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Speaker 1: Alive. Welcome to the best sports betting show on the planet.

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This is Wayger Talk Today. I am your host, Andy Lang.

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It is Friday. We're looking for a big, big weekend.

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We've got MLB, we got WNBA, and we got to

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stack UFC card breakdown, we got sharp plays, betting angles,

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everything you need to finish though week strong. Gianni is

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gonna join us for the Steam Report Tokyo. Brandon's gonna

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join us. We're gonna talk Phillies and Yankees, maybe a

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couple other games. Ronald Kobang is gonna join us, and

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we're gonna talk to the Aces and the Links. So

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no time to waste. You guys know what to do.

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Hit that like button. Let's bring in Gianni and get

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this party started. Giohanny, Good morning, Happy Friday. Uh, we're

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looking at a busy morning or so so not so

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busy morning.

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Speaker 2: No, I'm busy, just all over the board, different things

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coming in. Got a couple of CFL but not able

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to confirm like legit, like I'm moving some CFL stuff,

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but I've been doing it long enough to see the

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like true positions and not just some number plays. Also

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some w NBA, but nothing really like multiple groups betting

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the same stuff.

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Speaker 3: It's just all over the board kind of.

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Speaker 2: But did confirm a second college football Week one bet

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that went out to subscribers already. That went out this morning,

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So you should have your second Week one College football bet.

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But here's what I'm seeing in CFL in the accounts,

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the sharp stuff. A lot of the numbers are going.

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But they got down in Saskatchewan at the opener, that

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moved up, then it moved against them.

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Speaker 3: Now it's moving back that way. The Saskatchewan signed. They

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also bet.

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Speaker 2: Winnipeg at the opener, and they went under in Hamilton

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and British Columbia. So Saskatchewan, Winnipeg under, Hamilton and British Columbia,

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w NBA action. Nothing really sticking out except the over

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in New York and Phoenix. That's the only w NBA

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bet that I'm seeing from Sharp's that doesn't have any

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kind of existence or doesn't look like it's a middle

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opportunity or anything like that, any type of manipulation. Otherwise,

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it's strictly Major League Baseball and then UFC early tomorrow morning.

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Don't forget that's a nine am Pacific time start, so

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early card in UFC four tomorrow.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I see a big line movement on one of

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the games in Ronald's going to be in here to

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break it down for US Las Vegas Minnesota. I see

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that opened at one fifty seven and a half. That

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things all the way up to one sixty one and

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a half. So interested to see about that. What's what's

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kind of jumping off the page as far as line

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moves in Major League Baseball?

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Speaker 2: All right, here's what we're looking at so far. Some

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of the sharper action, there's a lot of it, So

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I'll just pick off some of the share some of them.

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See whether you guys confirm nine oh four Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh

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at plus money plus one ten all the way down

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to even money, nine oh six, Saint Louis, Saint Louis

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at plus one twenty nine point thirty. Minnesota, Minnesota, momultiple

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groups multiple times from one five, so they're blasting Minnesota

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for sure. Nine to ten. Detroit, Detroit good about minus

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one ten there, Yankees Philadelphia, they steamed that one over

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nine and a half, laid one thirty not to get

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the ten. But that's why you're seeing ten across the board.

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Boston Boston at plus one ten, but seeing a lot

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of public on Boston as well, so that's one of

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those public and Sharps all on the same.

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Speaker 3: Dog that usually worries me a little bit.

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Speaker 2: And Atlanta Atlanta at the dog price of plus one forty.

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So yeah, a lot of a lot of baseball action,

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mostly sides except for that over in uh Philly and Yankees,

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and another total that stuck out Washington Minnesota. Again not

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a sexy game, but for some reason, that total is

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being bet over like they already saw the outcome, Like

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I mean, like and it counts that you wouldn't see it,

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you know what I mean, Like it wouldn't normally be

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like like guys that aren't bent in baseball every day.

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For some reason, that jumped out like it's some kind

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of lock because it's like I'm seeing it parlayed into

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Stafford tomorrow.

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Speaker 3: I'm seeing it.

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Speaker 4: Really.

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Speaker 3: I don't know why.

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Speaker 2: I don't know whether it's recency bias. I don't know

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whether they scored fifteen runs last night.

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Speaker 3: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I worried, so Tokyo, Brandon, if you're listening, look up

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this game, because I.

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Speaker 2: Have Washington Minnesota, bro Washington Minnesota, so that I got steamed,

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like I told you, ridiculously and for some reason that

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overs being bet like again, like they already know the

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outcome for some reason.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the Minnesota pitcher's got a six point twenty six

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e r A. I think they've only won a couple

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of games. It's all start break, all right, we need

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we need to dig deep because.

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Speaker 3: Under's got to be a lot, right, Under's got to

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be a lot.

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Speaker 1: I made parlay that with some things for tomorrow.

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Speaker 3: With that much hate and a half, bro, why not nine?

