Speaker 1: We are Live.
Speaker 2: Welcome to the Blitz. Free college football picks for week
two coming right up, Michigan versus Oklahoma, Iowa versus Iowa State,
Oklahoma State versus Oregon, Ole, miss First, Kentucky, Kansas first, Missouri,
and any other games you guys want to talk about.
If you are watching us live, get in the chat
right now, start firing off those questions. Doesn't matter which game,
we don't care. If you want our opinion, ask away.
Joining me now as he has each of the last
two weeks on the program is Ralph Michaels and making
his Blitz debut fresh off of four and a week
in college football, is Sean Alvarez. Guys, welcome Ralph. You'ving
the veteran of the show that you are. I'm gonna
go to you first. Only Top twenty five matchup of
the weekend is number fifteen Michigan at number eighteen Oklahoma.
Michigan didn't look so good last week against New Mexican.
I don't know if they were gold bricking or not
that second half, but Oklahoma's taken some early money in
the week. What sticks out to you when capping the
loan Top twenty five matchup on the board for Saturday.
Speaker 3: Brian, I'm not here to bring up bad memories, but
we were talking last week. We thought New Mexico may
not score. So if you look and you say Michigan
had a four point fifty two to two sixty seven
yard edge, you say, okay. But playing New Mexico only
having two hundred and one yards rushing and only six
point three. I say only six point three because you
are thirty five point home favorite and you were plus
two turnovers. So I think Michigan's performance was a poor performance.
And you could say they may have not shown everything
and they were not wanting to share any of their
playbook with the Oklahoma road trip on deck. But you
know Bryce Underwood, he only had an eight point one yppa.
That doesn't that doesn't bode well for anybody. So I
look at Michigan and you know, I had to go
to the database. We're always going to do that and
take a look at these things. So when we have
two ranked teams, one of it is the home favorite
of minus three and a half or higher with a
total over forty five, those teams have actually gone sixty
percent against the spread, seventy one percent the last two years,
so being that home favorite in a non conference game
does mean something. And in game two, if both teams
are off a win by fourteen points or more, it's
been fifty five percent to the under, and with a
total of fifty one in less, it's actually been sixty
percent to the under. You know, in Oklahoma we have
John Mader thirty of thirty seven, eighty one percent, a
three to one ratio. It was a bad it was
a bad pass on the interception. They didn't get their
rush attack going again. They were a huge favorite against
Illinois State. They only ran for one hundred and three
yards and three point two yards per carry. The d
did hold them to one hundred and fifty one yards.
You know, in these big games ranked teams ABC under
the lights, I'm going to look for a very conservative
start again. The full game total is low at forty five,
but I'm actually gonna go first half under for Michigan
Oklahoma Saturday night.
Speaker 2: Oh interesting angle there. I want to bring up one
point here because we talked about Michigan, how underwhelming that finals.
The final score looked against New Mexico last week. There
was a key play in the game and we've got
to talk about it because it's really plays in the
handicap for this game Michigan, Michigan's linebacker. There was a
play early in the second half Borrom He jars the
ball loose, Michigan picks it up, returns it for an
apparent touchdown. On replay, they not only nullified the touchdown,
they ejected him for targeting. That means he's going to
miss the first half of this game on deep for
the Michigan defense. Is that a big loss? We shall see, Sean.
I want to bring you in here obviously to talk
about this game with Oklahoma. Now, you know, we all
think they're going to be better this year. Michigan, we
don't know what we think after last week?
Speaker 3: Does Oaklham does Are you surprised that Oklahoma took me
early week money?
Speaker 2: You know what are you looking at here in this
game all in the chest? By the way, what do
you think Michigan or Oklahoma?
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I definitely don't don't. Uh. I do
get kind of get behind Oklahoma taking the early money.
You know, after what you and Ralph kind of mentioned
with Michigan just kind of looking you know, not as good,
and we saw John Mattier throw for three hundred and
ninety two yards, completing thirty of thirty seven passes last week,
albeit against you know, obviously a weaker competition that he's
going to see at Michigan. But you know, when you
look at the box schedule and you look at what
he put up, there's a lot more question marks about,
you know, the quarterback of Bryce Underwood at Michigan compared
to what John Mattier did, not only at Oklahoma, but
what we saw him do at Washington State previously. I
don't think there's any question marks surrounding him and his ability.
He just sling the football all around the field and
he obviously gets a little bit more talent at receiver
than he saw playing with the Cougars last year, you know,
But kind of looking a little bit more under the
hood about what Michigan did last week, I do think
it was a little bit more of a you know, slow, methodical,
not really an exciting type of offense. But I really
think that was planned on Bryce Underwood's first start. You know,
let's not let's not throw him to the to the wolves,
you know, kind of like we saw with CJ. Carr
at Notre Dame last week as well, making his first start.
He you know, running around the pocket obviously made some
I wouldn't say outlandish, but I would say a little
bit of a you know, lucky plays downfield late in
the game. But you know, we saw him a little
flustered as well, and I don't think that, you know,
the Michigan coaching staff really wanted to deal with that, especially,
you know, getting an easy win in week one and
then having to trans travel to Oklahoma to face a
much better defense in the owners. You know, Bryce Underwood
definitely has help at running back. I think Justice Haynes
was impressive last week, ripping off a nine point nine
yards per carry average. Ralph alluded to it, you know,
it's it's what we looked for him to do against
a weaker team. But this is the type of running
back that can break it from you know, any point
of the field, whether it be a draw or you know,
or a toss outside. So I like the fact that
Bryce has a running back, you know, that's a little
bit more of a safety net. And then as far
as the play calling goes, Bryce can absolutely run with
his legs. There was no you know, planned or play
called runs he wasn't really running around after the pocket.
If if Oklahoma plays a lot of Manda man defense
and he gets a decent you know, protection up front,
he can run for twenty thirty yards before any of
these you know, defensive backs turn around. So I do
think that they're going to open up the playbook a
little bit more on the on the Michigan side, And
you know, as far as Oklahoma goes, they did struggle
to run the ball a little bit, and they're gonna
be a little banged up going into this week. Freshman
Tory Blaylock had a little bit of an arm injury,
came back in a sling, never entered return from the game.
They have a transfer in aught coming from cal that
they have bigger expectations of, but he, you know, a
little bit banged up going into this. So there's definitely
question marks there. But they are deep there as well.
So I do think that this is gonna be a
tough defensive game. I do kind of lean towards the under,
but I'm not gonna give out a play here as
far as the side goes. I do have one up
for a premium play for subscribers over at wager.
Speaker 2: Talk Okay, there we go. I will say one thing
with Underwood. We did see young quarterbacks in the road
last week. He would think eighteen nineteen year olds. They
did struggle a little bit. So we shall see the
long Top twenty five matchup Michigan and Oklahoma. Guys, let
us go in the chat what you think of that game.
We've already got some questions coming in. Jacob Hefner is in.
