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Speaker 1: Your love.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.

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This is wager Talk Today. I am your host, Andy Lang.

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It is Monday, Fresh lines, new week, Fresh opportunities. We're

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gonna recap what we learned over the weekend, and we're

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gonna get you locked in with NFL college football and

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an MLB breakdown. Let's set the tone for a winning

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week right out of the gate, people, let's do this.

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Hit the like button. You guys know, you guys know

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how this works. Just just hit the like button while

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we're While we're waiting here, we're gonna talk to Yanni,

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do the Steam report. Crack Man's gonna join us, talk

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about a prop in the Lions and the Ravens, and

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then Steve Meryl is gonna join us. We're gonna break

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down this game, and we're going to talk Brewers and

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the Padres. So let's bring in Yanni, Yanni, Happy Monday.

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It's raining here where I am. But hey man, it's

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a new week, time for time for new profits. Man,

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let's do this. Let's have a big week.

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Speaker 3: Indeed, it is a great, great week of action, good

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week for myself and subscribers. Eight and three in the

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NFL yesterday turned in another winning week in college football.

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So we won in week zero, Week one, Week two,

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and week three of college football. Currently number one in

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college football twenty twenty five, number one in NFL regular

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season through those first two week three weeks now right, wow,

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So yeah, the season's moving along great.

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Speaker 1: So far, so good.

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Speaker 3: If you're on board, just manage risk correctly. We're gonna

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have the best NFL college football season we've had in

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a while.

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Speaker 1: So far, so good.

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Speaker 4: Just keep grinding. Things are going good.

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Speaker 3: Not a busy day today, but it's it's kind of

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necessary after a busy weekend.

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Speaker 4: So not too bad. And big week ahead, big week,

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especially in college football.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, let's talk about that. Let's do uh, let's let's

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talk NFL here a little bit. We got the game tonight,

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we got looking headlines. What's jumping off the board to you?

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Speaker 4: Well?

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Speaker 1: Great?

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Speaker 3: Great, great week for the books. It was a really

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really good week to be a book maker yesterday. In fact,

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the heaviest one sided bet game was Houston early they

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didn't get there against Jacksonville and then Dallas late they

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didn't get there. Kansas City did get some of that

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money back for the recreational betters, but most of the

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money line parlays teasers that were live going in Sunday

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night football were dead by the end of those late

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afternoon games as the Saints went down.

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Speaker 4: The only one sided heavily.

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Speaker 3: Bet public team also sharp that that got the money

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was Indianapolis. They did a really good job of balance

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yesterday you sol favorites went eight and six, good balance

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over unders went seven and seven. So it was a

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really good day for book makers and real quickly, I

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just want to point out, because people ask me all

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the time, you know what stats to look at? None

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stronger in the NFL than passing success rate if you

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look I talk about that all the time and has

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the highest correlation the winning that I found. And right now,

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if you look at the top six quarterbacks that have

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above a passing success rate, it's Daniel Jones, Jared Goff, Stafford,

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Allen Jones, and Haybart. They are a combined six nine twelve.

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They're combined sixteen and two straight off those guys. So again,

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it's a little early in the season unfortunately for football,

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we just won't have a big sample size. But you

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could already project those quarterbacks that are having success and

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it's it's equating into winning some football games. Now getting

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into tonight's game, we saw some early sharp money on Detroit,

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but that was at the look aheadline of six and

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a half. That line was like six and a half

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five and a half it went down to But since

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it's been about four to four and a half, we're

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seeing pretty good two AA action. I'm sure when it

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kicks off Baltimore will probably be a little heavier when

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you factor in the moneyline parlays. The over continues to

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get bet I saw a great stat about those totals

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that are in the high fifties. They've done really well

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on going over. This is the highest total so far

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in twenty twenty five. Over the last five years, okay,

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games in the NFL with a total of fifty or

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higher have gone over fifty eight percent of the time.

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So right now this is heavily bet over one sided

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over money. There was some sharp over money that got

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out ahead at about fifty and a half, but since

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then it's been a lot of pressure from recreational betters

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on that over and they're trying to attract some under money.

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Speaker 4: I saw fifty four.

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Speaker 3: A couple of bites of the unders, so I think

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they know if they go to fifty four or higher

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they'll get some under money. So pay attention to the

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on screen and see if the books take a position

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or not.

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Speaker 2: Looking at some of the lines that came out for

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next week, not really seeing much.

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Speaker 4: No action, big movement.

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Speaker 2: This is really strange, Johnny. I don't see anything.

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Speaker 3: I've been seen a single bet in the accounts, not

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a single bet in college or the NFL. And usually

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I'll wake up Monday morning and they'll be like twelve thirteen,

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fourteen pieces of college football that they got out ahead,

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usually around the number three, around the number seven.

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Speaker 4: Nothing nothing so far this week. Interesting.

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Speaker 2: That is strange. On a Monday morning, we don't have

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any bets.

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Speaker 3: And if you look at the odd screen, if you

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don't have Odds logic to go to wage to talk

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odd screen, click that and you'll.

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Speaker 4: See not a lot of movement at all.

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Speaker 3: I mean there's some half point movements, there's some half

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point movements on totals, but you're not seeing any like

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one and a half two point line movements. Nothing on

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any injuries or anything like that. I just keep talking

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through and not seeing anything bigger than a half point

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line movement so far in college football or NFL.

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Speaker 2: Well, let's talk a little bit of college football this week. Yeah,

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I mean I think the Oregon Penn State's probably going

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to be your biggest one. Penn State minus three and

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a half point favorite at home. Boy, where have we

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seen this before? James Franklin, coach of Penn State in

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a big game as a favorite. Oh Man, that spells disaster.

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Alabama Georgia, Georgia the favorite. What are you seeing? Lines

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wise like it or what do you like it?

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Speaker 3: A perfect example of how you're able to take advantage

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of overvalued and undervalued teams this early in the season.

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Speaker 4: This is where most of our money has come from

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in college football. This is a perfect example.

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Speaker 3: You have Mississippi as two and a half point favorites

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again LSU.

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Speaker 4: Here's the problem.

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Speaker 3: When you look at the rankings, you'll see LSU fourth

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in Mississippi thirteenth.

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Speaker 4: But nothing could be further from the truth.

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Speaker 3: If you look at most power ratings of winning college

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football betters, they're going to reflect that Mississippi is close

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to a top five power rated team. LSU is barely

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a top fifteen power rated team. That's why Mississippi is

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favored over LSU. Same situation in Georgia Alabama, where you

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have the rankings, they have Alabama second, Georgia I mean

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Alabama seventeenth, Georgia fifth. If you look at power ratings,

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most again winning comn football betters will have Alabama in

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their top five. There may be only one or two

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teams that would be favored over Alabama on a neutral field.

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That's why Georgia is only a three point favorite power

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rating wise, these two are right next to each other.

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And the same thing you know with Penn State and Oregon,

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where the rankings have Oregon sixth and Penn State third,

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and it's kind of opposite. Most power ratings will have

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Oregon above Penn State right now.

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Speaker 4: So it's really interesting.

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Speaker 3: Like I was looking at them this morning, I still

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can't believe they.

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Speaker 4: Have Miami as the second best team in the country.

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Speaker 3: And I can tell you right now with certainty that

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there's at least ten teams, at least ten teams that

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would be favored over Miami on a neutral field.

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Speaker 4: True true line.

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Speaker 3: So I think when it comes to college football, until

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we get later in the season, that'll play itself out.

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Speaker 4: But early on they're strictly going off records.

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Speaker 3: More or less, you're four and oh you're in the

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top fifteen, top ten, top whatever, regardless of your power rating.

