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Speaker 1: What's up, everybody. Welcome into another episode of Prophet Picks.

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If you are new, we always start this show by

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being transparent, and yesterday my top play was the Storm

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got a minus six and a half early. Didn't really

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matter what number you got. I think they closed eleven

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or something like that, but it was a blowout. Whatever

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your number you got was good. The two smaller plays

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which did make it a losing day where the Props

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Ari over four and a half assisted. She had two

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in the first quarter, and then they didn't put her

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back in and like she played seven minutes in the

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first half. For whatever reason, they decided to play sit well,

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Sid was playing her old team, so maybe they wanted

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to give her a little extra burn, but that's why

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they were losing at the end of the first half.

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And then Ari got her minutes in the second half

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and they ended up winning, So that was bad. And

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Rakia Jackson just didn't show up for real. So probably

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gonna leave the Props alone. I tweeted that out yesterday.

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I'm not happy with how the Props is gone lately. Bino,

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good to be back with you. Hopefully you did a

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little bit better than one and two yesterday.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we had a nice day yesday Ski too, and

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oh but that counts the Canadian Football League where we

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had the game under between Montreal and Toronto. No not Toronto,

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I can't remember now, but the Montreal game under forty

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forty nine landed on forty forty four. Calgary actually was

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oppllent there, but WNA I had the first half. Sparks

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connecticuts Son over eighty two got over fairly easily in

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that game. Everybody scored, so yeah, Connecticut's learning how to

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score points now, which helps because their defense is so

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bad that most of these things can end up getting

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over now until the odds makers have just and the

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Sparks just talking to you off air right before we

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came on Ski a little bit. That offense is crazy

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good right now. They just like we said yesterday, they're

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gonna try it out for you. Yesterday they did. They

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pulled away in the end, another one hundred plus point

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performance for them. So good day and all, and hopefully

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repeat that here today.

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Speaker 1: Let's try to do it again here today. Appreciate y'all.

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Just Josh reminding everybody to hit the like button definitely

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helps out the show. And then I am destro reposting

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the stream on next appreciate that too, help some other

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people maybe see what they're missing out on over here.

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All right, three games again, Robno, we'll go on rotation

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order like we always do. That means first up is

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six one six h two Aces and Links opened up

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minus ten and a half for Minnesota. It has come down.

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We're seeing nine and a half as a consensus number,

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even a nine over at at one book total open

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one fifty seven and a half and we've seen that

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all the way up to one sixty three. As far

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as the injury report, same two usual suspects for both teams,

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Griffin and Seyenne Parker Tyas both are going to be

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out for this one. The Aces did play last night,

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they lost to the Fever and the Links. Let's see

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the last time they come in with two days of rest,

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they beat up on Chicago and their first game out

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the break. Man. You know, I'll say, the first thing

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that comes to my mind is the Links. I mean,

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they had a lot of people over at all start.

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I know they came out and smashed on Chicago, but

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I mean it's players on the Links doing other things.

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And we've seen too, like coming out of the break.

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Being at a rest disadvantage is not really a disadvantage.

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You just had a super long rest, you know what

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I'm saying. We saw it from the dream. I think

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we've seen it from a few teams so far. And

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the ass coming off of a loss, I believe they

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are either at five hundred now yeah, I think they're

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at five hundred or now, so you know they're motivated

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to try to get a win here. I can't help

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but think the Aces are competitive. The Links have been

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a team that sometimes take a little bit to get going.

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Usually in the third quarter they start to get things together,

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maybe they make adjustments or whatever it may be. But

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the Aces, they've been a team who's started out hot.

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So I think the Aces early and often in this game, Ravino,

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I agree with the market with the coming down. Are

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you looking at the side or are you looking more

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at the total?

