Speaker 1: Welcome to Wager Talk today, the gold standard of sports
betting shows where we talk to talk and walk the walk. Thursday,
a lot of college football to go over, so that's
what we're gonna focus on today. Happy New Year, Happy
twenty twenty six. I hope you guys had a great
night last night. Two guests Today, Yannie's gonna come on
talk about the Steam Report, and then Joe Rniary, we're
putting him through the ringer today. He's gonna break down Alabama, Indiana, Ole,
miss In Georgia, and then we're gonna take a look
NBA Sixers and Mavericks. Big game tonight, So no time
to waste. Let's bring in Yanni. And while we're doing that,
you guys know, please hit the like button. We're here
in New Year's Day, we're fighting through everything. Yanni, Happy
New Year. Let's have a good twenty twenty six, brother,
let's have a bad one.
Speaker 2: I'm so excited for twenty twenty six. Man, I really
am gearing in coming off a great close to twenty
twenty five and a great day to start it. Three
playoff games college basketball, NBA, NHL, and NFL just a
few days away, so we got a lot to start
off the year and do some damage with.
Speaker 1: I ended twenty twenty five with a winning bet, Luke
Cornette over six and a half points. Let's go Luke,
bring bring us into New year with a winner, Buddy Yep.
Speaker 2: I ended up winning the New Year's yesterday too, And
it's always always good to close out with a winning
day and then start with a winning day today.
Speaker 1: Absolutely absolutely, Well, let's get into the Steam report. Let's
start with college football. Are we seeing anything drastic? I
think Dan said Texas Tech ended up closing as the favorite.
Speaker 2: We saw a flip a favorite for sure. There different
opinions with betting syndicates. We saw early sharp money come
in on the Oregon side, and then we saw a
lot of late sharp money come in on Texas Tech.
Public seems to be heavier on Oregon. Some books that
I spoke to have a lot of exposure on Oregon,
others not so much. I got down orally on Oregon.
I took a bad number. I think we took the
money line at like minus one twenty one, twenty five.
So obviously I'm hoping to be the product of good luck,
because I could have got plus one and a half
hour plus probably one ten on the money line, but
like I said, we got down earlier on Oregon. Also,
the over under hasn't seen much movement on the total,
and that's because the sharp money continues to pound me
under when they see fifty one. So the overs getting
hit by the public fifty and a half and when
the off screens are going to fifty one, we've been
picking them off. I actually sent out a late steam
move on under at fifty one on Oregon, Texas Tech, Alabama, Indiana.
The line tells you everything you need to know. Indiana
opened six and a half, now up to seven and
a half. They went through that key number today, even
though more recreational betters are on Alabama, and that's because
the sharp money has come in on in the They
believe in this Indiana team, and why not top three offense,
top three defense, and top twenty strength of schedule, and
they just beat Ohio State a lot. Think this is
a letdown game for them. I'm not too sure. They
had a plenty of time. And that's coming from someone
who has a future on Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi. Surprised this
one hasn't gotten to seven. It probably will get to
seven before kickoff, because the risk is starting to pile
up on Georgia. Not surprising. This is the rematch. Georgia
beat them earlier in the season at Georgia, but if
you take a look at that line, Georgia was only
about a seven to seven and a half point favorite
at home in that game. They're now about a six
and a half playing in the Superdome. So a lot
of respect from the odds makers on Georgia, and the
market seems to think Georgia is the right side. I'm
seeing Georgia's straight bets, Georgia parlays, Georgia moneyline parlays, and
Georgia teasers, so a lot of risk will be on
Georgia depending on how the early games do. So don't
be surprised if you see that get to seven. I
think higher probability it gets to seven than six. I
was about to say, and right now, I just looked
at super book. They have six up at the Westgate
minus one h five both sides, So they must have
taken some sharp money on Mississippi over there, which is
surprising because I would think they have a lot of
risk piling up on Georgia. So that's the three playoff
games today, a lot of action. And when you get
these marquee games, Andrew, what usually happens is you get
more balance than what's reported early. We see it every
year in the Super Bowl, where after the first week
the books are heavy on one side, but by the
time the game kicks off, they get a lot more
balance because you're talking about the best teams left and
there's a lot of parody, a lot of opinions on
both sides. And that's kind of what we're seeing with
these games today.
Speaker 1: I don't know if this is even if you can
even take a guess at this, but Dan Yanni, surely
parlay has got blown out of the water last night
with Ohio State. Like so Yanny, when you see something
like this where you know Ohio State was parlayed with
a lot today George is generally the what's generally the chase?
Are they chasing plus money? Because we see this in
UFC if fights aren't going very good, you see the
dog in the main event take a lot of money
late because people are trying to get that plus money,
So we lose the huge Ohio State parlay piece. What
generally comes in today on something like.
Speaker 2: That, they're going to chase that second piece and now
they just got a bent more on it. What usually
happens when they parlay ahead of time with football, it's
because they likes like they like an NFL game on
Sunday that's a strong play for them, or a playoff
game today is a strong play for them. So they
start parlaying things earlier in the week that look automatic.
Ohio State ten point favorite money line looks automatic even
if they don't cover, they shouldn't lose that game. And
we call them bridge jumpers back east in the East Coast.
