Speaker 1: Happy Thursday, guys. Welcome into puck Time on wager Talk TV.
It is time to go over a handful of picks
in the NHL best bet sides, totals, team totals, props,
all that good stuff right here on puck Time, myself
Andrew McGinnis, Carma and Bianco my co host as always,
and Brian Leonard. I told you, guys yesterday, he is
not in the bullpen. He's pretty much a starting pitcher
with us here on puck Time. We got him in
the roster with us again today. Look, it was a
smaller slate on Wednesday, we told you it was going
to be a profitable one. Well, we cash some tickets
and nice underdog ticket as well as Brian and I
both liked the Rangers in that underdog spot. Although the
price went down. It was a pretty good Wednesday. Let's
try and make it a pretty good Thursday here, guys
and carm we'll give you an excuse for missing yesterday's show.
You know what, you gotta feel like a kid again.
And I know that you are a diehard football fan
and you were able to get tickets yesterday. So that's awesome, man.
Speaker 2: Yeah, man, I'm telling you. I was watching the show
yesterday and trying to comment while I was in Q
on the line. And if you've ever been in Q
for any of these tickets, kind of like the World
Series ones, you have to know that you have to
grab your tickets and check out as quick as possible
because the games sell out. So, I mean Q, I'm
just gonna mention this real quick because we had a
lot to cover, I mean Q. And I'm reading some
of the stuff on the X from people who had
a window to buy their tickets andrew an hour earlier
than me, and they're all bitching frozen screens, white screens.
They go to check out, not enough time. The prices
are higher than what it shows the lowest available ticket prices.
And that helped me because I knew, let me get
in there. I'm just going to snag a bunch of
tickets for the group stage games, the knockout stage games.
Hit check out. And then I even called while I
was in Q Visa to let them know that a
bunch of charges were coming through in my card to
not deny them. They are not fraudulent, They're coming from
FIFA in Europe. Got in, snagged my tickets and got
out and I was so happy. So I'm gonna get
to go see a bunch of World Cup games. I
could only get the ones in Canada, so I have
a friend who's gonna work with me and getting the
ones in the US, and I'll be traveling throughout the
US to watch some games as well too. A big
congrats to you and Andrew. I went to sleep early.
I had Utahon regulation. They were down two to one
at the end of the second period, but you were
sweating a five percent play on the New Jersey team total.
And I woke up to all these messages and I'm like,
oh shit, did the play lose? And I look and
I see Utah scored four goals in the third period,
so I win mine. I see you got a nice
overtime victory. It overtime has been good to the two
of us this week. So the regulations on hitting that
five percent.
Speaker 1: Man o t magic. You gotta love it. Thanks carm
And you know it's funny because I'll be real the
team totals. You know, that was the thing that I
adopted last year, and man, did it go well for
me last year. And the best part I always say
about it is the prices right. But then I was
thinking to myself when that game was one to one,
I was like, at the Devils end up winning this game,
like two to one or three one, I'm gonna go
crazy because I put that team total out so I
need four. So three to three going to overtime was
about as best as it was going to get because
some team was going to have to score four to
win the game. So regardless of what was going to happen,
they were gonna have to score four once I saw,
you know, them give up the third goals, so it
was nice to see. But Karma, I'll tell you what.
I never thought a defenseman would score a hat trick
in that game. I thought maybe Jack Hughes or Hesher
or Meyer or those guys would score the goals. But
Simonemich gets a hat trick. I think it's the third
career ever New Jersey Devil defenseman to get out.
Speaker 2: Did you say, mo Simone Simone? Oh? Simon thought, as
in momentum.
Speaker 1: Momentum is in the building. But I'll tell you, Carl,
you want to talk about momentum, And that's what we
always say about sports betting, is that Look, if I
would have lost that pit pick last night, and a
lot of people have bought that. Now, I would have
let a lot of people down and would have let
myself down. But I watched that whole game, and I
was banking on some regression from Spencer Night. But eventually,
and Brian and I talked about this on the show.
We had a good conceptual conversation about you know, when
to start fading teams, when to start jumping on them.
I didn't think that Chicago was going to be able
to sustain what they were doing, like they've improved, but men,
they're defensive numbers. They're still giving up so many chances.
But I'll tell you one of the best trades that
we saw last year that has to be taken into
consideration right now at this point is the Spencer Night
trade with Seth Jones. Seth Jones went on to win
a Stanley Cup. But you now have a future goaltender
with the Blackhawks for many, many many years to come,
and young superstars like Badard they need their goaltender and
now they have one with Spencer Night. So super excited.
Thank you, Carmen, and you Cash. You continue to be
on a roll as well with Utah. Today, we're going
to look at Anaheim and Detroit Dallas, visiting my Montreal
Canadians after they got their butts kicked against the Kings.
Brian's going to dissect the Oilers and the Blue Jackets game,
and we'll take a look at the Islanders, and maybe
we'll get Brian's thoughts as well on the Vegas game
as well.
Speaker 2: We have to. And then I have a pod play
that is going to make you guys think that I've
been drinking early this morning, or I have a couple
shots of Bailey's in this coffee, but I really don't.
The shot of Bailey's is coming up in segment number four.
That's Brian Leonard. He is the shot of Bailey's. But
it is an interesting one. It is a plus money one,
and we'll see if we get there. And then we'll
also talk some news happening in the NHL as well too, Andrew.
But let's kick it off man Detroit and Anaheim Wings
minus one thirty three at home, Ducks plus one ten.