He wants to know the bigger lock. First of all,
there's no such thing as a lock. That's gonna be
my first response your question. That's such a thing does
not exist. But he wants to know about the Pitt
Panthers minus twenty one and a half. They're playing Central Michigan.
The Chips one of the performance that was there going
across country beat San Jose State or LSU Louisiana Tech
over fifty one. I think Pit's a sharp side, Ralph,
I don't know the between those two. That's what I'm
looking at out of those two games.
Speaker 4: You know, I Pit may make my card.
Speaker 3: You know, I my five percent last week opening week
was Central Michigan, San Jose State under So it was
nice to get an easy win to start. Rats but
you look at that game and the only reason Central
Michigan pooled that upset was they were plus three turnovers. Yes,
eighty five percent of the team's win and cover if
you're plus three turnovers, so you know it's you have
to remember going from week one to week two, be
very careful because I'm going to use the example of
LSU Clemson. We don't know if if Clemson was bad
or we don't know if LSU was very very good.
So while we don't know much in week one, we
still don't know much going into week two because we
don't know which side was positive, which side was negative.
So make sure you don't overreact to week one results.
You have to take it in the entire body of work.
If you watch the game or read the coach's quotes,
that's a little bit of a different scenario.
Speaker 4: But to me, pitt may get on my card.
Speaker 3: This week, fading Central Michigan making that long trip to
San jose A playing at night, now traveling to Pittsburgh,
and they got a road game at Michigan on deck
playing Big Brothers. So it's not quite a sandwich because
you're playing a power for school. But after that win
teams that win as a dog only cover thirty five
percent in week number two.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll tell you what. As a MAC guy resident
MAC graduate here, I'm going to tell you that Central
Michigan I think they're live to make the MAC Championship. Obviously,
it's a big step up in class when you're talking
about facing MAC teams versus you know, G five opponents
Sandles the state last week and then now a Power
four opponent this week. I talked about sharp money. I'm
looking at the odds screen here, guys, DraftKings kind of
lagging behind. So I always find this interesting. They're at
twenty one and a half on Pitt's circus, already up
to twenty two and a half. That always kind of
peaks my interests when I see that Discrepancy show and
I see you nodding your head. I don't know if
you had any take on either of those matchups. Ralph
and I seem to be on the same page with Pitt.
I don't know if you had anything on that or
the LSU Louisiana tech over that we had a question of.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I was just kind of agreeing with you.
I'm even seeing south Point here in Vegas at minus
twenty three for Pitt, so definitely more of the sharper
side there where the LSU Louisiana Tech is still holding
pretty strong at fifty one juice to fifty one and
a half under, So I would agree with you guys.
I don't have as much of a lean here. One
of my actually my only free play loss in a
video breakdown was the Central Michigan San Jose State game,
So maybe not. Don't have my finger on the pulls
as much as you guys do in that maction.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, Ralph, you mentioned LSU. How good are they?
I think they are? That was arguably the most impressive
win in Week one I thought across the country going
to I mean, that's a Clemson team everyone just sort
of expected to make the College Football Playoff, expected to
win the AC and they were just gonna rolls an
ACC championship because Dabo had hit in the transfer world.
LSU look great. I think they're live to win the SEC.
You look at this Louisiana Tech side. Ralph, you mentioned
misleading finals early on. Well, Louisiana Tech last week took
on Southeast Louisiana, an FCS school. It was not an
impressive performance. Louisiana Tech was actually outgained but plus three
in turnovers. So when you see the fact that they
won and covered, they won it was twenty four to
nothing they cover as fourteen and a half point favorites.
Did LA Tech out gain and it was that turnover
margin you mentioned Ralph that did it. I think as
long as the LSU defense, you know, isn't playing with
its food, shows up with some intensity off a big win,
I think Louisiana Tech's actually gonna struggle to move the
ball here, and I would not I actually don't think
I would be rushing to play an over in that situation.
Speaker 4: I totally agree with you, Brian. I mean, you look
at Cuckoo.
Speaker 3: He was fourteen to nineteen for one hundred and thirty
yards a six point eight YEPA at home against Southeast Louisiana.
Now again you're taking the road start and maybe even
more concerning, is only averaging four point zero yards per carry.
You know I would say this, You know LSU. Let
me look real quick, what's the total in this fifty
one guys? Yes, yes, and LSU's a thirty seven and
a half point favorite. Noo That means thirty seven were
left at fifteen. LA Tech team total is going to
be about seven and a half. LSU team total is
going to be forty five. Souh. You know you can
also look at those if you have a preference one
way or the other.
Speaker 2: All right, Titan c t one of our favorites in
the chat. I see he's in there. Great to see
you as always. Any thoughts on Kansas Missouri and Duke Illinois.
Kansas Missouri was one of our highlighted games. We'll get
to that a little bit.
Speaker 3: I was surprised that some people were surprised how short
the lot that the they thought the line was short
in this Illinois Do.
Speaker 2: Game, I mean Illinois Still. I know people like this
Illinois team. They have a lot of returning talent guys.
But I'm gonna be playing against Illinois when Big ten
season starts. I don't know if Duke is the team
I want to take. Just getting three here against Illinois,
I don't know if either of you have thoughts here.
That was a stayaway game for me, so I unfortunately
don't have very strong opinions on the Illinois Duke point matchup.
Speaker 3: Well, I'll go you know, it's you know, you you
look at it and you look at Illinois, and I
do like Illinois too, you know, but again we don't
know what they did. You know, Beilima is in his
fifth year. You have Altmeyer, So you have a quarterback
who last year completed sixty sixty one percent a great
twenty two and sixth ratio. The year before he had
a thirteen to ten ratio. So it's rare to have
a third year starting quarterback. And that's part of the
reason I do like them.
Speaker 4: Here.
Speaker 3: One thing that does concern me is their O line.
I mean, yes, they rushed for two hundred yards, but
they were sacked three times. I mean, you look at
Altmeyer's numbers. That's that's a poor offensive line performance. On
the duke side, you know. Beating Elon, they did what
they had to do, you know, a five forty eight
to two seventy five yard edge.
Speaker 4: My power ratings have this at.
Speaker 3: Illinois minus four. What I do like about Illinois and
if I had to use a opinion on this game,
it's clearly going to be a lean. Last year, remember
this Illoy team only lost three games. They went to Nebraska,
they win by seven, They got at Penn State. They
only lose twenty one to seven. Not a bad performance.
They got out gained by one hundred and fifty five yards.
They go to Oregon, they put up three hundred yards,
get out gained by two hundred.
Speaker 4: You've got a Rutgers you win. You got a Northwestern
you win.
Speaker 3: You beat South Carolina in the Bowl as a starting
quarterback in your second year, and you could go on
the road and get quality road wins. Now you're coming
back for a third season. That's the type of team
I want to back early in the season. You know,
versus Menza is a new starting quarterback. Last year they
had Murphy. Murphy passed for almost three thousand yards of
twenty six twelve ratio, better defense, better team.
Speaker 4: Overall, much better quarterback.