Those were the guys that went to the horse track
and would look for that one, the five favorite in
a five horse race and unload. They bet you know,
one thousand to win fifty dollars. And it's great, it
works because more times than not the one the five
comes in. But it's that one time that it doesn't
come in that you wipe out your whole bankroll. And
that's why they call them bridge jumpers. And that's what
you're going to get today. A lot of money line
parlays where they think it looks like automatic, like Georgia
shouldn't lose this game. And I think that's where you're
going to see a lot of teaser and money line
action with Georgia. I'm also seeing a lot of money
line on Alabama that is a little worrysome if you
like the dog, and like I said, I have a
future on Alabama. But anytime I see the recreational betters
the market offering them seven seven and a half points
and they think they don't need it, that the plus
two hundred is more attractive, that tends to worry me. Again,
Alabama's Alabama. We know who they are. But I just
don't think Indiana's getting much respect in this game, even
though the market is up to seven and a half.
I just don't think the betters are given a much
respect like the market that the oddsmakers have to because
the short money has come in and spoken. But I
don't think like that. The rest of the better is
the public really believes in Indiana, well as somebody that.
Speaker 1: Graduated from IU. I will tell you, Yanni, it's such
a mind Indiana and Alabama and Indiana as a favorite
in the college Football Playoff. It doesn't sound right.
Speaker 2: Of more than a touchdown. You're seven and a half now, Like.
Speaker 1: I'm forty five years old. This shouldn't This shouldn't happen.
Speaker 3: Never in my lifetime should this spepen.
Speaker 2: But there's guys public I respect. There's guys that I respect.
Perfect example. I don't know if you know, he's a
math guy, Ed Fang. He does really good work with
power ratings. He actually power rated this game. He said
Alabama Indiana should be close to an eleven point favorite.
Ten eleven point favorite. That's a sharp guy. That's not
some guy just pulling numbers out of the sky, you
know what I mean. That's a sharp, respected opinion telling
you he thinks they should be a double digit favorite
in this game. And you saw the market creeping towards
his opinion instead of the other way. So I got
to respect it.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just like the average joe that's out there
when you just say Alabama Indiana and Alabama's getting a touchdown, Yes,
like this is the gift, right, It can't be, It
can't happen. What do we see it in college basketball?
I know we got some college basketball going up, a lot.
Speaker 2: Of college basketball action, not the sexy matchups, but that's
why you get a lot of sharp action. I'll go
real quickly seven to twenty eight, Youngstown minus one one
and a half seven point thirty one, Samford minus four
and a half five. That one got hit by multiple
groups for some reason. Samford really sticks out seven to
forty one, cow Baptist minus one and a half, seven
forty three, Evansville plus fifteen, fourteen and a half, fourteen
and thirteen and a half. They pounded Evansville seven fifty three,
Western Illinois plus fourteen seven sixty three, Nebraska Omaha from
plus nine to plus eight seven sixty nine, Bradley plus
five and a half and five and seven eighty eight
sacks State plus eleven and a half and eleven. Again,
not the most marquee names, but that's why you're getting
a lot of sharp action with these kind of matchups.
Speaker 5: Yeah, with college football playoffs, kind of imagine no one
but Georgia Southern versus Coastal Carolina and Collage basketball at
ten am.
Speaker 2: No one cares. The only one that cares is the
sharp betters. That's why the market's going to move so
significantly with these You. If you ever want a piggyback steam,
today's the day to do it. Just watch the follow
and any line moves on college basketball legit today because
ain't nobody else bet I you Indianapolis against Northern Kentucky.
In fact, we've bet the younger in that game. It
was one seventy second went we went.
Speaker 3: On, did wait all right?
Speaker 1: Say that one again?
Speaker 2: I you Indianapolis against Northern Kentucky. We went under one
seventy seven and seventy six. If that tells you anything.
Speaker 1: I live in Indianapolis and I couldn't even tell you where
I you Indianapolis.
Speaker 3: Unless it's I U P U I.
Speaker 1: But it's like, that's crazy.
Speaker 2: I couldn't tell you a player on the team. The
color of the jersey.
Speaker 3: Doesn't matter, doesn't matter.
Speaker 1: Give us the under a lot of breaks, a lot
of breaks, all right, So we'll we'll go more into
in depth in on football Friday tomorrow. But are we
seeing anything happening with NFL? I know RJ pointed out
looks like the hope Crystal Lave is okay, he just
got ruled out with blood clots. That's always terrifying seeing
an athlete. So but but we're we're seeing things like this,
I know the culture starting Riley Leonard. Now, so are
we seeing a.
Speaker 2: Green Bay that's Minnesota is now up to an eight
point favorite. This is a tough week, man. This is
about the truth is we love NFL. It's on and
we're going to bet it. But you have to be
very selective in this week. There's only a handful of
games that matter, and you just can't can't handicap and
quantify motivation with teams that have nothing to play for
that are playing each other, like you truly are guessing.
You don't know if the coach is going to pull
starters after the first quarter, if he wants to play
younger guys, if there's guys that have incentives in their contracts. Like,
there's so much going on in the last week. There's
so many factors to consider. You have to just keep
it real with yourself and say, the market's probably ahead
of me, The odds makers are probably ahead of me.
