1 00:00:01,919 --> 00:00:04,759 Speaker 1: You are alive, my friend. Welcome to the best sports 2 00:00:04,799 --> 00:00:05,799 betting show on the planet. 3 00:00:05,879 --> 00:00:08,480 Speaker 2: This is Wager Talk Today. I am your host, Andy Lang. 4 00:00:08,560 --> 00:00:11,000 It is Wednesday. We got a lot to talk about. 5 00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:14,039 We're going heavy on college football. We've got some MLB 6 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:16,359 to go over, and then we're adding a new segment. 7 00:00:16,440 --> 00:00:20,600 Ross Benjamin is gonna say this line makes no sense, 8 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:22,760 and then we'll talk it out. So it's gonna be 9 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:24,920 a busy, busy day. Jesse's gonna join us. We're gonna 10 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:27,960 talk about this Northern Illinois Maryland game. He had the 11 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:30,839 option to pick two teams to fade or two teams 12 00:00:30,879 --> 00:00:33,119 to bet on this week in college football. 13 00:00:33,119 --> 00:00:35,880 Speaker 1: Excited for that. Ross Benjamin is gonna do this line 14 00:00:35,960 --> 00:00:36,439 makes no sense. 15 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 2: He's also gonna break down Yankees, Astros, Iowa and Iowa States. 16 00:00:41,039 --> 00:00:43,079 And we've got your free place here in all around 17 00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:46,320 the world. Thank you everybody for joining us. Let's do 18 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:51,200 the Steam Report if we want to start with baseball, 19 00:00:51,240 --> 00:00:53,600 because I know you baseball guys love hearing this. We 20 00:00:53,679 --> 00:00:56,359 do not have any massive line moves as of yet. 21 00:00:56,399 --> 00:00:59,399 I see Miami is taking some money. Only a ten 22 00:00:59,399 --> 00:01:04,079 to fifteen set line move. Our good friends, the Colorado Rockies, 23 00:01:04,159 --> 00:01:05,719 believe it or not, are taking a little bit of 24 00:01:05,719 --> 00:01:07,840 money same Fray and opened at minus two twenty five. 25 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:11,719 That's down to minus two hundred in some places. It 26 00:01:11,719 --> 00:01:14,599 looks like Boston may have changed there. We got a 27 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:17,319 change in starting pitching in Boston, so keep your eye 28 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:21,040 on that. Looks like Seattle has taken a lot of 29 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:24,920 money against Tampa Bay this morning, and Minnesota on. 30 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:25,519 Speaker 1: The other one. 31 00:01:25,599 --> 00:01:27,840 Speaker 2: I see that was minus one seventy. I'm seeing minus 32 00:01:27,879 --> 00:01:31,519 one nineties pop up. As far as college football this week, 33 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:33,159 we can go over and look at it. Not a 34 00:01:33,159 --> 00:01:35,640 whole lot of line moves here. James Madison has taken 35 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:37,200 a little bit of money that did move through the 36 00:01:37,319 --> 00:01:39,959 key number of fourteen. So James Madison has been taking 37 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:42,359 enough to move it from fifteen down to thirteen and 38 00:01:42,359 --> 00:01:45,640 a half. And we'll talk about Northern Illinois and Maryland. 39 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:48,120 We'll go over Saturday games tomorrow and Thursday when we 40 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:49,239 have a few more bets. 41 00:01:49,359 --> 00:01:52,680 Speaker 1: So all right, let's get started with Jesse. 42 00:01:52,879 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 2: Jesse, We're gonna talk a lot of college football, Sir, 43 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:59,359 Happy Wednesday, How are you not bad? 44 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:02,799 Speaker 3: The first week of college football in the books, A 45 00:02:02,799 --> 00:02:06,200 lot of surprises, But I covered every game, as you know, 46 00:02:06,879 --> 00:02:10,400 and I was pretty happy with my analysis for the 47 00:02:10,439 --> 00:02:11,039 most part. 48 00:02:12,479 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 2: Well, let's jump right into it. Let's talk about Northern 49 00:02:15,039 --> 00:02:17,599 Illinois and Maryland. To believe this is a Friday game. 50 00:02:17,879 --> 00:02:19,159 What do you make of these two teams? 51 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:24,960 Speaker 3: Northern Illinois, of course the Giant Slayers. Last year, they 52 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:27,800 had that big upset win over Notre Dame in Week two. 53 00:02:28,879 --> 00:02:31,360 They were eight and five overall, four and four in 54 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:35,240 the MAC five, six and two against the spread. They 55 00:02:35,280 --> 00:02:37,879 played a lot of close games. In addition to the 56 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:41,759 winover in Notre Dame, they had a close lost twenty 57 00:02:41,759 --> 00:02:46,080 four to seventeen against NC State. This is a team 58 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:49,960 that wasn't losing any games by seventeen points last year. 59 00:02:50,439 --> 00:02:54,120 Last year's team, though, unfortunately, is gone, which is why 60 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:57,280 head coach Thomas Hammock went viral with a bit of 61 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:02,319 a rant online over the talking about getting your degree 62 00:03:02,479 --> 00:03:05,039 and your degree is going to be worth more than 63 00:03:05,080 --> 00:03:09,159 any nil that anybody can pay you, and referring to 64 00:03:09,199 --> 00:03:13,159 his players that left because Northern Illinois ranks one hundred 65 00:03:13,199 --> 00:03:17,520 and thirty sixth, that's dead last in FBS. In a 66 00:03:17,599 --> 00:03:21,120 returning production, everybody left, he mentioned that a lot of 67 00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:23,319 those guys might not even play for the teams they 68 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:27,120 left four, but it leaves them in a tough spot, 69 00:03:27,199 --> 00:03:29,000 Let's put it that way, and that was quite evident 70 00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:32,599 when they just barely hung on to beat Holy Cross 71 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:36,159 nineteen to seven. In Week one. They're up against a 72 00:03:36,199 --> 00:03:40,280 Maryland team that is the red headed stepchild of the 73 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:43,240 Big Ten. One in eight in the Big Ten last year, 74 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:45,960 three and one in non conference play, though, and that 75 00:03:46,039 --> 00:03:49,680 included a twenty nine twenty eight home win over USC. 76 00:03:50,439 --> 00:03:54,840 Maryland usually does take care of business in non conference 77 00:03:54,879 --> 00:03:58,479 home games. It's got to be Maryland or pass at 78 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:00,280 the line of seventeen and a half for me. 79 00:04:02,039 --> 00:04:05,120 Speaker 1: The redheaded step child of the Big Ten. Huh, say 80 00:04:05,159 --> 00:04:05,439 we didn't. 81 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 2: We're not very welcoming to the to the Terps here, Jesse, Well. 82 00:04:10,919 --> 00:04:13,080 Speaker 3: That's not in my that's not in my notes. That 83 00:04:13,240 --> 00:04:14,680 just kind of rolled off the tongue. 84 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:14,879 Speaker 4: You know. 85 00:04:16,199 --> 00:04:19,639 Speaker 2: I was a senior at Indiana University when the Terps 86 00:04:19,639 --> 00:04:23,279 beat us in the National Championship Game for basketballs What 87 00:04:23,319 --> 00:04:25,079 of the what are the best days? Even though we lost, 88 00:04:25,079 --> 00:04:26,959 it was one of the best, the most fun days 89 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:30,879 I've ever had. So yeah, I got a big spread there, 90 00:04:30,879 --> 00:04:32,319 and I would have to tend to agree with you. 91 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:34,279 I believe some money has come in on that on 92 00:04:34,319 --> 00:04:37,120 your side as well. So all right, last time you 93 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:40,680 were on here a few times ago, you said I'm 94 00:04:40,680 --> 00:04:43,160 gonna give you some teams to fade, and you were right. 