And I know a lot of people are thinking, Andrew
the Ducks plus one ten. They're playing so well right now,
except for that loss in that loss in Colorado. How
are you breaking this one down? Six and a half
seems a little high for me in this one.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's just like what you said there, Karl, Like,
I think that very similar to what we saw as
the price in Colorado. A lot of people are going
to look at this game and say, are you kidding me?
I'm gonna be able to get Anaheim at this price.
And I think that this price is priced accordingly for
a reason, you know, very similar to the Blackhawks. I
will say that I think we're going to start seeing
that defensive regression come in from the Anaheim Ducks. We've
been waiting on it and it hasn't really come quite yet,
but this could be an opportunity to do so with them.
And I'll tell you what, when you look at this
Red Wings team, they should not be happy with their
last couple results, right. They got shut out against the Knights,
poor effort against the Rangers, and then a poor effort
against the Blackhawks. I don't want to find myself constantly
trying to look to bet on teams that have not
been playing well. But this has to be a pretty
good situation for it. And now you also look at
that revenge spot as well. The last time these teams met,
and we're at that point in the year now where
we're you know, a month and a half in where
you are seeing teams get that revenge not just within
their own division, but within different conferences as well. That's
the case here. The last time these teams met in Anaheim,
it was five to two, just a couple weeks ago.
I lean towards this Detroit side here, Karm. I do
lean towards it, but I think that you know, if
you're looking towards it under you got to look probably
towards some type of team total under it. So I
do think the winner of this game has to score
four goals, so four or five for the winner. But
I think Detroit can utilize the fact they have the
last change in this one. I think that they're going
to be extremely hungry, and most importantly, they have not
played a game since Sunday, so I do like that
rest factor for them as well. So it's gonna be interesting, Karm.
And the odds tell you all you have to know.
Like I truthfully regret not playing on the Avalanche the
other day. It would have had to have been a
team total or a regulation or some type of play.
But how many people I talked about it with Brian yesterday,
how many people saw that Anaheim price against Colorado and
lined up at the window thinking they had the best
underdog bet of the year. And then Colorado said, Hey,
you might be next to us in the standings, doesn't
mean you're nearly as good as us, and they certainly
flex their muscles on them.
Speaker 2: Yeah. No, I agree with you on that. And that's
the thing is when a team that last year didn't
have a lot of success, all of a sudden comes
out of the gate and they're winning a lot of
games and they're playing extremely well. We sort of look at,
you know, that small sample size, and you know, we're
almost twenty five percent of the season gone, we're like
eighteen games into the season. But you see that and
you think that this is something that's just going to
happen throughout the rest of the year. It did for
the Washington Capitals last year. But I think the Washington
Capitals last year were a much better team if you
want to compare them to Anaheim this year, I think
Washington was a lot better. If we're doing a side
by side comparison, Listen and I'm is gonna win some games.
They got a better coaching staff with Joel Quinnville, but
it's one of those ones where they're going to go
through some losing skids and this could be the start
of one I talk about. You know, they went into
that game against Colorado having won nine of ten ten
games if you use that sample size, and then they
lose four to one in Colorado and now they make
the trip to Detroit to face the Red Wings. You
know me, Andrew, I'm one of those ones that when
a team is on a win streak and they lose
a game, I like to come right back on them
to lose another game. And conversely, it's the other way around.
A team on a losing streak. Once they win a game,
it's like that monkeys off their back, they play a
little looser. They're not making sawdust out of that stick
by holding it's all tight. So with that said, I
like Detroit in this one. But even if you look
at the analytics. Detroit went to Anaheim towards the end
of the road trip on October thirty. First, they lose
that game five to two. The analytics high danger chances.
I think even the shots on goal. We're all in
Detroit's favor in that one, despite losing five to two.
It was four point Let me see if I can
bring this up real quick the extreme I gained four
point zero seven to three point five to seven for
the Red Wings. Now that's close. It's a half goal off,
but a five to two final score. You get an
empty netter, you get a power play goal, you get
a short handed goal by Anaheim. They basically scored every
goal every way possible against the Red Wings, who were
again at the tail end of a road trips. So uh,
Detroit to bounce back here. It is Gibson confirmed, and
we don't know who's in goal yet for Anaheim, although
they are showing expected as Marazik. So we'll go with
that one, Andrew. But it is Detroit for me minus
one thirty three.
Speaker 1: You know, Karmen, and I wanted to mention I love
that that XG stuff, because you're right, despite despite what
the final score was, Detroit did look really good in
that meeting. But look, I like, I don't want to
get a habit of going against really good goaltenders. And
I've been using a lot more websites lately to look
towards advanced metrics for goaltenders. Marazik is probable as they
have listed. As you mentioned, he's three and oh on
the year, but a four point five to six gaa
eight six four save percentage. And I'll tell you what,
if we can go against this Anaheim team without Lucas Dostell,
it's a huge win because you know, looking at money Puck,
looking at the goaltending situations here, and this is coming
from a guy that faded Spencer Knight, who I just
said has been unbelievable. When you look at the top
three goalies in goals saved above expected this season, Connor
Hallibuck is up there number one spot. He's always up there,
Spencer Knight and Lucas Dostell. So two young teams with
Chicago and Anaheim very much so working off of great goaltending.
And don't get me wrong, Anaheim has been improved. I'm
not saying that. People in my comment section on my
night show just really don't think. I like this Ducks team.
But when you are constantly relying on good goaltending karm,
it can hurt you. So as much as I like
to look at some of these statistics for goalies and
see who's been playing well. I also want to look
at who could potentially be regressing because some of these
numbers just simply aren't sustainable. So getting Marazik versus getting
Dostell is a pretty big w for us. I would say,
if we like the Wings in this game, karme.