Speaker 3: Clearly has me the edge even if they're on the road,
because he proved to me last year he can get
the job done.
Speaker 2: Sean, I'm gonna give you an option here if you
think that this line is too short as well on
Illinois Duke or We also have a question in the
chat here. I believe it was ge Hurt said, can
anyone explain why you and c is on a two
touchdown favorite this week. Look, I know Charlotte was absolutely
atrocious against app State. Did you watch North Carolina Monday night?
I don't think a lot of people are running to
the window to bet fight. And Bill Belichick's uh it
was great first drive and then the rest of the game,
Well they talk really bad. So what do you think here? Well,
what surprise? What line surprise? Should ill surprise you more?
Illinois being your favorite too? Or North Carolina under two
touchdowns to Charlotte.
Speaker 1: I would say at first glance, when looking at, you know,
the games, trying to figure out what's gonna make my
card and what's not. You know, at first glance, the
Illinois duke being low was kind of my first surprise.
But you know, looking under the hood and looking at
how these teams played previously, I agree with everything that
Ralph says. They have a much better quarterback. I think
they have a better defense as well. So I do
think that it's a little bit tight for my liking.
It didn't make my card, But if I was gonna
lay anything on that game, I would lay the three
or even the three and a half on Illinois. And
I think you're spot on. I actually wasn't surprised at
all looking at the minus thirteen and a half with
the Charlotte North Carolina they just outside of that first
possession from North Carolina, they just looked abysmal the entire
game on both sides of the ball. Just I mean,
there's not a lot other than it's Bill Belichick and
what he did with the Patriots. As far as are
they going to bounce back even though it's a weak team.
You know, yeah, they'll probably get the win, but are
they going to cover two touchdowns? They made a lot
of mistakes last week, and I don't see them ironing
them out, even with Belichick as coach.
Speaker 2: Yeah, obviously a short week doesn't help either. Ralph, you
have some thoughts here on this set car Heels State battle.
Speaker 1: I do.
Speaker 3: I'm just gonna say this. I mentioned this last week
on the show, Brian. I don't use my power ratings
to at least week three. I still update him every
week to get an idea, just so you know. I
have North Carolina as a twenty point favorite in this game. Now,
I'm not gonna get to me. It's my biggest discrepancy.
Are perhaps I just completely overrated and at the beginning
of the season. That's why I let two to three
weeks play out, but I have it. But just so
you know, I've seen a lot of teams bounce back
after an ugly performance and take it, take their uh,
take their pressures.
Speaker 4: Out on a weak foe. So I'm not gonna.
Speaker 3: Bet Charlotte at all. I think them being at Charlotte
actually helps North Carolina when you have to have poor
of a game and then you have to go to
class all week, and then you have to you know,
walk to the stadium when you're home, getting away, I
think is a big advantage for me. Which wouldn't I
have be leaning with North Carolina if they were playing
at home as a huge favorite, I would be looking
to fade them.
Speaker 2: So a big difference to me on the schedule. Yeah,
Charlotte took a lot of money last week against app
State money game. I mean, you would have been better
just setting a couple hundred bucks on fire, because that
would that they were the wrong excide of they that game.
Should the should have lost even worse than they did.
All right, let's get back into some of the big
matchups we will. I see the question about Rice, who
is a very interesting team we'll be talking about them
just a little bit, but let's get some of the
big games because we have a we had a question
on Kansas Missouri earlier. We'll be getting to that one,
but let's go to the Syhawk game Iowa Iowa State.
I believe it's six straight times Iowa has walked into
ames and gotten the win. Sean. Iowa State has been
very impressive for the first two weeks. They obviously one
in Dublin against Kansas State and then Ralph we talked
about this one last week. It was kind of the
you know, to channel our Innermarko Dangel, It was kind
of it was a classic sandwich spot. Right, They're coming
home off the game against Dublin, they've got this on deck.
They're playing an FCS team. Well, Iowa State handled their bits.
They killed South Dakota last week, so it's a short number.
Iowa State is laying a home here, Sean, they've not
They're own six last six times hosting their in state rival.
What sticks out to you about this one?
Speaker 1: I think one of the bigger things that sticks out
to me is, you know, I thought the game in
Ireland against Kansas State was you know, played sloppy both
sides of the ball, whether it was Kansas State on
offense and defense and Iowa State did the same thing
in my opinion, So what didn't help out was how
poorly Kansas State play last week. Didn't necessarily help me
and think in Iowa State was you know, as good
or as good as they needed to be to beat
a team like Kansas State at least in preseason type
rankings for me, and I think the biggest question marks
on both teams are, you know, the quarterback play. We
see a really well touted Mark Karnowski coming over from
South Dakota State that won two times FCS national champions
He can sling the ball around. He did it last
year for South Dakota State in a hostile environment at
Oklahoma State throwing for two hundred and sixty four yards,
so I don't think the you know, environment at Iowa
State is going to really get to him. But he
literally threw ground balls to his receivers a few times
last week, which definitely needs to be ironed out. And
then we throw an absolute frozen rope on third and
thirteen late in the game. So which Granowski are we
going to get? You know, leading up into this rivalry
game or are we going to get the two time
FCS national champion or are we going to get somebody
hitting fungos to you know, a shortstop aka the receivers.
But I do, I do really like the running game
for Iowa. They get a freshman running back in Xavier
Williams who is an absolute tank the size of his thighs.
He is very tough to bring down in short yard
yardage carries and also ripped off eleven point one yards
per carry average last week. So I do like the
running game. It should help out Mark Gronowski and he's
definitely going to need to improve to beat an Iowa
State Cyclones team. And as far as the Iowa State
quarterback goes, rock O Breck he completed just fifty percent
of his passes against Kansas State. He had a better
game last week, but albeit obviously against weaker competition. But
the biggest question that I have for him when watching
him is he tends to get a little flustered when
he's not necessarily under pressure, but defenders are just around him.
And now he's going to face a really stout Iowa
defense that can absolutely pressure the quarterback. And if he
doesn't have a running game to take you know, the
pressure off of him and have a balanced offense. I
think it could be a long day for Rocko Brack.
So for me, the two biggest question marks on this
game are how are the quarterbacks going to play? And
I think whoever plays better comes Saturday is going to
end up winning this game. Ralph, we've seen a interesting
line move here. This has gone through the key number
of three two and a half to three and a half.
Iowa State now favored, and he did Is that something
that you know piqued your interest or what are you
thinking about?
Speaker 3: Sayhawk here, that's clearly what you said to start this video.
How they've played the first two weeks Kansas State winning,
But again remember they got a game by seventy yards
against Kansas State, so yes, they win a wins will win,
especially when it's a conference game. South Dakoto fifty five
to seven impressed the hell out of me. But I
am a little more concern than my other guest here
because Gronkowski eight to fifteen for forty four yards, you
complete fifty three percent with a two point nine YPA
at home against Albany is a concern.
Speaker 4: The concern for me, though, is he left.
