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Speaker 1: Welcome into the Opening line Report, Kelly Stewart Here on

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this beautiful Monday morning on the East coast. Teddy covers

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they're on a beautiful Monday morning on the West Coast.

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We're gonna get right into it. This is a information show, guys.

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Remember we are The opening line report numbers came out.

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I think I saw circa tweet right before I went

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to bed after Sunday Night Football. There week four NFL line,

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So I of course had to update my little survivor spreadsheet, Teddy,

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because that's just the kind of person that I am.

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So we're gonna go over some of these opening numbers.

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We're going to compare them to your power ratings, maybe

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talk about what some of these lines were over the summer,

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and really start to dive deep into what we saw

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last week and what kind of tangible information we can

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use for this week. Ready to get into Monday night

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football before we get into Week four.

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Speaker 2: Sure, let's do that one. I'm minor correction. I don't

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care what the lines were over the summer.

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Speaker 3: The lines of performer were.

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Speaker 2: Those were based on off season power Ratingsocus on on

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opening line report of courses. The loc head lines from

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last week, so we see how much the one game

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affected the perception of these two teams.

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Speaker 3: And that's the focus.

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Speaker 2: So lots of powering numbers, lots of We could have

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a handful of mercy betting alerts this morning.

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Speaker 4: So well, let me get ready.

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Speaker 1: I'm very excited. I love those mergency betting alerts. We

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got to get on those swift and fast, and that's

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why we do the show bright and early on Monday morning.

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Let's get into Monday Night football. The Detroit Lions Baltimore Ravens.

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We've seen some interesting line moves here.

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Speaker 4: Talk to me.

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Speaker 1: About well, I think arguably one of the best teams

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in the NFC versus arguably one of the best teams

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in the AFC.

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Speaker 2: Sure, and of course we talked about this game last Monday,

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and I gave you an emergency betting alert on the

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Lions plus six because that line couldn't hold. And it

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didn't hold. You know, we're looking at four four and

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a half right now, and it bottomed at four and

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then we've seen some Ravens buyback up to four and

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a half and this to me feels a little bit

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like a sharp square di eye game.

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Speaker 3: The pros loved Baltimore. They love Baltimore.

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Speaker 2: So my friends are telling me that the Ravens are

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a field goal better than anyone else in the league.

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Speaker 3: My powering numbers don't show that.

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Speaker 2: My numbers say that Baltimore is one of the elite teams.

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And there's you know, obviously five six teams at the

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very top of the power ratings. But there are those

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in the markets that right now have Baltimore a field

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goal better than anyone, are close to a field goal

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two to three points better than anybody. If they dominate tonight,

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maybe I'll have them in my powering to that number,

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but currently I don't so. And the markets obviously with

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opening at six and bet down to four and now

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we're seeing four and a half's that is pro money

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on Baltimore, totally seeing nothing but over money.

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Speaker 3: And you know, considering.

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Speaker 2: The potential potency of these two offense, I'm not surprised

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that said at fifty three and a half, I'm not sensing.

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Speaker 3: It's going to get a whole lot higher than it is.

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Speaker 2: So urgency right now, No, this number is going to

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stick around four and a half, fifty three and a

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half now and kickoff, all.

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Speaker 4: Right, let's go to Thursday night football.

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Speaker 1: Primarily the reason why I played the Saints yesterday, and

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we're going to get into that game and why they

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got away from the Saints rather quickly. But the Seattle

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Seahawks take on the Arizona Cardinals, San France sneaks out

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a win there over Arizona by one point. That was

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an interesting final result because well, that's what I like

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to talk about on the Kelly Murray Show. Games at

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Land one. It always is hilarious to me. Let's talk

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about Seattle. Now, Arizona is minus.

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Speaker 3: One, sure, and I'm tempted. Let's just talk about it.

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Speaker 2: Look, headline Arizona minus two and a half total of

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forty five. My powering number says the Seahawks should be favored.

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Here my powering number of Seattle minus one. The markets

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have Arizona minus one right now, total forty three and

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a half. We haven't seen any movement on this total.

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I'm not anticipating necessarily any movement. Could see a little

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bit under money, but nothing shocking. But from a side standpoint,

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I would not be surprised. So the Seahawks were a

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team that a lot of people.

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Speaker 3: Hated this offseason. I'm one of them.

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Speaker 2: We were against Seattle in my season win report, and

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I expected this team to go through some pretty ugly

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growing pains, and through three weeks of the season, Seattle

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looks better than people thought they were gonna look. Myself included.

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Sam Donald looks very comfortable in that offense. What we're

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seeing with Cooper Cup and Jackson Smith, Nijibba and Tory Horton,

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the fifth round rookie out of Colorado State who's been

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phenomenal for them, and he's a guy who has hurt

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his senior year. He dropped in the draft as a result,

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but yesterday a ninety five guard partner turned touchdown. He

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looks like a star already, So they have wide receiver depth.

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Donald's look good, The defense has looked good for Seattle,

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and Arizona's offense isn't working right now. It's gonna get

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worse with the James Connor injury. Now he's out for

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the year. You know, we don't worry too much about

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running back injuries, but Connor is kind of one of

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those heart and soul guys.

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Speaker 3: For this team.

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Speaker 2: And boy that struggled against San Francisco multiple key drops.

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You know, whether it's a Zay Jones drop that would

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have allowed them to run out the clock instead of

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punting back to San Francisco for the game winning drive,

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or the Mars Marvin Harrison dropped a touchdown pass, or

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the Demarcado dropped a third down pass that led to

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a field goal instead of a touchdown. The pass game's

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not working, the run game's not working, the Office of

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Lines not controlling the flow. They're issues right now for Arizona.

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And of course they missed a field goal again that

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loomed large in a one point loss. You know, four

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point one yards per play for Arizona, one for three

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in the red zone. These are ongoing problems, you know.

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I mean Colias Campbell won that game for Arizona of safety,

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you know, the holding in the end zone, and then

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they found a way to lose it. Certainly the short

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turnaround gives them an opportunity, but again early in the season,

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we don't mind road teams in short turnaround spots. Not

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surprised at all if we see some Seattle money between now.

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Speaker 4: And Teddy and that could not have looked better. Yesterday.

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Speaker 1: You and I watched this game, and I shouldn't say

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we didn't even watch it, just every single time it

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popped on red zone. The Vikings were in the red

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zone and they looked rather dominant. Again Kevin O'Connell proving

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it doesn't matter who's under center for him, he's got

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this offense clicking.

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Speaker 4: They're facing the Steelers.

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Speaker 1: That were I would argue, maybe gifted a win by

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the New England Patriots.

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Speaker 2: Sure look headline here, Pittsburgh one and forty one. Of course,

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this game is in Dublin. It's an early star game.

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Don't sleep in if you want to bet. Steelers and

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Vikings six thirty am Pacific time, start nine thirty on

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the East coast. So look headline Pittsburgh minus one. My

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powering number Minnesota minus one and a half. Opened one

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and a half and forty one.

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Speaker 3: Last night. We've seen a big move towards the Vikings.

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Speaker 2: This morning, I'm seeing two and a half out there,

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two and a halfs with juice and threes are starting to

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pop up. Now at three, I would expect we'll see

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a little bit of take back for Pittsburgh. So I'm

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not gonna emergency beting on learned this one, even though

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you can find too an answer right now I'm not

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convinced they'll be there forever, but at three I would

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think that we'll get some buyback. So this is a

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situation where the other's lines already moved. The best of

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the number is gone. And of course, you know, Minnesota

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had what two defensive touchdowns, they forced five turnovers in

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yesterday's game, But the key was Carson Wentz. You know,

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one key was not Carson or the key was Minnesota's defense.

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The key may have been Christian Darisaw being back on

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the offse of line for Minnesota and Harrison Smith, two

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guys who made their season debuts and had an impact

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immediately when you're a left tackle comes back after missing

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eleven months. And then you know Harrison Smith that he

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deflected the pass that got returned for a pick six,

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certainly positive signs injury wise for Minnesota, you know, I mean,

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And of course, let's not forget Carson Wentz was sitting

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at home a month ago. He didn't have any preseason

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with Minnesota, and that concerned me when it came to

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this past week's game. And of course it didn't matter

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against Cincinnati beause the defense is able to control the

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flow and Wentz was playing with a lead. That could

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happen here because Pittsburgh. I mean, you say that New

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England gifted them the victory. I mean there's certainly something

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to be said for that. The yards per play Pittsburgh

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four point one, New England five point two. Two of

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the Patriots five turnovers came to the Steelers two yard line.

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They did sack Drake May five times, so the defense

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did some things right. When you forced five turnover then

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get five sacks, you're feeling good. But Aaron Rodgers just

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one hundred and thirty nine passing yards, only one play

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for Pittsburgh of twenty plus yards in that ballgame. This

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offense is an explosive and let's call it how it

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is right now. Aaron Rodgers is not very good like

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last year and the year before and the year before that,

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But be sure it gets a lot of publicity from

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a situation standpoint worth noting Week five by for Pittsburgh,

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this is their last game before the buybe We spent

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all this time talking about teams after the bye week,

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when in fact, before the bye week is often a

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better bed on spot for the squad. No one wants

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to go into two weeks off, especially two weeks under

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Tomlin coming off back to back losses, so there's certainly

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something to be said for the effort for Pittsburgh. Worth

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noting also, Minnesota will play back to back games overseas,

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so with out the benefit of next week at this time,

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having stayed in Europe already.

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Speaker 4: All right, let's talk about the Eagles. Head into the box.

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Speaker 1: Teddy pand up very very lucky to catch that Eagles

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ticket with the press yesterday on end Zone Live. That

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was absolutely a crazy result, Teddy. When those types of

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results happen, what do you chalk it up as just

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bad luck? Do you chalk it up as things aren't

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going my way? How do you look at it and

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maybe not overreact for those at home that probably had

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the Rams, great number plus four and a half, things

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like that.

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Speaker 2: So I had the Rams, my clients in the Rams

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last week. I had the Broncos, my clients of the Broncos.

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Week one, we had the Cowboys and Eagles over you

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know where. They scored the first eight possessions, ninth possession

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they fumbl the red zone and then the lightning to land.

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Speaker 3: They never score another point.

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Speaker 4: What an awful trifecta.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a nice way to And that's the difference

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between me starting the season eighty percent. You know, I'm

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not a high volume player. If I didn't have those

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three beats, I'd be hitting eighty percent right now. Instead,

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I'm hitting fifty percent, you know, through the first three weeks.

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Speaker 3: So what do you do?

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Speaker 2: This is something that's worth noting, all right. It's true

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in poker, it's true in sports betting. It doesn't even out.

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If you're on right sides, you're gonna take more bad

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beats than if you're on wrong sides. It's plain and simple.

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You know, you might get some more lucky ones if

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you're on wrong side, but you're on right sides, the

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bad beats are coming to you. It doesn't even out.

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Speaker 3: That's it. We all get lucky wins.

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Speaker 2: Sometimes we get stupid lucky wins and we kind of

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forget about them when you go through a stretch where

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you can't win the close games that you're supposed to win,

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like La yesterday. It was pretty much the right side

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and found a way to lose this. But it's the

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nature of the.

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Speaker 3: Game, all right.

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Speaker 2: I'm still pissed off about it Monday morning. That's why

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one of these things.

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Speaker 3: I like this.

