WEBVTT 1 00:00:01.840 --> 00:00:34.880 I want me some Gloryhole. Oh yeah, Hello, welcome to 2 00:00:35.039 --> 00:00:39.759 Feast Football Gloryhole Podcast. We'll listen to that podcast, South 3 00:00:39.799 --> 00:00:43.320 Cloud Streaker. Watch us live on Facebook, live, on YouTube, 4 00:00:43.399 --> 00:00:46.920 live on Instagram live and report it anyway you cannot 5 00:00:47.159 --> 00:00:52.079 vot me. We thank eaching Gloryhole set you this week. 6 00:00:52.679 --> 00:00:53.840 I'm six. 7 00:00:53.960 --> 00:00:59.679 I'm joined here by my good buddy, Long Long, what's up? 8 00:01:00.640 --> 00:01:05.079 All right? All ride o bo ciphas Here we go, 9 00:01:05.799 --> 00:01:09.640 fresh off a pre recording argument about Travis Hunter. Maybe 10 00:01:09.640 --> 00:01:12.159 we'll get to that when the show. I always love 11 00:01:12.280 --> 00:01:14.400 starting the show off with a good little argument that 12 00:01:14.439 --> 00:01:17.959 nobody gets to see week number eight in the NFL, buddy, 13 00:01:18.000 --> 00:01:20.920 And that means we're basically at the half way mark. 14 00:01:21.200 --> 00:01:25.920 So how about a little halftime report on FGH and 15 00:01:25.959 --> 00:01:28.840 our productivity. I'll make it real quick for you guys. 16 00:01:29.000 --> 00:01:32.519 I suck, I'm not doing any good. C K he's 17 00:01:32.560 --> 00:01:35.920 doing good and bo Sevas is awesome. There you go. 18 00:01:36.000 --> 00:01:39.719 Are you happy? There's your halftime report from FGH. But 19 00:01:39.879 --> 00:01:43.640 I will but I will ask you this, bo Sevs, 20 00:01:43.760 --> 00:01:48.519 have you ever seen anyone make being about five hundred 21 00:01:48.599 --> 00:01:52.719 in betting? This entertaining? And look this goddamn good. I 22 00:01:52.719 --> 00:01:56.519 don't think you have or you're not gonna answer. That's 23 00:01:56.519 --> 00:01:58.439 good because it was a rhetorical question. I didn't want 24 00:01:58.439 --> 00:02:03.519 you to answer. So our top football handicapper bosiphas is 25 00:02:03.560 --> 00:02:06.599 the money. I am longhorned. I try to be the funny. 26 00:02:06.760 --> 00:02:09.360 We are FG eight, So let's bring it to him 27 00:02:09.639 --> 00:02:13.680 one more time. This Bosivas so hit that. But whether 28 00:02:13.759 --> 00:02:15.360 you are here. 29 00:02:15.319 --> 00:02:17.919 For the funny, it's a question for fun. I'm gonna 30 00:02:17.960 --> 00:02:19.560 have fun, and you're gonna have fun. 31 00:02:19.919 --> 00:02:21.560 We're all gonna have so much fucking fun. 32 00:02:21.599 --> 00:02:24.319 When the plastic surgery to remove our goddamn s files, 33 00:02:24.560 --> 00:02:27.199 you'll be whistling symphony due to out of your assholes. 34 00:02:27.400 --> 00:02:29.039 Are you out here for the money? 35 00:02:29.080 --> 00:02:30.879 Anybody tells your money is the root of all evil. 36 00:02:31.000 --> 00:02:34.000 Doesn't fucking have any They say money can't buy happiness. 37 00:02:34.039 --> 00:02:35.840 Look at the fucking smile on my face. 38 00:02:36.319 --> 00:02:39.000 Here to hear, baby, you have come to the right place. 39 00:02:39.400 --> 00:02:42.439 Two questions for you people. Do you like football? What 40 00:02:42.560 --> 00:02:46.039 a stupid question? That is? What a stupid question. 41 00:02:46.560 --> 00:02:49.919 You ask a lot of stupid questions. 42 00:02:49.919 --> 00:02:54.159 My apologies, mister President's I will do better. Do you 43 00:02:54.400 --> 00:02:55.159 like money? 