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Why not nine?

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Speaker 4: Nine?

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Speaker 2: Such a key number? What are you giving me the

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half a run for? What are you giving me the eight.

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Speaker 3: And a half for? I'm willing to go over nine.

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Why would you let me go over eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: That's the stuff that sticks out from a market perspective

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without the handicap. Like I'm seeing these betters going over

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like I said, they went over it was at eight.

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It was at eight, they went over eight. They're going

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over eight and a half. Don't comfortably go over nine

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as well. But they're not going to nine. To me,

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that's a telling sign because I think at nine you

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would see some steam come under, and that puts them

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in a bad spot where they got over eight under nine.

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Speaker 3: Again, you ain't gonna get middle. They can't land on

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eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, the worst position is pushing one side and

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having to pay out the other.

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Speaker 3: That's the next worst thing after getting middled.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, boy, if it does land on eight and a half,

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that's the worst beat ever. We were gonna have Andrew

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babikitas on to talk UFC, but he is out of

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town this week. I got a question his passion for

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not gowing up when he's on vacation. No, I'm kidding.

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So let's let's break down UFC here gihnny. Since we

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don't have Andrew in there, I see my boys. Stephen

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Winn has took uh took some money, and again it

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seems to be mostly Whittaker. What are you seeing with

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line moves? Then maybe we can break down a fighter too.

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Speaker 2: Here what Whittaker sticks out to me? It really does,

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because you have like the perfect storm for recency bias

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with both fighters coming off like the opposite end of

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the spectrum, meaning you.

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Speaker 3: Have the Ritter who just beat Bo Nickel, who.

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Speaker 2: Was like a minus eleven hundred favorite against everyone until

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that fight like you know what I mean, he's more

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or less been crowned the next upcoming starm and the

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Ridder beats him. And then on the other side of

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the ledger you have Hamsa Chamaya went right through. Whittaker

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finished them in the very first round, and Waker the

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favorite of about minus one fifty. And I'm seeing nothing

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but love for the Ridder that sticks out again. Just

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looking at it from a market perspective, I think Whittaker's

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a little bit under valued here. I think had you

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had had he not fought Tamaya and this was his

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next fight, I think Whittaker would be about a minus

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two on her favorite even even if even with the

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Ridder having beaten.

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Speaker 1: What. Yeah, well, I'll jump in here Bo Nickel. I

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mean from a stylistic matchup Bo Nichols, this elite college

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wrestler and Giohnny. He's decided he's not wrestling anymore. His

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last two fights he's like, I'm gonna strike and it's

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gone horrible. This never works when a wrestler is like

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I'm gonna become a striker. He got tired, he got

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beat up. I mean, so it's like, yeah, I got

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why he was a favorite. But if the books had

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known that bo Nichol was gonna come out and strike

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instead of you know, the lines would have been completely

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he flipped.

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Speaker 2: So I just wits take down defense and his experience

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and coming in off that loss. I just think it's

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a decent spot for him. I think it's a good

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spot for him in that fight. And then the other

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thing I wanted to ask you about that the Jan

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and McGee. I had a guy I respect his opinion

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a lot on X's and O's on my podcast yesterday

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and he was saying, it's Yan's fight, like just just

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the way they they match up, it's Jan's fight, and

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this line really is warranted to me, I didn't think so.

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Speaker 3: Like I thought, Yan looks a little bit too high

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against a red.

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Speaker 2: Hot McGee, Like McGee's done absolutely nothing wrong, three straight

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performance bonuses. Then he steps up in class against Jonathan

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Martinez and pitches more or less a shutout. If you

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look at the box score again, it's another step up

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in competition and you're going way out on that risk curve,

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but you're getting almost three to one to take that chance.

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I don't know again, Yan's He's now seems like he's

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back all back to wins, but he's proven to be beatable,

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and I just think that line's a little bit too

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high for my liking.

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Speaker 1: Uh So, okay, so X's and O's on this one.

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H Petrian is one of the ultimate like what if

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guys in his career, I mean literally, he was winning

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a championship fight and got disqualified for an illegal knee

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like and then he loses two fights by split decision

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to you know, championship caliber fighters like this guy's career

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could look unbelievably different, and so you know, it kind

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of got derailed. But he just beat your Dong's song

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like ran through him, and he beat figureto ran through him.

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His takedowns are so lightning fast, he times them perfectly.

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And this is just such a big step up in

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competition for Marcus McGee. I know, he beat Jonathan Martinez.

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Martinez mailed in that fight. He was a non factor.

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It was very unlike Martinez. So I'm I agree that

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Yan is the play even at this minus seventy five.

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So yeah, yeah, any other fights that are interesting.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, Bryce Mitchell and Michael Medoff, Bryce Mitchell and

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the Metal Dude. Bryce is now uptill about a minus

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one fifty favorite.

