Speaker 1: What's up everybody? Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we do always start this show
by being transparent, and yesterday ended up being another good
day for myself.
Speaker 2: I went three and one.
Speaker 1: Both of my top players were winners Houston first half
cash the over in the Lakers game. I got it
at two thirty five and a half. I don't think
it mattered what number you got that cast and then
Spurs winner loser on Austin Reeves under his assist prop
So profitable day overall. Try to keep that going here today, Robino,
how you.
Speaker 3: Doing I'm doing good, Ski. It was a good day
for myself. Not three and one, but three and two.
Made money yesterday the only NBA and you're right, it
didn't matter because it wasn't until after we finished the show,
and maybe an hour after that when I got to
talk myself into Lakers Spurs over two forty and a half.
It rose all the way to I think two and
a half by clothes, but it didn't matter. I mean,
the points were coming fast and furies and that gick
Hey san Antonio looked really good.
Speaker 4: College basketball.
Speaker 3: Provided me with a two and two with one uh
one of the losses was.
Speaker 4: A lesser place.
Speaker 3: So we made a little bit of hey yesterday in
a three and two effort, and we'll try to do
so again today.
Speaker 2: All right, let's do it.
Speaker 1: We have four NBA games to talk about. We'll talk
about the Thursday night football as well, and we'll start.
We'll start in the association usually do that means Boston
and Milwaukee opened up seven and a half, looks like
nine for Boston on the road totals come down from
two twenty six and a half to about two twenty
three and a half.
Speaker 2: For Milwaukee.
Speaker 1: You have aj Green, questionable Giannis and Iron Prince out, Bousday,
Ron Harper, Jason Tatum and Williams out for the Celtic team.
Speaker 2: This one I don't like.
Speaker 1: I mean, the some things I've been playing really good basketball,
but I don't like the thought of land and nine
with them on the road.
Speaker 2: I think more than that, I would like to just
Faye maybe Faye Milwaukee's offense. I don't know.
Speaker 1: I'm just not a big believer in Milwaukee either. Without
Jannis out there, I don't know if you know, this
one is the toughest game on the board for me.
Speaker 2: How do you feel about it.
Speaker 3: Well, it's tough for me too, because everything I look
at tells me I should be playing under in this game,
and it's always hard for me to get to under.
Speaker 4: Boston again. Extremely slow pace, I think, slowest pace.
Speaker 3: In the NBA right now, Milwaukee not far behind bottom
five in pace without Yannis. It's another reason to like
less points out of Milwaukee. Although Kevin Porter Junior has
playing real well as of late, didn't like the quote
out of Doc Rivers who said that Miles Turner has
only been okay so far, but he'll be better later.
Speaker 4: I like to know when later is for Miles Turner's
sake and the Buck's sake.
Speaker 3: But the Celtics have shot it so well. The beginning
of the year, they couldn't shoot threes. Now they're making threes.
You just go over what they've been able to score recently.
When twenty one, I'll go back even further forty three,
twenty eight, one, twenty one, one, forty two, one thirty
two against San Antonio, they're able to pile on points.
Speaker 4: And I don't know that I could trust Milwaukee deefense.
Speaker 3: So if you play under here, you're basically playing under
because of the tempo, you're not really playing it because
you think either defense stands out to you. In this instance,
you're just banking on lesser possessions. I don't know that
I can do that Ski, so I won't play under
And like you, it just seemed too many of these games,
and too many times for Milwaukee without Giannis where they
cover numbers and it's not one hundred percent, but it's
definitely not zero percent either.
Speaker 4: Over the last three four.
Speaker 3: Years when he's been out, they've been able to cover numbers,
especially one of this size, so.
Speaker 4: Road team minus nine. Last thing I'll say real quick
is there's such.
Speaker 3: A long layoff between games for these teams.
Speaker 4: It's hard to tell the rest versus rust things.