Speaker 3: In the third quarter with muscle cramps, and sometimes that
can carry over from one week to the next. So
make sure if you are an Iowa backer you do
have a healthy Gronkowski. I will say this, I talk
trends all the time. I rarely have a trend that's
twenty years that makes any sense to me that I
would use. But you want to talk about probably the
most under series in college football over the last twenty years.
This series is seventeen and three to the under the
last twenty years. Last year's game was the second in
twelve years to go over the total, and they only
scored thirty nine points. That was because the total was
thirty six. You talked about Iowa coming in here six
straight times in winning. I looked up a couple of
things I wanted to share Brian with our viewers. You know,
we looked at in Week one. I talked about how
people always think having a game under your belt, or
a team playing the second game playing the first and advantage,
and it's not so. I wanted to look at how
a team playing a third game against a team playing
their second game. Again, this is only if you played
Week zero. It's the only possible scenario if both teams
are FPS teams, the team playing game number two fifty
eight and forty one fifty nine percent. So don't fall
into the trap that Iowa State has more experienced. They
played two games. Iowa's only played one game. They haven't
quite figured they're out. Let's also remember that last year
Iowa led thirte nothing at the half and they lost
on a fifty four yard field goal with five or
six seconds left. So that to me is legitimate revenge
if you lost as a home favorite, especially against your rival.
So teams that lost the previous year as a favorite
and now are a small dog up to plus six
one and seventy nine sixty one percent, sixty five percent
against the spread if they led last year's game at
halftime and seventy seven percent against the spread if they
had a lead of a touchdown or more at halftime
and ended up losing that game. I think it's going
to be a low scoring game. I think it's going
to be another uh defensive battle that if you don't
purn the ball over, we're only gonna see couple scores
per game. But that Grenkowski injury and performance week one
keeps me from making this a client release, but I'm
still gonna give a lean out on Iowa.
Speaker 2: Okay, there you go. You know, with the line of
three and a half, Ralph, I'm incly to agree. I
might take a nibble on Iowa myself in that game,
especially because, as you said, well scoring that lends itself
to Oneton to take the points. Another underdog that intrigued
you had a question about it earlier is Rice. For
those of you who don't know Rice is they're turning
the clock back. They're going to an option and it
worked last week against Louisiana nights fourteen to twelve upset.
Talking about not many points there, Houston is a team.
If you caught the Power five a few weeks ago,
I bet Houston over six and a half wins. Houston
is gonna win this game. Ah. This is a city rivalry.
By the way, Rice, for those of you who don't know,
located in Houston. But I would not be looking to
lay this with Houston. It's plus the points. It's taking
points or nothing for me, dog or passed, so to speak.
With the Rice Owls and their new offense, I think
it's going to take time for opponents a half eight
on this team. We're not out offend, They're gonna slow
it down. What do we always talk about, you know,
Ralph option to Army, Navy, you know these the teams
that run these slope you know, triple option attacks. They
cover as underdogs. So I like Rice in that one.
I don't know if either of you have a take
on Rice in Houston here. I think I played Rice
beat Houston last year? Didn't they? That was or was
it two years ago? I remember having a play on
Rice against Houston. I'll look that up and just no.
Speaker 3: Houston won thirty three to seven last year. Oh and
Rice won forty three to forty one in two thousand
and three.
Speaker 2: Okay, then of the season, Yeah, that's what I Okay,
it was two years ago, they upside. I know it
was somewhat recently. Okay, Okay, you know you talked about
option teams and slowing it down. This is off subject, Brian,
But I just put a tweet out in.
Speaker 4: What bizarro world? Do you have San Diego, State, Army.
Speaker 3: And Utah all in the top ten and plays run
last week?
Speaker 4: Isn't that crazy? Army ran eighty two plays last.
Speaker 2: Week Yeah, that that and lost, so it might feat
time to go back to the old time.
Speaker 3: They were minus three turnover. So let's remember had they
had to lead, That's one of those things. That's why
stans are very misleading. If they had to lead, they
would have slowed the tempo down, ran the pace they did,
probably had six sixty plays because they were minus three
turnovers and trailed the whole game. They needed to press
the tempo to keep scoring. So great point, But why
stance are misleading and you really have to break them
down and.
Speaker 4: Not just take them at their core value.
Speaker 2: Yeah. Questions on Western Kentucky versus Toledo. I thought that
line was a little big myself, to be honesty. Toledo
interesting spot for the Rockets, the presumed mac favorite. This
is a team that went into Kentucky last week. They
took money, Sean, they covered the spread in that game.
Now you go from facing Kentucky to Western Kentucky. You
go from underdog to favorite.
Speaker 3: That's not a role traditionally, if you just look at
this conceptually, that's not a role.
Speaker 2: I'd be running to back the favorite. And I know
they've taken money, but I might if this number gets
higher I don't know.
Speaker 1: I might be yeah, and kind of like you. You know,
we've alluded to whether it be sandwich games or whatnot.
It was a big game last week and now, you know,
a little bit of a letdown spot facing a tough
Western Kentucky team. So I definitely agree with you. I
do see it up to seven and a half. Actually
it just clicked down as I'm looking at it, back
to seven, So I agree with you. I would lay
the points with Western Kentucky. I'd probably stay away from
the money line, but that would be wordly questions.
Speaker 2: On Alabama, we mentioned Ralph that LSU might have been
the most impressive winner in Week one. I think we
might all agree that the least impressive loser Alabama, Caleb
de Boor now has the same number of losses as
a double digit favorite in a season and a half.
In Tuscos that Nick Saban did his entire time there,
he doesn't he doesn't look well on the sideline. I mean,
I'm not a body language expert guys by any means,
but he just looks ill on the sideline like he's
he's regrets taking the job, and you know, not to
throw it all count his Deep's decoordinator came Womack, who
got a lot of love. He gave up a head
coaching job at South Alabama to be the defensive coordinator here.
Speaker 3: His defense stinks. They couldn't tackle. Last week, Florida State
was getting what they wanted. They just looked like a
tougher team. So it's interesting.
Speaker 2: A lot of people thought Alabama, what was at nine
to one, Ralph we talked for the last week, was
a good bet to win the national Championship.
Speaker 3: You talk about guests, you talk about coming off of
bet in just after one game. I do not think
Alabama is going to win the National Championship, and I
think all of our fine viewers would probably concur with
that at this point. Is look, Notre Dame lost in
Northern Illinois and want up playing for the national Chip.
They were in the last game of the season last year,
so stranger things have happened. But I mean, is Ty
Simpson the guy? What do we think about Alabama? What
do we think about the Boars?
Speaker 2: It could be a short tenure in Tuscaloosa for him.
Speaker 1: You know.
Speaker 3: Let's remember, though, you have Ty Simpson playing on a
Power five road game against a pack crowd that was
actually very excited.
Speaker 2: Florida State we brought up last week.
Speaker 4: We don't know how.