95 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:46,480 You did very well predicting the teams to fade. So 96 00:04:46,519 --> 00:04:48,680 tell us about those teams. And then we gave you 97 00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:50,680 the option you have fade more teams. You want to 98 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:52,759 give us some teams to bet on, the choice is yours. 99 00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:56,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, So I think it was two weeks ago now, Andy, 100 00:04:57,240 --> 00:05:00,839 and I gave you Penn State, Baylor, and Southern Miss 101 00:05:01,000 --> 00:05:04,240 to fade, and those teams went zero to three against 102 00:05:04,319 --> 00:05:07,279 the spread in week one, and two of them lost outright. 103 00:05:08,040 --> 00:05:12,519 Baylor was expected to buy many to beat Auburn. A 104 00:05:12,560 --> 00:05:15,079 lot of people were really high on Baylor. They got 105 00:05:15,160 --> 00:05:19,000 absolutely crushed. And Southern Miss a team that was loaded 106 00:05:19,040 --> 00:05:21,959 with transfers and a new coach that brought his half 107 00:05:21,959 --> 00:05:25,959 his team over from Marshall. They did not look good 108 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:31,279 against Mississippi State. We're gonna fade Mississippi State this week 109 00:05:31,319 --> 00:05:35,600 though Mississippi State, as mentioned, they had little trouble running 110 00:05:35,600 --> 00:05:39,279 over Southern miss team on the road. Now they return 111 00:05:39,360 --> 00:05:43,199 home to face a playoff team from last year, Arizona State. 112 00:05:43,959 --> 00:05:46,600 Arizona State the favorite to win the Big Twelve or 113 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:50,079 one of the favorites to win the Big Twelve number 114 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:53,839 twelve ranked Arizona State. I believe this Arizona State team 115 00:05:53,879 --> 00:05:59,160 brought everybody back except for Camscataboo. And last year they 116 00:05:59,160 --> 00:06:02,600 were whooping Mississippi State at home by a score of 117 00:06:02,639 --> 00:06:06,160 twenty seven to three in the first half. They ended 118 00:06:06,240 --> 00:06:09,560 up hanging on to win by a score of thirty 119 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:12,839 thirty to twenty three. I believe it was they won 120 00:06:12,879 --> 00:06:16,079 by seven points as a six and a half point favorite, 121 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:18,079 and they will be a six and a half point 122 00:06:18,079 --> 00:06:22,240 favorite here on the road this time around. I think 123 00:06:22,279 --> 00:06:25,360 that game last year, the final score doesn't do it 124 00:06:25,759 --> 00:06:29,920 much justice. Arizona State was driving in the red zone, 125 00:06:30,240 --> 00:06:32,480 going to score another touchdown to win that game by 126 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:35,279 double digits, but they ended up running out the clock 127 00:06:35,360 --> 00:06:39,759 and kneeling doing the victory formation. We're not reading much 128 00:06:39,759 --> 00:06:42,600 into Mississippi State's win over a Sun Belt team in 129 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:46,399 Week one. As I said, we were faded. That was 130 00:06:46,439 --> 00:06:49,720 a fade of Southern miss not a bed on Mississippi State. 131 00:06:49,759 --> 00:06:53,199 I still don't think Mississippi State has the weapons to 132 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:57,199 compete with a legit playoff contender in Arizona State. And 133 00:06:57,240 --> 00:06:59,160 the line of six and a half is on the 134 00:06:59,199 --> 00:07:01,839 wrong side the key number of seven in my opinion. 135 00:07:03,040 --> 00:07:04,759 Speaker 1: All Right, I like it. I like it. 136 00:07:04,920 --> 00:07:07,600 Speaker 2: And now we're gonna keep fading away. We're gonna keep 137 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:09,800 telling you which teams you don't believe in, Like we're 138 00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:12,319 going down to Florida, aren we. 139 00:07:12,319 --> 00:07:15,000 Speaker 3: Well, we talked about what I got right in Week one, Andy, 140 00:07:15,480 --> 00:07:17,399 Now we've got to talk about what I got wrong. 141 00:07:17,600 --> 00:07:21,240 I had a big bet on Boise State against South Florida. 142 00:07:21,279 --> 00:07:24,279 The whole world was on South Florida in Week one, 143 00:07:24,879 --> 00:07:29,279 and they absolutely crushed Boise State thirty four to seven. 144 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:32,680 Tough loss for myself, but you know what it was, 145 00:07:32,720 --> 00:07:38,319 statistically the most fraudulent win in Week one. The South 146 00:07:38,319 --> 00:07:41,959 Florida Bulls had the lowest success rate of any team 147 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:45,000 that won in Week one. You break down the numbers. 148 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:48,319 Boise State had an edge and total yards three seventy 149 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:52,000 eight to three seventy two, first downs twenty five to fifteen, 150 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,680 time of possession thirty six, twenty one to twenty three 151 00:07:56,079 --> 00:08:00,639 thirty nine. South Florida had a fake punt inverted into 152 00:08:00,680 --> 00:08:04,040 a touchdown. Backup quarterback comes in, pretends to be the 153 00:08:04,079 --> 00:08:07,240 punter and throws for a touchdown pass. Boise State had 154 00:08:07,319 --> 00:08:12,639 three fumbles. So I watched that game. South Florida came 155 00:08:12,680 --> 00:08:16,439 out just absolutely hyped up. All the credit to them. 156 00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:19,519 They played well. They're probably going to be a threat 157 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:22,480 in the American But they're on the road at Florida 158 00:08:22,519 --> 00:08:26,439 this week. And the Gators are a legit playoff caliber team, 159 00:08:26,519 --> 00:08:30,360 an SEC team, And this line opened at eighteen and 160 00:08:30,399 --> 00:08:33,440 a half. It's down now you can get seventeen seventeen 161 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:37,960 and a half. I think Florida is going to absolutely 162 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:41,440 crush the South Florida bulls. 163 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:45,440 Speaker 2: I didn't know anything about boys or South Florida. Probably 164 00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:47,120 a lot of people didn't, And I was watching. I 165 00:08:47,159 --> 00:08:50,480 was like, who is this quarterback for South Florida. He's 166 00:08:50,759 --> 00:08:54,120 running absolutely wild. You don't expect that to happen again 167 00:08:54,159 --> 00:08:54,559 this week? 168 00:08:55,879 --> 00:08:58,559 Speaker 3: No, Like I said, a lot of things went right 169 00:08:58,639 --> 00:09:01,639 for South Florida in Week one, and we don't expect 170 00:09:01,639 --> 00:09:03,720 that to continue on the road here in week two. 171 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:06,200 Speaker 1: All Right, Jesse. 172 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:09,840 Speaker 2: It's really really good, really good breakdowns and such, just 173 00:09:10,120 --> 00:09:12,799 real quick anything in particular you're looking at for teams 174 00:09:12,799 --> 00:09:15,039 to fade, like what I'm looking at teams of fathers. 175 00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:16,960 Speaker 1: I love bad coaches. 176 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:20,519 Speaker 2: You're always going to talk me into fading a team 177 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:22,360 with bad coach, But that's a little. 