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I think so. And a good mention of
the goalies Andrew before we get to this next game,
the Montreal Canadians, who you seem to have a real
affection for, against the Dallas Stars, who I liked at
least in their last game because they cast five percent
for me. And thank you coach Rich for that comment
and comment section. We talk about goalies, and we're not
covering this game but Toronto and Toronto plays Yelly Kings
tonight and there's a lot of news coming out this morning,
so I want to cover that. Austin Matthews out for
the Leafs tonight with an injury. In that game, he
took a cross check into the boards from What's Zadorov?
Was this Zadorov and the Leafs never reacted. It wasn't
until Domey a little later on in the game win
toe to toe with someone. But I want to talk
about Anthony Stollarts real quickly. Anthony Stollarts out the Leafs
have called up. I guess he's a Russian goalie because
I cannot pronounce this guy's name. If you asked me,
I could reach into a serial box of alphabets, pull
out the letters and have a better chance of pronouncing
it than I can this guy's name. But he's called
up Hill Deby's gonna start tonight for the Leafs. Ever since, Andrew,
ever since the game Toronto played against Seattle where Anthony
Stollart's called out his team and specifically William Nielander because
Neelander wasn't back checking the crack and scored a goal
and then wanted an overtime. Since calling out his team,
you would think that the team would step up for
the goalie. Four point zero zero goals against average, seven
to sixty seven save percentage for Anthony stole Arts for
the Toronto Maple Leafs. That is ugly. You don't see
seven point sixty seven save percentages very often unless it's
me between the pipes. But with that said, we'll see
what happens tonight with those two teams. But Montreal and
Dallas Andrew, I'm gonna let you go first on this
one because you already know what I'm going on this one,
So give me your thoughts.
Speaker 1: You know, Karen, I think I know what you're going,
and I'm gonna go half of what I think you're going.
So we don't want to have the same play here.
So look, in the last game, I talked about maybe
a potential play on the first period under one and
a half goals or no goal in the first ten minutes,
and both those ended up looking pretty good even though
there were a ton of chances in the Kings and
Canadians game. One thing about this Montreal Canadians team, as
I try and remain at least the slightest bit of
unbiased here, when it comes to the Montreal Canadians KRM.
They've looked good this year so far, but a lot
of the wins they have had this season have come
against non playoff opponents. I believe something along the lines
of like twelve of their next fourteen games are against
teams that have made the playoffs last year, which is
gonna be a huge change for this team. But I
think that when you look at this Montreal Canadians team,
they looked flat, they looked lethargic, they lacked energy. They
created some chances, but after those chances weren't going in
against a great goalie with Darcy Kemper who's having a
good year, they seem frustrated, and then the La Kings
walked all over them in this game. I'm looking for
a fast start in this game. I do like the
over one and a half in the first period, and
I also like the over in the full game. Here
this Dallas Stars team coming off a game which made
you very happy because they well didn't have the best start.
They went down the first period, then the second period,
they get on the board, third period, got on the
board and win the game in overtime. They're gonna want
to a better start as well, especially offensively. They can't
be waiting too long into games to get their offense going.
So I like goals in this game overall. I like
goals early in this one. And I actually have two
player props from this game in my props parlay today
at the end of the show. But Carl, it's gonna
be very interesting because we're gonna find out we're gonna
get some Put it this way, We're gonna get some
really good prices involving the Montreal Canadians in the next
two and a half to three weeks. So if people
think they're the real deal, or you like the team totals,
you want to bet on them, you're gonna find out
what kind of team they are. But if you think
this team is gonna finally show that regression, this might
be the chance to do it, because when you talk
about schedule forecasting, it's not easy for them. They had
La Tuesday, Dallas tonight, They've got Boston on Saturday. Who
would have thought Boston would be a tough opponent. You know,
there's some tougher matchups next week. It's always tough against
the Leafs, even though they're not playing well right now,
and then they go on a West Coast road trip.
So not gonna be easy for this team. Carm I
think I know where you're going with your play, But
do you agree with me that there's gonna be some
desperation in the air tonight?
Speaker 2: Yeah? You know, we always, Andrew, we always seem to
reference on the shows. You know, teams schedules and how
they're playing, and you can only beat the teams in
front of you. The important thing for the Montreal Canadians
is number one is to stay healthy throughout the year.
Easier said than done. Injuries happen because you start to
worry about depth. But winning those games against non playoff
teams is actually a good thing. If you were losing
those games against non playoff teams, then you would have
to worry. The whole idea is to accumulate as many
points as you can get before the year turns to
twenty six twenty twenty six, and you stay in that
top eight to make that push. The farther the teams
behind you fall back, the better it is. You know,
I talked about, you know a couple of years ago.
Making up seven points in the final half of the
season doesn't seem like much, but it is. It is.
It's very hard to make those teams those points up,
especially when you have to leap frog teams. So as
far as Montreal Canadians go, now, if you look at
this game here, mine is going to be a first
period play on Montreal and only because this has been
a profitable angle Montreal Canadians this year in the first
twenty minutes of a game, and this is the money line.
The two way money line. In sixteen games, eight times
they've had the lead, six times, they've been tied, and
only twice have they trailed after the opening twenty minutes.
As far as units go, if you're just flat betting
the Montreal Canadians on the first period money line, you're
up five point three to five units. At home, they've
played eight games, They've been ahead after eight games after
the open twenty minutes. They've been ahead in five games,
trailing once and tied twice at the end of twenty minutes.
