Speaker 1: All right, welcome in. It's Tuesday. It's time for Total Bases,
your one stop MLB free pick show right here on
the wager Talk YouTube channel. Brian Leonard, the weather gods
have graced us with more day baseball today. We had
a doubleheader. Yesterday. We got the early game in and
then it was like a monsoon in Chicago. I saw
some of the images of the rain that wiped out
that second game. So they're gonna try again today, which
means we get day baseball on a Tuesday, which is fantastic,
and it's a really good matchup. You know, the Brewers
got it done yesterday. I don't think the Cubs are
playing for the Nlcentral at this point, but they're about
to be in a dog fight in that wild card race.
So a huge games for Chicago and a doubleheader set
up again. Have you looked at the weather? Are we
getting these games in? And do you have an opinion?
Speaker 2: Yeah?
Speaker 3: According to the part factors here at the site I use,
it looks like they're going to be the lowest percentage
of runs scored today compared to normal, They're going to
be twelve percent less, which is why you're seeing totals
of seven seven and a half as opposed to like
target field is plus twelve percent more than normal a
normal team in Colorado obviously plus twenty four percent. Normally
you find you know, you find the Mets stadium down there,
Texas Stadium. But yeah, regular field looks like when they'll
be blown in a little bit and runs will be
hard to come by. But they weren't hard to come
by yesterday for the Brewers, who continue to just amaze
the baseball world. Two games today, the first ones at
eleven a m that will be Pacific Patrick going against Boyd.
Patrick has been pretty good. They've I've gotten the Brewers
are probably the most depth going back to the minors
for starting pitching. They've done everything, and even the guys,
the older guys that they brought up have done really well.
Boyd is basically about a one about a one forty
favorite right now, seven and a half to the under.
I don't want to lay one forty with Boyd. I
talked about this in the past last two years. In
twenty twenty three, he threw seventy one innings. Last year
because of injury, thirty nine innings. He's already up to
one hundred and forty two. If you've seen the way
he has pitched lately, he hasn't had that same success.
He comes in with a two point four to six
CRA but is expected as three point two six. It's
lasted a long time this season without having any of
that regression. I think it starts to come now. It's
been coming the last few starts. Whip one point two.
He still throws at four seamer forty six percent of
the time, slightly over league average for a lefty. We
throw a lot of fastballs. Eventually you're going to get hit,
and I do have some concerns about him here Milwaukee.
On the other hand, if I can get my mouse
to work here Milwaukee, as I said, going with Patrick
on the mound, Chad Practricke has jcent numbers this year.
He comes in with a three point five to two
in his rookie season, expected four point one two with
one point three zero. Nothing really stands out from his
Savant page. His ground bow rate is in the fifth percentile,
which is bad, but with the wind blowing in and regularly,
I think some of those balls will stay in the
park and that'll help him. Part hit rate twenty fourth
percentile extension twenty fourth percentile. It's clear that the Cubs
have the better pitcher, but I think it's clear that
the Brewers have the better hinting if you take a
look at the Major League leader board in WRC plus yesterday,
Toronto is number one, Milwaukee number two. Now Milwaukee's number one,
Toronto's number two. Cubs are dead last. Pittsburgh passed them
up a little bit yesterday, so it Coubs got to
seventy one WRC plus over the last fourteen days, whereas
Milwaukee's won forty three. They're hitting more than twice as well.
So if I'm going to play this, I would find
a way to play Milwaukee like Boyd overall, But yeah,
he's not pitching the same and he's getting a little
bit of a tired arm, and that's the problem the
Cubs are going to have. They've got a lot of
these guys that are getting up there in the innings.
And before the show, Brandon was talking about as teams
go deeper into the season, if you've already gotten your
playoff position, sort of like the Phillies, Dodgers, some of
those teams, you're going to take the innings load off
of a lot of your starters, So this is the
time of year where they may have a starter goal,
but he may only go four innings or so. To
keep that in mind when you're looking at the bullpens
in these games, you'll see more bullpen time for a
lot of these teams that have already been or look
like they're going to be in the playoffs.
Speaker 4: It is five dollars Tuesday, everyone, so we're gonna have
all of us will have a five dollars play up.
Speaker 5: I already have mine.
Speaker 4: It's in Major League Baseball with a free play loaded
on my page, and we all will have a free
play as well.
Speaker 5: So you see that scroller down there.
Speaker 4: Our pages are there at wager talk, So grab our
free play at least and take a look at what
we got for five dollars. We won our parlay yesterday
and I went four and oh in MLB yesterday, So
pretty good day all around. And I'm going to go
against the grain here. There's two things that I really
like about Boyd here. His numbers against Milwaukee in his
career really good. A two twenty six average against in
the six forty five ohps against, and that's in fifty
three at bats against. And also boy's a really good
home pitcher. He's got a one seven to five e
RA at home in sixty seven innings. So I think
I think today's the day that the Brewers finally get stopped.
I don't think he'll hold them to zero, but I
think he can control them to two runs or so.
And the Cubs, I think they're going to break out
a little bit. I mean, if you call three runs
a breakout, I don't have the testicular fortitude to take
the Cubs on the money line. However, I think the
Brewers team total under If you can get a four
and a half, that would be great, But I think
even first five innings under one and a half might
be a decent play. If you can get two and
a half, that would be even better. I haven't played
it yet, and I haven't seen the numbers yet, but
if I'm going to play it, that's the way I
would go.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I am in agreement with you, Tokyo Brandon. I
like the Cubs here a lot lately. Adam not bad thing. Hey,
I mean, it's not even a good night last night,
So I'm I'm glad When we were on the same
side in in some of these. So Trevor says, Brewers
plus twenty well plus one twenty five is extremely it
is incredibly disrespectful because I'm gonna miss the playoffs. That
statement is fine. I don't really disagree with that statement.
I don't know if the Cubs have missed the plaoffs,
but they're certainly in a battle. They're gonna They're gonna
be in a dogfight, and it's gotten even closer after
yesterday with the Reds winning winning last night. But I'm
hoping that the market has that same thought process. I'm
hoping that as this the day goes on. So this
is an early game that people just kind of grab
that price with the Brewers because I really do like
the Cubs in the spot, and you know, I'm not
I don't want to discount what Brian said about Boyd
because I do think there's there's it's something to watch, though,
I mean, I haven't really seen like a reason to
fade him yet. Like he's pretty good last time out,
they they I think he gave up the homer in
like the seventh inning to the Blue Jays, which is like, okay,
he held the blue Jays basically scoreless for six, and
I think he gave up the home run in the
seventh in like a two to one game. But Boyd's
been solid. I don't mind him, and I wouldn't mind
backing him here. You know, the wind blowing in could
help Patrick, but there's not many people taking Matthew Boyd
deep either. I think he's only given up like ten
or eleven homers on the season, so I don't think
he's gonna get bombed here, And if anything, it's easier
to string hits together off Chad Patrick. Like I've watched
a ton of Chad Patrick, mostly at the minor league level.