178 00:09:22,200 --> 00:09:22,720 Speaker 1: Bit more and pro. 179 00:09:22,799 --> 00:09:24,440 Speaker 2: What are you looking at in college football when you're 180 00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:25,720 trying to pick teams to fade? 181 00:09:26,919 --> 00:09:29,200 Speaker 3: Well, you know, I was planning on coming in here 182 00:09:29,200 --> 00:09:33,039 and talking about the SEC and odds to win the playoffs, 183 00:09:33,039 --> 00:09:36,240 but it was specifically in the agenda to talk about 184 00:09:36,240 --> 00:09:38,519 week two. But if you talk about the big picture 185 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:42,440 moving forward, some of the teams I mentioned on previous shows, 186 00:09:42,759 --> 00:09:46,759 Texas A and m Oklahoma and Auburn is long shots 187 00:09:46,759 --> 00:09:49,519 in the SEC. They got to be licking their chops 188 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:53,639 after seeing Alabama and Texas come out flat in Week 189 00:09:53,679 --> 00:09:56,559 one and both those teams, you know, you don't want 190 00:09:56,559 --> 00:09:59,279 to overreact to the Week one results, but both those 191 00:09:59,279 --> 00:10:02,399 teams appear to have some serious issues. I did not 192 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:07,120 like the coaching from Sarkisian, the way he used arch Manning. 193 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:11,120 That was arch Manning did not play well, but sark 194 00:10:11,159 --> 00:10:14,600 didn't do him any favors either, you can't really like 195 00:10:14,679 --> 00:10:17,919 Texas moving forward. And if Texas and Alabama aren't going 196 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:19,919 to be who they thought we were, who does that 197 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:22,320 open the door for you? Look at a team like Oklahoma, 198 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:26,200 they play both, they have both those teams on their schedule. Oklahoma, 199 00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:27,799 I believe you can still get them at twenty to 200 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:32,320 one to win the SEC. Yeah, that's something that I 201 00:10:32,399 --> 00:10:33,279 don't mind mentioning. 202 00:10:34,639 --> 00:10:37,600 Speaker 2: I had a prop on arch Manning to throw over 203 00:10:37,639 --> 00:10:39,440 one and a half touchdown passes, and like in the 204 00:10:39,440 --> 00:10:41,720 first court, I was like, this is no chance. Like 205 00:10:41,799 --> 00:10:45,159 he looked terrible that they look Was it that sarked 206 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:46,519 like kind of threw him under the bus with a 207 00:10:46,559 --> 00:10:48,879 play calling or did it strike you that they just 208 00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:51,919 didn't trust him in that spot? It was just very 209 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:54,600 curious how tentative everything was for them. 210 00:10:55,320 --> 00:10:58,919 Speaker 3: Well, failing to convert on all those fourth downs certainly 211 00:10:58,919 --> 00:11:01,440 didn't help. And then and then it puts more pressure 212 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:04,080 on him. I mean, he just I can't make excuses. 213 00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:06,159 I'm not making any excuses for arch Manning. He was 214 00:11:06,200 --> 00:11:10,679 missing wide open receivers. The moment was obviously too big 215 00:11:10,720 --> 00:11:13,639 for him. I had Texas in that game. I felt 216 00:11:13,639 --> 00:11:17,120 that we've seen enough of arch Manning that whatever how, 217 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:20,000 no matter how poorly he plays, he's not going to 218 00:11:20,000 --> 00:11:23,399 be a deer in the headlights because he's played college 219 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:26,039 football last year and been in games and he should 220 00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:28,600 know what to expect. And you compare that to Julian saying, 221 00:11:29,000 --> 00:11:34,840 who didn't have any experience and unfortunately, Yeah, we saw 222 00:11:34,879 --> 00:11:38,799 the absolute worst version of arch Manning against Ohio State, 223 00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:42,480 And yeah, we don't want to overreact, but there's a 224 00:11:42,519 --> 00:11:44,600 lot of pressure on the kid now, and it's hard 225 00:11:44,639 --> 00:11:47,759 to imagine he's just going to put that behind him 226 00:11:48,480 --> 00:11:49,080 very easily. 227 00:11:49,759 --> 00:11:50,039 Speaker 4: Yeah. 228 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:50,840 Speaker 1: Yeah. 229 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:53,159 Speaker 2: The guy I bet with who lives over in England, 230 00:11:53,159 --> 00:11:54,759 he like barely watches college football. 231 00:11:55,080 --> 00:11:57,080 Speaker 1: He was watching that game and he was like, what 232 00:11:57,159 --> 00:11:59,840 quarterback's supposed to be the big prospect? Which one's the 233 00:12:00,039 --> 00:12:02,200 really good one? Like, no, no, it's it's it's arch 234 00:12:02,240 --> 00:12:03,799 mating the guy that just threw the interception. 235 00:12:04,600 --> 00:12:08,720 Speaker 2: So interesting week one for sure, Jesse, tell everyone what 236 00:12:08,799 --> 00:12:10,159 you have about for clients at wager Talk. 237 00:12:11,519 --> 00:12:14,440 Speaker 3: Well, we do have a thirty day all access football 238 00:12:14,519 --> 00:12:19,679 package college and NFL, but we throw in the CFL 239 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:22,360 and I'm doing pretty damn well with CFL. This season, 240 00:12:22,759 --> 00:12:26,240 hitting around seventy five percent. Number one with CFL this 241 00:12:26,399 --> 00:12:29,360 year and the last five years since I joined the 242 00:12:29,360 --> 00:12:33,440 wager Talk network. So get that NFL in college football 243 00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:35,600 and appreciate some CFL as well. 244 00:12:36,759 --> 00:12:39,200 Speaker 2: Absolutely don't forget about CFL and tell people at all, 245 00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:40,320 we don't forget about baseball. 246 00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 1: Don't forget about CFL. 247 00:12:41,840 --> 00:12:43,759 Speaker 2: So Jesse's going to bring all those sports to you. 248 00:12:43,759 --> 00:12:46,039 Go check him out over at wager Talk. Thanks Jesse, 249 00:12:46,200 --> 00:12:47,600 great breakdowns, great segment. 250 00:12:47,639 --> 00:12:48,159 Speaker 1: As always. 251 00:12:50,919 --> 00:12:55,639 Speaker 2: Let's see TESSI had a question here about getting bets down. 252 00:12:55,679 --> 00:12:58,159 And this is not just we'll talk about this. It's 253 00:12:58,159 --> 00:13:01,039 not just applicable to contender series. This is everything, and 254 00:13:01,120 --> 00:13:03,799 especially now that we're dealing with NFL props, you have 255 00:13:03,840 --> 00:13:06,639 to know how to you have to know when and 256 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:09,639 how to deal with betting. With some of these books 257 00:13:09,679 --> 00:13:13,320 like Vanduel and Draft Kings, and I noticed Fanatics was mentioned. 258 00:13:14,519 --> 00:13:17,240 I spread out my bets. I'm not like and I'll 259 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:19,200 do it different from week to week. So I'll bet 260 00:13:19,279 --> 00:13:21,720 Draft Kings all Contender Series one week, then the next 261 00:13:21,720 --> 00:13:24,440 week Fandal, then the next week bet MGM. So that way, 262 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:26,879 like on one book, I may only have bet twice 263 00:13:27,000 --> 00:13:30,399 on Contender series in an entire in an entire like 264 00:13:30,399 --> 00:13:34,000 like ten episode season. You should do that with props 265 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:36,879 as well. Don't put all your props on the same book. 266 00:13:37,799 --> 00:13:41,679 And you this sounds counterintuitive. You can't beat the line 267 00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:44,320 on props even though there's a prop. 268 00:13:44,120 --> 00:13:44,639 Speaker 1: That they must. 269 00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:47,440 Speaker 2: They have completely mispriced and you know it's gonna move. 270 00:13:47,799 --> 00:13:50,320 I promise you if you do that a couple of times, 271 00:13:50,320 --> 00:13:52,840 you are instantly flagged in you are going to get limited. 272 00:13:52,919 --> 00:13:55,200 So when you're betting some of these fringi er things 273 00:13:55,279 --> 00:13:59,399 like player props the Late Contender series, you gotta spread 274 00:13:59,399 --> 00:14:02,080 out your bets and it sucks, but if you beat 275 00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:06,279 the line big time, you're instantly gonna get taken away. 276 00:14:06,279 --> 00:14:07,960 So you just got to think it's a marathon, not 277 00:14:08,039 --> 00:14:11,120 a sprint. So my best suggestions is sit out when 278 00:14:11,159 --> 00:14:13,799 you know there's a huge line move coming and just 279 00:14:13,840 --> 00:14:17,399 spread out your bets is across as many sportsbooks as 280 00:14:17,519 --> 00:14:18,480 humanly possible. 