Again profitable, a small loss, a small profit loss on
Dallas if you're betting them in those similar situations. So
it's the Montrealkanies for me. But also if you look
at that game against Ottawa, you know, the game against Ottawa,
that was Ottawa's game and they lost it. They got
out to an early deed, Dallas didn't look like they
had the legs in the opening twenty minutes, and Ottawa
got those two goals and then just allowed Dallas back
into the game. And in the third period, Dallas outshot
Ottawa seventeen to sey tie it up, send it to overtime,
and they had My good buddy Mo with them. So
with that said, a similar start by Dallas here in
Montreal is gonna have the lead after twenty minutes. So
give me the Montreal Canadians first period of moneyline.
Speaker 1: Let's go first period. And you know it's important, especially
after a game they had. It's important how a team
can respond KRM. So hey, maybe you don't trust them
for the full game, but it's all right, first period,
first period.
Speaker 2: I have too many I have too many other games
I need to watch.
Speaker 1: You know.
Speaker 2: The thing is, I won't even be watching hockey tonight, Andrew.
I may be checking the scores on my phone, but
I am going downtown to b Mofield. The Canadian national
team soccer team is playing against Ecuador. So I am
taking my wife, who's a huge fan as well too,
bringing a couple of friends, and we're going to watch
the game. So it's gonna be a little chilly, but
they have coffee, they have hot chocolate. I'll be fine.
They have ciders, they have beer, everything warm to keep
you everything you need to keep you warm. Maybe I'll
see Austin Matthews there, since he's not in the lineup
for the Leafs tonight. Maybe I'll come and catch a
soccer game and see how it feels to have a
team that wins. Andrew, we got to bring this guy in. Man,
he did a fantastic job of hosting co hosting yesterday
with you. Look at him. He's wearing the Buster colors
today too. Just to rub it in the orange red
whatever it is. The shot of Bailey's and Everyone's coffee.
Brian Leonard, Welcome to the show.
Speaker 1: Good day for us yesterday on the show, not a
bad day.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's I really enjoyed that being in one of
the hosts. If any if you guys ever get tired
and need a day off, Yeah, that was fun.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 3: This is actually Cleveland Brown's shirt and I wear it inside.
I'm embarrassed to wear it outside. So I'm getting some
use out of it being on the show today.
Speaker 5: Right.
Speaker 2: We're gonna keep you on for a couple of segments
because we got the Golden Knights that Andrew and I
are gonna discuss. But anytime, anytime we're talking Golden Knights,
we have to go to you. You live there, You're
on the pulse of what the Golden Knights are and
what they're doing. But before that, you have got to
play on the Edmonton Oilers Columbus Blue Jackets, two teams
that just played a little while ago in Oil Country.
Minus won ten both ways. I'm seen on the early
morning line. Six and a half is the total. How
are you breaking this one down?
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm a big believer in looking at the schedules,
just as you gentlemen are. And you know, all these
teams are playing their third game in four days. The
Oilers actually in a back to back situation. Edmonton not
lasted the Flyers last night two to one in overtime
in Philadelphia. And you know that's a seventh extra time
game for Edmonton their last twelve contests. So even though
they're playing a lot of games, a lot of them
are extra time, so they should be pretty pretty tired
right here. They're in the midst of a seven game
road trip and that's all being played in a eleven
day span. So they've had a real tough schedule coming
up lately in a lot of games, and the seven
you know, obviously even going to be worse coming up.
So I think it's going to be plenty of time
to fade a team that went to the championship last year.
We're getting some good numbers against them. I preferred the
Philadelphia side yesterday. I didn't have that kind of success
that Andrew had in overtime. But it's it's a situation
here that, you know, you take a look at the season.
The Oilers have been outscored by nine goals and they're
four to three and three their last ten contests. I'm
not a big believer in momentum. They are winning, but
I still don't think they're playing well. And you know,
you got Columbus team on the other hand, they're minus
one on the season in the neck gold apartment, but
ten of the sixteen games have been on the road.
They're five to four and won their last ten contests.
And it's the first game back in Columbus for the
Blue Jackets after disappointing one to four trip. And normally
we look to fade teams returning home from a winning trip,
but that's not the case here. In fact, I mentioned
it said one of the times I was on about
I was really impressed by the way Columbus went into
Seattle last game of a trip. There were zero to four.
Seattle was a team looking for a victory, and Columbus
went over time and got that victory. That tells me
a lot about the heart of this Columbus team. And
if you take a look at the way the two
teams have played all season long, I think Columbus is
the better team, at least the way they've been playing
now at the end of the season. Obviously I said
this yesterday, Edmonton's going to be one of the teams
that gets there. But they struggled last year at the
beginning of the season and got hot late. We're seeing
them do the same thing here in the pickup situation.
I really want to fade Edmonton. They put a lot
time on the ice in the last week or so
and they've got to leaven tough schedule coming up. I
prefer Columbus in this matchup.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I gotta say there, Brian too with that one.
Like it was yesterday on the show, I talked with
you about, Hey, maybe if they didn't deserve to win
their game the the Oilers, they were gonna least come
in with some momentum and maybe they created some chances,
but their offense wasn't really there, So maybe it was
just a one off that comeback against against CBJ. And
we'll see if they you know, the price wise, it's
hard to argue it here. I mean looking at the
dog in this one. I mean, based on what they've
done all year, it's hard to argue. How about your
Vegas Golden Knights. This is a team that you know,
we talk a lot about momentum on this show, and
you know this is a team that kind of gets
red hot, cools down, gets red hot. I swear you
never really see this Night's team being a win one,
lose one type of team there. They seem to either
be one or the other. Brian, what do you think
about this game for them tonight? Is it a good
spot for the Vegas Golden Knights.
Speaker 4: Yeah, they've been very streaky this year. I'll be honest.