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Speaker 2: I like doing about the show is it's cathartic. You

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go through it, you get it out of your system

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and you can look at the next week cleanly. But

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I mean that loss is still affecting me today. It

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affected me all night, all day yesterday, you know. So

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I'm glad you got a moment of enjoyment out of

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it with pres But it really freaking sucked when you

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had the right side the whole way, and it obviously

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didn't pan out that way. But they're gonna happen, and

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the answer is suck it up or don't do this.

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Speaker 4: You know, there you go. There's no middle grounded.

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Speaker 2: Their issues for Philadelphia right now, by the way, talking

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about Eagles, but we talked about Eagles.

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Speaker 3: Bucks.

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Speaker 4: That where we are, Yes, that's where we are.

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 2: Look headline Philly minus two and a half, forty six.

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My powering number is Philly minus one and a half.

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The markets are at three for the Eagles and forty

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fives where they opened. I'm seeing forty four and a

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half prevailing number. I'm not sensing it's going to go

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down any further. I'm not seeing any ground swell of

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Tampa money yet. Right now, three and forty five slash

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forty four and a half is where I expect it

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to stay for at least the time being until we

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get injury report stuff. Now, sa Kuon Barkley, we have

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to talk about Saquon Barkley for a minute. You know,

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three games, he's averaging three point three yards per carry.

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Last year he had three one hundred and forty five

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rush attempts in the regular season, another ninety one in

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the playoffs. His previous career high came in twenty twenty two,

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when he had two ninety five in the regular seas

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and eighteen in the playoffs. This is an eight year

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veteran with a lot of miles on those legs, and

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it feels to me, at least right now, take one

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of the same burst. We're not getting the big plays

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from Phillies running game. And again, when you're three point

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three yards per carry, I mean you're eighteen of forty

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six yesterday, that is a concern. That being said, it's

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a concern for a team. It's finding ways to win games.

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You know, three or three in the red zone and

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they only allowed one of four in the red zone.

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So that red zone efficiency on both sides of the football,

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and obviously the Jordan Davis blocks field goal at the

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end of the game. Philly's now nineteen and one straight

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up their last twenty games, you know, by far the

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best team in the NFL in that span. That being said,

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there are things to like about Tampa right now. In

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three games, the Bucks have trailed in the fourth quarter

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in all three and they've won all three. And if

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you ask me, would I rather have a team that

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opens the season with three blowouts or three come from

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behind wins, I'll choose the latter anytime.

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Speaker 3: Now.

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Speaker 2: That team builds confidence, whereas a blowout team mat they

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get a little.

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Speaker 3: Fat and happy sometimes. You know, look at Green.

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Speaker 2: Bay Baker Mayfield quote resilient group. We stick together the

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whole team, and one part of it or phased a

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little down, others have to step it up and be

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there for you. That's what this team is all about.

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We support each other no matter what. Tampa just one

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to five in the red zone. They had fourteen penalties,

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they had a field goal blocked in return for a touchdown,

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and they still won the game straight up. They outgained

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the Jets by one point two yards per play. Todd

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Bowles after the game three and Ozero is important. It's

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important to win in this league. A lot of teams

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be crying because they lost close games. We lost them

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last year, we're winning them this year's. We're extremely happy

305
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about that. Two teams that are pretty happy about the

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early season performances. One team Man has clearly shown they

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have the resilience to come back from deficits in the

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fourth quarter. Philly managed to do it yesterday, but again

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they lost that game. They just said, and Sundays the

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whole thing college football, you expect kicking zaniness, you really do.

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And then one of the things they always loved is

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that Saturday's kicking zaneus and special teams that are gonna

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cost you on your bets, and Sundays the kickers make

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their kicks. Not Yesterday obviously had a huge difference for

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Philadelphia and LA. But right now, this line's not moving

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three forty four and a half and I'm not sensing

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that it's likely to go anytime soon.

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Speaker 1: All Right, just over sixteen hundred of you guys watching

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with us live here on the opening line, report Teddy.

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Before we get in to the Saints at the Bills,

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00:15:29,279 --> 00:15:31,200
let everybody kind of know what's going on over at

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00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:33,279
wager talk dot com this week.

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Speaker 4: What you got up for your clients.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm bitching and moaning because of the law of

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losses and they're frustrating. That said, we went seven and

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two across sports this weekend, six and one in football.

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I can't complain too much. It was a good weekend

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for the clients. We made a bunch of money. I

329
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just wanted it to be better and win them all.

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And that's you know. I put a lot of work

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into the NFL this week. This was the week we're

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supposed to break out. We went too and one, but

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the one was frickin' the Rams and that's pretty annoying.

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00:16:02,519 --> 00:16:05,039
That being said, locked and load, I'm not in play

335
00:16:05,039 --> 00:16:06,559
for Monday n football. I have a single best bet

336
00:16:06,559 --> 00:16:09,399
on MLB four today went four and on on college

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00:16:09,399 --> 00:16:12,799
football Saturday. I love this college football card this week,

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and of course of the NFL.

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Speaker 3: You hear my first takes right here.

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00:16:15,919 --> 00:16:18,120
Speaker 2: We'll have plays posted throughout the week, so check out

341
00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:21,279
my home page WT Buzz Backslash TC. Don't buy a

342
00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:24,080
play again. I'm board with the package again. Pick buying

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00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:24,759
isn't for everyone.

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Speaker 3: I get it.

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Speaker 2: But if you want to partner up now, i'd be

346
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a pretty good time. I'm pissed off, I'm motivated, and

347
00:16:30,679 --> 00:16:34,120
we're in decent current form. So for what it's worth

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00:16:34,759 --> 00:16:36,679
you check out any of the extended service packages. You

349
00:16:36,679 --> 00:16:39,320
can get a monthly package, a weekly package, rest of

350
00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:42,039
the year package. Great deals on my page wt dot

351
00:16:42,080 --> 00:16:44,200
Buzz backslash TC.

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Speaker 1: Today I found an interesting tweet regarding the next game.

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Saints are sixteen and a half point underdogs at Buffalo

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this week. This is New Orleans' biggest underdog in any

355
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game since November of nineteen seventy five. The matchup that

356
00:16:57,639 --> 00:17:02,480
day was Archie Manning and Frank Tarkenton for the Vikings.

357
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Very interesting, very very interesting. Fran Tarkentin, there's no k

358
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at the end of oh, well, you know what, Blame

359
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Evan Abrams.

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Speaker 4: He had it wrong. I wasn't born yet, so I

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don't remember. But I did find that to be very interesting.

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Speaker 1: This is a huge number kind of break down what

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these double digit spreads mean for people looking to bet

364
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the side either side of this game.

365
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Speaker 2: So, and I can't believe that the Katrina year that

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they weren't big good. You know, they had to be

367
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two touchdown dogs a couple of times that year, because

368
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that was an awful team. Aaron Brooks was the quarterback

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of the Katrina year, and I think they won three

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games that season, and things went pretty south pretty fast

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post Katrina for a team that didn't have a home

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My look aadline here was Buffalo sixteen and a half

373
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total forty seven and a half. Again the Bettable numbers

374
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from last week. My powering number only has the Bills

375
00:17:57,599 --> 00:18:00,440
fourteen and a half for the game. When you start

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getting into the spreads above two touchdowns, I factor in

377
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home field less and less.

378
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Speaker 3: I think I make homefield one point for those.

379
00:18:09,079 --> 00:18:10,559
Speaker 2: Games, and I wouldn't argue if you made it zero

380
00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:13,000
because there's not much of a home field edge in

381
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that contest. And obviously the Saints look pretty dismal yesterday.

382
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So my part rating number one is fourteen for the game.

383
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That said, I'm not anticipating a groundswell of Saints support.

384
00:18:23,599 --> 00:18:24,240
Speaker 3: In this one.

385
00:18:24,759 --> 00:18:26,720
Speaker 2: Open sixteen and a half forty seven and a half

386
00:18:26,839 --> 00:18:30,799
last night. We've seen some forty eights pop this morning.

387
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When you talk about double digit spreads in the NFL,

388
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I don't play a lot of the games.

389
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Speaker 3: I really don't.

390
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Speaker 2: This is not a league that is as popular as

391
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it is because it doesn't have parody. And the Saints

392
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certainly have a better game in them than what we

393
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saw yesterday. Yesterday they were pretty awful. And Buffalo is

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00:18:49,359 --> 00:18:51,599
most assuredly the type of team that we've seen it

395
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over and over again in the Sean McDermott era.

396
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Speaker 3: We trust the Bills to beat up the weaker teams. No,

397
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these are the games that they often have hiccups in.

398
00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:03,119
I'll leave it at that. The four New.

399
00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:06,480
Speaker 2: Orleans they had issues on the offensive line yesterday're going

400
00:19:06,519 --> 00:19:10,160
to be shorting? Was it the right tackle inactive? The

401
00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:14,200
guard didn't travel with the team last week. The defense

402
00:19:14,279 --> 00:19:16,480
was pretty awful in terms of Sam Darnold. I mean

403
00:19:16,559 --> 00:19:18,640
a lot of twelve point one yards per pass attempt.

404
00:19:18,640 --> 00:19:22,319
That's disaster territory. They did stuff to run though, you know,

405
00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:24,079
only two point six yards per carry all out if

406
00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:26,200
you look at a positive sign. But again, you can

407
00:19:26,279 --> 00:19:28,000
give up a block punt touchdown, you give up a

408
00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:32,759
punt return touchdown. The box score lies for this game.

409
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It says the game was even first downs and yard

410
00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:38,839
as it was. That said, when you're dominant on special

411
00:19:38,880 --> 00:19:42,640
teams and again punt return touchdown block punt that led

412
00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:46,279
to a touchdown. When especially interdominant, it makes your offensiveistics

413
00:19:46,319 --> 00:19:50,160
look weaker and your defenses look weaker because you're traveling

414
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longer fields. Are shorter fields on offense, and they're allowing

415
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opponents to travel longer fields on defense because they're winning

416
00:19:55,480 --> 00:20:01,960
the field division war. So special team success like Seattle

417
00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:06,759
showed can lead to box scores that lie. And of

418
00:20:06,759 --> 00:20:09,880
course Spencer Ratleery's not answering questions positively right now. He's

419
00:20:09,920 --> 00:20:12,920
oh to nine as a starter. Saints are owen seven

420
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:16,960
their last seven, and penalties continue to be a problem.

421
00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:17,160
Speaker 3: Again.

422
00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:19,240
Speaker 2: It's a first year, first time head coach, and Kellen Moore,

423
00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:22,519
I've not been impressed with how well coached New Orleans

424
00:20:22,519 --> 00:20:26,160
earlier in the season. They're averaging more than ten penalties

425
00:20:26,279 --> 00:20:32,079
per game for Buffalo. There are some questions, you know,

426
00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:34,039
is this run defense following ball? They got lit up

427
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by Baltimore. Miami had plenty of success moving to football

428
00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:39,640
to They allowed ten to fifteen third down conversions last

429
00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:42,279
week and three of three red zone touchdowns. You know,

430
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:45,160
after the two weeks of the season, they the best

431
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third down defense in the league, and that obviously not

432
00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:49,680
the case. But of course Josh Allen didn't have any

433
00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:51,839
interceptions and James Cook got one hundred rushing yards, and

434
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:54,799
when that happens, the Bills are going to win. But

435
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Josh Allen didn't complete a pass throwing more than ten

436
00:20:57,839 --> 00:20:59,359
yards down field.

437
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:02,160
Speaker 3: Dermott good win. Never easy.

438
00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:04,519
Speaker 2: I thought the grit, the mental toughness of our football

439
00:21:04,519 --> 00:21:06,759
team was on his play throughout the game, particularly in.

