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Speaker 1: All right, welcome in to the best betting show ever

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on the Wednesday, also known as the Calm before the Storm.

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Joe and are alongside Art to Caesar, Double r one

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l Steve Merrill. He'll be joining us a little bit later.

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We've got updates galore for you here. We also have

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some best bets today, great college basketball card, great NBA card,

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the final big night of the NHL before we get

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to the Olympics, and Art before we dive into that.

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Speaking of the Olympics, it's an interesting time of year, right,

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We're about to say goodbye to football coming up on Sunday.

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But you and I were just laughing. Pitchers and catchers

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are reporting in seven days, which means Major League Baseball

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is just around the corner. The Olympics. I don't know

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what kind of action you guys get at the Westgate there.

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I know there's total gold medals, total metal count seems

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to be something popular among the public looking that way here.

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But what is coming up here in the foreseeable future.

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We all know about March Madness, but it feels like

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we got a lot of other things happening over the

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next month or so.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we definitely do Obviously college basketball will take you know,

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it'll be front and center. I mean, obviously you have

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conference tournaments coming up leading into March Madness. There's a

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bunch of conference tournaments that are actually in Vegas, so

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there's a real good buzz in town when that happens.

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You know, NBA will go on their All Star break,

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They'll be all for a week, like you said, NHL

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off for a handful of weeks here, So yeah, it

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really starts to become We start to look towards spring,

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we start to get geared up for the playoffs in

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the big sports. You mentioned baseball. We put up our

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win totals and make the playoffs yesterday, So we try

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to have that available for Super Bowl weekend, figuring there's

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gonna be a ton of people in town, a ton

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of people looking to bet some major League baseball stuff.

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Speaker 3: So that's why we put that up this week.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I love that baseball is here. We're all baseball classics.

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Speaker 1: So we got a lot going on here with the

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show and in the betting world over the next month.

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Just because football goes away art doesn't mean that the

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profits have to stop.

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Speaker 4: Here.

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Speaker 1: Still a lot of ways to get some action including

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the waste Management open this week. I would imagine, like

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you do every year, the whole cross sports you know,

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parlays and those things happening, everything tied in to the

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big game on Sunday, and the waste Management opened not

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and actually not a bad way to look at it too,

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if you can get any action on that.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, listen, the crossboard props have I want

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to say, they've died down a little bit. They aren't

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as popular as they were maybe five ten years ago,

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but we still have a nice little sheet or two

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on that. Try to connect as much as we can to.

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Like you said, the waste open, the NBA a little

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bit of NA so we try to incorporate as much

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as we can on that. And those are ones that

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I think people just try to have a lot more

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fun with. Even even the sharps don't really bet those shows,

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you know, it's not like it's a real sharp market

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for that. So those are more talking points I would say.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and here it is, keep it simple for you,

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Scottie Scheffler, with whoever you like to win the game? Done, Okay,

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cash the ticket, it's good, it's good to go. All right,

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There's no point even discussing it here. All right, let's

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talk about the Super Bowl moves if any so far?

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Art you still figure you're about a day or so

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away from really start. I don't necessarily the volume, I

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guess more than anything else, right, you're gonna really start

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to see the amount of bets pick up. But as

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far as the big you know, the six figure wagers,

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the kinds of bets that move these lines here, still

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what a couple of days away?

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Speaker 4: You think?

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Speaker 2: Still a couple of days. So wait, don't get me wrong.

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We'll get some stuff tomorrow from the public, you know.

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But I think once you hit Friday, people have gotten

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into town. You start to see a little bit of

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buzz in the sports book, people lining up, people signing

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up for the app, people trying to, you know, figure

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out what's going on with the big game. That's really

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going to hit Friday. I would say, Friday afternoon you'll

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really start to rock and roll. That bet ticker will

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be on fire with bets left and right. And you're right,

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I mean, listen, the fifty hundred thousand dollars bet coming

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off the street could come at any time, It could

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come today. It just you know, depends when that person

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feels they want to come in and make the bet.

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As I mentioned yesterday, we're minus five forty five and

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a half, still the highest.

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Speaker 3: Like I said, I've.

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Speaker 2: Seen on our money line plus two dollars if you

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want to take a shot with New England there. But

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really hasn't been much movement here over these last couple

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of days side in total.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's interesting because I'm still seeing art. We're still

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seeing I'm seeing more foreign and a halfs across the

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board than we did yesterday.

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Speaker 4: Still a handful of fives.

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Speaker 1: Like you guys at the West Gate seeing a lot

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more forty fives too than we did yesterday across the board.

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Speaker 4: How regional do you think this is? Too? Art?

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Speaker 1: Because I gotta imagine the East Coast sports books probably

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shaded a little closer to New England because they got

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to figure that that's where the money is coming in,

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and maybe, you know, you guys on the west side

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here a little more shaded towards Seattle. Is there a

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big regional difference you think in this game with these numbers?

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Speaker 5: There could be?

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Speaker 2: And I think there where you're probably gonna find that

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is the money line, you know, maybe a lot lower

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you know, the plus one eighties plus one eighty fives

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on New England, and like I said, we're sitting two dollars.

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That's a big difference. You know, fifteen to twenty cents

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on a money line is a huge difference. So maybe

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that's some you know, there's something to that. Like I

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said when I talked about the money line yesterday, for us,

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it was just a price discovery thing.

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Speaker 3: What is going to be the high point? And nobody

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has taken that yet.

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Speaker 4: I don't know.

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Speaker 3: Do we even get higher? Do we dare go to

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fifty two ten? I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I think we'll see over these next couple

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of days what happens. Obviously, too, we have to monitor

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the market. Of course, we have to worry about the

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bets that are coming in. But we don't want to be,

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you know, sitting there at an astronomical number that no

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one else is at and give people, you know, a

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chance to kind of buy off a number or whatever

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the case may be. So we don't want to be

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crazy where we're sitting there at plus two twenty and

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everyone's at plus one to eighty and obviously the bets

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will dictate that and kind of you know what our

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position is, but really hasn't been much yet.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: No, And would you say it's still one percentage of

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Seattle tickets to New England tickets right now?

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Speaker 4: What do you think you're seeing.

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Speaker 2: Still five six to one? I mean Seattle, Yeah, Seattle

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is still there. I think the one thing that I've noticed,

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and maybe early we thought it wouldn't be this way.

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Speaker 4: We kind of thought.

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Speaker 2: Maybe New England would be a little bit sharp, but

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we haven't seen that yet. It feels like the sharp

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and the public are both lining up on Seattle. It

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feels that way. I'm not saying it's one hundred percent

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that yet, and you know, when we do our show Friday,

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kind of maybe have a little bit more grasp of

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what's going on as far as that goes. But it

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just feels that way to me because you know, we're

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sitting here at five and once again, these are dead numbers.

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You know, what's the really the difference between four.

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Speaker 3: And a half five five and a half.

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Speaker 2: But you know, like you said, we're one of the

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only fives out there, and we really haven't had many

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people who we respect come and grab that five or

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come and grab the plus two dollars on the money line.

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So it makes me think maybe New England's not going

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to be the sharp side.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's it's it's interesting.

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Speaker 1: I think the next couple of days are gonna tell

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us everything we need to know, but I'll still stand

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by it hard. I think if you're thinking over in this,

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I wouldn't wait because I don't see this going down,

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Like I don't see you getting a better number here.

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But if you hold off, I think forty five is

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the low level. And I think if you think that

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we're getting some points in this game, which we very

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well could art, I mean, it's not out.

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Speaker 4: Of the round.

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Speaker 1: We just watched the Rams light up this Seattle defense,

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and you know no reason to think that that Seattle

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can't have success offensively either. So I don't know I

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would jump on the over now. I don't know that

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i'd wait any longer. But at the same time, if

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I'm looking at an under, I can probably afford to

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wait a couple of days at least until you get

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that big push from the public.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, absolutely, I mean, you know our total, that's

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the one that's really moved open. Forty six and a half,

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not as low as forty five. Now we're forty five.

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Speaker 3: And a half.

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Speaker 4: I'm with you.

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Speaker 2: I think we're gonna get closer to our opening number

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by kickoffs. If you really like the under, maybe just

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wait till round kickoff an hour before.

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Speaker 3: I think you're gonna see forty six again. Maybe even Eh, yeah.

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Speaker 1: I agree, I think there's still some opportunities, So tune

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in guys here. Of course, Art will be back tomorrow

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and Friday. We'll give you everything you need to know

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here about what the odds moving is. If Art even

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whiffs a bit of a line move, he's gonna let

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you He's gonna let you know about it here first.

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So go ahead and hit that like button, hit that

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subscribe button. Guys, make sure you drop your favorite props

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in the comments section. If you want to know what

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kind of action Art is getting on any of these,

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go ahead and drop them in here, Art, because no

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doubt you gave a handful of them yesterday, These big

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prop moves, these big moves here by, and you're saying

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a lot of sharps are so far here in the

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prop betting market, So lay it out for us.

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Speaker 4: What kind of other props are we looking at here

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on the move.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely everything I gave out yesterday, today, Thursday, and

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Friday will be all sharp action. Listen, we know the

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public's gonna dominate these props and they'll bet against all

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the sharp stuff. But that's fine. We'll find booking to

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the sharp action. Kenneth Walker under seven and a half

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yards on his first catch. They took under minus one

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thirty Seattle players to have a catch under six and

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a half minus one fifty. The sacks both teams individually,

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New England under two and a half sacks minus one

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forty they took over Seattle sacks over three and a

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half plus one thirty Matt Collins. They bet twice under

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twenty nine and a half under twenty seven and a

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half receiving yards. And this has gotta be my favorite

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one because the sharp spent it twice and the numbers hilarious.

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Jake Bobo under half a yard receiving they laid under

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minus one forty and laid one sixty, basically saying the

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guy's not gonna have a catch or anything in the game.

