1 00:00:02,600 --> 00:00:05,440 Speaker 1: What's up everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks. 2 00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:08,000 If you are new, we do always start this show 3 00:00:08,039 --> 00:00:12,279 by being transparent, and yesterday ended up being another good 4 00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:13,160 day for myself. 5 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:14,759 Speaker 2: I went three and one. 6 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:18,519 Speaker 1: Both of my top players were winners Houston first half 7 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:23,359 cash the over in the Lakers game. I got it 8 00:00:23,359 --> 00:00:24,800 at two thirty five and a half. I don't think 9 00:00:24,839 --> 00:00:28,519 it mattered what number you got that cast and then 10 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:32,960 Spurs winner loser on Austin Reeves under his assist prop 11 00:00:33,039 --> 00:00:37,320 So profitable day overall. Try to keep that going here today, Robino, 12 00:00:37,799 --> 00:00:38,200 how you. 13 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:41,479 Speaker 3: Doing I'm doing good, Ski. It was a good day 14 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:43,679 for myself. Not three and one, but three and two. 15 00:00:43,759 --> 00:00:47,280 Made money yesterday the only NBA and you're right, it 16 00:00:47,280 --> 00:00:50,759 didn't matter because it wasn't until after we finished the show, 17 00:00:50,759 --> 00:00:53,560 and maybe an hour after that when I got to 18 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:57,200 talk myself into Lakers Spurs over two forty and a half. 19 00:00:58,079 --> 00:01:00,479 It rose all the way to I think two and 20 00:01:00,560 --> 00:01:03,679 a half by clothes, but it didn't matter. I mean, 21 00:01:03,679 --> 00:01:05,920 the points were coming fast and furies and that gick 22 00:01:06,079 --> 00:01:07,799 Hey san Antonio looked really good. 23 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:09,640 Speaker 4: College basketball. 24 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:13,879 Speaker 3: Provided me with a two and two with one uh 25 00:01:14,599 --> 00:01:15,640 one of the losses was. 26 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:16,439 Speaker 4: A lesser place. 27 00:01:16,480 --> 00:01:18,879 Speaker 3: So we made a little bit of hey yesterday in 28 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:21,000 a three and two effort, and we'll try to do 29 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:22,680 so again today. 30 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:23,760 Speaker 2: All right, let's do it. 31 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:26,560 Speaker 1: We have four NBA games to talk about. We'll talk 32 00:01:26,599 --> 00:01:31,799 about the Thursday night football as well, and we'll start. 33 00:01:32,319 --> 00:01:36,439 We'll start in the association usually do that means Boston 34 00:01:36,640 --> 00:01:39,200 and Milwaukee opened up seven and a half, looks like 35 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:42,040 nine for Boston on the road totals come down from 36 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:44,560 two twenty six and a half to about two twenty 37 00:01:44,599 --> 00:01:45,640 three and a half. 38 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:48,519 Speaker 2: For Milwaukee. 39 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:55,120 Speaker 1: You have aj Green, questionable Giannis and Iron Prince out, Bousday, 40 00:01:55,799 --> 00:02:01,959 Ron Harper, Jason Tatum and Williams out for the Celtic team. 41 00:02:02,239 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 2: This one I don't like. 42 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 1: I mean, the some things I've been playing really good basketball, 43 00:02:09,319 --> 00:02:10,840 but I don't like the thought of land and nine 44 00:02:10,879 --> 00:02:11,680 with them on the road. 45 00:02:14,039 --> 00:02:16,919 Speaker 2: I think more than that, I would like to just 46 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:22,280 Faye maybe Faye Milwaukee's offense. I don't know. 47 00:02:22,319 --> 00:02:24,639 Speaker 1: I'm just not a big believer in Milwaukee either. Without 48 00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:28,919 Jannis out there, I don't know if you know, this 49 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:30,680 one is the toughest game on the board for me. 50 00:02:30,719 --> 00:02:31,639 Speaker 2: How do you feel about it. 51 00:02:33,599 --> 00:02:35,919 Speaker 3: Well, it's tough for me too, because everything I look 52 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:39,000 at tells me I should be playing under in this game, 53 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:41,319 and it's always hard for me to get to under. 