44 00:02:55.199 --> 00:02:57.599 I'm a big fan of money. I like it. 45 00:02:58.000 --> 00:02:58.639 I use it. 46 00:02:59.039 --> 00:03:01.080 I have a little I keep it in a jar 47 00:03:01.159 --> 00:03:03.439 on top of my refrigerator. I'd like to put more 48 00:03:03.439 --> 00:03:03.919 in that jar. 49 00:03:04.240 --> 00:03:05.080 That's where you come in. 50 00:03:05.199 --> 00:03:06.319 That's right, Adam Center. 51 00:03:06.360 --> 00:03:09.960 That's exactly where we come in. Visit our Patreon page 52 00:03:09.960 --> 00:03:13.800 and check out all the winning opportunities. That's patreon dot com, 53 00:03:13.840 --> 00:03:18.479 slash bet underscore FGH. Become our football partners for life 54 00:03:18.479 --> 00:03:21.199 so that you can bet football the right way, the 55 00:03:21.280 --> 00:03:30.199 winning way, the bet FGH way. And as always here 56 00:03:30.240 --> 00:03:34.840 on the sports patio, we got that TV's glowing, we 57 00:03:34.919 --> 00:03:37.039 got the bear heavily flowing tonight and right now it 58 00:03:37.120 --> 00:03:42.520 is everybody's most unfortunate favorite part of the show. My friend, 59 00:03:42.879 --> 00:03:47.840 tell the people all about your horrible, disgusting how. 60 00:03:49.879 --> 00:03:57.400 Choice of the week. I drunk. I feel right, Donna, 61 00:03:59.199 --> 00:04:01.280 thank you very much, Sarious sirt to not. I am 62 00:04:01.319 --> 00:04:04.960 bringing a fat tire by New Belgium Brewing Company and 63 00:04:05.000 --> 00:04:05.759 Fort Callways. 64 00:04:06.560 --> 00:04:08.719 It's like a once a year thing for you. 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Please, gentlemen, boys and normals, children of. 128 00:06:59.680 --> 00:07:10.879 All, Oh my god, Okay, it's happening. 129 00:07:12.480 --> 00:07:16.079 What do you think is happening right now? Excuse me? 130 00:07:16.240 --> 00:07:19.319 What is happening here? What is happening? What the fuck 131 00:07:19.560 --> 00:07:20.199 just happened? 132 00:07:20.439 --> 00:07:20.639 Oh? 133 00:07:20.720 --> 00:07:24.160 You know what's happening. It's time for all those wins 134 00:07:24.160 --> 00:07:33.319 coming in the heads to Nightmber. Alright, boys and girls, 135 00:07:33.399 --> 00:07:36.680 it's time, dude, it's time to get into that Week 136 00:07:36.959 --> 00:07:41.399 eight card in the NFL. We're gonna start down the 137 00:07:41.519 --> 00:07:45.839 coln over the Panthers, supposed to know. Let's go Buffalo. 138 00:07:46.480 --> 00:07:49.759 That's the Bills, all right. Looking at our preseason line here, 139 00:07:50.319 --> 00:07:54.360 I had Buffalo minus six. Vegas had Buffalo minus seven. 140 00:07:55.560 --> 00:07:57.759 I think Vegas have the better of me. Here had 141 00:07:57.800 --> 00:08:01.800 a refreshment screen here. Last time I saw it, it 142 00:08:02.079 --> 00:08:07.360 was seven. Yeah, pretty much seven across the board here, 143 00:08:07.480 --> 00:08:09.079 long Horne. I'm trying to see the Indy six and 144 00:08:09.079 --> 00:08:11.439 a half popping yet. No, and the money is still 145 00:08:11.480 --> 00:08:13.959 coming in on Buffalo. You got some seven and a half. 146 00:08:14.079 --> 00:08:18.000 So I was a little bit but I've admitted from 147 00:08:18.040 --> 00:08:19.879 the preseason I was a little bit low in Buffalo. 148 00:08:19.920 --> 00:08:23.399 But Carolina Buffalo taking the money here? What do you got? 149 00:08:24.639 --> 00:08:25.800 Carolina's taking the money? 