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I mean, obviously, I guess he could have a catch

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for negative one yards, but it was hit twice at

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minus one forty and minus one sixty. I think sitting

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at half a yard is that's one of my favorite.

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Speaker 1: I love that I didn't even know he was still

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in the league. That is fantastic, Jake Bobo, All right,

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let me ask you this because I saw in the

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comment section the last couple of days. You know, we've

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talked about what some of these classic spots for prop bets,

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the classic prop bets. Every year we talked about over

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or under right, the shortest touchdown?

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Speaker 4: Right? Was it over a yard and a half? Under

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a yard and a half. And you know.

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Speaker 1: That bet has become very popular among the public over

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the last couple of years. Hence the minus one sixty

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right that you are looking at right now, I mean

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that that was never minus one sixty years ago, but

240
00:11:43,919 --> 00:11:49,799
now it's become extremely popular. What about the amount of

241
00:11:50,080 --> 00:11:53,320
people to throw a pass in the game at two

242
00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:53,879
and a half?

243
00:11:54,039 --> 00:11:54,240
Speaker 4: Right?

244
00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:58,240
Speaker 1: We've gotten this has also become art right, pretty popular

245
00:11:58,399 --> 00:12:00,559
over the last couple of years. You know, it hit

246
00:12:00,679 --> 00:12:04,080
last year just because picket came in and relief because

247
00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:07,080
the game was such a blowout, But right, I mean

248
00:12:07,159 --> 00:12:08,840
so and then and it hit over two and a

249
00:12:08,919 --> 00:12:09,840
half last year?

250
00:12:10,440 --> 00:12:13,039
Speaker 4: What is that now? Has that become also a very

251
00:12:13,159 --> 00:12:15,000
public bet.

252
00:12:15,600 --> 00:12:17,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, and Picket coming in and doing that killed us

253
00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:19,720
because we needed we needed.

254
00:12:19,480 --> 00:12:20,960
Speaker 4: To be under there.

255
00:12:21,879 --> 00:12:22,480
Speaker 3: Yeah we did.

256
00:12:22,519 --> 00:12:25,720
Speaker 2: Now listen, when you when you deal almost five hundred props,

257
00:12:25,720 --> 00:12:28,000
not one prop is gonna you know, threw the day

258
00:12:28,039 --> 00:12:28,320
for you.

259
00:12:28,440 --> 00:12:31,360
Speaker 3: But listen, we remember it because we were taking this

260
00:12:31,519 --> 00:12:33,120
stupid pickert coming in and doing this.

261
00:12:33,720 --> 00:12:36,519
Speaker 2: But yeah, you're right, that's a huge one because you

262
00:12:36,600 --> 00:12:38,360
know every year that number is gonna be two and

263
00:12:38,399 --> 00:12:40,639
a half. Yes, it's a two and a half number,

264
00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:44,399
And it just depends what's your clientele gonna do with

265
00:12:44,440 --> 00:12:46,320
the number. Are they gonna bet it over, They're gonna

266
00:12:46,320 --> 00:12:50,120
bet it under, So you'll see extreme juice to either

267
00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:53,840
side depending on how it gets bet. Obviously, you're always

268
00:12:53,879 --> 00:12:55,879
gonna have you know, is there a wide receiver pass,

269
00:12:55,919 --> 00:12:57,720
is there a running back pass? And then you have

270
00:12:57,799 --> 00:13:00,360
what you had last year? Is there a blowout? Does

271
00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:02,279
a quarterback get hurt? And someone got to come in?

272
00:13:02,360 --> 00:13:04,879
So that two and a half number is such a

273
00:13:04,919 --> 00:13:08,600
fun neat numbered deal because you get varying opinions and

274
00:13:08,639 --> 00:13:10,120
it gets bet on both sides.

275
00:13:10,399 --> 00:13:11,159
Speaker 3: For the most part.

276
00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:16,840
Speaker 1: I would just like to remind people that I believe

277
00:13:16,919 --> 00:13:22,159
there's somebody related in this game that was part of

278
00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:25,720
a trick play that scored a touchdown when he was

279
00:13:26,039 --> 00:13:29,480
oh ye have Vrabel? Wasn't he part of a play

280
00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:32,480
in fact in which all sorts of shenanigans happened with

281
00:13:32,519 --> 00:13:36,320
the Patriots and he ends up getting a touchdown and

282
00:13:36,440 --> 00:13:40,000
throwing the touchdown. So do not be shocked if Rabel's

283
00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:42,399
got a little something up his sleeve there and we

284
00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:45,679
get an over two and a half people throwing an

285
00:13:45,759 --> 00:13:47,720
actual pass in this game.

286
00:13:48,279 --> 00:13:50,120
Speaker 4: Another popular one art.

287
00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:53,320
Speaker 1: I gotta ask you about, and this one's become really

288
00:13:53,399 --> 00:13:57,159
popular over the last couple of years. The game to

289
00:13:57,279 --> 00:14:01,759
be tied after zero zero at any point, Right, that's

290
00:14:01,840 --> 00:14:04,759
another one. Now, last year it was twenty four to nothing,

291
00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:07,919
and while that there went that bet that prop had

292
00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:08,759
got blown up.

293
00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:11,720
Speaker 4: But over the years that that seems to be.

294
00:14:12,639 --> 00:14:14,399
Speaker 1: You know, this is gonna be one of the biggest

295
00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:17,399
spread games that we have seen in the Super Bowl

296
00:14:17,559 --> 00:14:22,519
since I believe it was Pittsburgh and Arizona which landed

297
00:14:22,559 --> 00:14:24,840
at seven and Pittsburgh didn't.

298
00:14:24,639 --> 00:14:27,799
Speaker 4: Cover that line either. But you know, the.

299
00:14:27,679 --> 00:14:30,440
Speaker 1: Market thinks this is gonna be very one sided. I'm

300
00:14:30,519 --> 00:14:33,240
wondering if that bet correlates one way or the other

301
00:14:33,279 --> 00:14:36,000
where people are like, nope, it's pretty much like we

302
00:14:36,039 --> 00:14:38,279
got last year. It's gonna be you know, it's gonna

303
00:14:38,279 --> 00:14:41,240
be seventeen to nothing. They're never gonna be tied after

304
00:14:41,440 --> 00:14:42,120
zero zero.

305
00:14:43,720 --> 00:14:46,399
Speaker 2: That is another very popular and a prop that sees

306
00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:48,639
really good two way action. Now most of them see

307
00:14:48,639 --> 00:14:51,759
pretty good two way action. It's rare that you're really

308
00:14:51,840 --> 00:14:54,360
buried on one side of a prop. But you're right, Joe,

309
00:14:54,399 --> 00:14:57,240
I mean, talk about a big spread, and even a

310
00:14:57,360 --> 00:15:00,000
team covering a big spread. I don't think a few

311
00:15:00,519 --> 00:15:03,360
or more favorite has covered since the Colts, Yeah, against

312
00:15:03,399 --> 00:15:06,559
the Bears. That's twenty years ago, you know, and it

313
00:15:07,080 --> 00:15:10,240
feels like these last handful of years, all these spreads

314
00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:13,080
have been pick them minus one, you know, minus one

315
00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:13,399
and a half.

316
00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:15,039
Speaker 3: They've basically been toss up games.

317
00:15:15,159 --> 00:15:18,080
Speaker 2: So obviously we're living in a different a little bit

318
00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:20,600
of different world where we're well over a field on

319
00:15:20,679 --> 00:15:23,279
that game. But that game early, the sharps hit and

320
00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:25,120
then you know, the public comes in and does what

321
00:15:25,159 --> 00:15:26,000
they do with that brow.

322
00:15:26,320 --> 00:15:28,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's gonna be fun though, That'll be because if

323
00:15:28,759 --> 00:15:32,000
you think it's gonna be close. That's a pretty good one.

324
00:15:32,279 --> 00:15:34,879
And there's more relations too with the tied at the

325
00:15:34,919 --> 00:15:38,399
half and then Seattle wins or you know, the Patriot.

326
00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:42,080
There's a lot of different combos in those props.

327
00:15:41,720 --> 00:15:46,240
Speaker 4: That are great. So what are your favorite prop bets?

328
00:15:46,279 --> 00:15:48,840
Speaker 1: Guys going into them dropping in the comments section for

329
00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:51,399
us and we'll review them over the next couple of

330
00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:55,639
days see if Art has any insights into those. While

331
00:15:55,679 --> 00:15:57,879
we also got to get we got a huge college

332
00:15:57,919 --> 00:16:00,759
basketball slate tonight. Love some of these games tonight on

333
00:16:00,840 --> 00:16:06,440
the card are at the NBA. Also trade deadline yesterday. Boy,

334
00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:09,559
that was fun. You got you got a lot of

335
00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:12,960
i mean Harden now playing for the Calves who happened

336
00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:15,759
to be playing the Clippers tonight, which is also interesting.

337
00:16:16,759 --> 00:16:17,919
Speaker 4: So there's, you.

338
00:16:17,879 --> 00:16:19,879
Speaker 1: Know, still a lot of people waiting to figure out

339
00:16:19,879 --> 00:16:21,120
what happens with Giannis.

340
00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:24,480
Speaker 4: Is he traded? Is he not? So still a lot

341
00:16:24,519 --> 00:16:25,440
of uncertainty.

342
00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:28,840
Speaker 1: But some great games here tonight and the final NHL

343
00:16:28,919 --> 00:16:32,960
slate art before the Olympics, so that Olympic break. What

344
00:16:33,039 --> 00:16:36,039
are you seeing anything in the book where you're seeing

345
00:16:36,039 --> 00:16:36,879
some early money?

346
00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:41,919
Speaker 2: Absolutely got it for all three sports. NHL ruins took

347
00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:45,200
money overnight plus one twenty five, now plus one fifteen.