If I could pick a couple spots where I find
some value because the public knocked the line out of whack,
I'll get involved. Otherwise, the playoffs are coming up a
week away, where everybody is going to be motivated to win, Like,
you don't have to worry about motivation anymore. So again,
I my suggestion I'm going to talk about in the
steam room is we're going to stay very select on Sunday,
and why why bleed out any of the profits. There
will be opportunities because again the betters will bet because
it's NFL. And I think that's where you wait and
wait for some of these lines to get knocked. That
a way, because once you see four or five, six,
seven point line movements, it shows that the market's inefficient.
But if you're not getting out ahead of that, it's
useless anyway.
Speaker 1: Week eighteen in the player props market, Yannie, I've had
some of my best weeks in my worst weeks.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would think the variance is so high.
Speaker 1: That's exactly what I've gone ten and one and one
in ten.
Speaker 6: Nothing so high with those, Yeah.
Speaker 1: Yeah, Well, thank you so much for joining us Thursday, Peter.
What we have up for today?
Speaker 6: Yeah?
Speaker 2: I have tonight the Rose Bowl and the Sugar Bowl
in a package. Both four percent plays are in there
for you. I have Friday Bowl games, two of them already.
Two four percent plays for Friday, Saturday NFL and Sunday
NFL packages are already up. Like I said, if you're
going to bet this final week, you got to get
out ahead of the market, and then on set on
Sunday we'll fire some late stuff in the steam room.
So starting off the year selective and looking to build
some profit and have a great twenty twenty six, let's
do some damage and best of luck to everybody. Thank you,
Thank you Mitchell, thank you Brother.
Speaker 1: Thank you, Yanni. Can't wait to see you tomorrow on
your brother, my man.
Speaker 2: Thank you.
Speaker 4: Uh.
Speaker 1: Let's let's get some loved everybody in the chat for
joining us. Appreciate j Yeah, thank you, Jim David, love
you brother. Thank you so much.
Speaker 6: Rob.
Speaker 1: I've been telling everyone I know to him the under
so obvious Yes.
Speaker 7: Rob, Yeah, And I'm sure everyone was like saying, to Rob, who.
Speaker 3: The hell are you talking about? Who is I you Indianapolis.
Speaker 7: He's been telling everyone that he knows nobody even knows
what school he's talking about. That. But dude, I appreciate
Yanni coming with a tepid tone. You know a lot
of people probably probably struggling this am so that we're
keeping it an adult adul roar for you question here
from Rex for fun. I was telling you Andy went
out last night and then I had the absolute pleasure
of driving to Lax this morning to drop some family
off the airport. So it was a nap last night. Andy,
it was not asleep. But while driving, dude, the rain
was absolutely crazy. There was some wild downpours. But that
being said, all that you're seeing on TV, where you
know they're squeegeing off the field and everything like that,
it's talking points. It's not going to be raining this afternoon.
If it is, it's going to be light rain. And
this game's gonna go at four ten Eastern, which means
one ten our time.
Speaker 3: The hardest stuff has already moved through.
Speaker 7: I'm looking out my window and it's sunny already here,
as it usually is.
Speaker 3: I don't think that.
Speaker 7: Will be the case, but we know, what do you
look for? You look for rain, you look for wind.
It's basically going to be six mile per hours to
stained wins. Rose Bowl isn't really a spot that gets
any coastal win.
Speaker 3: Obviously, it's a little more inland.
Speaker 7: But if there is some weather in this game, it
is worth pointing out that Alabama really hasn't played in
weather at all this season. Indiana hasn't either. You know,
there was a little bit of rain, a pretty big
downpour at the end of a win, but the game
was already over.
Speaker 3: It was Michigan State back in October eighteenth, so neither.
Speaker 7: Of these teams have seen much rain. So you know
they were asking who do you think it favors. I mean,
Alabama has seen none of it. Indiana at least has
seen some of it. But will really affect the game.
I don't expect it to be any crazy downpours like
we had this morning. But don't let ESPN ruin ruin
that from all the shots. They're going to show you
a people squeegee in the field.
Speaker 1: I love it, you know that. My favorite is the
wind when they're like, yeah, it's the wind, the flags
up among up on top of the stadium, and.
Speaker 3: Then everybody's betting under. Everybody's betting under.
Speaker 7: I'll tell you if they if the game keeps going down,
and I know two style defenses, I think I may
at least have to be on like the.
Speaker 3: First half over or something like that. Okay for a
team or a team total over.
Speaker 7: If it keeps coming down, it keeps coming down, because
I just I don't think weather is going to be
the reason that this game goes under.
Speaker 3: Would be would be the way that that, I would say.
Speaker 1: And you can make a lot of money with people
overreacting to the weather. We we do one thousand we do.
We do this with player props all the time. Well
it's so windy that the quarterbacks number drops thirty yards
passing and then all of a sudden lighten it up.
So uh on the the.
Speaker 7: Only time it's real and is when it's Jared Goff involved.
That that's when we truth react, whether I have Jared truth.
Speaker 1: Let's see, Uh, mine year's eve to not go as planned.