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Speaker 1: I can't believe it. I truly can't believe it. I

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don't get it. Bryce Mitchell, I don't think has been

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the same since the Josh Emmett fight. I really think

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he's not right up there. Did you see his quote

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earlier this week talking about going going going over there

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and taking out the met Off clan because of their sinners.

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And you go to his Instagram, he's advertising products. He

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doesn't even have a gym. His gym is his garage.

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I know he went to Abu Dhabi to trade. I

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will not be betting on Bryce Mitchell anytime soon. I

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do not think he's all there after that Josh Emmett.

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For me, it's syhet or nothing.

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Speaker 2: How can you have that confidence in Again, those are

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all like things that are difficult to quantify. And I

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get it if you're on the Bryce Mitchell sign, you

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could just discard it as noise. But bro, like it

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has to matter, like you said, at that level, at

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the UFC level, and when you're ranked like he's ranked,

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like you got to step it up, you know what

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I mean? Like you say you got to surround yourself

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with a high caliber team, coaching, all that stuff that

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the training, it all matters that the diet, like all

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that stuff matters once you get to that level.

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Speaker 3: Because they're all as good as you.

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Speaker 2: They all have the tool belt, they're all BJJ black belts,

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they all been you know, it's a different sport. They're

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not just specialists anymore. They're all so well rounded. It's

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it's very different than it was ten fifteen years ago.

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And I think like that once they get figured out,

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they get figured out. And I think with Bryce Mitchell,

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that's what you're seeing, like, what do you think is.

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Speaker 1: Going to have the better camp, Bryce Mitchell or a

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Normaga Metof fight exact exactly. What do you thinks to

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be more prepared? And then the other thing is if

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there's a close round, who do you think they're going

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to give the round to the the Nurga Metof or

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Bryce Mitchell is like, I'm coming over there to destroy

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the sinners. So it's a wild card. It's a wild card.

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But yes, also everyone remember this this starts at nine

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am Pacific noon Eastern. If you wait till three or

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four o'clock in the afternoon to put your bets in

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the pro the fights are probably over. Probably, Yeah, make

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sure make sure you get that so great stuff, Gianni. Yeah,

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interesting line moves a weigh and we're done this morning.

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I think everyone made it, So tell everyone what you

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have up for clients.

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Speaker 2: All right, steam room is in the next forty five minutes.

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We'll be at one pm. Stern going to be a

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fast one today. Just cover a couple of things. Answer

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any questions that you have over our NFL college football future.

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Since I added, go over those Week one games real

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quickly because some of the lines are moving, and of

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course we'll cover the UFC card and you'll be receiving

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a lot of premiums tonight. I already have the baseball

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package up because like I said, we've been firing early.

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I did get multiple groups on some of the same plays,

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so I have a nice card already, two four percents

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in there. The UFC packages up with a five percent play.

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So yeah, a lot of action, man, a lot of action.

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I hope you guys through some damage this weekend. I'm

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ready to go.

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Speaker 1: All right, Gianny, this is a great, great week of segments.

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Thank you so much. Good LUCKI this weekend, and we'll

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see you again on Monday. All right, let's bring in Tokyo,

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Brandon here, and then we'll do all around the world

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with some free plays. So Tokyo looking sharp as always.

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Love Love, love the Hat, love the lice that's played,

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Love the fur. Everything's popping today. I know we want

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to talk about the Phillies game, but I got to

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ask your breakdown on this Twins and Nationals, because you

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just heard Gianni's saying, like all the money is coming

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in on the over like they already know the outcome.

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All the money is coming in on the Twins. And

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I know Gore hasn't been great for Washington, but I

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just see a Minnesota pitcher that's got a six point

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twenty six ERA. What's your breakdown on this game? And

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do you know why there's so much money coming in

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on Minnesota?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, what's up, guys? He does have a six to

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two ERA. But Washington's not really hitting right now, kind

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of a problem. The Twins are hitting, but they're going

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against the better pictures. So I think the books are

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probably seeing this as a little bit of a stalemate,

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which is why they're probably thinking it might go under here.

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I don't know if it'll go under or not, but

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I'm not going to play the game. But yeah, if

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you're asking me why it's that low, that's probably the

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reason why.

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Speaker 1: Okay, all right, all right, very interesting. Well, we want

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to talk Phillies and Yankees here. First off, how's everything

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been going this week? And then let's break down Phillies

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and Yankees.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, number one at wayser talking profit in twenty twenty five,

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number one for the last five years, so things are

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going well as usual. Yeah, I had a couple of

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days where it was a little rough, but you know, recovered, okay,

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and I'm still number one in twenty twenty five, so

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I feel good about that. Tomorrow, at this time, I

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will be doing a solo show, opening up my spreadsheets,

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showing everyone how I do my capping. Usually I go

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about two hours an hour and a half or so,

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So join me. I'll be like a little DJ out

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there talking about sports betting. So join me and we'll

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do that. Let's talk about the Yankees and Phillies here though,

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because we've got Will Warren going against Taiwan Walker, and

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at first glance, you would think, oh, take the Phillies there,

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they're the better team. They're gonna crush and Will Warren sucks.