348
00:16:45,720 --> 00:16:49,159
That's at Florida they're playing the Panthers NBA. They laid

349
00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:51,919
minus one with the Wolves at Toronto now two and

350
00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:55,559
a half. Took under the Celtic Rocket game two sixteen

351
00:16:55,960 --> 00:16:59,240
now to thirteen. Took under in the thunder Spurs game

352
00:16:59,320 --> 00:17:02,080
under two twenty six and a half now two twenty

353
00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:04,920
two and a half, So a big move there. College

354
00:17:04,960 --> 00:17:08,039
basketball VMI plus ten and a half at home against

355
00:17:08,039 --> 00:17:11,279
Wafford now nine. They laid seven and a half with

356
00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:14,519
Michigan State on the road at Minnesota now eight.

357
00:17:14,359 --> 00:17:14,799
Speaker 1: And a half.

358
00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:18,799
Speaker 2: Took plus one and a half with Saint Joe's at home.

359
00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:22,119
They were a short dog against GW now pick them

360
00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:25,000
and a couple of totals firm. In the East Tennessee

361
00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:28,200
State they took over one forty three now one forty six,

362
00:17:28,559 --> 00:17:31,640
and took a big under total under one seventy one

363
00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:36,119
in the Oakland Cleveland State game now one sixty nine.

364
00:17:37,160 --> 00:17:40,200
Speaker 1: I'm laughing here, bit I just gotta ask are we

365
00:17:40,279 --> 00:17:41,759
at one eighty yet?

366
00:17:41,799 --> 00:17:44,039
Speaker 4: With Alabama and Texas A and M.

367
00:17:44,079 --> 00:17:47,200
Speaker 1: Because all I kept seeing was this thing being bet

368
00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:51,720
overnight up, and I mean it was one seventy was

369
00:17:51,759 --> 00:17:54,799
it one seventy one and a half? And now I'm

370
00:17:54,839 --> 00:17:57,599
seeing close to what one seventy nine, one seventy eight

371
00:17:57,599 --> 00:18:00,880
and a half? Uh, we had a one eighty at

372
00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:02,680
this year? I can't, for I don't think we have.

373
00:18:04,039 --> 00:18:07,240
Speaker 2: I think early in the season, Joe, when we had

374
00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:08,839
who was the team?

375
00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:10,200
Speaker 3: Are you Indianapolis?

376
00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:13,200
Speaker 4: I you, yes, okay, and maybe one of them remember

377
00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:13,680
their total?

378
00:18:13,759 --> 00:18:16,880
Speaker 2: Their totals were whacked out correct, they were like they

379
00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:18,559
were like almost one ninety.

380
00:18:18,440 --> 00:18:20,839
Speaker 4: Yep, that's crazy, right, you know?

381
00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:23,400
Speaker 2: And then and then I think people started to realize

382
00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:26,720
that they were like a crazy fast paced first half

383
00:18:26,799 --> 00:18:29,519
game and then like lost steam in the second half

384
00:18:29,839 --> 00:18:32,559
because I remember putting up some second half totals where

385
00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:34,799
you know, your second half total would be close to

386
00:18:34,880 --> 00:18:37,519
like a hundred, and then you'd realize, like they score

387
00:18:37,599 --> 00:18:39,839
like seventy points in the second half. So they were

388
00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:42,359
the one who really has died down since that first

389
00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:44,880
like I don't know, ten days of the season.

390
00:18:44,880 --> 00:18:46,599
Speaker 4: Kind of crazy sec battle.

391
00:18:46,599 --> 00:18:50,640
Speaker 1: At this point, we're still approaching one eighty h in

392
00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:53,240
a spot because I tell you that the total for

393
00:18:54,000 --> 00:18:57,799
the total for Alabama Florida this past week and was

394
00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:01,920
bet up six or seven points before the tip, and

395
00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:05,920
the only reason it went over was because Alabama is.

396
00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:08,079
Speaker 4: Fouling late in the game for some reason.

397
00:19:07,839 --> 00:19:11,279
Speaker 1: Down thirty, and then they're chucking up half court threes

398
00:19:12,079 --> 00:19:15,039
and Florida drops one hundred. Autumn, if Alreda doesn't drop

399
00:19:15,079 --> 00:19:19,000
one hundred on that game stays under. But tonight A

400
00:19:19,079 --> 00:19:22,519
and M and Alabama is simply the highest total on

401
00:19:22,559 --> 00:19:25,599
the board, it'll likely get to one hundred and eighty

402
00:19:25,640 --> 00:19:29,039
points in that one as well. Is anybody running to

403
00:19:29,079 --> 00:19:32,319
back the Knicks art yet in this spot or in

404
00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:35,519
the future market your boys from New York who really

405
00:19:35,559 --> 00:19:38,720
seem to have put it together here are this is?

406
00:19:39,599 --> 00:19:42,640
Certainly it looks like whatever that player's only meeting was

407
00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:45,200
seems to have worked wonders for the Knicks here lately.

408
00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:46,680
Speaker 3: Yeah.

409
00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:49,240
Speaker 2: I mean, when we look at our Eastern Conference future book,

410
00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:55,720
like Cleveland it is, it is, And Cleveland's a team

411
00:19:55,799 --> 00:19:58,960
now obviously they just made the trade, but their team

412
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:02,279
that people have stopped betting. Obviously, people if they got

413
00:20:02,279 --> 00:20:05,279
on Detroit early, they were lucky to get really good numbers,

414
00:20:05,279 --> 00:20:07,200
but now no value in Detroit anymore.

415
00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:08,880
Speaker 3: Knicks always take money.

416
00:20:09,039 --> 00:20:11,079
Speaker 2: And you know, we had mentioned I don't know, maybe

417
00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:14,000
six weeks ago about maybe the value on Boston and

418
00:20:14,039 --> 00:20:15,839
Boston always takes money as well.

419
00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:17,359
Speaker 3: So it's kind of that.

420
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:20,920
Speaker 2: Cluster of teams that have taken the bulk of the

421
00:20:20,960 --> 00:20:23,759
money to win the East. And they're obviously very popular

422
00:20:23,799 --> 00:20:26,400
too in the win the whole thing, you know, win

423
00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:30,440
the NBA Championship future market. But yeah, I look at

424
00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:34,759
a team like the Knicks where we're gonna have liability

425
00:20:34,799 --> 00:20:37,559
on them regardless. They're kind of like the Lakers, not

426
00:20:37,759 --> 00:20:41,720
as popular, but you know, I mean every year, even now,

427
00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:44,759
they're still betting the Lakers at fifty to one. I mean,

428
00:20:44,799 --> 00:20:48,279
the Lakers take money regardless of who's on the team.

429
00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:50,880
Speaker 3: It's the it's the Lakers. They bet the uniform.

430
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:54,880
Speaker 2: And every year, if you're a sportsbook and you have customers,

431
00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:57,279
you're gonna have liability on the Lakers to win.

432
00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:58,440
Speaker 4: The championship always.

433
00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:01,079
Speaker 2: It's just the way that every year, it doesn't matter

434
00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:04,119
if you know, if you're dealing them at four to one,

435
00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:06,519
you're dealing them at fifty to one, you're going to

436
00:21:06,559 --> 00:21:09,119
have liability on that team to win the NBA championship.

437
00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:13,920
Speaker 1: The by low cell high aspect is crazy with some

438
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:17,799
of these teams here where there are especially coming out

439
00:21:17,839 --> 00:21:21,519
of the West too, where it's so yeah, dominant across

440
00:21:21,599 --> 00:21:24,400
you know, any one with OKC being the favorite, any

441
00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:27,000
one of the top fourteen. You know, Denver is on

442
00:21:27,039 --> 00:21:29,200
a couple of game losing street. But you think Denver

443
00:21:29,319 --> 00:21:32,640
is not going to be a problem for OKAC or

444
00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:33,359
anybody else.

445
00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:34,559
Speaker 4: I mean, you go down the list.

446
00:21:34,599 --> 00:21:38,440
Speaker 1: Thank goodness, everyone thinks okay C's gonna win the championship

447
00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:40,839
for the next twenty years, but you know there is

448
00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:43,519
a good chance somebody is going to take them down.

449
00:21:43,599 --> 00:21:47,160
I think Boston also, you're probably seeing a lot of

450
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:49,039
love in the mar right, it's another one of those

451
00:21:49,079 --> 00:21:51,920
teams given the recent history that are you're always going

452
00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:54,119
to have liability on them in a future market too.

453
00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:57,559
Speaker 2: No, you're always gonna have liability in Boston, There's no

454
00:21:57,559 --> 00:21:58,920
doubt about it. They're always going to be in that

455
00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:01,839
little cluster of maybe three, four or five teams. But

456
00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:04,839
you know, get back to Denver, Joe, I think there's

457
00:22:04,839 --> 00:22:07,960
probably still value on Denver. Denver to me seems like

458
00:22:08,480 --> 00:22:11,400
if there's one team in the West I'm gonna trust

459
00:22:11,799 --> 00:22:15,559
to really push Okac and to probably beat Oka. See

460
00:22:15,759 --> 00:22:18,119
it's that team. Yeah, I mean, you know, the Spurs

461
00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:20,480
are probably a year away. I don't know if I

462
00:22:20,519 --> 00:22:25,720
trust Houston. You know, Minnesota, Okay, but it's Denver. They

463
00:22:25,720 --> 00:22:28,880
have the best players. So why can't they beat Oklahoma

464
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:29,920
City in the seven game series?

465
00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:31,720
Speaker 4: They can? They pushed them last year.

466
00:22:31,759 --> 00:22:33,640
Speaker 1: I'm with ya, and I still think and now that

467
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:36,000
they you know, they just got them back, they still.

468
00:22:35,759 --> 00:22:37,000
Speaker 4: Don't have Aaron Gordon.

469
00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:40,400
Speaker 1: So yeah, by low Sell high right now might be

470
00:22:40,599 --> 00:22:44,839
a good by low point here on the Denver Nuggets.