Me and my wife both got sick last night. I
literally opened a glass of wine or a bottle of
wine last night.
Speaker 3: I couldn't even bring myself morning red wine. Well I
got it's noon somewhere Andy, it.
Speaker 1: Is sitting here. Yeah, So I had a very very
lackluster I did stay up to watch the Ohio State game.
Let's bring in Joe. Joe's got a lot of games
to go over. Then we're gonna do all around the world,
and I'm gonna go on my Ohio State fans rant.
Oh god, I'll just tell you this, guys. Not a
lot of text messages from my Ohio State fans not
a lot a lot you No happy New Year, no
good luck today.
Speaker 3: No, it was a good seat. It's pretty quiet, pretty well,
the vibes.
Speaker 7: Like down there, down there, Joe, it's got to be
feeling feeling pretty good.
Speaker 3: We didn't get crystal ball last night.
Speaker 7: We are we gonna redefine what getting crystal ball means, Joe,
holy Ship.
Speaker 6: Let me just first say Happy New York. I'm hung
over as balls right now, so let me explain to
you exactly how how it went last night. All listen.
Speaker 4: I was planning on Mega, a very calm, nice snide
and then you know, the U happened and the absolute
SmackDown of Ohio State, and boy, oh boy, that turned
into a into a big, a big party a lot
of Ohio State fans that we're down here in the
South Florida area. But it's amazing the U fans coming
out big time. Could you imagine being on the defensive
side of the ball for Miami and you've got like
Ray Lewis on the sideline getting in your you know
what I mean, like larageous. Oh my word, what was
going on there? But listen, job's only half done with
any luck, you know. Carson Beck will get the face
Georgia next week is old team there and then the storylines, well,
it might be one of the highest rated games in
college football playoff history.
Speaker 3: I got to give shout outs in the chat to Joe.
They're saying they appreciate you. They know they know you
went to Warland last night and waking up and being
ready to go. I would be disappointed.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would be disappointed if you showed up looking
great this like, what the are you doing?
Speaker 4: My new Year's resolution on the The Best Betting Show
was that I would Everyone's.
Speaker 6: Like art and the press like, oh, I want to
try some new thing.
Speaker 4: I'm like, yeah, I'm gonna try some new things, like
in fact, two different styles of bourbon tonight.
Speaker 6: I'll be trying all right.
Speaker 4: That's my new year's resolution is I'm going to expand
my bourbon horizon. So yeah, whoever that was in the chat,
it was fantastic. Tasted even better watching Ohio State fans
crying their beer.
Speaker 6: It was even better. That absolutely gotta love it. Joe.
Speaker 3: I do want to hear you.
Speaker 7: You heard me talking about the weather here, wondering your
thoughts here on Alabama and Indiana. We're seeing a seven
up to seven and a half in some spots too.
Thoughts on how weather maybe affects this game, or does
that even a part of how you would look to
handicap as well.
Speaker 4: You know, listen, the numbers are clearly across the board
telling us that, you know, Indiana is.
Speaker 6: The better team on both sides of the ball.
Speaker 4: I mean, Alabama completely depends on the arm of ty Simpson.
Speaker 6: That's it.
Speaker 4: They just don't have the kind of running game that
they've had in years past, and that's going to be
a problem. Like we saw Julian saying last night, trying
to go up against that defensive pass rush there, if
you're gonna have if you dig yourself a hole, and
Alabama could very well do that. It's one thing to
come back on OU down what seventeen to nothing, whatever
that was in that game. You're not doing that against Indiana.
I think that's the problem. Alabama has no way of
taking the air out of the ball. They're not gonna
have any success running. They don't do it well, which
means you're gonna have to ask ty Simpson to do
in conditions to your point, Dan, You're gonna have to
ask him to drop back and throw the ball alone,
because I don't think Alabama is playing from in front
in this game. And I think the minute that they're
down let's say ten points or more, that Indiana team
is just gonna pin their ear back man.
Speaker 6: And that's what they're gonna make life very miserable for
Ty Simpson.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I I gotta agree. I think I you and
Mendoza like the offense and the coach gets the all
the attention.
Speaker 4: And now do you not know that I U p
U I split into two universities and one of them
is I you indian Now, damn it, it is I
U p U y a I U I.
Speaker 6: How for years they were a cash cown to the
under This.
Speaker 7: Is this is how you know that Joe is crushing
in college basketball. He's breaking down I U p U I.
Speaker 4: Right.
Speaker 6: He didn't say, He didn't say I U p U I.
Speaker 3: He said Indiana University, Indianapolis.
Speaker 7: He hasn't let's be real, has no let's let's be
Yohanny has no clue where that school is, what the
school is. They came across the GIS desk and he said, okay,
how much do I got to bet on it? Let's
let's shock be right. So you so before before we
were getting ready for the show. Uh we were we
were prepping up here and Yanni was in the studio.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 7: Girl walks in the room and I was like, don't worry, Yanni,
We're not live yet. And and Yanni just turns around.
He goes if he was great, Babe, I can't.
Speaker 6: Happy New Year?
Speaker 4: My man?
Speaker 3: Hey can I can I defend my Can I defend myself?
Speaker 4: Right now?