He's been you know, he's he's been I think at
the at Triple A since twenty twenty three, was there
almost all year last year. He's been there a lot
of this year, and I kind of feel like I
have him pegged at this point in terms of like
what he's gonna be. He's consistent. I feel like they're
gonna look at him as someone that they can trust
as like a fifth starter if needed, if they don't
have a better option. I don't think he's shutting big
league lineups down, but he's probably not gonna get killed either.
You know, his stuff is. I just consider him like
a pretty average major league starter, fifth starter. It feels
like you almost get the same effort from him. Every time.
It's gonna be five innings, he's probably gonna give up
a run or two, and you're just gonna go from there. Now,
where I think the from there is in this game
is the fact that the Cubs need this so badly
that they're gonna be so much much more willing to
like burn out in game one of the doubleheader than
the Brewers will. And I did think that when the
Brewers lost the game, which was Sunday, that you might
see them play like five hundred ball for the next
week or so. They just had that fourteen game win streak.
It wouldn't surprise me if they play, you know, they're
more of a five hundred team for like a week
or two, because they've I feel like they've done enough
at this point, and I think they're gonna feel like
they've done enough too, And maybe you see him play
like five hundred ball, which is fine for them. They
have an eight game, nine game lead in the division.
So this is not a scenario where I'm really looking
to get involved with the Cubs like across a double header,
but I really do think that there's an edge in
game one. And if the market's going to drive this
down a little bit more, let's say I can get
at some point Cubs minus one twenty five under minus
one thirty, I may have to play that. So TV,
I'm with you here. I kind of like the Cubs.
No opinion for me in Game two?
Speaker 3: Go ahead, Bryan, I just want to touch on the Cubs.
I'm making the playoffs. The MLB side on ESPN now
has the percentage of the teams making the playoffs, and
they've got the Cubs at ninety six point seven. The
Cubs are playing lousey, but the teams behind them are
the Mets, the Reds, and the Padres, and they've got
a five game laid over the Reds right now. So
it's going to take a little bit. And in fact,
you know, we go back. We talked about the Yankees earlier.
Yankees are not playing well, but they still got a
nine to two point nine percent chance to make the
playoffs because other than the Red Sox are a lot
of the teams in the that league are not playing well.
Seattle's we've talked about this coming into the show, I
may have to deal with some pitching injuries. So yeah,
even though some of these teams are not playing well,
they'll probably still make the playoffs because you're either a
have or have not this season, unfortunately, there's too many
have nots in Major League Baseball.
Speaker 1: The Cubs go to Cincinnati for four games in like
mid September. That should be a hopefully it's on the
line there, that would be a good series. All right.
Speaker 4: I want to talk on paper, they're really talented. It's
amazing that they can't hit right now.
Speaker 5: Amazing.
Speaker 1: All right. I want to move on to this game.
I was on the Mariners last night. That was a
loss and a couple of things. So Colin wants to
talk about Bryce Miller. He's going to be tonight's starter.
And I can certainly speak on Miller. I bet him
in his most recent game at Triple A, so I've
got some opinions there. But I want to point out,
because it was talking about like Gilbert home roads and stuff,
I truly believe Logan Gilbert is injured and I think
you'll see him go on the IL very soon. And
that is not just because I lost with them. Last night,
I felt like I was watching someone that was clearly
hurt try to like sort of fight through it. And
I'm only bringing that up because I'm interested if he
like does it for one more start, because it's like,
none of these guys want to take themselves out of
a pennant race of the game if they feel like
they can work through it. But Jordan Alexander, who's a
friend of mine, who's a good follow on Twitter and
really follows that division closely, was saying he's got the
same injury as Cole, the one that Garrett Cole had
that we saw him really struggle at times last year.
Probably going to require surgery in the offseason. So that's
worth monitoring in my opinion, because that was not like
it was his worst start of the season. He had nothing,
but it was like very apparent to me that he
couldn't locate anything and it looked like he was injured,
to my opinion. So something to watch with Logan Gilbert.
That was, of course last night's game. The Phillies blew
it open and the Mariners they tried at the end,
they think they got four back, but it ended up
being a twelve seven final. Now we move on to tonight,
and that's what the chat wants to talk about. I
see a lot of chatter here for this game. Kind
of a similar assignment for the Mariners, Brian Leonard. It's
another lefty. They didn't handle Suarez very well last night.
And now it's Christopher Santis who's arguably, well not arguably,
I think he is the better one. I think we'd
all probably agree on that. And it's Bryce Miller for Seattle,
who did kind of look good in his most recent
rehab start and I think he's probably ready. So Mariners, Phillies,
how are you seeing this one? Mariners kind of needed
to do something here. They're starting to struggle a little bit.
Speaker 3: Yeah, when I looked at the card today and I
already have my five dollars play up and I have
a free playoff already. This is one of the games
I was interested in Bryce Miller coming back from Andreie.
But if if you've read the quotes from Miller, it
was an elbow an elbow situation. He says he feels
better now than he's felled all season long. Its strength
is he thinks he can go long. He does throw
seven pitches, so even if his fastball isn't working well,
he can use his others. His tackcast page looks terrible
this year, and he has been terrible, but he has
gone through a lot of injuries. Keep in mind last
year he had a two point nine four ERA zero
point nine to eight whip. Now he's a young guy.
It's only in three seasons, but I think he will
be more like that than he has been this year.
And to get a Seattle team in this price range
is to me, it's a little bit of a bargain,
especially when you take a look at Munio's brash spire
and bizarreo. None of them have pitched in the last
three days, so they could go, you know, five innings
of Miller here and then use those guys to finish
off the game single wonderful pitching it inning. That's a
pretty good pitching lineup for Seattle here. And obviously Philadelphia
is playing really good ball right now. Christopher Sanchez has
been great. His stetcast page is virtually all read here.
Two point four to five ERA, three point oh three expected,
so little little, a little negative regression coming his way,
one point nine whip, but he's very good. But he
only throws three pitches, the sinker, slider, and the change,
So it's easier to guess, and a lot of these
players do guess, and if they know guy's only got
three pitches as opposed to seven, it's easier to figure
it out. But Sanchez, for what he's got, he's just
been tremendous this year. And I fully understand why people
would want to play Philadelphia. You got a guy who's
probably in the top five and say young votes, and
you got Philadelphia. Team's playing really well right now. But
my thought process is, if these two teams will meet
in the playoffs right now on a neutral maybe Philadelphia
is a If the beach teams is played in the
same amount of games, maybe Philadelphia overall is maybe a
one twenty one, twenty five favorite. And I'm seeing upwards
if you go into some of the you know, the
pandol the fanatics, draft Kings, those kinds of things, they're
in the one seventy five range here, and I just
don't understand it. You could catch Seattle right now, it
like one sixty one sixty one on the comeback. That's
enough to get me involved. I'll be involved with Seattle
some way on this game. Whether it be maybe a
team total or just as the underdog, because, like I said,
all those guys, the best guys in the bullpen are
going to be available to hear. This is a live dog.