471
00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:48,599
All right, Speaking of the Nuggets, I had them last

472
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:51,880
night getting I believe it was six, five and a

473
00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:56,279
half six in that game last night against Detroit, and

474
00:22:56,319 --> 00:22:59,279
then they they turned the ball over at three times

475
00:22:59,279 --> 00:23:02,480
in the final thirty seconds and gave Detroit ten three points.

476
00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:05,519
And I wanted to scream, But hell of a second

477
00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:09,440
half last night. There art also hell of a game

478
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:13,640
by my pick there for the parlay of the day yesterday,

479
00:23:13,640 --> 00:23:16,200
I told you I didn't understand the line movement in

480
00:23:16,279 --> 00:23:19,480
the Sixers Golden State game with Steph Curry being out

481
00:23:19,759 --> 00:23:22,160
and everyone was betting it as if Steph Curry is

482
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:24,799
entire family, like he had been cloned, and it was

483
00:23:24,839 --> 00:23:28,000
gonna be six Steph Curry's playing Philip. I didn't understand

484
00:23:28,039 --> 00:23:31,319
what the hell that line was doing, But Philly wins

485
00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:35,039
my double digits. Anyway, that was our half of the

486
00:23:35,079 --> 00:23:38,119
parlay of the day yesterday. Got a lot of choices

487
00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:40,920
on the board here today, Art, what is one of

488
00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:41,960
the ones you're looking at.

489
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:45,920
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go to the NHL and I'm gonna take

490
00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:49,559
Winnipeg got home. Winnipeg's at home against Montreal. It's a

491
00:23:49,559 --> 00:23:52,799
pick up minus one oh five minus one ten basically.

492
00:23:52,839 --> 00:23:54,359
And listen, you know this is a lot of teams

493
00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:57,519
last game because I believe there are some NHL games tomorrow.

494
00:23:57,799 --> 00:24:00,759
Ye if I'm not mistaken, so is this is probably

495
00:24:00,759 --> 00:24:04,839
most teams last games tonight. And I think Winnipeg before

496
00:24:04,839 --> 00:24:06,200
the break gets it done at home.

497
00:24:06,559 --> 00:24:10,359
Speaker 1: Oh all right, So I actually I don't hate that

498
00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:15,359
at all, Art. I also don't hate the idea here.

499
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,799
And it's a tough spot for both Denver and New

500
00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:23,519
York here, but it feels like maybe an under could

501
00:24:23,559 --> 00:24:26,400
be in play here tonight. The Knicks, outside of beating

502
00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:29,960
up on Washington last night, Art, they had been pretty

503
00:24:29,960 --> 00:24:31,799
good at the under, not giving up a whole lot

504
00:24:31,799 --> 00:24:35,079
of points because why committed to the defense to the

505
00:24:35,279 --> 00:24:39,200
end here Denver. That was a lot of energy they

506
00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:42,880
gave out yesterday there against that Detroit team. Feels like

507
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:45,599
this could be a lower scoring game. The Knicks have

508
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,680
owned Denver by the way, Art, it feels like over

509
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:52,039
the last couple of seasons, and why because they were

510
00:24:52,079 --> 00:24:54,680
able to slow them down. I don't think we're getting

511
00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:56,599
the two twenty four and a half. I'm looking at

512
00:24:56,599 --> 00:25:01,559
the under with the Knicks and Denver here tonight, Art,

513
00:25:01,599 --> 00:25:04,640
and you, my friend, got a lot going on for

514
00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:07,200
the rest of the week here. But the important thing

515
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,559
is we get to talk baseball sooner rather than later.

516
00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:12,759
Speaker 4: So will you have you'll.

517
00:25:12,559 --> 00:25:15,519
Speaker 1: Have some baseball win totals and things for us moving forward?

518
00:25:16,599 --> 00:25:18,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, I said we put out to make the

519
00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:23,359
playoffs and our season win totals yesterday. You know, I

520
00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:26,440
think by Friday, you know, we have a couple of

521
00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:30,119
days of shelf life. If there are some major moves,

522
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:33,319
some sharp stuff that I see over these next couple

523
00:25:33,359 --> 00:25:36,480
of days, on Friday, we'll have like a little MLB

524
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:38,759
thing we'll talk about it. We'll throw out a couple

525
00:25:38,799 --> 00:25:41,839
of teams seen some that have seen some support early

526
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:43,559
or you know, whatever the.

527
00:25:43,519 --> 00:25:45,880
Speaker 3: Case may be, and we'll talk a little baseball Friday.

528
00:25:46,319 --> 00:25:49,319
Speaker 1: I cannot wait, Art, and I am going to be

529
00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:53,079
at that Panther and Bruins game tonight.

530
00:25:53,279 --> 00:25:54,960
Speaker 4: Nice, and I'm gonna be in the box.

531
00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:58,519
Speaker 1: Remember in the playoffs last season where that that kid

532
00:25:58,559 --> 00:26:01,480
took a shirt off and like he was a rally crow.

533
00:26:01,759 --> 00:26:02,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's the bar.

534
00:26:02,799 --> 00:26:05,839
Speaker 1: I'll be right in between both benches, Art, so I'll

535
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:08,480
be the one that says f Boston on. It should

536
00:26:08,519 --> 00:26:10,720
be a lot of fun. We're gonna be very popular

537
00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:13,480
in that era. It should be a good time. But Art,

538
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:16,599
hopefully I'll be back in one piece at tomorrow. And

539
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:19,079
you're telling me the Sharps are already betting the Bruins,

540
00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:22,839
which is not making me happy at all. But we'll

541
00:26:22,839 --> 00:26:25,839
see you tomorrow. Man, still countdown has begun. The calm

542
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:29,000
before the storm always a pleasure, Art, enjoy your day,

543
00:26:29,039 --> 00:26:29,359
my man.

544
00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 4: We'll talk to you again tomorrow.

545
00:26:31,559 --> 00:26:34,920
Speaker 3: Joe, see you boys tomorrow, all right, Art.

546
00:26:34,759 --> 00:26:38,559
Speaker 1: To caes are always a pleasure. But you guys know

547
00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:42,200
what time it is I teased it earlier. It's double R.

548
00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:45,480
It's one L. It's Steve Merrill in the house to

549
00:26:45,599 --> 00:26:49,279
finish up the show with us here today, and Meryll,

550
00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:52,720
we got well, we got one hockey, we got one NBA.

551
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:54,920
Speaker 4: We need one college game.

552
00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:58,960
Speaker 1: If you'd like to partake in our parlay of the day.

553
00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:00,759
Speaker 4: What are you looking at here today? Man?

554
00:27:01,759 --> 00:27:04,279
Speaker 5: Yeah, we'll go one of the spotlight nine o'clock Eastern games.

555
00:27:04,279 --> 00:27:06,759
I'm gonna give you two free nine o'clock Eastern TV

556
00:27:06,839 --> 00:27:08,839
games in a moment in the college basketball breakdown. But

557
00:27:08,839 --> 00:27:10,799
I'm gonna use a different one here for the parlay pick.

558
00:27:10,839 --> 00:27:13,599
And that's the Utah Utes game number seven forty four

559
00:27:14,319 --> 00:27:17,400
at home against Arizona State. Two teams on extended losing runs,

560
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:20,240
two teams that are struggling. But I like the altitude

561
00:27:20,319 --> 00:27:23,160
edge and the home court edge for Utah They would

562
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:25,799
open around. Pick them there now minus one, straight up

563
00:27:25,839 --> 00:27:28,119
win situation. Still, I like the Utes at home tonight,

564
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,319
Utah Utes minus one in college hoops.

565
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:33,920
Speaker 1: Ooh, the utah Utes. Little Birdie told me you might

566
00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:38,880
be straying my alma mata coming up. But that's all right,

567
00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:41,079
William and Mary, you got a pretty big game coming

568
00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:44,920
up tomorrow, Merrill. Just remember it goes around comes around. Here,

569
00:27:45,519 --> 00:27:49,319
my friend, and listen, we got some breaking news across

570
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:52,519
the board in the NBA here before we talk about

571
00:27:52,519 --> 00:27:55,799
some of these best bets today. Number one, I'm seeing

572
00:27:56,000 --> 00:28:00,559
SGA has just been ruled out indefinitely with it was

573
00:28:00,599 --> 00:28:05,000
an oblique injury. It's saying abdominal something along those lines.

574
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:09,519
And of course, let the overreactions begin, Merrill, because now

575
00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:14,079
I am seeing San Antonio as a four point favorite.

576
00:28:14,079 --> 00:28:17,480
They were a two point dog and now they are

577
00:28:17,559 --> 00:28:22,279
a four point favorite on the news of SGA being out,

578
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:28,119
And of course everybody's leftovers apparently go to the Washington Wizards.

579
00:28:28,160 --> 00:28:31,799
Anthony Davis four thousand draft picks, a lot of players

580
00:28:31,799 --> 00:28:35,480
nobody's heard of swapping hands there, but he will no

581
00:28:35,599 --> 00:28:38,359
longer be Dallas's problem, and I think that's a good

582
00:28:38,359 --> 00:28:39,119
thing there, Meryl.

583
00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:43,480
Speaker 5: Yes, she had what like a finger injury magic last night.

584
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:45,759
Now it's oblique or something, but yeah, big move there.

585
00:28:45,799 --> 00:28:47,480
They went from a two point favorite for a four

586
00:28:47,519 --> 00:28:50,240
point dog. And as you know, you know, normally you

587
00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:52,599
play the short handed teams. Attention to that matchup is

588
00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:54,960
it's like the fifth time they've played this season, because

589
00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:57,000
they played in the playoff game as well, or the

590
00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:00,680
tournament game, whatever it's called in San Antonio. Hand okay,

591
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:02,839
see two of their first three losses earlier this year,

592
00:29:02,880 --> 00:29:05,680
they match up really well against them, so we'll see

593
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:07,720
if they still, you know, coming a little bit complacent.

