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<v Speaker 1>It's me, Mandy Connell and Dave Frasier from Fox thirty one.

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<v Speaker 2>Hello, Dave, how are you?

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<v Speaker 3>I'm good, I will say you always make me laugh

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<v Speaker 3>a little bit. I'm listen. I always love to listen

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<v Speaker 3>to you before I jump on with you, just to

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<v Speaker 3>see what's going on. And we're doing this, and we're

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<v Speaker 3>doing this in the next half, we're going to talk

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<v Speaker 3>about Oh, don we got to talk to I know,

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<v Speaker 3>we'll do.

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<v Speaker 1>That way to pump you up right.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm sorry about that.

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<v Speaker 3>I do.

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<v Speaker 2>I get excited. I can't help it.

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<v Speaker 4>It's only she had a calendar that would tell her upcoming.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh oh wait, stop.

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<v Speaker 3>It, Dave.

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<v Speaker 1>Today is a pretty nice day outside. A little warm

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<v Speaker 1>for me, but that's okay. Yeah, this is our last Is

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<v Speaker 1>this our last gasp of summer?

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<v Speaker 3>You know, it's the way things have been going. I

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<v Speaker 3>don't want to confirm yes or no. I do think

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<v Speaker 3>the temperatures of the next few days, you know, getting

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<v Speaker 3>closer to eighty eighty one degrees tomorrow, Uh, probably going

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<v Speaker 3>to tone that down a little bit. But even next week,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, we're looking at upper sixties and low seventies.

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<v Speaker 3>So I still think it'll have that warm feeling to it,

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<v Speaker 3>But I won't. You know, it's not going to be

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<v Speaker 3>any summer heat coming our way. We're just going to

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<v Speaker 3>be right now. The average is about sixty seven sixty eight,

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<v Speaker 3>so it will be about that by three to five

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<v Speaker 3>degrees for several more days.

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<v Speaker 2>That does not suck. It does not suck at all.

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<v Speaker 1>I've got a couple of people asking when are we

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<v Speaker 1>going to let me see when will we have below

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<v Speaker 1>forty degrees at night? I have hanging baskets of plants.

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<v Speaker 1>They do not like below forty degrees. Thanks, and a

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<v Speaker 1>little heart gave so she gave you a heart as well.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, you know right now the forecast is going to

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<v Speaker 3>keep the lows above forty degrees, not a lot. We're talking,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, forty four to forty five. We were at

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<v Speaker 3>forty one this morning, and so you know we're there.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't think we're in a concern for you know,

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<v Speaker 3>any temperatures coming up for the next seven to potentially

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<v Speaker 3>ten days that are going to be hard freeze that

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<v Speaker 3>kind of stuff. I'm not looking at thirties or close

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<v Speaker 3>to thirties. I'm seeing maybe late next week, maybe we

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<v Speaker 3>get into the upper thirties. But at this point, I

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<v Speaker 3>think you're okay at least through the weekend early next week.

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<v Speaker 3>But always keep an eye on the forecast for those

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<v Speaker 3>overnight lows because at this time of the year can change.

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<v Speaker 3>And yesterday, October seventh is our average date for a

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<v Speaker 3>first freeze. We passed that, and I don't think we're

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<v Speaker 3>going to, you know, get there anytime.

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<v Speaker 2>Se My summer plants have started blooming again. They look great.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean they look really really fantastic, which all this

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<v Speaker 1>rain we've had has just been really really nice. Ay

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<v Speaker 1>Rod asked the question that everybody wants the answer to.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well, some people, Dave.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm not naming names, So some people might have some

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<v Speaker 4>outdoor portion of Halloween parties on Halloween that may or

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<v Speaker 4>may not be a minorly concerned about the weather. And

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<v Speaker 4>are we going to get that first snow that day

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<v Speaker 4>or not. That's pretty much what I want to know.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, well, obviously, obviously I know who's having the party.