Speaker 3: Good Florida State is going to be with all the
transfers they brought in. I talked about the O line,
the experience on the old line that they brought in
from other things. I didn't think they would get it
gelled for week one against Alabama.
Speaker 4: I was completely wrong.
Speaker 3: That's why I'm conservative in week one because you can't
guess what the portal's gonna do or what the nil
kids are gonna do for the money.
Speaker 4: I'll still say.
Speaker 3: This, even though Alabama looked that bad SEC teams awful
loss have been dynamite against the spread.
Speaker 4: I would not bet Ulm.
Speaker 3: I'm clearly not gonna bet Alabama, but if you forced
me to make an opinion, Alabama would still be the
way I go, even as bad as they looked in
Week one.
Speaker 2: Sean, what's say you?
Speaker 3: I mean Ulf, I'll be honest with the part of
me is a little tempted to take the old Warhawks there.
Speaker 2: They should have covered last week in their FCS game.
They did not. That was a bad deal. They took
a lot of money last week. Is this a spot
for you. You see a team off a tear, you know,
they're off a terrible loss. Alabama is this kind of
like Ralph was saying, Hey, let's wait and see just
what the floor is for this team or you know,
I mean, you know, again, two weeks ago or last
week at this time, we were all talking about Bbama
as the possible national title winner. Uh, you know, how
are you looking at? How how much have you downgraded
Alabama over the last seven days.
Speaker 1: I mean as far as he going up against top
teams like we saw, you know, in their loss against
Florida State, definitely downgraded a little bit. I'm gonna need
to see a little bit more, especially on defense. I
thought you hit it right on the head. They just
couldn't seem to tackle and that is a very key
and fundamental thing that you have to do on defense,
especially when going up against talented receivers and running backs
like Florida State showed. I am gonna say take more
of a wait and see approach on Alabama. But I
do agree with what Ralph said. You know, we're talking
about a team, you know, a Crimson Tide team that
is talented throughout, whether that be players coming over from
the transfer portal, whether that be kids recruited out of
high school. These are some of the best and you know,
highly anticipated players in the nation. They can go play
backyard football against Monroe this week and cover what thirty
seven and a half thirty eight and a half, they
can put up forty as far as going up against
that team. But to beat good teams and to beat
talented teams, you have to be on your p's and q's.
You have to, you know, take care of your assignment
and not play like I said that, you know, the
backyard football where you know you're just slinging it up,
letting your running back, you know, run all over like
you know Bo Jackson and Techmo football back in the day.
I may have just aged myself, but we're still talking
about talented kids that can absolutely put up points and
they can be a menace on defense. But I am
gonna take that same see approach, like Ralph said, when
they do face tough teams that will hit him in
the mouth on offense and defense.
Speaker 2: Yeah, think Alabama's got wisconstant up next. I think that's
the game where we all can uh or at least
a couple weeks we can. I think, you know, wisconstant
based on how pathetic they look against Miami Ohio. You know,
if Alabama doesn't blow that team out of the water,
perhaps there is something truly wrong and tuss loosive. Guys,
keep those questions coming in the chat. We will be
getting to both Florida South Florida and unlv UCLA coming
up soon. But one of our other marquee games this
week that we highlighted the top is Oklahoma State and Oregon.
Oregon's a big favorite here. I said before the season
that Oregon would miss the college football playoff. That doesn't
mean that I think they're gonna lose this game. They're
not gonna lose this game. They're obviously a gigantic favorite.
Gundhy did what he did, ran his yap. I don't
know if you, guys, Ralph, if that matters for you
when you handicap games, when one coach runs his yap. Obviously,
Thomas we talked just with the game. We just talked
about Bama Florida State. Castiatos ran his YAP for Florida State.
There was no receipt given from Alabama. Do we think,
how are you looking at this one. Oregon is a
big favorite here against an Oklahoma State team that absolutely
well wasn't good last year. And you know, I think
we all presume the Gundhy era is coming to its
end in Stillwater sooner rather than later.
Speaker 3: Well, you know, let's remember Oklahoma State was going to
use two quarterbacks for the first few games and maybe
for the first year. Well, now with the injury, Henjy
got injured on the first play or somewhere, you know,
in the first quarter, so Zane Flores had to come
in and he was thirteen of twenty. So now you
have a quarterback playing this game on the road. For
a guy who was expected to take snaps, that's quite
a different mentality for a guy to now have that pressure.
I look at you know what, Gundhy said, Oregon's paying
a lot a lot of money for their team. From
a non conference standpoint, we shouldn't be playing them. We
should be playing teams with their similar budget. To me,
that's a cop out. Guys, you made the schedule four
years ago to say you're not going to play them
now because they spend forty million dollars. Landing came back
and said, well, that's because we're a winning team and
we're used to winning, so I can't tell you what
to do. I actually think that it will motivate them
a little bit. I think Oregon's going to prove that
they're a legitimate team.
Speaker 4: Teams.
Speaker 3: By the way, guys that scored fifty plus points in
the opener are twenty nine to twenty two, so fifty
seven percent against the spread. But if teams scored fifty
points or more like Oregon did, they put a fifty
nine against Montana State and they're a favorite of twenty
eight or more. They have gone sixty nine percent since
twenty eighteen. So you get that offense clicking early, you're
a big favorite again. You keep that offense going. I
am going to say this with Oregon having their conference
opener on.
Speaker 4: Deck, having to go on the road.
Speaker 3: It's only Northwestern, but again, it is still a conference
road opener on your first road game of the season,
and I'm gonna.
Speaker 4: Say Oregon has free reign early.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna lay the seventeen and a half for the
first half here, because when you get to the second half,
he may start resting those players. If he gets up
by thirty. With the ReConference road opener, on deck, So
I'll go.
Speaker 4: What I feel is the right play.
Speaker 3: This actually has a shot to make it as a
client release today, So clearly a true best bet for me.
Oregon first half minus seventeen and a hook.
Speaker 2: I like that angle. Oregon's the only side I could
look at here Oklahoma State gaining just five point one
yards per play last week, Sean, is it as simple
as it? Ralph and I are making it out to
be Oklahoma State even bothers showing up in this game.
Speaker 1: Nothing in sports betting is not simple. But I really
hope that this game proves to be with you know, Ralph,
you hit it on the head with Zane Flora is
getting the you know, getting the start, but being looked
at and leaned on in his first start. He's a
true freshman that's now going to travel to Oregon in
a hostile environment and obviously a much better defense than
University of Tennessee Martin that he played with played against
last week. And the biggest issue is, you know, obviously
a week opponent that they faced last week. Caleb Hicks
only had two point seven yards per carry on average,
and the team only amounted to three yards per carry
on average. That's a very telling stat line on the
issues that Sane Flores might face going up against this
Oregon team. He's if they keep if they continue to
run the ball like that and really struggle getting the
running game going, He's going to constantly be playing behind
the sticks, letting the defensive line in their ears back,
and it's gonna be it will be a long day
if that would happen. And I really like what Dante Moore,
Dylan Gabriel's backup last season, got a little bit of,
you know, learning the Oregon scheme, and we saw that
last week, throwing for two hundred and thirteen yards with
three touchdowns and zero zero pass deflections. Obviously, it's going
to be a little bit of a bump in talent
that he goes up against, but I love that zero
pass deflections stat that Dante Moore put up. And they've
Organ's got a solid running game with Noah Winnington ripping
off six point eight yards per carry last week, but
they also have twelve different players that got carries last week.