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That's what most people would think at first glance here,

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but not so fast. My friend, as Lee Krso, would say,

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Will Warren is not a very good picture, as his

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numbers show. He's got a high whip, he has a

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really high walk rate. But one interesting fact is he

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always plays these guys really well against the Phillies' He's

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always been tough. I've never been a Taiwan Walker fan.

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He's having a decent season, but still, according to my rankings,

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he's a below average pitcher. And really, the Yankees are

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only two games, two wins less than the Phillies. Although

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everyone thinks of the Phillies as this dynamic lineup, that

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this juggernaut kind of team, Yankees are just two wins

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behind them. Everyone's talking about the Blue Jays right now

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because they're so hot. But I think the Yankees have

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a chance here. I like I like how their bullpen

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is starting to come back. Well, Philadelphia's bullpen is playing

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really well too, But I think given the fact that

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Will Warren has great stats against this team, I think

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I think the Yankees have a shot here. So I'll

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take the Yankees here in this one. It's not an

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official play, but I might put it out as a

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free play.

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Speaker 1: Nice. Nice. Any teams that you've been focusing on coming

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out of the All Star Break, any teams have stumbled?

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Do you think you're in agress? Or teams that come

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out real hot? I knowics the Rockies won their first

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two series coming out of the All Star Break, which

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is hilarious because of course they did, and the reason

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they did is before the All Star Break, I said,

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you know, they're two and thirty one in winning series,

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and then of course they win their first two. Don't

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expect that to continue. But what are some teams you

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got your eye on?

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Speaker 5: Obviously the Blue Jays, they're hot. They're the hottest team

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out there. They are four games ahead in the Al East.

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The Brewers playing better than anyone hot as that, and

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they rank in the top ten in almost every category

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in MLB. Cold teams. Wow, the Tigers have dropped off

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a cliff, haven't they since the All Star Break? Really

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really regressing. I kind of expected that though, because frankly,

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they're not as talented as they were performing. But you know,

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we see this in Major League Baseball. The season is

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so long, we're going to see teams get really hot.

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I mean at the beginning of the season, everyone's talking

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about how the Padres are going to be a World

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Series team. They got the greatest bullpen, they're smashing it,

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and then they kind of fell off a cliff and

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now they're starting to come back. So teams go up

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and down. It's a long season. Guys get injured, you know.

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The Dodgers lost ten out of twelve, and now they're

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finally starting to put it together again. So people go up,

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people go down. It's gonna happen. But the Brewers and

359
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the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays have been underdogs in

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almost every game since they all star breaking. I have

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no idea why a team not hot. Their bullpen is

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just on fire and their lineup is on fire. They

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do have kind of week starting pitching, but it should

364
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be good enough. With that lineup in that and that bullpen,

365
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I expect them to win the Al East.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the team totals have been dynamite on the Brewers

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and the Blue Jays. I mean, yes, it's tough. It's

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tough because it's like by the time you notice those streaks,

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it's like almost too late. It's like, oh, now they're

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gonna grasp back a little bit. But may get some

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of these teams they've just I wanted to play the

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Blue Jays over yesterday that they bumped it up to

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four and a half, and I was like, nah, I

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can't take that in the news.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, over four and a half is tough because you

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00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:05,759
got to score five runs and you only have nine innings,

377
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so you know, you have to score a run every

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two innings. So that's a that's pretty tough pace in

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Major League Baseball. But you know teams like the Blue

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00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:15,519
Jays are hitting at almost every day.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, both of them are four and a half

382
00:19:18,079 --> 00:19:19,799
again today, and yeah, I just find it too hard

383
00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:22,119
to pull a trigger on a on a five. Agree,

384
00:19:23,079 --> 00:19:25,519
Great stuff, Toyo Brandon, you got your show tomorrow. What

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00:19:25,599 --> 00:19:27,319
else do you have up for clients over at wager Talk?

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00:19:28,279 --> 00:19:31,319
Speaker 5: You know I did this starting this week. I have

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00:19:31,559 --> 00:19:35,359
bullpen rankings, I have lineup rankings that I've used since

388
00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:38,240
I was a Major League baseball scout. And I also

389
00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:44,920
take every single starting pitcher and project their hits, outs, strikeouts, walks,

390
00:19:45,599 --> 00:19:48,880
and all that is downloadable for free on my page

391
00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,519
at wager talk dot com. I also have a four

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00:19:51,559 --> 00:19:55,720
percent play out today in Major League baseball, so lots

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00:19:55,799 --> 00:19:58,880
to grab and lots to enjoy. I'm still the number

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00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:01,319
one Kapa in two thousand twenty five despite a couple

395
00:20:01,359 --> 00:20:05,680
of days of losing. About to turn that around very

396
00:20:05,799 --> 00:20:07,160
quickly as I usually do.

