23,760 --> 00:59:25,880
few weeks, so he's not a proven ace.

1204
00:59:26,239 --> 00:59:26,880
Speaker 2: He's not an ace.

1205
00:59:26,920 --> 00:59:30,239
Speaker 1: I'm just saying, like, you can't just count on him

1206
00:59:30,239 --> 00:59:32,199
doing what he's done the last two starts, because he's

1207
00:59:32,199 --> 00:59:32,880
been really good.

1208
00:59:33,199 --> 00:59:33,920
Speaker 2: But even if he.

1209
00:59:33,880 --> 00:59:36,480
Speaker 1: Were to do that, you're still probably gonna get three

1210
00:59:36,519 --> 00:59:39,280
innings against this A's bullpen, and they could give up

1211
00:59:39,280 --> 00:59:42,199
four runs at the you know, in in an inning,

1212
00:59:42,480 --> 00:59:44,639
like they don't have great bullpen arms. On the other side,

1213
00:59:45,000 --> 00:59:48,039
you get the A's lineup against Sonny Gray. They can

1214
00:59:48,119 --> 00:59:51,039
hit fastball, then they can score. This A's team can score.

1215
00:59:51,440 --> 00:59:52,440
Speaker 2: I'm kind of win you, Brian.

1216
00:59:52,480 --> 00:59:54,840
Speaker 1: It just doesn't seem like it's gonna be that difficult

1217
00:59:55,519 --> 00:59:57,840
to get to like seven and you know eight, like

1218
00:59:58,239 --> 01:00:01,599
eight runs. Just see, eight runs is not a huge

1219
01:00:01,679 --> 01:00:04,239
number to get to. So unless you unless you have

1220
01:00:04,280 --> 01:00:07,079
both pitchers that are just dominant, you're probably gonna have

1221
01:00:07,119 --> 01:00:09,519
a really good chance to hit your over so'm I

1222
01:00:09,519 --> 01:00:13,119
see where you're coming from there. All Right, we have

1223
01:00:13,199 --> 01:00:14,719
a this is, this is this would be a good

1224
01:00:14,760 --> 01:00:17,000
one for us. We need one of these big parlays.

1225
01:00:17,119 --> 01:00:20,440
And this is plus six eighty five. So in summary,

1226
01:00:20,760 --> 01:00:25,679
we have Marlin's money line, Blue Jay's money line, A's

1227
01:00:25,920 --> 01:00:29,480
Cardinals over seven and a half. That three teamer comes

1228
01:00:29,480 --> 01:00:32,079
out the plus six eighty five. I do have a

1229
01:00:32,119 --> 01:00:34,480
four I do have a four percent MLV play today.

1230
01:00:34,480 --> 01:00:36,079
I just haven't put the brick up yet. I will

1231
01:00:36,119 --> 01:00:39,840
do it after the show. And yeah, thank you for

1232
01:00:39,880 --> 01:00:43,000
all the we need. We need Monday Holidays more often

1233
01:00:43,320 --> 01:00:47,079
because anytime, no every time no one's at work, the

1234
01:00:47,440 --> 01:00:50,719
live chat is is popping. So thank you guys for

1235
01:00:50,760 --> 01:00:52,840
tuning in live and if you miss the show, as always,

1236
01:00:53,239 --> 01:00:55,119
heading order to the Ways You're Talking YouTube channel where

1237
01:00:55,159 --> 01:00:58,639
you can find it on demand. Anyone have anything else

1238
01:00:58,679 --> 01:01:00,000
to add before we sign off.

1239
01:01:00,960 --> 01:01:02,320
Speaker 4: Leave a come in and hit the light.

1240
01:01:02,880 --> 01:01:04,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, number one in the last three days, number two

1241
01:01:04,960 --> 01:01:07,480
to the last seven. But to be totally honest with you,

1242
01:01:07,559 --> 01:01:08,960
I don't think I'm gonna be able to get there

1243
01:01:09,000 --> 01:01:11,760
with anything to that. I might just pass.

1244
01:01:12,079 --> 01:01:15,119
Speaker 4: Number one last thirty and my MB play is up

1245
01:01:15,119 --> 01:01:15,559
as well.

1246
01:01:16,559 --> 01:01:20,400
Speaker 1: All right, guys, hope everyone enjoys the Labor Day holiday, whether.

1247
01:01:20,239 --> 01:01:21,400
Speaker 2: You have it off or not.

1248
01:01:22,599 --> 01:01:25,440
Speaker 1: I know, I'm gonna try to get some sun here

1249
01:01:25,679 --> 01:01:28,239
in central New York because that goes quick. Once the

1250
01:01:28,280 --> 01:01:30,719
sun is gone, it's gone to like April. So gotta

1251
01:01:30,840 --> 01:01:32,119
got to enjoy the weather here.

1252
01:01:32,800 --> 01:01:36,039
Speaker 4: Adam, you look like you burn like crazy.

1253
01:01:36,400 --> 01:01:40,039
Speaker 2: You're pretty pay Yeah, so these lights are very bright.

1254
01:01:40,079 --> 01:01:40,400
I am.

1255
01:01:40,480 --> 01:01:42,559
Speaker 1: I am Italian, though, so like I don't get like,

1256
01:01:43,199 --> 01:01:45,400
I don't get like burnt burnt, like I actually will

1257
01:01:45,400 --> 01:01:46,079
get hanned.

1258
01:01:46,119 --> 01:01:48,760
Speaker 2: I just don't spend that much time out like, I

1259
01:01:48,800 --> 01:01:49,880
gotta be honest. The heat.

1260
01:01:50,039 --> 01:01:52,719
Speaker 1: I'm not a big heat guy anymore. Back when I

1261
01:01:52,760 --> 01:01:53,599
was in my twenties, I.

1262
01:01:53,559 --> 01:01:54,159
Speaker 2: Was fine with it.

1263
01:01:54,360 --> 01:01:57,199
Speaker 1: Now, like I can't stand the sun. I'd rather be

1264
01:01:57,360 --> 01:02:00,159
like in the shade. I'll sit by the pool. But

1265
01:02:00,199 --> 01:02:02,119
I'm not like I'm not just trying to get baked

1266
01:02:02,159 --> 01:02:04,480
out there and the heat. Like I can't leave it

1267
01:02:04,519 --> 01:02:06,800
for the fall. I can't give me give me forty

1268
01:02:06,840 --> 01:02:09,599
fifty degrees every day, I will, I'm going to be

1269
01:02:09,599 --> 01:02:12,679
in heaven. I don't like two degrees, but like forty

1270
01:02:12,719 --> 01:02:15,480
fifty degrees in the fall New y Upstate, New York

1271
01:02:15,480 --> 01:02:17,440
in the fall, that's best time of year to live here,

1272
01:02:17,519 --> 01:02:21,960
so I'm excited for the fall. Got it all right, guys,

1273
01:02:22,280 --> 01:02:24,199
have a great day everyone. We'll see you guys tomorrow

1274
01:02:24,320 --> 01:02:24,960
nine am Eastern.

1275
01:02:25,000 --> 01:02:25,920
Speaker 2: For more total bases,