Speaker 3: I came out here a few days ago and I said,
I think the schedule sets up for Vegas to be
in a really good spot. They had that revenge against
Florida and they fell down two to nothing in that game.
Now to struggle late to try to get back into it.
They did the same thing in the other game. I'm
perplexed by.
Speaker 4: This Vegas team.
Speaker 3: I've had a really good feel about them ever since
we got season tickets in the opening year, but right
now it's not. They're not playing like they normally do.
You get a veteran team, and they've always been since
the beginning when they had a lot of young guys,
but the last few years have been a very veteran team.
And when you expect a veteran team to come out
and play well, they do. This year they have not.
That's a major concern. The Islanders are playing very well
right now. They're coming into Okans going to get the
start for the Islanders, and he's been very good against
Golden or against the old Golden Knights. I believe he's
undefeated in his lifetime. I think he's four and oh
in Vegas, so he's coming in. He's playing very well lately.
So he's against a lifetime against the Golden Knights. He's
got a nine to thirty nine save percentage of one
to ninety six goals against. So Vegas has having problems
scoring going up against a guy who's hot, and he's
had success against them in the past. The only thing
that is a situation for Vegas to want to look
at them. Number one is the scheduling situation. I believe
should be a profitable one for him. But when Tee
I mentioned this. One of the other times I was
on somebody posts this stat night and I forgot who
it was. It may have been the Vegas Golden Knights
website something to do with that. But they talked about
how Vegas does at home when the other team comes
in with the day rest and two days arrest, and
in two days arrest, the teams are terrible in Vegas.
Now they got here, they've been well. They came in
on Tuesday, they practiced yesterday. Spending two days in Vegas
is a big deal for a lot of teams.
Speaker 6: Now.
Speaker 4: They do play hockey in.
Speaker 3: New York, So New York is another one, very similar
to like a Miami type of thing, where there's plenty
of things to do. But that's somewhat of a concern.
I would be on the Islanders. I would be on
the Islanders if they didn't have the Knights FROMU on
there on right now. But I can't trust the Knights,
so I'm going to be sitting this one out. I
may play the Knights team total under because since Vegas
has got you know, since their starter went out, they've
got to use two younger guys and their offense has suffered,
but maybe Vegas minus under under three and a half
team total, something to that effect. But overall, this is
a team right now that I'm just frustrated on because
they're not playing the way they normally do and usually,
And you guys know your teams. You know your Montreal,
you know your Toronto, you know your Buffaloes. Speaking of Buffalo,
that's a deserved line in this one tonight. I'm not
gonna lay three fifty or three eighty or whatever it
is on Colorado, but Jesus at Buffalo to bat.
Speaker 4: But yeah, Vegas here, yeah, yeah, I know. I just
I don't know out of nowhere.
Speaker 2: I don't know how they just started started suddenly playing
so bad, the Sabers. But it is, as our good
friend in the chat, TJ. Salvator will always say it
is his favorite goalie starting tonight, Uko Peca Lukenan for
the Buffalo Sabers. They use their other goalie last night,
Colton Ellis. I think it is. I think I pronounced
his name right against the Mammoth. But Brian, you know,
I just wanted to mention because no one's mentioned in
the chat yet, and they always ask about like that,
Vegas first period over During the first ten or fifteen
games of the season, it's profitable, but then it kind
of died down, and it has for Vegas overall. In
the first period. The over is ten and six in
Vegas game six and three at home, ten and six
four the Islanders overall four and four on the road.
Those numbers just don't put any confidence on taking the
over one and a half in this one. And then
they even looked at the big and books have priced
it a lot lower than what the Vegas ones have
been in the past. This season I think was that
minus one twenty five, which is pretty much as low
as I've seen a Vegas first period over.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Vegas, the reasons to why the first periods are
going over is because they're giving up a goal early.
Speaker 4: They've done that.
Speaker 3: I talked about this for a while and they went
two games where they scored the first goal, and like
I said, the Florida game, they give up the first
two goals. Last time out, they gave up the goals
to an Anaheim when they played them. So, yeah, it's
the Vegas defense in the first period that's been struggling.
The offense has been struggling the entire time, and when
they play a veteran team, and we saw this when
they played Tampa Bay. We saw this when they played Florida.
They just cannot get down into the other oppositions spots
to get set up on offense. They're they're taking too
many shots from up above from the defensive guys. They
just they just can't get into their own game plan.
And I don't know if it's just having new guys around,
And you know, obviously Marner's a big, big key to that,
but he's very good what he brings it in. He
brings it in better than anybody in Nipael's very good
at that. But those two guys are the only ones
that can do it. And right now, without with Stone
being injured, he's he's basically their best two way player.
Without him that, the power play has been terrible, and
I don't trust the Vegas offense. Defensively, Yeah, they've been
pretty good considering the goalies, and the goalies have done
a pretty nice job. Schmid I believe will be going tonight.
Speaker 4: It's his turn.
Speaker 3: They've been switching them off back and forth, and he's
been the better of the two. So yeah, I wouldn't
play that experiit over.
Speaker 1: Both teams are rested here. Both teams haven't played since Monday.
So a lot of times I do like to look
towards that with unders for some teams. But again I've
talked about on the show. I can't find myself backing
too many teams that are in desperate situations. But Vegas
they're a hot or cold team here. Guys, they either
win or they lose. They're not I swear to God.
This team never wins a game, then loses a game,
wins the game. They're either they're either playing well or
they're not right now. So but this Islanders team, KRM.
You've talked about this team and pressing you offensively a
bit this season. Do you think they're going to ultimately
at the end of the season maybe be a better
home team than road team and it won't even be close?