281 00:14:18,559 --> 00:14:19,799 Speaker 1: So that's kind of what I do. 282 00:14:19,919 --> 00:14:23,279 Speaker 2: So all right, yeah, Travis, we've all dealt with it, guys, 283 00:14:23,279 --> 00:14:25,720 we all have dealt with this before. 284 00:14:25,879 --> 00:14:27,720 Speaker 1: So fire away questions if you ask. 285 00:14:27,799 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 2: There's a way that you can kind of play the 286 00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:32,159 game within the game and not get yourself limited. 287 00:14:32,240 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 1: So all right, let's do all around the world. 288 00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:38,559 Speaker 2: Let's get some free plays here for everybody. We got 289 00:14:38,559 --> 00:14:41,279 a nice little little combination of everything here. We're gonna 290 00:14:41,279 --> 00:14:44,159 start with w NBA. We're gonna go to the Sparks 291 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:47,080 at the Dream Jordan, Canada, over ten and a half points. 292 00:14:47,080 --> 00:14:48,080 Speaker 1: There's a great player prop. 293 00:14:48,159 --> 00:14:51,399 Speaker 2: This line has come out and it's stayed steady, which 294 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:53,399 I don't quite understand. I think this should be higher. 295 00:14:53,519 --> 00:14:55,639 She's been over an eight out of the last nine games. 296 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:58,440 But she's not just barely going. Over her last four games, 297 00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:02,240 she scored at least thirteen or more. So Again, when 298 00:15:02,279 --> 00:15:04,960 we talk about WNBA, the books get a little lazy. 299 00:15:05,159 --> 00:15:07,240 These are called the lazy lines, where they just keep 300 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:10,080 putting out the same prop over and over and over again. 301 00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:12,440 We saw this with Rakia Jackson and her one and 302 00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:15,279 a half three pointers. We got ten straight wins out 303 00:15:15,279 --> 00:15:18,080 of that one. We'll move to the Giants and the Rockies. 304 00:15:18,159 --> 00:15:21,559 Ralph is going with a your fee. Listen, it's at 305 00:15:21,559 --> 00:15:23,799 Colorado and the Rockies are on a fourteen to five 306 00:15:23,879 --> 00:15:26,480 your fee run. So get a decent price. Fire away 307 00:15:26,519 --> 00:15:28,440 on the Giants on the Rockies. Yes, there will be 308 00:15:28,480 --> 00:15:31,360 a run in the first inning. And let's take a 309 00:15:31,399 --> 00:15:35,240 look at the Giants and Commanders. I broke this game down. 310 00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:38,399 There is going to be a Giants in Commander's breakdown 311 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:40,840 video from yours truly, I'll be up later this afternoon. 312 00:15:41,759 --> 00:15:44,720 I like this rushing total for Tyrone Tracy over fifty 313 00:15:44,759 --> 00:15:47,279 seven and a half yards rushing. He barely played in 314 00:15:47,320 --> 00:15:50,200 the first game against Washington last year, but in the 315 00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:53,279 second game he had sixty six yards on sixteen carries. 316 00:15:53,360 --> 00:15:56,039 The Giants offensive line is not very good. One of 317 00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:58,120 the best ways to hide that is to run, run, 318 00:15:58,240 --> 00:16:00,960 run the ball. And the Commanders you can absolutely run on. 319 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,279 Their defensive line is weak and they gave up the 320 00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:06,000 third most yards per rush last year. 321 00:16:06,039 --> 00:16:07,320 Speaker 1: I don't see improvement from it. 322 00:16:07,399 --> 00:16:11,159 Speaker 2: So Tyrone Tracy over fifty seven and a half on 323 00:16:11,519 --> 00:16:15,519 the rushing Mark wants to know any thought on the 324 00:16:15,559 --> 00:16:18,440 Cowboys team totals seventeen and a half seems a little low. 325 00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, it does seem a little bit low. These Cowboy games. 326 00:16:21,679 --> 00:16:25,080 Speaker 2: Could absolutely turn into shootouts. Their defense is not good, 327 00:16:25,120 --> 00:16:28,120 so their offense maybe, you know, try to catch up 328 00:16:28,639 --> 00:16:32,799 Philly's defenses obviously legit argue one of the best. I mean, 329 00:16:32,840 --> 00:16:37,279 it's top three in the NFL, but maybe a little 330 00:16:37,360 --> 00:16:40,080 let down on Ring night, first game of the season, 331 00:16:40,240 --> 00:16:41,840 maybe coming up the Super Bowl win. 332 00:16:42,039 --> 00:16:45,080 Speaker 1: So if you could get under the seventeen and a 333 00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:46,799 half on an all line, I would love that. 334 00:16:47,039 --> 00:16:50,159 Speaker 2: Maybe use the Parlay piece, but I certainly I'm certainly 335 00:16:50,159 --> 00:16:53,840 not taking unders on Cowboys team totals anytime soon. So 336 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:57,399 running a really nice special here, guys. I believe we 337 00:16:57,480 --> 00:16:59,559 mentioned this the other day. Seven days of all access 338 00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:01,320 for only seventy seven dollars. 339 00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:03,320 Speaker 1: Great time to jump on board. 340 00:17:03,320 --> 00:17:06,279 Speaker 2: We have a huge, huge weekend NFL Week one, College 341 00:17:06,279 --> 00:17:10,200 Football Week two. You're gonna get every single play along 342 00:17:10,279 --> 00:17:15,160 with MLB, along with UFC, along with cricket, along with tennis, 343 00:17:15,240 --> 00:17:18,000 you name a sport, it is included in this seven 344 00:17:18,079 --> 00:17:20,799 days of all access for just seventy seven dollars. If 345 00:17:20,799 --> 00:17:23,440 you've have been success with your favorite handy capper, lock 346 00:17:23,519 --> 00:17:25,559 in seven days. If you want to try somebody new, 347 00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:28,160 great time. We should have a good amount of bets 348 00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:31,240 for all handy cappers across wager talk, so perfect way 349 00:17:31,319 --> 00:17:34,440 to test drive handi capper you haven't dealt with before, 350 00:17:34,880 --> 00:17:36,599 Or go to your favorite handy capper and lock in 351 00:17:36,599 --> 00:17:39,000 seven days for just seventy seven dollars. That is available 352 00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:42,480 for every handicapper on the deal's page over at wager Talk. 353 00:17:42,559 --> 00:17:43,759 Speaker 1: No promo code it needed. 354 00:17:44,599 --> 00:17:49,279 Speaker 2: All right, let's bring in Ross, the Boss, Benjamin Ross. 355 00:17:49,279 --> 00:17:51,720 We got a lot to talk about here. We got Iowa, 356 00:17:51,799 --> 00:17:55,359 Iowa State, we got Yankees astros, and then we get 357 00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:57,640 we get your your first time ever doing this segment. 358 00:17:57,799 --> 00:18:00,960 This line makes no sense. I want to start with 359 00:18:01,039 --> 00:18:04,880 Iowa and Iowa State though in state rivalry here we 360 00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:08,160 got a three point spread over under is forty. 