150 00:08:26.199 --> 00:08:27.439 No, Buffalo's taking the money. 151 00:08:28.639 --> 00:08:29.639 Then why is it going down? 152 00:08:30.600 --> 00:08:35.519 Now going down. It's trending up towards the seven and 153 00:08:35.559 --> 00:08:39.480 a half. So seven is juice all the way across. 154 00:08:39.559 --> 00:08:42.159 Seven and a half is at minus one O three 155 00:08:42.519 --> 00:08:48.360 at Heritage and South Point is flap money minus one. 156 00:08:48.399 --> 00:08:50.759 It's minus one twelve at both ways and seven and 157 00:08:50.759 --> 00:08:53.799 a half. So yeah, definitely coming in on the Buffalo 158 00:08:53.840 --> 00:08:54.879 bills fair enough. 159 00:08:54.919 --> 00:08:56.679 And I don't this, I don't have a strong one 160 00:08:56.679 --> 00:09:02.039 on this one. I Carolina, honestly being we got fucked 161 00:09:02.039 --> 00:09:03.519 on or at least I got fun because I would 162 00:09:03.519 --> 00:09:06.879 be all over Carolina if this was Bryce Young, which 163 00:09:06.919 --> 00:09:09.320 is a weird thing to say because since when is 164 00:09:09.320 --> 00:09:12.960 Bryce Young like a key factor? But let's not let's 165 00:09:13.000 --> 00:09:14.919 not also skim over the fact that Carolina's four and 166 00:09:14.960 --> 00:09:17.600 three this year. They're over under for wins. Was it 167 00:09:17.759 --> 00:09:18.480 was it six and a half? 168 00:09:18.559 --> 00:09:22.480 Is that what six and a half? Six and a half? 169 00:09:22.799 --> 00:09:27.080 Oh? Is this one of the and that's part of 170 00:09:27.120 --> 00:09:30.159 the handicap? Is like yet like Carolina, let's be honest, 171 00:09:30.240 --> 00:09:35.080 is built to be this Buffalo team. They could Buffalo 172 00:09:35.159 --> 00:09:38.080 can't stop the run. Carolina wants to run the ball. 173 00:09:39.080 --> 00:09:42.480 But and there's a there's even a trend that's heavy 174 00:09:42.480 --> 00:09:46.279 on Carolina. That that I'll talk about too, But basically 175 00:09:46.320 --> 00:09:48.399 it's it's do you have faith in the old man, 176 00:09:48.840 --> 00:09:51.519 Andy Dalton. It's basically all this this handy gap comes 177 00:09:51.519 --> 00:09:53.960 down to, can you trust an old Andy Dalton coming 178 00:09:53.960 --> 00:09:56.039 off the bench? We've seen this work this year in 179 00:09:56.080 --> 00:09:58.480 the NFL with the old quarterbacks. I don't know that 180 00:09:58.519 --> 00:10:00.440 I necessarily want to trust any Dalton. I don't. I 181 00:10:00.440 --> 00:10:03.279 don't like what I've seen for eighty percent of his 182 00:10:03.360 --> 00:10:06.840 starts over the last year I have. It's been cringey 183 00:10:07.000 --> 00:10:11.480 and and terrible. So I mean seriously like he had 184 00:10:12.039 --> 00:10:15.120 I mean I I, you know, touted that he's one 185 00:10:15.120 --> 00:10:16.919 of the better backups last year, and he came in 186 00:10:16.960 --> 00:10:19.240 and played a handful of games and was just garbage 187 00:10:19.279 --> 00:10:23.840 besides one game, So I can't trust him. And then 188 00:10:23.879 --> 00:10:27.039 and then you you mentioned it, Buffalo coming off of bye, desperate, 189 00:10:27.720 --> 00:10:31.080 desperate for a win like they've been. They've been hungry 190 00:10:31.120 --> 00:10:33.159 for a win for two or three weeks now. It's 191 00:10:33.159 --> 00:10:36.879 just a it's just a bad motivation spot for Carolina 192 00:10:36.919 --> 00:10:38.440 to go against a buffle team needs a win. But 193 