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Speaker 2: You know, in Aces games, I would generally look towards

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the total. In the fact that they shot so poorly

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from three last night, you know how I am, I

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usually think that there will be some type of bounce

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back positive in this case, positive regression to what the

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Aces usually shoot from three. They both played really good

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defense as of late, and I think you hit on

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a point here where Minnes so to you know, playing

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great defense against Chicago not that big of a deal.

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Playing great defense against a banged up Phoenix team that

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didn't have soably didn't have Copper, et cetera, and then

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playing good defense the game before again against Chicago. I

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don't know what we make of those. Can Las Vegas

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dent this defense? Maybe they can't, But for the aces

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where side is concerned, I'm starting to believe that they

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can be just treated as a what we say in

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the business, like a yo yo team. If they lose,

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just bet them to win the next game.

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Speaker 1: Lose win, lose win.

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Speaker 2: It seems like every time they do something good ski

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and you get behind them, they do something bad, then

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you think, well they're not that good. They do something good.

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They've had that pattern all season long. So getting nine

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and a half to me is kind of appealing. Full

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game with Las Vegas here, I think that, you know,

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recently they've shown the ability to stop some teams. They

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had a good second half defensive effort against Atlanta the

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other night, granted that Atlanta didn't have Ryan Howard, but

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Atlanta bounced back the very next night against Phoenix and

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scored a ton of points, so their offense certainly is

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still capable. I like that last night, pretty solid defensive

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game against Indiana. I think if I had to play it,

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and I didn't because this one is probably the toughest

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time the schedule for me, But if I had to

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play it, I think I would be taking nine and

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a half with Las Vegas, even in a losing effort.

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They probably come closer than that. And we mentioned this

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earlier this week. It's crunch time to start stacking some

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wins if you want to make the playoffs, and the

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Aces are in that position where they got to have wins,

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so I'd expect a big effort out of them, even

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though it's a back to back travel situation. It's not

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that far Indiana and Minnesota. I'd probably look towards plus

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nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: All right, So we're in agreement there. There's some questions

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saying maybe Jackie Young might sit out tonight, or ask

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him if she'll be out any chance. I mean, it's

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a chance for anybody to be out on the second

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of it back to back. She is already banged up,

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but I mean I kind of agree with Casey's comment

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here says I think if I think if they won,

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she would have probably sat. But after losing, I think

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you're gonna play. You don't have the luxury arrest right now.

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And I agree with that comment. All right, let's keep

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it going here. Next on the list, Mercury and Liberty.

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I believe here six oh three, six oh four opened

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up minus five and a half for New York. See

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either six or six and a half depending where he shot.

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Total open one sixty nine and a half. And it's

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I mean, it keeps bouncing around, it's all over. I

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see a I see a one seventy one. I see

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a one seventy one seventy and a half. So make

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sure you line shop, which depends which way you like

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the game. As far as the injury report, I don't

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see anybody on there for Phoenix. For the Liberty, they

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won't get Emma Misiman, yet they will be without NAIs. Sadly,

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this is a chance for the Liberty to come and

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get a little bit of well not a little bit,

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a chance for them to get double revenge after losing

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to the Mercury twice so far this season. I'll start

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off with this. You know, Kyle Wright says, one seventy

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total is wild. The Liberty's offenses look really good. Two

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games in a row. They've come, you know, a bucket

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away from scoring one hundred points. They got John quot

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Jones back, I had another shooter. You know, everybody out

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on the court can shoot.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: Remember we talked about that a little while ago, and

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when she was out and Phoebich was out, they didn't

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have that anymore. So now they're getting back to you know, well,

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what makes their offense look great? For Phoenix? When I

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look at the starting lineup, they don't really have a

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true center like I feel like with the lineup they're

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throwing out there, it's got to be more up tempo

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running gun especially, you know, you don't want to face

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a set New York Liberty defense time and time again.

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So I can understand why the total is high here.

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I'm curious if you agree. If you agree with it

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being that high, you think there's some room that still

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get over and also do you think the Liberty get

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some revenge here?