361 00:18:07,839 --> 00:18:10,440 Speaker 1: One and a half. To me, that seems unbelievably high 362 00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:11,440 for an Iowa team. 363 00:18:11,839 --> 00:18:15,480 Speaker 2: Normally you see Iowa's totals like in the thirties, But 364 00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:18,839 would your breakdown on the Cyclones and the Hawkeyes here. 365 00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:23,759 Speaker 4: Yeah, Iowa's improved a little bit offensively, So those anemic 366 00:18:23,880 --> 00:18:26,720 offensive days for Iowa. I'm not saying that they're a 367 00:18:26,799 --> 00:18:30,079 great offense, but they're certainly better than they were a 368 00:18:30,119 --> 00:18:34,519 couple of years ago. And that change at the offensive 369 00:18:34,519 --> 00:18:37,200 coordinators made a world of difference for Iowa. So I 370 00:18:37,240 --> 00:18:39,920 think that's why we're seeing that total around forty one 371 00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:43,200 and a half. Like you alluded to, we're used to 372 00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:45,599 seeing them in the thirties. But having said all that, 373 00:18:46,119 --> 00:18:48,039 look this is an Iowa team that's going to be 374 00:18:48,039 --> 00:18:50,839 playing with revenge. They lost the heartbreaker at home to 375 00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:56,200 Iowa State last year twenty to nineteen. However, this annual 376 00:18:56,640 --> 00:19:01,599 rivalry series, Iowa has won the last six games played 377 00:19:01,599 --> 00:19:05,839 in names, so they've really dominated the Cyclones on their 378 00:19:05,839 --> 00:19:09,920 home field in this rivalry. And like I said, offensive 379 00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:14,000 coordinator Tim Lester who came aboard last year and right 380 00:19:14,039 --> 00:19:18,880 away he improved Iowas offense by thirteen points per game 381 00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:22,240 in one hundred and eight yards per game as opposed 382 00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:25,680 or as compared to the season before. I also like 383 00:19:25,759 --> 00:19:29,599 the addition of former South Dakota State quarterback Mark Ronkowski, 384 00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:33,960 who comes over in his senior year to take the 385 00:19:34,039 --> 00:19:39,119 heme behind center for the Iowa Hawkeyes, and he led 386 00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:43,119 the jack Rabbits to two national titles at the FCS 387 00:19:43,240 --> 00:19:45,759 level in his three years as a starter. He also 388 00:19:45,839 --> 00:19:48,400 won forty nine and six, So the kid is a winner. 389 00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:52,680 I know he's stepping up in class, but still FCS 390 00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,240 football is pretty good brand. When you get into the 391 00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:58,759 top five or six teams, and he fared pretty well 392 00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:03,359 in that in that arena. Iowa State two and zero 393 00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:08,240 this year, and you know, I thought the opening win 394 00:20:08,359 --> 00:20:11,720 against Kansas State was pretty impressive Andy, but you know, 395 00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:15,519 now you look back and it doesn't seem as impressive 396 00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:19,640 if you watch Kansas State last week barely get by 397 00:20:19,799 --> 00:20:23,559 an FCS team in North Dakota thirty eight to thirty five, 398 00:20:23,599 --> 00:20:27,680 and they needed a last minute touchdown to do so. 399 00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:31,480 So I think Iowa State may not be as good 400 00:20:31,519 --> 00:20:34,799 as we thought after seeing that Kansas State game. They 401 00:20:34,839 --> 00:20:38,519 did hammer South Dakota last week, but this is a 402 00:20:38,519 --> 00:20:42,720 whole different entity getting into this rivalry game against a 403 00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:47,559 Iowa defense that's going to be very formidable under defensive 404 00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:52,599 coordinator Parker. And look, here's the other thing game. Two 405 00:20:52,839 --> 00:20:55,880 non conference away dogs between one and a half and 406 00:20:56,000 --> 00:21:01,119 six points like the Iowa Hawkeyes are, and they're playing 407 00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:04,119 with revenge which they lost last year twenty to nine, 408 00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:06,920 and they're coming off a straight up win by thirty 409 00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:10,880 two points or fewer. Twenty seven and five against the 410 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:14,240 spread since nineteen eighty two. That's eighty four percent and 411 00:21:14,279 --> 00:21:17,160 not only twenty seven and five against the spread. Those 412 00:21:17,279 --> 00:21:21,160 underdogs won twenty two of those thirty two games. Outright, 413 00:21:21,200 --> 00:21:24,200 I'm gonna go with the Iowa Hawkeyes plus the three 414 00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:27,119 at Iowa State on Saturday. 415 00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:31,960 Speaker 2: No, pretty impressive percentage there, twenty seven and five. That's 416 00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:35,079 not just a couple of games, so very interesting there. 417 00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:37,920 Let's move to MLB real quick, and let's take a 418 00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:41,720 look at this Yankees Astros. We got Warren for the Yankees, 419 00:21:41,759 --> 00:21:44,079 we got Alexander for the Astros. 420 00:21:44,319 --> 00:21:45,640 Speaker 1: Yankees a minus. 421 00:21:45,559 --> 00:21:48,200 Speaker 2: Thirty favorite right now, I believe the line is moving 422 00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:52,160 towards the Yankees. I didn't see the game last night. 423 00:21:52,279 --> 00:21:55,119 I read about it that the Astros had quite quite 424 00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:57,000 the problem putting bunts down. 425 00:21:57,480 --> 00:21:58,400 Speaker 1: I didn't see. 426 00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:00,640 Speaker 2: Any of it, but I heard about But we'll get 427 00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:03,759 the overundersitting at nine here. I believe laid it on 428 00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:07,519 the number eight, which was the opening number yesterday. So 429 00:22:07,599 --> 00:22:09,680 what's your breakdown on Yankees and Astros today. 430 00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:13,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, let's focus in on that total andy, which is nine. 431 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:17,319 You know, Will Warren is talk about red headed stepchild. 432 00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:21,039 He's the red headed stepchild of the Yankees starting rotation. However, 433 00:22:22,079 --> 00:22:25,720 he's pitched fairly well over his last five starts. To 434 00:22:25,799 --> 00:22:29,880 two eighty four ERA his last three on the road, 435 00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:34,079 and sixty one ERA. Here the thing with Warren, though, 436 00:22:34,119 --> 00:22:37,119 he's not given you a lot of innings because he's 437 00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:42,079 his propensity to have control issues at times. But the 438 00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:45,240 Yankees bullpen has been lights out over the last week. 439 00:22:45,279 --> 00:22:48,279 As a matter of fact, specifically over the last six games. 440 00:22:48,279 --> 00:22:52,440 A one ninety three ERA seventy five whip is a staff. 441 00:22:52,519 --> 00:22:55,559 Not only that Yankees bullpen over their last six games 442 00:22:55,799 --> 00:23:00,519 twenty strikeouts against one walk. That's unheard of for a 443 00:23:00,559 --> 00:23:04,279 bullpen to have that good of control and issue only 444 00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:07,480 one walk over a six game period of time. The 445 00:23:07,559 --> 00:23:11,160 Yankees have one eight of their last nine, and during 446 00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:14,920 this stretch they've only allowed two point six runs per game. 447 00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:18,559 The Yankees have allowed four runs or fewer in their 448 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:23,160 last seven games, and this year they're fifteen and four 449 00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:26,480 to the under after allowing four runs or fewer in 450 00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:31,599 five straight games. So that definitely qualifies tonight. Jason Alexander, 451 00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:36,759 I mean, if you just take away everything else, because 452 00:23:36,759 --> 00:23:41,359 his numbers aren't impressive whatsoever. However, in his one start 453 00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:44,559 against the New York Yankees this year, he pitched six 454 00:23:44,599 --> 00:23:48,680 innings a scoreless Baseball, allowing only one hit, walking three 455 00:23:49,599 --> 00:23:54,799 and against this current Yankees roster against the Yankees franchise overall, 456 00:23:54,839 --> 00:23:57,759 but the players on this roster right now for the 457 00:23:57,799 --> 00:24:00,960 New York Yankees, they are only three for twenty six 458 00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:05,839 lifetime against Alexander. That's a one fifteen team batting average. 