Speaker 2: If you ask me, TV, I think you're muted. We
can't hear you.
Speaker 5: You can't hear me. How about now?
Speaker 4: Okay, So Brian has a playout already. That's amazing. I
think that's a first. So he's got his five dollars playout.
I've got mine out, Adam, Do you have yours out yet?
Speaker 1: I don't. I would probably use it for Korean Baseball
and that which goes in the morning.
Speaker 4: Okay, so we're all going to have a five dollars
play up, and we're all going to have a free
play up for sure if we don't already.
Speaker 5: So go to our pages and check those out.
Speaker 1: Guys.
Speaker 5: We had a great day yesterday.
Speaker 4: We almost everything we said to bet went our way
except a couple small ones.
Speaker 5: So let's keep it going.
Speaker 4: Regarding this game, I'm kind of gonna go against Brian,
not exactly against, but you know, Sanche's just pitching so
well right now, and that Philly bullpen just pitching really
well right now.
Speaker 5: I don't really trust the Philly bats right now.
Speaker 4: They're a little bit cold, and Seattle I got them
ranked really mediocres. So when I see mediocre bats going
against a really good bullpen and a really good starting pitcher,
that just makes me want to go to the team
total under three and a half. Under, though, is really
hard in Major League Baseball. It's hard to bet, especially
when you got the number one home run king on
the team next to Suarez, who hit a home run
the other day and is starting to heat up since
he got traded. But that would be the only way
I would go. But because that's the only way I
would go, I'm probably not going to play this game.
Neither pitcher has a really good history against the batters
he's facing, so can't really read that very much. The
one thing about Miller he hasn't He hasn't pitched for
two months, and uh he's got a one to five
plus whip, So that kind of scares me about Seattle.
Speaker 1: If you are on my all access service and you've
been following along the Triple A plays, we bet on
Bryce last week they were on the road at Vegas.
Was a really good price. I don't think the books
got the Sometimes the books with these Triple A like
rehab starts, they just kind of throw like a very
generic price out there, because a lot of times a
rehab start for Triple A could be like two three innings.
It's not always like a full thing. So the books
kind of like don't want to, you know, throw it.
They don't want to like inflate it too much because
then like they'll get action on the other side if
you know they're only going to go a couple innings.
I felt like Miller last week was gonna get the
full rub and he did, uh, and he actually didn't
want to come out, like he was at seventy six
pitches in the sixth and he was just you could
tell he kind of was like, let me finish the inning.
You know, they they are obviously going to say no
to that. Triple A is not about really wins and
losses to them. Like they they had him seventy five
to eighty pitches. They took him out, but he was
fantastic five and two thirds, four strikeouts, one walk. Think
he gave up like one run in three rehabs starts
at Triple A, one for nine batting average game in
a zero point seventy five win, totally dominant. He's he's
more than ready to pitch here. Now. Yeah, it's the
Phillies lineup in Citizens Bank Park is going to be
much different than facing a PCL team. But I don't
think that should discount how well he threw the ball
over three starts at Triple A for his rehab. And
then Brian comes in with the quote that he feels great. Well,
he looked like he felt great because everything, I mean,
it looked like I was watching Bryce Miller that had
all the upside that, you know. I felt like I
was watching the Bryce Miller that everyone expected him to
be prior to the injuries. So I really would only
go back with the Mariners here at this price. Brian
already did a great job of laying out how insane
this price is. I kind of wanted Mariners plus one
and a half. It's minus one forty. Maybe goes in
the parlay. I'm gonna think about that as we do
the show. If that came down ten cents, I might
have another client play on the Mariners. They just saw
Lefty last night, so you got to think that maybe
helps them out a little bit. And then as Brian said,
they they have all of the good bullpen arms are
available here. And even when even with the loss yesterday,
I you know, I feel like the Mariners are good
for a couple homers in this ballpark whenever they play here.
Like even with the them trailing yesterday, cole Jung went deep.
They tacked on a couple more at the end that
game was dead in the water. Gilbert was hurt. In
my opinion, he was hurt, and they gave He gave
up six runs in the second inning, so the Mariners
never really got off the mat. I think you see
a much better effort. You know what, why haven't mess around.
Let's throw that in the parlay. What's what's Mariners plus
one and a half right now? Minus one forty?
Speaker 3: I believe that's what I saw a second ago. Let
me just check it one more time. More of a one? Yeah,
about one? I would say, all.
Speaker 1: Right, we'll take that. That's fine. That way I get
something on it. I don't know if I don't know
if we'll see the Phillies take any more money. But
like again, if that some the Phillies are weird. Though
even yesterday they took money throughout the day, and I
didn't think they would the Phillies at home. They they're
always inflated and they almost always take money. So if
that creeps down to like minus one thirty minus one
twenty five territory, I may have to add it as
a client play. But for now, it's going to be
a first leg of our parlay. So Mariners plus one
and a half to kick off the parlor, go ahead, Brian.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I will say the Philadelphia team total under four
and a half. It looks pretty good to make because
I think the Seattle pitching staff has in pretty good
shape in this game.
Speaker 1: I don't think they've used a top bullpen arm in days.
Speaker 3: I don't think, like move none in the last three days.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so they're so there. I guess I don't understand
this question, like why not why not back Sanchez? Well,
I don't know why I would want to at this price,
Like I feel like we answered that question. It's a
it's a in my opinion, especially after they just saw Suarez,
they just saw a lefty. I feel like it's a
crazy price to back Sanchez in this game. So yeah,
that would be the answer to that question in my opinion.
All Right, let's go to the chat, all right, we
have a shocker chat wants to talk Tigers Astros, aave
cash and he took some Astros. I think Colin must
have took some Astros too. We got a great convo
going on in the chat, which we love. We love
the bantering the chat, We love it in the comments
on the replay. So don't forget that. If you're missing
this lib or you didn't see the whole show. The
replays on the Wager Talking YouTube channel, and if you
have a second, give us a like a subscribe, maybe
even drop a comment. The chatter is going about Astros
Tigers Tigers was an easy win yesterday Tokyo Brandon threw
it in the parlay. Clearly someone knew something because that
number moved about sixty cents like while we were on
the show, fifty or sixty cents while we were on
the show, and that was a cake walk for the Tigers,
even with their guy on the mount. Today, Brian Leonard
doesn't look like it's going to be as easy today
because the Astros have Hunter Brown and passive Pitcher in
their own respect. So Tiger's Asters, how do you see
in this one?
Speaker 3: Yeah, Scooble has taken a step back the last few starts.
You knew it was gonna happen. Obviously, he can't be
as good as he's been all season long. Every every
great pitcher as a couple they'd like to throw back
at the end of the season. But he's currently about
about a one sixty eight favorite here against Brown, total
of seven in the game. You'd expect a lower scoring game.
Here's a good pitcher's ballpark, and you've got two great
pitchers going under Brown two point four five ERA three
point zero five expected one zero zero on his whip.