440
00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:09,920
Speaker 3: The fourth quarter. There. I worry about the Bills looking

441
00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:11,119
right past New Orleans.

442
00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:13,680
Speaker 2: I don't want Buffalo in this spot coming off a

443
00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:17,359
big divisional win they played on Thursday night, extra time

444
00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:18,000
repair just.

445
00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:18,839
Speaker 3: Like Kareem Bay had.

446
00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:23,839
Speaker 2: You know, yeah the Bills. This has Buffalo falls asleep

447
00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:25,440
with the two touchdown lead written all over.

448
00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:30,400
Speaker 4: That does not shock me in the slightest.

449
00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:33,160
Speaker 1: But I cannot say I would want any part of

450
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this Saints team that yesterday.

451
00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:37,920
Speaker 3: Let me push back. Wasn't the Saints the team you

452
00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:38,720
loved yesterday?

453
00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:40,680
Speaker 4: I love the Saints. I thought it was a good

454
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spot for them.

455
00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:44,160
Speaker 2: Wouldn't So when you love a team one week and

456
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:46,759
they get annihilated, isn't the next week the right time

457
00:21:46,799 --> 00:21:47,400
to come back with.

458
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Speaker 1: Them, you would think, but Teddy, they had opportunities against

459
00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:54,680
the Cardinals, they had opportunities against the Niners at home.

460
00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:57,599
Then they get blown out at Seattle, a couple of

461
00:21:57,680 --> 00:22:00,680
wonky special teams touchdowns, some touchdowns.

462
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Speaker 4: I turned it off. It was twenty one nothing.

463
00:22:02,319 --> 00:22:04,720
Speaker 1: I tweeted, you know what, There went my five and

464
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oh day and the super condest next and I went

465
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and enjoyed my afternoon because those are the types of

466
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things that I'm not gonna let ruin a good morning,

467
00:22:13,279 --> 00:22:16,440
and so I kind of just let it be. Now

468
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:19,160
they're still on the road at a team that I

469
00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:21,559
would probably argue is the best team in the AFC.

470
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Speaker 4: And you're right, I would agree with you. Buffalo doesn't

471
00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:26,839
care about this game. Why would they?

472
00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:30,759
Speaker 1: But we did see last Thursday night start. You know,

473
00:22:30,799 --> 00:22:32,839
everybody would have their thoughts about the Dolphins, and the

474
00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:34,160
Dolphins were in the mix late.

475
00:22:34,319 --> 00:22:35,519
Speaker 4: So I'm with you.

476
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:38,319
Speaker 1: I understand not overreacting to one week, but I think

477
00:22:38,319 --> 00:22:41,160
this is now coupled with several weeks where I'm like,

478
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:43,960
Buffalo could win this game thirty four to ten, and

479
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:45,920
none of us would be surprised, not at all.

480
00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:47,839
Speaker 3: They're a lot better than New Orleans.

481
00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:50,240
Speaker 4: And that's the unfortunate part here.

482
00:22:50,319 --> 00:22:53,359
Speaker 1: Okay, let's talk about the Panthers. The Panthers spoiled a

483
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:57,079
lot of Falcons survivor betters.

484
00:22:56,839 --> 00:22:59,559
Speaker 4: Yesterday, and the Patriots we're a team.

485
00:22:59,559 --> 00:23:02,079
Speaker 1: I'm looking at survivor this week, and my partners already

486
00:23:02,079 --> 00:23:04,799
text me absolutely not. You were out of your mind,

487
00:23:04,799 --> 00:23:06,680
And I said, okay, okay, I'm just trying to zig

488
00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:09,240
a little bit. This is the only spot that I

489
00:23:09,279 --> 00:23:10,759
think they can win this football game.

490
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:15,920
Speaker 2: So look at line here in New England five forty

491
00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:18,559
five and a half. My party numbers only four for

492
00:23:18,640 --> 00:23:21,960
the contest. Market's opened four and forty four last night.

493
00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:24,440
And what are we seeing today five and a half.

494
00:23:24,519 --> 00:23:28,519
Early money for New England total forty four. I'm even

495
00:23:28,559 --> 00:23:30,359
seeing some forty three and a half there. So we've

496
00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:35,960
seen Patriots money. We've seen under money from the get

497
00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:41,160
go in this one. And look, Carolina did some things.

498
00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:41,960
Speaker 3: Very right yesterday.

499
00:23:42,079 --> 00:23:44,920
Speaker 2: You know, they had to pick six, but they were

500
00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:47,000
out gained four point one yards, were played a five

501
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,440
point zero. They had no rush longer than eight yards,

502
00:23:49,519 --> 00:23:51,839
only one completion longer than twelve Bryce Young, only one

503
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:54,559
hundred and twenty one yards passing at five yards per

504
00:23:54,599 --> 00:23:55,240
pass attempt.

505
00:23:55,240 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 3: Those are not good numbers. That said, they put a defense.

506
00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:02,720
Speaker 2: You know, their defense came to play, first shutout since

507
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:08,680
twenty twenty, the most lopsided win since twenty fifteen. You

508
00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:11,039
know quote, we were all fed up. Our bond is

509
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:13,559
just so tight. We wanted to go out there and

510
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:16,839
do it right. Bryce Young. We had an emphasis on

511
00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:19,720
urgency to start fast, the events, getting a stop right

512
00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:21,519
off the bat, the office, going down and getting a score.

513
00:24:21,799 --> 00:24:24,640
I think that was big defense event. Derek Brown, this

514
00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:26,559
is what we've been waiting for coming out of camp.

515
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:29,079
I feel like this is how we executed during training camp,

516
00:24:29,079 --> 00:24:31,160
the physicality we had during camp to be able to

517
00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:32,319
come out here and put it on this play and

518
00:24:32,319 --> 00:24:34,960
get the results we did today. We're happy about it.

519
00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:36,480
You want Carolina off a win.

520
00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:37,839
Speaker 3: I don't.

521
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:43,400
Speaker 2: You know Patriots twenty six first downs, only fourteen points. Turnovers, well,

522
00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:45,240
they have five of them. You know, they out gained

523
00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:47,000
Pittsburgh by more than a full yard per play. They

524
00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:48,799
held this dealers to four point one yards per play.

525
00:24:48,839 --> 00:24:51,359
But you know, when you have five turnover games, you

526
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:54,359
don't win. Mike Rabel. We don't need to lose a

527
00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:56,480
football game to know the turnovers are very hard to overcome.

528
00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:59,880
They raised all the good things that you do. You know,

529
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:03,200
Drake May sacked twice through a pick, lost a fumble,

530
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:06,480
or mondre Stevenson fumble twice and saw the bench Antonio

531
00:25:06,559 --> 00:25:09,519
Gibson fumbled. You know, May quote just hurting ourselves.

532
00:25:09,559 --> 00:25:10,000
Speaker 3: It hurts.

533
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:12,160
Speaker 2: It's one of those things that just kept piling on.

534
00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:14,680
And of course two of their five turnovers came at

535
00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:18,400
the Steelers two yard line. So it certainly is the

536
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:20,839
type of scenario where I'm not surprised. We've seen New

537
00:25:20,839 --> 00:25:23,960
England money Ringland now played Pittsburgh yesterday but screwed up.

538
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:26,000
It's supposed to be a bounced back spot at home.

539
00:25:26,279 --> 00:25:28,880
Carolina is not a team that vetters expect necessarily to

540
00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:32,039
go on winning streaks, and they sounded a little bit

541
00:25:32,079 --> 00:25:36,559
fat and happy off snapping that skid. All that being said,

542
00:25:37,039 --> 00:25:38,960
I mean, are the Patriots really a team we want

543
00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:40,359
to be laying five and a half points with.

544
00:25:41,039 --> 00:25:44,559
Speaker 3: I won't be on New England this week. I don't

545
00:25:44,559 --> 00:25:46,559
think so, not at all, and on it.

546
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:48,680
Speaker 2: Right now, I'm not seeing at five and a half

547
00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:51,519
I don't see this line going a whole lot higher. Again,

548
00:25:51,559 --> 00:25:54,640
my powering number is only four for the Patriots the Markets.

549
00:25:54,839 --> 00:25:56,519
I'm moving in the other direction from the line that

550
00:25:56,599 --> 00:25:57,720
was four and a half last night.

551
00:25:57,960 --> 00:25:58,480
Speaker 4: CEE Team.

552
00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:02,240
Speaker 1: My survivor partner text me, I would rather sit in

553
00:26:02,279 --> 00:26:05,400
the electric chair than use my money. This is a

554
00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:09,599
real quote from him. Then bet my money on the

555
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:11,799
New England Patriots. I said, no.

556
00:26:11,720 --> 00:26:15,000
Speaker 4: Problem, We're going to move right along to another option.

557
00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:16,880
Speaker 1: It's probably going to be Houston. We'll get into that

558
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:20,079
game here in a minute, Teddy, We've got the Falcons

559
00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:24,599
taking on the Browns. Browns was my bright spot on

560
00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:26,480
bet on It this week. I said, this is my

561
00:26:26,559 --> 00:26:28,279
barking dog. I think they have a chance to win

562
00:26:28,279 --> 00:26:31,400
out right here at home. Falcons couldn't have looked worse

563
00:26:31,839 --> 00:26:34,839
versus Carolina. You kind of already touched on Carolina didn't

564
00:26:34,839 --> 00:26:35,960
look all that great.

565
00:26:36,279 --> 00:26:37,359
Speaker 4: Let's break down this one.

566
00:26:38,039 --> 00:26:39,319
Speaker 3: YEA, Atlanta had a pretty rough game.

567
00:26:40,039 --> 00:26:44,759
Speaker 2: Look aheadline here Atlanta pick them against Washington total of

568
00:26:44,799 --> 00:26:48,400
forty four. My powering numbers came Commanders minus two, the

569
00:26:48,480 --> 00:26:52,680
Markets two and a half slash three last night. I'm

570
00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:55,160
not seeing many threes out there right now. There's one

571
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:57,480
a DK that's the only one that I see on

572
00:26:57,519 --> 00:27:00,799
the Odds Logic live screen. So two and a half

573
00:27:00,839 --> 00:27:05,440
the prevailing number here for Washington. Total sitting at forty five,

574
00:27:05,839 --> 00:27:07,000
down from forty five.

575
00:27:06,839 --> 00:27:07,720
Speaker 3: And a half last night.

576
00:27:07,759 --> 00:27:09,039
Speaker 2: There are still a couple of forty five and a

577
00:27:09,039 --> 00:27:14,359
half's out there as we speak. I mean, the Commanders

578
00:27:15,039 --> 00:27:19,160
certainly did something right with Mariota at QB nine point

579
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:21,200
nine yards per past temp and we may well see

580
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:25,079
Mariota again this week with Jane Len Daniels ailing.

581
00:27:25,319 --> 00:27:26,519
Speaker 3: They scored forty one points.

582
00:27:26,519 --> 00:27:28,920
Speaker 2: The offense had seven point four yards per play, one

583
00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:32,480
point seven yards per play edge over the Raiders two

584
00:27:32,559 --> 00:27:34,839
hundred rushing yards. I mean, you have two hundred rushing

585
00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:37,240
yards at six point three yards per carry and your

586
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:40,000
backup quarterbacks throwing for nine point nine yards per pass attempt.