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Speaker 1: Love it. Tokyo Brandon definitely one of the best in

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00:20:11,559 --> 00:20:14,599
the business as far as fashion. Love that man, so

399
00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:18,039
thank you so much for joining us. Tokyo guys, we're

400
00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:21,400
like forty people away from two hundred and ten thousand subscribers,

401
00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:24,240
literally like forty people. So if you have not subscribed

402
00:20:24,599 --> 00:20:27,640
to the wage your talk channel, please do that right now,

403
00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:30,640
and while you're doing it, take a second bink hit

404
00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:34,200
that like button. Really helps us out, cam. I didn't

405
00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:36,759
see any fireball today from Tokyo Brandon. I didn't see

406
00:20:36,759 --> 00:20:40,359
it on total basis. Maybe he's maybe, maybe he's just

407
00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:44,759
taking it easy today. So we also have our NFL

408
00:20:44,839 --> 00:20:47,279
betting special that is up for a limited time. You

409
00:20:47,279 --> 00:20:51,319
can get NFL preseason from your favorite NFL handicapper for

410
00:20:51,519 --> 00:20:53,519
just sixty nine dollars. There are some guys on this

411
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:57,759
website that specialize in preseason, so this is regularly priced

412
00:20:57,759 --> 00:20:59,599
at ninety nine dollars. You can get it for sixty

413
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:04,240
nine every NFL play in the preseason that a handicapper

414
00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:07,599
releases from kickoff at the Hall of Fame game on Thursday,

415
00:21:07,799 --> 00:21:11,240
July thirty first. I cannot believe that's next week. I

416
00:21:11,559 --> 00:21:14,759
can't believe football is next week to the preseason finale

417
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:18,240
between Vegas and Arizona on Saturday, August twenty thirds. You're

418
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:20,920
getting almost a month. It's about three weeks worth of

419
00:21:21,079 --> 00:21:25,079
preseason games. Even five percent best bets. The best bets

420
00:21:25,079 --> 00:21:27,400
are at five percent, they're normally thirty five bucks. So

421
00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:31,400
we got a smoking deal here if you love betting

422
00:21:31,519 --> 00:21:36,039
NFL preseason. I have my UFC pack that is up.

423
00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:38,119
We've only had three official plays this week in all

424
00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:40,839
sports were one and two, so very very low volume.

425
00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:42,759
Got to get out ahead of some of these plays

426
00:21:43,319 --> 00:21:46,039
for the weekend, and I believe we have two plays

427
00:21:46,079 --> 00:21:49,680
that are already posted for UFC. Got a couple three

428
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:51,720
percent plays. I think it might be a four percent

429
00:21:51,799 --> 00:21:55,039
play in there, but really loving the card. Kind of

430
00:21:55,079 --> 00:21:57,640
low volume for us this weekend. We have a lacrosse

431
00:21:57,680 --> 00:22:00,480
best bet that is up. We have those twof he plays,

432
00:22:00,519 --> 00:22:02,640
so that's kind of where we're where we're looking. It's

433
00:22:02,759 --> 00:22:04,640
it's not been a great week for us, but one

434
00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:06,839
and two just need a couple more wins and we'll

435
00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:09,480
be back on back on the show. Thank you, Tokyo.

436
00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,240
I appreciate it all. Andy, you are awesome at hosting.

437
00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:17,200
Flattery will get you everywhere on this show. I promise

438
00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:19,799
you that. So you know what Ronald is waiting. So

439
00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:22,279
let's let's bring Ronald in and do w NBA. I see,

440
00:22:22,319 --> 00:22:23,920
we got the graphic ready. Then we'll do all around

441
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:25,640
the World. We got a busy all around the world.

442
00:22:26,079 --> 00:22:28,200
We got four free plays coming up. But Ronald, let's

443
00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:31,119
talk a little w n b A. How are you?

444
00:22:31,759 --> 00:22:33,960
I hope you got a big weekend planned? How have

445
00:22:34,039 --> 00:22:38,880
you been this week? Muted? Mute?

446
00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:39,119
Speaker 4: Died?

447
00:22:39,519 --> 00:22:41,640
Speaker 1: Everyone take a drink, Everyone take a drink. If so,

448
00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:48,119
someone starts talking, someone starts talking and they're muted. Oh, Ronald, Ronald,

449
00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:52,319
all right, let's do it in the world. Andy, all right, well,

450
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:54,279
let's do all around the world. But Ronald gets his

451
00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:59,119
microphone fixed. All right, hey, ty Ronald, we're gonna give

452
00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:02,440
the people some free plays here. Let's go for it here.

453
00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:05,160
We're gonna go to the Rockies at the Orioles. We're

454
00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:08,559
gonna take the Rockies over three and a half on

455
00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:12,640
their team total Cremer for Baltimore over four ERA this season.

