Speaker 1: NHL Best Bets for Wednesday, January fourteenth, Here on Puck
Time wager Talk TV, Andrew and Carmine with you guys.
Speaker 2: Look forward to breaking things down.
Speaker 1: Smaller slate, a little bit of a kind of a
deep breath type of slate here, not ten games to
dive into. We got a couple games to really dig
deep in though. Find some player props, find some sides
or team totals or full game totals, and some different angles.
We can look at just the two of us on
today's show, myself and Carmine. We'll go back and forth,
We'll dive into things and I'll tell you what, guys.
Speaker 2: You know, it was a tale of two different games
for me.
Speaker 1: The five dollars play did not go well with looking
for Carolina to bounce back as Saint Louis. Nobody saw
that coming. They dominated the Carolina Hurricanes. We did cash
the five percent play and it was it was the
monkey off my back. I needed to hit a five
percent NHL play and we got it with Columbus, with
the coaches bump, with their strong way of playing.
Speaker 2: I was happy to see it.
Speaker 1: I'm always cheering for you, karm with your play of
the day, except for if I'm head to head with you,
which has not happened very much. And you know what,
for the most part, you've gotten the best of me
whenever I've been head to head against you over the
last what four months. But overall, here, Karm, I'm just
happy to get that five percent. And Utah, Carm, I
know something will make you feel better is bashing on
the Maple Leafs. And you know, if anybody out there
does not believe in the term let down spot, I
know some people don't like these cliche handicapping terms. If
there's one thing that we can all agree on, I
think the term let down is very possible. Carm, Toronto
against Colorado they get the job done one night, and
then against Utah they look like a whole different team.
That's how it works, and that's the psychology of sports betting.
Speaker 2: But good morning, Carm.
Speaker 3: Good to see you, and a lot of people in
the chat yesterday had talked about taking Utah in a
possible letdown spot for the Leafs. Mario, I see your
comment in the comment section. Do me a favor. Send
an email over to customer service to Melissa or miss
or Missy and just let him know, you know, similar
to what you posted there. I get your ear frustrated
the last three days with the flex pack, with three
different capers, see if they can do something for you.
And if they can't, at least I will let them
know if you send them a message that I'll give
you like, I'll get you like a three day NHL pass,
so at the very least, and I can't guarantee you
all three days are going to win, because let's get
the elephant out of the room. A bad day in
the NHL for me yesterday, highlighted by Tristan Jarry deciding
he was no longer a goal in overtime but a
defenceman coming out and making the biggest gaff.
Speaker 4: I thought the Oilers deserved to win that game.
Speaker 3: I thought they would get it done in overtime, and
then that miss Q by Tristan Jarry coming out to
try and play the puck and it completely backfired on them.
But the other ones were duds.
Speaker 4: I get it.
Speaker 3: Those are the days. I'm going to have the ebbs
and flows. But I will always acknowledge my bad days
more so than I will acknowledge the good days, because
the good days I expect the bad days like yesterday,
I don't not as bad. So with that said, send
over Mary l. Please send over a message to Missy
and Melissa. Then after the show, I will drop them
a message as well to to let them know that
you're going to email them, or if you have already
done so. Andrew, I'll tell you this, man, I woke
up this morning and I wasn't in a good mood.
I actually sent a Stasia out to at the car
this morning just in case somebody was upset about yesterday.
I didn't hear any boom, so then I got into
the vehicle and I drove and went to get a
coffee at Tim Horton's. But with that said, you and
I are going to break down three to four games
on tonight's card. The Seattle New Jersey Devil's game, the
Philadelphia Flyers Buffalo Sabers, the Vegas Golden Knights LA Kings game.
We're not going to cover, but we could touch on it.
The Ottawa and the New York Rangers game. To be
honest with you, one of the main reasons is I
don't even know how to handle the new goaltending issue
with Ottawa and James Reimer. Likely is starting tonight for them,
or the fact that the Rangers can't score more than
two goals on home ice. But with that said, Andrew,
congratulations on cashing you're five percent play yesterday to the
pres who continued his very good run with four percent
money moneyline plays as well too, so good. See some
kappers doing well, and I'll get back on that boat.
But with that said, guys, Andrew, not guys, Let's get
to it. Seattle and New Jersey Devils. Andrew mis won
forty six for the Devils plus one twenty one for Seattle.
The total sixerari six. I laugh because the Devils are
kind of dead to me in the sense of h
They're the team that I cannot figure out. I play
on them, they get blasted I play against them, they
blast the team that they're playing. Maybe it's just time
for me not to play any Devil's games until I
figure this team out or they show something that even
resembles something that I can predict on them. What are
your thoughts on this one?