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Speaker 2: You know what's interesting about the Liberty ski is they

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haven't been away from home all month. It's their seventh

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straight home game. Talk about being comfortable, Just say they've

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scored ninety eight and back to back games both were

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against Indiana, but they've been home since July. The third

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Phoenix is in the travel situation. But to answer your

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question directly, I played this thing right away and it

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was fairly simple for me to play up and over

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the total. I got one seventy. It's not one seventy

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and a half. We'll give you the reasons why A.

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You hit on it. Everybody's healthy here, even a Cole

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mccani's back from concussion protocol. So Phoenix's rotational depth extends

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about eight or nine deep with quality right now with

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everybody back and New York the same thing as Sobbily

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is out, which hurts them as far as backup center

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is concerned. I'm not so sure that it'll matter much

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where their points scoring is concerned here tonight, Phoenix two

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and zero. Those two games ski the final posted total.

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The closing number on those games were one sixty four

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and one sixty six and a half. Both of those

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games were injury laden. Each side had key components out

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in those games that closed one sixty four one sixty

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six and a half. They landed one seventy and one

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ninety seven for New York. You didn't have foebish in

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the first game, and that was the game where john

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Quell Jones reinjured her ankle. She played like eight minutes

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and left the game. Phoenix won that one in New

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York eighty nine to eighty one, one hundred and seventy.

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Then eight days later they played back in Phoenix. Phoenix

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scored one oh six one six ninety one. So much

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like I'm kind of using the same premise that I

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used for New York Indiana the other day. Two games

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played two games over, it's here same scenario, two games

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played two games over. These are the number one and

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number three pace teams in the league. As you mentioned,

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Phoenix much more suited to run with their lineup, and

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they're the number one and two teams in three point

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makes per game. You said it earlier, I'll just say

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it again. When all five Liberty starters are on the floor,

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all five can shoot the three Phoenix kind of the

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same way. A lot of shooters on that team. So

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all this stuff starts adding up to a bunch of offense.

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And then I'll add in Sabrina Yenescu, if there's anybody

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who wants to come up big in this game. The

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two games against Phoenix when they needed her because they

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didn't have Jones, becase they didn't have Phoebish, she goes

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five to twenty five from the floor combined only twenty

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percent and two of twelve from three. Brianna Stewart did

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a lot of heavy lifting in those two games for them,

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the starting front court, even though it was outmanned, outmatched

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because Phoebish and Jones weren't there, they still managed to

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score forty three and thirty five points in those two games.

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And my potential points number both of those games Ski

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they had the chance to get to three seventy five

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if everything went through the hoop.

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Speaker 1: That's high.

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Speaker 2: It's about eighteen points higher than league average. To me,

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everybody's back now. They've shown that without key pieces they

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can get to one seventy, so why not with them

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and especially the way New York is on a roll offensively?

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And last thing I'll add is it seems to me

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I'm trying to think of the instance where we saw

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this I could I guess it could be Atlanta, a

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team that came out and maybe that Atlanta is not

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a good example. But worked new pieces into the lineup,

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which Phoenix did in their first game back didn't go

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so well. There's minute restrictions on Sobbly, minutes restriction on

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a copper LEXI held came back as well. But now

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the second game, with everybody back, even though it's a

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travel situation, I think they'll be better offensively here. A

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lot of pace, a lot of three point shooters series

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history this year tells us these games go over. I

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think one seventy is very doable.

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Speaker 1: I do too, And I think you know, like you said,

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that Mercury offense was out of rhythm in that first

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game there. I think they should look a little bit

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better here tonight. Mercury felt Claire eighty points in about

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four plus games. I do think they get there tonight though.

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And another thing we did jam Rock kicks minister here.

253
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But yeah, first of a back to back for the

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Liberty LUs defense he's asking, I would agree. I mean,

255
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and in general, they don't need to come out and

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cover or win by big margin. They'll be happy just

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getting away with the win and moving on to tomorrow too,

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So I do agree. Let's defense first. Of a back

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to back and also just don't think they have a

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whole lot of motivation to win by margin. So I

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like Mercury and I like over in this one. Rovino.