I really like that in a college offense that can
really kind of expose their depth chart and get fresh
running backs, especially late in the game when you're when
you're facing a tire defense that's you know, struggling to
stop them. So I'm on the same boat. I'm laying
the Oregon minus twenty nine. I think they blow him
out from start to finish here and if they get
ahead early. I do like the depth of Oregon even
compared to the Oklahoma State starters in this game.
Speaker 2: All right, we keep getting questions on un LV UCLA,
so let's hit it. I've made my opinion felt. I
think the last two weeks I don't like either of
the coaches in this game. I think did Dan Mullen
It remains me seen. I think Deshaun Foster I don't.
I think UCLA's the second worst team in the Big Ten.
I don't want to play either of these teams right now.
So I'm gonna defer to you guys, so you have
anything on this matchup on because these are two teams,
these are two fade teams for me in twenty twenty five.
Speaker 4: I'm gonna wimp out as well. Brian.
Speaker 3: I just I, you know, to have fourteen first downs
and two hundred and twenty yards as a small home dog,
and I think I counted. I think there were twenty
seven UCLA fans at the Rose Bowl. Maybe maybe thirty,
I don't know the other The other thirty thousand were
all Utahs. So basically they played a road game in
the Rose Bowl. But you're going on the road, you're
playing in an NFL stadium. You know, UNLV is not
like other places, but you and LV does. They got
that excitement at home last year playing an allegiant. They're
finally starting to get some crowds. But if you're UNLV
in you allowed five hundred and fifty five yards to
Idaho State at home in Game one, I can't bet
you game two. But I also can't bet UCLA. I
will say this against Sam Houston, UNLV ran fifty eight plays.
UCLA ran fifty plays. In Week one against Utah, UNLV
has run the ball seventy nine times in passed forty seven.
UCLA's run pass ratio twenty eight to twenty two.
Speaker 4: Under would be the only opinion I could give you here.
Speaker 2: Okay, there you go, Under, Sean, Do you have anything
on this one? Otherwise we'll go to Ole, Miss Kentucky
in the SEC.
Speaker 1: Not much on this one. This was real close to
making my card. I kind of have a rule of
thumb when I have plays that I'm putting on my card.
If I can't put my thoughts on paper and write
up an analysis, that is no longer a play. So
I kept kind of going back and forth with UNLV
and UCLA. Here. I do think we get a better
performance out of Nico from that quarterback from UCLA, but
I'm not confident to lay that with any plays or
bets on my own.
Speaker 2: Ole Miss, Kentucky, let's bring this one up here. It
was on our uh since one of the bigger games
Ole Miss guys. The computers seem to love Ole Miss
and had a bit I don't know if you guys
paid how much about what powering you guys at during well,
but I do Ole Miss team that really jumped up
on the heels of blowing out and they went on
a thirty eight nothing run in the half class week.
Ole Miss really to me this year and a team
that I want to keep an eye on because last
year they had the best yards per play differentially higher
country and with all that talent. It was a real
indictment on the coaching of Lane Kiffen that they did
not make the College Football Playoff and why did they
not make the College bobll playoff? Well because they lost
to Kentucky last year and now they go to Lexington
for a little bit of revenge. I'm gonna be out
my power ratings say this number is short. Ralph, you
talked about Hey, power ratings first couple of weeks of
the year. Be careful sometimes they can be misleading. What
do you think here, Ole Miss? Obviously they're gonna be
a big favorite because everyone is expecting them. I guess
to you know, beat up on Kentucky in a revenge spot. Kentucky,
as we mentioned earlier, money came in against them last
week against Toledo and they didn't cover, so Ole Miss,
to me it would actually be favorite. I'm not somebody
who likes road favorites very much, but this is one
road favorite that I think interests me. In the week
two cards, well.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna give a thirty second rant. And the most
overused word in sports betting is revenge. If if you
lose as an underdog, you do not have revenge. Guys,
you're not supposed to win, so quit staying revenge just
because you lost. But as you said, if you lost
at home as a fifteen point favorite, and the loss
cost you in appearance in the championship.
Speaker 4: That is revenge.
Speaker 3: Brian, you said you don't like early away favorites or
at all. I wanted to look at conference home dogs
in game two. Now, I'm not one to cherry pick
out a week, but after you play your opener, you know,
when you have a conference game on deck and your opener,
you could sort of not worry so much about what
those game were in stats because you may not want
to show anything.
Speaker 4: Game number two. Conference home dogs since two thousand and.
Speaker 3: Three are thirty and forty five forty percent, so the
away favorites are sixty percent, and if you take away
conference home dogs of seventeen or more, that number drops
down to thirty five percent or sixty five percent on
the home team. You know Calzada, they were excited for him.
He's an A and M kid. He went to incarnate
word for two years. But again against Toledo at home,
he was ten of twenty three forty three point five percent.
I can understand a team playing poorly and not playing well,
but at home and only completing forty three percent against
the Toledo defense and averaging three point seven YPA, I
can't bank on it.
Speaker 4: With old myths.
Speaker 3: You know we saw them race out.
Speaker 4: Remember Kiffen does like starting.
Speaker 3: The season quick last year, seventy two points, fifty two points,
forty points, fifty two points. But then he played his
first SEC game against Kentucky and they scored seventeen to
twenty seven and twenty six. So you can't look at
Kiffin and say, oh, the first four games of the
season he crushes opponents and runs up the score, because
this is the first time he's had a conference game
in the first four So be careful again if you're
using those early season stats that you are delineating that
it's a non conference game. Old Miss did give up
two hundred sixty yards to Georgia State. You know that
is something look at. They did only have one second.
They did try to blitz a couple of times. That
the defense played well. But I am gonna say this
will not make my card at all. But with a
pissed off Piffin and that Old Miss team and Austin
Simmons playing well, and Lacy It running back, and and
I like the defense, and you have Wallace stretching the
field for twenty six yards per carry on five catches,
I'd have to I'd have to go opinion on South on.
Speaker 2: The rebels, Sean, what's the lane train? He's one of
those guys that's not afraid to run it up late
in the game. I've uh over the last couple of years.
I think I got there was a Vanderbilt game in
the last two years. I know he's punched in him
late when he didn't need to really piss me off.
But what do you think here? Obviously he's gonna be
coming and pissed off after what Kentucky did last year
to him. Look, revenge sounds nice, but you know that
we would have all thought all miss gonna beat him
last year. They didn't do they Is revenge overrated here?
How do you look at this game?
Speaker 1: Yeah? I mean I tend to agree with Ralph on
that as far as the revenge at least narration goes.