54 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:46,919 Speaker 4: Boston again. Extremely slow pace, I think, slowest pace. 55 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:50,680 Speaker 3: In the NBA right now, Milwaukee not far behind bottom 56 00:02:50,719 --> 00:02:55,759 five in pace without Yannis. It's another reason to like 57 00:02:55,840 --> 00:02:59,840 less points out of Milwaukee. Although Kevin Porter Junior has 58 00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:02,199 playing real well as of late, didn't like the quote 59 00:03:02,199 --> 00:03:05,719 out of Doc Rivers who said that Miles Turner has 60 00:03:05,759 --> 00:03:08,360 only been okay so far, but he'll be better later. 61 00:03:08,919 --> 00:03:11,199 Speaker 4: I like to know when later is for Miles Turner's 62 00:03:11,199 --> 00:03:12,240 sake and the Buck's sake. 63 00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:16,639 Speaker 3: But the Celtics have shot it so well. The beginning 64 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:19,400 of the year, they couldn't shoot threes. Now they're making threes. 65 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:21,759 You just go over what they've been able to score recently. 66 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:25,520 When twenty one, I'll go back even further forty three, 67 00:03:25,719 --> 00:03:29,680 twenty eight, one, twenty one, one, forty two, one thirty 68 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:33,000 two against San Antonio, they're able to pile on points. 69 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:36,599 Speaker 4: And I don't know that I could trust Milwaukee deefense. 70 00:03:36,639 --> 00:03:39,439 Speaker 3: So if you play under here, you're basically playing under 71 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:42,840 because of the tempo, you're not really playing it because 72 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:47,400 you think either defense stands out to you. In this instance, 73 00:03:47,439 --> 00:03:50,759 you're just banking on lesser possessions. I don't know that 74 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,520 I can do that Ski, so I won't play under 75 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:57,199 And like you, it just seemed too many of these games, 76 00:03:57,240 --> 00:04:00,599 and too many times for Milwaukee without Giannis where they 77 00:04:00,680 --> 00:04:03,800 cover numbers and it's not one hundred percent, but it's 78 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:05,360 definitely not zero percent either. 79 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:06,560 Speaker 4: Over the last three four. 80 00:04:06,479 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 3: Years when he's been out, they've been able to cover numbers, 81 00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:11,599 especially one of this size, so. 82 00:04:12,039 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 4: Road team minus nine. Last thing I'll say real quick 83 00:04:14,639 --> 00:04:15,360 is there's such. 84 00:04:15,159 --> 00:04:18,759 Speaker 3: A long layoff between games for these teams. 85 00:04:19,279 --> 00:04:22,079 Speaker 4: It's hard to tell the rest versus rust things. 86 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:25,040 Speaker 3: NBA teams aren't used to sitting this long without playing 87 00:04:25,079 --> 00:04:28,240 their next game, and almost all except for I think 88 00:04:28,319 --> 00:04:30,879 New Orleans is one that actually played on Monday. 89 00:04:30,879 --> 00:04:33,079 Speaker 4: There's two teams tonight that played on Monday. I'm forgetting 90 00:04:33,079 --> 00:04:36,199 the other one long rest. I'm not so sure. We'll 91 00:04:36,199 --> 00:04:38,040 see how it goes. I haven't played this game at all. 92 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:41,959 Speaker 2: Yeah, this is when I'm going to pass. I am 93 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:46,120 going to pass, but yeah, I just out to pass. 94 00:04:46,519 --> 00:04:47,720 Clippers and Houston. 95 00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:49,639 Speaker 1: It opened up minus eight and a half, looks like 96 00:04:49,759 --> 00:04:52,120 nine and a half now totally from two twenty and 97 00:04:52,160 --> 00:04:54,480 a half to about two twenty two and a half. 98 00:04:55,199 --> 00:04:59,399 As far as the injury report, Yeah, Jones and Chris 99 00:04:59,439 --> 00:05:03,120 Paul out for the Clippers for Houston, Easton Smith and 100 00:05:03,199 --> 00:05:10,120 Van Fleet out. This Clippers team, the offense just hasn't 101 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:12,120 really been good. I'd like to think they could be 102 00:05:12,199 --> 00:05:14,959 held under their team total today. At the same time, 103 00:05:15,600 --> 00:05:18,920 you know, when I look at the numbers, it says 104 00:05:18,959 --> 00:05:23,519 that Clippers are number one as far as opponent's office. 105 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:25,279 Speaker 2: Of rebounds allowed. I don't know. 106 00:05:25,319 --> 00:05:27,199 Speaker 1: When I just think about the matchups, I still think 107 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:29,639 Houston can kill them on the boards. 108 00:05:30,319 --> 00:05:31,040 Speaker 2: I would think. 