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Speaker 1: Abbreviated addition of bet on It for the college football

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bowl games headed up to New Year's Eve.

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Speaker 2: Let's get right into it up next on bet on.

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Speaker 1: It, Kelly Stewart, Yanni, the Greek, and Marco clause As

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we film bet on extremely early this week due to

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the Christmas holiday. I give everybody Christmas Eve off, and

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now they're complaining. I don't know what else to do.

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You guys, it is what it is, Yanni. We're gonna

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get right into this. I kind of decided on this

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week's show with the bowl games moving so much late,

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opt outs, transfer portal, coach is still leaving, and so forth.

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For lack of better words, I think the college Football

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playoff nil and the transfer portal kind of ruined the

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bowl games. But there are still a few ball games

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that have minimal opt outs, coaches intact, and guys willing

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to play. So we're gonna go over a few that

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we like leading up to New Year's Eve, and I'm

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just gonna let you go first.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna dive right into the playoff game with

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Ohio State and Miami.

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Speaker 2: Again.

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Speaker 3: The reason we're narrowing down the best bets is because

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a lot's gonna happen between now and kickoff. For all

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these bowl and playoff games, the public still hasn't gotten involved.

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The wise guys still haven't gotten involved. Like there's a

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lot of information that still has to be factored into

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that betting line. And unless you want to get out

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ahead of the market, if you really have conviction on

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a position, there's no reason to fire. But there are

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some spots that are automatic. And I got to look

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to Ohio State here because regardless of what the bettings

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did get to do, I'm going to stick to my

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power ratings. They've provided me a ton of profit, most

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notably in college football by looking at exactly a situation

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like this where I think one team's coming in a

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little bit overvalued, the other one a little bit undervalued,

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and Miami's coming off a nice win against Texas A

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and m No surprise there. I talked about how my

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rankings had Miami above Texas A and m VAP, and

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the playoff rankings had it the other way around. That

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gave us line value on Miami. We did our job.

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They then went out there and did theirs. In this spot,

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I got to look to Ohio State Number one there's

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a little recency bias of Miami coming off a nice

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win with Texas A and m as three point underdogs.

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Good defense, that's what Miami has. They're going to get

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tested this week because they're now facing a top ten

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offense in Ohio State, number one. Ohio State has slightly

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tougher strength of schedule than Miami, so I like that

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their data on the offensive side is a lot lot

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more impressive with a comparable strength of schedule.

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Speaker 2: And then on the.

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Speaker 3: Defensive side, where where Miami's fourth inefficiency if they're going

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to run into the number one defense when it comes

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to efficiency in Ohio State. So Ohio State's just better

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everywhere offense, defense, special teams. Add in the experience ad

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in the big game, and now we look at the

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betting line power rating wise, I have Ohio State twelve

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and a half points better than Miami, and I think

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probably shaded a little higher than that, closer to two touchdowns.

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So being able to get this one at a discount

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based on that recency bias, I gotta do it anything

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less than minus tens a gift. We're in plus ev territory,

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so I'm gonna go with Ohio State. Buckeys as my

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best bet, and that's with someone who has a future

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on Ohio State and is not hedging, is not looking

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to play a middle I could look to take the

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nine to ten points with Miami.

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Speaker 2: That's not gonna happen.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna let that future ride on Ohio State.

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Speaker 2: Arco clause.

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Speaker 1: I'm excited to hear your synopsis on this ballgame coming up,

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But first, can you let everybody know what we're doing

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for Christmas over at wager talk dot com.

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Speaker 4: Twenty five percent off everything you can get whatever it is,

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a daily package, monthly package, season package. We're giving away

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the house, whether you've been naughty or nice, twenty five

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five and put that in the coupon code at checkout.

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in the entire wager Talk family.

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Speaker 5: Kelly, how's that? Were you on the naughty or nice list?