Speaker 1: You know, I'm going to start with a prop, Carmen,
this one actually, and I haven't been talking about a
lot of goalie props lately, but immediately when I look
at this game, I believe we are seeing Joey Decord.
Correct me if I'm wrong here on that card if
you see anything different. But I believe Joey Decord is
the guy, and I think I'm going to look towards
Goalie save props for him to the over.
Speaker 2: You know, we saw this New Jersey Devil's team go
through some struggles. Guys.
Speaker 1: They there's no denying that. I mean, whether it's been
the current Dougie Hamilton situation, whether it was the Jack
Hughes situation getting hurt at a restaurant, whether it was
Luke Hughes getting booed by his own fan base. Something
is weird going Something weird is going on with this
Devil's organization as a whole this season. Now, looking at
this cracking team, they've been able to be relatively competitive
here over the past little while. There's no denying it.
And I know that when we talk about these spots,
carm we're not really necessarily talking about a big travel spot,
because of course, the Kraken just played against the New
York Rangers, and it's you know, just you know, a
bridge away or down the road away. But it's still
been you know, a couple couple of games on the
road here for this cracking team. Overall, I just don't
really look at their offensive metrics for being very strong.
Looking at the way that New Jersey matches up here,
their time of possession, their offensive zone time, to me,
it looks like they're the side. Now here's the deal,
though I don't really have much faith in the goaltending situation.
Looking at a guy right now in Markstrom eight seventy
eight say, percentage leaves the door open for some possibilities
for Seattle to be able to create some offense. I
think this game has some pace to it. I feel
like we might be a little bit shocked here and
we could see an over the game open five and
a half. A lot of six is around here. You
can still get some five and a half's juice towards
the over I lean towards this New Jersey team, I do,
but I feel like they're gonna have to score some goals.
So this, to me is probably the classic team total
over spot. I know Seattle doesn't want to play these
heavy back and forth games, but I feel like, especially
on the road, they get roped into playing that style
of hockey a bit more. But guys, I'm gonna wait
to see what this number ends up being.
Speaker 2: They don't really.
Speaker 1: Post the goalie save props right away at early part
of the day, of course, puck time eleven am Eastern
Monday through Friday, So I don't have the exact number,
but I do think this could be a spot here
to look for a lot of shots on goal and
instead of looking at guys to get their shots, I'll
just look at Joey decords save props. But I am
kind of interested in New Jersey here, Carl. I want
to go back to you with the price here in
this one obviously opener. According to odds logic minus one
seventy two, we've got Circa showing one forty four. We've
got DraftKings showing closer to one p fifty. You know
for a team that you said it before, when when
Buffalo was on their big run, you said, hey, look,
once they lose a game, I'm gonna want to go
against them. Well, now it's kind of the case here
with this Devil's team. It's the opposite where they had
lost a handful of games in a row, then they
get back on track. Now that they're back on track
with a win, do you want to keep trying to
find a way to bet.
Speaker 4: Them, Yes, I'd like to. Is just it's just tough.
Speaker 3: You mean, you look at their last three own games
before they embarked on that road trip, an ot loss,
and then they beat Utah, and then the game against
the third period meltdown against the Carolina Hurricanes where I
think that's the game where Luke Cues had a couple
of goals either go off of them or they were
own goals to use a soccer phrase own goal for it.
So you know, I mean, it's like when things are
going bad. That's how bad it is. It is, uh,
in every sport when things are going bad for your team,
you hit the upright, you miss wide left, wide right,
you fumble the ball at the two yard line, and
you sco on your own net. In hockey, that's when
things are going bad. But you find a way of
turning it around. They somehow turned it around in Minnesota
and scored five against or at least five goals in
the game against a team that has a good defense,
that has very good goaltending. Now they return home, how
do they play against Kraken. This is more of a
play against the Kraken than it is against New Jersey.
New Jersey in the first periods at home are seven
to seven and seven this season, so basically a little
over even money you're getting, they're slightly profitable. The Seattle
Kracking are the fourth worst road team on first period
money lines this season. They are in let's have a
look here. In twenty two games that they've played on
the road, they've been tied after twenty minutes in eleven
of them. They've trailed in nine, and they've only had
the lead twice. If you flat bet against Seattle on
the first period money line, you're up about seven units
the leaders in that on or the worst team is
the New Jersey Devils, but that's on the road. We're
talking about road splits here more so than home splits.
So Devils returning home hopefully picking up, hoping to keep
that good vibe going after that win in Minnesota. Maybe
they come out and play as strong twenty minutes here.
Do I want to play the whole game?
Speaker 4: I don't. This is one.
Speaker 3: Where it's more of a fade on Seattle on the
first period money line more than anything else.