456
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:16,599
The Rockies arrested the Orioles played yesterday. The bullpen is tired.

457
00:23:16,759 --> 00:23:19,799
That is available on the free picks page at wager Talk.

458
00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:23,519
Athletics at Astros is Ralph Michael's special Nurfy no run

459
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:26,160
first inning. Astros are on a six and two Neurfey

460
00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:27,960
run and they have not scored a first inning run

461
00:23:28,279 --> 00:23:30,880
in those eight games, and the Athletics are on a

462
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:32,920
seven and two Nurphy run. So we've got two teams

463
00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:36,119
not scoring runs early in there. Marlin's at the Brewers.

464
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:39,599
Drew Martin likes the Brewers to drop the hammer today

465
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:41,920
Brewers minus one and a half on the run line.

466
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:45,839
Brewers are twelve and twelve and one run. They've won

467
00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:49,039
the last seven games that Peralta has started a quantroll

468
00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:51,279
for the for Marlin's five point two to four e RA.

469
00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:53,599
We just talked about how hot the Brewers are, so

470
00:23:53,759 --> 00:23:56,240
Drew Martin is riding with those and then this is

471
00:23:57,119 --> 00:23:59,319
this is this one's special. This track is twenty minutes

472
00:23:59,319 --> 00:24:01,720
away from where I live. The Brickyard four hundred is

473
00:24:01,799 --> 00:24:04,680
this weekend. Take a look at Alex Bowman top ten

474
00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:06,680
plus one thirty five. I have no idea why it's

475
00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:09,880
plus one thirty five on ovals. If this guy doesn't

476
00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:11,880
get in a wreck, he's always running in the top ten.

477
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:15,200
I think the reason that it's this much is because

478
00:24:15,319 --> 00:24:18,440
he's His last two finishes at the Brickyard have been terrible,

479
00:24:18,519 --> 00:24:21,079
but he's been in accidents in both of them. And

480
00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:23,240
they raced here last year, but before that they didn't

481
00:24:23,279 --> 00:24:27,400
race till since twenty twenty, so a curious line. He's

482
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:30,160
in the Hendrick cars. They're very, very fast, they're great

483
00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:32,839
on these ovals and this is just a wide open

484
00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:37,200
pedal to the metal and go around in a circle.

485
00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:39,480
It's kind of a boring race to watch. But Alex Bowman,

486
00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:42,640
a top ten at plus one thirty five is smoking

487
00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:45,559
smoking deal. Hopefully we get a good qualification out of him.

488
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:47,960
So those are your free plays going into the weekend.

489
00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:52,480
Now let's bring in Ronald here, all right, Ronald, now

490
00:24:52,599 --> 00:24:57,680
we can hear you. Yeah yeah, yeah, never sounded better earlier. Ronald.

491
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:00,960
How's your week? Ben?

492
00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:05,279
Speaker 4: The week has been great, really focusing on the w

493
00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:08,279
We just have the All Star break and right out

494
00:25:08,319 --> 00:25:11,839
the gate we stayed hot seven and one right off

495
00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:14,480
the All Star breaks. So we just keep going cashing

496
00:25:14,519 --> 00:25:17,079
in the WNBA, just taking care of the small small

497
00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:17,599
market there.

498
00:25:18,519 --> 00:25:21,599
Speaker 1: Love it. Well, let's talk Aces and links. Aces on

499
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:25,200
the back to back links twenty one and four. That's

500
00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:29,519
an insane record, man, I mean, like one itty bitty

501
00:25:29,640 --> 00:25:34,240
loosing streak, but to be this consistent is pretty pretty

502
00:25:34,839 --> 00:25:37,599
just kind of that twenty one and four is amazing.

503
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:40,839
So how do we break down Aces and the Links here?

504
00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:42,920
Speaker 4: I mean that's kind of the key word with the

505
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:47,839
Lynks is consistency, right, and that's the opposite of the Aces. Obviously,

506
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:49,480
they're on the second leg go back to back games.

507
00:25:49,519 --> 00:25:54,079
They did lose yesterday. You talk about inconsistencies. They're on

508
00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:56,839
a pretty decent run. Right before the All Star break,

509
00:25:56,880 --> 00:26:01,559
they had three straight wins. They beat Atlanta fifteen. Like

510
00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:05,119
I said, they ended up losing yesterday without Kaitlyn Clark

511
00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:07,680
for the fever. I mean, I didn't think they were

512
00:26:07,839 --> 00:26:10,400
going to look ahead to this game here today, but

513
00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:13,039
the way that they looked yesterday, that's kind of like

514
00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:15,880
what it seems. And you talked about the consistency on

515
00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:18,799
the Link side, only four losses on the season. They're

516
00:26:19,079 --> 00:26:20,759
really the best team in the league right now. The

517
00:26:20,799 --> 00:26:24,279
Liberty did pick up some players to boost their depths,

518
00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:26,000
so I mean, I think they're like one A, one

519
00:26:26,079 --> 00:26:28,720
B right now. But this is going to be their

520
00:26:28,759 --> 00:26:32,319
second matchup between these two teams here. Last month, the

521
00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:36,000
Links beat the Aces seventy six to sixty two, but

522
00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:38,279
Asia wasn't in the lineup, so having her back this

523
00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:40,799
time around is going to be a big boost from

524
00:26:40,839 --> 00:26:43,839
an offensive ratings standpoint. There's a sixteen point gap when

525
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:46,000
she's on the court versus when she's off the court.