Speaker 1: Do you know how many college? Do you know how
many colleges there are in in Indiana? Jimmy colleges?
Speaker 6: Yes? Three? Well, now four because I U p U,
I S FLA. So how many now do you know?
Do you know?
Speaker 1: There's seventy?
Speaker 6: Oh my seventy.
Speaker 1: That's what I'm telling you that When he when he
said that, I was like, is that is that one
of these other colleges I've never heard of? We have
like these little colleges everywhere.
Speaker 7: There's seventy colleges, like seventy America on campus.
Speaker 6: Yes we have we have.
Speaker 1: We have a ton of them. We have a ton
of them, all right, Joe, we got to get to
this next game.
Speaker 6: Doesn't have a.
Speaker 7: Way.
Speaker 3: I'm just sponsoring a bowl game.
Speaker 6: I'm sponsoring.
Speaker 1: Let's talk this Old Miss Georgia game. Uh we we
We had a lot of fun with with Lane Kiffin
this year, but now Ole Miss is gonna have to
You know, they got a tough task here. Georgia minus
six and a half over under fifty five. I don't
know this Old Miss team chip on shoulder like I'm
sure they do.
Speaker 3: You see.
Speaker 4: The problem that I have with this game is that
what we were six and a half, I think to
open starting to see maybe a six popping up here
or there too, But it's kind of stayed steady, even
though all the tickets and all the money that I've
seen has come in on Georgia, and yet I don't
think we've ever hit seven or more. So it's kind
of just hanging out at this six and a half,
and I think the public is all over Georgia. I
do think the sharps are on Old Miss at this point.
But to me, the problem with this game is I
have no idea how much not having Lane Kiffin is
going to affect the Old Miss offense. I don't know,
And Tulane wasn't going to give us any indication of
whether or not that was a problem. I mean they
got five hundred and fourteen yards. They were almost eight
yards of play. But that's Tulane. I mean, now you're
going up against the Georgia defense and Kirby Smart much
better coached. I don't know how to quantify not having
Layne Kiffen and his offensive acumen on that sideline for
this team because we haven't seen them, not you know,
go up against a you know, an.
Speaker 6: Equal or better team and what do they do. I
don't know what they're gonna do.
Speaker 4: I mean, every part of the things don't better against
Kirby Smart in this spot.
Speaker 6: But I if it gets the seven, I'll have no
choice but to take old miss.
Speaker 4: But right now, I figure I'll wait as long as
possible up to kick off to see exactly where the
market goes and will there be any value by the
time we get there, because you know, you know there's
gonna be some money coming in on Georgia lad here
as well.
Speaker 1: Yeah, most likely it's a stay away these games today.
I just I want to watch, you know, I'm not
I'm not really involved with him. I just I just
want to be I just want to watch them so
so Joe, we're gonna break down an NBA. But then
so we do a segment WTF or LFG. It's when
Dan gives out a play and we say LFG if
we think it's gonna in WTF if we think it's
gonna lose. Dan doesn't have one today, but I have
one in the Miami Heat game. So Joe, want you
to stick around and we'll go over that one. But
let's talk n B A here we got Uh, I'm
laughing because we have embiid and Anthony Davis on the
same Gordon tonight. What are the odds they both finished
the game?
Speaker 6: Uh? Great prop?
Speaker 4: And what what is the how long before Anthony Davis
or NB get hurt?
Speaker 2: Uh?
Speaker 6: Two and a half minutes. I still don't know how.
Speaker 4: He pulled his groin against Golden State on Christmas, Like
I have no idea on Christmas how he hurt himself.
Speaker 6: Still can't figure that out. So he's not on the
injury report.
Speaker 1: He's not even listed on the injury report.
Speaker 6: It was no idea. So dude, his total glass.
Speaker 1: Joe, surely we can get a website to do the
minutes total minutes beat and Anthony Davis?
Speaker 3: Can we get a prop on that.
Speaker 1: Please, let's let's let's talk about this.
Speaker 8: Chat just Dan, just ask the chat and have them
come up with a prop for us, and we'll figure
out whether we go over or under it, because a
lot of those two is gonna stomp it tow.
Speaker 4: The air conditioning is gonna be too cold. Yeah, somebody's
you know what I mean, They're gonna come down with
the flu. Something is gonna happen in this game.
Speaker 6: Something.
Speaker 1: All right, that's your assignment.
Speaker 2: Chat.
Speaker 1: How many minutes combined set the over under for Anthony
Davis and Joel em Beach tonight and we got to
decide over under live chat. This is up to you,
all right, Joe Philly slang favorite mites two and a
half over under two thirty one and a half. What
do you think about this game?
Speaker 8: Uh?
Speaker 4: Well, you know, Philadelphia, we know despite Embid and Paul
George and their aar P cards, uh, they actually have
been pretty decent. You know. They Edgecoleman Naxi appear to
be one hell of a one to two punch. Paul
George does, though, to his credit, he's finally he looks
like he's shaking off some of the rust and you know,
he's been very good as well. The bench isn't as
deep for Philadelphia as I would like it to be. Dan,
I'm sure as a as a Philly guy, he knows this.