Speaker 3: NBA teams aren't used to sitting this long without playing
their next game, and almost all except for I think
New Orleans is one that actually played on Monday.
Speaker 4: There's two teams tonight that played on Monday. I'm forgetting
the other one long rest. I'm not so sure. We'll
see how it goes. I haven't played this game at all.
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is when I'm going to pass. I am
going to pass, but yeah, I just out to pass.
Clippers and Houston.
Speaker 1: It opened up minus eight and a half, looks like
nine and a half now totally from two twenty and
a half to about two twenty two and a half.
As far as the injury report, Yeah, Jones and Chris
Paul out for the Clippers for Houston, Easton Smith and
Van Fleet out. This Clippers team, the offense just hasn't
really been good. I'd like to think they could be
held under their team total today. At the same time,
you know, when I look at the numbers, it says
that Clippers are number one as far as opponent's office.
Speaker 2: Of rebounds allowed. I don't know.
Speaker 1: When I just think about the matchups, I still think
Houston can kill them on the boards.
Speaker 2: I would think.
Speaker 1: Houston on the spread or Clippers team photo under here
are you viewing this one?
Speaker 4: All right? So we're a little bit opposed here because
I want.
Speaker 3: To get myself to the point where I could play
Clippers plus nine and a half. If there's anything, and
I just talked about it. If there's anything helpful to
a team of age, it's all this time off.
Speaker 4: The Clippers haven't had to play for a while, and
maybe they can come up with some energy here.
Speaker 3: Of course, James hard And is back in Houston, and
I don't know when they arrived, but he's obviously got
some favorite spots in Houston.
Speaker 4: Maybe he's going to hit tonight or last night or whatever.
Speaker 3: But I still think that Houston, or excuse me, the
Clippers with rest, it's probably the best time to get
to them for energy. And then secondly, I just don't
like the fact that it's kind of a cluster injury
in my mind. No Tarry Easton, No Dorian Finney Smith.
You could argue that those are two of the four
best defenders on.
Speaker 4: The Houston team. They both play that small forward spot,
so I think there's.
Speaker 3: Very little defense in that area, and Houston does take
somewhat of a hit defensively.
Speaker 4: Tari Easton is not really a household name, that's somebody people.
Speaker 3: Mention all the time, but he's a key contributor for
this squad, as is DFS.
Speaker 4: So to me, I'd like to take nine and a
half here.
Speaker 3: I don't know that they can win the game, but
I do think when I match these teams up, at
least starter wise, they're good enough to stick close. You know,
if there was a back to back or something of
that nature. Maybe I would think differently, but I think
time off for the Clippers, plus the fact that Houston's
missing a couple of key defenders could lead me towards
Clippers plus nine.
Speaker 4: And a half.
Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna get to this next game where
I do like it a lot more.
Speaker 2: I like it a lot.
Speaker 1: Actually opened up five and a half for Portland down
to as low as three and a half now actually
total went up from two thirty seven and a half
as high as to forty and a half for the Pelicans.
Let's just refresh here. Jordan Poole questionable, no Zion, no
Murray for Porting, no Clinging, no Scoot Drew tybo Wesley.
Then you also have Hanson and Williams questionable. He could
be without a big man here for the Blazers. If
you know everybody's out. It's a Blazers team that hasn't
been good as a favorite all year to cover one,
I think out of seven great games so far this year,
and the Pelicans they've been playing better lately, especially at home.
They've covered six or the last eight at home. I
believe could get Jordan Jordan pull back today.
Speaker 2: I just I feel like I like the Pelicans.
Speaker 1: Like if I just look at the team like right now,
I like who's going to be out there on the court.
More for the Blazers, like that they're at home. I
think that they should be like a pick them in
his game. I think they can win, so I've forgive
me points. I will take them. I took plus four
and a half. What do you think about Blazers and Pelicans.
Speaker 3: I think there's some technical numbers and you hit on
get on one of them that really do support the
Pelicans here. First of all, let me talk about the total.