459 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:09,119 The Houston bullpen, they've been very good over their last 460 00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:12,839 seven games with a staff two fifty seven ERA and 461 00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:16,640 more impressive thirty three strikeouts and twenty one innings pitch, 462 00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:19,319 So they get themselves out of a lot of jams 463 00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:23,759 with that strikeout the inning pitch ratio. Over the last week, 464 00:24:24,319 --> 00:24:26,640 the Astros have played seven to one to one to 465 00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:30,279 the under their last nine and they're a major culprit 466 00:24:30,319 --> 00:24:34,119 and why those low scoring affairs have occurred because over 467 00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:37,440 those nine games they've averaged just two point six runs 468 00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:39,960 per game. I'm gonna go with the New York Yankees 469 00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:43,799 and the Houston Astros under the total of nine and Andy, 470 00:24:43,839 --> 00:24:45,680 I know I'm going to be in the minority with 471 00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:46,240 that pick. 472 00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:51,160 Speaker 1: Hey, sometimes that's really good. I think we talked about yesterday. 473 00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:53,960 Speaker 2: You want to be on the side of the books. 474 00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:57,759 You're normally in a really, really good spot. So all right, 475 00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:00,880 let's do a brand new segment. This segment we call 476 00:25:01,319 --> 00:25:05,079 this line makes no sense? All right, Ross, you were 477 00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:06,880 able to take a look at some of these lines. 478 00:25:07,039 --> 00:25:09,680 What did you come across where this line makes no sense? 479 00:25:10,319 --> 00:25:13,160 Speaker 4: So let me preface this by saying it makes sense 480 00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:16,519 to me, but it certainly jumped off the page when 481 00:25:16,559 --> 00:25:19,680 I saw it. I usually look for games like this 482 00:25:19,839 --> 00:25:22,720 and try to make sense of what doesn't make sense. 483 00:25:22,759 --> 00:25:24,079 If that makes sense. 484 00:25:25,319 --> 00:25:28,519 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, well said. 485 00:25:28,519 --> 00:25:34,279 Speaker 4: Sometimes I like to humor myself Andy. Anyway, look the 486 00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:38,359 game between Ohio, who's hosting a Big twelve opponent in 487 00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:43,799 West Virginia. This opened with Ohio being just a three 488 00:25:43,839 --> 00:25:47,880 point underdog, and you stop and say, wait a minute, 489 00:25:48,079 --> 00:25:51,759 you got a MAC team as just a three point 490 00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:56,000 underdog against a team from the Big twelve. You know, 491 00:25:56,359 --> 00:26:00,440 those who don't follow college football avidly or professional like 492 00:26:00,519 --> 00:26:03,799 we do, what I think that this would shock them 493 00:26:03,799 --> 00:26:06,880 to see this in The impulsive action would be to 494 00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:10,400 take the team from the Power for Conference against the 495 00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:13,480 MAC school even though they're on the road, and then 496 00:26:13,519 --> 00:26:17,720 you factor into West Virginia has since two My big 497 00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:21,400 database goes back to nineteen eighty, so since two thousand 498 00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:24,759 and three, West Virginia is eighteen and oh straight up 499 00:26:24,799 --> 00:26:28,279 against teams from the MAC. And then I take it 500 00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:31,759 one step further and I say, well, how does you know, 501 00:26:31,839 --> 00:26:35,799 how does Big twelve teams do against MAC teams? And 502 00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:38,720 since two thousand and four, the Big twelve has gone 503 00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:42,920 fifty one and twelve straight up against MAC teams. And 504 00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:45,640 not only that, they've gone thirty nine twenty three and 505 00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:49,839 one against the spread. That's sixty three percent against the MAC. 506 00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:54,200 So this just looks like a trap to me. Andy, 507 00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:57,319 you know it's it's this Ohio team's not bad. I 508 00:26:57,319 --> 00:27:01,599 had them last week as a ten point under against Kentucky. 509 00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:05,119 They're the favorite to win the MAC. They have a 510 00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:08,640 lot of returning starters in this West Virginia. You know, 511 00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:13,319 I'm not a big rich Rod guy. I'd never have been, 512 00:27:13,759 --> 00:27:20,039 but these I also don't like the situations where schools 513 00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:22,920 bring back a coach that had a lot of success 514 00:27:23,039 --> 00:27:26,559 there previously and then went on to other stops and 515 00:27:26,720 --> 00:27:30,880 failed miserably. And I'll come back and rich Rod, you know, 516 00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:33,400 at the other stops he's been at, he failed miserably. 517 00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:37,599 At Michigan, he did have I gotta give him credit. 518 00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:40,519 He did a great job at Jacksonville State, but that's 519 00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:44,440 not a power for conference. And you know, you look 520 00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:48,799 at guys like Greg Ciano hasn't been able to recapture 521 00:27:49,079 --> 00:27:51,559 the magic he had at Rutgers before. You look at 522 00:27:51,599 --> 00:27:55,480 Mac Brown coming back to North Carolina after having a 523 00:27:55,519 --> 00:27:58,599 successful run years ago. It just doesn't work to me. 524 00:27:58,799 --> 00:28:04,039 So again, this looks like it doesn't make sense. Well, 525 00:28:04,079 --> 00:28:07,440 when you really stop and look inside the numbers, it does. 526 00:28:08,319 --> 00:28:10,839 And I'm not giving you a pick on this game. 527 00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:12,839 I'm just saying this is the game I'm going to 528 00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:16,440 stay away from because I just think it looks like 529 00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:18,160 a trap. I think a lot of people are going 530 00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:20,799 to jump all over West Virginia just for the reasons 531 00:28:20,839 --> 00:28:24,440 I said, But I do think realistically, when you look 532 00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:27,319 inside the numbers and what both teams bring back. I 533 00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:31,240 mean West Virginia brought in fifty transfers, it's going to 534 00:28:31,319 --> 00:28:33,920 take time to jail. And they played an FCS opponent 535 00:28:34,079 --> 00:28:36,559 last week, And like I said, Ohio went on the 536 00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:40,119 road last week against an SEC opponent and gave mal 537 00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:41,920 they can handle in a one score game. 538 00:28:43,319 --> 00:28:45,440 Speaker 1: That's a great breakdown. Ross. I love it. I think 539 00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:46,480 you nailed that segment. 