Everything on his on his Taccas page is positive. His
worst category as walks fifty eighth percenta, which is still
better in the league average. He throws six pitches, including
his four singer forty percent of the time he throws
that at ninety six point eight. Very impressive. Terry Scrubel
obviously the Cy Young winner, and he'll be the Cy
Young winner again this year as long as he doesn't
get hurt. Two point four to two ERA two point
six eight expected zero point eight seven whip, that's the deal.
The guy doesn't walk many players. Last two years there
was four point five percent, walks four point six percent.
Now it's four percent. That's what makes him so great.
He doesn't give up any free passes. His ground ball
rates a little bit lacking in the forty fifth percent
al but once again, he pitches in a very good
pitcher park here, so he doesn't give up the home runs.
Two guys that you really would expect to have a
good game. The total of seven, basically seven across the
board is pretty good. But as I said, you know,
both of them had a little bit of hiccups in
the last month that they hadn't had in the past.
Maybe the amount of innings is becoming a little high.
Keep in mind, Scooball in twenty twenty three because Mandrei
only threw eighty last year one ninety two. He's at
one fifty two, so he's still should be in pretty
good shape with that. Brown went from one fifty five
to one seventy right now is at one forty three,
so I'm not too concerned about that. Like both these teams,
both these pitchers, and we think it's a low scoring game.
I lean with the under here. I don't go under
seven very often, but if you do like to play
the under. You got two of the best pictures in
baseball playing in one of the best pictures parks in baseball.
The under seems to make a lot of sense to me.
Speaker 4: Yeah, just a quick announcement, guys, I'm not doing my
Saturday show anymore because college football starting and who wants
to watch some guy in glasses talk about baseball when
there's college football on?
Speaker 5: Right? So yeah, that show.
Speaker 4: I'll I'll redo it again next week or sorry, next season.
But as of now, yeah, Saturdays, I'm pretty sure I
won't get much of an audience doing that Saturday show,
so I have canceled. Not canceled it, I have stopped
it for the rest of this season next season. Regarding
this game, I'm in line with Brian under I think
would be the only way to go. I'm going to
do it in a different way, though, and I'll tell
you why. I like the first five innings under three
and a half. And the reason why is because both
of these pictures. Here's where I have them ranked out
of two hundred and twenty starting pitchers. I got Scooble
ranked number three and Hunter Brown ranked number eleven right now,
so those are top two, top eleven elite pictures. They
both have great numbers against the batters they're facing with
decent sample size. Hunter Brown seventy seven aut bats against,
two eight average against five sixty eight ops against. Excellent numbers.
Speaker 5: Scoobole.
Speaker 4: As Brian mentioned, he's struggled in a couple of starts,
but his numbers against these Astro batters to eighteen average
against six sixty seven ops against. And that's with seventy
eight at bats, so good sample size. Let's take a
look at the lineups. I have both of these lineups
ranked seventeen or worse in current form. I got the
Tigers ranked eighteen and I've got the Astros ranked twenty five.
So all of that comes together to say, do I trust.
Speaker 5: The bullpens or not? Not really, Astros bullpen's not performing
well and Detroit's bullpen is just.
Speaker 4: Toiling in mediocrity. So I would rather throw the bullpens
out and.
Speaker 5: Just do a first five.
Speaker 4: If you could alt this four and a half under,
I was able to do that, but I don't see
it available anymore. So I think under four is like
minus one eighty. That's a little rich. So just take
the under three and a half and make a small
play on that. That's what I'm That's what I'm gonna
do on this one, and I actually will make that
not my parlay play, but it is a client play
small percent.
Speaker 1: One my friends at Just Baseball. I've become buddies with
the Just Baseball guys, So if you're not following them,
they do. They pump out awesome baseball content. They're a
great follow on Twitter, and they posted the American League
Pennant odds yesterday from MGM. And when I saw the
Tigers favorite, I just about fell out of my chair
because it's like, that's not them saying they like the Tigers,
that's Vegas. Basically, the Vegas is making the Tigers the
favorite in the American League right now, are going into
play yesterday, which I imagine after a ten to nothing win,
it's probably still the same to win the American League. Now,
I'll point out that it's very close. You're looking at
Tigers or like plus three fifty, then you got the
J's plus three seventy five, Mariners four to one, Astros
five to one, Yankees five to one, so there is
a little bit of a log jam. But it was, like,
you know, it was interesting to me that and I
checked this at other books, and I'm seeing Tigers. You know,
the books think that the Tigers are the favorite in
the American League now, even though I have kind of said,
you know, I don't agree with where they're priced in
the market or where they were priced in the market.
They haven't had the best month. So it's like, I
do feel like the odds have come back just a
little bit. Yesterday, As I said, I missed it, I
mean Tiger's. I'm kicking myself that it wasn't on my
card because like before I even had a chance to
blink in the morning, it moved fifty cents, so I
couldn't really come back and play it at a bad number,
but they won easily. What I'm kind of looking for
here is to see if the Astros take money, because
I think you're going to see the crowd that you're
going to see, like the Astros can't pass them up
at like plus one fifty crowd plus one forty five crowd.
If they drove this down into like Tiger's minus one
forty with Scooble, I think you'd have to really look
at that Schooble at home. You get him better than
a dollar fifty. I don't really know that he's I mean,
you know, using the word struggled is probably a little
bit harsh. That Angels start wasn't very good, but like
seven innings, three runs against the Twins against you know,
on the road in Philly. He gives up three runs,
but he goes seven and strikes out ten, Like, I
don't know, that's harsh, Like that's not really struggling in
my opinion, that's just being a little bit human. So
it's like if I could get schooble at even something
that's remotely playable on his home field here, and someone
in the chat makes a good comment, I do think
he like relishes this spot a little bit. This is
national TV. It's a big opponent. It's much different than
playing the Angels, in my opinion, like in the spot
that he played him last time, it's gonna they're gonna
kind of get pumped up for this, like it's a
big game. So I would I would lean toward the
Tigers here. I don't think I'll end up playing this
one because I don't think I'm gonna get the value.
But if they take, if the Ashers take some money,
I gotta look at the Tigers. Go ahead, Bryan.
Speaker 3: The reason why the Tigers are the favorites because they
have an eight and a half game lead in the
Division I as opposed to one and a half for
Houston and five for Toronto. I know they assume Tigers
are going to have home advantage, and they're very good
at home forty and twenty four on the season. I
would from a number standpoint, I would make them the
favorite also. But as for who I think would win,
I think it's a foss up. And in reality, all
these teams have some things they do well, some things
they don't do well, and anything can happen out of
the American League would not surprise me if any of
the teams in the playoffs or to win it all
nationally is a little bit more wide open, where you've
got three or four teams that are very good, and
some other teams are going to make the playoffs that
really are going to be long shots.
Speaker 1: Right. I'm curious, are you so I listed off all
those teams. The next team down is the Red Sox
at like plus eight fifty. Would that like interest you?