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But you notice when it comes to the point spreads,

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no one cares what the ratings are. Vegas backs door

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opinions with cold heart cash and if they make a mistake,

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someone's going to have them paying for it. And that's

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why they have the thirteenth ranked Mississippi over the fourth

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ranked LSU because on their power ratings, it's more like

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Mississippi's top five LSU top fifteen. So pay attention to

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that was going into this week college football. Over the

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next couple of weeks, you'll be able to take advantage

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of that.

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Speaker 4: For sure.

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Speaker 2: We don't have a whole lot, and that's fine. We

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don't need to make a bunch of bets. I only

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have one bet up for tonight. That's all I need

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to turn a profit. Any thoughts on the uf Yeah,

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any thoughts on the UFC. We got this strange Australian

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card where it's just Australian fighters after Australian fighters. That's

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the main event. Got big favorite oldberg Over race. Do

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you like anything in UFC early for these lines.

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Speaker 4: Nothing jumped down at me.

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Speaker 3: It's one of those I think we won't really get

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much action till we approached closer to the weekend because

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we had the week off in the UFC, and it

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always does that, you know, until they start having press

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conferences weigh in and start attracting attention for this card,

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you're not seeing too much action and just keeping it real.

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Speaker 4: Don't want to waste the viewers time.

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Speaker 3: Nothing jumped out at me immediately that you know, I

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got to get down before this number moves. But again,

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it's not a bad thing. We're coming off a nice

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couple of weeks and just take what they give us.

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Like you said, you give me a bet, I'll get

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down on it. We don't have a bet. We got

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to move on to the next day.

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Speaker 4: That's what it comes down to.

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Speaker 2: Anytime you give me a chance to bet against a TAFA, brother,

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I'm all in, baby.

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Speaker 4: All in, all in.

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Speaker 2: Give me this, Louis Sutherland guy, I can bet against

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the TAFA. I'll take it. I'll take it all right.

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What do you have up for clients on this Monday?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: Right now, it's the NFL and college football packages are

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up for the season. Again, if you're betting college football

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in NFL, numbers don't lie. The information continues to come in,

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doing a good job of filtering it and releasing the

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strongest stuff to subscribers.

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Speaker 4: So far, so good.

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Speaker 3: Again, join us and working on the Monday night called

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I have a strong lean that I'm trying to confirm.

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Speaker 4: If I'm able to do it, that play will be up.

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Speaker 3: Otherwise we're going to move on to Tuesday, because again

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the one goal one goal only December thirty first rolls around.

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Have a winning twenty twenty five. If our goal is aligned,

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you won't be disappointed. Unfortunately, I don't have a lock

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yet for tonight, but the days early.

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Speaker 2: All right, all right, Yanni the Greek, congratulations on a

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big day in an NFL how fun at Contender series tomorrow.

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We'll catch up with you again on Thursday, YANNII the Greek. Everyone,

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all right, let's do dan, Let's do our uh, let's

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do our graphics. About the overreactions, Let's talk about some

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player props and fantasy. We'll talk about where the books won,

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where the public one. We'll start with the over reacting.

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Where what are our week three over reactions? Here? So

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the Packers are overrated. That seems like a really big overreaction.

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We're just gonna throw away the first two weeks and

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then say they're overrated. Panthers are legit coming off of

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a huge win. Block to see you in the comments section,

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Cult super Bowl futures look great. Carson Wentz is better

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than JJ McCarthy. That one was very popular on Twitter yesterday,

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very very popular. Dan, Your Eagles are passing team now,

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that was that was an overreaction. And then my favorite

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thing the NFL isn't calling false starts on the tush push. Dan,

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you had to laugh your ass off when they did

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00:12:02,360 --> 00:12:04,200
call a false start on the tush push, but they

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called it against the Saints, not the Eagles, which was

241
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just absolutely of course, they just pick on the Saints.

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Speaker 5: The fun part is you thinking, I was watching the

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00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:15,879
Saints game and that's the funniest.

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Speaker 2: We were watching the Saints on on the The End

245
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Zone live on the Live Show, and Veno just started

246
00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:28,080
laughing and he's like, they just called a false start

247
00:12:28,120 --> 00:12:30,519
on the Saints for the touchbush. Meanwhile, your Eagles are

248
00:12:30,559 --> 00:12:33,000
just getting away with anything they want to do on

249
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that toush push. So let me know in the comment section.

250
00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:38,480
Let me know in the chat what's your favorite overreaction

251
00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:41,720
of the of of the week. And yeah, Bruce, we

252
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say never overreact this. This is just a fun thing.

253
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I go to social media and I try and find

254
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some of the funniest overreacting things. I think my I

255
00:12:51,200 --> 00:12:53,759
think my favorite is the Packers are overrated. That was

256
00:12:53,799 --> 00:12:55,919
that was my favorite one. Like like week two, we

257
00:12:55,960 --> 00:12:59,759
were ready to annoy them the Super Bowl they get upset, which,

258
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by the way, it happens every single year. So Travis

259
00:13:03,759 --> 00:13:08,080
likes the Carson Wentz is better for now, MacArthur looks overwhelmed. Listen,

260
00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:11,440
here's my theory about JJ McCarthy. I really truly believe this.

261
00:13:11,519 --> 00:13:15,120
I'll get Bill's thoughts. JJ McCarthy had a baby on

262
00:13:15,159 --> 00:13:17,639
that Thursday. He and his he and his girl had

263
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a baby on the Thursday, and then he looked terrible

264
00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:22,559
on the Sunday game. I really think the vikings went

265
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to him is like, take a month off be with

266
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your newborn son. This is way too much to have

267
00:13:28,600 --> 00:13:32,919
a baby, your first baby, and run an NFL team

268
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and basically your rookie year. I really think he's not hurt.

269
00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:38,519
I think they just said, go take some time and

270
00:13:38,639 --> 00:13:41,759
clear your head and be with your your newborn baby.

271
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Because I didn't see him get hurt in the game.

272
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Just after the game, they're like, oh, his ankle hurts,

273
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So that's I don't know. That was my That was

274
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my theory on JJ McCarthy. Not the worst thing in

275
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the world. So all right, Dale, let's move to the

276
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next graphic. Let's do where the books won. Where the

277
00:13:56,320 --> 00:13:59,840
public one. Yanny gave us a few of those already,

278
00:14:00,879 --> 00:14:05,279
but the Falcons was just the brutal one. A lot

279
00:14:05,320 --> 00:14:08,080
of money on the Falcons money line minus the points.

280
00:14:08,159 --> 00:14:10,799
That was a big one. Texans money line, Yanni mentioned,

281
00:14:10,960 --> 00:14:13,159
there was a lot of money on that. Bengals Vikings

282
00:14:13,279 --> 00:14:16,559
under and some turnovers really got that one over. And

283
00:14:16,639 --> 00:14:18,879
where the public one, the Colts were the big winner,

284
00:14:19,159 --> 00:14:22,720
the Browns and Packers under was big winner, and Seahawks.

285
00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:28,360
Everything that anybody had on the Seahawks cashed in that one.