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<v Speaker 3>Obviously that's way outside of the ten day forecast. You know,

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<v Speaker 3>this is a snow month for US. Four inches on

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<v Speaker 3>average is what we see. We've had any Octobers that

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<v Speaker 3>don't hold up to that average, and we've had other

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<v Speaker 3>ones that you know, blast us early. I looked at

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<v Speaker 3>the long range outlook and right now through the twenty

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<v Speaker 3>first twenty second the pattern continues to look warm and

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<v Speaker 3>a little bit wet. But I think there could be

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<v Speaker 3>a pattern shift somewhere around that twenty to twenty two date.

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<v Speaker 3>A little too far out to get into any details.

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<v Speaker 3>And by pattern shift, I'm not talking a hard right

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<v Speaker 3>turn into snow and cold, but maybe something that looks

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<v Speaker 3>a little more like faul, maybe a little bit of

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<v Speaker 3>a nipping in the thirties for overnight low. So we'll

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<v Speaker 3>keep an eye on that. But today's the eighth. You're

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<v Speaker 3>talking ten plus days out right.

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<v Speaker 1>No, for some, this'll put on.

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<v Speaker 3>I will put on my calendar Halloween forecast specifically for

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<v Speaker 3>those that ask the question, answer, okay.

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<v Speaker 1>Perfect, all right this Texter, Mandy, can Dave use metric?

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<v Speaker 2>Please?

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<v Speaker 1>No, we're in America, we don't use metric. I answered

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<v Speaker 1>that for you, Dave. I'm just going to shut that

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<v Speaker 1>down right now, Mandy. I have a question for mister Fraser.

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<v Speaker 1>All the social media meteorologists are posting the euro model

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<v Speaker 1>for the crazy snow totals for winter what are your thoughts?

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm going to add to this, Dave. First of all,

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<v Speaker 1>what is the euro model and does it say we're

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<v Speaker 1>going to get a lot of snow?

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<v Speaker 2>What is that?

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<v Speaker 3>So there are a bunch of models that we look at.

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<v Speaker 3>There is the American model, the GFS, we have the

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<v Speaker 3>we have high resolution models that we look at. You

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<v Speaker 3>do have a European model that is run by the

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<v Speaker 3>European Union. You also have a Canadian model, and they

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<v Speaker 3>all give slight variations. They're designed with different algorithms, different

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<v Speaker 3>mathematical computations. What data they jest to come up with

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<v Speaker 3>their output for forecast data. Again, I don't put a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of credibility and long range outlooks anymore than I

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<v Speaker 3>would the Farmer's Almanac for a winter season. I look

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<v Speaker 3>at the you know, like the we talk about Nina

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<v Speaker 3>and El Nino and whether that's a factor. This looks

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<v Speaker 3>like it could be leaning a little more La Nina,

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<v Speaker 3>which would put us about average in Denver. And I

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<v Speaker 3>do think my interpretation of the upcoming winter last year

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<v Speaker 3>we had big storms and then long periods of nothing.

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<v Speaker 3>If you're last November, we got a twenty three inch

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<v Speaker 3>snowstorm I think this year it won't be we won't

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<v Speaker 3>be seeing those wild swings, will be seeing maybe two

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<v Speaker 3>and four inch storms, and they're a little closer together

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<v Speaker 3>so that they're not spread out by long dry gaps.

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<v Speaker 3>And at the end of the season, which for us

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<v Speaker 3>isn't really until you know, April May, we'll probably end

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<v Speaker 3>up close to normal, which for Denver's about fifty six inches. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>we could come up a little shy of that. Last

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<v Speaker 3>year we ended up at forty eight. So I'm thinking

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<v Speaker 3>in that same ballpark somewhere around fifty fifty two inches

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<v Speaker 3>when it's all said and down. But again, I'm standing

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<v Speaker 3>back literally looking at some data, but not hanging my

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<v Speaker 3>hat on one computer model. You just can't do that.

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<v Speaker 3>If you write one computer model, generally it's gonna bust

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<v Speaker 3>on you at some point.

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<v Speaker 2>One last question.

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<v Speaker 1>We kind of talked about this a little bit earlier,

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<v Speaker 1>but let's just make it clear. Any sign on the

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<v Speaker 1>first frost so this person can get their sprinklers blown out.