Portland's been a road favorite five times this year. Every
time Portland has been a road favorite, the game is
going over five and oh to the over with the
Blazers as the road favorite. The second part of that equation,
ski is that the home underdog, the team taking the
points from Portland is four against the spread that vouches.
Speaker 4: For New Orleans.
Speaker 3: Here, the team taking the points, they are five and
one ats their last six. Portland's been pretty good their
last five as well, but New Orleans is finding a
way right now to stay close in games without Zion
on the floor, and a lot of it is Derek Queen.
I think Derrek Queen had like thirty three the other night,
a double double for sure. And New Orleans is finding
ways to score, ways to hang within the points spread
with teams. I wouldn't play against them here. That Portland
Road favorite record this year is not good. And New
Orleans as of late has.
Speaker 4: Been a point spread covering machine, so to speak. So
two ways to look at it.
Speaker 3: Either I would play it over because every Portland Road
game where they were favored is going over.
Speaker 4: Or I would play the home under dog side.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I could get with it over, especially if you
don't have any centers there for Portland and lack of defense,
you get Jordan Pilbert pullback more oftense, less defense as well,
it's over or nothing. As far as the total, and
I am on New Orleans in this game, all right, Let's.
Speaker 2: Move over to the next one.
Speaker 1: That's Nuggets and Kings opened up nine looks like ten
or ten and a half depending where you shot. Total
didn't really move. As far as the injuries, Schroeder is doubtful.
There will be no Levine or Sabonis. Denver will be
without Broun, Gordon and Strawther. Nuggets and Kings that played
a couple times this year. Once was a Nuggets blowout,
another was a Kings win. The most recent was a
Kings win. I think because of that, you'll get a
really good effort from the Nuggets. And it's hard for
me to see sacrament like the Nuggets. I always say,
And this is the one where I kind of feel different.
I don't like to lay with teams who don't play defense,
and I won't, you know.
Speaker 2: For that reason. But I still think the Nuggets can cover.
Speaker 1: Just because you're gonna be missing you're missing a lot
of offense and points from Levigne. I just don't think
they'll have enough offense to keep up with whatever the
Nuggets score. So Nuggets maybe team total over will probably
like it a little bit more. But I can't bet
the Kings, at least right now, I can't. So you know,
how are you viewing this one?
Speaker 3: Yeah, a couple of things here Sky that pushed me
toward potentially Nuggets team total over. Not that it would
be a bad play without anything extra to add to
the indycap, but since Aaron Gordon and Christian Brawn, who
are two key defenders on this team, since they went down,
Nuggets point scoring average is going up to one twenty
seven point four per game, which is above what we're
looking at tonight. But what's interesting is that Jamal Murray,
and I'll give you the quote from Jamal Murray, he said,
with these guys in the lineup, we just get up
and down more. Peyton is really lanky, really fast, really twitchy.
Spencer plays super hard, crashing everywhere, giving up his body.
Those guys are going up and down everywhere. It's slightly
different than when we have Gordon and Braun. And Gordon
and Braun they still play quick, but now Murray's telling
you we're just an even faster team with these guys
in the lineup. I do like the fact that you
mentioned that and Sacramento caught them. I'm forgetting the exact situation,
but it was a bad scheduling spot for the Nuggets
the game they lost to Sacramento recently their most.
Speaker 2: Recent meeting after a game versus the Rockets.
Speaker 4: There you go, and this is not a bad scheduling spot.
Speaker 3: This is nice, lots of rest, lots of time to
remember that they beat you, and a team that scores
that will anyway. So I'm probably there with team total
over on the Nuggets side, it's one twenty four and
a half. That's kind of high, but for them that's
pretty much the norm. I mean, they get to one
twenty five quite often or better. So I think Nuggets
team total might be the way I go. I guess
I couldn't argue anybody off a full game either, because,
like you said, the Nugget I don't get a lot
of stops as far as their defense is concerned.
