Speaker 1: What's up, everybody. Welcome into another episode of Prophet Picks.
If you are new, we always start this show by
being transparent, and yesterday my top play was the Storm
got a minus six and a half early. Didn't really
matter what number you got. I think they closed eleven
or something like that, but it was a blowout. Whatever
your number you got was good. The two smaller plays
which did make it a losing day where the Props
Ari over four and a half assisted. She had two
in the first quarter, and then they didn't put her
back in and like she played seven minutes in the
first half. For whatever reason, they decided to play sit well,
Sid was playing her old team, so maybe they wanted
to give her a little extra burn, but that's why
they were losing at the end of the first half.
And then Ari got her minutes in the second half
and they ended up winning, So that was bad. And
Rakia Jackson just didn't show up for real. So probably
gonna leave the Props alone. I tweeted that out yesterday.
I'm not happy with how the Props is gone lately. Bino,
good to be back with you. Hopefully you did a
little bit better than one and two yesterday.
Speaker 2: Yeah, we had a nice day yesday Ski too, and
oh but that counts the Canadian Football League where we
had the game under between Montreal and Toronto. No not Toronto,
I can't remember now, but the Montreal game under forty
forty nine landed on forty forty four. Calgary actually was
oppllent there, but WNA I had the first half. Sparks
connecticuts Son over eighty two got over fairly easily in
that game. Everybody scored, so yeah, Connecticut's learning how to
score points now, which helps because their defense is so
bad that most of these things can end up getting
over now until the odds makers have just and the
Sparks just talking to you off air right before we
came on Ski a little bit. That offense is crazy
good right now. They just like we said yesterday, they're
gonna try it out for you. Yesterday they did. They
pulled away in the end, another one hundred plus point
performance for them. So good day and all, and hopefully
repeat that here today.
Speaker 1: Let's try to do it again here today. Appreciate y'all.
Just Josh reminding everybody to hit the like button definitely
helps out the show. And then I am destro reposting
the stream on next appreciate that too, help some other
people maybe see what they're missing out on over here.
All right, three games again, Robno, we'll go on rotation
order like we always do. That means first up is
six one six h two Aces and Links opened up
minus ten and a half for Minnesota. It has come down.
We're seeing nine and a half as a consensus number,
even a nine over at at one book total open
one fifty seven and a half and we've seen that
all the way up to one sixty three. As far
as the injury report, same two usual suspects for both teams,
Griffin and Seyenne Parker Tyas both are going to be
out for this one. The Aces did play last night,
they lost to the Fever and the Links. Let's see
the last time they come in with two days of rest,
they beat up on Chicago and their first game out
the break. Man. You know, I'll say, the first thing
that comes to my mind is the Links. I mean,
they had a lot of people over at all start.
I know they came out and smashed on Chicago, but
I mean it's players on the Links doing other things.
And we've seen too, like coming out of the break.
Being at a rest disadvantage is not really a disadvantage.
You just had a super long rest, you know what
I'm saying. We saw it from the dream. I think
we've seen it from a few teams so far. And
the ass coming off of a loss, I believe they
are either at five hundred now yeah, I think they're
at five hundred or now, so you know they're motivated
to try to get a win here. I can't help
but think the Aces are competitive. The Links have been
a team that sometimes take a little bit to get going.
Usually in the third quarter they start to get things together,
maybe they make adjustments or whatever it may be. But
the Aces, they've been a team who's started out hot.
So I think the Aces early and often in this game, Ravino,
I agree with the market with the coming down. Are
you looking at the side or are you looking more
at the total?
Speaker 2: You know, in Aces games, I would generally look towards
the total. In the fact that they shot so poorly
from three last night, you know how I am, I
usually think that there will be some type of bounce
back positive in this case, positive regression to what the
Aces usually shoot from three. They both played really good
defense as of late, and I think you hit on
a point here where Minnes so to you know, playing
great defense against Chicago not that big of a deal.
Playing great defense against a banged up Phoenix team that
didn't have soably didn't have Copper, et cetera, and then
playing good defense the game before again against Chicago. I
don't know what we make of those. Can Las Vegas
dent this defense? Maybe they can't, But for the aces
where side is concerned, I'm starting to believe that they
can be just treated as a what we say in
the business, like a yo yo team. If they lose,
just bet them to win the next game.
Speaker 1: Lose win, lose win.
Speaker 2: It seems like every time they do something good ski
and you get behind them, they do something bad, then
you think, well they're not that good. They do something good.