286
00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:31,159
So all right, so that's where the books won, where

287
00:14:31,200 --> 00:14:34,360
the public one. Now let's take a look at props

288
00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:38,679
and fantasy football winners and losers, and boy, there are

289
00:14:38,679 --> 00:14:42,879
some big, big names that are massive, massive losers, winners

290
00:14:42,919 --> 00:14:45,080
Trey Tucker for the Raiders had the huge game. Jordan

291
00:14:45,159 --> 00:14:48,600
Mason looks incredible and he gets another great matchup coming

292
00:14:48,639 --> 00:14:51,840
up in the Ireland game. Hunter Henry looked amazing. Jalen

293
00:14:51,879 --> 00:14:54,559
Hurts and aj Brown looks like we're not panicking about

294
00:14:54,600 --> 00:15:00,000
them anymore. Puka Nakua just absolute stud. Judkins for Cleveland

295
00:15:00,039 --> 00:15:03,120
and he's wrapped up that starting job. Jonathan Taylor is incredible,

296
00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:08,440
and Taekwon Thornton. The Patriots passed on him, they released him,

297
00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:10,600
and now he's like making big plays for the Chiefs.

298
00:15:10,679 --> 00:15:13,759
Here's my theory on the Chiefs. The Chiefs are gonna

299
00:15:13,799 --> 00:15:16,279
get Xavier Worthy back and they were she Rice and

300
00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:18,000
by the end of the season they're gonna all of

301
00:15:18,039 --> 00:15:20,159
a sudden have the best wide receiving corps going into

302
00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:22,600
the playoffs. It's gonna be everyone that doesn't like the

303
00:15:22,679 --> 00:15:24,759
Chiefs is gonna hate what's getting ready to happen. The

304
00:15:24,799 --> 00:15:27,200
Chiefs are gonna end up with this amazing wide receiving corps.

305
00:15:27,559 --> 00:15:31,559
All right, big losers, the Falcons. Anytime you get skunked,

306
00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:33,919
you're not gonna have your fantasy or prop. Guys do anything.

307
00:15:34,240 --> 00:15:37,279
Ashton Genty continues to be a disappointment. We cashed his

308
00:15:37,440 --> 00:15:40,120
under rushing and receiving we talked about on the show,

309
00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:43,159
but that was a nice cash for clients. The Bengals,

310
00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:46,279
Jamar Chase and Chase Brown, yikes, we got big problems

311
00:15:46,279 --> 00:15:50,159
with these guys. Chase Brown is absolutely terrible. Brian Thomas

312
00:15:50,279 --> 00:15:53,240
Junior is really bad. Jerry Judy had a terrible one.

313
00:15:53,279 --> 00:15:56,120
And as long as Russell Wilson is the quarterback, Milik

314
00:15:56,159 --> 00:15:59,320
Neighbors is in big trouble. So anybody that owns the

315
00:15:59,320 --> 00:16:02,320
Milik Neighbors praying that we get Jackson Dart this week.

316
00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:06,600
So those are your prop Fantasy football winners and losers.

317
00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:12,000
All right, Bill, Let's bring on Bill and let's talk

318
00:16:12,039 --> 00:16:15,679
a little bit about NFL Week three. What was some

319
00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:17,639
of your takeaways, What were some of the some of

320
00:16:17,679 --> 00:16:19,519
the reactions that you had over the weekend.

321
00:16:20,080 --> 00:16:22,320
Speaker 1: Well, first and the foremost, don't want to say, first,

322
00:16:22,559 --> 00:16:26,639
my condolences to Dave, which is Dave Shapen. I know

323
00:16:26,679 --> 00:16:28,759
everyone's been talking about it. I put it up. I

324
00:16:28,799 --> 00:16:31,240
talked about it on my Fox Nationwide show yesterday. I

325
00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:34,919
put it on Twitter. Guys younger than me, like I

326
00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:38,960
think he was like fifty four years old, just so

327
00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:42,480
much energy, running around sports books, celebrating things, talking cool

328
00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:45,879
and me and Dave disagreed on one thing. You always

329
00:16:45,879 --> 00:16:49,360
said nobody knows shit. That's not true. But however, Dave

330
00:16:49,399 --> 00:16:51,919
and I were on the same side of life winning.

331
00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:55,159
He was such a good guy, good person. I've known

332
00:16:55,240 --> 00:16:57,440
him about twenty five years. He was off shore working

333
00:16:57,440 --> 00:17:00,519
a couple of sports books, Cure us out, and then

334
00:17:00,559 --> 00:17:02,960
he worked at the Golden Nugget and William Hill. In

335
00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:04,960
the end, he worked in a lot of places. Dave

336
00:17:05,000 --> 00:17:09,000
sherp and sports book on Concieri, Uh yeah, and Mike

337
00:17:09,039 --> 00:17:12,440
adults is the family three kids. Uh you know, I

338
00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:14,799
don't want to be a sour, but I want to,

339
00:17:15,160 --> 00:17:17,480
you know, talk about a guy that we're trying to

340
00:17:17,480 --> 00:17:19,880
beat games by half points here and these people or

341
00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:22,000
someone lost their life. That that was a kid. Let's

342
00:17:22,000 --> 00:17:24,880
call him a kid. You're to cancer. By the way,

343
00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:27,440
he didn't it wasn't. They knew that it was he

344
00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:29,680
was suffering, but we didn't know he was dying. So

345
00:17:30,000 --> 00:17:36,079
that's a shame. But talking about yesterday's games though, just

346
00:17:36,079 --> 00:17:37,559
like Dave would want you to do. All right, it's

347
00:17:37,640 --> 00:17:40,000
enough and me get over let's talk about football. That's

348
00:17:40,039 --> 00:17:43,960
exactly what Davi would be saying. So, yeah, that's one

349
00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:45,960
of the worst beats of my life. Everyone's talking about that.

350
00:17:46,079 --> 00:17:50,440
I actually had four and a half, four and three

351
00:17:50,440 --> 00:17:53,000
and a half minus oh five, I had I bet

352
00:17:53,000 --> 00:17:54,680
three different I don't really bet a lot of sides

353
00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:57,279
so heavy, but I that was my best side of

354
00:17:57,319 --> 00:17:59,680
the week, even though you know, you know, I'm one

355
00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:01,680
of those guys that's transparent to talk about good things

356
00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:03,880
and bad things. So I had an unbelievable week, by

357
00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:07,279
the way, very profitable week, very profitable week. Again for

358
00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:10,200
way you talk guys football. They can't beat me in

359
00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:12,240
football overall, not gonna beat me. But I will talk

360
00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:14,920
about what I should have had a better day yesterday,

361
00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:19,480
even that that Rams game was really really really really tough,

362
00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:23,039
really tough loss for watching it. And as you can see,

363
00:18:23,079 --> 00:18:26,359
I'm in a different atmosphere here. I'm in Scranton, Pennsylvania, by

364
00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:30,200
the way, flying back to Vegas tonight. But I'm at

365
00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:34,279
my buddy's house, who who like the comer. Every day

366
00:18:34,279 --> 00:18:36,440
he collects a little knickknacks and things you could see

367
00:18:36,440 --> 00:18:39,039
and it's funny. There's the sad clown there, and there's

368
00:18:39,039 --> 00:18:41,759
another sad clown. It's a sad clown after watching that

369
00:18:41,799 --> 00:18:45,640
game yesterday. But of course he's in Scranton, Philly fan screaming,

370
00:18:45,799 --> 00:18:48,559
yelling block the gig score. He doesn't even know. He

371
00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:50,960
has no clue. He's upstairs right now. He has no

372
00:18:51,119 --> 00:18:53,720
clue how much money I've had on the game. And

373
00:18:53,799 --> 00:18:56,480
I know what he had. He bet fifty eight dollars.

374
00:18:56,519 --> 00:18:59,480
He showed me. It's fifty eight dollars in ESPN Bet.

375
00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:01,079
You know, to see he's allowed to bet in the

376
00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:04,720
ESPN Bet. You could see how he does overall, because

377
00:19:04,759 --> 00:19:06,440
no one that wins is a lot to play there.