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<v Speaker 3>I wouldn't worry about your sprinklers for right now, at

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<v Speaker 3>least for the never next seven to ten days. Enjoy it.

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<v Speaker 3>As Mandy said, if you look out and about we're

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<v Speaker 3>getting some vibrant fall colors. Even though we've had warm days.

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<v Speaker 3>We've had enough moisture from time to time. The trees

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<v Speaker 3>know at that time of the year. But the grasses

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<v Speaker 3>look good, the natural sage brushes look good. Some of

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<v Speaker 3>the plants and the pots look really, really good. I've

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<v Speaker 3>got royal oaks in the back of my property, three

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<v Speaker 3>of them tall. They're big, fat green leaves, and they

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<v Speaker 3>don't show any hint of fall, so I wouldn't be

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<v Speaker 3>concerned about sprinklers and blowing them out. Don't overrun them

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<v Speaker 3>because if you've mowed you along lately, you're not cutting

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<v Speaker 3>a lot off. You're just shrimming it. It's not growing

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<v Speaker 3>as much as it did during you know, say two

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<v Speaker 3>or three or four weeks ago. You still got to

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<v Speaker 3>mow it, but you're not getting that big growth. So

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<v Speaker 3>don't overwater it. But you know, don't blow your sprinklers

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<v Speaker 3>out yet. Want to keep watering those trees and plants.

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<v Speaker 1>If we hit dry patches, do we have any big

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<v Speaker 1>wind events, we might be looking forward to blow down

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<v Speaker 1>the rest of the pine needles that didn't fall on

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<v Speaker 1>my house this weekend, although I'm pretty sure most of

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<v Speaker 1>them did, and I'm fine with that, Like, let's knock

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<v Speaker 1>it out right, let's just deal with it in one

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<v Speaker 1>fell swoop.

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<v Speaker 2>But what are the rest coming down? Anything on the horizon.

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<v Speaker 3>No, As a matter of fact, we generally think of

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<v Speaker 3>this as a very windy season to do exactly that.

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<v Speaker 3>Knocked on the pie needles and knock down the leaves,

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<v Speaker 3>and just don't see any big wind events coming up.

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<v Speaker 3>One of the things you'll see in my forecast tonight

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<v Speaker 3>is a slight change. We added in a few late

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<v Speaker 3>day showers Friday, Saturday, Sunday. I had Sunday in, but

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<v Speaker 3>I added Friday Saturday. And that's because there's a tropical

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<v Speaker 3>storm Forriscilla. It's going to turn up through the Baja

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<v Speaker 3>Head towards Arizona, and some of that moisture is gonna

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<v Speaker 3>come our way. So we do have some possible good

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<v Speaker 3>moisture coming. It's not gonna be widespread, it's not gonna

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<v Speaker 3>be heavy, but some spotty showers Friday, Saturday and Sunday

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<v Speaker 3>which will go a long way and keeping things looking

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<v Speaker 3>the way they are.

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<v Speaker 1>Amen to that, Dave Frasier, you can watch them on

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<v Speaker 1>Fox thirty one. I strongly recommend their pinpoint weather app

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<v Speaker 1>as someone who has multiple weather apps, because I don't

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<v Speaker 1>trust any of you people, Dave, I do find you

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<v Speaker 1>guys to be the most accurate. I tell Chuck all

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<v Speaker 1>the time because he is. He has like four different

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<v Speaker 1>weather apps than I have, and I'm always like, no,

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<v Speaker 1>mine is more accurate than yours, and it generally is.

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<v Speaker 1>So make that happen, Dave. Good, good to chat. Well

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<v Speaker 1>to chat with you again next week.

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<v Speaker 3>All right, I'm looking I'm gonna get ramped up for

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<v Speaker 3>your one o'clock hour. It's really interesting, sounds like it's

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<v Speaker 3>gonna

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<v Speaker 1>Be a blast, and that Dave Frasier won't be holding

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<v Speaker 1>us back anymore.