But I mean, if you're gonna play a team like
the Dallas Mavericks, who it's gonna be Cooper Flag and
Anthony Davis or bust, what else are they going to.
Speaker 6: Bring to the table.
Speaker 4: It feels like if it's gonna be a game where
they're gonna exchange buckets and not a whole lot of
deal the Sixers to me, which is why Dallas opened
up as a one point favorite. They're now a tuna
and now Philadelphia is a two and a half point favorite.
We've seen nothing but Philly money overnight, and I agree
with it because, you know, point for point, I'm sorry,
I like the opportunity that the Sixers have here. Not
to mention Dallas, I believe, coming home for the first
time after a pretty nice little road trip out west,
which they didn't do all that well. Once Anthony days
this pulled his taints. I don't know what the hell
that was on Christmas and I had Dallas, can you tell,
which really pissed me. Off because they even without him,
they still couldn't get the eight and a half points covered.
But I like Philly to get it done here. I
think the points are coming uh from the Sixers tonight.
I wouldn't even be opposed to maybe a Sixers team
total over as well.
Speaker 1: Oh that's a good way to attack it.
Speaker 6: I leave that.
Speaker 1: That's a good one.
Speaker 8: Uh.
Speaker 4: The poll.
Speaker 7: By the way, guys, we do have a pole up
in the chat and we're asking people over under. The
line set at forty seven and a half minutes combined
for a D and MBD.
Speaker 3: And basically all been under. It's basically all been under.
Speaker 6: Everybody's under. Yeah, well they're chat room is not there.
Speaker 3: Don't move We can't. We can't move the line fast enough.
Speaker 1: No, yeah, when?
Speaker 6: Yeah?
Speaker 1: What are the odds of the word reaggravates used in
the bar? J?
Speaker 3: R J, the the over eternal fading the public. That's
that's RJ for you.
Speaker 6: Where to go?
Speaker 2: R J?
Speaker 6: You got your shirt net? But how's that working out?
Are you ready to go? You're ready to go.
Speaker 1: Piston's heat line drops from two thirty nine six and
a half. Any thoughts Joe about your your Miami heat
they've started off the year number one team in pace.
I don't think we expected that. Uh, what's your what's
what's your take on the Heat at this point?
Speaker 4: I thought Sposter told you everything you needed to know,
uh the other day in a great interview where he said, listen,
the slower we get, the worse we are. He said,
So we're going to want to make sure that teams, uh,
when they know we're coming to town or are gonna
face us, that we've got a ton of depth, We've
got a certain style, which means you're gonna have to
be on your a game. You're gonna it's gonna require
a ton of effort, it's gonna require a ton of energy.
And basically Sposter's telling you that we're not going back
to that old way that we are. We need to
keep up the pace, uh and we need to play
up the shots that we need to put up to
which listen, I mean, look how many one hundred and
forty point games this Heat team has had. Not all
about pace. By the way, they're making efficient three point shots,
which is nice, norm pal is phenomenal, but they won't
have Tyler hero again. They did go through a little
stretch where the points weren't necessarily there.
Speaker 6: That was during that losing streak.
Speaker 4: But they've put three together, three back to back, I think,
three wins in a row. Now they dropped one hundred
and forty plus in back to back games. The Pistons
had been on the road for what a month, it
feels like, when's the last time they had a home game,
and now all of a sudden they come home. They
finally beat the Lakers to end what was a scary
two game losing streak there. But you know, I never
liked the back team's first game off a long road trip,
their first game at home yere, especially.
Speaker 6: This time of year.
Speaker 4: You know they're trying to get acclimated again, get back,
sleep in your own bed, all that kind of stuff there.
I think the Heat are the right side getting the
points here tonight. And I do agree with the under too,
because I don't think the Pistons at this point are
gonna want to run up and down the court with
the Heat. I think they're going to try to slow
this game down a little bit. I think he could
very well be a live dog tonight.
Speaker 1: All right, So Joe tell her we have up at
wager talking that I want to have you stick around
to tell me. If you think my prop is a
WTF for LFG, what do you have about for everyone?
Speaker 4: I was about to put that heat play up, but
the hell with it now I'm too hungover to type
it in anyway.
Speaker 6: So you guys got that one. Take the heat plus
the point. I am rocked.
Speaker 4: I do have on Saturday's NFL card. I got two
plays in both games. One of them is a five
match play that you have to go get. Do not
miss out on this opportunity Saturday in the NFL, and
then a couple more plays on Sunday. So I love
Week eighteen. Yanni was talking about it earlier there. If
you see an edge play the edge in Week eighteen,
and there are a few of them on the card
this week, uh with big edges. So yeah, love this
card Week eighteen. A lot of people shy away from it.
Speaker 6: I think the.
Speaker 4: NFL steps in crap once again, and somehow not only
if Tampa wins. Now we got to watch New Orleans
and Atlanta on Sunday, Like, can they get any LUCKI
yer with week with Week eighteen games, It's unbelievable.
Speaker 6: The NFL and the unreal.
Speaker 1: Well they did. They did step in it.
Speaker 3: Christmas was pretty brutal. Christmas was a little little rottle.
Speaker 7: Round and it's it's still got twenty million views, you know,
like it like doubled up, crippled up NBA saying people
will just watch Drek.