Speaker 2: It's hard to blame you. It's hard to blame you here.
Speaker 1: I just think that, you know, with how bad it
looked for the Devils, you know, at least they finally
get a win, right, And I like what the way
you phrase that car Sometimes I say that too. It's
not as much of a fade like that was kind
of like yesterday with me with Utah. It wasn't as
much as I'm betting on Utah as I was betting
against the Toronto maple Leafs, right, And sometimes you're doing
that like sometimes you're backing a team and sometimes you're
more so just kind of going against the team that
they're going against. Here, Rod here said Seattle when they
allowed to or a fewer goals previous game, they are
sixteen and three straight up. Interesting tidbit there. Andrew Colombo
wants his jacket back. Hey, this is nice and cozy,
nice and warm.
Speaker 2: Here. TJ.
Speaker 1: Salvator says devils like karm are going to turn her
around after a few bumps in the road. Absolutely all
kinds of people in this chat room. And I like
this one here. That was a freaky Tuesday, not freaky Friday.
Freaky Tuesday is the Blues beat the Canes and Ottawa
game goes under. You know what, guys, I'm gonna blame
myself for that Ottawa one because on every show I
did yesterday, I pretty much just said, how the hell
could that game go under? I remember saying that to
to Buster, like if you clipped me saying that karm
to to Buster, just being like, hey, I want to
start keeping it more simple in the new year.
Speaker 2: How could we take this game under? And then you know,
two to one.
Speaker 1: Result for that one a little bit shaky, but yeah,
you know this devil's team like that nine to nothing
was embarrassing against a rival foe with the New York Islanders,
and then everybody was like, how are they going to
answer back? And they lose four one to the Penguins
and then tough four to three loss to the Winnipeg Jets.
So putting up five spot on the Minnesota Wild should
give them a little bit of enthusiasm in the room
and hopefully lead them towards some success. So we'll look
for them early in the game, says Carmine, and we'll
see what happens. I do lean towards that side, wouldn't
be shocked to see some goals though, as there have
been kind of some goaltending issues overall with the team. Karen,
just really quick for our throw back to you or
remind people at home, guys, if you're interested the seven
day all access for sixty nine dollars. Look, we always
say this. We don't want you guys hopping on just
one play and then living off that one play. We'd
like for you guys to join us for a week.
You know, you could have a winning weekend in the
NFL and if somebody bought your one one play, just
one play only, that's all they're judging you by, right
or nhell things like that. If you guys are interested,
especially at day like today, I would say KRM, I
won't speak for you, but only a handful of days
in the NHL. If you guys want to jump in
for a seven day pass, you're gonna get everything that
we bet, everything we release for the next seven days
across all sports.
Speaker 2: Great way to go seven day all access guys.
Speaker 1: And for the record, no coupon code needed with this,
no promo code needed. Go right to my page, go
right to Carmines page. And if you guys are new
to Puck Time, of course, we give out free picks
daily here on the show, and all of our best
bets and favorite plays are at wager talk dot com.
Guys comment below, let us know what you think here
about this one, Kraken and Devil's curious what you guys
think about this one and your thoughts right now on
the Devils Back to you, Karl.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Andrew, you know a side from that. Chuck Pud
talked about that the Autawa Vancouver game took about ninety
percent of wagers on the over and it's completely understandable
why that, why it would I was on the over
there and I get a lot of people don't buy
into analytics. They just some people will just look at
standings and want to bet off of standings or last
five games or so. I think you got to take
a lot a lot of different angles on a game.
But to look at that game and the game finished
two to one, and the analytics in that game, the
XG created in that game where four point zero eight
the three point four to two, So basically seven and
a half goals expected goals were generated in that game
and only three goals scored. And if you're watching the game,
it was a frustrating one to watch. It looked, it
looked deaderly and then a couple of quick goals.
Speaker 4: In the first period.
Speaker 3: Late in the first period, you thought, okay, well they're
back on track, and then just nothing. The Canucks, well
they lost two to one. They lost, and it's just
another loss for them, and they haven't looked good. It's
been a miserable road trip for this Canucks team. You
kind of feel bad for that. The camera just kept
going to Adam Foot on the bench and just kept
showing him. It's like, why don't you show the players
because Adam Foot can't score the goals for that team.
But with that said, Andrew, let's talk about a game
in which there could be some more goals scored after
that dry run. It looks like across quite a few
games yesterday, and that's the Philadelphia Flyers and the Buffalo Sabers.
Sabers one forty three in this one plus one seventeen
on the Flyers, totals sits here at six. Give me
your thoughts first, Andrew.