But I apologize I'm gonna kind of regurgitate a lot
of things that Ralph said. I agreed with a lot
of his points. I'm actually not as excited at as
with the seventh year quarterback Zach Calzada leading the Kentucky offense.
And remember this was a game against Toledo last week
was that was ten to two going into the fourth quarter.
So yes, they kind of you know, ran away with
it a little bit at the end with scoring points
in the fourth quarter, but this was this was a
tight game. And the fact that a seventh year quarterback
can only amount to eighty four yards through the air
against the Toledo defense and now faces you know, an
old Miss defense, I don't have a lot of confidence
in him. And I really liked what Austin Simmons did
last last week, throwing for three hundred and forty one
yards three touchdowns. He did throw two interceptions to a
week team that he's gonna have to iron out, but
I think there's I think there's a lot to like.
He can run the football a little bit. He's tough
to bring and bring down with this six to four frame,
So I do like a lot about that. Ole Miss
is deep at wide receiver. As we saw last week,
they spread the ball around a lot of people had
different catches underneath also, you know, stretching the field downfield,
So I like that, Like what Ralph said. Kawan Lacy
had a solid Week one, but he's also backed up
by two solid running backs and Logan digs and Deuce
Alexander that can run well. So you kind of get that,
you know, one two punch or at least fresh running
backs coming in, you know, like I alluded to in
the last game with you know, tire defenses late in
the game. So I think Ole miss can absolutely run
up the score on Kentucky. And I have no problem
laying the minus ten year I have. I think there's
a lot of question marks surrounding Kentucky. I didn't like
anything about that Toledo game, and yeah, I have no
problem with the minus ten go Ole miss.
Speaker 2: Okay, there you go, the Rebels, the lane train there
getting some love on the program. One more feature game
here on the Rundown, then we'll close out with your questions.
Tell you about what we've got going on this weekend.
Over at wager talk dot com. The Border War is renewed.
Kansas Missouri. They haven't played in a long time because
obviously Missouri is now in the SEC. Interesting game here
for me, Missouri, I thought they were gonna have them
taking a step back this year. Ralph, I know the
schedule is kind of easy, but they were another team
we talked about Oklahoma State. Their plan was the coming
of the year and give two quarterbacks time. Well, that
choice has been made for them with an injury episode.
They also lost their kicker to injury. That's something you
need to make note of. You know, Hey, a missed
extra point, a miss field goal. That could be the
difference between covered and not covering at this level of football.
I'll be I think the dog is live here Kansas.
They've got two games under their belt. Looked good Kansas
did against Fresno. I would take the points with the Jayhawks.
Speaker 3: Mentioned Brian, when we were talking about Houston and Rice,
you said it's the inner city. I think they're the
closest or they're just behind Akron the Kent the two
closest Division one schools. Rice is actually very pissed off
because this is the final game of the series. Houston
moving up to the Big twelve. They said, we're not
gonna schedule you anymore. So we'll see if that little
disrespect card plays something here. Uh you know, in this case,
I agree with you. I do like the dog plus
the points. Miszoo is another team that was gonna split snaps.
What happened Sam Horne on the first play broke his foot,
so Beau Privlu threw for twenty eight passes. But now
he's making his first start.
Speaker 4: Not again.
Speaker 3: He played almost the entire game, but looking at what
he did on one side. I wasn't a huge Jalen
Daniels fan, but watching him a little bit against Presno State.
I did not see the Wagner game at all. You know,
granted you were huge favorites in both, but if you're
still completing eighty percent, you got a ten point one
wide PA, you know, you do what you have to do.
And sometimes people say, oh, they didn't beat anybody, but
we've talked about some teams that played shitty teams and
still didn't beat anyone by they want. So you have
to remember that it's still a positive for that team
to get out and do what they did. You know,
Lance Leopold again a coach that I respect. You know,
he had a team last year what really impressed me.
Remember they started off last year beating linden Wood and
then they lost like five or six straight games. And
what he did to turn it around, beating Iowa State,
BYU and Colorado and then they did lose to Baylor
in the final. That to me, gives him a lot
of confidence here to be able to do that Jalen Daniels.
Last year, though on the road, his only road wind
was that BYU he did throw for two hundred ninety
five yards. They ran the ball for over almost two
hundred and fifty yards in that game.
Speaker 4: But I'm with you, I do believe that Kansas.
Speaker 3: To me, I make this line three so to be
getting this many points with the better quarterback. Yes, he's
marking a first road game, but it's so much different
the first road game of the year with an experienced
QB and with an offensive line that did impress me
for the parts I watched it. You know, they brought
in some new pieces, but they seem to have melded
very well. They go on the road, wouldn't surprise me
at all. If you do like the Jayhawks, sprinkle a
little bit on the money line out right, upset wouldn't
surprise me.
Speaker 2: Sean, it's the dog live here. The two of us
seem to sure think they are. What do you think it?
Speaker 4: Yeah?
Speaker 1: I mean kind of going back to Ralph's opening sentence
in his segment, I'm not a big on the revenge game,
but at the disrespect angle. I'm in on that. Ralph
definitely in on disrespect. Let's right the ship there, And
I hate to say it and be boring, but I'm
gonna agree as well. I really liked what Jalen Daniels
has done through his two games. Like Ralph alluded to
an eighty percent completion rate seven and one touchdown interception rate.
But also he's got eleven carries on the season with
the five point nine yards per carry average, so he
can still move the chains with his legs if the
secondary kind of gives them the you know, turnaround Manda
Man defense and the pocket break breaks down. So I
like that. But also I think a thing that kind
of really kind of leans into how much Jalen can
spread the ball around is and Week zero can pick it.
For Kansas had seventy seven yards with two touchdowns, was
their leading receiver, and he gave way to Emmanuel Henderson
in Week one, who had one hundred and thirty yards,
six catches and two touchdowns. So you know, defenses can't
necessarily try and take one receiver out of the game
when other receivers are up and the quarterback is more
than confident and kind of spreading that ball around and
not leaning on his safety net if he will, So
I do like that they're gonna have to I would
say help out a little bit more in the running game.
They didn't do much throughout the first two games, but
I really like what Jalen Daniels in this receiver corps
can do. I think they can put up points in
a hurry, but I think they can also make up
points later if they get a little bit of help
on defense. And I think the big question mark about Missouri.
I actually I did like what the transfer from Penn
State did at quarterback twenty three of twenty eight two
hundred and eighty three yards, but he also ran for
sixty five yards on the ground, so he also has
that dual threat type of mentality and or pressure for
the defense. But the running back transferring from University of Monroe, Yes,
he is talented, but he ripped off one hundred yards
on the ground last week. But he also did it
against Central Arkansas, a very similar team to what University
of Monroe plays throughout his career. So I do kind
of have a little bit more question marks about the
Missouri running back Hardy as far as what he's gonna
do against a better defense. But again, everything kind of
goes back to the way Jalen Daniels is playing. I like,
I just think he's gonna put up a lot of points.