Speaker 4: They just outscore people.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm definitely thinking thinking it's a team total over
some kind of way, some way to bet on the Nuggets.
Mark in the chat says he bet the Nuggets first
half some way, some kind of way. I think I
want to back the Nuggets here. I'm just not sure
which one yet. So on that note, we'll move over
to a little bit of NFL Robino. We have the
Falcons and then the Tampa Bay to take on the Bucks.
This one opened up five and a half for the Bucks.
It's been moving quite.
Speaker 2: A lot this morning. It is back at five and
a half right now.
Speaker 1: Total open forty three and a half and we'll call
it forty four. This one is I don't believe in
lane with Tampa Bay. I just don't. I feel like.
Speaker 2: They they haven't had many wins that are by more
than a field goal. I just don't trust him. That's
just what it boils down to.
Speaker 1: I know, you get Mike Evans back, they're supposed to
look good, but you know it's the first game back.
I don't know if you know everything about Tampa Bay,
I just feel like I just don't trust it right now.
Atlanta hasn't been great. But oh also for Tampa Bay,
they have a few like the their leading tackler and
their twit the top three leading tacklers I think are
missing this.
Speaker 2: Game for Atlanta. They lost to this team in Week one.
Speaker 1: If I'm not mistaken, I think Atlanta was winning that
game and then blew it at the end.
Speaker 2: However it went.
Speaker 1: I know Atlanta lost to them, and you know, when
they see them here again, I just know that's in
their mind and you're gonna get a good effort from them.
So I want to find reasons to back Atlanta here
or if a Tampa Bay, if you will, you know,
how are you feeling about it?
Speaker 4: All?
Speaker 3: Right?
Speaker 4: So I pretty much.
Speaker 3: Zeroed in on one thing and one thing only, and
that was the Tampa Bay team totally sitting at twenty
four and a half.
Speaker 4: I played it over for a few reasons here.
Speaker 3: It's not really just Mike Gevans coming back tonight, but
it's the fact that Tristan Wurst, their left tackle, is
going to play again tonight.
Speaker 4: It's the fact that Bucky Irving is now back for
a couple of weeks.
Speaker 3: It's the fact that Baker Mayfield and now has had
three weeks with that bad left shoulder.
Speaker 4: Under his belt.
Speaker 3: And also the fact that Atlanta's defense has been pretty bad,
allow twenty five or more in five of their last seven,
at least twenty four points in every single one of
their last seven games. I can't lay the points with
Tampa four reasons that you stated their defense hasn't been
up to park and they're missing some guys. Now you
counter that, I mean, somebody could argue me back and say,
but Rob, there's no Drake London on the other side,
Kyle Pitts is questionable. I think he's gonna go if
Lanta really doesn't have a whole bunch of anyway, and
Kirk Cousins hasn't looked great, so all you have to
do is kind of stop their running game with Bijon
and you could shut them down maybe, But I'm not
willing to trust Tampa Bay quite yet. Their run defense
used to be outstanding. It hasn't been the same for
a while this season. But I do think that Tampa
Bay will come out and score some points here. They
got the twenty last week despite a whole bunch. They
had eleven possessions last week. The Buccaneers did seven of
those possessions how about five turnovers on downs they crossed
the midfield, strike five times, went forward on fourth down,
didn't get it four times, the other one turned into
a turnover like an interception or something.
Speaker 4: One possession they punted.
Speaker 3: Seven of their eleven possessions were no good and I
just don't know that you're going to get that again.
Four fourth down non successes. It shows me that at
least they're going for it and they're being pushed by Carolina.
Is even crazier because I don't think they expected the
beginning of the season that they were going to be
challenged in this division. The only thing I could find
and that I think is really a solid play, is
that Tampa Bay will probably score more than twenty four
and a half if the defense can't hold the Falcons,
and maybe the Falcons cover the number here. But I'm
just gonna trust one thing and that's Tampa Bay offense here.