594
00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:10,480
One thing I noticed in those losses earlier this year

595
00:29:10,519 --> 00:29:13,279
is that they shot terrible from three point range. I

596
00:29:13,279 --> 00:29:15,880
think SGA was like three for seventeen combined in a

597
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:19,160
couple games. So hard to say it's addition by subtraction

598
00:29:19,200 --> 00:29:21,640
when you're losing the MVP, but we do often see

599
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:23,880
see him step up in this spot and like you said, Joe,

600
00:29:23,880 --> 00:29:25,559
you're getting a full touchdown and line value.

601
00:29:25,559 --> 00:29:27,920
Speaker 1: Now, we had a big time, guys, and don't forget

602
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:31,160
you know, we saw this yesterday last night, Merril, which

603
00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:34,359
was kind of laughable. My best bet on the show

604
00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:37,319
yesterday was somebody please explain to me how we knew

605
00:29:37,319 --> 00:29:41,079
Steph Curry wasn't playing and yet Golden State got bet

606
00:29:41,160 --> 00:29:44,200
up to five five and a half point favorite at tip.

607
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:47,200
We knew Embde likely wasn't going to second of a

608
00:29:47,240 --> 00:29:49,440
back to back. You know, I got the whole three

609
00:29:49,519 --> 00:29:53,119
games and four nights thing. But my goodness, that the

610
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:57,480
overreaction to the news. Sometimes in the NBA, there is

611
00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:01,480
just no better edge. Just waiting to see which guy

612
00:30:01,519 --> 00:30:03,920
gets hurt and gets ruled out and just go the

613
00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:06,920
other way, maryl. It seems to be a winning proposition

614
00:30:07,079 --> 00:30:09,880
every year in the association, and.

615
00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:11,480
Speaker 5: We talk about it all the time, and it works

616
00:30:11,519 --> 00:30:14,039
best in that first game scenario. And the reason it

617
00:30:14,119 --> 00:30:16,279
works is because it is kind of last minute, Like

618
00:30:16,319 --> 00:30:19,559
you're saying, teams don't have time to adjust, and these

619
00:30:19,559 --> 00:30:22,160
guys are all college all Americans. I mean, the backups

620
00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:24,759
in the NBA can score in their sleep. And there's

621
00:30:24,799 --> 00:30:26,920
only one basketball in the court, which means these guys

622
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:29,240
don't get the opportunity when the superstars are out there,

623
00:30:29,279 --> 00:30:31,440
but when they can step up. The one I still

624
00:30:31,440 --> 00:30:33,319
talk about was that wager talk today about a month

625
00:30:33,359 --> 00:30:36,119
ago on Monday, it was the Sixers against the Nuggets

626
00:30:36,799 --> 00:30:39,480
and the Nuggets were already shorthanded. I gave them out

627
00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:41,240
at like plus twelve with no yokiics, and then they

628
00:30:41,359 --> 00:30:43,559
ruled out Murray and maybe Gordon. A couple other guys

629
00:30:43,559 --> 00:30:46,000
got ruled out. It went highs like seventeen that night,

630
00:30:46,519 --> 00:30:48,799
and they won the game outright. I think it was overtime,

631
00:30:48,799 --> 00:30:51,240
but they still want an outright as a seventeen point dog.

632
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:53,480
And you look at that box score, you don't even

633
00:30:53,519 --> 00:30:57,279
recognize the names, but guys having twenty thirty points. So

634
00:30:57,279 --> 00:30:59,200
that's why it works. It continues to work, and you

635
00:30:59,279 --> 00:31:01,839
keep thinking, well that continues to work, it won't work anymore.

636
00:31:01,839 --> 00:31:04,519
But they're moving the lines six points. They just moved

637
00:31:04,519 --> 00:31:06,400
to six points in the OKC game. That's why it

638
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:09,480
continues to work. But a lot of times it doesn't matter, like, okay,

639
00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:11,400
see if they covered it, they'll probably win the game

640
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:14,519
out right. If they cover, otherwise the Spurs will probably round.

641
00:31:14,559 --> 00:31:16,039
It just isn't a lot of in between. It doesn't

642
00:31:16,039 --> 00:31:17,799
seem like it ever ever comes close to the numbers.

643
00:31:17,839 --> 00:31:21,160
It's either an outright dog winner, the line move didn't matter.

644
00:31:21,359 --> 00:31:24,440
Speaker 1: It didn't or it didn't make a difference. Absolutely crazy

645
00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:27,920
across the board here. But we'll have an NBA rundown

646
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:30,279
for you coming up. Steve's gonna run down a couple

647
00:31:30,319 --> 00:31:34,799
of games in college of basketball. We talked to Art earlier.

648
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:38,920
Steve not a not a whole lot, obviously, he's expecting

649
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,960
more volume coming up over the next few days at

650
00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:45,400
the sports books. One of the questions I asked him

651
00:31:45,559 --> 00:31:48,759
was if he thought maybe this game we'd start to

652
00:31:48,799 --> 00:31:53,599
get some regional movement, meaning maybe the books in the north,

653
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:56,599
the northeast, right maryl might be shaded a little more

654
00:31:56,680 --> 00:32:01,039
towards New England, knowing that the public light is going

655
00:32:01,119 --> 00:32:03,480
to look that way. But it feels like out west

656
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:06,599
it's gonna get a lot of Seattle love there in

657
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:09,920
the books. It's no doubt Seattle appears to be the

658
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:12,920
public favorite, he said, five to one. Right now a

659
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:17,039
ticket count in favor of Seattle, but not a whole

660
00:32:17,079 --> 00:32:19,960
lot of the sharp bets or the bets that are

661
00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:21,640
going to move the line one way or the other

662
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:25,759
just yet, but a whole lot of public love for Seattle.

663
00:32:25,839 --> 00:32:29,079
Have you noticed the regional difference in books yet? Meryl

664
00:32:29,119 --> 00:32:31,400
would sometimes would standalone games like this.

665
00:32:33,079 --> 00:32:35,839
Speaker 5: This game's so big, it's hard to imagine, you know,

666
00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:38,039
there'd be a huge regional bias. But I do think

667
00:32:38,079 --> 00:32:40,039
maybe we're seeing that a little bit in Vegas right now.

668
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:42,039
I do feel the Seahawks of the public side in

669
00:32:42,079 --> 00:32:44,440
this game. But I don't know if it's like in

670
00:32:44,440 --> 00:32:47,000
an eighty percent rate like the Westgates reporting, then it

671
00:32:47,039 --> 00:32:49,920
makes sense that the early money in Vegas might be

672
00:32:49,920 --> 00:32:52,200
a little bit more West Coast oriented with Seattle than

673
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:55,359
an East Coast team. But I think this weekend Seattle

674
00:32:55,359 --> 00:32:58,359
does look like the public side. So there again, if

675
00:32:58,359 --> 00:33:01,279
you're going to play this game, probably hurry in my opinion,

676
00:33:02,279 --> 00:33:04,039
to take plus four and a half. In New England,

677
00:33:04,079 --> 00:33:05,839
I think you'll find more fives available, and there are

678
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:08,920
some fives out there right now. Four and a half though,

679
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:10,839
I just don't think it's gonna drop down to fours.

680
00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:12,839
If you like Seatley probably played the four and a half.

681
00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:14,880
Now you like New England, I would wait, you're probably

682
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:16,799
gonna get a five. Maybe a five and a half.

683
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:19,200
Five is not a real key number though, so in

684
00:33:19,279 --> 00:33:21,759
the big overall scheme of things, it's probably not gonna matter.

685
00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:24,680
Speaker 4: We also was consensus is Meryl.

686
00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:28,000
Speaker 1: I think if you're leaning towards an over I don't

687
00:33:28,039 --> 00:33:30,480
think you're getting below forty five if you can get

688
00:33:30,519 --> 00:33:33,720
it now. So maybe we know what's gonna happen come Friday,

689
00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:37,079
Saturday and Sunday. The public's not running to the window

690
00:33:37,119 --> 00:33:40,519
to bet an under so maybe now would be the time,

691
00:33:40,599 --> 00:33:43,240
sooner rather than later. If you're looking at an over,

692
00:33:43,359 --> 00:33:45,880
and if you're thinking the under, I don't think there's

693
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:46,880
any rush here.

694
00:33:46,960 --> 00:33:49,319
Speaker 4: I think you'll get the better number closer to kickoff.

695
00:33:50,359 --> 00:33:52,759
Speaker 5: Yeah, forty five is a semi key number. Forty six

696
00:33:52,839 --> 00:33:55,039
is what we call a dead number, very unlikely to

697
00:33:55,119 --> 00:33:57,200
land on forty six, But forty five does come into

698
00:33:57,200 --> 00:33:59,119
play in the circa right now in Las Vegas has

699
00:33:59,119 --> 00:34:02,079
a forty five. Most other books around the world and

700
00:34:02,079 --> 00:34:04,039
in the US have forty five and a half. So

701
00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:06,640
if you do like the over, i'd probably grab the

702
00:34:06,680 --> 00:34:09,400
over forty five if you have one available. I doubt

703
00:34:09,400 --> 00:34:10,840
it gets much lower, And I agree with you, Joe.

704
00:34:10,840 --> 00:34:12,880
I think this weekend they'll probably be more over bets

705
00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:14,800
coming in. Although I do have a feel and the

706
00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:16,480
sharp money is on the under here, and that's why

707
00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:19,599
it initially moved lower from forty six, and the sharp's

708
00:34:19,599 --> 00:34:22,199
obviously bit heavier, But I feel like they've already hit

709
00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:24,880
this game. If you like the over, forty five is

710
00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:26,079
probably the best you're gonna get.

711
00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:29,039
Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree on that one there, Meryl.

