Speaker 1: It's me, Mandy Connell and Dave Frasier from Fox thirty one.
Speaker 2: Hello, Dave, how are you?
Speaker 3: I'm good, I will say you always make me laugh
Speaker 3: a little bit. I'm listen. I always love to listen
Speaker 3: to you before I jump on with you, just to
Speaker 3: see what's going on. And we're doing this, and we're
Speaker 3: doing this in the next half, we're going to talk
Speaker 3: about Oh, don we got to talk to I know,
Speaker 3: we'll do.
Speaker 1: That way to pump you up right.
Speaker 2: I'm sorry about that.
Speaker 3: I do.
Speaker 2: I get excited. I can't help it.
Speaker 4: It's only she had a calendar that would tell her upcoming.
Speaker 1: Oh oh wait, stop.
Speaker 3: It, Dave.
Speaker 1: Today is a pretty nice day outside. A little warm
Speaker 1: for me, but that's okay. Yeah, this is our last Is
Speaker 1: this our last gasp of summer?
Speaker 3: You know, it's the way things have been going. I
Speaker 3: don't want to confirm yes or no. I do think
Speaker 3: the temperatures of the next few days, you know, getting
Speaker 3: closer to eighty eighty one degrees tomorrow, Uh, probably going
Speaker 3: to tone that down a little bit. But even next week,
Speaker 3: you know, we're looking at upper sixties and low seventies.
Speaker 3: So I still think it'll have that warm feeling to it,
Speaker 3: But I won't. You know, it's not going to be
Speaker 3: any summer heat coming our way. We're just going to
Speaker 3: be right now. The average is about sixty seven sixty eight,
Speaker 3: so it will be about that by three to five
Speaker 3: degrees for several more days.
Speaker 2: That does not suck. It does not suck at all.
Speaker 1: I've got a couple of people asking when are we
Speaker 1: going to let me see when will we have below
Speaker 1: forty degrees at night? I have hanging baskets of plants.
Speaker 1: They do not like below forty degrees. Thanks, and a
Speaker 1: little heart gave so she gave you a heart as well.
Speaker 3: Okay, you know right now the forecast is going to
Speaker 3: keep the lows above forty degrees, not a lot. We're talking,
Speaker 3: you know, forty four to forty five. We were at
Speaker 3: forty one this morning, and so you know we're there.
Speaker 3: I don't think we're in a concern for you know,
Speaker 3: any temperatures coming up for the next seven to potentially
Speaker 3: ten days that are going to be hard freeze that
Speaker 3: kind of stuff. I'm not looking at thirties or close
Speaker 3: to thirties. I'm seeing maybe late next week, maybe we
Speaker 3: get into the upper thirties. But at this point, I
Speaker 3: think you're okay at least through the weekend early next week.
Speaker 3: But always keep an eye on the forecast for those
Speaker 3: overnight lows because at this time of the year can change.
Speaker 3: And yesterday, October seventh is our average date for a
Speaker 3: first freeze. We passed that, and I don't think we're
Speaker 3: going to, you know, get there anytime.
Speaker 2: Se My summer plants have started blooming again. They look great.
Speaker 1: I mean they look really really fantastic, which all this
Speaker 1: rain we've had has just been really really nice. Ay
Speaker 1: Rod asked the question that everybody wants the answer to.
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, some people, Dave.
Speaker 4: I'm not naming names, So some people might have some
Speaker 4: outdoor portion of Halloween parties on Halloween that may or
Speaker 4: may not be a minorly concerned about the weather. And
Speaker 4: are we going to get that first snow that day
Speaker 4: or not. That's pretty much what I want to know.
Speaker 3: Yeah, well, obviously, obviously I know who's having the party.
Speaker 3: Obviously that's way outside of the ten day forecast. You know,
Speaker 3: this is a snow month for US. Four inches on
Speaker 3: average is what we see. We've had any Octobers that
Speaker 3: don't hold up to that average, and we've had other
Speaker 3: ones that you know, blast us early. I looked at
Speaker 3: the long range outlook and right now through the twenty
Speaker 3: first twenty second the pattern continues to look warm and
Speaker 3: a little bit wet. But I think there could be
Speaker 3: a pattern shift somewhere around that twenty to twenty two date.
Speaker 3: A little too far out to get into any details.
Speaker 3: And by pattern shift, I'm not talking a hard right
Speaker 3: turn into snow and cold, but maybe something that looks
Speaker 3: a little more like faul, maybe a little bit of
Speaker 3: a nipping in the thirties for overnight low. So we'll
Speaker 3: keep an eye on that. But today's the eighth. You're
Speaker 3: talking ten plus days out right.
Speaker 1: No, for some, this'll put on.
Speaker 3: I will put on my calendar Halloween forecast specifically for
Speaker 3: those that ask the question, answer, okay.
Speaker 1: Perfect, all right this Texter, Mandy, can Dave use metric?
Speaker 2: Please?
Speaker 1: No, we're in America, we don't use metric. I answered
Speaker 1: that for you, Dave. I'm just going to shut that
Speaker 1: down right now, Mandy. I have a question for mister Fraser.
Speaker 1: All the social media meteorologists are posting the euro model
Speaker 1: for the crazy snow totals for winter what are your thoughts?
Speaker 1: And I'm going to add to this, Dave. First of all,
Speaker 1: what is the euro model and does it say we're
Speaker 1: going to get a lot of snow?
Speaker 2: What is that?
Speaker 3: So there are a bunch of models that we look at.