Like they do have some younger guys in the team,
that their offense has gotten better. We got to give
them credit. But do you think that maybe there there
could be a road home split to be said about
this Islanders team?
Speaker 2: Yeah? I think so. When you when you look at
that and in years past they been like that. Andrew again.
You know, I have to sort of harp on the
same thing. We're in the first quarter of the season.
There's a lot of NHL to play and a lot
is going to change. But some teams are playing some
exciting hockey and you want to try and make some
money off of them, kind of like the Anaheim Ducks.
But you look at the Anaheim Ducks and you know
they're sitting on what twenty three points, twenty four points
something like that. Their projected point total was eighty four,
so they're on pace to definitely eclipse that number. Teams
like Pittsburgh are starting to drop off a little bit.
And the worry something for the Pittsburgh Penguins when we
look at it, and I'll get to that and in
a second, is the Pittsburgh Penguins are going to be
a seller at the trade deadline. This isn't a team
that's going to go all in and get rid of
assets to try and make to try and win a
wild card spot in seventh or eighth, because they're not
going to finish top three in the metro to make
a playoff run. Sid's gonna end up somewhere, Malcolm gonna
end up somewhere. I have to believe that these guys
move and uh and uh Kyle Dubis accumulates some assets
to rebuild that team, and maybe they do get to
get lucky and get that number one pick. And McKenna
so you know what that said. Even the San Jose
Sharks winning games, but come on, realistically, the Sharks are
likely going to finish last in the league. So as
far as I'm concerned, UH, the Islanders Andrew Matt Schaeffer,
the guy wasn't even on the Buffalo. The worst, the
worst thing that could happen to the Buffalo Savers is
they they they They're in the lottery with the best
chance to win and finish second. And the number one
pick that year was Connor McDavid. Imagine the trajectory of
that man's uh career if he had to play in Buffalo,
he would not have changed the team.
Speaker 1: If I'm Gavin McKenna and the Buffalo Sabers win the
ath lottery, I'm going back to Pennon State for one
more year. I'm not.
Speaker 4: I'm calling Eli Manning on them, right.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, exactly, yeah, do pull out in, Eric Lindross,
I will not play for this team. Uh, and don't
draft me, and uh it happens. Uh, It's just it's
just the way it is. The Islanders, you know, they're
a fun team to watch when they're scoring goals. When
they're not scoring goals, not so much fun. My friend
of mine has season tickets to the New York Islanders.
I don't know why he puts himself through that pain,
but it is, it is what it is. It's kind
of like Lee fans in the playoffs. My friends every
year they're they're already buying parade tickets and then they
get knocked out in the first round of the playoffs.
Speaker 4: Just think that's that we'll save this year.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, Brian, what do you have up to promote
at wager Talk today?
Speaker 3: Well, we lost our game yesterday now seven to two
in hockey. Still a pretty good run we want in
Uh the MAAC again. I had Toledo just been dominating
the MAC. I believe we're on it. Twenty nine and
thirteen run in college football right now, number one the
last six weeks in college football. Loving the card this week,
and I got to start putting some of those up.
We still have that. I believe they're going to have
the deal for the whole weekend in football, so we'll
looking forward to that. Actually swept the NFL last week
and that doesn't happen very often, so very happy about that.
Everything's going really well. But I don't have the same
luck in overtime as as Andrew does. But I'm going
to have two plays up in hockey today and I'll
be putting those up after the show.
Speaker 1: So, Ryan, you almost did if the player wasn't offside,
if the player wasn't offside, you almost did have the luck.
That was brutal. That was brutal. That of course, that's
how that's how the Oilers get a victory, is you know,
an offside call going in their favor. And Gary Bettman
called in and said, we can't have McDavid on a
losing streak here. We need to get to we need
to get to some wins. But yeah, not just hockey,
Brian football as well. You're getting the job done. Who
doesn't like Monday night football? Well, how about Wednesday night football.
That's the that's the NCAA for you right now.
Speaker 4: That's right. Yeah, it's it's.
Speaker 3: Been really good all week long and we've done very well.
Any smaller conferences over the years of Sunbelt and everything,
and those are the ones that play during the week.
And yeah, very very excited for the another week. We've
been on a really good run on Saturdays too, So
you're not complain at all.
Speaker 2: No, you can't, man, keep on lying. Yeah, yeah, I
may come. I think my next trip to Vegas, Andrew,
I'm usually there at this time of the year. I'm
not Money's going somewhere else, but May May is probably
my next trip to Vegas. I'll head down there just
before the World Cup, get a bunch of futures plays in,
sign up for the Circa millions in Survivor, make my
annual donation, and then move on from there. But let's
talk same game parlay and pod. Do you have a
seen game party, mister graphics guy.
Speaker 1: We have a same game parlay car and we are
off a big winner last night. Were big winner last night.
It's funny. I've given out ones at like plus three hundred,
plus four hundred, and those ones haven't hit, and then
the two that I gave out at ten to one
or higher, those have been the ones that I've hit
so far, which is kind of funny. But the shot
props went really well yesterday those were sweat free. But
I will admit you gotta be lucky to be good
and to hit some of these same gamers or the
prop parlays, whatever we're calling them. And it was an
empty net goal assists for Logan Cooley that cashed our ticket.
But guys, again, we're sprinkling on these. We're sprinkling on
these every single time, and all we got to do
is hit maybe one a week. Two a week is
a bonus, especially with a price like this one. So
we got a handful of legs in this parlay. Cadri
to get a point, Farrabee to get a point, those
two guys playing on the same line. Of course, Hudson
to get an assist. He's done very well against Dallas
Suzuki to get one point. I feel like the captain
will step up after they got destroyed against the La Kings.