712
00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:33,079
Speaker 1: All right, we got some best bets here today to

713
00:34:33,199 --> 00:34:35,559
talk about in a lot of places we can go.

714
00:34:35,679 --> 00:34:40,239
I'll be at that Panther and brewing game tonight. Merrill there,

715
00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:42,840
and it's not good because he had told me that

716
00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:46,440
he's getting nothing but sharp brewin money tonight here, which

717
00:34:46,519 --> 00:34:47,000
is great.

718
00:34:47,079 --> 00:34:48,960
Speaker 4: So I'm really gonna hate this game.

719
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:52,800
Speaker 1: Tonight, But we got plenty of college hoops, plenty of

720
00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:56,760
NBA action here. I'll kick it all for us because

721
00:34:56,800 --> 00:35:01,760
I think I'm gonna look at a game tonight where

722
00:35:02,599 --> 00:35:05,840
a little revenge on their mind, and that is with

723
00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:10,199
Seaton Hall taking on Nova here tonight. The Pirates lost

724
00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:14,159
the first go around to Villanova. That game was back,

725
00:35:14,400 --> 00:35:18,639
I believe, right around December twenty third, and Nova just

726
00:35:18,679 --> 00:35:21,679
shot lights out from three. And we all know Seaton

727
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:25,559
Hall is not going to outshoot anybody from the perimeter.

728
00:35:25,679 --> 00:35:30,400
But what they will do is be extremely physical and

729
00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:33,039
they will make it a rock fight, which makes covering

730
00:35:33,119 --> 00:35:35,800
numbers like Nova right now lay in seven to seven

731
00:35:35,880 --> 00:35:39,840
and a half a little more difficult here. Also, they

732
00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:43,760
didn't have their big man in that first game, did

733
00:35:44,079 --> 00:35:48,280
Seaton Hall, But they'll have him back tonight and with

734
00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:52,480
revenge on their mind. And you know holloway Man, he's

735
00:35:52,599 --> 00:35:55,480
all about making it very very difficult for you to

736
00:35:55,519 --> 00:35:58,119
get points in the paint, and if you have a

737
00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:02,320
variant night where the three aren't dropping at a forty

738
00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:05,039
three percent clip like they were in that first game.

739
00:36:05,920 --> 00:36:08,480
I think this game is gonna be a lot closer

740
00:36:08,599 --> 00:36:11,840
than maybe Nova fans want to admit.

741
00:36:11,960 --> 00:36:13,639
Speaker 4: This game is in Villanova.

742
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:16,639
Speaker 1: They did beat Seton Hall in Newark, but I think

743
00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:20,400
Seaton Hall will keep this game certainly close enough in

744
00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:23,039
order to be able to who knows Merrill even possibly

745
00:36:23,079 --> 00:36:25,679
pull out the outright upset here tonight.

746
00:36:28,159 --> 00:36:30,599
Speaker 5: Very very interesting, Joe Vernari, I like where you're going

747
00:36:30,599 --> 00:36:32,280
with that. I'm gonna I'm gonna look at the best

748
00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:34,719
bet here in the NBA tonight, look at the totals

749
00:36:34,760 --> 00:36:36,639
play for you. Let's you know, a lot of uncertainty

750
00:36:36,639 --> 00:36:38,519
of the NBA this week, with the All Star Game

751
00:36:38,519 --> 00:36:41,920
coming up, the trade deadline tomorrow, but I think that

752
00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:44,760
often leads to playground style mentality, and we could take

753
00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:47,199
advantage with some overs for that reason. And one over

754
00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:49,440
I do like tonight is the over in the late

755
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:53,639
game between Memphis and Sacramento. Rizzley's and Kings over up

756
00:36:53,679 --> 00:36:55,480
and over two thirty one and a half. We've seen

757
00:36:55,519 --> 00:36:56,920
a little bit of money coming on the over in

758
00:36:56,960 --> 00:36:59,800
this game. It opened around two twenty nine and a half.

759
00:36:59,880 --> 00:37:01,239
Now I up to two thirty one and a half.

760
00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:02,920
I agree with the sharp money move there at ten

761
00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:06,280
o'clock Eastern in this late night game. Very little defense

762
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:08,119
in this one to night and I like the offense here.

763
00:37:08,519 --> 00:37:11,360
And we look at the recent games for these squads.

764
00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:14,920
Sacramento just played a game against those Wizards, who are,

765
00:37:14,960 --> 00:37:17,679
as you said, on a shopping spree. They allowed one

766
00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:20,440
hundred and sixteen in that game. They barely got over

767
00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:22,159
the total two twenty seven and a half. But they

768
00:37:22,159 --> 00:37:24,440
are very mediocre offense. They look for a better offensive

769
00:37:24,480 --> 00:37:27,320
output tonight. Their defense has been dicey though they've given

770
00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:29,519
up forty seven percent shooting or worse in four of

771
00:37:29,559 --> 00:37:31,480
their last five games. I just don't see that getting

772
00:37:31,519 --> 00:37:33,760
much better tonight. I don't think Memphis will be playing

773
00:37:33,800 --> 00:37:36,719
much defense this evening either. They've given up forty nine

774
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:39,000
percent shooting or worse now in four straight games. So

775
00:37:39,039 --> 00:37:42,119
two teams have been very suspect defensively. Not sure how

776
00:37:42,159 --> 00:37:44,599
focused there'd be tonight. I look for a playground mentality.

777
00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:48,239
Lots of offense Memphis Sacramento over two thirty one and

778
00:37:48,239 --> 00:37:50,719
a half. That's a ten o'clock Eastern on Wednesday night.

779
00:37:51,079 --> 00:37:54,039
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I don't see a whole lot of defense

780
00:37:54,079 --> 00:37:56,639
being played in that game at all. Here, people, I'm

781
00:37:56,679 --> 00:38:00,159
with you there, Merrill. All right, some best bets here's

782
00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:04,199
night one, College one NBA, before we dive in to

783
00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:06,800
the rundowns and go down the list of what else

784
00:38:07,039 --> 00:38:10,760
is happening here, Meryl. A lot going on here this week,

785
00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:15,280
right the Colm before the storm, super Bowl, best bets, props,

786
00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:19,679
whatever you may have, College hoops, NBA, Oh yeah, pitchers

787
00:38:19,679 --> 00:38:22,639
and catchers reporting in a week, Merrill. Always a good

788
00:38:22,679 --> 00:38:25,840
time of year, the Olympics. What do you got locked

789
00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:29,679
and loaded going on over at wager talk dot com

790
00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:30,280
for US tonight?

791
00:38:31,719 --> 00:38:35,000
Speaker 5: Yeah, three plays, three different sports, all available right now

792
00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:37,199
on my page. I do have my advanced super Bowl selection.

793
00:38:37,199 --> 00:38:38,599
I keep forgetting to mention that it's been up for

794
00:38:38,599 --> 00:38:40,519
a week now. My advanced super Bowl best bet, my

795
00:38:40,519 --> 00:38:43,039
strongest play of the Big Game, is available nice and

796
00:38:43,039 --> 00:38:44,519
early for you so you can shop, run and get

797
00:38:44,519 --> 00:38:46,840
the best number. But I also have two plays on

798
00:38:46,840 --> 00:38:50,000
a Wednesday one, College one NBA. Neither one or mentioned

799
00:38:50,039 --> 00:38:52,039
on the show here today. They're my personal best bet

800
00:38:52,159 --> 00:38:55,639
strong four percent plays all available tonight on Wednesday, and

801
00:38:55,639 --> 00:38:57,440
if you want to get them a la carte pick

802
00:38:57,480 --> 00:38:59,360
and choose, that is fine. But we also have a

803
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ten days special for the price of seven. Ten days

804
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for just ninety nine gets you every best bet college

805
00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:08,639
and pro basketball and the super Bowl for just about

806
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nine point nine a day, or the best off for

807
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the super Bowl, the super Bowl Special All Sports all

808
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809
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810
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The sooner you sign up, the more days you get

811
00:39:20,559 --> 00:39:22,760
free this week on that one year all access, and

812
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it gets it down about a dollar a play. Steve

813
00:39:25,119 --> 00:39:28,280
merrillwager Talk dot com and oh a bonus college basketball

814
00:39:28,280 --> 00:39:30,719
play for tonight on my page as well, and get

815
00:39:30,719 --> 00:39:34,400
there quicker WT dot Buzz slash sm.

816
00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:36,880
Speaker 1: All right, Steve, there you go, all right, Time for

817
00:39:37,039 --> 00:39:41,199
our NBA rundown coming up. I should tell you also

818
00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:44,440
locked and loaded NBA here tonight.

819
00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:47,280
Speaker 4: We cashed with Denver last night.

820
00:39:47,320 --> 00:39:51,000
Speaker 1: How I don't know that second quarter was absolutely nauseating

821
00:39:51,679 --> 00:39:55,679
against Detroit, but usual Detroit fashion, they just play with

822
00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:58,960
their food and let teams hang around. So that was

823
00:39:58,960 --> 00:40:01,519
a good winner for uslast night tonight, locked in loaded.

824
00:40:01,639 --> 00:40:06,599
NBA also got a couple of college basketball best bets

825
00:40:06,639 --> 00:40:08,920
that are ready to go plenty of value on his

826
00:40:08,960 --> 00:40:12,960
board here tonight to visit wager talk dot com my page,

827
00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:16,320
as well as that five percent Super Bowl best bets

828
00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:20,679
is ready to go over on our page. So Merril,

829
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:26,280
let's do this. We've got NBA rundown first, and let's.

830
00:40:26,119 --> 00:40:27,719
Speaker 4: Run down with it right now.