540 00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:49,279 Speaker 2: Yeah, find a line that doesn't make any sense to us, 541 00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:51,279 be worried about it that it's very trappy. 542 00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:53,519 Speaker 1: I think that was I think that was really really 543 00:28:53,559 --> 00:28:54,119 well done. 544 00:28:54,519 --> 00:28:57,000 Speaker 2: Well done, I appreciate, thank you all right, what do 545 00:28:57,039 --> 00:28:58,240 you have to promote for everybody? 546 00:28:59,400 --> 00:28:59,920 Speaker 1: Well? 547 00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:02,680 Speaker 4: This week in college football four and three not great, 548 00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:04,759 but we made a profit of three point three to 549 00:29:04,839 --> 00:29:09,039 five units. Thank goodness for my five percent best bet 550 00:29:09,079 --> 00:29:15,200 cashing on LSU as an underdog outright at Clemson. So 551 00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:18,559 and by the way, Andy, if those of you out 552 00:29:18,599 --> 00:29:22,079 there who watched my college football betting preview with Teddy 553 00:29:22,119 --> 00:29:24,799 Covers we did from the West Gates Sports Book a 554 00:29:24,839 --> 00:29:29,799 couple of weeks ago, still on my YouTube channel YouTube page, 555 00:29:29,799 --> 00:29:33,319 I should say wt Dot Buzz Slash Ross TV. I 556 00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:37,000 picked LSU to win the SEC at plus seven hundred. 557 00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:41,160 Also picked LSU to win the national title at plus 558 00:29:41,279 --> 00:29:45,680 fourteen hundred. So like in LSU at this point, Andy, 559 00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:48,960 they did me well in college football number one last 560 00:29:49,039 --> 00:29:54,720 year and both went percentage and also in units earned 561 00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:58,720 over the last two seasons in college football number one 562 00:29:58,799 --> 00:30:01,680 in units earned com over the last two seasons in 563 00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:05,960 college football and Major League Baseball, bad night last night 564 00:30:06,039 --> 00:30:08,640 going on too, but still number one in Major League 565 00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:13,480 Baseball this year and up around eighty units since mid May. 566 00:30:13,839 --> 00:30:17,319 So again, Major League Baseball treat me well. In NFL, 567 00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:19,559 we go into the season on an eight and three run. 568 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:23,920 I have a Thursday winning total up right now, Dallas 569 00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:26,880 and Philadelphia, get it. I also have the Monday Night 570 00:30:27,319 --> 00:30:31,839 winner winning side in the game between the Vikings and Bears. 571 00:30:32,359 --> 00:30:35,880 And we'll have at least three picks on Saturday in 572 00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:39,680 college football and at least one on Friday, possibly two 573 00:30:39,759 --> 00:30:42,640 on Friday, so we'll see. So that's what you got 574 00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:45,480 to look forward to, folks. You can get my college 575 00:30:45,480 --> 00:30:48,599 football annual package for just five to ninety nine. We'll 576 00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:51,640 take you right through the National Championship game. I don't 577 00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:54,119 know why you wouldn't consider buying that. What everything I 578 00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:57,319 just told you, it's all factual. It's all back by 579 00:30:57,400 --> 00:31:01,000 wager talk dot com. And if you want to college 580 00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:04,920 football and NFL combined, great price eight forty nine. Take 581 00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:07,960 advantage of these offers right now, folks. And also if 582 00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:10,720 you want to give me a test run, it sounds 583 00:31:10,759 --> 00:31:12,720 like my single days when I used to date a 584 00:31:12,759 --> 00:31:15,720 lot of women. If you want to give me a 585 00:31:15,759 --> 00:31:20,640 test run, then seventy seven dollars for seven days in 586 00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:24,079 a Major league baseball, NFL and college football. You can't 587 00:31:24,079 --> 00:31:25,039 beat that with a stick. 588 00:31:25,119 --> 00:31:28,880 Speaker 2: Andy, Oh tell me, we're clipping that where Ross says 589 00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:34,880 you can give him a test run for seventy seven dollars, Ross, 590 00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:38,279 Benjamin a great segment. Great segment. Ross, I can't wait 591 00:31:38,319 --> 00:31:39,880 to do this again next week. 592 00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:41,359 Speaker 1: Good luck. Let's have a great weekend. 593 00:31:41,440 --> 00:31:42,960 Speaker 4: Appreciate you, Andy. 594 00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:47,279 Speaker 1: That's hilarious. That's hilarious. 595 00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:49,319 Speaker 2: All right. So someone asked if we could do the 596 00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:53,240 month bankroll reset. Absolutely we can. We can also do 597 00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:57,640 the last seven days recap. I said there was a 598 00:31:58,000 --> 00:32:00,000 there was something I was supposed to answer in the chat. 599 00:32:00,079 --> 00:32:02,200 It find it, so post again what I was supposed 600 00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:05,319 to answer in the chat. I know somebody said we're 601 00:32:05,359 --> 00:32:08,559 going to talk about Survivor. We're gonna do that on Fridays. 602 00:32:08,680 --> 00:32:11,720 So myself and Dan are going to answer, We're going 603 00:32:11,799 --> 00:32:15,519 to do Football Survivor and probably the Super Contest on Fridays. 604 00:32:15,759 --> 00:32:18,559 Football Fridays are going to be huge this year, guys, 605 00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:21,640 Gianni's going to be here, Teddy Covers is going to 606 00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:23,119 be here, Marko is going to be here. Dan and 607 00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:25,880 I are going to do Survivor. Hopefully we can get 608 00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:28,640 I hope fingers crossed, me get Kelly to come on. 609 00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:30,759 Everyone's about to talk about some of these spreads. But 610 00:32:30,839 --> 00:32:32,920 that's also going to be big NFL props. I know 611 00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:34,960 we're getting questions about it in the in the chat. 612 00:32:35,160 --> 00:32:38,559 So the props are out now for week one. After 613 00:32:38,599 --> 00:32:40,440 this week, they're not going to come out till Thursday 614 00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:43,880 and Friday. So Friday will be a huge, huge football day. 615 00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:46,000 And like I said, we got to be really really 616 00:32:46,039 --> 00:32:51,000 careful about betting props too early. You will absolutely get 617 00:32:51,039 --> 00:32:52,880 limited within a few weeks if you beat some of 618 00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:57,720 these NFL prop numbers. So oh wager talk. It's not 619 00:32:57,759 --> 00:33:01,160 showing tickets or money. The reason why we're not really 620 00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:03,119 showing him is because it's really really hard to get 621 00:33:03,119 --> 00:33:08,400 accurate information. That's bottom line, Like we may have the numbers, 622 00:33:08,519 --> 00:33:11,359 but we don't we can't confirm it. I mean, it's 623 00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:13,440 some of it's really really hard to get proper. 624 00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:14,119 Speaker 1: Information from the books. 625 00:33:14,119 --> 00:33:15,759 Speaker 2: So if we're not going to give out proper information, 626 00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:18,799 there's no reason to put it up there. So pretty 627 00:33:18,799 --> 00:33:21,519 simple answer, if we can't give you the best, you know, 628 00:33:21,559 --> 00:33:22,839 the best, most accurate numbers. 