Speaker 1: You know, Carl, we've seen this is the tale of
two different types of styles. Right now, it really does
look like it. We've got one team and the Sabers
that have gone over in a handful of games in
a row. And then if we take a look at
Philadelphia in general and just look at their individual effort
and not as much their opponent, they have a combined
four goals in their past three games. You want to
talk about low event, you know, a very boring style
of a system the Philadelphia Flyers play. They try and
rope every team they can into an under And the
thing is the way that they play hockey also makes
it difficult for them to generate offensive chances. You know,
Trevor Zegres has fit in pretty well there, but you
got to think there's some games he's going to start
to get frustrated because this is not really free hockey
right now.
Speaker 2: This is a tight checking game. I'll look for here.
Speaker 1: Buffalo's got momentum, they're playing well offensively, but with Philadelphia's
low event structure, the way that they can kind of
suppress teams. And I think that honestly, when the Sabers
were looking their best during their ten game stretch, that's
when they were playing low scoring games as well. So
the value to me in this game is fading Philadelphia
because they're just offensive output is declining so much. But
I'm going to go towards the under overall because I
don't see much changing here from one game to the next.
Four goals in a combined three games. Who knows they
do light the lamp. Maybe we see a bounce back
performance from this Philadelphia team, and maybe it's against Buffalo
and that's the team they needed to do.
Speaker 2: So worth noting as well.
Speaker 1: Front half of back to back here for the Sabers,
so be curious to see how they handle the goaltending
situation and how the team comes out tonight on the
front half of the back to back. Looks like we'll
have U p L KHM. Does that look the same
to you? So I'm hoping for an under here, but
it's hard not to to fade this Philadelphia team just
because of their offensive output has been so weak lately.
Speaker 3: I love watching these two teams play, Andrew and No, honestly,
I do love watching these teams. I remember going to
watch like a playoff series and with and that's a
long time ago, Andrew, I don't even know if you
were born back then, man, but you know those are
back in the days of like Dominic Hassick, controlling the creast,
are patrolling the crease. But man, I missed the days
of the Broad Street Bullies as well. To you win
in there and they didn't just beat you, they beat
you to a pulp. Man, those were the days of Philadelphia.
Now it's like their fan base, Philadelphia fans in general
will beat you more so than the team will. I
think the Flyers need to play a little bit better.
I don't know what's going on with with them in
the most three straight losses for them, but this is
one in which I think, you know, I see goals
in them. This is the final game of the three
games set between these two teams this season, and the
home teams won both games. The Flyers won at home
the first game five to two, and the Sabers followed
that up with a home win five to three in
the second game. So if you subscribe to the third
game should be also a home team and also an over,
then you're on the Sabers and you're on the over
in this game. It's a fair price. Forty three is
a fair price. The Sabers shouldn't be overpriced at any point,
even during their win streak. They weren't. I will say
one thing watching that game against Florida, they continue to
play the same style they've played during this great run
that they've had over the last fifteen to sixteen games
or so. There's a couple of goals in that game
by Colton Ellis that he let in that he probably
should have stopped in that game. It would have given
him a much better chance to beat that Florida team.
But they have now gone five straight games. And this
is the thing is when we talk about analytics is
there's been an increase in expected goals overall in their
games in the last five, six, seven games for the
Sabers team which are trending to playing overs in their games,
and we're seeing it now last five games, all of
them with six plus goals. During that win streak. They're
winning a lot of games four to one. They were
keeping teams minimal chances. The Flyers of their last seven
games have had six plus goals in them as well too.
I'm just gonna look for carbon copy of the first
two games that these teams have played and look for
some goals in this one. So over six is my
play here.
Speaker 1: Head to head, Come on, Carl, yeah, head man, and
it happens. What happens, It happens, all right, it happens.
I think this is gonna be one of those games
where it's a correlated parlay. Really, Like you said, if
you think the Philadelphia stands a chance, then it's probably
correlated with the under. If you think Philadelphia keeps giving
up goals, and if you think Philly is going to
keep doing what they're doing, then I just think that
when you look at this Philadelphia team, win or lose.
Like I remember saying to you before one of our
couple last couple of shows about that Tampa Bay and Philadelphia,
it was they played twice in a row, right, and
we're talking about the under, and I said, maybe we
should just look towards the team total under for Philadelphia.
And thankfully, if you got the six and a half,
you were able to cash that under.
Speaker 2: But it was five to one.
Speaker 1: So, like you know, they're giving up goals still, but
I think that they also sacrifice offense by how defensive
that they play.
Speaker 2: So we'll see what happens.
Speaker 1: Carm I got a couple of props to get to
a little bit later in the show. But like I mentioned,
I think with this game, you can probably look towards
taking if you take, if you're looking, if you like
some goals here. Philadelphia has been a very top heavy team.