00:10:38.879 --> 00:10:43.799 the trend seven point dogs at home in the first 194 00:10:43.879 --> 00:10:47.679 nine games this year are forty or this is not 195 00:10:47.720 --> 00:10:50.600 just as year, but going back over the first nine games, 196 00:10:50.720 --> 00:10:54.919 it's a forty to eleven trend. So yeah, so so 197 00:10:55.039 --> 00:10:57.399 like so basically that's why I'm told that's why I can't. 198 00:10:57.480 --> 00:10:59.399 I can't sell this game because like everything tells me, 199 00:10:59.440 --> 00:11:04.000 go Caroline except for the ship ass quarterback, which I'll 200 00:11:04.039 --> 00:11:07.279 have to check both sevas don't. The quarterback does touch 201 00:11:07.360 --> 00:11:10.159 the ball every single play correct for the most part, 202 00:11:10.200 --> 00:11:12.440 like unless they do some trick play. So so it's 203 00:11:12.519 --> 00:11:14.679 kind of a big deal. And then on the other side, 204 00:11:14.720 --> 00:11:16.759 you got you got, I don't know, m v P. 205 00:11:17.000 --> 00:11:19.759 Josh Allen, who hasn't had a win in almost three weeks. 206 00:11:20.200 --> 00:11:24.759 I'm just torn on this one coming off of by 207 00:11:25.159 --> 00:11:29.559 and is that a good spot and this isn't okay, 208 00:11:29.600 --> 00:11:33.519 so not a great spot there, but yeah, just give me, 209 00:11:33.679 --> 00:11:37.000 give me buffalo on straight up pick eems. I mean, 210 00:11:37.000 --> 00:11:38.759 I can't recommend put them in teachers because they're a 211 00:11:38.840 --> 00:11:41.000 road favor. That's not that's not the wong And I 212 00:11:41.159 --> 00:11:43.960 only do the wongs, as you know, both seas, it 213 00:11:44.039 --> 00:11:49.559 is only wongs for me. Yeah, rock out with your 214 00:11:49.600 --> 00:11:52.639 wong out is the way we do it. But but 215 00:11:53.360 --> 00:11:56.519 give me those seven points as a lean and crush 216 00:11:56.559 --> 00:12:01.039 your fingers. That's that Andy Dalton can cham know his 217 00:12:01.240 --> 00:12:05.480 old man Joe Flacco, his old man Aaron Rodgers, his 218 00:12:05.600 --> 00:12:08.159 old man Jacobe Brissette. This is the year of the 219 00:12:08.200 --> 00:12:11.679 old man bo Cephas. So I mean, come on, your 220 00:12:11.679 --> 00:12:14.240 fucking redheaded Stepsha'll pick one up and just and just 221 00:12:14.320 --> 00:12:16.399 keep it within seven points and we can get a 222 00:12:16.440 --> 00:12:18.519 win on the on some of the contests where you 223 00:12:18.519 --> 00:12:21.039 have to pick every single game, so in those contests, 224 00:12:21.120 --> 00:12:25.879 I'll be I'll be regrettably taking the plus seven with 225 00:12:25.919 --> 00:12:28.240 Carolina at home, which this has been their sweet spot. 226 00:12:28.360 --> 00:12:31.639 This is at home, you bet Carolina, So it's scary 227 00:12:31.679 --> 00:12:34.240 though it is. Uh. 228 00:12:35.840 --> 00:12:38.080 A couple of things before we start here. I went through, 229 00:12:38.840 --> 00:12:41.320 first of all, obviously I had a terrible week last 230 00:12:41.320 --> 00:12:44.799 week in the NFL, so I did something different. This 231 00:12:45.120 --> 00:12:46.879 is only our second you're runn of the BPG, so 232 00:12:48.279 --> 00:12:52.399 I went through and made a grading schedule priors getting 233 00:12:52.480 --> 00:12:57.960 less as we went on. I think so through the 234 00:12:58.000 --> 00:13:02.200 first six weeks was winning like if you just took 235 00:13:02.240 --> 00:13:06.240 every game, the BBG said, you're winning money. However, week 236 00:13:06.320 --> 00:13:10.639 seven it pretty much with fifty to fifty. Week eight, Longhorn, 237 00:13:11.039 --> 00:13:14.600 it went one in six, one in six. It tanked 238 00:13:14.639 --> 00:13:16.960 on me or sorry, week seven tank one in six. 239 00:13:17.519 --> 00:13:19.600 This is a week week six and went fifty to 240 00:13:19.600 --> 00:13:23.639 fifty first five weeks, You're winning money. Not only did 241 00:13:23.679 --> 00:13:26.960 it tank, the fucking totals, which had been killing it 242 00:13:27.000 --> 00:13:30.639 on the BBG through six weeks or through five weeks, 243 00:13:31.000 --> 00:13:34.080 went a little bit under five hundred. Week six, the 244 00:13:34.159 --> 00:13:37.519 totals went oh and seven in week seven, not one 245 00:13:37.559 --> 00:13:41.159 total hit, only one side hit. So that told me 246 00:13:41.440 --> 00:13:43.519 it was time to make an adjustment on how much 247 00:13:43.600 --> 00:13:47.120 priors that I had built in. So I adjusted the schedule, 248 00:13:47.200 --> 00:13:48.879 and we talked about on the money recap. There's a 249 00:13:48.879 --> 00:13:51.120 couple of quarterbacks. I need to adjust the schedule completely, 250 00:13:51.919 --> 00:13:53.919 Indiana Jones. Mean one of them, just take out all 251 00:13:53.919 --> 00:13:56.200 of his prior because nothing mattered from what he did 252 00:13:56.639 --> 00:13:59.879 in New York. It is totally different. 253 00:14:00.639 --> 00:14:04.480 You mean, MVP Daniel Jones. Yeah, and good call, yeah. 254 00:14:04.639 --> 00:14:08.320 Indiana Jones. So I had to fucking adjust a lot 255 00:14:08.360 --> 00:14:10.919 of shit this way. I had to fucking adjust every 256 00:14:10.960 --> 00:14:15.080 algorithm we had, and I think that I got it 257 00:14:15.120 --> 00:14:17.240 at least close to right. As I started grading th 258 00:14:17.240 --> 00:14:21.039 these games because everything started lining out closer to the totals, 259 00:14:21.080 --> 00:14:24.360 closer to what Vegas said. So just putting it out 260 00:14:24.399 --> 00:14:29.000 there to start. Everything's been adjusted now power kings, including 261 00:14:29.080 --> 00:14:31.720 power ranking on this has Buffalo even at the seven. 262 00:14:31.799 --> 00:14:35.720 But buckets grader at Carolina v too, Carolina, do too, Carolina. 263 00:14:36.080 --> 00:14:38.519 I've got Buffalo winning this game twenty five to nineteen. 264 00:14:39.000 --> 00:14:41.399 And for this game, I still did great and Bryce 265 00:14:41.440 --> 00:14:43.519 young in there because I have no data on any Dalton, 266 00:14:44.000 --> 00:14:46.600 but it can't get any fucking worse than Bryce Shunk. 267 00:14:46.799 --> 00:14:48.600 So I wanted to grade it at the worst. 268 00:14:48.639 --> 00:14:52.000 Oh can it not? Can it not? 269 00:14:52.200 --> 00:14:53.519 I mean it really can't. 270 00:14:53.720 --> 00:14:56.159 And while you're you talking at home, Bryce Younger on 271 00:14:56.200 --> 00:14:58.480 the road, because if you if you put them together, yeah, 272 00:14:58.519 --> 00:15:02.320 you're on the road. Can be awful at home he's money. 273 00:15:03.159 --> 00:15:04.919 No, he's still not good at home. He's not good 274 00:15:05.000 --> 00:15:07.039 any He's not good anywhere. He's not good. 275 00:15:07.240 --> 00:15:08.960 They score like thirty points at home. 276 00:15:09.120 --> 00:15:12.279 He's not good on a plane, he's not good anywhere. 