831
00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:30,760
Speaker 1: We've got the let's face it, the New York Knicks

832
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:33,679
tonight here taking on those Denver Nuggets, both on the

833
00:40:33,679 --> 00:40:36,320
second of a back to back. We're starting to see

834
00:40:36,320 --> 00:40:38,880
some Denver money hit the marketplace, but we're seeing a

835
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:42,039
ton of over money. From two twenty three and a

836
00:40:42,079 --> 00:40:44,320
half last night, I'm seeing two twenty six and a

837
00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:47,559
halfs maybe even to twenty seven. So maybe a little

838
00:40:47,639 --> 00:40:52,119
less defense, a little more offense here tonight. Minnesota. Also,

839
00:40:52,199 --> 00:40:54,920
nobody wants to better them or trust the Meryl because

840
00:40:54,960 --> 00:40:58,320
it looks like Toronto is getting love. Minnesota opened up

841
00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:00,360
a three, three and air point favorite and we're seeing

842
00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:04,840
ones right now, so Toronto is getting the look. Also,

843
00:41:04,920 --> 00:41:09,639
New Orleans at Milwaukee. Milwaukee made more three pointers in

844
00:41:09,679 --> 00:41:11,800
that game last night than they've made in the last

845
00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:14,480
two months. Chances of them doing that again in New

846
00:41:14,559 --> 00:41:18,639
Orleans probably none. But are we really laying five five

847
00:41:18,679 --> 00:41:20,199
and a half with New Orleans tonight? Is what you

848
00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:25,639
got to ask yourself. Boston is playing nobody, that's right, nobody.

849
00:41:25,760 --> 00:41:27,960
Second of a back to back here tonight. Houston is

850
00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:32,320
now a seven point favorite. They were a four four

851
00:41:32,320 --> 00:41:34,960
and a half point favorite. But now no Jalen Brown.

852
00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:39,039
That might be a problem here, Okasee. We told you

853
00:41:39,119 --> 00:41:42,079
with SGA out that line has gone through the roof

854
00:41:42,559 --> 00:41:46,440
Memphis and Sacramento. Steve told you I'll be looking for defense.

855
00:41:46,599 --> 00:41:48,719
Look at the over in that one. And then of

856
00:41:48,760 --> 00:41:50,440
course Cleveland and the Clippers.

857
00:41:50,559 --> 00:41:51,119
Speaker 4: Awkward.

858
00:41:52,079 --> 00:41:54,679
Speaker 1: Now all of a sudden, you've got James Harden. Wait

859
00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:56,960
till he gets a load of the strippers in Cleveland, Meryl.

860
00:41:57,440 --> 00:42:01,320
You got James Harden there wearing a clip Cleveland uniform tonight.

861
00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:03,920
Speaker 4: Darius Garland's hurt, so it doesn't really matter.

862
00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:07,960
Speaker 1: But interesting spot here for the Clippers at home. We've

863
00:42:08,000 --> 00:42:11,280
seen a little love for Cleveland early on. It's only

864
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:13,880
up to two though, and it hasn't moved a whole lot.

865
00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:16,079
The total is starting to creep up here a little bit.

866
00:42:16,480 --> 00:42:20,039
Something tells me Kawhi Leonard might might show up in

867
00:42:20,079 --> 00:42:23,480
a big way for this game tonight. So Merrill, there

868
00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:27,400
is our NBA rundown here. But that's gonna be a

869
00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:29,800
little weird, isn't it? With Cleveland and the and the

870
00:42:29,840 --> 00:42:30,840
Clippers here tonight?

871
00:42:32,159 --> 00:42:34,480
Speaker 5: Yeah? What can go wrong when you pick up James Harden?

872
00:42:34,599 --> 00:42:37,400
It's worked so well for all the other franchises, so

873
00:42:37,559 --> 00:42:39,679
including when he was the sixth man at OKC they

874
00:42:39,679 --> 00:42:41,679
blew the two nothing lead against the Heat and Lebron

875
00:42:41,719 --> 00:42:43,480
as you recall, what over.

876
00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:47,920
Speaker 1: A decade ago possibly go wrong with that? Good luck Cleveland,

877
00:42:47,960 --> 00:42:50,639
you wanted them, and well you've you got them. We'll

878
00:42:50,639 --> 00:42:51,920
see how that goes there.

879
00:42:52,199 --> 00:42:53,239
Speaker 4: All right, Meryl, it.

880
00:42:53,280 --> 00:42:56,719
Speaker 1: Is time here for the college basketball rundown. You got

881
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:59,599
a couple of games that you're gonna preview. It is

882
00:42:59,679 --> 00:43:01,199
up to what's going on tonight.

883
00:43:03,239 --> 00:43:05,599
Speaker 5: Look at two of your national TV games at nine

884
00:43:05,599 --> 00:43:08,360
o'clock Eastern tonight in college hoops, Free plays and analysis

885
00:43:08,400 --> 00:43:10,320
in both TV games for you in just a moment,

886
00:43:10,559 --> 00:43:13,039
quick reminder of my two official best bets My strongest

887
00:43:13,039 --> 00:43:15,039
plays to n I one, College one NBA are both

888
00:43:15,039 --> 00:43:17,360
available on my page, along with my Super Bowl best

889
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:20,960
bet Locked and Loaded. Steve Merrill Wager Talk dot com.

890
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:24,840
You get there, quicker, WT dot Buzz, slash sm Let's

891
00:43:24,840 --> 00:43:27,360
look at your first national TV game at nine o'clock Eastern.

892
00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:30,480
This is on Fox Sports one BYU at Oklahoma State,

893
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:34,000
and BYU currently about a seven point favorite at open six.

894
00:43:34,159 --> 00:43:36,639
It's and bet up to seven total dropped a bit

895
00:43:36,679 --> 00:43:38,760
from one sixty nine down to one sixty eight in

896
00:43:38,800 --> 00:43:40,840
most spots, But I agree with that move on BYU.

897
00:43:40,880 --> 00:43:42,719
If you're going to play it, I would lay it

898
00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,079
tonight with the Cougars. You know, I always love to

899
00:43:45,079 --> 00:43:46,880
play with Cougars. But this is a good spot here

900
00:43:46,880 --> 00:43:49,159
for BYU. There's seventeen to h straight up this year

901
00:43:49,639 --> 00:43:52,320
as a favorite, so they will likely win this game tonight,

902
00:43:52,360 --> 00:43:54,320
and while the line might look a little bit inflated,

903
00:43:54,679 --> 00:43:57,079
it's for good reason because this is an extreme focus

904
00:43:57,159 --> 00:44:00,599
spot for BYU. After losing three of their previous four games,

905
00:44:00,599 --> 00:44:03,559
they started sixteen and one straight up this year. Tough

906
00:44:03,599 --> 00:44:06,679
loss at Texas Tech has a good team, not a

907
00:44:06,679 --> 00:44:08,760
great loss against Arizona, but that was still the number

908
00:44:08,760 --> 00:44:10,639
one undefeated team in the country and they only lost

909
00:44:10,639 --> 00:44:13,320
by three at home, and then a tough loss of Kansas.

910
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:14,760
I thought it was a good bounce back spot at

911
00:44:14,800 --> 00:44:16,679
Kansas Saturday. They are down big early, they made a

912
00:44:16,760 --> 00:44:18,880
nice run in the second half, ended up losing by eight,

913
00:44:19,280 --> 00:44:22,000
their worst defensive showing of the season, though, that's another reason.

914
00:44:22,039 --> 00:44:24,559
I look for them to be extremely motivated tonight. So

915
00:44:24,679 --> 00:44:26,920
definitely could take a look at BYU minus is seven

916
00:44:26,920 --> 00:44:28,480
if you do feel this line has become a little

917
00:44:28,480 --> 00:44:31,199
bit inflated. We could also look at a team total

918
00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:34,519
Oklahoma State under eighty eighty and a half. I really

919
00:44:34,599 --> 00:44:36,480
like these college team total has been doing well with

920
00:44:36,519 --> 00:44:39,400
them this year. The free videos problem is some sportsbooks

921
00:44:39,440 --> 00:44:41,239
don't offer them, and the reason being is because they're

922
00:44:41,360 --> 00:44:44,320
very beatable. So I do like the Oklahoma State team

923
00:44:44,320 --> 00:44:46,960
total under eighty eighty and a half. Otherwise, if you

924
00:44:47,000 --> 00:44:50,039
don't have access to team totals, BYU minus seven makes

925
00:44:50,039 --> 00:44:51,880
a lot of sense as well. That's at nine o'clock

926
00:44:51,960 --> 00:44:55,039
eastern on Fox Sports One. All right, let's look at

927
00:44:55,079 --> 00:44:57,079
your other game at nine eastern on National TV. On

928
00:44:57,119 --> 00:45:01,639
the Deuce on ESPN two Oklahoma Kentucky. And here we've

929
00:45:01,679 --> 00:45:03,480
got Kentucky currently about an eight and a half to

930
00:45:03,599 --> 00:45:06,840
nine point favorite totals Holden steady today right around that

931
00:45:06,880 --> 00:45:10,440
one fifty three range and on the surface Kentucky. Two

932
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:12,840
teams heading in opposite directions. You know, Oklahoma started the

933
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:15,639
season one to zero beat Mississippi. They've lost eight straight

934
00:45:15,719 --> 00:45:19,199
conference games since, they're zero to eight run in conference play,

935
00:45:19,239 --> 00:45:20,960
and it doesn't get any easier on the road against

936
00:45:20,960 --> 00:45:23,960
a Kentucky team that underachieved this season. Off to a

937
00:45:24,079 --> 00:45:27,440
very mediocre five and four start, and then after they

938
00:45:27,480 --> 00:45:29,480
lost their first two conference games, they were just nine

939
00:45:29,480 --> 00:45:32,199
and six overall, zero to two in the SEC. They

940
00:45:32,199 --> 00:45:34,880
have since gone six and one straight up in the

941
00:45:34,960 --> 00:45:37,400
last seven games, the early loss coming at Vanderbilt and

942
00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:38,159
blowout fashion.