So I went team total over twenty one.
Speaker 4: And a half.
Speaker 1: Even if they get down, I think he can put
up points late in the game.
Speaker 2: All right, there, you have a lot of Kansas love
here on the panel. Titan Cet in the chat sharing
his card Kansas Duke Iowa fiks the dogs will we
bark in there? I'm gonna throw another early dog at
you here. I like Baylor against SMU. Baylor cannot possibly
be as bad as they were against Auburn. That was
a very frustrating game. I don't know what the Arranda
was doing on defense. He was just letting Jackson Arnold
just run right through, like yeah, I mean, Dave scoot
somebody up. They were just taking which game. That was terrible?
What were you thinking? I will say this about SMU.
They played an East Texas A and M team last
week that was obviously overmatched. SMU only had a forty
nine yard edge in total yards of that game. The
Mustang's got a pair of pick sixes, one of them
a ninety five yard or that obviously totally changes the
complexion of the game. Also, East Texas A and M,
in addition to throwing the ninety five yard pick six,
fumbled inside SMU's five yard line. So I think Baylor
is another live dog. Early we have some question we
had a question earlier. We have to talk about South
Florida and Florida. South Florida. Obviously they were the right
side against Boise Ralph, but I'm gonna say this, that
was another situation where turnovers really dictated the outcome. They
were plus three in a game the total yardage was
pretty even.
Speaker 3: Deph. You know, we talked about this game last week
and I picked USF. Remember we said Byron Brown started
two years ago and he was a stud. He got
hurt last year and the offense completely fell apart. So
what they did offensively didn't surprise me. But remember, plus
three turnovers, they got out gained three seventy two to
three seventy eight. So the score, the score of thirty
four to seven is does not play out the way
the game played out. But the more I looked at it,
I then thought I was gonna like the over. You know,
they but they then I looked at USF and they
only ran fifty three plays. But again, remember, if you
keep getting the ball turned over and you're scoring defensive
touchdowns and you have the short field, you don't have
to run many plays because you have so many points.
So again I'm misleading with that. I really don't have
an opinion. I'll throw out the stat again. Teams off
a week one win as a dog are only thirty
two percent in game two, so don't overreact. Even though
I like Byron Brown and I like USF, playing as
floored is a different scenario. So there's there's nothing I
want to even give out on this game, because I
wouldn't bet a penny on this game on either side
or total.
Speaker 2: So I will throw it to.
Speaker 3: My esteem colleague to see if he can give you
guys some betting advice.
Speaker 2: Okay, Sean, anything on this floor of Floridian Battle here
you're muted, Sean, you see never sound better? Honestly, do
you guys.
Speaker 1: Get all that? Everything? Good?
Speaker 2: Right? Yeah?
Speaker 4: The league you called that you called for that play,
that's amazing.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I called from it from Jerry Jones's box. But
uh yeah, So I mean I run a small model
just to kind of give myself a starting point when
handicapping these games as far as the huge amount of
slate of games that we go go with each each
week and it's gave out. Uh take you know, take
the points with us F South Florida. But you know,
just like Ralph said, this is a tough environment to
go to Florida coming off a game where you know,
I I wouldn't say it was handed to them. They
still had to win the game, but they had a
lot of breaks go their way like you, like you
had alluded to obviously didn't make my card. If I
were going to make a play, I would take the
points with South Florida and kind of hold my nose
hope that it's close late. But yeah, going to Florida,
going to play the Gators at home after playing Boise
State with just kind of like I said, not given
to them, but kind of at least assisted by the
Poise State football team in that win last week for
the Bulls.
Speaker 2: Boyd and stay'd also a sleep at the wheel on
that bake pun as well. How they did not recognize
that was the backup quarterback in is coaching mal practice
last game I'll just take Yukon Syracuse.
Speaker 4: Let me let me tep in one point, Brian.
Speaker 3: Sorry, you guys, if you follow USF. If Byron Brown
has any type of injury, make sure it's probably your
biggest downgrade of any player in college football. Twenty four
passes and fourteen runs last week. The rest of the
team combined for fourteen runs. Two years ago when he
played full time, four hundred and twenty seven passes, and
he was the leading rusher with two hundred and three carries,
the running back at one hundred and eight carries.
Speaker 2: So keep that in mind moving forward for USF. Excellent
point on USF. I know we all monitored his status,
Brown status going to that bowl game last year. On
Christmas Eve, you wound up not playing and we all
were thought it was over, and then what a wild
finish that was. I remember convulsing in my bed on
Christmas Eve, like any good father was anyway, all right,
Yukon Syracuse, Yukon is better this year. Syracuse is worse.
Yukon played Syracuse close last year. Money has come in
on the Huskies. I would concur with that. I want
to talk. Let these guys now have a chance we've
been talking for a full hour, given you an hour
breakdown on all these games here for week two of Colletra, Paul,
let me give these guys an opportunity now to talk
about what they've got on tap for the weekend. Sean,
I know you have an incredible special currently available over
on your page wagetalk dot com. Tell the people about it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I started off the college football season going
five and oh, so gonna try and keep that going.
But if you want my full season of college football
that goes all the way throughout the playoffs, you're also
gonna get all of my horse racing as far as
full card selections that it's gonna include the Breeders Cup,
the Claiming Cup races at Churchill. This is gonna be Keenland, Woodbine,
del Mar, Santa Anita, So you don't have to worry
about it. Get my college football. You're gonna get emailed
all of my weekly daily full card selections for tracks
all across the country, including Canada up in Woodbine, So
go take advantage of that. Like I said, I got
off to a five and oh start. I'm gonna try
and keep that momentum going as long as I can,
and then get a little bit of a side action
on horse racing, big big two days coming up with
the Breeders Cup.
Speaker 2: Okay, there you have it, college football and horse racing.
President man there, Ralph, and I know handy here, and
you're ready for a big weekend of college but not
just college football. And of course, guys, I don't know
if you know this. The NFL gets off tonight, so
we've got the NFL on as well. We've got this
great seven day special seventy seven dollars you can get
a week from your favorite handicap for there eleven dollars
per day every play, Ralph, what are you doing for?
Speaker 3: Did you have to use the calculator to figure out
seventy seven divided by seven?
Speaker 2: Very the yeah, there we go, yes.
Speaker 3: Uh three and one. So Sean kicked my ass last week.
I did cash five percent in college football UH one
nine for thirty days. Normal price for a thirty day
all access is two ninety nine get four weeks for
one ninety nine College football, NFL Any Nursey plays I
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Speaker 2: There you go one nine to nine, Ralph, and then
I am on a sixteen and seven. All sports run
right now, guys, twelve and three run in Major League Baseball.
I will be locked and loaded NFL college MLB soccer
on international break this week, so no soccer for you guys.
But still that's seven days for seventy seven dollars. Is
a great way to get on board. Wt dot Buzz
Slash VP is the place to go for me ave cash.
I am glad that we were able to make your
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