Speaker 3: I enjoyed time with my family for once.
Speaker 7: I was like, finally these games suck, Let's actually hang
out with family.
Speaker 6: Yep, all right.
Speaker 1: The LFG is very simple. This is this needs very
little explanation. Time a HAWKEZ will he make a three today?
He doesn't take very many, but he has made a
three in seven straight games that Tyler Herro has not
played in. And you're getting like minus one o five
on this one. So Joe I am saying, yes, he
will make a three LFG or WTF.
Speaker 4: And the total is dropping as the market believes are
gonna get less of a you're talking about a dog.
Speaker 6: Yeah, let's LFG. I'm with you, and he lets go.
Speaker 4: I think they're gonna keep the foot on the gas
and he could have the question is how many opportunities
is he gonna have it? Make it?
Speaker 6: Take one? Its just know it's you gotta make it.
Speaker 1: But the last five game he's shooting like fifty two degree,
so that tells you if he takes two.
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's.
Speaker 6: So yeah, I like it LFG. Let's go.
Speaker 7: Oh all right, Andy, I'm using that. If it hits,
it's going towards my record.
Speaker 1: I'm allowed it loses.
Speaker 3: If it loses, it wasn't mine. It wasn't mine.
Speaker 4: But if it wins, by the way, now we have
to take you Indy. I don't even know what the
line is, but now we have. If that damn and
we're not on it, we're we're gonna beat each other.
Speaker 1: This is all right, all right, Joe, thank you so
much for joining us. Appreciate it. Congratulating last night was
awesome for you. Have a great day, brother. Oh that's great.
Speaker 3: I forgot Yeah, you got you. Gotta love Joe A
true for you.
Speaker 7: As Rob's asking him, what's the amount of game he's
going to be ripping, I mean he was in good form.
He was in good form, and folks, you know he
mentioned what he has up, what Andy has up as well.
I want to remind you people love that special we
had going new twenty five is the new name of
that XUS twenty five special. This kind of packages daily
plays year all access any of it.
Speaker 3: Folks. If you use code New.
Speaker 7: Twenty five while you're checking out at your favorite Tappers page,
you're gonna take twenty five percent off New twenty five.
Ring in the new year with some winners. Andy, before
we get to your all around the World, what else
do you got Rocket, I'm.
Speaker 1: Gonna I'm gonna do something that Johnny Detroit, if he's watching,
I hope he's not watching, he will kill me. Do
not buy anything for me today. Here's why you Yeah,
use the promo code on me tomorrow to get a
three day pass. We have a boxing best bet that
that goes off on Saturday, and you get all of
our NFL plus our NBA and in All Around the World.
I'm actually gonna give you all three plays that our
client plays to kick off twenty twenty six. So don't
get anything for me. Don't don't get anything for me today.
I'm just being honest. Get a three day pass tomorrow
and use that promo code New twenty five. We have
a cricket play that we're gonna go over and boxing
I gotta give. I gotta give our cricket department. Who's
yon It's one guy Uh. He came to me a
few months back and said, I think we should take
advantage of these boxing markets. I'm good at boxing. I
want to put these plays in. So I said, okay,
six and one, six and one since he started, so
uh yeah, yeah, so.
Speaker 7: Only one way he could be he could have been better, Andy,
there's only one way and one mistake.
Speaker 1: I liked that he got a loss out of the
way early. I kind of like it, get a little
humbled and then and then right into the like right
into the big winning streak. So yeah, so don't get
anything from me today. I'm gonna tell you what we
have up today. Two small plays. Let's do all around. Actually,
let's do the uh, let's do the Happy New Year.
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, this this, this is this is a gone
wrong baby. We all looked like dig A Chad, So
this one's not bad. This we made Yanni. They made
Yanni look like Pedro Pascal.
Speaker 7: And wait, let's pull up the other one because this
this one, literally a I was convinced that he's paid for.
Speaker 3: Look at.
Speaker 1: Why why why did a I give Yanni the mustache?
So Yan, you're looking at the screen. Yanni is on
the far right and for some reason.
Speaker 7: Hey, I was like, Ross looks like penny Wise the
clown without makeup a little bit. Jesse and I look
like long lost brothers. Ralph's got a smile that says,
you don't want to know.
Speaker 3: What's behind these eyes?
Speaker 1: Is that Ralph or Tim Waltz.
Speaker 3: Ralph has people driving my house all hours of the day.
You don't know why, what are they yelling?
Speaker 1: I don't know, but but honestly, Teddy Teddy looks great.
I think Teddy's is my favorite.
Speaker 6: Teddy's.
Speaker 7: He actually looks like I actually looks like Jesus. This
the Pres is what Pres thinks. He looks like, you
know what I mean, great, cheek structure, strong, six four six.
Speaker 3: The Yanni is literally Pedro Pisco.
Speaker 1: That's great, that's great. All right, let's do some uh
let's let's do some free plays before we get out
of here. Thank you so much for watching, guys, really
really appreciate you. Yeah, we mentioned that Jim Hawkes, like
I said, he gets he takes two or three attempts
per game, been shooting over fifty percent. If we get
three attempts from him today, I think he's gonna go
over that one. So let's catch that one mammoth and Islanders. Uh, Dan,
this is a new category that I'm trying to attack.