629 00:33:22,839 --> 00:33:23,279 Speaker 1: We don't want to. 630 00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:25,839 Speaker 2: We don't want we don't we don't wanna be those 631 00:33:25,880 --> 00:33:28,480 guys that are putting out tickets and money and then 632 00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:30,720 they're not you know, they're not even close to accurate. 633 00:33:30,759 --> 00:33:33,440 So and odds Logic does have that though, Yes, Tessie 634 00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:36,400 is right. Odds Logic if if you're interested in these 635 00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:39,160 Steam reports, if you're interested in these line moves, odds 636 00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:44,119 Logic has everything. So all right, let's see let's do 637 00:33:44,359 --> 00:33:47,240 our seven day recap here Chris, and then we'll show 638 00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:49,599 when how we do our bank weell reset. 639 00:33:49,599 --> 00:33:51,119 Speaker 1: We had a really, really nice week. 640 00:33:51,319 --> 00:33:52,720 Speaker 2: This was one of those weeks where if you bet 641 00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:55,400 the wager talk percentages, you're up more than if you 642 00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:57,359 did a flat betting because we hit some of the 643 00:33:57,400 --> 00:33:59,599 bigger plays uh no NFL plays. 644 00:33:59,599 --> 00:34:01,000 Speaker 1: College football was a disaster. 645 00:34:01,559 --> 00:34:04,480 Speaker 2: We lost seven zero point two to five units, including 646 00:34:04,519 --> 00:34:05,680 our first team total of the year. 647 00:34:05,680 --> 00:34:08,920 Speaker 1: That wasn't even close. It was a terrible read WNBA. 648 00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:12,599 Speaker 2: We only had one play lost that one soccer basically 649 00:34:12,599 --> 00:34:14,559 break even MMA was good. 650 00:34:14,559 --> 00:34:15,639 Speaker 1: We only had one event. 651 00:34:15,679 --> 00:34:18,119 Speaker 2: We hit our one play with that auto racing continues 652 00:34:18,159 --> 00:34:21,360 to be absolutely dynamite. Formula one in NASCAR, big part 653 00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:24,800 of the bank world up six point five units. MLB 654 00:34:24,960 --> 00:34:26,800 went zero to one on the team total. Tennis in 655 00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:28,559 the US Open was the big winner. We were up 656 00:34:28,599 --> 00:34:32,760 seventeen units just in tennis. So Corbyn is our tennis department. 657 00:34:33,119 --> 00:34:35,239 If you guys follow our tennis plays, you guys know, 658 00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:39,679 over the last three years you could seriously build a 659 00:34:39,679 --> 00:34:42,559 big bank roll just by following tennis plays. And Corbyn 660 00:34:42,639 --> 00:34:46,599 had a great, great US Open. So cricket department did fantastic. 661 00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:49,280 Only two plays hit, both of them for six units. 662 00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:51,159 And we have a cricket play that goes off in 663 00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:56,400 an hour actually, so all right, and then Chris, we 664 00:34:56,400 --> 00:34:58,039 want to show pull up the spreadsheet. 665 00:34:58,119 --> 00:35:00,480 Speaker 1: So this is a free spreadsheet that's in our cord. 666 00:35:01,519 --> 00:35:03,599 Speaker 2: You can use it. You could use it to track 667 00:35:03,639 --> 00:35:06,000 your bankroll if you want. But how I do it 668 00:35:06,039 --> 00:35:08,280 is we start with a certain amount of money. At 669 00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:10,800 the end of the month, we see how much we're 670 00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:14,239 up or down, we plug it in. It tells us 671 00:35:14,320 --> 00:35:17,920 what our new bankroll total is, and that way we 672 00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:20,320 can determine what is a one unit play. One unit 673 00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:23,519 is one percent of our bankroll. So if we started 674 00:35:23,559 --> 00:35:26,880 with ten thousand, we had a great month of August. 675 00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:28,639 We were coming off of a couple losing months. We 676 00:35:28,679 --> 00:35:31,000 had a huge week in August, so we were up 677 00:35:31,039 --> 00:35:33,719 thirty one unit. So that makes our bank roll thirteen thousand, 678 00:35:33,920 --> 00:35:36,679 one hundred. Now we can establish what one unit is, 679 00:35:36,719 --> 00:35:39,360 which is now you know, one hundred and thirty one. 680 00:35:39,480 --> 00:35:41,599 Speaker 1: So that's how we do it. 681 00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:44,960 Speaker 2: At full disclosure, I'll just tell you guys, I pulled 682 00:35:45,559 --> 00:35:48,280 basically all my money out of my bankroll to pay 683 00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:51,360 for this new business that I started. So I'm basically 684 00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:54,239 starting my bankroll from scratch. I built it up. We 685 00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:56,559 took a pretty big hit on the bank roll in spring, 686 00:35:57,039 --> 00:35:59,760 but I had plenty to start this new business of mine, 687 00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:02,239 so I decided that was well worth the investment. So 688 00:36:02,599 --> 00:36:04,880 my bank roll, we're starting over with a small amount, 689 00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:07,199 but we can build it up. We've shown that we 690 00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:09,039 can do this in a matter of years, and I 691 00:36:09,039 --> 00:36:12,239 think my money is gonna be better invested in this 692 00:36:12,280 --> 00:36:14,559 business that I started. Fact, in fact, we just launched 693 00:36:14,559 --> 00:36:17,599 our first shipment to Amazon today, So very very excited 694 00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:20,639 and terrified, absolutely terrified. 695 00:36:22,199 --> 00:36:25,119 Speaker 1: But all right, guys, thank you so much for doing it. 696 00:36:25,199 --> 00:36:28,480 Speaker 2: Dan is back from his honeymoon. I believe he'll be 697 00:36:28,519 --> 00:36:32,679 back tomorrow. Does Dan not love us anymore? No, he 698 00:36:32,760 --> 00:36:35,920 loves his newlywed wife. That's why he went on a honeymoon. 699 00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:40,800 Speaker 1: Jake, Sorry, you're taking a backseat to Dan's new bride. 700 00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:43,159 Speaker 2: So no, Dan will be back tomorrow and then Friday 701 00:36:43,199 --> 00:36:45,599 you will be getting data and I going over Survivor 702 00:36:45,639 --> 00:36:49,519 and everything. But again, guys, football Fridays you do not 703 00:36:49,599 --> 00:36:50,079 want to miss. 704 00:36:50,079 --> 00:36:51,079 Speaker 1: We are jam packed. 705 00:36:51,079 --> 00:36:52,880 Speaker 2: The show might go a little bit longer, but it 706 00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:55,239 is gonna have so much information to get you ready 707 00:36:55,480 --> 00:36:56,119 for the weekend. 708 00:36:56,159 --> 00:36:57,519 Speaker 1: So really really excited about that. 709 00:36:57,559 --> 00:37:00,159 Speaker 2: We're gonna do it again tomorrow on Thursday. Get ready 710 00:37:00,159 --> 00:37:02,880 for Thursday Night football for the kickoff of the regular seasons. 711 00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:05,280 To make sure you join us, well props, we'll have spreads, 712 00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:07,960 we'll have totals, we'll have college football of MLB, everything 713 00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:09,320 to get you ready for the weekend. 714 00:37:09,400 --> 00:37:10,960 Speaker 1: So hit the light button and leave us a comment. 715 00:37:11,039 --> 00:37:12,480 Tell us who you like this weekend. 716 00:37:12,559 --> 00:37:14,079 Speaker 2: Tell us who you like today, give us a best 717 00:37:14,119 --> 00:37:16,639 bet in the comment section. Thank you so much, great 718 00:37:16,679 --> 00:37:18,920 day from the chat you guys rock as always, good 719 00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:20,519 luck on your place tonight and take care