So if you want to take Philadelphia player props, I
would look towards just kind of their big name guys
because yet they have no depth scoring right now. But
as far as the Buffalo Sabers are concerned, like, you
can look a little bit down the lineup because they
have had a lot of contributors as of late. And
I'm impressed with them a little bit here. So we'll
see what happens with them. But who would have thought
we'd be talking about Buffalo in such a positive way
this season?
Speaker 2: I didn't see it coming.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I didn't see coming as well too. But uh,
is there a coincidence that the minute they fire their
GM they go on one of their biggest runs in
UH in recent years. So the teams listen, the team's
playing well, uh, you know, I mean there's there are
some kinks in the armor, you know, I mean some
guys have regressed just a little bit. You know, we
need to see guys like Tage Thompson continue to try
and lead this team. UH need the defense to keep.
Speaker 4: Playing as well.
Speaker 3: As it has and uh, and then they figure out
the goaltending because you know, I don't think you want
to if you make the playoffs or even into the
stretch run of the NHL season, you don't want Colton
Ellis to be your number one goalie. It's got to
be uh Uko Peca lukenin for them, and uh Alex
Line is still injured, I believe, So we'll see what
happens with with with the Sabers. I keep waiting for
like any fan of a team that isn't successful, year
after year after year after year, you keep waiting for
the roof to fall in. You guys in chat must
know that feeling. If you cheer for a team that
doesn't make the playoffs or year after year just continues
to fail and all of a sudden they're playing extremely well,
you're waiting for the roof to cave in. And unfortunately,
I think you you apply some bias to that and
you skip on some bets Andrew that you should be
making because for fear of that roof falling in.
Speaker 1: Well, that's that's the problem that I had going into
the new year. I told you I am the worst
for following hot teams. I'm the worst for I hate like,
look at Tampa Bay again. It happened again, guys. And
I'm always I'm always brually honest with you guys that
you know we'll try and have some good handicaps, but
I'm going to have some some venting when when I'm
frustrated about things, and look at Tampa Bay. How many
street handicappers have is cash tickets with the Tampa Bay
run right now, a streak can only be snapped once.
Some people say, maybe you know, wait till they lose
twice in a row for your for you to really
stop going away from them. So and then wash redskin,
he says, three in a note in a row now
for the Jets. So it's it's definitely important to look
at J Selor, Yeah, exactly.
Speaker 2: TJ.
Speaker 1: Salvastor says, how frustrating have these illness has been a
lot of late scratches have killed me this week. I'm
telling you the busy schedule. It's no secret it's hurting teams,
whether it's you know, sicknesses or whether it's injuries or
get a little banged up, whatever it is, it has
hurt some of these teams a little bit.
Speaker 2: Here karm so we'll see.
Speaker 1: I think it's gonna help a lot of the teams
that don't have many Olympic players. They get what two
and a half weeks off from NHL gameplay, a little
bit of a vacation for these guys. That's not too
bad for them. You got one last game then same
game parlay than the play of the day to get
to you guys. Remind you we'll try and get some
likes here on this video. If you guys can get
us up to three hundred likes, that will help us
out a lot.
Speaker 2: And Calm.
Speaker 1: We're gonna do a special tomorrow for the both of
us with our hockey players. We're gonna get that set
up this afternoon, so you guys are interested, you guys
can grab that, or of course, just take advantage of
the seven day all access. We're gonna team up for
our best bets. You get all of our free plays
and all of our looks here on the show. We'll
try and get you guys a combo package set up
for tomorrow or the next day.
Speaker 3: Andrew a couple of things before we get to the
Knights in Kings game. And I'm just going off on
a bit of a tangent here, and guys, I absolutely
love the comments in the comments section from you guys
and listen, this show is about transparency. So I addressed
the elephant in the room at the beginning. I have
absolutely no problem with you guys saying, you know, in
the chat karm get it together, zero to four stinks or.
Speaker 4: Whatever, and just go from there.
Speaker 3: It's good as long as no one wishes ill will
on someone. I mean, like, there is nothing in sports
that you can do. Then to say to someone I
hope you get I hope you catch this disease or
that disease or whatever is is is mind blowing. So
the guy who asked about Chelsea and Arsenal today Legue
one of the EFL Cup, I'm not sure I'll address
this one real quickly. Arsenal have it's leg one. Arsenal's
focused on winning the league. I get it's it's a
semi finals LEGE one. They'll look for a manageable result.
I'll probably have more of a defensive minded unit out there.
They play the weekend against Nottingham could possibly rest a
couple of players in the second half because they have
Champions League the in midweek, so three games within a
six or seven day span. For them, they're not going
to stretch out that lineup. Winning a cup game is important,
but winning the league is more important to them. I
sent an email message to our crew and the Detroit office,
so please reach out to them. And with that said,
it is the Knights and the Kings Andrew the Knights
minus one eighteen the Kings minus one o two. This
is the proverbial total sits here at five and a half.