277 00:15:12.320 --> 00:15:14.919 Sam, I I can I can tell, I can already tell. 278 00:15:14.919 --> 00:15:16.559 This is just gonna be a night of us fighting. 279 00:15:16.840 --> 00:15:19.000 Let's just let's just lean into it. So like I'm 280 00:15:19.000 --> 00:15:21.639 gonna this is just gonna be what it is. So 281 00:15:21.799 --> 00:15:25.159 I mean, go on, keep carry on with your with 282 00:15:25.159 --> 00:15:28.000 your handicap, and I'm gonna look up Carolina splits at home. 283 00:15:28.679 --> 00:15:31.759 Okay, you do that, so but I do have Carolina. 284 00:15:31.840 --> 00:15:34.440 The BBG has Carolina covering, like I said, twenty five 285 00:15:34.440 --> 00:15:38.840 to nineteen. Now home matchup with the quarterback again is 286 00:15:38.960 --> 00:15:41.879 Bridshung's numbers. He loses the point and a half. Buffalo 287 00:15:41.960 --> 00:15:46.080 is eleventh DSR. This defensive success rate, I'm just gonna 288 00:15:46.080 --> 00:15:50.039 say DSR, but it stands for defensive success rate and 289 00:15:50.360 --> 00:15:55.519 uh dropbacks. But it's not a great matchup for John 290 00:15:55.559 --> 00:15:59.960 Wayne either, dude. Carolina's defense is sneakily really fucking cut 291 00:16:01.320 --> 00:16:05.799 in DSR against the fucking pass. Now you mentioned the 292 00:16:05.879 --> 00:16:08.679 run game, and that was a great fucking call. They 293 00:16:08.759 --> 00:16:12.720 gained the reason why Carolina can can cover this number. 294 00:16:13.200 --> 00:16:16.399 They gained three points to the BBG to the run game. 295 00:16:16.759 --> 00:16:18.679 And this is why I know my justins were correct 296 00:16:18.720 --> 00:16:23.159 because Buffalo's twenty fifth in DSR against the run. So 297 00:16:23.159 --> 00:16:25.960 I was like kind of grading against This is the 298 00:16:26.000 --> 00:16:30.000 time of year we can like take the overall stats 299 00:16:30.120 --> 00:16:32.120 and look through the BBG and say, okay, are they 300 00:16:32.159 --> 00:16:35.200 lining up? They are absolutely lining up. Buffalo sucks against 301 00:16:35.200 --> 00:16:38.639 the run, like you mentioned now, their way quality run 302 00:16:38.639 --> 00:16:42.399 game though does gain a point through Buffalo. However, Carolina 303 00:16:42.440 --> 00:16:46.840 has the number one defensive success rate good defense. But 304 00:16:47.399 --> 00:16:49.559 the reason why Buffalo gains a point through the BBG 305 00:16:49.639 --> 00:16:55.360 because the bbgate grades every run Carolina struggles versus the 306 00:16:55.399 --> 00:16:57.960 scrambles so far this year on the on the quarterback, 307 00:16:58.720 --> 00:17:00.360 we know that's what John Wayne's. 308 00:17:00.080 --> 00:17:00.600 Gonna want to do. 309 00:17:01.799 --> 00:17:05.039 My question this is how much is he gonna want 310 00:17:05.079 --> 00:17:08.079 to do that versus opponent that obviously they should beat 311 00:17:08.079 --> 00:17:11.720 their fucking seven point road favorites. What motivation does he 312 00:17:11.799 --> 00:17:13.519 have to really lay his body on the rock, because 313 00:17:13.519 --> 00:17:15.079 if he really wants to go after it, they're gonna 314 00:17:15.119 --> 00:17:18.480 beat them by fucking twenty points. But I don't know. 315 00:17:18.440 --> 00:17:20.720 That he really I don't think a team coming off 316 00:17:20.759 --> 00:17:25.039 two straight I'm think coming off two straight losses. Yeah, yeah, 317 00:17:25.079 --> 00:17:27.519 