587
00:27:40,799 --> 00:27:44,279
That's a really strong offensive performance or a really deep,

588
00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:47,240
a really bad defensi performance. Like we said from the

589
00:27:47,279 --> 00:27:52,200
Raiders part return touchdown two. There are some issues on

590
00:27:52,279 --> 00:27:55,799
the injury front for Washington. They got cluster injuries in

591
00:27:55,880 --> 00:27:59,440
the secondary right now, Will Harris, Percy Butler, Marshaun Lattimore,

592
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:06,480
amos All banged up after yesterday's ball game, and that's

593
00:28:06,519 --> 00:28:10,759
certainly a concern for Atlanta, who was pretty bad. You know,

594
00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:13,839
he talked about Michael Pennock's thirty six attempts one hundred

595
00:28:13,839 --> 00:28:16,559
and seventy two yards four point eight yards for passing them,

596
00:28:16,599 --> 00:28:18,960
no touchdowns, two interceptions, one of them that picked six.

597
00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:21,759
They didn't run the ball effectively five point seven yards

598
00:28:21,759 --> 00:28:23,839
per carry. They're out game Carolina by nearly a yard

599
00:28:23,839 --> 00:28:25,880
per play, but they got shut out. They didn't make

600
00:28:25,880 --> 00:28:27,359
it for the red zone. They went owing three on

601
00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:31,319
fourth downs. Atlanta scored just one touchdown in the past

602
00:28:31,319 --> 00:28:35,240
two games, and that touchdown came literally when Minnesota let

603
00:28:35,319 --> 00:28:37,319
them score the touchdowns so the Vikings would get the

604
00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:43,960
ball back. You know, there's ongoing kicker issues now remember

605
00:28:44,079 --> 00:28:47,119
young Hoku got cut. They brought in Parker Romo, and

606
00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:50,720
Parker Romo miss multiple field goals, and yesterday's ball games.

607
00:28:50,759 --> 00:28:55,400
You know, this is the last game before the buye

608
00:28:55,519 --> 00:28:59,079
for Atlanta, so there is urgency here for the Falcons

609
00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:03,119
as home dog. Is that being said, Washington has taken

610
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:05,960
the I mean again my part name of numbers two.

611
00:29:06,119 --> 00:29:07,720
We're seeing two and a half and three, So We're

612
00:29:07,759 --> 00:29:10,640
seeing at least some early market support for the Commanders,

613
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:13,759
but not enough to hold this line at a field goal.

614
00:29:14,319 --> 00:29:17,519
Speaker 1: All right, Browns are headed to Detroit. Detroit plays tonight, Teddy,

615
00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:20,559
and you always tell me here on Monday mornings. Look,

616
00:29:20,559 --> 00:29:24,319
if you like Detroit, about him now. If you don't

617
00:29:24,359 --> 00:29:26,759
like Detroit tonight, bet against him now.

618
00:29:28,160 --> 00:29:28,400
Speaker 3: Sure.

619
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:30,960
Speaker 2: And so I'm gonna say something in reference to that

620
00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:32,839
has to do with part this is this is a

621
00:29:32,839 --> 00:29:35,319
parlay spot, all right. And I keep on getting yelled

622
00:29:35,359 --> 00:29:38,319
at from one of my wise guy buddies who calls

623
00:29:38,359 --> 00:29:42,400
me after the show and critiques me, and he's like,

624
00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:46,480
you gotta tell him the parlay. Don't straight bet parlay.

625
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:51,319
If you want to bet against Detroit, parlay against Detroit tonight,

626
00:29:51,519 --> 00:29:54,720
with against Detroit next week. If you want to parlay

627
00:29:55,119 --> 00:29:57,559
on Detroit, you bet on Detroit tonight and then on

628
00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:00,960
Detroit next week. And that's a better ro than just

629
00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:03,839
straight betting the two bets. So that does make sense

630
00:30:03,839 --> 00:30:05,680
if you have the opportunity to do that, it doesn't hurt.

631
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:09,920
And in terms of locking in the best of the number,

632
00:30:09,960 --> 00:30:13,519
great advice, and I always appreciate you. Know again, I

633
00:30:13,519 --> 00:30:15,920
don't mind if I get criticized, right, I don't do

634
00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:18,680
everything right, and it's really important, especially when you're in

635
00:30:18,759 --> 00:30:19,440
space for a long time.

636
00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:21,880
Speaker 3: Oh he's alleged, shut up, tell me when I'm wrong.

637
00:30:22,039 --> 00:30:28,839
Speaker 2: You know it's okay, because you need that constant feedback.

638
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:33,079
You need that constant appraisal of what you're doing. You

639
00:30:33,119 --> 00:30:34,799
end up like the Buffalo Building. And I'm a little

640
00:30:34,799 --> 00:30:36,880
fat and happy when you're playing the New Orleans Saints

641
00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:40,519
that week. Anyhow, look aheadline here Detroit nine and a half,

642
00:30:40,599 --> 00:30:42,559
forty six and a half my powery number going into

643
00:30:42,559 --> 00:30:45,319
money in their football Detroit ten. The markets right now,

644
00:30:45,319 --> 00:30:48,799
eight and a half and forty five the number. There

645
00:30:48,839 --> 00:30:50,440
are some forty five and a half's out there that

646
00:30:50,599 --> 00:30:53,680
leading indicator books are down to forty five on this Boggain.

647
00:30:54,039 --> 00:30:56,240
And look Cleveland, you know to say they stole that

648
00:30:56,279 --> 00:31:00,480
game yesterday. The defense has been dominant and now they

649
00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:03,039
have a running game with quin Shawn Judkins, the rookie

650
00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:05,440
who got eight ninety four yards in the ground yesterday.

651
00:31:05,480 --> 00:31:09,000
But the Packers gained just two point six yards per

652
00:31:09,599 --> 00:31:11,440
carrying that cup bog and Cleveland came in with a

653
00:31:11,480 --> 00:31:15,839
number one all overall defense and the defense dominated the contest,

654
00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:19,559
you know, complimentary football. That being said, they also went

655
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:21,079
zero and three straight up and against the spread off

656
00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:23,640
a win last year. And some of the quotes, I

657
00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:27,559
mean out of yesterday's game a little bit happy, a

658
00:31:27,599 --> 00:31:31,319
little bit they're not fat and happy, but bad teams

659
00:31:31,319 --> 00:31:34,640
off a win, teams that aren't used to winning off

660
00:31:34,680 --> 00:31:35,279
of victory.

661
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:38,000
Speaker 3: Sometimes they don't have that same level of effort the

662
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:40,759
following the week. So you know, and of.

663
00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:43,359
Speaker 2: Course, let's not forget Cleveland's offense is not about to

664
00:31:43,359 --> 00:31:46,240
get a whole lot better anytime soon. They're still playing

665
00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:48,960
without both starting offs of tackles, and Joe Flacco is

666
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:52,599
if your ranking starting quarterbacks, Flacco's near the bottom at

667
00:31:52,599 --> 00:31:53,599
this stage of his career.

668
00:31:54,599 --> 00:31:57,519
Speaker 1: All right, Teddy, So question just because I noticed the

669
00:31:57,519 --> 00:31:59,640
comments section. Not necessarily on the show, but other shows

670
00:31:59,799 --> 00:32:04,160
they do sometimes, like the Survivor Talk Detroit. In this

671
00:32:04,359 --> 00:32:07,319
spot you mentioned, Hey, look this is the browns now

672
00:32:07,359 --> 00:32:08,839
here on the road.

673
00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:12,920
Speaker 4: Do you think this is a home game that Detroit loses.

674
00:32:14,359 --> 00:32:17,720
Speaker 3: No, okay, let's see what happens.

675
00:32:17,759 --> 00:32:19,519
Speaker 2: You know, is Detroit kind of coming fat and happy

676
00:32:19,519 --> 00:32:22,119
off a Monday night football upset and look completely past

677
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:23,640
them maybe.

678
00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:25,759
Speaker 4: Maybe good point. So we'll keep an eye on tonight's game.

679
00:32:25,799 --> 00:32:29,799
Speaker 1: Another game that I have listed on my survivor sheet

680
00:32:29,839 --> 00:32:34,000
is the Texans. The Titans, Boy, oh boy, did they

681
00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:35,640
look okay week one?

682
00:32:35,759 --> 00:32:35,839
Speaker 2: Right.

683
00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:37,799
Speaker 4: I came on the show and said, hey.

684
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:41,279
Speaker 1: If Cam Woard's receivers could catch the ball, Denver was

685
00:32:41,319 --> 00:32:44,599
going to lose that football game. But ever since they

686
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:48,559
have just looked absolutely dreadful. A lot of people are

687
00:32:48,599 --> 00:32:52,440
saying Callahan might be the first coach fired. Brian Dable

688
00:32:52,519 --> 00:32:54,839
may have something to say about that, or Mike McDaniel.

689
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:56,720
We'll see how the next couple of weeks ago, But

690
00:32:56,759 --> 00:32:59,839
talk to me about this Tennessee team headed into Houston.

691
00:33:00,279 --> 00:33:02,640
Speaker 2: Before I do that, let's get an emergency betting alert

692
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:08,880
out for this one, because it's time Texans bet them

693
00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:13,240
sooner rather than later. The look aheadline here Texans minus

694
00:33:13,240 --> 00:33:18,240
seven minus nine. The markets opened seven and thirty nine

695
00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:20,799
and a half last night, and we're seeing signs that

696
00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:22,359
this line is going to move to seven and a

697
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:25,400
half any minute. It's already moved to seven and a

698
00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:28,079
half at a number of books. So if you want Houston,

699
00:33:28,319 --> 00:33:31,359
there are sevens available right now. And again my party

700
00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:34,559
number says this line should be nine. This is circle

701
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:37,599
the wagon's time for a Texan. I mean, you want

702
00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:39,720
to talk about tough beats, The Texas have had three

703
00:33:39,759 --> 00:33:41,799
tough ones to open the season. They snatched defeat from

704
00:33:41,799 --> 00:33:44,440
the jobs of victory every week. Week one, they had

705
00:33:44,440 --> 00:33:46,519
the rams they were driving for the game winning score

706
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:51,680
and Okawaly fumbled in the red zone when they're about

707
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:53,400
to be la that cost in the game. Week two

708
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:55,960
against Tampa, they the miss two point conversion, the miss

709
00:33:55,960 --> 00:33:58,359
sack on fourth and ten, and then allowed the game

710
00:33:58,359 --> 00:34:00,799
when he touched down with six seconds left. Week three,

711
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:04,200
tied ten to ten, Nico Collins catches it is a

712
00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:06,000
first down. They're under three minutes to play for the

713
00:34:06,079 --> 00:34:08,000
Jacks twenty. She's just gonna run out the clock and

714
00:34:08,039 --> 00:34:13,039
win that game. And then Nico fumble. So they have

715
00:34:13,679 --> 00:34:17,320
literally snatched defeat from the jaws of victory in all

716
00:34:17,360 --> 00:34:20,519
three games. And you know, finger pointing at the coach,

717
00:34:20,559 --> 00:34:25,280
finger pointing at the quarterback. You know, three straight games,

718
00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:28,519
this offense hasn't gotten the twenty strouded five hundred ninety

719
00:34:28,519 --> 00:34:32,079
nine yards in two touchdown passes through three games. You know,

720
00:34:32,199 --> 00:34:36,719
new offerens quitter Nick Kayley. This offense gonna work issues

721
00:34:36,760 --> 00:34:39,079
still on the offsive line, no run game to speak of,

722
00:34:39,360 --> 00:34:42,320
No receiver other than Collins has really stepped up. And

723
00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:44,840
of course we're talking about Lanta Price with Houston. Last

724
00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:46,480
year they had ten wins, eight of them came by

725
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:49,960
single digits. This isn't necessarily a blowout team. That being said,

726
00:34:50,440 --> 00:34:52,719
Tennessee is a blowout team. And that's on the negative.