They've had that pattern all season long. So getting nine
and a half to me is kind of appealing. Full
game with Las Vegas here, I think that, you know,
recently they've shown the ability to stop some teams. They
had a good second half defensive effort against Atlanta the
other night, granted that Atlanta didn't have Ryan Howard, but
Atlanta bounced back the very next night against Phoenix and
scored a ton of points, so their offense certainly is
still capable. I like that last night, pretty solid defensive
game against Indiana. I think if I had to play it,
and I didn't because this one is probably the toughest
time the schedule for me, But if I had to
play it, I think I would be taking nine and
a half with Las Vegas, even in a losing effort.
They probably come closer than that. And we mentioned this
earlier this week. It's crunch time to start stacking some
wins if you want to make the playoffs, and the
Aces are in that position where they got to have wins,
so I'd expect a big effort out of them, even
though it's a back to back travel situation. It's not
that far Indiana and Minnesota. I'd probably look towards plus
nine and a half.
Speaker 1: All right, So we're in agreement there. There's some questions
saying maybe Jackie Young might sit out tonight, or ask
him if she'll be out any chance. I mean, it's
a chance for anybody to be out on the second
of it back to back. She is already banged up,
but I mean I kind of agree with Casey's comment
here says I think if I think if they won,
she would have probably sat. But after losing, I think
you're gonna play. You don't have the luxury arrest right now.
And I agree with that comment. All right, let's keep
it going here. Next on the list, Mercury and Liberty.
I believe here six oh three, six oh four opened
up minus five and a half for New York. See
either six or six and a half depending where he shot.
Total open one sixty nine and a half. And it's
I mean, it keeps bouncing around, it's all over. I
see a I see a one seventy one. I see
a one seventy one seventy and a half. So make
sure you line shop, which depends which way you like
the game. As far as the injury report, I don't
see anybody on there for Phoenix. For the Liberty, they
won't get Emma Misiman, yet they will be without NAIs. Sadly,
this is a chance for the Liberty to come and
get a little bit of well not a little bit,
a chance for them to get double revenge after losing
to the Mercury twice so far this season. I'll start
off with this. You know, Kyle Wright says, one seventy
total is wild. The Liberty's offenses look really good. Two
games in a row. They've come, you know, a bucket
away from scoring one hundred points. They got John quot
Jones back, I had another shooter. You know, everybody out
on the court can shoot.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: Remember we talked about that a little while ago, and
when she was out and Phoebich was out, they didn't
have that anymore. So now they're getting back to you know, well,
what makes their offense look great? For Phoenix? When I
look at the starting lineup, they don't really have a
true center like I feel like with the lineup they're
throwing out there, it's got to be more up tempo
running gun especially, you know, you don't want to face
a set New York Liberty defense time and time again.
So I can understand why the total is high here.
I'm curious if you agree. If you agree with it
being that high, you think there's some room that still
get over and also do you think the Liberty get
some revenge here?
Speaker 2: You know what's interesting about the Liberty ski is they
haven't been away from home all month. It's their seventh
straight home game. Talk about being comfortable, Just say they've
scored ninety eight and back to back games both were
against Indiana, but they've been home since July. The third
Phoenix is in the travel situation. But to answer your
question directly, I played this thing right away and it
was fairly simple for me to play up and over
the total. I got one seventy. It's not one seventy
and a half. We'll give you the reasons why A.
You hit on it. Everybody's healthy here, even a Cole
mccani's back from concussion protocol. So Phoenix's rotational depth extends
about eight or nine deep with quality right now with
everybody back and New York the same thing as Sobbily
is out, which hurts them as far as backup center
is concerned. I'm not so sure that it'll matter much
where their points scoring is concerned here tonight, Phoenix two
and zero. Those two games ski the final posted total.
The closing number on those games were one sixty four
and one sixty six and a half. Both of those
games were injury laden. Each side had key components out
in those games that closed one sixty four one sixty
six and a half. They landed one seventy and one
ninety seven for New York. You didn't have foebish in
the first game, and that was the game where john
Quell Jones reinjured her ankle. She played like eight minutes
and left the game. Phoenix won that one in New
York eighty nine to eighty one, one hundred and seventy.
Then eight days later they played back in Phoenix. Phoenix
scored one oh six one six ninety one. So much
like I'm kind of using the same premise that I
used for New York Indiana the other day. Two games
played two games over, it's here same scenario, two games
played two games over. These are the number one and
number three pace teams in the league. As you mentioned,
Phoenix much more suited to run with their lineup, and
they're the number one and two teams in three point
makes per game. You said it earlier, I'll just say
it again. When all five Liberty starters are on the floor,
all five can shoot the three Phoenix kind of the
same way. A lot of shooters on that team. So
all this stuff starts adding up to a bunch of offense.