109 00:05:31,519 --> 00:05:34,480 Speaker 1: Houston on the spread or Clippers team photo under here 110 00:05:34,759 --> 00:05:35,959 are you viewing this one? 111 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:39,199 Speaker 4: All right? So we're a little bit opposed here because 112 00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:39,720 I want. 113 00:05:39,519 --> 00:05:41,879 Speaker 3: To get myself to the point where I could play 114 00:05:41,920 --> 00:05:44,439 Clippers plus nine and a half. If there's anything, and 115 00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:48,959 I just talked about it. If there's anything helpful to 116 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:52,279 a team of age, it's all this time off. 117 00:05:53,439 --> 00:05:55,920 Speaker 4: The Clippers haven't had to play for a while, and 118 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:57,800 maybe they can come up with some energy here. 119 00:05:58,879 --> 00:06:01,439 Speaker 3: Of course, James hard And is back in Houston, and 120 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:04,600 I don't know when they arrived, but he's obviously got 121 00:06:04,680 --> 00:06:06,120 some favorite spots in Houston. 122 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:09,040 Speaker 4: Maybe he's going to hit tonight or last night or whatever. 123 00:06:09,079 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 3: But I still think that Houston, or excuse me, the 124 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:15,360 Clippers with rest, it's probably the best time to get 125 00:06:15,399 --> 00:06:18,879 to them for energy. And then secondly, I just don't 126 00:06:18,959 --> 00:06:21,720 like the fact that it's kind of a cluster injury 127 00:06:21,759 --> 00:06:25,240 in my mind. No Tarry Easton, No Dorian Finney Smith. 128 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:27,600 You could argue that those are two of the four 129 00:06:27,680 --> 00:06:28,720 best defenders on. 130 00:06:28,639 --> 00:06:31,639 Speaker 4: The Houston team. They both play that small forward spot, 131 00:06:33,079 --> 00:06:34,040 so I think there's. 132 00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:37,079 Speaker 3: Very little defense in that area, and Houston does take 133 00:06:37,160 --> 00:06:39,079 somewhat of a hit defensively. 134 00:06:39,199 --> 00:06:42,399 Speaker 4: Tari Easton is not really a household name, that's somebody people. 135 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:45,680 Speaker 3: Mention all the time, but he's a key contributor for 136 00:06:45,720 --> 00:06:47,399 this squad, as is DFS. 137 00:06:47,399 --> 00:06:50,439 Speaker 4: So to me, I'd like to take nine and a 138 00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:50,839 half here. 139 00:06:50,879 --> 00:06:52,839 Speaker 3: I don't know that they can win the game, but 140 00:06:52,959 --> 00:06:55,000 I do think when I match these teams up, at 141 00:06:55,079 --> 00:06:59,519 least starter wise, they're good enough to stick close. You know, 142 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:01,199 if there was a back to back or something of 143 00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:03,759 that nature. Maybe I would think differently, but I think 144 00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:06,879 time off for the Clippers, plus the fact that Houston's 145 00:07:06,879 --> 00:07:09,399 missing a couple of key defenders could lead me towards 146 00:07:09,399 --> 00:07:10,439 Clippers plus nine. 147 00:07:10,319 --> 00:07:10,759 Speaker 4: And a half. 148 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna get to this next game where 149 00:07:13,639 --> 00:07:15,879 I do like it a lot more. 150 00:07:15,959 --> 00:07:16,639 Speaker 2: I like it a lot. 151 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 1: Actually opened up five and a half for Portland down 152 00:07:20,759 --> 00:07:23,079 to as low as three and a half now actually 153 00:07:23,519 --> 00:07:26,079 total went up from two thirty seven and a half 154 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:30,959 as high as to forty and a half for the Pelicans. 155 00:07:31,160 --> 00:07:36,920 Let's just refresh here. Jordan Poole questionable, no Zion, no 156 00:07:37,079 --> 00:07:43,160 Murray for Porting, no Clinging, no Scoot Drew tybo Wesley. 157 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:48,040 Then you also have Hanson and Williams questionable. He could 158 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:51,040 be without a big man here for the Blazers. If 159 00:07:51,199 --> 00:07:56,920 you know everybody's out. It's a Blazers team that hasn't 160 00:07:56,959 --> 00:07:59,079 been good as a favorite all year to cover one, 161 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:01,439 I think out of seven great games so far this year, 162 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:06,920 and the Pelicans they've been playing better lately, especially at home. 163 00:08:06,959 --> 00:08:09,000 They've covered six or the last eight at home. I 164 00:08:09,040 --> 00:08:14,160 believe could get Jordan Jordan pull back today. 165 00:08:15,279 --> 00:08:17,199 Speaker 2: I just I feel like I like the Pelicans. 