Speaker 3: There is the American model, the GFS, we have the
Speaker 3: we have high resolution models that we look at. You
Speaker 3: do have a European model that is run by the
Speaker 3: European Union. You also have a Canadian model, and they
Speaker 3: all give slight variations. They're designed with different algorithms, different
Speaker 3: mathematical computations. What data they jest to come up with
Speaker 3: their output for forecast data. Again, I don't put a
Speaker 3: lot of credibility and long range outlooks anymore than I
Speaker 3: would the Farmer's Almanac for a winter season. I look
Speaker 3: at the you know, like the we talk about Nina
Speaker 3: and El Nino and whether that's a factor. This looks
Speaker 3: like it could be leaning a little more La Nina,
Speaker 3: which would put us about average in Denver. And I
Speaker 3: do think my interpretation of the upcoming winter last year
Speaker 3: we had big storms and then long periods of nothing.
Speaker 3: If you're last November, we got a twenty three inch
Speaker 3: snowstorm I think this year it won't be we won't
Speaker 3: be seeing those wild swings, will be seeing maybe two
Speaker 3: and four inch storms, and they're a little closer together
Speaker 3: so that they're not spread out by long dry gaps.
Speaker 3: And at the end of the season, which for us
Speaker 3: isn't really until you know, April May, we'll probably end
Speaker 3: up close to normal, which for Denver's about fifty six inches. Yeah,
Speaker 3: we could come up a little shy of that. Last
Speaker 3: year we ended up at forty eight. So I'm thinking
Speaker 3: in that same ballpark somewhere around fifty fifty two inches
Speaker 3: when it's all said and down. But again, I'm standing
Speaker 3: back literally looking at some data, but not hanging my
Speaker 3: hat on one computer model. You just can't do that.
Speaker 3: If you write one computer model, generally it's gonna bust
Speaker 3: on you at some point.
Speaker 2: One last question.
Speaker 1: We kind of talked about this a little bit earlier,
Speaker 1: but let's just make it clear. Any sign on the
Speaker 1: first frost so this person can get their sprinklers blown out.
Speaker 3: I wouldn't worry about your sprinklers for right now, at
Speaker 3: least for the never next seven to ten days. Enjoy it.
Speaker 3: As Mandy said, if you look out and about we're
Speaker 3: getting some vibrant fall colors. Even though we've had warm days.
Speaker 3: We've had enough moisture from time to time. The trees
Speaker 3: know at that time of the year. But the grasses
Speaker 3: look good, the natural sage brushes look good. Some of
Speaker 3: the plants and the pots look really, really good. I've
Speaker 3: got royal oaks in the back of my property, three
Speaker 3: of them tall. They're big, fat green leaves, and they
Speaker 3: don't show any hint of fall, so I wouldn't be
Speaker 3: concerned about sprinklers and blowing them out. Don't overrun them
Speaker 3: because if you've mowed you along lately, you're not cutting
Speaker 3: a lot off. You're just shrimming it. It's not growing
Speaker 3: as much as it did during you know, say two
Speaker 3: or three or four weeks ago. You still got to
Speaker 3: mow it, but you're not getting that big growth. So
Speaker 3: don't overwater it. But you know, don't blow your sprinklers
Speaker 3: out yet. Want to keep watering those trees and plants.
Speaker 1: If we hit dry patches, do we have any big
Speaker 1: wind events, we might be looking forward to blow down
Speaker 1: the rest of the pine needles that didn't fall on
Speaker 1: my house this weekend, although I'm pretty sure most of
Speaker 1: them did, and I'm fine with that, Like, let's knock
Speaker 1: it out right, let's just deal with it in one
Speaker 1: fell swoop.
Speaker 2: But what are the rest coming down? Anything on the horizon.
Speaker 3: No, As a matter of fact, we generally think of
Speaker 3: this as a very windy season to do exactly that.
Speaker 3: Knocked on the pie needles and knock down the leaves,
Speaker 3: and just don't see any big wind events coming up.
Speaker 3: One of the things you'll see in my forecast tonight
Speaker 3: is a slight change. We added in a few late
Speaker 3: day showers Friday, Saturday, Sunday. I had Sunday in, but
Speaker 3: I added Friday Saturday. And that's because there's a tropical
Speaker 3: storm Forriscilla. It's going to turn up through the Baja
Speaker 3: Head towards Arizona, and some of that moisture is gonna
Speaker 3: come our way. So we do have some possible good
Speaker 3: moisture coming. It's not gonna be widespread, it's not gonna
Speaker 3: be heavy, but some spotty showers Friday, Saturday and Sunday
Speaker 3: which will go a long way and keeping things looking
Speaker 3: the way they are.
Speaker 1: Amen to that, Dave Frasier, you can watch them on
Speaker 1: Fox thirty one. I strongly recommend their pinpoint weather app
Speaker 1: as someone who has multiple weather apps, because I don't
Speaker 1: trust any of you people, Dave, I do find you
Speaker 1: guys to be the most accurate. I tell Chuck all
Speaker 1: the time because he is. He has like four different
Speaker 1: weather apps than I have, and I'm always like, no,
Speaker 1: mine is more accurate than yours, and it generally is.
Speaker 1: So make that happen, Dave. Good, good to chat. Well
Speaker 1: to chat with you again next week.
Speaker 3: All right, I'm looking I'm gonna get ramped up for
Speaker 3: your one o'clock hour. It's really interesting, sounds like it's
Speaker 3: gonna
Speaker 1: Be a blast, and that Dave Frasier won't be holding
Speaker 1: us back anymore.