378
00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:09,400
So yeah, he won his fifty bucks on the Eagles

379
00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:13,200
yesterday and minus three and a half and I lost

380
00:19:13,759 --> 00:19:18,119
close to five figures on the same game. Good for you,

381
00:19:18,279 --> 00:19:20,599
I was. I don't see, he still doesn't know. I'm

382
00:19:20,599 --> 00:19:23,400
not like. I'm actually pretty good at that, you know,

383
00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:26,240
I take washes very well. That one bothered me though.

384
00:19:26,519 --> 00:19:30,680
But yeah, so but however, a great week I just

385
00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:32,839
seen on the wager talks. I knew I did really good.

386
00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:36,759
I just didn't know what. Yeah, it looks like fifteen

387
00:19:36,799 --> 00:19:39,680
and say, okay, it says, I'm running super hot football,

388
00:19:39,799 --> 00:19:41,759
winning fifteen to last twenty one. Yeah, but I knew

389
00:19:41,759 --> 00:19:45,319
I had. I had a big weekend too in general,

390
00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:47,519
just in general, I knew I had, I had a

391
00:19:47,559 --> 00:19:50,400
really good week. So NCA it was again after like

392
00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:52,559
I think I was nine, and it was nine and three,

393
00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:54,839
last week of eight and four. This week again college

394
00:19:54,839 --> 00:19:56,720
football they got they have no chance. Let me bet,

395
00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:59,119
let me bet, Let me give the clients that college

396
00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:02,000
football and you got no chance to lose. But you know,

397
00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:04,559
now we're starting out on fire. NFL was actually seven

398
00:20:04,599 --> 00:20:08,799
and three, could have been eight and two with them rams. Yeah, listen,

399
00:20:09,039 --> 00:20:12,440
it's the softer side of the markets too. Here. College

400
00:20:12,440 --> 00:20:17,400
football in the first like six seven weeks, fantastic NFL props,

401
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:19,880
player props. They're not gonna beat me overall, and player

402
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:25,240
props and NFL sides. I put out some sides on

403
00:20:25,279 --> 00:20:29,400
these games and again, and you know, overall, you're not

404
00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,759
gonna be able to beat me on more of the props.

405
00:20:31,759 --> 00:20:34,279
I'm more of into the props than the sides. It's

406
00:20:34,279 --> 00:20:36,359
a perfect example. Andy. You can go up to the

407
00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:39,240
counter of any sports book and ask what they'll take

408
00:20:39,279 --> 00:20:43,839
on Lamar Jackson over under passing yards tonight and they'll

409
00:20:43,839 --> 00:20:47,160
say five hundred dollars, maybe a thousand we need. But

410
00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:49,799
if you've been gonna bet a thousand, I need your ID,

411
00:20:50,559 --> 00:20:55,519
I need your fingerprints, your eye scans and everything else.

412
00:20:55,759 --> 00:20:57,240
But if you want to bet the side, if you

413
00:20:57,240 --> 00:20:59,880
want to bet Detroit or the Baltimore whatever, you can

414
00:21:00,039 --> 00:21:01,960
jump out on the counter here. If you can dump

415
00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:04,559
out half a million, we'll take it. That's how efficient

416
00:21:04,599 --> 00:21:08,519
that line is compared to player props. So that's the reason.

417
00:21:08,519 --> 00:21:10,720
But that's the big thing. That's what everyone wants to

418
00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:13,200
talk about. The only thing in town people like to

419
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:16,160
talk about is NFL sides. And I get it. It's fun.

420
00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:19,000
I sat here yesterday and watch games all day long.

421
00:21:19,279 --> 00:21:21,880
I haven't done that from beginning to start. After my

422
00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:23,720
Fox show got off the air at one pm East

423
00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:25,720
Coast time, I was on till the end of the

424
00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:29,079
Giant game, sitting here at my buddy. He's screaming, yelling,

425
00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:32,200
throwing things at the TV. I gotta be blunt. I

426
00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:35,599
shouldn't do this to him. But the guy's a multipi millionaire.

427
00:21:36,240 --> 00:21:39,519
You betting fifty dollars a game? The what's going on.

428
00:21:39,839 --> 00:21:44,039
You know, this is a good representation of what's going

429
00:21:44,079 --> 00:21:47,480
on in America, like what goes on with these people

430
00:21:47,519 --> 00:21:49,200
with the games and then you could just see the

431
00:21:49,279 --> 00:21:52,799
human condition when I see him, and I know what

432
00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:56,319
he's done his whole life. I know he's had companies, businesses, money,

433
00:21:56,559 --> 00:22:00,640
tons of money. He's screaming and yelling, scream and Yellen.

434
00:22:00,799 --> 00:22:03,880
I said, wow, And this really shows me what the

435
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:07,559
what the what's going on in America here? ESPN Bet

436
00:22:07,559 --> 00:22:09,359
he's got all his apps up there, and you know,

437
00:22:09,839 --> 00:22:12,599
and I can imagine with these other kids that don't

438
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:15,079
have money, what they're going through. It must rip their

439
00:22:15,119 --> 00:22:18,279
hearts out there, aging by the day. So uh, you know,

440
00:22:19,839 --> 00:22:22,480
it's really really like I said, it is what goes on.

441
00:22:22,519 --> 00:22:24,799
I'm not making fun of nobody. All I'm saying is

442
00:22:25,079 --> 00:22:26,640
you have to bet within your means. You got to

443
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:29,200
have some fun, you have to enjoy yourself. This person

444
00:22:29,319 --> 00:22:32,359
bets well within his means and he's going crazy. So

445
00:22:32,519 --> 00:22:35,920
what shot does Joe Public have grinded out? Uh? You know,

446
00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:38,480
getting paychecks every week and and and cashing them and

447
00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:40,680
send it up to the sports book. So anyway, I know,

448
00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:43,160
I'm going off on tangents. Hello, Hello everyone.

449
00:22:43,039 --> 00:22:45,720
Speaker 2: That's all right, that's all right. Your your screen is frozen,

450
00:22:45,759 --> 00:22:48,200
but we can still hear you. So we're gonna put

451
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:51,720
me on screen that way. Uh show my hands.

452
00:22:51,559 --> 00:22:53,559
Speaker 1: With show double camera and I lost.

453
00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:57,400
Speaker 2: Give us a give us a prop that you like

454
00:22:57,480 --> 00:22:57,920
for tonight.

455
00:22:58,319 --> 00:22:59,960
Speaker 1: Okay, so I just seen I wanted to look at

456
00:23:00,039 --> 00:23:01,640
the best line for you, but you know you could.

457
00:23:01,799 --> 00:23:04,960
This is gonna be moving around anywhere. I'm looking at

458
00:23:04,759 --> 00:23:09,559
at at MGM. But Lamar Jackson passing over tonight, Well,

459
00:23:09,559 --> 00:23:11,359
like I said, go to that window, see what happens

460
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:14,160
over two hundred and thirty one and a half, two

461
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:15,680
thirty three and a half. I'm looking at two thirty

462
00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:17,720
one and a half. Though this number might seem a

463
00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:20,599
little seem a little high for Lamar, but the Lions

464
00:23:20,599 --> 00:23:23,680
pass defense not they haven't been good this year. And

465
00:23:24,519 --> 00:23:26,559
you know I expect him to stack the box the

466
00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:31,720
rams to force Jackson to throw more tonight. Lamar finally

467
00:23:31,759 --> 00:23:37,240
has some really good receivers out there that are healthy flowers. Bateman, Hopkins, Andrews,

468
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:40,119
these guys are all healthy. Games should have some points,

469
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:42,920
like we said, lots of in the air. Lamar Jackson

470
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:44,440
overpassing yards.