727
00:34:53,039 --> 00:34:55,760
The offense line has been over overmatched, really has, and

728
00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:58,159
this is a mismatch when you talk about Houston's defensive

729
00:34:58,159 --> 00:35:02,000
front versus Tennessee off to the front. Cam Warren's under

730
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:05,079
constant pressure. Sacked four times, pick six in the first possession.

731
00:35:05,079 --> 00:35:08,480
Tony Pollard only two point eight yards per carry. You know,

732
00:35:09,119 --> 00:35:12,119
worth noting some of the quotes from the other team

733
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:13,480
from Indy.

734
00:35:14,079 --> 00:35:15,519
Speaker 3: About Tennessee yesterday.

735
00:35:15,519 --> 00:35:18,320
Speaker 2: This is Tennessee all and to Tennessee team where the

736
00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:20,719
head coach is already on the hot seat. You know,

737
00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:24,519
he said the Titans looked sluggish during pregame warmups. We're like,

738
00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:27,079
they don't want to play today, And I think that's

739
00:35:27,079 --> 00:35:28,800
how we found our edge today. It's just mentally we

740
00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:31,320
thought we wanted to play more than they did. You know,

741
00:35:31,480 --> 00:35:34,880
Daniel Jones from the Colts talking about Tennessee. You know

742
00:35:35,039 --> 00:35:36,800
home fans booing. When you hear that and sense it,

743
00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:39,840
you try to take advantage of it. Worry about the

744
00:35:39,920 --> 00:35:43,679
chemistry on Tennessee right now, and certainly they've lost nine

745
00:35:43,679 --> 00:35:46,239
straight games going back to last year. They're playing without

746
00:35:46,440 --> 00:35:48,320
two fifths of their offs of line. Laugh, them and

747
00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:53,280
Zeitler both hurt, and they had twenty three penalties coming

748
00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:56,079
into yesterday's game. They had ate more in yesterday's game.

749
00:35:56,760 --> 00:36:01,280
And you know, really ill time penalties for Tennessee. I

750
00:36:01,400 --> 00:36:05,480
have the Titans and the Saints clearly as my bottom

751
00:36:05,519 --> 00:36:07,800
two teams in the NFL right now, and again you

752
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:09,719
want to make money with bottom feeders in the NFL.

753
00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:11,400
September eighth of time to do it.

754
00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:16,519
Speaker 1: Touche as somebody who loves disgusting underdogs. That will not

755
00:36:16,760 --> 00:36:20,639
be on the Titans this week, Teddy, All right, fresh

756
00:36:20,679 --> 00:36:23,840
in our memory is how bad Russell Wilson is and

757
00:36:24,159 --> 00:36:26,880
the New York Giants two interceptions last night, and I said,

758
00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:29,039
all right, I'm going to bed nice easy under on

759
00:36:29,079 --> 00:36:29,400
the cash.

760
00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:29,519
Speaker 4: Though.

761
00:36:29,559 --> 00:36:32,119
Speaker 1: Shout out to John Murray from Last Call he gave

762
00:36:32,199 --> 00:36:34,360
us that one before he signed off. So I will

763
00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:38,519
take Russell's shortcomings and not be able to beat a

764
00:36:38,840 --> 00:36:41,719
mediocre Chiefs team. But now we've got the Los Angeles

765
00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:43,159
Chargers headed into New York.

766
00:36:43,199 --> 00:36:46,000
Speaker 4: I mentioned Brian Daviles. Seed is getting hotter.

767
00:36:48,920 --> 00:36:51,880
Speaker 2: This is going to be a Pros versus Joe's game, absolutely,

768
00:36:52,079 --> 00:36:54,519
because this spot here is horrific for the Chargers, for

769
00:36:54,599 --> 00:36:58,880
what it's worth, horrific. Look headline, LA six and a half,

770
00:36:58,960 --> 00:37:01,119
forty five and a half, my powering number five and

771
00:37:01,159 --> 00:37:03,519
a half. It was five and a half and forty

772
00:37:03,519 --> 00:37:05,960
five and a half last night. And again we're not

773
00:37:06,280 --> 00:37:08,880
seeing the six six and a half like you might

774
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:11,880
expect to see against the Giants off of last night's

775
00:37:12,119 --> 00:37:15,000
another debacle. Even though their defense played well and their

776
00:37:15,039 --> 00:37:17,800
offense had chances. You know, it wasn't like they were

777
00:37:18,119 --> 00:37:20,679
completely outclassed by the Chiefs in that game. They were

778
00:37:20,719 --> 00:37:24,079
in the game. They just couldn't do anything got in

779
00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:29,159
the red zone. And it is a Chargers team. Look

780
00:37:29,199 --> 00:37:32,119
Herbert seeing the field, well, five receivers had four more catches,

781
00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:38,039
but the Broncos defensive line beat up on LA's offensive line,

782
00:37:38,119 --> 00:37:41,119
you know, and Beckton left with a concussion. That's a concern.

783
00:37:41,159 --> 00:37:43,280
They lost Najie Harris to a season any injury, that's

784
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:48,760
a concern. They had twenty nine first down square to

785
00:37:48,880 --> 00:37:51,599
nine for the Chargers minus two and turnovers now gained

786
00:37:51,920 --> 00:37:54,519
by point eight yards per play. They still won and

787
00:37:54,599 --> 00:37:58,280
covered despite the lack of closeness. But think about how

788
00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:03,519
they opened the season three straight wins over their three

789
00:38:03,519 --> 00:38:09,960
division opponents Kansas City and Vegas and of course Denver yesterday.

790
00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:12,519
Now they got to travel east for an early Star game.

791
00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:15,480
The wise guys will not be on the Chargers this week.

792
00:38:15,519 --> 00:38:18,599
It is a dismal, dismal spot. The only question is

793
00:38:18,599 --> 00:38:20,480
are the Giants have a better game? And I'm sure

794
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:22,360
the Giants have something of a better game than the

795
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:25,239
when we just saw, But is theyvele going to lose

796
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:25,800
that locker room?

797
00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:26,239
Speaker 3: He could?

798
00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:28,639
Speaker 2: And you know when Russell Wilson gets to first and

799
00:38:28,639 --> 00:38:30,760
goal with a chance to cover late and then throws

800
00:38:30,760 --> 00:38:32,719
four passes at three passes out of the end zone

801
00:38:32,719 --> 00:38:36,639
and one ill designed quarterback draw doesn't bote a lot

802
00:38:36,639 --> 00:38:39,679
of confidence for the g men moving forward. They have

803
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:42,639
no public support this week, and again the pros and

804
00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:44,920
Joe's will be on opposite sides for this one.

805
00:38:45,159 --> 00:38:47,199
Speaker 3: You can sense it already even on Monday morning.

806
00:38:47,679 --> 00:38:51,599
Speaker 4: And I don't blame the Joe's one, bet Teddy. Let's

807
00:38:52,039 --> 00:38:55,840
move along. Jaguars forty nine ers up next.

808
00:38:56,239 --> 00:38:59,519
Speaker 1: You talked about the Cardinals earlier in the show, and

809
00:38:59,599 --> 00:39:01,079
I mentioned and this was a funny game to me

810
00:39:01,079 --> 00:39:03,920
because it landed one. Cardinals had a shot to win

811
00:39:03,960 --> 00:39:07,679
it late. San Francisco was able to get the outright

812
00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:12,480
when Jack's looking more improved every single week. Talk about

813
00:39:12,519 --> 00:39:17,239
this matchup here, and why maybe we should be looking

814
00:39:17,360 --> 00:39:18,840
at the favorite.

815
00:39:21,239 --> 00:39:22,719
Speaker 3: I'm gonna tell you why to look at the favorite.

816
00:39:22,880 --> 00:39:24,039
I don't know what the favorite?

817
00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:27,840
Speaker 2: Uh look at line San fran three and forty four

818
00:39:27,840 --> 00:39:30,840
and a half. My powering number is four. The markets

819
00:39:30,840 --> 00:39:32,719
opened three and a half forty five and a half

820
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:34,920
last night, and that's basically what we're seeing today. We've

821
00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:38,719
seen some over money for the Niners and Jaggs forty

822
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:41,480
six last forty six and a half the prevailing number.

823
00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:44,599
So I like Jacksonville's offense worked real well yesterday. You know,

824
00:39:44,719 --> 00:39:46,440
four point four yards per play. They went four to

825
00:39:46,519 --> 00:39:49,119
sixteen on third and fourth down tries. They got stuffed

826
00:39:49,119 --> 00:39:51,400
on the crucial fourth down tries and Texans should have won,

827
00:39:51,639 --> 00:39:53,840
but they fumbled it away. Brian Thomas had three more

828
00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:55,599
drops and then he did have a catch and run

829
00:39:55,639 --> 00:39:57,440
of the biggest player of the game late in the fourth.

830
00:39:58,000 --> 00:40:01,360
Speaker 3: You know, this is worth noting.

831
00:40:02,159 --> 00:40:05,840
Speaker 2: Last year, full season, seventeen games, Jacksonville had a ti

832
00:40:05,920 --> 00:40:10,599
grand total of nine takeaways. This year, three games, not

833
00:40:10,679 --> 00:40:16,000
seventeen three. Jacksonville has nine takeaways at least three in

834
00:40:16,039 --> 00:40:18,239
each of the first three games. That's the first time

835
00:40:18,280 --> 00:40:19,920
that's happened to them to start a season. So the

836
00:40:20,039 --> 00:40:24,039
defense making plays. As for the forty nine ers, you know,

837
00:40:24,159 --> 00:40:28,719
Nick Boss hurt, brock Perty's hurt. It certainly wasn't pretty

838
00:40:28,760 --> 00:40:33,760
yesterday against Arizona. Christian McCaffrey making catches, but as a

839
00:40:33,840 --> 00:40:35,719
running back, he's not breaking tackles right now.

840
00:40:35,880 --> 00:40:37,800
Speaker 3: Ricky Pearsall was great yesterday's game.

841
00:40:37,840 --> 00:40:41,000
Speaker 2: But you know they had a one point six yards

842
00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:44,880
for play edge you know or sorry, yeah, five point

843
00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:47,559
seven yards play on offense, four point one yards play

844
00:40:47,559 --> 00:40:48,480
allowed on defense.

845
00:40:48,760 --> 00:40:52,360
Speaker 3: A lot of positives from that win in San Francisco.

846
00:40:52,440 --> 00:40:54,840
Speaker 2: That being said, they were a drop pass away from

847
00:40:54,880 --> 00:40:57,960
losing that game at home to Arizona forty nine ers

848
00:40:58,480 --> 00:41:00,719
not the type of team I'm excited about laying a

849
00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:05,960
price with right now. And Jacksonville even though they really

850
00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:08,599
tried hard to snatch defeat from the jobs of victory yesterday,

851
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:10,199
Houston did it better than they did.

852
00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:14,039
Speaker 1: This Colts team has been really exciting to watch. I

853
00:41:14,079 --> 00:41:16,800
know Teddy said he was on the Broncos in that game,

854
00:41:16,840 --> 00:41:19,440
so we won't call them a true three and zero team.

855
00:41:19,800 --> 00:41:22,000
They got bailed up by the refs there last week.