And then I'll add in Sabrina Yenescu, if there's anybody
who wants to come up big in this game. The
two games against Phoenix when they needed her because they
didn't have Jones, becase they didn't have Phoebish, she goes
five to twenty five from the floor combined only twenty
percent and two of twelve from three. Brianna Stewart did
a lot of heavy lifting in those two games for them,
the starting front court, even though it was outmanned, outmatched
because Phoebish and Jones weren't there, they still managed to
score forty three and thirty five points in those two games.
And my potential points number both of those games Ski
they had the chance to get to three seventy five
if everything went through the hoop.
Speaker 1: That's high.
Speaker 2: It's about eighteen points higher than league average. To me,
everybody's back now. They've shown that without key pieces they
can get to one seventy, so why not with them
and especially the way New York is on a roll offensively?
And last thing I'll add is it seems to me
I'm trying to think of the instance where we saw
this I could I guess it could be Atlanta, a
team that came out and maybe that Atlanta is not
a good example. But worked new pieces into the lineup,
which Phoenix did in their first game back didn't go
so well. There's minute restrictions on Sobbly, minutes restriction on
a copper LEXI held came back as well. But now
the second game, with everybody back, even though it's a
travel situation, I think they'll be better offensively here. A
lot of pace, a lot of three point shooters series
history this year tells us these games go over. I
think one seventy is very doable.
Speaker 1: I do too, And I think you know, like you said,
that Mercury offense was out of rhythm in that first
game there. I think they should look a little bit
better here tonight. Mercury felt Claire eighty points in about
four plus games. I do think they get there tonight though.
And another thing we did jam Rock kicks minister here.
But yeah, first of a back to back for the
Liberty LUs defense he's asking, I would agree. I mean,
and in general, they don't need to come out and
cover or win by big margin. They'll be happy just
getting away with the win and moving on to tomorrow too,
So I do agree. Let's defense first. Of a back
to back and also just don't think they have a
whole lot of motivation to win by margin. So I
like Mercury and I like over in this one. Rovino.
All right, one more up there for today looks like
Wings and Valkyrie's. This one opened up minus five and
a half for Golden State. They're now down to four
total open one sixty three and not a whole lot
of movement there. As far as who's available, No, Mayausha
Heinz Allen and Maddy Secers still out for the Wings.
Maria c Kaitlin Thornton both out for the Valkyries. And
this is the Valkyrie's first game since the break, so
they've had quite a bit off. I think they've had
eight days off since their last game. The Valkyries weren't
playing their best basketball and it's the break. I want
to say. They lost three of their last four games,
and in general, the Valkyrie have been really great as underdogs.
I don't know how much we want them as favorites
for the Wings. They're a little bit better rhythm right now,
They're not rusty. They just played the game as an
underdog and went out right, so that shows they're a
little bit better than where the market things they're at
right now. And I mean Page and Rique, I mean,
as much as I talk about them, Arique, I do
think they both can do enough to keep this one close,
if not winning the game. So I think it's too
much rest for Golden to stay here. We don't lay
with this team. Dallas Wings are the right side in
my opinion. What do you think you know?
Speaker 2: Yeah, Dallas set a lot of the right things coming
out of the break and then they went ahead. Now, granted,
Skyler Diggins didn't play, and that second half offense looked
a trocious not that the first half didn't. I mean
the first half Dallas didn't play any offense either, but
the second half was all Dallas all the time. How
much we can take from that As far as Dallas
defense is concerned, I'm not so sure. We always kind
of land on the opinion that Dallas's defense is ass
and until proven otherwise, I don't know how much we
could take from that game.
Speaker 1: But they did play better.
Speaker 2: The first thing that jumps out of me is Golden
State first half has just been an absolute moneymaker, sixteen
to four in one against the spread first half, and
like you said Ski, which does make a little bit
of a difference here. A lot of that done as
an underdog, whether it be short price underdog, large price underdogs.
A lot of it's been done as an underdog. And
can they win a first half straight up? But I
tell you, even though they weren't winning games prior to
the break, they're three to one in one straight up
first half last five, so it seems like they're a
first half team. Problem you run into with that bet
is exactly what you said. It's the age old question.
Are they going to be rusty coming out of the
gate or are they going to be rested? We don't
know until the halftime score is there. We really don't know.