471
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:47,720
Speaker 2: I like it. I like it. I got some I

472
00:23:47,799 --> 00:23:52,240
like David Montgomery over his rush attempts here. And I'll

473
00:23:52,279 --> 00:23:56,000
tell you what's amazing about the books talking about the props.

474
00:23:57,240 --> 00:23:59,880
You can bet way more live than you.

475
00:23:59,799 --> 00:24:03,240
Speaker 1: Can Well, you're laying double double the juice live too,

476
00:24:03,359 --> 00:24:04,039
double the juice.

477
00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:05,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that.

478
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:10,480
Speaker 1: Live NFL and live things in general. It's a very

479
00:24:10,519 --> 00:24:13,440
popular thing. They want you to bet live. Just remember

480
00:24:13,759 --> 00:24:16,799
you're on a thirty to sixty second delay, depending on

481
00:24:16,799 --> 00:24:19,799
where you're at. Yeah, on the on these live wagers. Now,

482
00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:24,279
I'm not saying any site's cheat, but it's really easy

483
00:24:24,319 --> 00:24:26,640
for them not to get what it's a gray area

484
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:29,599
for them. These are some people that run these departments.

485
00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:32,440
They don't even realize it's cheating. They don't even think

486
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:34,720
it's cheating what they do because because they don't gamble.

487
00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:37,359
They don't gamble, so they don't realize that they'll stop

488
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:40,319
certain bets and take certain bets. I am telling you

489
00:24:40,559 --> 00:24:43,799
I've seen this happen in Vegas firsthand. My friend called

490
00:24:43,839 --> 00:24:46,799
out the sports book got thrown out of the sports

491
00:24:46,799 --> 00:24:50,119
book for this at Canter Gaming. When Canter was cheating

492
00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:53,160
back in the beginning, Uh, Canter got they got fined.

493
00:24:53,279 --> 00:24:56,079
I got fined the biggest fines ever levied against the

494
00:24:56,079 --> 00:24:59,559
casino corporation, like almost forty million in fines. They got

495
00:24:59,599 --> 00:25:02,519
run out of town on a rail. And that's the

496
00:25:02,559 --> 00:25:04,680
reason why it's so hard to get the other sportsbooks

497
00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:07,319
in town there. They don't want a Canter gaming happening

498
00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:10,400
happening again. So over on wager talk that we have

499
00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:14,119
a lot of things up here. You know, you get

500
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:17,519
you get top right to play tonight, which is up there.

501
00:25:17,559 --> 00:25:21,279
We have my weekly, my monthly, pick my monthly packages.

502
00:25:21,319 --> 00:25:24,079
You can also get a three month packages. Just email

503
00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:26,559
in and we'll lock you up for a good a

504
00:25:26,599 --> 00:25:30,160
good season price there. Everything going good and he really

505
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,920
good weeks here in college and pro. I'm really happy.

506
00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:35,920
Speaker 2: I got to tell you there was a there was

507
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:38,839
one last night with the player Prop Live that they

508
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:42,920
pulled some bs on. So Tyrone Tracy, Tyrone, Tracy's having

509
00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:45,319
a good game, starting off a ton of work, ton

510
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:48,160
of carries a lot of yards. He goes, I don't

511
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:50,240
know why he's playing with with a hurt shoulder away.

512
00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:53,720
He goes flying into two defenders and hurts his shoulder,

513
00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:56,799
lands out of bounds and immediately grabs his shoulder and

514
00:25:56,839 --> 00:26:00,640
it doesn't look good. They took down the unders, they

515
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:01,599
left the overs up.

516
00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:03,920
Speaker 1: How nice of them, you see what I mean?

517
00:26:04,519 --> 00:26:07,400
Speaker 2: How nice of them.

518
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:09,359
Speaker 1: You know, these sports books they have a lot of

519
00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:11,920
balls doing the things they do. Now, if you go

520
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:14,559
to gaming and say, hey, they're only booking one way

521
00:26:14,599 --> 00:26:17,359
action or something, Gaming doesn't even know eleven to ten

522
00:26:17,519 --> 00:26:19,359
is so they don't know. What are they gonna say?

523
00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:22,240
They can't they can't police this. Basically, the sports books

524
00:26:22,279 --> 00:26:23,039
can do what they want.

525
00:26:24,559 --> 00:26:27,400
Speaker 2: Really is Oh man, it was. It was really funny.

526
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:30,559
So all right, great stuff and told everyone what you

527
00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:34,519
have up, enjoy your time in Scranton. And some uh,

528
00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:39,400
somebody said they'd like the clown uh, the clown things.

529
00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:42,720
Speaker 1: And not only the clown you see the see the

530
00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:45,599
clown on the wall playing poker, poker clown. I mean

531
00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:49,319
he loves clowns. This guy loves clowns. He does. By

532
00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:52,119
the way, that that that that guy right there, see

533
00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:54,160
him up on the corner there. Yeah, that came the

534
00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:56,960
famous pool player Steve Mizerak that died. Who's great. You

535
00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:59,799
should do the light beer for Miller commercials, commercials, Steve

536
00:26:59,920 --> 00:27:01,640
was a friend of ours, a friend of mine, and

537
00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:04,240
my friend owns the house. That was instead that was

538
00:27:04,319 --> 00:27:08,880
right in Steve's Then he got some here gambling gambling.

539
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:10,599
Look look at these guys. Look at these guys on

540
00:27:10,640 --> 00:27:12,759
the wall. Look at these gambling gods. Look at these

541
00:27:12,759 --> 00:27:15,119
gambling I mean, the whole house is based on gambling.

542
00:27:15,319 --> 00:27:16,119
Everyone will love this.

543
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:16,720
Speaker 2: I love it.

544
00:27:17,279 --> 00:27:19,720
Speaker 1: He's a walking talking gamblers anonymous poster.

545
00:27:20,079 --> 00:27:23,519
Speaker 2: All right, that's funny. All right, thanks Bill and Joyce Scranton.

546
00:27:23,559 --> 00:27:26,319
And we'll see again next Monday. Tell everyone said, Hi,

547
00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:33,440
take it easy, Bill. Uh everyone see all that stuff.

548
00:27:34,559 --> 00:27:39,079
All right, Let's bring in Steve Merrill and then we'll

549
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:41,400
do all around the world here at the end, Steve,

550
00:27:44,079 --> 00:27:47,559
please tell me we can see Steve at least tell

551
00:27:47,559 --> 00:27:52,599
me we can actually see Steve Merrill's face here. All right, Uh, Steve,

552
00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:57,279
we're gonna oh, we may have lost all right, we

553
00:27:57,319 --> 00:28:00,000
may have lost Dan here, hold on one second, we're

554
00:28:00,039 --> 00:28:03,880
having technically come in. Okay, Okay, I was.

555
00:28:03,839 --> 00:28:05,720
Speaker 5: Messing with you. I was making it the black hole

556
00:28:05,759 --> 00:28:07,319
for you here, just like Bill's house.

557
00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:07,759
Speaker 1: See there.

558
00:28:08,279 --> 00:28:12,480
Speaker 2: Okay, well we're just all right here we go. So

559
00:28:13,519 --> 00:28:17,079
Dan's Dan doesn't have internet or power. So I'm I'm

560
00:28:17,319 --> 00:28:20,480
thrust into the producer and the host here, Steve. So

561
00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:22,799
let's get started with Monday night football.

562
00:28:23,000 --> 00:28:24,799
Speaker 5: So you're not talking to mess around. I just want

563
00:28:24,799 --> 00:28:26,599
to get clear you're not of the move to mess around.