I feel like that kind of interests me from a
future standpoint if you're looking at that group, because I
agree with you, Who's who do you love in that group? Right? Like,
wouldn't you rather just have Red Sox plus eight fifty?
At this point, they're.
Speaker 3: They're todd same record as the Yankees are. Right now,
there's more value on them than there is on the Yankees.
Speaker 1: If you ask man, Yeah, now, interesting stuff, good conversation.
We will. Let let's move it on. That'll be a
good one to watch. That's that's TBS National TV for
us here in the States. That'll that'll be a good watch.
Google versus Brown Tigers Verstachers could be a preview of
that opening playoff weekend where you get the three game series. Yeah,
for sure, this this, this has the chance to be
a good pitching game. But then again, these teams go
off the rails all the time. I never know. So
it's like A's twins. Theoretically, you've got Joe Ryan, who's
an ace, and you've got Jacob Lopez who's been very
He's an intriguing guy. I think he has potential. This
one's in target field, so I guess it's you know,
sets up that for pitching that it would say if
you were at Sutter Heelth Park. So two good pitchers here,
Brian Leonard as twins, are you getting involved at all here?
Speaker 3: Yeah? You mentioned target field. The wind will be blowing
out here. It's expected to have twelve percent more runs
than a normal baseball game. And we're looking at the
total here. I can find it on the car Jesus. Yeah,
we're looking at game nine sixty nine. The totals eight
and a half, which it kind of opened eight is
going up a little bit. I can see that. I
like both these pitchers. Obviously, Lopez against Ryan Ryan is
about a one about one forty favorite total eight and
a half. I'm it's interesting to me what Minnesota is
going to do with Joe Ryan the rest of the year.
They're not going to be in the play poffs. They
tried to trade him, they couldn't get enough back. Boston
really wanted them, a lot of teams wanted him. He's
a really good pitcher, he's healthy now. But will they
just try? If I'm in management at Minnesota, it's clear
they clear that they don't try to win as often
as some of the other teams do. The management's very
cheap there. They said they were going to put the
team up for sale, and then all of a sudden
they pulled the rug and now they're not not for sale.
So all the fans were upset because they thought they
were going to get a real owner in there. Now
they're not. I could see Joe Ryan, they really cut
back on his inningist this season goes on and look
more towards next year. Lopez because he came up later.
He doesn't have that situation going. He's a lefty and
I really like him. When he's been good. It hasn't
been really anybody They can count on him the way
he has been this season, been very consistent, and you know,
the Minnesota bats, they just have not gotten it going
all season long, and when the starters go out. You know,
I'm not a huge fan of the A's since they
raised bullpen, since they traded away you know, their best
picture Miller, but they're a better bullpen than what Minnesota is.
The Minnesota traded away. They're four best relievers. So to
get Oakland in this price range, I think it's a
little bit of a bargain. You can get upwards of
one to twenty four twenty five out there right now
with the A's I think the situation calls for the
A's a little bit here, and yeah, I think there's
some value. I actually like a few underdogs on today's card,
and this is one of them. So I'm gonna be
uh looking to find a way to play the A's
A's or or maybe a Minnesota team total under which
would also be something we can look at. Let me
take a quick look at that. Yeah, you can get
the You can get the Minnesota team total under four
and a half right now at minus one thirty. That
that's a pretty good bet. I like that also.
Speaker 4: Exactly as exactly the same train of thought as Brian here,
Jacob Lopez underrated pitcher, and Joe Ryan. I don't want
to say he's overrated, because he's a really good picture,
but the books, I.
Speaker 5: Think the books give him a little too much too.
I think they give him better lines than he deserves.
He's a good picture, though, make no doubt about it.
But when I run my numbers, man, I love the
A's in this matchup, well it's I just do. I
mean I got I got their batting rink fifth, I
got the Twins ranked twenty fifth, I got the A's
bullpen ranked sixth and the Twins bullpen ranked eighteen uh
and starting pitching, I got Jacob Lopez ranked higher than
Joe Ryan. Now, maybe that's seems a little crazy or wacky,
and maybe he's not as good as my numbers like him,
because man, Joe Ryan is a very good and consistent pitcher.
But Joe Ryan is backed by a very bad bullpen
that lost a lot of pieces of the trade deadline
and a lineup that's not producing. So even if Joe
Ryan can hold this powerpacked lineup down to one or
two runs in the first five innings, you know, Katie
bar the door for the for the for the last
four innings. I like Oakland here too, And actually I
made a play Minnesota under four and a half team
total as a client play before the show. So Brian
and I are exactly on the same on the same wave.
Speaker 1: Brian, what was the weather again? Did you say the
winds blowing out in this game and that there could
be what was your what was that sort of weather
line you said.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm on the site I'm on has the wind
blowing out and it's plus twelve percent more runs than
an average game. So but this is not one of
the greatest home run hitting parks. So a lot of
times when the wind blows out, you have to take
an account what park you're playing in. Because in San Francisco,
the wind blows out every day at ten miles an
hour or more. Basically and by far, they're the worst
home run hitting park in baseball. So a lot of
you have to take a lot of things into account.
But I don't think this is going to be much
of a high scoring game either.
Speaker 1: See that's the wind. And and that's intriguing to me
because both of these pitchers are like extreme fly ball pitchers,
especially Jacob Lopez Drake. Jacob Lopez is one of the
lowest ground ball rates in Major League Baseball. And Joe
Joe Ryan. If if you watch Joe Ryan, I if
he gets he's gonna get beat by the home run.
It's like the only way he's getting beat, uh he
And it's it's pretty much a given. Like and especially
with this a's lineup, going back to something Tokyo Brandon said,
like you get this a's lineup against a righty, someone's
taken Joe Ryan deep at some point over the course
of six seven innings. Now it doesn't that's not to
say he's gonna pitch poorly, but like you give Nick
Kurtz three cracks at him, or like a soda stirn
three cracks at him, like someone's probably gonna get one
at some point. So I lean toward the over because
I do think that there might be a couple home
runs in this game. But really the thing that I
that's almost a bonus here because I think where you
get the value on the A's and the value on
the over is the shit show that's going to occur
when both of these bullpens are in the game, which
are both just not good at this point. They've all
traded away like the twins in the A's have both
traded away all of their top arms. So once Ryan
is out, once Lopez is out, like TV was saying,
it's it could be a free for all. And I
think that's gonna a get you runs and b makes
the A's a great play at the price because it
could go crazy at the end of this TV were
you gonna follow up there? Sorry?
Speaker 5: Yeah?
Speaker 4: And if it turns into a shit show at the
end of the game, which lineup would you rather have?
Speaker 1: Oh, the A's for sure, exactly as for sure, Yeah, exactly. Yeah,
this A's lineup is is something else like there. They
they lack a little discipline at this point, which will
probably be ironed out from this year in the next year,
but they don't. This A's team by the time they
get to Vegas, it's gonna be awesome. I mean, they're
they're going to be they'll probably win that division the
first year they're in Vegas. Like that. I think that's
how good this team could potentially be if the ownership
doesn't ruin it. So yeah, I like the A's as well,
and I think there's gonna be runs in this one,
especially if there's a couple of long balls. That ball's
carrying a little bit.