So there's guests work involved. But sixteen four and one
is a very very strong number, and especially we know
about this team at home on a Friday night, the
crowd is probably gonna be huge and it'll help them
a little bit. We'll see if Dallas can avoid turnover problems.
It's their biggest I think in their case, the biggest
problem that that team has still is turnovers. They rebound
like crazy. I'm trying to check. I noted these rebound
numbers the other night against Seattle. Yeah, forty eight to
thirty four rebound advantage plus fourteen on the boards for
the Wings, who constantly get a ton of field goal
attempts in their games. Shot at seventy one times against Seattle.
Seattle shot at seventy five times. That's a lot of
chances at the rim. Neither team shot well, didn't get
over the number here. I'm kind of torn again. I'd
like to believe in Dallas second half and maybe get
behind them before the odds makers catch up if they're
going to be better. But I'm not so sure that
I could play against Golden State at home here again.
That rest thing really is difficult coming out of the break.
Golden State didn't have trying to think here. They didn't
have a bunch of participants during All Star break, so
it could have been more of practice rather than party
in their case, which would help. I didn't play. I'd
like to lean under, tell you the truth, if I hadn't,
if I have any opinion at all, If I could
say that right, any opinion at all, it would probably
be under the total in this game. Because Golden State,
if nothing else, they can lean on their defense and
Dallas if what we saw the other night has any
truth to it shutting Seattle down, then it should be
an under.
Speaker 1: All, right, you know, looking a little bit more at
the total, I will be looking at the side there,
and that's three games for today. We did a pretty
good time a little bit under twenty minutes. Now, actually,
before we get to best bets, let's go ahead and
throw this back up there. I got to watch out
for Casey, so I gotta watch what I say. But yeah,
you can get both Rob's WNBA season and my WNBA
season for just about three dollars a day. I think
that's what it comes down to with this deal. So
if you want to rock with both of us at
WNBA goes all the way throughout or until I think
mid October. So it's a way to roll with us
through the entire summer pretty much. Because I'm not touching baseball,
I'm letting you know right now, Ve No, No, I don't
know if baseball will ever get you. Maybe in the playoffs,
but that regular season, I think I'm hanging it up.
Is there anything else you would like to promote? And
if you have a best bet for the show, we
would love to hear it. If you don't. It's okay
because I'm giving plenty today.
Speaker 2: I would say, real quick, it was funny how quick
Ronald Hugh Capper came out the other day to disagree
with the comment of how you and he look alike
with you in that photo. It's not close. I'm on
your side, Ronald. I don't know where that comparison comes
into play. Let's get right to best bed here, Ski.
Because it was easy for me this morning to make
the play, it's easy to give it as a best
bet here. I do think New York and Phoenix get
over the total. The two are designed. The matchup is
just designed to breed points in this case. So they've
shown you that they can get to one seventy and
one ninety seven already without every starting player on the floor,
and now they have everybody back rotationally. Like I say,
except for Sobbly, everybody's there. Pace will be there. I
think the shooting will be there. Give me over one
seventy and a half tonight in the Mercury Liberty Game
as the best bet for today.
Speaker 1: I like that too. And yeah, I'm going to share
all of my players here today, or at least the
ones that I've made so far. I'm pretty sure I'm
going to join on that with Rob. You know. I
like the Aces first half plus five and a half,
Aces plus ten and a half on the game. I
like the Mercury plus six and a half. Like I said,
I like the over in that game, and I like
the Wings plus four and a half. I think they
can even win the game outright. So that's what I'm
looking at as my car for today. I said on Twitter,
I was gonna give it out on the show. I'm
a man of my word. And if you guys make
some money, you guys know where to come find me
and find some more winners tomorrow. Good stuff here, Veno.
End of the week. It's been great doing these shows
and rocking with you. Would start back again. I'm not
sure if we have games on Monday, but if we do,
we'll be right back here with you guys. And if
we don't, then we will be right back on Tuesday.
Best of luck to everybody. Let me shout out the chat.
Actually it was a lot of good people, A lot
of usual suspects by Kyle Wright, b Man, Dropping Dimes,
Titan CT, A lot of usual suspects, Jam Rock Kicks,
We appreciate all of you tuning in. You guys all
help make the show what it is, and people out
there on kick x, Twitch, Apple, Spotify, YouTube, shorts, whatever
it may be. We appreciate you guys supporting the show
as well. So, like I said, best of luck this weekend.
We'll catch you again next week