943
00:45:38,239 --> 00:45:38,679
Speaker 4: What do they do?

944
00:45:38,719 --> 00:45:42,000
Speaker 5: They bounce back with a road dog win at Arkansas

945
00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:44,679
on Saturday that was a best bet winner for my

946
00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:48,000
clients on Saturday. The problem is, this isn't a great

947
00:45:48,039 --> 00:45:50,760
scheduling spot here. I definitely like Kentucky as the better team,

948
00:45:50,800 --> 00:45:53,039
but it's not a great scheduling spot here. After the

949
00:45:53,039 --> 00:45:55,199
two tough road games and the underdog win, They've also

950
00:45:55,199 --> 00:45:58,440
got to look ahead next this Saturday against Tennessee. However,

951
00:45:58,480 --> 00:46:00,360
if you're going to play it, the only way I

952
00:46:00,400 --> 00:46:03,079
would play is to lay it with Kentucky minus the nine.

953
00:46:03,079 --> 00:46:06,239
And there are some matchup edges here as well. Oklahoma

954
00:46:06,400 --> 00:46:09,320
takes a lot of three point shots. The Kentucky defense

955
00:46:09,360 --> 00:46:11,840
has been fantastic against threes this year, barely giving up

956
00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:15,039
thirty percent from three point range, So just don't see

957
00:46:15,199 --> 00:46:18,000
Oklahoma hitting the threes tonight. Both teams do score down

958
00:46:18,039 --> 00:46:20,719
low from two point range. Both teams are excellent with

959
00:46:20,840 --> 00:46:24,639
offensive rebounds, so here again I lean Kentucky. I'm worried

960
00:46:24,639 --> 00:46:27,159
about Oklahoma's three point shooting. Just take Oklahoma out of

961
00:46:27,159 --> 00:46:29,920
the equation and we'll look at a Kentucky team total

962
00:46:30,000 --> 00:46:32,000
up and over. So even if they come a little

963
00:46:32,039 --> 00:46:33,960
bit flat, I think the offense will still be there.

964
00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:37,440
Kentucky team total over the eighty one is worth a look.

965
00:46:37,480 --> 00:46:38,920
Otherwise I would lay the eight and a half to

966
00:46:39,000 --> 00:46:41,440
nine does concern me a bit though this could be

967
00:46:41,480 --> 00:46:43,159
a bit flat spot, and if it does show on

968
00:46:43,239 --> 00:46:45,480
the defensive end, I think Kentucky will still do some

969
00:46:45,559 --> 00:46:47,599
scoring here, but I would lean Wildcats. I do not

970
00:46:47,639 --> 00:46:50,639
trust the Sooner squad that has lost eight straight in

971
00:46:50,719 --> 00:46:53,239
the SEC. They go a couple TV opinions for you

972
00:46:53,280 --> 00:46:57,159
tonight at nine eastern on Fox Sports one and ESPN two. Now,

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up each and every day right here on this channel.

1020
00:48:57,719 --> 00:48:58,559
Speaker 4: That's it, Merril.

1021
00:48:58,559 --> 00:49:00,840
Speaker 1: A lot going on here week, a lot to be

1022
00:49:01,119 --> 00:49:06,360
excited about. And yeah, tomorrow as well, we'll have Art

1023
00:49:06,360 --> 00:49:09,199
to Caesar back. We'll get to figure out more of

1024
00:49:09,280 --> 00:49:13,000
the the prop betting that that he is getting at

1025
00:49:13,000 --> 00:49:13,800
the West Gate.

1026
00:49:13,840 --> 00:49:16,360
Speaker 4: We'll see if there's any line movement.

1027
00:49:16,480 --> 00:49:20,000
Speaker 1: Of course, we'll have much more on the college basketball

1028
00:49:20,039 --> 00:49:23,119
slate NBA as we get ready to head into the Olympics.

1029
00:49:23,119 --> 00:49:26,719
May are you doing dabbling in the Olympics curling? Maybe

1030
00:49:26,920 --> 00:49:29,119
I do enjoy a good curling match. I like to

1031
00:49:29,199 --> 00:49:31,840
dabble every now and then, rab a swifterer out of

1032
00:49:31,880 --> 00:49:33,280
the hallway closet.

1033
00:49:33,320 --> 00:49:35,840
Speaker 4: And yes, exactly it started.

1034
00:49:36,559 --> 00:49:38,480
Speaker 5: That's how it gets started, is with the swifter and

1035
00:49:38,519 --> 00:49:41,320
then then it leads up to the bigger ice. Yeah,

1036
00:49:41,320 --> 00:49:43,079
it's funny. Every year at the Olympics, I don't really

1037
00:49:43,079 --> 00:49:45,280
focus on it. Then it kicks on and I'll start watching.

1038
00:49:45,320 --> 00:49:47,119
It's kind of like the World Cup. I'll start watching

1039
00:49:47,159 --> 00:49:49,280
a little bit of it and I get hooked as

1040
00:49:49,280 --> 00:49:52,599
a as a sports fan. But from a handicapping perspective,

1041
00:49:52,760 --> 00:49:56,280
probably it won't likely dive in just because the juice

1042
00:49:56,320 --> 00:49:58,360
isn't worth the squeeze. You hear that that, you know,

1043
00:49:58,400 --> 00:50:01,480
that's saying a lot of times because I'd have to

1044
00:50:01,559 --> 00:50:04,400
like literally educate myself about these sports for hours and

1045
00:50:04,440 --> 00:50:07,360
hours of researchs for what two or three bets. If

1046
00:50:07,400 --> 00:50:10,199
there's any value, its just But there are guys, Look,

1047
00:50:10,199 --> 00:50:11,760
there's guys that do very well with them. There's gonna

1048
00:50:11,760 --> 00:50:13,800
be some cameras a wager talk that do it as well.

1049
00:50:14,760 --> 00:50:17,000
There is a niche and hey, look these lines are soft.

1050
00:50:17,039 --> 00:50:18,559
I'm sure Art will tell you the same thing. These

1051
00:50:18,559 --> 00:50:21,199
aren't solid, sharp numbers, right and there their limits are

1052
00:50:21,199 --> 00:50:23,920
gonna be lower than the Super Bowl, for example. But

1053
00:50:23,960 --> 00:50:27,280
as a handicapper, it's hard to justify those hours and

1054
00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:29,159
hours of research to maybe come up with, you know,

1055
00:50:29,239 --> 00:50:31,639
one or two plays. But there are people that do

1056
00:50:31,679 --> 00:50:32,880
it in more power to them.

1057
00:50:33,119 --> 00:50:36,039
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm sure a lot of the hockey cappers will

1058
00:50:36,039 --> 00:50:38,599
be all over there's Olympics, and.

1059
00:50:38,719 --> 00:50:40,719
Speaker 5: I was gonna say it, that's crossed my mind. I

1060
00:50:40,760 --> 00:50:42,599
was gonna say, I do dabble with the basketball because

1061
00:50:42,639 --> 00:50:45,679
I followed that closely in the Summer Olympics. So yeah,

1062
00:50:45,719 --> 00:50:48,679
hockey would be kind of the comparison and the Winter Olympics,

1063
00:50:48,719 --> 00:50:50,960
and guys that cover hockey a wager talk definitely will

1064
00:50:50,960 --> 00:50:51,480
be dialed in.

1065
00:50:51,800 --> 00:50:54,840
Speaker 1: It'll be all over that, yes, and I'll be watching

1066
00:50:54,920 --> 00:50:58,679
to see if Lindsey Vaughn would a torn acl at

1067
00:50:58,760 --> 00:51:02,440
forty one years old and she's like, I'm still doing it.

1068
00:51:02,559 --> 00:51:05,079
If she meddles out, might be the story of the

1069
00:51:05,199 --> 00:51:06,880
decade for sure.

1070
00:51:06,960 --> 00:51:08,119
Speaker 4: There that she can thank.

1071
00:51:08,199 --> 00:51:11,960
Speaker 1: Tiger Woods work all right, Meryl, outstanding stuff as always.

1072
00:51:12,039 --> 00:51:17,239
Don't forget Art to Caesar bringing baseball win totals this

1073
00:51:17,320 --> 00:51:19,519
week is all just got him post it up there.

1074
00:51:19,599 --> 00:51:22,599
We'll have all that information for you, just another reason

1075
00:51:22,639 --> 00:51:25,559
to hit the like subscribe button. And of course don't

1076
00:51:25,599 --> 00:51:29,960
forget drop those prop bet questions in the comments section.

1077
00:51:30,280 --> 00:51:32,880
Art's gonna get to him. He'll tell you what's going on.

1078
00:51:33,079 --> 00:51:35,239
Any questions you guys may have want to know where

1079
00:51:35,280 --> 00:51:37,800
the market's heading with him, drop him in, and of

1080
00:51:37,840 --> 00:51:39,639
course we'll get back to you again. To mar So

1081
00:51:39,719 --> 00:51:42,480
double R one L, Steve Merrill, enjoy it.

1082
00:51:42,559 --> 00:51:42,880
Speaker 4: Brother.

1083
00:51:43,079 --> 00:51:46,320
Speaker 1: You are back again tomorrow as we look to finish

1084
00:51:46,400 --> 00:51:51,119
out the week without Prez. Who is skiing somewhere near you?

1085
00:51:51,239 --> 00:51:53,440
I guess, and it's definitely not in Milan, I can

1086
00:51:53,480 --> 00:51:58,559
tell you that. So Meryl again tomorrow. Yeah, he's you know,

1087
00:51:58,679 --> 00:52:01,559
he's out there addressing up like it's business time. So

1088
00:52:02,159 --> 00:52:04,920
good luck to the guys he's rooming with. We'll see

1089
00:52:04,960 --> 00:52:07,639
again tomorrow, though, guys here on the best betting show ever.

1090
00:52:07,840 --> 00:52:08,760
Speaker 4: Oh god,