166 00:08:17,560 --> 00:08:20,639 Speaker 1: Like if I just look at the team like right now, 167 00:08:20,959 --> 00:08:22,639 I like who's going to be out there on the court. 168 00:08:22,720 --> 00:08:25,759 More for the Blazers, like that they're at home. I 169 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:27,800 think that they should be like a pick them in 170 00:08:27,839 --> 00:08:29,759 his game. I think they can win, so I've forgive 171 00:08:29,879 --> 00:08:32,639 me points. I will take them. I took plus four 172 00:08:32,639 --> 00:08:35,720 and a half. What do you think about Blazers and Pelicans. 173 00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:38,759 Speaker 3: I think there's some technical numbers and you hit on 174 00:08:40,440 --> 00:08:42,440 get on one of them that really do support the 175 00:08:42,480 --> 00:08:44,559 Pelicans here. First of all, let me talk about the total. 176 00:08:44,600 --> 00:08:47,399 Portland's been a road favorite five times this year. Every 177 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:50,159 time Portland has been a road favorite, the game is 178 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:52,279 going over five and oh to the over with the 179 00:08:52,279 --> 00:08:55,639 Blazers as the road favorite. The second part of that equation, 180 00:08:55,799 --> 00:08:58,440 ski is that the home underdog, the team taking the 181 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:02,919 points from Portland is four against the spread that vouches. 182 00:09:02,480 --> 00:09:03,279 Speaker 4: For New Orleans. 183 00:09:03,279 --> 00:09:05,240 Speaker 3: Here, the team taking the points, they are five and 184 00:09:05,279 --> 00:09:09,879 one ats their last six. Portland's been pretty good their 185 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:14,279 last five as well, but New Orleans is finding a 186 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:17,000 way right now to stay close in games without Zion 187 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:19,639 on the floor, and a lot of it is Derek Queen. 188 00:09:19,919 --> 00:09:22,360 I think Derrek Queen had like thirty three the other night, 189 00:09:22,639 --> 00:09:25,799 a double double for sure. And New Orleans is finding 190 00:09:25,879 --> 00:09:28,639 ways to score, ways to hang within the points spread 191 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:32,960 with teams. I wouldn't play against them here. That Portland 192 00:09:33,279 --> 00:09:37,279 Road favorite record this year is not good. And New 193 00:09:37,440 --> 00:09:38,919 Orleans as of late has. 194 00:09:38,759 --> 00:09:42,200 Speaker 4: Been a point spread covering machine, so to speak. So 195 00:09:42,799 --> 00:09:43,799 two ways to look at it. 196 00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:47,000 Speaker 3: Either I would play it over because every Portland Road 197 00:09:47,000 --> 00:09:48,679 game where they were favored is going over. 198 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:51,080 Speaker 4: Or I would play the home under dog side. 199 00:09:52,720 --> 00:09:54,279 Speaker 1: Yeah, I could get with it over, especially if you 200 00:09:54,279 --> 00:09:58,440 don't have any centers there for Portland and lack of defense, 201 00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:02,919 you get Jordan Pilbert pullback more oftense, less defense as well, 202 00:10:04,039 --> 00:10:06,279 it's over or nothing. As far as the total, and 203 00:10:06,399 --> 00:10:10,000 I am on New Orleans in this game, all right, Let's. 204 00:10:09,759 --> 00:10:10,679 Speaker 2: Move over to the next one. 205 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:14,960 Speaker 1: That's Nuggets and Kings opened up nine looks like ten 206 00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:17,159 or ten and a half depending where you shot. Total 207 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:20,559 didn't really move. As far as the injuries, Schroeder is doubtful. 208 00:10:20,919 --> 00:10:23,919 There will be no Levine or Sabonis. Denver will be 209 00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:30,440 without Broun, Gordon and Strawther. Nuggets and Kings that played 210 00:10:30,440 --> 00:10:32,679 a couple times this year. Once was a Nuggets blowout, 211 00:10:33,120 --> 00:10:35,840 another was a Kings win. The most recent was a 212 00:10:35,919 --> 00:10:39,960 Kings win. I think because of that, you'll get a 213 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:44,519 really good effort from the Nuggets. And it's hard for 214 00:10:44,519 --> 00:10:47,279 me to see sacrament like the Nuggets. I always say, 215 00:10:47,360 --> 00:10:50,039 And this is the one where I kind of feel different. 216 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:53,240 I don't like to lay with teams who don't play defense, 217 00:10:53,919 --> 00:10:55,480 and I won't, you know. 218 00:10:55,519 --> 00:10:57,679 Speaker 2: For that reason. But I still think the Nuggets can cover. 