It's blocked shots and Sean Dursey over one and a
half block shots. This play is thirteen and six this
year and the Islanders well over twenty eight shots on goal.
So Sean Dursey, uh, really good at blocking shots. Like
I said, thirteen and six on the year, we're getting
minus one forty eight. So the math tells you this
should be a play and we will be playing Sean
Dursey over as block shots for the remaining part of
the season unless something changes.
Speaker 3: Cricket.
Speaker 1: A lot of you have followed cricket, some of you
have not. I'm just going to read you the write
up for this play. That way you get a little
bit of an idea of what our cricket plays are
and what the write ups are. So this is a
fade of the Royals. Cape Town is a strong by
spot here as operation Fade, the Monarch continues against the Royals.
Roils are coming off a win that flatters them heavily,
with the result largely gifted rather than earned, and the
two positives from that match are not things that we
can rely on going forward and aging, David Miller produced
a big knock and an inexperienced twenty one year old
had a lot of success with the ball. Very low
repeat outcomes across a tournament like this, Cape Town remained
the most stack squad in the competition. Loaded with international
level talent across bowling and at batting, they still haven't
truly clicked yet. This makes it an ideal time to
buy in before the results catch up to the ability.
So there's your free play. That's a three percent cricket play.
You can get that minus won sixty five on Draftking.
I have definitely locked this one in. So those are
your free plays for January first, and again, don't get
anything for me today. Use a promo code. Tomorrow. Let's
get a three day pass, especially because tomorrow we're gonna
know a lot more about NFL props. So, yep, it's
a it's a really, really, really good good weekend. So
and I wasn't kidding with Yanni. I have had the
best of the worst week's Week eighteen. I don't think
I've ever broke even Yeah.
Speaker 7: The funny thing is about Week eighteen, is it used
to be like Week seventeen and.
Speaker 3: Eighteen in the prop market.
Speaker 7: I remember when I first started working with wager Talk,
it was before everybody tweeted out all the incentives, you
know what I mean. And they're still value in them,
you know what I mean, but the numbers are still
a little bit lower. And what we mean is those
player incentives to hit certain you know, unlocked parts of
their contract that get them bonuses, get them other things.
So you know, three four years ago, even Andy that
was the gold mine was fine player incentives. See what's
miss priced If a guy only needs two catches to unlock,
you know, one hundred thousand, two hundred thousand, three hundred
thousand dollars, usually the quarterback is going to force the
ball to him in week eighteen, even in meaningful games,
and there still is some value to it. But I
will say it's certainly priced in more than it was
than even just a few years ago. And that's what
we've seen with the prop market for sure, just across
all sports.
Speaker 1: Like the perfect example was last year Mike Evans to
continue one thousand thousand yards season, he needed like eighty
one yards to get to a thousand, and the books
put his prop at.
Speaker 3: Like eighty nine exact.
Speaker 1: So it was like, and guess what, he got to
a thousand yards but he went under exactly like the
books know this. That's why you have to wait until
almost the last minute to get some of these props.
So yeah, I have the incentive thing like it was.
It was one of those things where you had the
advantage over the books and I just don't think you do.
Maybe I'll have one or two, but yeah, you know,
we look we look in in the other ways. So
all right, Dan, thank you so much.
Speaker 2: I still believe you had to drive to the airport.
Speaker 3: You didn't tell me Affee coffee Andy. I well, I
didn't know that.
Speaker 7: I didn't know until the until about halfway through last
night that we were like, oh okay, we're also going
to drive people to the airport after we all night.
Speaker 3: It was a good time, dude, they did. They did
have me up on the stage. I did brock out
a little all the Small Things from Blake one eighty two.
I shot you so enjoyed the videos.
Speaker 7: It was.
Speaker 3: It was a good time.
Speaker 1: Good we'll post that on your social media. Dan rocking
out to all the small Things.
Speaker 3: It's so cool. It's so cool.
Speaker 7: I'll put it up at Newby Talks is where here
I'll throw up on the way out Andy, where people
where people can follow us at at Bump.
Speaker 3: Sports over here at Newby Talks. And Happy New Year everybody.
Speaker 7: This is uh Andy, Andy, a little bit under the weather,
me on about two hours of sleep and we're still
here for you and about a thousand of you joined us,
so we appreciate you. Happy New Year everyone, and we'll
rocking tomorrow. And Andy always a pleasure man. Let's get
it twenty twenty six, the year of Dan and Andy,
Dandy on the show.
Speaker 1: Off and running Baby good luck. I know your bets today,
Football Friday tomorrow. Don't miss Football Friday tomorrow. It's always
our biggest and best show of the week, coming rocking
with Yanni, Marco, Teddy, all the usual suspects. Dan and
I got a very difficult task to do the Pick
five super Contest.
Speaker 2: This was.
Speaker 3: This one's gonna be tough.
Speaker 1: So let's catch some bets. Let's let's start off twenty
twenty six on our winning ways and let's get big
on Football Friday. Thank you so much for joining. Please
hit the like button. It really really helps us out.
Have a great new year's day. We'll see tomorrow. Take
care