Speaker 5: Yep.
Speaker 1: Let's go to Danzo here, because I know Brian Lennard
wanted to talk about this game for at some point,
well at least I maybe I imagined him saying that,
but I think he wants to talk about it. Danzell says,
Rocky six and two and one run game since the
All Star Break, only the Brewers seven and two are better.
If you watched the show yesterday, we broke down Rockies,
Dodgers and all kind of couldn't believe that the Rockies
were catching three runs on the spread. Turns out they
didn't need any of those runs. They won the game,
as Brian kind of pointed out, would be possible to do.
It was a bad spot for the Dodgers. So Brian,
how are you seeing this one? Dodgers Rockies? Does it
go the other way tonight?
Speaker 3: Well, as I said before we started the show, I
kind of thought, I think this is a good spot
for the Dodgers to come back. But there's no way
I'm laying that line. It's upwards of you know, two
eighty five in some places, so I'm not going to
do that. But Austin Gomber is the guy that I
think the Dodgers can really get to. Here. Are you
looking at a total of twelve? Maybe maybe something like
the Dodgers team total over let's see what that is
actually foo seven and a half score, eight runs? Who
win that? I won't get involved with that, but she's
basically a one seventy five favorite here with a total
of twelve. Emanchan's one of those guys that he's pitching
for his job and pitching first futures twenty five years old,
and if it was up to the Dodgers, he would
never play in the majors because he's They keep bringing
in all these high, high priced free agents. But he's
been decently good. Three point eight six CRA, three point
six point expected, one point two or three whip. Nothing
is outstanding on his stackcast pages only pitch thirty five innings.
But he's one of the guys that normally he'll be
a fourth or fifth starter. Those are those kind of
guys you normally get some value on. If you're going
to play a Yankee or a mat or a Dodger,
you're not going to get any value in playing the races.
Austin Gomber six point seven to nine the RA, five
point sixty six expected, one point sixty to one whip.
Austin Gomber, what is this? August nineteenth. We talked about
Erlander earlier in the season. It took him a long
time to get a victory. Austin Gomber still has not
gotten a victory on this season. The sick a look
at some of his and I hate to use it
as an example. And because he does pitching Colorado, she
gotta you gotta understand that. I don't think anybody in
baseball's bad. I think there's levels of less good. He's
one of those, and it doesn't it doesn't health these
places in Colorado. But his barrel percentage first percentile, whip rate,
first percentile, strike out R eight, second percentile fastball velocity
third expected the ra fifth, chas ERR eight fifth.
Speaker 5: Uh.
Speaker 3: He doesn't walk people, that's good. He's only walks in
the six percent range, which is two and a half
percent lower than the leg GA. But that's a good thing.
When you're pitching Colorado, the last thing you want to
do is walk people. So that's the one thing he
does that's very good. But I think the Dodgers will
hit him. But I just I'm not going to play
over seven and a half runs. I don't care if
I was out there pitching. I'm not playing anybody over
seven and a half runs. We've seen that with a
lot of these pitchers coming or a lot of these
position players coming in and pitching better than the rest
of the players. The other day, the catcher for the
Guardians came in through a perfect inning, or they didn't
throw a perfect ending. He left the base loaded, we
didn't give up a run in the ninth inning, and
he was the only pitcher on the entire staff that
didn't give up her run. So it happens, you know,
when the other team sees those guys come in, they
don't try as hard or want to get the game
over with. But I like the Dodgers here, but I
can't lay this number, so I'll end up passing.
Speaker 5: Yeah, my numbers.
Speaker 4: If you watched the show yesterday, guys, all three of
us said, watch out. These are the kind of games
that they're gonna lose. They came off a sweep of
their bitter rival, well more bitter for San Diego than
the Dodgers. It's more like a little brother. They swept
their little brother. And then after getting swept by the Angels,
they come back and sweep a playoff contending team, a
division title contending team, and they were just due for
a letdown. And I hate to use the word do
because I never like to bet on it their due,
but just a horrible spot. Like Marco likes to talk
about fat, fat and sassy, and that's how they were,
you know, after sweeping the Padres. Padres are a damn
good team and they swept them, and then they come
into Colorado a game they're gonna win.
Speaker 5: Oh yeah, hey, you know it's the Rakis.
Speaker 4: You know, Boom you lost, so that bullpen's terrible. But
I think they bounce back today. And I like Shan Actually,
I know the sample size is small. Uh, and he's
not a proven commodity, but he's a lot better than
Austin Gomber.
Speaker 5: Brian makes a good point.
Speaker 4: Gomber doesn't walk people, but she and doesn't walk people either.
If the Dodger bullpen can can be better than what
they actually are, I think the Dodgers win this one.
And I would be willing to lay minus one and
a half because you got a team total of seven, right,
I mean you know, yes, the Colorado Rockies can hit.
And Adam that guy for Colorado that you were talking
about yesterday, he smacked one over the fence yesterday that
the young guy did.
Speaker 5: Yeah. Yeah, who names who names their kid that?
Speaker 6: By the way, I hate to cut you off, but
there was somebody that went into the chat on the
replay and he explained why they named him, that it
was because of the names of his grandfathers on both
sides of the family, and he combined those and that's
how he got warming.
Speaker 5: Hmm.
Speaker 3: Interesting question.
Speaker 5: Yeah, it is good information. Uh I think the Dodgers
would be the only way to go here, but uh yeah,
it's a little steep, so I probably won't do it,
but they should bounce back.
Speaker 1: I mean it doesn't it's not as as it doesn't
matter as much when they're they're price this high. I've
got this line like almost a full dollar off, Like
I've got Dodgers like minus three p fifty here. Now
I know it's like some of the square books are
probably starting to get into the two eighty five two
ninety range. But this is why, like, especially with the
big favorites, you always should shop around, but especially with
the big big favorites like this, Like I see there's
there's still some two sixties out there with the Dodgers.
It's just you gotta look. It's you got to depend
on what book. But I just did a quick scan
and I saw two sixty five out there at two
different books. Uh, then you're you're already up to you know.
Then I pulled up like MGM and some of the
you know, the the legal apps, and it's like two
ninety already. Listen, if you can get two sixty on
the Dodgers, here. I wouldn't play it straight, but if
you can find something to parlay it with, it's not
the worst thing in the world. I don't think they're
gonna lose again. And my personal number on this is
Dodgers minus three fifty. Now again I don't I'm not
gonna play that because that's just not how I bet.
But like, I guess what I'm trying to say is
I see a pretty sizable edge here, just if I'm
just trying to pick a winner in this game. On
the Dodgers, I would have expected them. And still I
think they'll probably go off in the three dollars range
or maybe even more than that, because I would that's
where I would have expected it to be. So I'm
not gonna really like go into like we don't need
to break this one down anymore. Dodger's clear favorite as
far as the seven and a half, that's what my
number is on the team total. So like, but again,
I wouldn't they juiced it, which is even crazier. It's
seven and a half like minus twenty five, which is insane.