I don't think a team has the luxury to think 318 00:17:27.599 --> 00:17:27.960 like that. 319 00:17:28.599 --> 00:17:32.680 Buffalo, like, he hasn't really been scrambling. They've been trying 320 00:17:32.680 --> 00:17:35.039 to rely on you know, the running back, you know 321 00:17:35.119 --> 00:17:36.200 his name, I don't know his name. 322 00:17:36.640 --> 00:17:40.119 Yeah, James, Yeah, James Cook. But you know, you know, 323 00:17:40.200 --> 00:17:42.680 when you don't rely on what you would prefer to 324 00:17:42.720 --> 00:17:45.279 rely on, when you're on a two game losing streak, 325 00:17:45.599 --> 00:17:46.880 all that shit goes out the windows. 326 00:17:47.000 --> 00:17:49.559 And the number one DSR fucking rush defense in all 327 00:17:49.599 --> 00:17:52.720 of football. So yeah, I think is gonna have to 328 00:17:52.799 --> 00:17:54.440 run and if he does, they are going to gain 329 00:17:54.480 --> 00:17:57.799 a point. And do that now. I talked about the 330 00:17:57.920 --> 00:18:03.119 after the buye us since twenty twelve, after the bye, 331 00:18:03.279 --> 00:18:06.599 you're the away favorite fifty to fifty fifty point six 332 00:18:07.200 --> 00:18:09.960 on an average line of minus four point two since 333 00:18:10.000 --> 00:18:12.319 twenty twenty one. So I try to take the I 334 00:18:12.400 --> 00:18:14.559 try to get after the COVID year because they COVID 335 00:18:14.599 --> 00:18:18.519 you were really fucked some of these trends. Uh. If 336 00:18:18.519 --> 00:18:22.640 you're the way favorite forty four percent, not great. So 337 00:18:22.960 --> 00:18:25.279 I would lean Carolina here. I'm with you on that. 338 00:18:25.319 --> 00:18:27.119 As much as you say we want to fight, I'm 339 00:18:27.200 --> 00:18:30.640 leaning with you. I don't know if I'm gonna better 340 00:18:30.759 --> 00:18:35.200 or not, but especially with Andy Dalton. But overall, the 341 00:18:35.279 --> 00:18:39.039 system does great up for Carolina's to cover this game. Cover. 342 00:18:39.599 --> 00:18:43.599 Yeah, and as far as like Carolina does score the 343 00:18:43.759 --> 00:18:46.839 twenty nine points per game, at home this year, and 344 00:18:46.880 --> 00:18:48.880 it's and it's awful on the road. I have to 345 00:18:48.920 --> 00:18:51.039 add it up, but it's it's they're in the teams 346 00:18:51.319 --> 00:18:53.440 and in multiple games on the road. So it ain't 347 00:18:53.440 --> 00:18:54.160 gonna be bb. 348 00:18:54.079 --> 00:18:56.240 With thirteen points last week in fucking New York if 349 00:18:56.279 --> 00:18:58.759 you didn't catch them by the cap. Well, what a 350 00:18:58.759 --> 00:19:00.039 fucking connection about it? 351 00:19:00.039 --> 00:19:02.440 It's against the Jets, and the Jets are unbedable. You 352 00:19:02.440 --> 00:19:04.480 should have We should have both known that because we 353 00:19:04.799 --> 00:19:07.759 both dipped our toes into that. More more, more of 354 00:19:07.799 --> 00:19:11.319 that later, we'll get into that. Yeah, so Bryce Young's 355 00:19:11.359 --> 00:19:14.440 numbers aren't fantastic, but he's not a fantastic quarterback, So 356 00:19:14.480 --> 00:19:19.599 like it's just they're significantly better. Yeah, they're just better 357 00:19:19.640 --> 00:19:22.240 at home. So you're getting them, Well we're not. Why 358 00:19:22.240 --> 00:19:23.759 are we even talking about he's not even fucking playing. 359 00:19:23.759 --> 00:19:25.480 I don't know how we got off from Bryce Young tangent. 