The proverbial banana in the tailpipe game. For me, I
want you to go first and see if I can
go first.
Speaker 2: I've been going first one.
Speaker 3: I want to see if I can steal some of
your energy on this one, because in all honesty, my
head is screaming a La Kings. Take the Kings at home,
Take the Kings at home. Take the Kings at home
and every table and take the Kings at home. They
lose a game. Listen, the Knights haven't lived up to
their full potential as of yet. They've had some ups
and downs throughout their season. But it's a condensed January schedule,
and I keep talking about it. I just don't know
with these two teams, Like, if nothing else I would
probably lean to the under in this one. I know
a lot of people love betting overs on five and
a halves because you get that possible empty netter, but
the game's got to be three two in order to
get there. This is one of those ones where I
think the Kings play extremely well at home, get a
much needed confidence boosting win against Vegas Golden Knights.
Speaker 4: Now you can go.
Speaker 1: D you k Karen, do you think that when we
look at the opening number here, like you talk about
the ben and banana and the tailpipe here.
Speaker 2: Who does this? Like?
Speaker 1: I still feel like if you look at this number,
don't you think it's a little bit disrespectful towards like
even this Kings team, or no, you think it's despectful
to it because it just seems like very very weird
to me. And we got to mention something that Ralph
Michael's put in our group chat today. Here random but
small sample size total of five and a half are
one hundred and sixteen to one hundred over under this season,
but since December thirty, first totals of five and a
half are twenty two and four to the over under.
That's eighty five percent totals of five and a half
twenty two and four to the over here guys, you know,
my my gut instinct, karm is looking at this number.
Speaker 2: It was the same as you. It was the same
as you.
Speaker 1: But at the same time also I was like, man,
what the hell's going on with this number?
Speaker 2: Why is it so light?
Speaker 1: And I just couldn't really get to the window with
it because I kind of thought, if you look at
the standings, you look at where these teams are, you know,
why is this really what it is? So maybe it's
not disrespectful towards the Kings. Maybe it actually is disrespectful
towards the Knights. And that's kind of the spot here
where I've been saying it all year and I've had
success with it.
Speaker 2: If a number looks.
Speaker 1: Weird to you, you take the team it's weird on
But Carm, I'm going to go against the grain and
go against that eighty five percent trend the Ralph drop
for us, because I like the under in this game.
This is these are two teams. These teams both are
allowing fewer than twenty three shots on goal out each
and every game. If they go over, it's about high
shooting percentage it's about execution, it's about power plays. There's
a real good reason why we're seeing five and a
half as the total here. We had two good goaltenders.
I think I'll take the under five and a half.
I'm going against an eighty five percent run here that
Ralph just says, this is not a good mesipe here.
Speaker 3: Andrew, listen, I get it. It almost feels like a
contrariting play. If I didn't tell you what the total
was in this game. For you guys in the Chift,
I didn't tell you what the total was in this game,
but I told you here are here are give me
a second year. Let me just make sure I pull
up the correct number here. Here are the last nine
games played between these two teams in LA five two six,
three four three seven four four to two, five four
to three, six, four six, three and six two.
Speaker 4: What would you bet? What would you think the total
would be in this game?
Speaker 3: Would it be five and a half or would it
be at least a flat six? You would be thinking
you'd be looking at that, And if you're a trend better,
you're like, these guys are gone. They're nine to no
their last nine games to the over. This is why
it's not making my card because it's the proverbial banana
in the tailpipe game, where you look at the total
of five and a half and you're like, what am
I missing with these teams in LA generating so many
goals and a lot of those games were with a
very good defensive LA team over the last two or
three years, and yet the totals at five and a half.
It makes no sense to me why it is at
five and a half. So normally, when something makes no
sense to you, you bet the opposite of the kind
of like the fishy line. This seems like a fishy line,
and then you just don't bet it. Then it seems
fishy for a reason. Maybe you go against the norm
and you play the contrarian. So with my luck, I'm
gonna take the over five and a half in this game,
or sorry, under five and a half in this game.
And it's three three at the end of the first period,
and I'm just.
Speaker 1: Like, this is gonna be a good goalie saves day.
I told you earlier I liked the Joey the cords
save prop. I think we could see some some safe
prop opportunities in this game.
Speaker 2: It all depends on the goaltending.
Speaker 1: But as you mentioned, look at the games these guys
have played head to head, look at the games they've
played recently. It's kind of a shocker that we're getting
this here as the number. I would agree with you
about the number here. I think I would actually did
you You said Kings, right? Is that who you liked?