Speaker 1: All right, we're seeing, uh, we're thinking a little bit
different on this game. One thing I will mention prop
you know, I see a lot of people betting Bijon
over receiving yards tonight, and you know I did mention
a couple other leading tacklers for the Bucks out.
Speaker 2: I don't know, I just have to mention.
Speaker 1: I'm looking at the games played with Kirk Cousin as quarterback,
without Drake London playing out there. He's only hit his
receiving yards one out of those four games. It's just
like he's not getting the targets. Only one of those games.
You know, he has seven targets and he got it.
The other three games he only had two targets, two
targets and both two of them three targets and one.
Speaker 2: So he's not getting the targets.
Speaker 1: But what he is getting is enough yards on that
that one reception to get over his longest reception. He
said that three of the four games, and he averages
twenty five as the longest reception. So far this season,
So that's what I'm thinking. A pivot for me is
Vijon over fifteen to a half longest reception. I'm pretty
close to pushing that button. So throw that out there.
Speaker 2: Anything goes, we know before we wrap it up.
Speaker 4: Now, I think we covered that one pretty good.
Speaker 1: All right, so we'll well, actually, before we go to
Best Best, let's throw a couple of these things up there.
We do always have Weekend Warrior, and you can get
every place Saturday Saturday Monday, including a five percent place
as far as football, for only forty nine dollars. If
you prefer basketball, you can get the full court all
access past three days of college basketball and NBA for
only forty nine bucks.
Speaker 2: You can rock with us for a year.
Speaker 1: You'll get five hundred dollars off. It comes out to
just one twenty five a month. And if you were
to purchase Rovino, for example, for a year, you'll get
an additional twenty five percent bonus coupon. You can come
check out whatever I have going there, so on that noveno,
we will move it over to Best Bets, and you know,
if there's anything else you would like to promote, feel
free if you have a best bet.
Speaker 2: We'd love to hear it. If you do not, it's
no worries.
Speaker 4: Promotion wise.
Speaker 3: I think you got it all covered, Ski, those are
the ones that are active right now. I'll just go
ahead one more time and say that the college football
bowl game special. It's one forty nine for everything through
the National Championship Game. And it's crazy that bowl games
start this Saturday. The regular season isn't even over because
Army and Navy play, and yet we have a bowl
game on Saturday. We also have FCS playoffs. For those
who don't know, I've covered the FCS. We had a
four percent winner last week on an FCS game. I
think they've reached a quarterfinals here this week, and so
bold packages are all inclusive.
Speaker 4: Go check it out at wager talk dot com.
Speaker 3: Best bet here today, Ski, because as we were talking,
I just put this one in, so I'm gonna go
ahead and give it as the best bet here today,
and it's gonna be the Denver team total over one
twenty four and a half. I hadn't bet anything until
we talked. That went through, and I just pulled the
trigger on Denver team total over got one.
Speaker 4: Twenty four and a half.
Speaker 3: I think it's available to almost everybody at this point
in time, so I'm gonna leave that as a best bet.
We listed the reasons why, no sense to rehash them.
Nuggets team total up and over one twenty four.
Speaker 4: And a half.
Speaker 1: All right, good stuff there from Ravino our mind, everybody,
you know, I think that full court all access pass
is a good, good way to go right now. As
far as myself, what is it sixty and thirty three
in college basketball and NBA, I think it's a little
bit over the last three weeks.
Speaker 2: So seeing the board well right now, and for my
best bet on the show, I will go with.
Speaker 1: Pelicans. I bet them plus four and a half. The
best number you can get right now is a four.
I think this game comes down to one possession at
the end if not a New Orleans win. So yeah,
that's what I'll rock with for my best bet on
the show. You know, always great, you know doing the
show with you. I appreciate you taking the time to
break down this card and cap the games with me.
Everybody out there in the chat, we appreciate you tapping
in and helping out as well. Best of luck everybody
on all your action. We'll be back again tomorrow