856
00:41:22,440 --> 00:41:25,480
Same kind of thing happened though this week with the Rams.

857
00:41:25,559 --> 00:41:29,239
You've got two teams I think neck and neck here,

858
00:41:29,719 --> 00:41:32,280
one jockeying for position in the AFC, one in the NFC.

859
00:41:32,360 --> 00:41:35,679
Both going to be solid in the playoffs. But what

860
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:38,760
say you about this week four matchup playoffs?

861
00:41:39,039 --> 00:41:41,960
Speaker 3: Yeah on September at Yeah, and.

862
00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:43,639
Speaker 4: Teddy, we got to get it pumped up. We got

863
00:41:43,639 --> 00:41:45,119
to get these teams. These are the types of teams.

864
00:41:45,119 --> 00:41:48,400
Speaker 1: I want to see, these good offensive teams in the playoffs.

865
00:41:48,559 --> 00:41:51,519
I like both of these teams. I think have a shot,

866
00:41:51,760 --> 00:41:54,559
maybe outside shot, to go deep into the playoffs.

867
00:41:55,920 --> 00:41:58,039
Speaker 2: Look head Linine Rams minus five and a half total

868
00:41:58,079 --> 00:42:00,800
forty six and a half. My powering number rams minus three.

869
00:42:00,880 --> 00:42:03,119
The market's open three and a half and forty eight

870
00:42:03,239 --> 00:42:09,360
last night, and we're seeing indie support. We're seeing indie

871
00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:12,679
money again. My numbers three, and I'm willing to go

872
00:42:12,840 --> 00:42:14,559
doodle you for this one. Let's get the bet in

873
00:42:14,760 --> 00:42:16,079
emergency betaler, doubt.

874
00:42:20,320 --> 00:42:21,679
Speaker 3: You like the Colts.

875
00:42:22,159 --> 00:42:23,840
Speaker 2: We grab three and a half. I'm not convinced that

876
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:27,840
they'll be there. We're gonna see indie support. And he's

877
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:29,840
been pretty good, all right. They lead the league in

878
00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:34,760
years per play. They ranked second in offensive expected points added.

879
00:42:34,960 --> 00:42:39,480
They punted once so far this season, They've scored on

880
00:42:39,679 --> 00:42:43,280
seventy seven percent of their offensive possessions. That's the highest

881
00:42:43,280 --> 00:42:45,400
mark for any team the first three games off the

882
00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:49,079
past forty five years. You know, they haven't won the

883
00:42:49,079 --> 00:42:51,760
division since twenty fourteen, when Chuck Pacana was their coach

884
00:42:51,800 --> 00:42:54,760
and Andrew Luck with their quarterback. I know the combined

885
00:42:54,760 --> 00:42:56,559
record of the teams that they've beaten is.

886
00:42:56,519 --> 00:43:00,000
Speaker 3: One and eight. But LA, how good are you?

887
00:43:01,440 --> 00:43:04,760
Speaker 2: LA should have won yesterday's game, but Stafford wasn't sharp.

888
00:43:05,119 --> 00:43:08,840
They settled for field goals, and they've got a significant injuries.

889
00:43:09,480 --> 00:43:14,679
It's significant injury issues. On the offensive line, multiple injured

890
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:17,639
hurt in that ball game, which was at least part

891
00:43:17,639 --> 00:43:21,599
of the reason why Philly was able to block two

892
00:43:21,679 --> 00:43:24,079
fourth quarter field goals and return the second one for

893
00:43:24,119 --> 00:43:26,599
a touchdown with Zeros on the clock in that ball game.

894
00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:28,840
When you have clust your injuries on the offs of line,

895
00:43:30,079 --> 00:43:34,280
Indy's strength is in the trenches. That's concern for LA

896
00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:37,079
this week and potentially moving forward, especially with a QB

897
00:43:37,960 --> 00:43:41,559
like Stafford, who isn't going to be able to scramble

898
00:43:41,679 --> 00:43:42,480
away from pressure.

899
00:43:43,400 --> 00:43:46,639
Speaker 1: All right, here is a Bears team coming up, Teddy

900
00:43:46,719 --> 00:43:50,719
that I hate. Maybe it was finally they played Dallas's

901
00:43:50,800 --> 00:43:54,400
defense that they looked good. Is that what we're missing here?

902
00:43:54,679 --> 00:43:58,199
The Bears are taking on the Las Vegas Raiders. Our

903
00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:01,119
producer JH text me, he goes say something nice about

904
00:44:01,159 --> 00:44:03,480
Caleb Williams, and I said, I have the under if

905
00:44:03,480 --> 00:44:05,920
he could stop throwing touchdown passes, that would be great.

906
00:44:06,079 --> 00:44:09,199
And it worked out well because Dallas looked offensively and

907
00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:13,199
apt kind of break down this one. The Raiders opening

908
00:44:13,239 --> 00:44:15,440
up his favorites here shouldn't surprise anyone.

909
00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:16,519
Speaker 4: But I'm not gonna lie.

910
00:44:16,519 --> 00:44:18,760
Speaker 1: At first glance, I thought, oh boy, the Bears are

911
00:44:18,760 --> 00:44:19,760
gonna get a lot of support.

912
00:44:20,840 --> 00:44:23,280
Speaker 2: Look at line here, Raiders two and a half and

913
00:44:23,360 --> 00:44:27,079
forty seven, My powering number comes. Pick them for this boggain.

914
00:44:27,159 --> 00:44:31,519
The markets open one and forty seven. The forty sevens

915
00:44:31,519 --> 00:44:33,760
are gone, the forty seven and a halfs are mostly gone.

916
00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:37,320
Forty eight the prevailing number. There are still some forty

917
00:44:37,360 --> 00:44:40,199
seven and a half's out there for this total. And

918
00:44:40,320 --> 00:44:43,360
the markets are looking at the Raiders right now as

919
00:44:43,440 --> 00:44:47,360
an over team based on their defense, but then again

920
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:51,239
giving the Raiders' offensive line issues, remember they're another team

921
00:44:51,719 --> 00:44:54,880
in that sense. The office line basically got destroyed. Yesterday's

922
00:44:54,880 --> 00:44:57,519
Gino got sacked five times. John d got hit in

923
00:44:57,559 --> 00:44:59,360
the backfield. He had seventeen carriers. I got hit in

924
00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:01,880
the backfield the left of those seventeen carries. The defense

925
00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:04,599
basically got destroyed. They faced a backup quarterback and only

926
00:45:04,599 --> 00:45:07,840
four to six and complete passes allowed nine point nine

927
00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:09,719
yards per pass. Them to give up twitter yards on

928
00:45:09,760 --> 00:45:12,320
the ground, give up seven point four yards per play.

929
00:45:12,639 --> 00:45:15,079
The special teams got destroyed. They give up a punt

930
00:45:15,079 --> 00:45:17,880
return touchdown. They didn't do anything right yesterday. You know,

931
00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:20,079
Pete Carroll, I have to do a better job. It's

932
00:45:20,119 --> 00:45:22,159
all three phases, so it's me I have to do

933
00:45:22,159 --> 00:45:25,480
a better job managing our return home field edge for

934
00:45:25,519 --> 00:45:28,039
the Raiders. I'm telling you guys, there will be as

935
00:45:28,039 --> 00:45:30,599
many Bears fans as Raiders fans in that venue at

936
00:45:30,639 --> 00:45:33,719
the Allegiance Stadium this coming weekend, maybe more Bears fans

937
00:45:33,800 --> 00:45:35,920
than Raiders fans. So it is not a you know,

938
00:45:35,960 --> 00:45:37,880
it's a home game that the Chicago has to travel.

939
00:45:38,199 --> 00:45:41,400
The crowd support not so much the Bears Week five

940
00:45:41,519 --> 00:45:44,119
by so last game before the bye, Caleb Williams was

941
00:45:44,119 --> 00:45:47,360
brilliant yesterday. Ten point six stars per pass, THEMP four touchdowns,

942
00:45:47,360 --> 00:45:50,760
no picks, Four different receivers caught passes of thirty plus yards.

943
00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:53,360
They still couldn't run only three yards per carry and

944
00:45:53,360 --> 00:45:54,079
there were plus.

945
00:45:53,840 --> 00:45:54,760
Speaker 3: Four and turnovers.

946
00:45:55,880 --> 00:45:58,320
Speaker 2: And of course this team as fat as happy as

947
00:45:58,360 --> 00:46:01,760
it gets after the windy Caleb Williams quote versus Ben

948
00:46:01,840 --> 00:46:05,239
Johnson's quote. Williams quote, it's awesome the trust and belief

949
00:46:05,239 --> 00:46:06,719
and hard work and just all of it together to

950
00:46:06,760 --> 00:46:09,559
be able to have that hard work, this historic organization

951
00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:13,920
have this moment. It's really important, Ben Johnson. It'll be

952
00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:15,840
fun for tonight and then we'll be back on the

953
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:18,199
next one. We're behind the eight ball here one and two.

954
00:46:18,280 --> 00:46:21,159
We've got to get back to five hundred. So Johnson

955
00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:26,239
trying to get the team to focused. We'll see if

956
00:46:26,239 --> 00:46:28,280
that actually plays out. But like I said, the crowd

957
00:46:28,280 --> 00:46:33,039
support will be there for Chicago, even here in Las Vegas.

958
00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:38,000
Speaker 1: All right, Ravens played tonight and then Sunday evening, well afternoon,

959
00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:39,719
I guess I could say here on the East Coast

960
00:46:39,840 --> 00:46:43,519
they play at Kansas City. Kind of break down a

961
00:46:43,559 --> 00:46:45,480
little bit more of that Kansas City game versus the

962
00:46:45,519 --> 00:46:48,800
Giants last night, Teddy I mentioned middle fourth quarter. I

963
00:46:48,800 --> 00:46:50,920
was like, I'm going to bed, this is ridiculous, Russell,

964
00:46:51,320 --> 00:46:54,280
and I was not overly impressed with Kansas City. I

965
00:46:54,320 --> 00:46:57,880
haven't been overly impressed with them this entire season. Baltimore

966
00:46:58,960 --> 00:46:59,960
field goal favorite here.

967
00:47:00,840 --> 00:47:03,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, so the look at line Baltimore three and forty eight.

968
00:47:03,840 --> 00:47:07,639
My powering numbers only Baltimore one. But I've been a

969
00:47:07,679 --> 00:47:11,800
little bit The betting markets right now have the Ravens

970
00:47:12,119 --> 00:47:14,480
as the best team in the league by several points,

971
00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:16,760
and I don't have that in my powerings yet, So

972
00:47:16,800 --> 00:47:18,719
I'm a little bit off from the markets. On the Ravens,

973
00:47:18,719 --> 00:47:21,519
and we'll see tonight if that's justified or not. Maybe

974
00:47:21,559 --> 00:47:23,920
I should adjust my numbers to match the market, but

975
00:47:24,519 --> 00:47:27,400
I got to see it to do it. I don't

976
00:47:27,519 --> 00:47:32,239
move my numbers based on air, So my numbers one

977
00:47:32,840 --> 00:47:34,639
last night we were seeing threes in forty eight and

978
00:47:34,679 --> 00:47:38,239
a half and that's basically what we're seeing today. There

979
00:47:38,239 --> 00:47:40,719
are two and a half out there for Baltimore if

980
00:47:40,719 --> 00:47:43,480
they look good tonight. Again, it's a parlay situation. If

981
00:47:43,480 --> 00:47:45,360
you like the Ravens tonight, may want to parlay them

982
00:47:46,079 --> 00:47:51,159
here and you'll get, in theory the best of the number.