219 00:10:57,879 --> 00:11:01,159 Speaker 1: Just because you're gonna be missing you're missing a lot 220 00:11:01,159 --> 00:11:03,679 of offense and points from Levigne. I just don't think 221 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:06,279 they'll have enough offense to keep up with whatever the 222 00:11:06,360 --> 00:11:11,639 Nuggets score. So Nuggets maybe team total over will probably 223 00:11:11,720 --> 00:11:13,840 like it a little bit more. But I can't bet 224 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:17,279 the Kings, at least right now, I can't. So you know, 225 00:11:17,399 --> 00:11:18,519 how are you viewing this one? 226 00:11:19,159 --> 00:11:21,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, a couple of things here Sky that pushed me 227 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:24,519 toward potentially Nuggets team total over. Not that it would 228 00:11:24,519 --> 00:11:27,840 be a bad play without anything extra to add to 229 00:11:27,879 --> 00:11:33,279 the indycap, but since Aaron Gordon and Christian Brawn, who 230 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:36,559 are two key defenders on this team, since they went down, 231 00:11:37,519 --> 00:11:40,720 Nuggets point scoring average is going up to one twenty 232 00:11:40,799 --> 00:11:43,759 seven point four per game, which is above what we're 233 00:11:43,799 --> 00:11:46,960 looking at tonight. But what's interesting is that Jamal Murray, 234 00:11:46,960 --> 00:11:50,039 and I'll give you the quote from Jamal Murray, he said, 235 00:11:50,039 --> 00:11:52,159 with these guys in the lineup, we just get up 236 00:11:52,240 --> 00:11:55,840 and down more. Peyton is really lanky, really fast, really twitchy. 237 00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:59,960 Spencer plays super hard, crashing everywhere, giving up his body. 238 00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:03,200 Those guys are going up and down everywhere. It's slightly 239 00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:07,360 different than when we have Gordon and Braun. And Gordon 240 00:12:07,399 --> 00:12:09,879 and Braun they still play quick, but now Murray's telling 241 00:12:09,919 --> 00:12:11,960 you we're just an even faster team with these guys 242 00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:14,519 in the lineup. I do like the fact that you 243 00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:19,080 mentioned that and Sacramento caught them. I'm forgetting the exact situation, 244 00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:22,279 but it was a bad scheduling spot for the Nuggets 245 00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:25,200 the game they lost to Sacramento recently their most. 246 00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:28,559 Speaker 2: Recent meeting after a game versus the Rockets. 247 00:12:28,919 --> 00:12:32,600 Speaker 4: There you go, and this is not a bad scheduling spot. 248 00:12:32,639 --> 00:12:35,039 Speaker 3: This is nice, lots of rest, lots of time to 249 00:12:35,080 --> 00:12:38,279 remember that they beat you, and a team that scores 250 00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:41,679 that will anyway. So I'm probably there with team total 251 00:12:41,759 --> 00:12:44,200 over on the Nuggets side, it's one twenty four and 252 00:12:44,200 --> 00:12:47,159 a half. That's kind of high, but for them that's 253 00:12:47,159 --> 00:12:49,759 pretty much the norm. I mean, they get to one 254 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:53,279 twenty five quite often or better. So I think Nuggets 255 00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:57,039 team total might be the way I go. I guess 256 00:12:57,080 --> 00:12:59,240 I couldn't argue anybody off a full game either, because, 257 00:12:59,279 --> 00:13:00,679 like you said, the Nugget I don't get a lot 258 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:03,919 of stops as far as their defense is concerned. 259 00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:05,080 Speaker 4: They just outscore people. 260 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:12,919 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm definitely thinking thinking it's a team total over 261 00:13:14,919 --> 00:13:16,759 some kind of way, some way to bet on the Nuggets. 262 00:13:16,799 --> 00:13:19,000 Mark in the chat says he bet the Nuggets first 263 00:13:19,039 --> 00:13:24,200 half some way, some kind of way. I think I 264 00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:25,879 want to back the Nuggets here. I'm just not sure 265 00:13:25,919 --> 00:13:28,519 which one yet. So on that note, we'll move over 266 00:13:28,639 --> 00:13:31,600 to a little bit of NFL Robino. We have the 267 00:13:31,639 --> 00:13:35,399 Falcons and then the Tampa Bay to take on the Bucks. 268 00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:40,279 This one opened up five and a half for the Bucks. 269 00:13:40,799 --> 00:13:42,000 It's been moving quite. 