564
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:28,640
I can't give you any more buzzom shots. This isn't

565
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:29,839
this isn't going to help the.

566
00:28:29,799 --> 00:28:36,000
Speaker 2: Cause, all right, So let's break down this game here, Steve.

567
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,480
This is a huge, huge one Lions Ravens. We got

568
00:28:39,480 --> 00:28:42,599
a huge total. Money keeps coming in on the Ravens.

569
00:28:42,599 --> 00:28:43,680
What's your take on this game?

570
00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:48,039
Speaker 5: You know, Detroit looked bad in Week one against Green Bay,

571
00:28:48,079 --> 00:28:50,720
and I always say don't overreact to week one, and

572
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:52,759
it's hard not to. We do it even as well

573
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:55,480
because it's the real deal, but it's really semi preseason still.

574
00:28:55,519 --> 00:28:57,759
And then we saw Detroy look really good last week

575
00:28:58,599 --> 00:29:01,599
and the Packers are a decent team. So question becomes,

576
00:29:01,640 --> 00:29:04,519
what are the lines this year? You know, Baltimore looked

577
00:29:04,559 --> 00:29:06,200
pretty good in Week one until they did in the

578
00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:08,519
final four minutes. They blew the ninety nine percent chance

579
00:29:08,559 --> 00:29:10,079
of winning straight up with four and a half minutes

580
00:29:10,079 --> 00:29:11,720
to go and lost. And then they looked great last

581
00:29:11,759 --> 00:29:15,160
week against Cleveland. Cleveland then beats the Packers out right.

582
00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:18,240
So the six degrees of Kevin Bacon is becoming very confusing. Now,

583
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:20,440
I guess the Browns are better than the Ravens. I

584
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:22,599
don't know how it works. I did mention in my

585
00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:24,559
fade the public video by the way, yesterday Andy, that

586
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:27,480
I thought that Packers were in a terrible spot and

587
00:29:27,759 --> 00:29:29,640
nobody wanted to touch the Browns, And when it was

588
00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:33,240
ten to nothing, somebody's like, terrible pick on the Browns, Steve,

589
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:35,920
and then of course they win the game outright. That

590
00:29:36,039 --> 00:29:38,160
was what I needed. That's when you double up.

591
00:29:38,279 --> 00:29:40,400
Speaker 2: If that's when you knew your bet was good, that's

592
00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:42,119
when you knew your bet was good to go.

593
00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:44,039
Speaker 5: That's what I might need to do, Andy, is when

594
00:29:44,039 --> 00:29:46,119
I can eventually get on the end zone line show,

595
00:29:46,119 --> 00:29:47,640
which might be the Sunday action. This might be the

596
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:50,240
one Sunday I can do it. We need to wait

597
00:29:50,319 --> 00:29:52,480
for that reverse kiss of death that I'm sure all

598
00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:54,519
of us get. That might be the best betting in

599
00:29:54,599 --> 00:29:58,160
game strategy in history. Actually, and one dude one time

600
00:29:58,200 --> 00:30:01,319
said all your plays lose it. It was like three point

601
00:30:01,359 --> 00:30:04,640
twenty one PM. And half of it more than end

602
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:06,319
of when I felt it took all my power out

603
00:30:06,359 --> 00:30:08,279
to be like, so your sportsbooks, lets you put in

604
00:30:08,359 --> 00:30:10,319
exact results at three twenty one p Where do you

605
00:30:10,319 --> 00:30:12,480
get that bet? And it had it had one one

606
00:30:12,599 --> 00:30:15,480
view on Twitter. Sounds like it's not worth responding, but yeah,

607
00:30:15,519 --> 00:30:17,559
it really is remarkable when everyone all of a sudden

608
00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:20,519
jumps ship how things turn. So my point is, you know,

609
00:30:20,559 --> 00:30:22,559
we'll find out more about the Lions tonight. I don't

610
00:30:22,599 --> 00:30:24,480
like the fact they're outdoors. I do feel like they're

611
00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:27,519
better on the fast track indoors, but hard to imagine

612
00:30:27,519 --> 00:30:30,240
this won't be a high scoring game total as we

613
00:30:30,279 --> 00:30:32,240
speak right now, I'm looking at the Odds logic screen.

614
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:35,000
It is lighting up. If some of the Sharper books

615
00:30:35,519 --> 00:30:38,799
DraftKings just went to fifty four and a half, Pinnacles

616
00:30:38,839 --> 00:30:41,039
juiced fifty three and a half to the over, so

617
00:30:41,240 --> 00:30:44,000
is book book maker and bet online. So some sharp

618
00:30:44,039 --> 00:30:46,400
action coming down the over right now. I'm sure the

619
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:48,839
public will be there as well. I've got a sneaky

620
00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:51,519
player prop for you, how about Lamar Jackson rushing yards

621
00:30:51,559 --> 00:30:54,839
over Andy. Lions play a lot of man demand coverage.

622
00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:56,640
I think Jackson's going to be more mobile than he

623
00:30:56,799 --> 00:30:59,880
was the first two weeks. He averages normally fifty sixty

624
00:31:00,079 --> 00:31:02,920
rushing yards a game during his career. I think he's

625
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:04,519
like at forty one and a half right now. I

626
00:31:04,519 --> 00:31:07,240
think he gets into the fifty sixty range tonight, and

627
00:31:07,519 --> 00:31:10,000
hard not to like other offensive players on both of

628
00:31:10,039 --> 00:31:12,799
these teams over so props over tonight. I know it

629
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:14,799
might sound square, but I think it's gonna work.

630
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 2: All right, let's take a look at MLB. Not a

631
00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:21,000
lot of games, but we got the Brewers and the Padres.

632
00:31:21,079 --> 00:31:24,799
Really good pitching matchup here. Palta from Milwaukee, Paveta for

633
00:31:25,079 --> 00:31:27,279
San Diego. How do you break this game down?

634
00:31:28,440 --> 00:31:30,960
Speaker 5: Yeah, you know, baseball is fading bout a week to

635
00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:33,079
so so before the playoffs, and like you said, just

636
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:35,599
three games tonight, a very light card, and this is

637
00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:38,440
probably the best of the three. You've got two teams

638
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:42,000
with solid playoff records this year. About two three weeks

639
00:31:42,039 --> 00:31:44,160
ago they had odds on best record in baseball. The

640
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:46,279
Brewers were like minus eleven hundred and that was like

641
00:31:46,279 --> 00:31:48,559
a month ago. That's how good they've been this season.

642
00:31:49,039 --> 00:31:52,680
And they're now thirty four games above five hundred, Padres

643
00:31:52,720 --> 00:31:55,480
fourteen games above five hundred, still playing pretty good baseball

644
00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:58,880
as well. Both teams exactly six and four their last ten,

645
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:02,400
both hovering around five hundred their last twenty and their

646
00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:04,680
last thirty. In fact, the Padres last thirty are just

647
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:07,799
fifteen and fifteen and the Brewers, despite being thirty four

648
00:32:07,839 --> 00:32:11,000
games above five hundred, are just sixteen and fourteen their

649
00:32:11,079 --> 00:32:13,680
last thirty. So I really think both teams kind of

650
00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:16,119
an equal current form here. So let's look at the pitchers,

651
00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:19,640
and both pitchers have excellent numbers this year. A Paveta

652
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:22,640
two point eight ERA one hundred and seventy six innings,

653
00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:24,640
which is already thirty more innings that he pitched at

654
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:27,480
either twenty three or twenty four, and he did not

655
00:32:27,599 --> 00:32:30,519
look good in his last start against the Mets on

656
00:32:30,559 --> 00:32:34,079
September seventeenth, seven hits, three runs, allout in just four innings.