Speaker 4: Yes?
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's what That's where I would go
if I was playing this game, I would look towards
the Kings. But I also think that people under rate
the Golden Knights defensive abilities, Like they are getting healthier defensively,
they have some good two way forwards, they're good defensive teams.
So Hal says it'll probably be a six by the
end of the day. For sure, I'll look towards a
defensive game. We'll see, Yeah, Karm, I've got the same
game parlay coming up here. Anything else you want to add?
Speaker 4: No, I mean, like.
Speaker 3: I think you know, when we start to look at
the Vegas home road, like the home road splits early
on in the season, the first twenty or thirty games
did not make any sense. They weren't playing as well
on home ice playing well on the road, And it's
kind of shifted the other way around. Now they're starting
to play a little bit better at home. On the road,
they've lost like four of their last six games. You know,
a couple of wins came against a struggling Winnipeg team
where they came back from death in the third period
to win that game. And then they beat a Sharks
team I think last time out, who they've sort of
manhandled a couple of time this season. So with that said,
I think they get a different type of Kings team tonight,
one that can't play some defense. We'll see how that
one goes. But with that said, give us the same
game partly winner, Andrew.
Speaker 2: Let's do it here.
Speaker 1: And before I do, I'll just remind people again that
seven day all access for sixty nine dollars. We did
cash the five percent play yesterday. Super excited about it.
But I will tell you we're in bounce back mode
with the props because well, we picked two low event
games that Ottawa game, tough there and the Carolina game
and the New Jersey. I've been talking about some props
yesterday with a lot of lower scoring games today though,
carm we got a pretty interesting one here.
Speaker 2: And how about that graphic who not bad, not bad? Here,
Carram coming for you.
Speaker 1: Drake Bathurson one point, Tim Stewtslow one point and under
six and a half goals. I understand, two top dogs
on the Ottawa Senators. We're not going to get great prices. Overall,
these two guys play together and overall this Autawa Senator's team.
They're starting to get back on track with their offense.
And it all starts with the big name players.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: The last handful of games at Madison Square Garden have
not just been rough for the Rangers offensively and win wise,
but they've also been a bit boring. So let's look
for more of a tight checking game. And here's the
deal here. The Rangers have kind of been embarrassed lately.
They got embarrassed over the weekend, they got embarrassed in
their last game. Things just haven't gone well for them lately.
And when things aren't going well for you, we all
know what happens. It takes you towards an under and
defensive hockey. If you're struggling, you need to play well defensively,
all right, guys plus three ten Drake Bathurson, Tim Stutsla
and under six and a half goals. This is your
same game parlay and finally, it actually is the same
game parlay carm where we're using just one game here,
so it actually worked out. This is kind of some
breaking news as a havespen Rich Textaa signs two year,
two point five million extension. Not bad, not bad, Okay,
I'm happy to see that they picked him up for
absolutely nothing. I think he was on just a one
million dollar deal, so not too bad. He's been pretty
pretty good for this team so far.
Speaker 3: Uh yeah, that's a that's a damn good contract or whatever. Right,
So don't put all your eggs in one basket. We've
we've seen that that's happened with some teams and that
hasn't worked out. All right, let's get on the winning
track with this same game partly sorry, not the same
game party with this pod, Andrew, I've got the pod
there ready, all right, pod play, I'm going back to
the Sabers game. Yes it is frigid, Yes it is cold,
Yes it is over six minus one twenty as we
look to jump over the seven K mark with this one.
As I mentioned before, Sabers last five games with the
six plus goals the ex gene numbers combined ext numbers
in their games continue to trend upwards, with which means
some more overs coming in Flyers six of the last
seven with six or more goals. Third game between these
two teams seven in the first one, Flyers one, five
two eight in the second one, Sabers won five to
three at home. Let's look for at least seven in
this game to get us a win and a pod win.
That is your pod play.
Speaker 1: Buffalo Sabers should probably be involved in a game that
has goals, carm But I don't really like it that
we were head to head back to back games, so
are back to back nights.
Speaker 2: That's tough. But you know what, I wouldn't mind a Buffalo.
Speaker 3: I took the L yesterday, you can take the LD today.
Speaker 2: That's fair.
Speaker 1: That's fair. Buffalo gets the win. How about that? Can
Buffalo get the win in the process? You know, five three,
five two, If that's gonna happen, I want Buffalo to win.
Speaker 2: So we'll deal with that.
Speaker 3: Uh, what's what's what's the exact score payout on the
Sabers to win five to two tonight? Andrew, let me
have a quick look while you're well, you're giving out
a promo for today's show, and I will get the
exact score. Buffalo sabers all right, odds to win five
to Lorenzo.