Bathurson two plus shots on goal tonight against the Boston Bruins,
Bruins actually giving up some of the most shots on
goal in the entire league. And Shane Pinto Pinto parlay
at at least one plus point. As Pinto just signed
a deal today carm and maybe he'll celebrate by signing
that deal and get some points for his team to
prove why he deserved that contract. So plus thirteen fifty
four guys, and of course you can see the top
right corner at McGinnis picks. I'm always tweeting these out.
I'm tweeting out props, I'm tweeting out live plays. But
I like this one quite a bit. So let's go
back to back. Let's go back to back Farbe Hudson, Suzuki,
Bathson and Pinto. We got a comment from Steve asking
about straight bets for some of these. The only thing
is is that some of these are alternative numbers, right,
So the Bathurston one with two plus shots on goal,
his regular number is three. I don't want anybody laying
minus two to twenty karm on a single prop bet.
That's why it's in the parlay. But hey, the laye
Hudson assists the fair bee prop all that stuff. With
the ones that are good prices, help yourself go ahead
and definitely take those straight if you'd like to. But
these are more of a little sprinkle, more of a
little sprinkle on these parlays, and we'll try and make
some money if you guys, notice we're always trying to
match the lines, and we're always trying to get some
head to head data and all that good stuff. So yeah,
I'm monkey. We are not looking at minus two twenty
two twenty player products. But let's keep it going, guys,
let's go back to back. Let's go back to back. Karm,
you have a bank a play. It's in a game
that I featured actually in my prop parlay, so hopefully
we both have success in that game. But what do
you have for us for today's pod play?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the odds on that ticket plus thirteen
fifty four. That's also Dan Alexandri. He has one of
those amex what are those black ones called the ones
that have like no prespect set spending limit. That's his
PIN number for that card, X block or whatever. Then
you're there.
Speaker 5: Pretty sure credit cards don't have pins, car, but nice
track shot.
Speaker 1: They actually they do in Canada. That's actually always forget
about that stuff.
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's a lot easier to steal somebody's identity in
the US. You know, you know, want to get the
credit card, you get the ID and you don't need
no pin.
Speaker 1: Dan, I gotta say since you're on here and you
mentioned that, and I know that people that could go
from America go to Canada is going to be things
to piss them off. Nothing that makes me more mad
When I'm at a bar in the States and I
have to sign a paper every time I buy something.
Every time I'm at a bar, I I don't want
to every time I buy a drink, I don't want
to sign a paper, So I just want them to
keep the tab open. You don't have to do that.
That's what I do. But I'm not usually a tab
guy always, but every single time I buy a drink,
I don't want to sign something. Yeah, that's I can
play with my phone that bad. That's why.
Speaker 5: That's why I just that's why I just have KRM
buy all my drinks, and I just say this one
all good.
Speaker 2: I gave. I gave Dan and Andy Lang one hundred
and fifty drink tickets at the chance. They never stood
a chance. I come back and all the drink tickets
are gone that I can.
Speaker 6: Get karm Is I would you would be like, oh, yeah,
you just go up there and places it bet at
the sports book and then you know you can ask
him for drink tickets and then you know, I would
go up there, I bet the same amount the karm
would bet, and then then they would hand me a
drink ticket.
Speaker 2: Karm would go up, make a bat.
Speaker 1: They get like fifty.
Speaker 2: It was it was preferential treatment. Car. There was pref
it was I'm not gonna lie. It was a couple
of guys that work there at Westgates. The dude like me,
they watched the show, so kudos to them, I won't.
Speaker 5: I think it was something about the hair. I think
they were like, well, Karen doesn't have.
Speaker 1: Any we gotta get that drink tick. It's Dan has
a great head of hair.
Speaker 2: I gotta get my makeup person to uh to get
that shine off my dome. But with that said, Dan,
before I get into my Dan, before I get into
my my pod play that everyone is waiting for, I
gotta tell you a story. Guys, real quick. This is
the funniest thing I have ever If you're a Seinfeld fan,
this sounds remotely familiar to Seinfeld an episode. A guy
here north of the border and probably about like thirty
minutes from where I live, steals a bus filled with passengers, Yes,
a bus filled with passengers because the driver stopped to
get a drink or something, take a quick break, gets
off the bus, closes the door. This guy enters the bus,
steals the bus and continues to make all of the
stops when people were ringing the bell and he's letting
them out. Then some guy tries to get on the
bus with an expired pass and he refuses to let
him on and makes him pay the cash fare. This
is a guy who eventually they caught up to the
bus and they arrested him. Can you imagine this guy
steals a bus, makes all the stops, refuses to let
a guy on because his pass is expired. Only in Canada?
Would that happen?
Speaker 1: I couldn't believe that. I saw that headline too. He
steals the bus but still picks people up. That's priceless.
He's like, yeah, I'm gonna steal this bus, but I'm
gonna still do my job. I'm gonna still do the
job of the bus. You gotta love that you got.
Speaker 2: All right with that?
Speaker 1: Okay, there might be worse than Brian's hair today. Whoa, Hey,
you know guys, the reason why Dan has a black
screen right now? Right, I don't know if Dan's done
the full. Uh.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm the man of mystery today.
Speaker 6: I'm the man of mystery.
Speaker 4: Early morning here in southern California.
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's in solitary, solitary confinement. They give him the uh,
they give him the stuff to run the show, but
they don't give him any lights. So that's just goes
to show he is.