657
00:32:34,119 --> 00:32:37,720
So maybe the little cautions with Nick Pavetta going forward,

658
00:32:37,960 --> 00:32:39,759
and that could be bad news for the Padres maybe

659
00:32:39,799 --> 00:32:44,400
as well. Freddy Peralta meanwhile two point seventy ERA this year,

660
00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:46,279
and he's been even better over the last month and

661
00:32:46,319 --> 00:32:48,759
a half. Since early August a one point four era.

662
00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:51,599
He's pitched one hundred and sixty nine innings this year.

663
00:32:51,599 --> 00:32:53,960
He went one seventy three last year, one sixty five

664
00:32:54,000 --> 00:32:57,440
the year before. So all things equal, I trust Peralta

665
00:32:57,519 --> 00:33:00,119
more tonight. Obviously it should be a low scoring game

666
00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:03,640
based on numbers this season, but Paveta worries me. Let's

667
00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:05,920
stay away from the total. Let's look at the Brewers

668
00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:09,119
as a slight dog, the best team in baseball with

669
00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:11,400
I think the better pitcher on the mound tonight at

670
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:13,880
plus one oh five. Hey, sign me up for the

671
00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:16,079
Brewers is a live dog tonight in nine to forty Eastern.

672
00:33:17,519 --> 00:33:19,880
Speaker 2: I like it, Steve, I like it. I got to

673
00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:24,680
get your take on best favorite overreaction. We did overreactions earlier,

674
00:33:24,759 --> 00:33:30,079
so we have Packers are overrated, Panthers are legit cult,

675
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:33,759
super Bowl futures look great. Carson Wentz is better than

676
00:33:33,839 --> 00:33:38,680
JJ McCarthy. The Eagles are a passing team now, and

677
00:33:39,279 --> 00:33:42,079
the NFL isn't calling false starts on the tush push.

678
00:33:42,119 --> 00:33:43,640
We had to laugh at that because they called one,

679
00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:46,640
but it was on the Saints, not the Eagles. Yesterday's

680
00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:50,039
like the league just picking on there. What's your favorite overreaction.

681
00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:52,880
Packers overrated, wentz cold.

682
00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:55,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's the first one. But I was going to say,

683
00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:56,440
when I was looking at the games this week, you

684
00:33:56,480 --> 00:33:58,119
know I'm not big on McCarthy. I wasn't big of

685
00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:00,000
the Bikings last week. We talked about that in the show.

686
00:34:00,160 --> 00:34:01,960
I thought it was an upgrade having wins there, so

687
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:05,359
that did surprise. But yeah, the Packers that we have

688
00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:07,640
to go there. We talked about that just a minute ago.

689
00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:10,679
Everybody had them pencil in the Super Bowl. Nobody wanted Cleveland.

690
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:13,360
I sold everybody in that fade the public video, do

691
00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:15,920
not Packers might win the game. I like the Browns.

692
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:17,239
We had a best bet on them. I thought they

693
00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:19,360
had a chance to win outright. Obviously for taking a

694
00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:21,400
single digit dog, we always think they could win outright.

695
00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:23,719
But my big takeaway was do not use green Bay

696
00:34:23,760 --> 00:34:26,280
and your survivor pools, and if they go down, you

697
00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:28,960
maybe eliminate a lot of your competitors. And I'm not

698
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:31,159
going to overreact to that. It was a terrible spot

699
00:34:31,199 --> 00:34:33,679
for green Bay, not only off the big divisional win

700
00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:36,280
against Detroit, but also the Thursday night went against not

701
00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:38,760
my Washington commanders, and now guess what this Sunday, they're

702
00:34:38,800 --> 00:34:40,679
on the road for the Sunday night game at Dallas.

703
00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:43,079
It was one of the biggest sandwich spots I've ever seen.

704
00:34:43,119 --> 00:34:45,480
I'm sure Marco DiAngelo agreed. I know he loves those

705
00:34:45,519 --> 00:34:48,480
sandwich spots, so that's a huge overreaction. I still think

706
00:34:48,519 --> 00:34:50,320
Green Bay is a solid team, and I think Cleveland's

707
00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:51,960
gonna be a little bit of a feisty defensive team

708
00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:53,960
this year as well.

709
00:34:54,159 --> 00:34:56,519
Speaker 2: Love it, Love it, Steve, It's Monday. What do you

710
00:34:56,559 --> 00:34:57,400
have up for clients?

711
00:34:58,719 --> 00:35:01,159
Speaker 5: So of course tomorrow is five dollar Tuesday? And Lang,

712
00:35:01,239 --> 00:35:02,760
I know you, miss Abe, but I love doing the

713
00:35:02,760 --> 00:35:05,159
Monday shows with you because what we do do Monday

714
00:35:05,199 --> 00:35:07,239
is knock out a bunch of the weeknight videos and

715
00:35:08,119 --> 00:35:10,239
check in later tonight yesday around midnight or so. They

716
00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:11,800
go up, so it'll be up Tuesday when you wake

717
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:13,280
up and go to work. You can watch them all

718
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:15,559
day at work. It's kind of like March Madness that Monday,

719
00:35:15,559 --> 00:35:17,320
no one gets things done. Well, I'm trying to make

720
00:35:17,360 --> 00:35:19,360
sure no one gets things done on Tuesday because it's

721
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:21,840
five dollars Tuesday. You can buy multiple plays at wager

722
00:35:21,880 --> 00:35:24,360
Talk and you can also get my Thursday night NFL

723
00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:27,079
and college football videos. My Friday night videos are usually

724
00:35:27,119 --> 00:35:30,039
posted then as well, and don't sleep on those NFL

725
00:35:30,079 --> 00:35:32,960
Prime videos. Three and OHO Already this season we had

726
00:35:32,960 --> 00:35:35,360
the Packers and under. Last week we had the Bills

727
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:37,840
team total over, never in doubt, and we also had

728
00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:40,079
the Cowboys in Week one, so technically four and O

729
00:35:40,159 --> 00:35:42,639
on Thursday nights. So the point is check out the

730
00:35:42,679 --> 00:35:44,679
free videos here on wager Talk TV. All you have

731
00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:46,679
to do is click subscribe and click that bill for

732
00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:48,679
an instant alert. You will know when they are posted

733
00:35:49,119 --> 00:35:51,039
along with the Faith the public video every week and

734
00:35:51,039 --> 00:35:54,239
that I've been referencing twenty eight thousand views yesterday and

735
00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:56,400
our producer Chris Allen says, that is a record. So

736
00:35:56,480 --> 00:35:59,320
thank you everybody out there for watching clicking the thumbs

737
00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:02,199
up like in commenting below, in both the live shows

738
00:36:02,239 --> 00:36:05,320
and the videos, because Andy Lang and myself Steve Merril,

739
00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:07,159
we do these videos when we do the shows, when

740
00:36:07,199 --> 00:36:08,960
people watch. You know, we used toll Love to do

741
00:36:09,000 --> 00:36:10,920
the NASCAR show, but we had like three hundred views.

742
00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:13,760
It just wasn't worth the time. So keep it coming

743
00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:16,880
in Zone live hitting like ten thousand viewers. That's gonna

744
00:36:16,880 --> 00:36:18,119
be out here for a while. It's been taking on

745
00:36:18,159 --> 00:36:20,320
a life of its own, and I do have some

746
00:36:20,360 --> 00:36:22,440
strong best bets up on daily at my page Steve

747
00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:25,480
merrelwager Talk dot com and a bonus free play. Get

748
00:36:25,480 --> 00:36:27,239
the daily free play on my page and build your

749
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:30,239
bank roll Steve merrillwager Talk dot com, Get there, quicker

750
00:36:30,400 --> 00:36:34,559
wt dot slash sm Steve Merrill.