270 00:13:41,799 --> 00:13:44,919 Speaker 2: A lot this morning. It is back at five and 271 00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:45,720 a half right now. 272 00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:49,320 Speaker 1: Total open forty three and a half and we'll call 273 00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:59,759 it forty four. This one is I don't believe in 274 00:13:59,799 --> 00:14:03,080 lane with Tampa Bay. I just don't. I feel like. 275 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:07,039 Speaker 2: They they haven't had many wins that are by more 276 00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:12,759 than a field goal. I just don't trust him. That's 277 00:14:12,759 --> 00:14:13,600 just what it boils down to. 278 00:14:13,639 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 1: I know, you get Mike Evans back, they're supposed to 279 00:14:15,399 --> 00:14:17,879 look good, but you know it's the first game back. 280 00:14:18,519 --> 00:14:20,320 I don't know if you know everything about Tampa Bay, 281 00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:22,279 I just feel like I just don't trust it right now. 282 00:14:22,679 --> 00:14:27,799 Atlanta hasn't been great. But oh also for Tampa Bay, 283 00:14:27,799 --> 00:14:30,879 they have a few like the their leading tackler and 284 00:14:31,200 --> 00:14:33,399 their twit the top three leading tacklers I think are 285 00:14:33,399 --> 00:14:33,919 missing this. 286 00:14:33,919 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 2: Game for Atlanta. They lost to this team in Week one. 287 00:14:38,879 --> 00:14:41,360 Speaker 1: If I'm not mistaken, I think Atlanta was winning that 288 00:14:41,440 --> 00:14:42,960 game and then blew it at the end. 289 00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:43,879 Speaker 2: However it went. 290 00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:47,120 Speaker 1: I know Atlanta lost to them, and you know, when 291 00:14:47,159 --> 00:14:49,919 they see them here again, I just know that's in 292 00:14:49,960 --> 00:14:51,799 their mind and you're gonna get a good effort from them. 293 00:14:52,519 --> 00:14:55,639 So I want to find reasons to back Atlanta here 294 00:14:57,279 --> 00:14:59,679 or if a Tampa Bay, if you will, you know, 295 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:01,120 how are you feeling about it? 296 00:15:02,559 --> 00:15:02,679 Speaker 4: All? 297 00:15:02,759 --> 00:15:02,879 Speaker 3: Right? 298 00:15:02,960 --> 00:15:04,039 Speaker 4: So I pretty much. 299 00:15:05,759 --> 00:15:07,919 Speaker 3: Zeroed in on one thing and one thing only, and 300 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:10,480 that was the Tampa Bay team totally sitting at twenty 301 00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:11,120 four and a half. 302 00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:13,399 Speaker 4: I played it over for a few reasons here. 303 00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:16,559 Speaker 3: It's not really just Mike Gevans coming back tonight, but 304 00:15:16,600 --> 00:15:19,120 it's the fact that Tristan Wurst, their left tackle, is 305 00:15:19,159 --> 00:15:20,320 going to play again tonight. 306 00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:22,639 Speaker 4: It's the fact that Bucky Irving is now back for 307 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:23,480 a couple of weeks. 308 00:15:23,519 --> 00:15:25,879 Speaker 3: It's the fact that Baker Mayfield and now has had 309 00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:28,559 three weeks with that bad left shoulder. 310 00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:28,960 Speaker 4: Under his belt. 311 00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:33,480 Speaker 3: And also the fact that Atlanta's defense has been pretty bad, 312 00:15:33,519 --> 00:15:36,360 allow twenty five or more in five of their last seven, 313 00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:39,639 at least twenty four points in every single one of 314 00:15:39,679 --> 00:15:43,120 their last seven games. I can't lay the points with 315 00:15:43,279 --> 00:15:46,440 Tampa four reasons that you stated their defense hasn't been 316 00:15:46,559 --> 00:15:48,840 up to park and they're missing some guys. Now you 317 00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:51,960 counter that, I mean, somebody could argue me back and say, 318 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:54,200 but Rob, there's no Drake London on the other side, 319 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:57,399 Kyle Pitts is questionable. I think he's gonna go if 320 00:15:57,440 --> 00:16:00,679 Lanta really doesn't have a whole bunch of anyway, and 321 00:16:00,799 --> 00:16:03,919 Kirk Cousins hasn't looked great, so all you have to 322 00:16:03,960 --> 00:16:06,279 do is kind of stop their running game with Bijon 323 00:16:06,720 --> 00:16:10,480 and you could shut them down maybe, But I'm not 324 00:16:10,519 --> 00:16:13,080 willing to trust Tampa Bay quite yet. Their run defense 325 00:16:13,159 --> 00:16:15,600 used to be outstanding. It hasn't been the same for 326 00:16:15,639 --> 00:16:19,360 a while this season. But I do think that Tampa 327 00:16:19,399 --> 00:16:21,120 Bay will come out and score some points here. They 328 00:16:21,159 --> 00:16:24,559 got the twenty last week despite a whole bunch. They 329 00:16:24,559 --> 00:16:28,759 had eleven possessions last week. The Buccaneers did seven of 330 00:16:28,759 --> 00:16:32,440 those possessions how about five turnovers on downs they crossed 331 00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:36,279 the midfield, strike five times, went forward on fourth down, 332 00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:39,120 didn't get it four times, the other one turned into 333 00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:41,720 a turnover like an interception or something. 