Speaker 1: Are you talking about like other viewers. Are you talking
about the the the bet size? Because I think on
the pod it's two hundred dollars bet size, So I
didn't know if you were talking about other viewers or
for this, but it's not two hundred.
Speaker 2: Flat two hundred flat two hundred.
Speaker 4: Yeah, but it's always a flat two hundred on them.
Speaker 2: All of you guys here though.
Speaker 1: And yeah, Brian says, not the biggest fan of these
four games today. Yeah, you know, yesterday we go from
having ten games, guys, to having a slate like this.
There's some interesting spots to get into. But this would
be one of those days. I'll be real with you guys,
where I'm not releasing some of my plays until later
in the day. I want to see some quotes from
morning Skate, I want to see some updated information things
like that. So don't really expect to see much movement either,
so we can have some time here. Shout out to Lorenzo,
Shout out to our guy Timothy, Shout out to all
of you guys in the chat. We appreciate everybody. Let's
cash the same game, parlay. Let's cash the play of
the day, and I'm gonna do some more prop talk
on Twitter later on today. I think guys, if you
guys can check me out at McGinnis Picks at four
pm Eastern, I'll be live on X going over some
player proud.
Speaker 2: So yeah.
Speaker 1: Kind of a slow betting day overall. Hello from Greece,
Good to see you. Hello from Greece. Four overs, five
and a half for me, best of luck, Caren, but
for both of us.
Speaker 4: Do you know any Greek language?
Speaker 2: I know a few Greek letters.
Speaker 3: Greek letters, Jesus, come on, man, and no swear words.
This is a kid's show. Let me teach you one
and then the guy from Greece can tell me if
I said this right, you can say this to uh
uh to you to your girl tonight when you see her.
Ticanas kuokla, tikaness koukla.
Speaker 1: Does that mean let's go to the bedroom or what
does that mean? No it does not, man, Come on,
My mind is in the gutter. At twelve o'clock.
Speaker 3: T kanus koukla is yeah, no, no, we're not saying.
Speaker 2: That's hilarious.
Speaker 4: I love you, my dear, or something along those lines.
I love you baby, I love you my DearS. So
there you go.
Speaker 1: Kukla, okay, perfect, all right, I gotta get my mind
out of the gutter.
Speaker 4: Get your mind out of the gutter.
Speaker 2: Man translation, please go feed my bird.
Speaker 4: Please. It's it's gonna do my picks for tomorrow. It
just continues. I am not on the show tomorrow.
Speaker 3: It is done Buster filling the hosting chair along with Andrews.
So it's pretty much forty five minutes of Montreal talk
for you guys tomorrow. If you want to skip the show,
I am getting a I'm getting some treatment, a procedure done.
I'll be fine. I'll be ready to go on Friday
where I do my six and sixty and the pod.
Speaker 4: How are you, my doll? That's what it means, see.
Speaker 2: You, Yeah, guys. Karm Is he's flying the Turkey tomorrow.
Speaker 1: We won't tell you what he's doing in Turkey, but
that's why he'll be away for at least a day.
Speaker 4: No, no, no, is.
Speaker 3: This this will never grow back. It is staying this
way forever. So that's all I have to say. I
even shaved for today's show, but I wish two soccer
plays up for me today and only one NHL play
on this card for me today, And you guys got
it because it's the pod play and that is my
only client play today in the NHL. Don't like any
of this card other than that one play. So with
that said, two soccer plays going winter yesterday with the
customer appreciation soccer play, the customer appreciation hockey play. We
don't even want to discuss that one at this point anymore.
I addressed it at the beginning of the show Andrew,
what do you got going on at wager talk and
close us out.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it looks like it might just be one play
in the NHL. Guys.
Speaker 1: We'll see if anything gets going throughout the day, but
we could always add stuff again. Guys, around four pm
Eastern time, gonna go live talking about more player props.
And I got one college basketball team total. It's all
I do when it comes to college basketball is just
the team totals.
Speaker 2: You guys can tap in with me at wager Talk.
Speaker 1: Don't forget though, if you're gonna get any plays, just
take advantage of that seventh day all access for sixty
nine dollars and we're gonna get a combo package set
up with myself and Carmine. We'll have it ready for
either tomorrow or for Friday. If you guys would be
interested in that in us setting that up, comment below
and let us know and you can get all of
our best bets together in one package.
Speaker 2: That will do it for the show.
Speaker 1: Guys, Thanks so much for watching shut Out to all
of you guys in the live chat, but also we
don't forget about you guys that tune in afterwards as well.
Hit that like button. Please do us a favor. Let's
try and get to three hundred likes here for the show.
We'll see you guys later. Take care, all the best