360 00:19:25.559 --> 00:19:27.200 He's not even playing. That's the whole point. 361 00:19:27.720 --> 00:19:30.640 Well and perform, Oh that's. 362 00:19:30.519 --> 00:19:33.000 What it was. That's what. Now, don't made me pull 363 00:19:33.079 --> 00:19:36.160 up Andy Andy Dalton's last few starts, because you wouldn't 364 00:19:36.160 --> 00:19:38.279 be so confident in saying he's gonna be just fine. 365 00:19:38.519 --> 00:19:40.839 If you saw his numbers the last sounds he started. 366 00:19:41.799 --> 00:19:44.640 Yeah, this ain't. 367 00:19:44.440 --> 00:19:48.640 Your daddy's TCU Andy Dalton. Okay, this ain't that. 368 00:19:49.720 --> 00:19:53.319 Fucking first five years of the Bengals, and wasn't that terrible. 369 00:19:54.720 --> 00:19:59.200 But he can't. He can do some old man magic 370 00:19:59.240 --> 00:20:01.319 that we've seen, Like we've seen this in the NFL 371 00:20:01.440 --> 00:20:04.559 this year. Just get back there and throw it to 372 00:20:04.599 --> 00:20:06.720 just get rid of the ball and don't kill your team. 373 00:20:06.839 --> 00:20:08.119 So it's kind of all you have to do with 374 00:20:08.160 --> 00:20:10.759 the old man. Just rely on your your weapons, which 375 00:20:10.759 --> 00:20:15.039 they have. Yeah, they'll be a good running game. So yeah, 376 00:20:15.079 --> 00:20:17.319 we agree, we're on. We're both in Carolina agreement. 377 00:20:18.079 --> 00:20:22.880 All right, Baltimore should cat go. We got Lambar Jackson 378 00:20:23.079 --> 00:20:26.400 back in the fucking folk. Oh, boys and girls, let's 379 00:20:26.440 --> 00:20:32.319 see on this one. I had Baltimore minus nine preseason. 380 00:20:32.799 --> 00:20:35.599 Vegas had a minus seven. I believe it's sitting at 381 00:20:35.680 --> 00:20:38.559 six and a half. So again, but the Baltimore was 382 00:20:38.599 --> 00:20:40.440 the other team I was higher than Vegason. It was 383 00:20:40.480 --> 00:20:43.599 Lawera in Buffalo, So Vegas beat me on that. It 384 00:20:43.680 --> 00:20:45.519 is still sitting at six and a halfn six and 385 00:20:45.559 --> 00:20:48.240 a half. Sorry across the board, Longhore, what are you 386 00:20:48.279 --> 00:20:48.599 going on there. 387 00:20:49.279 --> 00:20:51.519 Yeah, it's funny that you started with these two games, 388 00:20:51.519 --> 00:20:54.759 because these these two games are pretty close to the 389 00:20:54.799 --> 00:21:00.480 same handicap for me. Just like Buffalo, Baltimore is desperate 390 00:21:00.519 --> 00:21:03.319 for a win. They're getting some players back. Obviously, the 391 00:21:03.440 --> 00:21:06.960 quarterback coming back, Lamar Jackson, he did practice for the Yeah, 392 00:21:07.000 --> 00:21:09.200 and he practiced two days in a row, so he's 393 00:21:09.240 --> 00:21:12.759 definitely coming back and playing. You just got to assume 394 00:21:13.319 --> 00:21:17.319 it's one hundred percent until until we see otherwise, I guess. 395 00:21:17.359 --> 00:21:21.880 But Chicago coming off four straight is it fo Yeah, 396 00:21:21.920 --> 00:21:28.640 four straight wins, and and they should prototypically be the 397 00:21:28.720 --> 00:21:32.119 team built to beat or at least keep this game 398 00:21:32.200 --> 00:21:36.559 close against Baltimore. But I can't do it unlike the 399 00:21:36.559 --> 00:21:40.319 Carolina one, where I'm yeah, I'm gonna I'm gonna reluctantly 400 00:21:40.359 --> 00:21:42.200 go that way on that for the for the reasons 401 00:21:42.240 --> 00:21:45.359