Like maybe that's another one where you got to shop around,
but you could you could throw the Dodgers in a
parlay or maybe like I don't know what the minus
one is, Like TV likes the minus one if you
can get you know, if you can get it under
two dollars. With Dodgers minus one, like there's a good
chance to probably winning by more than a run. So yeah,
I like the Dodgers here, all right, let's move on.
Colin Gregory says, play the day for him? Is blue
Jay's money line minus one forty five? Kind of agree
with that. This is a game that last night or yesterday,
we talked about this game yesterday, and I feel like
this was one that we we sort of fleshed out
on the show and no one, no one ended up
really having an opinion on and it kind of I
feel like it played out in the in the way
that we all maybe thought even though no one had
a strong opinion on it. Blue Jay's made a couple
of errors. They didn't they clearly didn't have like their
a game, like they weren't like overly focused for that opinion,
which was always possible coming off the series. They played
this weekend and the Pirates got to win five to two.
So Colin saying he wants to come back here with
the Blue Jays that displayed the day. What do you think, Brian,
what do you think about the Blue Jays?
Speaker 3: Well as for not being fully focused, they were going
up against the best pitcher in the National League. I
can't buy that. You always want to show against the
best pitchers out there.
Speaker 1: No, I was more talking about the three airs that
were made.
Speaker 3: Oh gotcha, gotcha. Well, they're not the greatest defensive team,
and that's probably one of the teams that's going to
struggle in that way. The entire You ask me, that
entire East Division has some defensive problems. They go out
and they spend a lot of money on hitters, but
they don't pay a lot of attention to the defense,
and a lot and most of the low salary teams
like the Tampa Bays, the Cleveland's, those kind of thing.
They've always been very good defensively in the Brewers. The
Brewers are there's not a thing out there that the
Brewers are not good at. They don't hit a lot
of home runs. Okay, well that's not their game. But
they've got good bullpen and they've got good the good
defensive players. So they're a good all around team. I
talked about Matt Sears are pitching better than I thought.
He comes in with a three point eight three ERA
three point nine to five expected one point zero seven win.
But keep in mind he's been battling injuries all year.
He's been battling injuries for the last couple of years.
He had twenty seven starts in twenty twenty three. He's
had total of the nineteen starts since. But he's been good.
His ground ball rate is in the first percentile, so
he does give up a lot of fly balls. That
is always a concern, but Pittsburgh's more of a good
pitcher's park, so I don't think he has to worry
too much about that. Barrel ray also in the eighth
percent of he has been hit hard. I like Toronto here,
I don't know if I'm going to get there because
of the number. The numbers a little higher than what
I would like. Mitch Keller still surprised he's still in Pittsburgh.
I really thought they would get rid of him at
the end of the season. But he's got a long
term contract and he's pretty cheap, which would make some
teams really want him. Comes in with a four point
one three ERA four point one four expected one point
twenty seven a whip. But the two things is really
good at is walk grate and barrel percentage. He only
walks six point five percent. League average is eight point four.
He keeps you in the games, and that's something that
has been working out. He's only won five games for
the Pirates this year after going winning twenty four the
last two years combined. Hasn't had the luck value in
that regard, but neither has schemes because of that. So
I think Toronto's the right side here, but it's about
ten cents higher than what I would want it. It open
one forty and now I'm actually seeing one point fifty
at at the places that nobody I know can bet in,
and that would be ESPN Draft kans and maybe fan fanatic.
So they're making me pay a little bit more on
the favorite. That's what they get those places. If you're
playing there, you're probably not very knowledgeable and you play
a lot of favorites. So prefer Toronto. May take a
look at it one way or another at a team
total something like that, but I prefer Toronto. But I'm
not gonna lay a one forty five or whatever on
the road here.
Speaker 4: With Brian again, I like the Blue Jays here. Both
of these pitchers have good numbers against their opponent, but
I have max suers are ranked a little bit higher. Yeah,
he's getting up there in age, but if you look
at his last few starts, he's only given up four
earned runs in his last three starts, and he's gone
seven plus inning or six plus innings in every one
of those starts. So I don't see any sign of
age there. It might come. I don't think he's going
to get blown up. He's a better pitcher than Keller
in my opinion, and but Keller has good numbers against
the Blue Jays too, So let's call the starting pitchers
a push. If we're going to be kind to the Pirates.
I got the pirates bullpen ranked twenty nine out of thirty,
and I got their hitting rink twenty eight out of thirty.
Speaker 5: It's hard to win games when you are that bad.
So despite being maybe comparable in starting pitching, the number
six lineup should be able to take care of the
Pirates here. I got it for minus one thirty five.
Speaker 4: I thought that was pretty good value, actually, and I did.
Speaker 5: I'm going to put that out as a client play,
why not? I think minus one.
Speaker 4: If you think that's too steep, then make it a
minus one. But yeah, Blue Jays would be the way
to go in my opinion.
Speaker 1: My only issue with the Jays here because I like
them as well, and I did my initial ass through games.
They're They're on my you know, that's the side I
would want in this game. My only problem is, like
Vlad is definitely not playing tonight. He tweaked his hamstring,
so he's going to be out of the lineup. He
and the line really hasn't moved, And the way I
look at this is like he's gotta be worth something.
So it's like when is when is the market gonna
wake up? And right like, when is some group going
to decide that they have to bet Pittsburgh because Blad's
worth X number of cents to the line, Because now
I'd be willing to play back on that because I
don't I don't necessarily think the Jays need Lad in
the lineup to win this game, but I need to
be getting something in return for that, right Like I
need to be getting twenty cents thirty cents for Vlad
Guerrero because if I'm not, I can't bet the Blue
Jays because they are I mean, he is a player
that like should move the number probably twenty cents. I
don't know.
Speaker 5: Yeah, but lineup guys is injured.
Speaker 1: But I mean I can name the whole I can
also name Indianapolis Indians of guys that should be listen. Yeah,
like the no, no, there's no question, Like the Pirates
are a bad baseball team. But you can't take Vlad
out of that lineup and tell me he's not worth
thirty cents twenty cents if that moves and all of
a sudden we're sitting here, Jay's minus one twenty five, Well, yeah,
I got to think about the Jays at that point
because I I would disagree with the Pirates taking it
and an absorbent amount of money just because lads not playing.
But if it's going to stay in this current price range,
I I can't get involved because he's absolutely worth something
to the number. All right, we're getting toward the end
of the show. Have we have we talked about a
game that that that you guys want to put in
the parlay or do we have? Go ahead, Brian, what
I'll do?
Speaker 3: Mine? First off, it is five dollar ts there and
we all have free plays up, and I've got best
bets up. I do want to point out a couple things.