751
00:36:34,639 --> 00:36:36,920
Speaker 2: Everyone. Great job, and yeah, Steve puts in a ton

752
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:41,039
of work doing all those videos. So great work, Steve. Yeah,

753
00:36:41,079 --> 00:36:43,440
those videos are fantastic. I watch every single one of them.

754
00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:44,400
Speaker 1: So thanks Andy.

755
00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:49,079
Speaker 2: All right, all right, let's do all around the world here, guys.

756
00:36:49,119 --> 00:36:53,679
We're gonna give out some free plays here, and let's

757
00:36:53,679 --> 00:36:56,480
see block wants to know, Andy, do you believe in

758
00:36:56,519 --> 00:37:00,199
the Colts? Now? I'm getting there, I'm getting there. You know,

759
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:03,159
Titans aren't great. They should have lost against Broncos. They're

760
00:37:03,199 --> 00:37:07,000
much better than I thought they were gonna be. So yeah,

761
00:37:07,119 --> 00:37:10,920
do I believe I'm getting there? I'm getting there. Do

762
00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:12,800
I take him as a legit threat in the AFC?

763
00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:16,039
The afc' is just loaded, So it's gonna be hard,

764
00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:18,920
you know, it's just gonna be It's gonna be tough

765
00:37:18,960 --> 00:37:20,280
ro but yeah, the cults are a lot of fun

766
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:23,559
to watch. Easiest bet I made yesterday it was Daniel

767
00:37:23,599 --> 00:37:26,280
Jones over two ten and a half passing In no

768
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:28,639
way we're gonna see that number again. So that was

769
00:37:28,679 --> 00:37:31,719
a really really good one. So all right, all around

770
00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:33,920
the world here, let's give out some free plays. We

771
00:37:34,039 --> 00:37:37,840
got a couple of MLB. We got a prop four tonight,

772
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:41,960
so we're gonna go to Baseball Cardinals at the Giants.

773
00:37:42,039 --> 00:37:46,760
Michael McGreevy over sixteen and a half outs. This guy's

774
00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:48,639
been a horse man over in eight out of the

775
00:37:48,679 --> 00:37:51,519
last nine games. The Giants are not scoring a lot

776
00:37:51,519 --> 00:37:54,639
of runs. They've lost seven out of nine. I don't

777
00:37:54,679 --> 00:37:57,199
think they have enough offense to chase McGreevy out of there.

778
00:37:57,320 --> 00:38:00,000
Last time they played, the Giants really tore them up.

779
00:38:00,800 --> 00:38:03,480
But I'll take McGreevy to go over his outs. Guy

780
00:38:03,519 --> 00:38:07,239
normally goes six full innings proper. Tonight, David Montgomery over

781
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:09,800
nine and a half rush attempts. He has eleven in

782
00:38:09,880 --> 00:38:12,519
both games this season. The Ravens have played in two games.

783
00:38:12,599 --> 00:38:15,119
One was that crazy win against the Bills. Bills rushed

784
00:38:15,119 --> 00:38:17,639
on him thirty one times. I think Detroit's gonna want

785
00:38:17,679 --> 00:38:20,800
to try and slow this game down, keep Lamar off

786
00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:23,079
the field, and David Montgomery's going to be their short

787
00:38:23,159 --> 00:38:26,519
yardage guy when they getting close. So yeah, his role

788
00:38:26,599 --> 00:38:29,119
is very much cemented in this offense. Eleven carries in

789
00:38:29,199 --> 00:38:30,920
both games. I think this number should be ten and

790
00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:33,679
a half, not nine and a half. And then Ralph

791
00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:36,840
Michael Special Nationals at Braves were going no run first inning.

792
00:38:37,199 --> 00:38:40,800
Nationals have only scored one first inning run in the

793
00:38:40,880 --> 00:38:43,639
last twelve games. The Braves have only scored a first

794
00:38:43,639 --> 00:38:47,199
inning run once in the last seven games, and Sale

795
00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:51,840
hasn't allowed a first inning run in fourteen straight. That

796
00:38:51,960 --> 00:38:55,519
is that is absolutely crazy. So take a look at

797
00:38:55,519 --> 00:38:59,239
no run first inning Nationals and Braves. I have one

798
00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:02,280
best bet that up for today, Monday Night Football special

799
00:39:02,599 --> 00:39:04,159
looking to make it three and oh on Monday Night

800
00:39:04,159 --> 00:39:06,920
Football plays this year. I just need one. It's up

801
00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:09,360
for sale right now. It's by far the best prop

802
00:39:09,400 --> 00:39:11,280
on the board as far as my opinion goes, So

803
00:39:11,559 --> 00:39:13,400
looking to extend this streak to three and oh on

804
00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:15,920
Monday Night Football. So one bet, that's all we have

805
00:39:16,079 --> 00:39:17,719
up and that's all we need. You can get their

806
00:39:17,880 --> 00:39:23,039
WT dot Buzz slash a al. All right, guys, thank

807
00:39:23,079 --> 00:39:25,239
you so much for joining us. I know we've talked

808
00:39:25,239 --> 00:39:28,159
about Dave Sherpin in the chat. He meant a lot

809
00:39:28,199 --> 00:39:31,079
to the industry, he meant a lot to us. Our

810
00:39:31,159 --> 00:39:34,360
hearts go out to his family and a lot of

811
00:39:34,360 --> 00:39:37,000
people here at wager Talk were friends with him and

812
00:39:37,159 --> 00:39:40,400
worked with him a lot over the years. So we

813
00:39:40,480 --> 00:39:42,960
have we have a little video package here that we

814
00:39:43,000 --> 00:39:45,320
want to share with everyone. It's just got some of

815
00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:47,360
the people that work at wager Talk talking about him.

816
00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:49,239
So rest in peace.

817
00:39:49,320 --> 00:39:51,760
Speaker 4: Dave Sharer Bett in person.

818
00:39:51,880 --> 00:39:56,840
Speaker 3: No trama, No trama, Watch Tuesday much Friday.

819
00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:58,239
Speaker 4: What are you talking.

820
00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:02,440
Speaker 2: About a week two? Get some info out of this man,

821
00:40:07,199 --> 00:40:09,599
Bite me. Not just a pretty face, you know, with

822
00:40:09,679 --> 00:40:13,000
a multi colored beer. There's and it's not just Flex

823
00:40:13,079 --> 00:40:16,840
Tuesday for everybody that's that's I mean, that's exactly how

824
00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:17,679
you should approach it.

825
00:40:17,960 --> 00:40:20,400
Speaker 4: I got a purple suit with a vest I mean,

826
00:40:20,440 --> 00:40:21,519
you can't make this stuff.

827
00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:26,440
Speaker 2: It's is purple. This sound like a drama. This sound

828
00:40:26,599 --> 00:40:28,639
like some drama on a Flex Tuesday.

829
00:40:30,719 --> 00:40:36,599
Speaker 1: We're who comes to my house wearing the colors of

830
00:40:36,639 --> 00:40:37,719
the enemy?

831
00:40:37,920 --> 00:40:44,199
Speaker 2: Who does that? Dave Sherpan You know what, you're right, Chris.

832
00:40:44,440 --> 00:40:47,280
You're absolutely right. You're right, all right.

833
00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:50,960
Speaker 3: That's it, that's it.

834
00:40:52,480 --> 00:40:52,960
Speaker 1: You're right.