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Speaker 1: Huh? That's probably still up for debate, but I did

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cash my best bet for the first round of the

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Bowl game, so hopefully our audience thinks I'm on the

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nice list. You did as well. Let everybody know why

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you like a in this bowl game.

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Speaker 5: Well, Kelly, you look at Iowa and Vanderbilt. In the

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natural narrative here for this matchup is Vanderbilt's gonna come

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in with a chip on their shoulder. They got something

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to prove. You look at them, they were tending to

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a lot of people thought they deserved to be in

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the college football playoffs. So that's motivation. Well maybe you

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know they also have their fiery quarterback, the Diego Pieva,

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who finished second in the Heisman voting, and you saw

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him on social media. It didn't really appreciate the distance

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that he finished in the second place, so you could

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tell he was upset with the voters and made some

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comments but then retracted it afterwards. Motivation works both ways. Yeah,

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you can use it as a motivational tool and go

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out and have something to prove, or if you dwell

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on it too, it can be a huge negative if

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he felt you were slated. On the flip side of that,

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I'm looking at an Iowa team that's you know, we

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know what they are. They were eight and four, great season,

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but look at their four losses. Their four losses came

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by a grand total of fifteen points. Iowa as they

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always do. They lean heavily on their stout defense. They

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held ten of twelve opponents to twenty four or fewer points.

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No one scored more than twenty eight points on them

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this year, and they even held seven of their opponents

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to seventeen or less. Stanta, Claus and Mark will always say,

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give me the better defense getting points, and that's clearly Iowa.

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And I'm gonna go ahead. In Iowa. You talk about

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opt outs and so forth. They've as of taping and

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again we're taping, you know, on Tuesday before Christmas. They've

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had no significant opt outs yet they're expected to bring

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a full roster for this game. I'll go ahead and

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take Iowa plus six, all right.

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Speaker 2: I agree with Marco on that one.

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Speaker 1: Diego Pavia might still be po partying after losing the heisman.

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Speaker 2: That being said, I'm going to.

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Speaker 1: The Pop Tarts Bowl because again we're looking deep here.

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We're going, all right, who is not having any opt outs,

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We don't have any major coaching changes, Who has rosters

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in tech and who will be focused? Well, I can't

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promise you b Yu is going to be focused here.

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If you guys remember they got snubbed by the Playoff

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Committee and got left out after getting absolutely worked by

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Texas Tech in the Big twelve Championship game. Now they're

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asked to lay four and a half here in Orlando

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versus the Georgia Tech Cougar or Georgia Tech Coover's yellowjackets.

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Speaker 2: So you have to kind of look at this one.

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Speaker 1: And I'm looking at this going, wait, I get bet

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on Hayneses King as an underdog. We all know, if

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you guys follow my college football underdog Parlays, we loved

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him last season. This year we didn't get a lot

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of value for him as an underdog, but we do

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like his style of play and this offense eighteenth in

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EPA per play has been clicking on all cylinders all

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season long. They're gonna match up well against BYU's strength,

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which is their defense, and they try to control the

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pace of play. But I have a feeling Georgia Tech

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is going to be watching that Big twelve Championship game

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and trying to figure out how to exploit said defense. Right,

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they do allow some of those long drives that give

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up tons of points, and if you're able to exploit it,

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you can win this game.

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Speaker 2: Look, you're getting me more than a field goal.

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Speaker 1: With this top twenty five offense, I think I gotta

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take the yellow jackets here plus the points. I know

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a lot of people looking towards the under there not

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I I think this is going to be a really fun,

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high scoring game.

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Speaker 2: And there you have it.

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Speaker 1: That is just our short Christmas edition of the Bowl

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games through New Year's Eve. We're gonna be back Tuesday.

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No Marco clause, but Marco D'Angel will be back Yanni

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the Greek. Tuesday, we're gonna preview all of the college

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football playoff games.

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Speaker 2: And if you guys, of course, are looking for the

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NFL Slate, we got it right here. Blah bla shorten

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edition of The Mega Show as well,