526
00:26:46,599 --> 00:26:49,200
With that being said, I think this is especially the

527
00:26:49,319 --> 00:26:51,079
line here, the double digit line that I think it

528
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:54,799
opened at eleven, obviously moving down to nine and a half.

529
00:26:54,839 --> 00:26:56,599
I think if you look at os logic right now,

530
00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:59,960
but I think the Aces, I think they're two talented

531
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:03,200
too well coach should be double digit underdogs, especially after

532
00:27:03,279 --> 00:27:05,960
a loss, and with the Asia available, I think the

533
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:08,920
line is a bit inflated, just for multiple reasons that

534
00:27:09,519 --> 00:27:11,720
the off of loss second back to back with travel

535
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:14,440
Links having the best record, they look dominant at the

536
00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:17,759
All Star break with a twenty three point win. But yeah,

537
00:27:17,759 --> 00:27:19,440
I think I think that line is a little bit

538
00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:22,000
inflated both. You know, teams Actually, if you look at

539
00:27:22,039 --> 00:27:23,960
the books, teams on the second leg of backs to

540
00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:27,000
back games this season, they've been undervalued all season long.

541
00:27:27,079 --> 00:27:29,640
Teams in this spot ten and three ats so far

542
00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:32,839
this season, including seven and no ats if they're off

543
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:36,519
a loss, like the Aces are. So from a matchup standpoint,

544
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:40,039
the Links they really rely heavily on the above the

545
00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:42,799
break threes, but over the last five games, the Aces

546
00:27:42,839 --> 00:27:46,640
have been top three defending that area, So matchup wise, situational,

547
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:49,759
it kind of looks towards the the Aces here to

548
00:27:49,799 --> 00:27:52,240
cover the number I like it.

549
00:27:52,599 --> 00:27:54,400
Speaker 1: I don't know if you saw a huge line movement

550
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:57,200
on the over thing opened at like one fifty seven,

551
00:27:57,279 --> 00:27:59,160
that's all the way up to almost one sixty two

552
00:27:59,599 --> 00:28:02,759
sixty one and a half, any value in playing over

553
00:28:02,839 --> 00:28:04,920
at this point or has all the all the value

554
00:28:04,920 --> 00:28:05,480
been taken out?

555
00:28:06,279 --> 00:28:08,079
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I think the value is taken now.

556
00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:10,440
I honestly think it's going in the wrong direction. And

557
00:28:10,559 --> 00:28:12,559
we see this a lot, especially in the small markets.

558
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:16,279
You know, people betting a specific way. I think with

559
00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:18,200
the there's a lot of things kind of to me

560
00:28:18,319 --> 00:28:22,960
pointing towards the under trend wise, matchup wise, situational. If

561
00:28:23,000 --> 00:28:24,880
you look at the links, they're eight four and one

562
00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:27,359
to the underwent playing at home. If you look at

563
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:30,319
the aces, uh, there's six and oh to the under

564
00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:32,920
as underdogs. So they show up defensively in this situation.

565
00:28:33,079 --> 00:28:35,880
And off of these losses to Becky, Hemmon really gets

566
00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:39,839
their their team going aces on the road after a

567
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:42,519
loss six and oh to the under as underdogs, after

568
00:28:42,559 --> 00:28:44,400
a loss three o to the under. And I mentioned

569
00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:48,440
defensively because in all those games their opponents stayed under

570
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:50,400
their team total. They just show up in this situation,

571
00:28:50,599 --> 00:28:52,960
so I actually think it's going in the wrong direction.

572
00:28:53,079 --> 00:28:56,640
Coach Hemman gets them back on track defensively here love it.

573
00:28:57,200 --> 00:29:00,279
Speaker 1: I have a new retirement plan. It's to be on

574
00:29:00,359 --> 00:29:03,160
the Chicago Sky team total under. When Angel Reese is

575
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:06,119
not in the line. Yeah, twenty six points at halftime

576
00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:09,640
last night, Ronald Yeah, Like it's crazy to say, but

577
00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:13,039
when Angel Reese isn't playing the Chicago Sky or terrible

578
00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:17,480
on offense, that's not really the narrative. But I mean numbers,

579
00:29:17,599 --> 00:29:19,880
the numbers don't lie when she's not in there. They

580
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:21,640
are terrible on offense.