983
00:47:51,599 --> 00:47:51,800
Speaker 3: You know.

984
00:47:51,880 --> 00:47:56,679
Speaker 2: As for Kansas City, you know, there's certainly the significant

985
00:47:56,920 --> 00:47:59,400
revenge angle for all the teams in the AFC that

986
00:47:59,440 --> 00:48:02,360
are playing the Chiefs right now, and Kansas City's defense

987
00:48:02,400 --> 00:48:05,400
has made enough plays keep them in games. But make

988
00:48:05,440 --> 00:48:07,400
no mistake, go out, you know right now, this is

989
00:48:07,440 --> 00:48:11,559
a even with a truly elite quarterback, This is not

990
00:48:12,119 --> 00:48:15,039
a truly elite Chiefs offense or in the season, and

991
00:48:15,199 --> 00:48:17,079
the markets certainly think Baltimore's.

992
00:48:16,639 --> 00:48:17,840
Speaker 4: Is all right.

993
00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:20,599
Speaker 1: We got about ten more minutes here before we let

994
00:48:20,639 --> 00:48:24,119
you guys go into watching Last Call with Andy Lang

995
00:48:24,360 --> 00:48:26,559
so we're gonna get into Sunday night football. Here Teddy

996
00:48:26,639 --> 00:48:30,519
green Bay taking on the Dallas Cowboys. Green Bay off

997
00:48:30,559 --> 00:48:34,920
that loss to the Browns. Cowboys looked again offensively adept

998
00:48:35,039 --> 00:48:38,159
to that Bears team kind of break down to this one.

999
00:48:38,280 --> 00:48:40,719
I said that I thought Green Bay was looking ahead

1000
00:48:40,760 --> 00:48:43,079
to this matchup. They just got to go to Cleveland

1001
00:48:43,119 --> 00:48:45,559
squeak out a win, and it looked like that's what

1002
00:48:45,599 --> 00:48:49,000
the result was going to be. And then obviously crazy

1003
00:48:49,079 --> 00:48:52,519
play Browns get the win. How does that change things?

1004
00:48:52,920 --> 00:48:56,880
Looking from a numbers perspective, headed into Dallas.

1005
00:48:57,239 --> 00:48:57,960
Speaker 3: So look at line.

1006
00:48:57,960 --> 00:49:00,639
Speaker 2: Here was green Bay four and a half and forty

1007
00:49:00,760 --> 00:49:04,159
nine and a half my powering number with no CD

1008
00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:07,599
for Dallas this seven. We don't know yet what the

1009
00:49:07,599 --> 00:49:10,239
status is of CD Lamb. I didn't see it before

1010
00:49:10,239 --> 00:49:12,320
I went on here. I'm assuming he's going to be

1011
00:49:12,360 --> 00:49:14,119
out this week. So my powering number was seven, and

1012
00:49:14,159 --> 00:49:15,880
I made you know, there aren't many teams that I'm

1013
00:49:15,880 --> 00:49:19,239
going to make a significant adjustment for one wide receiver Dallas.

1014
00:49:19,280 --> 00:49:21,320
You adjust down when CD lambs down the lineup. Feel

1015
00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:24,599
often it's not the same markets opened six and forty

1016
00:49:24,599 --> 00:49:27,880
eight last night. We're seeing six and a half starting

1017
00:49:27,880 --> 00:49:31,320
to pop out there, and this line's gonna move when

1018
00:49:31,320 --> 00:49:35,320
ced Lamb's status is announced. Ceedee Lamb is hurt and

1019
00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:37,000
not going to play in this game, We're going to

1020
00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:39,880
see green Bay money. If he is okay and it's

1021
00:49:40,000 --> 00:49:42,360
likely to play this game, I would expect to see

1022
00:49:42,559 --> 00:49:44,519
at least some Dallas money. Again, the look head line

1023
00:49:44,519 --> 00:49:46,760
here was four and a half green Bay's in that

1024
00:49:46,840 --> 00:49:50,599
last game before the bye scenario. All right, Micah Parsons

1025
00:49:50,639 --> 00:49:53,280
after the meltdown in the last five minutes, the last

1026
00:49:53,320 --> 00:49:57,679
four minutes really of the Packers Browns game yesterday. Quote sometimes,

1027
00:49:57,840 --> 00:49:59,320
just like today, you shit the bed.

1028
00:49:59,599 --> 00:50:00,840
Speaker 3: That's just the reality of it.

1029
00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:02,880
Speaker 2: Happens to the best teams, even the best Super Bowl

1030
00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:05,039
champs make mistakes and they pay for it early. You

1031
00:50:05,039 --> 00:50:06,840
go back to the history of the champions who've won,

1032
00:50:07,079 --> 00:50:08,840
they've played and the games they should have won.

1033
00:50:08,880 --> 00:50:10,079
Speaker 3: It's just that competitive.

1034
00:50:10,719 --> 00:50:15,719
Speaker 2: So you know, the Packers Jordan love Ill timed first

1035
00:50:15,760 --> 00:50:18,400
interceptions since last November, and it wasn't a good pass.

1036
00:50:18,920 --> 00:50:21,480
Josh Jacobs sixteen for thirty, there was no running room.

1037
00:50:21,920 --> 00:50:25,800
Fourteen penalties, three point eight yards per play, ten penalties

1038
00:50:26,159 --> 00:50:30,239
in the fourth quarter of that ballgame. Ten penalties in

1039
00:50:30,239 --> 00:50:31,960
the fourth quarter, which is the most in the modern

1040
00:50:32,000 --> 00:50:34,360
era for any team in any quarter. They lost two

1041
00:50:34,360 --> 00:50:37,480
starting offs of linemen, Zach Tom and Aaron Banks. That's

1042
00:50:37,519 --> 00:50:40,760
a concern here. And Dallas is coming off of minus

1043
00:50:40,800 --> 00:50:44,280
four turnover game. You know, Matt eber Flus facing his

1044
00:50:44,320 --> 00:50:45,079
former team and.

1045
00:50:46,679 --> 00:50:47,280
Speaker 3: Wasn't pretty.

1046
00:50:47,599 --> 00:50:50,880
Speaker 2: Brian Schottenheimer quote, this can be a humbling business. If

1047
00:50:50,880 --> 00:50:52,480
you don't take care of business, you don't play well,

1048
00:50:52,480 --> 00:50:54,639
you're not gonna win. We gotta stop giving up big

1049
00:50:54,639 --> 00:50:56,559
plays on defense. We gotta stop turning the ball over

1050
00:50:56,559 --> 00:51:00,280
on offense, the bad formula. First year, first time head

1051
00:51:00,280 --> 00:51:03,320
coach Ceedee Lamb is hurt. He's gett an MRI today.

1052
00:51:03,679 --> 00:51:06,760
Cheyvon Diggs and Kenny Clark got banged up. That's a

1053
00:51:06,800 --> 00:51:08,639
key piece of the secondary. Keep us of the defense,

1054
00:51:08,639 --> 00:51:11,239
and this defense has been awful. Let's go make it.

1055
00:51:11,320 --> 00:51:13,159
You know, Russell Wilson threw for four to fifty yards

1056
00:51:13,199 --> 00:51:15,719
and three touchdowns against them, all right, Caleb Williams couldn't

1057
00:51:15,719 --> 00:51:17,360
do anything against Dallas defense.

1058
00:51:17,400 --> 00:51:18,039
Speaker 3: He could.

1059
00:51:20,119 --> 00:51:23,760
Speaker 2: Dallas has now given up twelve pass plays of twenty

1060
00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:27,000
five yards and more in the last two weeks five

1061
00:51:27,079 --> 00:51:29,599
touchdown passes of twenty five yards and more. That's worse

1062
00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:34,360
in the NFL. This Cowboys defense is a problem. And again,

1063
00:51:34,400 --> 00:51:37,519
if Ceede. Lamb doesn't play, we're going to see Packers' money.

1064
00:51:38,199 --> 00:51:40,119
I emergeny betting liverdit. But I don't know yet what

1065
00:51:40,239 --> 00:51:42,639
Lamb status is. But I wouldn't argue with anyone that

1066
00:51:42,719 --> 00:51:44,239
wants to take Ranny Bay right now.

1067
00:51:44,159 --> 00:51:45,679
Speaker 3: At six last six and a half.

1068
00:51:46,239 --> 00:51:48,559
Speaker 2: It could easily be seven or higher by kickoff, and

1069
00:51:49,000 --> 00:51:51,440
I would expect the Packer they're gonna be focused for

1070
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:53,039
this one, and I don't know that that focus matters

1071
00:51:53,079 --> 00:51:55,679
all that much for this mediocre at best Dallas team.

1072
00:51:56,440 --> 00:51:59,840
Speaker 1: Almost three thousand of you guys watching between YouTube acts,

1073
00:52:00,239 --> 00:52:04,280
kick Twitch, all the streaming channels, So thank you guys

1074
00:52:04,280 --> 00:52:06,639
for hanging out with us here on a Monday Saddy.

1075
00:52:06,719 --> 00:52:09,440
This game is the battle of the to three of

1076
00:52:09,480 --> 00:52:13,119
the AFC East. This is someone's got to win.

1077
00:52:13,199 --> 00:52:13,679
Speaker 4: How about that?

1078
00:52:13,960 --> 00:52:16,239
Speaker 1: Who is going to win this football game? Or who

1079
00:52:16,280 --> 00:52:19,000
should we be betting? Or should we just say no? Thanks

1080
00:52:19,039 --> 00:52:20,239
to the early Monday night game.

1081
00:52:21,519 --> 00:52:22,719
Speaker 2: So first of all, I want to thank all you

1082
00:52:22,760 --> 00:52:25,440
guys for watching live. We really appreciate those likes. If

1083
00:52:25,480 --> 00:52:27,960
you like this type of breakdown, hit that like button

1084
00:52:28,000 --> 00:52:31,360
that makes all the difference for us a comment below.

1085
00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:33,960
You know, Kelly and I both get into the comments

1086
00:52:33,960 --> 00:52:36,000
every week. I get in a couple of times. I'll

1087
00:52:36,039 --> 00:52:37,519
be in today and then again, I'll come back again

1088
00:52:37,559 --> 00:52:39,800
tomorrow or Wednesday, and I try to answer every single

1089
00:52:39,800 --> 00:52:41,519
comment or respond to every single comment.

1090
00:52:41,599 --> 00:52:43,760
Speaker 3: So I really appreciate those comments. Thank you.

1091
00:52:44,280 --> 00:52:45,599
Speaker 2: And of course, if you haven't done so already, what

1092
00:52:45,639 --> 00:52:47,519
we have two undred and twenty thousand of you who

1093
00:52:47,519 --> 00:52:49,800
have subscribed to the wager Talk YouTube channel get into

1094
00:52:49,800 --> 00:52:52,599
alerts every time these videos go live. Join the channel

1095
00:52:53,239 --> 00:52:56,960
wager Talk TV on YouTube. When it comes to the

1096
00:52:57,039 --> 00:52:59,400
Jets and the Dolphins, look headline here Miami minus two

1097
00:52:59,440 --> 00:53:03,079
and a half four set a hook forty four and

1098
00:53:03,079 --> 00:53:06,039
a half. Sorry my powering number in Miami minus two.

1099
00:53:06,079 --> 00:53:07,679
The markets open two and a half forty four and

1100
00:53:07,719 --> 00:53:09,920
a half last night, and that's pretty much what we're

1101
00:53:09,920 --> 00:53:10,320
seeing today.