334 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:43,399 Speaker 4: One possession they punted. 335 00:16:44,159 --> 00:16:47,279 Speaker 3: Seven of their eleven possessions were no good and I 336 00:16:47,399 --> 00:16:49,080 just don't know that you're going to get that again. 337 00:16:49,240 --> 00:16:52,440 Four fourth down non successes. It shows me that at 338 00:16:52,519 --> 00:16:55,080 least they're going for it and they're being pushed by Carolina. 339 00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:57,960 Is even crazier because I don't think they expected the 340 00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:00,120 beginning of the season that they were going to be 341 00:17:00,279 --> 00:17:03,639 challenged in this division. The only thing I could find 342 00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:06,559 and that I think is really a solid play, is 343 00:17:06,559 --> 00:17:09,000 that Tampa Bay will probably score more than twenty four 344 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:13,000 and a half if the defense can't hold the Falcons, 345 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:15,799 and maybe the Falcons cover the number here. But I'm 346 00:17:15,839 --> 00:17:18,400 just gonna trust one thing and that's Tampa Bay offense here. 347 00:17:21,319 --> 00:17:23,759 Speaker 1: All right, we're seeing, uh, we're thinking a little bit 348 00:17:23,759 --> 00:17:29,000 different on this game. One thing I will mention prop 349 00:17:29,759 --> 00:17:32,559 you know, I see a lot of people betting Bijon 350 00:17:32,759 --> 00:17:36,960 over receiving yards tonight, and you know I did mention 351 00:17:37,000 --> 00:17:41,160 a couple other leading tacklers for the Bucks out. 352 00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:43,440 Speaker 2: I don't know, I just have to mention. 353 00:17:44,559 --> 00:17:48,119 Speaker 1: I'm looking at the games played with Kirk Cousin as quarterback, 354 00:17:48,480 --> 00:17:52,039 without Drake London playing out there. He's only hit his 355 00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:57,079 receiving yards one out of those four games. It's just 356 00:17:57,160 --> 00:18:02,440 like he's not getting the targets. Only one of those games. 357 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:04,720 You know, he has seven targets and he got it. 358 00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:08,279 The other three games he only had two targets, two 359 00:18:08,319 --> 00:18:10,640 targets and both two of them three targets and one. 360 00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:12,359 Speaker 2: So he's not getting the targets. 361 00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:15,400 Speaker 1: But what he is getting is enough yards on that 362 00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:18,799 that one reception to get over his longest reception. He 363 00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:22,720 said that three of the four games, and he averages 364 00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,400 twenty five as the longest reception. So far this season, 365 00:18:25,920 --> 00:18:27,759 So that's what I'm thinking. A pivot for me is 366 00:18:29,599 --> 00:18:33,519 Vijon over fifteen to a half longest reception. I'm pretty 367 00:18:33,559 --> 00:18:36,519 close to pushing that button. So throw that out there. 368 00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:38,839 Speaker 2: Anything goes, we know before we wrap it up. 369 00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:42,759 Speaker 4: Now, I think we covered that one pretty good. 370 00:18:43,559 --> 00:18:47,319 Speaker 1: All right, so we'll well, actually, before we go to 371 00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:49,599 Best Best, let's throw a couple of these things up there. 372 00:18:50,279 --> 00:18:54,519 We do always have Weekend Warrior, and you can get 373 00:18:54,559 --> 00:18:59,000 every place Saturday Saturday Monday, including a five percent place 374 00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:02,519 as far as football, for only forty nine dollars. If 375 00:19:02,519 --> 00:19:05,240 you prefer basketball, you can get the full court all 376 00:19:05,279 --> 00:19:07,960 access past three days of college basketball and NBA for 377 00:19:08,039 --> 00:19:09,200 only forty nine bucks. 