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All right, one more up there for today looks like

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Wings and Valkyrie's. This one opened up minus five and

264
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a half for Golden State. They're now down to four

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total open one sixty three and not a whole lot

266
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of movement there. As far as who's available, No, Mayausha

267
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Heinz Allen and Maddy Secers still out for the Wings.

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Maria c Kaitlin Thornton both out for the Valkyries. And

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this is the Valkyrie's first game since the break, so

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they've had quite a bit off. I think they've had

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eight days off since their last game. The Valkyries weren't

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playing their best basketball and it's the break. I want

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to say. They lost three of their last four games,

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and in general, the Valkyrie have been really great as underdogs.

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I don't know how much we want them as favorites

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for the Wings. They're a little bit better rhythm right now,

277
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They're not rusty. They just played the game as an

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underdog and went out right, so that shows they're a

279
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little bit better than where the market things they're at

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right now. And I mean Page and Rique, I mean,

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as much as I talk about them, Arique, I do

282
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think they both can do enough to keep this one close,

283
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if not winning the game. So I think it's too

284
00:15:47,159 --> 00:15:49,720
much rest for Golden to stay here. We don't lay

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with this team. Dallas Wings are the right side in

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my opinion. What do you think you know?

287
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Speaker 2: Yeah, Dallas set a lot of the right things coming

288
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out of the break and then they went ahead. Now, granted,

289
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Skyler Diggins didn't play, and that second half offense looked

290
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a trocious not that the first half didn't. I mean

291
00:16:09,240 --> 00:16:12,200
the first half Dallas didn't play any offense either, but

292
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the second half was all Dallas all the time. How

293
00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:17,039
much we can take from that As far as Dallas

294
00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:21,360
defense is concerned, I'm not so sure. We always kind

295
00:16:21,399 --> 00:16:24,440
of land on the opinion that Dallas's defense is ass

296
00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:27,840
and until proven otherwise, I don't know how much we

297
00:16:27,919 --> 00:16:28,679
could take from that game.

298
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Speaker 1: But they did play better.

299
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Speaker 2: The first thing that jumps out of me is Golden

300
00:16:31,519 --> 00:16:34,600
State first half has just been an absolute moneymaker, sixteen

301
00:16:34,639 --> 00:16:37,519
to four in one against the spread first half, and

302
00:16:37,639 --> 00:16:39,559
like you said Ski, which does make a little bit

303
00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:41,679
of a difference here. A lot of that done as

304
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an underdog, whether it be short price underdog, large price underdogs.

305
00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:46,440
A lot of it's been done as an underdog. And

306
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can they win a first half straight up? But I

307
00:16:49,879 --> 00:16:53,039
tell you, even though they weren't winning games prior to

308
00:16:53,080 --> 00:16:56,120
the break, they're three to one in one straight up

309
00:16:56,399 --> 00:16:59,039
first half last five, so it seems like they're a

310
00:16:59,039 --> 00:17:01,960
first half team. Problem you run into with that bet

311
00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:04,960
is exactly what you said. It's the age old question.

312
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Are they going to be rusty coming out of the

313
00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:08,559
gate or are they going to be rested? We don't

314
00:17:08,559 --> 00:17:11,440
know until the halftime score is there. We really don't know.

315
00:17:11,519 --> 00:17:14,960
So there's guests work involved. But sixteen four and one

316
00:17:15,079 --> 00:17:18,359
is a very very strong number, and especially we know

317
00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:21,400
about this team at home on a Friday night, the

318
00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:24,880
crowd is probably gonna be huge and it'll help them

319
00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:27,640
a little bit. We'll see if Dallas can avoid turnover problems.