1102
00:53:10,320 --> 00:53:11,440
Speaker 3: There are some threes.

1103
00:53:11,519 --> 00:53:15,960
Speaker 2: Popping up for the Dolphins, and obviously two teams that

1104
00:53:16,000 --> 00:53:19,440
are struggling a fair bit in early season play. Tyrod

1105
00:53:19,440 --> 00:53:22,280
Taylor's not good all right, and Tyrod Taylor and then

1106
00:53:22,280 --> 00:53:24,320
the Pantheona backup quarterbacks. We know his names, he's been

1107
00:53:24,320 --> 00:53:27,079
around so long, but Tydrod Taylor doesn't guy teams to victory.

1108
00:53:27,199 --> 00:53:29,639
And that game's twenty three to six. In the fourth quarter,

1109
00:53:29,639 --> 00:53:31,519
they had a block field goal return for a touchdown.

1110
00:53:31,719 --> 00:53:33,639
Instead of Tampa up nine, it's the Jets up one,

1111
00:53:33,920 --> 00:53:37,119
and the d still couldn't hold it even after a

1112
00:53:37,159 --> 00:53:39,440
play like that. You know, Aaron Glenn, there's no such

1113
00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:41,119
thing as moral victories. We got to work next week.

1114
00:53:41,159 --> 00:53:42,840
Look at the things we need to fix. We're gonna

1115
00:53:42,840 --> 00:53:44,599
hone in on that. They were out gained by one

1116
00:53:44,599 --> 00:53:47,519
point two yards per play, only four point two yards

1117
00:53:47,519 --> 00:53:51,000
per play on offense in that ballgame. Sauce Gardner got

1118
00:53:51,079 --> 00:53:53,679
hurt in that game. Quincy Williams got hurt in that game.

1119
00:53:53,679 --> 00:53:55,679
And this is not a defense that can afford a

1120
00:53:55,719 --> 00:54:00,559
whole lot of injuries. As for Miami, you know how

1121
00:54:00,599 --> 00:54:02,159
much of it's two was fault two. It takes all

1122
00:54:02,159 --> 00:54:05,079
the blame for this, and of course untimely interception cost

1123
00:54:05,159 --> 00:54:05,800
him a chance to win.

1124
00:54:05,840 --> 00:54:07,280
Speaker 3: He's done that plenty. You know.

1125
00:54:07,760 --> 00:54:10,239
Speaker 2: That came with Miami down by a touchdown facing first

1126
00:54:10,239 --> 00:54:12,280
and ten on the twenty one and it's a first

1127
00:54:12,280 --> 00:54:15,039
down interception. That's tough, but he didn't have the roughing

1128
00:54:15,079 --> 00:54:17,119
the punter penalty that changed the game completely in the

1129
00:54:17,119 --> 00:54:20,280
fourth quarter. He didn't get sacked on thirty four dropbacks,

1130
00:54:20,360 --> 00:54:22,679
only four point three yards per past him. Though no

1131
00:54:22,840 --> 00:54:25,639
big plays for Miami, no play of twenty yards running

1132
00:54:25,920 --> 00:54:28,159
or passing, they were able to convert in the red zone,

1133
00:54:28,159 --> 00:54:30,199
they were able to convert on third downs. They rushed

1134
00:54:30,199 --> 00:54:32,559
for a season nine hundred and sixteen yards, but the

1135
00:54:32,599 --> 00:54:34,880
defense is given up thirty plus in all three games.

1136
00:54:35,400 --> 00:54:37,119
The Dolphins have a lot of opponents to score on

1137
00:54:37,239 --> 00:54:41,480
eighteen of twenty three possessions this season, not counting Neil downs.

1138
00:54:41,920 --> 00:54:45,039
Those aren't the type of teams I'm excited about laying

1139
00:54:45,039 --> 00:54:47,719
a price with Mike McDaniel quote, I'm never proud of

1140
00:54:47,800 --> 00:54:49,280
a loss. We came here to win our few stake

1141
00:54:49,320 --> 00:54:52,400
moral victories, but it wasn't good enough. So that's where

1142
00:54:52,440 --> 00:54:56,480
I'm at. Yeah, I'm not sensing that this line's going up,

1143
00:54:56,519 --> 00:54:57,400
this total's going up.

1144
00:54:57,679 --> 00:54:57,880
Speaker 3: You know.

1145
00:54:58,039 --> 00:55:02,519
Speaker 2: Again, we're seeing a couple of threes popping for Miami,

1146
00:55:02,639 --> 00:55:04,559
but I'm not convince they're going to hold it. I'm

1147
00:55:04,559 --> 00:55:06,880
not convinced the markets are excited about Layna field goal

1148
00:55:07,320 --> 00:55:09,480
with the Dolphins two and a half still the prevailing number.

1149
00:55:09,880 --> 00:55:13,880
Speaker 1: All right, Teddy, second leg, eight fifteen Eastern. Here on

1150
00:55:14,000 --> 00:55:16,920
Monday night, we've got the Broncos.

1151
00:55:18,239 --> 00:55:20,000
Speaker 4: That was an interesting result.

1152
00:55:20,039 --> 00:55:22,079
Speaker 1: I know the bookmakers were not very happy that the

1153
00:55:22,159 --> 00:55:26,960
Chargers were able to win that football game by three, specifically,

1154
00:55:27,039 --> 00:55:29,519
but then the Bengals, we got Jake Browning five interceptions

1155
00:55:29,559 --> 00:55:31,519
on the season. I think a lot of people thought

1156
00:55:31,519 --> 00:55:33,760
in that Jags game, hey, we're gonna be just fine

1157
00:55:33,760 --> 00:55:34,760
without Joe Burrow.

1158
00:55:35,599 --> 00:55:36,920
Speaker 4: Not so sure anymore.

1159
00:55:37,920 --> 00:55:41,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, Minnesota's defense is pretty good, but you know, Cincinnati

1160
00:55:41,559 --> 00:55:43,800
was a no show in that game. Look headline here

1161
00:55:43,880 --> 00:55:46,760
Broncos minus five and a half. Total forty five and

1162
00:55:46,800 --> 00:55:51,039
a half. My party number Broncos minus six and a half.

1163
00:55:51,400 --> 00:55:54,119
The markets opened seven and a half last night. We're

1164
00:55:54,119 --> 00:55:57,639
seeing a mix seven slash seven and a half this morning.

1165
00:55:58,119 --> 00:56:02,199
Total forty three and a half slash forty four slash

1166
00:56:02,239 --> 00:56:03,840
forty four and a half. We're seeing a little bit

1167
00:56:03,880 --> 00:56:07,480
of under money and again from the seven and a

1168
00:56:07,480 --> 00:56:09,880
half opener we've seen, I'll call it a little bit

1169
00:56:10,280 --> 00:56:14,079
of Cincinnati money. I mean, the Bengals said, you know,

1170
00:56:14,159 --> 00:56:17,280
worst loss in franchise history. Chase Brown ten carries for

1171
00:56:17,280 --> 00:56:20,119
three yards. Quote, put this behind us, will be just fine.

1172
00:56:20,480 --> 00:56:21,960
The main thing we got to take away the team is,

1173
00:56:21,960 --> 00:56:23,199
you know, we got to play with a chip on

1174
00:56:23,199 --> 00:56:26,559
our shoulder like f whatever people say. You know, as

1175
00:56:26,559 --> 00:56:28,519
long as we're good in this locker room, will be

1176
00:56:28,719 --> 00:56:31,400
just fine. Of course, since he's the worst rushing team

1177
00:56:31,440 --> 00:56:36,079
in the NFL and they didn't run the football coming

1178
00:56:36,079 --> 00:56:37,719
in yesterday the game, and they didn't run the football

1179
00:56:37,679 --> 00:56:38,280
at all.

1180
00:56:38,480 --> 00:56:39,280
Speaker 3: In that defeat.

1181
00:56:39,559 --> 00:56:41,760
Speaker 2: Thirteen drives, fifty two plays, one hundred and seventy one

1182
00:56:41,800 --> 00:56:44,599
total yards, five turnovers, defense didn't force any It was

1183
00:56:44,639 --> 00:56:49,360
pretty awful, all right, Zach Taylor, the collective effort talk

1184
00:56:49,400 --> 00:56:50,960
about how bad the office of line was. I didn't

1185
00:56:50,960 --> 00:56:53,119
see the line have one turnover today, Okay, I saw

1186
00:56:53,159 --> 00:56:55,840
a bunch of other guys have five. So clearly this

1187
00:56:55,920 --> 00:56:59,599
is on the entire team. Denver did some things right,

1188
00:57:00,159 --> 00:57:01,840
you know. They ran for five point six yards per

1189
00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:04,360
carry against the Chargers defense. Courtland Sutton one hundred and

1190
00:57:04,400 --> 00:57:07,239
eighteen receiving yards, the rest of the team eight catches

1191
00:57:07,280 --> 00:57:10,199
for thirty seven yards. Not pretty first downs got they

1192
00:57:10,239 --> 00:57:13,039
got out first down by twenty. You know, they had

1193
00:57:13,079 --> 00:57:15,960
ten penalties, they were plus two turnovers and lost the

1194
00:57:15,960 --> 00:57:19,639
game and didn't cover. You know, they let the leads

1195
00:57:19,639 --> 00:57:21,199
slip away here, They let us lead the leads sip

1196
00:57:21,199 --> 00:57:23,800
away against Indy. They started owing to last year, they

1197
00:57:23,800 --> 00:57:25,760
started one to five and twenty twenty three.

1198
00:57:26,280 --> 00:57:27,440
Speaker 3: Sean Payton.

1199
00:57:29,000 --> 00:57:33,280
Speaker 2: Not winning many fans right now in Denver as far

1200
00:57:33,320 --> 00:57:36,400
as coaches and good coaching jobs this year. Sean Payton

1201
00:57:36,840 --> 00:57:39,840
not getting a whole lot of awards from this better

1202
00:57:40,280 --> 00:57:43,480
early on, But where's this number gonna go again? We've

1203
00:57:43,480 --> 00:57:45,199
seen some of the seven a halfs get bought down

1204
00:57:45,239 --> 00:57:48,960
to seven for Cincy. There's concerns about Denver in this one,

1205
00:57:49,039 --> 00:57:50,880
and I would not be surprised we see more of

1206
00:57:50,880 --> 00:57:54,840
that moving forward to the Bengals. Even with their backup QB,

1207
00:57:55,159 --> 00:57:58,199
they'll attract some betting attention. If you liked the Bengals,

1208
00:57:58,280 --> 00:58:00,280
no argument taking plus seven and a half.

1209
00:58:00,320 --> 00:58:01,719
Speaker 3: Right now, all right?

1210
00:58:01,760 --> 00:58:04,760
Speaker 1: If you'd like to partner up with teddywt dot buzz

1211
00:58:04,800 --> 00:58:07,840
backslash tc to get on board with him at Teddy

1212
00:58:07,880 --> 00:58:10,760
Underscore Covers on social media we're gonna get out of

1213
00:58:10,800 --> 00:58:12,559
here because we're up against the clock. Make sure you

1214
00:58:12,599 --> 00:58:16,440
guys hang around. Wager Talk today with Andy Lang is

1215
00:58:16,519 --> 00:58:18,719
up next. Good luck on your bets this week, and

1216
00:58:18,760 --> 00:58:22,159
we'll see you next Monday.