Speaker 1: I swear people don't like Dan saying, oh, he doesn't
want I didn't want to see him. I have no
idea what BedHead or what what he's thought, what he's
dealing with. But I don't know if anybody else can
relate to this, and I don't know if you guys
can relate to this. But I don't mean to do
this on purpose. My girlfriend always says if she says
something like, oh I like that shirt, then I were
about to go out somewhere, she's like, you changed, Or
if she says to me, oh I like that you
have long hair, I went and got a haircut the
next day, she's like, I swear to god, I don't
know what the point of me saying I like what
you have going with something, because I just it's almost
like I don't even want the compliment. And when I
look at Dan's hair and I think of how long
he grew that hair. I don't know that I'd be
able to have it in me to grow my hair
for like longer than like a month. Like I'm like,
I think I have hair too long right now, like
usually I'm getting the haircut and so I'm dealing with
it right now, Like I literally yesterday my girlfriend was
like a good of haircut. I'm like, ah, if I don't.
Speaker 2: Know, I'm gonna talk about my pod play now, my
pod play loses, I will shave my head. All right,
O R Jay God bless you man. All right, guys,
this is pretty much hold your nose play. You guys
are gonna be like, what the hell was Carmine smoke
last night when he came up with this. I don't smoke.
I don't do drugs, and I don't drink hard alcohol.
It's beer and wine for me. Yes, it's the Calgary
Flames minus one and a half plus one sixty. This
is an eye test one for me. The Flames looked
really good, I thought against the Saint Louis Blues in
that game of before eventually losing three twos. Yes, they
came on the losing end. And the Sharks are a
little overvalued right now just the way that they're playing,
because they're winning some games, but their trips to Calgary
have not ended well for this team. The last to
twelve games between these two teams, Calgary is eleven and
one against the Sharks. Eight of those eleven wins by
have been by two or more goals. I get it,
it's hard enough getting Calgary to win, but to win
by two goals, I say it's possible minus one and
a half plus one thirty two hundred to win three
hundred and twenty profit, add to that bank roll and
get Dan and I to the super Bowl. That is
the pod play today.
Speaker 1: Calm, The Flames are having trouble winning games as it is,
they're having trouble winning games in general. Right now. You're
asking them to do you a big favor. That's that's
a tough task. That's a tough task.
Speaker 2: I've put in a call to a couple of my
friends that are in Calgary or in Alberta, Joe Madden,
who does a fantastic show hosting, and she'll be hosting
Last Call tonight. You'll be on talking some player props
in the in the football game. And then of course,
uh well, we have a lot of guys, we have
some some people in our chat that who are from
that area. But former TSN analysis and now she does
the Calgary games and the Calgary Football games, Natasha Sanatkowski.
I'm just gonna get them to to show this clip
to the Flames and say, flame on, we need a
victory tonight by two or more goals.
Speaker 1: I'm up for it. I'm up for KRM. Speaking of which,
I'm also up for at least two best bets in
the NHL tonight. Not a bad slate. I really liked
Wednesday and we cash that five percent play, but at
least two plays for me up in available WT dot
buzz slash am also NFL player Prop eleven and two
NFL player prop run for me. If you want some
free plays, as you mentioned, check out last call. And
if you want some free plays in the NHL, well,
hopefully you just watched this whole show and you got some,
but if you want more, you can go to my
ex I'm always tweeting out plays that I like, of course,
as well as that same game parlay or prop parlay
that we are doing every single day. So look forward
to a great day in the NHL. Let's try and
keep the momentum train going, hoping to build off that
five percent winner last night. And thank you to all
of you guys that joined. Oh yeah, one last thing.
I wanted to mention Karm because I think it's the
best deal. I've tried to tell people yesterday that we're
buying the five percent play. I tried to encourage people
instead of buying that five percent play to jump on board.
This is the best deal. Sorry, Dan Messing, not up,
but ten days of picks for less than ten dollars
per day. This is a great way to go right now. Yeah,
the five percent play yesterday was thirty five dollars, all right,
ninety nine bucks ten days of picks. That's any college basketball,
any NFL, any NHL, my great cup, best bet in
the CFL, every single thing I released, and that works
for Carmine as well. So that's it for me, Karm.
I had to mention that I really don't think that
buying individual plays is the move. Using the packages and
specials that Waiter Talk has like that one, that's the
way to go. So that's all I've got for you, man,
that's all I've got for you. Close things out, KR.
Speaker 2: Yeah yeah for me. Two plays up this afternoon in
a World Cup qualifying These are the last four days
of qualifying for next year's World Cup, and then some
of these second place teams in Europe will have to
go through a playoff. Italy is going to be one
of them. They very well may miss the World Cup
again for the third straight World Cup, but hopefully they don't.
A couple of plays up, actually three plays up in
the NHL for a meet tonight as well too. So
maybe the one day I'll access or grab this this
great package ten days for ninety nine dollars. And that's
a good one because I have a five percent play
I'll be loading today up for NFL Football. Really like
this play, of course, and that's why it's a five
percent play. Three to oh this month with five percent releases,
including our last NFL play which it was a winner
as well too. For someone who asked, am I betting
the Canada game tonight? They're playing Ecuador, and I think
Ecuador is playing bringing their best team to finished second
in qualifying behind Argentina. This team has a stringy defense
and plays extremely well. It wouldn't surprise me. It wouldn't
surprise anybody if the game finished nil nil or won
to one. Ecuador play nine away games in qualifying in
South America and there was a total of six goals
scored in all nine games, a total of six goals scored.
That tells you this team plays defense first. So I'm
not expecting a goal fest tonight, probably under two and
a half. I think it'll be juiced. But that's it
for me. Guys. We'll be back tomorrow, same time, same
bat channel, the six and sixty. Let's see if we
can go six to zero for myself, Andrew mckennais and
Brian Leonard, this is put time. Thanks for watching.