320
00:17:28,119 --> 00:17:31,039
It's their biggest I think in their case, the biggest

321
00:17:31,079 --> 00:17:35,640
problem that that team has still is turnovers. They rebound

322
00:17:35,759 --> 00:17:39,119
like crazy. I'm trying to check. I noted these rebound

323
00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:41,720
numbers the other night against Seattle. Yeah, forty eight to

324
00:17:41,720 --> 00:17:45,960
thirty four rebound advantage plus fourteen on the boards for

325
00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:49,119
the Wings, who constantly get a ton of field goal

326
00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:53,279
attempts in their games. Shot at seventy one times against Seattle.

327
00:17:53,319 --> 00:17:56,319
Seattle shot at seventy five times. That's a lot of

328
00:17:56,440 --> 00:18:00,400
chances at the rim. Neither team shot well, didn't get

329
00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:04,400
over the number here. I'm kind of torn again. I'd

330
00:18:04,440 --> 00:18:07,039
like to believe in Dallas second half and maybe get

331
00:18:07,039 --> 00:18:10,200
behind them before the odds makers catch up if they're

332
00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:12,720
going to be better. But I'm not so sure that

333
00:18:12,759 --> 00:18:16,359
I could play against Golden State at home here again.

334
00:18:16,599 --> 00:18:19,839
That rest thing really is difficult coming out of the break.

335
00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:23,720
Golden State didn't have trying to think here. They didn't

336
00:18:23,759 --> 00:18:28,720
have a bunch of participants during All Star break, so

337
00:18:28,759 --> 00:18:31,960
it could have been more of practice rather than party

338
00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:38,039
in their case, which would help. I didn't play. I'd

339
00:18:38,079 --> 00:18:40,319
like to lean under, tell you the truth, if I hadn't,

340
00:18:41,559 --> 00:18:44,400
if I have any opinion at all, If I could

341
00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:46,640
say that right, any opinion at all, it would probably

342
00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:49,400
be under the total in this game. Because Golden State,

343
00:18:49,799 --> 00:18:52,240
if nothing else, they can lean on their defense and

344
00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:55,279
Dallas if what we saw the other night has any

345
00:18:55,359 --> 00:18:58,920
truth to it shutting Seattle down, then it should be

346
00:18:58,920 --> 00:18:59,640
an under.

347
00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:02,440
Speaker 1: All, right, you know, looking a little bit more at

348
00:19:02,440 --> 00:19:04,880
the total, I will be looking at the side there,

349
00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:08,559
and that's three games for today. We did a pretty

350
00:19:08,599 --> 00:19:13,079
good time a little bit under twenty minutes. Now, actually,

351
00:19:13,079 --> 00:19:15,119
before we get to best bets, let's go ahead and

352
00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:19,119
throw this back up there. I got to watch out

353
00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:22,960
for Casey, so I gotta watch what I say. But yeah,

354
00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:26,160
you can get both Rob's WNBA season and my WNBA

355
00:19:26,279 --> 00:19:29,359
season for just about three dollars a day. I think

356
00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:32,279
that's what it comes down to with this deal. So

357
00:19:32,279 --> 00:19:33,960
if you want to rock with both of us at

358
00:19:34,319 --> 00:19:37,720
WNBA goes all the way throughout or until I think

359
00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:43,039
mid October. So it's a way to roll with us

360
00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:46,039
through the entire summer pretty much. Because I'm not touching baseball,

361
00:19:46,079 --> 00:19:51,519
I'm letting you know right now, Ve No, No, I don't

362
00:19:51,559 --> 00:19:54,039
know if baseball will ever get you. Maybe in the playoffs,

363
00:19:54,039 --> 00:19:57,640
but that regular season, I think I'm hanging it up.

364
00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:00,480
Is there anything else you would like to promote? And

365
00:20:00,559 --> 00:20:01,799
if you have a best bet for the show, we

366
00:20:01,799 --> 00:20:03,680
would love to hear it. If you don't. It's okay

367
00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:05,119
because I'm giving plenty today.