581
00:29:22,319 --> 00:29:24,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean that those second chance opportunities are huge

582
00:29:24,920 --> 00:29:27,160
for them. Whether she's making the lamps or not, she

583
00:29:27,279 --> 00:29:31,279
gives them more opportunities to score. So yeah, that's a

584
00:29:31,319 --> 00:29:33,799
big loss for them. I know. Obviously Cardoso does her thing,

585
00:29:33,920 --> 00:29:36,319
She's she's a big that that is able to get

586
00:29:36,359 --> 00:29:40,039
those second chance opportunities too, But them can them combined?

587
00:29:40,119 --> 00:29:43,920
I think it's just a big factor. So taking one

588
00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:46,839
out and the other one in it doesn't help as much.

589
00:29:47,759 --> 00:29:50,079
Speaker 1: No, no, absolutely, So all right, Ronald, what do you

590
00:29:50,119 --> 00:29:51,279
have about for everyone this weekend?

591
00:29:52,079 --> 00:29:55,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, we have some promos. I think someone mentioned it

592
00:29:55,519 --> 00:29:57,480
in the in the chat, but there's a combo with

593
00:29:57,599 --> 00:30:00,359
myself and Ross Benjamin for a one year. I have

594
00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:02,960
my own one year all access deal that's like ninety

595
00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:05,759
nine dollars a month. A lot of things going really

596
00:30:05,799 --> 00:30:07,920
well right now, number one all time in the WNBA,

597
00:30:08,079 --> 00:30:11,079
going for a third straight number one finish, actually already

598
00:30:11,119 --> 00:30:15,359
passed last season's total profits. This season, I have eighty

599
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:19,319
six over eighty six units of profit in the WNBA. So,

600
00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:22,200
I mean, if you're looking for whether it's WNBA or

601
00:30:22,319 --> 00:30:25,480
all access, I think either way you can't go wrong.

602
00:30:25,759 --> 00:30:28,680
I'm also number one all time in five percent plays.

603
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:30,839
I think a lot of people have been hitting me

604
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:33,599
up with those. We're forty two and eleven over the

605
00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:36,920
last three years in five percent place, so that's eighty percent.

606
00:30:37,759 --> 00:30:40,279
So a lot of things going really well today. Two

607
00:30:40,359 --> 00:30:43,480
four percent plays in the WNBA and those have been

608
00:30:43,519 --> 00:30:47,240
really hot. Twenty nine and four on WNBA plays ready

609
00:30:47,319 --> 00:30:51,000
four percent or greater, So today a lot of couple

610
00:30:51,039 --> 00:30:52,279
of plays checked out the boxes.

611
00:30:53,720 --> 00:30:56,960
Speaker 1: Love it. Ronald Cobang best in the business at WNBA.

612
00:30:57,119 --> 00:30:59,279
And these are the sports where you build your bank roll. Guys.

613
00:31:00,039 --> 00:31:01,400
Those are the ones we were just talking in the

614
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:04,359
chat about NASCAR and that Alex Bowman play. Yeah, this

615
00:31:04,599 --> 00:31:09,079
race is pretty boring. Those are sometimes the most profitable sports.

616
00:31:09,599 --> 00:31:13,039
So yep, we gotta cash in when we can when

617
00:31:13,319 --> 00:31:15,119
the books are falling to sleep on some of these

618
00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:17,920
fringe sports that we call it's the best way to

619
00:31:18,279 --> 00:31:20,559
build your bankroll. So all right, guys, it's going to

620
00:31:20,599 --> 00:31:23,279
do it for a great week of shows, all kinds

621
00:31:23,279 --> 00:31:25,599
of content at the wager Talk YouTube channel. That's why

622
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:28,680
you should subscribe. We're only forty or fifty people away,

623
00:31:28,759 --> 00:31:31,599
so if you do your part, and join the wager

624
00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:33,559
Talk family on the YouTube channel and please hit the

625
00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:36,720
like button. Today been a great week of shows. No

626
00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:39,799
NFL season win totals being broken down today because Dan

627
00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:42,559
is out of town and he's sharing Wi Fi with

628
00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:46,680
like four other people working from home. But next week

629
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:48,640
we'll get after it. Monday, I believe we're gonna do

630
00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:52,359
the Chargers nine and a half. So thanks for joining us. Everyone,

631
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:54,279
don't forget to pick up that UFC pack that I

632
00:31:54,359 --> 00:31:57,920
have up at wager Talk. Two strong plays having a

633
00:31:57,960 --> 00:32:01,599
pretty good year in UFC, so uh let's let's cash

634
00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:04,000
in the UFC Abu Dhabi. Thanks for joining us, Hit

635
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:05,519
the like button on your way out. Good luck on

636
00:32:05,559 --> 00:32:07,200
your bets this weekend, and take care