378 00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:11,160 Speaker 2: You can rock with us for a year. 379 00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:13,400 Speaker 1: You'll get five hundred dollars off. It comes out to 380 00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:17,519 just one twenty five a month. And if you were 381 00:19:17,519 --> 00:19:20,160 to purchase Rovino, for example, for a year, you'll get 382 00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:23,079 an additional twenty five percent bonus coupon. You can come 383 00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:26,799 check out whatever I have going there, so on that noveno, 384 00:19:27,279 --> 00:19:31,200 we will move it over to Best Bets, and you know, 385 00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:33,240 if there's anything else you would like to promote, feel 386 00:19:33,279 --> 00:19:34,880 free if you have a best bet. 387 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:37,160 Speaker 2: We'd love to hear it. If you do not, it's 388 00:19:37,240 --> 00:19:38,400 no worries. 389 00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:40,640 Speaker 4: Promotion wise. 390 00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:42,359 Speaker 3: I think you got it all covered, Ski, those are 391 00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:44,279 the ones that are active right now. I'll just go 392 00:19:44,319 --> 00:19:47,559 ahead one more time and say that the college football 393 00:19:47,599 --> 00:19:51,839 bowl game special. It's one forty nine for everything through 394 00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:56,680 the National Championship Game. And it's crazy that bowl games 395 00:19:56,720 --> 00:20:00,480 start this Saturday. The regular season isn't even over because 396 00:20:00,559 --> 00:20:02,759 Army and Navy play, and yet we have a bowl 397 00:20:02,799 --> 00:20:05,319 game on Saturday. We also have FCS playoffs. For those 398 00:20:05,319 --> 00:20:07,839 who don't know, I've covered the FCS. We had a 399 00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:11,519 four percent winner last week on an FCS game. I 400 00:20:11,519 --> 00:20:13,799 think they've reached a quarterfinals here this week, and so 401 00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:15,880 bold packages are all inclusive. 402 00:20:15,960 --> 00:20:18,920 Speaker 4: Go check it out at wager talk dot com. 403 00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:22,920 Speaker 3: Best bet here today, Ski, because as we were talking, 404 00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:25,079 I just put this one in, so I'm gonna go 405 00:20:25,079 --> 00:20:27,119 ahead and give it as the best bet here today, 406 00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,319 and it's gonna be the Denver team total over one 407 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:32,319 twenty four and a half. I hadn't bet anything until 408 00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:34,200 we talked. That went through, and I just pulled the 409 00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:37,960 trigger on Denver team total over got one. 410 00:20:37,839 --> 00:20:38,680 Speaker 4: Twenty four and a half. 411 00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:41,359 Speaker 3: I think it's available to almost everybody at this point 412 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:43,559 in time, so I'm gonna leave that as a best bet. 413 00:20:43,599 --> 00:20:46,440 We listed the reasons why, no sense to rehash them. 414 00:20:46,559 --> 00:20:48,720 Nuggets team total up and over one twenty four. 415 00:20:48,559 --> 00:20:48,960 Speaker 4: And a half. 416 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:53,920 Speaker 1: All right, good stuff there from Ravino our mind, everybody, 417 00:20:54,119 --> 00:20:56,640 you know, I think that full court all access pass 418 00:20:56,759 --> 00:20:58,559 is a good, good way to go right now. As 419 00:20:58,599 --> 00:21:03,480 far as myself, what is it sixty and thirty three 420 00:21:04,039 --> 00:21:07,279 in college basketball and NBA, I think it's a little 421 00:21:07,319 --> 00:21:08,720 bit over the last three weeks. 422 00:21:08,759 --> 00:21:11,279 Speaker 2: So seeing the board well right now, and for my 423 00:21:11,359 --> 00:21:13,079 best bet on the show, I will go with. 424 00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:17,000 Speaker 1: Pelicans. I bet them plus four and a half. The 425 00:21:17,039 --> 00:21:18,880 best number you can get right now is a four. 426 00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:22,119 I think this game comes down to one possession at 427 00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:26,640 the end if not a New Orleans win. So yeah, 428 00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:28,240 that's what I'll rock with for my best bet on 429 00:21:28,279 --> 00:21:32,519 the show. You know, always great, you know doing the 430 00:21:32,519 --> 00:21:34,720 show with you. I appreciate you taking the time to 431 00:21:34,759 --> 00:21:36,559 break down this card and cap the games with me. 432 00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:39,440 Everybody out there in the chat, we appreciate you tapping 433 00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:42,480 in and helping out as well. Best of luck everybody 434 00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:44,799 on all your action. We'll be back again tomorrow