368
00:20:05,960 --> 00:20:09,160
Speaker 2: I would say, real quick, it was funny how quick

369
00:20:09,279 --> 00:20:13,599
Ronald Hugh Capper came out the other day to disagree

370
00:20:13,599 --> 00:20:15,519
with the comment of how you and he look alike

371
00:20:15,599 --> 00:20:19,400
with you in that photo. It's not close. I'm on

372
00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:22,599
your side, Ronald. I don't know where that comparison comes

373
00:20:22,599 --> 00:20:25,279
into play. Let's get right to best bed here, Ski.

374
00:20:25,319 --> 00:20:28,400
Because it was easy for me this morning to make

375
00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:30,240
the play, it's easy to give it as a best

376
00:20:30,279 --> 00:20:32,119
bet here. I do think New York and Phoenix get

377
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:35,160
over the total. The two are designed. The matchup is

378
00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:39,680
just designed to breed points in this case. So they've

379
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:41,279
shown you that they can get to one seventy and

380
00:20:41,279 --> 00:20:46,079
one ninety seven already without every starting player on the floor,

381
00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:48,680
and now they have everybody back rotationally. Like I say,

382
00:20:48,759 --> 00:20:52,599
except for Sobbly, everybody's there. Pace will be there. I

383
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:55,480
think the shooting will be there. Give me over one

384
00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:59,799
seventy and a half tonight in the Mercury Liberty Game

385
00:20:59,839 --> 00:21:00,960
as the best bet for today.

386
00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:04,839
Speaker 1: I like that too. And yeah, I'm going to share

387
00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:06,680
all of my players here today, or at least the

388
00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:08,920
ones that I've made so far. I'm pretty sure I'm

389
00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:12,279
going to join on that with Rob. You know. I

390
00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:15,559
like the Aces first half plus five and a half,

391
00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:18,400
Aces plus ten and a half on the game. I

392
00:21:18,519 --> 00:21:22,680
like the Mercury plus six and a half. Like I said,

393
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:24,400
I like the over in that game, and I like

394
00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:27,680
the Wings plus four and a half. I think they

395
00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:31,119
can even win the game outright. So that's what I'm

396
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:34,119
looking at as my car for today. I said on Twitter,

397
00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:35,519
I was gonna give it out on the show. I'm

398
00:21:35,559 --> 00:21:37,519
a man of my word. And if you guys make

399
00:21:37,599 --> 00:21:39,440
some money, you guys know where to come find me

400
00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:43,680
and find some more winners tomorrow. Good stuff here, Veno.

401
00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:46,559
End of the week. It's been great doing these shows

402
00:21:46,559 --> 00:21:49,759
and rocking with you. Would start back again. I'm not

403
00:21:49,759 --> 00:21:51,559
sure if we have games on Monday, but if we do,

404
00:21:52,079 --> 00:21:53,680
we'll be right back here with you guys. And if

405
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:56,160
we don't, then we will be right back on Tuesday.

406
00:21:57,319 --> 00:22:01,359
Best of luck to everybody. Let me shout out the chat.

407
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:03,880
Actually it was a lot of good people, A lot

408
00:22:03,920 --> 00:22:06,880
of usual suspects by Kyle Wright, b Man, Dropping Dimes,

409
00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:10,680
Titan CT, A lot of usual suspects, Jam Rock Kicks,

410
00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:13,119
We appreciate all of you tuning in. You guys all

411
00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:15,319
help make the show what it is, and people out

412
00:22:15,319 --> 00:22:20,640
there on kick x, Twitch, Apple, Spotify, YouTube, shorts, whatever

413
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:24,039
it may be. We appreciate you guys supporting the show

414
00:22:24,039 --> 00:22:26,440
as well. So, like I said, best of luck this weekend.

415
00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:28,079
We'll catch you again next week