First of all, Adam is it's been hot as hell
in Triple A. I know they don't show that on
the on the site, but if you're playing Triple A Baseball,
make sure you join Adam. He's been terrific in that regard. Brandon,
as he mentioned another streep of the board yesterday, he's
been having a hell of a season. He's had a
hell of a career. Over at wager talk, I've won
nine of the last ten days in Major League Baseball,
number one, the last three, number two to the last seven.
I've got my five percent play up. I'm going to
go back to this Seattle Philadelphia game. I think there's
many ways to play this. We've We've got already got
the Seattle plus one and a half part of the parlay.
I'm gonna go back to the same game. I like
the Philadelphia team total under four and a half here.
As I said, Miller is not only healthy and he
feels health. He's been in the minors for a while
and he's had plenty of time to build up. It's
not like they rushed him back or anything they haven't
had that, you know, the vegacy. Then now, obviously Gilbert
may leave and they need to bring somebody else up,
but he was already scheduled to come up here. I
think we're going to get a good effort from him
and the four best pitchers in the Seattle bullpen, which
is a pretty good bullpen. We'll all be available today.
I think Philadelphia under four and a half is going
to be my free play or my best bet in
this parlay here for hopefully we get to in a
row here. We won yesterday, let's get it again today.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna change I'm gonna change my leg if you're
gonna do that, which I'm fine with because I just
I think it's going to be for two reasons. One,
I don't think people are going to be able to
parlay a run line and a team total under. So
but I'm cool with it. Like I I actually I
like your angle better than Mariners plus one and a
half there, so if that's okay, Hey Brian, what was
what was it again? It's Philly's team total under.
Speaker 3: Team total under four and a half minus one twenty five.
Speaker 1: Team total under four and a half minus one twenty
five and just quickly. We don't need to rehash it
if you've missed the show or any point of the show.
I'm using Cubs in Game one because I don't think
I'm gonna be able to make a straight bet on it.
They've taken a little bit of money, but I think
that I like that Cubs Game one. So, Brian, what
are you seeing Cubs Game one at right now?
Speaker 3: It looks to be about a one to fifty all.
Speaker 1: Right, so Cubs minus one fifty per Game one. I
gotta I gotta bring this up. Tuck Nelson says, no way,
these guys are talking about parlaying. I mean this is
something we do on the show literally every day. We've
done it all year. It's it's not like it's basically
a fun parlay we do for the show. You could
basically take them and play them straight. So far this year,
we've done pretty much every day since we started the show,
and we're up five point three six units, or for
every dollar risk if you've risked the same thing on
each one, you're up five dollars and thirty six cents.
So hey, we've been grinding out for months and we're
ahead on the parlays, So I don't know. I mean,
I'm not a big parlay better either, but it's just
something we do for fun.
Speaker 3: You've said it before. I don't play parlays. I don't
recommend parlays. I play each individual leg. And even though
we don't track that, I it's got to be much
higher than what we've done in the parlors.
Speaker 4: Yeah, and it's five dollars Tuesday, guys, so go to
our sites down there. You can see what we have
and our free place. My leg of the parlay is
going to be the Yankees on the money line. And
since the show is basically over right now, I'll just
tell you real quick why I like Roodon's numbers against
these Rays. I don't like Baz's numbers against the Yankees,
and Daz is a horrible home pitcher.
Speaker 5: Yankees have the better lineup.
Speaker 4: They got not the better bullpen, but they're comparable and
they got the much better starting pitcher.
Speaker 5: So I like the Yankees on the money line.
Speaker 3: Here they're currently minus one twenty five. And also, I
don't nobody mentioned this obviously, you just talked about it.
This is where the Yankees play in the spring training games.
They're very familiar with the stadium.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I like them. On the money, it's a client
play I put out. It's not my five dollars play.
It's a lesser percent than that. But I did put
this out to my clients as well.
Speaker 1: Yeah, we were going to wrap the show up. I'll
just say I agree with you. That's another game I
kind of had jotted down today.
Speaker 5: We've been agreeing a lot lately.
Speaker 1: I think it's I think it's we've been a lot lately.
Cheap price on Radon in my opinion, that raise lineup
can't really hit agree, don't. I don't hate that by
any means. All Right, So the parlay which won yesterday
got us. We were getting dangerously close to even on
the year, and then we hit the three team or yesterday. So,
like I said, back up five five point three six
units on the parlay. Again, these are just for fun.
If you want the real plays, headed over to wager Talk,
where we put our real plays up every day. I
don't want to see people in the comments are like,
why don't they post their pit This show is more
about giving you guys baseball knowledge, and maybe you get
a picked here and there. It's very simple. If you
want the picks, we work for a pick site. They're
all on the site and on Tuesday they're up for
five bucks, so check that. Check out the site. That's
where our picks are. If you want to come and
learn about learn about baseball betting and break down games
for an hour, that's the show for you right here.
So and basically the problem.
Speaker 4: Need to be if you need to be spoon fed
free picks, you're never gonna win it this anyways, so
just give up. We're giving you baseball knowledge so you
can use it and bet on your own. If you
want our free plays, they're down there at the Scroller Go.
Speaker 3: We've got a lot of good guys in the room
if you don't want to pay for the picks. These
guys are really knowledgeable. They've been with us all season long.
I read the comments, especially if it's the ones where
they put on the YouTube right and go back and
comment on them. A lot of good information. Hey, we
got what warming is? How they warming? So that's something
I didn't know.
Speaker 1: No, the the there's a lot of good info in
the comments section on the YouTube replay, and it's and
it's because the chat is very knowledgeable, so we we
like nance says like, yeah, I mean it doesn't it
probably isn't gonna it isn't gonna keep us in the
top of the the wager Talk sales board. But like,
this show really is like about, you know, making your
own plays and being better handicapper. But like, obviously we
always appreciate if you buy, so you know, I just
want to like and it's not it wasn't just that
one comment. It does come up, so I felt like
it was a good time to, uh just point that
out if you want, if you want picks with UH
with no analysis, just head over to YouTube. You'll find
a million people doing that. So at any rate.
Speaker 4: Dot com, there's there's at least twenty plus free plays
on the free ka page at wayjittalk dot com, and
most of them are from us.
Speaker 1: All right, let's let's recap the parlay one more time.
See if we can back to back three teamers. I
know that's asking a lot, but let's see Cubs, which
are now minus one fifty in game one. I wonder
if there is the Brewers are going to rest guys,
because that's a pretty substantial move right there. Up to
the Cubs minus one fifty, so that is Cubs minus
one fifty Game one and early game today. We then
have Tokyo Brandon on the Yankees money line and Brian
Leonard is going to go with Phillies team total under
four and a half. And I suppose that you can't
parlay a team total, maybe you can sub it out
for Mariners plus one and a half minus one forty.
It would keep the price point on the parlay roughly
the same that parlay comes out to plus four forty.
So let's see if we can do it again today.
As always, it's Tuesday, five dollars place from all three
handicappers to check that out, and we'll be back with
you guys tomorrow, nine am Eastern. See you then,